Collaborative Low Energy Vision for the European Region (CLEVER): a pathway to bridge the climate neutrality, energy security and sustainability ...
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Collaborative Low Energy Vision for the European Region (CLEVER): a pathway to bridge the climate neutrality, energy security and sustainability gaps through energy sufficiency, efficiency, and renewables Project presentation
The négaWatt association * A think tank on energy created in 2001 * A non-profit, independent group of experts and field- practitioners * A core of ~ 25 “companions” + 25 “ambassadors”, 1400 members * 15 employees * Producing scenarios (latest in 2021) and proposing policies and measures for a sustainable energy future, through a systemic approach * Subsidiary created in 2009 * Operational branch of the association
The CLEVER nW team Policy and dissemination Research on policies and measures, support on diss Technical dialogue on energy Network and external sector management (dissemination, policies, funding) Modelling tools Technical dialogue on residential and tertiary sectors Operational Trajectories for not covered countries management and commenting partners Technical dialogue on industry and transports Methodological expertise, strategic orientation Reinforcement and harmonisation of trajectories
Impact of ever increasing energy services consumption in the EU EU cars trends 1990-2015*: increase of CO2 emissions for cars despite efficiency improvements Evolution Index (100 1990 level) *https://www.eea.europa.eu/data-and-maps/figures/fuel-efficiency-and-fuel-consumption
CLEVER’s answer to this trend: a transition including sufficiency Sufficiency’s aims: Ceiling Foundation Adjusting the nature and amount of Fulfilling everyone's need for services to keep demand at a level services (e.g. accessing a which does not endanger the carrying building in the image) capacity of the earth
Sufficiency embedded in an equity and sustainable framework Bringing individual services between: ➢A foundation: of decent live levels ➢A ceiling: containing the collective impact below planetary limits ➔Moderate global consumption while reinforcing solidarity and redistribution The “doughnut economy” concept (Raworth et al.)
Sufficiency at the start of the systemic CLEVER energy transition approach Delivery of final energy Choice and preparation Design and to the end-user of the primary resource Conversion dimensioning Transformation into into useful energy Conditions the suitable carrier of use Primary Energy Energy Service Losses Losses Losses Losses Losses Substitution Efficiency Sufficiency
CLEVER: towards a sufficiency-based European vision Based on the French experience, and considering the status of European energy and climate scenarios and policies, felt need of raising awareness about the key potential of sufficiency at the European level. Primary energy consumption in the négaWatt scenario 2022-2050 for France Sufficiency Efficiency (prod) Efficiency (cons) Increased Renewables efficiency and sufficiency Nuclear Fossil gas Oil 100% Coal renewable energy supply Zero carbon Environmental benefits So-economics benefits Reaching carbon Raw materials, pollution… Jobs, social, justice… neutrality
The CLEVER approach based on the SER framework Systemic approach Local resources Objective: to get sufficiency and deep sustainability higher up on the European agenda Means: a scenario matching climate necessity (1,5degrees compatible pathway) with the description of necessary and feasible transformations
2. CLEVER network and methodology
The large and diverse CLEVER network A network of 22 organisations from 20 European countries (18 EU members +UK, CH) AT TU Wien BE negaWatt Belgium, ICEDD BG Za Zemiata; Sofena CH negaWatt Switzerland CZ Charles University Environment Centre DE EnSu (Wuppertal Institut; EU Univ. of Flensburg) DK INFORSE Europe ES Ecoserveis Association FR negaWatt Association EL National Observatory of Athens (NOA) HU Environmental Planning and Active Education Network (EPEN) IT EURAC Research; Politecnico di partner Milano LT Lithuanian Energy Institute (LEI) Commenting LU Consortium Cell/List partner LV Green Liberty - Zala Briviba NL Michiel den Haan PL WiseEuropa Observing PT ZERO partner RO Energy Policy Group (EPG) SE Air Clim Coalition UK CREDS, Center for Alternative Technologies (CAT)
The CLEVER bottom-up construct A three-stage bottom-up integration approach: Set to progressively harmonise and reinforce national trajectories to form a coherent European vision Improvement European Vision Integrating into a European scenario Stage 3 Comparing, harmonizing and Country 1 Country 2 Country 3 . . . Country n aggregating Stage 2 Raising the level of ambition and comprehensiveness ... Country n Stage 1 Country 1 Country 3 Starting with diverse Country 2 national scenarios Integration
3. First results and planning
The CLEVER methodology to harmonise national assumptions Corridors of convergence for energy services on key sufficiency indicators Industrial stories to set corridors of production, energy consumption and intensity by branch Average distance per person excl. Air and soft Average residential floor area per person (m2/cap) mobility (p.km/cap) Corridor of projections based on the first set of national Corridor of projections in the first set of national trajectories trajectories
EU legislative timeline Jul 2022 Oct 2022 Jan 2023 Apr 2023 Jul 2023 Oct 2023 Jan 2024 Apr 2024 Jul 2024 1st FF55 laws (ETS, ESR, CO2/Cars) 2nd FF55 laws (EED, RED) EPBD and mobility package Circular economy package 1 and 2 Legislations on trucks EU elections EU Climate Law rev: 2040 target NDC revision? NECPs update 20
CLEVER planning towards publication in 2023 November December July 2022 September 2022 Spring 2023 2022 2022 Technical CLEVER webinar Final and First presenting political dissemination deliverables first presentation results Trajectory finalisation CLEVER construction Stronger policy focus towards advocacy ➢ -50% energy consumption in 2050 (/ 2015) already reached by V0 ➢ Energy sufficiency as key to bridging the gap between climate necessity and a feasible, democratic and deeply sustainable pace of transformation ➢ 2 major focus: strong implementation of the 2030 framework (FF55), and (2035 and) 2040 target levels
Focus on trajectories finalisation June 2022 July 2022 September 2022 November 2022 December 2022 2023 Bilateral and Review of Technical Last modif. multilateral w. Finalise energy tab Last modif. webinar carriers in Active carriers in transp., presenting transp., FEC tabs towards imports/exports … partners first results imports/export EU traj. V2 s… Bilateral w. Feedback 2nd round of Commenting analysis, exchanges and partners adjustments finalisation negaWatt Materials module : calculating batteries’ material footprint 22
Focus on policies planning July 2022 September 2022 November 2022 December 2022 Spring 2023 Technical Final and CLEVER First webinar political dissemination publications presenting presentation first results Prioritised and First policies Prioritised trajectory- and EU Policy content to support the policies by context-aligned assumptions sector policies - Sectoral policies and Policy Alignment of policies with EU context and trajectory national best practices research Drafting of final policies - Meetings in Brussels 23
Focus on dissemination and communication Sept 2022 Oct 2022 Nov 2022 Dec 2022 Jan 2023 Feb 2022 Mar 2022 Apr 2022 May 2022 CID + Official CID + Website Website creation External Regular posting and emailing on publications and events comm Major Technical and Pwpt Final report, infographics and open data Publications concept notes presentation Technical Major events Final event webinar EU Political Consortium and bilateral meetings with key EU decision makers diss EU Technical Sectoral Webinars, diss Conference participation National workshops and National diss publications
CLEVER contacts We are happy to share, extend our network and develop new exchanges about sufficiency-based, ambitious energy and climate scenarios and policies in Europe Nicolas TAILLARD Stephane BOURGEOIS CLEVER project European relations and manager policies manager nicolas.taillard[at]negawatt.org stephane.bourgeois[at]negawatt.org +33 6 33 32 09 93 Contact[at]negawatt.org https://negawatt.org/Scenario-europeen
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