Desjardins 2018 Industrial Conference - Sylvain Girard, EVP and CFO March 22nd, 2018 - SNC-Lavalin
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Forward-looking statements Reference in this presentation, and hereafter, to the “Company” or to “SNC-Lavalin” means, as the context may require, SNC-Lavalin Group Inc. and all or some of its subsidiaries or joint arrangements, or SNC-Lavalin Group Inc. or one or more of its subsidiaries or joint arrangements. Statements made in this presentation that describe the Company’s or management’s budgets, estimates, expectations, forecasts, objectives, predictions, projections of the future or strategies may be “forward-looking statements”, which can be identified by the use of the conditional or forward-looking terminology such as “aims”, “anticipates”, “assumes”, “believes”, “cost savings”, “estimates”, “expects”, “goal”, “intends”, “may”, “plans”, “projects”, “target”, “should”, “synergies”, “vision”, “will”, or the negative thereof or other variations thereon. Forward-looking statements also include any other statements that do not refer to historical facts. Forward-looking statements also include statements relating to the following: (i) future capital expenditures, revenues, expenses, earnings, economic performance, indebtedness, financial condition, losses and future prospects; and (ii) business and management strategies and the expansion and growth of the Company’s operations. All such forward-looking statements are made pursuant to the “safe-harbour” provisions of applicable Canadian securities laws. The Company cautions that, by their nature, forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties, and that its actual actions and/or results could differ materially from those expressed or implied in such forward-looking statements, or could affect the extent to which a particular projection materializes. Forward-looking statements are presented for the purpose of assisting investors and others in understanding certain key elements of the Company’s current objectives, strategic priorities, expectations and plans, and in obtaining a better understanding of the Company’s business and anticipated operating environment. Readers are cautioned that such information may not be appropriate for other purposes. Forward-looking statements made in this presentation are based on a number of assumptions believed by the Company to be reasonable as at the date hereof. The assumptions are set out throughout the Company’s 2017 Management Discussion and Analysis (MD&A). The 2018 outlook also assumes that the federal charges laid against the Company and its indirect subsidiaries SNC-Lavalin International Inc. and SNC-Lavalin Construction Inc. on February 19, 2015, will not have a significant adverse impact on the Company’s business in 2018. If these assumptions are inaccurate, the Company’s actual results could differ materially from those expressed or implied in such forward-looking statements. In addition, important risk factors could cause the Company’s assumptions and estimates to be inaccurate and actual results or events to differ materially from those expressed in or implied by these forward-looking statements. These risk factors are set out in the Company’s 2017 MD&A. The 2018 outlook referred to in this presentation is forward-looking information and is based on the methodology described in the Company’s 2017 MD&A under the › heading “How We Budget and Forecast Our Results” and is subject to the risks and uncertainties described in the Company’s public disclosure documents. The purpose of the 2018 outlook is to provide the reader with an indication of management’s expectations, at the date of this presentation, regarding the Company’s future financial performance and readers are cautioned that this information may not be appropriate for other purposes. Non-IFRS financial measures and additional IFRS measures The Company reports its financial results in accordance with IFRS. However, the following non-IFRS measures and additional IFRS measures are used by the Company: › Adjusted net income from E&C, Adjusted diluted EPS from E&C, Adjusted net income from Capital, Adjusted diluted EPS from Capital, Adjusted consolidated diluted EPS, EBITDA, Adjusted E&C EBITDA, Segment EBIT and Revenue backlog. Additional details for these non-IFRS measures and additional measures can be found below and in SNC-Lavalin’s MD&A, which is available in the Investors section of the Company’s website at www.snclavalin.com. Non-IFRS financial measures do not have any standardized meaning under IFRS and therefore may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other issuers. Management believes that, in addition to conventional measures prepared in accordance with IFRS, these non-IFRS measures provide additional insight into the Company’s financial results and certain investors may use this information to evaluate the Company’s performance from period to period. However, these non-IFRS financial measures have limitations and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for measures of performance prepared in accordance with IFRS. 2
A global fully integrated professional services & project management company leader Founded in 1911 SNC-Lavalin is a global fully integrated professional services and project management company, and Employees a major player in the ownership of 50,000+ infrastructure Revenue From offices around the world, SNC-Lavalin’s employees are $9.3B proud to build what matters, providing comprehensive end-to-end project solutions to clients in four Listed on TSX industry sectors “SNC” Since 1986 Investment Grade Credit Rating1 BBB 1 Per S&P and DBRS. 3
SNC-Lavalin acquired Atkins on July 3, 2017 2017 2017 Revenue Segment EBIT (6 months) (6 months) $1.8B 11.4% Atkins is one of the world’s most respected ›Atkins operates in a design, engineering and significant part of the value project management chain – providing solutions consultancies for the complete journey of capital programs Their core business is helping our clients to plan, design and enable major capital programs 4
Operating in 4 regions across the world Europe 12,000 Americas 16,000 Middle- Asia East Pacific & Africa 3,000 21,000 Breadth of geographic exposure 2017 Revenues1 11% Americas 14% Middle East & Africa $9.3B 52% Asia Pacific Europe 23% 1Includes 5 only 6 months of Atkins revenues, as it was acquired on July 3, 2017.
A diversified and resilient business model while improving our revenue mix 2016 Revenues 2017 Revenues 1 2017 Pro forma Revenues 2 (assuming 12 months of Atkins) 3% 19% 4% 31% 32% 36% 19% 3% 44% $9.3B $11.1B $8.5B 5% 2% 14% 4% 30% 19% 12% 23% 60% 40% 35% 20% 45% 29% 33% 38% Reimbursable Fixed-price Reimbursable Atkins services Fixed-price Reimbursable Atkins services Fixed-price Oil & Gas Infrastructure Power Mining & Metallurgy Capital Atkins 1 Includes only 6 months of Atkins revenues, as it was acquired on July 3, 2017. 6 2 2017 revenues assume 12 months of Atkins revenues (i.e. Atkins 2017 6 months revenues x 2 = $3.6B)
Comprehensive end-to-end service offering … Capital Consulting Digital Design Procurement Construction Operations Sustaining & Advisory & AI & Engineering & Project & Maintenance Capital Management Examples John Hart New Champlain Bridge Gorgon Darlington 19-year concession for the Design, build, finance and Engineering and Re-tube and Feeder 132MW generating station maintain the new bridge construction services Replacement at the nuclear power station 407 ETR London 2012 Olympics Antucoya ISS Baytown 99-year concession for the Detailed engineering, In-Service-Support to Sustaining capital 108 km electronic toll road procurement and the Royal Canadian engineering services Helped the development of East London construction management Navy minor warships for the copper mine 7
…in four sectors of activity with robust growth backdrop Global Market 2017-21(1) › Airports & Aviation › Intelligent Transport › Urban Development › Defense & Security Systems › Urban Transit and Rail › Environment › Geotechnical Eng. Systems US$1.9 › Ports & Harbours › Water & Wastewater › Highways, Roads & trillion Infrastructure Bridges › Property & Facilities › Industrial › Social Infrastructure › Bitumen › Unconventional O&G › Sustaining Capital › Heavy Oil › Upgrading and › Pipelines › Offshore Refining › Carbon Capture US$460 › Gas Processing and Utilization billion Oil & Gas › LNG › Hydroelectric › Thermal › Renewables › Nuclear › Transmission and US$400 Distribution billion Power › Aluminium › Copper › Fertilizers › Gold › Iron Ore › Sulphur Products US$150 › Nickel billion Mining & Metallurgy › Canada › Select U.S. opportunities US$300 › Other BOOT(2) opportunities billion Capital 1) Data was internally developed using multiple sources not limited to the following: Business Monitor International, Middle East Economic Digest, International Energy Agency, US Department of Energy, National and Provincial Budgets of Canada, US Congressional Budget Office, Australia Budget, National Rail budget, American Road & Transportation Builders Association, Individual company reports. 2) Build, own, operate and transfer. 8
Backlog December 2017 $10.4B A sustainable and diversified backlog Backlog expected to be >$15B in 2018 Recently named $10.7B $10.4B preferred proponent on several major 2.1 projects: 4.1 •REM in Montreal •Stockyard Hill Wind 3.9 Farm in Australia (they are expected to be booked 3.9 into backlog in Q118 and/or Q218) 2.2 Under IFRS 15 – 2.4 1.6 ~$3B will be added, 0.3 0.6 due to SNC-Lavalin’s Dec. 31, 2016 Dec. 31, 2017 long-term O&M M&M Power O&G Infrastructure Atkins signed contracts 9
On a path of growth and improved E&C earnings Revenues from E&C Adjusted E&C EBITDA margin and adjusted net income from E&C 6.9% 9,364 9,097 (in M$) (in M$) 351.3 4.6% 4.5% 8,223 7,335 226.4 7,149 2.1% 201.9 54.9 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Adjusted E&C EBITDA margin -133.7 Adjusted net income from E&C 10
2018 growth outlook › We anticipate increased Segment EBIT for the M&M and Power segments, while O&G and Infrastructure are expected to be mainly in line with 2017. Atkins will include 12 months of operations and related financing vs 6 months in 2017. › Q1 to be the lowest quarter of 2018, gradual increase expected throughout the remaining quarters of the year. › Tax rate for the adjusted E&C business expected to be between 20% and 25%. 2018 Adjusted diluted 2018 Adjusted consolidated EPS from E&C1 diluted EPS1 $2.60 $2.85 $3.60 $3.85 $3.60 to $3.85 $3.20 $2.46 $2.58 $2.42 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Adjusted diluted EPS from E&C Adjusted diluted EPS from Capital Outlook range 1 Based on a WANOS of ~175M 11
Vision 2020 Plan to deliver adjusted consolidated EPS of $5 Drivers: $5.00 › G&A expenses efficiency & operational excellence $3.85 continuous improvement › Project execution $3.60 improvement $3.20 › Driving organic growth by: - Increasing its share in $2.46 $2.42 $2.58 nuclear through an expanded offering - Capitalizing on Infrastructure investment in Canada, UK & US $0.74 - Maximizing Atkins/SNC- Lavalin revenues synergies - Mining & Metallurgy recovery 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2020 › M&A post Atkins integration CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate 12
A track record of increased dividends Declared dividend per share Dividends were 1.106 increased for each of 1.053 the past 17 1.01 years 0.97 0.93 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Payout ratio* 125% 39% 41% 40% 34% (in $) Key Goals: › Maintain dividend growth trajectory › Stabilize dividend payout at around 30% of consolidated adjusted net income * % of consolidated adjusted net income. 13
Ethics & compliance update 1 2 3 December 2015 February 2015 October 2015 SNC-Lavalin announces the first-ever Received Authorization From AMF to Reached a settlement with the African administrative agreement with the Contract With Public Authorities in Quebec Development Bank Group (AfDB) regarding Government of Canada under the Integrity allegations of sanctionable practices Regime1 4 5 6 May 2016 September 2016 December 2017 Participation in the Quebec government's Reached a compliance agreement with the Reached an agreement with all the public Voluntary Reimbursement Program. The Commissioner of Canada Elections in relation to bodies of Quebec that have received its program was put into force by the an investigation by the Commissioner into offer under the Voluntary Reimbursement Government of Quebec in November 2015 certain reimbursements Program 7 February 2018 Based on the consultation conducted in fall 7) 6) 2017, the Government of Canada intends 5) Feb-18 Dec-17 to introduce legislation for Canadian 4) Sep-16 Deferred Prosecution Agreements, to be May-16 implemented through Judicial Remediation 3) Orders Dec-15 2) Oct-15 1) Providing internal controls and other Feb-15 sources to identify misconduct and evaluate adherence Our ethics and compliance Involving measures to take corrective Ethics & compliance integrated in program is an integral part of action in response to misconduct the way we work daily activities Fostering an ethical culture to prevent the likelihood of wrongdoing and compliance violations from occurring 1The Integrity Regime, in effect since July 2015, bars companies and their related legal entities from bidding on government contracts if they are charged with or convicted of certain criminal or administrative charges 14
SNC-Lavalin: a unique platform to invest in the high growth infrastructure and power sector 1 Investment in the global infrastructure sector is expected to grow, with the North American market particularly attractive 2 Leading international E&C firm of scale, the largest E&C firm in Canada and globally recognised Optimally placed to capture market growth due to its diversified sector mix, extensive international presence and 3 Why SNC-Lavalin its competitive advantage from its presence across the value chain SNC-Lavalin provides high visibility of revenues driven by a diversified backlog and complemented by a portfolio of 4 prime infrastructure concessions which provide stable cashflows Established track record of financial performance and strong balance sheet discipline that consistently delivers 5 shareholder returns (strong track record of increased dividends) Experienced management who have developed SNC-Lavalin into a well respected global brand and fostered a culture 6 of Ethics excellence 15
SNC-Lavalin: a discounted share price SNC-Lavalin Peers Peers Group Group incl. Average1 Canadian peers Average2 Share price3 $55.93 Less H4074 (25.91) Less Other (2.82) Concessions4 Adjusted E&C price $27.20 2018 adjusted EPS $2.74 from E&C consensus4 E&C P/E multiple 9.9 15.4 15.9 SNC-Lavalin’s E&C P/E multiple ~ 5 to 6 times lower than peers 1 Includes Fluor, Jacobs, Wood, Balfour Beatty, WorleyParsons, CB&I and Aecom 2 Incudes peers group + WSP and Stantec 3 Close as at March 16, 2018 4 Street consensus as at March 16, 2018 16
Appendix
Our capital allocation framework Sources of Funds Uses of Funds › Operating cash flows from E&C › Working Capital & Capex needs on projects new projects › Operating cash flows from existing › Equity investments driving E&C concessions and Capital Investments revenues › Divestiture of matured Capital › Dividend payment Investments › M&A activities › Divest non-core assets (e.g. Building) › Opportunistic share buy back › Leverage Key objectives of our Framework › Drive Organic and Inorganic E&C Growth › Optimize our Balance Sheet while safeguarding our Investment Grade › Return Capital to shareholders 18
Credit facilities and long-term debt Credit facilities Other CDPQ (recourse debt) (recourse debt) (limited recourse debt) Revolving & Term Facility $350M Debenture Borrower › $2,750M Revolving Facility › Maturity: July 2019 › SNC-Lavalin Highway Holdings, maturing May 2021 › Interest rate: 6.19% non-recourse to SNC-Lavalin › $2,500M Uncommitted bilateral Group facilities $300M Debenture Amount › £225M Term Facility: › Maturity: November 2020 › $1,500M divided in two Tranches: - £75M maturing July 2021 › Interest rate: 2.689% - Tranche A - $1B - £150M maturing July 2022 - Tranche B - $500M › Current maximum leverage ratio of 3.5 › Interest rate ≈ 6.5% Prepayment › Tranche A: non-call period of 4 years In March 2018, $525M of three series of unsecured debentures were issued. The net proceeds was mainly › Tranche B: right to repay at all times without penalties used to reduce the revolving and term facility. $697M as at Dec. 31, 2017 $648M as at Dec. 31, 2017 $1,475M as at Dec. 31, 2017 19
Debt ratios $5.0B $2.8B $3.5B $1.5B limited ~0.8x recourse to ~1.8x LTM Adj. EBITDA(1) SNC-Lavalin LTM Adj. LTM Adj. EBITDA(1) ~0.6x EBITDA of Incorporating full LTM $767M(1) $1.3B Adj.. EBITDA of Atkins and DTS(2) $0.6B $705M cash(5) Total Debt (3) Total Recourse Debt Net Recourse Debt Fair Market Value of Capital Investments Minus Limited Recourse Debt(4) ~$0.6B net recourse debt represents 0.6x Adj. EBITDA and further supported by relatively liquid investments of ~$3.5B Note: Data as of December 31, 2017. 1) Adjusted EBITDA, less interest on CDPQ limited recourse debt, LTM ended December 31, 2017; including Atkins results starting July 3, 2017; EBITDA adjusted to exclude charges related to restructuring, right-sizing and other, acquisition-related costs and integration costs, gains (losses) on disposals of E&C business, Capital investments and head office building. 2) Adjusted EBITDA, less interest on CDPQ limited recourse debt, LTM ended December 31, 2017; including full 12 months of Atkins and DTS results; EBITDA adjusted to exclude charges related to restructuring, right-sizing and other, acquisition-related costs and integration costs, gains (losses) on disposals of E&C business, Capital investments and head office building. 3) Excludes $313M non-recourse debt from capital investments. 4) Estimated as $5.0B fair market value as per street estimates as of March 16, 2018, less $1.5B CDPQ limited recourse loan. 5) Excluding cash and cash equivalents of Capital investments accounted for by the consolidation method. 20
Capital investments portfolio Name Description Held Concession Location Equity Since Years Participation Highways, Bridges & Rail 1. Highway 407 (407 ETR) 108 km electronic toll road 1999 99 Canada (Ontario) 16.8% 2. InTransit BC* Rapid transit line 2005 35 Canada (B.C.) 6.7% 3. Okanagan Lake* Floating bridge 2005 30 Canada (B.C.) 20% 4. TC Dôme** 5.3 km electric cog railway 2008 35 France 51% 5. Chinook* 25 km six-lane road 2010 33 Canada (Alberta) 10% 6. 407 EDGGP 32 km H407 East extension (Phase 1) 2012 33 Canada (Ontario) 50% 7. Highway Concessions One PL Fund (Roads) 2012 9 India 10% 8. Rideau Light rail transit system 2013 30 Canada (Ontario) 40% 9. Eglinton Crosstown 19 km light rail line 2015 36 Canada (Ontario) 25% 10. SSL New Champlain bridge corridor 2015 34 Canada (Quebec) 50% Power 11. SKH 1,227 MW gas-fired power plant 2006 23 Algeria 26% 12. Astoria II 550 MW gas-fired power plant 2008 Indefinitely USA (NY) 6.2% 13. InPower BC John Hart 132 MW generating station 2014 19 Canada (B.C.) 100% Health Centres 14. MIHG*** McGill University Health Centre 2010 34 Canada (Quebec) 50% 15. Rainbow* Restigouche Hospital Centre 2011 33 Canada (N.B.) 20% Others 16. Myah Tipaza Seawater desalination plant 2008 28 Algeria 25.5% NBV1 = $316M2 FMV3 = ~$5B * Assets transferred in Q3 2017 into SNC-Lavalin Infrastructure Partners LP (“Partnership”) **To be sold ***To be transferred into the Partnership 1 Net Book Value as at December 31, 2017 2 Excludes MIHG 21 3 Average Fair Market Value as per analysts calculations, as at March 16, 2018
407 ETR Consistent growth and low cost of financing 845 790 Gross Vehicle Kilometres Travelled Dividends 730 750 680 (in millions – KM) 2,709 (in M$) 600 2,641 Total dividends paid 460 by 407 ETR 2,517 2,437 Dividends received 300 by SNC-Lavalin 2,336 2,326 2,340 2,356 2,253 2,253 190 2,215 142 135 114 122 126 133 120 77 101 23 50 32 20 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Bond Maturity Profile (in M$) 608 625 5003 500 500 480 400 400 400 3501 340 350 300 3003 5.29% / 6.75% 4.30% / 5.33% 250 2502 208 208 200 165 150 2.43% 3.65% 4.99% 3.35% 5.33% 6.47% 5.33% 3.43% 5.96% 5.75% 4.45% 4.19% 3.83% 3.60% 3.98% 2.47% 4.68% 7.13% 3.30% 2020 2021 2022 2024 2026 2027 2029 2031 2033 2035 2036 2039 2040 2041 2042 2044 2045 2046 2047 2052 2053 Senior Bonds ($5.8B) Subordinated Bonds ($0.8B) Junior Bonds ($0.2B) 2Issued 3Issued in September 2017 1Issued in November 2016 in March 2017 22
Financial position December 31 December 31 (in M$) 2017 2016 Assets Cash and cash equivalents 707 1,055 Other current assets 3,908 3,135 Property and equipment 414 298 Capital investments accounted for by the equity or cost methods 352 448 Goodwill 6,323 3,268 Intangible assets related to business combinations 1,090 194 Other non-current assets and deferred income tax asset 968 900 13,762 9,298 Liabilities and Equity Short-term debt and current portion of long-term debt - recourse 319 - Short-term debt and current portion of long-term debt – non-recourse from Capital Investments 16 21 Other current liabilities 4,168 3,941 Long-term debt – recourse 1,027 349 Long-term debt – limited recourse 1,475 - Long-term debt – non-recourse from Capital investments 297 473 Other non-current liabilities and deferred income tax liability 1,237 618 8,539 5,402 Equity attributable to SNC-Lavalin shareholders 5,225 3,873 Non-controlling interests (2) 23 13,762 9,298 23
SNC-Lavalin Denis Jasmin Tel.: 514-393-8000 Ext. 57553 Vice-President, Investor Relations E-mail: denis.jasmin@snclavalin.com www.snclavalin.com Firm Analyst Tel Market Details AltaCorp Capital Chris Murray 647-776-8246 Price as of March 16, 2018 $55.93 BMO Capital Market Devin Dodge 416-359-6774 Canaccord|Genuity Yuri Lynk 514-844-3708 Shares outstanding – Diluted 175.6M CIBC World Markets Jacob Bout 416-956-6766 Market capitalization $9.8B Desjardins Securities Benoit Poirier 514-281-8653 Laurentian Bank Securities Mona Nazir 514-350-2964 52 - week high / low $59.38 / $50.28 Morningstar Inc David Silver 312-244-7251 National Bank Financial Maxim Sytchev 416-869-6517 Dividend per share $0.287 / quarter Raymond James Frederic Bastien 604-659-8232 Dividend yield ~ 2.0% RBC Capital Markets Derek Spronck 416-842-7833 TD Newcrest Michael Tupholme 416-307-9389 24
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