Dynamic simulation for the process of mining subsidence based on cellular automata model
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Open Geosciences 2020; 12: 832–839 Research Article Qiuji Chen*, Jiye Li, and Enke Hou Dynamic simulation for the process of mining subsidence based on cellular automata model https://doi.org/10.1515/geo-2020-0172 received January 23, 2020; accepted June 15, 2020 1 Introduction Abstract: Under the background of the ecological Surface subsidence caused by the exploitation of coal civilization era, rapidly obtaining coal mining informa- resources has led to the devastation of the environment tion, timely assessing the ecological environmental and has affected regular land use. Currently, the main impacts, and drafting different management and protec- modes of mining reclamation are not performed until tion measures in advance to enhance the capacity of subsidence entirely ceased. This could potentially take green mine construction have become the urgent three or more years before reclamation processed, technical problems to be solved at present. Simulating and analyzing mining subsidence is the foundation for a resulting in an extended period without the use of the land reclamation plan. The Cellular Automata (CA) land and extended damage to the surface. To shorten the model provides a new tool for simulating the evolution time of reclamation, dynamic reclamation for subsidence of mining subsidence. This paper takes a mine in East land is becoming a trend of ecological restoration in the China as a research area, analyses the methods and mining area, because it encourages timely and appro- measures for developing a model of mining subsidence priate measures to control ecosystem degradation and based on the theories of CA and mining technology, then accelerate ecological restoration. It is based on the discusses the results of simulation from different principle of early intervention. Dynamic reclamation is aspects. Through comparative analysis, it can be found still in the early stage of wide-spread implementation, that the predicted result is well consonant with the mostly because the dynamic prediction theory of mining observation data. The CA model can simulate complex subsidence is still immature. Mining subsidence dy- systems. The system of mining subsidence evolution CA namics prediction can show the evolution process of is developed with the support of ArcGIS and Python, surface subsidence and fully reflect the damage of the which can help to realize data management, visualiza- ecological environment. These aspects will dictate which tion, and spatial analysis. The dynamic evolution of subsidence provides a basis for constructing a reclama- methods need to be implemented during the reclamation tion program. The research results show that the process. Therefore, mining subsidence dynamics predic- research methods and techniques adopted in this paper tion has become the technical key for wide-spread are feasible for the dynamic mining subsidence, and the dynamic reclamation implementation. Currently, the work will continue to do in the future to help the main research results focus on the construction of a construction of ecological civilization in mining areas. time function, such as the Knothe function, normal distribution function, and the Willbull function [1–6]. Keywords: mining subsidence, cellular automata, dy- Due to a large number of calculations that are needed for namic reclamation, geographic information system these methods, the implementation is mainly performed in professional software such as MATLAB or ABAQUS [7]. The cellular automata (CA) model provides a new * Corresponding author: Qiuji Chen, Department of Geography, College of Geomatics, Xi’an University of Science and Technology, tool for simulating the evolution of mining subsidence. Xi’an, 710054, People’s Republic of China, Although some studies have been conducted in on CA Qiujichen@163.com [8–10], dynamic simulation for mining subsidence is a Jiye Li: Department of Geography, College of Geomatics, Xi’an complex system problem, the results are largely affected University of Science and Technology, Xi’an, 710054, People’s by the model choice and setting [11–13], and different Republic of China conditions need different methods. Especially when Enke Hou: Department of Geology, College of Geology and Environment, Xi’an University of Science and Technology, Xi’an, taking into consideration three-dimensional space, there 710054, People’s Republic of China still are many challenges before full implementation of Open Access. © 2020 Qiuji Chen et al., published by De Gruyter. This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
Dynamic simulation for the process of mining subsidence 833 CA modeling for subsidence simulation. For example, environmental, natural disasters, risk predictions, etc. how to setup the CA model according to the coal mining As a powerful tool for highly complex geographical technology and integrate the CA model with Geographic phenomena, many have continued to expand the information system (GIS) tools to facilitate the ecological standard CA model by combining it with fractal theory, restoration. the multi-factor evaluation model, artificial neural net- This paper takes a mine in East China as a research works, Markov chain, and multi-agent, etc. [18–20]. area, analyses the methods and measures for developing a model of mining subsidence based on the theories of CA and mining technology, then discusses the results of simulation from different aspects. The purpose of this 2.2 Mining subsidence CA model study is to (1) establish a mining subsidence CA model under a three-dimensional framework; (2) create a 2.2.1 Establishment of cellular space mining subsidence CA model with the support of GIS and Python; and (3) simulate the process of mining Mining subsidence prediction of the CA model relates to subsidence by combining the spatial analysis and three- the surface cellular space and underground coal cellular dimensional visualization functions of GIS. space. These two types of cellular space are constructed With the help of CA, the result of the temporal and based on the unified spatial reference, and the evolution spatial evolution of subsidence can facilitate the assess- of the underground cellular space drives the change of ment of environmental impact and the optimization of the surface cellular space. the mining plan. The work can promote the ecological civilization in mining areas and has a wide application prospect in the field of coal mining and land 2.2.1.1 Choice of cellular size reclamation. A smaller cellular size results in a higher calculation accuracy. However, the calculation time increases rapidly. According to regulations and previous research, suitable size 2 Study methodology can be chosen according to the mining conditions (Table 1). 2.1 CA 2.2.1.2 Work face cellular space CA is a nonlinear system model with a complete discrete According to the mining plan, the cellular space of the space, time, and state. It can be defined as the following mining working face is expressed as the following quadruple [14–17]: formula: A = (Ld , S , N , f ) (1) Ω = {Ci, j} (3) where A is the CA system, Ld is a d-dimensional cellular where Ω is the mining work face cellular space set and space, d is a positive integer; S is a discrete finite set of Ci,j is the cellular unit of the mining work face. The cellular states; N is a combination of cellular states in the length of the mining work face is L, width is D, and the neighborhood; and f is a local conversion function. size of cellular is d, then, i ∈ (i0, i0 + L/ d), Evolution can be expressed as the following formula: j ∈ (j0 , j0 + D/ d), where i0, j0 is the origin of the work face cellular code. Sit,+j 1 = f (Srt, v ) r ∈ (i − n , i + n); v ∈ (j − n , j + n) (2) where Sit,+j 1 is the state of the cellular unit (i,j) at time t + 1; Srt, v is the set of all neighbors at time t, and n Table 1: Size of cellular for prediction represents the distance of the neighborhood. Compared with the traditional equation-based geo- Mining depth/m Size of cellular/m graphic model, the CA model has better spatio-temporal 500 ≤16 linear systems. This tool is commonly used in ecology,
834 Qiuji Chen et al. 2.2.1.3 Surface cellular space w0 = mq cos(a) (7) where m is the thickness of the coal seam, q is the According to mining subsidence theory, the influence of subsidence coefficient, and α is the angle of dip. subsidence is in a specific area, and the distance to the The state of the work face cellular unit at a given boundary of the working face is the radius of influence of time t can be described with the following formula: mining subsidence (r). Based on this, the surface cellular x space range can be described with the following 2 2 formula: Cit, j = π ∫ e−u du (8) 0 Φ = {Sm, n} (4) where x is the time distance, which is dimensionless and where Φ is surface cellular space set and Sm, n is a surface can be calculated with the following formula: cellular unit, among which m ∈ (i0 − 2r / d , i0 + (L + 2r )/ d), x = (t − t c)/ t0 (9) n ∈ (j0 − 2r / d , j0 + (D + 2r )/ d). where tc is the mining moment of the coal cellular unit. If the coal cellular unit is not mined at time t, then x is set to 0. t0 indicates the time-effect distance and can be 2.2.2 Cellular neighborhoods calculated with the following formula: t0 = r / v (10) Neighborhoods play essential roles in CA models. The evolution of the surface cellular state depends on the where v is the advancing speed of the working face and r change of the cellular state of underground coal seams. is the main radius of influence. Therefore, the neighbor space of the surface cells is defined in the underground coal cellular space as well. The distance of the neighborhood is determined according to the main 2.3 Accuracy testing influencing radius r, that is, the neighborhood order k = int (r/d + 1). So, for a given surface cellular unit Sm, n , its To verify whether this method is viable, the neighbor cellular units are Ci, j , where predicted values are compared with in situ measured j ∈ (n − k ), (n + k ), i ∈ ((m − k ), (m + k ). data (Figure 1). The value of subsidence is surveyed with the instrument of electronic level according to third class level requirements. The standard deviation for in situ measured data is ±6 mm/km, so, it 2.2.3 Evolutionary rule construction can be re guarded as the actual value to evaluate the accuracy of prediction. Through correlation The evolution rule reflects the interaction between the neighboring cellular units and the central cellular unit and is the basis for the automatic evolution of the system. For a given surface cellular unit Sm, n , its state Smt +, n1 at the time (t + 1) depends on the state of the neighbor cellular units Ci,j at a time (t). The transition is defined as the following formula: m+k n+k Smt +, n1 = f (Cit, j) = ∑ ∑ (Cit, j ∗ Rim, j , n) (5) i=m−k j=n−k where Rim, j , n is the influence function of the neighbor units, which can be described with the following formula: 2 2 1 −πd2 (m − i) +(n − j) (6) Rim, j , n = w0 2 e r2 d2 r where w0 is the maximum subsidence value (unit: mm). It can be calculated with the following formula: Figure 1: Distribution of predicted value and in situ measured value.
Dynamic simulation for the process of mining subsidence 835 Figure 2: System implementation flow chart. Figure 3: The layout of observation points. analysis, the correlation coefficient between the pre- the accuracy of the CA method meets the requirements dicted value and the in situ measured value is 0.99. So, for dynamic land reclamation planning.
836 Qiuji Chen et al. object-oriented, interpreted computer programming lan- guage with a rich and powerful library for rapid develop- ment and efficient integration with other tools. ArcGIS 10 provides a Python site package (ArcPy), where GIS users can quickly create simple or complex workflows with the help of ArcPy in Python and develop utilities that can be used to process geoscience data [21]. The implementation process of the system is shown in Figure 2. 3.3 Results analysis Figure 4: Changes in surface cells with mining. 3.3.1 The evolution of specific points with mining 3 Application In this case, five points (A, B, C, D, E) on the main section of the surface deformation are selected, which 3.1 Overview of case study are shown in Figure 3. Mining started on the first day, and the values of cellular units are analyzed within 500 The study area locates in the in Shandong Province, China. days, and the processes of subsidence with time are The average thickness of the coal seam is 8.0 m. The burial shown in Figure 4. depth is 320 m. The terrain is overall flat, with an average Initially, for a given cellular unit, the rate of elevation of 44 m. The simulated working face has a length subsidence is slow, yet increases quickly when the of 1,580 m along strike and a width of 350 m along dip. It will position of the working face moves to directly under- be exploited with a fully mechanized mining method, and neath the surface cellular unit. After the working face the working face will advance at a speed of 4 m/day. has passed the cellular unit, the subsidence rate then Combined with the rock movement observation data of the slowly decreases until the end. The start of subsidence at surrounding mines, the main influence angle tangent is 2 each point varies with time, as the distance to mining the and the maximum subsidence coefficient is 0.84. working face directly affects the state. Therefore, treat- ment for land reclamation can be selected based on the predicted value. For example, the subsidence at point A 3.2 Implementation of the model approaches an end on the 90th day, at a total depth of 3,300 mm. This location can then be treated with a Python and ArcGIS are integrated into the model to terrace after that day rather than waiting until the end of implement the mining subsidence CA. Python is an all mining. Figure 5: Changes in the amount of subsidence of the surface along the main section with the advancement of the working face.
Dynamic simulation for the process of mining subsidence 837 3.3.2 Subsidence evolution along the main mining section Changes in subsidence along the main section at five-time points (100th, 200th, 300th, 400th, and 500th day) were selected to analyze the process of subsidence with working face advancement. The amount of subsidence and change in values along the main section during the mining process is shown in Figure 5. During the advancement of the working face, subsidence occurs ahead of the working face, and the subsidence curve continues to progress forward with the advancement of the working face. Subsidence continues to develop even after mining has ended. This figure also shows where the basin and slope are distributed which can aid in the proper selection of treatments as different regions require different methods. Finally, the curve also shows when subsidence end (Figure 5); therefore, timely reclamation can be implemented to minimize the ecological degrada- tion, or before the start of subsidence, some measures, such as planting or drainage, can be applied to the region. 3.3.3 Changes in subsidence in the total surface As the analysis of the above, 5-time points were selected (100th, 200th, 300th, 400th, and 500th day) to analyze the changes in subsidence of the surface across the entire region. The calculation results are shown in Figure 6 and provide an overall perspective of sub- sidence throughout the mining process. The CA model provides the area and depth of subsidence at various times so that a plan for land use can be made in advance. Based on the results, the quantities of earth- work for land reclamation can also be calculated. 4 Discussion (1) From the result of accuracy testing, it can be found Figure 6: Changes in subsidence of the surface over time across the entire region: (a) 100th surface subsidence simulation, (b) 200th that the predicted result is well consonant with the surface subsidence simulation, (c) 300th surface subsidence observation data. This indicates that the CA model is simulation, (d) 400th surface subsidence simulation, (e) 500th in capacity to reveal the mechanism of mining surface subsidence simulation. subsidence progress because the model is con- structed based on the theory of non-continuous found. The function is to predict and assess the media mechanics. The advantages of the CA model impact on the place needed to pay attention. Based for mining subsidence are that it is easy to calculate on the result, it can be determined when to take and can integrate the process with time. measures to control the damage and restore the land (2) From the view of point change with mining, the use; from the view of line change with mining, the evolution of subsidence on a detailed location can be shape and scope of subsidence with time can be
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