Economic Contingency Plan - Royal Government of Bhutan (2020) Build Bhutan Project
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Economic Contingency Plan Series - I Redesigning Development: Attaining Greater Heights Build Bhutan Project Tourism Resilience Food Self Sufficiency Royal Government of Bhutan (2020) C PMO Bhutan
CONTENTS Foreword.................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................iii Chapter:1BuildBhutanProject(BBP).......................................................................................................................................................................................2 1.1 Background................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................2 1.2 Objective.......................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................4 1.3 Keyresults..................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................4 1.4 Strategy...........................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................5 1.5 Programmes.............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................6 Chapter2:TourismResilience............................................................................................................................................................................................................15 2.1 Background............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................15 2.2 Objective...................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................15 2.3 Strategies....................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................15 2.4 KeyResults.............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................16 2.5 Programmes..........................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................17 2.6 Programswithmediumtolongtermimpacts:...............................................................................................................................................19 Chapter3:FoodSelf-sufficiencyandNutritionSecurity..........................................................................................................................23 3.1 Background...........................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................23 3.2 Objective..................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................23 3.3 KeyResults...........................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................24 3.4 Strategy......................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................25 3.5 Programmes........................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................26 4 SummaryofKeyECPIndicators............................................................................................................................................................................................36 5 ECPBudgetsummary................................................................................................................................................................................................................................37 6 Implementation,MonitoringandReportingFramework.....................................................................................................................38 7 Conclusion...................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................39 Annexure 1 Grant allocation to LGs based on Multi-criteria analysis ..................................................................................40 Annexure 2 Role of Central Agencies to implement Agriculture and marketing component .......... 41 Annexure3 Dzongkhag-wiseproductiontargetandbudget...............................................................................................................42 Annexure 4 ECP implementation guideline circulated to the LGs ............................................................................................. 43 Annexure5 MonitoringandReporting(M&R)..............................................................................................................................................................45 LIST OF TABLES Table1.1 Shortageofforeignworkers...........................................................................................................................................................................................2 Table1.2 Potentialworkforcesupply.............................................................................................................................................................................................3 Table1.3 CategoryofworkersforEngagementandSkilling...................................................................................................................7 Table1.4 FoundationalCoursetrainingandduration........................................................................................................................................7 Table 1.5 Monthly Wage Package (Employer + wage top-up) by occupation ...............................................................9 Table1.6 StepsforEngagementandSkilling...............................................................................................................................................................13 Table1.7 Programprofileandbudget.........................................................................................................................................................................................14 Table1.8 ImplementationTimeline.................................................................................................................................................................................................14 Table2.1 Programprofileandbudget........................................................................................................................................................................................20 Table 3.1 Multi criteria and assignment of weights for grant allocation totheLocalGovernments........................................................................................................................................................................................33 Table3.2 FarmroadPrioritizationCriteriaforGSB.............................................................................................................................................34 Table4.1 ProgramProfileandBudget.........................................................................................................................................................................................35 ii ECONOMIC CONTINGENCY PLAN | 2020
Foreword between now and post COVID-19. The My experiences as a doctor in triage tells disease has already entered the medical me to make the most favourable decision dictionary. in the shortest possible time and endure in the spirit of team work. Even if there is a distinction, our intention is to draw the line closer. That way, we We see through such medical emergencies will already be dwelling in the “post with empathy, guided by professionalism COVID-19 era” with the prospect of rising and driven by hope. Most situations in to the so-called new normal. delicate times are beyond control but we give our best. Bringing the line closer will not just give us the chance to fight the disease Fortunately, for Bhutan, His Majesty The efficiently, but also avert an intense King has not only secured his citizens economic downfall. It is also within these from the pandemic through initiatives frames that we can draw measures to non-compromising but safeguarded the pace our growth trajectory. lives and livelihoods of every Bhutanese, a reflection of his boundless compassion. In doing so, priority remains to ensure the safety of our population from the A King spearheading this modern battle disease first. Only then can we consider against the pandemic, where the entire initiating projects befitting standards of nation unites against it, is beyond new normal. description. What we accomplished is miraculous. The interventions brought about by the ECP are along the principles of building The sacrifices of the King, complemented a resilient nation, ensuring economic by its people’s hard work, especially those security and enhancing self-sufficiency, on the frontline, have secured the nation the foundations of a new normal. from threats of a local transmission of the disease. This gave us the space and I have constantly reminded all officials the fuel to move forward. involved that the interventions we introduce through ECP should evolve In doing so, complementing many of into something more permanent, the sort the noble initiatives and the measures that defines Bhutanese character. It is in introduced over the months, it is my pursuit of a systemic transformation with pleasure to introduce the Economic a long-term national vision. Contingency Plan (ECP) Series I. For one, a key component of ECP is the My aspiration is for the country to not just “Build Bhutan” project, devised to not just see through the challenging times but rise address, but professionalise existing gap above the norm and complacence early, in workforce in the construction sector. A knowing there is no clear delineation ECONOMIC CONTINGENCY PLAN | 2020 iii
closer look offers a clearer perspective national interests. The new normal we of the national vision to build the safety talk about would be non-existent if we and security of our nation with our own do not change the way we work. And so hands, as it used to be once upon a time. we must exercise prudence and work in How do we engage our youth in the coherence. construction sector? The problem is a The challenges this pandemic has conventional one with retold topics of posed has also given us opportunities. low wage, and lack of required skills and Countries and people who are able to long-term job security. By building on adjust to this new normal faster, have these components, we view with newer the opportunity of defining the post lens and targeted intervention. And so, COVID-19 era better. what we initiate today need to sustain As we release the document, I bring to hereafter. you His Majesty’s message from the Tourism has come to a standstill but that televised address on March 22. As a does not dissuade us from rebuilding the small country with small population, sector and ensure engagement of those we have always worked together and directly affected. A salient feature of overcome challenges of all sorts, big ECP, of many, looks at long term policy and small. issues to not just redeem but redefine I offer sincere prayers and place my hope tourism. We look at diversifying our on the ECP to benefit the country and its products beyond cultural tourism, while people at all times. As the government, also ensuring continuity of high-end we will ensure that timely projects like destination. these are initiated in series to suit the The sealing of borders also narrows need of the COVID-19 era. import of food but widens opportunity With His Majesty at the helm, and the to produce our own. Therefore, we government taking charge, together we are revisiting our age-old practice of can achieve this. conventional subsistence farming with modern tools and innovative ideas. The agriculture ECP seeks to encourage farming and livestock production that sees year-round production and is not just market driven. Dr Lotay Tshering As different institutes get down to rolling these programs, I urge everyone to rise Prime Minister above the standard and be guided by Royal Government of Bhutan iv ECONOMIC CONTINGENCY PLAN | 2020
1 CHAPTER Introduction The global health crises caused by the COVID-19 pandemic has a resulted in an unprecedented global economic crisis. Three factors make the current crisis unprecedented. First, no country has managed to remain unscathed. Second, in addition to plummeting demand, supply chains have been severely disrupted. Additionally, all developments point to the possibility of a protracted episode. Thus, we must orchestrate our responses accordingly. While Bhutan has demonstrated exceptional competence in averting a public health crisis, the economy has taken a severe toll due to the unavoidable preventive and containment measures. The tourism and allied sectors in particular have been disproportionately impacted as evidenced by a sharp decline in revenue of more than 40% for the Fiscal Year ending 2020; demand is likely to remain frozen for the foreseeable future. The construction sector with it’s heavy reliance on foreign labour is experiencing a shortage of workers. Such supply-side disruptions are particularly pronounced for the sector given it’s high share of GDP and linkages to other sectors. A similar problem is evident in the agriculture sector as Bhutan remains critically dependent on India for imports, notwithstanding the unique opportunity presented by the current pandemic for domestic producers. The Economic Contingency Plan (ECP) seeks to address the above issues and mitigate the impacts of COVID-19 by executing immediate coping measure while simultaneously initiating reforms and systemic changes that may trigger positive outcomes in the above sectors in the medium to long term. The ECP report is presented in three chapters. Chapter one presents the Build Bhutan Project and discusses how to bridge the workforce gap created by the pandemic. Chapter two discusses the tourism sector and measures to enhance its resilience while engaging the laid-off to strengthen the sector’s prospects. The final chapter dwells on increasing agricultural and livestock production to ensure food self-sufficiency. ECONOMIC CONTINGENCY PLAN | 2020 1
Chapter : 1 Build Bhutan Project (BBP) 1.1 Background sector. As per the Labour Administration The COVID-19 global pandemic has System with MoLHR, the total demand for impacted various sectors of the country’s foreign workers in the construction sector economy, including the construction sector. across the country was estimated at 35,567 The restriction on entry of foreign workers as of June 2020. Out of this, the demand immediately after the outbreak of COVID-19 for skilled workers is 18,838 and unskilled has created a large workforce gap in the is 16,729. As a result of the restriction, Table 1.1 Shortage of foreign workers Workers Workers with available in the Occupation permit country Worker Shortage Skilled Masonry 13,225 7,818 5,407 Carpenter 2,709 1,524 1,185 Steel fabricator 581 409 172 Plumbing 764 529 235 Electrician 157 118 39 Building painting 29 19 10 Operator 191 150 41 Rod binder 1,182 866 316 Total 18,838 11,433 7,405 Unskilled Unskilled with permit 16,729 9,639 7,090 Total 16,729 9,639 7,090 Grand-total 35,567 21,072 14,495 Note: Plumber and electricians fall under closed category. Therefore, as per the policy, no foreign workers are allowed under closed category. The foreign workers considered in the table above under the closed category pertain to IMTART, Project DANTAK & for hydropower projects. 2 ECONOMIC CONTINGENCY PLAN | 2020
Table 1.2 Potential workforce supply Category Number of people Remarks Registered unemployed 8756 Laid off 3174 As of June 2020 Un-paid leave 7824 Overseas returnees 2167 Total 21921 the supply for both skilled and unskilled showed a demand of about 7,533 skilled workers are short by 7,405 and 7,090 workers, as shown in figure 1. respectively, making the total shortage of This needs to be assessed in light of labour foreign workers 14,495. requirements for the ongoing 12thFive Year The demand for skilled workers was also Plan projects and additional projects, including assessed through a survey conducted by the those front loaded from the 12th plan and Ministry of Labour and Human Resources implementation of the ECP. It is evident that these in March 2020 where 2,379 employers and require a significant number of workers, further contractors were interviewed. The survey exerting pressure on the workforce shortage. Figure 1. Demand of skilled labour (Foreign worker Survey, March 2020) Source: MoLHR Survey - 2020 ECONOMIC CONTINGENCY PLAN | 2020 3
On the other hand, the economic disruptions Government take the lead in initiating reform, from the pandemic have also displaced given the significant volume of publicly funded a significant proportion of the domestic construction in addition to its regulatory role. workforce. Notwithstanding the alternative Thus, the project will institute a range of employment preferences of the displaced, it strategies to meet the labour demand, is worth pursuing the possibility of redeploying especially that of skilled workers. The project these people to the construction sector. A will be implemented by the Ministry of Labour conservative estimate places the total at 21921. and Human Resources (MoLHR) in coordination They include, those registered as un-employed with relevant agencies (MoWHS), Construction with the Ministry of Labour and Human Development Corporation Limited (CDCL), Resources, laid off employees, employees on National Housing Development Corporation un-paid leave and overseas returnees. Limited (NHDCL), Construction Development On the surface, the numbers alone indicates Board (CDB), Construction Association of the potential to match the significant demand Bhutan (CAB) LGs and the private sector. through redeployment, although this will 1.2 Objective entail significant effort. Therefore, to match While addressing the immediate workforce the demand for workers in the construction gap in the construction sector, the sector with the supply of workers, the Build project is intended to address wider and Bhutan Project (BBP) is being initiated. The longer-term objectives in the construction current situation provides a unique platform industry that include: to address some of the most critical issues • Mobilizing, creating and managing related to sector. First, it provides a significant a pool of skilled and unskilled opportunity to enhance the sector’s share of workforce to meet the requirements employment as the usual sources of labour of the sector, supply- from across the border- have been • Professionalizing the sector’s restricted. More importantly, it presents workforce an avenue for undertaking further reforms • Promoting the sector as an attractive related to professionalization, specialization avenue for employment and standardization. It is imperative that the 1.3 Key results Skill 6,702 people in 7 people in the occupational trades in Establish 18 construction sector construction
Key Indicators (KPI) Baseline Build Bhutan Project (BBP) Target 0 6,702 0 0 18 1.4 Strategy for Bhutanese, the strategic focus of the BBP To enable transformational change in the will be geared towards building an enabling construction sector and to enhance its environment, including policy support, initiating attractiveness as a source of employment reforms and providing incentives and benefits. Skill / Reskill 6,702 worker Engage/ Employ Professionalization 14,495 worker • Form 18 specialised firm/ groups • Promote Mechanization • Create Employment Agency Social Security Scheme • Introduce and institute portable Provident Fund • Provide wage top-up BBP Job Wage PF top-up • Import foreign worker through + + specialised firm 15% 10% • Outsource maintenance work to specialised firms • Award work to specialised firm ECONOMIC CONTINGENCY PLAN | 2020 5
1.5 Programmes sector. Building on the experience of The BBP will pursue the following 5 broad the first phase and interest of the takers, programs with immediate and medium to the BBP will strive to work towards long term impacts to achieve its objectives meeting the entire workforce shortage. In • 1.5.1) Engagement of laid-off, addition to facilitating the interaction and unemployed and overseas returnees engagement of workers with employers, the in the construction industry BBP will also meet the surging demand for • 1.5.2) Creation of a skilled workforce workers through labour saving measures by skilling and re-skilling like mass production of the construction • 1.5.3) Provision of social security component, mechanization, pre-fabrica- and incentives: a) Wage top-up; b) tion and formation of specialised groups. Personal Protective Equipment and For engagement, the project will register workers uniform; and c) Provident and categorize interested job seekers into Fund two groups: skilled and non-skilled. This • 1.5.4) Professionalization of the is also essential to provide commensurate construction industry: a) Formation incentives to those who are skilled, of specialised firms; b) Mechanization motivate skilling among the unskilled, of construction industry; and encourage constant up-gradation of skills c) Creation of an employment agency and promote organized human resource • 1.5.5) Policy support: a) Enforcement development in the construction sector. of existing policies and b) Policy reform Table 1.3 captures the two categories of workers. Category ‘A’ workers are those 1.5.3 Engagement of laid-off, with skills ready to be engaged with the unemployed and overseas return- employers while category ‘B’ workers ees in the construction sector are unskilled and would require skilling The BBP will strive to attract and engage prior to engagement. In other words, those unemployed, laid off and overseas BBP will match the category ‘A’ workers returnees in the construction sector by directly with the registered employers and introducing and instituting a wage top up in contractors for immediate engagement in addition to their wages. The BBP will also the construction sector. institute a retirement security and benefit Out of the pool of registered workforce, scheme, including provision of provident there is a risk that some of them, primarily fund, participation in Government unskilled ones, would prefer to engage construction projects to start with, which in the construction sector temporarily will later be scaled up in the private sector only and may revert to their respective based on the success of the program. sector/ occupation once economic activity The BBP will target to meet the workforce revives. Nonetheless, the BBP, through the shortage of 14,495 in the construction incentives discussed above, will encourage 6 ECONOMIC CONTINGENCY PLAN | 2020
Table 1.3 Category of workers for Engagement and Skilling Categories Skills Qualification Remarks Skilled workforce - NC2, NC3, Diploma or UG in Category A Ready for engagement construction trades Potential to engage in skilling, and Category B laid off after COVID-19) engagement Table 1.4 Foundational Course training and duration Sl. No. Course Level Duration in Months Remarks NC2 1.5 Bar bending, scaffolding, 1 Masonry NC3 0.5 tile laying NC2 2.0 2 Construction Carpentry NC3 0.5 NC2 1.0 3 Plumbing NC3 0.5 Domestic Wiring NC2 0.5 House wiring, industrial 4 Industrial Electrician NC3 1.0 wiring, security wiring NC2 1.5 5 Welding NC3 1.0 NC2 1 6 Operation NC3 0.5 7 Building Painting NC2 0.5 the workers skilled in construction trade workers will be skilled at the NC2 level to adopt a longer-term perspective and out of which an estimated 855 will further pursue a career in the construction sector. pursue an NC3 level certification. The skilling target is based on the maximum 1.5.4 Creation of a skilled carrying capacity of TTIs. The skilling workforce will be done through compressed unstructured training programs with 20% The BBP will also provide skilling, of it conducted at the Technical Training re-skilling and up-skilling opportunities Institutes (TTI) as foundational courses to those registered for engagement in and the remainder 80% conducted at construction works. A total of 6,702 ECONOMIC CONTINGENCY PLAN | 2020 7
the designated companies in the form of Upon completion of trainings under on-the-job training or attachment. different occupations, the project will provide one time free equipment and While the skilling programme will require tools. The government will also work with the Technical Training Institutes to the suppliers to ensure availability of such operate at full capacity to meet the labour tools and equipment in the market for requirements of the construction sector, purchase. realistically, the BBP may not meet the entire demand for labour. Therefore, labour Assessment of workforce saving strategies like mass production, A National Assessment will be conducted standardization of building components, through Recognition of Prior Learning pre-fabrication etc. will be pursued. (RPL) upon completion of the skilling During the skilling program, BBP will program. The assessment will be flexible provide a monthly stipend of Nu. 6,000 and conducted as and when the trainees per person, in addition to food and acquire all required competencies of accommodation facilities provided by the their chosen specialization. However, TTIs. the assessment needs to be done within one year of completion of each training. Immediately upon enrolling in the skilling The TTIs shall coordinate and provide course, the TTIs will offer foundational information on the number of trainees courses, which will include theory to be assessed, their qualification level and basic hands-on practical training. and formative assessment report to the Once the formal training is complete, Department of Occupational Standard the BBP will attach the trainees with (DOS) for RPL assessment at the NC2 and the skilled workers of the designated NC3 level. companies, viz. state-owned companies, private companies and other interested The certification of local artisans such as companies for a project duration of stone mason (Dozop) who do not have any more than one year. The companies will former qualification will also be explored. supervise and provide handheld training. The partnering companies will provide 1.5.5 Provision of social security basic accommodation for the trainees and incentives during the attachment period. a. Wage top-up The concerned TTI will closely monitor In order to enhance the attractiveness of the the trainees while on attachment with sector, it is critical to institute an attractive partnering companies. To ensure quality wage and benefit scheme. The prevailing and relevance of trainings, the TTIs will wages in the construction sector merits a review and update the effectiveness of revision if we are serious about transforming their modules and curriculum periodically. the sector. Otherwise, the BBP may simply be seen as a temporary respite for those facing 8 ECONOMIC CONTINGENCY PLAN | 2020
a difficult financial situation. It is equally which would ultimately enhance the image of important to be cognizant of the undesired the sector; and the financial implications to the implications that such revision may have government is modest. on the economy especially in distorting the The wage top-up shall be paid to the relative wage rate of the sector. Specifically, employee upon fulfillment of the following: a relatively high wage rate in the sector may • Upon signing of contract agreement divert labour from other sectors and create with the employer and issuance of shortages in critical and labour intensive appointment letter, and sector like agriculture. • Signing of an undertaking letter by The BBP’s incentives scheme have been the employee. devised to mitigate such potential externalities. The employers shall have options to Accordingly, a monthly wage top-up of engage the employee on contract or 15%, will be offered above and beyond the sub-contract basis, or daily wage/monthly wage paid by the employer, depending on salary basis. the workers’ level of skills. However, if the engagement duration is less than a month, Additionally, the employers shall ensure the wage top-up will be provided on a Pro that employees are provided with Rata basis. Some of the merits of this option accommodation facilities at the work site include: the attractiveness of the overall as per the minimum prescribed standard. worker pay package(almost comparable with b. Personal Protective Equipment and RGOB and CDCL remuneration packages); Worker uniform recognition and compensation based on skills In addition to the wage top-up, the BBP will (motivation for re-skilling and up-gradation); provide basic Personal Protection Equipment motivation to work in the construction sector Table 1.5 Monthly Wage Package (Employer + wage top-up) by occupation Minimum Market PF contribution Possible Monthly Wage Wage to be paid by Wage Top- Employee BBP 10% package Skills Level Category employer (A) up 15% (B) 5% (C) (D) (A+B-C) Engineer Nu. 20,000 Nu. 3000 1000 2000 Nu. 22,000 Diploma Nu. 18,000 Nu. 2700 900 1800 Nu. 19,800 Category A NC3 Nu. 16,500 Nu. 2475 825 1650 Nu. 18,150 NC2 Nu. 15,000 Nu. 2250 750 1500 Nu. 16,500 Nu. 12,000 Unskilled Category B Nu. 1800 600 1200 Nu. 13,200 Note: The minimum monthly wage to be paid by the employers for various skill types is a conservative estimate, lower than the prevailing market wage rates. Therefore, employers shall ensure that the wages paid are not lower than this estimate. ECONOMIC CONTINGENCY PLAN | 2020 9
(PPEs) to the workers engaged under this without completing the one-year term project to ease the employer’s financial will be eligible to withdraw only their burden and to improve the working conditions share of the PF contribution while and environment in the construction sector, the BBP contribution of 10% will be although the Regulation on Occupational ploughed back to the project. Health, Safety and Welfare 2012 and the Regulation on OHS for Construction Industry 1.5.6 Professionalisation of the 2012 mandates employers to provide them. construction industry The BBP will also provide work dress to start a. Formation of specialised firms with as an added incentive. The BBP will initially target the formation c. Provident Fund (PF) of 18 specialised firms and groups, with The introduction of a social security and three groups each in the 6 occupational benefit scheme that offers long-term benefits categories (electrical (house wiring), to the employee as well as to the construction plumbing, construction carpentry, steel sector is overdue. The BBP is working with fabrication, masonry and building painting). the National Pension and Provident Fund In this regard, the BBP will facilitate and (NPPF) to institute a PF system for the provide the following support: employees engaged under the BBP. The • Registration and obtaining business BBP will contribute 10% of the employee’s licenses and providing tools and basic salary to the PF and will require the equipment like personal protective employee to contribute 5% to make the total equipment; PF contribution of 15%. This arrangement will • Provide short term tailor-made be operational for the first year of the project construction management and only. From the second year, the contribution entrepreneurship trainings; will involve a tripartite arrangement, whereby • Opportunities to avail concessional the BBP, employee and employer contribute working capital loans with interest 5% each. rates as low as 5%; • Policy support by reviewing the Since the PF is intended to provide current foreign worker policy and long-term retirement benefits, awarding contracts on maintenance all employees will be encouraged works directly to the groups. The BBP to contribute and save till they will also work to incorporate prefab superannuate. However, there is a windows and doors in the Bhutan flexibility to withdraw the contribution Schedule of Rates to promote such as and when required. If an employee works which can be done by the wishes to withdraw the entire PF, the groups. employee will require at least one year’s worth of engagement and contribution. In essence, the BBP will strive to support An employee wishing to withdraw the formation of specialised groups and 10 ECONOMIC CONTINGENCY PLAN | 2020
assist them until they become established c. Creation of Employment Agency and competitive in the construction In pursuit of the BBP’s long term industry. objectives, the MoLHR in collaboration b. Mechanisation of construction industry with MoWHS will work on the creation of an Employment Agency in the A priority that needs to be urgently construction sector. The objective of the addressed in the construction industry is agency is to provide a sustainable supply mechanization to enhance efficiency and and management of skilled construction quality. Indeed, there is significant scope workforce to ultimately make the for technological penetration given the construction industry a key sector in breadth and intensity of innovation in generating employment opportunities. the sector as evidenced by the adoption of telemetry, mobile apps, autonomous Additionally, the agency is expected to heavy equipment, drones, robots and 3D cater to the worker’s social security and printed buildings. benefits like provident fund, gratuity, and insurance, paid leave, bonuses, To stay abreast of such technological etc. In this regard, referring to relevant developments, the BBP will promote the legislations, policies, regulations, following medium to long term measures, RCSC’s agencification framework, the among others, in collaboration with other MoLHR will commission a thorough key stakeholders. assessment and establish a relevant • Incentivise adoption of agency which could be in the form of mechanisation and professionalisa- a government agency, an autonomous tion in the Government Procurement agency, a SoE or a private entity. Rules and Regulation, where deemed relevant. 1.5.7 Policy support • Encourage sector-wide mechanisation In order to successfully implement the by providing subsidies, incentives and BBP and bring transformational change working capital. to the construction sector, it is essential • Support establishment of building to embrace reforms and enforce the component manufacturers to implementation of existing policies such manufacture prefabricated or as the National Construction Industry readymade building components Policy. Some of the areas recommended particularly for wood works like for reform and enforcement are: windows and door frames. • Explore opportunities to provide Policy Reforms: concessional working capital loans i. Instituting portability of PF at as low as 5% interest rate. schemes among the employers to enable Labour mobility. ECONOMIC CONTINGENCY PLAN | 2020 11
ii. To encourage investment in prefab iii. The Procurement Rules and firms, the use of prefabricated Regulations (PPR) and Standard windows and doors should be Bidding Document (SBD) 2019 mandatory for all public construction prescribe sub-contracting of works. The MoWHS shall incorporate specialised trades to the registered the prefab windows and doors in the specialised firms with some Bhutan Schedule of Rates (BSR) to conditions. However, this is yet to be enable procuring agencies to account enforced. The procuring agencies it in their Bill of Quantities (BoQ). shall adhere to the provisions to iii. The MoLHR to review and streamline ensure that specialised firms are the Foreign Workers Policy to ensure promoted. an appropriate balance between foreign and local workforce. iv. All government agencies to outsource maintenance and repair works to the specialised firms. v. Allowing the import of foreign workers through specialised firms only. Policy Enforcement: i. The MoLHR will enforce the Foreign Workers Policy and the entry of foreign workers falling under the ‘Closed Category’1 should be strictly monitored. ii. The LGs and the procuring agencies shall strictly adhere to the provisions of the Bhutan Building Regulations 2018 that requires plumbing and electrical works to be done by the certified plumbers and electricians respectively and non-compliance should result in non-issuance of occupancy certificate by the LGs. 1 Closed category refers to plumbing and electrical trade. Import of foreign workers, as per the existing policy, for these trades is not permissible. 12 ECONOMIC CONTINGENCY PLAN | 2020
Table 1.6 Steps for Engagement and Skilling ECONOMIC CONTINGENCY PLAN | 2020 13
Table 1.7 Sl. Target Unit cost Budget (in No. Activity number in Nu. Million Nu.) Remarks Wage top-up + PF 1 7,000 4,075 423 For 12 months duration 2 5,847 6,000 52.6 Average of 1.5 months 3 855 6,000 5.13 Average of 1 month Food & accommodation 4 5,847 3,000 26.3 Average of 1.5 months Food & accommodation 5 855 3,000 2.57 Average of 1 month NCS @ 0.120m, CBC Development &printing of 6 6 1,145,000 9.68 @ 0.650m & printing @ Curriculum 300*750 7 Training materials 6,702 10,000 67 Basic hand tools & PPE 8 6,702 30,000 201.1 Basic PPE during 9 7,000 10,000 70.0 engagement 10 18 31,000 13.4 additional instructors 11 6,702 8,000 53.6 Monitoring &Evaluation of M&E budget for DTE and 12 30.00 skilling program TTIs Specialised groups 13 21.02 18 groups formation Induction course for 14 18 200,000 3.60 18 groups specialised groups 15 Long term feasibility study 1.00 16 60.00 contingency& M&E budget for PIUs Grand Total 1,040 Table 1.8 Implementation Timeline Sl. No. Activity Timeline 1 April 2020 2 Commencement of registration process May 2020 3 Launch of skilling and assessment July2020 4 Launch of engagement July 2020 5 Monitoring and Reporting July 2020
2 CHAPTER Chapter 2 : tourism resilienCe Tourism Resilience 2.1 Background provides an uninterrupted context to While the COVID-19 pandemic has address longer term policy issues while created varying degrees of challenges also enhancing its infrastructure and for all sectors, the tourism sector has diversifying its product base by engaging come to a complete standstill as a the displaced in the medium term. result of the border closure and travel 2.2 Objective restrictions. Bhutan saw more than 2400 Against this backdrop, the tourism sector cancellations of VISA during the onset contingency plan aims to: of COVID-19 in March and the closure • Immediately engage those who have of many hotels and allied businesses been displaced to provide a source catering to the sector. Indeed, the of livelihood; tourism sector in Bhutan started bearing • Professionalise employees in the the impact of COVID-19 as early as tourism sector, identify new tourism November 2019 with the cancellation of products and provide a face-lift travel plans. for tourism infrastructure through enhancement and beautification as The two notable impacts in the sector part of an engagement program for are the loss of livelihood for Bhutanese displaced employees; dependent on the sector and revenue • Strengthen tourism governance; foregone for the country in terms of • Overall, work towards maintaining convertible currency. The revenue from and promoting Bhutan’s image as an the tourism sector sharply declined exclusive high end and sustainable by 41% in 2019/2020 compared to tourism destination. 2018/2019 (Budget Report 2020). 2.3 Strategies The sector is critical to Bhutan’s • Award Tourism ECP works to tourism economy due to its diverse linkages with related associations, Dzongkhags other sectors. While the impacts of the and other relevant organizations to pandemic have been devastating, it also ECONOMIC CONTINGENCY PLAN | 2020 15
engage the displaced; • Partnering with Build Bhutan Project • Collaborate with training institutions to provide longer term engagement to provide advanced training and and employment opportunities for skilling programs; people displaced from the Tourism • Implement “cash for work” modality Sector as short-term engagement (Cash paid right upon the completion programmes under Tourism ECP of work); may not be financially sustainable. 2.4 Key Results points opened and operational Service Providers Tourism Reslience: Key Results Payments TCB RRCO HOTEL 16 ECONOMIC CONTINGENCY PLAN | 2020
Chapter 2 : tourism resilienCe Key Indicators (KPI) Baseline Tourism Resilience Target 0 >1,000 0 2 2.5 Programmes is expected to generate employment for To realize the above objectives, the around 343 persons. The infrastructure following four broad programs intended to and product development sites have provide immediate engagement have been been identified based on the frequency of designed under the tourism ECP. travel to these places both by tourists and • Infrastructure and product nationals. development • Surveys and studies 2.5.2 Surveys and studies: • Training and re-skilling a. Tourism Resource Inventory (TRI) • Waste management. TRI is a comprehensive data base The programs have been planned in two encompassing tourist attractions, phases spanning over nine months. Phase I products, services and infrastructure ran from April to June 2020, while phase II that are available at various locations. covers the period from July to December The resource inventory can serve 2020 targeting more than 1000 displaced as a valuable tool and reference for employees. both tour operators and tourists alike. The first and only resource inventory 2.5.1 Infrastructure and product survey was conducted back in 2005. development The current resource inventory survey This component includes re-development, aims to build on the previous survey beautification and up-gradation of tourist and provide access to an updated destinations and monuments. Additionally comprehensive tourism resources it includes development of new trails, information system, including historical quality roadside amenities, campsites details and significance of each tourism and beautification works. This component resource. with a fund allocation of Nu 44.86 million ECONOMIC CONTINGENCY PLAN | 2020 17
The resource inventory survey will Once the initiative is complete, users, be conducted across 20 Dzongkhags potentially tourists can have easy access and 205 Gewogs by enumerators to information, including cultural, religious through administered questionnaires and heritage attractions; nature-based using tablets to record information of attractions; recreations and special events potential tourism resources. A total of by visiting Google Maps or Google earth. 73 enumerators, mostly laid off tourism employees will be recruited and trained 2.5.3 Training and re-skilling: for this survey and engaged for seventy Capacity building of the industry personnel days. An indicative fund of Nu. 16.68 will be undertaken in collaboration with million has been proposed to complete the relevant stakeholders. This will allow the survey. different target groups to enhance their skills, product diversity and profession- b. Update Google Street View Imagery alism of the tourism sector. The capacity Google Street View (GSV) is a technology building areas have been identified based featured in Google Maps and Google on emerging trends in the tourism industry. Earth that provides interactive street This will ultimately contribute towards level imagery. It has now expanded to strengthening the tourism workforce include cities and rural areas worldwide. resulting in a more satisfying experience Google Street View displays sceneries for future visitors. Some of the trainings of stitched images. GSV in Bhutan was identified under this program are: last launched in 2014 by the Ministry of a. Handicrafts and souvenir Information and Communication (MoIC) production for handicraft persons; in collaboration with Google. Since then, b. Hotel assessment; no updates were made despite significant c. Wellness and Spa (Sowa Rigpa); changes in the urban landscape. d. Up-gradation of guide course; Therefore, the proposed GSV initiative e. Advanced food production. aims to update the entire street view of the country capturing the latest images The above training programmes will be that will be useful for the general public conducted in the established tourism and and tourists. hospitality training institutes and hotels to support the private sector. Additional The GSV initiative, including required trainings may be included based on fieldwork, will engage around 10 laid off emerging needs. guides and professional photographers for three months starting from April to June 2.5.6 Waste management. 2020. The team will be trained and field work As a high-end tourist destination, maintaining will be piloted in two identified Dzongkhags the country’s aesthetics is imperative. Waste prior to scaling it at a national level. management is increasingly becoming 18 ECONOMIC CONTINGENCY PLAN | 2020
Chapter 2 : tourism resilienCe a prominent issue requiring immediate and guide the payment of SDF by regional attention. Therefore, this activity will focus on tourists; delineate the roles and respon- managing waste along the most frequented sibilities of stakeholders in terms of the trekking routes and tourist hotspots through SDFs and enhance professionalism; and cleaning, advocacy and awareness programs service delivery for regional tourists. on waste. The laid off employees from the tourism industry will be engaged to implement 2.6.2 New Entry Points this activity with a fund allocation of Nu. 5.006 To prepare for the re-opening of the sector million. and facilitate a more proportional spread of tourists across the country, especially in 2.6 Programs with medium to the southern foothills of Sarpang, Gelephu long term impacts: and Samdrup Jongkhar with favourable While short term programs are being weather conditions in winter, two new implemented to immediately engage the entry points with integrated Check post laid off, the following programs relating to facilities will be set-up at Gelephu and governance and operations with expected Samdrup Jongkhar. Around 35% of the medium to long term impacts are also international tourists who visited Bhutan recommended to prepare the sector for in 2018 cited Bhutan’s favourable weather re-opening once the pandemic abates. condition as the primary reason for their 1. Readiness to implement Sustainable visit (Bhutan Tourism Monitor, 2018). Development Fee (SDF); 2. New Entry Points; 2.6.3 Assessment of Non-TCB 3. Assessment of budget hotels; certified Hotels 4. System Integration. Currently, it is mandatory for Minimum Daily Package Rate (MDPR) tourists to stay 2.6.1 Readiness to implement at least in 3-Star hotels certified by the TCB. Sustainable Development Fee However, similar regulations do not exist (SDF) for non MDPR tourists. With the surge in As part of the preparedness and non MDPR tourists in the country, demand readiness to reopen the tourism sector, for uncertified hotels has increased the implementation modality for the leading to their proliferation, which now Sustainable Development Fee for regional has crossed over 500. While licensing of tourists is being finalised. Towards this, non-star hotels and apartments are within an interim Standard Operating Protocol the purview of Ministry of Economic (SOP) for SDF has been drafted and will Affairs (MoEA), there is no standard be implemented until the full Guideline regulation, guideline or a lead agency for Management of Regional Tourism is to monitor the standards or quality of rolled-out as part of the National Tourism services offered by such accommodation Policy. The SOP is intended to facilitate ECONOMIC CONTINGENCY PLAN | 2020 19
providers. Further, the implementation lack of integration among these systems of the Sustainable Development Fee and information sharing perhaps creates necessitates regional tourists to stay in loopholes that enable undercutting and certified hotels. Therefore, the TCB as tax evasion. part of its SDF preparedness strategy will The intent of the proposed integration is to conduct a nationwide survey of these ease business processes like transferring uncertified hotels for possible certification of tour payments and refunds. TCB will and preparation of way-forward. The implement this system together with the survey will be conducted by trained tour banks in a phased manner. guides, hotel staff and tour operations staff. Under this system, the payment aggregator of the respective banks will be integrated 2.6.4 System Integration into Tashel through use of the required Pursuance to the government’s initiative of Application Programming Interface (API). improving service delivery and information Upon integration, the current practice of sharing, TCB has developed various making manual updates for credit advice online systems to cater to the relevant received from the banks will be automated stakeholders. Currently, there are over and the service delivery Turn Around Time five tourism systems, including Tashel visa (TAT) will be significantly decreased. online and costing system. However, the Table 2.1 Phase I Budget Outlay Employment SL No Activities (m) Generated 1 Hotel Assessor’s training and assessment 2.50 24 2 Bumdrak trek 0.21 19 3 Druk Path trek 0.39 24 4 Jhomolhari- Yaktsa trek 0.66 20 5 5 6 Dagala 1000 Lakes trek 0.43 16 7 Rehabilitation of day hike within Thimphu 0.35 20 8 Training on Sowa Rigpa 0.39 20 9 Re-skilling for handicrafts craftsman 16.00 60 10 Google Street view imagery refresh project 10.00 10 11 Footstep of Terteon Pema Lingpa 2.25 5 20 ECONOMIC CONTINGENCY PLAN | 2020
Chapter 2 : tourism resilienCe 12 10.51 46 Highway 13 RSA – Chendebji, Trongsa 2.85 20 14 Taktsang site development 12.80 70 15 Cleaning program in Thimphu 100 16 Tran Bhutan Trail- Trongsa 20.62 315 Construction of safety railing leading to Menchu at Dobji 17 2.80 15 Dzong, Paro 18 1.84 25 19 RSA – Mebartsho, Bumthang 1.84 12 20 Jomolhari-laya-Gasa 0.68 21 21 Facelifting of Punakha High School roadside park 10.00 10 22 RSA – Rimchu, Punakha 2.80 25 23 RSA – Dodena, Thimphu 2.80 25 Total 102.7 907 Phase II 1 Development of footpath at Tamchog Lakhang in Paro 7.00 20 2 Installtion of safety railing at Chari monastry in Thimphu 0.15 10 3 Enhancement of Bumdra trek route in Paro 2.00 25 4 Construction of restroom facility at Dodena in Thimphu 2.80 25 Development of Dagala Trek route from Thimphu 5 4.80 27 6 13.00 30 Market in Thimphu 7 Enhancement of 60km biking trail around Thimphu city 3.50 30 8 Enhancement of Phajodhing trail 5.70 30 9 10.00 50 Thimphu 10 Upgradation of cultural guides on trekking course 3.96 90 Advance Food production on Continental, Thai and 11 5.00 50 Chinese Cuisine 12 Advance level Food and Beverage Service Training 3.95 100 Training course on wellness, meditation, spa and sowa 13 1.03 70 rigpa 14 Tourism Resource Inventory Survey 16.68 73 15 Digitization of trek route - Snowman trek 1.57 14 16 48.13 Total 129.27 644 Grand Total 232.00 1551 ECONOMIC CONTINGENCY PLAN | 2020 21
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3 CHAPTER and Nutrition 3.1 Background The agriculture sector contingency plan The agriculture sector employs 51 percent of therefore seeks to boost agriculture the population (Labour Force Survey, 2019) and livestock production by providing but contributes a disproportionately lower a range of support measures across 16 percent of the country’s GDP (National the value-chain that include technical Accounts Statistics, 2019). While Bhutan’s assistance and additional support for economy has evolved from its agrarian marketing, value addition and providing beginnings productivity in the sector year-round connectivity and road access. is still extremely low, reflecting limited 3.2 Objective commercialisation, mechanisation and The key objective of the agriculture ECP scarcity of land among other constraints. is to: Despite successive five-year plans pursuing • Boost agriculture and livestock self-reliance, Bhutan remains overly production for food self-sufficiency, dependent on India for agriculture and nutritional security and income livestock imports. This is bound to grow generation; as a result of increasing population and • Bring back potential fallow lands economic growth. However, the current under crop production; pandemic and border restrictions has • Provide alternate employment and limited access to the Indian source market. income generation opportunities for However, this also provides an opportunity displaced people; to pursue the elusive goal of food self-suf- • Improve and enhance market access ficiency by increasing production and and marketing of agricultural and ultimately achieving import substitution, livestock products at least in a few agriculture commodities and livestock products to start with. ECONOMIC CONTINGENCY PLAN | 2020 23
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