DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2020 / 2021 EDITION

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DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2020 / 2021 EDITION
DEVELOPMENT
                                                                            REPORT
                                                                              2020 / 2021 EDITION
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                                                                               In Public-Private Partnership with
DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2020 / 2021 EDITION
The Washington DC Economic Partnership would like to acknowledge our public and
 private sector board members whose continued financial support and guidance has
 made the Washington, DC Development Report 2020/2021 Edition possible.

 PUBLIC SECTOR PARTNERS

                                                                                     OFFICE OF THE CHIEF TECHNOLOGY OFFICER

 PRIVATE SECTOR PARTNERS

 BOARD MEMBERS

EXECUTIVE COMMITTEE                          Anitra Androh                                                         Angie Gates                                      Mike O'Hara
                                             Partner, Nelson Mullins                                               Director, DC Office of Cable Television,         Partner, Bohler DC
John Falcicchio / Co-Chair                   Joseph Askew                                                          Film, Music & Entertainment (OCTFME)             Lindsey Parker
Deputy Mayor,                                Vice President, Government Relations,                                 Dr. Brent Glass                                  Chief Technology Officer,
Office of the Deputy Mayor for               Verizon                                                               Executive Director,                              Office of the Chief Technology Officer (OCTO)
Planning and Economic Development                                                                                  National Building Museum
                                             Jack Boarman                                                                                                           William Rich
Donna Cooper / Co-Chair                      Managing Partner, BKV Group                                           Roslyn Hopkins-Fernandes                         President, Delta Associates
Region President, Pepco                      Steven Boyle                                                          Director of Account Management,                  Tara Scanlon
                                             Chief Development Officer, EDENS                                      Major Accounts & Public Sector Markets,          Partner, Practice Group Leader,
Richard Lake / Co-Chair Emeritus
                                                                                                                   UnitedHealthcare                                 Holland & Knight
Managing Principal,                          Jean-Luc Brami
Roadside Development                         Principal, Gelberg Signs                                              Emmanuel Irono                                   Shawn Seaman
                                                                                                                   President & CEO, Motir Services                  President, Hoffman & Associates
Omar McIntosh / Vice Chair                   Anita Butani
                                             Project Executive, HRGM Corporation                                   Stanley Jackson                                  Joseph Torraca
Regional Executive, Senior Vice President,
                                                                                                                   President & CEO, Anacostia Economic              Vice President of Sales &
Smoot Construction                           Emmanuel Irono
                                                                                                                   Development Corporation (AEDC)                   Business Development, RCN
                                             President & CEO, Motir Services
Kenneth Brewer / Secretary                                                                                         Caroline Kenney
                                             Ernest Chrappah                                                                                                        Andrew Trueblood
Executive Director,                                                                                                Managing Director for Public-Private Ventures,
                                             Director, Department of Consumer &                                                                                     Director, DC Office of Planning
H Street Community Development Corporation                                                                         Urban Atlantic
                                             Regulatory Affairs (DCRA)                                                                                              Mitch Weintraub
Timothy F. Veith / Treasurer                                                                                       W. Wolfgang Lewis                                Managing Partner, Cordia Partners
Regional President, United Bank              Brunson Cooper
                                                                                                                   Senior Director, Enterprise Services
                                             Managing Director,                                                                                                     Kristi Whitfield
                                                                                                                   for the Beltway Region, Comcast Business
Olivia Byrne / General Counsel               Corenic Construction Group                                                                                             Director, Department of Small & Local
Partner, K&L Gates                                                                                                 Lisa Mallory                                     Business Development (DSLBD)
                                             Colette Dafoe
                                                                                                                   CEO, DC Building Industry Association (DCBIA)
Keith J. Sellars / President                 DC Office Managing Partner, Nixon Peabody                                                                              Donna Woodall
                                                                                                                   Thomas Nida                                      Director of Citizenship & Public Affairs,
President & CEO,                             Josh Etter
                                                                                                                   Executive Vice President,                        Microsoft
Washington DC Economic Partnership           Director, Development, Foulger Pratt
                                                                                                                   City First Bank
Sybongile Cook /                             Jennifer Eugene                                                                                                        Karima Woods
                                                                                                                   Kristina Noell                                   Commissioner, DC Department of Insurance,
DMPED Representative                         Manager, Utility Sales,
                                                                                                                   Executive Director, Anacostia BID                Securities and Banking (DISB)
Director of Business                         Washington Gas
Development & Strategy,
                                                                                                                   Greg O'Dell
                                             Kim Dreux-Kelly
                                                                                                                   President and CEO, Events DC
Office of the Deputy Mayor for               Executive Director, Think Local First
Planning and Economic Development
DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2020 / 2021 EDITION
WASHINGTON, DC
DEVELOPMENT
REPORT
2020 / 2021 EDITION
801 NEW JERSEY AVENUE
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A publication of the   In partnership with
DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2020 / 2021 EDITION
WDCEP
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(WDCEP) is a non-profit, public-private            independent
organization whose core purpose is to              thinking and
actively position, promote, and support            objective insights.
economic development and business                  We stay one
opportunities in Washington, DC.                   step ahead
                                                   of the vibrant and evolving economic
Our mission is to promote DC’s economic
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and business opportunities and support
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business retention and attraction activities.
                                                   and large and small businesses.
Through historical knowledge of the
city’s business and economic climate;              WDCEP Real Estate Services
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community partners and access, WDCEP is               (search.wdcep.com)
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THE DC DEVELOPMENT REPORT
The DC Development Report is a summary             of projects is constantly being updated,
of the major development and construction          for the purposes of this publication all
projects in the District of Columbia. WDCEP        data reflect project status, design, and
tracks major developments throughout the           information as of December 2020.
year and performs an annual “development
census” in the month of December. This             Although every attempt was made to
involves soliciting contributions from             ensure the quality of the information
more than 80 developers, architects,               contained in this document, WDCEP and
contractors, and economic development              Delta Associates make no warranty or
organizations to provide updates to more           guarantee as to its accuracy, completeness,
than 300 projects. While our database              or usefulness for any given purpose.
DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2020 / 2021 EDITION
DEVELOPMENT OVERVIEW
4    ECONOMIC OVERVIEW
12   DEVELOPMENT OVERVIEW
14   20 YEARS OF GROWTH
16   MOST ACTIVE DEVELOPERS, ARCHITECTS & CONTRACTORS

DEVELOPMENT SECTOR
21   OFFICE
35   RETAIL
49   RESIDENTIAL
63   HOSPITALITY
75   QUALITY OF LIFE

NEIGHBORHOOD DEVELOPMENT
88   BUZZARD POINT
89   SAINT ELIZABETHS EAST

APPENDIX
92   METHODOLOGY
93   ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2020 / 2021 EDITION
DEVELOPMENT
   OVER

  ECONOMIC OVERVIEW
  DEVELOPMENT OVERVIEW
  MOST ACTIVE
DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2020 / 2021 EDITION
VIEW
DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2020 / 2021 EDITION
ECONOMIC
                                        OVERVIEW                                                                       By: Jonathan Chambers, Vice President, Delta Associates

U.S. ECONOMIC RECOVERY

The COVID-19 pandemic has wreaked havoc on the nation’s                                                   growth in the third quarter. Personal consumption, which has
economy since spring 2020. In perhaps the most economically                                               been the backbone of the nation’s economic growth over the
volatile year in American history, real GDP plunged by -31.4% in                                          last decade, was somewhat more stable, falling by -33.2% in the
the second quarter, but recovered by 33.1% in the third quarter,                                          second quarter and rebounding by 41.0% in the third quarter.
closing the year with annual growth of -3.5%—the weakest GDP                                              For all of 2020, personal consumption decreased -3.9%, while
growth since 1946. Economic growth was initially dragged                                                  business investment decreased -5.3%. The only positive growth
down by a precipitous decline in economic activity triggered                                              sector during the year was federal spending, increasing 4.4%.
by widespread “stay-at-home” orders related to the COVID-19                                               The pandemic-triggered recession ended the longest economic
pandemic but rebounded during the summer as businesses                                                    expansion in U.S. history, but the current focus is the strength of
reopened and new virus cases declined.                                                                    the economic recovery, which has waned in the fall.

Business investment has been on a wild see-saw ride, plunging                                             However, the economic fallout and subsequent pace of recovery
by -46.6% in the second quarter before recovering to 86.3%                                                have been stronger than many economists had expected. Despite

THE DISTRICT’S GDP YEAR-OVER-YEAR GROWTH RATE

      8.0%

      6.0%

      4.0%
                                                                                                                                                                     3.2%

      2.0%

      0.0%
                                                                                                                                                                     -0.9%
      -2.0%
                                                                                                                                                               -2.8%
                                                                                                                                                               -2.9%
                    2008 2009                       2010            2011           2012           2013   2014   2015      2016     2017      2018      2019 2020*
                                         DC Total                                      DC Public                     DC Private                     U.S. Total
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis, Delta Associates; December 2020. *Q3 2019–Q3 2020 growth..

4       © 2021 WASHINGTON DC ECONOMIC PARTNERSHIP
DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2020 / 2021 EDITION
ECONOMIC
                                                                                             OVERVIEW

some economic recovery over the summer, it appears that               mid-2021. Even after the vaccines become widely available at
both economic output and employment could hit a ceiling and           pharmacies and supermarkets, the majority of Americans will
stabilize at lower levels than they would have remained in the        likely not be inoculated until summer.
absence of the pandemic. That gap could take several years to
close, especially in more vulnerable industry sectors such as         DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
leisure/hospitality.
                                                                      ECONOMIC RECOVERY
Consumer spending was the primary and most consistent
driver of economic expansion during the last recovery period          Following a year of renewed economic growth, the Washington
but fell precipitously during the initial stages of the pandemic.     metro area economy was upended by the COVID-19 pandemic
The good news is that this critical pillar of the economy has         in March, when most private business in the region came
bounced back. Although consumer sentiment remains about               to a virtual standstill. Many area businesses were forced to
20% lower than a year ago as of December, outstanding                 dramatically reduce the size of their active workforce, to closer
consumer credit has rapidly expanded over the summer and              match costs to the drop in revenue, although service firms
home and auto sales are booming thanks to lower interest              were able to continue operating remotely. While much of the
rates. The bad news is that stimulus policies that included           businesses initially affected have reopened or switched to remote
checks issued to every household and significantly increased          operations, there is still a long way to go before the regional
unemployment benefits have long been exhausted in most                economy returns to full output.
cases and there is serious concern of the cycle restarting absent
additional federal government intervention (which has not             The decline in local business transactions can be directly traced
been forthcoming as of early December).                               to pandemic social distancing efforts, including stay-at-home
                                                                      orders in the spring. In April and May, the amount of time that
Economic growth in 2021 and beyond, including whether the             District residents stayed at home increased over 20% compared
ideal “V-shaped” recovery can be sustained, will continue to          to January, but the time difference has steadily shrunk to just
depend heavily on two factors: 1. The Federal Government              16% as of November. Retailers, restaurants, transit stations,
and 2. Control of the COVID-19 pandemic (via vaccination and          and workplaces saw foot traffic reduced by over -60% in April,
social distancing policy). The former inaction of the federal         although the deficit has shrunk to about -50% for retailers/
government in the provision of additional financial relief to         restaurants and workplaces and -65% for transit stations as of
residents and businesses last fall threatened to deal a significant   November. The decrease in foot traffic has caused the number
blow to the economic recovery. However, as economic conditions        of open businesses in the District to decline by -45% as of
worsened Congress finally passed a stimulus package in                November compared to January. Total business revenue has also
December, with additional economic assistance likely under the        fallen by -44% in the District since February as of December.
Biden administration.
                                                                      In the second quarter of 2020, at the onset of the pandemic,
As of mid-December, distribution was underway of highly               total economic output in the District of Columbia plunged at
effective COVID-19 vaccines developed by Pfizer and Moderna,          an annual rate of -20.4%. This was significantly better than
while three other vaccines developed by AstraZeneca/Oxford            the national economic nosedive of -31.4%, but well short of
University, Johnson & Johnson, and Novavax were also                  the District’s 1.6% annual rate of growth in 2019. Leisure/
contenders for securing emergency FDA approval. Realistically,        Hospitality was hit hardest of all major economic sectors, both
a slow return to “normal” is unlikely to begin until at least         in the Washington region and the nation. The sector’s two main

                                                                                        DC DEVELOPMENT REPORT • 2020 / 2021 EDITION     5
DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2020 / 2021 EDITION
ECONOMIC
                               OVERVIEW

UNEMPLOYMENT RATE

    15.0%

    12.0%

    9.0%

    6.0%

    3.0%

    0.0%
                             2015                                2016               2017                     2018                            2019                 2020
                       U.S.                            District of Columbia                Washington MSA                              New York MSA                 Chicago MSA

                              Boston MSA                                Los Angeles MSA                 San Francisco MSA                             Dallas/Fort-Worth MSA

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Delta Associates; December 2020.

industry components—Arts/Entertainment/Recreation and                                            PROJECTED JOB GROWTH (THOUSANDS)
Accommodation/Food Services—both saw economic output                                              WASHINGTON
                                                                                                   MSA TOTAL:                      130.0                          47.0
in the District plunge by over -90% in the second quarter.
                                                                                                            150
Unsurprisingly, the Federal Government is the only local
economic sector that has maintained positive growth through
the pandemic. Between Q3 2019 and Q3 2020, the District ‘s GDP                                              120
declined -0.9%, but this outperformed the national GDP decline                                                                        35.0

of -2.8% over the same period.
                                                                                                            90

There is still a great deal of uncertainty on what the “new
normal” will even look like when the pandemic is over and the                                                                         55.0
                                                                                                            60
dust settles, in terms of how many businesses will remain, how
many jobs will return, and what permanent behavioral and
                                                                                                                                                                  15.0
spending patterns will persist in the workplace and at home.                                                30
The good news is that the Washington metro area remains better                                                                        40.0                        25.0
positioned than virtually every other region to weather the
                                                                                                                                                                   7.0
current economic downturn.                                                                                   0
                                                                                                                                     2021                         2022

                                                                                                              District of Columbia            Northern Virginia     Suburban Maryland

                                                                                                 Source: Delta Associates; December 2020.

6       © 2021 WASHINGTON DC ECONOMIC PARTNERSHIP
ECONOMIC
                                                                                                                      OVERVIEW

ANNUAL JOB GROWTH (THOUSANDS)

                                                                             2020                                        ANNUAL AVERAGE (2010–2019)

                                                          DISTRICT OF                                      DISTRICT OF
                                                                        WASHINGTON MSA       U.S.                             WASHINGTON MSA             U.S.
                                                           COLUMBIA                                         COLUMBIA

 Education/Health Services                                      -9.6        -31.2        -1,198.0              2.2                   9.0               465.9
 Federal Government                                              4.6          9.2           52.0               -0.7                 -0.1                  3.1
 Financial Activities                                           -2.2         -4.8           -51.0              0.3                   1.6               106.2
 Information                                                    -2.0         -4.5          -241.0              0.2                  -0.5                 14.0
 Leisure/Hospitality                                          -29.4         -83.5        -3,616.0              2.2                   8.1               381.9
 Professional/Business Services                                 -8.9        -11.1          -876.0              2.6                  10.7               497.8
 Retail Trade                                                   -0.8         -6.6          -347.1              0.6                   1.8               129.6
 State/Local Government                                          0.2        -26.8        -1,298.0              0.6                   3.3                 14.0
 other                                                          -4.0        -18.5        -1,570.9              2.0                   7.1               613.1
 Total                                                        -52.1        -177.8        -9,146.0              9.9                 41.0               2,225.6

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Delta Associates; December 2020.

While economic growth during the boom period lagged many                                   more regionally, the metro area is outperforming its Northeastern
high-growth metros in the South and West, the Washington area                              peers by a wide margin, particularly New York and Boston which
ranked second in GDP growth and fourth in payroll job growth                               have seen total employment shrink by over 10%. While no sector
among the 30 largest metro areas in the nation during the Great                            of the region’s economy (except Federal Government) has fully
Recession. The region again looks to be better prepared than                               recovered from the initial job losses caused by the pandemic, most
its peers for the gloomy days ahead. As of December 2020, the                              have recorded at least some positive job growth in recent months.
Washington metro area’s unemployment rate was 5.6%, 300 basis
points higher than a year prior, but significantly lower than most                         Despite the strong job growth in the summer, there was some
every other major metro areas.                                                             deceleration in the fall, and most sectors remained in the red for
                                                                                           all of 2020. The Federal Government will continue to provide a
WASHINGTON METROPOLITAN                                                                    strong positive boost to the region’s workforce, which will offset
                                                                                           some of the private sector declines. We anticipate that job growth
AREA’S LABOR MARKET                                                                        in the rebound will rebound in 2021, with approximately 130,000
                                                                                           net additions through the year. The economic cornerstones of
Positive monthly job growth through the summer and fall                                    each substate: tech and federal contracting in Northern Virginia,
brought back much of the Washington region’s jobs that                                     life sciences in Suburban Maryland, and the Federal Government
were initially lost in the spring, but job growth for all of 2020                          in the District will continue to be well insulated from negative
remained sharply negative at -177,800. This compares to the                                shocks in the period ahead.
all-time low figure of -315,700 for the 12 months ending May
2020. The District accounted for about a quarter of job losses in                          Leisure/Hospitality
the region, with 52,100 positions shed in 2020. Unfortunately,
the bulk of job losses occurred in lower-wage sectors, including                           The Washington area’s Leisure/Hospitality sector experienced
Leisure/Hospitality and Transportation/Utilities.                                          the largest net loss of jobs in 2020 at -83,500. Although Leisure/
                                                                                           Hospitality has also been the worst performer nationally, the
Among large metro areas, Washington remained in the middle                                 Washington region has a relatively high exposure to shocks in
in terms of both absolute and employment growth. However,                                  the sector. The District is one of the top 10 tourist destinations

                                                                                                              DC DEVELOPMENT REPORT • 2020 / 2021 EDITION       7
ECONOMIC
                  OVERVIEW

in the country and the metro area boasts the nation’s largest   A new presidential administration and Congress is mostly good
concentration of hospitality headquarters. Many large           news for the Washington region heading into 2021, especially
local hotel properties have had to wind down operations or      in the midst of the current pandemic. A new set of spending
shutter entirely, including the Washington Four Seasons and     priorities, initiatives, and new residents at the beginning of a new
Hay-Adams Hotel in the District.                                administration provides a boost to the region’s economy. With
                                                                Democratic in control of both the House and the Senate (the
Although leisure travel picked up nationally through            latter by a tie-breaker), the region has likely avoided being in the
the summer, economically lucrative business travel has          midst of a political tug-of-war that could have resulted in budget
continued to be virtually nonexistent. In addition, targeted    sequestration, debt ceiling battles, government shutdowns and
self-quarantine restrictions have placed a damper on travel     even mass layoffs.
to the region. Tourist destinations such as museums,
stadiums, parks, and theaters were prohibited from              Professional and Business Services
opening or required to operate at very low capacity.
                                                                The Professional/Business Services sector was the strongest
Restaurants in the region (particularly in the District and     performing sector in the last economic cycle and we expect that
Maryland) that were forced to close their seating areas for     trend to continue in the current recovery. Net job growth in
months during the spring, were allowed to re-open in the        the sector in 2020 was -11,000, but we expect growth to quickly
summer with very limited indoor seating or outdoor dining       turn positive in 2021. Demand for services remains high and the
only. Many restaurants and bars have attempted to adapt         white-collar office using nature of the sector has allowed most
to the restrictions with new or enhanced carry-out and          firms to continue operating remotely. The sector will bounce
delivery options. In response to a local rise in COVID-19       back much quicker than others and continue to be the primary
cases, new restrictions lowering indoor dining capacity         private job creation source in the region in the long term.
from 50% to 25% were put in place in early December.
                                                                The tech industry has ballooned in the Washington region in
Federal Government                                              recent years, primarily in Northern Virginia, but also in the
                                                                District and Suburban Maryland. Amazon’s growing HQ2
Unlike every other economic sector, the federal                 presence in Arlington County is the obvious regional juggernaut,
government has maintained positive employment growth            but many other tech companies have planted stakes or expanded
through most of the pandemic, as expected. In fact, the         in the region in 2020 including NGP VAN and EveryAction in the
4,900 positions added in August was the highest monthly         District and Microsoft in Northern Virginia. Nationally, the tech
total in just over 10 years. However, monthly job growth        industry has been largely insulated from the negative economic
trended slightly negative in the fall, as temporary census      effects of the pandemic, and some industry sectors such as
workers left the workforce. Nevertheless, for all of 2020       videoconferencing and cloud services has seen demand swell.
the Federal Government sector has the highest 12-month          However, not every business is immune. Commercial clients have
employment tally at 9,200. The strong performance in the        shrunk IT budgets, which has weighed on tech revenue. Smaller,
sector is obviously good news for the Washington metro          undercapitalized companies (particularly startups) have been
area as the federal government is the region’s largest          especially vulnerable to cash-flow challenges. In addition, IT
employer and economic bread and butter, despite recent          companies have to contend with the same supply chain, travel,
diversification efforts.                                        and workforce disruptions as every other industry.

8    © 2021 WASHINGTON DC ECONOMIC PARTNERSHIP
ECONOMIC
                                                                                                   OVERVIEW

                                                                           POPULATION GROWTH
Retail Trade                                                               The District’s population grew by more than 3,000 or 0.5%
                                                                           in 2019 to 705,749, extending its positive growth streak to 19
Job growth in the beleaguered Retail Trade sector remains in               straight years. Population growth in the District was due to a net
the red, but the sector has experienced a remarkably strong                natural increase of about 3,800 and international migration of
resurgence in recent months, especially compared to most other             approximately 2,600. However, net domestic migration remained
sectors. Net employment growth in 2020 was -6,600 in the metro             negative at approximately 2,200. The District’s median age,
area and -700 in the District. This was a dramatic improvement             which has been steadily but very slowly trending upwards for
from the -31,900 (metro area) and -2,700 (District) 12-month job           nearly a decade, accelerated in 2019 to 34.3. Younger households,
growth figures recorded in May.                                            especially those seeking to buy homes, have been increasingly
                                                                           priced out of the District in recent years.
Many nationwide and regional retailers have been repositioning
for survival amid online shopping by belt-tightening, closing              The COVID-19 pandemic has triggered unplanned relocations
low-performing stores, and increasing efficiency overall, so               nationwide for several reasons including perceived safety, school
they happened to be better situated in advance of the pandemic             closures, and loss of employment. One of the purported relocation
compared to businesses in other sectors. The grocery store                 trends that has dominated headlines since March is a supposed
industry has been a major bright spot in the sector as most food           mass migration from large cities and dense urban areas to more
retailers have recorded very strong sales through the pandemic             suburban and rural areas. With the majority of white-collar
and have accordingly increased their workforces to meet                    workers working remotely from home, square footage has become
demand. The COVID-19 recession has unfortunately claimed                   more important while proximity to the workplace has become less
multiple victims in the sector, particularly higher-end national           important. While much of the discussion is based on speculation
chains. Most recently IT’SUGAR, Tailored Brands (Jos. A. Bank/             and anecdotal evidence, there has been some data that would
Men’s Wearhouse), and Lord & Taylor have declared bankruptcy.              indicate the trend could be existent at some level in certain areas.

WASHINGTON METRO CRE INVESTMENT VOLUME (2019 vs. 2020)

                                                                                                                            Office

                                                                                                                            Industrial

                                                                                                                            Retail

                                                                                                                            Apartment

                                                                                                                            Land/Dev. Site

  -100%                                   -80%                     -60%   -40%                 -20%                    0%
Source: Real Capital Analytics, Delta Associates; December 2020.

                                                                                              DC DEVELOPMENT REPORT • 2020 / 2021 EDITION    9
ECONOMIC
                              OVERVIEW

According to a Pew Research Center survey conducted in                                                any major city in the nation (according to C2ER’s Cost of Living
June, due to the pandemic: 3% of Americans have relocated,                                            Index), the data is not surprising. That said, comprehensive, hard
6% had someone move into their household, and 14% know                                                evidence of any migration still won’t be available until Census
someone who relocated. Note that this survey does not identify                                        population figures are released in 2021.
the geographic origin or destination of those who moved.
Many people have been forced to relocate within the same                                              Given that the District of Columbia is a coastal city with a high
community for economic reasons, despite a pause in evictions                                          cost of living, there has been speculation on whether the city-to-
in most states. The surging housing market—one of the few                                             suburbs trend has manifested here. According to HireaHelper
economic components that has thrived through most of the                                              data, this might in fact be the case. The District experienced
pandemic—has also been interpreted as evidence of a wave of                                           58% more move-outs than move-ins between March and June.
pandemic-related relocations, but rock-bottom interest rates                                          Interestingly, Alexandria and Arlington County in Northern
likely play a major role as well.                                                                     Virginia experienced an even greater discrepancy at 63% and
                                                                                                      78%, respectively.
Data from moving companies do present a more
geographically-specific, but still somewhat vague, picture                                            MLS data on regional home sales (primarily resales) between
on where out-migrations may be occurring. Two cities in                                               March 2020 and October 2020 compared to the same period
particular, New York and San Francisco, seem to be epicenters                                         in 2019 seems to mostly confirm this trend. Home sales during
of this trend.                                                                                        the period in the urban core of the District, Arlington, and
                                                                                                      Alexandria, as well as the Inner Suburban Ring, were less than
According to HireAHelper’s records of its clients, over                                               1% higher than a year prior. Meanwhile in the Outer Suburban
80% more people sought help to move out of a home in San                                              Ring and Exurban Ring, sales ballooned 11.8% and 20.8%,
Francisco and New York than to move in between mid-March                                              respectively. It remains to be seen how this trend will play out
and the end of June. Given that New York City and San                                                 in the long-term, especially as the pandemic abates and area
Francisco have the highest and third-highest costs of living of                                       residents return to the workplace.

        20
THE DISTRICT’S CHANGE IN BUSINESS REVENUE SINCE JANUARY 2020

                     0

                  -20

                                                                                                                                                               -33%
                  -40                                                                                                                                          -41%
                                                                                                                                                               -43%
                                                                                                                                                               -44%
                  -60

                  -80
                                                                                                                                                               -88%
                -100
                            February          March             April       May        June         July       August    September     October   November December

                                                      Total (All Businesses)                  Transportation                  Professional/Business Services

                                                                        Education/Health Services                       Leisure/Hospitality

Source: Womply via Economic Tracker, Delta Associates; December 2020.

10      © 2021 WASHINGTON DC ECONOMIC PARTNERSHIP
ECONOMIC
                                                                                                    OVERVIEW
COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE
INVESTMENT
The U.S. commercial real estate investment market has                       types, particularly office and hotel, that could be in store for
been hammered by the COVID-19 pandemic, but the effect                      potentially major market restructurings. Some opportunistic
has varied considerably among different property types                      investors are also waiting for the dust to settle before they
or geographic locations—a key difference from the Great                     swoop in and acquire distressed assets. For offshore investors,
Recession. The total volume of all commercial real estate                   the U.S. remains the most attractive location to park their
properties sold in the U.S. was 32% lower than in 2019. Trade               capital, primarily due to the relative stability of the market.
volume is deeply negative year-over-year across all sectors.
However, the greatest disparity between property types was in               The District has not been immune to the greater CRE market
pricing. While prices of warehouse, apartment, and suburban                 struggles, despite the stabilizing presence of the federal
office properties increased 7.4%, 8.5%, and 6.6% on average                 government. Total CRE trade volume was down -51% in
respectively, CBD office, retail, and hotel prices fell -0.2%,              2020 compared to 2019. Based on the limited number of
-6.7%, and -6.8%, respectively.                                             transactions, office prices in the District declined -10.5% in
                                                                            2020, while apartment prices declined -3.3%. It’s also worth
CRE investors stepped back to await further guidance and                    noting that for most deals sellers are still realizing positive
certainty on investment risk. Specifically, the lack of comparable          long-term gains on their investments, the obvious exception
transactions and extremely high uncertainty during the global               being distressed asset sales (which are predicted to increase
pandemic has made underwriting assets and tracking pricing                  in coming quarters). Cap rates nationally have budged little
trends challenging. This is especially true for certain property            from a year ago, except for hotel properties.

THE DISTRICT’S POPULATION GROWTH BY AGE (2018–2019)

          5,000
                                                                                                 4,128
          4,000

          3,000
                                                                                                                         1,911
          2,000
                                        687
           1,000

                  0

          -1,000
                                                                          -1,070
         -2,000
                                                            -2,362
         -3,000
                              Under 18 years              18–24 years   25–39 years          40–64 years          65 years and over

Source: Census Bureau, Delta Associates; December 2020.

                                                                                              DC DEVELOPMENT REPORT • 2020 / 2021 EDITION      11
DEVELOPMENT
                                              OVERVIEW
     THE DISTRICT'S DEVELOPMENT GROUNDBREAKINGS (DECEMBER 2020, SF IN MILLIONS)1
15                                                                                                                  14.4
                                     13.4                                                                                             13.9
                        12.7
                                                                                                                                             12.0   11.8   11.9
12
                                                   10.4                     10.6       10.5                                  10.5
          10.2                                                                                             10.2
                                                                                                 9.8

9
                                                           7.5                                                      101
          89            90                                                                                                            92                          6.5
                                                                                                                             86               81
                                      80                                    80                       77     79                                       76
6                                                                                                                                                          69
                                                    65                                 65
                                                                      4.3                        4.3
                                                            50
                                                                      45                                                                                           41
3

0
          2004         2005         2006          2007     2008      2009   2010       2011     2012       2013     2014     2015    2016    2017   2018   2019   2020

                                                                                   No. of Projects                Total SF

     SUMMARY OF PROJECTS (DECEMBER 2020)

                                                                 PROJECTS                                   SF        ESTIMATED VALUE ($B)

      Completed                                                    1,573                       216,478,505                          $72.0
      2001 – 2010                                                    803                        109,678,947                         $31.0

      2011 – 2020                                                    770                        106,799,558                         $41.1

      2011                                                            54                             5,489,253                       $2.3
      2012                                                            68                             7,848,994                       $2.5
      2013                                                            80                         11,619,129                          $4.8
      2014                                                            71                         11,533,842                          $4.6
      2015                                                            70                             6,224,685                       $2.6
      2016                                                            99                         12,870,149                          $4.5
      2017                                                            85                         13,276,702                          $5.3
      2018                                                            80                         11,236,779                          $4.1
      2019                                                            88                         13,443,702                          $6.0
      2020                                                            75                         13,256,323                          $4.4

      Under Construction                                             110                         20,427,917                         $10.3
      2021 delivery                                                   83                             9,867,709                       $4.8
      2022 delivery                                                   23                             8,833,673                       $3.8
      2023+ delivery                                                   4                             1,726,535                       $1.7

      Pipeline                                                       444                       120,394,407                          $37.1
      Near Term                                                      197                         29,633,149                          $8.8
      Long Term                                                      247                         90,761,258                         $28.3

     Source: Washington DC Economic Partnership

     1. Includes new construction and major renovations.

     12      © 2021 WASHINGTON DC ECONOMIC PARTNERSHIP
DEVELOPMENT
                                                                                     OVERVIEW

PROJECTS COMPLETED (2001–2020)
                    # OF PROJECTS        SQ. FT.   UNITS    ROOMS
¢ Office                305         65,467,061       --       --
¢ Retail
¢ Residential
                        478
                        785
                                     9,933,705
                                    90,046,217
                                                     --
                                                   91,524
                                                              --
                                                              --
                                                                                                      216.5 MILLION
¢ Hospitality           141         21,628,536       --     21,193                                    Square Feet Completed
¢ Quality of Life       323         24,492,561       --       --

Total Estimated Value of Projects: $72.0 billion

PROJECTS UNDER CONSTRUCTION (DECEMBER 2020)
                    # OF PROJECTS        SQ. FT.   UNITS    ROOMS
¢ Office                 20          2,776,597       --       --
¢ Retail
¢ Residential
                         46
                         70
                                     1,093,947
                                    12,898,040
                                                     --
                                                   13,777
                                                              --
                                                              --
                                                                                                      20.4 MILLION
¢ Hospitality            18          1,910,949       --     1,414
                                                                                                      Square Feet Under Construction
¢ Quality of Life        19          1,535,662       --       --

Total Estimated Value of Projects: $10.3 billion

PIPELINE PROJECTS
                    # OF PROJECTS        SQ. FT.   UNITS    ROOMS
¢ Office                 104        31,931,477       --       --
¢ Retail
¢ Residential
                         203
                         294
                                     4,896,392
                                    59,485,705
                                                     --
                                                   66,498
                                                              --
                                                              --
                                                                                                      120.4 MILLION
¢ Hospitality            47          3,515,819       --     5,867                                     Square Feet in the Pipeline
¢ Quality of Life        59          5,283,661       --       --

Total Estimated Value of Projects: $37.1 billion

Despite the health pandemic more than 4.6 million SF of projects broke ground between March and December 2020. During this time
the month of August experienced the most project starts with five, totaling just over one million SF. The vast majority of projects were
multifamily residential showing the continued investor interest in this sector.

PROJECTS STARTED DURING COVID-19
(MARCH–DECEMBER 2020)
                    # OF PROJECTS        SQ. FT.   UNITS    ROOMS

                                                                                                      4.6 MILLION
¢ Office                  4            188,600       --       --
¢ Retail                  8            183,581       --       --
¢ Residential            22          3,699,686     4,007      --
                                                                                                      Square Feet Under Construction
¢ Hospitality             6            418,403       --      472
¢ Quality of Life         4             38,215       --       --

                                                                                          DC DEVELOPMENT REPORT • 2020 / 2021 EDITION   13
YEARS OF
                                                                            GROWTH
Over the past 20 years, the District has                                                                                Howard University, U Street, Shaw, and
experienced 216.5 million SF of new                                                                                     Union Market, New York Ave., NE/Ivy City.
development resulting in 65.5 million SF
of new and modernized office buildings,                                                                                 The neighborhoods that have experienced the
91,500 housing units, 21,200 hotel rooms,                                                                               largest share of development have also seen
and nearly 10 million SF of retail space.1                                                                              the most residential construction during the
                                                                                                                        past 20 years with the Capitol Riverfront (10,770
The two preceding decades have seen similar                                                                             units), DowntownDC, Mt. Vernon Triangle,
development levels, with 109.7 million SF of                                                                            Northwest One (10,263), and H Street NE,
deliveries between 2001–2010 and 106.8                                                                                  NoMa, Union Station (7,812) leading the way.
million SF from 2011–2020. Construction
in the 2000s was concentrated in the                                                                                    As development continues to head east, current
DowntownDC, Mt. Vernon Triangle, Northwest                                                                              hotspots of construction will continue
One neighborhood cluster where nearly a                                                                                 to see growth and new areas such as
quarter of the District’s development took                                                                              St. Elizabeths (8 M SF), Anacostia, Barry Farm
place. However, the 2011–2020 development                                                                               (4.5 M SF), and Minnesota & Benning
cycle expanded and intensified into other                                                                               (2.6 M SF) anticipated to experience
neighborhoods such as Capitol Riverfront,                                                                               significant investment over the next decade.

SELECT NEIGHBORHOOD DEVELOPMENT (SF IN MILLIONS)
                                                                                                                                        COMPLETED
 NEIGHBORHOOD(S)*                                                                                                        2001–2010                      2011–2020              UNDER       PIPELINE
                                                                                                                                                                            CONSTRUCTION

 1. DowntownDC, Mt. Vernon Triangle, Northwest One                                                                            25.6                          13.8                1.6         12.7
 2. H Street NE, NoMa, Union Station                                                                                           8.2                            9.1               2.8         15.3
 3. Capitol Riverfront                                                                                                         9.2                          10.6                2.1          9.9
 4. Buzzard Point, Southwest Waterfront, The Wharf                                                                             8.0                            9.3               2.5         11.6
 5. Eckington, North Capitol, Rhode Island Ave., NE/Brentwood                                                                  1.6                            4.0               1.7         11.2
 6. Union Market, New York Ave., NE/Ivy City                                                                                   0.9                            3.8               1.5          6.3
 7. Capitol Hill                                                                                                               1.3                            2.7               0.1          5.8
 8. Congress Heights/St. Elizabeths                                                                                            0.6                            1.9               0.3          8.0
 9. Anacostia, Barry Farm                                                                                                      0.9                            0.9               0.2          4.5
 10. Minnesota & Benning                                                                                                       0.6                            0.4               0.0          2.6

*Boundaries are based on the Office of Planning's Neighborhood Clusters. Names are based on WDCEP's Neighborhood Profiles and Office of Planning's Neighborhood Clusters.

1. Includes major renovations

14      © 2021 WASHINGTON DC ECONOMIC PARTNERSHIP
YEARS OF
                               GROWTH
COMPLETED DEVELOPMENT PROJECTS    COMPLETED DEVELOPMENT PROJECTS
(2001–2010)                       (2011–2021)

 TOTAL SF                          TOTAL SF
 ■ n/a                             ■  n/a
 ■ < 2.5 M SF                      ■  < 2.5 M SF
 ■ 2.5–5 M SF                      ■  2.5–5 M SF
 ■ 5–10 M SF                       ■  5–10 M SF
 ■ > 10 M SF                       ■  > 10 M SF

DEVELOPMENT PROJECTS UNDER        DEVELOPMENT PROJECTS IN THE
CONSTRUCTION (DECEMBER 2020)      PIPELINE (DECEMBER 2020)

 TOTAL SF                          TOTAL SF
 ■   n/a                           ■ n/a
 ■   < 500,000 SF                  ■ < 2.5 M SF
 ■   500,000–1 M SF                ■ 2.5–5 M SF
 ■   1 M–2 M SF                    ■ 5–10 M SF
 ■   > 2 M SF                      ■ > 10 M SF

                                                   DC DEVELOPMENT REPORT • 2020 / 2021 EDITION   15
DEVELOPMENT
                                     OVERVIEW
The figures below list the developers, architects, and contractors that have been the most                                                                                                        ¢ Completed
active in contributing to DC’s development activity since 2015.
                                                                                                                                                                                                  ¢ Under Construction
                                                                                                                                                                                                  ¢ Pipeline
MOST ACTIVE DEVELOPERS SINCE 2015 (# OF PROJECTS)4
 JBG Smith1
                                                                                       16           2					                                                                       13        31
 Douglas Development Corporation

                                                                                                               20		                                 6         26
 Brookfield Properties      2

                                                          11 1				                                                               11        23
 WC Smith
                                                          11                3                              5       19
 MRP Realty

                                6                      5		                                    6       17
If measured by square feet the most active developers include JBG Smith (11.0M SF), Urban Atlantic (10.3M SF),
Brookfield Properties (10.0M SF), Akridge (6.9M SF), and MRP Realty (6.5M SF).

MOST ACTIVE ARCHITECTS SINCE 2015 (# OF PROJECTS)4
 Bonstra | Haresign Architects
                                                                 17                     5					                                                                                   21        43
 Shalom Baranes Associates
                                                13                          6			                                                               16       35
Torti Gallas + Partners3
                                        11		                                    9				                                                          15       35
WDG Architecture
                                                                                     22                        5		                         7        34
Hickok Cole
                                                                      18            3		                                               12       33
Eric Colbert & Associates
If measured by square feet the most active architects include Shalom Baranes Associates (18.4M SF), WDG Architecture (13.5M SF),
Perkins Eastman DC (13.2M SF), Torti Gallas + Partners (12.2M SF), and SK+I Architectural Design Group (11.6M SF).

MOST ACTIVE GENERAL CONTRACTORS SINCE 2015 (# OF PROJECTS) 4
 Clark Construction Group
                                                                                                                                                                           38                   4                 4 46
 MCN Build
                                                                                                   23                   4             3 30
 James G. Davis Construction Co.
                                                                                    20                   4 24
 Gilbane Building Company
                                                                   16                  4                 4 24
 Hamel Builders
                                                          14                  4                   4 22
If measured by square feet the most active contractors include Clark Construction Group (15.5M SF), Balfour Beatty (6.9M SF),
Donohoe Construction (6.8M SF), James Davis Construction Corporation (5.6M SF), and CBG Building Company (5.5M SF).

1. Includes projects developed as The JBG Companies.   2. Includes projects developed as Forest City Washington.   3. Includes Torti Gallas Urban projects   4. Projects completed since January 2015, under construction or in the pipeline as of
December 2020 (excludes government agencies and colleges/universities). Only companies with 10 or more projects since 2015 are included in SF calculations.

16      © 2021 WASHINGTON DC ECONOMIC PARTNERSHIP
Architecture. Planning. Interiors.

                                            AC HOTEL                         BOATHOUSE

                                                                                   2100 L

                                      801 NEW JERSEY                    PARC RIVERSIDE II

                                      1331 MARYLAND

www.wdgarch.com                                        Washington DC   Dallas TX
DEVELO
PMENT
 BY SECTOR

     OFFICE
     RETAIL
     RESIDENTIAL
     HOSPITALITY
     QUALITY OF LIFE

                  Image courtesy of Roadside Development
Welcome to the future of community development!

TIS Foundation is building a modern transformational center for civic engagement
 and innovation focusing on the health, economic, and social advancement of at-
  risk children and families in the Washington, DC area. The first step is to bring
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      Workforce Development                  Education                   Health & Wellness

   Do not wait... Join our mission today! Contact TIS Foundation at: 202.872.8333

                                       www.tisfoundation.org

                  “ALONE WE CAN DO SO LITTLE, TOGETHER WE CAN DO SO MUCH” - HELEN KELLER
OFFICE DEVELOPMENT
  IN WASHINGTON, DC

               Image courtesy of Brookfield
By: Jonathan Chambers, Vice President, Delta Associates

                                                                                                        While the long-term nature of leases in the
                                                                                                        office sector have provided better protection
                                                                                                        from the COVID-19 shock compared to other
                                                                                                        sectors such as hospitality and multifamily, it
                                                                                                        has not escaped unscathed.

     OFFICE INVENTORY 1                                                    NET ABSORPTION 1                DIRECT VACANCY RATE 1                     AVERAGE FACE RENT 1

     111.1 M
SQUARE FEET (Q4 2020)
                                                                           430 K
                                                                         SQUARE FEET (2020)
                                                                                                                13.9%(Q4 2020)
                                                                                                                                                    $56.69
                                                                                                                                                  PER SQUARE FOOT (Q4 2020)

Office vacancy has climbed virtually across the board nationwide                                        definitively assess their future space needs in the post-COVID
and rent growth has turned negative, yet the full impact of                                             world. Renewals and subleases have dominated since the start of
the economic dip on the office market remains in flux as the                                            the pandemic, while new leases have dwindled. Nationwide, the
pandemic persists. The current damper in office demand will                                             inventory of sublease space has increased by at least 25% through
likely continue in the short-term as most tenants are unlikely to                                       the year. In the District, sublease space increased by about 20%
move forward with major moves or expansions until they can                                              since February according to Transwestern data.

GROWTH OF OFFICE-USING EMPLOYMENT SECTORS IN THE DISTRICT (2010–2020)
  TOTAL:             8,300                -600              5,000               -4,900   -1,400        5,600       4,700       -1,100       700         7,100     -9,200

     8,000

     6,000

     4,000

     2,000

            0

   -2,000

   -4,000

   -6,000

   -8,000

  -10,000
                       2010                 2011               2012               2013    2014          2015        2016         2017       2018         2019      2020

            Federal Government                            Financial Activities           Information           Professional & Business Services        State/Local Government

Source: BLS, Delta Associates; February 2021.

1. REIS, Delta Associates; February 2021 (does not include owner-occupied buildings)

22      © 2021 WASHINGTON DC ECONOMIC PARTNERSHIP
OFFICE
                                                                                                                                 DEVELOPMENT

The District's office market had a solid year of growth in                                                         The pandemic’s effect on office asking rents has been adverse
2019, but the pandemic-triggered recession brought a halt                                                          but minimal. Average asking rent growth in the District in 2020
to positive momentum in early 2020. On the surface, net                                                            was 0.3%. There have also been isolated stories of property
absorption for 2020 remained positive at 430,000 SF, but                                                           owners slashing rents to fill large blocks of vacant space.
this figure includes nearly one million SF of pre-leased new                                                       Lease concessions have skyrocketed, with the average tenant
construction space that delivered during the year. Removing                                                        improvement (TI) package for new deals reaching triple digits for
pre-leased space that delivered in 2020, net absorption                                                            the first time in history. TI allowances for new first-generation
totaled -745,000 SF.                                                                                               space have climbed even higher as developers seek to quickly
                                                                                                                   stabilize their assets. Meanwhile, lease terms for new deals have
Office vacancy in the District has steadily trended upward                                                         fallen over the past year by roughly 10% to 5.9 years on average—
over the year from 12.7% in Q4 2019 to a new record high of                                                        the lowest in nearly a decade. These generous terms could end up
13.9% in Q4 2020. Class A vacancy has also increased from a                                                        weighing on property valuations over the longer term, even in the
rate of 13.1% in Q4 2019 to 13.9% as of Q4 2020.                                                                   unlikely event that teleworking doesn’t markedly affect demand.

DISTRICT OFFICE LEASING CONCESSIONS METRICS (CLASS A/B/C BUILDINGS)
                                                                                                                                                                                       $102.50

                        8.0                                                                                                                                                                        $100.00

                        7.0

                        6.0                                                                                                                                                                  5.9
  TIME (MONTHS/YEARS)

                                                                                                                                                                                                   $80.00

                        5.0

                                                                                                                                                                                                             $ PER SQ. FT.
                        4.0
                                                                                                                                                                                       3.7

                        3.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                   $60.00

                        2.0

                        1.0

                        0.0
                              Q1 2017   Q2 2017   Q3 2017   Q4 2017   Q1 2018    Q2 2018   Q3 2018   Q4 2018    Q1 2019    Q2 2019   Q3 2019   Q4 2019   Q1 2020   Q2 2020   Q3 2020   Q4 2020

                                                            Avg. Months of Free Rent                 Avg. Lease Term (years)               Avg. Tenant Improvement Package/SF

Source: REIS, Delta Associates; February 2021.

                                                                                                                                               DC DEVELOPMENT REPORT • 2020 / 2021 EDITION                          23
OFFICE
                                          DEVELOPMENT

    Unlike its suburban neighbors (where most construction has                                                          If a significant number of current office tenants decide to
    been for pre-leased space), there has been a lot of speculative                                                     commit to a telework-heavy operational model, this could heavily
    construction in the District for the greater part of a decade.                                                      crater office demand and trigger a long-term depression in the
    While a little over two million SF of space delivered over                                                          market. However, there has been no hard evidence of such a
    the past year, there is still another 2.8 million SF of space                                                       major structural change being imminent. None of the largest
    currently being constructed or under extensive renovation/                                                          tenants in the District have yet committed to shedding most or
    rebuild. We anticipate that the construction boom has                                                               all their physical office presence and pivot to remote operations,
    come to a grinding halt, with very few (if any) speculative                                                         although a handful in the suburbs have, as well as smaller
    groundbreakings for at least the duration of the pandemic.                                                          tenants in the District. Still, roughly a third of employers in the
                                                                                                                        metro area plan to shift at least a portion of their workforce to
    With the exception of the Federal Government, job growth                                                            permanent telework after the pandemic is over, and more than
    among the primary office-using employment sectors have                                                              80% of employers plan to allow for greater telework flexibility,
    plunged in the District, including the lucrative bread and                                                          according to the Capital COVID-19 Snapshot.
    butter Professional & Business Services sector. The good
    news is that none of these sectors have been among the                                                              If employers do follow through with plans to shift workers off-
    worst performers, and all have regained a significant share                                                         site, it will likely be a slow, gradual change, especially for tenants
    of the lost positions. Unfortunately for office owners, the                                                         locked into long-term leases or occupying their own space.
    bulk of the workforce at most of these tenants are working                                                          Natural demand generated by economic growth will also offset
    remotely as their space sits under-utilized. In the District                                                        some of the demand deficit. It is also worth noting that dedicated
    only about one-quarter of workers continue to work on-site.2                                                        office space provides value to both employers and workers that
                                                                                                                        extend beyond simple productivity measures.

    NET ABSORPTION BY QUARTER (2020)

                            TOTAL:                 1,364,000                                     -620,000                                   1,196,000                                   -349,000
                          1,500,000

N                         1,200,000                     372,000

                                                         99,000                                                                                468,000
                           900,000
            SQUARE FEET

                           600,000
                                                        893,000
                                                                                                                                               749,000
                           300,000
                                                                                                                                                                                         180,000
                                     0                                                             -125,000                                     -21,000
                                                                                                   -121,000                                                                              -317,000
                          -300,000
                                                                                                    -374,000                                                                             -212,000
                          -600,000

                          -900,000

                                                      Q1 2020                                    Q2 2020                                     Q3 2020                                    Q4 2020

                                                      District of Columbia                                                Suburban MD                                              Northern VA

    Source: Delta Associates; February 2021.

    2. Capital COVID-19 Snapshot: Safe Return to Work survey sponsored by the Metropolitan Washington Council of Governments (MWCOG) and Greater Washington Partnership, August 2020.

    24      © 2021 WASHINGTON DC ECONOMIC PARTNERSHIP
OFFICE
                                                                                                  DEVELOPMENT

Regardless of future teleworking trends, the pandemic is                             Tenants may reconsider densification and open-work spaces,
prompting office developers, owners, managers, and tenants to                        although open floorplans, which foster in-person interaction
rethink how they provide, manage, and consume space. In the                          and collaboration—a key advantage of the physical office
near-term, the pandemic will likely lead lease agreements and                        environment—will likely persist.
office contracts to incorporate a reassessment of liability under
emergency circumstances.                                                             The rapid expansion of coworking firms in the Washington
                                                                                     region has likely come to an end. Even prior to the pandemic
In addition, long-term contingency plans will need to be                             there was concern over the risk that the coworking industry
more clearly defined by building managers, who are already,                          brought to office investors, especially since the industry has not
promoting safe and comfortable environments through a                                yet proven how well it could weather an economic recession.
variety of measures such as temperature checks, motion-                              So far it already appears that these fears were at least partially
sensing hand sanitizer stations, HVAC/air filtration upgrades,                       valid as leasing activity has not only dried up (in concert with
operable exterior windows, mandatory mask policies,                                  the overall market trend), but tenants have been actively
ultraviolet lighting, elevator and building circulation controls,                    reducing their footprints across the nation.
and robust and frequent cleaning/disinfecting schedules.

TOP NEW OFFICE LEASES (2020)
 TENANT                                    LOCATION                                     SUBMARKET                 SQ. FT.    INDUSTRY              TIMEFRAME

 DC Government (Dept. of General                                                        River East
                                           322 40 St., NE
                                                  th
                                                                                                                250,000      Local Government       Q2 2020
 Services)                                                                        (Minnesota & Benning)
 Wiley Rein LLP                            2050 M St., NW                         Central Business District     166,000      Legal                  Q2 2020
                                                                                                                             Non-Governmental
 National Endowment for Democracy          1201 Pennsyvania Ave., NW                     East End                82,000                             Q2 2020
                                                                                                                             Org.
 Wells Fargo                               1700 K St., NW                         Central Business District       69,000     Finance                Q1 2020
 American Trucking Association             80 M St., SE                              Capitol Riverfront          60,000      Trade Assoc.           Q1 2020
 Mintz                                     701 Pennsylvania Ave., NW                     East End                 57,000     Legal                  Q4 2020
 DC Government (Dept. of Employment
                                           400 Virginia Ave., SW                        Southwest                56,400      Local Government       Q3 2020
 Services-Labor Standards Bureau)
 DC Government (Dept. of Housing and
                                           1909 Martin Luther King Jr. Ave., SE    River East (Anacostia)        55,000      Local Government       Q2 2020
 Community Dev.)
 McGuireWoods                              888 16 St., NW
                                                  th
                                                                                  Central Business District      50,600      Legal                  Q1 2020
 Morning Consult                           1025 F St., NW                                East End                 49,000     Tech                   Q4 2020
 Texas A&M University School of
                                           1620 L St., NW                         Central Business District       47,400     Education              Q3 2020
 Government Public Sevice
 GSA (Treasury Inspector General
                                           370 L'Enfant Plz., SW                        Southwest                38,000      Federal Government     Q2 2020
 for Tax Admin.)
 The Atlantic                              610 Water St., SW                            Southwest                35,000      Information            Q4 2020
 EveryAction                               655 15 St., NW
                                                  th
                                                                                         East End                35,000      Tech                   Q1 2020
 NGP VAN Inc.                              655 15th St., NW                              East End                34,000      Tech                   Q2 2020
 Axinn, Veltrop & Harkrider LLP            1901 L St., NW                         Central Business District      33,900      Legal                  Q2 2020
 Media Matters for America                 800 Maine Ave., SW                           Southwest                 31,400     Advocacy/Lobbying      Q2 2020
 NAEYC                                     1401 H St., NW                                East End                28,000      Advocacy/Lobbying      Q1 2020
 Hickok Cole                               301 N St., NE                                   NoMa                  25,000      CRE/Architecture       Q2 2020

Source: Delta Associates; February 2021.

                                                                                                              DC DEVELOPMENT REPORT • 2020 / 2021 EDITION     25
OFFICE
                                                 DEVELOPMENT

Coworking industry giant WeWork was wrestling with its                                             at weathering a downturn, thanks primarily to its
own financial challenges before the year even began, and the                                       heavy reliance on federal tenants, which are unlikely
pandemic has only compounded its troubles. WeWork is the                                           to drastically decrease their physical presence in the
largest private sector tenant in many coastal gateway cities,                                      city, whether due to large-scale teleworking or agency
including the District, where it occupies over one million SF.                                     relocations to other regions. The longstanding uncertainty
In 2020 WeWork placed 56,000 SF of its 100,000 SF Dupont                                           surrounded the federal sector has evaporated somewhat
Circle space on the market for sublease and closed three of                                        following the election of President Joe Biden and unified
its oldest locations in the District totaling about 100,000                                        party control of Congress. The results of the recent
SF of space. Another three locations in the District totaling                                      elections will almost certainly have an outsized impact
over 200,000 SF are slated for closure in 2021. WeWork’s                                           on future federal spending, and indirectly the local office
sudden reversal in fortunes hits the District particularly hard                                    market. The growing GSA backlog of leases in extension
in comparison to its suburban neighbors, as WeWork has                                             or holdover status, the large-scale shift from leased space
accounted for more net positive office absorption in the city                                      to federally-owned properties, the recent trend of moving
over the last few years than any other private sector tenant, by                                   federal agencies to other regions, and historically weak
a wide margin. WeWork isn’t alone in reducing its footprint,                                       federal hiring, could all be resolved or reversed in the
Regus, MakeOffices, and spaces have all closed locations in                                        District’s favor with a new Democratic government in
the District or completely shut down operations altogether.                                        power.

Despite the somewhat bleak and uncertain overall outlook,
the District’s office market is better prepared than most

THE DISTRICT’S AVAILABLE OFFICE SPACE FOR SUBLET (DECEMBER 2019–DECEMBER 2020)

                                  2.0

                                  1.9

                                  1.8

                                  1.7
             MILLIONS OF SQ.FT.

                                  1.6

                                  1.5

                                  1.4

                                  1.3

                                  1.2

                                  1.1

                                  1.0

                                        Dec-19    Jan-20   Feb-20   Mar-20   Apr-20   May-20   Jun-20   July-20   Aug-20   Sept-20   Oct-20   Nov-20   Dec-20

Source: Transwestern, Delta Associates; December 2020.

26      © 2021 WASHINGTON DC ECONOMIC PARTNERSHIP
OFFICE
                                                                                                                                     DEVELOPMENT

OFFICE DEVELOPMENT                                                                                               GROUNDBREAKINGS                       COMPLETED                        PROJECTED
(DECEMBER 2020, OFFICE SF, IN MILLIONS)                                                                           PRIVATE         GOVT                      PRIVATE      GOVT               PRIVATE         GOVT

        2004                                                                             4.9 0.4 5.3              2004                              2.0               1.2 3.2
       2005                                               2.8                   1.4 4.2                          2005                                                     3.6 3.6
       2006                                                             3.8 0.4 4.1                              2006                                                                 4.4                   1.5 5.9
        2007                                                                           4.7 4.7                    2007                                                     3.7       0.6 4.3
       2008                                                 3.0       0.5 3.5                                     2008                              2.0               1.2 3.2
       2009               0.9                  1.1 2.0                                                           2009                                                                                 5.6   0.4 6.0
        2010           0.7                                         2.8 3.4                                        2010                                         2.7      0.7 3.4
         2011                   1.3    0.4 1.7                                                                    2011                 1.2          0.8 2.0
        2012                    1.3    0.4 1.7                                                                    2012         0.8                1.0 1.8
        2013                  1.1 0.2 1.2                                                                         2013                              2.0                           2.1 4.1
        2014                                                3.0           0.9 3.9                                 2014           0.9                1.0 1.9
        2015                             1.8        0.7 2.4                                                       2015      0.6 0.1 0.7
        2016                                             2.7 0.3 3.0                                              2016                              2.0 0.3 2.2
        2017                                         2.6 0.2 2.8                                                  2017                  1.3          0.8 2.1
        2018                    1.2 1.2                                                                           2018                                           2.9 0.3 3.1
        2019                             1.8 0.2 2.0                                                              2019                                                     3.4      0.5 3.9
       2020      0.3 0.1 0.3                                                                                      2020                          1.6 0.2 1.8
                                                                                                                 2021*                  1.3 0.2 1.4
                                                                                                                 2022*                 1.2 0.1 1.2

*projections based on targeted delivery dates of projects under construction as of December 2020

OFFICE DEVELOPMENT (DECEMBER 2020)
                                                         PROJECTS                                    OFFICE SF
 COMPLETED (SINCE 2001)                                         305                                65,467,061
 2010                                                            10                                 3,408,455
 2011                                                             8                                  1,987,719
 2012                                                             9                                 1,818,359
 2013                                                            20                                  4,127,439
 2014                                                            11                                  1,925,674
 2015                                                             4                                    651,500
 2016                                                            19                                 2,211,006
 2017                                                            11                                  2,125,785
 2018                                                            15                                  3,139,202
 2019                                                            18                                 3,897,360
 2020                                                             7                                 1,766,846

 UNDER CONSTRUCTION                                             20                                  2,776,597
 2021 DELIVERY                                                  14                                   1,427,435
 2022 DELIVERY                                                   5                                   1,217,162
 2023+ DELIVERY                                                  1                                    132,000

 PIPELINE                                                       104                                31,931,477
 NEAR TERM                                                       41                                 5,859,577
 LONG TERM                                                       63                                26,071,900

 TOTAL                                                          429                            100,175,135

                                                                                                                     80 M Street, SE addition

                                                                                                                                                    DC DEVELOPMENT REPORT • 2020 / 2021 EDITION                    27
■ COMPLETED
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       ■ UNDER CONSTRUCTION
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       ■ PIPELINE

                                           17

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                                                VIRGINIA
                                                                                                                                                               UNION
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                                                                                                                                                              STATION

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                                                                                                              NATIONAL MALL                                                                                                                                              E. CAPITOL ST.
                                                  VIRGINIA
                                                                                                                                                      U.S. CAPITOL

                                                                                                                                       28                    27

                                                                                                                                                                  20                                                                                         FORT DUPONT
                                                                                                                                                           26            15                                                                                     PARK
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                                                                                                    AIRPORT

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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      All project locations
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      are approximate.
DEVELOPMENT
                                                                                                                                  PIPELINE

                                                                                                                                                                    EST. VALUE
         PROJECT                                                WARD      LOCATION                         DEVELOPER(S)                                 OFFICE SF                DELIVERY2
                                                                                                                                                                      ($M) 1

TOP OFFICE PROJECTS COMPLETED (Q4 2019–Q4 2020)
  1      Sentinel Square III                                       6      45 L St., NE                     Trammell Crow Company                        545,000          $250      Q2 20
  2      250 Massachusetts Avenue                                  2      250 Massachusetts Ave., NW       Property Group Partners                      507,764          $275      Q4 19
  3      2050 M Street                                             2      2050 M St., NW                   Tishman Speyer                               353,200                    Q1 20
  4      1900 N                                                    2      1900 N St., NW                   JBG Smith                                    259,000          $230      Q4 19
  5      1901 L Street                                             2      1901 L St., NW                   The Meridian Group                           202,000                    Q1 20
  6      2100 L Street                                             2      2100 L St., NW                   Akridge / Argos Group                        182,000           $47      Q3 20
  7      888 16th Street                                           2      888 16 St., NW
                                                                                    th
                                                                                                           Trammell Crow Company / Meadow               150,000                    Q4 19
                                                                                                           Partners
  8      1050 17th Street                                          2      1050 17th St., NW                The Lenkin Company                           148,610                    Q2 20
  9      1 M Street                                                6      1 M St., SE                      Monument Realty                              129,536                    Q1 20
 10      Shops at Penn Branch (Phase I)                            7      3200 Pennsylvania Ave., SE       Jair Lynch Real Estate Partners               17,000           $25      Q4 19

TOP OFFICE PROJECTS UNDER CONSTRUCTION
 11      The Wharf (Phase II)                                      6      Southwest Waterfront             Hoffman & Associates / Madison Marquette     547,000        $1,150      Q3 22
 12      2100 Pennsylvania Avenue                                  2      2100 Pennsylvania Ave., NW       Boston Properties / George Washington        423,562          $360      Q2 22
                                                                                                           University
 13      1275 New Jersey Avenue                                    6      1275 New Jersey Ave., SE         Brookfield Properties                        296,176                    Q4 21
 14      Signal House                                              5      1255 Union St., NE               Carr Properties                              214,000          $135      Q1 21
 15      250 M at Canal Park                                       6      250 M St., SE                    WC Smith                                     180,600          $133      Q1 21
 16      H. Carl Moultrie Courthouse                               2      500 Indiana Ave., NW             DC Superior Court                            176,000           $97       2021
 17      City Ridge                                                3      3900 Wisconsin Ave., NW          Roadside                                     170,000          $715      Q2 22
 18      699 14th Street                                           2      699 14th St., NW                 Lincoln Property Company / Cara Real         149,000                    Q1 21
                                                                                                           Estate
 19      The Milken Center for                                     2      1501–1505 Pennsylvania           Akridge / Milken Family Foundation           132,000                     2024
         Advancing the American Dream                                     Ave., NW & 730 15th St., NW
 20      80 M Street                                               6      80 M St., SE                     Columbia Property Trust                      112,000                    Q4 21

TOP OFFICE PROJECTS IN THE PIPELINE
 21      2100 M Street                                             2      2100 M St., NW                   Meadow Partners / Network Realty Partners    369,097                     2022
 22      600 5th Street                                            2      600 5th St., NW                  Stonebridge Associates / Rockefeller Group   355,000          $300       2025
 23      Saint Elizabeths East (Parcel 17)                         8      Saint Elizabeths East Campus     Redbrick LMD / Gragg Cardona Partners        267,000          $170       2023
         Northeast Heights                                         7      Minnesota Ave. &                 Cedar Realty Trust /                         265,000          $420    2022–28
 24
                                                                          Benning Rd., NE                  Trammell Crow Company
 25      Reunion Square (Building 4)                               8      Shannon Place & W St., SE        Four Points / Curtis Development             229,859                     2023
 26      5 M Street                                                6      5 M St., SW                      JBG Smith                                    226,132
 27      Cannon House Office Building                              6      27 Independence Ave., SE         Architect of the Capitol                     206,500          $188       2022
         Renewal (Ph III)
 28      300 7th Street                                            6      300 7th St., SW                  Jair Lynch Real Estate Partners              203,414          $122
 29      615 H Street                                              2      615 H St., NW                    Monument Realty                               69,000           $55
 30      MLK Gateway II                                            8      1909 Martin L King Jr Ave., SE   Menkiti Group                                 60,000                     2022

1) may include non-office components & pipeline values may include additional phases ($ in millions)
2) delivery date may reflect phase I delivery or final phase delivery .

                                                                                                                                      DC DEVELOPMENT REPORT • 2020 / 2021 EDITION       29
DEVELOPMENT
                                                                                     HIGHLIGHTS

                                                                                                                                                 Image courtesy of CoStar
                                                                                                                                    WARD 6                                                                                                                       WARD 2

                                                          1 M STREET                                                                                                                    1050 17TH STREET

                                                         LOCATION:          1 M Street, SE                                                                                             LOCATION:          1050 17th Street, NW
                                                         DEVELOPER(S):      Monument Realty                                                                                            DEVELOPER(S):      The Lenkin Company
                                                         ARCHITECT(S):      HOK                                                                                                        ARCHITECT(S):      Gensler
                                                         CONTRACTOR(S):     Lendlease                                                                                                  CONTRACTOR(S):     Clark Construction Group
                                                         LEED:              Gold                                                                                                       LEED:              Gold
                                                         STATUS:            Completed                                                                                                  STATUS:            Completed
                                                         TARGETED DELIVERY: Q2 2020                                                                                                    TARGETED DELIVERY: Q2 2020

                                                         SPECS: 1 M Street is an 11-story, 131,000 SF office building with 4,100 SF of                                                 SPECS: 1050 17th Street is a new 12-story, 153,000 SF office building with 4,300 SF
                                                         ground-floor retail space. It is the new headquarters for the 150-employee                                                    of retail space. The building features a 3,600 SF fitness center, a 4,700 SF rooftop
                                                         National Association of Broadcasters (NAB). NAB purchased the building for                                                    lounge, 200 parking spaces in four below-grade levels, and a "triple-scrubbed"
                                                         $63 million in 2019.                                                                                                          fresh air delivered to each occupied space via a Dedicated Outdoor Air System,
                                                                                                                                                                                       exchanging 100% of the air every 55 minutes.
Photo by Alan Schindler (courtesy of WDG Architecture)

                                                                                                                                                 Image courtesy of Boston Properties

                                                                                                                                    WARD 2                                                                                                                       WARD 2

                                                          2100 L STREET                                                                                                                 2100 PENNSYLVANIA AVENUE

                                                         LOCATION:          2100 L Street, NW                                                                                          LOCATION:          2100 Pennsylvania Avenue, NW
                                                         DEVELOPER(S):      Akridge / Argos Group                                                                                      DEVELOPER(S):      Boston Properties / George Washington University
                                                         ARCHITECT(S):      WDG Architecture / Martinez & Johnson                                                                      ARCHITECT(S):      Pelli Clarke Pelli Architects / WDG Architects
                                                         CONTRACTOR(S):     James G. Davis Construction Corporation                                                                    CONTRACTOR(S):     Balfour Beatty
                                                         LEED:              Platinum                                                                                                   LEED:              Gold                  EST. VALUE: $360 million
                                                         STATUS:            Completed                                                                                                  STATUS:            Under Construction
                                                         TARGETED DELIVERY: Q3 2020                                                                                                    TARGETED DELIVERY: Q2 2022

                                                         SPECS: 2100 L Street is a 10-story, 190,000 SF trophy office building with 8,000                                              SPECS: 2100 Pennsylvania Avenue will be an 11-story, 454,000 SF trophy office
                                                         SF of retail space. The building offers floor-to-ceiling glass, a two-story lobby, an                                         building with up to 30,000 SF of neighborhood-serving retail. The building will
                                                         art gallery with private outdoor terraces, a penthouse conference center, and an                                              have two wings interconnected by a central atrium space and about 325 parking
                                                         outdoor pocket park.                                                                                                          spaces. WilmerHale is the anchor tenant, leasing about 288,000 SF of office space.

                                                         30    © 2021 WASHINGTON DC ECONOMIC PARTNERSHIP
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