BUILDING THE AI BANK OF THE FUTURE - MAY 2021 GLOBAL BANKING PRACTICE - MCKINSEY
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Global Banking Practice Building the AI bank of the future To thrive in the AI-powered digital age, banks will need an AI-and-analytics capability stack that delivers intelligent, personalized solutions and distinctive experiences at scale in real time. May 2021
Contents 4 AI bank of the future: Can banks meet the AI challenge? Artificial intelligence technologies are increasingly integral to the world we live in, and banks need to deploy these technologies at scale to remain relevant. Success requires a holistic transformation spanning multiple layers of the organization. 18 Reimagining customer engagement for the AI bank of the future Banks can meet rising customer expectations by applying AI to offer intelligent propositions and smart servicing that can seamlessly embed in partner ecosystems. 29 AI-powered decision making for the bank of the future Banks are already strengthening customer relationships and lowering costs by using artificial intelligence to guide customer engagement. Success requires that capability stacks include the right decisioning elements. 41 Beyond digital transformations: Modernizing core technology for the AI bank of the future For artificial intelligence to deliver value across the organization, banks need core technology that is scalable, resilient, and adaptable. Building that requires changes in six key areas. 52 Platform operating model for the AI bank of the future Technology alone cannot define a successful AI bank; the AI bank of the future also needs an operating model that brings together the right talent, culture, and organizational design.
Introduction Banking is at a pivotal moment. Technology leaders recognize that the economies of scale disruption and consumer shifts are laying the basis afforded to organizations that efficiently deploy AI for a new S-curve for banking business models, technologies will compel incumbents to strengthen and the COVID-19 pandemic has accelerated customer engagement each day with distinctive these trends. Building upon this momentum, experiences and superior value propositions. This the advancement of artificial-intelligence (AI) value begins with intelligent, highly personalized technologies within financial services offers banks offers and extends to smart services, streamlined the potential to increase revenue at lower cost by omnichannel journeys, and seamless embedding engaging and serving customers in radically new of trusted bank functionality within partner ways, using a new business model we call “the AI ecosystems. From the customer’s point of view, bank of the future.” The articles collected here these are key features of an AI bank. outline key milestones on a path we believe can lead banks to deeper customer relationships, expanded market share, and stronger financial performance. The building blocks of an AI bank Our goal in this compendium is to give banking The opportunity for a new business model comes as leaders an end-to-end view of an AI bank’s full stack banks face daunting challenges on multiple fronts. capabilities and examine how these capabilities In capital markets, many banks trade at a 50 percent cut across four layers: engagement, AI-powered discount to book, and approximately three-quarters decision making, core technology and data of banks globally earn returns on equity that do not infrastructure, and a platform-based operating cover their cost of equity.¹ Traditional banks also model. face diverse competitive threats from neobanks and nonbank challengers. Leading financial institutions In our first article, “AI-bank of the future: Can banks are already leveraging AI for split-second loan meet the challenge?” we take a closer look at the approvals, biometric authentication, and virtual trends and challenges leading banks to take an assistants, to name just a few examples. Fintech AI-first approach as they define their core value and other digital-commerce innovators are steadily proposition. We continue by considering a day in the disintermediating banks from crucial aspects of life of a retail consumer and small-business owner customer relationships, and large tech companies transacting with an AI bank. Then we summarize the are incorporating payments and, in some cases, requirements for each layer of the AI-and-analytics lending capabilities to attract more users with capability stack. an ever-broader range of services. Further, as customers conduct a growing share of their daily The second article, “Reimagining customer transactions through digital channels, they are engagement for the AI bank of the future,” examines becoming accustomed to the ease, speed, and the capabilities that enable a bank to provide personalized service offered by digital natives, and customers with intelligent offers, personalized their expectations of banks are rising. solutions, and smart servicing within omnichannel journeys across bank-owned platforms and partner To compete and thrive in this challenging ecosystems. environment, traditional banks will need to build a new value proposition founded upon leading-edge In our third article, “AI-powered decision making for AI-and-analytics capabilities. They must become the bank of the future,” we examine how machine- “AI first” in their strategy and operations. Many bank learning models can significantly enhance customer 1 “A test of resilience: Banking through the crisis, and beyond,” Global Banking Annual Review, December 2020, McKinsey.com. 2 Building the AI bank of the future
experiences and bank productivity, and we outline Once bank leaders have established their AI-first the steps banks can follow to build the architecture vision, they will need to chart a road map detailing required to generate real-time analytical insights and the discrete steps for modernizing enterprise translate them into messages addressing precise technology and streamlining the end-to-end stack. customer needs. Joint business-technology owners of customer- facing solutions should assess the potential of The fourth article, “Beyond digital transformations: emerging technologies to meet precise customer Modernizing core technology for the AI bank of needs and prioritize technology initiatives with the the future,” discusses the key elements required greatest potential impact on customer experience for the backbone of the capability stack, including and value for the bank. We also recommend that automated cloud provisioning and an API and banks consider leveraging partnerships for non- streaming architecture to enable continuous, differentiating capabilities while devoting capital secure data exchange between the centralized data resources to in-house development of capabilities infrastructure and the decisioning and engagement that set the bank apart from the competition. layers. As we discuss in our final article, “Platform operating model for the AI bank of the future,” deploying these Building the AI bank of the future will allow AI-and-analytics capabilities efficiently at scale institutions to innovate faster, compete with digital requires cross-functional business-technology natives in building deeper customer relationships platforms comprising agile teams and new at scale, and achieve sustainable increases in technology talent. profits and valuations in this new age. We hope the following articles will help banks establish their vision and craft a road map for the journey. Starting the journey To get started on the transformation, bank leaders should formulate the organization’s strategic goals for the AI-enabled digital age and evaluate how AI technologies can support these goals. Renny Thomas Senior Partner McKinsey & Company Building the AI bank of the future 3
Global Banking & Securities AI bank of the future: Can banks meet the AI challenge? Artificial intelligence technologies are increasingly integral to the world we live in, and banks need to deploy these technologies at scale to remain relevant. Success requires a holistic transformation spanning multiple layers of the organization. by Suparna Biswas, Brant Carson, Violet Chung, Shwaitang Singh, and Renny Thomas © Getty Images September 2020 4
In 2016, AlphaGo, a machine, defeated 18-time 3. What obstacles prevent banks from deploying world champion Lee Sedol at the game of AI capabilities at scale? Go, a complex board game requiring intuition, imagination, and strategic thinking—abilities 4. How can banks transform to become AI first? long considered distinctly human. Since then, artificial intelligence (AI) technologies have advanced even further,¹ and their transformative 1. Why must banks become AI first? impact is increasingly evident across Over several decades, banks have continually industries. AI-powered machines are tailoring adapted the latest technology innovations to recommendations of digital content to individual redefine how customers interact with them. Banks tastes and preferences, designing clothing introduced ATMs in the 1960s and electronic, lines for fashion retailers, and even beginning to card-based payments in the ’70s. The 2000s saw surpass experienced doctors in detecting signs of broad adoption of 24/7 online banking, followed cancer. For global banking, McKinsey estimates by the spread of mobile-based “banking on the go” that AI technologies could potentially deliver up to in the 2010s. $1 trillion of additional value each year.² Few would disagree that we’re now in the Many banks, however, have struggled to move AI-powered digital age, facilitated by falling costs from experimentation around select use cases to for data storage and processing, increasing scaling AI technologies across the organization. access and connectivity for all, and rapid Reasons include the lack of a clear strategy for AI, advances in AI technologies. These technologies an inflexible and investment-starved technology can lead to higher automation and, when deployed core, fragmented data assets, and outmoded after controlling for risks, can often improve upon operating models that hamper collaboration human decision making in terms of both speed between business and technology teams. What and accuracy. The potential for value creation is more, several trends in digital engagement is one of the largest across industries, as AI can have accelerated during the COVID-19 pandemic, potentially unlock $1 trillion of incremental value and big-tech companies are looking to enter for banks, annually (Exhibit 1). financial services as the next adjacency. To compete successfully and thrive, incumbent Across more than 25 use cases,³ AI technologies banks must become “AI-first” institutions, can help boost revenues through increased adopting AI technologies as the foundation for personalization of services to customers (and new value propositions and distinctive customer employees); lower costs through efficiencies experiences. generated by higher automation, reduced errors rates, and better resource utilization; and uncover In this article, we propose answers to four new and previously unrealized opportunities questions that can help leaders articulate a clear based on an improved ability to process and vision and develop a road map for becoming an generate insights from vast troves of data. AI-first bank: More broadly, disruptive AI technologies can 1. Why must banks become AI first? dramatically improve banks’ ability to achieve four key outcomes: higher profits, at-scale 2. What might the AI bank of the future look like? personalization, distinctive omnichannel 1 AI can be defined as the ability of a machine to perform cognitive functions associated with human minds (e.g., perceiving, reasoning, learning, and problem solving). It includes various capabilities, such as machine learning, facial recognition, computer vision, smart robotics, virtual agents, and autonomous vehicles. See “Global AI Survey: AI proves its worth, but few scale impact,” November 2019, McKinsey.com. 2 “The executive’s AI playbook,” McKinsey.com. 3 For an interactive view, visit: www.mckinsey.com/business-functions/mckinsey-analytics/our-insights/the-executives-ai- playbook?page=industries/banking/ 5 AI bank of the future: Can banks meet the AI challenge?
Exhibit 1 Potential Potentialannual annualvalue valueofof AIAI and analytics and forfor analytics global banking global could banking reach could as high reach as as $1 trillion. high as $1 trillion. Total potential annual value, $ billion 1,022.4 (15.4% of sales) Traditional AI Advanced AI and analytics 660.9 361.5 % of value driven by advanced AI, by function 100 Finance and IT: 8.0 Other operations: $2.4 B 0.0 8.0 0.0 2.4 50 HR: 14.2 8.6 5.7 Marketing and sales: 624.8 Risk: 372.9 363.8 261.1 288.6 84.3 0 Source: "The executive's AI playbook," McKinsey.com. (See "Banking," under "Value & Assess.") experiences, and rapid innovation cycles. Banks As consumers increase their use of digital that fail to make AI central to their core strategy banking services, they grow to expect more, and operations—what we refer to as becoming particularly when compared to the standards “AI-first”—will risk being overtaken by competition they are accustomed to from leading consumer- and deserted by their customers. This risk is internet companies. Meanwhile, these digital further accentuated by four current trends: experience leaders continuously raise the bar on personalization, to the point where they — Rising customer expectations as adoption sometimes anticipate customer needs before of digital banking increases. In the first few the customer is aware of them, and offer highly- months of the COVID-19 pandemic, use of tailored services at the right time, through the online and mobile banking channels across right channel. countries has increased by an estimated 20 to 50 percent and is expected to continue at — Leading financial institutions’ use of advanced this higher level once the pandemic subsides. AI technologies is steadily increasing. Nearly Across diverse global markets, between 15 and 60 percent of financial-services sector 45 percent of consumers expect to cut back respondents in McKinsey’s Global AI Survey on branch visits following the end of the crisis.⁴ report⁵ that their companies have embedded 4 John Euart, Nuno Ferreira, Jonathan Gordon, Ajay Gupta, Atakan Hilal, Olivia White, “A global view of financial life during COVID-19—an update,” July 2020, McKinsey.com. 5 Arif Cam, Michael Chui, Bryce Hall, “Global AI Survey: AI proves its worth, but few scale impact,” November 2019, McKinsey.com. AI bank of the future: Can banks meet the AI challenge? 6
at least one AI capability. The most commonly but also to book a cab, order food, schedule used AI technologies are: robotic process a massage, play games, send money to a automation (36 percent) for structured contact, and access a personal line of credit. operational tasks; virtual assistants or Similarly, across countries, nonbanking conversational interfaces (32 percent ) for businesses and “super apps” are embedding customer service divisions; and machine financial services and products in their learning techniques (25 percent) to detect journeys, delivering compelling experiences fraud and support underwriting and risk for customers, and disrupting traditional management. While for many financial services methods for discovering banking products and firms, the use of AI is episodic and focused on services. As a result, banks will need to rethink specific use cases, an increasing number of how they participate in digital ecosystems, banking leaders are taking a comprehensive and use AI to harness the full power of data approach to deploying advanced AI, and available from these new sources. embedding it across the full lifecycle, from the front- to the back-office (Exhibit 2). — Technology giants are entering financial services as the next adjacency to their — Digital ecosystems are disintermediating core business models. Globally, leading traditional financial services. By enabling technology giants have built extraordinary access to a diverse set of services through market advantages: a large and engaged a common access point, digital ecosystems customer network; troves of data, enabling a have transformed the way consumers discover, robust and increasingly precise understanding evaluate, and purchase goods and services. of individual customers; natural strengths For example, WeChat users in China can use in developing and scaling innovative the same app not only to exchange messages, technologies (including AI); and access to Web Exhibit Exhibit 2 of Banks are Banks areexpanding expandingtheir theiruse useofof AIAI technologies to improve technologies customer to improve customer experiences and experiences andback-office back-officeprocesses. processes. Front office Back office Smile-to-pay facial scanning Micro-expression analysis Biometrics (voice, video, Machine learning to detect to initiate transaction with virtual loan officers print) to authenticate and fraud patterns, authorize cybersecurity attacks Conversational bots for Humanoid robots in branches Machine vision and natural- Real-time transaction basic servicing requests to serve customers language processing to scan analysis for risk monitoring and process documents 7 AI bank of the future: Can banks meet the AI challenge?
low-cost capital. In the past, tech giants have digital era, the AI-first bank will offer propositions aggressively entered into adjacent businesses and experiences that are intelligent (that in search of new revenue streams and to is, recommending actions, anticipating and keep customers engaged with a fresh stream automating key decisions or tasks), personalized of offerings. Big-tech players have already (that is, relevant and timely, and based on a gained a foothold in financial services in select detailed understanding of customers’ past domains (especially in payments and, in some behavior and context), and truly omnichannel cases, lending and insurance), and they may (seamlessly spanning the physical and online soon look to press their advantages to deepen contexts across multiple devices, and delivering their presence and build greater scale. a consistent experience) and that blend banking capabilities with relevant products and services beyond banking. Exhibit 3 illustrates how such a 2. What might the AI bank of the bank could engage a retail customer throughout future look like? the day. Exhibit 4 shows an example of the banking To meet customers’ rising expectations and experience of a small-business owner or the beat competitive threats in the AI-powered treasurer of a medium-size enterprise. Exhibit 3 How How AI AI transforms banking transforms banking forfor a retail a retail customer. customer. Name: Anya Age: 28 years Occupation: Working professional Anya receives App offers money- integrated portfolio management and view and a set of Anya uses smile- savings solutions, actions with the Seamless to-pay to Analytics- prioritizes card potential to Aggregated integration with initiate payment backed payments overview of daily augment returns nonbanking apps personalized offers activities Bank app Facial recognition Anya gets 2% off Personalized Anya receives Savings and recognizes Anya's for frictionless on health money-management investment recom- end-of-day mendations spending patterns payment insurance solutions overview of her and suggests premiums based activities, with coffee at nearby on her gym augmented reality, cafes activity and and reminders to sleep habits pay bills Intelligent Personalized Omnichannel Banking and beyond banking AI bank of the future: Can banks meet the AI challenge? 8
Exhibit 4 How AI transforms banking for a small- or medium-size-enterprise customer. How AI transforms banking for a small- or medium-size-enterprise customer. Name: Dany Age: 36 years Occupation: Treasurer of a small manufacturing unit Dany answers short questionnaire; app scans his facial An AI-powered movements virtual adviser Dany is assisted Firm is credited in sourcing and resolves queries with funds after selecting the Dany seeks Customized application Seamless right vendors Beyond- professional advice lending solutions approval inventory and receiv- and partners banking support on a lending offer ables management services Bank is integrated Micro-expression App suggests SME platform to Dany gets prefilled Serviced by an AI- with client analysis to review loan items to reorder, source suppliers tax documents to powered virtual business applications gives visual reports and buyers review and adviser management on receivables approve; files with systems management a single click Dany gets loan Dany receives offer based on customized company projected solutions for cash flows invoice discounting, factoring, etc. Intelligent Personalized Omnichannel Banking and beyond banking Internally, the AI-first institution will be optimized The AI-first bank of the future will also enjoy for operational efficiency through extreme the speed and agility that today characterize automation of manual tasks (a “zero-ops” mindset) digital-native companies. It will innovate and the replacement or augmentation of human rapidly, launching new features in days or decisions by advanced diagnostic engines in weeks instead of months. It will collaborate diverse areas of bank operations. These gains extensively with partners to deliver new in operational performance will flow from broad value propositions integrated seamlessly application of traditional and leading-edge AI across journeys, technology platforms, and technologies, such as machine learning and data sets. facial recognition, to analyze large and complex reserves of customer data in (near) real time. 9 AI bank of the future: Can banks meet the AI challenge?
cases. Without a centralized data backbone, it is 3. What obstacles prevent banks from practically impossible to analyze the relevant data deploying AI capabilities at scale? and generate an intelligent recommendation or Incumbent banks face two sets of objectives, offer at the right moment. If data constitute the which on first glance appear to be at odds. On bank’s fundamental raw material, the data must be the one hand, banks need to achieve the speed, governed and made available securely in a manner agility, and flexibility innate to a fintech. On the that enables analysis of data from internal and other, they must continue managing the scale, external sources at scale for millions of customers, security standards, and regulatory requirements in (near) real time, at the “point of decision” across of a traditional financial-services enterprise. the organization. Lastly, for various analytics and advanced-AI models to scale, organizations need Despite billions of dollars spent on change- a robust set of tools and standardized processes the-bank technology initiatives each year, few to build, test, deploy, and monitor models, in a banks have succeeded in diffusing and scaling repeatable and “industrial” way. AI technologies throughout the organization. Among the obstacles hampering banks’ efforts, Banks’ traditional operating models further the most common is the lack of a clear strategy impede their efforts to meet the need for for AI.⁶ Two additional challenges for many continuous innovation. Most traditional banks banks are, first, a weak core technology and data are organized around distinct business lines, backbone and, second, an outmoded operating with centralized technology and analytics model and talent strategy. teams structured as cost centers. Business owners define goals unilaterally, and alignment Built for stability, banks’ core technology with the enterprise’s technology and analytics systems have performed well, particularly in strategy (where it exists) is often weak or supporting traditional payments and lending inadequate. Siloed working teams and “waterfall” operations. However, banks must resolve implementation processes invariably lead several weaknesses inherent to legacy systems to delays, cost overruns, and suboptimal before they can deploy AI technologies at scale performance. Additionally, organizations lack (Exhibit 5). First and foremost, these systems a test-and-learn mindset and robust feedback often lack the capacity and flexibility required loops that promote rapid experimentation and to support the variable computing requirements, iterative improvement. Often unsatisfied with the data-processing needs, and real-time analysis performance of past projects and experiments, that closed-loop AI applications require.⁷ Core business executives tend to rely on third-party systems are also difficult to change, and their technology providers for critical functionalities, maintenance requires significant resources. starving capabilities and talent that should ideally What is more, many banks’ data reserves are be developed in-house to ensure competitive fragmented across multiple silos (separate differentiation. business and technology teams), and analytics efforts are focused narrowly on stand-alone use 6 Michael Chui, Sankalp Malhotra, “AI adoption advances, but foundational barriers remain,” November 2018, McKinsey.com. 7 “Closed loop” refers to the fact that the models’ intelligence is applied to incoming data in near real time, which in turn refines the content presented to the user in near real time. AI bank of the future: Can banks meet the AI challenge? 10
Exhibit 5 Investmentsinincore Investments core tech tech areare critical critical to meet to meet increasing increasing demands demands for for scalability,flexibility, scalability, flexibility,and and speed. speed. Cloud Data API1 Challenges How cloud computing can help Core/legacy systems can’t scale sufficiently Enables higher scalability, resilience of services and (eg, 150+ transactions/second) platforms through virtualization of infrastructure Significant time, effort, and team sizes Reduces IT overhead, enables automation of several required to maintain infrastructure infrastructure-management tasks, and allows development Long time required to provision environments teams to “self-serve” for development and testing (eg, 40+ days in Enables faster time to market; dramatically reduces time by some cases) providing managed services (e., setting up new environments in minutes vs days) Challenges How best-in-class data management can help High error rates; poor refresh rates; lack of Ensures high degree of accuracy and single source of truth golden source of truth in a cost-effective manner Hard to access in a timely fashion for various Enables timely and role-appropriate access for various use use cases cases (eg, regulatory, business intelligence at scale, advanced Data trapped in silos across multiple units and analytics and machine learning, exploratory) hard to integrate with external sources Enables a 360-degree view across the organization to enable generation of deeper insights by decision-making algorithms and models Challenges How APIs can help Longer time to market, limited reusability of Promote reusability and accelerate development by enabling code and software across internal teams access to granular services (internal and external) Hard to partner or collaborate with external Reduce complexity and enable faster collaboration with partners; long time to integrate external partners Suboptimal user experience—hard to stitch Enhance customer experience by enabling timely access to data and services across multiple functional data and services across different teams; faster time to market siloes for an integrated proposition due to limited coordination, cross-team testing 1 Application programming interface. 11 AI bank of the future: Can banks meet the AI challenge?
4. How can banks transform to First, banks will need to move beyond highly become AI-first? standardized products to create integrated To overcome the challenges that limit propositions that target “jobs to be done.”⁸ This organization-wide deployment of AI requires embedding personalization decisions technologies, banks must take a holistic (what to offer, when to offer, which channel approach. To become AI-first, banks must invest to offer) in the core customer journeys and in transforming capabilities across all four layers designing value propositions that go beyond the of the integrated capability stack (Exhibit 6): the core banking product and include intelligence engagement layer, the AI-powered decisioning that automates decisions and activities on layer, the core technology and data layer, and the behalf of the customer. Further, banks should operating model. strive to integrate relevant non-banking products and services that, together with the As we will explain, when these interdependent core banking product, comprehensively address layers work in unison, they enable a bank to the customer end need. An illustration of the provide customers with distinctive omnichannel “jobs-to-be-done” approach can be seen in the experiences, support at-scale personalization, way fintech Tally helps customers grapple with and drive the rapid innovation cycles critical the challenge of managing multiple credit cards. to remaining competitive in today’s world. The fintech’s customers can solve several pain Each layer has a unique role to play—under- points—including decisions about which card to investment in a single layer creates a weak link pay first (tailored to the forecast of their monthly that can cripple the entire enterprise. income and expenses), when to pay, and how much to pay (minimum balance versus retiring The following paragraphs explore some of the principal)—a complex set of tasks that are often changes banks will need to undertake in each not done well by customers themselves. layer of this capability stack. The second necessary shift is to embed Layer 1: Reimagining the customer customer journeys seamlessly in partner engagement layer ecosystems and platforms, so that banks Increasingly, customers expect their bank to be engage customers at the point of end use and present in their end-use journeys, know their in the process take advantage of partners’ context and needs no matter where they interact data and channel platform to increase higher with the bank, and to enable a frictionless engagement and usage. ICICI Bank in India experience. Numerous banking activities embedded basic banking services on WhatsApp (e.g., payments, certain types of lending) are (a popular messaging platform in India) and becoming invisible, as journeys often begin and scaled up to one million users within three end on interfaces beyond the bank’s proprietary months of launch.⁹ In a world where consumers platforms. For the bank to be ubiquitous in and businesses rely increasingly on digital customers’ lives, solving latent and emerging ecosystems, banks should decide on the needs while delivering intuitive omnichannel posture they would like to adopt across multiple experiences, banks will need to reimagine how ecosystems—that is, to build, orchestrate, or they engage with customers and undertake partner—and adapt the capabilities of their several key shifts. engagement layer accordingly. 8 Clayton M. Christensen, Taddy Hall, Karen Dillon and David S. Duncan, “Know your customers ‘jobs to be done,” Harvard Business Review, September 2016, hbr.org. 9 “ICICI Bank crosses 1 million users on WhatsApp platform,” Live Mint, July 7, 2020, livemint.com. AI bank of the future: Can banks meet the AI challenge? 12
Exhibit 6 To Tobecome becomeanan AI-first institution, AI-first a bank institution, must a bank streamline must its capability streamline stack stack its capability for value creation. for value creation. AI bank of the future Personalization Omnichannel Speed and Profitability at scale experience innovation Intelligent products, Within-bank channels and Beyond-bank channels Reimagined tools, experiences journeys (eg, web, apps, and journeys (eg, Smart service and engagement for customers and mobile, smart devices, ecosystems, partners, operations employees branches, Internet of Things) distributors) 1 2 3 4 5 Digital marketing 6 Retention Servicing Advanced Customer Credit Monitoring and cross- and analytics acquisition decision and selling, engagement AI-powered making collections upselling decision making Natural- Voice- 7 Virtual Facial Behav- language Block- script agents, Computer recog- Robotics ioral AI capabilities process- analysis vision chain bots nition analytics ing A. Tech-forward strategy (in-house build of differential capabilities vs buying offerings; in-house talent plan) Core 8 B. Data C. Modern D. Intelligent E. Hollow- F. Cyber- manage- API archi- infrastructure ing the security technology Core technology ment for tecture (AI operations core (core and and data and data AI world command, moderniza- control hybrid cloud tion) tiers setup, etc) A. Autonomous business + tech teams 9 Operating Platform operating B. Agile way C. Remote D. Modern talent E. Culture and model model of working collaboration strategy (hiring, capabilities reskilling) 10 Value capture 13 AI bank of the future: Can banks meet the AI challenge?
Third, banks will need to redesign overall and stronger risk management (e.g., earlier customer experiences and specific journeys for detection of likelihood of default and omnichannel interaction. This involves allowing fraudulent activities). customers to move across multiple modes (e.g., web, mobile app, branch, call center, smart To establish a robust AI-powered decision devices) seamlessly within a single journey layer, banks will need to shift from attempting and retaining and continuously updating the to develop specific use cases and point latest context of interaction. Leading consumer solutions to an enterprise-wide road map for internet companies with offline-to-online deploying advanced-analytics (AA)/machine- business models have reshaped customer learning (ML) models across entire business expectations on this dimension. Some banks domains. As an illustration, in the domain of are pushing ahead in the design of omnichannel unsecured consumer lending alone, more journeys, but most will need to catch up. than 20 decisions across the life cycle can be automated.11 To enable at-scale development Reimagining the engagement layer of the of decision models, banks need to make the AI bank will require a clear strategy on how development process repeatable and thus to engage customers through channels capable of delivering solutions effectively and owned by non-bank partners. Banks will on-time. In addition to strong collaboration need to adopt a design-thinking lens as they between business teams and analytics build experiences within and beyond the talent, this requires robust tools for model bank’s platform, engineering engagement development, efficient processes (e.g., for interfaces for flexibility to enable tailoring and re-using code across projects), and diffusion personalization for customers, reengineering of knowledge (e.g., repositories) across teams. back-end processes, and ensuring that data- Beyond the at-scale development of decision capture funnels (e.g., clickstream) are granularly models across domains, the road map should embedded in the bank’s engagement layer. All also include plans to embed AI in business- of this aims to provide a granular understanding as-usual process. Often underestimated, of journeys and enable continuous this effort requires rewiring the business improvement.10 processes in which these AA/AI models will be embedded; making AI decisioning “explainable” Layer 2: Building the AI-powered decision- to end-users; and a change-management plan making layer that addresses employee mindset shifts and Delivering personalized messages and skills gaps. To foster continuous improvement decisions to millions of users and thousands beyond the first deployment, banks also of employees, in (near) real time across the full need to establish infrastructure (e.g., data spectrum of engagement channels, will require measurement) and processes (e.g., periodic the bank to develop an at-scale AI-powered reviews of performance, risk management of AI decision-making layer. Across domains within models) for feedback loops to flourish. the bank, AI techniques can either fully replace or augment human judgment to produce Additionally, banks will need to augment significantly better outcomes (e.g., higher homegrown AI models, with fast-evolving accuracy and speed), enhanced experience capabilities (e.g., natural-language processing, for customers (e.g., more personalized computer-vision techniques, AI agents interaction and offerings), actionable insights and bots, augmented or virtual reality) in for employees (e.g., which customer to contact their core business processes. Many of first with next-best-action recommendations), these leading-edge capabilities have the 10 Jennifer Kilian, Hugo Sarrazin, and Hyo Yeon, “Building a design-driven culture,” September 2015, McKinsey.com. 11 Renny Thomas, Vinayak HV, Raphael Bick, and Shwaitang Singh, “Ten lessons for building a winning retail and small-business digital lending franchise,” November 2019, McKinsey.com. AI bank of the future: Can banks meet the AI challenge? 14
potential to bring a paradigm shift in customer technology backbone, starved of the investments experience and/or operational efficiency. While needed for modernization, can dramatically many banks may lack both the talent and the reduce the effectiveness of the decision-making requisite investment appetite to develop these and engagement layers. technologies themselves, they need at minimum to be able to procure and integrate these The core-technology-and-data layer has six key emerging capabilities from specialist providers elements (Exhibit 7): at rapid speed through an architecture enabled by an application programming interface (API), — Tech-forward strategy. Banks should have promote continuous experimentation with these a unified technology strategy that is tightly technologies in sandbox environments to test and aligned to business strategy and outlines refine applications and evaluate potential risks, strategic choices on which elements, skill and subsequently decide which technologies to sets, and talent the bank will keep in-house deploy at scale. and those it will source through partnerships or vendor relationships. In addition, the To deliver these decisions and capabilities and to tech strategy needs to articulate how each engage customers across the full life cycle, from component of the target architecture will both acquisition to upsell and cross-sell to retention support the bank’s vision to be an AI-first and win-back, banks will need to establish institution and interact with each layer of the enterprise-wide digital marketing machinery. This capability stack. machinery is critical for translating decisions and insights generated in the decision-making layer — Data management for the AI-enabled world. into a set of coordinated interventions delivered The bank’s data management must ensure through the bank’s engagement layer. This data liquidity—that is, the ability to access, machinery has several critical elements, which ingest, and manipulate the data that serve as include: the foundation for all insights and decisions generated in the decision-making layer. — Data-ingestion pipelines that capture a range Data liquidity increases with the removal of of data from multiple sources both within the functional silos and allows multiple divisions bank (e.g., clickstream data from apps) and to operate off the same data, with increased beyond (e.g., third-party partnerships with coordination. The data value chain begins with telco providers) seamless sourcing of data from all relevant internal systems and external platforms. This — Data platforms that aggregate, develop, and includes ingesting data into a lake, cleaning maintain a 360-degree view of customers and and labeling the data required for diverse use enable AA/ML models to run and execute in cases (e.g., regulatory reporting, business near real time intelligence at scale, AA/ML diagnostics), segregating incoming data (from both existing — Campaign platforms that track past actions and prospective customers) to be made and coordinate forward-looking interventions available for immediate analysis from data to across the range of channels in the be cleaned and labeled for future analysis. engagement layer Furthermore, as banks design and build their centralized data-management infrastructure, Layer 3: Strengthening the core technology and they should develop additional controls and data infrastructure monitoring tools to ensure data security, Deploying AI capabilities across the organization privacy, and regulatory compliance—for requires a scalable, resilient, and adaptable set example, timely and role-appropriate access of core-technology components. A weak core- across the organization for various use cases. 15 AI bank of the future: Can banks meet the AI challenge?
Exhibit 7 The The core-technology-and-data core-technology-and-data layer layer accommodates accommodates increasingincreasing use of the use of the cloud cloud and reduction and reduction of legacyof legacy technology. technology. Capabilities Our perspective Build differentiating capabilities in-house by augmenting the internal skill base; Tech-forward strategy carefully weigh options to buy, build, or compose modular architecture through best-of-breed solutions Upgrade data management and underlying architecture to support machine-learning Data management for AI world use cases at scale by leveraging cloud, streaming data, and real-time analytics Leverage modern cloud-native tooling to enable a scalable API platform supporting Modern API1 architecture complex orchestrations while creating experience-enhancing integrations across the ecosystem Implement infrastructure as code across on-premises and cloud environments; Intelligent infrastructure increase platform resiliency by adopting AIOps to support deep diagnostics, auto- recoverability, and auto-scale Distribute transaction processing across the enterprise stack; selectively identify Hollowing the core components that can be externalized to drive broader reuse, standardization, and efficiency Implement robust cybersecurity in the hybrid infrastructure; secure data and Cybersecurity and control tiers applications through zero-trust design principles and centralized command-and- control centers 1 Application programming interface. — Modern API architecture. APIs are the — Intelligent infrastructure. As companies connective tissue enabling controlled access in diverse industries increase the share of to services, products, and data, both within workload handled on public and private the bank and beyond. Within the bank, APIs cloud infrastructure, there is ample evidence reduce the need for silos, increase reusability that cloud-based platforms allow for the of technology assets, and promote flexibility higher scalability and resilience crucial to an in the technology architecture. Beyond the AI-first strategy.13 Additionally, cloud-based bank, APIs accelerate the ability to partner infrastructure reduces costs for IT maintenance externally, unlock new business opportunities, and enables self-serve models for development and enhance customer experiences. While teams, which enable rapid innovation cycles by APIs can unlock significant value, it is critical to providing managed services (e.g., setting up new start by defining where they are to be used and environments in minutes instead of days). establish centralized governance to support their development and curation.¹2 ¹2 Renny Thomas, Vinayak HV, Raphael Bick, and Shwaitang Singh, “Ten lessons for building a winning retail and small-business digital lending franchise,” November 2019, McKinsey.com. ¹3 Arul Elumalai and Roger Roberts, “Unlocking business acceleration in a hybrid cloud world,” August 2019, McKinsey.com. AI bank of the future: Can banks meet the AI challenge? 16
Layer 4: Transitioning to the platform operating model The AI-first bank of the future will need a new The journey to becoming an AI-first bank entails operating model for the organization, so it can transforming capabilities across all four layers achieve the requisite agility and speed and of the capability stack. Ignoring challenges or unleash value across the other layers. While underinvesting in any layer will ripple through all, most banks are transitioning their technology resulting in a sub-optimal stack that is incapable platforms and assets to become more modular of delivering enterprise goals. and flexible, working teams within the bank continue to operate in functional silos under A practical way to get started is to evaluate suboptimal collaboration models and often lack how the bank’s strategic goals (e.g., growth, alignment of goals and priorities. profitability, customer engagement, innovation) can be materially enabled by the range of AI The platform operating model envisions cross- technologies—and dovetailing AI goals with the functional business-and-technology teams strategic goals of the bank. Once this alignment organized as a series of platforms within the bank. is in place, bank leaders should conduct a Each platform team controls their own assets comprehensive diagnostic of the bank’s starting (e.g., technology solutions, data, infrastructure), position across the four layers, to identify areas budgets, key performance indicators, and that need key shifts, additional investments talent. In return, the team delivers a family of and new talent. They can then translate these products or services either to end customers of insights into a transformation roadmap that spans the bank or to other platforms within the bank. business, technology, and analytics teams. In the target state, the bank could end up with three archetypes of platform teams. Business Equally important is the design of an execution platforms are customer- or partner-facing teams approach that is tailored to the organization. To dedicated to achieving business outcomes in ensure sustainability of change, we recommend areas such as consumer lending, corporate a two-track approach that balances short-term lending, and transaction banking. Enterprise projects that deliver business value every quarter platforms deliver specialized capabilities and/ with an iterative build of long-term institutional or shared services to establish standardization capabilities. Furthermore, depending on their throughout the organization in areas such as market position, size, and aspirations, banks need collections, payment utilities, human resources, not build all capabilities themselves. They might and finance. And enabling platforms enable the elect to keep differentiating core capabilities enterprise and business platforms to deliver in-house and acquire non-differentiating cross-cutting technical functionalities such as capabilities from technology vendors and cybersecurity and cloud architecture. partners, including AI specialists. By integrating business and technology in For many banks, ensuring adoption of AI jointly owned platforms run by cross-functional technologies across the enterprise is no longer teams, banks can break up organizational silos, a choice, but a strategic imperative. Envisioning increasing agility and speed and improving the and building the bank’s capabilities holistically alignment of goals and priorities across the across the four layers will be critical to success. enterprise. Suparna Biswas is a partner, Shwaitang Singh is an associate partner, and Renny Thomas is a senior partner, all in McKinsey’s Mumbai office. Brant Carson is a partner in the Sydney office, and Violet Chung is a partner in the Hong Kong office. The authors would like to thank Milan Mitra, Anushi Shah, Arihant Kothari, and Yihong Wu for their contributions to this article. 17 AI bank of the future: Can banks meet the AI challenge?
Global Banking & Securities Reimagining customer engagement for the AI bank of the future Banks can meet rising customer expectations by applying AI to offer intelligent propositions and smart servicing that can seamlessly embed in partner ecosystems. by Violet Chung, Malcolm Gomes, Sailee Rane, Shwaitang Singh, and Renny Thomas © Getty Images October 2020 18
From instantaneous translation to The value of reimagined customer conversational interfaces, artificial-intelligence engagement (AI) technologies are making ever more evident In recent years, many financial institutions impacts on our lives. This is particularly true in have devoted significant capital to digital-and- the financial-services sector, where challengers analytics transformations, aiming to improve are already launching disruptive AI-powered customer journeys across mobile and web innovations. To remain competitive, incumbent channels. Despite these big investments, most banks must become “AI first” in vision and banks still lag well behind consumer-tech execution, and as discussed in the previous companies in their efforts to engage customers article, this means transforming the full with superior service and experiences. capability stack, including the engagement layer, The prevailing models for bank customer AI-powered decision making, core technology acquisition and service delivery are beset by and data infrastructure, and operating model. missed cues: incumbents often fail to recognize If fully integrated, these capabilities can and decipher the signals customers leave strengthen engagement significantly, supporting behind in their digital journeys. customers’ financial activities across diverse online and physical contexts with intelligent, Across sectors, however, leaders in delivering highly personalized solutions delivered through positive experiences are not just making an interface that is intuitive, seamless, and fast. their journeys easy to access and use but These are the baseline expectations for an also personalizing core journeys to match AI bank. an individual’s present context, direction of movement, and aspiration. In this article, we examine how banks can take an AI-first approach to reimagining customer Creating a superior experience can generate engagement. We focus on three elements with significant value. A McKinsey survey of US potential to give the bank a decisive competitive retail banking customers found that at the edge: banks with the highest degree of reported customer satisfaction, deposits grew 84 1. The value of re-imagined customer percent faster than at the banks with the lowest engagement: By reimagining customer satisfaction ratings (Exhibit 1). engagement, banks can unlock new value through better efficiency, expanded market Superior experiences are not only a proven access, and greater customer lifetime value. foundation for growth but also a crucial means of countering threats from new attackers. In 2. Key elements of the re-imagined engagement particular, three trends make it imperative for layer: The combination of intelligent propositions, banks to improve customer engagement: seamless embedding within partner ecosystems, and smart servicing and experiences underpins 1. Rising customer expectations. Accustomed an overall experience that sets the AI bank apart to the service standards set by consumer from traditional incumbents. internet companies, today’s customers have come to expect the same degree of 3. Integrated supporting capabilities: As banks consistency, convenience, and personalization rethink and rebuild their engagement capabilities, from their financial-services institutions. For they need to leverage critical enablers, each example, Netflix has been able to raise the of which cuts across all four layers of the bar in customer experience by doing well capability stack. on three crucial attributes: consistency of 19 Reimagining customer engagement for the AI bank of the future
Exhibit 1 US retail banks with high customer satisfaction typically grow deposits faster. US retail banks with high customer satisfaction typically grow deposits faster. Real differences in customer satisfaction1 Leaders in customer satisfaction grow faster CSAT2 (Percent of customers rating 9 or 10) Deposit CAGR (2014-17) Top 65 quartile +84% 3rd 55 quartile 5.9 2nd 49 quartile 3.2 Bottom 39 quartile Top Bottom -26 pp quartile quartile CSAT CSAT 1 Percentage of respondents that selected a 9 or 10 on a 10-point customer satisfaction scale. Question: “We would like to understand your experience with [product] with (Bank). Overall, how satisfied or dissatisfied are you with [product] with [Bank]?” Banks were ranked based on average satisfaction scores and then divided into quartiles. 2Customer satisfaction score. Source: McKinsey 2018 Retail Banking Customer Experience Benchmark Survey experience across channels (mobile app, laptop, providing access to financial products within their TV), convenient access to a vast reserve of nonbanking ecosystems. Messaging app WeChat content with a single click, and recommendations allows users in China to make a payment within finely tailored to each profile within a single the chat window. Google has partnered with eight account. Improving websites and online portals US banks to offer cobranded accounts that will be for a seamless experience is one of the top three mobile first and focus on creating an intuitive user areas where customers desire support from experience and new ways to manage money with banks.¹ Innovation leaders are already executing financial insights and budgeting tools.² transactions and loan approvals and resolving service inquiries in near real time. Beyond access, nonbank innovators are also disintermediating parts of the value chain that 2. Disintermediation. Nonbank providers are were once considered core capabilities of financial disintermediating banks from the most valuable institutions, including underwriting. Indian agtech services, leaving less profitable links in the value company Cropin uses advanced analytics and chain to traditional banks. Big-tech companies are machine learning to analyze historical data on 1 John Euart, Nuno Ferreira, Jonathan Gordon, Ajay Gupta, Atakan Hilal, and Olivia White, “Financial life during the COVID-19 pandemic—an update,” July 2020, McKinsey.com. 2 “Google to offer co-branded cards with 8 US banks” August 3, 2020, Finextra.com. Reimagining customer engagement for the AI bank of the future 20
crop performance, weather patterns, land usage, If reimagined customer engagement is properly and more to develop underwriting models that aligned with the other layers of the AI-and- predict a customer’s creditworthiness much more analytics capability stack, it can strengthen accurately than traditional risk models. a bank’s competitive position and financial performance by increasing efficiency, access 3. Increasingly human-like formats. and scale, and customer lifetime value (Exhibit 2). Conversational interfaces are becoming the new standard for customer engagement. With approximately one third of adult Americans Key elements of the AI-first owning a smart speaker,³ voice commands are engagement layer gaining traction, and adoption of both voice and For banks, successfully integrating core video interfaces will likely expand as in-person personalization elements across the range interactions continue to decline. Several banks of touchpoints with customers will be critical have already launched voice-activated assistants, to deliver a superior experience and better including Bank of America with Erica and ICICI outcomes. The reimagined engagement layer bank in India with iPal. should provide the AI bank with a deeper and 3 Bret Kinsella, “Nearly 90 million U.S. adults have smart speakers, adoption now exceeds one-third of consumers,” April 28, 2020, voicebot.ai. Exhibit 2 Withan With an AI-first AI-first approach approach totocustomer customerengagement, banks engagement, have banks the the have opportunity to reap gains in crucial areas. opportunity to reap gains in crucial areas. Access to newer, previously untapped customer segments Higher speed to reach critical scale Increased access and scale Reduced cost of acquisition Key Stronger activation and usage of (more cross-sell, partner metrics existing products platform-led growth) impacted Higher Higher engagement (eg, monthly Lower cost to serve (less or Higher customer usage), satisfaction (eg, NPS,1 “zero” operations) efficiency lifetime value lower TAT2) and reduced churn Lower risk (better data, early Higher cross-sell of new products warnings, proactive nudging) 1 Net promoter score. 2Turn around time. Source: McKinsey analysis 21 Reimagining customer engagement for the AI bank of the future
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