Coronavirus (COVID-19) impact on Victoria's Visitor Economy - Released April 2021 - Business Victoria

Page created by Kimberly Kelly
 
CONTINUE READING
Coronavirus (COVID-19) impact on Victoria's Visitor Economy - Released April 2021 - Business Victoria
OFFICIAL

Coronavirus (COVID-19)
impact on Victoria’s
Visitor Economy

Released April 2021

Report produced by the
Tourism, Events and
Visitor Economy (TEVE)
Research Unit
research@ecodev.vic.gov.au

                             OFFICIAL
Coronavirus (COVID-19) impact on Victoria's Visitor Economy - Released April 2021 - Business Victoria
OFFICIAL

Contents

  1.       Summary
  2.       Impact of coronavirus (COVID-19) on trip behaviour
  3.       Overview of Victoria’s visitor economy
           a.    Key metrics
           b.    Total visitors to and within Victoria
           c.    Top 10 source markets by overnight visitors
           d.    Visitors within Victoria’s regions
  4.       Domestic overnight and daytrip visitors
           a.    Key metrics
           b.    State comparisons
           c.    Domestic overnight visitors - metro and regional Australia
           d.    Domestic overnight visitors - interstate and intrastate
           e.    Domestic overnight visitors – to and within Victoria
           f.    Domestic overnight visitors – Melbourne and regional Victoria
           g.    Domestic visitors - changes by purpose of visit
           h.    Domestic visitors likely to attend an event
  5.       International overnight visitors
           a.    Key metrics
           b.    International overnight visitors - source markets
           c.    International overnight visitors – Melbourne and regional Victoria
           d.    International overnight visitors – changes by purpose of visit
  6.       Victoria’s accommodation sector
  7.       The state of the industry
           a.    National Tourism Satellite Account/ Labour market
           b.    Payroll jobs and wages/ Impact on household - activities
           c.    Impact on household - travel
  8.       Substitution of interstate and outbound travel
  9.       Timeline of coronavirus (COVID-19) cases and events
  10.      List of resources
  11.      International and National Visitor Surveys - data notes

       Note: This report was finalised in December 2020. It therefore presents the best
       estimates available at the time of writing, which includes figures towards the
       end of the second wave of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic in Victoria.

                                                                                          1
                                                   OFFICIAL
Coronavirus (COVID-19) impact on Victoria's Visitor Economy - Released April 2021 - Business Victoria
OFFICIAL

Summary
Since March 2020, the global outbreak of coronavirus (COVID-19) has deeply affected the Australian tourism
landscape. This report focuses on the impact of coronavirus (COVID-19) on the Victorian tourism industry,
using a range of data sources, including insights from specific questions added to visitor surveys on how
travellers responded to the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, as well as broader insights on accommodation
and key economic indicators.

In the six months ending June 2020, total visitors to and within Victoria was 30.7 million, a decline of 19.9
million visitors (-39%) compared to the same period in 2019. Total visitor spend in Victoria over this period
experienced a deeper decline (-43%, or down $7.0 billion) to $9.3 billion.

Domestic visitors
• In the March quarter 2020, 33 per cent of Australians had their domestic travel plans (both past or future)
  change as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak (approximately 22 per cent of Australians (15
  years and over) travelled domestically in the three months prior to being questioned). This compared to 43
  per cent in the June quarter, which included the full Stage 3 restrictions across Australia (when
  approximately nine per cent of Australians travelled domestically in the prior three months).
• There have been 10.0 million domestic overnight visitors in Victoria in the nine months ending September
  2020 (-55% or down 12.5 million compared to the nine months ending September 2019).
• Following the easing of the national restrictions there was a softening decline in intrastate overnight
  visitors to/within Victoria in May and June. The Stage 3 and 4 restrictions that began in Victoria in July saw
  a return to a level of decline in August (-88%) that was experienced in April (-89%).
• Interstate overnight visitors to Victoria have experienced sustained declines of at least 90 per cent since
  April. These declines have seen a notable shift in proportions of domestic overnight travel. Interstate travel
  accounted for 36 per cent of visitors in Victoria but 52 per cent of spend in September 2019 however, in
  September 2020 this fell to just 5 per cent for visitors and 12 per cent of spend.
• Declines each month were similar for interstate overnight visitors to Victoria and visitors to Melbourne, and
  for intrastate overnight visitors within Victoria and visitors to regional Victoria, reflecting the dominant
  share of visitors to each destination.
• In terms of event attendance, as event sizes increase the proportion of domestic travellers less likely to
  attend an event increases for both indoor and outdoor events. Results are more favourable for outdoor
  events. Those that stated they were more likely to attend an event or had the same level of intention most
  were looking to home state events rather than interstate events.
International visitors
• There have been 612,000 international overnight visitors in Victoria in the six months ending June 2020
   (-61%, or down 942,000 visitors compared to the six months ending June 2019).
• The deepest decline in visitors was from Victoria’s highest spending international market China, which
   declined by 75 per cent in visitors (down 264,000 visitors). The next deepest falls in volume of visitors were
   from New Zealand (-55%, or down 91,000) and the United States of America (-61%, or down 82,000).
• International visitors arriving in Victoria for a short-term trip (less than 1 year) in September 2020 declined
   by 99.8 per cent compared to the same month in 2019 (recording only 330 short-term visitor arrivals).
Other tourism industry performance indicators
• The severe negative impacts of coronavirus (COVID-19) on monthly accommodation (hotels, motels and
  serviced accommodation of at least 10 rooms) have seen occupancy rates in Victoria take a sharp dive
  from March 2020. Occupancy rates in Victoria fell from 77.4 per cent in February 2020 to a low of 26.5 per
  cent in April, then lifted slightly to 33.1 per cent in June pre-Stage 4 restrictions.
• The sharpest impact of the crisis on payroll jobs has been in tourism related industries in Victoria. From the
  week ending 14 March to week ending 14 November 2020 Victoria had the deepest change in payroll jobs of
  all states and territories (-5.4%) compared to the national average decline of 2.9 per cent. Jobs in
  accommodation and food services (-22.6%) as well as arts and recreation services (-19.6%) experienced the
  deepest declines in Victoria.
                                                                                                                    2
                                                    OFFICIAL
OFFICIAL

   Impact of coronavirus (COVID-19) on trip behaviour

 Trip rates by Australians – to October 2020
 The following charts show the changes in domestic                                                   daytrips had the most substantial difference in April
 overnight (taken in the last month) and daytrip (taken                                              2020 (down 15% points when compared to April 2019).
 in the last seven days) rates from January to the end                                               This reflects the nationwide lockdown in May. Despite
 of October 2020. Domestic overnight trips were at                                                   Melbourne being in Stage 4 Stay at Home restrictions
 their lowest in May 2020 (6%) and domestic daytrips                                                 (limiting travel to within 5kms and only four reasons to
 in April (4%). When comparing to the same month in                                                  leave home), the October school holidays in other states
 2019, May 2020 shows the most substantial percentage                                                looks to have had a positive impact in those states
 point change in domestic overnight trips compared to                                                although lower trip rates compared to 2019.
 May 2019, down 28 percentage points, while domestic

             Domestic overnight trips in 2019 and 2020                                                                   Domestic daytrips in 2019 and 2020
40%                            Nationwide                                Stage 3&4                   40%                                Nationwide                           Stage 3&4
      36%                      restrictions                             restrictions                                                    restrictions                        restrictions
35% 33%                        32%     34%                                               33%         35%
          32%          31%                      31%        31%
                 28%                                                29%        29%
30%                                                                                                  30%
                         24%
25%                                                                                                  25%
                                                                                               22%          19%         20%     20%
                                                              19%                                                                       19%     19%                19%     18%       18%
20%                                                                                                  20%          17%     18%                           18%                                  18%
                                                     15%                 16%     16%
15%                                                                                                   15%                         13%                        13%
                                                                                                                                                                     11%      10%      11%     12%
                                  9%                                                                                                              9%
10%                                                                                                   10%
                                          6%
                                                                                                                                          4%
 5%                                                                                                   5%

 0%                                                                                                   0%
       Jan     Feb     Mar      Apr     May     Jun        Jul      Aug        Sep        Oct               Jan         Feb     Mar     Apr     May     Jun        Jul     Aug       Sep     Oct

ppt    3%       -3%    -7%      -23%    -28%    -15%       -11%     -12%        -13%      -11%       ppt    -2%          -2%    -7%     -15%    -10%     -5%       -8%     -9%        -7%    -6%
change                                                                                               change
                                 2019         2020                                                                                       2019         2020

How to interpret: The trip rate for October tells us 22 per cent of National Visitor Survey respondents interviewed that month reported taking one or
more overnight trips in the preceding 28 days (the reference period). The return date will have been in September for some of these trips. The trip
rate percentage for the month of October refers to trips returned from in that month.

Impact of coronavirus (COVID-19) on trips by Australians – to June 20201
In the six months ending June 2020, fifty per cent                                                                  100% Australian
of Australian travellers had their travel plans (both                                                                  population
past or future) change as a result of the                                                                          15 years and older
coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak (aged 15 years or
older).
                                                                                                                  34% had travelled*                               * Travel in the last 3
                                                                                                                   19% taken an overnight trip                     months relates to travel
                                                                                                                      12% taken a day trip                         in the last:
                                                                                                                                                                                 ▪     7 days for
                                                                                                                   9% taken an outbound trip
                                                                                                                                                                                       daytrips
                                                                                                                                                                                 ▪     4 weeks for
                                       Were plans for trips in Australia changed                                                                                                       overnight
                                          due to the coronavirus outbreak?                                                                                                             trips
                                                                                                                               Impacted                                          ▪     3 months for
                                                                                                                                                                                       overseas
                                                                                                                                                                                       trips
                                              50%
                                                                  62%                  59%

                                                                                                     No
                                                                                                     Yes
                                              50%
                                                                  38%                  41%

                                          Travelled         Did not travel             Total
                                         last 3 mths         last 3 mths

 Note: 1March and June quarters 2020 compared and includes both those who had travelled and not travelled in the last 3 months when questioned
 unless otherwise specified. Source: National Visitor Survey, year ending June 2020, produced by Tourism Research Australia, October 2020.
 Figures and charts produced by Tourism, Events and Visitor Economy Research Unit.
                                                                                                                                                                                                   3
                                                                                          OFFICIAL
OFFICIAL

     Impact of coronavirus (COVID-19) on trip behaviour

    Coronavirus (COVID-19) questions1 (asked from January to June 2020), revealing
    the following impacts on planned and future trips.

     In the March quarter 2020, 33 per cent of Australians •                 Travellers (those who had taken a trip in the last three
     had their domestic travel plans (both past and future)                  months when answering the survey) compared to non
     changed as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19)                       travellers (those who had not travelled in the last
     outbreak, with early stages of restrictions beginning                   three months) were more likely to have changed their
     on 23 March. This is compared to 43 per cent in the                     domestic travel plans in the June quarter results (53%
     June quarter, which included the full Stage 3                           compared to 40%). These were more than in the
     restrictions across Australia, that began on 29 March                   March quarter 2020 where the percentages were 40
     and began to ease in mid-May, and the cessation of                      per cent for travellers and 29 per cent for non-
     outbound travel.                                                        travellers.
•    In the June quarter 2020, Victorians aged 45-64        •                Cancellations of planned domestic trips were similar
     years were more likely to have changed their                            in the June quarter 2020 (64%) and March quarter
     domestic travel plans due to the Coronavirus                            (67%), however trips were delayed or postponed more
     outbreak (48% compared with 41% of Victorians                           in the June quarter (38% compared to 27%).
     overall), followed closely by those aged 35-44 years   •                With the changes to future domestic trips, there had
     (46%), while those aged 15-24 years old were the least                  been a shift by the end of June quarter 2020 to people
     likely to have changed their plans (31%).                               more likely to delay or postpone a trip than cancel it.
•    In the June quarter 2020, 50 per cent stated their                      In the June quarter 2020 43 per cent of respondents
     domestic trip that had been planned was changed                         stated they were going to ‘cancel a trip and did not
     ‘before now’ (compared to 15% in the March quarter                      plan to go elsewhere’ (compared to 56% in the March
     2020) and 32 per cent changed ‘for the future’                          quarter 2020) and 56 per cent were going to ‘delay or
     (compared to 73% in the March quarter 2020).                            postpone and did not plan to go elsewhere’
                                                                             (compared to 46% in the March quarter 2020).

            Were plans for trips in Australia changed due to
            the coronavirus outbreak? (Australian respondents)                         How domestic plans were changed
                                                                                              (Australian respondents)

                                                  57%                       Cancelled a trip but didn't go                           66%
                       67%
                                                                              anywhere else instead                                 64%

                                                  43%                      Delayed or postponed a trip
                       33%                                                                                               28%
                                                                          but didn't go anywhere else yet
               March quarter 2020           June quarter 2020                         instead                               38%
                                      Yes    No

           When was the changed domestic trip planned?                                                            6%
                         (Australian respondents)                             Cut short a trip you were on
                                                                                                                2%
                       12%                          18%
                       15%

                                                                                  Went somewhere else in         3%
                                                   50%
                                                                                    Australia instead           1%
                       73%

                                                   32%                               March quarter 2020          June quarter 2020

               March quarter 2020            June quarter 2020
                     For the future     Before now        Both

    Note: 1March and June quarters 2020 compared and includes both those who had travelled and not travelled in the last 3 months when
    questioned unless otherwise specified. Figures in red italics had low samples and therefore must be interpreted with caution.
    Source: National Visitor Survey, year ending June 2020, produced by Tourism Research Australia, October 2020.
    Figures and charts produced by Tourism, Events and Visitor Economy Research Unit.
                                                                                                                                           4
                                                                   OFFICIAL
OFFICIAL

    Impact of coronavirus (COVID-19) on trip behaviour

    For Australian residents with overseas travel plans in June quarter 2020, 29 per cent
    changed their plans because of coronavirus (COVID-19), with the majority of these (70%)
    planned in the future.

•    In the June quarter 2020, Victorians aged 45-64      •              Cancellations of planned overseas trips were similar
     years were more likely to have changed their                        in the June quarter 2020 (62%) and March quarter
     overseas travel plans due to the Coronavirus                        (58%), however trips were delayed or postponed
     outbreak (34% compared with 30% of Victorians                       more in the June quarter (32%, compared to 23%).
     overall), followed closely by those aged 25-44       •              With the changes to future overseas trips, there had
     years (32%), while those aged 65+ years old were                    been a slight shift by the end of June quarter 2020
     the least likely to have (23%).                                     to people more likely to delay or postpone a trip
•    Travellers (those who had taken a trip in the last                  than cancel it. In the June quarter 2020, 48 per cent
     three months) compared to non travellers (those                     of respondents stated they were going to ‘cancel a
     who had not travelled in the last three months) were                trip and did not plan to go elsewhere’ (compared to
     more likely to have changed their overseas travel                   50% in the March quarter 2020) and 50 per cent
     plans in the June quarter results (37% compared to                  were going to ‘delay or postpone and did not plan to
     27%). These were more than in the March quarter                     go elsewhere’ (compared to 47% in the March
     2020 where the percentages were 31 per cent for                     quarter 2020).
     travellers and 20 per cent for non-travellers.

         Were plans for overseas trips changed due to
        the coronavirus outbreak? (Australian respondents)
                                                                               How overseas plans were changed
                                                                                        (Australian respondents)
                   76%                       71%                    Cancelled a trip but didn't go                             58%
                                                                      anywhere else instead                                     62%
                                                                 Delayed or postponed a trip but
                                                                                                                   23%
                   24%                       29%                   didn't go anywhere else yet
                                                                             instead                                 32%
           March quarter 2020          June quarter 2020
                                                                                                               16%
                                 Yes    No                            Cut short a trip you were on
                                                                                                             8%

       When was the changed overseas trip planned?                      Went on an interstate trip          3%
                     (Australian respondents)                                   instead                    1%
                            3%                            6%
                   11%
                                             25%                      Went on a trip to your home          1%
                                                                            state instead                  1%

                  85%                                             Went somewhere else overseas             2%
                                             70%                           instead                         0%

                                                                             March quarter 2020             June quarter 2020
          March quarter 2020           June quarter 2020
                For the future    Before now       Both

Note: 1March and June quarters 2020 compared and includes both those who had travelled and not travelled in the last 3 months when
questioned unless otherwise specified. Figures in red italics had low samples and therefore must be interpreted with caution.
Source: National Visitor Survey, year ending June 2020, produced by Tourism Research Australia, October 2020.
Figures and charts produced by Tourism, Events and Visitor Economy Research Unit.
                                                                                                                                      5
                                                               OFFICIAL
OFFICIAL

Overview of Victoria’s Visitor Economy

Since March 2020, the global outbreak of coronavirus (COVID-19) has deeply affected the Australian tourism
landscape. The impact of coronavirus (COVID-19) followed on from an already challenging start to the year,
with devastating summer bushfires in the East Gippsland and Victoria’s High Country tourism regions.
The results for both international and domestic travel reflect the impacts of progressive travel bans, and
restrictions on movement, combined with growing concerns about travel due to coronavirus (COVID-19).
The latest combined figures are for six months ending June 2020, as these are the latest international visitor
figures available. Further into the report, some key domestic visitor metrics are available and therefore
reported up until September 2020.

  Total visitors to and within Victoria in the six months ending June 2020 was 30.7 million, a decline of 19.9
  million visitors, or 39 per cent, compared to the same period in 2019. Total visitor spend in Victoria
  experienced an even sharper decline over the same period (-43%, or a $7.0 billion decline).

                     30.7m                                             48.8m                                          $9.3b
                     VISITORS                                          NIGHTS                                         SPEND
                             -39%                                            -41%                                           -43%

Substantial declines were noted across all visitor                     Interstate travel has been impacted due to state
categories in the six months ending June 2020 in                       border closures and other preventive measures to
Victoria as the impacts of the coronavirus (COVID-                     stop to the spread of the virus that limited
19) unfolded, reflecting the border closures and                       movement. This is shown by substantial declines
movement restrictions. These results include the                       noted in interstate overnight visitors (-54%, or down
nationwide restrictions in March/April and were                        2.3 million), nights (-51%, or down 9.0 million) and
before the Stage 3 and 4 restrictions in Victoria from                 overnight spend (-52%, or down $2.0 billion).
July, that included the 5km travel distance limit for
                                                                       With some limited movement enabled in May/June in
Melburnians.
                                                                       Victoria, there was some recovery in intrastate travel
In the six months ending June 2020 compared to six                     and daytrips, however there remained a decline on
months ending June 2019, international travel to                       the previous year. Intrastate overnight travel had a
Victoria suffered the deepest decline in visitors as a                 substantial decline in visitors (-41%, or down 4.7
result of travel bans which were progressively                         million), nights (-24%, or down 6.7 million) and spend
implemented from February with overnight visitors                      (-36%, or down $1.7 million). Daytrips experienced a
(-61%, or down 0.9 million), visitor nights (-48%, or                  similar decline in spend (-37%, or down $1.2 billion)
down 17.8 million) and spend (-46%, or down $2.1                       with a softer decline in visitors (-36%, or down 11.9
billion).                                                              million). Note that these results reflect travel that
                                                                       occurred prior to the 5km travel distance limit.

     Visitors to/within Victoria - 6 months ending June 2020                   Spend in Victoria in 6 months ending June 2020

 Source: International and National Visitor Surveys, year ending June 2020, produced by Tourism Research Australia, October 2020.
 Figures and charts produced by Tourism, Events and Visitor Economy Research Unit.
                                                                                                                                    6
                                                               OFFICIAL
OFFICIAL

Overview of Victoria’s Visitor Economy (continued)

TOTAL VISITORS TO AND WITHIN VICTORIA
Six months ending June 2020 compared to the six months ending June 2019

The chart below shows the change in proportions of                            The deepest declines in spend were by:
visitors to/within Victoria in the six months ending                               • international overnight visitors to Melbourne
June 2020 compared to the six months ending June                                     (down $1.9 billion, or -45%), followed by
2019. There was a greater proportion of daytrips                                   • interstate spend in Melbourne (down $1.5
to/within Melbourne, increasing from 63 per cent to                                  billion, or -52%).
70 per cent, although the overall numbers of daytrips
                                                                              Intrastate spend was down by $907 million (or -29%)
declined by 4.2 million (or -36%). The decline in
                                                                              in regional Victoria and by $781 million (or -52%) in
volume of daytrips for regional Victoria was the
                                                                              Melbourne. Daytrip spend in regional Victoria was
largest, down 7.7 million (or -36%), although there was
                                                                              down $746 million (or -36%).
a slight increase in share (66% to 68%). The next
largest volume decline was intrastate visitors to
regional Victoria (down 3.5 million, or –38%).

              19.0 million       10.9 million      32.3 million        20.2 million      50.7 million       30.7 million
    55 m
                                                                                           3%, 1.6 m
    50 m

                                                                                           9%, 4.3 m
    45 m

    40 m                                                                                      23%
                                                                                             11.5 m
                                                                                                                              International
    35 m                                                                                                                      overnight
                                                     1%, 0.3 m
                                                                                                                  2%, 0.6 m
                                                     4%, 1.4 m
    30 m
                                                                                                                  7%, 2.0 m
                                                                                                                              Interstate
                                                       28%
                                                                                                                    22%       overnight
    25 m                                               9.1 m
                                                                                                                   6.7 m
                                                                         1%, 0.1 m
    20 m        8%, 1.5 m                                                                                                     Intrastate
                                                                         3%, 0.7 m
                                                                           28%                                                overnight
     15 m      17%, 3.2 m                                                 5.6 m
               13%, 2.4 m                                                                    66%
                                      5%, 0.6 m        66%                                  33.3 m                  70%       Domestic
    10 m                          14%, 1.5 m          21.4 m                                                       21.4 m     daytrips
                                   11%, 1.1 m                                  68%
                  63%
     5m                                                                       13.8 m
                 11.9 m                 70%
                                       7.6 m
     0m
            6 months ending    6 months ending    6 months ending     6 months ending   6 months ending     6 months ending
               June 2019          June 2020          June 2019           June 2020         June 2019           June 2020

                          Melbourne                            Regional VIC                            Victoria

Source: International and National Visitor Surveys, year ending June 2020, produced by Tourism Research Australia, October 2020.
Figures and chart produced by Tourism, Events and Visitor Economy Research Unit.
                                                                                                                                           7
                                                                 OFFICIAL
OFFICIAL

Overview of Victoria’s Visitor Economy (continued)

TOP 10 SOURCE MARKETS BY OVERNIGHT VISITORS
Six months ending June 2020
Overnight visitors, nights and overall spend declined for                 The top 10 spending source markets (both domestic
all of Victoria’s source markets in the six months ending                 and international) for the six months ending June
June 2020 compared to the same period in the previous                     2020 include:
year.                                                                     • China, ranked 3rd with $851m, compared to 2nd for
                                                                             the six months ending June 2019. Their spend fell
The deepest declines in visitors from the top source
                                                                             $928m (-52%) between those periods, almost eight
markets reflected the border closures. With:
                                                                             times that of the UK (the market with the second
• the Australian border closed to China on 1 February
                                                                             highest volume loss (-$119m). Victoria’s rate of
  and all non-residents on 20 March. The top
                                                                             decline for Chinese spend was less than the
  international visitor markets saw sharp declines –
                                                                             national average (-60%), as well as Queensland
  China (-75%), New Zealand (NZ) (-55%) and the
                                                                             and NSW (both -63%).
  United Kingdom (UK) (-41%). All international
                                                                          • India, ranked 5th with $207 million, compared to
  source markets experienced declines of at least
                                                                             ranked 7th in the six months ending June 2019
  50 per cent, with the exception of the UK.
                                                                          • Malaysia, ranked 8th with $105m, compared to
• State and Territory borders closed on 25 March
                                                                             ranked 10th in the six months ending June 2019
  with Western Australia (WA), South Australia (SA),
                                                                          • The increase in spend ranking by Indian and
  Queensland, Tasmania and Northern Territory (NT).
                                                                             Malaysian visitors was influenced by a slight
  The deepest declines in domestic overnight visitors
                                                                             increase in share of education visitor spend at the
  were from SA and WA (both down 60%), Queensland
                                                                             expense of China where the share in education
  (-55%) and New South Wales (NSW) (-54%).
                                                                             visitor spend fell from 54 per cent to 45 per cent in
                                                                             the first six months of 2020.
 TOTAL OVERNIGHT VISITORS TO AND WITHIN VICTORIA
 Data in thousands (000s)

                  VICTORIA                                                          6,732
                    ▼ -41%

      NEW SOUTH WALES                    1,007                                                                                  27,554
               ▼ -54%

             QUEENSLAND
                  ▼ -55%
                                    376
                                                                                                              $545*
                                                                                                          AVERAGE SPEND
       SOUTH AUSTRALIA              236                                                                    PER DOMESTIC
               ▼ -60%                                                                                   OVERNIGHT VISIT for
                                                                                                     6 months ending June 2020,
    WESTERN AUSTRALIA                                                                                   compared to $533 for
                                   123                                                                  6 months ending 2019.
              ▼ -60%

    AUSTRALIAN CAPITAL
            TERRITORY              112                                                                      $3,991*
                ▼ -38%                                                                                   AVERAGE SPEND PER
                                                                                                            INTERNATIONAL
                 TASMANIA          104                      In the year ending                          OVERNIGHT VISIT for
                   ▼ -47%                                   December 2019 (pre                       6 months ending June 2020,
                                                            coronavirus), China was                    compared to $2,931 for
                                                            ranked fifth for overnight               6 months ending June 2019.
                     CHINA         88
                     ▼ -75%                                 visitors to Victoria, and
                                                            third in spend.
            NEW ZEALAND            74
                  ▼ -55%

         UNITED KINGDOM
                                  69
                   ▼ -41%

* Declines in visitors and spend from each source market have changed the profile of average visitor. For example, changes in length of
stay and purpose (such as international education and domestic business) have positively influenced the average spend per vis itor.
Source: International and National Visitor Surveys, year ending June 2020, produced by Tourism Research Australia, October 2020.
Figures and chart produced by Tourism, Events and Visitor Economy Research Unit.
                                                                                                                                          8
                                                               OFFICIAL
OFFICIAL

Overview of Victoria’s Visitor Economy (continued)

DOMESTIC OVERNIGHT VISITORS TO AND WITHIN VICTORIA’S REGIONS
Six months ending June 2020 compared to the six months ending June 2019

 Substantial declines were noted for all of Victoria's                The largest percentage decline was experienced for
 regions in the six months ending June 2020                           Daylesford and the Macedon Ranges (down 60%).
 compared to the same period in 2019.
                                                                      Over this period, the regions with the largest volume
 International overnight visitors to regional Victoria                decline in domestic overnight spend were for:
 represent one per cent of overall visitors to/within                 • Victoria’s High Country, down $278 million (-61%)
 the area (excludes international daytrip visitors).                    to $179 million (noting bushfires in
 As shown in the following chart, the largest volume                    January/February),
 declines in domestic overnight visitors for the six                  • Murray, down $198 million (-38%) to $325 million,
 months ending June 2020 compared to six months                       • Goldfields, down $191 million (-52%) to $176 million,
 ending June 2019 were for:                                             and
 • Great Ocean Road, down 666,000 (-40%)                              • Yarra Valley and Dandenong Ranges, down $109
    domestic overnight visitors to 989,000,                             million (-54%) to $92 million.
 • Goldfields, down 598,000 (-49%) to 621,000,
 • Victoria’s High Country, down 587,000 (-58%) to
    432,000, and
 • Murray, down 524,000 (-40%) to 775,000.

                 Volume and % change in domestic overnight visitors to/within Victoria’s regions
                                                    -800 -700 -600 -500 -400 -300 -200 -100                 0   Visitors in 6 months
                                                                                                                 ending June 2020
                                                                                                                       (000s)
                         Great Ocean Road               -666                                        -40%               989

                                    Goldfields               -598                                   -49%                621

                   Victoria's High Country                     -587                                 -58%                432

                                        Murray                    -524                              -40%                775

                     Mornington Peninsula                                 -400                      -33%                830

                Geelong and the Bellarine                                   -384                    -39%                603

  Yarra Valley and Dandenong Ranges                                              -312               -48%                332

  Daylesford and the Macedon Ranges                                              -306               -60%                201

                                 Phillip Island                                    -282              -41%               399

                                    Gippsland                                       -260             -21%               996

                                  Grampians                                             -232         -41%               331

                     6 months ending June 2020 compared to 6 months ending June 2019
                                                 (000s)

Source: National Visitor Survey, year ending June 2020, produced by Tourism Research Australia, October 2020.
Figures and chart produced by Tourism, Events and Visitor Economy Research Unit.
                                                                                                                                       9
                                                              OFFICIAL
OFFICIAL

Overview of Victoria’s Visitor Economy (continued)

DOMESTIC DAYTRIP VISITORS TO AND WITHIN VICTORIA’S REGIONS
Six months ending June 2020 compared to the six months ending June 2019

 Substantial declines were experienced with                           •   Goldfields, down 1.3 million (-45%) to 1.6 million,
 domestic daytrips visitors. These declines were                      •   Mornington Peninsula, down 1.1 million (-34%) to 2.2
 softer than domestic overnight visitors for most                         million, and
 regions. Notable variations in declines in domestic                  •   Great Ocean Road, down 1.1 million (-49%) to 1.2
 overnight visitors compared to domestic daytrip                          million, with the largest percentage decline of all
 visitors include Daylesford and the Macedon Ranges                       the regions.
 (-60% for overnight compared to -19% daytrip),
                                                                      The softest percentage declines were experienced by
 Victoria’s High Country (-58% compared with -31%),
                                                                      Grampians (down 12%, or 74,000) and Daylesford and
 Grampians (-41% compared with -12%),
                                                                      the Macedon Ranges, (down 19%, or 274,000).
 Phillip Island (-41% compared with -28%) and
 Geelong and the Bellarine (-39% compared                             Over this period, the regions with the largest volume
 with -27%).                                                          decline in domestic daytrip spend were for:
                                                                      • Yarra Valley and Dandenong Ranges, down $135
 As shown in the following chart, the largest volume
                                                                        million (-55%) to $109 million,
 declines in domestic daytrip visitors for the six
                                                                      • Murray, down $126 million (-46%) to $147 million,
 months ending June 2020 compared to six months
                                                                        and
 ending June 2019 were for:
                                                                      • Mornington Peninsula, down $116 million (-43%) to
 • Yarra Valley and Dandenong Ranges, down 1.4
                                                                        $151 million.
    million (-48%) to 1.6 million,

                    Volume and % change in domestic daytrip visitors to/within Victoria’s regions
                                                                                                                    Visitors in 6 months
                                                                                                                     ending June 2020
                                                                                                                           (000s)
                                                                                                     -48%
                                                                                                                           1,553

                                                                                                     -45%
                                                                                                                           1,605

                                                                                                     -34%                  2,166

                                                                                                     -49%                  1,158

                                                                                                     -41%                  1,286

                                                                                                     -27%                  1,629

                                                                                                     -20%                  1,546

                                                                                                     -19%                  1,135

                                                                                                      -31%                  567

                                                                                                      -28%                  536

                                                                                                             -12%           558

Source: National Visitor Surveys, year ending June 2020, produced by Tourism Research Australia, October 2020.
Figures and chart produced by Tourism, Events and Visitor Economy Research Unit.
                                                                                                                                       10
                                                              OFFICIAL
OFFICIAL

Overview of Victoria’s Visitor Economy (continued)

INTERNATIONAL OVERNIGHT VISITORS TO VICTORIA’S REGIONS
Six months ending June 2020 compared to the six months ending June 2019

  Substantial declines in international overnight                            18,000, and
  visitors and spend were noted for all of Victoria's                    •   Murray, down 20,000 (-54%) to 10,000
  regions in the six months ending June 2020
                                                                         The largest percentage decline of all the regions was
  compared to the same period in 2019. This reporting
                                                                         experienced by Goldfields (down 72%, or 72,000).
  only includes international overnight visitors
  because the International Visitor Survey (IVS) does                    Over this period, the regions with the largest volume
  not capture specific detail on international daytrips.                 decline in international overnight spend were for:
                                                                         • Geelong and the Bellarine, down $44 million
  As shown in the following chart, the largest volume
                                                                            (-72%) to $17 million,
  declines in international overnight visitors for the
                                                                         • Murray, down $42 million (-83%) to $9 million, and
  six months ending June 2020 compared to six
                                                                         • Great Ocean Road down $39 million (-66%) to
  months ending June 2019 were for:
                                                                            $20 million.
  • Great Ocean Road, down 75,000 (-57%) to 57,000,
  • Gippsland, down 28,000 (-65%) to 15,000,
  • Mornington Peninsula, down 22,000 (-54%) to

              Volume and % change in international overnight visitors to/within Victoria’s regions
                                                                                                                 Visitors in 6 months
                                                                                                                  ending June 2020
                                                                                                                        (000s)
                                                                                                    -57%                57

                                                                                                    -65%
                                                                                                                        15

                                                                                                    -54%                18

                                                                                                    -67%                10

                                                                                                     -72%                8

                                                                                                    -54%                16

                                                                                                    -56%                14

                                                                                                    -51%                16

                                                                                                     -50%               15

                                                                                                            -56%         np

                                                                                                             -31%        np

Source: International Visitor Survey, year ending June 2020, produced by Tourism Research Australia, October 2020.
Note figures in red italics had low samples and therefore must be interpreted with caution.
Figures and chart produced by Tourism, Events and Visitor Economy Research Unit.
                                                                                                                                        11
                                                              OFFICIAL
OFFICIAL

Domestic Overnight and Daytrip Visitors

              Domestic visitors in 2020

Domestic survey data is now being provided monthly,                       There have been 10.0 million domestic overnight
to capture the emerging trends as early as possible.                      visitors in Victoria in the nine months ending
This allows key metrics for domestic visitors to be                       September 2020 (-55% or down 12.5 million compared
available up until September 2020.                                        to the nine months ending September 2019).

Victoria recorded a significant loss in domestic visitor                  Victoria recorded a loss of $7.3 billion in domestic
spend (overnight and daytrip) of $9.8 billion for the                     overnight spend and a further loss of $2.5 billion in
period January to September 2020, compared to the                         domestic daytrip spend in the nine months ending
same period in 2019.                                                      September 2020, compared to the same period in
                                                                          2019.
In July stay at home restrictions were reactivated in
Victoria in response to a second wave of coronavirus                      These declines have seen a notable shift in
(COVID-19). This saw a decline in overnight visitors                      proportions of domestic overnight travel. Interstate
and spend in August to levels seen in April during the                    travel accounted for 36% of visitors in Victoria but
initial phase of nation-wide stay at home restrictions.                   52% of spend in September 2019, however in
                                                                          September 2020 this fell to just 5% for visitors and
These were gradually eased in September for regional
                                                                          12% of spend.
Victoria, including being allowed to travel for holidays
from mid-September, resulting in a slight                                 The chart below shows that declines for the nine
improvement in trips on August but numbers                                months ending September 2020 compared to the
remained well below those seen before the second                          same period in 2019 were similar for interstate
wave.                                                                     visitors to Victoria and visitors to Melbourne, and for
                                                                          intrastate visitors within Victoria and visitors to
                                                                          regional Victoria.

               Domestic Overnight Visitors, Spend & Daytrips to and within Victoria
                           January - September % change 2019/20
   0%

 -10%

 -20%

 -30%

 -40%

 -50%                                      -44%
                                    -49%                                                            -50% -49%            -51%
 -60%                                                   -55%                                                                    -52%
                                                                 -58%

 -70%       -67%                                                                      -68%
                      -69%                                                    -68%
 -80%
                 Melb                Reg VIC                 VIC               Inter ON              Intra ON             Daytrips

                                                            Visitors       Spend
Source: Tourism Research Australia, NVS monthly estimates for September 2020 as part of its provision of additional data to help
monitor the impacts of Australia’s summer bushfires and coronavirus (COVID-19) on tourism. Note figures in red italics had low samples
and therefore must be interpreted with caution. Chart produced by Tourism, Events and Visitor Economy Research Unit.
                                                                                                                                         12
                                                               OFFICIAL
OFFICIAL

    Domestic Overnight and Daytrip Visitors (continued)

                                                          State comparisons – 9 months to September 2020
•      Domestic overnight visitors to/within Victoria fell by •                                                              Domestic daytrip visitors to/within Victoria fell by 51
       55 per cent in the months from January to                                                                             per cent in the months from January to September
       September 2020 (compared to January to                                                                                2020, compared to January to September in 2019,
       September in 2019), down 12.5 million to 10.0 million                                                                 down 25.6 million to 24.7 million (compared to NSW,
       (compared to NSW, -42% or down 12.3 million and                                                                       down 35% or 19.9 million and Queensland, down 32%
       Queensland, -39% or down 7.4 million).                                                                                or 12.7 million).
•      Domestic overnight spend in Victoria fell by 58 per    •                                                              A further $2.5 billion has been lost in domestic
       cent over the same period, down $7.2 billion to $5.3                                                                  daytrip spend since the start of the year resulting in
       billion (compared to NSW, -48% or down $8.5 billion                                                                   a loss in total domestic visitor spend for Victoria of
       and Queensland, -46% or down $6.6 billion).                                                                           $9.8 billion compared to the same period in 2019.

                            Domestic Overnight Visitors (million)                                                                                        Daytrip Visitors (million)
                                  January - September                                                                                                     January - September
     60                                                                                                                60       56.5
                                                                                                                                                   50.3
     50                                                                                                                50
                                                                                                                                       -35%
                                                                                                                                                                         40.0
     40                                                                                                                40              36.6
                                                                                                                                                           -51%                 -32%
            29.2

     30
                   -42%                                                                                                30                                                       27.3
                                   22.5

                                                                                                                                                           24.7
                                          -55%                  -39%
                                                         19.2

                                                                                                                                                                                                                            -30%
                   16.9

                                                                                                                       20                                                                                            18.0
     20                                                                                                                                                                                              -21%
                                                                                        -35%                   -24%                                                                          12.5                           12.5
                                          10.0

                                                                11.7

                                                                                                                                                                                                         9.9
                                                                                                         8.2

                                                                                                                        10
                                                                                                                6.2
                                                                                 6.1

     10
                                                                                            3.9

      0                                                                                                                 0
              NSW                     VIC                   QLD                        SA                  WA                     NSW                    VIC                QLD                     SA                  WA

                                                    2019           2020                                                                                              2019          2020

                                             State comparisons – focus on April 2020 and September 2020
    The charts below highlight how all states suffered                                                                September, similar to April levels, following Stage 4
    major falls in domestic overnight visitors in April as                                                            restrictions for the State that began in July to control
    Stage 3 restrictions were put in place across                                                                     the second wave of coronavirus (COVID-19). In contrast,
    Australia from 29 March. Easing of restrictions                                                                   most States and Territories experienced more
    began on 27 April. Declines for April 2020 compared                                                               moderate declines in intrastate visitors in September
    to April 2019 were over 90 per cent for all interstate                                                            2020 (compared to September 2019) than they did in
    overnight visitors, and intrastate overnight visitors                                                             April 2020 (compared to April 2019), within Tasmania
    within Victoria were down 89 per cent (compared to                                                                (+97%, almost doubling) and WA the only other State to
    -87% in NSW).                                                                                                     experience growth (+6%). With most borders between
                                                                                                                      States remaining closed, declines in interstate visitors
    After improved rates of travel from May to June,
                                                                                                                      in September 2020 compared to September 2019 were
    interstate and intrastate overnight visitors to/within
                                                                                                                      experienced by all, although they were softer than
    Victoria fell significantly again in August and
                                                                                                                      experienced in April 2020 compared to April 2019.
                                    Domestic Overnight Visitors -                                                                                    Domestic Overnight Visitors -
                                      April % change 2019/20                                                                                         September % change 2019/20
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              97%
     100%                                                                                                              100%
      80%                                                                                                               80%
      60%                                                                                                               60%
      40%                                                                                                               40%
      20%                                                                                                               20%                                                                                     6%
       0%                                                                                                                0%
     -20%                                                                                                              -20%
                                                                                                                                                                         -8%
     -40%                                                                                                              -40%            -19%                                               -19%
     -60%                                                                                                              -60%
     -80%                                                                                                              -80%
    -100%                                               -72%              -74%                    -74%                                                                            -79%
                                                                                                                      -100%                          -79%
    -120%
            -91% -87%         -95% -89%          -97%             -91%                 -90%              -95% -87%    -120%
                                                                                                                                -88%
                                                                                                                                              -98%                -93%                              -95%              -97%
               NSW                 VIC             QLD                 SA                    WA                TAS                NSW              VIC              QLD                SA                  WA               TAS

                          Interstate Overnight Visitors         Intrastate Overnight Visitors                                             Interstate Overnight Visitors         Intrastate Overnight Visitors

Source: Tourism Research Australia, NVS monthly estimates for September 2020 as part of its provision of additional data to help
monitor the impacts of Australia’s summer bushfires and coronavirus (COVID-19) on tourism. Note figures in red italics had low samples
and therefore must be interpreted with caution. Charts produced by Tourism, Events and Visitor Economy Research Unit.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                               13
                                                                                                               OFFICIAL
OFFICIAL

 Domestic overnight visitors – metro and regional Australia

 Metro: domestic                                                                Regional: domestic
 overnight visitors                                                             overnight visitors
 In the nine months to September 2020 there                                     Over this period there have also been deep
 have been deep declines in both spend and                                      declines in both spend and visitors noted
 visitors across major metro areas in Australia.                                across major regional areas in Australia,
                                                                                although softer than for the major metro areas.
 The most substantial declines in the nine months to
 September 2020 for domestic overnight visitors                                 The deepest declines in the nine months to
 was in Melbourne (down 67% compared to the nine                                September 2020 for domestic overnight visitors was
 months to September 2019, or down 5.7 million),                                for regional Victoria (down 49% compared to the nine
 followed by Sydney (-56%, or down 5.3 million),                                months to September 2019, or down 7.2 million),
 Adelaide (-54%, or down 1.4 million) and Brisbane                              followed by regional NSW (-36%, or down 7.4 million)
 and the Gold Coast (-47%, or down 4.2 million).                                and regional Queensland (-32%, or down 3.5 million).
 Domestic overnight visitor spend in Melbourne                                  Domestic overnight visitor spend in regional Victoria
 declined by 69 per cent in the nine months to                                  declined by 44 per cent in the nine months to
 September 2020 resulting in a reduction in spend                               September 2020 resulting in a reduction in spend of
 of $4.8 billion compared to the same period in 2019,                           $2.4 billion compared to the same period in 2019,
 followed by Sydney (-66%, or down $4.5 billion) and                            followed by regional Queensland (-39%, or down $3.0
 Brisbane and the Gold Coast (-54%, or down $3.6                                billion) and regional NSW (-36%, or down $3.9 billion).
 billion).

                    Domestic Overnight Visitors (million)                                          Domestic Overnight Visitors (million)
                          January - September                                                            January - September
 20                                                                             25
                                                                                     20.5
                                                                                20
 15                                                                                         -36%
                                                                                                       14.6
                                                                                15          13.1
       9.4                             8.9                                                                    -49%
 10                    8.5                                                                                             10.9
                                                                                                                              -32%
             -56%                            -47%                               10
                             -67%                                                                             7.4             7.4                         -19%
                                             4.7                         -34%                                                                -24%
  5          4.1                                            -54%   3.5                                                                              5.2
                             2.8                                                                                                       3.8                4.2
                                                      2.5                2.3     5                                                           2.9
                                                            1.2
  0                                                                              0
        Sydney         Melbourne    Brisbane & GC     Adelaide      Perth            Reg NSW            Reg VIC         Reg QLD         Reg SA      Reg WA

                                    2019       2020                                                                  2019       2020

Source: Tourism Research Australia, NVS monthly estimates for September 2020 as part of its provision of additional data to help
monitor the impacts of Australia’s summer bushfires and coronavirus (COVID-19) on tourism. Note figures in red italics had low samples
and therefore must be interpreted with caution. Charts produced by Tourism, Events and Visitor Economy Research Unit.
                                                                                                                                                                14
                                                                          OFFICIAL
OFFICIAL

 Domestic overnight visitors – interstate and intrastate

Intrastate overnight visitors                                                         Interstate overnight visitors
Following the easing of the national restrictions                                     Since the national restrictions that began in
there was a softening decline in intrastate                                           March and went into early May, and with
overnight visitors to/within Victoria in May and                                      many closed State borders remaining in place,
June. The Stage 3 and 4 restrictions that began                                       the number of interstate visitors to Victoria
in Victoria in July saw a return to a level of                                        has seen sustained declines of at least 90 per
decline in August (-88%) that was experienced                                         cent since April.
in April (-89%).
                                                                                      Interstate overnight visitors to Victoria fell sharply
Intrastate overnight visitors in Victoria fell sharply                                during the national restrictions in April (-95%, the
during the national restrictions in April (-89%, or                                   second largest volume decline to date when
down 1.8 million, compared to April 2019, the largest                                 compared to April 2019). Over the following months,
monthly volume decline to date). The decline                                          the estimated declines remained at or above 90 per
softened slightly in May (-69%, compared to May 2019)                                 cent, with the exception of June (-86%, compared to
and June (-39%, compared to June 2019), in line with                                  June 2019), reflecting the end of the national
easing restrictions, before falling again during the                                  restrictions in May. However, with many State
Stage 3 and 4 restrictions in Victoria in July (-52%,                                 borders remaining closed, the deepest declines
compared to July 2019), with a deeper decline in                                      occurred in August (-99%, compared to August 2019)
August (-88%, or down 1.4 million, the second largest                                 and September (-98%, or down 821,000 (the largest
monthly volume decline). The decline softened slightly                                volume decline) compared to September 2019), when
in September (-79%, or down 1.2 million, compared to                                  Stage 3 and 4 restrictions were in place for Victoria.
September 2019) due to easing restrictions in regional
Victoria from mid-September that allowed travel
within regional Victoria.

         Intrastate Overnight
                Intrastate    Visitors inVisitors
                           Overnight      Victoria (000s)                                     Interstate Overnight Visitors in Victoria (000s)
                            in Nationwide
                               Victoria (000s)                        Stage 3&4                               Nationwide               Stage 3&4
          2,261                restrictions                          restrictions                             restrictions            restrictions
 2,500
                           2,080 2,084
2,000    2,327     1,630                           1,695
                                           1,641             1,548    1,528   1,478
 1,500                     1,279

                  1,408                              1,033
 1,000                                                       741
                                           513
  500                              238                                        309
                                                                       178

    0
          Jan      Feb     Mar     Apr     May     Jun        Jul      Aug    Sep
                                    2019           2020

Source: Tourism Research Australia, NVS monthly estimates for September 2020 as part of its provision of additional data to help
monitor the impacts of Australia’s summer bushfires and coronavirus (COVID-19) on tourism. Note figures in red italics had low samples
and therefore must be interpreted with caution. Charts produced by Tourism, Events and Visitor Economy Research Unit.
                                                                                                                                                 15
                                                                                OFFICIAL
OFFICIAL

 Domestic overnight visitors – to and within Victoria

 Interstate and intrastate visitors                                                                Domestic overnight visitors to and
 to and within Victoria                                                                            within Melbourne and regional Vic
 The declines that began with the nationwide                                                       Declines each month were similar for interstate
 restrictions in March were deeper for                                                             visitors to Victoria and visitors to Melbourne,
 interstate overnight visitors than intrastate                                                     and for intrastate visitors within Victoria and
 overnight visitors.                                                                               visitors to regional Victoria, reflecting the
                                                                                                   share of visitors to each destination.
 Interstate visitor declines were higher than
 intrastate, with some rebound in intrastate evident                                               Declines in August 2020 (compared to August 2019)
 as restrictions eased in May/June. Deeper declines                                                and September 2020 (compared to September
 in July, August and September occurred following                                                  2019) for both Melbourne and regional Victoria
 the second wave and Stage 4 restrictions. Interstate                                              returned to similar levels experienced in April 2020
 visitors remained in deep decline through                                                         (compared to April 2019), when national restrictions
 September as borders remained shut.                                                               were in place for the first wave. A softening decline
                                                                                                   for regional Victoria is evident in September, due to
                                                                                                   easing restrictions that allowed travel within
                                                                                                   regional Victoria.

                        Domestic Overnight Visitors to and within Victoria                                        Domestic Overnight Visitors in Melbourne & Regional Victoria
                                      % change 2019/20                                                                                % change 2019/20
                                   Nationwide                            Stage 3&4                  40%                             Nationwide                               Stage 3&4
  40%
                                   restrictions                         restrictions                                                restrictions                            restrictions
         20%                                                                                               15%
   20%                                                                                              20%

   0%                                                                                                0%
                                                                                                             -1%
           -3%
  -20%                                                                                             -20%
                        -14%                                                                                        -12% -16%
                 -15%

  -40%                                                                                             -40%                         -33%
                                   -39%                       -39%                                                                                            -41%
                            -47%
  -60%                                                                  -52%                       -60%                      -55%                                       -53%

  -80%                                              -69%                                           -80%                                              -70%
               INTERSTATE                                                                                        MELBOURNE                                  -78%                          -80%
                                                                                            -79%                                                  -84%
               INTRASTATE                   -89% -90%      -86%                   -88%                           REGIONAL VIC              -87%                      -88%         -89%
 -100%                                                                                             -100%
                                                                     -94%                                                              -97%                                    -95%    -95%
                                          -95%                                 -99%      -98%

 -120%                                                                                             -120%
          Jan       Feb        Mar          Apr   May       Jun        Jul      Aug       Sep               Jan        Feb      Mar       Apr       May      Jun       Jul       Aug       Sep

 Travel to regional Victoria following mid-September opening

  In September 2020 a greater share of overnight trips                                             spent outside the Melbourne tourism region in
  involved a regional stay than a stay in Melbourne                                                September 2019, this increased to 85 per cent in
  due to the tighter restrictions placed on metropolitan                                           September 2020. The share of spend in regional
  areas to slow the spread of coronavirus (COVID-19).                                              areas also increased from 36 per cent in September
                                                                                                   2019 to 81 per cent in September 2020 (albeit from a
  While 59 per cent of trips in Victoria included nights
                                                                                                   small volume).

Source: Tourism Research Australia, NVS monthly estimates for September 2020 as part of its provision of additional data to help
monitor the impacts of Australia’s summer bushfires and coronavirus (COVID-19) on tourism. Note figures in red italics had low samples
and therefore must be interpreted with caution. Charts produced by Tourism, Events and Visitor Economy Research Unit.
                                                                                                                                                                                           16
                                                                                         OFFICIAL
OFFICIAL

Domestic overnight visitors – Melbourne and regional Victoria

Domestic visitors to Melbourne                                                    Domestic visitors to regional Vic

                                                                                                          Domestic Overnight Visitors
                                                                                                          in Regional Victoria (000s)
                                 Nationwide                        Stage 3&4                                                Nationwide                                Stage 3&4
                                                                                  2,500 2,248                               restrictions
                                 restrictions                     restrictions                                                                                       restrictions
                                                                                                                             1,963
                                                                                  2,000 2,223                      1,819
                                                                                                                                                    1,602
                                                                                                      1,447                             1,442               1,452              1,366
                                                                                   1,500                           1,226                                              1,258
                                                                                                                                                    952
                                                                                  1,000                   1,220
                                                                                                                                                              687
                                                                                                                                         433
                                                                                    500                                         246                                                276
                                                                                                                                                                       137

                                                                                        0
                                                                                            Jan       Feb          Mar          Apr      May        Jun       Jul     Aug          Sep
                                                                                                                                  2019                2020

Melbourne suffered a dramatic loss in visitors (-95%                              Regional Victoria was down 89 per cent in overnight
or down 973,000) in September 2020 compared to                                    visitors (or down 1.12 million visitors) in August 2020
September 2019. This has been the largest volume                                  (compared to August 2019) and down a slightly
loss for Melbourne to date and reflects the second                                softer 80 per cent (or down 1.09 million visitors) in
wave of cases that resulted in Stage 4 restrictions.                              September 2020 (compared to September 2019).
This was similar to the decline in April 2020 (-97%),                             This reflects the Stage 3 restrictions across regional
during the national restrictions.                                                 Victoria.

                        Domestic Overnight Visitors                                                                 Domestic Overnight Visitors
            METRO
                          April % change 2019/20                                                                   September % change 2019/20
                                                                                                   METRO
 20%                                                                                20%
            REGIONAL                                                                               REGIONAL                                                                        7%

  0%                                                                                 0%

 -20%                                                                               -20%

 -40%                                                                              -40%            -29%                                      -29%             -31%

                                                                                                                                                                        -48%
 -60%                                                                              -60%                                               -52%
                                                                                                                                                       -59%
 -80%                                        -74%          -72%                    -80%     -73%
                                                                     -78% -76%                                           -80%
        -87% -89%             -87%    -88%
-100%                                               -93%                           -100%
                       -97%                                                                                       -95%

-120%                                                                              -120%
          NSW             VIC            QLD           SA               WA                    NSW                    VIC                QLD                 SA                WA

                                                                                  During the Stage 3 and 4 restrictions in Victoria in
During the national restrictions in April 2020, the
                                                                                  September 2020, the deepest decline compared to
deepest decline compared to April 2019 of all the
                                                                                  September 2019 of all metro areas was for
country’s major metro areas was seen in Melbourne
                                                                                  Melbourne (-95%, or down 973,000), followed by
(-97%, or down 954,000), followed by Adelaide (-93%,
                                                                                  Sydney (-73%, or down 855,000).
or down 322,000).
                                                                                  For regional Australia the deepest declines were in
For regional Australia the deepest declines were in
                                                                                  regional Victoria (-80%, or down 1.1 million),
regional NSW (-89%, or down 2.5 million), closely
                                                                                  compared to the following declines for regional SA
followed by regional Victoria (-87%, or down 1.7
                                                                                  (-31%, or down 157,000), regional NSW (-29%, or
million).
                                                                                  down 648,000) and regional Queensland (-29%, or
                                                                                  down 401,000).

During this time there were border restrictions by almost all states and territories, also influencing declines in
metro visitation.
In comparing the April and September declines, it is positive to see that the eased restrictions and lower (or no)
community transmission for the other states resulted in softer declines when compared to 2019, compared to
what Victoria was experiencing during its Stage 3 and 4 restrictions.
Source: Tourism Research Australia, NVS monthly estimates for September 2020 as part of its provision of additional data to help
monitor the impacts of Australia’s summer bushfires and coronavirus (COVID-19) on tourism. Note figures in red italics had low samples
and therefore must be interpreted with caution. Charts produced by Tourism, Events and Visitor Economy Research Unit.
                                                                                                                                                                                         17
                                                                             OFFICIAL
OFFICIAL

 Domestic visitors – changes by purpose of visit

Overnight visitors by purpose                                                                      Daytrip visitors by purpose
These figures are for the six months ending June 2020,    •                                                        Holiday daytrip visitors to/within Victoria declined
the latest domestic visitor metrics available by purpose.                                                          by 40 per cent, in line with NSW (-40%) and slightly
                                                                                                                   deeper than for Queensland (-36%) and the
In the six months ending June 2020 compared to six
                                                                                                                   national average (-38%).
months ending June 2019, there were substantial
                                                                                                 •                 VFR daytrip visitors to/within Victoria declined by
declines for domestic overnight and daytrip visitors
                                                                                                                   34 per cent, similar to Queensland (-35%) and
across all purposes of visit, in all States and Territories.
                                                                                                                   deeper than for NSW (-30%) and the national
Despite easing of restrictions in May, borders did not                                                             average (-33%).
reopen, and Melbourne experienced the early stages of                                            •                 Business overnight visitors to/within Victoria
a second lockdown in June.                                                                                         declined by 31 per cent, deeper than in Queensland
• Holiday overnight visitors to/within Victoria declined                                                           (26%), and similar to the rates of decline in NSW
   by 45 per cent, softer than for Queensland (-54%)                                                               and the national decline (both down 30%).
   and NSW (-52%) and the national average (-48%).
• Visiting Friends and/or Relatives (VFR) visitors                                               The shares of each purpose for domestic daytrip
   to/within Victoria declined by 46 per cent, deeper                                            visitors remained relatively constant from the six
   than to Queensland (-41%) and NSW (-40%) and the                                              months ending June 2019 to six month ending June
   national average (-40%).                                                                      2020, with the deepest decline in share being for
• Business overnight visitors to/within Victoria                                                 holiday visitors, (44% to 41%), and each of the other
   declined by 44 per cent, deeper than to NSW (-40%)                                            segments gaining one percentage point. The decline
   and Queensland and the national average (both                                                 was influenced by declines in holiday daytrip visitors
   down 39%).                                                                                    to/within regional Victoria (50% to 47%) and
                                                                                                 Melbourne (34% to 31%).
The shares of each purpose remained relatively
constant from the six months ending June 2019 to 2020.

      Domestic overnight visitors - 6 months ending June 2020                                                      Domestic daytrip visitors - 6 months ending June 2020
                                                  Other                                                                                    Other
                                               533.1k, -36%                                                                             2.8m, -30%

                              Business
                             1.6m, -44%
                                                                                                                         Business                                         Holiday
                                                                             Holiday
                                                                                                                        3.2m, -31%                                      8.9m, -40%
                                                                           3.9m, -45%

                                VFR                                                                                             VFR
                             2.9m, -46%                                                                                      6.6m, -34%

                              Domestic overnight visitors by purpose                                                            Domestic daytrip visitors by purpose
                    18,000                                                                                         35,000
                                             5%
                    16,000
                                                                                                                   30,000
                                                                                                                                          12%
                    14,000                  18%                                                                                           14%
                                                                                                                   25,000
                    12,000
  Visitors (000s)

                                                                                                 Visitors (000s)

                    10,000                  34%                                                                    20,000                 30%                               13%
                                                                                6%
                    8,000
                                                                                                                                                                            15%
                                                                                18%                                 15,000
                    6,000                                                                                                                                                   31%
                                                                                33%                                10,000
                    4,000                                                                                                                 44%
                                            45%
                                                                                                                    5,000                                                   41%
                    2,000                                                      44%
                        -                                                                                               -
                                  6 months to June 2019               6 months to June 2020                                       6 months to June 2019            6 months to June 2020

                             Holiday      Visiting friends and relatives      Business   Other                               Holiday   Visiting friends and relatives     Business   Other

Source: National Visitor Survey, year ending June 2020, produced by Tourism Research Australia, October 2020.
Figures and charts produced by Tourism, Events and Visitor Economy Research Unit.
                                                                                                                                                                                           18
                                                                                          OFFICIAL
OFFICIAL

Domestic visitors likely to attend an event

  Likelihood to attend indoor and outdoor events in next three months
  In July and November, additional questions were asked of domestic overnight visitors1 to gauge general
  interest in attending events with no restrictions in place, over the next three months, compared to before
  the coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak. The latest responses taken in November highlight that sizeable
  proportions remain less likely to attend the various event types compared to before coronavirus (COVID-
  19), although they are lower for all types of events when compared to the July responses. As event sizes
  increase the proportion less likely to attend also increases for both indoor and outdoor events. Results are
  more favourable for outdoor events (that is, when comparing events of the same size to indoor events),
  reflecting the pattern in July.
  • Indoor events were on average less appealing than before coronavirus (COVID-19) than outdoor events,
      46 per cent versus 34 per cent among Victorian respondents (compared to 52% versus 44% in July).
  • With outdoor events, the November responses indicate that 14 per cent of Victorians were less likely to
      attend if less than 100 people compared to 47 per cent with more than 5,000 people.
  • For those that stated they were more likely to attend an event or had the same level of intention, most
      were looking to home state events rather than interstate events. Respondents in July in all states were
      more likely to attend an event in their home state than respondents in November. For example, in
      November, 69 per cent of Victorians and 74 per cent nationally (compared to 78% of Victorians and 82%
      nationally in July). The positive shift in the recent results was towards attending an event in both home
      state and interstate, suggesting an increased confidence in interstate travel, increases in capacity and
      events recommencing in some states.

   Key points from the November responses
                                                                              Less likely to attend an INDOOR event compared to
   highlight:                                                                          before COVID-19 - November 2020
   • Victorians were, on average, less likely to                    70%

      want to attend indoor events than before                     60%
      coronavirus (COVID-19) (46%) compared to                      50%
      respondents in all states except NSW (47%)                   40%
      and the Australian Capital Territory (ACT)                   30%
      (49%).
                                                                    20%
   • Victorians were, on average, less likely to
                                                                    10%
      want to attend outdoor events than before
                                                                     0%
      coronavirus (COVID-19) (34%) compared to                            TOTAL   VIC    NSW    QLD     SA     WA     TAS     NT    ACT
      respondents in all states except NSW (36%).
   • The level of concern increases with the size                            Less likely to attend an OUTDOOR event compared to
                                                                                        before COVID-19 - November 2020
      of indoor events, with:                                       70%
      • 36 per cent of Victorians were less likely to
                                                                    60%
        attend an indoor event with less than 100
                                                                    50%
        people, compared to before coronavirus
        (COVID-19)                                                  40%
      • 48 per cent less likely to attend an indoor                 30%
        event with 100 to 500 people                                20%
      • 53 per cent less likely to attend an indoor
                                                                    10%
        event with more than 500 people.
                                                                     0%
                                                                       TOTAL      VIC   NSW     QLD     SA     WA     TAS     NT    ACT

1 Theevents questions were added to the National Visitor Survey between 8 to 21 July and 1 to 17 November 2020 to gauge
interest/intentions on attending a range of event types to assess the impacts from coronavirus (COVID-19) and supplied by Tourism
Research Australia. Charts produced by Tourism, Events and Visitor Economy Research Unit.
                                                                                                                                          19
                                                               OFFICIAL
OFFICIAL

 Domestic visitors likely to attend an event (continued)

 Results are more favourable for outdoor                                                                             • 43 per cent less likely to attend an outdoor
 events (that is, when comparing events of the                                                                         event with more than 500 people (this is not
 same size to indoor events) and those that                                                                            mutually exclusive from the following category)
                                                                                                                     • 47 per cent less likely to attend an outdoor
 stated they were more likely to attend an
                                                                                                                       event with more than 5,000 people.
 event or had the same level of intention were
 most were looking to home state events rather                                                                 Most (69%) of the November responses by
                                                                                                               Victorians who were more likely to attend an event
 than interstate events.
                                                                                                               or had the same intention, were looking to Victorian
 The level of concern increases with the size of                                                               events rather than interstate events. This is the
 outdoor event, although with lower percentages for                                                            lowest of all states (except the ACT at 63%):
 people than for indoor events, with:                                                                             • with 73 per cent of NSW residents likely to
    • 14 per cent of Victorian respondents less likely to                                                             attend an event in NSW
    • attend an outdoor event with less than 100                                                                  • with 76 per cent of Queensland residents
      people, compared to before coronavirus                                                                          likely to attend an event in Queensland
      (COVID-19).                                                                                                 • with 78 per cent of SA residents likely to
    • 31 per cent less likely to attend an outdoor event                                                              attend an event in SA
      with 100 to 500 people
                                                                                                                  • with 85 per cent of WA residents likely to
                                                                                                                      attend an event in WA.

                More likely to attend an event in their home state                                                              More likely to attend an event in their home state
                   compared to before COVID-19 - July 2020*                                                                     compared to before COVID-19 - November 2020*
 100%                                                                                                          100%
                                  85%            87%         87%
          81%                                                            81%                                                                                                 85%
                      78%                                                             79%
                                                                                                                                                                78%                                   76%
 80%                                                                                                            80%       73%                     76%                                     73%
                                                                                                                                      69%
                                                                                                   59%                                                                                                             63%
 60%                                                                                                            60%

 40%                                                                                                            40%
                                                                                                         27%                                                                                                             29%
                                                                                                                                23%         25%
                                                                                                                                                          21%          19%                      20%
                                                                                             18%
 20%            15%         15%            12%         10%
                                                                                15%                  14%        20%                                                                 12%
                                                                                                                                                                                                        15%
              3%         4%                                         8%     4%           3%                                                                                                  4%                7%     6%
                                      1%          0%           2%                                                            3%          3%          2%           1%           3%
  0%                                                                                                              0%
            NSW          VIC        QLD           SA          WA          TAS          NT            ACT                   NSW          VIC        QLD           SA           WA           TAS         NT            ACT

             Home state or territory               Another state or territory                 Both                          Home state or territory               Another state or territory                  Both

  * Respondents had already stated they were more likely to attend an event or had the same level of           * Respondents had already stated they were more likely to attend an event or had the same level of
  intention than before COVID-19, before answering if the event was more likely to be in their home            intention than before COVID-19, before answering if the event was more likely to be in their home
  state or other state or territory.                                                                           state or other state or territory.

Note: questions asked were:
1.     Think about organised events such as indoor or outdoor sports, music or cultural events etc. If no
       restrictions are in place, how likely would you be to attend the following events over the next 3 months,
       compared to before the Coronavirus outbreak? For each of these events can you please tell whether you
       would be less likely to attend than before, about the same as before, or more likely to attend than before
       the outbreak.
2.     And for the events that you’ve just said you would be more or just as likely to attend, would you be likely to
       attend those events in your home state or territory, or another state or territory?

1 Theevents questions were added to the National Visitor Survey between 8 to 21 July and 1 to 17 November 2020 to gauge
interest/intentions on attending a range of event types to assess the impacts from coronavirus (COVID-19) and supplied by Tourism
Research Australia. Charts produced by Tourism, Events and Visitor Economy Research Unit.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         20
                                                                                                     OFFICIAL
You can also read