CASINO REPORT Competitive Research and Actionable Product Recommendations - ProGameDev
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TABLE OF CONTENTS IMPACT DRIVER 3 Pet Collection Feature Fish n' Chips in Bingo Bash Product Insights MARCH IMPACT ANALYSIS 8 Feature Market Share Impact Most Impactful Collection Features MARKET WATCH 11 Breakout Apps 2021 Notable Releases APPENDIX 17 Endnotes Liquid & Grit Slots Personas Premium Partnerships Casino Mechanics Taxonomy
REVENUE ANALYSIS Bingo Bash's revenue was +12% and downloads were +66% 2Wo2W after the release of Fish n' Chips. Bingo Bash $50K Revenue Downloads 500 Fish n’ Chips $40K 400 Daily Downloads $30K 300 Daily Revenue $20K 200 $10K 100 12/19/20 1/2/21 1/16/21 1/30/21 2/13/21 2/27/21 3/13/21 2Wo2W = 2 weeks over 2 weeks. 5 Graph data is iOS, U.S. only.
FEATURE TEARDOWN 1 2 Players complete bingos on fish cards to collect fish. Daubing special cells awards fish food that players use to feed fish for currency and boost rewards. 3 4 Details • During bingo play, fish cards are mixed in with regular bingo cards (1 and video). • Higher bets guarantee more fish cards (2). • Bingos won on fish cards award fish (3). • Certain rare fish are only awarded for completing collection meters in specific rooms. • On any card, cells containing fish food icons award fish food when daubed (4). • Higher bets award more fish food. 5 6 • Players can put up to 10 fish into an aquarium. • Feeding hungry fish awards currency and boosts (5 and video). • Each fish type has different food requirements, rewards, and refresh timers (6). • Collecting a certain number of fish unlocks a prize wheel. • Players can exchange duplicate fish to fill a meter for prize wheel spins (7). • A menu shows locked and unlocked fish as well as collection requirements, feeding schedules, and rewards (8). • Completed sets award additional currency and boosts. 7 8 Additional Information • See the Fish n' Chips library for more images and videos. 6
PRODUCT INSIGHTS Increase the complexity of popular features one step at a time. 1 Collection features have been the most released feature type in the top five bingo apps since the beginning of 2019, and most collections tend to operate on similar principles: Players win bingos to collect items, complete sets, and earn rewards. But as playerbases mature, players desire more complex gameplay—and apps can distinguish themselves with timely innovation. Determining the right level of complexity, however, is a key to success. Adding one layer at a time ensures that players are not overwhelmed and can acquire a meaningful understanding of each new element.1 It also allows you to deliver a steady stream of fresh experiences instead of piling a bunch of new mechanics—and development costs—into a single release. Add strategic decisions to collections. Fish n' Chips' pet management system allows players to make strategic choices that impact core gameplay (1). Players can 2 decide which fish to keep in their aquarium based on the reward types, food costs, and feeding schedules that fit best with their goals and play styles. In the words of a medium-spender we interviewed, "It kind of just all works together."2 This active management system also creates a foundation for future innovations. Once players are familiar with their pets, you could introduce a greater variety of interactions, upgrades, or even customizable aquarium decorations. Let players use collection items to customize their profiles or shareable spaces. Visiting and commenting on other players' customizable spaces is a rapidly growing trend in puzzle and sim apps—and a major component of recent breakout successes like Redecor - Home Design Makeover and Project Makeover (2).3 With this in mind, consider letting players visit each other's aquariums, display their favorite fish in their profiles, or share images of their aquariums on social media. Publicly visible rewards contribute to players' feelings of competence and relatedness to others, two of the key components of intrinsic motivation.4 Moreover, seeing other players' rare collectibles also generates desire in players who don't have them, which can help drive engagement in events and features with exclusive rewards.5 Note: Footnotes have moved to the Appendix to provide more information about our sources and suggestions for further reading. 7
IMPACT ANALYSIS Investment and revenue trends for feature and event releases Slots apps: Big Fish Casino, Caesars Slots, Cash Frenzy, Cashman Casino, DoubleDown, DoubleU Casino, Game of Thrones Slots, Gold Fish Casino, Heart of Vegas, Hit It Rich!, House of Fun, Huuuge Casino, Jackpot Magic Slots, Jackpot Party, Lightning Link Casino, Lotsa Slots, my KONAMI, myVEGAS, POP! Slots, Quick Hit Slots, Scatter Slots, Slotomania, and Wizard of Oz: Casino Slots Bingo apps: Bingo Bash, Bingo Blitz, Bingo Party, Bingo Pop, and Bingo Showdown Poker apps: Governor of Poker 3, Mega Hit Poker, Poker Heat: Texas Holdem Poker, Pokerist, WSOP, and Zynga Poker - Texas Holdem 8
COLLECTIONS HAVE A NEGATIVE MARKET SHARE IMPACT Collections were the most released feature type by far in both casino and bingo in the past 12 months. However, they averaged a -1.6% reduction in MoM revenue market share per release.6 Revenue Market Share MoM (Past 12 Months) Feature Releases (Past 12 Months) Expansions Expansions Challenges Challenges Notices Notices Purchases Purchases Flows Flows Missions Missions Rewards Rewards Collections Collections Interactions Interactions Profiles Profiles -3% 0% 3% 6% 9% 0 20 40 60 Only features with five or more releases in the past 12 months are shown. Impact models made by Liquid & Grit by combining our data with revenue data from Sensor Tower. 9 MoM = Month over month.
COLLECTION SUCCESS IS LIMITED BUT SPREAD ACROSS APPS Even among the most impactful standalone collection features, MoM revenue market share impact quickly approaches 0%.6 Notably, only one app (Huuuge Casino) has two collections in the top 10, suggesting that most apps do not support multiple impactful collections. 10 Most Impactful Collection Features (Past 12 Months) App Feature Market Share Impact MoM Release Date Cashman Casino Cashman Studios Blockbusters +16% 4/2/20 Caesars Slots Fortune's Return +16% 3/4/20 Scatter Slots Scatter Champions League of Eternals +14% 8/13/20 Big Fish Casino Adventure Road +12% 5/29/20 Huuuge Casino Casino Fever +12% 9/8/20 Zynga Poker - Texas Holdem Zynga Poker Ring Series +10% 10/5/20 Huuuge Casino Huuuge Charms Magical Ages +9% 4/6/20 Lotsa Slots Big City Tycoon Island Empire +6% 9/28/20 Cash Frenzy Build Your Dreams Season 5 Fortune Gardens +5% 6/9/20 Hit It Rich! Rich! Collections Star Struck +3% 7/15/20 10
MARKET WATCH New apps and notable releases from established competitors 11
BREAKOUT APP UPDATE 1 Bingo Frenzy by Gluon Interactive Ltd. We first covered Bingo Frenzy (originally titled Bingo Cooking) during its soft-launch in our July 2020 Casino Report. Since then, Bingo Frenzy has nearly tripled its daily revenue. App Update Details • Daily bonuses now include a 4-week calendar of daily rewards. • Seasonal mission passes offer free and premium reward paths. • Premium rewards include an exclusive avatar frame and a bank feature (1). 2 • Completed recipes also award stars. • Stars allow players to level up chef traits that award boosts for bingo play (2). • A variety of mini-game events include gameplay inspired by Tetris and snakes and ladders (3). • Daily missions grant rewards and fill a meter for additional rewards at milestones (4). Launch Information • Released worldwide on 3/15/20 • 62nd highest-grossing casino app as of 3/1/21 • Average daily U.S. revenue (90 days): $7,448 • Average daily U.S. downloads (90 days): 780 • View Bingo Frenzy on the App Store 3 4 12
BREAKOUT APP 1 Slotrillion - Casino Slots* by AIRMURAL LIMITED App Details • Slotrillion builds on traditional slots play with a wide variety of fast-follow features and events. • A VIP program offers unique top-tier benefits like birthday gifts, holiday cards, exclusive music, and a button to collect all gifts (1). • Retention bonuses include a prize wheel, two scratch cards, and a multiplier meter (2). • Machine-specific challenge events unlock a leaderboard and super jackpot as players level up. 2 • Events include a board game mini-game and a quest race (3 and 4). • A purchasable boost doubles quest progression. • Other features include a daily login bonus, daily missions, a stamp card, and a piggy bank. Launch Information • Released worldwide on 5/13/20 • 76th highest-grossing casino app as of 3/1/21 • Average daily U.S. revenue (90 days): $2,312 • Average daily U.S. downloads (90 days): 269 • View Slotrillion - Casino Slots on the App Store 3 4 *Formerly Vegas Slots: Deluxe Casino 13
NOTABLE RELEASES I App Release Description 1 • Players collect starred cards from timed chests, bingo play, events, purchases, and more. • Stars fill album meters for rewards and new story chapters at milestones. • Stars also fill an app-wide mission pass reward progression (1). • A $19.99 premium pass unlocks a second set of rewards for each reward tier. • Premium pass holders who complete the meter earn a ticket for every extra star collected. Voyage Journal Bingo Party • Players unlock areas on a map by collecting gold cards from events. collection feature • Exploring an unlocked area for a certain amount of time grants a chance to win cards or 2 other rewards (2). • Players earn adventure points by filling the star and album meters and exploring areas. • Points increase adventure levels for better rewards and more frequent timed chests (video). • Adventure level progress persists across multiple albums. • Players earn fishing rods from purchases or wins on any machine. • Fishing rods grant attempts at a matching mini-game. • Players choose between three difficulty levels. 3 • Higher difficulties require more fishing rods and award better prizes. • Only the two highest difficulties award jackpots. Fishing Master • Players tap whirlpools to reveal sea animals, fishing rods, badges, and more. Cash Frenzy mini-game event • Each matching trio of animals awards a coin prize. • Unmatched animals can be exchanged for coins (3 and video). • Emeralds can be used to buy wheel spins that multiply coin rewards for unmatched animals. • All unmatched animals reset every hour. • Badges fill a meter for rewards at milestones. • A leaderboard ranks players in five divisions based on badges earned. 14
NOTABLE RELEASES II App Release Description 1 • Slots spins charge a scanner. • Fully charging the scanner awards an attempt at a matching mini-game (1). • Matching three of the same prize awards that prize. Mystery Scanner • Players earn briefcases from purchases, levels, and slots play. Cashman Casino mini-game • Briefcases contain batteries and items for the Cashman Agents collection event. feature • Stars from duplicate items fill a meter for more briefcases at milestones. • Higher bets award upgraded briefcases with more batteries. 2 • Batteries increase a counter for upgraded scanners at milestones (video). • Upgraded scanners provide better mini-game prizes. • Players earn chests containing starred items from spins, missions, purchases, levels, and rewarded ads (2 and video). • Stars from duplicate items fill a meter with chests at milestones. Collections Road • At each milestone, players can claim the current chest or continue filling the meter for a Heart of Vegas Trip 3 bigger chest. collection feature • Claiming a chest resets meter progress, and a timer counts down until it can fill again. • Completed albums award coins. • Completing all albums awards the grand prize. Super Star • Completing all daily challenges for one day in the Honey-Do List feature awards a prize box Jackpot Party collection event with a chance to win an exclusive, limited-time avatar for the All-Stars collection event (3). 15
NOTABLE RELEASES III App Release Description 1 • Players complete challenges to earn prize wheel spins (1). • Wheel spins fill a meter for a large chip prize (video). Electric Wheel • Players pop randomly appearing balloons during base spins to add multipliers to wheel challenge event prizes or upgrade the meter prize. • IAP bundles include a boost that makes balloons appear faster and doubles the rate at which players complete challenges. 2 POP! Slots • A piggy bank saves a percentage of chips bet on every non-winning spin. Piggy Bank • A purchasable boost increases the percentage of chips saved (2). bank feature • Saved chips fill a meter. • Completing the meter allows players to purchase the bank's contents (video). 3 • Purchases allow players to claim up to seven additional prizes on a future date (video). Prize Wizard Slotomania • Five price tiers award increasing prize options and picks (2). purchase event • Prize options include boosts, bonuses, collection cards, and machines. Quickly review all features and machines Filter the Library Tool by month and year to see all new releases. 16
APPENDIX 17
ENDNOTES 1 What Is Comprehensible Input and Why Does It Matter for Language Learning?, Lewis (2020) "Comprehensible input" is a language learning theory that suggests students learn best when presented with "i+1" information, where "i" is what they already know. In this approach, compelling input—information that's relevant to the student's personal goals—is considered the most effective. With that in mind, don't just add gameplay layers for their own sake; add mechanics that have meaning within the established system. 2 Subject A; Age 39 female, $25–$60/month spend, 40 hours/week playtime 3 We covered Redecor - Home Design Makeover in our March 2021 Puzzle Report and Project Makeover in our January 2021 Puzzle Report. 4 Self-Determination Theory and the Facilitation of Intrinsic Motivation, Social Development, and Well-Being, Ryan & Deci (2000) Self-Determination Theory (SDT) is one of the most widely accepted theories of motivation. SDT argues that people are most intrinsically motivated by feelings of autonomy, competence, and relatedness. Autonomy comes from people's ability to determine their own actions; competence is their ability to improve and perform those actions successfully; and relatedness is their ability to relate to and interact with others. 5 The Gamer's Brain, p. 138–142, Hodent (2017) Hodent also points out that this encourages players to figure out how to obtain rare items for themselves, creating a cycle of intrinsically motivated goal-setting. 6 Market share impact is the average percentage change in an app's revenue market share for a given time period following a new release. This analysis helps isolate the impact of individual releases from external forces that affect large segments of the market at once, like holidays or COVID social distancing measures. When calculating market share impact, we generally use only standalone releases—i.e., releases that did not overlap with other event or feature releases on the same day—to provide the most accurate assessment of each event or feature type's impact. 18
LIQUID & GRIT SLOTS PERSONAS Participants from the U.K. and U.S. (n=1,299) were surveyed about their mobile gaming use. The data produced five personas with distinct patterns of slots preferences and playing habits. Demographics Fame Frank Money Mike Daydreamer Denise Gambler Gail Sensation Serena Size 21% 22% 27% 19% 11% % Female 50% 51% 66% 60% 55% Age 32 mean / 30 median 34 mean / 32 median 35 mean / 34 median 35 mean / 33 median 35 mean / 32 median Education 3.5 3.3 3.5 3.2 3.3 Money Spent 4.2 4.9 3.5 5.4 5.8 Playtime 5.0 4.5 5.0 4.9 6.5 * The education, money spent, and playtime numbers represent the relative value of each category compared to other player personas. 19
PREMIUM PARTNERSHIPS Liquid & Grit partners with these premier market research and analytics companies to infuse our reports with the most relevant and detailed gaming personas, data, and statistics available. Sensor Tower Kinrate Analytics Quadrant Strategies Mobile App Store Intelligence Player Personas Market Research Sensor Tower website Kinrate Analytics website Quadrant Strategies website Sensor Tower is relied upon by financial analysts, Kinrate Analytics offers game developers, Quadrant Strategies is a market research VCs, and publishers who need to leverage data to consultants, publishers, and cloud gaming consultancy that uses research to help the world's identify the fastest-growing apps, emerging operators the best cross-platform game most prominent technology, gaming, and markets, and more. recommendation engine for targeted marketing, as entertainment companies develop strategies for well as a novel profiling-as-a-service solution for building their user base, increasing user Clients harness Sensor Tower's suite of app intelligent market segmentation and social engagement and spend, and strengthening their intelligence tools to: networking. marketing and brand plans. ‣ Evaluate app economies and app vitality. Other services include advanced market prediction We do that using a range of quantitative and ‣ Drive organic growth with the leading App Store analyses for identifying emergent gaming trends qualitative methodologies, including gamer optimization platform. and access to unique AI-enhanced data of 140 segmentation and persona development, feature ‣ Get the best global download and revenue thousand game titles and 48 million game players. testing, message creation, and loyalty and estimates for the App Store and Google Play. engagement modeling. The work of our senior The products of Kinrate Analytics have been ‣ Discover top creatives and better shape user leadership goes back many years, and includes developed in university-led research projects in acquisition strategy. long-term engagements for console and gaming- collaboration with economists, psychologists, game PC hardware-makers, individual games in a range scholars, and data scientists. of genres, and across consoles, PCs, and mobile, and for some of the top game franchises. 20
CASINO MECHANICS TAXONOMY Family Definition Family Definition Accelerators Increases the power, impact, or efficiency of play Interactions Any social feature with direct or indirect interaction Banks Saves a % of spend that can be unlocked later Leaderboards Stand-alone leaderboards Bonuses Free bonuses given to players, often with time intervals Levels Anything to do with leveling Challenges Goal-oriented tasks for players to complete Mini-Games Smaller, shorter games within the app (e.g., scratch cards) A group of players accomplishing goals or competing with Clubs Missions A linear set of tasks that players must accomplish other groups Collections A set of items players collect, often for a completion prize Notices Feature or product announcements Competitions Players competing against other players Other Miscellaneous features and outliers Cosmetics Improvements or updates to the app or a feature Profiles A player's setup, profile, settings, and controls Currencies Changes to currencies, economies, stores, and items Purchases Anything to do with spending money on in-app items Tasks that advance players along a map or map-like Expansions Additional rooms, worlds, play modes, VIP lounges, etc. Quests mechanic Any reward players receive for engagement or spend (other Flows Specific flows, like new user flows, ratings, and surveys Rewards than those in the bonuses family) 21
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