BLUE GROWTH IN THE MEDITERRANEAN SEA: THE CHALLENGE OF GOOD ENVIRONMENTAL STATUS 2015 - CLOUDFRONT.NET
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BLUE GROWTH IN THE MEDITERRANEAN SEA: THE CHALLENGE OF Good Environmental Status Publication Catherine Piante and Denis Ody, WWF-France Publication lead: WWF-France With the contribution of Adriana Raveau, Florence Krowicki, Pierre Stroesser Copyright: WWF-France from ACTeon and the maps of Matthieu Le Tixerant from Terra Maris Reproduction of this publication for educational or other non-commercial purposes is authorized without prior written permission from the copyright holder provided the source is fully acknowledged. Reproduction of this publication for resale or other commercial purposes is prohibited without prior written permission of the copyright holder. Citation: Piante C., Ody D.,2015. Blue Growth in the Mediterranean Sea: the Challenge of Good Environmental Status. MedTrends Project. WWF-France. 192 pages. English revision: Catherine Roberts Maps: Terra Maris Layout: OneBigRobot Produced by: WWF-France Cover photo credit: Mediterranean Sea © NASA Earth Observatory Available from: www.wwf.fr September 2015 Financial support Technical support www.programmemed.eu/ Project financed by ERDF planbleu.org/ http://www.developpement-durable.gouv.fr/
Acknowledgements We would like to warmly thank all the people and organizations who kindly contributed to this publication. Our partners: The Members of our Regional Advisory Committee • WWF-Spain • WWF-Greece • Universidad de Malaga - Dania Abdulmalak • WWF-MedPO • Universitat Autonoma de Barcelona - • WWF-Italy Françoise Breton • Nature Trust Malta • DG Mare - Luca Marangoni • Stanford University - Fiorenza Our Associate Partners: Micheli •P lan Bleu – Didier Sauzade, Julien • CPMR - Damien Périssé, Davide le Tellier Strangis •M edPAN – Bruno Meola, Chloe • UNEP/MAP - Attila Uras Webster, Marie Romani •W WF-Sweden – Ottilia Thoreson EU-funded projects who kindly provided some data: Our consultants: • COCONET •A CTeon – Adriana Raveau, Florence • MedIamer Krowicki, Pierre Stroesser and the • MedSea ACTeon team • MedOpenSeas •T erra Maris – Matthieu Le Tixerant • ODEMM •N AVAMA – Andreas Struck and the NAVAMA team • PERSEUS • VECTORS Our financial partners • Programme Med • MEDDE Disclaimer: the conclusions and recommendations of the MedTrends project do not necessarily reflect the views of the people and organizations acknowledged here.
Table of Abbreviations Table OF CONTENTS ACCOBAMS Agreement on the Conservation of Nature Chapter 1: Conservation of Cetaceans in the Black Sea Mediterranean Sea and Contiguous LNG Liquid Natural Gas Executive summary____________________________________________6 Atlantic Area MAP Mediterranean Action Plan Chapter 2: AIS Automatic Identification System MARPOL Marine Pollution (international convention for the prevention of pollution Introduction________________________________________________12 BOD Bio-chemical Oxygen Demand at sea) CBD Convention on Biological Diversity MEDPOL The marine pollution Chapter 3: COP Conference of Parties assessment and control component of Materials and methods_______________________________________14 MAP CFP Common Fisheries Policy MPA Marine Protected Area Chapter 4: DPSIR Drivers, Pressures, State, Impacts, Responses MSFD Marine Strategic Framework The Mediterranean Sea, drivers of change and conservation efforts_____________________________________20 Directive EBSA Ecologically and Biologically Significant Areas MSP Maritime Spatial Planning EC European Commission MSPD Maritime Spatial Planning Chapter 5: EEA European Environment Agency Directive Trends of economic sectors____________________________________34 MSSD Mediterranean Strategy for EEZ Exclusive Economic Zone Sustainable Development Offshore oil and gas exploration and extraction__________________ 34 EU European Union NatCap Natural Capital Initiative EUSAIR European Union Strategy for the Maritime transport and ports______________________________ 48 ODEMM Options for Delivering Adriatic-Ionian Region (macro-region) Ecosystem-Based Marine Management Professional fisheries___________________________________ 64 EWEA European Wind Energy PAH Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbons Association POP Persistent Organic Pollutant Recreational fisheries___________________________________ 78 FIFO Fish In Fish Out RAC/SPA Regional Activity Centre for GEBCO General Bathymetric Chart of the Specially Protected Areas Marine aquaculture_____________________________________ 84 Oceans REE Rare Earth Element Tourism____________________________________________ 92 GES Good Environmental Status SECA Sulphur Emission Control Area GFCM General Fisheries Commission for Marine renewable energy________________________________ 106 the Mediterranean SPA/BD protocol Protocol concerning Specially Protected Areas and Biodiversity GDP Gross Domestic Product in the Mediterranean Marine mining________________________________________114 GIS Geographic Information System SPAMI Specially Protected Areas of Coastal development___________________________________ 120 GVA Gross Value Added Mediterranean Importance TEU Twenty-foot equivalent unit Land-based pollution sources_____________________________ 128 ICCAT International Commission for the Conservation of Atlantic Tunas TEN-T Trans-European Networks ICZM Integrated Coastal Zone UNEP United Nations Environment Chapter 6: Management Programme Cross-cutting analysis_______________________________________140 IMO International Maritime UWWTD Urban Wastewater Treatment Organisation Directive Chapter 7: IMP Integrated Maritime Policy VME Vulnerable Marine Ecosystem Conclusions and recommendations_____________________________170 IUCN International Union for WTD Water Framework Directive Table of contents 5
CHAPTER 1: EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Maritime 4% per annum growth rate in global trade over the transport next decade can be anticipated and will be reflected in and ports international maritime traffic routes at the Mediterranean regional level (Suez-Gibraltar axis, Aegean Sea, Adriatic Sea, and to a lesser extent the northwestern Mediterranean) Professional A downward trend is expected at an uncertain rate at the fishing Mediterranean regional level. Recreational An upward trend is expected at an uncertain rate in the > In 2007, the European Commission adopted the “Blue Book” for an Integrated fishing Mediterranean countries of the EU. Maritime Policy (IMP) in the European Union, aiming to provide a more coherent Marine Forecast of fish aquaculture production in the approach to maritime issues with increased coordination between different policy aquaculture Mediterranean countries of the EU anticipates a 112% areas. The Marine Spatial Planning Directive (MSPD), adopted on 23 July 2014, increase between 2010 and 2030. Production could is the key instrument guiding the implementation of IMP to ensure the best use of jump from 280,000 tonnes to nearly 600,000 tonnes. marine spaces and promote economic development. The MSPD goes along with the Tourism (coastal International tourist arrivals in the Mediterranean Marine Strategy Framework Directive (MSFD), the environmental pillar of the IMP tourism, cruise should increase by 60% between 2015 and 2030 to adopted on 17 June 2008, which aims to achieve Good Environmental Status for all tourism, reach 500 million arrivals in 2030 at the Mediterranean EU marine waters by 2020. recreational regional level. France, Italy and Spain will remain the three boating) biggest destinations. > In this context, the Mediterranean Sea is currently facing a Blue Gold Rush driven by: Renewable While no marine renewable energy was produced in energy 2014, predicted production of electricity by offshore wind • The growth of trade between Europe and Asia, which drives the growth of farms could reach 12 gigawatts (GW) in 2030 in the international maritime traffic in the Mediterranean Sea. Mediterranean countries of the EU. • The development of a middle class worldwide, correlated to the growth of Marine mining An upward trend is expected at an uncertain rate in the international tourism, in particular in the Mediterranean Sea region being the first mid-term, mainly in the Mediterranean countries of the EU tourist destination in the world. Coastal 5,000 km of additional coastline will be artificialised • Energy demand reflected by an extremely fast development of the number of development by 2025 as compared to the 2005 situation at the offshore oil and gas exploration contracts, covering today more than 20% of the Mediterranean regional level. Mediterranean Sea, with potential new contracts covering another 20% of the Land-based In the Mediterranean countries of the EU: basin. pollution •P ollution from wastewater is expected to keep decreasing • The EU Blue Growth Strategy which aims at supporting sustainable growth in sources over the next 15 years. all marine and maritime sectors. Five sectors are highlighted as potential drivers •P ersistent Organic Pollutants (POPs) are expected to of blue growth: aquaculture, marine and coastal tourism (including cruise and slowly decline. recreational boating), marine biotechnology and marine mineral mining. •A n upward trend in heavy metal pollution can be observed for mercury and lead. > E xcept for professional fisheries, all traditional sectors of Mediterranean maritime •N utrient discharges are expected to increase slightly over economy such as tourism, shipping, aquaculture and offshore oil and gas are the next 15 years. expected to keep growing during the coming 15 years. Comparatively new or emerging sectors such as renewable energy, seabed mining and biotechnology are > The growing development of maritime sectors will lead to potential conflicts: expected to grow even faster, although there is greater uncertainty concerning these • Conflicts for the use of space will grow in coastal areas due to the developments and their expected impacts on marine ecosystems. development of marine aquaculture, coastal and marine tourism, marine renewable energy, recreational fisheries; Future trends of maritime sectors • The oil and gas industry is clearly looking at offshore developments, Expected leading to potential interactions with the maritime transport sector. Sea-mining is, development Sector trend of sector Estimations in the longer term, another sector that may consider offshore development in the Mediterranean. Oil and gas • Offshore oil production could increase by 60% exploration between 2010 and 2020 at the Mediterranean regional • Professional fishing is the sector most affected by the growing and extraction level, rising from 0.7 mbd to 1.12 mbd. development of the maritime economy. Fishing zones will be reduced in • Offshore gas production could increase five-fold particular along coastal areas due to the increasing development of coastal from 2010 to 2030, from 55 Mtoe/year to 250 Mtoe/ activities. Pressures exerted by other sectors on marine ecosystems (e.g. additional year at the Mediterranean regional level. fish catch from recreational fisheries, some land-based pollution types, underwater noise generated by ships and by oil and gas activities) are growing and may impact fish stocks directly or indirectly. 6 Blue Growth in the Mediterranean Sea: the Challenge of Good Environmental Status 1. Executive Summary 7
> I t is difficult to determine the whole range of interactions between these activities > Building shared prospective visions for an integrated sea management and the cumulative impacts of their pressures on the state of marine ecosystems. requires agreeing on underlying principles for a Sustainable Blue Economy to However, the expected growth in the maritime economy clearly represents a ensure that the economic development of the ocean contributes to true prosperity and potential additional threat to the health of already-stressed Mediterranean resilience, today and in the future, building in particular on the following principles: ecosystems. It is likely that some pressures and, more importantly, • Give priority to EU policy visions of establishing a circular green economy. cumulative impacts on marine ecosystems generated by the increasing • As far as strategic energy development infrastructures are concerned, give preference exploitation of the sea will grow at a faster rate than the solutions to transition to renewable energies and define a clear contribution to climate developed and implemented to mitigate them. change mitigation strategies. In the face of the unprecedented development of offshore oil > T his is particularly relevant for sectors such as maritime transport and offshore and gas exploration in the Mediterranean Sea, WWF is favoring a strict no-go position industries. These sectors do not rely on ecosystem services but on the natural for new oil and gas offshore developments. infrastructure that the sea represents and thus have no interest in limiting their • Implementing the MSFD ecosystem-based approach as a prerequisite to the externalities. Besides, the internationalization and the strategic weight of these management of human activities and the pillar of the implementation of the MSP directive; sectors mean that their activities are difficult to regulate. •C onsidering that fisheries are contributing to food sovereignty, give priority > C onsequently, there is a high risk of failing to achieve Good to the restoration of fish stocks and of their ecosystems through support to Environmental Status in the Mediterranean Sea by 2020 for 7 out of 11 responsible and sustainable fishing; of the descriptors of the Marine Strategy Framework Directive (MSFD). • Apply the precautionary principle. > The growth of maritime sectors also increases the challenge faced by the EU to > As regards marine spatial planning implementation processes, clear meet the Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD) Aichi Target 11, which requires governance mechanisms for decision-making that make trade-offs explicit at least 10% of EU waters to be within MPAs or other effective area- among sectors and also between sectors and conservation objectives need to based management measures by 2020. In the Mediterranean Sea, MPA be established and a participatory approach implemented. The practical modalities coverage grew from 1.08% in 2012 to 3.27% of the total surface in 2015, of the implementation of an MSFD ecosystem-based approach need to representing significant progress towards the CBD target. However, this be clarified and shared at the transnational Mediterranean level. The value of rate of progression is insufficient to fill the gap over the next 5 years. ecosystem services and risk to habitats should be integrated as elements of > Large-scale areas of high interaction between Blue Growth and sites of planning in ocean management scenarios. conservation interest in EU Mediterranean countries include the Gulf of > To date, the area beyond states’ territorial waters, including EEZ and open seas, has Cadiz, the Alboran Sea, the Balearics islands, the Ebro Delta, the Catalunya Coast, been granted few protection measures (mainly by GFCM) in the Mediterranean Sea. the Gulf of Lion, the Northern Adriatic Sea, the Strait of Otranto, the Strait of Sicily WWF believes that economical activities in this area should not be initiated and more generally the area located south of Sicily, the northern Aegean Sea, the before measures to protect deep-sea ecosystems from adverse impacts are in Central Aegean Sea and the Ionian coast of Greece up to the southwestern part of place. Greece. > Regarding maritime traffic, it should be noted that: > Preventing or reducing environmental damage and achieving sustainable use of the marine environment thus remain a significant challenge for the • The regulation of maritime traffic in the Aegean Sea, a hotspot for ship accidents, Mediterranean Sea. should be given special consideration in the future. he development of maritime sectors in the Adriatic Sea suggests that maritime •T > However, guidance on what a “Sustainable Blue Economy” or “Sustainable Blue traffic authorities should seek to foresee increased risks associated with maritime Growth” looks like, in practice, is missing right now. The current development traffic and act accordingly. of key economic sectors in the Mediterranean Sea is happening against •A significant share of maritime traffic overlaps with priority areas for conservation, a background of vague concepts and relatively weak formulation on what in particular those concerning marine mammals, especially in the Straits of Sicily needs to be done to ensure that the Blue Economy is truly sustainable. and the Alboran Sea. The interactions between this sector and conservation issues SO WHAT SHOULD BE DONE? should be more thoroughly assessed in these two areas and potentially addressed at the with the International Maritime Organization level. > As regards professional fisheries, the implementation of effective ecosystem- based resource management throughout the Mediterranean is required, and > The implementation of the MSP Directive requires that ambitious shared to achieve this, the following is needed: prospective visions for the future of the Mediterranean maritime space be built at different spatial scales and include biodiversity and ecosystems •T he reformed Common Fisheries Policy effectively delivers on an ecosystem protection and restoration objectives. approach to fisheries through sustainable fishery-specific management plans; • GFCM delivers on ecosystem-based management of shared stocks through regional management plans and other technical measures and provides a framework for national fisheries policies; 8 Blue Growth in the Mediterranean Sea: the Challenge of Good Environmental Status 1. Executive Summary 9
• I CCAT sticks to a science-based management plan for bluefin tuna > Additional efforts are needed to achieve ecologically coherent and effectively ensuring enforcement of the implemented measures. Moreover, ICCAT develops a managed MPA networks in European seas as required by the MSFD. The comprehensive recovery plan for Mediterranean swordfish. establishment of high seas and deep seas MPAs in the Mediterranean areas identified as priorities for biodiversity conservation is crucial, whether in > Large-scale areas of high interaction between Blue Growth and sites of conservation Member States EEZ or in the remaining Mediterranean open sea. interest in EU Mediterranean countries require urgent planning and implementation of integrated ocean management measures to address cumulative impacts in these areas. Figure 1. Large-scale areas of high interactions between Blue Growth and sites of conservation interest in EU Mediterranean countries. 10 Blue Growth in the Mediterranean Sea: the Challenge of Good Environmental Status 1. Executive Summary 11
CHAPTER 2: INTRODUCTION environmental pillar of the IMP adopted on 17 June 2008, which aims to achieve Good Environmental Status for all EU marine waters by 2020. As a complement to these policies, the European Commission developed a “Blue Growth” strategy (adopted on 23 July 2014) to support sustainable growth in five key areas: aquaculture, coastal tourism (including cruise and yachting), marine biotechnologies, marine energies and marine mining, whilst also supporting the The Mediterranean Sea: from an area of freedom in the past to an area development of other marine sectors. Ensuring the coherence between Blue Growth for economic development and the protection of marine ecosystems in line with the objectives set by the MSFD is one of the key challenges for all European seas and for the Mediterranean Sea in For thousands of years and until the middle of the 20th century, the seas and oceans particular. This is also the focus of the MedTrends project. have represented infinite space, giving the illusion that humanity might be free of constraints and limitations. The degradation of fish stocks resulting from the growing intensification of fishing activities was among the first signs of the limits of marine Objectives and positioning of the MedTrends project resources, underlining the need for regulated fishing activities to maintain marine resources. Despite incentives to support Blue Growth in the Mediterranean Sea, there is little information on the future trends of maritime sectors in the Mediterranean basin, and More recently, many activities have developed in coastal areas and in the open sea how these trends might affect, positively or negatively, marine ecosystems and the competing for the same resources or the same space. Seas and oceans have become achievement of the objectives of the MSFD. new areas for economic development. Activities such as shipping have rapidly intensified. Cruise tourism has steadily grown. More recently, offshore oil and gas The MedTrends project combines the collection and analysis of geo-localised exploitation have extended the limits of the human footprint to the depths of the socio-economic and environmental information on 10 key maritime sectors with oceans. In addition, new sectors such as offshore wind energy and marine mining have a wider spatial analysis that helps identify interactions and conflicts between developed in the Mediterranean. sector development and the protection of marine ecosystems. It investigates these interactions at the Mediterranean regional or sub-regional scales and more The idea of the infinite space of the sea is thus behind us and to respond to increasing specifically at the level of the 8 EU Mediterranean countries (Croatia, Cyprus, Spain, pressures on marine ecosystems, it has been recently proposed that maritime spaces France, Greece, Italy, Malta and Slovenia). Furthermore, it looks into today’s situation be organized and spatially planned so that marine resources are used in a more along with future developments up to 2030. sustainable manner. Or - and this is the reason for the MedTrends project - isn’t marine spatial planning proposed mainly to encourage investments and development In view of the future negotiations associated with the process of marine spiatial by instilling predictability, transparency and clearer rules ? planning, MedTrends clearly defends the point of view of the environment and natural resources. The multisectoral foresight analysis proposed by MedTrends The Mediterranean Sea is an interesting case study for marine spatial planning as helps identify key issues for achieving Good Environmental Status and establishing it combines strong demographic pressures, numerous maritime activities, and the a network of Marine Protected Areas (MPAs) covering 10% of the Mediterranean oceanographic conditions of a semi-enclosed sea (Mediterranean comes from Latin basin by 2020 in the context of the expected Blue Growth. The multi-criteria mapping “mare medi terra” or “sea surrounded by land”) which accentuates the responsiveness analysis developed helps identify favourable areas that could complement the current of marine ecosystems to human pressures. network of MPAs. Sectoral and cross-cutting recommendations are given to support The Mediterranean Sea is experiencing an unprecedented “Blue Gold Rush” under the implementation of the MSPD and meet the MSFD commitments. the combined effects of several key factors, including: the “Blue Growth” strategy The MedTrends project was implemented on the basis of a meaningful dialogue with of the European Commission which aims to support the sustainable growth of national and supranational public institutions, through its Advisory Committees maritime sectors; trade development between Europe and Asia which leads to growing organised twice during the project. The results and recommendations of the international maritime traffic; the fast development and multiplication of offshore oil MedTrends project will be shared with stakeholders, policy makers and the general and gas contracts; and, the growing middle-class underpinning global tourism growth. public through various communication tools (reports, summaries, online viewer), building in particular on the large set of regional and national maps developed by The legal and political background MedTrends that facilitate the understanding of the main challenges faced by EU Mediterranean countries. In 2007, the European Commission adopted the “Blue Book” for an Integrated Overall, the project addresses the issues of promoting maritime economic Maritime Policy (IMP) in the European Union, aiming to provide a more coherent development in a sustainable manner and stresses the risk of conflicts between the approach to maritime issues with increased coordination between different policy implementation of the Blue Growth Strategy and the protection of natural resources areas. The Marine Spatial Planning Directive (MSPD), adopted on 23 July 2014, is the and ecosystems. key instrument guiding the implementation of IMP to ensure the best use of marine spaces and promote economic development. The MSPD goes along with the Marine Strategy Framework Directive (MSFD), the 12 Blue Growth in the Mediterranean Sea: the Challenge of Good Environmental Status 2. Introduction 13
CHAPTER 3: MATERIALS AND METHODS Chapter 4 describes the context in which human activities impacting the Mediterranean Sea evolve. It includes: •A brief summary of the ecological status of the Mediterranean Sea and the pressures exerted by human activities, including climate change ; •T he main overarching drivers of changes that affect economic sectors in the Mediterranean, including production and consumption patterns, financial flows and A. Study area of the MedTrends project governance; •T he state of play of existing spatial conservation efforts for protecting Mediterranean marine biodiversity and ecosystems, including the current MPA network, the Pelagos The MedTrends project covers the Mediterranean marine waters under the jurisdiction Sanctuary and other spatial conservation measures under GFCM. As the location of of the eight Mediterranean countries of the European Union: Croatia, Cyprus, France, future MPAs is not known, priority areas for conservation identified by several global Greece, Italy, Malta, Slovenia, Spain. or regional organisations (CBD, RAC/SPA, ACCOBAMS, GEBCO) were mapped. When available, data from outside the study area was also collected and displayed on maps. Chapter 5 presents the current situation and future trends of the main B. Methodological approach anthropogenic activities, including economic sectors, affecting the Mediterranean Sea. The conceptual approach of the project is based on the DPSIR framework (Drivers, Anthropogenic activities considered within the MedTrends project Pressures, State, Impacts, Responses) which makes it possible to describe the links Based on a literature review of the main pressures affecting the Mediterranean Sea, between human activities and the state of the Mediterranean[1]. 10 sectors have been identified. Table 1. Sectors considered within the MedTrends project RESPONSE Policy instruments: MSFD Directive, Common Fisheries Theme Sector Policy, etc. Extraction of living resources Professional fisheries (trawling, other IMPACTS DRIVERS industrial fishing, small scale fishing) Reducing fishing activities, Fishing activities, shipping, touristical attraction, etc. Recreational fisheries agriculture etc. Marine aquaculture Extraction of non-living Marine mining resources Energy production Marine renewable energy STATE PRESSURES State of fish stocks, Physical damage, Oil and gas exploration and extraction concentration of contamination by hazarous contaminants, etc. substances, etc. Land-based activities Land-based pollution sources Coastal development Figure 1. The DPSIR framework applied to the MedTrends project. Drivers: human Transport Maritime transport and ports (freight and activities; Pressures: mechanism through whicn an activity has an effect on any part passenger transport) of the ecosystem ; State: level of health of the Mediterranean marine ecosystems (a Tourism Tourism (coastal tourism, recreational combination of physical, chemical and biological conditions) affected by human activites boating, cruise tourism) ; Impacts: conséquences of the changes in ecosystems health on human activities and the welfare of human beings; Responses: measures undertaken to prevent, compensate or mitigate negative impacts of human activites on the ecosystems state. 14 Blue Growth in the Mediterranean Sea: the Challenge of Good Environmental Status 3. Materials and methods 15
Assessments of the future trends of these sectors were based on a single business- The short duration of the project (one year) did not allow us to consider developing as-usual scenario (BAU). Starting from present data, the BAU scenario analyses the new datasets. We had to limit ourselves to available datasets that could be directly evolution of indicators for each sector until 2030, under the hypothesis of continuing integrated into a Geographic Information System (GIS). Most of the data used can current trends in population, economy, technology and human behaviour, without the be accessed freely on online databases (Atlas of the Sea, GEBCO, Eurostat, GFCM) or implementation of an integrated maritime policy. were kindly provided by scientific partners. We additionally bought three datasets that were crucial for the project: For each sector, the main drivers of change and the way they would potentially affect each sector, were specified and the future trends of pressures were assessed with • Data on the exploration and the exploitation of offshore oil and gas, completed with regards to each MSFD descriptor. information gathered at national level by the project partners; • Automatic Identification System (AIS)data for maritime transport and fisheries; Table 1. The 11 MSFD descriptors • Data on existing and planned projects of wind farms. Msfd descriptor definition D1 Biological diversity is maintained. Map production D2 Non-indigenous species do not adversely alter the ecosystem. Maps were developed using ArcMap, the main component of Esri’s ArcGIS. D3 Populations of commercially exploited fish and shellfish are Geo-localised maps regarding maritime traffic and fisheries were developed based on within safe biological limits AIS (Automatic Identification System) data. The Automatic Identification System (AIS) is an autonomous and continuous vessel identification and monitoring system used D4 All elements of the marine food webs occur at normal for maritime safety and security. Today most vessels are equipped with this system, abundance and diversity except small leisure and fisheries crafts. The spatial coverage of this system has been D5 Human-induced eutrophication is minimised significantly improved over the last two years providing a better representation of global maritime traffic. Each AIS signal contains information that identifies the type of D6 Sea-floor integrity is at level that ensure that the structure and functions of the ecosystems are safeguarded vessel and a number of parameters regarding navigation (speed, course, etc.) Based on these data, we developed maps that show the density of AIS signals compiled D7 Permanent alteration of hydrographical conditions does not adversely affect marine ecosystems. over a year and projected on a grid in which each pixel is approximately 1square km (exactly 0.01° in longitude and latitude, which makes 1.1 km on an east-west axis D8 Concentrations of contaminants are at levels not giving rise to and 0.9 km on a north-south axis). Different algorithms for data processing exist, pollution effects. according to the desired objectives. If we simply combine the signals collected in each D9 Contaminants in fish and other seafood for human pixel, bias can exist because the frequency of the signal transmission is not always even consumption do not exceed levels established by Community between ships (from every 2 seconds to every 10 minutes). legislation or other relevant standards. For that reason, we used an algorithm that performs an interpolation between signals, D10 Properties and quantities of marine litter do not cause harm to connecting the preceding with the following, and turns them into a track associated the coastal and marine environment. with a ship. This is thus track density that is represented on maps and not signal D11 Introduction of energy, including underwater noise, is at levels density, which is more representative of the number of vessels that passed through a that do not adversely affect the marine environment. pixel and hence of the intensity of maritime traffic. Data gathering In order to assess future trends by 2030, we used: • Available literature (research reports, prospective studies, industry development plans, etc.); • Extrapolation of past trends, when appropriate; • Expert opinion in various fields. For each sector, two types of information were collected for prospective analyses: • Quantitative and qualitative data including indicators of the importance of the sector Figure 2 – Illustration of linear interpolation (Each AIS signal is connected to the and the pressures that they exert, as well as their future trends; next to represent the track of ships passing through the pixel. Each track corresponds • Geo-localised data on sectors and, depending on the availability of data, on the to a ship) pressures that they exert. 16 Blue Growth in the Mediterranean Sea: the Challenge of Good Environmental Status 3. Materials and methods 17
The result of this processing is a matrix associating a number of tracks, that is to Finally, large-scale areas of high interactions between Blue Growth and sites of say a density value, for each pixel of 1 km2. Mapping also required a choice between conservation interest were identified by the MedTrends national experts in EU different options. There are only 255 possibilities to represent on the same map Mediterranean countries based on the following criteria: at least two sectors exerting track densities that correspond to pixels with a density value of 1 and pixels with a major pressures overlapping with three conservation areas or priority areas for density value of several tens of thousands. The thresholds chosen for establishing conservation or EBSAs. the correspondence between the 255 levels available and the thousands of density values significantly modifies the resulting maps. We chose a logarithmic scale that allows the representation of extreme values, which correspond to the characteristics of Mediterranean traffic. C. REFERENCES: [1] abrielson, P., and P. Bosch. 2003. Environmental indicators: typology G Chapter 6 presents cross-cutting analyses that aim to answer the following and use in reporting. Internal working paper. European Environmental Agency, questions: Copenhagen, Denmark. [online] Available at: http://eea.eionet.europa.eu/Public/irc/eionet-circle/core_set/library?l=/ • How will interaction between the various marine sectors evolve within the next 15 management_documentation/indicator_typology/_EN_1.0_&a=d. years? [2] nights, A.M., Koss, R.S., Papadopoulou, N., Cooper L.H. and L.A. K • Will growing maritime activities potentially conflict with Marine Protected Areas Robinson (2011). Sustainable use of European regional seas and the role of the (MPA)? How can the 10%-target of MPA coverage be achieved by 2020 under such Marine Strategy Framework Directive. Deliverable 1, EC FP7 Project (244273) conditions? ‘Options for Delivering Ecosystem-based Marine Management’. University of • How will the main pressures exerted in the Mediterranean evolve? Are there any Liverpool. ISBN: 978-0-906370-63-6: 165 pp. new pressures anticipated as compared to the existing ones? What are the risks of Available at: http://www.liv.ac.uk/media/livacuk/odemm/docs/ODEMM,Deliverable,1.pdf not achieving Good Environmental Status (GES) as defined by the Marine Strategy Framework Directive (MSFD) by 2020? Assessing evolutions of the interactions between sectors The evolution of the interactions between sectors were analyzed by: • Overlapping the future location of activities when information was available ; • Summarizing through a matrix potential levels of interaction (high, medium, low interactions) and the type of conflicts between sectors (conflicts of use of space, negative impacts, competing interests) Analysis of future maritime sectors development trends versus MPAs and priority areas for conservation Due to the uncertainty of the location of future MPAs in the Mediterranean, we decided to overlap MPAs and priority areas for conservation with the spatial data collected for each sector, to visualize the location of areas with conflicting interests between Blue Growth and conservation priorities. Risks of failing to achieve Good Environmental Status (GES) by 2020 This assessment was based on the results of the ODEMM project (Options for Delivering Ecosystem-Based Marine Management) run between 2010 and 2014 by the University of Liverpool which studied the risk of failing to achieve GES by 2020 in European Seas, including at the Mediterranean regional scale. Additional information based on the assessment of each sector made in Chapter 5 was added to the ODEMM risk assessment. 18 Blue Growth in the Mediterranean Sea: the Challenge of Good Environmental Status 3. Materials and methods 19
CHAPTER 4: THE MEDITERRANEAN SEA, © Michel Gunther WWF-Canon DRIVERS OF CHANGE AND CONSERVATION EFFORTS The Mediterranean Sea is the largest semi-enclosed sea in the world with 46,000 km of coastline. It is connected to the Atlantic Ocean through the narrow Strait of Gibraltar, to the Red Sea by the man-made Suez Canal and to the Black Sea via the Bosphorus Strait. It includes 21 countries and territories from Europe, Africa and the Middle East. A. The Mediterranean, a sea surrounded by land © Aldo Ferrucci The Mediterranean Sea is home to rare and important marine habitats, extensive endemism and a number of critically endangered species. The Mediterranean is recognized as one of the world’s 25 top biodiversity hotspots. Its biodiversity represents between 4% and 18% of the world’s known marine species, in an area covering less than 1% of the world’s oceans[1]. Its coastal rocky reefs and seagrass meadows are particularly important habitats that support enormous biodiversity. Seagrass meadows provide breeding, feeding, and resting areas for numerous marine species, particularly fish, crustaceans, and marine turtles. They produce more than 80% of the annual fish yield of the Mediterranean Sea. They stabilise the seashore, maintaining its water quality in particular through oxygen production, and they contribute to trap CO2. The rocky reef ecosystems provide habitat for several endemic fish species and invertebrates as well as for the monk seal (Monachus monachus). In the pelagic realm, the circulation of Mediterranean currents create a landscape of dynamic and permanent habitats, including sub-basin scale cyclonic and anticyclonic gyres, ocean fronts, upwelling areas, and mesoscale eddies. All these hydrographical structures are associated with various transition domains of particular biological and ecological importance, being breeding and nursery grounds for a wide range of organisms. They are also associated with a high and predictable primary production, making them important foraging areas with high prey aggregation, and with changes in type and abundance of marine organisms. These structures also serve as migration routes for highly mobile species such • Loggerhead turtle swimming in Lagana Bay, Zákinthos, Greece as marine mammals and other top predators[2]. • Mediterranean Coralligenous Assemblage 20 Blue Growth in the Mediterranean Sea: the Challenge of Good Environmental Status 4. The Mediterranean sea, drivers of change and conservation efforts 21
Unique areas of special ecological significance are also found in deep-waters, ©Parc National des Calanques such as cold-seeps, seamounts, coral reefs and brine pools. Other interesting areas recognized for their ecological importance are submarine canyons and the bathyal domain below 1000m depth. Emblematic species of global conservation concern. 19 species of cetaceans can be encountered in the Mediterranean and 8 of them are considered common (the fin whale Balaenoptera physalus, the sperm whale Physeter macrocephalus, the striped dolphin Stenella coeruleoalba, Risso’s dolphin Grampus griseus, the long finned pilot whale Globicephala melas, the bottlenose dolphin Tursiops truncatus, the common dolphin Delphinus delphis, Cuvier’s beaked whale Ziphius cavirostris). Other emblematic species are the endangered Mediterranean monk seal (Monachus monachus), loggerhead sea turtles (Caretta caretta), green sea turtles (Chelonia mydas), and leatherback sea turtles (Dermochelys coriacea).Among fish species, the Atlantic bluefin tuna is with no doubt the iconic fish of the Mediterranean Sea. Marine biodiversity is still very poorly known. Data are lacking to evaluate the conservation status of about one third of the species assessed so far. However, the IUCN’s Red List for the Mediterranean Sea includes a large number of marine species. For instance, sharks are seriously threatened and their decline is much faster in the region than elsewhere. Among marine mammals, six species are now listed as threatened with extinction (Critically Endangered, Endangered and Vulnerable). The most critically endangered of all the Mediterranean resident species (both regionally and globally) is the Mediterranean Monk Seal, Monachus monachus. © Brian J. Skerry National Geographic Stock WWF Emblematic habitats of global conservation concern Mediterranean sensitive habitats include seagrass beds, coralligenous habitats and mäerl beds. Located in shallow waters, sea grass beds is an extraordinary habitat that has been regressing and fragmenting due to various coastal human activities, including marine works, beach nourishment, anchoring, placement of submarine cables and pipelines among others. This affects in return the composition of the benthic communities who live in it. Coralligenous, maerl beds and the species that depend on them are affected by mechanical disturbance, sedimentation increase, species invasion, temperature increase and water degradation. B. Threats to the Mediterranean marine ecosystems In the Mediterranean Sea, marine life is heavily threatened by habitat degradation and biodiversity loss. This is mostly due to human activities, such as fisheries, ship traffic, water pollution, coastal development and offshore oil and gas development. Today, 150 million people live along the Mediterranean coasts of the 21 countries that share the Sea. And millions of tourists visit Mediterranean coasts every year[1]. Table 1 synthesizes the main pressures exerted by human activities on Mediterranean marine ecosystems. • Scopoli’s shearwater • Northern bluefin tuna migration, Mediterranean Sea 22 Blue Growth in the Mediterranean Sea: the Challenge of Good Ecological Status 4. The Mediterranean sea, drivers of change and conservation efforts 23
Table 1. Sectors and their pressures on the Mediterranean marine ecosystems N Activity Sector Main pressures Extraction of Professional fisheries Selective extraction of species living resources Physical damage (changes in siltation, abrasion) Marine litter Recreational fisheries Selective extraction of species Marine aquaculture Inputs of organic matter Introduction of non-indigenous species and translocation Selective extraction of species (juvenile capture) Extraction of Marine mining Physical damage (abrasion, changes in non-living resources siltation) © WWF Energy production Marine renewable energy Sealing, underwater noise 0 250 500 750 SST MAXIMUM. differences expected for the period 2030-2040 vs. 2000-2010 (from a 6-member ensemble scenario simulations - in Celsius degree) km Oil and gas exploration Physical loss (smothering, sealing) Mediterranean EU country and extraction Introduction of other substances, whether < 0,4 0,4 - 0,6 0,6 - 0,8 0,8 - 1 1 - 1,2 1,2 -1,4 1,4 -1,6 No data solid, liquid or gas Source: Météo-France/CNRM-GAME / Adloff F., S. Somot, F. Sevault, G. Jorda, R. Aznar, M. Déqué, M. Herrmann, M. Marcos, C. Dubois, E. Padorno, E. Alvarez-Fanjul, D. Gomis (2015): Mediterranean Sea response to climate change in an ensemble of twenty first century scenarios Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-015-2507-3 Land-based activities Land-based pollution Contamination of hazardous substances sources Nutrient and organic matter enrichment Figure 1. Maximum differences of sea surface temperature between 2000-2010 and Coastal development Physical damage (smothering, sealing) 2030-2040. Introduction of microbial pathogens Ocean acidification is the second significant pressure related to climate change (sewage effluent) (Figure 2). The progressive increase in the acidity of the ocean is caused by the uptake Transport Maritime transport Underwater noise of carbon dioxide (CO2) from the atmosphere and fossil fuel burning that dissolves in and ports (freight and Introduction of non-indigenous species and seawater to alter seawater chemistry. passenger transport) translocations Introduction of synthetic compounds and The Mediterranean Sea acidification is potentially amplified by other environmental non-synthetic compounds stressors such as heat waves and eutrophication. If we continue to emit CO2 at today’s Introduction of microbial pathogens (ship rate, acidity will increase by 30% by 2050 and by 150% by 2100. Acidification can waste disposal) be more pronounced in areas where human impacts, such as agricultural runoff and Tourism Tourism (coastal tourism, Physical damage maritime traffic routing, further alter water chemistry. recreational boating, Introduction of synthetic and non-synthetic cruise tourism) compounds N Introduction of organic matter Underwater noise Introduction of microbial pathogens (ship waste disposal) The Mediterranean Sea is a hotspot for climate change. Sea warming is identified by the European Environment Agency as a key climate-change related pressure on the Mediterranean Sea. A ten year average increase of 0.74°C is expected between 2000-2010 and 2030-2040 at the basin scale. It could reach 1.5°C in the most impacted areas, such as the north of the Balearic Islands (Figure 1)[3]. There is increasing evidence to suggest that many marine ecosystems in the Mediterranean Sea are already affected by rising sea temperature. Fish and plankton are expanding their Spatial distribution of the surface changes between 2001-2010 and 2041-2050 in the mean annual decadal PH geographical distribution further north in response to increasing temperatures. The obtained with the OGSTM-BFM model driven by NEMO-MFS ocean circulation fields (Lazzari, P., Lovato T., Cossarini, G., Solidoro, C., Vichi M.: majority of alien species in the Mediterranean originates from warm waters and the MedSeA project - Deliverable 5.5 [3] ) increasing sea temperature is favouring their rapid spread toward the north and west of the Mediterranean Sea. Mass-mortality events of coralligenous formations have also -0.13 -0.12 -0.11 -0.10 -0.09 -0.08 -0.07 been observed in the Mediterranean Sea over the last 20 years. Figure 2. Spatial distribution of the surface changes between 2001-2010 and 2041-2050 in the mean annual decadal PH 24 Blue Growth in the Mediterranean Sea: the Challenge of Good Environmental Status 4. The Mediterranean sea, drivers of change and conservation efforts 25
In turn, this can be detrimental to several endemic species, including commercially Table 2. Drivers of change per sector important ones, as many shell-forming marine organisms are sensitive to changes in pH and carbonate chemistry. Corals (such as red coral), pteropods (free-swimming Sector Drivers snails), bivalves (such as mussels, oysters and clams), and phytoplankton species fall Exploration and extraction National energy demand, global energy demand, into this group. But other marine organisms are also stressed by the higher CO2 and of oil and gas international oil prices, global oil and gas supply, lower pH and carbonate ion levels associated with ocean acidification. technology development, financial institutions investments Ocean acidification will lead to changes in the number and abundance of marine organisms. Ocean acidification thus represents another stress on marine environments Offshore wind farms National renewable energy demand, EU renewable energy standards, climate change, international oil prices that can endanger the flow of goods and services it provides to marine-dependent communities, such as the provision of shellfish or fisheries resources. Maritime traffic Asia-EU maritime route, opening of the Arctic route, global consumption patterns; freight costs, prices, logistic structures, supply chains, and comparative advantages; global trade in manufactured goods, parts and C. Drivers of changes components; increasing container ship sizes; reduction in the number of carriers per country; tourism development; IMO governance Professional fisheries Climate change, EU population growth and fish demand, A driver is a factor, force or condition, or a fundamental process in society that leads to increased competition for space, EU regulation (CFP a direct impact on the environment through a change in the state of biodiversity and/ reform), GFCM governance or the human footprint [4]. WWF has identified production and natural resource Marine aquaculture EU fish demand, EU policy use, consumption, governance, and global finance systems as the four key global drivers that are critical to determining humanity’s future on this planet. Tourism Global population growth and global increase of living standards, climate change, competing destinations Production: This driver includes the overharvesting of fisheries and wildlife that is often carried out by commercial operators. Production systems globally face Land-based pollution sources EU population growth and regional tourism the challenges of increased food supply chain efficiencies, increased water and development, agricultural activities, manufacturing, energy efficiency, and maximum recycling and recovery. They need to reduce their aquaculture, coastal development, etc. dependence on fossil fuel-based energy systems and greenhouse gas emissions. Coastal development EU population growth, tourism development, attractiveness of coastal areas Consumption: The current system of economic growth is unsustainable because it is based on increasing consumption, combined with a growing human population and poor overall management and governance of natural resources. Many countries and populations already face a number of risks from biodiversity loss, degraded ecosystem © Michel Gunther WWF services and climate change impacts. These risks include food, water and energy scarcity; increased vulnerability to natural disasters; health problems; population movements; and resource-driven conflicts. Governance: The governance systems include laws, treaties, policies, transparency and corporate behaviour and are responsible for the distribution of costs and benefits derived from natural resources use. Global finance systems: Financial institutions play a critical role in addressing the environmental challenges externalities and risks that are not now properly integrated into policies and decision-making processes and regulations. through investments, loans, guaranties, etc. Table 2 identifies how these drivers will affect maritime sectors in the Mediterranean in the future. Coast of Bonifacio in bloom, Mediterranean sea, Corsica, France 26 Blue Growth in the Mediterranean Sea: the Challenge of Good Environmental Status 4. The Mediterranean sea, drivers of change and conservation efforts 27
D. Conservation efforts Considering the lack of protection of the open and deep seas globally, the ninth Meeting of the Conference of the Parties to the Convention on Biological Diversity (COP 9) held in 2008 adopted the scientific criteria for identifying ecologically or biologically significant marine areas (EBSAs) in open-ocean waters and deep-sea Among the strategies identified to reverse the degradation of the world’s oceans, habitats that would require specific protection[6]. EBSAs are special ocean areas that the Convention on Biological Diversity has set the objective of reaching 10% of are essential to the healthy functioning of the ocean and to the delivery of the coastal and marine areas conserved through Marine Protected Areas (MPA) by many services it provides. 15 Mediterranean areas meeting the EBSAs criteria have 2020 (Aichi objective n°11). This might be considered as a minimum for a biodiversity been identified[7] and endorsed in 2014 by the Executive Secretary of the CBD. hotspot like the Mediterranean. According to the 2012 Status of Marine Protected Areas in the Mediterranean Sea published by the MedPAN association, Mediterranean MPAs, including Natura 2000 sites designated under the EU Habitats and Birds CBD scientific criteria for Ecologically or Biologically Significant Directive, covered 1.08% of the Mediterranean Sea in 2012[5]. Areas (EBSAs) Beside, in addition to the decision of prohibiting bottom-trawling activities in 1. Uniqueness or Rarity waters deeper than 1000 taken in 2005 by the General Fisheries Commission for the Mediterranean (GFCM), four Fisheries Restricted Areas (FRAs) were established 2. Special importance for life history stages of species in 2006 and 2009 to ensure the protection of deep sea sensitive habitats. 3. Importance for threatened, endangered or declining species and/or habitats Even though significant efforts have been made in the last few years by Mediterranean 4. Vulnerability, Fragility, Sensitivity, or Slow recovery riparian countries to designate new MPAs, there is still a heterogeneous geographical distribution of MPAs between the southern, eastern and northern shores of the 5. Biological Productivity Mediterranean as illustrated in Figure 3. And MPAs are still located mainly on the 6. Biological Diversity coast, with a high variable representativeness of ecological sub-regions, habitats and 7. Naturalness species. While the ecological coherence of the MPA network has improved in the western part of the Mediterranean Sea, it is still low at the Mediterranean scale. Other international organisations have also identified areas of importance for conservation which are mapped in Figure 4 and which are logically mostly overlapping N with the designated EBSAs. These include: • Priority areas for conservation of cetaceans, as identified under the Agreement on the Conservation of Cetaceans in the Black Sea Mediterranean Sea and Contiguous Atlantic Area (ACCOBAMS)[8]. Today, the Pelagos Sanctuary is the only designated area for the conservation of Mediterranean marine mammals; • Areas of high conservation value for Mediterranean seabirds, as identified by UNEP/MAP RAC/SPA[9]; • Priority areas for the conservation of demersal and pelagic fisheries, as identified by UNEP/MAP RAC/SPA[10]. • Undersea features: the Mediterranean deep sea is host to undersea features such as seamounts, hills, canyons, trenches, banks and mud volcanoes which are home to many species. Some are hotspots of demersal biodiversity. The GEBCO Sub- Committee on Undersea Feature Names (SCUFN) maintains and makes available © WWF a digital gazetteer of the names, generic feature type and geographic position of features on the sea floor[11]. 0 250 500 750 CONSERVATION AREAS km National MPA Fisheries Restricted Area (FRA) Natura 2000 SITE Pelagos Sanctuary Mediterranean EU country Sources: MAPAMED (2014) / GFCM (2006, 2009), National sources collected by WWF (2015) Figure 3. Marine Conservation Areas in the Mediterranean 28 Blue Growth in the Mediterranean Sea: the Challenge of Good Environmental Status 4. The Mediterranean sea, drivers of change and conservation efforts 29
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