Brookfield Asset Management - INVESTOR DAY SEPTEMBER 26, 2019
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Agenda Global Market Overview Fireside Chat with Erik Schatzker, Bloomberg TV Editor at Large & Howard Marks, Co-Chairman of Oaktree Capital Management Strategic Review Bruce Flatt, Managing Partner & CEO Financial Review Brian Lawson, Managing Partner & CFO Q&A 2
Global Market Overview FIRESIDE CHAT Erik Schatzker Bloomberg Television Editor at Large Howard Marks Co-Chairman, Oaktree Capital Management 3
2 If so, alternatives allocations are increasing to 60%+ Alternatives are no longer Alternative Notes/Assumptions: 1. Refer to slide 19 for details. 7
Over the last year… Raised over $50 billion Deployed $33 billion Realized $19 billion Added a premier credit franchise Notes/Assumptions: 1. For the period July 1, 2018 – June 30, 2019. 10
Total assets are now over $500 billion $509B 100,000+ 1,800+ 30+ $227B ASSETS UNDER INSTITUTIONAL FEE BEARING MANAGEMENT EMPLOYEES INVESTORS COUNTRIES CAPITAL Notes/Assumptions: 1. As at June 30, 2019. See Notice to Recipients and endnotes, including endnotes 1, 2, and 3. 11
But global risks are building European rates are upside down The technology nifty fifty is a large proportion of markets Currency wars could be disruptive Political extremes are everywhere 12
Our growth strategy continues to focus on three simple factors 1 2 3 Increasing Growing our Investing wisely alternative product offerings allocations 13
Across all major capital markets interest rates are low, or negative U.S. EU Japan 14
There are two consequences of this rate environment 15
1 Asset values are going up 100 = $20 basis point BAM value cap rate reduction per share Notes/Assumptions: 1. Refer to slide 81 for details. 16
2 Allocations to alternatives are increasing Since 2009, ~$6 trillion allocated to private assets Notes/Assumptions: 1. Source: 2019 Bain Global Private Equity Outlook. 17
And targets are growing at an accelerating rate… 25% 15% 2016 2018 Notes/Assumptions: 1. Source: Willis Towers Watson Global Pension Assets Study, 2019. 18
But if we are in the world as described, our 40% target will likely go to 60% 20001 2018 20302 40% 60%+ 75% 25% 95% 5% Equity/Fixed Income Real Assets/Alternatives Notes/Assumptions: 1. Source: Willis Towers Watson Global Pension Assets Study, 2019. 2. Brookfield estimate. 19
Because investors have no alternative 20
~$25 Trillion will flow to alternatives Note/Assumption: 1. Brookfield estimate of target allocation to real assets/alternatives by 2030. 21
To sum up the opportunity 1 Alternatives are one of the few places returns exist 2 Institutions are continuing to increase allocations 3 Capital is increasing exponentially 22
Investors are also consolidating the number of managers they invest with 23
According to a recent survey ~25% of all capital raised was by the top 10 largest asset managers Note/Assumption: 1. Source: Alternatives in 2019 – Preqin. 24
Our private fund strategy is evolving 1 2 3 Flagship Perpetual Bespoke Funds Core Strategies Opportunities 25
Our flagship funds are growing (billions) Previous Three Vintages Current Real Estate $1.0 $4.4 $9.0 $15.0 1 Private Equity $0.8 $1.0 $4.0 $7.8+ 1 Infrastructure $2.7 $7.0 $14.0 $15.2+ 2 Credit $14.5 $7.2 $5.1 $12.5 Notes/Assumptions: 1. Still in fundraising period. 2. Represents Oaktree distressed debt strategy. 26
Last year, we highlighted our added focus on growing our perpetual core and credit strategies Our clients need it to replace bonds 27
In the past year, we more than doubled our perpetual capital commitments $60+ $6 $2 2018 2019 Long-Term Target (billions) 28
And Oaktree adds to our current franchise: World class management team Scaled credit expertise Counter-cyclical fundraising strategy The ability to deliver scaled credit products 29
Today, the number of ways our clients can allocate capital to us is increasing Separately Special Managed Opportunities Accounts Program Co-investments 30
Leading to a growing institutional investor franchise +157% 1,800+ 700 700 +150% 280 1 1 1 2014 2019 With Oaktree Notes/Assumptions: 1. As at June 30. 31
But investing is always competitive So we try to use our competitive advantages in everything we do 1 2 3 Size Global platform Operating and flexible Expertise mandates 32
We invested over $33 billion in the last 12 months1 84% 9% NORTH AMERICA $33B ASIA & OTHER 4% SOUTH AMERICA 3% EUROPE Notes/Assumptions: 1. From July 1, 2018 – June 30, 2019. 33
New investments are currently being driven by four themes 34
1. Special situations in North America Forest City Westinghouse $6.8B $4.0B LARGE-SCALE CAPITAL LARGE-SCALE CAPITAL 35
2. The interest rate inversion, particularly in Europe 36
3. Banking stress in India 37
4. The reorganization of balance sheets in China 38
Irrespective of markets and politics, we continue to focus on: 1 Maintaining disciplined investing standards 2 Deploying capital for value 3 Being patient, waiting for market breaks 4 Recycling proceeds into higher yielding opportunities 39
Before getting into the numbers, we summarize: Our franchise is broader and deeper than ever before The backdrop for client capital is strong and increasing Despite lots of capital in the world, few people have the skills to transact in areas where we do If we can execute, the next 10 years are set up to be better than the last 10! 40
Financial Review Brian Lawson Managing Partner & CFO 41
Agenda Scorecard Resiliency Growth Profile 42
Our business is… Straightforward Transparent Resilient Growing 43
Scorecard 1 44
We achieved solid growth since this time last year... AS AT JUNE 30 2018 20191 Fee bearing capital ($b) $ 129 $ 164 27% 24% Annualized fee revenues2($m) 1,435 1,775 Target carried interest ($m) 1,115 1,660 49% 13% Annualized CAFDAR3 ($m) 1,875 2,121 Notes/Assumptions: 1. Excludes Oaktree. 2. Annualized fee revenues as at June 30, 2019 exclude $60 million of annualized BPY fees that were subject to a fee waiver ended August 2019. The capital associated with such fees is in fee bearing capital as at June 30, 2019. Including these fees, annualized fee revenues would be $1,835, or $1,100 net of costs – an increase of 28%. 3. Cash available for distribution and/or reinvestment – excludes carried interest. 45
…and are tracking above our 2018 business plan Fee Related Earnings (millions) Fee Bearing Capital (billions) 2500 300 $1,920 P 2000 250 $245 P $1,065 A 200 $164 A 1500 150 1000 100 $147 P 500 $1,015 P 50 0 0 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023P 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023P Carry Eligible Capital (billions) Net Invested Capital (billions) 120 60 $111 P $56 P 100 50 80 $72 A 40 $34 A 2 60 30 $35 P 40 $56 P 20 20 10 - 0 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023P 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023P Notes/Assumptions: 1. As at and annualized for the period ended June 30, 2019 unless otherwise noted. 2. Incudes investment in listed investments, based on share prices as at September 20, 2019, excluding BPY which is valued based on IFRS values. 3. A = Actual annualized results as at June 30, 2019. 4. P = Plan per September 2018 Investor Day. 46
Our funds are tracking to meet or exceed their target returns1... Total Carry Unrealized Target Eligible Carried Gross Gross AS AT JUNE 30, 2019 (millions) Vintage2 Capital Interest IRR IRR Real estate 2005 – 2019 $ 31,609 $ 907 13% – 20% 12% – 20% Infrastructure 2008 – 2018 29,842 992 15% 13% – 15% Private equity 2007 – 2018 10,331 638 29% 20% Total $ 71,782 $ 2,537 Which means these funds are well over their preferred return and should earn carry on each dollar of profit Notes/Assumptions: 1. See Q2 2019 Supplemental Information for further disaggregation by investment strategy. The funds above include opportunistic, value add, credit and core plus strategies, and other strategies. Gross IRR excludes IRR for strategies categorized as “Other.” The table above excludes Oaktree funds. See Notice to Recipients and endnotes, including endnotes 4, 5 and 6. 2. Year of final close. 47
…and our expectation of carried interest generated has grown and shifted forward since last year Existing Funds Only1 (billions) $18 2019 IR Day $16 $14 $12 2018 IR Day $10 $8 $6 $4 $2 $0 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 Generated - 2018 IR Day Generated - 2019 IR Day Notes/Assumptions: 1. Excludes Oaktree funds. 2. See Notice to Recipients and endnotes, including endnote 7. 48
We increased plan values by over $10 billion… Plan Value AS AT JUNE 30 (billions) Multiple Ann.1 2019 2018 Asset manager Annualized fee related earnings 20x $ 1.1 $ 21.3 $ 17.2 Net target carried interest 10x 1.2 11.6 8.1 Accumulated unrealized carried interest, net 1.8 1.7 34.7 27.0 Invested capital, net2 34.2 31.2 Total $ 68.9 $ 58.2 $10.7B Notes/Assumptions: 1. Annualized as at June 30, 2019. 2. Investments in listed entities measured at closing prices on September 20, 2019, excluding BPY which is measured at its IFRS value. Gross invested capital, before $11 billion of leverage, is $45 billion. 3. See Notice to Recipients and endnotes, including endnotes 8, 9 and 10. 49
…resulting in a 20% total return since last year $69 $58 20% Total Return1 $34 $31 $35 $27 2018 2019 Asset Manager Invested Capital Notes/Assumptions: 1. Per share basis, including dividends paid to BAM shareholders. 2. See Notice to Recipients and endnotes, including endnotes 8, 9 and 10. 50
Which implies you get a 22% margin of safety 2019 (millions, except per share) 2019 Total Per Share Asset manager plus invested capital 1,2 $ 68,939 $ 68.72 Equity market capitalization 54,072 53.90 Discount to plan value $ 14,867 22% Notes/Assumptions: 1. Per share amount calculated using total diluted shares as at June 30, 2019. 2. Based on September 20, 2019 public pricing. 3. See Notice to Recipients and endnotes, including endnotes 8, 9 and 10. 51
Resiliency 2 52
Our business is strong and resilient Sustainable Business High Quality Assets Stable Capital Structure Strong Liquidity Reliable High Growth Cash Flows Transparency Which allows us to continue to grow through all parts of the cycle 53
Sustainable business 54
We are in one of the highest growth businesses… 1 2 3 High quality Protect Positive contribution critical assets financial future to communities and services for investors and employee base …and our activities contribute value in a number of ways 55
Our assets are high quality and are an essential part of our daily lives Renewable Power Office Buildings Healthcare Toll Roads 56
Our investors rely on us to protect their financial future and the future of others Pension Plans Insurers Education Research 57
We always operate with a high priority on ESG principles Built into our investment approval One of the world’s process, board mandates, and largest pure-play risk management activities renewable energy portfolios 90% of our core office portfolio Maintaining an inclusive and is green building certified diverse work environment It is engrained in everything we do 58
Stable capital structure 59
We have a solid balance sheet 1 Conservative capitalization 2 Strong corporate core liquidity $4B financial assets $7B long-term debt $2.5B undrawn credit facility $73B perpetual equity Investment-grade balance sheet 3 Leverage ratios are declining 4 CAFDAR2 exceeds any maturities $3 $2.5 3.0x 2.5x $2 $1.1 $1.2 $1 $0.6 $0.5 $0.5 $0.4 $0.3 $0 2015 2019 2021 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029+ Debt / CAFDAR before interest expense Maturities (billions) Notes/Assumptions: BAM is well positioned! 1. As at June 30, 2019. Comparative periods as at June 30. 2. Cash available for distribution and/or reinvestment. 60
Listed issuers are self-sufficient with strong access to capital Available core liquidity of $8 billion: Access to debt and/or equity capital markets Undrawn credit facilities Capital recycling programs Strong free cash flow generation Notes/Assumptions: 1. As at June 30, 2019. 61
Strong financial discipline at the portfolio and asset level Non-recourse debt at the portfolio company / asset level is: Sized appropriately for the asset being financed Raised in local currencies, on long-term basis Covenant friendly where possible Has no recourse to the listed issuers or BAM 62
Reliable high growth cash flows 63
At BAM, we generate over $2 billion of cash available for distribution / reinvestment on an annualized basis, before carried interest… ANNUALIZED AS AT JUNE 30 (millions) 2019 Fee related earnings $ 1,065 Recurring dividends from invested capital 1,706 2,771 Financing and operating costs (650) $ 2,121 64
We distribute ~ 30% to shareholders ANNUALIZED AS AT JUNE 30 (millions) 2019 Cash available for distribution / reinvestment $ 2,121 Common share dividends (636) Cash available for distribution / reinvestment, net 1,485 Percent distributed to shareholders 30% The balance is available to reinvest for growth or return to shareholders 65
The majority of our fee revenues are contracted and predictable… Fee Bearing Capital Annualized Fee Revenues 10% 7% PUBLIC SECURITIES PUBLIC SECURITIES 3% 2% LONG-LIFE PRIVATE FUNDS LONG-LIFE PRIVATE FUNDS 39% 48% 41% 50% LISTED CLOSED-END CLOSED-END LISTED PARTNERSHIPS PRIVATE FUNDS PRIVATE FUNDS PARTNERSHIPS 90% of fee bearing capital is perpetual or long-term Fee revenues are contracted based on long-term contracts and pre-defined incentives Notes/Assumptions: 1. As at June 30, 2019. 2. Performance income includes incentive distributions, performance fees and carried interest. 66
…and our fee rates and margins are sustainable as we grow Annualized Fee Related Earnings Average Fee Rate2 (millions) (basis points) 2019 Base Management Fees 112 bps Private $ 760 Listed 565 Public 116 102 bps Incentive distributions 257 Performance & other fees 77 1,775 Direct costs (710) 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 $ 1,065 Fee Related Earnings FRE Margin3 (millions) $1,065 $861 $774 $672 61% $573 53% 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Notes/Assumptions: 1. As at and annualized for the period ending June 30, unless otherwise stated. 2. Including fees associated with BPY capital issued relating to the privatization of GGP. 3. For the LTM period ended June 30, excluding BBU performance fees. 67
10-year carry realizations are now expected to total $15 billion Existing Funds Only1 (billions) $16 $14 $12 $10 $8 $6 $4 $2 $0 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 Notes/Assumptions: 1. Excludes Oaktree funds. 2. See Notice to Recipients and endnotes, including endnote 7. 68
Growth Profile 3 69
Over the past 20 years, BAM has grown at an 18% annual total return, or a 27.2x multiple of capital $27.2 18% Total Return $1.0 1 1999 2019 Notes/Assumptions: 1. Assumes $1 dollar of capital invested on June 30, 1999 and distributions are reinvested. 70
But what is important is our future growth 71
Over five years, private fund and public securities fee bearing capital should increase to nearly $300 billion Private Funds & Public Securities – Fee Bearing Capital ($billions) Credit & Public Securities4 Outflows $293B ------ Flagship Series ------ Core & Other3 Beginning 2024 2021-2023 Oaktree $162B2 $99B1 2019 13% 2024 CAGR Notes/Assumptions: 1. Opening private funds and public securities fee bearing capital as at June 30, 2019. 2. Includes our share of Oaktree’s fee-generating AUM as if the merger closed on June 30, 2019. 3. Core & Other includes the remainder of capital to be raised in our current vintage of flagship fundraising, to be completed by the first half 2020. 4. Credit & Public Securities includes fundraising in BAM’s credit strategies as well as net growth in public securities and Oaktree fee-generating AUM. 5. See Notice to Recipients and endnotes, including endnotes 2, 11 and 12. 72
…and listed partnerships’ capitalization should increase to over $100 billion Listed Partnerships – Fee Bearing Capital ($billions) Issuances $103B Market Value Growth (BPY, BBU) Distribution Growth (BEP, BIP, TERP, BPY) $65B1 10% CAGR Notes/Assumptions: 1. Opening listed partnership fee bearing capital as at June 30, 2019. 2. See Notice to Recipients and endnotes, including endnote 11. 73
In aggregate, we expect to increase our fee bearing capital to nearly $400 billion in the next five years AS AT JUNE 30 (billions) 20191 ~5 Years1 Listed partnerships $ 65 $ 103 Private funds & public securities Flagship private funds 53 112 Core and other funds 26 60 Credit & public securities2 83 121 162 293 Fee bearing capital $ 227 $ 396 +12% CAGR Notes/Assumptions: 1. Includes Brookfield’s share of its ownership in Oaktree. 2. Credit & public securities includes fundraising in BAM’s credit strategies as well as net growth in public securities and Oaktree fee-generating AUM. 3. See Notice to Recipients and endnotes, including endnotes 11 and 12. 74
The increase in fee bearing capital should generate strong growth in fee related earnings AS AT JUNE 30 (millions) 20191 ~5 Years Base fees $ 1,441 $ 2,875 IDRs 257 625 Other fees 77 180 Fee revenues 1,775 3,680 Direct costs (710) (1,470) Brookfield FRE 1,065 2,210 Oaktree FRE2 125 325 +16% Fee related earnings $ 1,190 $ 2,535 CAGR Notes/Assumptions: 1. Annualized as at June 30. 2. Oaktree fee related earnings at BAM’s share. 3. See Notice to Recipients and endnotes, including endnotes 8, 11 and 12. 75
And increase our potential to earn carried interest Carry Eligible Capital Annualized Carried Interest, Gross (billions) (billions) $200 $4.2 16% 18% CAGR CAGR $94 $1.8 2019 2024 2019 2024 Brookfield Oaktree 1 Brookfield Oaktree 1 Notes/Assumptions: 1. At BAM’s share. 2. As at June 30. 3. See Notice to Recipients and endnotes, including endnotes 8, 11 and 12. 76
Growing cash flows significantly increase our invested capital Invested Capital ($billions) Cash Retained – Distributions from Capitalization Invested Capital and Dividends $75B -7 12 Cash Retained – Asset Manager 14 5 Value Appreciation (BBU, Other)2 Distribution Increase (BEP, BIP, BPY)2 4 $45B1 7 2019 11% ~5 Years CAGR 14 Notes/Assumptions: 1. Opening “Blended” invested capital value as at June 30, 2019, except investment in listed investments which are based on share prices as at September 20, 2019, excluding BPY which is valued based on June 30, 2019 IFRS values. 2. See Notice to Recipients and endnotes, including endnotes 9 and 13. 77
Putting it all together 78
Plan value results in $141 per share over the next five years… ~5 Years Multiple ~5 Years (millions) (billions, except per share amounts) Asset manager Fee related earnings $ 2,535 20x $ 51 Generated carried interest, net 2,740 10x 27 Accumulated carried interest, net 7 85 Asset owner Invested capital 75 Leverage (11) 64 Total plan value $ 149 22% Total Plan value per share1 $ 141 Return2 Notes/Assumptions: 1. Per share amount calculated using total diluted shares as at June 30, 2019, plus the BAM shares issued in relation to the Oaktree transaction. 2. Total return includes dividends and is calculated using public pricing ($53.90 per share as at September 20, 2019). 3. See Notice to Recipients and endnotes, including endnotes 10, 11, 12 and 13. 79
…driven by fundraising and investing Cash Retained $141 Value Creation – Invested Capital 18 Value Creation – Carry 11 Value Creation – Fee Related Earnings 18 Discount to 25 Plan Value2 $54 15 22% 2019 Total ~5 Years Market Price Return Notes/Assumptions: 1. All figures on a per share basis. 2019 per share basis calculated using total diluted shares as at June 30, 2019. 2024 per share calculated including the BAM shares issued in relation to the Oaktree transaction. 2. Current discount to plan value per slide 51, based on September 20, 2019 share price of $53.90. 3. See Notice to Recipients and endnotes, including endnotes 10, 11, 12 and 13. 80
There is additional value creation potential beyond our plan 32 Fee Related Earnings $167 Invested Capital 6 20 4 1 $141 22% -100bps 26% Total Return Total Return DECREASE IN INTEREST RATES Notes/Assumptions: 1. Plan value per share. See Notice to Recipients and endnotes, including endnotes 10 and 15. 81
The cash available for distribution, before carried interest, should be over $5 billion annually… (millions) ~5 Years Fee related earnings1 $ 2,535 Distributions from investments 3,285 Financing and corporate costs (680) Cash available for distribution / reinvestment $ 5,140 Notes/Assumptions: 1. Including our share of Oaktree’s fee related earnings. 2. See Notice to Recipients and endnotes, including endnotes 13 and 14. 82
… and over $6 billion with carried interest $6.3 $5.5 $4.3 $3.6 $3.3 $2.5 $5.1 $4.4 $3.8 $2.7 $3.2 $2.1 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 (billions) Cash available for distribution and/or reinvestment, before carried interest Realized carried interest, net Notes/Assumptions: 1. See Notice to Recipients and endnotes, including endnotes 7, 13 and 14. 83
Over the next five years, cumulative cash flow generated should surpass $20 billion Cash flow will be allocated to: 1 Participate in the growth of our listed partnerships 2 Seed new investment strategies 3 Repurchase shares for value 4 Serve as additional liquidity at any stage of a market cycle Notes/Assumptions: 1. See Notice to Recipients and endnotes, including endnotes 7 and 14. 84
And looking out 10 years… we can return more meaningful capital to shareholders (millions) Cumulative ~10 Years1 Net cash from: Fee related earnings $ 25,000 Net invested capital 30,000 Realized carried interest, net 15,000 65,000 Cash investment into Listed Partnerships (10,000) Return of capital through dividends (10,000) Available for share repurchases $ 45,000 Notes/Assumptions: 1. Per Brookfield plan, consistent with 5-year plan assumptions. 2. See Notice to Recipients and endnotes, including endnotes 7 and 14. 85
We want to leave you with four important points 1 Our business is resilient and growing rapidly 2 We are generating over $2.5 billion, which is capable of reaching $6 billion of annual cash flows over the next five years 3 Carry is continuing to grow and is very meaningful 4 Excess cash flow will be returned to owners unless better alternatives are found Notes/Assumptions: 1. Refer to slide 83. 86
Q&A 87
Endnotes 1. AUM is calculated as follows: (i) for investments that Brookfield consolidates for accounting purposes or actively manages, including investments of which Brookfield or a controlled investment vehicle is the largest shareholder or the primary operator or manager, at 100% of the investment’s total assets on a fair value basis and (ii) for all other investments, at Brookfield’s or its controlled investment vehicles’, as applicable, proportionate share of the investment’s total assets on a fair value basis. References to AUM of $509 billion as at June 30, 2019 is illustrative to include 100% of Oaktree AUM as at June 30, 2019, as if the merger had closed on such date. 2. Fee bearing capital of $227 billion is illustrative to include our proportionate share of Oaktree fee-generating AUM as at June 30, 2019. 3. Institutional investors include total institutional investors across Brookfield and Oaktree private fund strategies. 4. Gross IRR on current Brookfield private funds, as presented on slide 47, is on existing carry eligible funds, excluding open-ended funds and funds categorized as “Other” in Brookfield’s Q2 2019 Supplemental Information available at brookfield.com. 5. The actual realized returns on current unrealized investments may vary materially and are subject to market conditions and other factors and risks that are set out in our Notice to Recipients. 6. Gross IRR, as presented on slide 47, reflects performance before fund expenses, management fees (or equivalent fees) and carried interest. 7. Current and future gross generated carried interest on existing funds, as presented on slide 48, and gross realized carried interest expectations, as presented on slide 68, is illustrative only. Actual results may vary materially and are subject to market conditions and other factors and risks, as well as certain assumptions, that are set out in our Notice to Recipients. 8. The value of the asset manager within our Plan Value assumes a 60% margin on annualized fee revenues and a 70% margin on gross target carried interest. The multiple reflects Brookfield's estimates of appropriate multiples applied to fee related earnings and carried interest in the alternative asset management industry based on, among other things, industry reports. These factors are used to translate earnings metrics into value in order to measure performance and value creation for business planning purposes. 9. The value of our invested capital within our Plan Value represents blended value, which is the quoted value of listed investments and IFRS value of unlisted investments, subject to two adjustments. First, we reflect BPY at its IFRS value as we believe that this best reflects the fair value of the underlying properties. Second, we reflect Brookfield Residential at its privatization value. 10. Illustrative stock price analysis is not intended to forecast or predict future events, but rather to provide information utilized by Brookfield in measuring performance for business planning purposes, based on the specific assumptions and other factors described herein and in our Notice to Recipient. 11. Fee bearing capital, carry eligible capital and invested capital growth is illustrative only. Actual results may vary materially and are subject to market conditions and other factors and risks, as well as certain assumptions, that are set out in our Notice to Recipients. 12. Growth assumptions relating to Oaktree are disclosed in the Form F-4 registration statement as filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, effective June 20, 2019. Results may vary materially and are subject to market conditions and other factors and risks that are set out in our Notice to Recipients. 13. Growth in invested capital relating to cash retained incudes cashflow from fee related earnings, realized carried interest, invested capital cash flow and dispositions of directly held assets. Accumulated balances are reinvested at 8%. Capitalization and dividends paid out during the period assume a constant capitalization level and 7% annual growth in BAM dividends. 14. Growth in free cashflow includes growth in distributions from listed investments, assuming dividend growth at mid-point of target distribution growth rates, and 5% growth in corporate costs, and assumes current capitalization. Actual results may vary materially and are subject to market conditions and other factors and risks that are set out in our Notice to Recipients. 15. Interest rate sensitivity for listed partnerships includes decrease in 100 bps to the current yield or capitalization rate of the listed and unlisted investments and reduces the expected yield on cash and financial assets by 100 bps. 88
Notice to Recipients Investor Day 2019 – Notice to Readers Brookfield is not making any offer or invitation of any kind by communication of this document to the recipient and under no circumstances is it to be construed as a prospectus or an advertisement. Except where otherwise indicated herein, the information provided herein is based on matters as they exist as of June 30, 2019 and not as of any future date, is subject to change, and, unless required by law, will not be updated or otherwise revised to reflect information that subsequently becomes available or circumstances existing or changes occurring after the date hereof. Unless otherwise noted, all references to “$” or “Dollars” are to U.S. Dollars. CAUTIONARY STATEMENTS REGARDING FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS AND INFORMATION This presentation contains “forward-looking information” within the meaning of Canadian provincial securities laws and “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, the U.S. Securities Exchange Act of 1934, and, “safe harbor” provisions of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and in any applicable Canadian securities regulations. . Forward-looking statements include statements that are predictive in nature, depend upon or refer to future events or conditions, include, but are not limited to, statements which reflect management’s expectations regarding the operations, business, financial condition, expected financial results, performance, prospects, opportunities, priorities, targets, goals, ongoing objectives, strategies and outlook of the Company and its subsidiaries, as well as the outlook for North American and international economies for the current fiscal year and subsequent periods. Often, but not always, forward-looking information can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as “expects,” “likely,” “anticipates,” “plans,” “believes,” “estimates,” “seeks,” “intends,” “targets,” “projects,” “forecasts,” or negative versions thereof and other similar expressions, or future or conditional verbs such as “may,” “will,” “should,” “would” and “could.” Below are certain of the forward-looking statements that are contained in this presentation and a number of assumptions underlying them. Where this presentation refers to “gross carried interest” or “carried interest,” carried interest for existing funds is based on June 30, 2019 carry eligible capital and carried interest for future funds is based on Brookfield’s estimates of future fundraising as at June 30, 2019, as described below. In addition, this presentation assumes that existing and future funds meet their target gross return. Target gross returns are typically 20+% for opportunistic funds; 13% to 15% for value-add funds; 12% to 15% for credit and core plus funds. Fee terms vary by investment strategy (carried interest is approximately 15% to 20% subject to a preferred return and catch-up) and may change over time. This presentation assumes that capital is deployed evenly over a four-year investment period and realized evenly over three years of sales. The year in which such sales commence varies by investment strategy and ranges from year 6 to year 10. Where this presentation refers to “future fundraising,” or “growth in fee bearing capital” we assume that flagship funds are raised every two to three years based on historical fund series and non-flagship funds are raised annually within certain strategies, and in other strategies every two years. Fund series’ sizes remain constant and consistent with target funds from period-to-period. This presentation also assumes that distributions are based on fund realizations evenly over three years of sales. The year in which such sales commence varies by investment strategy and ranges from year 6 to year 10. References to “distribution, growth, market valuation, and issuances relating to listed partnerships,” include the following assumptions: (i) BIP, BEP, and TERP grow at a rate equal to the mid-point of their target distribution growth rate, assuming current yield; (ii) the market price to IFRS discount on BPY is eliminated; (iii) BBU share price grows at a 10% annual rate; and (iv) total listed partnership capitalization includes issuances related to debt and preferred equity for BPY, BIP and BEP, based on a debt to total capitalization ratio of 20-30%. 89
Notice to Recipients cont’d Where this presentation refers to “fee related earnings,” fee related earnings from listed partnerships and private funds are based on fee bearing capital increasing in accordance with slide 74. The listed partnership management fees for BPY, BEP and TERP are fixed fees on initial capitalization and an additional fee of 1.25% on the amount in excess of initial capitalization. Management fees for BIP and BBU are 1.25% of total capitalization. Fee terms for private funds vary by investment strategy (generally, within a range of approximately 1-2%). The incentive distribution rights of the listed partnerships are based on a mid-point of the applicable listed partnership’s distribution growth rate as described above. Other fees include the BBU performance fee assuming a 10% BBU annual share price growth. Fee related earnings assumes a margin of 60%. Although we believe that our anticipated future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements and information are based upon reasonable assumptions and expectations, the reader should not place undue reliance on forward- looking statements and information because they involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, many of which are beyond our control, which may cause our and our subsidiaries’ actual results, performance or achievements to differ materially from anticipated future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements and information. Some of the factors, many of which are beyond Brookfield’s control and the effects of which can be difficult to predict, but may cause actual results to differ materially from those contemplated or implied by forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to: (i) investment returns that are lower than target; (ii) the impact or unanticipated impact of general economic, political and market factors in the countries in which we do business; (iii) the behavior of financial markets, including fluctuations in interest and foreign exchange rates; (iv) global equity and capital markets and the availability of equity and debt financing and refinancing within these markets; (v) strategic actions including dispositions; the ability to complete and effectively integrate acquisitions into existing operations and the ability to attain expected benefits; (vi) changes in accounting policies and methods used to report financial condition (including uncertainties associated with critical accounting assumptions and estimates); (vii) the ability to appropriately manage human capital; (viii) the effect of applying future accounting changes; (ix) business competition; (x) operational and reputational risks; (xi) technological change; (xii) changes in government regulation and legislation within the countries in which we operate; (xiii) governmental investigations; (xiv) litigation; (xv) changes in tax laws; (xvi) ability to collect amounts owed; (xvii) catastrophic events, such as earthquakes and hurricanes; (xviii) the possible impact of international conflicts and other developments including terrorist acts and cyberterrorism; (xix) the introduction, withdrawal, success and timing of business initiatives and strategies; (xx) the failure of effective disclosure controls and procedures and internal controls over financial reporting and other risks; (xxi) health, safety and environmental risks; (xxii) the maintenance of adequate insurance coverage; (xxiii) risks specific to our business segments including our real estate, renewable power, infrastructure, private equity, and residential development activities; (xxiv) and factors detailed from time to time in our documents filed with the securities regulators in Canada and the United States. We caution that the foregoing list of important factors that may affect future results is not exhaustive. When relying on our forward-looking statements, investors and others should carefully consider the foregoing factors and other uncertainties and potential events. Except as required by law, we undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward- looking statements or information in this presentation, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. CAUTIONARY STATEMENT REGARDING OAKTREE This presentation includes information regarding Oaktree Capital Group, LLC. On March 13, 2019, Brookfield and Oaktree announced an agreement whereby Brookfield will acquire approximately 62% of the Oaktree business. As of the date hereof, the transaction has not closed and remains subject to the satisfaction or waiver of any remaining conditions, including regulatory approvals, necessary to complete the transaction. Information contained in this presentation regarding Oaktree may be subject to the closing of the transaction and is forward-looking, included for illustrative purposes only. 90
Notice to Recipients cont’d CAUTIONARY STATEMENT REGARDING PAST AND FUTURE PERFORMANCE AND TARGET RETURNS Past performance is not indicative nor a guarantee of future results. There can be no assurance that comparable results will be achieved in the future, or that future investments or fundraising efforts will be similar to the historic results presented herein (because of economic conditions, the availability of investment opportunities or otherwise). Any information regarding prior investment activities and returns contained herein has not been calculated using generally accepted accounting principles and may not have been audited or verified by an auditor or any independent party. Unless otherwise indicated, internal rates of return (including targeted rates of return) are presented on a “gross” basis (i.e., they do not reflect management fees (or equivalent fees), carried interest (or incentive allocation), taxes, transaction costs and other expenses to be borne by investors, which in the aggregate are expected to be substantial). The target returns set forth herein are for illustrative and informational purposes only and have been presented based on various assumptions made by Brookfield in relation to the investment strategies being pursued by the funds, any of which may prove to be incorrect. There can be no assurance that targeted returns, diversification, or asset allocations will be met or that an investment strategy or investment objectives will be achieved. Due to various risks, uncertainties and changes (including changes in economic, operational, political or other circumstances) beyond Brookfield’s control, the actual performance of the funds could differ materially from the target returns set forth herein. In addition, industry experts may disagree with the assumptions used in presenting the target returns. Any changes to assumptions could have a material impact on projections and actual returns. Actual returns on unrealized investments will depend on, among other factors, future operating results, the value of the assets and market conditions at the time of disposition, legal and contractual restrictions on transfer that may limit liquidity, any related transaction costs and the timing and manner of sale, all of which may differ from the assumptions and circumstances on which the valuations used in the prior performance data contained herein are based. Accordingly, the actual realized returns on unrealized investments may differ materially from the returns indicated herein. No assurance, representation or warranty is made by any person that the target returns will be achieved, and undue reliance should not be put on them. Prior performance is not indicative of future results and there can be no guarantee that the funds will achieve the target returns or be able to avoid losses. CAUTIONARY STATEMENT REGARDING USE OF NON-IFRS MEASURES This presentation contains references to financial metrics that are not calculated in accordance with, and do not have any standardized meaning prescribed by, International Financial Reporting Standards (“IFRS”). We believe such non-IFRS measures including, but not limited to, funds from operations (“FFO”) and invested capital, are useful supplemental measures that may assist investors and others in assessing our financial performance and the financial performance of our subsidiaries. As these non-IFRS measures are not generally accepted accounting measures under IFRS, references to FFO and invested capital, as examples, are therefore unlikely to be comparable to similar measures presented by other issuers and entities. These non-IFRS measures have limitations as analytical tools. They should not be considered as the sole measure of our performance and should not be considered in isolation from, or as a substitute for, analysis of our financial statements prepared in accordance with IFRS. For a more fulsome discussion regarding our use of non-IFRS measures and their reconciliation to the most directly comparable IFRS measures refer to our documents filed with the securities regulators in Canada and the United States. OTHER CAUTIONARY STATEMENTS Certain of the information contained herein is based on or derived from information provided by independent third-party sources. While Brookfield believes that such information is accurate as of the date it was produced and that the sources from which such information has been obtained are reliable, Brookfield does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of such information and has not independently verified such information or the assumptions on which such information is based. This document is subject to the assumptions (if any) and notes contained herein. The information in this document does not take into account your investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs and nothing contained herein should be construed as legal, business or tax advice. Each prospective investor should consult its own attorney, business adviser and tax advisor as to legal, business, tax and related matters concerning the information contained herein. 91
Brookfield Asset Management I N V E S T O R D AY SEPTEMBER 26, 2019
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