Climate change commission draft advice 2021 - vector response - Vector Limited
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vector response climate change commission draft advice 2021 VECTOR RESPONSE | CLIMATE CHANGE COMMISSION DRAFT ADVICE 2021 1
contents This document is an interactive 1 Executive summary 3 PDF designed not to be printed. 2 Introduction 8 Please use the interactive contents 3 Future energy systems need to be designed for – and start with – the customer 9 page for navigation. 3.1 We support the Commission’s principle to leverage co-benefits – we see this as being aligned with the ‘decarbonisation dividend’ 10 The opposite headings are links. 3.2 Digitalisation is a key enabler of affordable energy 12 3.3 Data is a key enabler of customer and utility solutions – including new flexibility services and demand response markets 14 3.4 Energy efficiency measures and distributed generation have a key role to play to support affordability and decarbonisation 16 4 Levers to expand the market for new renewable generation and broaden competitive pressure 22 4.1 There is an opportunity to meet growing electricity demand through levelling the playing field for independent, distributed generation and greater EDB participation in solar and micro-grids, and through a review of current market dominance and behaviour 23 4.2 Lifting the archaic cap on regulated network involvement with connected renewable generation is an opportunity to increase renewable generation, strengthen network optimisation and contribute a new competitive pressure to the wholesale market 28 4.3 Our future energy systems should align the objective of strengthening resilience in the context of a changing climate as well as meeting future demand 29 4.4 An urgent spotlight needs to be placed on the potential for solar to displace carbon-intensive generation over New Zealand summer months and enhance existing hydro storage capacity 31 4.5 Unleash the value of demand response to meet future electricity demand affordably 32 4.6 Unlocking the value of distributed generation can add an important, needed and new competitive pressure into the supply chain 34 4.7 Rapidly expanding the market for renewable generation to support the Commission’s pathway will require market reform in the electricity generation market 34 5 Dynamic optimisation is key for affordable electrification 37 5.1 The Commission’s ambition to electrify transport should be supported by bold policy action 38 5.2 Managing demand driven by the EV uptake in the Commission’s pathway requires smart dynamic EV charging to avoid increasing network peaks 40 5.3 Dynamic optimisation is about delivering more with less, not more with more and offers a self-reinforcing pathway to decarbonisation 45 5.3 Symphony graphic 48 5.4 Let’s learn from others regarding the need for smart integration of new distributed generation 50 5.5 Unlock the value that sits between historic regulatory-imposed silos 50 6 Rethink regulation 54 6.1 Our regulatory framework and decision making needs an urgent mindset shift to deliver decarbonisation 55 6.2 Dynamic optimisation requires coordination and the right type of investments 56 6.3 Driving competition and decarbonisation requires a fundamental shift to the regulatory approach of the energy sector 59 7 Achieving the pathway set out by the Commission requires us to take a whole systems approach 61 7.1 Avoid cost by urgently coordinating our regulatory regime around the goal of decarbonisation 62 7.2 We consider a Ministry for Energy and Decarbonisation to be a key enabler of the Commission’s pathway 63 8 Gas transition challenges 65 8.1 A Gas Transition Contract is needed to establish an agreed and managed transition to meet the objectives of Government, customers and gas infrastructure owners 66 8.2 Achieving the most efficient net reduction in emissions from gas requires us to assess the use of gas across the energy supply chain – including both generation and its end use 66 8.3 Transitioning gas to electricity would have a significant, and currently unaccounted for, impact on the electricity network 68 8.4 Not all gas users would be able to electrify within this budget period. However, the viability of keeping the gas network available only to them, if all other users transitioned to electricity, is uncertain 69 8.5 Options to efficiently achieve the Commission’s emission reduction pathway at least customer cost 70 VECTOR RESPONSE | CLIMATE CHANGE COMMISSION DRAFT ADVICE 2021 2
executive summary Affordable electrification lies at the heart of Vector is a key enabler of Aotearoa New Such disruptive service offerings and “whole of Aotearoa’s decarbonisation pathway. Zealand’s decarbonisation goals, and we see system” cost reduction business models were that role rapidly accelerating. not anticipated in the siloed market structures To deliver affordable electrification, change is of the original Bradford energy reforms our only option. Vector does not believe we can Vector has led the way in investing and designed around a different objective. We continue to squeeze a new energy system, with innovating in new customer choice and instead need reforms that focus on customer different characteristics and new objectives, into solutions to respond to the challenges arising outcomes, balanced with government and our 1998 electricity market design with its “more from climate change, decarbonisation and new business needs, but with a modernised with more” supply-side dominated lens. Vector technologies. We do so through our Symphony objective able to better serve the energy sector. believes that the Government’s renewable strategy and by partnering with global leaders This is particularly true as rapid advances in generation and transport electrification in a range of technologies. Vector’s strategy renewable energy, digital technology and ambitions call for more than just tinkering supports decarbonisation by focussing on electric transport look set to only accelerate with existing market and regulatory structures customers, balancing commercial outcomes as economies commit to investing trillions of founded on marginal economic efficiency as and questioning whether the current energy dollars to solve decarbonisation objectives. the key objective. This objective was designed system will be up to the challenge ahead. for the initial market reforms of nearly a quarter- Aligned policies and forward-looking To deliver decarbonisation, we need a bold century ago. But to deliver for the future, a regulatory settings are urgently required. and collective vision of a new energy future new phase, and certainly new ambitions for that ensures customer choice, affordability Vector has long called for a Ministry for the electricity sector calls for regulatory and and reliability. Energy and Decarbonisation as the necessary policy settings with a broader decarbonisation catalyst to align policies and forward-looking objective able to capture new value and deliver The potential of dynamic optimisation, through competitive and regulatory settings supportive greater customer choice. If we do not take the harnessing data and the aggregated flexibility of industry transformation. The siloed structures opportunity to design, shape and regulate the of new customer demand-side assets, is just of today’s regulatory frameworks relate to a sector differently, we doubt there will be an one example highlighting the need to move different time and today deliver an electricity affordable path to decarbonisation through business incentives away from “more” to supply chain dominated by process regulation, electrification. This sentiment is reinforced “better” at every stage of the electricity value fragmented regulatory bodies, a blind-belief in by our current engagement with overseas chain. Aggregated flexibility, such as new market theory and a dominant focus on remote regulators looking to fundamentally recalibrate customer demand-side assets being proven on supply. Change is needed within the sector, and energy regulatory objectives to support Vector’s Auckland network, offers immediate across policy and regulation - to align policy and decarbonisation. “avoided cost” efficiencies which in turn unlock regulatory goals, effectively monitor progress new competitive pressure from demand to and deliver regulatory accountability, and, to genuinely rival supply. ensure strong coordination, particularly with transport given the importance of transport electrification. VECTOR RESPONSE | CLIMATE CHANGE COMMISSION DRAFT ADVICE 2021 3
click for contents A managed and agreed transition for gas is now threatening to break the regulatory settings support network transformation, needed to avoid significant customer cost compact, Vector is calling for a new Gas digitalisation for smart and connected and disruption for 300,000 households and Transition Contract to be agreed between gas EV charging, and appropriately fund the small businesses. infrastructure owners and the Government as investment required. a means to maintain investor and customer There is an urgent need to find a sensibly Every lever needs to be considered to promote confidence in our transition and ensure balanced gas transition compact that meets investment in renewable generation. customer choice, reduced economic impacts, the objectives of Government (carbon and and investor confidence are all maintained Further leveraging distributed renewable affordability objectives), customers (disruptive through the transition. generation is an opportunity to unlock a supply and cost of appliance replacement) wider investor base to meet the Commission’s and gas network infrastructure owners Finally, customers have significant investments requirement for a rapid expansion of renewable (financial return and economic maintenance). in gas-based appliances that remain expensive generation. To support the country’s renewable If a clear transition path cannot be agreed, to replace, but the cost implications of any generation targets it will be important to there are likely to be significant customer cost gas transition extend to associated structural unleash new investment by those with the implications as well as major disruptions for changes to commercial and residential property capacity and capability to both deliver a diverse businesses and households. This is because to accommodate changing technologies base of renewable generation but also to gas networks will likely be forced to cease (estimated as between $2,000 and $5,000 per support disruptive business models able to investment to maintain supply in large parts premise). Combined with risk of early transition meet changing customer behaviours of the network - well before any targeted from network termination (but ahead of and assets. customer transition timeframes. This in turn customer appliance replacement) such costs is likely to invoke significant backlash from as can be expected to invoke additional customer Vector’s vision is to Create a New Energy Future. many as 300,000 household and commercial backlash further underscoring the value in an Vector’s optimism for the future lies with gas customers across New Zealand. agreed Gas Transition Contract. decarbonisation not only being a climate The Commission’s proposal to effectively curtail Electrification of transport calls for bold policies. imperative, but also an opportunity to drive use of gas network infrastructure over time significant modernisation through digitalisation Electrification of transport in New Zealand fundamentally breaks the regulatory compact and, the use of data, unlocking greater is so fundamental to our carbon reduction and the basis on which infrastructure owners optimisation and thereby delivering full system pathway that bold and aligned policy initiatives have historically, and in good faith, invested. cost efficiency for the benefit of customers. to support EVs and hybrids are called for. To A fundamental aspect of such a regulatory ensure the infrastructure is ready and resilient compact is that capital returns on such for electrification, there must be a step-change assets are matched to the 40-50 year lives of in confidence that our policy and regulatory the assets. With the Commission’s proposal VECTOR RESPONSE | CLIMATE CHANGE COMMISSION DRAFT ADVICE 2021 4
click for contents Key recommendations • Greater network visibility of EV installations • Account for the interplay between gas and and access to smart metering data to support electricity including the significant impact any 1.1 Ensure that EV chargers are smart to coordinated management and network gas transition will have on electricity networks minimise the impact to electricity network planning . and energy affordability. peaks and therefore cost to consumers 1.2 Consider the impact on electricity peak • Consider timing, the optionality of green gases Smart EV charging must be enabled and demand from any proposed transition away for gas users to transition to, and the significant integrated with the network to manage new from gas, and, the need for a managed downstream impacts and costs on customers demand for electricity. By algorithmically transition if significant customer backlash is and infrastructure providers. staggering the times that EV chargers draw to be avoided power from the network, widespread smart • Support an important discussion between EV charging will ensure that new demand Analysis jointly commissioned by Vector Government and infrastructure owners to agree from EVs can be managed on the network has found that accounting for capital costs a new Gas Transition Contract to avoid a likely without unnecessary capital costs and reliability (currently excluded from the Commission’s scenario of significant customer backlash. impacts. Initiatives to curb peaks in response assessment of household costs from 1.3 Re-engineer our system to drive new to new demand, supported by integration with transitioning from the end use of gas) would decentralised renewable generation – rather network infrastructure, is an opportunity to cost customers between ~$2,000 - ~$5,000 – to than our current bias towards remote increase utilisation, reducing electricity costs accommodate the replacement of customer generation to all customers. Specifically, we recommend water heating and cooking, or, water heating, levers to ensure: cooking and space heating, respectively. We We recommend re-engineering our electricity recommend that the Commission: market to drive greater uptake of distributed • That the supply of EV chargers in New energy systems. Enabling and incentivising Zealand are smart and digitally enabled - • Reconsider their analysis around likely a wider range of generators (including including rapid amendments to regulatory customer cost of the transition from gas distributed, standalone generators) and settings and network connection standards to proposed in their pathway, reflecting the demand-side participation supports electricity accommodate new or updated standards. true capital costs which would be required of affordability while also lifting community customers as well as customer impacts from • Alignment of these standards with building resilience as the economy electrifies. Localised change in infrastructure investment – which codes and wider regulations, and ongoing energy systems increase resilience and avoid could be avoided through a balanced transition coordination between infrastructure providers the cost of unnecessary transmission upgrades compact. If we do not have a balanced and Local Government (including for the and losses from remote build generation. We transition for gas this will result in unnecessary Commission’s recommended charging recommend that: increased costs to gas customers, higher costs infrastructure plan). to electricity customers, as well as compromise • The Commission recognise the dominant • The integration of smart chargers with digital the investment that is needed for the focus historically applied to remote supply platforms to enable optimisation across Commission’s own pathway – which includes a solutions and which has crowded out a network infrastructure role for gas out to 2050. balanced focus on the value of distributed VECTOR RESPONSE | CLIMATE CHANGE COMMISSION DRAFT ADVICE 2021 5
click for contents generation and demand side participation that to our existing electricity market model harnesses customer assets and actions. (via the Electricity Authority) driven by the objective of increasing marginal efficiency and • That the Commission enable active demand consumer welfare incrementally over time side participation in meeting the target to reach (via the Commerce Commission). Neither of 60% renewable energy by 2035 – including both these narrow objectives truly enable the rapid granular demand response, as well as storage or transformational change and investment solutions such as those being investigated by needed now , nor are they fit for the significant the NZ Battery Project to help overcome the dry challenge of decarbonisation and the year risk. coordinated integration of customer assets. • Greater emphasis is placed on the investment Therefore, we recommend: in, and integration with, digital platforms for • That the regulatory frameworks governing secure network management and coordination. the Electricity Authority and Commerce • The cap on electricity network company Commission be reconsidered and redesigned involvement with connected renewable in light of decarbonisation to ensure electricity generation be removed to increase the uptake regulation supports, rather than hinders, the and smart integration of distributed generation. delivery of decarbonisation. •That regulation be aligned with the uptake of • Shifting from a regulatory framework that community and customer owned distributed responds to the risk of the Bradford era solar – including to support the pathway reforms – to one which puts customers and to allow multiple traders on a single ICP to decarbonisation at the centre. better promote disruptive business models for • That regulatory frameworks remove the customers such as peer-to-peer trading. shackles on those with capital and capability to 1.4 Rethink Regulation to ensure that it deliver the bold change which is required of our supports the future, not simply the objectives electricity system. of the past Current regulatory frameworks were designed for a different time in the evolution of the electricity sector. For the purposes of the original Bradford market reforms, key regulatory frameworks promoted refinements VECTOR RESPONSE | CLIMATE CHANGE COMMISSION DRAFT ADVICE 2021 6
click for contents introduction The Commission’s pathway requires which Vector can enable through but we face some barriers. Vector commends the Commission’s The strategic expansion of the Investment in future ready Regulation of networks is backward electricity system for the affordable infrastructure, including: facing, promoting incremental benefit draft advice on the need to transform electrification of energy use. to ensure a minimum standard is • Dynamic optimisation of networks our energy systems. delivered. It does not promote the • Using data, digitalisation and type of forward investment and It is clear that Vector and other energy decentralisation to significantly fundamental transformation required. companies must play a decisive role in enabling improve efficiency The sector is siloed, hindering the full New Zealand’s emissions reduction pathway. As • Enabling coordinated smart charging potential of data and digitalisation of EVs. a majority customer owned business, Vector is required to realise dynamic optimisation. focused on doing so while also unlocking major Rapid expansion of renewable • Driving the uptake of solar as a Our current, centralised system, locks co-benefits for energy consumers. However generation source of new renewable generation standalone generators out of the current regulatory settings – designed around and competition in the market. market. an out-dated model of a linear and siloed • Direct network investment in EDBs are prevented from investing electricity sector – will prevent us from realising renewable generation and micro-grids significantly in renewable generation. that full potential, ultimately putting New • Powersmart solar projects – including Aspects of our regulatory and market Zealand’s transition to zero emissions at risk. for large commercial customers. framework add undue complexity and undermine the value proposition for In this submission Vector asks the Commission customer-generators. to build on its draft advice to include Distributed generation and demand The provision of a range of multi-site The current centralised mindset recommendations to remove barriers holding response to unlock new value and storage/battery solutions – including focuses only on the supply side, at the help to reduce the amount of fossil- distributed solutions expense of demand side solutions and us back and to empower us to unlock the fuelled generation required levers. This risks locking in unnecessary Solar and distributed generation can required energy transformation. offset demand for hydro generation, costs for future generations. keeping reservoirs full for peaks, and There is a need to re-engineer our Our message is that to deliver on the can directly reduce emissions used for energy system to start with demand, Commission’s pathway we need to rethink gas peaking during summer months rather than centralised supply in our our energy system. An energy system with Leveraging demand response to transition to greater renewable energy. the consumer (rather than the centralised flatten demand peaks can help us to powerplant) at the centre will unlock benefits of strategically overcome the dry year risk decarbonisation, affordability, customer choice, Our future electricity systems are Investment in cyber security, Regulation and the resulting allowable resilient in the context of new risks decentralised network solutions – revenue for EDBs does not support and resilience. including micro-grids and V2H, as well the level or type of investment which is as future ready networks to deliver required today to deliver for the future. continued security of supply in a changing environment VECTOR RESPONSE | CLIMATE CHANGE COMMISSION DRAFT ADVICE 2021 8
click for contents customers are We support the Climate Change Commission’s (the Commission’s) focus on reducing emissions UK Think Tank, Challenging Ideas, this latest report has been developed in partnership the drivers of our from the end use of energy – such as transport, with global cross-industry project team – industrial processes and buildings – and the including Vector, Centrica, Elexon, the UK emissions reduction relevance of customer behaviour and impact Electricity System Operator, and Imperial in reducing emissions. Just as our successful College of London’s Grantham Institute for response to climate change relies on changes Climate Change – and proposes a shift in pathway – as well to consumer behaviour, underpinned by the right enablers, the transformation of our energy the way we assign value through our energy system by unlocking value between the silos as our new systems to a low emissions future also needs to and enabling participation of a wider range start with the customer and be supported by of actors. The notion of a decarbonisation enabling platforms. dividend holds that decarbonisation is not energy future We agree that innovations that enable consumers to participate in the market will help just a cost that customers have to bear – but rather, by transforming our supply chain to start with the customer rather than the reduce the amount of fossil-fuelled generation. powerplant, our transformation should add Starting with the consumer in transforming additional value to their lives. Focusing on our energy system can deliver other profound co-benefits, or the ‘decarbonisation dividend’ benefits to the affordability, resilience, choice, is about shifting the mindset, analytical and efficiency in electricity market. These frameworks and the view of the key risks and benefits will also promote the confidence objectives that sit at the heart of our energy that is necessary for consumers to invest and market governance. As highlighted by previous convert to electrification. reports led by Challenging Ideas, ReDesigning 3.1 We support the Commission’s principle Regulation, the ‘trilemma’ has been at the to leverage co-benefits – we see this as being centre of wider energy policy thinking for ten aligned with the‘decarbonisation dividend’ years and positions energy market decision We support the Commission’s principle to making as a balancing act between security, ‘leverage co-benefits’ – or benefits which decarbonisation and affordability. In doing so: go beyond reducing emissions that can be “the trilemma has created the impression gained through our pathway. We see this as that there are trade-offs, and that these being strongly aligned with the notion of a are competing problems, rather than ‘decarbonisation dividend’ – captured in the complementary ambitions’. recent report ReCosting Energy. Led by the VECTOR RESPONSE | CLIMATE CHANGE COMMISSION DRAFT ADVICE 2021 10
click for contents By framing our energy transition as an ‘inherently zero-sum game’ this approach puts Vector/EECA V2H trial a ceiling on the ambition of what our energy The value of distributed solutions for increasing customer resillence is Vector’s Vehicle to home (V2H) trial. This systems can deliver for customers, and on the enables customers in Piha, a community which is at the edge of our electric network, to power their homes in an transformation that is required to create a outage utilizing the remaining EV battery capacity. decarbonised, customer centric energy system. “By replacing the problems with ambition, the issues around security of supply, decarbonisation and affordability can be dealt with by adopting a forward-moving and dynamic approach”. – ReShaping Regulation, Challenging Ideas, 2017 The Commission’s advice considers potential co-benefits in terms of health, environment and ‘broader wellbeing’. There is an opportunity and a need to further leverage co-benefits of customer affordability, customer choice, and resilience. We recommend that the Commission broaden its understanding of ‘co-benefits’ to capture a wider scope of benefits across the supply chain, and that it be deepened to capture the benefits that can be delivered by customer centric energy services through the supply chain. As is discussed further in Chapter “Dynamic Optimisation for Affordable Electrification” in section “Unlock the value between silos”, the value of new energy technologies and assets through the whole system is demonstrated by VECTOR RESPONSE | CLIMATE CHANGE COMMISSION DRAFT ADVICE 2021 11
click for contents the Whole Energy-System Cost metric (WESC). 3.2 Digitalisation is a key enabler of Behaviour Change, and recommend that As an alternative to the levelized cost of energy affordable energy enabling data and digitalisation of energy (LCOE), the WESC reflects the net cost or value usage should be a recommendation under this Ensuring that distributed systems deliver of energy assets on a dollar per MWh basis – ‘Necessary Action’. the most value for all users of our electricity accounting for whole system benefits such as system requires their integration and This transition is a shift which is occurring across displaced generation, system balancing impact, management through the right digital industries and our economy, in response to and distribution network impact. This illustrative platforms – like Vector’s Distributed Energy climate change and the need to gain value analysis has has found that despite their capital Resource Management System (DERMs). The in a way that is more sustainable than just cost, a residential smart EV charger for instance, importance of smart network management generating, distributing, and consuming more. actually adds new value to the system of ~$174 of new distributed assets is discussed further NZD per MWh. As a key enabler of this transformation, our under the chapter “Dynamic optimisation for energy systems are not immune to this Vector’s View: affordable electrification”, and the potential to imperative to change. Our energy supply unlock new value in meeting future demand Truly unlocking these benefits requires us chains need to move away from a central from distributed generation is discussed to transform the way that we consider our planning mindset, to the enablement of further under the chapter “Levers to expand energy systems – to start with the customer, distributed, customer driven, systems. This the market for new renewable generation and rather than centralised supply. This is an requires us to manage new complexity driven broaden competitive pressure.” As is mentioned exciting ‘tipping point’ for electricity where by the integration of more distributed assets further, digital solutions like DERMs can act the old-fashioned market design is being truly and bi-directional flows of power – rather as a platform enabling the integration of new challenged by a new market designed from than the perpetuation of a centralised, linear technologies, as well as the emergence of new the bottom up and facilitated by the supply chain. competitive markets and products. This is about digital revolution. enabling the creation of new markets – which are not constrained by the currently flawed market structure. Leveraging these platforms to support the delivery of optimal customer services, drives our transition from a commodity based to a service-based energy system. We support the Climate Change Commission’s recognition of the value of platforms and business models for affordable electrification, and we support the Commission’s Necessary Action 16 – Support VECTOR RESPONSE | CLIMATE CHANGE COMMISSION DRAFT ADVICE 2021 12
Doing more from less – from consumption to optimisation “To deliver Net Zero requires a philosophical change in how we look at the energy system from a consumption model to an optimisation model, driving value rather than commodity, fully utilising capital rather than wasting it and most importantly recognising, rewarding and incentivising consumer and demand side optimisation. With the potential of millions of assets, generation, storing, hedging we need to unlock the value and potential of a much wider group of players – a consumption model will stand in its way.” – ReCosting Energy, 2021
click for contents This transition is a shift which is occurring across 3.3 Data is a key enabler of customer and industries and our economy, in response to utility solutions – including new flexibility climate change and the need to gain value services and demand response markets in a way that is more sustainable than just Data can drive efficient, customer centric generating, distributing, and consuming more. energy services, which enable affordable As a key enabler of this transformation, our electrification. For example, ensuring that energy systems are not exempt from this Digital inclusion network planning and investment is built on Covid-19 has accelerated digitalisation. Whilst this imperative to change. Our energy supply data driven analytics rather than traditional top- is an opportunity for decarbonisation this is also a chains need to move away from a central down planning can ensure that infrastructure challenge to ensure that the benefits are distributed planning supply-side dominated mindset, equally. By avoiding cost at a system level, digitally is built to enable customer choice and to meet to the enablement of distributed, customer enabled optimisation gains benefits for all energy customer needs. Other disrupted industries driven, systems. This requires us to manage consumers – not just those who have invested in have put customer needs and preferences at new complexity driven by the integration of smart distributed assets – like solar PV and the heart of their design – the same needs to more distributed assets and bi-directional flows battery systems. be true for our entire energy value chain in of power – rather than the perpetuation of a order to achieve the pathway proposed by We support the Commission’s recommended centralised, linear supply chain. As is discussed Equitable Transitions Strategy, however we the Commission. further in Chapter “Dynamic optimisation for recommend that the timeline for this should be Providing customers with near real-time affordable electrification” Vector has led the brought forward to avoid locking in impacts to low feedback can also trigger important way in this strategic direction through our income households through decisions that are made behavioural change. In winter 2019, our peak- Symphony Strategy – which seeks to deliver before the end of 2023. As well as avoiding cost time rebate trail, in partnership with Mercury, future ready energy systems that enable through smart infrastructure design (including the demonstrated customers’ willingness to reduce decarbonisation and respond to customer smart management of new demand from EVs) digital inclusion, should be a key objective of this strategy. the load during peak hours upon notification needs, by leveraging a range of solutions and 24 hours prior. The programme was targeted value streams to ultimately deliver more with specifically to only reward those who could less. However, we continue to experience contribute on a specific day and did not regulatory decision making which impedes, penalise those who had higher loads than rather than supports, this approach. Just as the usual. We observed that reduction potential Commission’s pathway reflects the investments is quite similar to a direct control solution like that need to be made today to deliver for hot water load control. Smart meter data will the future, energy solution providers need to be essential to monitor the response over a incorporate the right solutions now to enable prolonged period to understand if response our transition and avoid cost in the future. fatigue will set in. VECTOR RESPONSE | CLIMATE CHANGE COMMISSION DRAFT ADVICE 2021 14
click for contents As seen in many other industries, data unlocks As New Zealand transitions to a low emissions Vector is currently undertaking a trial of significant value through transformation. Data economy, the need for near real-time and 200 smart EV chargers in Auckland, using can drive efficient, customer centric energy more granular data delivered by smart the trial to understand customer charging services, which enable affordable electrification. meters is becoming more apparent offering behaviour and its impact on electricity demand For example, network planning and investment potential benefits which extend through our peaks. This trial, which is discussed further in that is driven by data analytics rather than energy supply chain – delivering new value to Chapter “Dynamic optimisation for affordable traditional top-down, aggregate level, planning customers. Smart meter services can enable electrification”, will help to inform smart can ensure that infrastructure is built to enable granular demand response programmes, network management and the design of customer choice and to meet customer needs. remote connections and disconnections, energy systems which meet customer needs Other disrupted industries have put customer and near real-time data for network and preferences, efficiently. For example, needs and preferences at the heart of their performance monitoring. interim findings have found that pricing design – the same needs to be true for our incentives have limited impact in changing the In conjunction with digital platform like entire energy value chain in order to achieve the time of charging, and that algorithmic charging Vector’s DERMs, smart meter data can enable pathway proposed by the Commission. – which staggers charging – has a key role to the efficient integration of distributed energy play in flattening demand peaks (as opposed There is an opportunity to unlock further resources (DER) into low-voltage networks to scheduled charging, for instance). These customer value by improving the flow of data without compromising system security and insights highlight the value of digitally enabled, through our energy system. For example, reliability, as well as dynamic load control. The data driven energy systems. it has taken several years of negotiation for need for network coordination for the efficient networks to gain access to consumption integration of DER is discussed further in the There is an opportunity to unlock greater data from incumbent gentailers refusing to Chapter “Dynamic optimisation for Affordable efficiencies and innovation through data make this available – despite the benefits that Electrification”, section 3.5 – “Unlock the value generated by smart meters. Metering service this data can add to network planning and between silos”. Unlocking the value of data providers such as Vector Metering are well operations – including outage detection and through our energy system, in conjunction with placed to deliver data services, ensuring the safety improvements. This has almost been digital platforms, is key to delivering integrated realisation of significant network and customer resolved by way of the latest default distributor energy systems which meet customers’ benefits and avoiding the unnecessary cost agreement (DDA) facilitated by the Electricity needs and deliver greater system efficiency of duplicating information systems. The New Authority (EA). However, we consider this – effectively incorporating digitally enabled Energy Platform (NEP) developed by Vector and process and the time that it has taken for demand-response solutions such as smart Amazon Web Services (AWS) will enable energy networks to access this data to be an example EV chargers. companies to leverage further value from of coordination failure. data through enhanced analytics capability, delivering smarter energy services. VECTOR RESPONSE | CLIMATE CHANGE COMMISSION DRAFT ADVICE 2021 15
click for contents The New Energy Platform (NEP is a data is known as a country of innovators and 3.4 Energy efficiency measures and analytics and IoT solution set to be developed problem solvers. Being an early mover in distributed generation have a key role to play and co-funded by Vector and Amazon Web researching new technologies and adopting to support affordability and decarbonisation Services (AWS) through the strategic alliance existing technologies will benefit not just As part of the multi-year strategic alliance the climate, but the economy and wellbeing There is an opportunity to go further in driving between Vector and AWS, the New Energy of New Zealanders”. – the Climate Change these future outcomes by targeting passive Platform (NEP) is an Internet of Things (IoT) Commission housing standards and enabling smart home and analytics solution for the energy industry technology in our future housing stock Investing in smart, energy efficient buildings and will be introduced first in Australia and (both new and retrofitted) and digitally enabled Energy efficiency can prevent wasted New Zealand. Drawing on cloud, IoT, and data analytics technology, this platform will enable energy systems is also an opportunity to align emissions, support healthier, warmer homes, greater energy data processing, and smart, our Covid-19 economic recovery with our and deliver greater affordability. We agree with efficient energy services. The insights collected emissions reduction pathway. Energy efficiency the Commission’s comments that: by the NEP will support the development is job-intensive. For example, the American “household electricity bills will depend of tailored product and pricing solutions for Council for Energy Efficiency Economy (ACEEE) on electricity prices, as well as demand. customers based on their energy consumption has found that a $1 million investment in a Households that are able to make energy habits. In the future, insights from the NEP will building efficiency improvement will initially enable energy companies to develop innovative efficiency improvements may be able to support approximately 20 jobs throughout the reduce demand or improve the level of comfort solutions and new market models that economy”. As highlighted by the ACEEE “An accelerate the uptake of renewables, electric in their homes. Households should be able to energy efficiency investment creates more jobs reduce their household electricity bills by, for vehicles, and digital applications. The NEP can displace legacy systems creating a step change than an equivalent investment in either the example, switching to heat pumps, or installing in processing power, flexibility. economy on average or in the utility sector and insulation or LED lightbulbs”. fossil-fuels. Most energy efficiency jobs are also – the Climate Change Commission Driving smart, customer centric future energy local because they often consist of installation systems which can deliver decarbonisation We support any intervention to support or maintenance of equipment locally”. requires the right capability equitable investment in energy efficiency. Our International partnerships can also strengthen data has found that higher income households As highlighted by the Climate Change Commission, ensuring the right level of New Zealand’s data analytics capability, digital have benefitted from energy efficiency at a capability needs to be underpinned by economy for future high value job creation, as rate which is four times faster than low income investment in the right skills development - and well as an efficient, digitalised energy transition. households. In Auckland access to energy our digital economy: The strategic alliance described above, through efficiency is not a level playing field. Access to which Vector and AWS are co-funding the finance and home-ownership remains a key “the education and science and innovation development of the New Energy Platform to determinant of the rate of change. Over the last systems in Aotearoa are critical for ensuring take to global markets, is set to create at least 30 low emissions economic growth…Aotearoa new, highly skilled, roles in Auckland. VECTOR RESPONSE | CLIMATE CHANGE COMMISSION DRAFT ADVICE 2021 16
click for contents decade, we have seen owner-occupied homes We agree with the assumptions related to the Examples of international policies to drive more decrease energy use at a faster pace than future energy intensity of homes mentioned efficient housing include: tenanted homes, which adds to the burden above. Whilst there are a number of uncertain • In Germany, passive builds that meet a set of increasing Auckland house prices for those variables which would impact this, this is efficiency level qualify for significantly reduced not on the property ladder. On behalf of its broadly consistent with our own current energy interest rates for the life of the loan that can customer owners, Vector’s majority shareholder efficiency modelling for Auckland. As always transfer between owners (available for the first Entrust, continues to prioritise investment in there is an opportunity to change our projection mortgage only). solutions which deliver new value to customers. of the future based on the investments that we make today – this is what underpins the Climate • The case of the EU, which doesn’t allow The Commission has also noted that Change Commission’s emissions reduction incandescent lightbulbs, has shown that the improvements in energy efficiency may not pathway. The Commission is proposing our additional up-front cost of efficient lightbulbs always translate into lower demand, as many future be more than the sum of today’s inputs tends to reduce over time, as demand and the customers may choose to heat their homes and actions multiplied by years. We agree and market expands. An advantage of being a ‘fast more as a result of savings made. hold that there is an opportunity to turn the dial follower’ of this policy is that the market for “Because homes in Aotearoa are typically further on energy efficiency gains by making LED lightbulbs already exists at scale globally. underheated in winter, households may choose the right investments today. We recommend • The benefits of increasing the thermal to heat their home more after improving that the Commission push further in its view of capacity of buildings is also being investigated energy efficiency, rather than reducing their what is possible by way of a smart, digitalised in Switzerland. This approach focuses not energy use or emissions. We assume that energy future which is built around customer just on insulation efficiency but leverages existing homes’ energy intensity improves by needs – including to recognise the potential of the larger thermal capacitance of heavier 6% by 2035. We assume newly built homes are IoT enabled smart home technology buildings to enable them to retain warmth, 35% more energy efficient compared to and passive housing –to strengthen allowing slow, constant heating – as opposed today’s performance”. energy efficiency. to having peaks when people come home. – the Climate Change Commission The desired net effect is that less heating We note that passive housing – houses which is required, particularly during spring and require much less heating – would reduce autumn, as the heat from the day lasts the impact of energy efficiency savings being through the night. offset by more heating (known as the “rebound effect”), strengthening the connection between efficiency and reduced demand. Passive buildings ‘turn off the tap’ when it comes to wasted energy and wasted emissions. VECTOR RESPONSE | CLIMATE CHANGE COMMISSION DRAFT ADVICE 2021 17
click for contents Transforming operational efficiency “The most significant operational carbon emissions are the indirect carbon emissions We note the Commission and the Ministry of from the use of electricity and water when Business Innovation and Employment (MBIE) we live and work in buildings…approximately are focused in the same direction when it 20% of all energy in NZ is consumed in the comes to the Commission’s recommendations operation of buildings. Currently many to strengthen efficiency measures and the buildings are cold, damp and poorly ventilated operational performance of buildings, and which impacts on occupant health and MBIE’s Transforming operational efficiency wellbeing. The indoor environmental quality framework consulted on last year. However, we (IEQ) of buildings is primarily related to how also note the timeframes proposed by MBIE much energy is required to maintain suitable do not match the timelines set out by the indoor conditions throughout the year i.e., the Commission. MBIE has proposed the creation operational efficiency.” - MBIE of an Operational Emissions Cap and Water Use Cap for new buildings that will tighten in There is a further opportunity to offset this a series of steps, reaching a final cap by 2035. demand and reduce emissions from buildings’ Energy efficiency measures related to existing electricity consumption through the integration buildings are however outside the scope of of distributed solar and battery solutions. We the programme. Given existing buildings are note that onsite renewable generation and expected to make up approximately 65% of storage is not covered by MBIE’s building for New Zealand’s building stock in 2050, as well climate change programme. This represents a as a similar percentage of building-related missed opportunity. We recommend that the emissions, this represents a missed opportunity Commission further recognise the potential to achieve emissions reductions in the building of distributed generation, and recommend management sector. further steps to drive the efficient uptake of distributed energy systems. Further details on We support a faster progression of work these recommendations are in Chapter “Levers to transform operational efficiency of new to expand the market for new renewable and existing buildings, including with the generation and broaden competitive pressure” recommendations below, in line with the and “Dynamic Optimisation for affordable timelines proposed under the Commission’s electrification”, section “Let’s learn from others emissions budgets. As noted by MBIE: regarding the need for smart integration of new distributed generation”. VECTOR RESPONSE | CLIMATE CHANGE COMMISSION DRAFT ADVICE 2021 18
case study The Kainga Tuatahi project, in partnership between Vector and Ngāti Whātua, supported by Entrust, provides behind the meter solar and battery systems for each of the 30 houses at Kupe street – a residential development for iwi first home-owners delivered by Ngāti Whātua Ōrākei. This project was designed to align with the objectives of Ngāti Whātua – to develop Waro Kore Papakāinga – a carbon zero community – with affordable and healthy housing. This includes bringing together innovative energy systems, waste systems, healthy waterways, kai sovereignty, and ecological enhancement. The project enables customers to generate and store power for their own consumption and to export any surplus to the grid for a credit. In the year ending 2020, the solar battery systems provided on average, 36 percent of customers’ total consumption. Overall, Kupe street households used 20% less grid sourced kWh pa on average than the control group. In the first four months, this resulted in savings of around 12.55 tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent (CO2e). The systems have reduced some home- owners’ electricity bills – for power from the centralised grid – to as little as $13 per month. Kupe Street – Ngāti Whātua Orakei housing development and site of Kainga Tuatahi project, Vector, In addition to delivering these customer benefits, the trial, which is still ongoing, seeks to assess the launched 2016 performance of tesla powerwall batteries in maximising solar consumption, increasing resilience (by providing back up electricity for customers in the case of an outage), and reducing peaks. Analysis has so far shown that residential batteries can contribute to a 30% peak reduction in conjunction with solar.
click for contents We strongly support the Commission’s We support: Recommendations recommendation to enable more independent • “Necessary Action 9: increase energy • We recommend that Leveraging and generation and distributed generation. efficiency in buildings” including the enabling digitalisation be added as a principle There are further opportunities to encourage recommendation to introduce mandatory underpinning the Commission’s advice. This distributed energy systems on the network measures to improve the operational will ensure that the Commission’s analysis and through market and regulatory change – which energy performance of commercial and recommendations will support smart energy could play a role in changing our public buildings, as well as to continue systems. This should include consideration for market structure improving energy efficient standards for all how investment choices being made today As highlighted by ReCosting Energy, new buildings, new and continuing stock, support digital inclusion – ensuring that all transforming our system to start with the through measures like improving insulation customers benefit from the value customer and to unlock the ‘decarbonisation requirements. We recommend that these of digitalisation. dividend’ requires us to ‘reward customers’ measures incorporate the impact of onsite • We recommend that we start from the actions and assets’. generation. We recommend that these customer, rather than the power plant, in how measures incorporate consideration for There are a number of aspects of our current we consider our energy system and make onsite generation. regulatory framework which inhibit the investments for the future. This requires a customer value proposition of investing in • We support the Commission’s re-engineering of our system to start with these assets. For example, under our current recommendation to expand assistance which demand, not supply. regulatory framework there can only be one targets low-income households. • We recommend that the Commission include retailer per ICP preventing customers from • We support the recommendation “Assess enabling digitalisation of energy usage and data sourcing some generation from the grid and the Government’s current standards and to drive energy decisions as a recommendation other generation from community or Peer-to- funding programmes for insulation and under the Commission’s Necessary Action 16: Peer traded with other consumers, for example. efficient heating to determine whether they Support Behaviour Change. Further market and regulatory barriers to the are delivering at an appropriate pace and integration of new renewable generation is • We recommend that the Commission’s scale, and how they could impact housing and included in the next Chapter “Levers to expand recommended Equitable Transitions Strategy, energy affordability. The Government should the market for new renewable generation and include digital inclusion as a key objective. give particular consideration to potential flow broaden competitive pressure.” through costs to tenants, and to government- owned housing stock.” Included under Necessary Action 1: An equitable, inclusive and well-planned climate transition. VECTOR RESPONSE | CLIMATE CHANGE COMMISSION DRAFT ADVICE 2021 20
click for contents • We recommend the implementation of open standards for future smart home technology and products – this can avoid the risk of tech lock in and support the longevity of investment choices made by customers. We see an opportunity for this to be incorporated into MBIE’s Building for Climate Change workstream. • We recommend that public housing procurement decisions align with passive, smart, future housing stock including efficient joinery for new builds. Having enough of the right components ready for affordable, future- ready homes is critical. The greatest gains for future energy efficiency can be made at the point of construction. • In addition to targeting energy efficiency we consider incentives for smart and passive home solutions. VECTOR RESPONSE | CLIMATE CHANGE COMMISSION DRAFT ADVICE 2021 21
Levers to expand the market for new renewable generation and broaden competitive pressure
click for contents 4.1 There is an opportunity to meet growing making New Zealand’s renewable electricity (as has been the case with Tiwai’s continued electricity demand through levelling the generation available for wider New Zealand, subsidisation). playing field for independent, distributed supporting affordable electrification and our As has been highlighted recently by Climate generation and greater EDB participation in pathway to net zero, this exit would ensure Change Minister, James Shaw, New Zealand solar and micro-grids, and through a review that infrastructure which has been funded needs to consider measures to police carbon of current market dominance and behaviour significantly by tax-payers, delivers value in imports, and, whether such measures are to them – rather than an overseas owned to be included in a review of free allocations The impact of Tiwai for both New Zealand’s aluminium smelter. (‘industrial allocations’) under the Emissions domestic pathway and global emissions – As has been recognised by the Commission Trading Scheme (ETS). The European including imported emissions in its draft advice, and in particular in Parliament has recently supported a proposal The Commission has found that we need to the commentary around the Nationally to tax imports from countries with lower carbon increase annual electricity generation by 20% Determined Contributions (NDCs) it is key costs than in the EU – applying to imports by 2035 to meet future energy demand. This is that New Zealand makes a fair contribution of energy and energy intensive products including the assumption that Tiwai exits fully to emissions reductions globally. Part of this is including steel. We support the Commission’s by 2026. approach is considering emissions which are recommendation for a ‘first principles’ review of As noted by the Commission, industry needs produced through global supply chains, and the free allocation of emission credits to energy certainty to make the investment in generation the impact that our decisions would have on intensive businesses in New Zealand – and to meet future demand. The continued these emissions. hold that future decisions around Tiwai need uncertainty around the exit of Tiwai – which to consider the impact of the business on New Whilst Tiwai does not disclose its emissions Zealand’s imported emissions. the business has continually used as part of from shipping currently, importing primary a political negotiation strategy – has deferred Leverage new, distributed generation to meet materials to produce aluminium in New this necessary investment. We agree with the future demand Zealand and exporting the product to global Commission that: markets, would produce significant emissions. Meeting the future demand included in the “electricity generation companies may not Taking a wider view of global emissions and Commission’s pathway will require us to bring commit to this expansion in capacity while scope two and three emissions, if Tiwai were a range of new sources of generation to market there is uncertainty around the future of the located in a different economy which was – including distributed generation. The value New Zealand Aluminium Smelter at Tiwai closer to markets and primary materials, these of distributed solutions to increase renewables Point”. – the Climate Change Commission emissions would be largely avoided. Just as is demonstrated by the ‘renewables revolution’ New Zealand ought not to export emissions, experienced by the UK – whereby in 2019 over With Tiwai currently consuming around 13 we also should not import them – particularly 14% of UK renewable generation was from small percent of New Zealand’s total electricity, the when we are spending tax-payer and/or scale generation systems – across over one timing of this exit will be material. As well as electricity consumer funded subsidies to do so million different systems. VECTOR RESPONSE | CLIMATE CHANGE COMMISSION DRAFT ADVICE 2021 23
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