Cushman & Wakefield Global Cities Retail Guide

 
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Cushman & Wakefield Global Cities Retail Guide
Cushman & Wakefield
Global Cities Retail Guide
Cushman & Wakefield Global Cities Retail Guide
Thailand is a country located in a strategic
location, serving as a gateway into the
heart of Asia at the centre of the Indochina
peninsula in Southeast Asia. It has a market
of some 66 million people as of 2018. Thai
culture has been influenced by many
countries over the years, including Indian,
Lao, Burmese, Cambodian and Chinese.
Tourism is an important component of the Thai economy with
over 38 million visitors per annum; the majority from China,
Malaysia, Korea, Japan and India.

Thailand’s economy grew by 2.8% in Q1 2019, compared with
3.6% in the previous quarter. In 2019, the Thai economy is
projected to grow by 3.3%-3.8 driven by favourable growth in
domestic demand, improvements to the export sector, recovery
of the tourism sector, and a low base effect in the second half of
the year.

The retail sales index in Thailand has been steadily rising over
recent years, and this trend is expected to continue in 2019.

Though significant e-commerce growth, Thai retail developers
continue to enlarge their physical footprint aggressively, with
more than 1 million square meters in the pipeline.

A change of lifestyle has been impacting retail developers,
including low consumer purchasing power in the past year. The        THAILAND
                                                                     OVERVIEW
overall retail sector is still growing however, and online is
becoming more popular among the younger generation.
Significant growth in the value of Thai e-commerce has been
enlarged by 14% in 2018 to 3.2 trillion baht according to the
Electronic Transactions Development Agency (ETDA).

Cushman & Wakefield | Thailand | 2019                                           1
Cushman & Wakefield Global Cities Retail Guide
THAILAND
ECONOMIC OVERVIEW

 ECONOMIC SUMMARY
ECONOMIC INDICATORS*                                  2018                       2019F                2020F                          2021F                            2022F
GDP growth                                              4.1                           3.4               3.2                                3.0                               2.9
Consumer spending                                       4.6                           3.6               3.2                                2.9                               2.8
Industrial production                                   3.7                           2.4               3.0                                3.4                               3.6
Investment                                              3.8                           3.7               3.8                                3.6                               3.3
Unemployment rate (%)                                   1.1                           1.1               1.2                                1.2                               1.2
Inflation                                               1.1                           1.0               1.4                                1.6                               2.0
Baht฿/€ (average)                                      38.1                          36.2              37.5                             38.5                             38.6
Baht฿/US$ (average)                                    32.3                          31.7              31.5                             31.2                             30.8
Interest rates Short Term (%)                           1.5                           1.8               2.1                                2.6                               2.8
Interest rates 10-year (%)                              2.6                           2.6               2.9                                3.3                               3.4

 ECONOMIC BREAKDOWN                                                 RETAIL SALES GROWTH:
                                                                    % CHANGE ON PREVIOUS YEAR
Population                                    69.2 Million (2018)
GDP (nominal)                            US$ 505.1 Billion (2018)
                                                                    THAILAND                2018              2019F              2020F              2021F              2022F
Public Sector Balance                       -1.6% of GDP (2018)     Retail Volume*              6.8               6.2                5.1                4.8                  4.6
Public Sector Debt                           34% of GDP (2018)
Current Account Balance                     6.9% of GDP (2018)
                                         Constitutional monarchy
Parliament                                   under military junta
Head of State                           King Maha Vajiralongkorn
Prime Minister                           Gen.Prayut Chan-o-cha
Election Date                                    November 2018

                                                                                                        NOTE: *annual % growth rate unless otherwise indicated. Figures
                                                                                                        are based on local currency and real terms. E estimate F forecast.
Cushman & Wakefield | Thailand | 2019                                                                                                   SOURCE: Oxford Economics Ltd.          2
Cushman & Wakefield Global Cities Retail Guide
CITY                            POPULATION (2018)
 Bangkok                                   5,676,648
 Nakhon Ratchasima                         2,646,401
 Ubon Ratchathani                          1,874,548
 Khonkaen                                  1,805,895
 Chiang Mai                                1,763,742
 Buriram                                   1,594,850
 Udon Thani                                1,586,666
 Nakhorn Si Thammarat                      1,560,433
 Chon Buri                                 1,535,445
 Srisaket                                  1,473,011

                                                       THAILAND
                                                       LARGEST CITIES

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Cushman & Wakefield Global Cities Retail Guide
THAILAND
RETAIL OVERVIEW

MAJOR DOMESTIC FOOD RETAILERS
Gourmet Market, Villa Market, Foodland, Tops supermarket

MAJOR INTERNATIONAL FOOD RETAILERS
Mark & Spencer, Donkihote, Fuji Supermarket

MAJOR DOMESTIC NON-FOOD RETAILERS
SuperSport, PowerBuy, Office Mate, B2S, SE-ED

INTERNATIONAL RETAILERS IN THAILAND (Selection)
H&M, Uniqlo, Sephora, Zara, IKEA, Boots

FOOD AND BEVERAGE OPERATORS
McThai, Minor Food, PTTRM, ZEN Corporation Group, MK Restaurant Group, ThaiBav, CRG Group, Central Food Retail

 TYPICAL HOURS
MONDAY - FRIDAY           SATURDAY                SUNDAY
10:30 - 21:00              10:00-22:00            10:00-22:00

 NEW ENTRANTS TO MARKET
Gram                Apple Store          Irvins            Song Fa Bak kut Teh          Karl Lagerfeld
The Alley           Taco Bell            RAPL              ELLE Café                    CPS Café

Cushman & Wakefield | Thailand | 2019                                                                            4
Cushman & Wakefield Global Cities Retail Guide
THAILAND
RETAIL SCENE

The retail market in Thailand continues                            The trend of international brands entering the Thai retail market
                                                                   has moved on from mid-range fashion to more F&B operators,
to expand and not only in the capital of                           such as coffee shops and restaurants. This influx of F&B began
Bangkok. In every large city in Thailand                           in 2016. Additionally co-working space is booming in Thailand.
                                                                   Some of the new shopping mall developments are adding co-
there are new retail developments
                                                                   working space into their schemes.
underway of all sizes.
                                                                   It normally takes 3-6 months for retailers to occupy retail space,
The retail market in Thailand is dominated by shopping malls and   however this can vary depending on the space selected.
a couple of large developers. Many international brands are
located in prime shopping areas especially in Bangkok and also     A registered Thai company is required to operate in Thailand.
have flagship stores in other large cities. Prime shopping malls   Foreign companies will need to register as a Thai company, with
help to promote brand image, particularly in the Rajprasong and    51% Thai shareholding, before business can commence, unless
Sukhumvit areas. Demand is high for prime space, so in many        the company is registered with the Board of Investment (BOI).
malls there is a waiting list which can take a while to get off.

E-commerce in Thailand is now booming, with the biggest player
Lazada using social media and other platforms to promote their
products at a low cost. According to A.T. Kearney’s Consumer
Industries and Retail Practice in APAC study, the online retail
market in Thailand has growth potential of $12-15 billion, or
approximately 1% of total retail sales in Thailand.

Cushman & Wakefield | Thailand | 2019                                                                                                   5
Cushman & Wakefield Global Cities Retail Guide
THAILAND
                                        SHOPPING CENTRES

                                        TOP TEN SHOPPING CENTRES BY SIZE

                                        NAME                          CITY          SIZE (GLA SQM)   YEAR OPENED
                                        Central World                 Bangkok       192,500          1989, 2007 renovated
                                        Mega Bangna                   Bangkok       185,000          2012
                                        Siam Paragon                  Bangkok       170,000          2006
                                        Seacon Bangkae                Bangkok       170,000          2012
                                        Seacon Square                 Bangkok       135,000          1994
                                        Future Park Rangsit           Pathumthani   132,000          1994
                                        Fashion Island Ramindra       Bangkok       106,000          1995
                                        Central Nakhon Ratchasima     Bangkok       104,000          2017
                                        Paradise Park                 Bangkok       90,000           2009
                                        Central Grand Rama 9          Bangkok       89,600           2011

Cushman & Wakefield | Thailand | 2019                                                                                       6
THAILAND
KEY FEATURES OF LEASE STRUCTURE

SUB-HEADING
 KEY FEATURES OF LEASE
ITEM                                    COMMENT
 Lease Terms                            Typical term of 1-3 years is a short term lease. A lease of 4-30 years is defined as long term lease and it is needed to have Lease Registration
                                        at land department office. A 30-year lease is the highest number of years that can be registered at a time.
 Rental Payment                         Rents are payable monthly in advance. Fixed monthly rents are the most practical in the market. Percentage rents are seen in some shopping
                                        centres especially in food & beverage zones. For long lease retailers (maximum of 30-year lease term), they pay all the rent at once when they
                                        occupy the premise and pay common area charge by monthly. A security deposit is required for a tenant for guaranteed; it practically requires
                                        3- 6 months’ rent equivalent commonplace for a 3-year lease term.
 Rent Review                            Indexation is not common practice but is being seen on an increasing basis. It is practical to up rent to 5%-15% in every lease term of 3-year,
                                        the increasing is upon negotiation.
 Service Charges, Repairs and           Tenant is responsible for service charges; it covers utility charges and VAT of rented accommodation. Repairs and insurance of rented
 Insurance                              accommodation is tenant’s responsibility. Landlord is responsible for repairs and insurance of building structure and common area.
 Property Taxes and other costs         Tenant is responsible for property tax (12.5% of rent), VAT at 7% and Common area charge. Common area charge covers the maintenance of
                                        external rented accommodation, cost of utilities in common area, cost of management fee, security, cleaning, landscaping, air-conditioning,
                                        servicing of elevators and escalators.
 Disposal of a Lease                    Sub-letting is usually possible under the terms of the lease, subject to landlord’s approval. Assignment rights are not normally barred in the
                                        lease but will also be subject to consent – which should not be unreasonably withheld. Early termination is only by break clause – to be
                                        negotiated at outset of lease by mutual consent upon negotiation. At lease end, the tenant is responsible for re-instating the premises to the
                                        same condition as at the start of the lease, subject to normal wear and tear. All tenant improvements must be approved by the landlord subject
                                        to the alteration covenant in the lease and the fact that approval should not be unreasonably withheld.
 Valuation Methods                      Retail measurements are normally quoted in sqm on a Net Internal Area basis, which excludes walls, restrooms, elevators and common areas.
 Legislation                            Lease must be in writing and the lease document forms the standard documentation is required. Lease term over 3-year, maximum 30-year, is
                                        needed to be registered at land department office.

Cushman & Wakefield | Thailand | 2019                                                                                                                                                      7
TEERAWIT LIMTHONGSAKUL
  Managing Director
  Nexus Real Estate Advisory Co., Ltd.
  31st Floor, Bangkok Insurance Building/Y.M.C.A
  25 South Sathorn Road, Thungmahamek
  Sathorn, Bangkok 10120, Thailand
  Tel: +662 286 8899
  Mob: +6681 803 8841
  teerawit@nexus.co.th

No warranty or representation, express or implied, is made to the
accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein, and the
same is submitted subject to errors, omissions, change of price, rental
or other conditions, withdrawal without notice, and to any special
listing conditions imposed by our principals.
© 2019 Cushman & Wakefield LLP. All rights reserved.
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