Borderless Business: Europe-ASEAN Corridor - Opening doors to diverse opportunities - Standard ...
←
→
Page content transcription
If your browser does not render page correctly, please read the page content below
Contents: Overview of the Europe-ASEAN Corridor: Opening New Doors for European Businesses 3 Growth Watchlist: Six Sectors Driving the Future of the Europe-ASEAN Corridor 9 Critical Success Factors: Five Focus Areas for European Companies to Drive Resilient Growth in ASEAN 18
Overview of the Europe-ASEAN Corridor Against the backdrop of a sluggish recovery this and is prompting European companies from the pandemic, European companies are to bring forward their plans for international actively seeking new growth opportunities expansion in search of new growth opportuni- overseas, whilst simultaneously aiming to ties in high-growth regions such as ASEAN. diversify their production footprints in order to build greater operational resilience. As ASEAN As the fifth largest economy globally, with a emerges as a global economic powerhouse, it population of over 655 million, ASEAN provides offers significant trade and investment significant growth opportunities for companies opportunities for European companies, not only across the EUb and the UK. Within Europe, due to its large and growing consumer market, ASEAN’s largest trading partner is Germany, but also its increasing connectivity with the responsible for over a quarter of merchandise world via an expanding network of free trade exports worth USD28.3 billion in 2020, followed agreements (FTAs). by France and the UK, with exports worth USD17.7 billion and USD14.1 billion, respectively. Sectors such as infrastructure, manufacturing, Within ASEAN, Singapore tops the exports renewable energy, and e-commerce present destination list, receiving over a third of strong growth opportunities for European European exported goods (USD41.8 billion in businesses. However, to succeed in ASEAN, they 2020). Other major destination markets are need to focus on a few critical factors. These Thailand and Malaysia, which account for a 15.7 include diversifying their supply chains in strong per cent and 14.2 per cent share, respectively. manufacturing economies such as Vietnam, Vietnam has also become a prominent desti- Thailand or Malaysia; leveraging local partner- nation for trade in recent years, with imports ships to facilitate and speed up market access; from Europe growing at a compound average ramping up digitalisation and cyber resilience growth rate (CAGR) of 8.5 per cent between efforts; increasing focus on environmental and 2015 and 2020. social initiatives; and establishing the right governance frameworks to mitigate risks inher- Figure 1: Imports and FDI from Europe ent in operating in ASEAN’s diverse economic (EU and UK) into ASEAN (US$ billion) and business environment, especially given the uncertainty of current times. ‘Borderless Business: Europe-ASEAN corridor’, a strategic point-of-view commissioned by Standard Chartered and prepared by PwC, provides a snapshot of the main opportunity sectors as well as the key success factors for European companies to drive sustainable and resilient growth as they venture into ASEAN markets. Our insights also take into account inputs from a survey conducted with senior executives from European companies currently engaged in cross-border activities across the Europe-ASEAN corridor.a Overview of the Europe-ASEAN Corridor: Opening New Doors for European Businesses Source: ASEANStats Since 2017, Europe has been experiencing more moderate growth rates. The onset of the COVID-19 pandemic has further exacerbated a Survey commissioned by Standard Chartered in April 2021 and completed by senior executives at 40 companies based in Europe and focusing on the Europe-ASEAN corridor b EU-27 countries Borderless Business: Europe-ASEAN Corridor 4
Overview of the Europe-ASEAN Corridor Going forward, we expect European companies Vietnam, Malaysia and Thailand feature as to step up investment and trade activities with the most attractive markets in terms of sales ASEAN, propelled by increased government or expansion opportunities for majority of focus and support in enabling cross-border respondents. With almost half of the respond- expansion. A pulse survey of European com- ents expanding into ASEAN to diversify their panies focusing on ASEAN revealed that 68 production footprintc - likely as part of a ‘China per cent of respondents are driven to ASEAN Plus One’ strategy - many are turning towards for access to its large and growing consumer countries like Vietnam for the geographical market, with 48 per cent planning to increase proximity and comparable or lower manu- annual revenues in ASEAN by more than 10 per facturing costs vis-à-vis China; or Malaysia cent over the next 12 months. and Thailand for their strong manufacturing capabilities. Figure 2: Major economies in ASEAN offering the best expansion opportunities 68% Access to the large and growing ASEAN consumer market 50% Access to a global market (from ASEAN), enabled by a network of FTAs 48% Diversification of production footprint 48% Presence of a mature and reliable supplier base 35% Availability of abundant and skilled workforce 33% Local government incentives and support for project sustainability/ stability 13% Enhanced connectivity in digital and physical infrastructure Note: Survey questions asked: ‘What are the key drivers for your focus on ASEAN?’ and ‘Which of these major economies within ASEAN do you think offers the best expansion (sales / production) opportunities for your company?’ For key drivers – the values indicated above refer to the % of survey respondents who included the driver as one of the top 3 ranked choices Source: Standard Chartered Survey, 2021 c For key drivers, values refer to the % of survey respondents who included the driver as one of the top 3 ranked choices Borderless Business: Europe-ASEAN Corridor 5
Overview of the Europe-ASEAN Corridor Recent trade agreements to reducing regulatory barriers. At the regional level, the EU and ASEAN agreed to upgrade boost Europe-ASEAN trade their relationship to a Strategic Partnership in December 2020, which further indicates greater Key drivers for growth include recent trade engagement, with both blocs having agreed agreements between EU or UK and ASEAN, to enhance economic and security cooper- and EU-led initiatives to help European business ation, sustainable connectivity and driving expand in the region. Recently, ASEAN countries sustainability.2 have concentrated efforts on accelerating trade growth with Europe as seen through the various FTAs summarised below: Strengthening of UK-ASEAN trade ties following Brexit Agreement Signed Ratified/ In Force Since leaving the Eurozone, the UK has been EU-Singapore October 2018 November working to establish formal bilateral trade Free Trade 2019 relations and negotiated agreements with 63 Agreement countries, including ASEAN member states. The UK-Singapore Free Trade Agreement EU-Vietnam Free June 2019 August 2020 (UKSFTA) and the UK-Vietnam Free Trade Trade Agreement Agreement (UKVFTA) were designed to allow EU-Indonesia Free Under negotiation the UK to enjoy the same benefits it did under Trade Agreement the EUSFTA and EUVFTA. With effect from EU-Philippines Under negotiation January 2021, the UKSFTA is expected to be an Free Trade additional platform for driving British exports Agreement into Singapore and allowing British companies EU-Philippines 2011 March 2018 to leverage the city’s growing regional Partnership connectivity to solidify their presence in ASEAN. Cooperation In fact, post-Brexit UK exports of goods to Agreement (PCA) non-EU countries (excluding precious metals) increased by about USD1.8 billion (9.9 per cent) EU-Thailand Free Negotiations on hold since Trade Agreement 2014 in March 2021. UK-Singapore December February The UK and Thailand also committed to Free Trade 2020 2021 strengthening bilateral trade ties through a Agreement Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) in UK-Vietnam Free December January 2021 March 2021 focused on reducing market access Trade Agreement 2020 barriers and increasing access to financial services markets. Moreover, the UK’s intention Singapore was the first ASEAN nation to have to apply for Comprehensive and Progressive an FTA with the EU when the EUSFTAd was Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership signed in 2018. The EUSFTA aims to remove (CPTPP) membership, alongside its recent customs duties, reduce bureaucracy, stimulate status as an ASEAN Dialogue Partner, has the green growth – in areas like green infrastructure potential to further deepen trade links and renewable energy – and encourage more with ASEAN.3 bilateral investment. Since being enforced in November 2019, goods exported from Singapore to the EU jumped 12 per cent in the first half of 2020, despite COVID-19 disruptions. Similarly, the EUVFTAe with Vietnam, in force since August 2020, seeks to increase trade by eliminating ~99 per cent of tariffs and d European Union-Singapore Free Trade Agreement e European Union-Vietnam Free Trade Agreement Borderless Business: Europe-ASEAN Corridor 6
Overview of the Europe-ASEAN Corridor “At Standard Chartered, we believe “The ASEAN markets continue to that including ASEAN as part of offer huge opportunity for European international companies’ wider business companies, both for those looking to strategy is paramount. As a 10-member diversify and expand their investment economic powerhouse, ASEAN presents and trade activities, and those who are unparalleled opportunities for European well aware of the deep technological companies. And that is why we are expertise and significant consumer committed to supporting European base across the markets. Our clients are businesses’ entry into ASEAN’s thriving thinking about how their businesses can sectors, from infrastructure and go deeper and leverage the strengths renewable energy to e-commerce. As the of the ASEAN community to broaden only international financial institution their activities, potentially including with a presence in all ASEAN markets, opportunities in other markets across we have the right set of local knowledge the region which they may not already and extensive experience to help our be active in. Given our unique footprint European clients better leverage the at Standard Chartered, we have the ASEAN opportunity that will help define expertise to support our clients across all their future.” ASEAN markets, to ultimately help them tap into those potential opportunities and strive for continued growth.” Rino Donosepoetro Vice Chairman, ASEAN & President Commissioner Indonesia, Robert Newell Standard Chartered Managing Director, Global Corporates, Europe, Standard Chartered Borderless Business: Europe-ASEAN Corridor 7
Overview of the Europe-ASEAN Corridor Initiatives and support to (listed below) to drive internationalisation. These efforts have paid off, with European increase European focus companies having generated ~USD9 billion in on ASEAN additional exports in 2019 thanks to its Market Access Partnership framework, part of the Increasing internationalisation and helping EU’s Market Access Strategyf, for example. companies expand into emerging markets is Recognising that exports will be crucial for the crucial for Europe’s competitiveness, UK’s economic recovery, particularly following economic growth and innovation. The Brexit and the pandemic, the British govern- European Commission has recognised this as ment also plans to continue with its Export priority and has begun to ensure that enter- Strategy designed to support British businesses prises can take full advantage of opportunities looking to export to the global market through presented by growth markets outside the EU. a series of initiatives outlined below.4 As such, it has designed a series of initiatives Initiative* Description EU Market Access Strategy Part of the MAS, the EU Market Access Partnership (MAP) is aimed at (MAS) preventing and removing of trade barriers and the EU Market Access Database (MAB) provides European companies with information on markets access conditions EU Gateway | Business Assists European companies to access business opportunities in the region Avenues EU Intellectual Property Rights European Union co-funded project that provides European SMEs with free, Help Desk for Southeast Asia practical, business advice relating to intellectual property rights in Southeast Asia Enterprise Europe Network Provides support for SMEs with international ambitions, helping them innovate and grow internationally EU-ASEAN Business Council Promote the interests of EU and UK businesses operating within ASEAN and (EUABC) and UK-ASEAN advocate for changes in trade and investment policies and regulations. Business Council (UKABC) Also provide awareness on the latest opportunities in ASEAN and facilitates trade and investment content delivery for companies looking to expand into regional markets UK Department for As part of UK’s Export Strategy launched in 2018, DIT runs a series of International Trade (DIT)’s programmes and initiatives to encourage and support British companies to Programmes export to overseas markets. Examples include: • Tradeshow Access Programme (TAP) – support for overseas tradeshows • DIT Export Academy – webinars or events for companies in the Midlands, North, South West, or East of England • Local trade advisers – local, tailored support from an International Trade Adviser on exporting technicalities UK Export Finance (UKEF) UKEF is the UK’s export credit agency. In the last five years they have provided £14 billion of support for exports and international trade Britain in Southeast Asia BiSEA is a grouping of British Chambers and Business Groups in Southeast (BiSEA) Asia, which provides European businesses with a network to establish them- selves in the region and facilitate their business interests. BiSEA also provides companies with relevant information, services and guidance *non-exhaustive f The European MAS is underpinned by two pillars: Market Access Partnership (MAP), which covers the prevention and removal of trade barriers; and Market Access Database (MADB), which provides information on market access conditions. Borderless Business: Europe-ASEAN Corridor 8
Our Growth Watchlist ASEAN’s deepening partnership and connec- rapid urbanisation, digitalisation and maturing tivity with Europe will provide an additional manufacturing capabilities, are opening up new channel for European players to access signifi- sectors of opportunities for European compa- cant growth opportunities in the region. Several nies. Overall, we see six high potential sectors trends across ASEAN countries, including driving future growth through this corridor, growing consumption and rising income levels, highlighted below. Figure 3: Key sectors in ASEAN-6 (by contribution to national GDP), 2020 Note: Trade includes wholesale and retail trade Source: ASEANStats 1. ASEAN’s aging population Vietnam and Thailand are the three largest, responsible for USD15.3 billion of sales in 2019 and focus on healthcare (67.9 per cent of the total ASEAN affordability to fuel growth in pharmaceuticals market). the pharmaceuticals sector European countries have acknowledged the growth potential of this sector in ASEAN, with ASEAN’s pharmaceuticals market recorded Germany, France, and Belgium being the three sales of USD22.79 billion in 2020 and it is largest European exporters of pharmaceutical forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 8.6 per cent products to the region. European exports to from 2020 to 2025, faster than Asia’s overall ASEAN in 2019 were worth USD7.3 billion (51 growth (5.8 per cent). A large part of this per cent of total pharmaceutical imports), growth will be driven by demand for generics, growing at a CAGR of 8.2 per cent between due to the cost consciousness of most markets 2014 and 2019. 5 in ASEAN. Among these markets, Indonesia, Borderless Business: Europe-ASEAN Corridor 10
Our Growth Watchlist As most manufacturing in the region is for per cent of ASEAN’s European pharmaceutical finished goods, local manufacturers often imports). As ASEAN governments continue to depend on Active Pharmaceutical Ingredients push for regulatory policies to boost investment (API) imports from these non-ASEAN countries. in the sector and provide citizens universal In fact, Singapore, Vietnam and Thailand are healthcare access, the region is poised to be the largest importers of European pharma- an attractive market for European players.6 ceutical products, valued at USD4.9 billion (68 Figure 4: Sales of pharmaceutical products in ASEAN-6 Markets covered: Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam Source: Fitch Solutions Greater openness to foreign participation in markets like Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand expected to drive expansion in the pharmaceuticals sector Indonesia Vietnam Thailand Indonesia’s New Investment List, passed Growing urbanisation and government As part of its goal of becoming a regional in March 2021, lifted caps on foreign efforts to expand healthcare access life sciences centre, Thailand’s govern- investment in the sector, and now allows are driving development of the ment has selected healthcare as one of its 100% foreign ownership in the manufac- pharmaceutical sector in Vietnam. The 10 priority industries, with incentives grant- ture and wholesaling of finished and raw sector is seeing increasing activity of ed to pharmaceutical investors and a pharmaceutical products. Sanofi, GSK and foreign firms acquiring local firms to regulatory framework designed to support Bayer have a manufacturing presence in gain market access. In 2020, German local R&D. In October 2020, Thai biophar- Indonesia. pharmaceutical giant Stada announced ma company Siam Biosciences signed an plans to raise its stake and takeover agreement with AstraZeneca to produce Vietnam-based Pymepharco. the COVID-19 vaccine for ASEAN. Source: Fitch Reports, SSEK, UNCTAD, ASEAN Investment Report 2019, VN Express, Nikkei Asia Borderless Business: Europe-ASEAN Corridor 11
Our Growth Watchlist 2. Uplift in FMCG demand potential as a strong consumer market, FMCG companies are also attracted by ASEAN’s anticipated in ASEAN on the maturity of skills, investment-friendly policies, back of growing incomes and and competitive manufacturing costs, and are setting up production bases in the region. increased consumption With COVID-19 accelerating digital adoption, ASEAN’s growing middle income class and e-commerce has also emerged as an important higher consumption appetite is spurring channel for sales of FMCG products, especially demand for fast-moving consumer goods among the more digitally-savvy. (FMCG). Household spending on consumer In addition, as rising incomes lead to increasing goodsg in ASEAN-6 reached USD574.8 billion in demand for branded products, there is 2020 and it is expected to grow at a CAGR of significant potential for European FMCG brands 7.4 per cent to reach USD820.5 billion in sales to expand their presence in the region. Players by 2025. Thanks to the region’s growing popu- such as Unilever and Nestlé, who already have lation, food products hold the largest share (83 strong market presence, have taken note of per cent) of total consumer goods spending, this trend and announced further investment in expected to reach USD713 billion in sales ASEAN, as shown below. 7 by 2025. In addition to the region’s growing Figure 5: Household spending on consumer products in ASEAN-6 Markets covered: Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam Note: Segments covered: Food, Alcoholic and Non-Alcoholic drinks, Personal care products Source: Fitch Solutions The food and beverages sector is expected to drive growth in major ASEAN economies like Indonesia, Thailand and Philippines Indonesia Thailand Philippines A key area of consideration for foreign To drive the next phase of growth for its The country is making the business players looking to enter the market is established food processing industry, environment friendlier for manufacturers Indonesia’s 2019 Halal Product law which Thailand is positioning its high-tech through regulations such as the CREATE requires consumer products to be halal Eastern Economic Corridor as a Food In- act and investment programmes like certified. The country also aims to be a novation Hub for future advances in food ‘Make It Happen in the Philippines”. In global hub for halal manufacturing and technology. In 2020, Nestlé Thailand 2018, Nestlé Philippines invested USD52 thus provide manufacturers with further announced an investment of USD145 million for a new manufacturing plant growth opportunities. In 2017, Unilever million to expand production at three in Batangas and announced plans of Indonesia announced an investment of factories and expand its eBusiness. further investment to prioritise local USD500 million to expand its production manufacturing. in the country. Source: ASEAN Briefing, UK-ASEAN Business Council, Asia Pacific Food Industry, Nestlé, Philippine News Agency, Food Navigator Asia g Including food, drinks and personal care products Borderless Business: Europe-ASEAN Corridor 12
Our Growth Watchlist 3. ASEAN’s automotive sector As a post-COVID economy recovery boosts consumer sentiment in the region, the sector is expected to rebound strongly expected to continue seeing favourable growth post-COVID, boosted by the at a projected 9 per cent CAGR from 2020 to 2025, with Thailand, Indonesia, and Malaysia as region’s focus on Electric key contributors (75 per cent of sales).8 Vehicles (EVs) ASEAN’s automotive market boasts 2.5 million vehicles (excluding two-wheelers) sold in 2020. Figure 6: Sales of passenger and commercial vehicles in ASEAN-6 Markets covered: Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam Source: Fitch Solutions Naturally, regional manufacturing activity thanks to the region’s connectivity to regional has seen an upsurge as ASEAN works towards and global trade partners. Alongside serving strengthening its position as an automotive ASEAN markets, companies based in the production and export hub. EVs features as an region also supply vehicles to countries such as attractive segment for European manufacturers Australia, Japan, and the United States, with and suppliers, given strong anticipated demand USD30.7 billion worth of automotive goods and and presence of government support and accessories exported globally from ASEAN in incentives. Moreover, the automotive sector’s 2019.9 growth potential extends beyond ASEAN, EVs a potential focus, with major ASEAN production hubs offering incentives to attract investments Thailand Indonesia Malaysia Growth drivers for the sectors will be in the Demand for passenger and electric vehi- Malaysia is working to drive development form of government incentive schemes cles is expected to be spurred by easing of the established automotive industry in to drive demand, and industrial policies of vehicle loan requirements, suspension emerging areas such as EVs, Next Gen- (e.g. trimming of excise taxes for local of a luxury vehicle tax, and government eration Vehicle (NxGV), and Industry 4.0 EV manufacturing) to increase Original policies that encourage EV uptake. BASF through the National Automotive Policy Equipment Manufacturer (OEM) manu- and Eramet have partnered to assess 2020. Support is also being provided for facturing activity. Mercedes Benz invested development of a plant in Weda Bay, In- local assembly of hybrid electric vehicles USD120 million for expanding its Bangkok donesia to supply the EV battery market. through the Energy Efficient Vehicles plant and started producing batteries Programme. In 2021, Porsche announced there in 2019. a partnership with Shell to set up an EV charging network in Malaysia to address the growing opportunity for electric vehicles. Source: ASEAN Briefing, Daimler, Electrek, BASF, Eramet, Malaysia Ministry of International Trade and Industry, Porsche newsroom Borderless Business: Europe-ASEAN Corridor 13
Our Growth Watchlist 4. Investment in smart cities, urbanisation. In light of this, transport (road, rail, port and airports) is expected to be a key transport and logistics area of growth with a projected CAGR of 11.1 infrastructure necessary per cent in 2020 to 2025; and the Master Plan on ASEAN Connectivity 2025, adopted by to bridge ASEAN’s all ASEAN countries in 2016, will guide future infrastructure gap development in the sector. In the near future, ASEAN’s development will focus on sustainable As the cornerstone of the region’s development, infrastructure, digital innovation, seamless infrastructureh in ASEAN is tied to population logistics, regulatory excellence, and people growth, urbanisation, and mobility. Within mobility, embodied in various initiatives such ASEAN-6, the industry is projected to grow at a as the ASEAN Smart Logistics Network (ASLN) CAGR of 10.6 per cent in 2020 to 2025 to reach launched in 2020. USD144 billion by 2025. To ensure sustainable infrastructural development that will support Given that Europe is comparatively more population growth and enhance connectivity, advanced in this segment, ASEAN presents ASEAN member countries launched the ASEAN European construction and engineering compa- Smart Cities Network (ASCN) in 2018, which nies with numerous opportunities, particularly identified 26 cities to pilot smart city for green and digital forward solutions, as it projects, leveraging on digital tools and ramps up its capabilities to meet demand. 10 external partnerships to achieve sustainable Figure 7: Infrastructure industry GVA (gross value added) in ASEAN-6 Markets covered: Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam Source: Fitch Solutions Large scale government-led infrastructure programmes and investment to play a critical role in economies like Indonesia, the Philippines and Vietnam Indonesia Philippines Vietnam The government announced funding of Infrastructure development in the country The government announced funding of USD450 billion for infrastructure projects is being pushed through the government’s USD450 billion for infrastructure projects in the country as part of the National ‘Build Build Build’ programme with 100+ in the country as part of the National Development Agenda (RRJMN) 2020-24 projects planned. Spain’s Acciona con- Development Agenda (RRJMN) 2020-24 to promote economic transformation. struction has been awarded a contract to promote economic transformation. A A consortium of Dutch firms is working on for construction of the Malolos Clark Rail consortium of Dutch firms is working on the USD40 billion Giant Sea Wall Project Project. the USD40 billion Giant Sea Wall Project in North Jakarta in collaboration with the in North Jakarta in collaboration with the Indonesian government. Indonesian government. Source: ADB, German-Indonesian Industry of Commerce, Dutch Water Sector, Acciona, Vietnam Briefing, Alstom Press Release h Includes transportation, energy and utilities Borderless Business: Europe-ASEAN Corridor 14
Our Growth Watchlist 5. Priority growing for renewable energy from renewable sources by 2025, there is a substantial market for growth. Within this or clean energy initiatives across market, solar power generation is the fastest ASEAN to meet rapidly growing growing segment, with a projected CAGR of 16 per cent (2020-2025), compared to 4.8 per consumption needs cent for the sector overall. Europe has long Growing at a CAGR of 6 per cent over the past since invested in supporting ASEAN’s green two decades, ASEAN’s energy consumption development, with the EU, European Investment has reached 994 terawatt-hours (TWh) in Bank, and the Deutsche Gesellschaft für 2020, one of the fastest growing, globally. This Internationale Zusammenarbeit (GIZ) financing is expected to continue with ASEAN’s energy green infrastructure projects and providing consumption reaching 1287 terawatt-hours technical assistance in the region. As such, by 2025. With the ASEAN Plan of Action and renewable energy is bound to continue being Energy Cooperation 2021-2025 setting the an opportune market for European companies target to have nearly one third of ASEAN’s expanding in this corridor.11 Figure 8: Renewable energy generation in ASEAN Source: Fitch Solutions Focus on solar energy across key markets like Thailand, Vietnam and the Philippines Thailand Vietnam Philippines Solar energy, pushed by initiatives such Solar and wind energy show the highest As per latest energy targets, renewable as the Energy Ministry’s Solar Rooftop growth potential in Vietnam. The offshore energy is expected to account for 35 Scheme is a key growth segment in wind sector is being emphasised by the per cent of the country’s power mix by Thailand’s renewable energy industry. government under Vietnam’s National 2030. Geothermal energy which currently French solar company GreenYellow Energy Development Strategy. accounts for 70 per cent of renewable completed the installation of one of Copenhagen Infrastructure Partners generation, will now allow 100 per cent Thailand’s largest floating photovoltaics signed an MoU in 2020 for the foreign investment. There will also be a projects in 2020. development of a USD10 billion offshore stronger focus on solar projects as per the wind project in Binh Thuan, Vietnam. country’s Energy Plan 2040 as the country looks to increase capacity. In 2018, Germany-based Schletter Group announced that they would be supplying solar mounting systems to the largest solar park in the Philippines. Source: PV Magazine, GreenYellow, Copenhagen Infrastructure Partners, Renewable Energy Magazine Borderless Business: Europe-ASEAN Corridor 15
Our Growth Watchlist 6. ASEAN’s e-commerce industry the upsurge of the sector’s gross merchandise value (GMV) across the ASEAN-6 markets, poised to be one of the fastest which reached USD104 billion in 2020. Moving growing sectors, with sustained forward, the industry is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 24 per cent from 2020 to 2025, reach- momentum even in a post- ing a GMV of USD309 billion by 2025. Driving COVID-19 scenario this growth are rising income levels, increased consumer preference for purchasing goods and With 400 million internet users, ASEAN’s services online, and improved regional digital e-commerce market presents vast potential for and logistics infrastructure. As this trend con- growth. Rapid e-commerce expansion in ASEAN tinues, e-commerce is posed to be an engine of has seen dominant players such as Lazada, growth for companies in the region, making it Shopee and Tokopedia emerge. During the an important channel for European companies pandemic, demand for e-commerce servicesi looking to access the ASEAN market.12 gained significant momentum, as reflected in Figure 9: e-Commerce GMV in ASEAN-6 CAGR 24.3% USD billion 309 300 35 42 104 46 Markets covered: Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam Source: Google & Temasek, e-Conomy SEA, 2020 i Including online retail, online travel, online media, transport and food Borderless Business: Europe-ASEAN Corridor 16
Our Growth Watchlist Governments supporting start-ups and enabling foreign investment in markets like Indonesia, Thailand, and Vietnam to drive further innovation in the digital space Indonesia Thailand Vietnam In order to attract technology-related Growth of e-commerce in the country The government’s National e-commerce investment, the government has has been driven by the government’s Development Plan 2021-2025 focused on established friendly FDI policies and now National E-commerce Strategy (2017- boosting e-commerce adoption, allows 100 per cent foreign ownership of 2022) and initiatives such as the envisioning that 55 per cent of the popula- e-commerce businesses in the country. PromptPay e-payment service, making it tion will shop online by 2025 with average In 2020, Berlin-based Global Founders an attractive destination for investments. annual consumer spending online rising Capital invested in Indonesian B2B startup During the COVID-19-induced lockdowns, to USD600 by 2025, up from USD202 in Klikdaily. European luxury brands such as Louis 2018. Estonia-based MetaPlanet (backed Vuitton and Chanel used communication by Skype cofounder Jaan Tallinn) invested app ‘Line’ as a channel for selling their in Vietnam’s fast growing food delivery products. startup Loship in 2021. Source: E27, Tech In Asia Role of financial partners Digital tools offered by financial partners can help streamline and aggregate payment methods. Financial partners can also offer technology solutions to help reduce the compliance burden and provide a more seamless reporting process for European companies targeting ASEAN. Case study: Online payment solution in Vietnam: Top multi-national mail and logistic company Background Solutions Offered Impact A top multinational mail and Standard Chartered integrated • Eliminated cash collection and logistics company operating in its Straight2Bank platform with streamlined payment collection Vietnam, dealing with standard the client, supporting the clients’ through single provider parcel delivery for business clients online space with multiple payment through cash collections, wanted methods for payers to choose at • Single contract with Standard an online single payment gateway check out. Chartered, no additional due to minimise merchant accounts diligence required and seamless and better support their clients Standard Chartered also provided reporting process with mature e-commerce shipping real time update of transaction completion, intra-day report, while • Receipt of real-time notification on solutions. transactions funding is credited to the client’s It also wanted to standardise account on agreed terms. • Company able to view and reporting processes through a reconcile vital transaction details single platform and improve the via Standard Chartered’s e-banking reconciliation process. platform Online fashion retailer YOOX Net-A-Porter partners with Singapore e-commerce platform BlinQ to expand ASEAN market reach Background Impact Italian online fashion retailer YOOX Net- BlinQ has over 30,000 users joining the A-Porter Group has partnered with BlinQ, platform every month, with luxury brands a luxury e-commerce platform based in such as Kenzo, Prada and Off-White included Singapore, to bring YOOX’s products to the on the platform. region. This partnership will provide YOOX with a The collaboration will enable customers to strong Southeast Asian partner to expand access a catalogue of more than 10,000 their potential customer base in Southeast products from over 700 luxury brands, on top Asia. of the products already on the platform — all while enjoying better customer experience, with lower shipping costs and shorter fulfilment times. Source: Retail News Asia Borderless Business: Europe-ASEAN Corridor 17
Critical Success Factors: Five Focus Areas for European Companies to Drive Resilient Growth in ASEAN
Critical Success Factors ASEAN’s landscape is characterised by strong digitalisation with strong cybersecurity mea- geographic, political, social and cultural sures to reduce risk exposure, as well as investing diversity. As such, European companies in Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) targeting ASEAN must focus on five key areas initiatives and effective governance frame- to ensure resilient growth in such a dynamic works. Figure 10 below shows that European region – including forging key local partnerships, companies are prioritising their focus on new diversifying their supply chains and driving partnerships and joint ventures over other areas. Figure 10: Key focus areas to drive resilient growth in ASEAN Note: Survey question asked: ‘What are the key initiatives / focus areas for your organisation to drive resilient and rebalanced growth in ASEAN? Please select the relevant options and rank them in order of importance, 1 being the most important.’ Values indicated above refer to the % of survey respondents who included the initiative as one of the top 3 ranked choices Source: Standard Chartered Survey, 2021 Borderless Business: Europe-ASEAN Corridor 19
Critical Success Factors 1. Expanding market presence Explore options for ‘coopetition’ – i.e. and access through local public partnering with competitors in specific and private partnerships areas to accelerate market entry ASEAN’s strengths as a large, growing market, European companies seeking to enter and its appealing demographics and produc- or expand across ASEAN markets can tion capabilities have attracted European consider ‘coopetition’, i.e. partnering companies, especially those considering diver- with international or local competitors in sifying their supply chains as part of a “China specific areas to facilitate and accelerate Plus One” strategy. The EUABC 2020j Business their market entry. This could involve Sentiment Survey reported that EU companies collaborating with competitors outside viewed ASEAN as the region with the best core business areas to achieve synergies economic opportunities for the next five years.14 – for example, companies can consider sharing “economy logistics” to reduce fixed Given supply chain disruptions from COVID- costs and investments for both parties, an 19 souring commercial prospects for some approach explored by companies such as European investors targeting ASEAN, regional PepsiCo and Nestlé, which capitalised on economic integration and progress on trade shared warehouse capabilities and joint facilitation will be crucial to the region’s sus- logistics, generating 12 to 15 per cent cost tained economic recovery. As one of ASEAN’s savings. Customer service also improved as main investors, the EU has committed to both companies were able to make more stepping up its economic efforts to speed up frequent deliveries. Whilst ‘coopetition’ is ASEAN’s post-pandemic recovery, including still nascent in ASEAN, similar partnership pursuing its trade agenda with ASEAN models could be explored in the region, countries beyond Singapore and Vietnam, and within the context of local anti-trust laws.13 further advancing UK/EU-ASEAN programmes – a move expected to grant wider and easier access to the region for European businesses.15 j European Union ASEAN Business Council Borderless Business: Europe-ASEAN Corridor 20
Critical Success Factors A. Engaging local partners to facilitate firms and industry associations, which have market entry relevant market experience and expertise as well as wide-reaching networks of ASEAN’s diverse and fragmented market, with local contacts, can help companies better varying business practices across its member understand local market dynamics and states, often poses a challenge to European business practices, mitigate risks, and overcome companies with no local presence or experi- market entry barriers. Figure 11 shows how ence. In fact, our survey indicates that 85 per financial services partners are helping European cent of respondents give high importance to companies engaged in this corridor. Majority local partnerships to increase market presence of companies look to banks for their multi- in ASEAN.k currency management capabilities as well Forging local partnerships will be vital to as their networks and local expertise. Others expediting their successful market entry. Apart also count on cash management and advisory from government support via local Investment support from their banking partners to help Promotion Agencies (IPAs), commercial them achieve their ASEAN growth plans. partners such as banks, professional services Figure 11: Key requirements from banking partners to support growth in ASEAN 55% Foreign exchange hedging and multi-currency settlement services 55% Widespread cross-border network and understanding of the local markets 48% Strong cash management capabilities 48% Advisory services (financial advisory, ESG rating etc) 28% Extensive trade financing services 28% Digitalised platforms for foreign exchange, transaction banking, etc. 23% One-stop corporate financing and capital raising services Note: Survey question asked: ‘Where are the key requirements from your banking partner, to support your growth in ASEAN? Please select the relevant options and rank them in order of importance, 1 being the most important.’ Values indicated above refer to the % of survey respondents who included the requirement as one of the top 3 ranked choices Source: Standard Chartered Survey, 2021 k For priority initiatives, values refer to the % of survey respondents who included the initiative as one of the top 3 ranked choices Borderless Business: Europe-ASEAN Corridor 21
Critical Success Factors Role of financial partners For foreign companies looking to expand into ASEAN, financial partners can assist with trade financing needs in the region and help clients build stronger, more reliable relationships with local partners, including their distributors. Case study: Standard Chartered Trade Finance in Indonesia: Payables financing through VPP for Hypermarket Retail Chain Background Solutions Offered Impact • A hypermarket retail chain Standard Chartered provided the • As of Q3 2017, more than was looking for the option to client with a Vendor PrePay (VPP) 50 suppliers are part of the receive early payment at a more programme: programme affordable cost • Suppliers can automatically or • Improved clients’ relationship with • The company hoped that selectively discount their invoices suppliers with advanced payment cheaper borrowing costs paid in advance at lower interest rate by suppliers would lead to better costs of goods • All requests for financing • Strengthened clients’ supply are seamlessly done via chains as VPP programme assures • The company also wanted to Straight2Bank suppliers that invoices will be increase the days of payable unconditionally paid by Standard outstanding (DPO) Chartered on due date B. Leveraging new and planned FTAs to to new locations in ASEAN. Some examples facilitate trade and drive market access include Singapore Economic Development Board, Malaysian Investment Development While efforts to forge an EU-ASEAN FTA have Authority, the Thai and Philippines’ Boards of not been successful to date despite strong Investments, Indonesia Investment Promotion lobbying from European corporates, the EU Centre, and Vietnam’s Foreign Investment and UK are proactively securing FTAs with Agency. These IPAs can assist European individual ASEAN countries instead. It is companies in connecting with the right local particularly important, therefore, for companies partners and understanding the local business targeting ASEAN to also note FTAs currently landscape as they explore opportunities in under negotiation, which could significantly ASEAN markets. impact their future operations and growth prospects in the region. Furthermore, the EU’s growing trade connections with signatories of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP), in particular Singapore and Vietnam, will enhance European exporters’ access to the ASEAN market.16 C. Tapping into local government-led initiatives to overcome barriers to trade in ASEAN A variety of EU and UK government-led programmes and initiatives have helped remove barriers to overseas trade and will continue to play an important role in facilitating trade and investment opportunities for European companies going forward. European companies should note that in addition to those, they would benefit from liaising with local IPAs for institutional support when expanding Borderless Business: Europe-ASEAN Corridor 22
Critical Success Factors 2. Diversifying production Supply chain resilience, not cost, to be the networks and supply chains to key measure for success going forward build resilience post-COVID-19 Incorporating supply chain diversifica- Elevated geopolitical tensions and COVID-19- tion as part of an overall strategy will related disruptions are forcing manufacturers, allow European companies to be more globally, to reassess their supply chains to flexible and better anticipate, adapt to mitigate risk exposure and increase resilience. and recover from events in an uncertain Whereas the pandemic was the main catalyst environment. Going forward, supply chain for this shift, the recent Suez Canal 6-day resilience and customer experience will blockage, which prevented an estimated become more critical measures as com- USD9.6 billion worth of trade among Europe, pared to cost, which has typically been the Asia and the Middle East, starkly illustrates how prime focus area for most organisations. disruptive events are set to become the norm.17 Companies should, however, adopt a A. Diversifying footprint by adopting holistic approach to risk diversification a ‘China Plus One’ strategy which extends beyond supply and pro- duction networks and also encompasses Although China has long been a popular choice operations, systems, data and people. for manufacturing bases, rising labour costs and tightening environmental standards, coupled with increased tariffs as a result of geopolitical tensions, are pushing many manufacturers to reduce their supply chain dependency on a single market. For many European compa- nies, manufacturing activities are “in China, for China”, meaning a complete withdrawal from China is unlikely. A more plausible post- COVID-19 scenario would be “China plus One” – diversifying supply chains with addi- tional manufacturing sites outside of China. Neighbouring ASEAN therefore stands out as an attractive alternative, given its geographical proximity to China, openness to foreign invest- ment and lower labour costs. In fact, the EUABC 2020 Business Sentiment Survey considered ASEAN a top destination for supply chain relocation and, with Brexit spearheading new FTA negotiations with ASEAN countries, the same is expected of British manufacturers. Our survey results also validate this trend, with 48 per cent of respondents listing “diversification of production footprint” as a major driver (among top 3) for expanding into ASEAN.18 Borderless Business: Europe-ASEAN Corridor 23
Critical Success Factors B. Developing ASEAN production and • Increasing focus on Vietnam and Singapore: supply networks, capitalising on its diverse Our survey results indicate that Vietnam is landscape and capabilities one of the top countries in ASEAN where companies see the most sales or expansion European companies looking to relocate or opportunities. This is not only because of its expand into ASEAN will benefit from under- geographic proximity and lower productions standing the region’s diverse landscape, costs relative to China – factors which has including each country’s industrial capabilities prompted automotive players such as BMW, and ecosystems, as well as international trade Audi and, more recently, ZF Friedrichshafen connectivity. to locate production plants in Vietnam’s • Disparate manufacturing capabilities in automotive cluster in Northern Vietnam ASEAN markets: ASEAN’s industrial land- (Haiphong) – but also its connectivity to scape varies across member countries given European markets via the recently signed different economic priorities, production EUVFTA. Singapore is well-positioned for capabilities and infrastructure quality. More European companies within advanced or mature industrial bases such as Thailand high-tech manufacturing such as GSK, which and Malaysia are moving up the value chain set up a USD98 million manufacturing facility towards more advanced manufacturing in in 2019, or those looking to establish a base industries such as automotive and aviation for their ASEAN footprint. Dyson also recently maintenance. In comparison, countries like announced plans to hire 250 more engineers Vietnam are starting from a less developed and scientists in Singapore between 2020 industrial base and will continue to focus and 2025 as part of its expansion plans on labour-intensive production in the near in the region. This trend is expected to be future. Companies should be aware of these bolstered by the new UKSFTA, in effect since disparities and use them to their advan- January 2021. tage when aligning their strategic priorities with manufacturing capabilities of target markets.19 Dyson’s plans to expand in ASEAN Background Expansion plans in Singapore and the Impact Philippines • Leading British • Dyson’s move company Dyson plans • Dyson plans to delve deeper into areas such reflects the growing to hire more engineers as robotics, machine learning and artificial importance of ASEAN and scientists in intelligence. as a manufacturing Singapore, adding to powerhouse and its its 1,200 existing staff. • Dyson has already started renovations importance within and plans to open its new global HQ in global value chains – • It comes after the Singapore at the end of 2021 as well as a be it for manufacturing company reduced global cybersecurity centre. capabilities or human its global headcount talent. by 900 people in • Dyson already has facilities in Singapore’s July 2020, due to Science Park for product development and the impact of the testing, and an advanced manufacturing COVID-19 pandemic facility in Jurong, developed in 2020 that now builds its patented digital motors • Separately, the company also invested in a software hub in Alabang, Philippines, to accelerate the development of new machines, on top of its manufacturing facility in Calamba. Source : Channel News Asia, Straits Times Borderless Business: Europe-ASEAN Corridor 24
Critical Success Factors C. ‘Cash is King’ for resilience when it comes to operating in completely new markets, which will require European companies For European companies looking to trade with to front up heavy initial investments. In addition, ASEAN, diversification of their supply chains with ASEAN being such a diverse market, man- will go a long way in terms of mitigating risks aging liquidity will also entail developing an and uncertainties of current times. However, effective currency management and hedging managing and maintaining liquidity will be just strategy for companies looking to trade within as paramount for ensuring resilient operating the region. models going forward. This is especially true Role of financial partners Supply chain diversification into ASEAN can come with risk when dealing with multiple currencies. Financial partners can help foreign companies looking to expand into ASEAN with customised cash management solutions, to facilitate cross-border payments, collections, information management and liquidity management. Case study: Liquidity Management in Singapore: Multi-regional liquidity management structure Background • Client wanted to decide on the regional pooling location for a new single entity Solutions Offered Standard Chartered provided the following: • Customised advisory in the form of a detailed cost-benefit analysis • Automated liquidity management solution through the Straight2Bank Liquidity (S2BL), best-in-class customised liquidity management structure designed for the client, comprising physical concentrated to Singapore by true end-of-day domestic and cross border sweep and single entity multi-currency notional pooling • Yield optimisation through competitive credit and debit interest rates, extended cut-off time to give client flexibility to use the funds and invest pooled balances • Extensive reporting of MT940 and MT942 for TMS consolidation Impact • Consolidation of nine currencies under the client’s global treasury for optimal usage of funds • Flexible and optimal usage of the consolidated multi-currency positions Borderless Business: Europe-ASEAN Corridor 25
Critical Success Factors 3. Enabling digital advancement Collaborative digitalisation: MNCs and organisation-wide cyber to support digital advancement of resilience ecosystem partners ASEAN’s rising prominence within global European MNCs operating or looking to manufacturing, trade, and supply chains has operate in ASEAN, particularly those with been driven by its favourable demographics interconnected regional supply chains, will and production capabilities. Nonetheless, inevitably need to work within an ecosystem future growth can only be sustained by a strong of local suppliers – often specialised SMEs. commitment and drive toward digitalisation. In many cases, such MNCs will have more This has become more evident during the advanced or further developed digital global pandemic, which stressed the role and capabilities as compared to local partners. importance of digital technologies for industry, In order to be able to sustain the growth of businesses and consumers alike. The ASEAN their ASEAN business, MNCs must look to Economic Community (AEC) recognises this, support these local, smaller, partners on pro- with its Blueprint 2025 highlighting ICT develop- gressing them further into their digitalisation ment as “a key driver in ASEAN’s economic and journey. This will be important for ensuring social transformation”. European companies connectivity, visibility and transparency targeting ASEAN should be cognisant of the amongst all ecosystem players, essential for importance of digitisation and automation to enhancing their business resilience. generate new business opportunities through the development of new production processes, products, and markets. Currently, 43 per cent of European companies surveyed plan to execute digital transformation programmes to drive resilient growth in the region.l A. Developing a holistic digital transformation and connectivity framework With about 80 per cent of ASEAN’s population expected to be online by 2030, European companies that are looking to tap into the e-commerce boom across the region will need to acknowledge the need for enhanced safety, security, reliability, transparency, flexibility, and efficiency of the supporting logistics infrastruc- ture. Companies operating in ASEAN will need to consider digital integration more holistically, building digitally capabilities across targeted parts of their supply chains. This will involve developing a framework for digital connectivity which should involve:20 • Building integrated digital capabilities across supply chains: This will depend on advanced data analytics which will provide the necessary end-to-end visibility and enable different parts of the supply chain to be linked in real time through digital tracking and communication solutions.21 l For key initiatives, values refer to the % of survey respondents who included the initiative as one of the top 3 ranked choices Borderless Business: Europe-ASEAN Corridor 26
Critical Success Factors German conglomerate Siemens, pharmaceutical company GSK, and French logistics company GEODIS digitise operations in ASEAN Siemens established the first-of- In 2019, GSK opened a fully GEODIS, a French logistics its-kind Advance Manufacturing automated continuous company, implemented its own Transformation Centre (AMTC) production facility in Singapore E-solution system called IRIS, in Singapore’s Jurong Innovation and an expanded manufacturing which provides transparency District (JID), as part of a local plant in Jurong. The new facility and visibility along all milestones advanced manufacturing improves conventional batch from when the product leaves ecosystem masterplan, to production methods and enables the manufacturing plant to final support the digitalisation and continuous manufacturing of delivery point, and with its new transformation of manufacturing medicines, which allows for active Transport Management System facilities in ASEAN. pharmaceutical ingredients for (TMS), these milestones are fully clinical trials to be produced more automated from the first mile to The AMTC will house Siemens’ quickly and precisely. the last mile, with a digital sign-off first Additive Manufacturing on the delivery agent’s handheld Experience Centre (AMEC) outside device. Germany, where companies can experience an end-to- end additive manufacturing production line with Siemens’ technology partners. Source : Company websites, Bloomberg, UK-ASEAN Business Council “Investing in ASEAN 2021 | 2022” • Developing a framework for digital con- related to digital trust, particularly when it nectivity to facilitate distribution within the comes to ensuring data protection and digital region: European companies – especially identities in online transactions.22 those selling consumer products (e.g. fashion products, gourmet food, and cosmetics) – will Our survey results indicate that only 8 per need to enhance data capabilities to enable cent of European companies currently have cross-border transactions. This will involve plans to strengthen cyber security as a priority preparing logistics to facilitate the free flow (within top 3) initiative. Such companies must of goods and services across borders, recognise the importance of digital trust to establish financial connectivity to facilitate the free flow of data and will need to develop cash flows and payments, and ensure the their cyber resilience capabilities in order to overall links between cyberspace and the operate smoothly and successfully within the physical parts of the e-commerce network region. Having said that, rather than focusing remain seamless. As digital development on cybersecurity to avoid breaches completely, across ASEAN is not uniform and debatably companies should assume a breach will occur not as advanced as in Europe, companies and focus on developing the capabilities to targeting ASEAN should therefore famil- respond quickly and effectively recover from iarise themselves with the degree of internet any data infringements. As a starting point, penetration, affordability of internet access, European companies operating in ASEAN can quality of digital infrastructure available look to the EU’s 2018 General Data Protection across ASEAN countries, as well as govern- Regulation (GDPR) for guidance on strengthen- ment initiatives to develop these. ing their cybersecurity, as GDPR norms apply to European companies operating abroad as well. B. Adopting an “assumed breach” approach to enhancing cybersecurity resilience The success of digitisation in ASEAN hinges on the effective implementation of cybersecurity measures. In comparison to the EU and UK, ASEAN countries still face significant challenges Borderless Business: Europe-ASEAN Corridor 27
You can also read