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June 2021 | J. M. Baxi & Co. COAL Update 3 Contents Port Anlaysis COAL & COKE TRAFFIC AT INDIAN PORTS (QTY IN MT) MAJOR COAL & COKE IMPORTERS (QTY IN MT) MAJOR COAL & COKE ORIGIN COUNTRYWISE IMPORTS (QTY IN MT) Market Overview And Trends Highlights Disclaimer: The information contained in this market update is drawn from wide range of newspapers, business and trade magazines, government, company and industry association websites. While all possible care is taken to verify the correctness and authenticity of information contained in this compilation, no claim to independent authorship of articles is implied or intended. Readers are expected to make their own independent evaluation and verification of information for their use. While all information contained in this report are believed to be correct, the editors of this compilation or J. M. Baxi & Co. do not guarantee the quotes or other data and the same is provided only in good faith. www.jmbaxi.com
June 2021 | J. M. Baxi & Co. COAL Update 5 COAL & COKE TRAFFIC AT INDIAN PORTS (QTY IN MT) PORT NAME Apr - 21 Apr - 20 VARIANCE BEDI 0 52000 -52000 BHAVNAGAR 198740 94220 104520 DAHEJ 346282 296004 50278 DHAMRA 1365350 1148613 216737 DIAMOND HARBOUR 0 53143 -53143 DHARAMTAR 457501 116318 341183 ENNORE 1969627 1281831 687796 GANGAVARAM 1444641 1554549 -109908 GOPALPUR 267576 0 267576 HALDIA 1295615 937509 358106 HAZIRA 829839 412667 417172 JAIGAD 555536 541717 13819 KAKINADA 214410 216300 -1890 KANDLA 1069306 1460229 -390923 KARAIKAL 787008 630238 156770 KOLKATA 2214 0 2214 KRISHNAPATNAM 2419588 2378003 41585 MAGDALLA 428193 380811 47382 MANGALORE 467178 229909 237269 MORMUGAO 660005 910822 -250817 MUMBAI 120947 245030 -124083 MUNDRA 2976617 2231704 744913 NAVLAKHI 1079975 449793 630182 OKHA 306348 276686 29662 PARADIP 3999368 3643975 355393 PIPAVAV 252201 169800 82401 PORBANDAR 13809 41600 -27791 RANPAR 0 55000 -55000 TUNA 738319 592076 146243 TUTICORIN 1160710 1204215 -43505 VISAKHAPATNAM 1154926 846621 308305 Grand Total 26581828 22451383 4130445 www.jmbaxi.com
6 J. M. Baxi & Co. COAL Update | June 2021 MAJOR COAL & COKE IMPORTERS (QTY IN MT) IMPORTERS May - 2021 ADANI ENTERPRISES LTD. 2590867 ADANI POWER LTD. 1831441 STEEL AUTHORITY OF INDIA LTD. 1116491 TATA STEEL LTD. 987097 JINDAL STEEL AND POWER LTD. 883989 RASHTRIYA ISPAT NIGAM LTD. 784452 SEMBCORP ENERGY INDIA LTD. 732349 ARCELOR MITTAL NIPPON STEEL INDIA LTD. 536993 AGARWAL COAL CORPN. 535161 COASTAL GUJARAT POWER LTD. 380925 BHUSAN POWER & STEEL LTD. 330191 ADANI EXPORT LTD. 326973 RUNGTA MININGS LTD. 283431 SHREE CEMENT LTD. 254990 JSW ENERGY LTD. 252119 UDUPI POWER CORPN. LTD. 225815 TATA STEEL BSL LTD. 212478 ORISSA METALIKS PVT. LTD. 185890 MOHIT MINERALS PVT. LTD. 180751 GRASIM INDUSTRIES LTD. 170760 www.jmbaxi.com
June 2021 | J. M. Baxi & Co. COAL Update 7 MAJOR COAL & COKE ORIGIN COUNTRYWISE IMPORTS (QTY IN MT) COUNTRIES May - 2021 INDONESIA 6786979 AUSTRALIA 5719544 SOUTH AFRICA 2739468 CHINA 546035 UNITED STATES 463468 RUSSIA 418208 EGYPT 174531 MOZAMBIQUE 168400 POLAND 114918 SAUDI ARABIA 109620 CANADA 75523 TAIWAN 73748 OMAN 60380 MALAYSIA 58680 IRAN 56000 U.A.E. 53850 BRAZIL 45000 SOUTH KOREA 36317 VIRGINIA 34251 UNITED KINGDOM 31217 BELGIUM 29839 COLOMBIA 28446 JAPAN 22000 VIETNAM 16500 PHILIPPINES 8700 www.jmbaxi.com
8 J. M. Baxi & Co. COAL Update | June 2021 TRENDS & MARKET OVERVIEW
June 2021 | J. M. Baxi & Co. COAL Update 9
10 J. M. Baxi & Co. COAL Update | June 2021 HIGHLIGHTS 01 India offering 67 coal mines in second commercial auction tranche 02 Coal India allows exports to trim high stocks www.jmbaxi.com
June 2021 | J. M. Baxi & Co. COAL Update 11 03 Coal India, EMIL and Adani coal project contribute to India’s rising coal production 04 Australia exports record high thermal coal to India 05 Ministry may give green nod to Adani’s coal-to-PVC plant www.jmbaxi.com
12 J. M. Baxi & Co. COAL Update | June 2021 India offering 67 coal mines in second commercial auction tranchetonnes in April 01 2021 “ In the largest ever coal mine auction, being auctioned, while 37 are fully India is bidding out 67 mines with a explored, the balance 30 have been total resource base of 36 billion tonnes partially explored. These mines of fossil fuel in the second tranche are spread across Chhattisgarh, Starting form of commercial coal mine auctions. Jharkhand, Odisha, Madhya Pradesh, this tranche, the Also, starting form this tranche, the Maharashtra and Andhra Pradesh. government is government is introducing a rolling “The commencement of sale of auction mechanism “wherein any tender document started from 25th introducing a rolling un-auctioned mine shall remain March 2021 and the bid due date is auction mechanism available for auction on the portal, 24th June 2021," the statement said. ‘wherein any un- with more mines being added as and The two-stage auction process allows auctioned mine bidders to quote the percentage when available," said M. Nagaraju, shall remain additional secretary in the union coal revenue share over the reserve price. available for auction ministry, and the nominated authority Besides there will be no restriction on the portal, with for these auctions in a ministry’ on the sale and utilization of coal “ more mines being added as and when available’ statement on Thursday. India has the world’s fourth largest reserves and is the second-largest from the mines. Earlier, blocks were allocated to companies on payment of fixed amounts per tonne. "The producer of coal. With global shift auction shall be held online through to green energy to address growing a transparent 2 stage process. Key environmental concerns, the Indian highlights of this auction process are government is trying to harness - market linked mechanism wherein coal reserves within the next three bidding shall be based on Percentage decades. “We are offering 67 mines Revenue Share, National Coal Index with a total resource of almost 36 linked payments, ease in participation bn and explored mines PRCs of with no restriction for prior coal about 150 million tonnes (mt) during mining experience, optimized 2nd tranche auctions of coal mines payment structures, efficiency for commercial mining. This is the promotion through incentives for biggest ever offer of coal mines early production and use of clean in the country," Nagaraju added in technology, flexible operating terms the statement. Of the 67 blocks etc.," the statement added Source: Live Mint www.jmbaxi.com
June 2021 | J. M. Baxi & Co. COAL Update 13 02 Coal India allows exports to trim high stocks “ CIL, which meets more than 80pc Authority data. The country's coal- of India's coal needs, removed the fired generation rose from a year embargo on coal exports purchased earlier for eight straight months until State-controlled through e-auctions, the company April. But a surge in Covid-19 cases said. India has historically been a and resulting restriction across producer Coal coal importer, exports of which have the country has weighed on power India (CIL) is largely been restricted. The company demand and prompted the build in permitting amended the rules earlier this week coal inventories. CIL, which raised its exports of coal to allow exports of coal sold under May output by 700,000t or 1.7pc to sold through future auctions. Buyers that intend 42.1mn t from a year earlier, has been its electronic or to export coal must comply with holding regular auctions to bring down e-auctions in a standard regulatory requirements inventories and discourage imports. move aiming “ to trim its high inventories. and guidelines for exports. CIL will not be responsible for these. CIL sold 124mn t of coal through e-auctions in India is a net importer of coal, although it exports small quantities to nearby markets like Nepal and Bhutan. Of the 2020-21 fiscal year that ended 31 the 731mn t coal produced in 2019- March, up by 88pc from a year earlier. 20, just 139,000t of thermal coal Out of the e-auctioned volume, power was exported to Nepal and Bhutan, and non-power sector consumers according to India's commerce took the majority. Some of these ministry. The two countries imported auctions were also open for trading about 68,000t of Indian thermal coal firms, which primarily may evaluate in the first 11 months of 2020-21. export opportunities that are likely India's thermal coal imports rose to be to nearby destinations such as by 2.88mn t from a year earlier to Bangladesh, said a market participant. 14.04mn t in April, according to data CIL's inventories fell to 74.3mn t as from shipbroker Interocean. But the of 31 May from 87.12mn t at the end increase in April was from a low base of April but are still historically high. a year earlier when the country's Utilities across the country held total Covid-19 lockdown restrictions inventories of 28.66mn t as of 30 significantly reduced the country's May, up from 23.87mn t at the end of import demand April, according to Central Electricity Source: Argus Media www.jmbaxi.com
14 J. M. Baxi & Co. COAL Update | June 2021 Coal India, EMIL and Adani coal project 03 contribute to India’s rising coal production “ 2020 was a tumultuous year for to the prediction. Coal Secretary everyone. The economy suffered Anil Jain said, “We are on track to greatly as industries grinded to a producing 700 million tonnes of coal halt. However, certain sectors held in 2020-21 fiscal. We will be able to MDO operations up better than the rest and even cut substitutable coal imports with showed stable performances. One this rise in production.” The Centre’s undertaken by EMIL, such sector is the Indian coal mining. decision to hold auctions for coal Dilip Buildcon, VPR mines also turned out favorably for Mining and Adani Coal India Ltd(CIL), the largest coal- players like Adani Group and Vedanta, coal project will producing company in the world, where they made significant gains for prove indispensable accounts for almost 82% of the total their future coal projects. Adani, in “ if India is to reduce its coal imports production with the rest contributed by the Vedanta, Emil, Dilip Buildcon and AdaniCoal Project. Coal particular, made successful bids for a number of mines, with Gondulpara mine in Jharkhand and Dhirauli production in India was 730.87 million mine in Madhya Pradesh being the tonnes in 2019-20 as compared to notable ones. On the completion 728.72million tonnes in 2018-19, of preliminary operations, every which shows a modest growth of single Adani coal project will start 0.30%. Out of total, CIL produced production in earnest. This will add to 602.15 MT in 2019-20 despite the India’s total coal production, relieving pandemic. It had previously recorded the pressure of the ever-growing 606.89 MT. While most MDO domestic demand. Additionally, CIL companies have recently entered has identified 15 mining projects the coal industry, their coal projects for MDO operations in an effort to have been churning out impressive increase the production. MDOs are figures. For example, EMIL produced becoming the preferred model for coal an impressive 11.44 MnTe of coal mining with at least 28 mines being just a year after it commenced operated by them.MDO operations operations. Similarly, Adani’s Parsa undertaken by EMIL, Dilip Buildcon, East & Kanta Basan coal block has VPR Mining and Adani coal project a peak capacity of 15 MMTPA. One will prove indispensable if India is to can certainly expect the Adani coal reduce its coal imports. Coal-fired project to pump out huge numbers power plants supply the country with too. India imports 235 million tonnes almost 80% of its electricity. Domestic of coal annually. Almost half of the demands will slowly be met by every imported coal is non-substitutable EMIL, Hindalco, VFR and Adani coal as its grades are not available in the project, rendering coal imports country. However, the increasing redundant. The Home Minister had production from every single EMIL, earlier said that the coal sector VFR and Adani Coal Project means would be a valuable contributor to that this figure could be cut in half. India’s growing economy. This bodes India’s coal imports have already well for the sector as the CIL, EMIL, fallen by 14% to 196.13 million in Vedanta and Adani coal projects can the last fiscal, lending legitimacy expect ample investments Source: DNA www.jmbaxi.com
June 2021 | J. M. Baxi & Co. COAL Update 15 Australia exports record high thermal coal to 04 India Australia's thermal coal exports of 2020 following Covid-19 shutdowns 15.24mn t in April increased by 14pc that slowed industrial activity. India, from the eight-year low in March which is in the midst of a Covid-19 Australia but declined by 7pc from April 2020, surge, has more than compensated exported according to data from the Australian for lower imports in the first half of record high Bureau of Statistics (ABS) supplied 2020 and Australian exports to the volumes of 05 through GTT. There were no shipments nation hit a record high of 2.46mn t to China for the fourth consecutive in April. This may reflect a larger than thermal coal to month, with initial shipping data average discount for low grade 5,500 India in April, suggesting this continues into early kcal/kg NAR Australian coal export as changing June. Shipments to Vietnam have also prices compared to similar grade trade flows declined this year, and together these South African export prices in April. reflect Beijing's two factors have lowered January- This premium widened in early to mid- ban on imports April total shipments by 10pc on the May but has since shrunk. Australian of Australian year. This decline has been partially exports continued to move to smaller coal. offset by increased shipments to markets for its coal such as Indonesia, India, South Korea, Taiwan and Thailand, the Netherlands, Malaysia, Japan in January-April. The higher United Arab Emirates, the Philippines shipments to South Korea, Taiwan and Pakistan, as suppliers continue and Japan are related to lower than to look to diversify in response to average coal buying in the first half of Beijing's import ban Source: Argus Media www.jmbaxi.com
16 J. M. Baxi & Co. COAL Update | June 2021 Ministry may give green nod to Adani’s coal- 05 to-PVC plant “ 2020 was a tumultuous year for coal, is not suitable for use in plastics. everyone. The economy suffered It is suitable for use in energy and greatly as industries grinded to a electricity generation and has always halt. However, certain sectors held been intended for that use.” It added The environment up better than the rest and even that “India will be a foundation showed stable performances. One ministry’s impact customer for the Carmichael Project such sector is the Indian coal mining. and is the fourth largest global user assessment division of electricity as well as the source of granted standard Union environment ministry is the biggest growth in global energy terms of reference considering granting environmental demand (source International Energy (TOR) to the plant clearance to a coal-to-PVC plant that Agency).” According to documents on April 17. The will come up in Gujarat’s Kachchh on Parivesh website, no change in grant of TOR is one district, said people familiar with land use will be required as 278.79 of the first steps in the matter. The unit that is being set “ the environmental clearance process. up by Adani Enterprises will have a poly-vinyl-chloride (PVC) production capacity of 2000 KTPA (Kilo Tons ha of identified land for the project belongs to the Adani Ports and SEZ (APSEZ) and is already designated for industrial purpose. Forest clearance Per Annum) requiring 3.1 million for 1840 ha of forest land was granted metric tonnes per annum (MTPA) in 2009. The rationale for the project of coal that will be imported from according to Adani Enterprises’ Australia, Russia and other countries. submission to the environment The environment ministry’s impact ministry is that PVC demand in India assessment division granted is around 3.5 MTPA which is growing standard terms of reference (TOR) at the rate of 7% year on year. With to the plant on April 17. The grant of stagnancy in domestic production of TOR is one of the first steps in the PVC at 1.4 MTPA, India is dependent environmental clearance process. on imports to keep pace with the The project will come up at a cost demand. “Adani Group is the largest of ₹29,000 crores (US $ 4 billion). private power producer in India. Coal is likely to be blended with pet Power is an important raw material coke , and blending of other coals for powering extensive plants such such as Anthracite Coal is also being as coal to PVC. In this context, Adani explored for the project according to group is planning to come up with documents on environment ministry’s a coal-to-PVC project at Mundra, Parivesh website, seen by HT. A report Bhuj, Gujarat. The proposed project in the Guardian published on June 18 will reduce import dependency of suggested that the PVC unit will be polymers and promote domestic using coal from Bravus Mining and manufacturing of polymers, in Resources’ (formerly Adani Australia) line with the Atmanirbhar Bharat Carmichael coal mine which is mired initiative,” the pre-feasibility report in environmental controversies of the project states. In response to and litigation. Bravus Mining and a questionnaire from HT, an Adani Resources, however, put out a spokesperson said: “At the outset, statement on Friday that “Carmichael coal from the Carmichael Project in coal, like any other traditional thermal Australia is not suitable for the PVC www.jmbaxi.com
June 2021 | J. M. Baxi & Co. COAL Update 17 plant. Secondly, it is widely proven that The member secretary (Industrial using coal as a chemical feedstock Projects) of the expert appraisal to produce PVC is less polluting as committee assessing the project compared to conventional methods was not available for comment on such as petrochemical refinery and Friday, his secretary said. A senior ethylene cracker. Further, PVC is not environment ministry official said toxic or single-use plastic, but an “all the information is available on infrastructure material with a life span the website. We have nothing else of several decades.” “Thirdly, given to add.” According to an Overview that the project is energy-intensive , on Plastic Waste released by the the Adani Group’s massive renewable Central Pollution Control Board in capacity of 24+ GW will enable it to 2013, during polymerization process make this a low carbon-intensive fugitive emissions are released. project,” the spokesperson added. Source: Hindustan Times
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