Consumer Insights on the Future of the Gas and Electricity Distribution Networks in Scotland - September 2020
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Consumer Insights on the Future of the Gas and Electricity Distribution Networks in Scotland September 2020
Contents Contents 2 Executive Summary 3 Introduction 6 Background and policy context 8 Consumer Awareness of the Gas and Electricity Distribution Networks in Scotland 10 Consumer Satisfaction with Gas and Electricity Distribution Networks in Scotland 13 Consumer Priorities for the Gas and Electricity Distribution Networks in Scotland 18 Flexibility and the future of heat in Scotland 23 Consumer attitudes to the future of domestic flexibility in Scotland 28 Consumer attitudes towards a Just Transition 33 Delivering ‘Whole System’ solutions for Scotland 35 Putting consumers at the heart of the energy transition 37 Conclusions and Recommendations 42 2 Consumer Insights on the Future of the Gas and Electricity Networks in Scotland
Executive Summary Throughout the UK, governments and local This report summarises research conducted in authorities have declared a climate emergency. 2019 which aimed to provide consumer insights The Scottish and UK Governments have also of the changing energy landscape in Scotland. passed legislation that requires 100% reductions With GB’s gas and electricity networks and to net greenhouse gas emissions by 20451 and the Electricity System Operator (ESO) engaged 20502, respectively. This will require a rapid and in planning for the first price control to be set fundamental shift in consumers’ relationship with against statutory net zero targets, we were energy and will necessitate significant changes particularly interested in exploring consumers’ to the way in which homes, businesses, industry, views on and experiences of the gas and and transport are powered. electricity distribution networks in Scotland, their priorities for distribution network investment, and Gas and electricity transmission and distribution their understanding and opinions of some of the networks currently form vital components of technologies that are envisaged to aid the energy the GB energy system, linking gas producers and transition. We also explored consumers’ attitudes electricity generators with domestic, industrial, towards a potential increase in the electrification and commercial end users, and improving energy of heat in Scotland, and their enthusiasm for security through connections with the energy and opinions of future opportunities to provide systems of mainland Europe and the island of flexibility to their electricity distribution network Ireland. However, the transition to net zero will operator (DNO). place significant new demands on the energy system, and substantial investment in GB’s Our research found that: energy networks will be required to support the > Overall consumer awareness of the gas UK’s climate change commitments. and electricity distribution networks in Citizens Advice Scotland (CAS) represents the Scotland is shallow, and energy literacy interests of current and future energy consumers among consumers in Scotland is low. More in Scotland. We aim to ensure that the transition than 93% of consumers in Scotland cannot to an energy system capable of supporting a net identify their DNO or (where applicable) zero economy is realised in such a way that no gas distribution network (GDN) by name, consumers are unfairly disadvantaged, delivering while a significant majority conflate the maximum consumer benefits while minimising roles of the gas and electricity distribution consumers’ costs. Ensuring that consumers networks with those of electricity are genuinely engaged with and empowered generators, gas producers and shippers, by decision makers involved in the planning gas and electricity transmission networks, and delivery of the future of heat and electrical and / or regulated energy suppliers. This power in Scotland will be vital to achieving this, has implications for networks’ ability and it will be particularly important that the to engage effectively with consumers needs and interests of low income consumers in vulnerable situations, with only 9% and consumers in vulnerable situations are of digitally excluded gas and electricity incorporated from the outset. consumers in Scotland indicating that they would contact their DNO or GDN in the event of disruption to their gas or electricity supplies. 1 http://www.legislation.gov.uk/asp/2019/15/pdfs/asp_20190015_en.pdf 2 https://www.legislation.gov.uk/uksi/2019/1056/pdfs/uksi_20191056_en.pdf 3 Consumer Insights on the Future of the Gas and Electricity Networks in Scotland
Executive summary > 78% of consumers in Scotland are satisfied networks’ investment in support for with the overall level of service they receive consumers in vulnerable situations. Older from their DNO and (where applicable) consumers, consumers in vulnerable GDN. This is largely attributed to the situations, and consumers in lower SEGs perceived reliability of the regulated energy view these additional services as being networks in Scotland, with consumers particularly important and express noting a decrease in the frequency and particularly strong support for continued duration of supply interruptions since investment in this area. privatisation – particularly for electricity. > Environmental concerns also resonate Though only a small proportion of with the majority of gas and electricity consumers have contacted their DNO consumers in Scotland. Though no (14%) or GDN (8%), around 80% of those consumer profile prioritises investment in who have are satisfied with the level of environmental impact mitigation above customer service received. that designed to improve the affordability, > Vulnerable consumers in Scotland are reliability, or safety of Scotland’s gas significantly more likely to have contacted and electricity distribution networks, it is their gas and / or electricity distribution recognised that this is an area in which network than other consumer profiles energy networks should be allowed to and report particularly low levels of invest. Support for such investment is dissatisfaction with DNO / GDN customer found across all consumer profiles but service (2%). However, overall awareness of is particularly strong among younger the Scottish gas and electricity distribution consumers and consumers in higher SEGs. networks is no higher among consumers in > Current levels of energy literacy and vulnerable situations than it is among other awareness among consumers in Scotland consumer profiles. Up to 68% of Scotland’s mean that many consumers struggle vulnerable consumers may therefore be to envisage how the energy industry’s unaware of the additional support which predictions of a smart, flexible, and could be made available to them by responsive future will be realised. While their DNO, while up to 51% of vulnerable not viewed as unimportant, the majority consumers may be missing out on support of consumers therefore currently display from the GDN. relatively low levels of support for gas and > Consumers in Scotland generally prioritise electricity distribution network innovation. measures to improve the affordability, > Satisfaction among traditional electric reliability, and safety of the gas and heating users in Scotland is low when electricity distribution networks when compared with that of consumers who asked to provide views on network make use of other space heating solutions. investment plans. While all consumer These negative preconceptions are likely profiles rank affordability concerns to prove a barrier to the acceptance of any highest overall, consideration of gas and future increase in the electrification of heat electricity distribution network costs is in Scotland. particularly strong among older consumers and consumers in lower socio-economic > A significant majority of consumers in grades (SEGs). Scotland (80%) are willing to change their energy behaviours to reduce their energy > The majority of consumers in Scotland costs. However, almost half would only welcome gas and electricity distribution 4 Consumer Insights on the Future of the Gas and Electricity Networks in Scotland
Executive summary change their behaviour by a small amount, income households to engage with the with many consumers stating that their energy transition. 50% would also be ability or willingness to achieve more supportive were distribution networks to significant change would be limited by their provide targeted investment to aid with lifestyle and / or real or perceived concerns the provision of smart, low carbon heating regarding loss of convenience or control systems for low income households, or over their energy use. Older consumers and funding to reduce the cost of other smart consumers in higher SEGs are considerably technologies that would make it easier less likely to consider significant behaviour for consumers to passively engage in the change a practical or desirable route to energy transition by providing flexibility reducing household energy costs. to their DNO without having to engage in significant behaviour change. Such > Interest in and views on new ways of initiatives are perceived to offer mutual engaging with the electricity system benefits to consumers and the energy as a means of reducing energy costs is distribution networks by increasing levels also mixed. Between 30% and 40% of of energy efficiency, comfort, and demand consumers in Scotland are interested flexibility, while decreasing network stress in smart electric vehicle (EV) charging, and consumers’ energy costs. domestic battery storage, or smart electric storage heaters. Though 59% of Recent studies have shown that informed consumers in Scotland are interested in the consumers are significantly more likely to development of smart Time of Use (TOU) become engaged in measures designed to tariffs, many consumers are concerned support the energy transition3, but electricity about the impact of such tariffs on those distribution system operator (DSO) pilots have who are unable to modify their energy been descoped when project partners have been consumption profile to avoid peak or super- unable to secure funding for the provision of peak energy pricing. facilitative technologies4. Improving consumers’ energy literacy and their awareness of the > There is a high level of concern among challenges presented by the energy transition consumers in Scotland that lower income will therefore be crucial to securing support for households might be left behind by the any future increase in the electrification of heat energy transition, and for the impact that and transport in Scotland. Strong community this could have on the future household engagement in the development and delivery energy costs of some of the most of Local Heat and Energy Efficiency Strategies vulnerable consumers in Scotland. (LHEES) will also be vital to realising the Scottish > 79% of consumers are worried that Government’s climate change commitments. lower income households will be unable However, a reliance on market forces alone to to afford new technologies designed to deliver the required investment where and when minimise energy costs. These households it is needed is unlikely to deliver decarbonisation are perceived to be among those most in at lowest cost to consumers, and opportunities to need of a reduction in energy costs, yet are share the benefits of the energy transition fairly felt likely to be least able to benefit from with consumers will be missed. In some cases, technologies that enable them to do so. it may therefore be necessary for Scotland’s > 80% of consumers in Scotland would gas and electricity networks to provide funding support the DNOs and the GDN if they and practical support to secure the strength were to provide assistance for lower of consumer response required to deliver on these objectives. 3 https://save-project.co.uk/ 4 https://www.ninessmartgrid.co.uk/ 5 Consumer Insights on the Future of the Gas and Electricity Networks in Scotland
Introduction Scotland’s Citizens Advice network empowers set the next price control (RIIO-2). This will last people in every corner of Scotland through our for 5 years beginning 1 April 2021 for gas and local bureaux and national services by providing electricity transmission, gas distribution, and free, confidential, and independent advice. We the ESO, and for 5 years from 1 April 2023 for use people’s real-life experiences to influence electricity distribution. policy and drive positive change. We are on the The RIIO-2 price control is particularly important side of people in Scotland who need help, and we as it will be the first price control to be set change lives for the better. against statutory climate change targets that The Fair Markets policy team at Citizens Advice require 100% reductions to net greenhouse Scotland (CAS) uses research and evidence to gas emissions by 20456 in Scotland and 20507 put people at the heart of policy and regulation across the whole of the UK, the RIIO-1 price in the energy and water sectors in Scotland. We control having been set against a UK-wide work with government, regulators, and business target to reduce net greenhouse gas emissions to put consumers first, designing policy and by 80% of the relevant baselines by 20508. practice around their needs and aspirations. We Significant changes to how and where energy is aim to represent the views of different consumer produced, generated, and used will be needed profiles using evidence of consumer views and if these revised targets are to be met, but this supporting research wherever possible. will have a profound effect on the scale and activities of GB’s gas and electricity networks. CAS works with the gas and electricity networks Consumers’ relationship with the GB energy sector in Scotland to ensure that consumers’ system is therefore also likely to have to change interests are represented in the planning considerably as the energy transition progresses. and delivery of network investment, and in discussions about network access and charging. Ofgem has been keen to ensure that consumers’ With 25% of households in Scotland in fuel views are incorporated in the development of poverty and certain demographics considerably networks’ plans for RIIO-2, and CAS has been more likely to be fuel poor than the national an active participant in the consumer and average5, we believe that it is particularly stakeholder engagement work that has been important to ensure that the interests of low undertaken by Scotland’s gas and electricity income consumers, consumers in vulnerable networks and the GB ESO. Our advocacy in this situations, off-gas consumers, and consumers in area is particularly important as the Scottish remote and / or rural locations are protected as Government’s net zero commitments may mean policies and markets evolve. that decarbonisation needs to proceed more quickly in Scotland than elsewhere in GB. Any The regulatory framework in which GB’s gas and adverse consumer impacts arising from the electricity networks must operate is subject to energy transition may therefore be felt first by periodic review by the energy regulator, Ofgem, consumers in Scotland. and their activities are dictated by a series of price controls. At the time of writing, Ofgem is To aid with this engagement, we commissioned working with the gas and electricity networks Accent to undertake research designed to and the Electricity System Operator (ESO) to ascertain consumers’ awareness of and 5 Scottish House Condition Survey: 2018 Key Findings 6 http://www.legislation.gov.uk/asp/2019/15/pdfs/asp_20190015_en.pdf 7 https://www.legislation.gov.uk/uksi/2019/1056/pdfs/uksi_20191056_en.pdf 8 http://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/2008/27/pdfs/ukpga_20080027_en.pd 6 Consumer Insights on the Future of the Gas and Electricity Networks in Scotland
Introduction satisfaction with Scotland’s gas and electricity were screened to be responsible for paying distribution networks; consumers’ attitudes for their household’s energy consumption towards potential changes in electricity use and and quotas10 were set against the following the future of heat in Scotland; and the priorities parameters to ensure that the sample was of consumers in Scotland for gas and electricity representative of the overall population: distribution network investment. This study built > parliamentary constituency on research conducted in 2017 which reviewed the support offered to consumers in vulnerable > urban / rural status situations by the Scottish gas and electricity > on / off gas grid distribution networks and explored opportunities for improvement in this area9. This previous > age research found that: > gender > Scottish specific circumstances need to be > socio-economic grade reflected in GB-wide policy development and regulatory programmes such as RIIO. Data was then weighted to correct for any over- or under-representation of particular groups. > A strategic and forward-looking approach that puts the needs of consumers at its Following completion of the survey, a series of heart requires to be adopted by Scotland’s discussion groups and 1-to-1 in-depth interviews DNOs to ensure that no-one is left behind was conducted to explore the views of a range of in the transition to a smarter electricity energy consumers, including those in vulnerable network. situations. Collectively, this provided a robust set of results and an understanding of why certain > Whole system planning is necessary to views were held among the survey participants. ensure that Scotland’s energy networks are properly integrated into LHEES. This report is published alongside a summary of the key findings of our research and the final > Scottish DNOs should invest further and report compiled by our research partner, Accent. increase the reach of programmes for It provides evidence of consumers’ experiences consumers in vulnerable situations across of Scotland’s gas and electricity distribution Scotland, supported by the appropriate networks, and their priorities and needs in terms organisations and Ofgem. of future network investment. It also explores > An open, consumer-orientated policy the views of consumers in Scotland on potential debate on the future of the Fuel Poor changes to the way in which energy is used Network Extension Programme in Scotland that may be required by the transition to a net is needed, and fuel poor consumers who zero compatible energy system, and considers are off the gas grid must be given priority how Scotland’s gas and electricity distribution support while decisions are made. This networks can help redefine consumers’ could be targeted at fuel poor electric relationship with the energy system in support heating customers as a priority. of Scottish and UK Government climate change policies. Our latest research involved a survey of 1,507 consumers from across Scotland. Participants 9 https://www.cse.org.uk/downloads/reports-and-publications/fuel-poverty/policy/energy-justice/energy-networks-in-scotland-and- their-changing-role-with-consumers.pdf 10 Quotas were set on the basis of demographic data from the 2011 census, the National Readership Survey for January – December 2016, and the Scottish Government’s urban / rural classification. 7 Consumer Insights on the Future of the Gas and Electricity Networks in Scotland
Background and policy context The way in which energy is produced and used Government responded by amending the Climate in GB is undergoing significant change. For more Change Act 2008 to commit the UK to becoming than a century, the majority of the nation’s a net zero emitter of greenhouse gases by 205016. electricity demand was met by a series of large The Scottish Government has gone further still, thermal power stations burning carbon-intensive with the introduction of the Climate Change solid fuel extracted from the coalfields of Central (Emissions Reduction Targets) (Scotland) Act 2019 Scotland, Central and Northern England, and committing Scotland to achieving net zero status South Wales. However, in recent years the rollout by 204517. 75% net reductions on the relevant of a multi-billion pound network of distributed baseline greenhouse gas emissions levels are renewable power generating assets has allowed also due in Scotland by 2030, with 90% net GB’s reliance on coal-fired electricity generation reductions required by 2040. to diminish significantly. By April 2020, only 3 The scale of the challenge in meeting coal-fired power stations remained operational these statutory targets is significant. The in GB11, with coal accounting for just 2.1% of total transformation of the nation’s energy system GB electricity generation in 2019/2012. into one that is decentralised, decarbonised, and Once the mainstay of GB power production, the digitalised will require substantial investment in UK Government has announced that by no later new infrastructure and the rollout at scale of a than the end of 2025, coal will effectively have wide variety of new technologies and services. It no place in the GB electricity generation mix13. will also demand that solutions are found for the However, growing evidence of climate change sustainable transport of both people and goods; also calls into question the long-term future of that the nation’s homes and businesses meet natural gas, both for electricity generation and stringent energy efficiency standards far beyond as a source of heat. Despite significant steps those typical of properties today; and that having already been taken to reduce the carbon significant changes are made to the way in which intensity of GB electricity generation, such space heating and hot water are provided. progress must therefore mark the beginning of a The Scottish Government has proposed that much larger effort to decarbonise the wider GB each of Scotland’s 32 local authorities will be energy system. required to prepare LHEES18. These will build Recognition that an average global temperature on the data from Scotland’s Heat Map19 to increase of more than 1.5°C will lead to produce local plans for the decarbonisation of significant adverse economic and environmental heat in all communities in Scotland. This is a impacts14 led the UK parliament to declare significant undertaking and will both rely on a climate emergency in May 201915. The UK and have major implications for Scotland’s gas 11 http://www.powerstations.uk/coal-countdown/ 12 https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/877047/Press_Notice_ March_2020.pdf 13 https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/672137/Government_Response_ to_unabated_coal_consultation_and_statement_of_policy.pdf 14 https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/sites/2/2019/06/SR15_Full_Report_High_Res.pdf 15 https://hansard.parliament.uk/Commons/2019-05-01/debates/85FE0864-18D1-42BA-9D3C-CB2D0958D067/ EnvironmentAndClimateChange 16 https://www.legislation.gov.uk/uksi/2019/1056/pdfs/uksi_20191056_en.pdf 17 http://www.legislation.gov.uk/asp/2019/15/pdfs/asp_20190015_en.pdf 18 https://www.gov.scot/binaries/content/documents/govscot/publications/research-and-analysis/2019/09/local-heat-energy- efficiency-strategies-phase-1-pilots-technical-evaluation-report/documents/local-heat-energy-efficiency-strategies-phase-1-pilots- technical-evaluation-report/local-heat-energy-efficiency-strategies-phase-1-pilots-technical-evaluation-report/govscot%3Adocument/ local-heat-energy-efficiency-strategies-phase-1-pilots-technical-evaluation-report.pdf 19 https://www2.gov.scot/heatmap 8 Consumer Insights on the Future of the Gas and Electricity Networks in Scotland
Background and policy context and electricity networks; efforts to decarbonise However, one of the most significant barriers space and hot water heating are likely to result to the delivery of a net zero compatible energy in levels of electrification beyond the current system is arguably found in the relationship capabilities of the electricity networks, while between consumers and the energy the displacement of natural gas with hydrogen industry itself. and / or biomethane as combustible fuels, In Scotland, the majority of gas and electricity and a significant rise in the prevalence of heat consumers are currently disengaged22 from networks, are likely to impact on the future role what is a relatively simple energy market that and extent of the mains gas network. relies almost entirely on the interaction between At present, GB’s gas and electricity transmission consumers and energy suppliers. With an and distribution networks are privatised, increase in the use of electricity for heat and regulated, monopoly businesses on whom transportation coinciding with an increased the vast majority of domestic, industrial, reliance on sources of electricity generation that and commercial energy users rely for heat, are less dependable than traditional thermal light, and electrical power. Although there power stations, the ability of the ESO and DNOs is no direct billing relationship between the / DSOs to match demand to both network regulated energy networks and consumers, the capacity and variable levels of available supply costs attributable to the activities of GB’s gas will become increasingly important. New and and electricity transmission and distribution more complex energy markets will develop as businesses currently comprise 23.77% of a typical a result23, but without the widespread uptake GB consumer’s dual fuel bill20. With 25% of of technologies designed to facilitate consumer households in Scotland in fuel poverty in 201821, engagement in these markets the energy the question of how the energy transition can be transition is likely to take longer and cost more funded without increasing inequality is therefore to achieve. Without suitable support, this will both complex and pressing. impact on those in society least able to afford an increase in essential living costs and jeopardise The technical and financial challenges presented efforts to ensure a just transition24 to net zero. by the energy transition are considerable. 20 https://www.ofgem.gov.uk/consumers/household-gas-and-electricity-guide/understand-your-gas-and-electricity-bills#thumbchart- c6544416133875424-n83314 21 Scottish House Condition Survey: 2018 Key Findings 22 https://www.cas.org.uk/news/new-data-shows-huge-differences-across-scotland-energy-switching-rates 23 https://www.theade.co.uk/assets/docs/resources/Lets_Talk_About_Flex_DigitalRep_FINAL-min.pdf 24 http://www.ilo.org/wcmsp5/groups/public/---ed_emp/---emp_ent/documents/publication/wcms_432859.pdf 9 Consumer Insights on the Future of the Gas and Electricity Networks in Scotland
Consumer Awareness of the Gas and Electricity Distribution Networks in Scotland GB’s gas and electricity networks have undergone > 66% of consumers in the SPEN distribution significant change since the end of the Second area stated that they did not know the World War. The pace of this change has name of their DNO. accelerated since the mid-1990s as privatisation > 66% of mains gas connected consumers has matured and regulation has evolved, with stated that they did not know the name of numerous mergers, demergers, and rebranding their GDN. exercises undertaken over the past 25 years. However, the gas and electricity transmission and > Only 1% of consumers in the SSEN distribution networks of today continue to play distribution area identified ‘Scottish and as fundamental a role in the safe and reliable Southern Electricity Networks’ or ‘SSEN’ as delivery of energy across the country as ever. their DNO. Despite their importance, consumers in GB have > Only 3% of consumers in the SPEN traditionally had very little direct contact with distribution area identified ‘SP Energy the regulated energy networks as the structures Networks’ or ‘SPEN’ as their DNO. adopted by the post-privatisation gas and > Only 6% of mains gas connected electricity industries place energy suppliers at the consumers identified ‘SGN’ or ‘Scotia Gas heart of their interactions with consumers. In the Networks’ as their GDN. absence of a direct billing relationship between the regulated energy networks and consumers, While a significant minority of survey participants most consumers therefore normally only have volunteered the name of a predecessor brand cause to contact their DNO or GDN to arrange a when asked to identify their DNO (23% in the new connection, or in the event of planned or SPEN distribution area and 33% in the SSEN unplanned interruptions to their gas or electricity distribution area), comparison with answers supplies. Contact between consumers and the provided for the GDN suggest that these figures gas and electricity transmission networks is even are likely to have been inflated by the vertically more limited in its extent. integrated nature of the post-privatisation electricity system in Scotland and consumers’ Given the above, it is perhaps unsurprising that conflation of the activities of electricity when asked to name their DNO and (where generation, transmission, distribution and supply. applicable) GDN: > 56% of consumers in the SSEN distribution area stated that they did not know the name of their DNO. 10 Consumer Insights on the Future of the Gas and Electricity Networks in Scotland
Consumer Awareness of the Gas and Electricity Distribution Networks in Scotland For example, when presented with a range of > 45% of consumers in Scotland believe possible DNO functions, only 22% of consumers that the DNOs and the GDN sell gas and from the SSEN distribution area were able to electricity to end users. identify all of the relevant roles correctly; this It can therefore be inferred that the majority compared to 32% of consumers in the SPEN of consumers in Scotland have a very shallow distribution area. In the Highlands and Islands, understanding of how the energy industry is where gas network penetration is particularly low structured, and that their understanding of and where non-Economy 7 restricted electricity the role of the gas and electricity distribution meters are deployed at scale, consumers’ correct networks that operate in Scotland is limited. This identification of a DNO’s functions was just 14%25. has a direct impact on consumers’ understanding Our survey also found that: of the role of their DNO or GDN in the event of an interruption to or problem with their > 70% of consumers in Scotland believe that energy supply, with only 31% of those surveyed the DNOs and the GDN are responsible indicating that they would contact their DNO in for the national gas and electricity the event of a power cut and 51% of mains gas transmission infrastructure. connected consumers indicating that they would > 48% of consumers in Scotland believe that contact their GDN if they had a problem with the DNOs and the GDN produce, generate, their gas supply. or source gas and electricity for consumers. Figure 1: Awareness of gas and electricity distribution networks’ role in the event of supply disruption 57 55 54 43 44 42 % Participants 35 34 35 33 23 20 AB C1C2 DE 16 - 29 30 - 64 65+ Socio-Economic Grade Age Aware of who to contact in a power cut Aware of who to contact about a gas supply problem Sample: surveyed consumers with a mains electricity supply (n=1,505) or mains gas supply (n=1,110) 25 Until September 2017, very few suppliers other than SSE were able to supply the most common types of non-Economy 7 restricted electricity meter employed in the North of Scotland. This resulted in a sizeable number of SSE customers whose ability to switch to an alternative supplier was extremely limited. Consequently, SSE maintained a dominant market share of supply to these customers. With conflation of SSE’s electricity generation, transmission, distribution, and supply businesses widespread among consumers it is therefore unsurprising that those in the Highlands and Islands were least able to correctly identify a DNO’s functions in the test as they are more likely to have remained a customer of SSE than consumers elsewhere – see https://www.cas.org.uk/news/new-data-shows-huge- differences-across-scotland-energy-switching-rates 11 Consumer Insights on the Future of the Gas and Electricity Networks in Scotland
Consumer Awareness of the Gas and Electricity Distribution Networks in Scotland Significant variation in consumers’ awareness of consumer profiles. Notable examples of those the role of a DNO or GDN in the event of supply with lower levels of awareness include: disruption was also found between different For Gas For Electricity Those with no children in the household Those resident in urban areas (47% vs. 64% with children) (29% vs. 42% rural) Those resident in the SSEN electricity distribution area Those with no children in the household (44% vs. 54% in the SPEN electricity distribution area) (29% vs. 38% with children) Those with health problems Women (27% vs. 35% men) (45% vs. 54% without health problems) In addition, just 9% of digitally excluded gas and through the deployment of smart grids, demand- electricity consumers in Scotland indicated that side response (DSR) technologies, and other they would contact their DNO or GDN to report flexibility and balancing services. This will require problems with their gas or electricity supplies. the transition from distribution network operation With 21% of Scots lacking in basic digital skills26, to distribution system operation. Many of these this figure is particularly stark. interventions are also likely to significantly alter consumers’ interactions with the energy system Taken together, these findings suggest that and may require the uptake of new technologies Scotland’s gas and electricity distribution at scale, but without strong brand recognition networks need to rethink how they engage and consumer trust it may be difficult for DNOs with consumers – particularly those who are / DSOs and 3rd party market participants to unwilling or unable to access services and convince consumers to engage in the energy information online. transition in a mutually beneficial way. These findings also underline the scale of the Similarly, the proposed deployment of hydrogen challenge faced by Scotland’s regulated energy for space and hot water heating in Scotland networks as the energy transition progresses. is likely to require the development of gas For example, the anticipated increase in the microgrids and the systematic replacement or electrification of both heat and transport upgrade of gas boilers and other gas burning is expected to result in increased electricity appliances by a defined terminal date. It will network stress at times of peak demand or low therefore be essential that consumers and renewable electricity generation. In addition to landlords are provided with clear, consistent, and work to increase the capacity of the electricity unambiguous information on the local future of transmission and distribution networks, it heat in Scotland to limit consumers’ exposure to is envisaged that this will require electricity asset stranding risk. distribution networks to have the ability to constrain network access and time-shift demand at both primary and and feeder substation level 26 https://storage.googleapis.com/scvo-cms/digital-participation-charter/tackling-digital-exclusion-in-scotland-a4.pdf 12 Consumer Insights on the Future of the Gas and Electricity Networks in Scotland
Consumer Satisfaction with Gas and Electricity Distribution Networks in Scotland Our representative survey of more than 1,500 of regulated energy distribution network consumers in Scotland has revealed that the functions, consumers’ overall satisfaction with majority of consumers are unfamiliar with some those networks is high (78% for both gas and or all of the roles played by their DNO and (where electricity distribution), and compares favourably applicable) GDN. However, our survey also found against consumers’ attitudes towards regulated that when provided with a better understanding energy supplier27. Figure 2: Satisfaction with the overall level of service received from the Scottish gas and electricity distribution networks Don't Know 7 8 Extremely Dissatisfied 1 1 Fairly Dissatisfied 2 2 Neither / nor 12 11 Fairly Satisfied 41 34 Extremely Satisfied 37 44 % Participants Electricity Gas Sample: consumers with a mains electricity supply (n=1,505) or mains gas supply (n=1,110) Qualitative discussions revealed that consumers It was also apparent that many of those recognise the essential role that the gas and who took part in the survey believed that the electricity distribution networks play in the reliability of their gas and electricity networks energy supply chain. With an increasing reliance has improved since privatisation. Furthermore, on electricity to power the nation’s homes, where interruptions to supplies do still occur, businesses, and transport, it is also recognised the consensus view among consumers in that the reliability of the energy networks is Scotland is that the duration of outages has increasingly vital to the success of both the decreased, and that communication relating Scottish economy and consumers’ quality of life. to such interruptions has improved. Consumers in Scotland therefore appear to value the emphasis that has been placed by Ofgem and 27 https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/906452/BEIS_PAT_W34_-_Key_ findings.pdf 13 Consumer Insights on the Future of the Gas and Electricity Networks in Scotland
Consumer Satisfaction with Gas and Electricity Distribution Networks in Scotland the regulated energy networks on reliability and profiles to have contacted their DNO or (where have come to expect that their DNO and (where applicable) GDN (29% vs. 3% of consumers with applicable) GDN will maintain or improve on no vulnerabilities), awareness of the Scottish gas current levels of resilience in the future. and electricity distribution networks is no higher among consumers in vulnerable situations than it Only 14% of the survey participants could recall is among other consumer profiles. This suggests having made contact with their DNO, with 8% that while the support provided to consumers having contacted the GDN. However, the vast in vulnerable situations by Scotland’s regulated majority of those who had contacted a regulated energy distribution networks is welcomed by energy distribution network were satisfied those who rely on it, up to 68% of vulnerable with the level of service with which they were electricity consumers and 51% of vulnerable provided. Overall levels of dissatisfaction with gas consumers in Scotland may be unaware DNO / GDN customer service are low and were that such support is available. More therefore found to be significantly lower among consumers still needs to be done to increase awareness who self-identified as vulnerable than those who of the gas and electricity distribution networks did not (2% vs. 11%). However, while consumers in Scotland and their role in the wider energy with multiple vulnerabilities were found to be system if the benefits of that support are to significantly more likely than other consumer reach all those in need. Figure 3: Satisfaction with Scottish gas and electricity distribution network customer service Don't Know 3 0 Extremely Dissatisfied 2 4 Fairly Dissatisfied 2 4 Neither / nor 16 7 Fairly Satisfied 29 27 Extremely Satisfied 48 57 % Participants Electricity Gas Sample: surveyed consumers who have contacted their DNO (n=216) or GDN (n=90) 14 Consumer Insights on the Future of the Gas and Electricity Networks in Scotland
Consumer Satisfaction with Gas and Electricity Distribution Networks in Scotland Figure 4: Reasons for satisfaction with the Scottish gas and electricity distribution networks Good value for money 4 5 Service is responsive 10 5 Service is reliable 8 7 No / few supply interuptions 22 17 No problems - happy with service 53 64 % Participants Electricity Gas Sample: surveyed consumers who are satisfied with their DNO (n=1,169) or GDN (n=864) Analysis of the responses provided by different with the value for money they receive from consumer profiles reveals that overall satisfaction their DNO and (where applicable) GDN, with with Scotland’s gas and electricity distribution little variance between the gas and electricity networks tends to be higher among higher SEGs, distribution networks. Younger consumers and and increases with age. There are no significant consumers in lower SEGs were found to be differences by urban / rural status or by regulated particularly concerned about the impact of gas energy distribution network. However, all and electricity distribution networks’ activities on consumer profiles were found to be less satisfied household energy costs28. 28 Participants were asked about value for money after having been presented with information on the amount that households pay, on average, towards the activities of the relevant DNO and (where applicable) GDN, and a description of regulated energy distribution network roles and responsibilities. 15 Consumer Insights on the Future of the Gas and Electricity Networks in Scotland
Consumer Satisfaction with Gas and Electricity Distribution Networks in Scotland Figure 5: Satisfaction with the Scottish DNOs by Consumer Profile 90 91 84 87 % Participatns 82 82 78 77 78 71 72 72 72 65 65 64 58 57 AB C1C2 DE 16 - 29 30 - 64 65+ Socio-Economic Grade Age Satisfied with DNO Overall Satisfied with DNO Reliability Satisfied with DNO Vaue for Money Sample: surveyed consumers with a mains electricity supply (n=1,505) Figure 6: Satisfaction with the Scottish GDN by Consumer Profile 87 89 82 85 % Participants 81 79 79 81 75 77 71 69 69 66 65 66 58 55 AB C1C2 DE 16 - 29 30 - 64 65+ Socio-Economic Grade Age Satisfied with GDN Overall Satisfied with GDN Reliability Satisfied with GDN Value for Money Sample: surveyed consumers with a mains gas supply (n=1,110) 16 Consumer Insights on the Future of the Gas and Electricity Networks in Scotland
Consumer Satisfaction with Gas and Electricity Distribution Networks in Scotland Among the small minority of consumers who consumers’ ability to pay for their household’s expressed dissatisfaction with their DNO or energy needs. GDN, reasons provided were found to focus on Many participants – and particularly those on issues of cost and service. Qualitative discussions lower incomes – felt that more should be done to revealed that these complaints were principally keep bills affordable. driven by concerns about affordability and Table 1: Reasons for dissatisfaction with the Scottish gas and electricity distribution networks29 Theme Reason for dissatisfaction Gas (n=29) Electricity (n=39) Too expensive 10 9 Cost % of energy bill is too high 3 2 Focus on profit 2 1 Requires improvement 2 6 Should be more responsive 2 5 Customer Unhappy with service 4 3 Service Little or no contact 0 1 Communication problems 2 1 Reliability Problems with supply 1 7 Awareness Didn’t know about the distributor 1 5 29 As the number of participants who expressed dissatisfaction with their DNO or GDN was very small as a proportion of the overall sample (2.6%), the data shown is expressed as the absolute number of participants who expressed dissatisfaction (n) rather than as a percentage of the overall survey. Not all participants provided reasons for their dissatisfaction and some respondents selected more than one reason, so the sum of the responses does not equal n. 17 Consumer Insights on the Future of the Gas and Electricity Networks in Scotland
Consumer Priorities for the Gas and Electricity Distribution Networks in Scotland The Scottish and UK Governments have There is little in the way of detailed government established legally binding targets for policy currently available on how net zero can decarbonising the economy, with 100% or should be achieved. However, the ESO’s reductions to net greenhouse gas emissions 2019 Future Energy Scenarios33 illustrated that attributable to human activity required by 204530 electricity demand throughout GB is likely to and 205031, respectively. However, while the increase significantly over the course of the direction of travel is now clear there remains next 30 years, regardless of the specific route(s) a great deal of uncertainty about what the chosen to reach net zero. This will require transition to a net zero economy will mean for the electricity transmission and distribution individual consumers, not least because the long- network operators to upgrade and expand term future of heat in Scotland is still undecided. their networks, while the transition away from As a result, the future role and extent of the gas reliable, centralised, and synchronous methods of distribution network in Scotland remains unclear. electricity generation will also require the rollout at scale of technologies providing flexibility, The substitution of natural gas with hydrogen energy storage, and system balancing services. or biomethane has been proposed as a possible net zero compatible means of providing space 25% of households in Scotland are currently in and hot water heating to mains gas connected fuel poverty34. With the cost of the country’s consumers throughout GB. However, the gas and electricity networks ultimately paid combined demands of heat, power generation, for by consumers, it is therefore essential that transport, and industry are likely to outstrip the investment required to support the energy the availability of such fuels even if hydrogen transition is targeted appropriately to avoid production can be delivered at scale via the consumers bearing unnecessary expense. reformation of natural gas32. It is therefore However, in the continued absence of clear likely that in many areas of the country that policy signals from government on the chosen are geographically distant from large industrial pathway(s) to net zero, it may be necessary clusters, the drive towards a net zero economy for the country’s regulated energy networks will rely heavily on an expansion in the use of to initially focus their investment on a core of renewable and low carbon electricity for heating least regrets options that facilitate a range of and transportation. future energy scenarios while also meeting the current needs of both consumers and the networks themselves. 30 http://www.legislation.gov.uk/asp/2019/15/pdfs/asp_20190015_en.pdf 31 https://www.legislation.gov.uk/uksi/2019/1056/pdfs/uksi_20191056_en.pdf 32 Steam methane reformation (SMR) of natural gas is currently used in the industrial production of hydrogen. When combined with Carbon Capture, Utilisation and Storage (CCUS), it has also been proposed as a net zero compatible route to the production of hydrogen at sufficient scale for use in the decarbonisation of industry, heat, and transport. However, current processes are energy intensive and typical SMR efficiency is less than 75%. The grid scale displacement of natural gas with hydrogen produced by this method may therefore require significant sources of low carbon electricity and could result in an increased reliance on imported natural gas, reducing energy security. 33 http://fes.nationalgrid.com/media/1409/fes-2019.pdf 34 Scottish House Condition Survey: 2018 Key Findings 18 Consumer Insights on the Future of the Gas and Electricity Networks in Scotland
Consumer Priorities for the Gas and Electricity Distribution Networks in Scotland With this in mind, we asked a representative GDN affordability ahead of all other investment sample of more than 1,500 consumers in areas, and GDN safety was prioritised ahead of Scotland what the future investment priorities GDN reliability, consumers in higher SEGs, those of their gas and electricity distribution networks from more rural parts of the country, and those should be, having first introduced them to the resident in the SSEN distribution area prioritised type of challenges that are likely to be faced by electricity distribution network reliability ahead of the networks as the energy transition progresses. electricity distribution network safety. Consumers were each given a ‘budget’ of 10 The second grouping of DNO / GDN investment tokens for their DNO and 10 tokens for their areas saw consumers prioritise investment GDN, and were asked to allocate these against in measures designed to protect vulnerable the following 7 areas of potential network consumers and in reducing the environmental investment: impact of the gas and electricity distribution > safety networks. Older consumers, consumers in vulnerable situations, and consumers in lower > reliability SEGs tended to prioritise investment in measures > affordability to protect vulnerable consumers, as did those > environmental impact from more rural areas and those resident in the SSEN distribution area. Younger consumers and > protection for vulnerable customers consumers in higher SEGs were more inclined to > customer satisfaction prioritise networks’ efforts to mitigate and reduce the impact of their activities on the environment. > innovation Lowest on the priority list across all of the The consumers who took part in the survey consumer profiles who took part in the survey prioritised the 7 investment areas into 3 distinct were investment in innovation and in improving groups, with the delivery of gas and electricity customer satisfaction, with older consumers distribution networks that are affordable, safe, and consumers in lower SEGs more inclined to and reliable considered to be of paramount prioritise investment in customer satisfaction, importance among each of the consumer and all other consumer profiles more inclined profiles surveyed. Overall, the concern of to prioritise investment in innovation. However, older consumers, consumers in vulnerable while neither of these areas was generally situations, and consumers in lower SEGs as considered to be unimportant, the affordability to the affordability of their gas and electricity of the gas and electricity distribution networks distribution networks’ activities placed cost received roughly twice as many tokens as either considerations comfortably ahead of both safety customer satisfaction or innovation across the and reliability in terms of ranking. However, survey as a whole. while all consumer profiles prioritised DNO and 19 Consumer Insights on the Future of the Gas and Electricity Networks in Scotland
Consumer Priorities for the Gas and Electricity Distribution Networks in Scotland Figure 7.1: Priorities for Scottish DNO investment by consumer profile 25 20 % Priority 15 10 5 0 AB C1C2 DE 16 - 29 30 - 64 65+ Socio-Economic Grade Age DNO Safety DNO Reliability DNO Affordability DNO Environmental Impact DNO Vulnerability DNO Customer Service DNO Innovation Sample: surveyed consumers with a mains electricity supply (n=1,505) Figure 7.2: Priorities for Scottish DNO investment by consumer profile 25 20 % Priority 15 10 5 0 Urban Rural SPEN SSEN Vulnerable None (inc. 75+) Urban / Rural DNO Region Vulnerability DNO Safety DNO Reliability DNO Affordability DNO Environmental Impact DNO Vulnerability DNO Customer Service DNO Innovation Sample: surveyed consumers with a mains electricity supply (n=1,505) 20 Consumer Insights on the Future of the Gas and Electricity Networks in Scotland
Consumer Priorities for the Gas and Electricity Distribution Networks in Scotland Figure 8.1: Priorities for Scottish GDN investment by consumer profile 25 20 % Priority 15 10 5 0 AB C1C2 DE 16 - 29 30 - 64 65+ Socio-Economic Grade Age GDN Safety GDN Reliability GDN Affordability GDN Environmental Impact GDN Vulnerability GDN Customer Service GDN Innovation Sample: surveyed consumers with a mains gas supply (n=1,110) Figure 8.2: Priorities for Scottish GDN investment by consumer profile 25 20 % Priority 15 10 5 0 Urban Rural SPEN SSEN Vulnerable None (inc. 75+) Urban / Rural DNO Region Vulnerability GDN Safety GDN Reliability GDN Affordability GDN Environmental Impact GDN Vulnerability GDN Customer Service GDN Innovation Sample: surveyed consumers with a mains gas supply (n=1,110) 21 Consumer Insights on the Future of the Gas and Electricity Networks in Scotland
Consumer Priorities for the Gas and Electricity Distribution Networks in Scotland Qualitative discussions with consumers that took Qualitative discussions revealed that despite part in our survey revealed that the relatively low having been provided with an overview of the priority afforded to customer satisfaction in this energy industry’s vision of a smart, flexible, and exercise was influenced by high baseline levels of responsive future, consumers still struggled overall satisfaction and a relatively low incidence to envisage how this will be realised at scale of direct interaction with the DNOs / GDN within without significant disruption to daily life. the sample. In addition, among the minority of Nevertheless, it is notable that among those who those who took part in the survey that had prior took part in our survey, younger consumers were experience of contact with their gas or electricity more inclined to allocate priority to innovation distribution network, around 8 in 10 reported than those in older age groups (and significantly that they were satisfied with the service they so for electricity distribution). This suggests received, and dissatisfaction levels were low. The that younger consumers are more aware of currently distant relationship between consumers the need for change in response to the climate and the gas and electricity distribution networks emergency and may well be more receptive and the limited experience among the survey to the adoption of new technologies providing participants of DNO / GDN customer service services such as flexibility and energy storage. issues may therefore mean that consumers However, if the energy industry is to deliver a struggled to see value in investment to improve future where domestic consumers play a key customer satisfaction when so few customer role in in providing flexibility, it is clear that much interactions currently take place. However, it is work is still required to educate consumers as also possible that with overall levels of DNO / to the requirement for and benefits of such an GDN satisfaction already high, consumers believe approach. The question of what flexibility will that significant investment to achieve further look like for consumers is therefore one of many improvements in this area is unnecessary. that needs to be addressed, and overall energy In contrast, the low priority given by the literacy needs to improve if consumers are to consumers who took part in our survey to become sufficiently engaged in the energy investment in innovation gives a further transition. indication of the scale of the challenge with which gas and electricity distribution networks are faced as the energy transition progresses. 22 Consumer Insights on the Future of the Gas and Electricity Networks in Scotland
Flexibility and the future of heat in Scotland Flexibility is seen by the energy industry as key to at economic cost38. With both of the Scottish the cost-effective delivery of GB’s future energy DNOs set to tender for significant flexibility in system, with a network of smart, responsive 202039 and beyond, overcoming this barrier will technologies working in harmony with the energy become increasingly important for consumers in networks to better match energy demand to Scotland. Much is therefore riding on the success available supply and network capacity. This is of projects such as SPEN’s FUSION40, flexibility particularly crucial for the electricity networks as trading platforms like Piclo Flex41, and the electricity generation continues to move away Energy Network Association’s efforts to develop from fossil fuels and the electrification of both standardised flexibility contracts42, if flexibility heat and transport place additional demands markets are soon to fulfil their potential. on the system at both a national and local level. One of the challenges with flexibility is that its However, our research has found that consumers’ benefits tend to be highly locational. For this awareness of these challenges and the solutions reason, it is unlikely that sufficient flexibility can that will be required to overcome them is be secured through I&C DSR to meet the future currently shallow, presenting a significant barrier needs of Scotland’s DNOs in all areas. With DNOs to the widespread uptake and efficient use of currently prevented from owning energy storage aggregateable flexibility services in a domestic assets, in many cases it is therefore likely to be setting. necessary to procure significant flexibility from At the time of writing, the vast majority of domestic consumers, creating new markets in flexibility secured by GB’s energy networks which a sizeable proportion of consumers may has come from a combination of industrial need to participate if the requirements of the and commercial (I&C) DSR35 and grid-scale DNO are to be met at lowest cost. batteries36. Among GB’s 8 DNOs, UK Power While many consumers may be unfamiliar with Networks and Western Power Distribution have the term “flexibility”, or with aggregation services been most active in this area37 as they seek to offered by companies like Kaluza43, the provision find innovative ways of alleviating constraints of domestic flexibility is far from a new concept on their networks. However, in an immature for consumers who have experience of electric market both have reportedly found it difficult storage heating. to secure the scale of flexibility tendered for 35 https://gridbeyond.com/demand-side-response-dsr-what-is-it-why-do-it/ 36 https://www.solarpowerportal.co.uk/blogs/uk_battery_storage_market_reaches_1gw_landmark_as_new_applications_continue 37 https://www.energynetworks.org/electricity/futures/flexibility-in-great-britain.html 38 https://theenergyst.com/ofgem-dnos-must-make-progress-with-flexibility-this-year/ 39 https://theenergyst.com/ena-gets-closer-to-standardised-flex-contract-as-dnos-eye-2gw/ 40 https://www.spenergynetworks.co.uk/pages/fusion.aspx 41 https://picloflex.com/ 42 https://news.energynetworks.org/news/market-changing-standard-contract-for-flexibility-delivered 43 https://www.kaluza.com/ 23 Consumer Insights on the Future of the Gas and Electricity Networks in Scotland
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