DISCOVERY LIMITED | DMTN ROADSHOW - 23 & 24 October 2017 DEON VILJOEN (GROUP CFO) AND ANDREW RAYNER (GROUP CRO)
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DISCOVERY LIMITED | DMTN ROADSHOW 23 & 24 October 2017 DEON VILJOEN (GROUP CFO) AND ANDREW RAYNER (GROUP CRO)
Team introduction 01 Deon Viljoen: Group Chief Financial Officer 02 Andrew Rayner: Group Chief Risk Officer 03 Fareed Chothia: Group Corporate Finance 04 Michael Curtis: Group Head Quants and Actuarial 05 Jackie Symons: Group Head Investor Relations 2
Overview Discovery is a global integrated financial services organisation that uses our pioneering Shared-Value Insurance model across businesses. Our growth has largely been organic. Funding to date has been sourced from relationship banks and Prudential in the UK The Group’s debt is managed within a prudent risk framework The DMTN program is a key element of Discovery’s long-term funding strategy as the Group continues to invest for growth The DMTN programme is being set-up to diversify funding sources The inaugural issuance will be used primarily for VitalityLife (UK) and general corporate purposes in SA Strong cash generation in Discovery Health (SA) supports debt servicing requirements Moody’s have assigned a Aa3.za national scale credit rating to Discovery Limited 3
01 Introduction and strategic focus 02 Governance and risk management 03 Financial performance 04 Debt overview and DMTN issuance 4
Our Ambition Be the best insurer in the world and a force for social good with powerful group assets and brilliant businesses resulting in a profound impact Our Core Purpose Make people healthier and enhance and protect their lives 6
Evolution of the group June 2016 AIA Vitality is launched in Thailand and Malaysia March 1992 September 2007 August 2010 July 2016 Discovery Limited Discovery and Prudential PLC Discovery acquires Generali Vitality launches Vitality in Germany established launch PruProtect Standard Life October 1997 October 2000 Healthcare and merges June 2012 November 2014 Vitality launched Discovery Life launched its insurance book with Discovery launches Discovery full ownership of that of PruHealth Vitality to Ping An PruHealth and PruProtect in Health clients the UK and rebrands to Vitality UK July 2016 Discovery enters a strategic partnership with October 2007 Sumitomo Life Insurance Co. and SoftBank Discover Invest launched Corporation 1992 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 February 1993 April 2004 2009 July 2013 November 2014 Discovery Health starts Discovery and Prudential plc Discovery acquires a Discovery launches Discovery announces an writing new business announce their JV and launch a JV with AIA Group intent to enter a strategic September PruHealth 25% share in Ping An Health May 2011 Limited in partnership with the April 2015 September 2016 January 2017 1999 Discovery Insure launched Singapore Generali Group Discovery and John Hancock enters into a Vitality launches in Canada Generali Vitality becomes as Manulife Vitality available to corporate Discovery lists on the JSE strategic partnership clients in France October 2013 October 2004 AIA Vitality is launched in July 2017 Discovery Card launched Australia MyOwn launches in Australia October 2017 Bank licence granted October 2015 AIA Vitality is launched in the Philippines, Hong Kong and Macau 7
Group operational structure DISCOVERY PING VITALITY PRIMARY MARKETS AN GROUP HEALTH Core purpose Footprint 16 countries Make people healthier and enhance c10m clients and protect their lives Adding ~150k every month Discovery Health is administrator to Discovery Health Medical Scheme & 18 closed medical schemes 8 Discovery Card will integrate into Discovery Bank on launch
Operating model Why & How Growth Methodology Capital Philosophy Core purpose Make people healthier and enhance and protect their lives Vitality Shared-Value Insurance Model Target group profit Separation of Solvency Capital, growth of known initiatives and buffer for CPI + 10% unplanned events 9
The Vitality Shared-Value model WHY HOW WHAT Make people Health insurance healthier and Life insurance enhance and Long-term savings protect their lives Short-term insurance Intent to enter banking 10
Consequence of the Vitality Shared-Value Insurance Model Competitive advantage Initial selection Selective lapsation Behaviour change Bent lapse and claims experience Healthier society 11
Organic growth engine Profit growth of ESTABLISHED CPI + 5% ~3 years Targeted group Investment Profit growth of profit growth of of 10% of profit EMERGING CPI + 30% CPI + 10% ~5 years Growth in investment of NEW CPI + 10% Mathematical derivation CPI + 10% = X(CPI+5%) + Y(CPI + 30%) + Z (CPI + 10%) X + Y + Z = 1; Z < 0 12
Capital management philosophy Three pillars of capital Targeted capital measures Solvency Allocated Capital Capital Return on capital Dedicated capital and reserves Dedicated risk free + 10% capital for 5 Year Capital Plan Projection planned initiatives Additional Individual business ORSA Solvency 1 in 200 5 Year Buffer FLR assessment including new Capital Plan < 28% year event business written Projection Earning a rate of: risk free + 10% New initiatives and safety margins in emerging and new businesses Cash buffer R1bn - R2bn 13
Deconstructing our Ambition BRILLIANT BUSINESSES PROFOUND IMPACT 1 Insurgent 1 CPI + 10% profit growth 2 Significant 2 Risk free + 10% return on capital engagement 3 10m Vitality members Superior actuarial 3 dynamics 4 Meeting complex consumer needs 5 Exceptional service FOUNDATION 1 Global platform, science and data BUSINESSES 2 Powerful brand 3 Employer of choice for critical skills 4 Values-based culture 14
Governance and risk management
Governance structure Capital Allocation Committee UK operations have an independent Board and governance structure The Discovery Bank governance structure is separately defined in line with SARB guidelines 16
Leadership team Group Executive Executive Directors Non-executive Directors 17
Group risk management framework Risk Appetite and Strategy ERM Framework and Risk Policies Risk Management Process Assess Enterprise wide Identify Manage Modelling and projection capability Stress testing and scenario analysis Own Risk and Solvency Assessment Report Monitor Risk Governance Boards and Sub-Committees Management Oversight and Assurance First Line of Defence Second Line of Defence Third Line of Defence 18
Management of Financial Risks 01 02 03 Leverage Funding Liquidity Debt is a key part of the funding 5-year financial projections Non-insurance entities - Detailed strategy maintained 12-month cashflow forecast – Known funding requirements maintained to manage liquidity Manage FLR within Board approved are built into plan risk appetite limit of 28% Insurance entities - Risk framework – Sources of funding identified sets minimum liquidity for Debt covenants impose an external operational cashflows (incl. claims constraint Internal target for Group cash and expenses) buffer is R1bn to R2bn Aim to optimize the cost of funding – Buffer for volatility and Each business maintains cash unknown future investments resources for operational liquidity 19
Management of Financial Risks 04 05 06 Capital allocation Interest rates Asset liability matching Group produces cash on existing Policyholder assets subject to business and re-invests into new interest rate risk (discounted Asset-liability management policy business (new insurance policies or cashflow valuation) establishes matching approach new initiatives) – Nature of long term insurance and governance business Positions are matched by nature, Capital allocation decisions made in the context of the growth Policyholder liabilities closely amounts, timing and currency methodology, capital management matched so low residual risk philosophy and risk appetite Interest rate sensitive shareholder Decisions consider return, profit assets – Risk accepted for yield growth, cash generation, capital and risk metrics Low appetite for interest rate risk in finance costs – Hedging instruments used 20
Challenges and Opportunities UK’s exit from EU impacts our UK Macro-economic pressure business Economic International Slow pace of economic growth Uncertainty Markets Low interest rates Negative impact on consumers Currency fluctuations SA political uncertainty driving Political economic uncertainty Growth Key focus area Uncertainty Enhanced focus on perceived Strategy Shared-Value Insurance and slow pace of transformation 2018 Ambition drive operations National Health Insurance Role of the private healthcare Healthcare system System Sustainability of the overall healthcare system 21
Financial performance
Financial results overview | Year ended 30 June 2017 Core new business Normalised operating profit Normalised headline Dividend declaration earnings +16% +10% +8% +11% to R 16 993m to R 7 048m to R 4 656m to 98cpsm (+6% FY) 5 year CAGR: 15.2%1 5 year CAGR: 15.5% 5 year CAGR: 13.7% 5 year CAGR: 10.6% Return on Embedded Investment in new Interest cover2 Bank Borrowings Value initiatives R8 524m +10.2% 8% 13.1x Other Borrowings3 closing EV R 57 294m to R 577m R3 251m 5 year CAGR: 12.5% 1 Appliedto core new business. Total new business 5 year CAGR (including closed schemes and fees earned by VG) is 16.6% 2 Interest Cover = EBIT / Finance Costs 3 Other Borrowings is made up of R3 080m owed to Prudential in respect of historic new business liquidity funding and R171m in respect of recourse financial reinsurance balances 23
Core new business +16% Rm 12 months to 30 Jun 2017 12 months to 30 Jun 2016 % change to R 16 993m +11% total new business incl. DH take-on of new closed schemes and gross revenue for the Vitality Group of R18 250m 16,993 6 1091 5 1871 +18% 2 175 1 866 +17% Established 14,602 13,064 2 496 2 413 +3% 11,335 562 542 +4% 9,864 622 622 -1% 895 749 +19% Emerging 6343 5123 +24% FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 3 111 1 732 +80% 1Excludes new scheme take-ons 2 In GBP terms 3 Includes gross revenue in respect of the Vitality Group 24
Strong operating profit growth +10% Rm 12 months to 30 Jun 2017 12 months to 30 Jun 2016 % change to R 7 048m 2 505 2 265 +11% 7,048 3 588 3 271 +10% Established 6,407 744 665 +12% 5,789 1401 121 +16% 4,962 16.42 8.72 +89% 28.12 31.62 -11% 4,030 (21) (151) +86% Emerging (116) (189) +39% (33) (99) +66% FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 New OTHER (577) (384) -50% 1 54.99% share of DiscoveryCard. Card will be moved to the Banking Segment in time 2 In GBP terms 25
Strong SA Health profit and cash generation Profit after tax (Rm) +9% Cash Generation to R 1 826m 1,826 Strong cash generation in SA Health supports debt 1,672 servicing requirements 1,474 1,341 1,220 Profit for the year reasonable proxy for cash generation Continued strong growth in profit and cash generation 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 26
Performance against the organic growth methodology Target Performance In constant currency terms CPI* +6% CPI* +55% 8% of earnings Group profit growth of CPI + 10% CPI* +7% * Weighted average CPI rate of 4.8% based on CPI rates in markets 27
Performance against the capital management philosophy Three pillars of capital Target Performance Solvency Allocated Capital Capital Return on capital Return on 5 Year Capital Plan Projection Dedicated capital risk free + Individual business ORSA assessment including new Solvency 1 in 200 year event capital for planned risk free + 10% 9.3% business written initiatives Additional 26% R14bn 5 Year Buffer Solvency Reserves Capital FLR = FLR < 28% Plan 3.9x CAR Projection New 26.7% 2.2x CAR Banking initiatives and safety margins 145% SCR Global Vitality in emerging Network and new Cash buffer Cash buffer 215% SCR Commercial insurance businesses R1bn-R2bn R1.6bn A- A.M Best rating etc. 28
Debt overview and DMTN issuance
Group Funding Plan FLR* projection Group debt projection 5-year financial projections maintained Funding strategy 26.7% includes debt subject to FLR cap of 28% Debt levels remain well within risk appetite and existing debt covenants Interest cover in FY2017 is 13.1x and remains FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020 FY2021 FY2022 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020 FY2021 FY2022 above 6x through the projection FLR FLR Cap of 28% * Financial Leverage Ratio (“FLR”) = Debt (Excl. Lease Liability) / [Debt (Excl. Lease Liability) + Equity] 30
Key Drivers of Funding Requirements 1-2 years 2-3 years 3-5 years Vitality Life new business Transfer of Vitality Life business Refinance maturing South African from Prudential balance sheet to and UK bank debt arrangements General corporate purposes Vitality Life Limited (Part VII) Refinance maturing South African and UK bank debt arrangements All included in 5-year financial projections 31
Vitality Life Funding Requirements Vitality Life new business funding required Vitality Life Part VII funding Strengthen VLL Balance Sheet Liability to PAC Refinanced Part VII Funding Required 0 0 0 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020 FY2021 FY2022 Funding Required Funding Use New business funding required Part VII Funding required: – Life insurance pays significant up-front commission – Historic new business liquidity funding provided by the – Recovered over the life of the policy Prudential – Paid back over 8-10 years – On transfer this “debt balance” needs to be refinanced – Results in a liquidity strain Part VII expected to be complete by November 2020 Post Part VII (FY19) the business is expected to be self-funding The two charts above have the same y-axis scale 32
Existing Bank Debt Repayment Profile South African debt refinance profile UK debt refinance profile 70 3,500 3,000 60 2,500 50 R millions £ millions 2,000 40 1,500 30 1,000 20 500 10 - - FY2018 FY2019 FY2020 FY2021 FY2022 FY2023 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020 FY2021 FY2022 FY2023 Other Funding DMTN Funding South African bank loan syndicate established in FY2016 Two bank loans with HSBC – R5bn of 5-year bullet and amortising – £100m 5-year amortising loan Investec Funding (R0.5bn) on 5-year basis raised in FY2017 – £50m 5-year bullet loan DMTN Programme to refinance existing debt 33
DMTN programme will broaden funding base for the Group’s debt requirements Group debt projection overlaying DMTN* FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020 FY2021 FY2022 Other Funding DMTN Funding * The mix between bank and DMTN funding may vary depending on market conditions at the time 34
Debt Programme Objectives Broaden funding base Optimise cost of funding Ensure funding capacity for Group over 5-year time horizon – New funding requirements – Refinance of existing debt arrangements 35
Existing Bank Debt Covenants Covenant Minimum Requirement As at 30 June 2017 As at 30 June 2016 Group Debt to EBITDA ratio Less than 2.5X 1.74 1.76 Group financial Less than 30% of Group EV 21% 21% Indebtedness to Embedded Value Group Embedded Value Greater than R30 billion ZAR 57.3 billion ZAR 53.1 billion Discovery Life Capital Greater than 1.5 times 3.9 times 3.6 times Adequacy Requirement Value of New Business (VNB) Positive VNB for 3 Jun 2017: R1 281 million Jun 2016: R946 million consecutive 6-month period Dec 2016 : R1 156 million Dec 2015: R1 386 million Jun 2016: R946 million Jun 2015: R1 393 million 36
Group structure: Key operations Guarantors SA Ops Bank International Discovery Limited (JSE Listed) UK Issuer South Africa Guarantors Discovery Discovery Pref Discovery Discovery Discovery Discovery Discovery Connect Discovery Finance Purple Holding Health Vitality Life Insure Distribution Co Europe Holdings Ltd Company (Pty) Services Limited (UK SPV) (Bank Hold Co) Ltd (Card 55% JV) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Discovery Bank UK Discovery Group Vitality Group AIA Vitality Hong Europe Limited International Inc. United Ping An Health Kong Ltd. States of America 100% 100% 44% 24.99% Discovery Vitality Vitality Health Vitality Life Vitality Corporate Australia Limited Limited Services Limited (Australia) 100% 100% 100% 100% 37
Discovery Credit rating Credit strengths Moody’s Insurance Financial Strength Rating (IFSR) 1. Very strong franchise in South Africa and a growing global footprint • Baa2 • 1 above the Sovereign (Baa3) 2. Strong profitability and significant non-insurance fee income from SA Health Moody’s long-term issuer (LT 3. Moderate exposure to local investments because of the Issuer) rating capital-light nature of its business • Ba1 (global) / Aa3.za (national) 4. Good capitalisation on both regulatory and economic basis Strength offsets 1. Challenging operating environment in South Africa Rating outlook 2. Complexity inherent in shared-value insurance model • Negative outlook reflects outlook on South African 3. Ambitious expansion initiatives sovereign 38
Key Features of the DMTN Programme ISSUER Discovery Limited SIZE (NOMINAL AMOUNT) R10 billion GUARANTORS Discovery Health and Discovery Vitality (as per current SA Bank Loans) LISTING The Interest Rate Market of the JSE Limited Notes to be issued under the Programme may comprise: • Senior notes (the “Senior Notes”); TYPES OF NOTES • Subordinated notes which are subordinated to the Senior Notes (the “Subordinated Notes”); and/or • Capital subordinated notes with terms capable of qualifying the proceeds of such Notes as Regulatory Capital. Regulatory Capital Notes will require FSB approval at the time of Issuance. CROSS DEFAULT The cross default will be triggered by a default by Discovery Limited and or its Guarantors in relation to the greater of R50m or 1% of EBITDA A material subsidiary is defined as: • any Guarantor; and • any Subsidiary MATERIAL SUBSIDIARY • of which the Issuer owns more than 50% (fifty percent) of the ordinary shares and • which has EBITDA (calculated on an unconsolidated basis), representing 10% (ten percent) or more of the EBITDA of the Discovery Group (calculated on a consolidated basis), according to the methodology used in the latest audited financial statements of the Issuer, consistently applied, but excluding any Subsidiary Investors will have the option to redeem their Notes should the following events occur: OPTIONAL REDEMPTION • Issuer is no longer listed on a Financial Exchange EVENTS • The Notes are no longer listed on a financial Exchange • There is no rating assigned to the Notes Standard events of default including but not limited to non-payment, breach of the negative pledge, liquidation or winding up, judicial proceedings, cross EVENTS OF DEFAULT default, inability to continue to operate the whole or substantial part of the business 39
Indicative Issuance Terms ISSUER Discovery Limited GUARANTORS Discovery Health and Discovery Vitality (as per current SA Bank Loans) LISTING Interest Rate Market of the JSE Limited ISSUER RATING Aa3.ZA RANKING Senior INDICATIVE SIZE R1.25bn to R1.75bn • 5-year; TENOR • or a combination of 5-year and 7-year notes INTEREST RATE PROFILE Floating rate notes PROPOSED AUCTION DATE 15 November 2017 40
Notes 41
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DISCOVERY LIMITED | DMTN ROADSHOW
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