CHARTER AND CARGO - NICHE AVIATION BUSINESSES DELIVERING LOW RISK, HIGH MARGIN REVENUE - MERREN MCARTHUR CHIEF EXECUTIVE VIRGIN AUSTRALIA REGIONAL ...
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Charter and Cargo - Niche aviation businesses delivering low risk, high margin revenue Merren McArthur Chief Executive Virgin Australia Regional Airlines and Virgin Australia Cargo
OUTLINE Charter and Cargo – Virgin Australia Group Strategy Charter ‒ The story of Virgin Australia Regional Airlines ‒ Charter Operations v RPT Operations ‒ Riding the Resources Boom/Bust cycle Cargo ‒ Story of a Start Up ‒ Cargo Network 2
CHARTER AND CARGO – DIVERSIFYING THE GROUP REVENUE BASE Charter / Cargo Domestic Mainline Freighter Business (Bellyspace on pax aircraft) Low Medium – High Volatility of Demand High (Long Term Contracts) (Some Long Term Contracts) Low n/a Supply Side Risk1 Medium to High (Capacity contracted by customer) (Dictated by Pax Business) Low Capital Investment High Nil (Older Aircraft) Investment Planning 3 – 5 years 6 – 9 months n/a Horizon Margins 0 – 10%2 6% - 12% 80% + Niche aviation businesses leveraging mainline to deliver low risk, high yielding revenue stream 1 Risk that capacity will exceed demand 3 2 Based on Australian Aviation Industry margins 2012-2017
VARA– TRANSFORMATION OF A 50 YEAR OLD AIRLINE Apr A320 fleet size to Jun 17 18 increase from 2 to 3 Resources Feb F50 fleet Jul 16 downturn 16 decommissioned Dec Jul 16 ATRs transferred to 15 VAA Fe b Sep 14 May F100 fleet size grew 15 16 from 10 to 14 May Mar Airline re-branded as 13 16 VARA Virgin AustraliaApr Cargo offers an innovative, reliable and responsive cargo solution to our customers Virgin Australia 13 acquires Skywest 4
CHARTER VS RPT MODEL Key Attributes RPT Charter Certainty of demand Volatile / Discretionary Contracted / Essential Visibility of demand 1mth 6 mths Aircraft procurement lead time 2-3 years 3-6 mths Capital Cost of aircraft (B737 v F100) > $90m < $4m Fuel cost Volatility of market pricing and hedging policies Pricing volatility passed through to customers High utilisation required to deliver return on Schedule Low utilisation tailored to customer needs capital investment Clients Diverse - corporate and retail Predominantly resource sector Charter = low risk, high yielding revenue stream, reliant on resource industry cycles 5
FIFO MARKET – THE PERCEPTION Aerodromes lacking in facilities Charter = low risk, high yielding revenue stream, reliant on resource industry cycles Small, 20 seat aircraft Dirt Runways 6
THE REALITY - EVOLUTION OF THE FIFO AIRPORT Old Onslow Terminal Charter = low risk, high yielding revenue stream, reliant on resource industry cycles New Onslow Terminal 7
THE REALITY – CHARTER AIRCRAFT Charter = low risk, high yielding revenue stream, reliant on resource industry cycles 8
RIDING THE RESOURCES CYCLE- FIFO WEEKLY DEMAND PATTERN 60 2009 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 50 40 30 20 10 0 Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Tuesday to Thursday requirements dominate the weekly schedule Charter Monday and Friday = lowhave requirements risk,increased high yielding revenue stream, reliant on resource industry cycles 9
RIDING THE RESOURCES CYCLE – FIFO DEMAND OUTLOOK- WA 400 Charter RPT 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 1 -50 -100 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Volumes are large, with some customers having more than 300,000 passengers per year Forecast decline in size of resources sector workforce, but demand is expected to remain high due shorter operational roster cycles Charter 313,000 incremental = lowexpected FIFO workers risk, high yielding to utilise Perthrevenue stream, Airport annually reliant on by 2020 resource industry cycles Note: Increment on 2014 levels Source: 2015-2025 Western Australian Resources Sector Outlook, 13 November 2014 10
VIRGIN AUSTRALIA CARGO – STORY OF A START UP Prior to Virgin Australia Cargo Entry Qantas holds a virtual monopoly in domestic cargo market Jun Jun Toll carries most of its cargo on its own freighters 200 trading accounts 17 17 No choices available to other major customers (TNT / DHL etc) Market is poised for disruption Jul TNT contract Jul 16 16 commenced Jul Freighter network Jul 16 16 launched Fe b May 14 May 100 trading After launch of Virgin Australia Cargo 16 16 accounts Real choice to cargo customers in airport-to-airport cargo market* Mar 5-year exclusive cargo services agreement signed with TNT Mar 16 TNT contract signed More than 200 trading accounts with in excess of 60 in the 16 pipeline Oct Virgin Australia Cargo offers Virginan innovative, Australia Cargo reliable and responsive cargo solution Improved utilisation to of our Virgincustomers Australia’s mainline belly space 15 launched capacity *: No competitive alternative since 2001 11
VIRGIN AUSTRALIA CARGO NETWORK Current Freighter Network Freighter Network ‒ 3 x BAe 146 ‒ 1 x B737 – 300 CAIRNS TOWNSVILLE ‒ Goal to transition to low noise, fuel efficient B737NG fleet, subject to Sydney Curfew Amendment Existing Virgin Australia Passenger Network ‒ Leverage capabilities of ~ 3,700 passenger flights to 43 domestic BRISBANE and 15 international destinations PERTH SYDNEY Innovative Booking Portal ADELAIDE ‒ First cargo business to make the booking portal (iCargo) available AIRWORK MELBOURNE on mobile devices PIONAIR BAE146-200QT PIONAIR BAE146-200QT LAUNCESTO N Virgin Australia Cargo offers an innovative, reliable and responsive cargo solution to our customers 12
QUESTIONS 13
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