Collaborative Low Energy Vision for the European Region (CLEVER): a pathway to bridge the climate neutrality, energy security and sustainability ...

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Collaborative Low Energy Vision for the European Region (CLEVER): a pathway to bridge the climate neutrality, energy security and sustainability ...
Collaborative Low Energy Vision
for the European Region (CLEVER):
a pathway to bridge the climate neutrality, energy security and sustainability
gaps through energy sufficiency, efficiency, and renewables

Project presentation
Collaborative Low Energy Vision for the European Region (CLEVER): a pathway to bridge the climate neutrality, energy security and sustainability ...
The négaWatt association

        * A think tank on energy created in 2001
        * A non-profit, independent group of experts and field-
          practitioners
        * A core of ~ 25 “companions” + 25 “ambassadors”,
          1400 members
        * 15 employees
        * Producing scenarios (latest in 2021) and proposing
          policies and measures for a sustainable energy future,
          through a systemic approach

        * Subsidiary created in 2009
        * Operational branch of the association
Collaborative Low Energy Vision for the European Region (CLEVER): a pathway to bridge the climate neutrality, energy security and sustainability ...
The CLEVER nW team
                                                    Policy and dissemination

                                                    Research on policies and
                                                    measures, support on diss

                               Technical dialogue on energy
  Network and external         sector
  management (dissemination,
  policies, funding)               Modelling tools
                                   Technical dialogue on residential
                                   and tertiary sectors

  Operational                          Trajectories for not covered countries
  management                           and commenting partners

                                    Technical dialogue on industry
                                    and transports
   Methodological expertise,
   strategic orientation

                               Reinforcement and harmonisation
                               of trajectories
Collaborative Low Energy Vision for the European Region (CLEVER): a pathway to bridge the climate neutrality, energy security and sustainability ...
1.
Sufficiency as a CLEVER
        core value
Collaborative Low Energy Vision for the European Region (CLEVER): a pathway to bridge the climate neutrality, energy security and sustainability ...
Impact of ever increasing energy
       services consumption in the EU
        EU cars trends 1990-2015*: increase of CO2 emissions for cars despite efficiency improvements
  Evolution
    Index
(100 1990
   level)

                                             *https://www.eea.europa.eu/data-and-maps/figures/fuel-efficiency-and-fuel-consumption
Collaborative Low Energy Vision for the European Region (CLEVER): a pathway to bridge the climate neutrality, energy security and sustainability ...
CLEVER’s answer to this trend:
  a transition including sufficiency
                          Sufficiency’s aims:
                                                        Ceiling
       Foundation
                                           Adjusting the nature and amount of
Fulfilling everyone's need for
                                            services to keep demand at a level
 services (e.g. accessing a
                                           which does not endanger the carrying
    building in the image)
                                                   capacity of the earth
Collaborative Low Energy Vision for the European Region (CLEVER): a pathway to bridge the climate neutrality, energy security and sustainability ...
Sufficiency embedded in an equity and
sustainable framework
 Bringing individual services
 between:

 ➢A foundation: of decent
  live levels

 ➢A ceiling: containing the
  collective impact below
  planetary limits

 ➔Moderate global
 consumption while
 reinforcing solidarity and
 redistribution
                                     The “doughnut
                                   economy” concept
                                     (Raworth et al.)
Collaborative Low Energy Vision for the European Region (CLEVER): a pathway to bridge the climate neutrality, energy security and sustainability ...
Sufficiency at the start of the systemic
   CLEVER energy transition approach

                                                                    Delivery of final energy
Choice and preparation                                                                                                            Design and
                                                                        to the end-user
of the primary resource                                                                                Conversion                dimensioning
                                   Transformation into                                             into useful energy                                Conditions
                                    the suitable carrier                                                                                               of use

Primary                                                                                                                                              Energy
Energy                                                                                                                                               Service

                                                                                                                                            Losses
                                                                                                                        Losses
                                                           Losses                         Losses
                          Losses

        Substitution                                                        Efficiency                                                Sufficiency
Collaborative Low Energy Vision for the European Region (CLEVER): a pathway to bridge the climate neutrality, energy security and sustainability ...
1.
The CLEVER scenario
     objectives
Collaborative Low Energy Vision for the European Region (CLEVER): a pathway to bridge the climate neutrality, energy security and sustainability ...
CLEVER: towards a sufficiency-based European vision
Based on the French experience, and considering the status of European energy and
climate scenarios and policies, felt need of raising awareness about the key potential of
sufficiency at the European level.
              Primary energy consumption in the négaWatt scenario 2022-2050 for France

          Sufficiency
        Efficiency (prod)
        Efficiency (cons)
                                                                                    Increased
          Renewables                                                                efficiency and
                                                                                    sufficiency
            Nuclear
           Fossil gas
               Oil                                                                  100%
              Coal                                                                  renewable
                                                                                    energy supply

         Zero carbon               Environmental benefits                  So-economics benefits
         Reaching carbon           Raw materials, pollution…               Jobs, social, justice…
         neutrality
The CLEVER approach based on the SER framework

                                                                              Systemic
                                                                              approach

                                                                               Local
                                                                             resources

Objective: to get sufficiency and deep sustainability higher up on the European
agenda

Means: a scenario matching climate necessity (1,5degrees compatible pathway)
with the description of necessary and feasible transformations
2.
CLEVER network and
   methodology
The large and diverse CLEVER network
A network of 22 organisations from 20 European countries (18 EU members +UK, CH)
                                                           AT   TU Wien
                                                           BE   negaWatt Belgium, ICEDD
                                                           BG   Za Zemiata; Sofena
                                                           CH   negaWatt Switzerland
                                                           CZ   Charles University Environment
                                                                Centre
                                                           DE   EnSu (Wuppertal Institut; EU Univ. of
                                                                Flensburg)
                                                           DK   INFORSE Europe
                                                           ES   Ecoserveis Association
                                                           FR   negaWatt Association
                                                           EL   National Observatory of Athens
                                                                (NOA)
                                                           HU   Environmental Planning and
 Active                                                         Education Network (EPEN)
                                                           IT   EURAC Research; Politecnico di
 partner
                                                                Milano
                                                           LT   Lithuanian Energy Institute (LEI)
 Commenting                                                LU   Consortium Cell/List
 partner                                                   LV   Green Liberty - Zala Briviba
                                                           NL   Michiel den Haan
                                                           PL   WiseEuropa
 Observing                                                 PT   ZERO
 partner                                                   RO   Energy Policy Group (EPG)
                                                           SE   Air Clim Coalition
                                                           UK   CREDS, Center for Alternative
                                                                Technologies (CAT)
The CLEVER bottom-up construct
A three-stage bottom-up integration approach:
Set to progressively harmonise and reinforce national trajectories to form a coherent European vision
              Improvement

                                          European Vision

                                                                                           Integrating into a
                                                                                          European scenario

                                                                                                     Stage 3
                                                                                             Comparing,
                                                                                           harmonizing and
                              Country 1    Country 2    Country 3 . . .   Country n          aggregating
                                                                                                     Stage 2
                                                                                          Raising the level of
                                                                                            ambition and
                                                                                          comprehensiveness
                                                                    ...    Country n                 Stage 1
                            Country 1                  Country 3
                                                                                          Starting with diverse
                                          Country 2
                                                                                           national scenarios

                                                                            Integration
3.
First results and planning
The CLEVER methodology to harmonise national
    assumptions
     Corridors of convergence for energy services on key sufficiency indicators

              Industrial stories to set
              corridors of production,
              energy consumption
              and intensity by branch

                                                             Average distance per person excl. Air and soft
 Average residential floor area per person (m2/cap)
                                                                            mobility (p.km/cap)
Corridor of projections based on the first set of national
                                                              Corridor of projections in the first set of national
                      trajectories
                                                                                 trajectories
EU legislative timeline
Jul 2022      Oct 2022   Jan 2023     Apr 2023   Jul 2023      Oct 2023      Jan 2024     Apr 2024        Jul 2024

     1st FF55 laws (ETS, ESR,
            CO2/Cars)

           2nd FF55 laws (EED, RED)

             EPBD and mobility package

              Circular economy package 1 and 2

                                      Legislations on trucks

                                                                                                 EU
                                                                                              elections

                                                                  EU Climate Law rev: 2040 target
                                                                          NDC revision?
                                                                NECPs update
                                                                                                                20
CLEVER planning towards publication in 2023
                                              November            December
          July 2022       September 2022                                            Spring 2023
                                                2022                2022

                                                     Technical
  CLEVER                                              webinar                        Final and
                                       First
                                                     presenting                       political
dissemination                      deliverables          first                     presentation
                                                       results

                                Trajectory finalisation
 CLEVER
construction
                                    Stronger policy focus towards advocacy

                ➢ -50% energy consumption in 2050 (/ 2015) already reached by V0

                ➢ Energy sufficiency as key to bridging the gap between climate necessity and a
                  feasible, democratic and deeply sustainable pace of transformation

                ➢ 2 major focus: strong implementation of the 2030 framework (FF55), and (2035 and)
                  2040 target levels
Focus on trajectories finalisation
             June 2022     July 2022         September 2022         November 2022     December 2022          2023

Bilateral and                      Review of                                  Technical        Last modif.
multilateral w.      Finalise     energy tab             Last modif.            webinar          carriers in
    Active                                           carriers in transp.,     presenting          transp.,
                    FEC tabs        towards          imports/exports …
  partners                                                                   first results     imports/export
                                  EU traj. V2                                                       s…

Bilateral w.        Feedback            2nd round of
Commenting          analysis,          exchanges and
 partners          adjustments           finalisation

  negaWatt                                              Materials module : calculating batteries’ material
                                                                            footprint

                                                                                                                22
Focus on policies planning
             July 2022            September 2022        November 2022     December 2022           Spring 2023

                                                                  Technical
                                                                                                 Final and
   CLEVER                                     First                webinar
                                                                                                  political
dissemination                              publications           presenting
                                                                                                presentation
                                                                 first results

                                                                                               Prioritised and
                                           First policies         Prioritised
                                                                                             trajectory- and EU
Policy content                             to support the         policies by
                                                                                               context-aligned
                                            assumptions             sector
                                                                                                   policies

                         -     Sectoral policies and
   Policy                                                   Alignment of policies with EU context and trajectory
                              national best practices
  research                                                               Drafting of final policies
                             - Meetings in Brussels

                                                                                                                23
Focus on dissemination and communication
             Sept 2022   Oct 2022    Nov 2022    Dec 2022    Jan 2023    Feb 2022     Mar 2022       Apr 2022    May 2022

   CID +           Official CID +
  Website         Website creation

  External
                                      Regular posting and emailing on publications and events
   comm

  Major              Technical and        Pwpt
                                                                   Final report, infographics and open data
Publications         concept notes     presentation

                                          Technical
Major events                                                                                                Final event
                                           webinar

EU Political
                                                       Consortium and bilateral meetings with key EU decision makers
   diss

EU Technical                                                                                      Sectoral Webinars,
    diss                                                                                        Conference participation

                                                                                                National workshops and
National diss
                                                                                                      publications
CLEVER contacts
 We are happy to share, extend our network and develop new exchanges about
sufficiency-based, ambitious energy and climate scenarios and policies in Europe

               Nicolas TAILLARD                       Stephane BOURGEOIS
                CLEVER project                        European relations and
                   manager                               policies manager
              nicolas.taillard[at]negawatt.org        stephane.bourgeois[at]negawatt.org
                                                         +33 6 33 32 09 93

                                        Contact[at]negawatt.org
                              https://negawatt.org/Scenario-europeen
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