Consumer products and retail industry: the need for a transformative mindset - EY

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Consumer products and retail industry: the need for a transformative mindset - EY
Consumer products and
retail industry: the need
for a transformative
mindset
Consumer products and retail industry: the need for a transformative mindset - EY
2   Consumer products and retail industry: the need for a transformative mindset
Consumer products and retail industry: the need for a transformative mindset - EY
Foreword
 The consumer product and retail (CPR) industry in the                Reinvent the business model
 Middle East and North Africa (MENA) is on the cusp of a new
 era of growth, and EY teams have identified seven drivers            • Stakeholder ecosystem: collaborate to compete better
 of change that need to be considered when evaluating                 • C
                                                                         hannels: omni-accessibility is the key to consumer
 approaches to disruptive market forces that can potentially            loyalty
 put you ahead of the competition.
                                                                      • R
                                                                         egulation: know the regulatory boundaries to seize
 The economic recovery that began in 2018 looks set to                  opportunities
 continue, and with it, the demand for consumer goods. The
 big question for CPR companies is how they take advantage
 of the upturn. If they continue to make incremental                  Technology at speed
 improvements, they risk falling behind. They must, instead,          • Consumer engagement: embrace personalization
 seize the opportunity and make bolder decisions to invest in           and stay agile
 technology that enables data-backed insights, and embrace
                                                                      • Data: unearth, refine and deploy the new oil
 digital capabilities as much as possible across the value
 chain. This will not only improve decision-making but also
 enable them to stay agile and anticipate changes in the              Humans at the center
 market, keeping in step with the ever-demanding consumer.
                                                                      • People: treasure, train and trust your
 Above all, the new era demands a transformative mindset                most important asset
 that not only questions long-standing business models but
                                                                      • Trust: proactively manage risks to embrace disruption
 also encourages empowerment across the hierarchy in CPR
 companies, so that the risks and opportunities are acted
                                                                      EY teams endeavor to help companies explore, identify
 upon with equal measure. Consumers are demanding a more
                                                                      and implement the right balance of bold strategic
 personalized shopping experience and have the technology
                                                                      choices. We do this by asking better questions to
 to make better-informed and individualized decisions about
                                                                      reveal better responses to disruptive market change
 what they buy, where they shop and when. It is time for CPR
                                                                      and innovative strategies that help put you ahead of
 companies to respond to this imperative and create a future
                                                                      the competition. The findings of this abridged report
 that will strengthen and build new sources of competitive
                                                                      combine market-sizing estimates and interviews with
 advantage.
                                                                      senior executives at 12 CPR companies in the region.
 Developing an omni-channel model requires every aspect of            A more in-depth report incorporating the results of a
 the business to be ready to satisfy the consumer. This means         survey of 1,129 consumers in 20 cities covering three
 reducing any friction when producing, sourcing, purchasing           countries is available from the EY organisation.
 or delivering, especially if third parties are involved.
 This report identifies the drivers of change and examines
 responses to the disruptive market forces that can put you
 ahead of the competition.

Ahmed Reda                       Ravi Kapoor
EY MENA Consumer Leader          EY MENA Consumer Advisory Leader

                                                        Consumer products and retail industry: the need for a transformative mindset   3
Consumer products and retail industry: the need for a transformative mindset - EY
The region’s consumer markets are poised to
grow faster
Our market size estimates predict that the combined consumer                               new fees and taxes, have also lowered discretionary spending; and
market of Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Egypt, which totaled                                   there have been reforms to subsidies.
US$197b in 2018, will grow by 21% to US$238b by 2021.¹
                                                                                           Looking at current trends, however, 2019–20 could be a turning
The MENA region has come through challenging economic times.                               point. The new economic EY estimates put the combined annual
Sluggish growth had depressed consumer spending; shifts in labor                           spending of Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Egypt at US$197b in 2018.
markets, such as fewer employment benefits and the imposition of

CPR market size (2018)
             99.7                                                               97.0

                                                                    48.0
                                                                                                                           42.2                     40.7
                         33.2
                                      23.6

                                                                                                                                        10.4
                                                                                              2.6

                     Saudi Arabia                                              Egypt                                                   UAE

                                           CPR market (US$b)                Population (m)               GDP per capita (US$k)

Source: World Economic Outlook, April 2019: Growth Slowdown, Precarious Recovery, IMF; EY analysis.

¹ The estimates of the CPR market size are based on analysis of household spending data collected and extrapolated by Fitch Solutions. EY analysis by spending item suggests that
   the share of household spending allocated to the CPR sector ranges from about 30% in the UAE to 50% in Egypt, the difference being due to high spending on basic items in Egypt.

4     Consumer products and retail industry: the need for a transformative mindset
Consumer products and retail industry: the need for a transformative mindset - EY
CPR spending 2018 (US$b, % of country total)

                                                                                                     Food and groceries
  UAE                   60%                 7%         26%          7%

                                                                                                     Consumer durables

                                                                                                     Apparel
Egypt                         69%                            9%    10%   12%
                                                                                                     Other

Saudi                                            60%                                                      22%                  12%          6%

         0            10            20            30                40          50           60           70         80            90            100

Source: BMI household spending estimates; EY analysis.

Given the potential for an economic lift, the collective size of these               • Egypt will grow more rapidly, by around 14% a year, as it recovers
three countries suggests ample scope for expansion in the industry:                    from the 2016–17 contraction, not surpassing its 2015 peak
                                                                                       until 2021, when we forecast it will be worth around US$70b.
• According to our forecast, the CPR market will grow by around 6%
  a year in the period 2019–21, reaching US$50b in the UAE and
  US$118b in Saudi Arabia.

CPR market (US$b)                                                                    CPR market (% GDP)

                                                                                     22%
                                                                                     20%
120                                                                        118                                             19.2%
                                                                                     18%
100
                                                                                     16%
 80
                                                                           70        14%
 60                                                                                                                        12.9%
                                                                                     12%
 40                                                                        50
                                                                                     10%
 20                                                                                  8%                                     9.8%
        2014   2015     2016    2017     2018      2019           2020   2021              2014    2015      2016   2017    2018     2019   2020       2021
                      Egypt         Saudi Arabia                  UAE                                 Egypt         Saudi Arabia         UAE

Source: BMI household spending historic data, estimates and forecasts; IMF GDP; EY analysis.

Based on this encouraging forecast, CPR companies are faced with an opportunity to grow and transform themselves. What will they need
to do to make the most of this moment?

                                                                          Consumer products and retail industry: the need for a transformative mindset        5
Consumer products and retail industry: the need for a transformative mindset - EY
The levers of competitive advantage are changing

          Historical mindset
                               Scope

       Scale

Sustainable                                                                  Transformative
competitive
advantage
                                                                                mindset

                                                                Stakeholder
                                                                ecosystem                                                  Channels
                                                                                         Reinvent
                                                                                       the business
                                                                                          model

                                                                                                              Regulation

                                                                              Technology          Humans at
                                                                               at speed           the center
                                                       Consumer
                                                      engagement                                                            People

                                                                                Data
                                                                                                      Trust

                                                                                               Dynamic
                                                                                               competitive advantage

6     Consumer products and retail industry: the need for a transformative mindset
Consumer products and retail industry: the need for a transformative mindset - EY
Reinvent the business model
The levers of competitive advantage

          Stakeholder
                                                      Channels                                         Regulation
          ecosystem

 Collaborate to compete better             Omni-accessibility is the key to                Know the regulatory boundaries to
                                           consumer loyalty                                seize opportunities
 Creating a successful competitive
 advantage depends on understanding        To strengthen loyalty, companies must           Government rules offer CPR
 which parts of an organization’s value    design their business to be accessible          companies a host of opportunities if
 chain can be strengthened through         to consumers at all times and across            the regulations are clear and designed
 collaboration. To achieve this, CPR       all channels.                                   to provide a framework in which
 companies must work with their                                                            companies can grow.
 stakeholders, especially suppliers, to
 build an ecosystem that is responsive
 to the rapidly evolving imperatives for
 the business.

                                                       Consumer products and retail industry: the need for a transformative mindset   7
Consumer products and retail industry: the need for a transformative mindset - EY
and Riyadh. Today, however, they recognize the need to seek out
    Stakeholder ecosystem                                                                smaller cities and rural areas in search of new consumers, despite
                                                                                         obstacles such as deficient infrastructure, a lack of residential and
Collaborate to compete better                                                            commercial address systems, and higher transport costs.

Developing a successful stakeholder ecosystem requires not only                          The third-party logistics market is expected to grow in line with the
an understanding of which parts of your organization’s value chain                       CPR sector, owing to the rise in sub-contracting of logistic activities
are ready for collaboration but also work with stakeholders to                           by brand owners as they focus more on their core business.
build an ecosystem that is responsive to the needs of consumers.                         Logistics providers typically offer services that include packaging,
Retailers must closely collaborate with suppliers and consumer                           inventory, warehousing and last-mile delivery.
products companies to ensure they meet consumers’ needs and to                           Furthermore, brands are working with emerging content creators
anticipate changes in the market.                                                        who are also social media influencers that endorse products,
In a time of disruptive innovation, companies will rely more and                         an increasingly important new dimension in the advertising
more on ecosystems in which stakeholders bring different skills                          ecosystem. These marketing innovations are only valuable if
and marketing attributes to the creation of value. Companies                             they have a favorable impact on consumers. But one thing is
will form partnerships for this purpose with a broader range of                          clear: working across the ecosystem while scaling up creates
stakeholders, such as start-ups, accelerators, venture capital firms,                    the conditions for disruptive innovation. Companies should take
academic researchers, Non-governmental organizations (NGOs)                              advantage of the “network effects” of the new ecosystems by
and other companies. For this to be successful, business leaders                         leveraging partnerships with stakeholders to deliver new value
must take a strongly collaborative approach to research, ideation,                       propositions and business models.
design and product development. Open innovation, involving close
participation among stakeholders, is the order of the day.
Mindsets need to be aligned across organizational boundaries
through the creation of a synergistic ecosystem — and, as the
complexity increases, there needs to be a culture shift in which
transparency is embraced. This means an intensive degree of                                       Questions
change management, in which stakeholders must overcome their
fear of disruption if they are to stay ahead of the competition.                                  Do you know which capabilities must be kept
Achieving a dramatically higher level of agility requires companies                               in-house, what should be outsourced and
to take a more human-centric approach that emphasizes simplicity,                                 where, and with whom you should partner to
enablement, inclusion and intuition among the stakeholders in                                     create competitive advantage?
the ecosystem, while outsourcing or automating repetitive and
                                                                                                  Can the competitors of today become the
complex tasks. Everybody involved in this collaboration has a                                     collaborators of tomorrow?
chance to benefit.
                                                                                                  How will you balance a long-term view with the
Many retailers in the MENA region are struggling to pull together
                                                                                                  shorter-term strategies often prioritized by
a rich store of consumer data. Sector leaders are turning to
                                                                                                  your stakeholders?
partnerships with telecommunications and financial service
companies to fill this gap, as well as investing in technology. In
a survey of senior executives, 53% in MENA say that artificial
intelligence (AI) and robotic process automation (RPA) are
the most prominent technologies on their boardroom agenda,
compared with 46% worldwide.²
The development of such an ecosystem begins with a vision of
the future and works backward to drive strategic choices in real
time. To achieve long-term business objectives, companies will
have to reinvent their business models, which entails redefining
the ecosystem based on digital transformation. This can only be
achieved if the company has a flexible, future-oriented mindset and
culture. It must identify and change the ecosystem dynamics and
reposition its place accordingly.
Geographic expansion requires stakeholders to cooperate closely
with each other. Many CPR brands have previously focused their
attention on cities, from the high-income, global-shopper markets
of Abu Dhabi and Dubai to the densely populated cities of Cairo

2 Source: Global Capital Confidence Barometer, EY, 2018; The power of intelligent automation: making customer interaction smarter in the GCC, EY, 2018.

8     Consumer products and retail industry: the need for a transformative mindset
Consumer products and retail industry: the need for a transformative mindset - EY
Channels
Omni-accessibility is the key to consumer
loyalty
Consumers are constantly shifting the focus of their attention both
online and offline, so CPR companies need to stay at the center
of their universe with an effective and dynamic omni-channel
strategy. They must take a highly intuitive and proactive approach,
providing consumers with moments of truth when they can interact
with companies’ platforms, both online and offline.
Increasingly, the industry’s focus will shift to tremendous
e-commerce opportunities, given the fact that the MENA region's
online sales, as a percentage of GDP, lag far behind those of
developed economies. E-commerce accounted for 0.9% of GDP
in Saudi Arabia³ in 2018 and 0.4% of GDP in the UAE4 in 2015,
compared with 3.5% in the UK, 2.3% in Singapore and 1.9% in the
US.5
Some companies expect a rapid growth of online transactions as
the region catches up with more developed consumer markets.
An early indication of this is Amazon's acquisition of ecommerce
site souq.com in 2017, heralding the emergence of several new
online players in the market. UAE start-up Namshi, for instance,
has created a fashion marketplace across the Gulf, as has Sprii,
founded in Dubai to sell baby items, toys and household goods.
Meanwhile, leading brands in the apparel category, including Zara
and Gap, have recently launched online services in the region.
Furthermore, Dubai-based fresh food retailer Kibsons has grown
exponentially since launching home deliveries last year and
Boutiqaat, a women-only ecommerce platform based in Kuwait,
has made a significant impact on consumers through an active
marketing campaign on social media and elsewhere. The changes
are a clear sign that the CPR industry faces disruption and needs
to seize the opportunity to expand quickly in e-commerce and to
develop a proactive omni-channel strategy.
                                                                                              Questions
This requires a multidimensional approach, from a more responsive
supply chain strategy to a carefully integrated combination of                                Is your growth paradigm still constrained by
online and offline sales. Brick-and-mortar operations will continue                           your physical go-to-market channels?
to be a vital component of the CPR market, but companies will                                 Is your business model ready to serve
increasingly assume that consumers will do their research online                              consumers anywhere, anytime with your full
before they go out to shop. A major challenge is to prevent conflict                          portfolio of products?
among e-commerce channels, as some companies have decided to
establish their own rather than form alliances with other platforms.                          Will personalization and smart pricing deliver
                                                                                              price transparency or opacity to consumers?
Consumers in the MENA region are unlikely to shift all their
spending to online activities but, instead, will use it for specific
purposes.

3
  " Saudi Arabia eCommerce Insights: 19.28 Million Online Shoppers By 2020," eshopworld website, https://www.eshopworld.com/blog/saudi-arabia-ecommerce-
   insights-2018/, accessed 10 January 2018.
4
   "United Arab Emirates Commercial Guide," International Trade Administration website, https://www.trade.gov/knowledge-product/united-arab-emirates-ecommerce,
    accessed 13 October 2019.
5
    https://gulfnews.com/business/retail/gcc-ecommerce-market-to-reach-20b-by-2020-at-kearney-1.1887936, accessed 30 August 2016.

                                                                            Consumer products and retail industry: the need for a transformative mindset           9
Consumer products and retail industry: the need for a transformative mindset - EY
of Saudi nationals in the private sector.6 Among the aims of the
    Regulation                                                                         policy is the creation of one million jobs for Saudi nationals in
                                                                                       the retail industry by 2030; this can only be achieved by building
Know the regulatory boundaries to seize                                                ecosystems that help to nurture homegrown skills in collaboration
                                                                                       with key partners. Companies that develop strong relationships
opportunities
                                                                                       with leading universities in the region will be in a good position to
CPR companies need to understand and anticipate the regulatory                         comply with localization regulations.
landscape of the region, not only to ensure compliance but also
to take advantage of the opportunities that emerge as a result
of new or changed regulations. Governments have a key role to
play in ensuring that regulations help foster the development
of the consumer industry and minimize the risk of harm to the
                                                                                               Questions
public by the actions of some companies. The Government of
                                                                                               Does your organization take a structured
Saudi Arabia, for example, changed an important regulation when
                                                                                               approach to assessing the impact of
women were granted the right to drive motor vehicles in 2018,
                                                                                               regulatory changes in your industry?
opening up opportunities for companies to sell more automotive
products. Greater mobility of the population will create business                              How robust is your internal mechanism to
opportunities for CPR companies, such as roadside services and                                 respond to external stimuli and constraints in
digital mapping.                                                                               a timely fashion?

The UAE passed a product safety law in July 2019 that calls for                                Is your compliance process fully aligned with
suppliers to ensure that their products comply with applicable                                 the operating model and vice versa?
standards issued by the Emirates Authority for Standardization
& Metrology. The move brings the UAE more in line with policies
and practices in Europe and the US, and may therefore present
challenges for CPR companies with international operations. Other
companies may need time to raise their product-safety standards
but, in the end, the regulations are likely to enhance the trust of
consumers in the CPR industry, which will ultimately benefit both
producers and consumers.
The Saudi Food & Drug Authority is currently setting new priorities
for localized product manufacturing. This too will create new
opportunities for domestic producers to cater to consumers. The
Saudi Arabian General Investment Authority is furthering the
goals of Vision 2030 by allowing fully foreign-owned entities to
obtain licenses to invest in the country. As foreign CPR companies
take advantage of this liberalization, standards of product quality
are likely to rise, and there will be downward pressure on prices.
Proactive, agile companies will regard this trend as an opportunity
to improve efficiency and increase profits.
These regulatory enhancements need to be seen within the
context of a challenging microeconomic policy environment in
which companies must navigate complex business rules and
bureaucratic structures. Ideally, a straightforward business
environment with minimal bureaucracy can encourage a highly
competitive industry to focus on product development and
consumer service, and allow investments to be made without
fear of fiscal changes. Governments in the region recognize this
imperative and are undertaking reforms to improve the regulatory
climate for business in ways that can assist CPR companies.
Another very important area of regulation concerns long-standing
policies to localize jobs and reduce unemployment while lowering
labor costs. Some countries in the MENA region have redoubled
their efforts to reach these objectives: for example, in Saudi
Arabia, the Government's Vision 2030 prioritizes the employment

6
    "Working Toward Vision 2030: Key Employment Considerations in Saudi Arabia,” SHRM website, https://www.shrm.org/resourcesandtools/legal-and-compliance/
     employment-law/pages/global-vision-2030-saudi-arabia.aspx, accessed 20 April 2018.

10       Consumer products and retail industry: the need for a transformative mindset
Technology at speed
The levers of competitive advantage

                                   Consumer
                                                                                          Data
                                  engagement

                         Embrace personalization and                     Unearth, refine and deploy
                         stay agile                                      the new oil
                         CPR companies must embrace                      Information must be unearthed,
                         personalization and stay agile if they          refined and deployed if companies
                         are to hold the attention of their              are to compete. Companies must
                         increasingly demanding consumers.               therefore develop the ability to
                                                                         capture data and generate actionable
                                                                         insights that will give them an edge
                                                                         over their rivals.

 Consumer engagement
Embrace personalization and stay agile                                 Thanks to the new advanced analytics technologies available,
Today’s consumer is more informed and empowered than ever              retailers and brands can stay one step ahead of the consumer, by
before, demanding more personalized attention and better service.      anticipating what consumers will want next and planning to provide
It is up to CPR companies to meet the challenge by delivering a        a cost-efficient level of personal service that is the best in its class.
more nuanced, individualized shopping experience.

                                                              Consumer products and retail industry: the need for a transformative mindset   11
Brands are working harder to engage consumers by developing
more relevant, tailored product ranges and enhancing their
services to reflect the changing demographics of the region. With
the help of applications such as Google Analytics, companies can
                                                                                                   Questions
track consumers’ online shopping experience, as well as their                                      How well do you map your existing consumers’
interactions with Flash video and networking sites. CPR companies                                  interaction with your categories of play?
can create a personalized profile of the consumer to tailor their
                                                                                                   How responsive is your innovation process to
offerings, enhance brand loyalty and reduce value-seeking                                          enable you to anticipate and fulfil consumers’
behavior.                                                                                          evolving needs?
Consumers are now more careful before embarking on
                                                                                                   Are you investing the optimal amount in
expenditure, creating an opportunity for companies to provide
                                                                                                   technologies that will help your organization
relevant information about their products and services. This is
                                                                                                   make faster, better decisions about how to
helping to reshape the structure of the industry, as well as placing
                                                                                                   anticipate individual consumer impulses?
the onus on companies to differentiate themselves.
However, high levels of personalization require large investments
in technology, making it difficult for new entrants to break into the
market.

    Data
Unearth, refine and deploy the new oil
Data is a key resource for every company, and successful                                  analytics and cloud-based platforms can all help optimize
companies must harness it effectively, driven by the aim of                               inventory maintenance, allowing in-store pick-ups and same-day
developing crucial business insights that will create a competitive                       delivery, on which the shift to omni-channel offerings depends.7
edge. For the consumer segment, advanced technologies and
                                                                                          The challenge for companies is aligning their data-gathering
methodologies such as machine learning, deep learning and AI will
                                                                                          policies with emerging regulatory frameworks designed to protect
deliver insights into every step of the value chain, from product
                                                                                          the privacy of consumer information. CPR brands must also find
design and consumer interactions to logistics management and
                                                                                          mutually advantageous ways to share data across the supply
back-office functions.
                                                                                          chain, but this involves building trust among stakeholders in the
The MENA region's CPR companies have a long way to go to                                  ecosystem. Collecting rich, collaborative and privacy-protected
overcome significant data shortages, even on basic consumer                               data will be crucial if companies are to reap the benefits of this
spending trends. In Europe and the US, providers such as Nielsen                          precious resource.
gather consumer intelligence, drawing from point-of-sale data and
viewership statistics, but data for the MENA region is often more
limited.
Companies must therefore develop the ability to capture data
in ways that are usable, seizing every opportunity to gather                                      Questions
information from new sources that may give them a competitive                                     Which technologies can help you create a
edge. Start-ups can leapfrog incumbents by building data analytics                                360-degree view of your consumers’ buying
into their business models from the very beginning.                                               behavior and influences?
Brick-and-mortar companies, however, are not standing back;                                       How are you harnessing the power of data and
instead, they are advancing their own data analytics agenda to                                    technology?
beat off competitors, with some using the latest technology to
deepen consumer intelligence, including QR codes on receipts.                                     Does your data strategy help you to increase
                                                                                                  performance while protecting against outside
Companies are also crunching datasets at store, consumer and
                                                                                                  risks?
product levels to see what is resonating with consumers, then
feeding this information back into the manufacturing and sales
cycle to develop predictive models of consumer trends. Other
approaches can be garnered through loyalty card data mining and
the use of predictive analytics tools, which can be fed into product
and service plans to cover consumer needs. Data lakes, advanced

7
     ttps://www.arabianbusiness.com/technology/417996-ai-can-help-gulf-retailers-usher-in-new-era-of-brand-loyalty-through-personalised-customer-experiences,
    h
    accessed 26 May 2019.

12       Consumer products and retail industry: the need for a transformative mindset
Humans at the center
The levers of competitive advantage

                                  People                                                        Trust

                                                                            Proactively manage risks to embrace
                 Treasure, train and trust your most
                                                                            disruption
                 important asset
                                                                            To deliver value, CPR companies must
                 CPR companies must focus on recruiting
                                                                            focus on building in trust by design to
                 the best skills and developing the know-how
                                                                            understand the risk portfolio and capitalize
                 of workers so that they can flourish in an
                                                                            on disruptive forces.
                 innovative and productive environment.

 People
Treasure, train and trust your most important
asset
                                                                         judgment and enabling the organization to allocate more money to
In the contest to attract and retain talent, CPR companies must
                                                                         hire skilled people.
focus on recruiting the best skills and developing the know-
how of workers so that they can flourish in an innovative and            E-commerce players, including Amazon and Alibaba, are
productive environment. Ironically, automation is an important           investing in everything from robotic packaging to drone delivery.
driver of talent acquisition and retention. RPA, when successfully       Automation can help companies increase output and productivity
implemented, reduces the amount of resources devoted to routine          without expanding the headcount, an important consideration
tasks, freeing existing staff to engage in activities needing human      given tough economic conditions and labor market rigidities in

                                                               Consumer products and retail industry: the need for a transformative mindset   13
some key countries. The push by Gulf countries to indigenize their                  the low levels of investment, and hence protection from cyber
workforces is another factor driving automation and a focus on                      attacks. Companies must embed and integrate cybersecurity into
hiring skilled, local workers.                                                      any digital strategy, generally through leveraged or outsourcing
                                                                                    models to keep costs low with the optimal level of protection
                                                                                    afforded. There have been too many CPR companies that
        Questions                                                                   overlooked this aspect and suffered irreversible brand damage,
        How will you future-proof your talent pool to                               consumer data privacy breaches, major outages, significant
        be agile enough for exponential change?                                     fines by regulators, direct financial loss or fraud, or destruction
                                                                                    of their digital footprint. Getting the right advice and support is
        Have you assessed your long-term HR needs
                                                                                    key and, once architected into the digital strategy, it is a low-cost
        and developed a strategy to meet your
                                                                                    investment compared with a cyber incident.
        objectives over the next five years?
                                                                                    Risks arising from outside the organization can either help or
        Have you put the consumer at the center of
                                                                                    harm the enterprise, and include the actions of existing and
        focus in your training programs?
                                                                                    emerging competitors. Their ventures may lead the way to new
                                                                                    sources of revenue or expose pitfalls to avoid. Geopolitical and
                                                                                    economic megatrends in the MENA region and beyond may seem
                                                                                    daunting, but they pose both risks to avoid and opportunities to
                                                                                    capture. Similarly, demographic and environmental trends can
    Trust                                                                           become obstacles or launchpads.
                                                                                    The latest digital technologies are proving effective in enhancing
Proactively manage risks to embrace                                                 capabilities in risk intelligence. To thrive in the Transformative
                                                                                    Age, companies need to embrace disruption and build in trust by
disruption
                                                                                    design across their value chain and ecosystem (e.g., strive to build
CPR companies need to shift their focus from simply                                 a transparent supply chain and third-party dealings). The days of
mitigating risk to embracing new opportunities in a time of                         monitoring and reacting to threats after they occur are gone. Real-
market disruption. There is, of course, a risk in venturing into                    time risk intelligence now enables companies to enhance their
unfamiliar territory, whether it be a new product or service, or a                  strategic decision-making and build more sophisticated models to
geographical region. The new strategy may end up losing money.                      help predict the future.
However, there is also a risk in doing nothing and missing out on
                                                                                    On the upside, there is the potential for innovations to help expand
opportunities that would benefit the company.
                                                                                    the consumer base and increase market share. New business
Relying on the old, tried and true recipe of products and services                  opportunities offer the chance for companies to acquire, manage
is likely to lead to an erosion of market share, as tastes and                      and derive value from new assets and pools of talent. On the
demographics change. Consumers can begin to lose trust in a                         downside, companies must continue to work to mitigate risks by
brand that doesn’t move with the times.                                             anticipating where the next threat might come from.
Many CPR companies in the MENA region have been burdened by                         Companies embedding risk in product and service design and
high employee costs. They did not expect the economic downturn                      ecosystem partners will be able to accelerate speed to market,
to last so long and, therefore, did not proactively reshape their                   and manage increasing regulatory and compliance requirements
business model to manage the risk of a protracted period of slow                    proactively while sustaining trust to gain a competitive edge.
growth.
Trust is the new currency from which to derive value and
consumer loyalty. It is critical if companies are to differentiate                      Questions
the brand from its competitors. As companies take on more and
                                                                                        How are you and your partners engaging
more personal data (desires, behaviors and preferences) and
                                                                                        with the risk function to build trust, drive
share it with a complex web of partners, service providers and
                                                                                        confidence and transformation within the
AI platforms, consumers expect these companies to use tighter
                                                                                        organization?
measures to protect their data. As a result, a company's ability to
embed digital trust by embracing a comprehensive cybersecurity                          How frequently do you assess third-party risk,
strategy becomes key. Where competitors may be struggling to                            and which parts of your supply chain do you
foster trust, being a trusted and secure organization will be a                         lack information about?
market differentiator.
                                                                                        Do you have a long-term strategy to ensure
Cybersecurity and data privacy are now on the top five board                            your consumers continue to trust your brand?
risks8 for any organization, particularly those in the CPR industry.
This is partly due to CPR’s rapid adoption of digital technology
that is widening the aperture of the attack surface, but also
8
    http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_Global_Risks_Report_2019.pdf, accessed 15 September 2019.

14      Consumer products and retail industry: the need for a transformative mindset
Conclusion: capitalizing on growth
 If companies can harness these change agents to pursue their         innovative ecosystem. This can only come about with the
 strategic objectives, they will be able to take full advantage of    help of careful technology investments, especially in AI and
 the opportunities that arise as the consumer market develops.        machine learning, so that companies can anticipate changes
 The task ahead is arduous, entailing a re-examination of             in the regulatory environment and make the most of huge
 the organization’s operating model and an even firmer                troves of market data. These changes, however, won’t take
 understanding of the consumer journey.                               place unless there is a transformational change in mindset
                                                                      among employees and executives; ultimately, the future of
 Companies will have to provide consumers with a seamless
                                                                      the company rests on the aptitude and enthusiasm of the
 omni-channel buying experience and rely more on their
                                                                      workforce, from top to bottom.
 business partners, including competitors, to create an

Contacts
 Ahmed Reda                                                                Ravi Kapoor
 EY MENA Consumer Leader                                                   EY MENA Consumer Advisory Leader
 ahmed.reda@sa.ey.com                                                      ravi.kapoor@ae.ey.com

 Marie Schwob
 EY MENA Consumer Director
 marie.schwob@ae.ey.com

    Learn how
  EY teams help
 CPR professionals                              Visit ey.com/transformativemindset.
   thrive in the
  Transformative
       Age

                                                             Consumer products and retail industry: the need for a transformative mindset   15
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