Central London Gym Market Review 2017 - Colliers International

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Central London Gym Market Review 2017 - Colliers International
Central London
Gym Market Review
2017

           Colliers International | Central London Gym Market Review 2017   1
Central London Gym Market Review 2017 - Colliers International
UNPRECEDENTED                           The gym market is booming, driven by rapid growth at the low cost end of the market, popularity of
                                                                                                             studio concepts with flexible memberships and new operators with ambitious expansion plans.

                                                                     GROWTH                                  This competition for sites, particularly in Central London, is not only driving rental growth, but also
                                                                                                             necessitating broader property searches considering less conforming units. Furthermore, a rise in the
                                                                     ––Central London gym market             popularity of athleisure wear and clean eating have led many gyms and studios to dedicate space to
                                                                       is diversifying                       secondary spends such as juice bars (e.g. Psycle, Mortimer Street and 1 Rebel) or retail collaborations.

                                                                     ––Operators taking a variety of space
                                                                                                             Definitions
                                                                     ––Further space being dedicated to
                                                                       secondary spends                                                 MONTHLY                                                   EXAMPLE
                                                                                                                                                                    FACILITIES
                                                                                                                                        MEMBERSHIP                                                OPERATORS

                                                                                                                                                                    Gym & studio (limited         Pure Gym,
                                                                                                              BUDGET
Central London Gym Market Review 2017 - Colliers International
THE LONDON                                                The Central London gym market remains
                                                          dominated by mid-market operators in terms
                                                                                                                   The budget gym market in London remains
                                                                                                                   incredibly nascent, with 46% of the clubs in this

MARKET
                                                          of both the number of clubs and the amount               segment only opening in 2016. Similarly, 26% of
                                                          of floorspace. Whilst luxury concepts account            the studio concepts in the capital are new and
                                                          for only 10% of the gyms in the capital, they            looking back before 2014 there were very few
–– Growth in budget and                                   represent 22% of the total floorspace as a result        such operations. The first Barry’s Bootcamp
                                                          of the larger units that are needed to house the         opened in February 2013 and Boom Cycle led
   studio segments
                                                          swimming pools, studios and specialist facilities        the way for the spin studios, first opening in
–– Rents highest for studios and                          including climbing walls, hypoxic chambers and           Shoreditch in 2013.
                                                          bespoke laundry & ironing services that set these
   luxury gyms                                                                                                     This change in market composition has
                                                          clubs apart.
                                                                                                                   implications for the types of properties that can
–– Office basements could be utilised to
                                                          Conversely, studio concepts now make up 21% of           now be considered for fitness concepts. Smaller
   provide new gym space                                  clubs, but with an average size of 4,556 sq ft, due      units of 3,000 to 5,000 sq ft near transport hubs
                                                          to their compact formats, only contribute 6% of          are ideal for studio concepts, but competition with
                                                          London’s total gym space. Significant expansion by       other uses results in higher rents. In fact, analysis
                                                          Pure Gym, through the acquisition of LA Fitness,         of our rental database found that studio concepts
                                                                                                                                                                           Anti-gravity yoga at The Virgin Active Collection
                                                          moved ten London gyms across from Mid-Market             are paying twice the average rents of mid-market
                                                          to Budget, which when added to The Gym                   gym operators at £27.80 psf vs £13.40 psf.
                                                          Group’s acquisition of four Fitness First units and
                                                          aggressive organic new openings from Anytime             The £2.48 psf gap between the rents paid by mid-
                                                          Fitness, means one in every five clubs are now           market and budget operators is likely a result of                                                           In spite of requiring the largest space, luxury gyms     capital is below the ground, compared to only 20%
                                                          run by low cost operators.                               the recent deals at the low cost end of the market                                                          are also paying higher rents - on average £21.56         of the Third Space estate and 29% of Soho Gyms.
                                                                                                                   and implies rental growth should feed through to                                                            psf. This is driven by the scarcity of suitable space
                                                                                                                   mid-market clubs through rent reviews over the                                                              in Central London for these sorts of operations,         With rental growth in the gyms market and
                                                                                                                   next couple of years.                                                                                       as well as the comparatively expensive locations         anticipated supply constraints, more landlords
                                                                                                                                                                                                                               of these clubs in areas such as Kensington and           could consider using the basements of their office
                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Marylebone. However, with membership fees in             buildings for fitness concepts as a means of
        Number of                                                                            Floorspace                                                                                                                                                                                 delivering much needed future floorspace, deriving
                                             10%                                                                                       6%                                                                                      excess of £135/month as a result of their superior
         Gyms by                                                                          Breakdown by                                                                                                                                                                                  long term income (owing to the 15-20 year leases
                                                                                                                                                                                                                               facilities, these clubs are also better placed to
         Category                                                      20%                     Category                                                                                                                                                                                 available) and providing a further offer
                                                                                                                   22%                                                                                                         afford these higher rents and outbid others on
                                                                                                                                                     17%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                               competitive units.                                       for workers.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                               The proportion of basement space may also have
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        AVERAGE RENTS BY CLUB TYPE
                                                                                                                                                                                                                               a role to play in rental values. Again, breaking
                                                                                                                                                                                                                               down by gym type reveals some great diversity
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           STUDIO                          BUDGET
                                                                              21%                                                                                                                                              in the proportion of space beneath the ground
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           £27.80 psf                      £15.88 psf
                                                                                                                                                                                                                               that each type of operator will accept. Only 35%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                               of studio space is underground, whereas 54% of
                                      49%                                                                                                                                                                                      mid-market gym space is at basement level.                  MID MARKET                      LUXURY
                                                                                                                                55%                                                                                                                                                        £13.40 psf                      £21.56 psf
                                                                                                                                                                                                                               At an operator level, there is even greater
                                                                                                                                                                                                                               diversity. 82% of the Fitness First space in the                                       Source: Colliers International

                                                        Budget               Mid Market        Luxury         Studio

4     Central London Gym Market Review 2017 | Colliers International                                                                                                                                                                                                       Colliers International | Central London Gym Market Review 2017          5
Central London Gym Market Review 2017 - Colliers International
NUMBER OF GYMS
                                       KING’S CROSS
                                                                                                                                                             AVERAGE MONTHLY COST

                      7 GYMS                                                                                                                                     Ratio of workers: gyms
                                                                                                                                                                 > 30,000
                      £39/MONTH                                                                                     ALDGATE

                                                                                                                                    Potential for new gyms
                                                           FARRINGDON
                                                                            6 GYMS
                                 BLOOMSBURY                                                                                                                      Ratio of workers: gyms
                                                          8 GYMS            £65/MONTH
                                                                                                                                                                 22,000 – 30,000
                                                                                  SHOREDITCH
                               3 GYMS                     £61/MONTH
                                                                                                      5 GYMS
                               £44/MONTH                                           CITY CORE          £66/MONTH                                                  Ratio of workers: gyms
                                                        HOLBORN
                                                                                                                                                                 < 22,000
                                                 5 GYMS
                                                                               30 GYMS
                                                 £50/MONTH
                              COVENT
                                                                               £73/MONTH
                              GARDEN                                                                                          DOCKLANDS
                           9 GYMS
                           £61/MONTH
                                                            SOUTHBANK
                                                            9 GYMS                                                            4 GYMS
                                                            £58/MONTH                                                         £93/MONTH

                                                                                                                                                                                          LOOKING
                     5 GYMS                                                                                                                                                                                                     There are already a number of new gyms in the           million for future openings has injected a new
                     £53/MONTH                                                                                                                                                                                                  pipeline for 2017 and the majority of these are         dynamism to the gyms market. This increasingly
            VICTORIA/

                                                                                                                                                                                          FORWARD
            WESTMINSTER
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                planned for areas in which we have identified           competitive environment is necessitating
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                significant latent demand. In Shoreditch, openings      greater differentiation and investment in studios
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                from PureGym (expected early 2017) and Equinox          and facilities, particularly as more flexible
                                                                                                                                                                                          ––Skill learning concepts e.g         (opening as part of The Stage in 2019) will not         memberships, pay-to-train and options such as
SCOPE FOR                                                   Membership fees continue to account for the
                                                            majority of gym revenues meaning that attracting
                                                                                                                    The analysis looked at how each of the London
                                                                                                                    office sub-markets compared to this benchmark                           boxing and barre are likely to be   only reduce current pressure on gyms in the area,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                but also diversify the offer by providing the first
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Class Pass, mean loyalty is no longer guaranteed
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        through lengthy fixed contracts.
                                                                                                                                                                                            major trends
NEW OPENINGS
                                                            sufficient members is critical to gym success.          based on current provision. The office
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                budget and luxury concepts.
                                                            Whilst outside of Central London this means             development pipeline is used as a proxy to project                                                                                                                  An improved ability to move between providers or
                                                            having a significant residential population within a    the number of workers to 2018, which then gives                       ––Insufficient provision and future   Similarly, the opening of BXR in Marylebone,            use multiple studios means customer expectations
    ––c. 25,000 worker catchment                            short distance of your gym, in the capital the key is   a resultant view on the number of additional gyms                       market growth make clear case       backed by IBF Heavyweight World Champion                have risen and clubs must provide a tailored
      should support membership levels                      locating in areas with a high density of workers.       each area could support over the next two years,                        for investment                      Anthony Joshua (cover image: Scott Heavey),             experience, expertise on hand and state-of-the-
                                                                                                                    based on both the existing gap and new workers.                                                             will combine pay-to-train and luxury membership         art facilities in an appealing environment. Existing
    ––Research suggests scope for at
                                                            As a result, using a ratio of workers per gym                                                                                 ––Vibrant occupier market should      concepts in a 12,000 sq ft glass fronted unit, also     players such as Virgin Active have responded
                                                            can provide a powerful metric for assessing the         Overall, we found Central London could support a                        drive rental growth
      least 31 new London gyms                              current gym provision in an area and identifying        net increase of 31 gyms to reach the benchmark
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                featuring an in-house clinic and Joe & The Juice        by upgrading ten clubs to its Virgin Active
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                for members. Again, this will both meet latent          Collection format and are actively seeking further
                                                            any potential gaps for further clubs. Based on          workers per gym, with 12 of the 20 sub-markets
    ––The top 3 locations with additional                                                                                                                                                                                       demand in the area and broaden the fitness offer        representation for this concept.
                                                            12.2% of the adult population (18-70) being             showing an under-supply. In fact, this metric is
      gym potential are (no. gyms):                         members of a gym (Sources: Mintel, Experian)            likely to under-estimate potential, given many of
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                for Marylebone, where the only studio is currently
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Xtend Barre. With further openings from 1Rebel          With current provision insufficient to meet demand
        - Farringdon (10)                                   and 3000 members per club, our figures estimate         these sub-markets will also have a significant
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                and Kobox also planned for 2017, we anticipate          in many parts of Central London, forecast growth
        - Shoreditch (6)                                    a catchment of around 24,600 workers would be           residential element to demand (e.g. Chelsea,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                boxing concepts to be a major trend over the            of £0.5bn by 2021 (Mintel) and the health and
        - Victoria/Westminster (5)                          needed to support a traditional gym. We estimate a      Kensington). It is also possible that the proportion                                                                                                                fitness agenda continuing to gather pace, there
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                coming year.
                                                            studio concept, given the lower cost base, could be     of adults with gym memberships is higher in                                                                                                                         is clear justification for investment in gyms and
                                                            supported by a catchment of around half this size.      Central London than for the UK as a whole, owing                                                            The constant stream of new concepts and                 facilities. This vibrant occupier market makes a
                                                                                                                    to the generally younger demographic.                                                                       ambitious expansion plans from the likes of             compelling case for healthy rental growth ahead in
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Gymbox, who have just raised a further £39              the Central London gym market.

6       Central London Gym Market Review 2017 | Colliers International                                                                                                                                                                                                     Colliers International | Central London Gym Market Review 2017   7
Central London Gym Market Review 2017 - Colliers International
The Colliers International specialist Leisure Agency and Lease Advisory
             teams provide market leading services across the diverse London Health
             & Fitness sector.
             For more details on our services, please contact us below:

CONTACT US   Lease Advisory
                        Dan Taylor
                        Head of Retail & Leisure Lease Advisory
                        +44 20 7344 6871
                        dan.taylor@colliers.com

             Agency & Development
                       Ross Kirton
                       Head of UK Leisure Agency
                       +44 20 7487 1615
                       ross.kirton@colliers.com

             Research and Forecasting
                        Jess Ford
                        Senior Research Analyst Retail & Leisure
                        +44 20 7344 6814
                        jess.ford@colliers.com
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