Digital disruption in retail - February 2020 - Deloitte
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Digital disruption in retail Contents Foreword 04 Executive summary 06 Overview of agile retail organisation–Backend 08 Supply chain 09 Logistics and warehousing 15 Finance 24 Procurement and vendor management 27 Assortment mix and planning 30 People 31 Technology transformation of the physical store 34 In-store/Physical store transformation 35 Customer experience, personalisation, and telling stories 38 Technology driven opportunities for start-ups 40 Disruption through data unification and marketing 42 Omnichannel 43 Marketing and distribution tech 45 Emergence of digital marketing 48 Data privacy 48 Collaboration in the digital age-Retail ecosystem 50 Way forward 58 Endnotes 60 Contacts 62 Acknowledgements 62 03
Digital disruption in retail Foreword Retailers function in a dynamic digital content, transactions, and after- environment witnessing dramatic shifts sales service to keep pace with market on key front-end elements, including the disruptions. following: Channel: Direct-to-consumer models, Consumer: From the perspective of a such as exclusive brand outlets (EBOs), brand’s interaction with its consumers, are witnessing increased investment from time and distance have been the major brands seeking to retain their relevance dimensions that have been decreased. amid squeezing margins due to large This led to greater convenience for format retail (LFR) and large marketplaces. customers. Preference for instant While the share of multi-brand outlets gratification, enhanced shopping (MBOs)/general trade continues to experience, sustainability, and easy deplete, we see an increased focus on access to social media have led to the brands increasing their engagement with creation of new-age consumers who are the top quartile of MBOs. more confident and expressive in terms of how they think, feel, and act. The resultant changes in business models are visible across the three Brand: It is not only about maximising areas of demand generation, capture, shareholder value alone but also about and fulfilment. There are possibilities the impact that retailers have on local of dramatically increasing footfall, communities, the environment, and the conversion, average bill value on the social capital that they build. This signals front end; improving merchandising, the brand’s commitment to promote assortment planning, brand inclusion and celebrate diversity in a experience at the store; and driving world where trust levels in big businesses better availability, demand sensing, have dropped to a historic low. and inventory rotation in the supply chain, by deploying asset-light digital Product: Return on catchment or pin technologies using the start-up code is the key driver to defining product ecosystem. This might result in retailers assortment at stores. It is no longer accelerating sales at a lower cost to sufficient to track same store sales on serve to help build more sustainable return on investments at a store level. and profitable business models for the Shortening product life cycles and future. the dramatic increase in new product launches have also created the demand for agile and dynamic product portfolio rationalisation. Store: A phydigital store is a place where the boundaries between the physical shop and the online website blur to provide a seamless experience to customers. Digital influence factors have increased across categories and Anand Ramanathan brands usually struggle in aligning their Partner, Consulting 04
Digital disruption in retail Foreword A Definitive Guide to Digital Digital transformation is impacting Transformation every phase of the retail value chain, Technology advancement and digital from sourcing and product development enablement are transforming the to marketing and distribution. The consumer as well as the market at way forward for the retail sector is to a rapid pace. Agility in the backend collaborate and offer integrated solutions processes such as supply chain, finance, to consumers. procurement and assortment are the means to remain competent in such a This report is aimed at helping readers in highly competitive environment. their journey towards integrated retail. The best practices by retailers from The report ‘Digital Disruption in Retail’ around the globe will help inspire, learn sheds light on the various digital and grow. transformations expected in retail value chain . It delves into the offline to online ( O2O ) as well as online to offline and explores the new business realities that are emerging with it. These include hyper-personalisation of consumer experience, value-driven actions, and technology-driven process. These serve as a means to gain a competitive-edge in a market driven by constant change and Kumar Rajagopalan disruptions. Chief Executive Officer - Retailers Association of India (RAI) 05
Digital disruption in retail Executive summary Access to global markets, preference behavioural insights through advanced for convenience, and availability of data analytics, emerging technologies, diverse choices for consumers have led such as internet of things (IoT), to the rapid evolution of retail in India. augmented reality (AR) and virtual reality Further, advancement in technology, (VR), artificial intelligence (AI), bots and higher household income, varied retail drones, beacons, and cloud platforms, channel options, diverse product variety, have played a key role in enhancing personalised service offerings, etc., consumers’ engagement more than ever. have resulted in enhancing consumers’ Engaging consumers through immersive shopping experience. To stay ahead technologies, bespoke solutions, of this rapid evolution, retailers need and custom targeting, is expected to to consider embracing agility in their significantly increase the probability functions and operations. Agility in of attracting and retaining new-age processes has the potential to lead to shoppers. Various new solutions are collaboration among cross-functional being offered by established companies inter-disciplinary members, encouraging and start-ups to woo shoppers. However, iterations for an adaptive best-case these strategies require enabling a digital process. The concept of agility can ecosystem to deliver desired outcomes. be used across functions to augment productivity and efficiency, as well as Through this report on ‘Digital disruption reduce costs and efforts. in retail’, we present the aspects of agility in retail organisations’ operations. The report then delves into the implications of technology, leading to disruptions across E entire retail value chain and transforming consumers’ shopping journey at each value point, making it more convenient. N T In the age of digital marketing and omnichannel offerings, inter-functional networking has become a crucial aspect. W With the lines blurring between offline channel and online channel, the best way to put a foot forward in the right direction O K is collaboration between physical space and digital space, i.e., ‘phygital’. Such an integrated model has the potential to R ensure a seamless shopping experience to consumers from all forms of strata. It is also a win-win solution for the physical Technology has been the front runner and digital players as it supplements the in driving businesses, and enhancing model’s overall efficacy by combining consumer engagement and experience. complimentary advantages of Apart from understanding consumers’ individual models. 06
Digital disruption in retail Overview of agile retail organisation As we enter a new decade, retailers must with large global retail giants penetrating take stock of their current positioning Indian markets, the competition for vis-à-vis the market and the industry. It acquiring customers has only become is also critical for them to be aware of more intense. Thus, retailers are realising customers they are serving and manage the need for constantly innovating. The operations to meet the rapidly evolving availability of advanced tools is pushing expectations. retailers’ limits from fully integrated networks to procurement networks that Retailers have been periodically investing allow them to choose vendors. time and resources in technology. In the past decade, they have developed The digital customer has never had a advanced supply chain operations with better time to shop, with companies a far greater reach and a product line integrating tech throughout their targeting more consumers. However, systems. 08
Digital disruption in retail Impact of disruption on a retail organisation Supply chain The collapse of the linear supply chain New technologies and tolls have allowed the traditionally linear supply chain to collapse Shift from traditional supply chain to into an agile interconnected network that unlocks new value across the digitised nodes digital supply networks (DSN) A fast-paced shift is being witnessed in the way supply chains function. Advances in computing memory and processing are driving entrepreneurs to develop innovative new digital technologies and capabilities. These technologies, Develop Plan Source Make Deliver Support including sensors, artificial intelligence New value is being created by digitising and connecting the traditional nodes (AI), machine learning (ML), and cognitive computing, create the foundation for Digital Synchronised Intelligent Smart Dynamic Connected analytics and a conversion between the development planning supply factory fulfilment customer physical world and the digital worlds, Optimise Provide Reduce costs Unlock new Boost Create transforming traditional, linear supply product significant through new efficiencies customer seamless chains into connected, intelligent, lifecycle efficiencies advanced by a more, service customer scalable, customisable, and nimble management through technologies, connected, through new engagement with synchronisation models, agile, and levels of from supply networks. advanced and proactive speed and inspiration to digital tactics capabilities factory agility service These new supply chains, also known as DSNs, are dynamic and integrated. These chains address the issue related to the The birth of the digital supply network (DSN) delayed action-reaction process of the Innovative and disruptive technologies can enable supply chains to transform into linear supply chain using real-time data. DSNs, which can serve as a powerful competition weapon. This enables better informed decisions and enhanced collaboration across the entire supply network, as well as provide greater transparency. Synchronised planning The main characteristics of the DSN include always-on agility, connected community, intelligent optimisation, end-to-end transparency, and holistic Connected Dynamic customer and decision-making. Each of these fulfilment aftermarket characteristic plays a role in enabling more informed decisions and can help organisations address the central question in their strategic thinking: how Digital to win? Core Organisations need to consider preparing Digital product Smart themselves to lead by imbibing agility development factory into systems, processes, and decision- making. Personalisation at scale, leveraging ecosystems, and driving business-led digital strategies are some of the key themes. Intelligent supply Source: https://www2.deloitte.com/us/en/pages/operations/solutions/digital-supply-networks.html# 09
Digital disruption in retail How to “Turn-On” your digital supply network Companies must choose specific supply chain transformation and execute priority initiatives to meet their competitive objectives. How many supply chains do What is our you need? winning Where will you segment by aspiration? customer, product, geography, or channel? Where will we play? Where will you compete on… Speed? Agility? Service? Cost? How will we Quality? Innovation? win? What Where do you need to capabilities transform your supply must be in chain to meet your strategic place? business objectives? What management systems are What initiatives will you required? deploy to configure your digital supply networks? The digital to physical loop unlocks the value The core supply chain issues persist and present opportunities to apply new solutions to unlock unprecedented value 01 Physical to digital Capture signals and data from the physical world to create a digital record. 02 Digital to digital Exchange and enrich information Physical Digital using advances analytics, artificial intelligence, and machine learning to drive meaningful insights. 03 Digital to physical Deliver information in automated and more effective ways to generate actions and changes in the physical world. Source: https://www2.deloitte.com/us/en/pages/operations/solutions/digital-supply-networks.html# 10
Digital disruption in retail Digital supply networks (DSNs) characteristics DSNs share common characteristics that drive differentiated performance and value End-to-end The ability to see across the network Capability elements transparency Existing data sets Sensors New data sets Visualisation “Always-on agility” The ability to proactively operate across the Capability elements network Predictive alerts Advanced analytics Edge computing Connected The ability to extend into your suppliers and Capability elements environment customers Third-party data sets Real-time collaboration and live data sharing Resource The ability to identify and use the right worker, Capability elements optimisation human, or machine, for work Artificial intelligence Optimisation algorithms Unstructured data Holistic decision- The ability to continuously learn and make Capability elements making optimal network decisions Machine learning Voice and thought interaction Foundational elements Cybersecurity Data integrity Safety Talent Critical components Digital supply networks require an ecosystem of functional and technical resources, tools, and capabilities to deliver results. Function supply Internet of Advanced chain things analytics • Product development • Sensors • Simulation • Planning • Hardware • Data science and algorithms • Sourcing • Machine learning • Manufacturing • Natural language processing • Logistics and distribution • Video and spatial analytics Platforms and infrastructure Talent • SAP/S4 and • PTC’s ThingWorx, • Future of work • Humans enhanced Leonardo, • AWS, • Robot vs. human through advanced • GE Predix, optimisation wearables • Google Cloud, • Oracle Cloud, • Blockchain • Co-bots Source: https://www2.deloitte.com/us/en/pages/operations/solutions/digital-supply-networks.html# 11
Digital disruption in retail New tools and technique enable new solutions Increased computing power and a reduction in cost have spurred innovation and an array of new exponential tools and opportunities. Internet of things Intelligent agents Text analytics Machine learning and Level of enterprise-wide adoption predictive analysis Artificial intelligence and Cloud Visualisation Data lakes Big Data cognitive analytics Crowd sourcing and Data warehousing In-memory processing competition Business intelligence ERP application Data modelling Advanced human Cyber security Computer interface Table stakes Modernisers Exponentials Digital adoption technology pyramid Digital adoption is a transformative process that uses technology solutions from the ground up, starting from a Artificial unified pool of data that can be analysed intelligence and then used to drive business decisions. Starting from the bottom of the pyramid, the process of adopting digital ion technologies needs to be an ongoing and Advanced analytics pt focused initiative. It should be a part of Predictive analytics do every business’s long-term strategy. This la in turn is expected to lead to a game- Inventory and network optimisation ita changing competitive advantage. Refer dig to the diagram to know the four stages of of digital adoption. es Automation ag Robotics and automation, wearable and mobile technology, St autonomous vehicles and drones, and 3D printing (additive manufacturing) Digital connectivity Internet of things, cloud computing and storage, sensors and automatic identification, blockchain, and distributed ledger technologies Source: 2019 MHI Annual Industry Survey in collaboration with Deloitte 12
Digital disruption in retail Applications of emerging technologies and tactics across the supply chain Augmented After market End-to-end Predictive reality enabled Make-to-use with sales and transparency to aftermarket customer 3D printing service customers maintenance support Sensor-driven Sales Inventory-driven replenishment Target marketing optimisation dynamic pricing pushes Augmented Dynamic/ Logistics Automated Direct to user realty-enhanced Driverless trucks predictive optimisation logistics delivery logistics routing Augmented Sensor- Operations Automated Predictive realty-enhanced enabled labour efficiency production maintenance solutions monitoring Blockchain- Cloud/ Supplier Analytics-driven Supplier Asset sharing enabled control tower collaboration sourcing ecosystem transparency optimisation Risk prevention Proactive quality Track-and-trace Proactive risk and mitigation sensing solutions sensing Planning and Dynamic Real-time Analytics-driven POS-driven auto- Sensor-driven inventory inventory inventory demand sensing replenishment forecasting efficiency fulfilment optimisation Data as a Product Make-to-use with Ultra-delayed product or optimisation 3D printing differentiation service Sensor/data- Design process Open innovation/ Rapid Virtual Design driven design optimisation crowdsourcing prototyping simulation enhancements Supply chain transformations Sample Tactics 13 Source: Deloitte
Digital disruption in retail Digital supply networks can become a major competitive differentiator with the potential to achieve the following results: Increased revenue Improved margins • Reorders and refills: Smart packaging, applications, • Cost of R&D: Rapid prototyping can lower R&D cost. and data can be combined either automatically or with • Cost of raw materials: Digital advances can help identify minimal intervention to push reorders and refills. substitute materials or connect buyers to alternate lower- • Marketing effectiveness: Targeted marketing, combined cost sources. with data from inventory and competitive pricing, can • Cost of quality: Increased visibility and monitoring facilitate dynamic discounting. can decrease cost of quality. For example, sensors can • Direct connection to customers: Increased access identify root errors and drive process improvements that to customers can drive sales at the precise point of dramatically increase first pass yield. consumption (for example, ordering groceries directly • Cost of service: Digitally gathering data from products from the refrigerator). and/or users and sending it to remotely located, skilled • Value of data: Gathering, packaging, and selling data technicians can decrease the costs of service and from existing customer bases can open up new revenue transportation of service technicians. channels. • Cost of transportation: Automated warehousing robots • Speed to market: Effective use of product lifecycle and driverless trucks use analytics and dynamic routing to management accelerates every step starting from product improve efficiency, and reduce accidents and errors. development to delivery, and enables innovative products to reach customers quickly. Greater asset efficiency Meeting shareholder expectations • Idle assets: The sharing economy can be used for high- • Geographic responsiveness: Increased connectivity cost and under-capacity assets. For example, a company enables rapid responses to unexpected issues, such as that only operates two shifts per day could sell its third natural disasters or supplier shutdowns. shift to another company. • Brand responsiveness: Increased insight to customer • Supply chain downtime: Predictive maintenance can concerns or issues enables fast responses to events maximise performance and reliability of manufacturing such as food contamination outbreaks. devices. • Proactive risk mitigation: Increased transparency • Idle workforce: Sensor-enabled labour monitoring can demands proactive assessment of risks and fast optimise workforce assignments and scheduling. response to customer demands. • Click-to-ship time: Automated inventory management can radically increase supply chain efficiency. • Error propagation: Augmented reality can assist in maintenance, and reducing error propagation and rework costs. Source: https://www2.deloitte.com/content/dam/Deloitte/global/Documents/Process-and-Operations/gx-operations-disrupting-business-models-digital-supply- networks.pdf 14
Digital disruption in retail One of the largest global personal care companies: Operations 4.0 digital transformation programme with a focus on a customer-centric supply chain The company’s supply chain network delivers more than 34 brands producing over 7 billion products a year from 42 factories, using 150 distribution centres, half a million delivery points, and 8 distribution channels in more than 140 countries. The company receives an order every two seconds. In 2014, the company decided to evolve its earlier approach of segmenting by distribution channel. It re-designed supply chain capabilities and implemented a world-class integrated information system that provided a collaborative compilation of volume forecasts across sales, marketing, supply chain, and finance teams. These forecasts were then shared with the company’s factories and distribution centres worldwide. Its operations 4.0 digital transformation programme, which groups together the business of packaging, purchasing, manufacturing, and supply chain, is harnessing new technologies, including IoT, connected objects, AR/VR, and AI, to boost flexibility and efficiency. With a keen focus on the customer, the company senses and uses customer sentiment. It senses consumer preferences to change and align its portfolio to offer personalised products for purchasing anytime and anywhere. This has pushed the company to ensure hyper-connectivity with the final consumer. Example: The company has combined sensors, laser measurement, cameras, and advanced conveyor belts in its new production line in one of its plants. The redesigned production line processes dozens of different products simultaneously and delivers highly personalised products tailored to the individual needs. Strategy: Customer experience is being used as the yardstick for the group’s digital transformation. The company has set five medium-term priorities for its operations staff: accelerate design, raise the share of connected products, make factories and production lines agile, emphasise customisation, and turn consumer service into a business driver. Source: News articles, Company website and Annual report Logistics and warehousing The three pillars of the future movement-of-goods networks With hyper personalisation, customers are becoming more demanding and Holistic asking for same-day or even same-hour decision-making deliveries. These demands are affecting The ability to harness the logistics and supply chain function. and harmonise Meticulous planning and execution are traditional and new needed to fulfill these demands. With the data to continuously rapid infusion of new-age technologies, learn, optimise, and the ability to effortlessly coordinate predict delivery locations, time, and returns mile by mile is no more a novelty, but an expectation. As the online economy Connected grows rapidly, the importance of last-mile Intelligent community package delivery increases—the final step automation The ability to in the competitive and costly process of The ability to utilise collaborate and moving items to customers’ homes as the right human or connect with partners quickly as possible.2 Delivering products machine for work to see across the ‘right now’ is the expected norm. network Source: Deloitte analysis 15
Digital disruption in retail Although in the early stages, we are witnessing progress in the formation of the next-gen global movement-of-goods network. Connected community Holistic decision-making Intelligent automation The ability to collaborate and The ability to harness, and The ability to utilise the right human connect with partners to see harmonise traditional and new data or machine for the task at hand and across the network to continuously learn and predict automate digital processes Source: https://www2.deloitte.com/us/en/insights/focus/future-of-mobility/future-of-freight-connected-data-intelligent-automation.html?id=insightsapp As these capabilities advance, we as connected communities grow in are likely to witness a high degree of parallel with maturing IoT and blockchain convergence and movement towards standards, critical supply chain data data unification across platforms, which will begin to flow more freely across will communicate seamlessly behind the network (amplifying the power of the scenes. The highly broken global cognitive technologies to drive improved networks of transportation and logistics holistic decision-making). In a similar providers, ocean carriers, retailers, vein, when holistic decision-making and other large shippers are expected merges with automation, the power of to witness an incremental but fast- automation will shift from cheaper to paced movement towards integration, smarter as cognitive technologies and intelligence, and automation that can predictive insights feed into a growing move more goods more quickly to more robotic network (creating intelligent places, and with more transparency and supply chains that cannot only see into efficiency than today. potential bottlenecks but orchestrate around them). The value of these enabling technologies will unlock as they converge. For example, 16
Digital disruption in retail Applying the three pillars Core pillars scale Holistic Decision-Making Global movers explore, pilot, and scale core pillars • Broadening ecosystem connectivity to horizontal partners and pure technology players • Driving digital transformation capable of real-time analytics and more holistic decision-making Intelligent Connected • Implementing future of work talent models that harmonise machine automation Community and humans Core pillars merge Connected Holistic decision- Automation environments making Holistic decision- Connected Automation making environments Integrated digital The value of automation Ecosystem platforms form new shifts from cheaper to connectivity and connective tissue, smarter, as predictive data standardisation bond traditional and insights feed into drive partner-to- new data, and enable a growing robotic partner automation data to flow freely network, creating the of digital and across the network– physical-to-digital physical processes amplifying the power loop that becomes the of cognitive technology backbone of a higher- performing supply chain Core pillars unify Reactive supply chains mature to predictive and self-learning, automated networks, with little human intervention. Value creation shifts more heavily to customer experience and personalisation, s intelligent and dynamic first-to-last-mile networks proactively reach customers at the right time and place Source: https://www2.deloitte.com/us/en/insights/focus/future-of-mobility/future-of-freight-connected-data-intelligent-automation.html?id=insightsapp 17
Digital disruption in retail Future of order fulfilment convenience and provide real-time 01. AI and ML based fulfilment product availability without having to systems: The latest AI and ML accumulate unsold inventory.2 platforms can help retailers accelerate their order fulfilment process. 02. Irreplaceable node in order These technologies allow retailers to fulfilment journey: While retailers automatically map demand conditions are still contemplating their plans with stock availability across stores, for fulfilment centres and last-mile warehouses, distribution centres, delivery for convenient order and even on-road fleet. For example, fulfilment, physical stores play a a US-based footwear manufacturer critical role in the supply chain. acquired multiple start-ups with Retailers are likely to accelerate the analytics and ML capabilities in the conversion of excess space in their past 18 months. These acquisitions stores into micro-fulfilment centres, are aimed at combining RFID especially in densely populated areas. technology with predictive analytics One likely hurdle in retailers’ plan to accelerate inventory matching and to redeploy an unused store space order fulfilment to meet consumer could be redesigning limitations needs. By combining investments due to clauses in existing leasing in AI and ML technology solutions agreements, thus pushing more and rewriting sourcing policies, redesigns to owned storefronts. retailers can be at the forefront of The four key trends in this area that retailers will likely adopt in the short term are given below: Urban fulfilment Inventory strategy Flexible network Data and technology adoption It will give retailers the A competitive supply chain It enables supply chains to It allows retailers to ability to provide same-day is built on end-to-end move assets faster than transform their supply delivery service to the visibility and capability to ever. The physical network chains with unprecedented connected consumer in quickly flex with changing needs to change and visibility and insights large metropolitan areas. demand. Optimal quantity evolve to cater to speed as from data. Technology While urban warehousing and timing of inventory shippers are forced to re- integrations should be comes with a high price tag, to align with sales and evaluate their service-level focused on understanding use of local, small delivery production capacity are expectations. Retailers with the customer journey and vehicles and reduction key to enabling smart brick-and-mortar stores providing a substantive in distribution spend can inventory capabilities and are leaning on their “buy improvement. result in a net total cost reducing waste. online, pick up in-store” savings. or “store-to-car” delivery options to provide flexibility and predictability without having to transport the last mile. 18
Digital disruption in retail Reverse logistics life cycle Traditional focus areas result in siloed policies and processes Supplier Return Return Logistics Merchandise Returns collaboration policies options processes disposition analytics Merchandise Time and credit Methods offered Store and Determining if Understanding assortments terms offered to to customers to warehouse products should return drivers and and allowances customers and make returns applications and be returned to costs incurred to address special product in person or transportation to stock or require throughout the product returns restrictions through the mail final destination liquidation product life cycle Applying smarter insights throughout the entire pipeline achieves a cohesive reverse logistics strategy Source: Deloitte Report: 2020 retail industry outlook-Convenience as a promise Major focus should be on returns Traditional retailers are also placing incumbents that fail to adapt their own An American multinational retail big bets in the area of reverse logistics operations according to the rapidly corporation operating a chain of to attract store traffic. A major US evolving environment. The movement of hypermarkets, discount department department retail chain completed the goods from China to the United States stores, and grocery stores with a nationwide rollout of returns programme on its owned vessels in 2018 marked the significant e-commerce presence offered by one of the largest e-commerce completion of the world’s first end-to-end The company is taking grocery delivery players. Foot traffic to its stores increased shipping network. This is the last missing to the next level by providing a unified nearly 24% in the first three weeks leg joining a chain of cargo planes, grocery solution.1 It recently launched following the rollout.1 Emerging retail fulfilment and distribution centres, an in-home delivery service for close models, such as direct-to-consumer long-and short-haul trucks, a rapidly to one million people in a few US cities, and subscription services and rental expanding last-mile network through where the company’s associate enters businesses, are built to consume high branded delivery service partners, and the customer’s home and loads the volumes of returns as a part of their its own website. The company’s shift refrigerator even when the customer supply chains. Anticipating returns with towards being vertically integrated and is not at home. The associate uses a high-predictability data helps retailers having a closed-loop network seems to proprietary smart entry device and form their inventory strategy. For many be deliberate. The company focuses on wears a camera device while doing retailers, this creates a behaviour for complete transparencywhen goods enter this task. The company also focuses which the current supply chain is not its ecosystem from manufacturers, and on replenishment and wants to stock designed. However, to thrive in reverse the movement of those goods between customers’ homes like it stocks stores. logistics, retailers should move from warehouses and sort centres, leaving few The move to use its physical presence return policies to return strategies. dark areas. This transparency is a key with an early focus on grocery pick-up part of how the brand can guarantee its has allowed the retailer to acquaint More visibility, more control: One of growing base of global same-day/two-day customers with online shopping for the largest e-commerce giants is building shipping customers for more than 100 groceries from the retail corporation a vertically integrated, closed-loop million different items. where it is on track to offer grocery movement of goods network in the US. pick-up in 3,100 stores and same-day Meanwhile a paradigm-changing player The definition of convenience is grocery delivery from 1,600 stores. is showing what is possible with a constantly being re-written in the age of truly integrated, start-to-finish supply intense focus on last-mile delivery. network and highlighting the threat to 19
Digital disruption in retail Top five transformational technologies within logistics, supply chain, and transportation, and their benefits IoT AI/ML Blockchain Vehicle safety Autonomous technologies vehicles Productivity Visibility Workforce Customer Flexibility satisfaction satisfaction New technologies Technologies such Workers tend to The technology will Key uptime benefits will aid significant as blockchain and experience greater deliver significant will derive from productivity IoT/telematics will satisfaction when benefits across technologies benefits. AI, ML aid instantaneous they are given the customer such as IoT, and blockchain tracking of any the right tools to experience supplemented by AI, give logistics teams shipment right enable optimum spectrum. For and human greater visibility down to its job performance. example, using AI intuition. With a into actual assets SKU level. With Workforce and ML, logistics clearer window into in use as well blockchain, it is satisfaction, players will be vehicle use and as upcoming or possible to see aiding retention able to better performance, fleet expected demands, any handovers, and recruitment, understand managers will be which allows goods’ condition, is another area customer needs, better able to them to better or temperatures where harnessing shifting from use preventive optimise routes and at which they were technology will a reactive to a maintenance to equipment. warehoused or drive innovation more proactive avoid potential transported and and competitive relationship. Faster breakdowns. for what period. advantage. adoption will lead Further, accuracy to first-mover will also be fueled advantage. by greater visibility. Source: Media articles Competing in the future of the last mile journey. Investment of such vast sums of Decision-making driven by data is capital proves that customer-centricity expected to be critical to success in the is the new way and drives an influx of future of the last mile. Scores of start-ups new-age tech companies. The infusion and old school companies are queuing up of institutional capital points to the wave to introduce new last-mile solutions in the of convenience and flexibility, which is most difficult and costly leg of the goods headed towards consumers. 20
Digital disruption in retail “Smart money” has stepped up investment in new last-mile solutions Global last-mile start-up investment (2014-18) 3,872 Collection point and 11% smart lockers 7% Digital aggregators 6% Last-mile software 1,702 3% AV droids and drones Alternative fleet/ 1% green fleets 390 415 454 72% Crowdsourcing 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Note: CBInsights data based on publicly available rounds of venture capital/ seed funding for 104 selected global last-mile start-ups. Source: Deloitte analysis *figures in US$ million. Trends defining the warehousing industry: The main theme defining every region is the arrival of social commerce and digital transformation. Drop-shipping will increase Flexible pick methods for multiple substantially order profiles E-commerce and direct-to-consumer growth Picking methods, such as batch pick and sort, will continue to transform the fulfilment will become more common as they are ideal operations of retailers, manufacturers, and for cost efficiently processing high volumes of their wholesalers and 3PLs. small orders quickly. Time to delivery becomes a key New workarounds to overcome labour competitive differentiator shortages Time to delivery will be equally In Europe and the US, a tight labour market important as a key differentiator as remains one of the overriding challenges for price. E.g., Amazon warehouse operations managers, not so much in Asia, specially India and China. Social media commerce returns will Investing in a WMS is increasingly common make reverse logistics even more WMS and partial automation using conveyors important or automated sortation systems will remain Reverse logistics was already an issue for top priorities. Investment AGVs, transport many sellers and will only increase over management systems, voice recognition for time, due to the ‘Instagram effect’. picking, and putaways and palletisers will also increase. Source: https://www.logisticsit.com/articles/2020/01/09/what’s-in-store-for-2020-and-beyond-6-trends-shaping-warehouses-of-the-future 21
Digital disruption in retail Over time, consumers across the a solid foundation around these globe wanting greater delivery volume, capabilities is crucial. speed, flexibility, transparency, and convenience will compel the movement The following illustration suggests of goods network to adapt according strategic questions that leaders should to the evolving needs. Signs of change begin asking as they continue their are underway and centered on core journey with introducing technology building blocks: connected community, across their supply chain. holistic decision-making, and intelligent automation. For global movers, building Building a foundation: Key question to ask Connected community Holistic decision-making Intelligent automation Connect and collaborate with Harness and harmonise traditional Use the right human or machine partners to see across the and new data to continuously for work network learn, optimise, and predict Application Where can new, integrated How will you strategically balance Where can robotic process modernisation data-sharing platforms create investments between legacy automation help efficiently benefit for participating ERP systems and the emerging connect legacy ERP system to ecosystem players and unlock technologies that enable holistic emerging technology? new value for consumers? decision-making Cloud What off-the-shelf cloud Where can you use the processing Where can cloud-base solutions can provide power of cloud computing as data applications support the quick on-ramp to partner sets grow in size and complexity? automation support the connectivity? automation of workflows, such as pricing, customer approval, compliance, and reporting? Next-gen talent Where are the opportunities How will your arm teams with the How will you blend the strength to employ new and emerging right skills and training to work of essentially human skills and talent models (e.g., gig work) with new analytics platforms? automation? across the network? Cyber risk How will standards of practice How will new data steams from Where can safeguards control for secure development be RFID, IoT, and mobile technologies for vulnerabilities of new robotic created and enforced with new be examined for weakness and technology, including new partners? vulnerabilities? software, firmware, and over- the-air updates? AI What AI solutions are being Where can AI combine wit Where can you implement AI used by supply chain partners new data streams, such as to drive more value from rule- that can be integrated into smart city sensors, connected based robotics and automation? your organisation? transportation, and smart packaging to drive deeper insights? IoT Where can collaborative IoT Where can IoT combine with AI Where can sensors turn physical implementations and IoT data- to improve transportation safety, events into the real-time data sharing protocols improve predictive maintenance, fleet needed for automation? ecosystem inefficiencies? monitoring and routing, and product life management? 22
Digital disruption in retail Blockchain Does your network exhibit Once data is on the blockchain, Where can the use of smart the characteristics that make how will it be accessed and what contracts help automate existing blockchain a viable solution, data will be on versus off chain? processes? including a shared repository of data, multiple entities that modify it, and lack of a trusted intermediary between transactions? Robotics Where data standardisation Where can you apply machine In addition to ROI, how does and exchange support the learning as a continuous labour scarcity impact decision- automation of physical work at improvement opportunity? making when evaluating partner connection points? automation opportunities? Source: Deloitte insights: How are global shippers evolving to meet tomorrow’s demand? The future movement of good What would the logistics and warehouse of future look like? Source: The shed of future: Deloitte report 23
Digital disruption in retail Finance The new digital core: Finance and supply chain in action Data-driven design, enabling ultra-delayed differentiation Digital-enabled Scenario analysis collaboration, powered by predictive simulation, and analytics, machine rapid prototyping learning, and sensors On-site part RPA-powered to forecast demand replacement procure-to-pay and optimise pricing to reduce and order-to-cash downtime Cognitive system to detect Monitoring of equipment, anomalies in transaction labour, and off-site facilities data and mitigate issues using sensors and drones Enhanced live customer support and predictive aftermarket maintenance Predictive AR-enhanced Make-to-use repair and routing and production enhancement parts driverless and remote vehicles for maintenance Automatic replenishment delivery driven by POS and sensors Blockchain-based transactions to improve security and accuracy Source: Deloitte analysis 24
Digital disruption in retail Finance services must take advantage of break-through technologies to drive exponential benefits around economics, risk, and value to stakeholders. Source: Finance in the digital age, Deloitte analysis, 2017 Source: Crunch time III: The CFO’s guide to cognitive technology–Deloitte report 25
Digital disruption in retail Source: Crunch time III: The CFO’s guide to cognitive technology–Deloitte report Impact of cloud on Finance and simplified. Given the challenges, CFOs know that cloud investments these capabilities might be considered (whether motivated by the need for almost priceless. Even in other business innovation, cost reduction or both) areas, such as sales and marketing, will be part of the future. . For some supply chain, R&D, and customer care, organisations, the area of finance itself cloud is being frequently brought in is a promising cloud opportunity. For conversations about opportunities for example, with cloud capabilities in hand, innovation. CFOs need to be aware of this area could produce and deliver those opportunities. The key to make real-time management reporting to the effective use of cloud is to have a help business leaders make better workable plan starting with pilots that decisions faster. Cloud can also enable can be implemented when needed. finance operations to be standardised 26
Digital disruption in retail The three flavors of cloud services Software-as-a-service SaaS is the most commonly used cloud service. With SaaS, companies pay for finished applications on a subscription basis. Almost any software you can think of is available as a service or will likely be available soon. SaaS Platform-as-a-service Infrastructure-as-a-service PaaS can be used by IaaS allows customer to obtain organisations that want resources without actually to develop new software purchasing hardware. This applications without needing to approach has the potential to acquire and install the hardware eliminate capital expenses. IaaS PaaS and operating system. It also The marketplace for IaaS has provides access to different, new, matured rapidly, with dozens and innovative services, such of providers eager to handle as facial recognition, internet of almost any need you have. things, and artificial intelligence. Source: Crunch time 8: The CFO guide to Cloud–Deloitte Report Procurement and vendor management The past decade saw companies moving As the cost of implementing technology towards a digital model, with many is reducing, there has not been a better companies stating that digital innovation time for companies to digitise their within their procurement and supply operations. Most of the emerging chains is key to their growth. Companies technologies have been built to enhance have been facing more complexity in older legacy systems and involve minimal their supply chains. However, with the investment. The purchasing value chain transformational digital capabilities, can be optimised using these digital tools they have the ability to revolutionise the and approaches. procurement process. 27
Digital disruption in retail Procurement Value Chain Identification Request for Proposal Positioning Negotiations Monitoring Analysis of E-Auction for Defined Discussions and Performance spend, price selection of initial specifications of finalisation of tracking and variance and shortlist goods needed, contract terms management suppliers sourcing and conditions of future requirements requirements and linear from vendors performance pricing Source: Deloitte analysis Digital procurement solutions have more automated with predictive led to a technological disruption to the analytics and artificial intelligence. purchasing value chain by fundamentally altering the impact of each element. These advancements have provided chief Sourcing is becoming more predictive, procurement officers access to previously with eSourcing providing a strategic unavailable data or massive (previously route to facilitate best pricing and value. unorganised) data sets to solve their Transactional procurement is becoming complex procurement needs. Large global retailer: Acquiring companies to strengthen digital capabilities and build omnichannel customer experiences The company has made several key acquisitions in India in the past few years, indicating that it is not averse to acqui-hiring from companies for the underlying tech and the people that built it. Procurement solution platform: The platform simplifies the buying and selling processes for business. In essence, it allows businesses to directly connect with various manufacturers and sellers to negotiate and transact. Healthcare retail company: This Bangalore-based company provides customers access to affordable and scalable healthcare services. The core tech team joined the retailer’s customer technology team. Source: News articles The solutions available today allow to develop better strategies. Increased for more inputs to be connected, thus visibility and transparency lead to a providing users greater access to greater control of processes (such as data to drive better decision-making procurement of products and services), and improved efficiency. This in turn, provide more assurance of the supply, produces more and higher quality and lower risk. insights, which can enable leadership 28
Digital disruption in retail Improved decision Improved inputs making and efficiency Results Decision support Physical data files Extract data from physical • Contracts documents Cognitive computing Predictive S2C • Specs Insights and • Bills of materials strategies Intelligent content Advanced Decision support should costing Cost leadership Unstructured Categorise databases unstructured Cyber data tracking • Supplier spend • Accts payable Cognitive computing Collaboration networks Automated P2P Digital Solutions Process excellence Movement of Detect ...which grow in value when Efficiency and goods tracking movement used together Advanced effectiveness of goods visualisation • Deliveries • Demand Automation • Material Consumption Sensors Blockchain • Receipt of goods Robotics Third-party data Enrich with external data Proactive SRM Assurance of supplies • Supplier data Risk mitigation • Social media strategies • Commodity trends Supplier and • Duties and tariffs category strategies • Country risks • Third-party payment clearing Source: Deloitte Thought Leadership–The Future of Procurement in the Age of Digital Supply Networks GeM: e-Procurement for government functions from private players on integrated e-Marketplace The Government of India (GoI) launched an eMarketplace in 2016 to provide government individuals and departments access to an “efficient, transparent, and inclusive” marketplace for the procurement and sale of goods and services. Customers can purchase consignments of goods from resellers or original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), to compare prices and trends between two different suppliers. Key Stats 325,000+ 42,000+ ~3,200,000 45,000+ Sellers and Service Providers Buyer Organisations Orders Transaction Value, in INR Cr 29
Digital disruption in retail Assortment mix and planning In 2019-20, customers have access to a demand-driven model to optimise their multitude of options while purchasing assortment strategies. With the use products and services. Companies of technology, they can carry out data must strive harder to meet the needs analytics to plan the mix. Companies of consumers, particularly millennial need to take several decisions while consumers. To attract customers, planning its mix that are mentioned companies need to consider adopting a below. Assortment management decision points How many choices (breadth) When and where to flow Type of (product flow) choices (menu) Need by What size (sizing) location (eligibility) Customer Amount per Total location (pre- quantity allocation) (buy) Source: Deloitte One of the trends we see emerging consumers that they need to replenish from the analysis is that companies are their stock of products. Engaging with using automation to provide consumers consumers in this manner allows what they want before they even know companies track what is selling, what it. For example, a company can provide future demand could look like, and what recommendations based on previous needs to be changed. customer baskets or email reminders to Leading e-commerce company: Using contextual data to drive personalised offers and suggestions This company has stated that using data and analytics enables it to provide personalised services to customers. Their CEO had earlier stated that the company’s mission is to improve customer experiences. Using big data, the company has been able to identify customer needs, provide recommendations, and tailor its product offerings to maximise the probability of making a sale. Source: News articles 30
Digital disruption in retail Companies have been moving away This new model can provide customers from a generalisation model in which a feeling of personal touch and can consumers receive blanket offers and win their loyalty. This customer data is suggestions to a new model that offers expected to be one of the keys in the a higher probability of sale by giving future of retail as brands fight to win over customers hyper-personalised offers. buyers. People The fourth industrial revolution is need guidance to wade through these bringing disruption in many ways, choppy waters. Hence, we have put including the way companies build their together a list of five principles that store face and operate their supply frame the “human focus” for the chains. This disruption is making an social enterprise. These can serve as impact on work, workers, and employers, a benchmark against which we can and issues such as income inequality, measure any action or business decision wages, and the role of businesses in that can affect people. society are under debate. Organisations Human principles for the social enterprise: Benchmark for reinvention Design principles Purpose and Ethics and Growth and Collaboration Transparency meaning fairness passion and personal and openness relationships It means Giving organisations Using data Designing jobs, Building and Sharing information and individuals a technology, and work, and developing teams, openly, discussing sense of purpose at system in an ethical, organisations focusing on challenges and work; moving beyond fair, and trusted mission to nurture personal mistakes, and profit to focus on way; creating jobs passion and a sense relationship, and leading and doing good things for and roles to train of personal growth; moving beyond managing with a individuals, systems and affording people the digital to build growth mindset customers, and monitor decisions to opportunity to human connections society make sure they are create and add their at work fair own personal touch Source: Deloitte Global Human Capital Trends survey, 2019 31
Digital disruption in retail Many trends are emerging that we of the organisation (which discusses how believe will be crucial for the success people build their networks and how the of organisations and their people in approach for reward and recognition are the future. We can categorise them as driving forward business performance); follows: future of the workforce (how and finally future of HR (what is the organisations should adapt to the open function doing to step up and transform talent economy, external forces affecting its capabilities and technologies to lead a job, work design, and leadership); future revolution across enterprises). Three domains for reinvention, three approaches to change Refresh Rewire Recode Future of • Leadership • Alternative • Superjobs the workforce workforce • Human experience Future of the • Rewards organisation • Teams Future of HR • Talent Access • Talent Mobility • HR cloud • Learning Source: Deloitte analysis 32
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