DO STATINS REDUCE CANCER RISK AND PROGRESSION? - WHI INVESTIGATOR MEETING MAY 5-6, 2016 THE OHIO STATE UNIVERSITY - Women's Health Initiative
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DO STATINS REDUCE CANCER RISK AND PROGRESSION? WHI INVESTIGATOR MEETING MAY 5-6, 2016 THE OHIO STATE UNIVERSITY 5/10/2016 1
OBJECTIVES 1. Mechanisms of anti-carcinogenic effect. 2. Statins and cancer incidence. 3. Statins and cancer stage and mortality. 4. The effect of genetic variants on the relationship between statins and breast cancer. 5. 27OHC and breast cancer risk. 5/10/2016 2
STATINS • Statins most widely prescribed and effective cholesterol-lowering drugs used in the US. • 2007-10: Estimated that 30% of US adults age 45 and older used statins. 5/10/2016 3
RATE LIMITING INHIBITION • Mevalonate biosynthetic pathway. • Enzyme: 3-hydroxy- 3-methylglutaryl- coenzyme A reductase. • Catalyzes conversion of HMG-CoA into mevalonate and cholesterol. 5/10/2016 4
STATINS AND CVD • By inhibiting cholesterol biosynthesis, statins emerged as one of most important drugs for lowering incidence of ? Cancer Prevention Decrease CVD, even in apparently CVD Inhibit healthy persons without HMG-CoA hyperlipidemia. 5/10/2016 5
STATINS AND CANCER Statins are logical candidate for chemoprevention in that they have multiple cellular effects other than cholesterol lowering. 5/10/2016 6
RATIONALE SUPPORTING PROTECTIVE EFFECT G G P P Geranylgerany P21 and P27 Rho -lation of Rho Protein Statins increase STATINS P21 and P27 Inhibitor of cell cycle Reduce GGPP Progression production • Reduces cell 5/10/2016 Statins implicated in G1-S arrest – proliferation 8 Anti proliferative and anti-invasive
IN-VITRO STUDIES RAS PI3/AKT • pancreatic • pancreatic (95%) (10-20%) • urothelial • urothelial (13%) (10-15%) • ovarian • endometrial cancer (20%) (40%). 5/10/2016 9
CLASS DIFFERENCES BASED ON STATIN SOLUBILITY OCTANOL WATER (LIPOPHILIC) (HYDROPHILIC) • Lovastatin • Pravastatin • Simvastatin • Does not penetrate • Atorvastatin the plasma membrane • Fluvastatin • Penetrates the plasma membrane • Cellular uptake may be related to their inhibition of cell growth. 10 5/10/2016
ASSOCIATION OF STATIN USE AND CANCER PHENOTYPES • Epidemiologic studies Cancer Risk demonstrate mixed results with Increased some studies showing a No effect protective effect and others Decreased showing an increased risk or no association. 11 5/10/2016
WHI STUDIES 1. Statins and Cancer Risk a) Breast b) CRC c) Lung (analysis in progress) d) Melanoma e) NHL (submitted Cancer) f) Ovarian/Uterine (submitted Gynecologic Oncology) g) Pancreatic h) Skin -non-melanoma i) Urothelial (manuscript in preparation) 2. Stage and Mortality: Breast, all-cause (BJC), CRC (pending) 3. Interaction by Genotype: Breast (P &P), CRC (paper proposal) 12 5/10/2016
STATIN EXPOSURE • Baseline • Current prescriptions brought to baseline visit and directly entered into database & assigned national drug codes using Medispan software. • Duration • Medication update • Years 1, 3, 6, and 9 in the CT, • Year 3 in the OS. 13 5/10/2016
ANALYSIS •Cox proportional hazards - HR & 95% CIs (baseline). •Subgroup analyses: duration, type, potency, & lipophilicity. •Time dependent models. •Cancer outcomes after year 6 in OS censored to parallel statin exposure in the CT. •All statistical tests 2 sided, significance level of 0.05. (Statistical Analysis Software version 9.2). 14 5/10/2016
CONFOUNDERS Base Models: Stratified by age, WHI trial component and extension study Multivariable Models: ethnicity, education, smoking, alcohol, activity, BMI, % energy fat, health care provider, current HT, family cancer history, NSAIDS, 1. Breast – TAH, mamm in last 2 years, reproductive. 2. Colon-fruit & vegetable, calcium, selenium, last medical visit, colon screening, polyp removed, medical history. 3. Endometrial/ovarian – mamm in last 2 years, waist circumference. 4. Melanoma (whites)- region, hx skin cancer. 5. Pancreatic- WC, aspirin, general health. 6. Skin (whites) – vitamin D consumption, sun, occupation. 7. NHL - h/o lupus and RA. Exclusions: 1. Prior h/o specific cancers. 2. Unknown cancer history. 3. Unknown statin status (2). 4. Ovarian/Uterine – TAH and/or BSO. 15
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2.4 Statins and Cancer Risk in the WHI Yes vs. No 2.2 2 1.8 1.6 Hazard Ratio 1.4 1.2 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 NHL Breast (2006) Pancreatic Uterine Breast (2013) Colon Melanoma Skin Ovarian 18 N = 712 N = 4,383 N = 385 N = 987 N = 7,217 N = 2,000 N = 1,099 N = 11,555 N = 411
2.4 Statins and Cancer Risk in the WHI Select Types of Statins 2.2 2 1.8 1.6 Hazard Ratio 1.4 1.2 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 Pancreatic Colon NHL Breast (2006) Skin Ovarian Low Potency Lovastatin Lipophilic Hydrophobic Lipophilic Prevastatin N = 385 N = 2,000 N = 712 N = 4,383 N = 11,555 N = 411 19 5/10/2016
Objectives 1. Relationship between statin use and breast cancer stage (baseline and time-dependent). 2. Relationship between statins and breast cancer specific mortality. 20 5/10/2016
STUDY POPULATION OS + CT = 128,675 Exclusions: Less access to medical care system • No mammogram within 5-years of entry - 16,687 • No health insurance – 5,732 • No medical care provider - 5,818 Other exclusions • Prior breast cancer – 4,239 • Missing or no info on f/u – 431 • Missing stage – 225 • Missing baseline statin – 1 21 5/10/2016
OUTCOMES 1. 7,833 cases: f/u - 11.5 (3.7) years + 401 deaths 1. In-situ – 1,477 (19%) 2. Localized – 4,831 (61%) 3. Regional - 1,499 (19%) 4. Distant – 76 (1%) 2. Analysis 1. Time to late stage, or death due to BC 2. Competing risks: Late stage (early stage & death), death due to BC (other causes) 3. Statins: type, potency, duration and lipophilicity 22
STATIN USE AND LATE STAGE BREAST CANCER Lipophilic statins - reduced risk of ER + but not ER – HR 0.72 (0.56-0.93). 23 5/10/2016
STATIN USE AND BREAST CANCER MORTALITY No relationship by type of statin or by ER+ vs. ER - status 24 5/10/2016
Statin use and all-cancer survival: Prospective results from the Women’s Health Initiative. Ange Wang BSE1, Aaron K. Aragaki MS2, Jean Y. Tang MD PhD3, Allison W. Kurian MD MS1,4, JoAnn E. Manson MD DrPH5, Rowan T. Chlebowski MD PhD6, Michael Simon MD7, Pinkal Desai MD8, Sylvia Wassertheil-Smoller MD9, Simin Liu MD10, Stephen Kritchevsky PhD11, Heather A. Wakelee MD1, Marcia L. Stefanick PhD12 Submitted British Journal Cancer 25 5/10/2016
Incident cancer - 23,067 Follow-up- 14.6 years (9/20/13) All-cause mortality- 7,411 Cancer-5,837 (79%) CVD – 613 (8.3%) Other – 961 (12.9%) (Censor: out-of-date medication inventory) Cancer deaths – 3,152 Current statin -709 Never – 2,443 26 5/10/2016
STATINS AND RISK OF CANCER DEATH 27 5/10/2016
STATIN AND CANCER DEATH BY TYPE Current NSAIDS attenuated the effect of statins 28
STATINS AND CANCER IN THE WHI LIMITATIONS STRENGTHS • Low prevalence in • Prospective. baseline analyses. • Large diverse pop. • Compliance. • Detailed risk • Lack of factors & information on demographics newer statins • Adjudication. (rosuvastatin and pitavastatin) • Long follow-up. • Adjustment. 29 5/10/2016
EFFECT OF GENETIC VARIANTS ON THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN STATINS AND BC RISK Aim 1: Determine whether SNPs in statin metabolism genes modify the effect of statins on breast cancer risk. Aim 2: Determine whether any GWAS SNPS modify the effect of statins on breast cancer risk. 30 5/10/2016
LIPID METABOLISM GENES CVD CANCER • Estimated that Does variation in about 50% of genes that have an variation in LDL and influence on lipid HDL cholesterol metabolism levels is heritable. influence the risk of • Several common cancer, particularly DNA sequence in relation to the variants have been effect of statins on related to blood LDL cancer risk? or HDL. 31 5/10/2016
CANCER GENETIC MARKERS OF SUSCEPTIBILITY (CGEMS) • OS: 93,676 women with an average of eight years of follow-up. • GWAS data on 30,380 SNPS genotyped (2,395 cases and 2,410 controls) (Stage 2 replication set) • Nested case-control study population included 1,687 matched invasive breast cancer cases and 1,687 controls; all were white females. Genotype info and confounder info. • Age at screening • Enrollment date • Hysterectomy at baseline • History of breast cancer.
METHODS • 12 candidate genes: PCSK9, KIF6, LDLR, HMGCR, APOB, LPL, APOE 7, SMARCA4, CETP, APOA1, ABCB1, and CYP7A1. • Search of genotyped markers for SNPs within each candidate gene - UCSC genome browser. • Analysis: 22 candidate SNPs in across 9 of the 12 genes. (APOA1, CYP7A1 and LDLR – not represented). • Dominant genotype model: homozygotes for major allele of each SNP serving as the reference genotype and the heterozygotes and homozygotes for the minor allele combined to form comparison group. 33 5/10/2016
AIM 1 RESULTS No Statins Statins rs Gene OR CI OR CI p int rs9282564 ABCB1 AA 1 0.418 (0.261,0.669) 0.04 GA/GG 0.869 (0.721,1.048) 0.776 (0.319,1.886) rs1529711 CARM1 GG 1 0.358 (0.215,0.599) 0.01 AG/AA 0.929 (0.790,1.093) 0.741 (0.323,1.701) Of the 22 SNPs in the nine candidate genes examined, two had nominally significant interactions with statins (corrected p value 0.002). 34 5/10/2016
MANHATTAN PLOT OF P-VALUE FOR INTERACTION EFFECT OF EACH OF 30,380 SNPS WITH STATIN STATUS AFTER ADJUSTING FOR TRADITIONAL RISK FACTORS • Lower line (~1.3) is 0.05 p-value. • Upper line (~5.8) is minimum p- value needed for FDR significance. 35 5/10/2016
CONCLUSIONS 1. Of the 22 SNPs in candidate statin pathway genes, two were nominally significant: rs1529711 in the CARM1 gene [near candidate gene SMARC4, minor allele frequency (MAF) 15%], Pint=0.04, and rs9282564 in the ABCB1 gene (MAF 10%), Pint=0.01 (Table 3). None of the candidate pathway gene SNPs were statistically significant after Bonferroni correction. 2. When the remaining 30,358 GWAS SNPs were examined for interactions with statin use, no SNPs achieved statistical significance using a 5% false discovery rate (Supplemental Table). 36 5/10/2016
Conclusions Statin a day keeps cancer at bay World J Clin Oncol 2013 May 10; 4(2): 43- Siddharth Singh, Preet Paul Singh 46 ISSN 2218-4333 (online) • Potential anti-neoplastic and immunomodulatory effects. • Epidemiologic data is conflicting, studies suggest both reduction and increase in risk or no effect. • Statins may have a modifying role in reducing cancer mortality. • Consider clinical trials looking at role for statins in prevention, and in the adjuvant and metastatic setting. 37 5/10/2016
ANCILLARY STUDY APPLICATION 27-HYDROXYCHOLESTEROL AND BREAST CANCER RISK IN THE WOMEN’S HEALTH INITIATIVE HORMONE THERAPY TRIAL 38 5/10/2016
BACKGROUND • Obesity is strongly associated with hypercholesterolemia and breast cancer risk. • 27-hydroxycholesterol (27OHC) is an abundant primary metabolite of cholesterol and functions as a naturally occurring in-vivo selective estrogen receptor modulator (SERM) and liver X receptor (LXR) agonist. It is postulated that the pathogenic actions of cholesterol on ER positive breast cancer requires its conversion to 27OHC, and that 27OHC increases the risk of ER positive, but not ER negative breast cancer. 39 5/10/2016
ANCILLARY STUDY We hypothesize that a potential protective role of statins is through the reduction in circulating levels of cholesterol, which results in lower levels of 27OHC. 40 5/10/2016
SPECIFIC AIMS 1. To determine whether 27OHC is associated with an increased risk of invasive breast cancer risk in the CT of a) E + P vs. placebo and E alone vs. placebo. b) Sub-aim. To evaluate whether 27OHC conveys a different risk for Estrogen Receptor (ER) positive and ER negative invasive breast cancer. 2. To determine whether plasma concentrations of 27OHC modify the effect of postmenopausal HT on breast cancer risk in the trial of (i) E + P vs. placebo and (ii) E alone vs. placebo. 41 5/10/2016
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