Determining labour shortages and the need for labour migration
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EMN Focussed Study 2015: Determining labour shortages and the need for labour migration Co-funded by the European Union First Focussed Study 2015 Determining labour shortages and the need for labour migration French Contact Point for the European Migration Network May 2015 1
EMN Focussed Study 2015: Determining labour shortages and the need for labour migration PRESENTATION OF THE FRENCH CONTACT POINT French Contact Point: In France, the National Contact Point (NCP) for the European Migration Network (EMN) is attached to the Directorate-General for Foreign Nationals in France of the Ministry of the Interior. • Contacts - Marie-Hélène AMIEL: marie-helene.amiel@interieur.gouv.fr Head of Department for Statistics, Studies and Documentation - Raymond PRATS: raymond.prats@interieur.gouv.fr Deputy Head of Department - Ophélie TARDIEU: ophelie.tardieu@interieur.gouv.fr Coordinator of the French National Contact Point - Christelle CAPORALI-PETIT : christelle.caporali-petit@interieur.gouv.fr Policy officer within the European Migration Network - Anne-Cécile JARASSE: anne-cecile.jarasse@interieur.gouv.fr Policy officer within the European Migration Network • Address Point de contact national du Réseau européen des migrations Département des statistiques, des études et de la documentation Direction générale des étrangers en France Ministère de l’Intérieur Place Beauvau 75800 Paris Cedex 08 • Internet sites - Official EMN website (in English): http://emn.europa.eu - French National Contact Point of EMN website: http://www.immigration.interieur.gouv.fr/Europe-International/Le-reseau-europeen-des-migrations- REM 2
EMN Focussed Study 2015: Determining labour shortages and the need for labour migration DETERMINING LABOUR SHORTAGES AND THE NEED FOR LABOUR MIGRATION Study conducted by the French Contact Point for the European Migration Network (EMN) May 2015 Disclaimer: The French Contact point for the EMN has provided information that is, to the best of its knowledge, up-to-date and objective, within the context and scope of this study. However, the information may not be exhaustive and representative of the entirety of the official policy in France. The French Contact point for the EMN shall not be held liable, under any circumstances, for the use made of the information contained in this study. 3
EMN Focussed Study 2015: Determining labour shortages and the need for labour migration Acronyms ANAEM: French National Agency for the Reception of Foreigners and Migrants, (Agence Nationale de l’Accueil des Étrangers et des Migrants) which became the French Office for Immigration and Integration (OFII) in 2009 ANPE: French National Employment Agency (Agence Nationale pour l’Emploi), which merged with the Assedic network in 2008 to become Pôle Emploi APEC: Association for Professional Recruitment (Association Pour les Emplois des Cadres) CAS: Strategic Analysis Council (Conseil d’Analyse Stratégique) which in 2013 became the General Commission for Strategy and Economic Foresight (Commissariat Général à la Stratégie et la Prospective), more commonly known as France Stratégie CESEDA: Code on Entry and Residence of Foreigners and Right of Asylum (Code de l’entrée et de séjour des étrangers et droit d’asile) COE: French Employment Counselling and Advisory Board (Conseil d’Orientation pour l’Emploi), an expert discussion body on all employment-related issues, under the auspices of the Prime Minister CREDOC: Research Centre for the Study and Observation of Living Conditions (Centre de Recherche pour l’Étude et l’Observation des Conditions de Vie) DARES: Directorate for Research and Statistics (Direction de l’Animation de la Recherche, des Études et des Statistiques) DGEF: General Directorate for Foreigners in France (Direction Générale des Étrangers en France) under the auspices of the Ministry of the Interior DGEFP: General Directorate for Employment and Vocational Training (Direction Générale à l’Emploi et à la Formation Professionnelle) within the Ministry for Labour, Employment, Vocational Training and Social Dialogue. DGT: General Directorate for Labour (Direction Générale du Travail) within the Ministry for Labour, Employment, Vocational Training and Social Dialogue. DIRECCTE: Regional Directorate for Business, Competition, Consumer Affairs, Labour and Employment (Direction Régionale des Entreprises, de la Concurrence, de la Consommation, du Travail et de l’Emploi) a decentralised department under the joint responsibility of the Ministry for Labour, Employment, Vocational Training and Social Dialogue and the Ministry for the Economy, Finance and Industry. DRTEFP: Regional Directorate for Labour, Employment and Vocational Training (Direction Régionale du Travail, de l’Emploi et de la Formation Professionnelle), a decentralised department under the Ministry for Employment. FAP: Professional groups (Familles professionnelles) 4
EMN Focussed Study 2015: Determining labour shortages and the need for labour migration ISCO: International Standard Classification of Occupations INSEE: National Institute for Statistics and Economic Research (Institut National de la Statistique et des Études Économiques) MAE: Ministry for Foreign Affairs, which became the Ministry for Foreign Affairs and International Development (MAEDI) in 2014 ROME: Operational Directory of Professions and Occupations (Répértoire Opérationnel des Métiers et des Emplois) 5
EMN Focussed Study 2015: Determining labour shortages and the need for labour migration TABLE OF CONTENTS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ......................................................................................................................8 SECTION 1: GENERAL OVERVIEW OF THE NATIONAL LABOUR MIGRATION POLICY AND RECENT PUBLIC AND POLICY DEBATES ON LABOUR MIGRATION IN FRANCE .............................................................................................................................................. 10 Q1. Description of the national labour migration policy functions in France. .................................. 10 Q1.a. Are conditions for entry and stay for (categories of) third country nationals provided in national legislation linked to shortage occupations? ..................................................................... 10 Q1.b. Instruments in place in France for managing economic migration (quotas, labour market tests, points-based systems, other instruments) and their links to labour shortages identified...... 11 Q1.c. To what extent does France view immigration as a tool to address labour shortages? What overall role for migration to address labour shortages is envisaged by policy in France? ............ 12 Q2. Description of recent public and policy debates in the area of labour migration, especially with regard to debates on how labour migration is planned to be utilised to address labour market shortages. ........................................................................................................................................... 15 SECTION 2: OVERVIEW OF INSTRUMENTS USED FOR IDENTIFYING CURRENT AND FUTURE LABOUR AND SKILLS SHORTAGES AND FOR ANTICIPATING THE NEED FOR LABOUR MIGRATION .................................................................................................................... 17 Q3. Definition and classification of labour shortages ....................................................................... 17 Q3.a. How are labour shortages defined, identified and classified in France? .............................. 17 Q3.b. The level of analysis (e.g. by sectors, by occupations or by qualifications or skill levels) . 21 Q3.c. Classifications of shortages in legislation or soft law.......................................................... 21 Q3.d. To what extent the level of analysis includes region/local level?........................................ 22 Q4. Has France established any distinctions between different types of labour shortages, such as short-term and longer-term shortages, cyclical shortages and structural shortages?......................... 22 Q5. Instruments/tools used in France to identify labour shortages and the need for migration labour................................................................................................................................................. 23 Q6. Concerning lists of shortage occupations, description of: .......................................................... 29 Q6.a. The process for developing shortage occupation lists ......................................................... 29 Q6.b. The criteria for selecting the shortage occupations ............................................................. 30 Q6.c. Organisations/institutions playing a role in determining lists of shortage occupations ....... 31 Q6.d. The update of the lists of shortage occupations ................................................................... 31 Q7. The use for policy purposes of the instruments and tools used for identifying labour market shortages (Is there a formalised mechanism to disseminate the information produced?) ................. 32 Q8. Use of tools/mechanisms for identifying labour market shortages to determine policy instruments for managing economic migration ................................................................................. 32 Q9. Existence of mechanisms or tools to monitor intra-EU mobility of workers filling job vacancies in the national labour market or leaving to work in other Member States ........................................ 33 6
EMN Focussed Study 2015: Determining labour shortages and the need for labour migration Q10. The role of social partners and other stakeholders in identifying the need for migrant labour. mechanism to consult/involve social partners in identifying the anticipated need for migrant labour................................................................................................................................................. 34 Q11. Summary of the results/findings of instruments used in France (see Q.5) to identify labour shortages and the need for migrant workers. ..................................................................................... 34 Q12. The challenges and risks of labour migration ........................................................................... 38 Q12.a. Challenges and risks associated with the use of instruments for identifyign labour shortages and the need for migration labour in France ................................................................. 38 Q12.b. Existence of shortage occupations which are not addressed through labour migration .... 39 SECTION 3: MONITORING THE OUTCOMES OF LABOUR MIGRATION POLICY IN RELATION TO SHORTAGE OCCUPATIONS ............................................................................. 40 Q13. Monitoring of the outcomes of labour migration policies in relation to shortage occupations 40 Q13.a. Monitoring mechanisms (e.g. workforce analysis, analysis of types and number of work permits granted, sectoral analysis, discussions with employers, etc.) ........................................... 40 Q13.b. Monitoring level of labour migration policy outcomes ..................................................... 40 Q13.c. Organisations carrying out such monitoring ...................................................................... 41 Q13.d. Monitoring in legislation or soft law ................................................................................. 41 Q14. Use for each of the instruments and tools used for monitoring the outcomes of labour migration policy in relation to shortage occupations ........................................................................ 41 Q15. Role of social partners (including organised representatives of employers and employees) and other stakeholders in monitoring the effects of labour migration on the labour market ................... 41 Q16. Challenges associated with monitoring the outcomes of labour migration policy in relation to shortage occupations and impact of labour migration on the labour market at large ........................ 42 ANNEX 1 - SHORTAGE OCCUPATIONS ..................................................................................... 44 A1. Workers employed by selected occupation and estimated unfilled positions (statistic for the latest available year) .......................................................................................................................... 44 A2. Top 30 professions included in the list of 30 shortage occupations (statistics for the last available year) by occupational classification ................................................................................... 49 ANNEX 2 - LIST OF SHORTAGE OCCUPATIONS SET BY DECREE .................................... 54 ANNEX 3 – LIST OF PEOPLE INTERVIEWED OR HAVING CONTRIBUTED TO THE STUDY ................................................................................................................................................. 64 ANNEX 4 - BIBLIOGRAPHY ........................................................................................................... 67 7
EMN Focussed Study 2015: Determining labour shortages and the need for labour migration EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The European labour market faces several challenges: an ageing society, rapid technological changes, increasing demand for highly skilled labour and uncertainty about the future growth of European economies. It is, therefore, essential to identify and address labour market shortages which could affect growth through their adverse effects on labour productivity. These discussions take place within the context of the Europe 2020 Strategy, the EU’s strategy to promote growth and employment. One of the objectives is to create jobs and skills and to reach an employment rate of 75%. To respond to economic and demographic realities, EU Member States have developed a competitiveness policy to attract talent and skills with a sectoral approach to legal migration and flexible admission mechanisms which respond to each State’s priorities. The aim of this study is to establish the connections between migration policy and labour shortages in France. The first part of this study sets out the national immigration policy and recent public discussions on labour migration. It examines the extent to which conditions of entry and residence for third-country nationals in France are directly connected to labour shortages, as well as the policy instruments used to manage labour migration. It then presents recent public discussions on labour migration, particularly on the ways in which labour migration is used to respond to labour market shortages. The second part initially presents research and analysis to identify labour market and skills shortages. It then looks at the process of drafting lists of shortage occupations and identifying the stakeholders involved in drafting these lists. Finally, it analyses the conclusions of these instruments and presents the associated risks and challenges of using them in connection with the needs for labour migration. It demonstrates that, although sectoral and foresight research and analyses aim to identify labour and skills shortages, there does not appear to be any link between this research and lists of shortage occupations which are established in connection with labour migration. The third part monitors the outcomes of labour migration policy in terms of labour market shortages by examining the tools and mechanisms and by studying the use of these instruments, the role of the social partners and other stakeholders. It also presents the challenges and risks associated with using these tools. The elements presented may raise questions about the connections between the labour market analysis tools which have been established by the government, the needs of business, and current migration policy. 8
EMN Focussed Study 2015: Determining labour shortages and the need for labour migration Finally, this study presents possible areas for reflection to develop a new mechanism which would enable the labour market to continue to be protected and to respond more appropriately to the needs of the French economy. 9
EMN Focussed Study 2015: Determining labour shortages and the need for labour migration SECTION 1: GENERAL OVERVIEW OF THE NATIONAL LABOUR MIGRATION POLICY AND RECENT PUBLIC AND POLICY DEBATES ON LABOUR MIGRATION IN FRANCE Q1. DESCRIPTION OF THE NATIONAL LABOUR MIGRATION POLICY FUNCTIONS IN FRANCE. Q1.A. ARE CONDITIONS FOR ENTRY AND STAY FOR (CATEGORIES OF) THIRD COUNTRY NATIONALS PROVIDED IN NATIONAL LEGISLATION LINKED TO SHORTAGE OCCUPATIONS? Immigration policy in France has traditionally focused on two areas: family/humanitarian migration and labour migration. The connection between these two areas has changed over time, depending on the economic situation of the country. Thus, labour shortages or increases in unemployment have resulted in more foreign workers entering the country or, in contrast, have reduced labour migration. Today, with more than 17,800 admissions for residence being granted to third country nationals, i.e. more than 8% of new admissions for residence, labour migration is in third place behind family immigration and student immigration, which represent 45% and 30% of admissions respectively. Admission for residence of third-country nationals Reasons for admission 2013 (provisional) A. Economic 17,832 B. Family 93,173 C. Student 62,614 D. Other 12,952 E. Humanitarian 17,425 Total 203,996 Source: Report to Parliament 2013 In order to work in France, a third-country national must apply in advance for a work permit and/or residence permit. This is granted if various criteria are met, in particular identical conditions of employment and remuneration between French and foreign employees for salaried work, the feasibility of an economic project, etc. Applications for a work permit for salaried work are subject to examination of various criteria set out in the Labour Code,1 in particular: – the employment situation is not applicable ; – the professional qualifications of the applicant match the job being offered (qualifications, career experience, etc.); – employment and remuneration conditions must be the same as that for other workers in the same occupational group; 1 Article R. 5221-20: http://www.legifrance.gouv.fr/affichCodeArticle.do?cidTexte=LEGITEXT000006072050&idArticle=LEGIART I000018495606&dateTexte=&categorieLien=cid 10
EMN Focussed Study 2015: Determining labour shortages and the need for labour migration – the gross monthly salary must be at least equivalent to the minimum monthly wage (Salaire Minimum Interprofessionnel de Croissance - SMIC);2 – the employer complies with labour and social protection legislation. The specific case of foreigners who reside illegally in France should be reported. The exceptional admission for residence mechanism takes into account elements which may contribute towards the assessment of individual situations. Foreigners may, therefore, be regularised on the grounds of private and family life or for work reasons if they can demonstrate that they have lived and worked in the country with an employment contract in line with the legislation in force. In this case, the employment situation is not applicable to refuse the application for permission to work. This is a significant way of accessing the French labour market for sectors which often face proven recruitment difficulties and which often include poorly qualified jobs. Volume of exceptional admissions for residence of foreign nationals (France as a whole) 2013 30,536 Private and family life Employee 4,403 Students 331 Total 35,270 Source: DSED/DGEF/Ministry of the Interior The employment situation is the main criterion used by the authorities, i.e. the Prefect who takes the decision whether or not to grant a work permit. This criteria was established in 1974 to protect the national labour market. Its main aim is to promote integration into the labour market of job seekers and foreigners who reside legally on French territory, regardless of their nationality. This is the principle of preference for the national and European labour market. Q1.B. INSTRUMENTS IN PLACE IN FRANCE FOR MANAGING ECONOMIC MIGRATION (QUOTAS, LABOUR MARKET TESTS, POINTS-BASED SYSTEMS, OTHER INSTRUMENTS) AND THEIR LINKS TO LABOUR SHORTAGES IDENTIFIED Two aspects are taken account in determining the ‘employment situation’ criterion: pressure on the labour market for the job in question (relationship between supply and demand) and what the employer has already done to look for candidates. Foreign nationals who are not eligible for the specific flexible procedures (see Box page 14) and who are recruited for a salaried position in a sector and geographic zone which is facing recruitment difficulties and which features on a national list drawn up by the administrative authorities, cannot be refused a work permit on the grounds of the employment situation. 2 For information, on 1 January 2015, the SMIC amounted to €9.61 gross per hour. 11
EMN Focussed Study 2015: Determining labour shortages and the need for labour migration Different lists exist according to whether the employee is a third country national (or from a new EU Member State - subject to a transitional period in relation to the free movement of its workers),3 or when they fall within a bilateral joint management agreement where a specific list of shortage occupations has been established4 Foreign nationals, therefore, remain subject to the employment situation criteria when: - their occupation is not listed in a bilateral agreement which is applicable given their nationality; - their occupation is not listed in the Decree of 18 January 20085 applicable to third country nationals, with the exclusion of Algerian nationals, who are exclusively covered by the French-Algerian agreement of 27 December 1968, revised (or that of 1 October 20126 for EU nationals during transitional periods); - and they are applying for a residence permit which is not covered by the relaxed procedures. When a foreign national cannot claim to fall within one of these exceptions, the employment situation criterion must therefore be verified. This verification is conducted while assessing the application for a work permit: the employer must provide proof of having looked for candidates with Pôle Emploi or another body providing similar services to the public employment service (such as the Association for Professional Recruitment (APEC), temporary work agencies, etc.). If candidates have applied for the vacancy, the employer must explain why they were not selected and mention any specific nature of the position. They must then study the job statistics provided by the statistical departments of the Regional Directorates for Business, Competition, Consumer Affairs, Labour and Employment (DIRECCTE) to find out for a given post within a specific employment area or region, the number of job seekers, the number of registered vacancies according to length of contract, the leakage rate for job vacancies and the rate at which vacancies are filled.7 By comparing this information, it can be checked whether the employer has indeed already sought applicants, if research for candidates are ‘honest’ and genuine, and if, despite unfavourable statistics (indicating a high unemployment rate), it is possible to recruit a foreign employee because of a certain feature of the position or specific skills of the employee. Q1.C. TO WHAT EXTENT DOES FRANCE VIEW IMMIGRATION AS A TOOL TO ADDRESS LABOUR SHORTAGES? WHAT OVERALL ROLE FOR MIGRATION TO ADDRESS LABOUR SHORTAGES IS ENVISAGED BY POLICY IN FRANCE? 3 Croatia became a member of the EU on 1 July 2013 and was subject as such to transitional measures for a period of two years until July 1, 2015. 4 The list of shortage occupations in bilateral agreements is available in the Annex 2 - list of bilateral agreements available on: http://www.immigration-professionnelle.gouv.fr/proc%C3%A9dures/m%C3%A9tiers-en-tension 5 Decree of 18 January 2008: http://www.legifrance.gouv.fr/affichTexte.do?cidTexte=JORFTEXT000017937372 6 Decree of 1 October 2012: http://www.legifrance.gouv.fr/affichTexte.do?cidTexte=JORFTEXT000026483654&dateTexte=&categorieLien =id 7 See glossary on page 20. 12
EMN Focussed Study 2015: Determining labour shortages and the need for labour migration For several years, France has followed a policy of welcoming talent which does not respond to labour shortages but focusses on welcoming target groups who can contribute towards the economic development and reputation of France. This policy, which aims to revive labour immigration, is also based on a precise evaluation of ‘the need for labour migration’.8 Thus of the 17,832 first residence permits issued in 2013 for economic reasons (for a stay of more than three months), only certain categories of employee received a work permit after having checked that the employment situation permitted them to be recruited (see the table on p.14). It can therefore be estimated that fewer than 10,000 foreign nationals are subject each year to the principle of the employment situation for a wok permit application. However, this estimate does not take into account two factors enabling exemption from this criteria, namely nationality and the occupation in question, which mean the employee may be eligible for the list of shortage occupations. Moreover, it should be noted that family immigration is the most significant vector in terms of migration flows, representing more than 45% of all admissions for residence in 2013. This population has direct access to the labour market, and is therefore not covered by the mechanisms which have been established to protect the national labour market. This is also the case for humanitarian immigration (8% of total admissions). To conclude, only a limited number of foreigners moving to France to take up paid employment are subject to the employment situation criterion and will be recruited to respond to labour market needs as the result of a lack of available applicants in the labour market. 8 Report of the French Council of Economic Analysis (Conseil d’Analyse Économique): Immigration, qualifications et marché du travail, La Documentation Française, 2009 (p. 42) 13
EMN Focussed Study 2015: Determining labour shortages and the need for labour migration The criterion of the employment situation per legal grounds of labour migration Categories of foreigners who are not subject to the employment situation principle: - students holding a qualification at least equivalent to a master’s degree may seek a Provisional Residence Permit (Autorisation Provisoire de Séjour - APS)9 with a view to seeking their first work experience, as long as they fulfil the criteria for remuneration and employment in line with qualification obtained; - foreigners arriving within the context of intra-group transfers as well as highly qualified workers who respond to remuneration and specific career profiles;10 - artists, in light of their particular professional activity;11 - holders of the ‘skills and talents’ card;12 - scientists;13 - certain categories of employees falling within bilateral agreements (for example, ‘working holiday’ visas,14 young professionals,15 French-Russian agreement16) The various legal grounds of labour migration in terms of the employment situation criterion: The employment situation 2013 criterion 1 - Skills and talent 251 NO 2 - Non-employed worker 150 NO 3 - Scientist 3,029 NO 4 - Artist 147 NO YES, except for intra corporate 5 – Salaried Employee 12,981 transferees, holders of European blue cards (EBCs) and students holding a provisional residence permit (Autorisation provisoire de séjour - APS) INCLUDING - intra corporate transferees (three years permit) 2,388 NO - Holders of European blue cards (EBCs) 371 NO - Students who have changed 5,500 YES, other than those holding an their status to employee (estimate) APS* 6 - Seasonal or temporary worker 1,274 YES for other than posted workers INCLUDING seasonal workers (three years permit) 857 YES TOTAL 17,832 Source: Ministry of the Interior - DGEF - DSED). *Number of APS issued to students looking for employment in 2013: 5,484 (provisional figure) 9 Article L.311-11 of CESEDA (Code on Entry and Residence of Foreigners and Right of Asylum) 10 Article L.313-10, paragraphs 5 and 6 of CESEDA 11 Article L.311-9 of CESEDA 12 Article L.311-1 of CESEDA 13 Article L.311-8 of CESEDA 14 Articles R. 311-3, 3b of CESEDA and R.5221-13, paragraph 15 of the Labour Code 15 http://www.immigration-professionnelle.gouv.fr/proc%C3%A9dures/fiche/jeunes-professionnels 16 http://www.immigration-professionnelle.gouv.fr/textes-de-référence/accords-bilatéraux/accord-france-russie 14
EMN Focussed Study 2015: Determining labour shortages and the need for labour migration Q2. DESCRIPTION OF RECENT PUBLIC AND POLICY DEBATES IN THE AREA OF LABOUR MIGRATION, ESPECIALLY WITH REGARD TO DEBATES ON HOW LABOUR MIGRATION IS PLANNED TO BE UTILISED TO ADDRESS LABOUR MARKET SHORTAGES. In 2012, the French President agreed to organise a parliamentary debate on labour immigration for the purposes of employment and study. The backdrop to this debate is the National Pact for Growth, Competitiveness and Employment,17 adopted on 6 November 2012. This Pact focusses particularly upon strengthening France’s attractiveness by ‘welcoming foreign talent and professional visitors who can contribute to the dynamism and reputation of the French economy’.18 Discussions therefore took place in 2013 in the context of organising this debate without a vote. As background to the discussions, statistics were produced on immigration in France, Europe and the world, and consultation meetings were held with civil society stakeholders, such as employers’ and workers’ organisations (the Confédération Française Démocratiques du Travail - CFDT, the Confédération Générale du Patronat des Petites et Moyennes Entreprises - CGPME, the Confédération Générale du Travail - CGT and the Collective du 31 Mai), representatives of the world of business (the Invest in France Agency - IFA, the CINDEX), representatives of universities and students (the Conférence des Directeurs d’Écoles Françaises d’Ingénieurs - CDEFI, the Conférence des Grandes Écoles - CGE, the Confédération des Jeunes Chercheurs - CJC, the Union Nationale des Étudiants en France - UNEF) and managers of non-governmental organisations. In terms of the work permit regime, discussions confirmed the principle of maintaining the work permit which would dissuade the entry of foreign workers into non-shortage occupations. Moreover, it was deemed to be ‘dangerous to change the general balance of the legislation relating to the recruitment of foreign workers.’19 In addition, a ‘discussion on prioritising the elements involved in evaluating applications and the creation of a more sophisticated grid to assess regional labour needs’ was planned.20 Indeed, it was considered that ‘labour migration must respond to structural difficulties in the labour market, while remaining flexible in light of temporary realities. It should not be disconnected from employment and vocational training policies, whether on the national or regional levels.’21 It also emerged from the discussions that the employment situation criterion is used less and less as part of the policy to promote the attractiveness of France. Consequently, it was suggested 17 http://www.economie.gouv.fr/ma-competitivite/pacte-national-croissance-competitivite-emploi 18 http://www.economie.gouv.fr/files/files/import/feuilleteur/sources/indexPop.htm 19 According to the preparatory document for the debate without a vote on migration for employment and study purposes, as well as statistics on labour and student migration: http://www.interieur.gouv.fr/Actualites/L-actu- du-Ministere/Document-preparatoire-au-debat-sans-vote-sur-l-immigration-professionnelle-et-etudiante 20 Ibid. 21 Ibid. 15
EMN Focussed Study 2015: Determining labour shortages and the need for labour migration that ‘new, stable rules are found which can be rapidly applied and can effectively protect the labour market while responding to our economy’s needs.’22 Other work on immigration also took place in 2013 and 2014.23 The conclusions of these reports focus on the conditions under which foreigners are received and on measures to promote the attractiveness of France for foreign talent, but do not address the issue of labour market shortages. 22 Ibid. 23 In April 2013, a report on welcoming foreign talent was submitted to the Ministers of Foreign Affairs, the Economy and Finance, the Interior, Foreign Trade, Economic Regeneration, Further Education and Research, and Small and Medium-sized Enterprises, Innovation and the Digital Economy. Twenty-seven recommendations were made, particularly relating to measures aiming to encourage outstanding international candidates, and thus to ensure that administrative limits on entry and residence are as flexible as possible for those whom France wishes to attract (http://www.interieur.gouv.fr/Publications/Rapports-de-l-IGA/Immigration/Accueil-des-talents- etrangers). In May 2014, Member of Parliament Matthias Fekl submitted a report to the Prime Minister entitled ‘A Secure Path for Foreign Nationals in France’ (Sécuriser les parcours des ressortissants étrangers en France) focussing on implementing the multi-annual residence permit, improving reception and procedures for processing applications submitted by foreign nationals in Préfectures, as well as the judicial review of detention and removal. This report sets out 25 recommendations in response to questions which had been raised (www.immigration.interieur.gouv.fr/.../Synthese-rapport-Fekl-V3.pdf). 16
EMN Focussed Study 2015: Determining labour shortages and the need for labour migration SECTION 2: OVERVIEW OF INSTRUMENTS USED FOR IDENTIFYING CURRENT AND FUTURE LABOUR AND SKILLS SHORTAGES AND FOR ANTICIPATING THE NEED FOR LABOUR MIGRATION Q3. DEFINITION AND CLASSIFICATION OF LABOUR SHORTAGES Q3.A. HOW ARE LABOUR SHORTAGES DEFINED, IDENTIFIED AND CLASSIFIED IN FRANCE? The labour market is characterised by constant flows of jobs being created and destroyed. The reports also mention vacant positions, labour shortages, shortage occupations and supply which does not meet demand. These terms should first be defined. Labour shortage refers to a quantitative lack of labour in relation to demand at a certain salary level, while shortage occupations refers to recruitment difficulties encountered by the employer where the supply of labour exists but is difficult to access at a given time due to lack of mobility, qualifications, excessive turn-over or lack of attractiveness of certain occupations. The use of the terms ‘needs’ and ‘shortages’ is often criticised as being irrelevant. Indeed, in economics, ‘shortages’ are determined on the basis of a quantitative macroeconomic analysis of pressure, namely the way in which supply and demand adjust to one another.24 If demand for employment is insufficient in relation to the corresponding supply, the labour market is said to be ‘tight’. Shortage occupations, ‘recruitment needs or difficulties’, are considered from the employer’s perspective, hence more from a qualitative microeconomic analysis.25 Similarly, according to the DIRECCTE Île-de-France Research, Statistics and Evaluation Service (Service études, statistiques, évaluation), the concept of ‘labour shortage’ is inappropriate. It is preferable to use the term ‘indicator of tension’.26 In terms of issuing a work permit, the legislator also refers to ‘recruitment difficulties’ (see R.5221-20 of the Labour Code), rather than labour shortages. Often, in France, these two terms are related and are considered as synonyms. However, there may be difficulties in recruiting labour without there being a labour shortage. According to France Stratégie,27 there are different ways of observing certain shortage occupations and labour shortages: 24 Report of the French Council of Economic Analysis (Conseil d’Analyse Économique): Immigration, qualifications et marché du travail, La Documentation Française, 2009, http://www.ladocumentationfrancaise.fr/rapports-publics/094000300/ 25 According to the BREF – Île-de-France supplement from DIRECTTE, No. 14, November 2008. 26 Interview conducted in April 2015 with representatives of DIRECCTE Île-de-France. 27 Interview conducted in March 2015 with representatives of France Stratégie. 17
EMN Focussed Study 2015: Determining labour shortages and the need for labour migration - Through the unemployment rate or demand for employment (number of job seekers / number of jobs); - By observing the way in which the labour market operates and variations/imbalances between supply and demand; - Through surveys conducted directly with employers on their recruitment difficulties; - Through the rate of unfilled vacancies; - Through variations and changes in salary levels (this tool is not used in France to identify labour shortages). These approaches described by France Stratégie can be found in studies, investigations and reports on labour shortages in France but vary in terms of the indicators used, the chosen angle of analysis and the objective. Analyses of pressures and unfilled vacancies by sector of activity. Such analyses enable rates of unfilled vacancies by sector of activity to be determined, such as the quarterly report ‘Labour employment activities and conditions’ (Activités et conditions d’emploi de la main d’œuvre), known as Acemo28 conducted by the Directorate for Research, Studies and Statistics (DARES). They also enable labour market pressures to be identified, such as the quarterly report published by DARES. This report analyses the indicator of labour market pressure which compares job offers collected by Pôle Emploi (French national employment services) with job seekers registered by Pôle Emploi.29 The 2013 report by the French Employment Counselling and Advisory Board (COE)30 entitled ‘Long-term vacant positions and recruitment difficulties’ (Emplois durablement vacants et (les) difficultés de recrutement’) presents the various statistical instruments which identify vacant positions for job seekers, identifies occupations to which employers find it difficult to recruit, and draws up typologies of reasons for these recruitment difficulties as well as suggestions for combating these recruitment difficulties. Surveys of employers on their recruitment needs and difficulties by occupation These surveys involve surveying employers directly about their recruitment needs and difficulties. Thus, the ‘Labour Market Needs’ survey (Besoins de Main d’œuvre - BMO),31 which is conducted annually by Pôle Emploi with establishments in the private sector, agricultural sector and certain public sector establishments, measures employers’ recruitment intentions and the recruitment difficulties anticipated for the year ahead, by occupation, sector of activity and area of employment. The results of this survey may improve the way in which job seekers are referred to training or occupations which match the needs of the labour market. 28 DARES study: Activités et conditions d’emploi de la main d’œuvre, known as Acemo, http://travail- emploi.gouv.fr/etudes-recherches-statistiques-de,76/statistiques,78/salaires-et-epargne-salariale,86/aide-a-la- reponse-a-l-enquete,654/l-enquete-trimestrielle-acemo,4108.html 29 Quarterly report from DARES on labour market pressures, http://travail-emploi.gouv.fr/IMG/pdf/2015- 018.pdf 30 COE report: Emplois durablement vacants et difficultés de recrutement, 2013, http://www.coe.gouv.fr/Adoption-du-rapport-Emplois-durablement-vacants-et-difficultes-de-recrutement.html 31 Pôle Emploi survey: Besoins de main d’œuvre, known as BMO, 2015, http://bmo.pole- emploi.org/static/bmo2015 18
EMN Focussed Study 2015: Determining labour shortages and the need for labour migration Some professional branches have also established observatories (Mouvement des Entreprises de France - MEDEF; Union des Industries et des Métiers de la Métallurgie - UIMM; the construction and public works sector - BTP) to identify their recruitment needs and difficulties by occupation, to understand the difficulties encountered and to identify the skill sets required (see page 36-37). The Manpower Group also conducts an annual ‘Talent Shortage Survey’32 in 42 countries and regions to measure the proportion of employers facing recruitment difficulties, to identify positions which are difficult to fill and to determine shortfalls in skills preventing access to employment. Finally, the National Institute for Statistics and Economic Research (INSEE)33 asks questions on recruitment difficulties in its business surveys which contribute towards a general picture of the French economy. Foresight and/or forecasting analyses While the analyses of the sector and surveys with employers presented above analyse the situation of the labour market by comparing demand and supply, foresight and forecasting analyses focus on the evolution of the labour market in the coming years. Thus, France Stratégie, in partnership with DARES, conducts a Forward Looking Analysis of Occupations and Qualifications (Prospective des métiers et des qualifications - PMQ) for the medium to long term. The last publication, ‘Occupations in 2022’ (Les métiers en 2022),34 updated the macroeconomic projections upon which the preceding exercise, conducted in 2012, was based, which did not take into account the economic downturn observed in 2011. Broken down into 85 occupations, this study provides projections about the number of departures into retirement and net jobs created per occupation. Projections of changes in jobs by sector are also provided. This exercise does not, however, include any systematic comparison of supply and demand by occupation. In contrast, it highlights anticipated vacancies (creation of net jobs and departures into retirement) in the medium to long term, the current trends by which occupations are filled (types of labour used, any turn-over, etc.) and current recruitment difficulties being experienced. Several forward looking analyses have also been conducted by observatories on sectors of activity and regional job-training observatories (particularly in the metallurgy sector and civil engineering). Finally, the list of shortage occupations, as described in Q6, is a particularly useful tool for identifying labour shortages. 32 Manpower Survey: Talent Shortage Survey, 2014, http://www.manpowergroup.fr/tag/penurie-de-talents/ 33 INSEE’s monthly business survey: http://www.INSEE.fr/fr/themes/indicateur.asp?id=11 34 PMQ exercise by France Stratégie in partnership with DARES: Les métiers en 2022, 2014, http://www.strategie.gouv.fr/publications/metiers-2022-0 19
EMN Focussed Study 2015: Determining labour shortages and the need for labour migration Glossary of some indicators of tension35 The rate of tension is calculated by comparing registered job offers with the number of job applications over a set period. It identifies whether or not there is pressure on an occupation depending on the alert thresholds of the ratio. If the ratio is higher than 1, there is high pressure on demand: there are more job offers than applications, and therefore there is a labour deficit. Conversely, if the ratio is lower than 1, there is low pressure or a demand deficit. This rate of tension may be combined with other indicators of tension to promote analysis and understanding of the labour market and shortage occupations, such as the quality of job offers, the leakage rate of labour market demand, and the rate at which jobs are filled. The rate at which job offers are filled is calculated by comparing the volume of job offers, regardless of their duration, from Pôle Emploi records which were ‘filled’ by a job seeker (or not), and the total volume of job offers processed and from Pôle Emploi records over the past 12 months, whether they be set aside, filled or cancelled. The leakage rate of demand for employment (calculated on a sliding year, i.e. 12 consecutive months) estimates the probability for a job seeker to rapidly find a job. It is calculated by comparing job applications at the end of the year to job applications at the end of the last year, to which are added job applications recorded during the year. If the result obtained is high, this means that most job seekers present at the start of the reference period, or registered within the last 12 months, have ultimately left the Pôle Emploi records. Conversely, if the result is low, this means that the labour market is tight, and that job seekers face various difficulties to joining the labour market quickly. The unfilled vacancy rate (or level of job vacancies) is calculated by comparing vacant and filled jobs, to which are added vacant jobs which is then converted into a percentage (x100). The quality of job offers: this indicator is important insofar as the rate of tension takes into account all job offers without distinction as to different types of contract (fixed term and temporary contracts, regardless of length). Other variables may also be introduced, such as the proportion of temporary jobs or those offered as full-time positions. 35 Sources: Bref Ile de France N°14, November 2008 – DARES Indicators March 2015 N° 18 20
EMN Focussed Study 2015: Determining labour shortages and the need for labour migration Q3.B. THE LEVEL OF ANALYSIS (E.G. BY SECTORS, BY OCCUPATIONS OR BY QUALIFICATIONS OR SKILL LEVELS) The level of analysis of the tools mentioned in Q3.a. depends on the aim of the research, survey or report in question. Analyses by sector of activity are included in the BMO survey and the INSEE economic trends survey. Analysis of the relationship between supply of and demand for employment (indicator of tension) is conducted using a very fine-tuned occupational list, the Operational Directory of Professions and Occupations (ROME36) used by Pôle Emploi. Occupational families (Familles Professionnelles - FAP37) are used both by DARES as part of its indicators of tension in the labour market, and by Pôle Emploi for the BMO survey. This FAP list combines the ROME directory used by Pôle Emploi for occupations with the socioprofessional categories used by INSEE. In contrast, as part of the employers’ surveys, establishments are questioned on the basis of a representative sample of sectors of activity, region and occupational group. These studies take a regional approach to best respond to the needs of businesses. Qualifications appear in the ‘Employment and Occupations of Migrants’ study (‘L’emploi et les métiers des immigrés’) by France Stratégie 38 as well as in the BMO survey. This criteria helps to identify the types of occupations experiencing recruitment difficulties, to adapt, where necessary, the corresponding training and to clarify skills gaps. Q3.C. CLASSIFICATIONS OF SHORTAGES IN LEGISLATION OR SOFT LAW Classifications of labour shortages, such as analyses of tensions and vacant jobs by sector, foresight analyses and surveys with employers or observatories of occupational sectors, are not defined in the legislation if they relate to research and reports from public bodies, institutional partners or trades union organisations. Only lists of shortage occupations which are marked by recruitment difficulties are defined through regulations (see Q6) with a view to controlling labour migration and regulating the labour market.39 The departments responsible for work permits are obliged to apply these regulations. If they fail to do so, the decision may be revoked on the grounds of an error of law in the event of appeal to a higher administrative authority or to a Court of justice. 36 The ROME directory, which consists of a letter and four numbers, is divided into three levels: it differentiates 14 families of occupations, 110 occupational fields and 531 occupational files (combining more than 10,000 different categories of occupations and jobs). 37 The FAP identifies 22 occupational areas, divided initially into 87 occupational groups, sub-divided into 225 detailed occupational categories. 38 L’emploi et les métiers des immigrés, February 2012 (by the Conseil d’Analyse Stratégique, CAS, formerly France Stratégie), http://archives.strategie.gouv.fr/cas/content/document-de-travail-2012-1-l’emploi-et-les- metiers-des-immigres.html. 39 Article L.311-10 of CESEDA. 21
EMN Focussed Study 2015: Determining labour shortages and the need for labour migration Q3.D. TO WHAT EXTENT THE LEVEL OF ANALYSIS INCLUDES REGION/LOCAL LEVEL? Analyses of tensions and unfilled vacancies by sector are essentially conducted from a national perspective. However, indicators of tension in the labour market by occupation, produced by DARES and Pôle Emploi, surveys with employers, such as the BMO survey by occupation, and certain occupational sector observatories, incorporate a regional perspective insofar as they consider it relevant to take into account employment areas, sectors of activity and regional particularities relating to employment. Regional observatories are devoted to anticipating and observing sectors and occupations in their region. It is also interesting to note that only the Manpower Group survey40 includes Frances from a European and international perspective. Q4. HAS FRANCE ESTABLISHED ANY DISTINCTIONS BETWEEN DIFFERENT TYPES OF LABOUR SHORTAGES, SUCH AS SHORT-TERM AND LONGER- TERM SHORTAGES, CYCLICAL SHORTAGES AND STRUCTURAL SHORTAGES? There is one classification of occupations which traditionally experience tensions. Industrial and IT occupations are most heavily influenced by economic cycles, known as temporary tensions. Other occupations are subject to seasonal tensions (the hotel and catering industries, agriculture). Finally, some occupations are subject to structural tensions (high turnover, job instability, arduous working conditions, and poor image of the occupation) or have few resources available due to lack of specific qualifications.41 Analyses take into account these different types of shortages, whether they be analyses of tensions and unfilled vacancies by sector or foresight analyses. The former deal primarily with short term shortages, while the latter envisage different possible scenarios for the years to come on a national basis (‘Les métiers en 2022’ by France Stratégie) or for a specific sector of activity (see the UIMM prospective study on recruitment needs in metallurgy for 202542). However, the France Stratégie survey does not quantify the comparison between supply and demand for employment in the medium to long term; it takes a more qualitative approach. 40 Manpower Survey: Talent Shortage Survey, 2014, http://www.manpowergroup.fr/tag/penurie-de-talents/ 41 Based on: Construire une carte régionale des formations, France Stratégie, 2011 (http://archives.strategie.gouv.fr/cas/content/document-dappui-methodologique-construire-une-carte-regionale- des-formations-outils-methodes.html) and ‘Les tensions du marché du travail’, Bref Île de France, No. 14, November 2008(http://www.idf.direccte.gouv.fr/IMG/pdf/Bref_supplement_no14_- _comment_analyser_les_tensions_sur_le_marche_du_travail.pdf. 42 UIMM study: Etude prospective des besoins de recrutement dans la métallurgie à horizon 2025, September 2014: http://www.observatoire- metallurgie.fr/etudes/Lists/DocumentsEtudes/Etudes%20longues/Prospective%20Emploi_Observatoire%20de% 20la%20Metallurgie.pdf 22
EMN Focussed Study 2015: Determining labour shortages and the need for labour migration Q5. INSTRUMENTS/TOOLS USED IN FRANCE TO IDENTIFY LABOUR SHORTAGES AND THE NEED FOR MIGRATION LABOUR. 23
EMN Focussed Study 2015: Determining labour shortages and the need for labour migration The instruments Is this Is this instrument Description of the (1) description of Which national What is the Additional and tools used to instrument/ used for respective tools the level of organisation(s) use geographical level of comments identify labour tool used in determining and analysis of the this the mechanisms/tools shortages and the France? labour migration the particular mechanism/tool to used (e.g. national, need for (Y/N) needs? (Y/N) methodology(ies) instrument/tools produce regional, municipal)? migration labour. used (i.e. skills, information on for anticipating occupations, skill shortages? the need sectors, profession, for migration level of labour qualification, etc.) (2) Is an international (e.g. ISCO-08) or national classification of occupations used? List of shortage (1) These lists These lists are used a) This list of a) This list of 30 occupations represent by the Prefects to occupations occupations for third- occupations process work a) National list of 30 marked by country nationals is Yes Yes identified by permit requests. occupations set tensions and divided on the ROME which are by Decree of 18 recruitment regional level connected to a job January 2008 difficulties was depending on the description for Yes Yes reached after particularities of the each code. consultation with local labour market (2) The Pôle Emploi the social partners and the employment b) List of wording is used to and was the result area. Six occupations occupations set draft these lists. It of preparatory apply to the whole of by bilateral is close to the work and a range metropolitan France. agreement International of indicators. b) These lists are Standard b) The lists set national but are Classification of by bilateral reserved to nationals Occupations agreement were of the State which has (ISCO). defined on the signed a bilateral basis of shortage agreement, whether 24
EMN Focussed Study 2015: Determining labour shortages and the need for labour migration occupations for the national lives in nationals of new France or in his or her Member States country of origin. subject to transitional provisions and take account of the particularities of each country. (See the process in Q6). Sector analyses Yes No a) The Acemo (1) The Acemo They are used by They are drafted on survey is a survey, the occupational the national level. a) The Acemo quarterly survey DARES report and sectors and survey conducted by the COE report businesses, as well DARES into all look at sectors of as in the public b) The DARES competing sectors report on job activity in relation sector (particularly (excluding offers collected to occupational by the Ministry for agriculture and the by Pôle Emploi areas. Labour, public sector) in on job seekers metropolitan Employment, registered by Pôle France. It Vocational Emploi. calculates changes (2) The FAP Training and Social in wages, classification is Dialogue) to have c) The COE employment and used. This FAP list an overview of the (French length of combines the labour market. Employment employment. ROME directory Counselling and used by Pôle Advisory Board) b) This publication Emploi for report compares job occupations and offers recorded by the Pôle Emploi and job seekers socioprofessional recorded by Pôle categories used by Emploi. INSEE 25
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