Coronavirus (COVID-19) impact on Victoria's Visitor Economy - Released April 2021 - Business Victoria
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OFFICIAL Coronavirus (COVID-19) impact on Victoria’s Visitor Economy Released April 2021 Report produced by the Tourism, Events and Visitor Economy (TEVE) Research Unit research@ecodev.vic.gov.au OFFICIAL
OFFICIAL Contents 1. Summary 2. Impact of coronavirus (COVID-19) on trip behaviour 3. Overview of Victoria’s visitor economy a. Key metrics b. Total visitors to and within Victoria c. Top 10 source markets by overnight visitors d. Visitors within Victoria’s regions 4. Domestic overnight and daytrip visitors a. Key metrics b. State comparisons c. Domestic overnight visitors - metro and regional Australia d. Domestic overnight visitors - interstate and intrastate e. Domestic overnight visitors – to and within Victoria f. Domestic overnight visitors – Melbourne and regional Victoria g. Domestic visitors - changes by purpose of visit h. Domestic visitors likely to attend an event 5. International overnight visitors a. Key metrics b. International overnight visitors - source markets c. International overnight visitors – Melbourne and regional Victoria d. International overnight visitors – changes by purpose of visit 6. Victoria’s accommodation sector 7. The state of the industry a. National Tourism Satellite Account/ Labour market b. Payroll jobs and wages/ Impact on household - activities c. Impact on household - travel 8. Substitution of interstate and outbound travel 9. Timeline of coronavirus (COVID-19) cases and events 10. List of resources 11. International and National Visitor Surveys - data notes Note: This report was finalised in December 2020. It therefore presents the best estimates available at the time of writing, which includes figures towards the end of the second wave of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic in Victoria. 1 OFFICIAL
OFFICIAL Summary Since March 2020, the global outbreak of coronavirus (COVID-19) has deeply affected the Australian tourism landscape. This report focuses on the impact of coronavirus (COVID-19) on the Victorian tourism industry, using a range of data sources, including insights from specific questions added to visitor surveys on how travellers responded to the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, as well as broader insights on accommodation and key economic indicators. In the six months ending June 2020, total visitors to and within Victoria was 30.7 million, a decline of 19.9 million visitors (-39%) compared to the same period in 2019. Total visitor spend in Victoria over this period experienced a deeper decline (-43%, or down $7.0 billion) to $9.3 billion. Domestic visitors • In the March quarter 2020, 33 per cent of Australians had their domestic travel plans (both past or future) change as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak (approximately 22 per cent of Australians (15 years and over) travelled domestically in the three months prior to being questioned). This compared to 43 per cent in the June quarter, which included the full Stage 3 restrictions across Australia (when approximately nine per cent of Australians travelled domestically in the prior three months). • There have been 10.0 million domestic overnight visitors in Victoria in the nine months ending September 2020 (-55% or down 12.5 million compared to the nine months ending September 2019). • Following the easing of the national restrictions there was a softening decline in intrastate overnight visitors to/within Victoria in May and June. The Stage 3 and 4 restrictions that began in Victoria in July saw a return to a level of decline in August (-88%) that was experienced in April (-89%). • Interstate overnight visitors to Victoria have experienced sustained declines of at least 90 per cent since April. These declines have seen a notable shift in proportions of domestic overnight travel. Interstate travel accounted for 36 per cent of visitors in Victoria but 52 per cent of spend in September 2019 however, in September 2020 this fell to just 5 per cent for visitors and 12 per cent of spend. • Declines each month were similar for interstate overnight visitors to Victoria and visitors to Melbourne, and for intrastate overnight visitors within Victoria and visitors to regional Victoria, reflecting the dominant share of visitors to each destination. • In terms of event attendance, as event sizes increase the proportion of domestic travellers less likely to attend an event increases for both indoor and outdoor events. Results are more favourable for outdoor events. Those that stated they were more likely to attend an event or had the same level of intention most were looking to home state events rather than interstate events. International visitors • There have been 612,000 international overnight visitors in Victoria in the six months ending June 2020 (-61%, or down 942,000 visitors compared to the six months ending June 2019). • The deepest decline in visitors was from Victoria’s highest spending international market China, which declined by 75 per cent in visitors (down 264,000 visitors). The next deepest falls in volume of visitors were from New Zealand (-55%, or down 91,000) and the United States of America (-61%, or down 82,000). • International visitors arriving in Victoria for a short-term trip (less than 1 year) in September 2020 declined by 99.8 per cent compared to the same month in 2019 (recording only 330 short-term visitor arrivals). Other tourism industry performance indicators • The severe negative impacts of coronavirus (COVID-19) on monthly accommodation (hotels, motels and serviced accommodation of at least 10 rooms) have seen occupancy rates in Victoria take a sharp dive from March 2020. Occupancy rates in Victoria fell from 77.4 per cent in February 2020 to a low of 26.5 per cent in April, then lifted slightly to 33.1 per cent in June pre-Stage 4 restrictions. • The sharpest impact of the crisis on payroll jobs has been in tourism related industries in Victoria. From the week ending 14 March to week ending 14 November 2020 Victoria had the deepest change in payroll jobs of all states and territories (-5.4%) compared to the national average decline of 2.9 per cent. Jobs in accommodation and food services (-22.6%) as well as arts and recreation services (-19.6%) experienced the deepest declines in Victoria. 2 OFFICIAL
OFFICIAL Impact of coronavirus (COVID-19) on trip behaviour Trip rates by Australians – to October 2020 The following charts show the changes in domestic daytrips had the most substantial difference in April overnight (taken in the last month) and daytrip (taken 2020 (down 15% points when compared to April 2019). in the last seven days) rates from January to the end This reflects the nationwide lockdown in May. Despite of October 2020. Domestic overnight trips were at Melbourne being in Stage 4 Stay at Home restrictions their lowest in May 2020 (6%) and domestic daytrips (limiting travel to within 5kms and only four reasons to in April (4%). When comparing to the same month in leave home), the October school holidays in other states 2019, May 2020 shows the most substantial percentage looks to have had a positive impact in those states point change in domestic overnight trips compared to although lower trip rates compared to 2019. May 2019, down 28 percentage points, while domestic Domestic overnight trips in 2019 and 2020 Domestic daytrips in 2019 and 2020 40% Nationwide Stage 3&4 40% Nationwide Stage 3&4 36% restrictions restrictions restrictions restrictions 35% 33% 32% 34% 33% 35% 32% 31% 31% 31% 28% 29% 29% 30% 30% 24% 25% 25% 22% 19% 20% 20% 19% 19% 19% 19% 18% 18% 20% 20% 17% 18% 18% 18% 15% 16% 16% 15% 15% 13% 13% 11% 10% 11% 12% 9% 9% 10% 10% 6% 4% 5% 5% 0% 0% Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct ppt 3% -3% -7% -23% -28% -15% -11% -12% -13% -11% ppt -2% -2% -7% -15% -10% -5% -8% -9% -7% -6% change change 2019 2020 2019 2020 How to interpret: The trip rate for October tells us 22 per cent of National Visitor Survey respondents interviewed that month reported taking one or more overnight trips in the preceding 28 days (the reference period). The return date will have been in September for some of these trips. The trip rate percentage for the month of October refers to trips returned from in that month. Impact of coronavirus (COVID-19) on trips by Australians – to June 20201 In the six months ending June 2020, fifty per cent 100% Australian of Australian travellers had their travel plans (both population past or future) change as a result of the 15 years and older coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak (aged 15 years or older). 34% had travelled* * Travel in the last 3 19% taken an overnight trip months relates to travel 12% taken a day trip in the last: ▪ 7 days for 9% taken an outbound trip daytrips ▪ 4 weeks for Were plans for trips in Australia changed overnight due to the coronavirus outbreak? trips Impacted ▪ 3 months for overseas trips 50% 62% 59% No Yes 50% 38% 41% Travelled Did not travel Total last 3 mths last 3 mths Note: 1March and June quarters 2020 compared and includes both those who had travelled and not travelled in the last 3 months when questioned unless otherwise specified. Source: National Visitor Survey, year ending June 2020, produced by Tourism Research Australia, October 2020. Figures and charts produced by Tourism, Events and Visitor Economy Research Unit. 3 OFFICIAL
OFFICIAL Impact of coronavirus (COVID-19) on trip behaviour Coronavirus (COVID-19) questions1 (asked from January to June 2020), revealing the following impacts on planned and future trips. In the March quarter 2020, 33 per cent of Australians • Travellers (those who had taken a trip in the last three had their domestic travel plans (both past and future) months when answering the survey) compared to non changed as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) travellers (those who had not travelled in the last outbreak, with early stages of restrictions beginning three months) were more likely to have changed their on 23 March. This is compared to 43 per cent in the domestic travel plans in the June quarter results (53% June quarter, which included the full Stage 3 compared to 40%). These were more than in the restrictions across Australia, that began on 29 March March quarter 2020 where the percentages were 40 and began to ease in mid-May, and the cessation of per cent for travellers and 29 per cent for non- outbound travel. travellers. • In the June quarter 2020, Victorians aged 45-64 • Cancellations of planned domestic trips were similar years were more likely to have changed their in the June quarter 2020 (64%) and March quarter domestic travel plans due to the Coronavirus (67%), however trips were delayed or postponed more outbreak (48% compared with 41% of Victorians in the June quarter (38% compared to 27%). overall), followed closely by those aged 35-44 years • With the changes to future domestic trips, there had (46%), while those aged 15-24 years old were the least been a shift by the end of June quarter 2020 to people likely to have changed their plans (31%). more likely to delay or postpone a trip than cancel it. • In the June quarter 2020, 50 per cent stated their In the June quarter 2020 43 per cent of respondents domestic trip that had been planned was changed stated they were going to ‘cancel a trip and did not ‘before now’ (compared to 15% in the March quarter plan to go elsewhere’ (compared to 56% in the March 2020) and 32 per cent changed ‘for the future’ quarter 2020) and 56 per cent were going to ‘delay or (compared to 73% in the March quarter 2020). postpone and did not plan to go elsewhere’ (compared to 46% in the March quarter 2020). Were plans for trips in Australia changed due to the coronavirus outbreak? (Australian respondents) How domestic plans were changed (Australian respondents) 57% Cancelled a trip but didn't go 66% 67% anywhere else instead 64% 43% Delayed or postponed a trip 33% 28% but didn't go anywhere else yet March quarter 2020 June quarter 2020 instead 38% Yes No When was the changed domestic trip planned? 6% (Australian respondents) Cut short a trip you were on 2% 12% 18% 15% Went somewhere else in 3% 50% Australia instead 1% 73% 32% March quarter 2020 June quarter 2020 March quarter 2020 June quarter 2020 For the future Before now Both Note: 1March and June quarters 2020 compared and includes both those who had travelled and not travelled in the last 3 months when questioned unless otherwise specified. Figures in red italics had low samples and therefore must be interpreted with caution. Source: National Visitor Survey, year ending June 2020, produced by Tourism Research Australia, October 2020. Figures and charts produced by Tourism, Events and Visitor Economy Research Unit. 4 OFFICIAL
OFFICIAL Impact of coronavirus (COVID-19) on trip behaviour For Australian residents with overseas travel plans in June quarter 2020, 29 per cent changed their plans because of coronavirus (COVID-19), with the majority of these (70%) planned in the future. • In the June quarter 2020, Victorians aged 45-64 • Cancellations of planned overseas trips were similar years were more likely to have changed their in the June quarter 2020 (62%) and March quarter overseas travel plans due to the Coronavirus (58%), however trips were delayed or postponed outbreak (34% compared with 30% of Victorians more in the June quarter (32%, compared to 23%). overall), followed closely by those aged 25-44 • With the changes to future overseas trips, there had years (32%), while those aged 65+ years old were been a slight shift by the end of June quarter 2020 the least likely to have (23%). to people more likely to delay or postpone a trip • Travellers (those who had taken a trip in the last than cancel it. In the June quarter 2020, 48 per cent three months) compared to non travellers (those of respondents stated they were going to ‘cancel a who had not travelled in the last three months) were trip and did not plan to go elsewhere’ (compared to more likely to have changed their overseas travel 50% in the March quarter 2020) and 50 per cent plans in the June quarter results (37% compared to were going to ‘delay or postpone and did not plan to 27%). These were more than in the March quarter go elsewhere’ (compared to 47% in the March 2020 where the percentages were 31 per cent for quarter 2020). travellers and 20 per cent for non-travellers. Were plans for overseas trips changed due to the coronavirus outbreak? (Australian respondents) How overseas plans were changed (Australian respondents) 76% 71% Cancelled a trip but didn't go 58% anywhere else instead 62% Delayed or postponed a trip but 23% 24% 29% didn't go anywhere else yet instead 32% March quarter 2020 June quarter 2020 16% Yes No Cut short a trip you were on 8% When was the changed overseas trip planned? Went on an interstate trip 3% (Australian respondents) instead 1% 3% 6% 11% 25% Went on a trip to your home 1% state instead 1% 85% Went somewhere else overseas 2% 70% instead 0% March quarter 2020 June quarter 2020 March quarter 2020 June quarter 2020 For the future Before now Both Note: 1March and June quarters 2020 compared and includes both those who had travelled and not travelled in the last 3 months when questioned unless otherwise specified. Figures in red italics had low samples and therefore must be interpreted with caution. Source: National Visitor Survey, year ending June 2020, produced by Tourism Research Australia, October 2020. Figures and charts produced by Tourism, Events and Visitor Economy Research Unit. 5 OFFICIAL
OFFICIAL Overview of Victoria’s Visitor Economy Since March 2020, the global outbreak of coronavirus (COVID-19) has deeply affected the Australian tourism landscape. The impact of coronavirus (COVID-19) followed on from an already challenging start to the year, with devastating summer bushfires in the East Gippsland and Victoria’s High Country tourism regions. The results for both international and domestic travel reflect the impacts of progressive travel bans, and restrictions on movement, combined with growing concerns about travel due to coronavirus (COVID-19). The latest combined figures are for six months ending June 2020, as these are the latest international visitor figures available. Further into the report, some key domestic visitor metrics are available and therefore reported up until September 2020. Total visitors to and within Victoria in the six months ending June 2020 was 30.7 million, a decline of 19.9 million visitors, or 39 per cent, compared to the same period in 2019. Total visitor spend in Victoria experienced an even sharper decline over the same period (-43%, or a $7.0 billion decline). 30.7m 48.8m $9.3b VISITORS NIGHTS SPEND -39% -41% -43% Substantial declines were noted across all visitor Interstate travel has been impacted due to state categories in the six months ending June 2020 in border closures and other preventive measures to Victoria as the impacts of the coronavirus (COVID- stop to the spread of the virus that limited 19) unfolded, reflecting the border closures and movement. This is shown by substantial declines movement restrictions. These results include the noted in interstate overnight visitors (-54%, or down nationwide restrictions in March/April and were 2.3 million), nights (-51%, or down 9.0 million) and before the Stage 3 and 4 restrictions in Victoria from overnight spend (-52%, or down $2.0 billion). July, that included the 5km travel distance limit for With some limited movement enabled in May/June in Melburnians. Victoria, there was some recovery in intrastate travel In the six months ending June 2020 compared to six and daytrips, however there remained a decline on months ending June 2019, international travel to the previous year. Intrastate overnight travel had a Victoria suffered the deepest decline in visitors as a substantial decline in visitors (-41%, or down 4.7 result of travel bans which were progressively million), nights (-24%, or down 6.7 million) and spend implemented from February with overnight visitors (-36%, or down $1.7 million). Daytrips experienced a (-61%, or down 0.9 million), visitor nights (-48%, or similar decline in spend (-37%, or down $1.2 billion) down 17.8 million) and spend (-46%, or down $2.1 with a softer decline in visitors (-36%, or down 11.9 billion). million). Note that these results reflect travel that occurred prior to the 5km travel distance limit. Visitors to/within Victoria - 6 months ending June 2020 Spend in Victoria in 6 months ending June 2020 Source: International and National Visitor Surveys, year ending June 2020, produced by Tourism Research Australia, October 2020. Figures and charts produced by Tourism, Events and Visitor Economy Research Unit. 6 OFFICIAL
OFFICIAL Overview of Victoria’s Visitor Economy (continued) TOTAL VISITORS TO AND WITHIN VICTORIA Six months ending June 2020 compared to the six months ending June 2019 The chart below shows the change in proportions of The deepest declines in spend were by: visitors to/within Victoria in the six months ending • international overnight visitors to Melbourne June 2020 compared to the six months ending June (down $1.9 billion, or -45%), followed by 2019. There was a greater proportion of daytrips • interstate spend in Melbourne (down $1.5 to/within Melbourne, increasing from 63 per cent to billion, or -52%). 70 per cent, although the overall numbers of daytrips Intrastate spend was down by $907 million (or -29%) declined by 4.2 million (or -36%). The decline in in regional Victoria and by $781 million (or -52%) in volume of daytrips for regional Victoria was the Melbourne. Daytrip spend in regional Victoria was largest, down 7.7 million (or -36%), although there was down $746 million (or -36%). a slight increase in share (66% to 68%). The next largest volume decline was intrastate visitors to regional Victoria (down 3.5 million, or –38%). 19.0 million 10.9 million 32.3 million 20.2 million 50.7 million 30.7 million 55 m 3%, 1.6 m 50 m 9%, 4.3 m 45 m 40 m 23% 11.5 m International 35 m overnight 1%, 0.3 m 2%, 0.6 m 4%, 1.4 m 30 m 7%, 2.0 m Interstate 28% 22% overnight 25 m 9.1 m 6.7 m 1%, 0.1 m 20 m 8%, 1.5 m Intrastate 3%, 0.7 m 28% overnight 15 m 17%, 3.2 m 5.6 m 13%, 2.4 m 66% 5%, 0.6 m 66% 33.3 m 70% Domestic 10 m 14%, 1.5 m 21.4 m 21.4 m daytrips 11%, 1.1 m 68% 63% 5m 13.8 m 11.9 m 70% 7.6 m 0m 6 months ending 6 months ending 6 months ending 6 months ending 6 months ending 6 months ending June 2019 June 2020 June 2019 June 2020 June 2019 June 2020 Melbourne Regional VIC Victoria Source: International and National Visitor Surveys, year ending June 2020, produced by Tourism Research Australia, October 2020. Figures and chart produced by Tourism, Events and Visitor Economy Research Unit. 7 OFFICIAL
OFFICIAL Overview of Victoria’s Visitor Economy (continued) TOP 10 SOURCE MARKETS BY OVERNIGHT VISITORS Six months ending June 2020 Overnight visitors, nights and overall spend declined for The top 10 spending source markets (both domestic all of Victoria’s source markets in the six months ending and international) for the six months ending June June 2020 compared to the same period in the previous 2020 include: year. • China, ranked 3rd with $851m, compared to 2nd for the six months ending June 2019. Their spend fell The deepest declines in visitors from the top source $928m (-52%) between those periods, almost eight markets reflected the border closures. With: times that of the UK (the market with the second • the Australian border closed to China on 1 February highest volume loss (-$119m). Victoria’s rate of and all non-residents on 20 March. The top decline for Chinese spend was less than the international visitor markets saw sharp declines – national average (-60%), as well as Queensland China (-75%), New Zealand (NZ) (-55%) and the and NSW (both -63%). United Kingdom (UK) (-41%). All international • India, ranked 5th with $207 million, compared to source markets experienced declines of at least ranked 7th in the six months ending June 2019 50 per cent, with the exception of the UK. • Malaysia, ranked 8th with $105m, compared to • State and Territory borders closed on 25 March ranked 10th in the six months ending June 2019 with Western Australia (WA), South Australia (SA), • The increase in spend ranking by Indian and Queensland, Tasmania and Northern Territory (NT). Malaysian visitors was influenced by a slight The deepest declines in domestic overnight visitors increase in share of education visitor spend at the were from SA and WA (both down 60%), Queensland expense of China where the share in education (-55%) and New South Wales (NSW) (-54%). visitor spend fell from 54 per cent to 45 per cent in the first six months of 2020. TOTAL OVERNIGHT VISITORS TO AND WITHIN VICTORIA Data in thousands (000s) VICTORIA 6,732 ▼ -41% NEW SOUTH WALES 1,007 27,554 ▼ -54% QUEENSLAND ▼ -55% 376 $545* AVERAGE SPEND SOUTH AUSTRALIA 236 PER DOMESTIC ▼ -60% OVERNIGHT VISIT for 6 months ending June 2020, WESTERN AUSTRALIA compared to $533 for 123 6 months ending 2019. ▼ -60% AUSTRALIAN CAPITAL TERRITORY 112 $3,991* ▼ -38% AVERAGE SPEND PER INTERNATIONAL TASMANIA 104 In the year ending OVERNIGHT VISIT for ▼ -47% December 2019 (pre 6 months ending June 2020, coronavirus), China was compared to $2,931 for ranked fifth for overnight 6 months ending June 2019. CHINA 88 ▼ -75% visitors to Victoria, and third in spend. NEW ZEALAND 74 ▼ -55% UNITED KINGDOM 69 ▼ -41% * Declines in visitors and spend from each source market have changed the profile of average visitor. For example, changes in length of stay and purpose (such as international education and domestic business) have positively influenced the average spend per vis itor. Source: International and National Visitor Surveys, year ending June 2020, produced by Tourism Research Australia, October 2020. Figures and chart produced by Tourism, Events and Visitor Economy Research Unit. 8 OFFICIAL
OFFICIAL Overview of Victoria’s Visitor Economy (continued) DOMESTIC OVERNIGHT VISITORS TO AND WITHIN VICTORIA’S REGIONS Six months ending June 2020 compared to the six months ending June 2019 Substantial declines were noted for all of Victoria's The largest percentage decline was experienced for regions in the six months ending June 2020 Daylesford and the Macedon Ranges (down 60%). compared to the same period in 2019. Over this period, the regions with the largest volume International overnight visitors to regional Victoria decline in domestic overnight spend were for: represent one per cent of overall visitors to/within • Victoria’s High Country, down $278 million (-61%) the area (excludes international daytrip visitors). to $179 million (noting bushfires in As shown in the following chart, the largest volume January/February), declines in domestic overnight visitors for the six • Murray, down $198 million (-38%) to $325 million, months ending June 2020 compared to six months • Goldfields, down $191 million (-52%) to $176 million, ending June 2019 were for: and • Great Ocean Road, down 666,000 (-40%) • Yarra Valley and Dandenong Ranges, down $109 domestic overnight visitors to 989,000, million (-54%) to $92 million. • Goldfields, down 598,000 (-49%) to 621,000, • Victoria’s High Country, down 587,000 (-58%) to 432,000, and • Murray, down 524,000 (-40%) to 775,000. Volume and % change in domestic overnight visitors to/within Victoria’s regions -800 -700 -600 -500 -400 -300 -200 -100 0 Visitors in 6 months ending June 2020 (000s) Great Ocean Road -666 -40% 989 Goldfields -598 -49% 621 Victoria's High Country -587 -58% 432 Murray -524 -40% 775 Mornington Peninsula -400 -33% 830 Geelong and the Bellarine -384 -39% 603 Yarra Valley and Dandenong Ranges -312 -48% 332 Daylesford and the Macedon Ranges -306 -60% 201 Phillip Island -282 -41% 399 Gippsland -260 -21% 996 Grampians -232 -41% 331 6 months ending June 2020 compared to 6 months ending June 2019 (000s) Source: National Visitor Survey, year ending June 2020, produced by Tourism Research Australia, October 2020. Figures and chart produced by Tourism, Events and Visitor Economy Research Unit. 9 OFFICIAL
OFFICIAL Overview of Victoria’s Visitor Economy (continued) DOMESTIC DAYTRIP VISITORS TO AND WITHIN VICTORIA’S REGIONS Six months ending June 2020 compared to the six months ending June 2019 Substantial declines were experienced with • Goldfields, down 1.3 million (-45%) to 1.6 million, domestic daytrips visitors. These declines were • Mornington Peninsula, down 1.1 million (-34%) to 2.2 softer than domestic overnight visitors for most million, and regions. Notable variations in declines in domestic • Great Ocean Road, down 1.1 million (-49%) to 1.2 overnight visitors compared to domestic daytrip million, with the largest percentage decline of all visitors include Daylesford and the Macedon Ranges the regions. (-60% for overnight compared to -19% daytrip), The softest percentage declines were experienced by Victoria’s High Country (-58% compared with -31%), Grampians (down 12%, or 74,000) and Daylesford and Grampians (-41% compared with -12%), the Macedon Ranges, (down 19%, or 274,000). Phillip Island (-41% compared with -28%) and Geelong and the Bellarine (-39% compared Over this period, the regions with the largest volume with -27%). decline in domestic daytrip spend were for: • Yarra Valley and Dandenong Ranges, down $135 As shown in the following chart, the largest volume million (-55%) to $109 million, declines in domestic daytrip visitors for the six • Murray, down $126 million (-46%) to $147 million, months ending June 2020 compared to six months and ending June 2019 were for: • Mornington Peninsula, down $116 million (-43%) to • Yarra Valley and Dandenong Ranges, down 1.4 $151 million. million (-48%) to 1.6 million, Volume and % change in domestic daytrip visitors to/within Victoria’s regions Visitors in 6 months ending June 2020 (000s) -48% 1,553 -45% 1,605 -34% 2,166 -49% 1,158 -41% 1,286 -27% 1,629 -20% 1,546 -19% 1,135 -31% 567 -28% 536 -12% 558 Source: National Visitor Surveys, year ending June 2020, produced by Tourism Research Australia, October 2020. Figures and chart produced by Tourism, Events and Visitor Economy Research Unit. 10 OFFICIAL
OFFICIAL Overview of Victoria’s Visitor Economy (continued) INTERNATIONAL OVERNIGHT VISITORS TO VICTORIA’S REGIONS Six months ending June 2020 compared to the six months ending June 2019 Substantial declines in international overnight 18,000, and visitors and spend were noted for all of Victoria's • Murray, down 20,000 (-54%) to 10,000 regions in the six months ending June 2020 The largest percentage decline of all the regions was compared to the same period in 2019. This reporting experienced by Goldfields (down 72%, or 72,000). only includes international overnight visitors because the International Visitor Survey (IVS) does Over this period, the regions with the largest volume not capture specific detail on international daytrips. decline in international overnight spend were for: • Geelong and the Bellarine, down $44 million As shown in the following chart, the largest volume (-72%) to $17 million, declines in international overnight visitors for the • Murray, down $42 million (-83%) to $9 million, and six months ending June 2020 compared to six • Great Ocean Road down $39 million (-66%) to months ending June 2019 were for: $20 million. • Great Ocean Road, down 75,000 (-57%) to 57,000, • Gippsland, down 28,000 (-65%) to 15,000, • Mornington Peninsula, down 22,000 (-54%) to Volume and % change in international overnight visitors to/within Victoria’s regions Visitors in 6 months ending June 2020 (000s) -57% 57 -65% 15 -54% 18 -67% 10 -72% 8 -54% 16 -56% 14 -51% 16 -50% 15 -56% np -31% np Source: International Visitor Survey, year ending June 2020, produced by Tourism Research Australia, October 2020. Note figures in red italics had low samples and therefore must be interpreted with caution. Figures and chart produced by Tourism, Events and Visitor Economy Research Unit. 11 OFFICIAL
OFFICIAL Domestic Overnight and Daytrip Visitors Domestic visitors in 2020 Domestic survey data is now being provided monthly, There have been 10.0 million domestic overnight to capture the emerging trends as early as possible. visitors in Victoria in the nine months ending This allows key metrics for domestic visitors to be September 2020 (-55% or down 12.5 million compared available up until September 2020. to the nine months ending September 2019). Victoria recorded a significant loss in domestic visitor Victoria recorded a loss of $7.3 billion in domestic spend (overnight and daytrip) of $9.8 billion for the overnight spend and a further loss of $2.5 billion in period January to September 2020, compared to the domestic daytrip spend in the nine months ending same period in 2019. September 2020, compared to the same period in 2019. In July stay at home restrictions were reactivated in Victoria in response to a second wave of coronavirus These declines have seen a notable shift in (COVID-19). This saw a decline in overnight visitors proportions of domestic overnight travel. Interstate and spend in August to levels seen in April during the travel accounted for 36% of visitors in Victoria but initial phase of nation-wide stay at home restrictions. 52% of spend in September 2019, however in September 2020 this fell to just 5% for visitors and These were gradually eased in September for regional 12% of spend. Victoria, including being allowed to travel for holidays from mid-September, resulting in a slight The chart below shows that declines for the nine improvement in trips on August but numbers months ending September 2020 compared to the remained well below those seen before the second same period in 2019 were similar for interstate wave. visitors to Victoria and visitors to Melbourne, and for intrastate visitors within Victoria and visitors to regional Victoria. Domestic Overnight Visitors, Spend & Daytrips to and within Victoria January - September % change 2019/20 0% -10% -20% -30% -40% -50% -44% -49% -50% -49% -51% -60% -55% -52% -58% -70% -67% -68% -69% -68% -80% Melb Reg VIC VIC Inter ON Intra ON Daytrips Visitors Spend Source: Tourism Research Australia, NVS monthly estimates for September 2020 as part of its provision of additional data to help monitor the impacts of Australia’s summer bushfires and coronavirus (COVID-19) on tourism. Note figures in red italics had low samples and therefore must be interpreted with caution. Chart produced by Tourism, Events and Visitor Economy Research Unit. 12 OFFICIAL
OFFICIAL Domestic Overnight and Daytrip Visitors (continued) State comparisons – 9 months to September 2020 • Domestic overnight visitors to/within Victoria fell by • Domestic daytrip visitors to/within Victoria fell by 51 55 per cent in the months from January to per cent in the months from January to September September 2020 (compared to January to 2020, compared to January to September in 2019, September in 2019), down 12.5 million to 10.0 million down 25.6 million to 24.7 million (compared to NSW, (compared to NSW, -42% or down 12.3 million and down 35% or 19.9 million and Queensland, down 32% Queensland, -39% or down 7.4 million). or 12.7 million). • Domestic overnight spend in Victoria fell by 58 per • A further $2.5 billion has been lost in domestic cent over the same period, down $7.2 billion to $5.3 daytrip spend since the start of the year resulting in billion (compared to NSW, -48% or down $8.5 billion a loss in total domestic visitor spend for Victoria of and Queensland, -46% or down $6.6 billion). $9.8 billion compared to the same period in 2019. Domestic Overnight Visitors (million) Daytrip Visitors (million) January - September January - September 60 60 56.5 50.3 50 50 -35% 40.0 40 40 36.6 -51% -32% 29.2 30 -42% 30 27.3 22.5 24.7 -55% -39% 19.2 -30% 16.9 20 18.0 20 -21% -35% -24% 12.5 12.5 10.0 11.7 9.9 8.2 10 6.2 6.1 10 3.9 0 0 NSW VIC QLD SA WA NSW VIC QLD SA WA 2019 2020 2019 2020 State comparisons – focus on April 2020 and September 2020 The charts below highlight how all states suffered September, similar to April levels, following Stage 4 major falls in domestic overnight visitors in April as restrictions for the State that began in July to control Stage 3 restrictions were put in place across the second wave of coronavirus (COVID-19). In contrast, Australia from 29 March. Easing of restrictions most States and Territories experienced more began on 27 April. Declines for April 2020 compared moderate declines in intrastate visitors in September to April 2019 were over 90 per cent for all interstate 2020 (compared to September 2019) than they did in overnight visitors, and intrastate overnight visitors April 2020 (compared to April 2019), within Tasmania within Victoria were down 89 per cent (compared to (+97%, almost doubling) and WA the only other State to -87% in NSW). experience growth (+6%). With most borders between States remaining closed, declines in interstate visitors After improved rates of travel from May to June, in September 2020 compared to September 2019 were interstate and intrastate overnight visitors to/within experienced by all, although they were softer than Victoria fell significantly again in August and experienced in April 2020 compared to April 2019. Domestic Overnight Visitors - Domestic Overnight Visitors - April % change 2019/20 September % change 2019/20 97% 100% 100% 80% 80% 60% 60% 40% 40% 20% 20% 6% 0% 0% -20% -20% -8% -40% -40% -19% -19% -60% -60% -80% -80% -100% -72% -74% -74% -79% -100% -79% -120% -91% -87% -95% -89% -97% -91% -90% -95% -87% -120% -88% -98% -93% -95% -97% NSW VIC QLD SA WA TAS NSW VIC QLD SA WA TAS Interstate Overnight Visitors Intrastate Overnight Visitors Interstate Overnight Visitors Intrastate Overnight Visitors Source: Tourism Research Australia, NVS monthly estimates for September 2020 as part of its provision of additional data to help monitor the impacts of Australia’s summer bushfires and coronavirus (COVID-19) on tourism. Note figures in red italics had low samples and therefore must be interpreted with caution. Charts produced by Tourism, Events and Visitor Economy Research Unit. 13 OFFICIAL
OFFICIAL Domestic overnight visitors – metro and regional Australia Metro: domestic Regional: domestic overnight visitors overnight visitors In the nine months to September 2020 there Over this period there have also been deep have been deep declines in both spend and declines in both spend and visitors noted visitors across major metro areas in Australia. across major regional areas in Australia, although softer than for the major metro areas. The most substantial declines in the nine months to September 2020 for domestic overnight visitors The deepest declines in the nine months to was in Melbourne (down 67% compared to the nine September 2020 for domestic overnight visitors was months to September 2019, or down 5.7 million), for regional Victoria (down 49% compared to the nine followed by Sydney (-56%, or down 5.3 million), months to September 2019, or down 7.2 million), Adelaide (-54%, or down 1.4 million) and Brisbane followed by regional NSW (-36%, or down 7.4 million) and the Gold Coast (-47%, or down 4.2 million). and regional Queensland (-32%, or down 3.5 million). Domestic overnight visitor spend in Melbourne Domestic overnight visitor spend in regional Victoria declined by 69 per cent in the nine months to declined by 44 per cent in the nine months to September 2020 resulting in a reduction in spend September 2020 resulting in a reduction in spend of of $4.8 billion compared to the same period in 2019, $2.4 billion compared to the same period in 2019, followed by Sydney (-66%, or down $4.5 billion) and followed by regional Queensland (-39%, or down $3.0 Brisbane and the Gold Coast (-54%, or down $3.6 billion) and regional NSW (-36%, or down $3.9 billion). billion). Domestic Overnight Visitors (million) Domestic Overnight Visitors (million) January - September January - September 20 25 20.5 20 15 -36% 14.6 15 13.1 9.4 8.9 -49% 10 8.5 10.9 -32% -56% -47% 10 -67% 7.4 7.4 -19% 4.7 -34% -24% 5 4.1 -54% 3.5 5.2 2.8 3.8 4.2 2.5 2.3 5 2.9 1.2 0 0 Sydney Melbourne Brisbane & GC Adelaide Perth Reg NSW Reg VIC Reg QLD Reg SA Reg WA 2019 2020 2019 2020 Source: Tourism Research Australia, NVS monthly estimates for September 2020 as part of its provision of additional data to help monitor the impacts of Australia’s summer bushfires and coronavirus (COVID-19) on tourism. Note figures in red italics had low samples and therefore must be interpreted with caution. Charts produced by Tourism, Events and Visitor Economy Research Unit. 14 OFFICIAL
OFFICIAL Domestic overnight visitors – interstate and intrastate Intrastate overnight visitors Interstate overnight visitors Following the easing of the national restrictions Since the national restrictions that began in there was a softening decline in intrastate March and went into early May, and with overnight visitors to/within Victoria in May and many closed State borders remaining in place, June. The Stage 3 and 4 restrictions that began the number of interstate visitors to Victoria in Victoria in July saw a return to a level of has seen sustained declines of at least 90 per decline in August (-88%) that was experienced cent since April. in April (-89%). Interstate overnight visitors to Victoria fell sharply Intrastate overnight visitors in Victoria fell sharply during the national restrictions in April (-95%, the during the national restrictions in April (-89%, or second largest volume decline to date when down 1.8 million, compared to April 2019, the largest compared to April 2019). Over the following months, monthly volume decline to date). The decline the estimated declines remained at or above 90 per softened slightly in May (-69%, compared to May 2019) cent, with the exception of June (-86%, compared to and June (-39%, compared to June 2019), in line with June 2019), reflecting the end of the national easing restrictions, before falling again during the restrictions in May. However, with many State Stage 3 and 4 restrictions in Victoria in July (-52%, borders remaining closed, the deepest declines compared to July 2019), with a deeper decline in occurred in August (-99%, compared to August 2019) August (-88%, or down 1.4 million, the second largest and September (-98%, or down 821,000 (the largest monthly volume decline). The decline softened slightly volume decline) compared to September 2019), when in September (-79%, or down 1.2 million, compared to Stage 3 and 4 restrictions were in place for Victoria. September 2019) due to easing restrictions in regional Victoria from mid-September that allowed travel within regional Victoria. Intrastate Overnight Intrastate Visitors inVisitors Overnight Victoria (000s) Interstate Overnight Visitors in Victoria (000s) in Nationwide Victoria (000s) Stage 3&4 Nationwide Stage 3&4 2,261 restrictions restrictions restrictions restrictions 2,500 2,080 2,084 2,000 2,327 1,630 1,695 1,641 1,548 1,528 1,478 1,500 1,279 1,408 1,033 1,000 741 513 500 238 309 178 0 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep 2019 2020 Source: Tourism Research Australia, NVS monthly estimates for September 2020 as part of its provision of additional data to help monitor the impacts of Australia’s summer bushfires and coronavirus (COVID-19) on tourism. Note figures in red italics had low samples and therefore must be interpreted with caution. Charts produced by Tourism, Events and Visitor Economy Research Unit. 15 OFFICIAL
OFFICIAL Domestic overnight visitors – to and within Victoria Interstate and intrastate visitors Domestic overnight visitors to and to and within Victoria within Melbourne and regional Vic The declines that began with the nationwide Declines each month were similar for interstate restrictions in March were deeper for visitors to Victoria and visitors to Melbourne, interstate overnight visitors than intrastate and for intrastate visitors within Victoria and overnight visitors. visitors to regional Victoria, reflecting the share of visitors to each destination. Interstate visitor declines were higher than intrastate, with some rebound in intrastate evident Declines in August 2020 (compared to August 2019) as restrictions eased in May/June. Deeper declines and September 2020 (compared to September in July, August and September occurred following 2019) for both Melbourne and regional Victoria the second wave and Stage 4 restrictions. Interstate returned to similar levels experienced in April 2020 visitors remained in deep decline through (compared to April 2019), when national restrictions September as borders remained shut. were in place for the first wave. A softening decline for regional Victoria is evident in September, due to easing restrictions that allowed travel within regional Victoria. Domestic Overnight Visitors to and within Victoria Domestic Overnight Visitors in Melbourne & Regional Victoria % change 2019/20 % change 2019/20 Nationwide Stage 3&4 40% Nationwide Stage 3&4 40% restrictions restrictions restrictions restrictions 20% 15% 20% 20% 0% 0% -1% -3% -20% -20% -14% -12% -16% -15% -40% -40% -33% -39% -39% -41% -47% -60% -52% -60% -55% -53% -80% -69% -80% -70% INTERSTATE MELBOURNE -78% -80% -79% -84% INTRASTATE -89% -90% -86% -88% REGIONAL VIC -87% -88% -89% -100% -100% -94% -97% -95% -95% -95% -99% -98% -120% -120% Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Travel to regional Victoria following mid-September opening In September 2020 a greater share of overnight trips spent outside the Melbourne tourism region in involved a regional stay than a stay in Melbourne September 2019, this increased to 85 per cent in due to the tighter restrictions placed on metropolitan September 2020. The share of spend in regional areas to slow the spread of coronavirus (COVID-19). areas also increased from 36 per cent in September 2019 to 81 per cent in September 2020 (albeit from a While 59 per cent of trips in Victoria included nights small volume). Source: Tourism Research Australia, NVS monthly estimates for September 2020 as part of its provision of additional data to help monitor the impacts of Australia’s summer bushfires and coronavirus (COVID-19) on tourism. Note figures in red italics had low samples and therefore must be interpreted with caution. Charts produced by Tourism, Events and Visitor Economy Research Unit. 16 OFFICIAL
OFFICIAL Domestic overnight visitors – Melbourne and regional Victoria Domestic visitors to Melbourne Domestic visitors to regional Vic Domestic Overnight Visitors in Regional Victoria (000s) Nationwide Stage 3&4 Nationwide Stage 3&4 2,500 2,248 restrictions restrictions restrictions restrictions 1,963 2,000 2,223 1,819 1,602 1,447 1,442 1,452 1,366 1,500 1,226 1,258 952 1,000 1,220 687 433 500 246 276 137 0 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep 2019 2020 Melbourne suffered a dramatic loss in visitors (-95% Regional Victoria was down 89 per cent in overnight or down 973,000) in September 2020 compared to visitors (or down 1.12 million visitors) in August 2020 September 2019. This has been the largest volume (compared to August 2019) and down a slightly loss for Melbourne to date and reflects the second softer 80 per cent (or down 1.09 million visitors) in wave of cases that resulted in Stage 4 restrictions. September 2020 (compared to September 2019). This was similar to the decline in April 2020 (-97%), This reflects the Stage 3 restrictions across regional during the national restrictions. Victoria. Domestic Overnight Visitors Domestic Overnight Visitors METRO April % change 2019/20 September % change 2019/20 METRO 20% 20% REGIONAL REGIONAL 7% 0% 0% -20% -20% -40% -40% -29% -29% -31% -48% -60% -60% -52% -59% -80% -74% -72% -80% -73% -78% -76% -80% -87% -89% -87% -88% -100% -93% -100% -97% -95% -120% -120% NSW VIC QLD SA WA NSW VIC QLD SA WA During the Stage 3 and 4 restrictions in Victoria in During the national restrictions in April 2020, the September 2020, the deepest decline compared to deepest decline compared to April 2019 of all the September 2019 of all metro areas was for country’s major metro areas was seen in Melbourne Melbourne (-95%, or down 973,000), followed by (-97%, or down 954,000), followed by Adelaide (-93%, Sydney (-73%, or down 855,000). or down 322,000). For regional Australia the deepest declines were in For regional Australia the deepest declines were in regional Victoria (-80%, or down 1.1 million), regional NSW (-89%, or down 2.5 million), closely compared to the following declines for regional SA followed by regional Victoria (-87%, or down 1.7 (-31%, or down 157,000), regional NSW (-29%, or million). down 648,000) and regional Queensland (-29%, or down 401,000). During this time there were border restrictions by almost all states and territories, also influencing declines in metro visitation. In comparing the April and September declines, it is positive to see that the eased restrictions and lower (or no) community transmission for the other states resulted in softer declines when compared to 2019, compared to what Victoria was experiencing during its Stage 3 and 4 restrictions. Source: Tourism Research Australia, NVS monthly estimates for September 2020 as part of its provision of additional data to help monitor the impacts of Australia’s summer bushfires and coronavirus (COVID-19) on tourism. Note figures in red italics had low samples and therefore must be interpreted with caution. Charts produced by Tourism, Events and Visitor Economy Research Unit. 17 OFFICIAL
OFFICIAL Domestic visitors – changes by purpose of visit Overnight visitors by purpose Daytrip visitors by purpose These figures are for the six months ending June 2020, • Holiday daytrip visitors to/within Victoria declined the latest domestic visitor metrics available by purpose. by 40 per cent, in line with NSW (-40%) and slightly deeper than for Queensland (-36%) and the In the six months ending June 2020 compared to six national average (-38%). months ending June 2019, there were substantial • VFR daytrip visitors to/within Victoria declined by declines for domestic overnight and daytrip visitors 34 per cent, similar to Queensland (-35%) and across all purposes of visit, in all States and Territories. deeper than for NSW (-30%) and the national Despite easing of restrictions in May, borders did not average (-33%). reopen, and Melbourne experienced the early stages of • Business overnight visitors to/within Victoria a second lockdown in June. declined by 31 per cent, deeper than in Queensland • Holiday overnight visitors to/within Victoria declined (26%), and similar to the rates of decline in NSW by 45 per cent, softer than for Queensland (-54%) and the national decline (both down 30%). and NSW (-52%) and the national average (-48%). • Visiting Friends and/or Relatives (VFR) visitors The shares of each purpose for domestic daytrip to/within Victoria declined by 46 per cent, deeper visitors remained relatively constant from the six than to Queensland (-41%) and NSW (-40%) and the months ending June 2019 to six month ending June national average (-40%). 2020, with the deepest decline in share being for • Business overnight visitors to/within Victoria holiday visitors, (44% to 41%), and each of the other declined by 44 per cent, deeper than to NSW (-40%) segments gaining one percentage point. The decline and Queensland and the national average (both was influenced by declines in holiday daytrip visitors down 39%). to/within regional Victoria (50% to 47%) and Melbourne (34% to 31%). The shares of each purpose remained relatively constant from the six months ending June 2019 to 2020. Domestic overnight visitors - 6 months ending June 2020 Domestic daytrip visitors - 6 months ending June 2020 Other Other 533.1k, -36% 2.8m, -30% Business 1.6m, -44% Business Holiday Holiday 3.2m, -31% 8.9m, -40% 3.9m, -45% VFR VFR 2.9m, -46% 6.6m, -34% Domestic overnight visitors by purpose Domestic daytrip visitors by purpose 18,000 35,000 5% 16,000 30,000 12% 14,000 18% 14% 25,000 12,000 Visitors (000s) Visitors (000s) 10,000 34% 20,000 30% 13% 6% 8,000 15% 18% 15,000 6,000 31% 33% 10,000 4,000 44% 45% 5,000 41% 2,000 44% - - 6 months to June 2019 6 months to June 2020 6 months to June 2019 6 months to June 2020 Holiday Visiting friends and relatives Business Other Holiday Visiting friends and relatives Business Other Source: National Visitor Survey, year ending June 2020, produced by Tourism Research Australia, October 2020. Figures and charts produced by Tourism, Events and Visitor Economy Research Unit. 18 OFFICIAL
OFFICIAL Domestic visitors likely to attend an event Likelihood to attend indoor and outdoor events in next three months In July and November, additional questions were asked of domestic overnight visitors1 to gauge general interest in attending events with no restrictions in place, over the next three months, compared to before the coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak. The latest responses taken in November highlight that sizeable proportions remain less likely to attend the various event types compared to before coronavirus (COVID- 19), although they are lower for all types of events when compared to the July responses. As event sizes increase the proportion less likely to attend also increases for both indoor and outdoor events. Results are more favourable for outdoor events (that is, when comparing events of the same size to indoor events), reflecting the pattern in July. • Indoor events were on average less appealing than before coronavirus (COVID-19) than outdoor events, 46 per cent versus 34 per cent among Victorian respondents (compared to 52% versus 44% in July). • With outdoor events, the November responses indicate that 14 per cent of Victorians were less likely to attend if less than 100 people compared to 47 per cent with more than 5,000 people. • For those that stated they were more likely to attend an event or had the same level of intention, most were looking to home state events rather than interstate events. Respondents in July in all states were more likely to attend an event in their home state than respondents in November. For example, in November, 69 per cent of Victorians and 74 per cent nationally (compared to 78% of Victorians and 82% nationally in July). The positive shift in the recent results was towards attending an event in both home state and interstate, suggesting an increased confidence in interstate travel, increases in capacity and events recommencing in some states. Key points from the November responses Less likely to attend an INDOOR event compared to highlight: before COVID-19 - November 2020 • Victorians were, on average, less likely to 70% want to attend indoor events than before 60% coronavirus (COVID-19) (46%) compared to 50% respondents in all states except NSW (47%) 40% and the Australian Capital Territory (ACT) 30% (49%). 20% • Victorians were, on average, less likely to 10% want to attend outdoor events than before 0% coronavirus (COVID-19) (34%) compared to TOTAL VIC NSW QLD SA WA TAS NT ACT respondents in all states except NSW (36%). • The level of concern increases with the size Less likely to attend an OUTDOOR event compared to before COVID-19 - November 2020 of indoor events, with: 70% • 36 per cent of Victorians were less likely to 60% attend an indoor event with less than 100 50% people, compared to before coronavirus (COVID-19) 40% • 48 per cent less likely to attend an indoor 30% event with 100 to 500 people 20% • 53 per cent less likely to attend an indoor 10% event with more than 500 people. 0% TOTAL VIC NSW QLD SA WA TAS NT ACT 1 Theevents questions were added to the National Visitor Survey between 8 to 21 July and 1 to 17 November 2020 to gauge interest/intentions on attending a range of event types to assess the impacts from coronavirus (COVID-19) and supplied by Tourism Research Australia. Charts produced by Tourism, Events and Visitor Economy Research Unit. 19 OFFICIAL
OFFICIAL Domestic visitors likely to attend an event (continued) Results are more favourable for outdoor • 43 per cent less likely to attend an outdoor events (that is, when comparing events of the event with more than 500 people (this is not same size to indoor events) and those that mutually exclusive from the following category) • 47 per cent less likely to attend an outdoor stated they were more likely to attend an event with more than 5,000 people. event or had the same level of intention were most were looking to home state events rather Most (69%) of the November responses by Victorians who were more likely to attend an event than interstate events. or had the same intention, were looking to Victorian The level of concern increases with the size of events rather than interstate events. This is the outdoor event, although with lower percentages for lowest of all states (except the ACT at 63%): people than for indoor events, with: • with 73 per cent of NSW residents likely to • 14 per cent of Victorian respondents less likely to attend an event in NSW • attend an outdoor event with less than 100 • with 76 per cent of Queensland residents people, compared to before coronavirus likely to attend an event in Queensland (COVID-19). • with 78 per cent of SA residents likely to • 31 per cent less likely to attend an outdoor event attend an event in SA with 100 to 500 people • with 85 per cent of WA residents likely to attend an event in WA. More likely to attend an event in their home state More likely to attend an event in their home state compared to before COVID-19 - July 2020* compared to before COVID-19 - November 2020* 100% 100% 85% 87% 87% 81% 81% 85% 78% 79% 78% 76% 80% 80% 73% 76% 73% 69% 59% 63% 60% 60% 40% 40% 27% 29% 23% 25% 21% 19% 20% 18% 20% 15% 15% 12% 10% 15% 14% 20% 12% 15% 3% 4% 8% 4% 3% 4% 7% 6% 1% 0% 2% 3% 3% 2% 1% 3% 0% 0% NSW VIC QLD SA WA TAS NT ACT NSW VIC QLD SA WA TAS NT ACT Home state or territory Another state or territory Both Home state or territory Another state or territory Both * Respondents had already stated they were more likely to attend an event or had the same level of * Respondents had already stated they were more likely to attend an event or had the same level of intention than before COVID-19, before answering if the event was more likely to be in their home intention than before COVID-19, before answering if the event was more likely to be in their home state or other state or territory. state or other state or territory. Note: questions asked were: 1. Think about organised events such as indoor or outdoor sports, music or cultural events etc. If no restrictions are in place, how likely would you be to attend the following events over the next 3 months, compared to before the Coronavirus outbreak? For each of these events can you please tell whether you would be less likely to attend than before, about the same as before, or more likely to attend than before the outbreak. 2. And for the events that you’ve just said you would be more or just as likely to attend, would you be likely to attend those events in your home state or territory, or another state or territory? 1 Theevents questions were added to the National Visitor Survey between 8 to 21 July and 1 to 17 November 2020 to gauge interest/intentions on attending a range of event types to assess the impacts from coronavirus (COVID-19) and supplied by Tourism Research Australia. Charts produced by Tourism, Events and Visitor Economy Research Unit. 20 OFFICIAL
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