NEW IS GOLD CELEBRITY BRAND VALUATION STUDY 2019 - Duff & Phelps | India
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Contents 01 Foreword 05 02 Celebrity Brand Values 06 03 Celebrity Brand Ranking 07 04 Introduction 08 Media and Entertainment Industry Advertising Industry Segment Highlights Overview of Celebrity Endorsements Current Celebrity Endorsements 05 New Is Gold 21 New Faces New Age Brand Endorsements and New Concepts #starvestors 06 Key Trends in Celebrity Endorsement Space 33 Rise of the OTT Celebrity Consciousness Curve South India: A Tectonic Shift 07 Industry Speaks 45 08 Valuation Methodology 48 09 Valuation Conclusion 52 10 The Pseudo Awards 54
Celebrity Brand Valuation Study 2019 Foreword Dear Reader, It gives me great pleasure to present the fifth edition of our study on India’s most valuable celebrity brands. The theme of this year’s study is “New is Gold”, which recognizes the ascent of millennial celebrity endorsers to the top of our brand value rankings. We witnessed a shift in focus from established celebrities to new faces across the advertising and media industry over the past year. And not just new faces: 2019 also saw the emergence of new brands and new platforms targeting and growing the Indian millennial ecosystem. Be it brand endorsements, films or startups, millennial and Gen Z stars have performed exceptionally well Varun Gupta in the past year. They seem to be the preferred choice for brand endorsements as companies increase Managing Director and their focus on youth, leveraging their new-age personality attributes. Asia Pacific Leader Valuation Advisory Services For an advertiser, being associated with a celebrity who is consistently performing is a key factor in Duff & Phelps assessing the brand potential. Celebrity brand endorsers add value by appealing to their fan following across India and abroad. It helps the brand in building greater awareness and attracting potential consumers. Several studies also suggest that a celebrity endorser generates in higher brand recall than a non-celebrity endorser. Our 2018 report, The Bold, the Beautiful and the Brilliant, recognized Virat Kohli’s reign at the top for the second year in a row, Deepika Padukone’s meteoric rise and the emergence of power couples. The trend continued this year, with Virat Kohli, Akshay Kumar and Deepika Padukone retaining the top three positions in our rankings, and continuing to be the primary choice of product brands to engage and attract consumers. As Akshay Kumar jumped a spot higher to No. 2, the buzzing Gully Boy, Ranveer Singh, also jumped a notch higher, sharing the No. 3 spot with his wife, Deepika Padukone. While established celebrities continue to dominate our rankings, notable millennials also made an entry to the list. National award winner Ayushmann Khurrana, dancing wizard Tiger Shroff and Hitman Rohit Sharma grabbed the No. 10, No. 17 and No. 20 spots, respectively. The overall brand value of the top 20 celebrities in 2019 is estimated at USD 1.1 bn, an increase of 25% from last year. Meanwhile, it has been an exciting year for Duff & Phelps. A global consortium of investors has agreed to acquire the firm for USD 4.2 bn. This marks a massive vote of confidence in the long-term growth prospects of Duff & Phelps. Our India operations are right at the centre stage of this growth. Among other things, we have launched a technology and innovation center at Hyderabad’s HITEC City. The center will focus on software development, automation and innovation, with a team of experienced software engineers, technologists and senior leaders. Earlier this year, we also released the sixth edition of our annual report on brand values in the Indian Premier League. The report was very well received by both our readers and the media. I would like to take this opportunity to thank all our readers and clients for their continued support. We hope you find our analysis interesting, and we look forward to your feedback. Yours sincerely, Varun Gupta Duff & Phelps 5
Celebrity Brand Valuation Study 2019 Celebrity Brand Values 1. Virat Kohli Photo Courtesy: BCCI Virat Kohli scores a hat trick as India’s most valuable celebrity with a brand value of USD 237.5 mn 2. Akshay Kumar 3. Deepika Padukone Dabboo Ratnani and Ranveer Singh KA Enterprises Akshay Kumar takes the second position, with a brand value of USD 104.5 mn The dynamic power couple, Ranveer and Deepika, claim the third spot with a brand Photo Courtesy value of USD 93.5 mn each
Celebrity Brand Valuation Study 2019 Celebrity Brand Ranking We present the list of top 20 celebrity brands for 2019 below: Celebrity 2019 Brand Rank Brand Value (USD Mn) 2018 Brand Rank1 Virat Kohli 1 237.5 1 Akshay Kumar 2 104.5 3 Deepika Padukone 3 93.5 2 Ranveer Singh 3 93.5 4 Shah Rukh Khan 5 66.1 5 Salman Khan 6 55.7 6 Alia Bhatt 7 45.8 8 Amitabh Bachchan 8 42.5 7 Mahendra Singh Dhoni 9 41.2 12 Ayushmann Khurrana 10 40.3 New Hrithik Roshan 11 38.9 10 Varun Dhawan 12 35.2 9 Priyanka Chopra 13 32.2 19 Ranbir Kapoor 14 27.0 16 Sachin Tendulkar 15 25.1 14 Aamir Khan 16 24.9 11 Tiger Shroff 17 24.2 New Anushka Sharma 18 23.9 13 Kareena Kapoor Khan 19 23.7 17 Rohit Sharma 20 23.0 New USD 1.1 Bn 1 Previous rank as determined in the fourth edition of this report titled “The Bold, the Beautiful and the Brilliant”, published in January 2019 Duff & Phelps 7
Celebrity Brand Valuation Study 2019 Introduction If India were a cocktail event, celebrities would be the ones The celebrity is considered based on the identity and who make the most heads turn. So it’s no surprise that personality of the brand and what it aims to depict to its target celebrities continue to play matchmaker between buyers and audience. Before analyzing the celebrity endorsements space sellers. Association of a product brand with a celebrity not only and key trends therein, we begin by discussing an overview generates a higher brand recall but also increases the credibility of the larger Media & Entertainment Industry followed by the of the product. Celebrity brand ambassadors add value to the Advertising Industry. product’s brand image and positioning by influencing consumer purchase decisions, creating awareness, attracting potential customers and increasing the likeability of the associated brand. “For a star-struck nation as ours, celebrity endorsements increase a product’s attractiveness and aims to build the right perception for it. Market size for digital as a percentage of films increased from 47% in FY16 to 95% in FY19. Given this unprecedented growth rate, digital is expected to soon overtake films to be the third largest segment in the media and entertainment space. Resultantly, celebrity endorsements, have witnessed a greater push towards use of digital advertising as a means of focused communication.” Vibhor Nayar, CFA Vice President, Valuation Services Duff & Phelps Duff & Phelps 8
Celebrity Brand Valuation Study 2019 Media & Entertainment Industry Over the previous decade, India has become a highly attractive According to KPMG’s report, India’s Digital Future: Mass of media and entertainment (M&E) market, driven by favorable Niches, the Indian M&E industry is expected to grow at a demographic and economic factors. In 2019, the M&E industry compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 13.5% between reached a size of INR 1,631 bn, a growth of 13% over the past FY19 and FY24, with advertising revenues expected to grow at year. While TV continued to be the largest segment in absolute a CAGR of 14.5% during the same period. terms, the digital segment saw the fastest growth rate. M&E Industry - Market Size (INR Bn) 800 700 714 600 652 595 500 552 400 300 333 319 308 228 200 183 173 159 145 100 137 121 62 44 34 32 88 28 26 29 32 86 23 24 26 28 74 17 65 11 13 14 62 53 0 TV Print Films Digital Animation Gaming OOH Radio Music & VFX • FY 16 • FY 17 • FY 18 • FY 19 Source: KPMG India’s Digital Future: Mass of Niches Report 2019 Duff & Phelps 9
Celebrity Brand Valuation Study 2019 Advertising Industry The advertising industry, which is considered the fuel that heavyweight TV at 12.1%, followed by radio at 6.2%. Both print drives the M&E industry, also saw a substantial growth in the and out-of-home (OOH) advertising recorded minuscule growth past year. Digital saw the maximum growth in FY19 of 37.6% of about 5% due to consumers’ increasing preference for data over the prior year. The second spot was retained by the consumption through digital platforms. Advertising Industry - Market Size (INR Bn) 300 250 251 224 221 200 211 204 203 192 184 180 150 160 160 100 116 86 50 65 47 34 32 28 29 26 23 24 23 22 20 0 TV Print Digital OOH Radio • FY 15 • FY 16 • FY 17 • FY 18 • FY 19 Source: KPMG India’s Digital Future: Mass of Niches Report 2019 Duff & Phelps 10
Celebrity Brand Valuation Study 2019 According to a 2019 report on celebrity endorsements issued The average endorsing ratio by male and female celebrities by TAM Media Research, more than 50% of the ads endorsed for the top 10 sectors was 51:49. The leading sector, Personal by celebrities were dominated by three sectors: Personal Care/ Care/ Personal Hygiene, was dominated by the female Personal Hygiene, Food and Beverages (F&B), and Hair Care, celebrities with a 68% share. F&B sector witnessed nearly an as shown in the following chart. equal ad share between male and female celebrities. Celebrity Endorsements: Top Sectors (% share) Personal Accessories Auto Durabes 3% 5% 5% Industrials 25% Personal Care/ Personal Hygiene 5% Personal Healthcare 8% Household 9% Products 19% Food & Beverages 10% Services 11% Hair Care Source: AdEx India, A Division of TAM Media Research Duff & Phelps 11
Celebrity Brand Valuation Study 2019 Segment Highlights As discussed earlier, the top three segments in the advertising • TV viewership rose with the launch of multiple new space continued to be television, print and digital. Digital has channels, of which 70% had regional content. registered the highest growth out of the three segments. Print Television • The print industry in India has a significant cost advantage, • Growth in TV ad volume depends on a variety of as newspaper prices are affordable and have possibly the events, such as cricket, elections, higher penetration widest reach. Print is one of the oldest mediums and an of regional channels, launch of new channels and new effective method to target tier 2 and tier 3 cities. distinct programming. • Print revenues grew at a sluggish 4.5% in FY19, reaching • TV revenues grew 9.5% in FY19, reaching INR 714 bn. INR 333 bn. While advertising remained the growth This lower-than-expected growth was due to new tariff driver, lower circulation growth was observed as a order implementation, which disrupted the subscription result of decreasing English circulation and increasing and advertisement revenues in the last quarter. digital adoption. • TV advertising revenues grew by 12.1% in FY19 to • Print is expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.2% (FY19– reach INR 251 bn. Advertising spends suffered from a FY24) as Hindi and regional advertising continue to drive consumption slowdown due to a slowing economy overall. revenues and circulation of these mediums remains stable. Duff & Phelps 12
Celebrity Brand Valuation Study 2019 • Regional viewership rose and saw maximum growth in forming a key part of media strategies across industry advertisement, followed by Hindi and English. verticals. The growth in regional consumption also led to emergence of new avenues for digital advertising. • Digital has been eating into the print industry and is anticipated to take over in the coming years. This is part • With changing consumption patterns of consumers and of a global trend, with English publications taking the upgrades in technology, digital has the potential to be major hit. the second-largest segment by total revenue and the largest by advertising revenue in the Indian M&E industry, Digital particularly with the rise in smartphones and cheap • Digital, which serves as a powerhouse of content, includes mobile data. digital advertising and subscription revenues from over- the-top (OTT) video and audio. • Total internet subscribers rose by 29%, with growth in rural users being about three times the growth in urban • It continues to be the leader in the space, with 43.4% areas for FY19. Also, Hindi surpassed English as the most growth in FY19, taking the overall segment revenues to used language on the internet in India. INR 173 bn. The high growth was due to rapid growth in infrastructure, which led to a spurt in demand for content. • Digital advertising revenues experienced a solid growth of 37.6% to reach INR 160 bn in FY19, with digital now Duff & Phelps 13
Celebrity Brand Valuation Study 2019 Overview of Celebrity Endorsements The first step in building a methodology to assess celebrity One-Time Engagement Model brand value is to understand how celebrity endorsements The second and less popular form of engagement is a one-time are structured. Based on our analysis, we understand that a appearance by a celebrity for a specified event. This may be in celebrity may be engaged by a corporation or an advertiser in the form of a single photo/video advertisement shoot or even two key engagement models: Fixed Fee and Term Engagement an event attendance. A celebrity may also be cast as “acting Model, or One-Time Engagement Model. talent” for a specified advertisement. Such engagements are charged by the day, with the rates being significantly different Fixed Fee and Term Engagement Model for annual contracts versus one-time endorsements. In the first and the more popular model, a celebrity will be contracted for a specified term (usually one or two years) Other Elements of Engagement for a fixed-fee payment that may be made through an initial Apart from the regular fee, celebrity endorsement contracts signing amount, with the balance to be paid upon completion may also include an “in-kind” payment. The product being of specified activities. These agreements may also involve a endorsed is supplied to the celebrity for free for a specific term. royalty component. These celebrities are referred to as “brand This is particularly prominent in the case of high-end luxury ambassadors”, owing to their long-term association with the brands. Often celebrities who endorse fashion brands are endorsed product. Recently, there have been certain deals spotted wearing them to enhance the appeal of the product. where the intellectual property is partly or fully owned by the The contract may also have additional benefits which may celebrity, and the partner operates under a profit-sharing cover all expenses incurred by the celebrity during the model. Normally, an annual endorsement contract includes production of the advertisement (for example, expenses related the celebrity’s availability for a two- to four- day period (eight to first-class airfare, hotel accommodations and luxury meals). hours a day), during which time the advertiser may schedule an The endorsement deals may also provide for insurance of the event, photo advertisement shoot or video advertisement shoot, celebrity, such as commercial general liability insurance, which depending on the campaign. is issued to cover them against any injuries arising during Brands planning to use a celebrity for multiple campaigns the shoot. Alternatively, the terms may include an umbrella usually book the celebrity for a higher number of days in the liability insurance, which protects the celebrity from certain contract to get a better cost-per-day deal. There is also a floor personal liability situations that may arise because of the “cost of association”, which is annual in nature and factors in endorsement contract. a minimum number of days regardless of actual use of the Product Brand and Celebrity Fit celebrity for the brand. Exclusivity provisions ensure that the With celebrities endorsing and investing in the brands that celebrity does not promote a rival product brand for a certain correlate with their social image, advertising has evolved in period after termination of the contract. However, it is common terms of platform, content and engagement of the celebrity for rival advertisers to buy out these exclusivity provisions. with the brand. Duff & Phelps 14
Celebrity Brand Valuation Study 2019 One such major example is Sachin Tendulkar who prefers to associate with brands where he sees a synergy with his own social beliefs. So, when Gillette’s strong positioning of #ShavingStereotypes resonated with him—catalyzing behavioral change in the society to overcome stereotypical notions of what manhood stands for—he involved himself in the campaign. The positivity around the campaign prompted Gillette and Tendulkar to come up with a second version of #ShavingStereotypes, this time for International Men’s Week. An open letter by Tendulkar, in which he says it’s OK for men to cry, appeared on the front pages of leading newspapers in India. Combined, the campaigns had over 3 bn impressions across all digital media and eventually went on to win a Silver Lion at Cannes Lions International Festival of Creativity. “SRT has always been a ‘change-maker’. He has redefined many things. Today he is in the process of creating change by inspiring the country to transform from being a sports-loving nation to a sports-playing nation. In the quest of doing so, he has been partnering with brands which directly or indirectly impact the social fabric of the country positively. He hopes to inspire his large base of followers, 90 mn online and several more millions offline, towards a healthier and fitter India.” Mrinmoy Mukherjee Chief Executive Officer SRT Sports Management Company Photo Courtesy: True Blue Duff & Phelps 15
Celebrity Brand Valuation Study 2019 One noteworthy part of the campaign was the story of two Social Media Influence young girls in Banwari Tola, Uttar Pradesh, the daughters of a Social media has undeniably changed the entire landscape paralyzed barber. They dressed up as men to provide grooming of brand endorsements. With influencers like Bhuvan Bam, services. The heartwarming story of dissent to acceptance by Lilly Singh, Prajakta Koli and Sejal Kumar entering the digital the community touched many. Tendulkar, who has never been screen frame, companies have been spoiled for choice for their shaved by anyone else, wanted the girls to give him a shave brand ambassadors. to amplify the messaging around breaking stereotypes. The Celebrity brand endorsements typically result in a higher campaign received wide coverage and was even called “Shave degree of consumer recall. Thus, choosing a celebrity as the of the Century” by a leading media publication. Gillette created face of a brand requires a lot of strategic due diligence to a digital campaign around the story and was launched using correlate the celebrity’s brand image with that of the product. Sachin Tendulkar’s social media channels that resonated with their clarion call for #ShavingStereotypes. As per recent trends, companies have been targeting a more diverse audience through niche digital platforms like Instagram, Recently, Pepsi hired Salman Khan as its brand ambassador. Snapchat, Tiktok, etc. Such targeted advertisements have In its endeavor to constantly reinvent itself in order to create resulted in creating the right buzz a brand needs vis-à-vis experiences that connect with consumer passions, Pepsi utilizing just the traditional advertising techniques. The silver seems to merge the brand fit of the soft drink with that lining being the much lower cost of digital advertising versus of Khan. The company is also trying to capture millions of traditional TV advertising. potential customers that Salman Khan may bring through his massive fan base. Over the past year, “swag” has been With stricter regulations and greater consumer awareness, the underlying message throughout Pepsi’s campaigns, celebrities are increasingly conscious of the relationship celebrating the innate self-belief of the Indian consumer today. between their personal image with that of the brands and Salman’s recent release was from the “Dabangg” franchise. social campaigns. The companies too have been treading with As per various articles, in the year 2020 Pepsi will create a caution with their celebrity associations. Brands carry out their 360-degree campaign that will reflect the self-confidence of independent due-diligence and investigate various aspects of today`s youth in a manner that is as effortlessly cool as Salman. social reach, social media engagement and their influence on the digital audience. The key is to match the right celebrity with the right product and create an ad campaign that marries the attributes of the As per Jaagriti Seth, Director, Meltwater, “Social media has celebrity brand and the product brand. evolved the way a brand can interact with consumers and at the same time, it has empowered every consumer with a chance to be heard. Today anybody can wield the power of social media to rise to influence. Equally true is the fact that if a celebrity doesn’t take social media seriously, they stand to lose out on chances to bolster their popularity. In this digital era, building a presence online is not an ancillary activity anymore but a critical part of the communication strategy”. Duff & Phelps 16
Celebrity Brand Valuation Study 2019 The table below highlights the product brands which have when a brand is referenced, or “mentioned” on the web. Hence, garnered the maximum digital impressions and brand mentions while impressions depict brand awareness, mentions potray the over 2019 for the top 5 celebrities. A ‘Digital Impression’ is the engagement between the celebrity and the brands. Amongst number of times the content is shown in an individual’s social all such endorsements, Puma appears to have created the media feed whereas a ‘Brand Mention’ involves the situation maximum impact on digital media. Top 5 Celebrities: Product Brands with Maximum Digital Media Impact 180 160 A A 140 B Digital Impressions (Mn) 120 100 80 A 60 40 B A A 20 B B B 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Brand Mentions (Thousands) Virat Kohli Akshay Kumar Deepika Padukone Ranveer Singh Shah Rukh Khan Puma (A) GoQii (A) Epigamia (A) Xiaomi (A) D Décor (A) Mobile Premier League (B) Honda (B) Asian Paints (B) Thums Up (B) ICICI Bank (B) Source: Meltwater and Duff & Phelps Analysis “Digital and social media are voice in conversations online. Having a celebrity lead culture-creation hubs – providing these conversations lends extra weight and potency to brands a way to insert themselves the brand voice. In the example of Puma, the seamlessly into consumer collaboration with Virat Kohli is not just a serendipitous conversations, and engage in an partnership but a serious coming together of two intimate yet scalable way that is brands that transcend sports and have strong voices.” not feasible through traditional channels. Vidya Venkateswaran Brands are not just corporations today, they have to be VP and Head of Strategy friends, acquaintances, connections – an influencing DDB Mudra South Duff & Phelps 17
Celebrity Brand Valuation Study 2019 As per Hopper HQ Global Instagram Rich List 2019, Priyanka Chopra is a top rated Indian celebrity commanding USD 271k per post on her Instagram account and is ranked 19th on the list. This clearly indicates that Priyanka Chopra has successfully created a niche for herself, not only in India but also on global platforms. With her brand image of a strong, independent woman, she has been associated with global product brands, positioning her as an aspirational and an inspirational actor. Besides Priyanka, this year the only other Indian celebrity featuring in the list is Virat Kohli, who charges USD 196k per post on his Instagram account and is ranked 23rd in the list. Variation in Endorsement Fees Interestingly, we note that the rates charged by celebrities for an annual endorsement engagement significantly differ across product brands signed, even in the same year. This is mainly because certain products are more attractive to a celebrity, and their fees for endorsements will vary by their inclination to be associated with a certain product. Some celebrities may reduce their endorsement fees for a product brand that helps a social cause. Endorsing for a social cause through campaigns initiated by the government or public/private entities increases their credibility and the likelihood of receiving future product brand endorsement offers. Hence, they are willing to work for little to no endorsement fees. The prestige of the product brand primarily dictates the deal value. There is an inverse relationship between the size/ appeal of the product brand and endorsement fees charged. Endorsing products dealing with personal care, consumer durables and apparel is often attached to the celebrity’s status. Celebrities with a high stature often prefer to endorse a company that matches their own status. Endorsing a product that can be hazardous to one’s health, such as carbonated drinks, alcoholic beverages or cigarettes, may have a negative impact on the celebrity’s image. Celebrities tend to charge a Photo Courtesy: Rohan Shrestha much higher endorsement fees for such products. Duff & Phelps 18
Celebrity Brand Valuation Study 2019 Current Celebrity Endorsements As part of our analysis, we examined the top 60 Bollywood months ending October 2019. Some of the key highlights of celebrities. These celebrities endorsed over 600 product the research are presented below. brands across 20 different industry segments during the 12 Top Segments Using Celebrity Endorsers Personal Care Food and Beverages E-Commerce Clothing Consumer Durables Top Advertising Product Brands Harpic Thums Up BYJU’s Reliance Trends Philips Lux Mountain Dew Flipkart Lux VIP TRESemmé Priyagold MakeMyTrip Bata Lloyd Lakmé Vimal Bigbasket Amul Macho Orient Colgate Tropicana Spotify Relaxo Cello Top Endorsers Akshay Kumar Ranveer Singh Shah Rukh Khan Janhvi Kapoor Alia Bhatt Deepika Padukone Katrina Kaif MS Dhoni Vicky Kaushal MS Dhoni Jacqueline Fernandez Alia Bhatt Alia Bhatt Ranveer Singh Amitabh Bachchan Ranveer Singh Hrithik Roshan Ishaan Khatter Parineeti Chopra Varun Dhawan Kareena Kapoor Khan Taapsee Pannu Priyanka Chopra Varun Dhawan Kareena Kapoor Khan Source: TAM Media Data for the Period November 2018 to October 2019, Duff & Phelps Analysis Rankings are Based on Secondages—The Number of Seconds the Celebrity Appears on TV for a Product Brand—on National TV Channels Duff & Phelps 19
Celebrity Brand Valuation Study 2019 Product Brand Endorsements by the Top 20 Celebrities2 The cumulative number of product brand endorsements by top 20 celebrities increased from 235 in 2016 to 370 in 2019, representing a CAGR of 16.3% over the last 4 years. Cumulative Number of Endorsements by Top 20 Celebrities 400 17.8% 350 370 15.4% 300 15.7% 314 250 272 200 235 150 100 50 0 2016 2017 2018 2019 2 Duff & Phelps’ Analysis Based on Endorsements by Top 20 Celebrities 20
Celebrity Brand Valuation Study 2019 New Is Gold New Faces Be it brand endorsement or films, millennial stars have performed exceptionally well and won over audiences and critics. The industry has evolved and realized that dance numbers and glamorous locations are no longer the secret success formula for hits. Unlike their predecessors who courted big banners, millennials demand authenticity. They prefer “real over reel” aura, a trend which brands also aim to leverage through millennial and Gen Z celebrities. The year 2019 saw a surge of millennial stars breaking norms in the M&E industry. Both male actors, such as Ayushmann Khurrana, Kartik Aaryan and Tiger Shroff, and female actors, like Disha Patani, Kriti Sanon and Taapsee Pannu, attracted major attention. Bobbi Brown Cosmetics, a leading global makeup brand, hired Tara Sutaria as its first Indian celebrity brand ambassador. Reliance Retail and Reliance Trends also signed on national award winner Vicky Kaushal along with the upcoming Janhvi Kapoor as their brand ambassadors having an extensive youth following. Photo Courtesy: Photo Courtesy: Avinash Avinash Gowarikar Gowarikar Duff & Phelps 21
Celebrity Brand Valuation Study 2019 Photo Courtesy: House of Pixels New Poster Boys of Bollywood Millennial and Gen Z stars have become a new force to reckon with and are providing stiff competition to older celebrities, both in movies as well as in the endorsements space. With a hit score of 8/12 over the past eight years, Ayushmann Khurrana (widely referred to as Mr. Return on Investment by his colleagues) attracted a tsunami of endorsements. The actor has successfully established his own brand of cinema, creating movies catering to small towns and playing a role of a mainstream hero who defies conventional heroes of Bollywood, banking on machismo to woo the crowd. Likewise, Vicky Kaushal’s gripping performance this year in “Uri: The Surgical Strike” and “Raazi” kept the “Josh high” among audiences nationally and globally. He also appeared on Google’s top 10 most searched celebrities for year 2019 (along with Tara Sutaria), leaving behind all the Bollywood A-listers. Kartik Aaryan and Tiger Shroff were also in the spotlight for their experimental movie choices. Their strong millennial connect landed them multiple endorsement deals. Likewise, Disha Patani and Kriti Sanon, appealed to marketeers with their on- and off-screen grace and presence. “In Vicky & Janhvi we have two popular talented Bollywood youth icons, who have an extensive following amongst the millennials and the youth of India and Trends is happy to be associated with them. Both of them are expected to grow as mega stars in the near future. We believe it would be a win-win relationship, for both - Trends and the Bollywood stars.” Vipin Tyagi Business Head and COO, Reliance Trends Duff & Phelps 22
Celebrity Brand Valuation Study 2019 Photo Courtesy: Rahul Jhangiani Several millennial and Gen Z stars were able to bag multiple product endorsements in 2019. Celebrity No. of Movies No. of Endorsements Ayushmann Khurrana 2 17 Kartik Aaryan 2 16 Tiger Shroff 2 16 Disha Patani 1 15 Kriti Sanon 3 14 Rajkummar Rao 3 13 Taapsee Pannu 4 11 Vicky Kaushal 1 10 Ananya Panday 2 5 Tara Sutaria 2 5 Ishaan Khattar 0 3 Janhvi Kapoor 0 3 Source: Secondary Research and Duff & Phelps Analysis “For us, every star is a brand and every brand is a star. This philosophy drives all our partnerships. Strategic differentiation and the creation of a positive perception/aura underlines successful celebrity associations across film, TV, digital, endorsements and social causes. The essence is to leverage the star’s personality for a natural and organic fit thus seeing longer, more valuable relationships.” Matrix Spokesperson Duff & Phelps 23
Celebrity Brand Valuation Study 2019 Transforming Page 3 In the age of social media, Millennial and Gen Z actors have an inherent advantage and are considered to have a relatively higher social media quotient. With brands increasingly addressing the younger generation, Millennial and Gen Z actors have become an obvious choice for brands. And today, with social media analytics platforms, marketeers can better track the success of their social media campaigns. Today, most of these stars are sharing their hobbies, interests and social causes along with some entertainment content on their personal channels. While Millennials and Gen Z’ers both have strikingly similar views of the world, the Gen Z of Bollywood fraternity connects regularly through various social media platforms like Instagram, YouTube, etc. For instance, Alia Bhatt is the first public figure to launch her own YouTube channel that boasts of over a million subscribers in less than 6 months, and has garnered over 35 mn views across the channel. The theme is to give glimpses of her lifestyle to her fans. This includes her house interior and décor ideas; her clothing, beauty and styling ideas; and many more things related to her personal life. Keeping up with the trend of ‘social buzz’, Alia also invested in StyleCracker in 2017. StyleCracker is an online personal styling platform, where you get curated clothes as per your budget and preferences. Following the trend, other celebrities like Jacqueline Fernandez, Kartik Aaryan and Disha Patani have also launched their own YouTube channels recently which are flourishing and many have ventured into the investment space. Photo Courtesy: House of Pixels Duff & Phelps 24
Celebrity Brand Valuation Study 2019 Instagram and Facebook, a means of survival for today’s Millennials and Gen Z’ers rely heavily on social media for younger generations, are embedded in every gadget. Through communicating about their whereabouts and provide fodder to these mediums one can magnify their reach and awareness their followers by putting up engaging content. about products, services, campaigns and even politics. The below stated table displays social media statistics for the upcoming celebrities: Upcoming Celebrities - Social Media Followers Celebrity Facebook Instagram Twitter Total followers (Mn) Kriti Sanon 2.61 26.76 4.99 34.36 Disha Patani 2.59 26.92 3.68 33.19 Tiger Shroff 8.64 17.73 3.70 30.07 Taapsee Pannu 7.06 14.06 3.90 25.02 Ayushmann Khurrana 4.33 8.07 5.00 17.40 Kartik Aaryan 1.46 12.71 0.37 14.54 Janhvi Kapoor NA 6.43 NA 6.43 Ananya Panday 0.14 5.64 0.06 5.84 Vicky Kaushal 0.19 5.05 0.35 5.59 Rajkummar Rao NA 2.64 0.68 3.32 Tara Sutaria NA 2.85 0.02 2.87 Source: Meltwater With a fresh coterie of millennial and Gen Z celebrities bagging major banner films and endorsements, it’s clearly time to change the “Old is Gold” adage to “New is Gold”. Duff & Phelps 25
Celebrity Brand Valuation Study 2019 New Age Brand Endorsements and New Concepts New Age Brand Endorsements New Celebrities Indian brands have started collaborating with names like Ananya Panday: This new student in B-Town has captured Ananya Panday, Janhvi Kapoor, Sara Ali Khan and Taapsee the attention of not only Indian audiences but also some well- Pannu for their endorsements. The primary reason for this shift known product brands. With brands like Lakmé, Gillette and can be attributed to the demography of the Indian audience. Cadbury in her kitty, she is likely to excel with good grades. Traditionally, mature and big brands have always roped in Ayushmann Khurrana: From being a TV host to starring in established actors because of their trustworthiness. However, multiple hits in Bollywood, Khurrana has come a long way. it’s the season of change, and new celebrities are increasingly He is linked to big product brands like Coca-Cola, Daniel getting opportunities to endorse established brands, whereas Wellington, Titan, Samsung and Turtle. established celebrities are trying their hands at startup Kartik Aaryan: With his famous monologue in “Pyaar Ka product brands. Punchnama”, Aaryan came under the radar of established brands like Manyavar (one of the few brands with multiple “India is a young country, with a large population celebrity engagements). Now, the “Sonu” is on his way to between the age group of 18 to 30 years. So, making it big after sharing the screen with Amitabh Bachchan brands target celebrities who are also in the in a commercial for Lux Inferno in 2019. same age group to attract as many customers Kriti Sanon: The “Bareilly Ki Barfi” and “Housefull 4” star as possible. Also, as these youngsters are new has been associated with well-known product brands like in the business, even the audience wants to see Parachute, UrbanClap, Bata, Cadbury and Whirlpool for quite more of them, be it in movies, ad commercials or some time now. reality shows.” Established Celebrities Prahlad Kakkar Shah Rukh Khan: Although SRK has long been associated Indian Ad Filmmaker with many established brands like Lux and Vanesa, he has Extract from The Asian Age, October 7, 2019 endorsed brands like BigBasket and BYJU’S to promote his image as a tech-driven celebrity. We looked at some interesting cases of new celebrities for MS Dhoni: Why should Captain Cool be left behind? Dhoni established product brands and established celebrities for new has made smart investments in new age brands such as product brands. Cars24 and Dream11. Duff & Phelps 26
Celebrity Brand Valuation Study 2019 New Concepts 2019 has been the year of “New”. With new faces entering the As mentioned earlier, we also witnessed several celebrities mainstream industry and newer companies gathering attention, connecting with their followers through mediums like YouTube. this has been a year of transition from the old. Actors like Alia Bhatt, Jacqueline Fernandez and Disha Patani launched their own YouTube channels to give fans a sneak peek Further, Indian audiences have recently witnessed a change in into their lives. Social media allows them to connect with their the media platform. Although OTT as a platform has existed for admirers and followers at a more personal and unfiltered level. some time, it started gaining momentum and popularity in 2018 to 2019. Major Bollywood names have associated themselves with the digital platform, and we can expect more to do so. “In real terms, the definition Mainstream celebrities like Anurag Kashyap, Karan Johar, of a celebrity has changed. Nawazuddin Siddiqui, Saif Ali Khan, Shah Rukh Khan and Vicky Today, anyone with a Kaushal have already entered this space. Both celebrities and substantial social media brands have tweaked their digital presence per the mindset of following can be dubbed a today’s youth—who want “it” when and how they want it—and celebrity – at least for to perfection! endorsement purposes. What businesses are Although OTT has made significant contributions as a looking for are influencers and having a 5 mn platform for entertainment (through its web series, movies, strong Twitter following surely makes you one. etc.), social media has emerged as a potential medium for brand endorsements. We have observed celebrities endorsing Also, digital endorsements are less time brands exclusively on their Instagram or Facebook pages consuming. It costs a celebrity absolutely nothing Although these ads do not appear on traditional TV, they have to tweet about a product or a service. Most of been attracting a large audience. Brands like Boat, Calvin the time mega-popular celebrities don’t even Klein, Daniel Wellington and MAC do not run commercials on have an idea about what they are associated traditional TV, but are actively endorsing on social platforms with or endorsing: their agents and managers and creating buzz around their products through different mostly take care of it. It’s the reality.” media engagements. Further, with endorsements on social media, they have become more targeted, focused and specific Dr. Sandeep Goyal to the viewer. Chief Mentor Indian Institute of Human Brands (IIHB) Duff & Phelps 27
Celebrity Brand Valuation Study 2019 The social media advertisement as a trend has been observed Interestingly, upcoming celebrities such as Kartik Aaryan across all the celebrities covered in our report. The chart and Disha Patani have a greater proportion of their total below shows some of these trends wherein it appears that endorsements on digital media platforms compared to some of the new celebrities have a much higher percentage of established celebrities such as Deepika Padukone and Akshay endorsements on digital media as a medium. Kumar. Established vs. Upcoming Celebrities: Endorsements on Digital Media Only ESTABLISHED CELEBRITIES UPCOMING CELEBRITIES 40 80% 73% 69% 35 70% 30 60% 30 29 25 26 50% 43% 20 40% 40% 35% 17 31% 31% 15 17 16 16 30% 15 15 23% 14 10 12 20% 20% 11 11 18% 9 5 6 6 6 10% 5 3 3 0 0% Virat Akshay Deepika Ranveer Shah Rukh Ayushmann Tiger Kartik Disha Kriti Kohli Kumar Padukone Singh Khan Khurrana Shroff Aaryan Patani Sanon Total Brand Endorsments Endorsements on Digital Media only % of Endorsements on Digital vs Overall Source: Duff & Phelps Analysis and TAM Media Research Duff & Phelps 28
Celebrity Brand Valuation Study 2019 Another major brand which grabbed eyeballs was MyGlamm with its breakthrough campaign “#TestedOnSid”. Siddharth was the nation’s first male brand ambassador for a female- centeric cosmetics line by MyGlamm. Being the face of the brand, he has carved a niche for the upcoming metrosexual men redefining the typical macho man image. “Casting Sidharth Malhotra in a makeup campaign for MyGlamm gave us the opportunity to break a lot of stereotypes. As an actor and celebrity, his appeal transcends gender identities and generations. The strategy behind our campaign was to drive home the messaging that all our makeup is cruelty-free, thereby epitomising Sidharth as a strong supporter of PETA and a professed lover of animals.” Malaika Mahtaney Chief Marketing Officer MyGlamm Lastly, with social media hashtags and challenges driving the trends this year, we have seen brands and movies come a long way in their promotional campaigns. Ahead of a movie’s release, actors launch some engaging challenges related to their movie; some recent trending ones included #BalaChallenge and #DheemeDheemeChallenge. This fascinates Indian audiences and helps create a buzz that continues until the release date. Even brands have started using catchy hashtags for their endorsements, such as Lay’s #SmileDekeDekho and Coca- Photo Courtesy: Kunal Gupta Cola’s #ShareACoke. Indian media has come a long way, and with the shifts we saw this year, it will be exciting to observe the potential of these trends in the future! Duff & Phelps 29
Celebrity Brand Valuation Study 2019 #starvestors3 With more and more stars turning into investors—or, as we We analyzed recent celebrity investments and noticed a trend like to call them, #starvestors—“celebrity investment” (not toward investments in companies with unusual ideas, fresh just celebrity endorsement) is the new buzzword. In the past, perspectives and progressive thought processes. Technology, celebrities have looked at mature businesses for investments e-commerce and healthcare product segments remain that could outrun their careers. Today, celebrities are favorites. The table below lists a few of these investments: increasingly investing in new companies and startups. Investment Date Startup Investment Celebrity Description December 2019 Eduisfun Amitabh Bachchan Platform for an enhanced gamified learning experience December 2019 FoodCloud Arjun Kapoor Food delivery startup October 2019 The Man Company Ayushmann Khurrana Maker of male grooming products September 2019 Blu Smart Deepika Padukone Electric vehicle mobility August 2019 Cars24 Mahendra Singh Dhoni Tech-based platform for buying and selling used cars July 2019 Ambee Aishwarya Rai Bachchan Environmental intelligence for the world June 2019 Bellatrix Aerospace Deepika Padukone Aerospace manufacturer and small satellite launcher June 2019 GOQii Akshay Kumar Maker of wearables and preventive healthcare devices May 2019 Drum Foods International Deepika Padukone Maker of Greek yogurt brand “Epigamia” May 2019 SARVA Malaika Arora Yoga-focused health and fitness community May 2019 Squats Fitness Pvt. Ltd. Suniel Shetty Online fitness transformation community March 2019 Bastian Hospitality Shilpa Shetty Hospitality chain March 2019 IncInk Ranveer Singh Music record label Source: Secondary Research and Duff & Phelps Analysis 3 Coined by the Editorial Team of Duff & Phelps’ Celebrity Brand Valuation Study, #Starvestors is an amalgamation of “star” and “investor” that describes the advent of increasing investments by celebrities in India. Duff & Phelps 30
Celebrity Brand Valuation Study 2019 Where startup companies in India face a challenge on raising funds through conventional channels, a venture capital infusion from a celebrity brings in more than just dry powder—it also comes with glam and shine. The celebrity ideally also becomes the face of the product or service of the investee company. Celebrities today get involved in discussions at the CMO level to see if the vision of the company aligns with their personalities. Further celebrities are taking investment exposures across sectors from education to healthcare to grooming segments Karan Johar created a buzz when he launched Tyaani, the first ever online Polki jewelry store. Karan Johar, who is known for his eclectic, haute couture fashion decided to breakaway and invest in fine jewelry company for the contemporary woman. “The definition of a gentleman has thankfully evolved today, and I believe men should be comfortable to embrace their vulnerability and their weaknesses. It doesn’t make them less of a man. I immediately connected with the philosophy of The Man Company and consider the company as a progressive and extremely inclusive brand whose products I love using. The company has impeccable business insights, and I will be deeply invested in ensuring that the company grows from strength to strength in the years to come.” Photo Courtesy: House of Pixels Ayushmann Khurrana on his investment in The Man Company Duff & Phelps 31
Celebrity Brand Valuation Study 2019 Deepika Padukone: From star to #starvestor In an interview with Duff & Phelps, Nitin Kanchan shares the vision of Deepika Padukone’s brand as the “commercialization of innovation”. This strategy resonates with her recent investments in startup companies such as Bellatrix Aerospace and Blu Smart. Founded in 2015, Bellatrix Aerospace works on developing orbital launch vehicles and electric propulsion systems using water and similar alternatives as fuel for satellites. Blu Smart is an electric vehicle mobility startup that raised an angel round of USD 3 mn from KA Enterprises, among others. As these investee companies come to size, they could benefit from a unique strategic relationship with Deepika Padukone, contributing to their accelerated commercialization. “We strive for innovation and impact in everything we do! With the industry evolving at a rapid pace, we are bringing our A game out and aim to provide our viewers with some thought-provoking yet entertaining content both on cinema as well as endorsements. We are always looking to do things differently, seriously and proactively. With Deepika’s increasing popularity, she is getting numerous offers for brand endorsements. However, keeping our larger strategy in mind, we are cognizant of our choices and [their] impact on Photo Courtesy: KA Enterprises the larger public, and thus [are] restricting it to only those we truly believe in.” Nitin Kanchan CEO, KA Enterprises Duff & Phelps 32
Celebrity Brand Valuation Study 2019 Key Trends in the Celebrity Endorsement Space Rise of the OTT Gone are the days when entertainment was confined to grand Big media players like Sony Pictures Networks, Star India, Eros Bollywood movies and ‘all-star’ casts. With the advent of International and many others followed the trend and launched technology and reasonably priced net tariff charges, 2019 saw their OTT platforms, including Sony Liv in 2013, Hotstar in the rise of digital platforms. OTT media services offer direct 2015 and Eros Now in 2015. streaming services to their viewers and have reached new Global OTT platforms like Netflix (2015) and Amazon Prime heights in India. After all, they address the mindset of youth (2016) entered the Indian market around the same time as well. —“I want it when I want it and how I want it”—to perfection! With ease of access to content and convenience, it was only a Evolution of OTT matter of time before Indian viewers decided to migrate from The first OTT player in the Indian market was BIGFlix, launched connected TV to OTT. by Reliance Entertainment in 2008. Although it began as a physical distribution center, the company shifted its operations to pure subscription-based video on demand (SVOD) in 2011. Duff & Phelps 33
Celebrity Brand Valuation Study 2019 Different Strokes for Different Folks OTT platforms use different business models, which vary in • Ease of access and exclusivity to content: With cost but are still significantly lower than TV charges. movies and TV shows releasing on OTT platforms as well, Indian viewers are cutting the cord and shifting to internet • Subscription Video on Demand (SVOD): Netflix and streaming services. Further, with Amazon Prime, Hotstar, Amazon Prime operate under this business model, in Netflix and other providers launching exclusive content which users pay a monthly subscription fee in exchange for for their subscribers, OTT platforms are rapidly gaining unlimited access to the streaming platform’s content. popularity among Indian audiences. • Advertising Video on Demand (AVOD): YouTube • Recent policy changes: With the Telecom Regulatory operates under this model, in which users can access Authority of India proposing a new tariff order, the the platform’s content in exchange for watching subscription charges for TV may increase, which is another advertisements. catalyst for Indian audiences to shift to OTT platforms. • Transactional Video on Demand (TVOD): Hotstar • Relative affordability: Netflix has recently launched its works under this model, in which users pay for certain mobile-friendly subscription charges of INR 199 per month, exclusive content, while other content can be accessed as whereas a movie ticket costs anywhere between INR 250 per AVOD. to INR 500 per person. Consequently, with web streaming That said, most of the OTT content providers work on hybrid apps bringing more regional content under their umbrella, models, which allows their customers to customize as per OTT is attracting a wider demographic segment in India. their needs. The “Small Screen” Is Not So Small After All “OTT has changed my life because suddenly my Per KPMG’s report India’s Digital Future, the digital segment audience is everywhere. It empowers me to be has shown a CAGR of 38.5% from FY15 to FY19, whereas more complex, denser and [to not have] to explain the TV segment registered a CAGR of 9.9%. Additionally, the so much. I don’t have to alter my way of looking digital segment is projected to grow at a CAGR of 29.1% from FY19 to FY24, whereas the TV segment is expected to grow at at the world.” a CAGR of only 11.2% in the same period. The higher growth in Anurag Kashyap the OTT market can be attributed to the following factors: Co-director of Netflix’s first Indian original web • India’s digital demography: According to BBC News, show “Sacred Games” India has more than 630 mn internet subscribers and is In an interview to Anupama Chopra on YouTube home to the world’s second largest internet user base, largely owing to the country’s cheap mobile data prices. Further, with the increase in population of younger audiences, traditional TV viewing has declined further. Duff & Phelps 34
Celebrity Brand Valuation Study 2019 OTT - The Pie Getting Bigger As any industry moves from monopoly to duopoly to oligopoly, While some OTT providers are bringing in popular shows like it becomes mandatory to differentiate yourself from the “Friends” and “How I Met Your Mother” to attract multiple age competition. Although technology, financial strength and groups, others are differentiating with new original content management play their part, the idiom “content is king” is here created specifically for the OTT platform. to stay! OTT: Market Share by Installation (March 2019) 23.80% 46.60% 17.70% 5.40% 21.50% 8.80% • Hotstar • Jio TV • MX Player • Amazon Prime • Netflix • Others Source: Data from KalaGato Duff & Phelps 35
Celebrity Brand Valuation Study 2019 The Relaunch of Bollywood Stars in OTT While mega stars are partnering with OTT platforms, a string of Anurag Kashyap, Karan Johar and Zoya Akhtar, are creating Bollywood actors have taken the OTT route. Actors like Bhumi content frequently, exclusively for GenOTT. Pednekar, Manoj Bajpayee, Nawazuddin Siddiqui, Saif Ali Khan As one can see in the table below, it’s not just current and Vicky Kaushal have given some noteworthy performances mainstream actors—many senior actors, like Emraan Hashmi, on the digital platform. Saif Ali Khan and Vivek Oberoi have also gone the OTT route The growing popularity of the digital platform can be gauged for a new feather in their cap and their second innings. from the fact that not only actors, but also notable directors like Popular Web Series Notable Cast Anticipated Web Series Notable Cast “Breathe” Season 2 “Bard of Blood” (Netflix) Emraan Hashmi Abhishek Bachchan (Amazon Prime) “Hostages” (Hotstar) Tisca Chopra, Ronit Roy “Ghost Stories” (Netflix) Janhvi Kapoor “Inside Edge” Season 2 “Mirzapur” Season 2 Pankaj Tripathi Vivek Oberoi, Richa Chaddha (Amazon Prime) (Amazon Prime) Ali Fazal Saif Ali Khan, Nawazuddin “Sacred Games” (Netflix) “Mrs. Serial Killer” (Netflix) Jacqueline Fernandez Siddiqui “The Family Man” “The Family Man” Season 2 Manoj Bajpayee Manoj Bajpai (Amazon Prime) (Amazon Prime) Source: Secondary Research and Duff & Phelps Analysis Duff & Phelps 36
Celebrity Brand Valuation Study 2019 The most noteworthy example of the rise of an OTT star would “Oh! TT” - Is it the Way Forward? be Radhika Apte. We all remember when Netflix tweeted, TV as a platform continues to survive. For instance, the best “Whatever the role, Radhika apt hai”, establishing Radhika Apte regional content is still on TV, attracting a larger segment of as an actor who knows the success mantra, “OTT as the new regional viewers. Further, TV is still getting the majority share Blockbuster”. Thanks to her increasing popularity, Radhika of advertisement spends, since brands still rely on mature Apte has bagged endorsements of brands like Clinique and advertisement mediums like TV to build their image. Further, rural Daniel Wellington. India is still predominately a TV market, and hence will continue to rely on the platform for the foreseeable future. And it’s not just Bollywood—brands have also tweaked their marketing strategies based on recent trends. Brands have So is OTT the future of entertainment? While OTT will started doing paid collaborations with OTT stars for better unquestionably continue to grow as a platform, it will be engagement of their product in the Indian market. OTT content interesting to see OTT capturing the share of TV’s pie and creators have been trying to leverage their following by other segments of the media industry. How they embrace the engaging in more targeted advertisements for their audience to challenge is something we’ll “subscribe” to! increase a specific product’s visibility and likeability. “I find the experience of watching a movie on a “All the magic of three to four years gone in one 13-inch screen more intimate than going to the to two weeks makes you feel low! … OTT has theatre and watching with popcorn distractions” given me a shelf.” Shakun Batra Shoojit Sircar Director of the movie, “Kapoor & Sons” Director of movies like “Vicky Donor” and “Piku” In an interview to Anupama Chopra on YouTube In an interview to Anupama Chopra on YouTube Famous YouTuber Bhuvan Bam has been associated with brands like Arctic Fox, Beardo, Lenskart, Mivi, Pizza Hut, Tasty Treats and Tissot, mostly on a short-term contractual basis. Similarly, Prajakta Koli, known through her YouTube channel, “MostlySane”, has received brand endorsements from Amazon Prime Video, Pulse Candy and Xiaomi India. OTT actors like Barkha Singh, Dhruv Sehgal, Mithila Palkar and Sumeet Vyas have also become major icons among today’s youth and may be increasingly considered by niche brands focusing on a specific target segment. Duff & Phelps 37
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