Brookfield Asset Management - INVESTOR DAY SEPTEMBER 17
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Agenda Page Strategic Review 3 Bruce Flatt, Chief Executive Officer Financial Review 54 Brian Lawson, Chief Financial Officer Q&A 90 2
We want to leave you with four important points 1 Real asset allocations are increasing 2 How we invest is key 3 Our operations focus differentiates us 4 Our people and culture are critical 3
Our business continues to grow $250B+ 30 70,000+ 465 ~$120B ASSETS UNDER INSTITUTIONAL FEE BEARING MANAGEMENT COUNTRIES EMPLOYEES CLIENTS CAPITAL $258B 10%1 CAGR $158B 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Assets Under Management (AUM) 1) As at June 30, 2017 5
We have delivered strong returns to our clients – and therefore, over the past five years ... BAM’s stock has appreciated at a 15% compound rate Received over $5 billion of distributions from our listed issuers1 Private funds have achieved targets and more, enabling us to grow client relationships 1) Distributions from BIP, BPY, BEP and BBU 6
Last Year’s Polling Question Last year we asked if you expect the S&P500 to be higher at our next investor day 7
… and you responded a) Higher by a lot – 12% b) Higher by a little – 42% c) Unchanged – 8% d) Lower by a little – 38% 8
Polling Question #1 Q: Do you expect the S&P500 to be higher at our next investor day? a) Higher by a lot b) Higher by a little c) Unchanged d) Lower by a little e) Lower by a lot 10
There are three keys to our growth 1 2 3 Investors continue to Competitive Our people increase allocations advantages as an and culture to real assets investor and operator 11
Real Asset Allocations Are Increasing 1 12
The amount of capital controlled by institutional investors continues to grow… ($trillions) $50 $40 $43 $30 $20 $23 $10 $0 2008 2016 1) Source: Willis Towers Watson Global Pension Assets Study, 2008-2016 2) Source: Prequin Sovereign Wealth Fund reports 13
…but their funded status has declined ($trillions) $5 110% 100% $4 90% 80% 70% $3 60% 50% $2 40% 30% $1 20% 10% $0 0% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Assets Liabilities Funded Ratio Source: Brookfield Research. Public Plans Data, refers to 170 different state and local public plans in the U.S. 14
Real assets and alternatives provide an attractive solution Diversification from traditional investments which have higher valuations Values maintain themselves through cycles with less volatility Cash yielding investments provide cash flow 15
The result is a continued shift in pension fund allocations to alternatives U.S. Pension Assets Allocated to Alternatives ($trillions) $10 $8 $9 $6 $4 3x $2 $3 $- 2008 2016 Source: Willis Towers Watson Global Pension Assets Study, 2008-2016 16
These allocation trends should continue… Interest rates should Real assets slowly move up retain their value across cycles Real assets Equities are at highs provide diversification 17
…resulting in higher flows to real assets in the future 2030 2017 2000 5% 25% 40%+ 60% 75% 95% Real Assets / Equity / Alternatives Fixed Income 1) Source: Willis Towers Watson Global Pension Assets Study, 2008-2016 18
Polling Question #2 Q: What % of institutional investors are invested in two or more alternative asset classes? a) Less than 30% b) 30% c) 40% d) 50% e) Greater than 50% 19
A: According to a recent survey of over 540 global institutional investors… 62% of institutional investors are invested in two or more alternative asset classes Source: Preqin Investor Outlook: Alternative Assets, H2 2017 20
We are responding to this investor demand… 21
In three key ways 1 2 3 Expanding our Launching new Expanding into flagship funds strategies new distribution channels 22
Last year we highlighted major fundraising initiatives BSREP II BIF III BCP IV $9B $14B $4B INFRASTRUCTURE & REAL ESTATE RENEWABLE POWER PRIVATE EQUITY 23
We eat our own cooking Fund Investment BSREP II 26% BIF III 29% BCP IV 26% 24
Over the past year we have made excellent progress deploying this capital BSREP II BIF III BCP IV >80% >45% >60% INVESTED1 INVESTED1 INVESTED1 1) Invested or committed 25
….bringing us closer to fundraising the next series of flagship funds 26
In addition, investors are seeking new products and strategies within areas of our expertise 1 2 Perpetual Core Funds Credit Funds Allows investors to Provides investors with match long-duration reasonable cash yields liabilities or provide long-duration returns 27
1) We launched our first private perpetual core fund in 2016 Core Real Estate Leveraging existing operating expertise Existing Operating Platform Recurring, Stable Cash Flow Opportunity for Expansion Growth Potential 28
2) We are expanding our credit platform Leveraging our investment platforms and existing lending expertise Part of the Lending and Assets we A focus on Investment capital operating understand quality prudence solution expertise as owners 29
We are also growing our private wealth investor base Increasing interest among private wealth investors and their advisers for private alternatives Access to new distribution channels Diversifying our funding sources Dedicated team of fundraising professionals 30
How We Invest is Key 2 31
Over the past 12 months we invested or committed $17 billion globally Private Equity 14% Renewable Power 19% 21% Real Estate 46% Infrastructure Notes/Assumptions: 1) LTM as at June 30, 2017 32
We are able to deploy large amounts of capital quickly without compromising our return thresholds 33
…because we operate large funds with broad mandates, enabling us to allocate capital to the best opportunities globally 34
The asset classes in which we invest are extremely large – each are $50 to $100 trillion businesses 35
Our global presence differentiates us 30 700 COUNTRIES INVESTMENT PROFESSIONALS 36
We are able to access multiple sources of capital for transactions Co-investors Listed Joint Partnerships Venture Partners Private Transactions BAM Funds 37
We are investors in some developing countries… but take a measured approach 1 2 3 Patience Rule of Law Respect for Capital 38
We have incrementally built strong businesses in India over the last decade 2009 – 2013 Seed and Development 2013 – 2016 Growth and Establishment 2013 – 2016 Expansion 39
Today, we are managing over $3.5 billion in India Real Estate Infrastructure Renewable Power Private Equity • $2.4 billion AUM • $1.1 billion AUM • 302 MW power assets • $1 billion JV with State Bank of India • 4 cities • 723 km operational • 200 MW solar (distressed deals) roads • 20 buildings • 102 MW wind • Residential financing platform • 20 million sq. ft. 40
Our Operations Focus Differentiates Us 3 41
Investing in Real Assets requires hard work We have more than 115 years of operating experience 42
We have increased the size of our team 2017 70,000 2008 Operating Employees 17,000 Operating Employees 43
Our operating expertise is a key differentiator for us 1 2 3 Leverage expertise Enhance returns Place senior when underwriting through operating personnel from BAM investments improvements, fixing into operating balance sheet and/or companies capex projects 44
Colombia – long-term power contract will add significant value Calderas, Colombia Sogamoso Hydro, Colombia 45
GrafTech – cost cutting led to profits irrespective of price increases Seadrift Needle Coke Plant, Texas 46
5 Manhattan West – the renovation turned the worst building in Manhattan into one of the city’s premier addresses 47
Our People and Culture Are Critical 4 48
Our people are a key driver of our success and creating value Corporate Offices Regional Offices 49
We foster a culture that enables people to perform to their highest potential Operating Philosophy Individual Excellence Long-term Entrepreneurial focus Decentralized Brookfield Strong team decision making Culture dynamics Foster growth Disciplined within ethic 50
Passive investing has provided decent returns over the past 20 years… 500% 450% 400% 350% 7% 300% Total Return1 250% 200% 150% 100% 50% 0% 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 S&P 500 returns 1) Compound, dividends reinvested 51
…but our people have made the difference 2,500% 17% Total 2,000% Return1 1,500% 1,000% 500% 7% Total Return1 0% 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 S&P 500 returns BAM (NYSE) returns 1) Compound, dividends reinvested 52
We want to leave you with four important points 1 Real asset allocations are increasing 2 How we invest is key 3 Our operations focus differentiates us 4 Our people and culture are critical 53
Financial Review 54
Agenda 1 Scorecard 2 Focus: Carried Interest 3 Financial Profile 55
Our business is… Straightforward Transparent Resilient Growing 56
Value creation at Brookfield Asset Invested Manager Capital Franchise 57
Listed issuer performance drives cash distributions and unit appreciation Asset Invested Drivers Manager Capital FFO growth Increase distributions IDRs Free cash flow Unit price appreciates Base fees Investment value 58
Private funds performance drives base fees and carried interests Asset Invested Drivers Manager Capital Raise capital / Base Deploy Invest capital fees capital Ongoing Create value distributions Monetize Carried Investment and distribute interests gains / proceeds 59
Resiliency Reliable fees Strong liquidity • Over 85% of revenues are long term • $7 billion of core liquidity and or perpetual $18 billion of dry powder • Access to multiple sources of capital Strong cash flow generation Investment grade ratings • $1.2 billion free cash flow, net of • Investment-grade model across common dividends most of our businesses • Strong reliable growth profile Notes/Assumptions: 1) As at and for the LTM ended June 30, 2017 60
Polling Question #3 Q: Which reporting metric is, or would be, helpful for you to analyze BAM? WORD CLOUD 61
Scorecard 1 62
We achieved solid growth in our key earnings streams… ($millions) 2017 2016 Fee related earnings $ 732 $ 639 Distributions received2 1,385 1,251 Realized carried interest 152 15 19% $ 2,269 $ 1,905 Notes/Assumptions: 1) For the LTM ended June 30 2) Annualized distributed cash flow from investments based on current distribution policies 63
…which led to a 29% increase in free cash flow ($millions) 2017 2016 Fee related earnings $ 732 $ 639 Distributions received2 1,385 1,251 Realized carried interest 152 15 2,269 1,905 Outflows (445) (489) Free cash flow $ 1,824 $ 1,416 29% Notes/Assumptions: 1) For the LTM ended June 30 2) Annualized distributed cash flow from investments based on current distribution policies 64
…and we increased our annualized earnings profile by 20% ($millions) 2017 20161 Base management fees Listed partnerships $ 515 $ 412 Private funds 455 445 Public securities 80 80 IDRs 149 106 Performance, transaction & other fees 91 29 Annualized fee revenues $ 1,290 $ 1,072 Estimated fee related earnings2 $ 774 $ 643 20% Notes/Assumptions: 1) 2016 annualized fees adjusted to exclude fees earned on BPY managed capital for comparative purposes 2) As at June 30; assumes 60% margin on fee related earnings 65
In addition, we achieved an 18% total return on our invested capital Distributions Received 2017 2016 $1,385M $1,251M 11% Total Return Capital Distribution Total Appreciation Yield Return 13% 5% 18% 66
Focus: Carried Interest 2 67
We expect to generate substantial carried interest going forward 68
How we measure carried interest… 1 2 3 Target Unrealized Realized Carried Interest Carried Interest Carried Interest The carried interest Carried interest generated Carried Interest earned, we expect to earn on and based on fund excluding amounts subject third-party capital, assuming performance to date, to clawback; basis for the fund achieves the target assuming funds are financial statement and return, annualized on a liquidated at current values FFO recognition straight-line basis 69
Carried interest profile for a typical fund Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 Target carry Realized carry Generated carry 70
Our current carried interest profile ($billions) Existing Funds Only 10 8 6 4 2 0 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 Realized carry Generated carry 71
Our annual carried interest generated on existing funds is expected to grow…. ($billions) 2.5 Existing Funds Only 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 Realized - Current Generated - Current 72
… and will be supplemented by carry on future funds ($billions) 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 Realized - Current Realized - Future Generated - Current Generated - Future 73
Real asset strategies are well suited to reliable carried interests Cash yield Lower volatility Multiple exit strategies – not overly dependent on IPO market 74
Financial Profile 3 75
Looking forward, we see continued growth…. 76
As a result of growth in our business we have updated certain assumptions Larger flagship funds, pushed out timing slightly 2016 2017 2017/2019: $20B 2018/2020: $26B 2020/2021: $20B 2020/2022: $26B Increased margin on carried interest as funds get larger 2016 2017 65% 70% 77
…and we have updated our five-year financial model $1,700 $1,689 Fee Related Earnings 18% CAGR ($millions) $1,553 2016 Investor Day 2017 Investor Day 16% CAGR $1,450 $1,200 $950 $700 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Notes/Assumptions: 1) 2017 values interpolated from 2016 Investor Day financial plan projections – adjusted for reclassification of BPY managed capital to be on a comparable basis with 2017 Investor Day financial plan 78
We will continue to increase private fund capital as we raise successor funds and launch new products Private Funds – Fee Bearing Capital ($billions) Credit, Core & Other Outflows Flagship Funds $110B 2020 - 2022 Flagship Funds 2018 - 2020 $50B 80% 17% CAGR Our private capital is long term in nature; 80% of current capital extends beyond 2022 79
We expect our listed partnerships’ capitalization to increase significantly over the next five years Issuances $94B Market valuation Distribution growth $55B 11% CAGR Notes/Assumptions: 1) As at June 30 2) Eliminate the market price to IFRS discount for BPY; listed partnership dividend growth at mid-point of target distribution growth rates; market appreciation – 10% growth for BBU and the addition of TerraForm Power 3) Issuances; increase in units outstanding for 2017 equity issuances of BIP, BEP and BBU that occurred after June 30. Future issuances assumed to be all preferred units or debt (no impact on units outstanding) 80
…the increase in FBC should generate strong growth in fee related earnings ($millions) 2017 2022 Base fees $ 1,016 $ 2,228 IDR’s 129 428 Other fees 55 159 Fee revenues 1,200 2,815 Direct costs (468) (1,126) +18% Fee related earnings $ 732 $ 1,689 CAGR Notes/Assumptions: 1) For the LTM ended June 30 2) 2022 hypothetical fee revenue; fee related earnings assumes 60% margin 81
And increase our potential to earn carried interest Carry Eligible Capital 2017 2022 $40B $100B Target Carry Generated Carry, Generated Carry, Total Net 2017 2022 2022 $860M $1,505M $1,054M Notes/Assumptions: 1) As at June 30 82
We will also continue to compound value on our balance sheet 83
Our invested capital is transparent and generates substantial cash flows IFRS Base Case ($millions) Values1 Values2 Distributions3 Listed partnerships (BPY, BEP, BIP, BBU) $ 22,593 $ 27,956 $ 1,140 Other listed 3,465 4,249 245 Total listed 26,058 32,205 1,385 Unlisted 4,997 6,272 – Total invested capital $ 31,055 $ 38,477 $ 1,385 Notes/Assumptions: 1) As at June 30, 2017 2) Listed investments at June 30, 2017 at quoted market prices other than BPY which is at IFRS value. Unlisted investments at IFRS values other than BPRI which is based on privatization price 3) Annualized distributed cash flow is based on current distribution policies 84
Growing distributions and eliminating value discounts significantly increases our invested capital Invested Capital ($billions) Growth 2017 $ 38 Assumption Capital appreciation Distribution increase (BPY, BIP, BEP) 11 7% Value appreciation (BBU & other) 6 10% 17 Retained free cash flow Invested capital 9 Fee related earnings 7 Capitalization and dividends (6) 10 13% Total 2022 $ 65 Return Notes/Assumptions: 1) As at June 30. Projected 2022 results 2) Retained free cash flow includes fee related earnings, invested capital cash flow and dispositions of directly held assets. Assumes mid-point distribution growth for BPY, BIP and BEP and a 7% increase per annum in BAM’s common dividend. Capitalization and dividends includes common share distributions. Accumulated balances are reinvested at 8% 85
Pulling these together 86
… and our base case leads to a $104 per share intrinsic value over the next five years 2022 2022 Multiple Base Value ($millions) ($billions, except per share amounts) Asset Manager Fee related earnings $ 1,689 20x $ 34 Generated carried interest, net 1,054 10x 10 Accumulated carried interest, net 5 49 Asset Owner Invested capital 65 Leverage (10) 55 22% Total $ 104 Total Per Share $ 104 Return Notes/Assumptions: 1) Values are for illustrative purposes and based on various factors that may or may not materialize, including past performance metrics that may not be indicative of future performance 2) Estimated total return includes dividends; total return calculated as compared to public pricing ($40 per share) 3) Projected annualized target carried interest, net assumes gross margin of 70% 87
Plus…we have multiple opportunities to create additional value Regional funds (e.g. Asia) Expand product offerings and capabilities through M&A (e.g. credit business) Strategic relationships with clients 88
Keys to financial success 1 2 3 Raise capital & Achieve target Expand fund deploy wisely returns strategies 89
Q&A 90
Important Cautionary Notes All amounts are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, We caution that the foregoing list of important factors that specified. Unless otherwise indicated, the statistical and many of which are beyond our control, which may cause may affect future results is not exhaustive. When relying financial data in this presentation is presented as of our and our subsidiaries’ actual results, performance or on our forward-looking statements, investors and others June 30, 2017. achievements to differ materially from anticipated future should carefully consider the foregoing factors and other results, performance or achievements expressed or uncertainties and potential events. Except as required by implied by such forward-looking statements and law, we undertake no obligation to publicly update or CAUTIONARY STATEMENT REGARDING FORWARD- information. revise any forward-looking statements or information in LOOKING STATEMENTS AND INFORMATION this presentation, whether as a result of new information, This presentation contains “forward-looking information” future events or otherwise. within the meaning of Canadian provincial securities laws Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially and “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of from those contemplated or implied by forward-looking Section 27A of the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as statements include, but are not limited to: the impact or CAUTIONARY STATEMENT REGARDING USE OF amended, Section 21E of the U.S. Securities Exchange unanticipated impact of general economic, political and NON-IFRS MEASURES Act of 1934, as amended, “safe harbor” provisions of the market factors in the countries in which we do business; This presentation contains references to financial metrics United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of the fact that our success depends on market demand for that are not calculated in accordance with, and do not 1995 and in any applicable Canadian securities our products; the behavior of financial markets, including have any standardized meaning prescribed by, regulations. Forward-looking statements include fluctuations in interest rates and foreign exchanges rates; International Financial Reporting Standards (“IFRS”). We statements that are predictive in nature, depend upon or changes in inflation rates in North America and believe such non-IFRS measures including, but not refer to future events or conditions, and include international markets; the performance of global equity limited to, funds from operations (“”FFO”) and invested statements regarding our and our subsidiaries’ and capital markets and the availability of equity and debt capital, are useful supplemental measures that may assist operations, business, financial condition, expected financing and refinancing within these markets; strategic investors and others in assessing our financial financial results, performance, prospects, opportunities, actions including dispositions; the competitive market for performance and the financial performance of our priorities, targets, goals, ongoing objectives, strategies acquisitions and other growth opportunities; our ability to subsidiaries. As these non-IFRS measures are not and outlook, as well as the outlook for North American satisfy conditions precedent required to complete such generally accepted accounting measures under IFRS, and international economies for the current fiscal year acquisitions; our ability to effectively integrate acquisitions references to FFO and invested capital, as examples, and subsequent periods, and include, but are not limited into existing operations and attain expected benefits; the are therefore unlikely to be comparable to similar to, statements regarding our asset management. In outcome and timing of various regulatory, legal and measures presented by other issuers and entities. These some cases, forward-looking statements can be identified contractual issues; changes in accounting policies and non-IFRS measures have limitations as analytical tools. by terms such as “expects,” “anticipates,” “plans,” methods used to report financial condition (including They should not be considered as the sole measure of “believes,” “estimates,” “seeks,” “intends,” “targets,” uncertainties associated with critical accounting our performance and should not be considered in isolation “projects,” “forecasts” or negative versions thereof and assumptions and estimates); the effect of applying future from, or as a substitute for, analysis of our financial other similar expressions, or future or conditional verbs accounting changes; business competition; operational statements prepared in accordance with IFRS. For a more such as “may,” “will,” “should,” “would” and “could.” and reputational risks; technological change; changes in fulsome discussion regarding our use of non-IFRS government regulation and legislation within the countries measures and their reconciliation to the most directly in which we operate; changes in tax laws; catastrophic comparable IFRS measures refer to our documents filed Although we believe that our anticipated future results, events, such as earthquakes and hurricanes; the possible with the securities regulators in Canada and the United performance or achievements expressed or implied by the impact of international conflicts and other developments States. forward-looking statements and information are based including terrorist acts and cyberterrorism; and other risks upon reasonable assumptions and expectations, the and factors detailed from time to time in our documents reader should not place undue reliance on forward- filed with the securities regulators in Canada and the looking statements and information because they involve United States. 91
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