Automotive Smart Factories - Putting automotive manufacturers in the digital industrial revolution driving seat - Capgemini
←
→
Page content transcription
If your browser does not render page correctly, please read the page content below
Automotive Smart Factories Putting automotive manufacturers in the digital industrial revolution driving seat Digital By Capgemini Digital Transformation Institute Transformation Institute
Introduction Our 2017 research1 – Smart Factories: How can manufacturers realize the potential of digital industrial revolution – found that the investments that manufacturers are making in smart factories are set to deliver benefits of up to $1,500 billion over the next five years. Investment levels varied widely between industries, but it was notable that automotive was one of the most bullish sectors in this domain. We were keen to understand whether this enthusiasm has led to tangible success. Drawing on the 220+ auto executives we surveyed last year, we surveyed a further 100 executives. Our analysis has some significant findings and implications for the automotive industry: 1. Smart factories could add up to $160 billion annually to the global auto industry as productivity gains by 2023 onwards. 2. The automotive industry is the most enthusiastic about smart factories – it is making larger investments and setting higher targets for its digital manufacturing operations than any other sector. 3. However, few automotive manufacturers have translated this enthusiasm into real progress –42% of smart factory initiatives are struggling and the digital maturity of their manufacturing operations is below par. 4. Those that are making the best progress invest 2.5 times more than the companies that are struggling. Additionally, they are involving their leadership teams, developing their talent, and investing in the right areas. By the “right areas,” we mean those smart factory components that are critical for the future, such as manufacturing intelligence and predictive maintenance. 5. More manufacturers could make a success of this opportunity if they follow in the footsteps of a cohort we call the “digital masters.” This is a group that, in particular, has manufacturing operations functioning at a high level of digital maturity. 2 Automotive Smart Factories
The size of the smart factory prize: $160 billion by 2023 onwards Our analysis reveals that smart factories could add an extra productivity to the value of $160 billion globally, which is $160 billion of productivity gains annually to the global around 7% of total annual industry value.2 automotive industry by 2023 onwards (see Figure 1). • Capgemini believes that as many as 50% of automotive factories have the potential to be smart factories by 2023.3 Based on our survey, automotive industry executives expect In this optimistic scenario, the annual value from smart average productivity growth in smart factories to average 30% factories to the industry reaches $344 billion (15% of by 2023: industry’s global annual revenues as of 2017). • The industry expects to have 24% of its factories as “smart” operations in this time period. This will lead to increased Figure 1. Smart factories are expected to add up to $160 billion to the global auto industry. Scenario based on Factors industry estimates A. Expected productivity gain per factory by 2023 onwards 30% B. Expected number of factories to be smart by 2023 onwards 24% C. Absolute gain on productivity (A x B) 7% D. 2017 industry revenue $2,290 billion E. Estimated productivity gains (C x D) by 2023 onwards $160 billion Source: Capgemini Digital Transformation Institute Smart Factory Survey 2017–18, Capgemini Digital Transformation Institute analysis. Smart factories can help a top-ten global automaker earn an additional $5 billion in operational profit We took a detailed look at the impact of smart factories on average annual revenue of $158 billion (as of 2017) and an the financials of large automotive manufacturers. Our analysis operating margin of 6%: confirms that the auto companies stand to make substantial • In the scenario shown in Figure 2, where the smart factory productivity gains by 2023. This will help them achieve break- adoption rate is expected to be 24% (as per our survey), we even on smart factories within a year of those operations believe that automotive OEMs would be able to increase reaching full potential. their operating profit by up to $4.6 billion – a 50% increase from the current levels. For a top-ten supplier, this gain We have assessed the financial impact of adoption for an would stand at $1 billion. This jump would result from a 30% average automotive Original equipment manufacturer (OEM) productivity gain and 0.5%–7% reduction in operational and an average automotive supplier from the global top ten, costs of logistics, material, and administration owing to based on annual revenue. The top-ten OEM category has an 4 Automotive Smart Factories
smart factories. Reaching this level of benefits will start or 110% growth on the current level of operating profit reflecting by 2023 onwards. for an average top-ten auto OEM. For an average top-ten automotive supplier, the most positive scenario can yield • Our experience, coupled with estimates from the survey, a gain of $2 billion or 85% growth on the current level of suggest that in the most positive scenario the accrued operating profit. benefits would more than double – a gain of $10.1 billion Figure 2. Smart factories will boost the operating profit of an average auto manufacturer in the top-ten category by 50%. Scenario based on industry estimates Factors OEMs Suppliers A. Expected productivity gain per factory (by 2023 onwards) 30% 30% B. Expected number of factories to be smart (by 2023 onwards) 24% 24% C. Absolute gain on productivity (A x B) 7% 7% D. Reduced operational costs in the areas such as logistics, administration, Between 0.5% and 7% Between 0.5% and 7% direct labor, and material as well as revenues E. Operating profit by 2023 onwards (from the current level of $9.5 billion $14.1 billion $3.6 billion for OEMs and $2.6 billion for suppliers) ($4.6 billion or 50% ($1 billion or 38% increase from the increase from the current level) current level) F. Operating Margin by 2023 onwards (from the current level of 6% for 8.3% 10.3% OEMs and 8% for suppliers) (1.4x increase from (1.3x increase from the current level) the current level Source: Capgemini Digital Transformation Institute Smart Factory Survey 2017–18, Capgemini Digital Transformation Institute analysis. A top-ten automaker can achieve break-even within a year of reaching the smart factory’s full potential Having calculated the potential upside from smart factories, smart factory attaining its full potential, for both OEMs and we are able to estimate how long it will take for a top-ten suppliers (see Figure 3). Refer to the Appendix A at the end of OEM and supplier to achieve break-even on its smart factories. the report for more details. Our model predicts achieving break-even within a year of the 50% boost to the operating profit of an average top-ten automotive manufacturer owing to smart factories 5
Figure 3. A top-ten auto manufacturer will achieve break-even of its smart factories within a year of attaining its full potential Smart factory break-even estimation for a global top-ten automotive OEM Approximate number of factories owned by a global top-ten automotive OEM at present 30 Expected share of smart factories by 2023 onwards (from our survey) 24% or 8 Out of which, expected number of Out of which, expected number of greenfield smart factories brownfield smart factories 3 5 Greenfield smart factories set up cost estimate Brownfield smart factories set up cost estimate $3bn–$3.9bn $20mn–$37mn ($1bn–$1.3bn per factory) ($4mn–$7.4mn per factory) Total estimated cost of smart factories set up $3bn–$4bn Break even in 8–11 months after attaining the full potential with $4.6 billion extra annual profit as estimated in the scenario above Smart factory break-even estimation for a global top-ten automotive supplier Approximate number of factories owned by a global top-ten automotive supplier at present 200 Expected share of smart factories by 2023 onwards (from our survey) 24% or 50 Out of which, expected number of Out of which, expected number of greenfield smart factories brownfield smart factories 10 40 Greenfield smart factories set up cost estimate Brownfield smart factories set up cost estimate $500mn–$700mn $40mn–$80mn ($50mn–$70mn per factory) ($1mn–$2mn per factory) Total cost of smart factories set up $540mn–$780mn Break even in 7–9 months after attaining the full potential with $1 billion extra annual profit as estimated in the scenario above Source: Capgemini Digital Transformation Institute Analysis. 7
Automotive—the most bullish sector on smart factories With its eyes on the prize, the auto industry out-invests other sectors The auto industry has grasped the significant potential South Carolina, USA.5 The plant, which is also BMW’s largest of smart factories and has a head start over other sectors production facility in world, started leveraging collaborative in terms of adoption. Nearly half (49%) of automotive robots as early as 2013.6 It will further invest a $600 million organizations have invested $250 million or more in smart at the site between 2018 and 2021.7 factory initiatives over the last five years. As Figure 4 shows, • Faurecia, one of the world’s largest automotive parts this is more than their peers in other manufacturing industries, manufacturers, has multiple smart factories in its stable. where 45% have made similar commitments: Faurecia recently unveiled its $64 million smart factory • Audi invested $1.3 billion in building its smart factory in San in Columbus South, Indiana, USA.8 Faurecia’s Caligny José Chiapa, Mexico.4 The plant is at the cutting edge of smart plant in France is a highly digital, state-of-the-art digital manufacturing capabilities – employing centralized facility, and has been recognized as an “Industry of future production control, smart logistics, and an electronic showcase” from the French Industry of Future Alliance.9 quality process – leading to very high productivity and efficiency levels. • BMW is investing $1 billion in expanding one of its most flexible and automated plants located in Spartanburg, Figure 4. The automotive industry leads all other industries in its share of firms in the highest investment category. Share of firms investing in smart factories, by investment category 49% 45% 19% 19% 18% 17% 17% 15% Less than $50M Between $50–$100M Between $100–$250M Above $250M Auto industry All other manufacturing industries Source: Capgemini Digital Transformation Institute Smart Factory Survey 2017–18. 8 Automotive Smart Factories
Nearly half of auto manufacturers already have a smart factory initiative The automotive industry is a leading adopter of smart 46% of automotive companies already have a smart factory factories – one of the top three sectors across all major initiative. As Figure 5 shows, this puts the sector behind only manufacturing industries that we surveyed. We found that industrial manufacturing (67%) and aerospace (63%). Figure 5. The auto industry has taken big strides in kickstarting smart factory initiatives. Adoption of smart factories by industry 67% 63% 46% 42% 40% 37% 50% 43% 43% 52% 46% 40% 26% 31% 11% 15% 18% 11% 7% 7% 9% Industrial Aerospace Automotive Energy Consumer Life sciences, Global manufacturing and defense and utilities goods biotech, pharma No - but we plan to have a smart factory initiative in the next 3–5 years Yes – it is currently being formulated/work in progress Yes – we have an ongoing smart factory initiative Note: Percentages may not total to 100 due to rounding Source: Capgemini Digital Transformation Institute Smart Factory Survey 2017–18. In France, Germany and the UK, a majority of auto manufacturers plan to catch up with the leading countries manufacturers (63%, 59%, and 56%) have ongoing smart soon, with around 70% formulating strategy for their smart factory initiatives – a considerable lead over the other factory initiatives. countries (see Figure 6). Chinese and Italian automotive 10 Automotive Smart Factories
Figure 6. France and Germany lead other countries in adopting smart factories. Adoption of smart factories in the automotive industry by country 63% 34% 59% 27% 56% 36% 47% 41% France Germany United Kingdom United States 43% 38% 35% 30% 28% 70% 27% 67% India Sweden China Italy Yes – we have an ongoing smart factory initiative Our smart factory initiative is currently being formulated Source: Capgemini Digital Transformation Institute Smart Factory Survey 2017–18. 63% share of automotive firms in France who have a smart factory initiative—the most among all countries 11
Smart factories have the potential to transform the entire from transforming crucial stages of their manufacturing value value chain of the automotive manufacturing, and leading chain (see Figure 7). auto manufacturers around the world have already benefited Figure 7. Automotive manufacturers around the world have embraced smart factories to transform every element of manufacturing value chain. Harley-Davidson’s Magna Styer, one Kuka – a leading Faurecia’s smart smart factory in York of the world’s largest supplier of industrial factory in Columbus, shrunk its fixed, auto suppliers, robots – has connect- Indiana, USA, employs 21-day production produces vehicles ed 60,000 devices to automated material cycle down to six with conventional, record every compo- handling via 30 guided hours and reduced hybrid and electric nent and quality vehicles and has operating costs by powertrains – all on check at its Ohio helped reduce $200 million the same production automotive plant inventory storage line, for 200,000 space by 60 percent vehicles a year Production Inbound Inventory Outbound Production Quality Maintenance Intralogistics Planning Logistics Management Logistics Audi’s smart factory Toyota Transmissions in Mexico is fully overhauled its Durham, North equipped with RFID Carolina, USA facility into a and smart logistics smart factory and recouped which enable a $1 million of the cost in the flexible coordination first nine months owing to of production and maintenance savings supply chain Source: Company websites and press releases. Automotive manufacturers have set more aggressive targets for smart factories than other sectors The auto industry sets more ambitious KPIs than all other outset of our transformation, we had very high expectations and manufacturing industries (see Figure 8). For example, Audi’s targets for our smart factories, and we’re glad to have achieved smart factory in Mexico was inaugurated in 2016 with a target them,” he says. “Right first time and defect reduction through production capacity of 150,000 cars annually.10 It achieved this digital means have helped drastically improve quality – to the target in 2017 – its first full year of operation.11 Plant Head - extent of 50-60%. Upgrading our plants to smart factories has Quality at one of the world’s largest farm automobiles and grown their productivity by 40% overall while inventory has equipment manufacturers outlines how ambitious targets are reduced by up to 35%.” established from the beginning of initiatives. “Right from the 12 Automotive Smart Factories
Figure 8. The auto industries’ targets for smart factories are more aggressive than all other industries. Manufacturers' benefits targets for smart factories - Key KPIs 39% 35% 34% 31% 30% 29% 31% 29% 28% 28% 29% 29% 27% 28% 27% 27% 27% 25% 25% 25% 24% 24% 22% 19% Customer satisfaction/ OEE improvement Productivity gain Capex and inventory OTD improvement Improvements Automotive Industrial manufacturing Energy and utilities Aerospace and defense Life sciences, biotech, pharma Consumer goods Source: Capgemini Digital Transformation Institute Smart Factory Survey 2017–18. As Figure 9 shows, the industry also plans to make about a quarter of its production facilities smart by 2023. This is more than most other manufacturing sectors. Figure 9. The auto industry plans to make about a quarter of its production facilities smart. Share of factories that will become smart as per current plans 26% 24% 23% 20% 19% 18% Industrial Automotive Aerospace Consumer goods Energy and utilities Life sciences, manufacturing and defense biotech, pharma Source: Capgemini Digital Transformation Institute Smart Factory Survey 2017–18. 13
Few auto manufacturers have translated their enthusiasm into real progress Automotive smart factory initiatives are struggling Many automotive manufacturers accept that they are not on across all the manufacturing sectors that we studied during track to realize the full potential of smart factories. When our previous research last year (see Figure 10). Nearly half we asked survey respondents to evaluate their smart factory (45%) of suppliers’ and 40% of OEMs’ smart factory initiatives initiatives, 42% said they were struggling. This is the highest are struggling. Figure 10. The automotive industry has the highest share of struggling smart factory initiatives. Share of smart factory initiatives that are struggling, by industry 45% 42% 40% 40% 39% 38% 36% 28% 26% Automotive Automotive Automotive Life sciences, Consumer Energy and Aerospace Industrial Global suppliers OEMs biotech, goods utilities and defense manufacturing pharma Source: Capgemini Digital Transformation Institute Smart Factory Survey 2017–18. 14 Automotive Smart Factories
15
This gap between the industry’s enthusiasm and its lack of from strategy to implementation (see Figure 11). At the progress could reflect the industry’s high expectations for strategy stage, lack of coordination is the key barrier. At the its smart factory initiatives (see page 13). We also looked at implementation stage, it is lack of investment. some of the specific challenges they face at different stages, Figure 11. Lack of coordination, business case and investments are the most-cited challenges in smart factory adoption. Top-three implementation challenges 29% 27% 25% Lack of maturity Lack of talent in lean shop Lack of investment /capabilities in floor automation new technologies processes Top-three strategy formulation challenges 32% 30% 29% Lack of Lack of a clear Lack of leadership coordination among business case commitment organizational units Source: Capgemini Digital Transformation Institute Smart Factory Survey 2017–18. Laggards can learn from their peers A closer look at the initiatives of those who are making factories compared to 55% of those who are making progress and those who are struggling reveals a few intriguing good progress. For Dr. Gunter Beitinger, vice president of differences: manufacturing at Siemens Digital Factory, a strong vision is critical: “One common reason why some companies struggle in • Companies that are making good progress invest 2.5 times their smart- factory initiative is that their vision of smart factory more than the companies that are struggling (see Figure is more technology oriented than business oriented,” he says. 12). This could reflect the fact that struggling companies “Those companies also often underestimate the effort and lack a compelling and strong vision. Only 34% of struggling investment required to achieve their smart factory vision.” companies agree with the disruptive power of smart 16 Automotive Smart Factories
Figure 12. Auto manufacturers making good progress on smart factories invest 2.5 times more than strugglers. Total investment made on smart factory initiative (in million $) Organizations making good progress 926 Struggling organizations 380 Source: Capgemini Digital Transformation Institute Smart Factory Survey 2017–18. • Those making good progress are also leveraging software- maintenance. As Figure 13 shows, the struggling driven components that better prepare the organization manufacturers are putting more focus on hardware-based for the future. These include advanced analytics and components and are lagging on the software-based ones. AI-based components, such as predictive and preventive Figure 13. Auto manufacturers making good progress on smart factories have been building up their software as well as hardware prowess. Smart factory components adoption by organization category 58% 43% 41% 40% 38% 35% 37% 34% 35% 34% 33% 32% 31% 27% Manufacturing Predictive and Decentralized Smart Automated Track and Smart intelligence preventive production forecasting, material trace automation and maintenance control planning and handling and collaborative scheduling automated robots logistics Software-based components Hardware-based components Organizations making good progress Struggling organizations Software-based components involve extensive levels of data collection, processing, and analysis enabled by sophisticated software capabilities such as predictive analytics and artificial intelligence. Hardware-based components involve incremental upgrades to mechanical systems or automation of manual processes using hardware technologies such as automated material handling, and track tracking and trace. Although these components require some amount of data collection, the amount of processing and analysis needed is not very sophisticated or complex. Source: Capgemini Digital Transformation Institute Smart Factory Survey 2017–18. 17
• Organizations making good progress are also managing their transformation better from a people and leadership standpoint. As Figure 14 shows, high-performing organizations are investing in building digital skills through acquisition and talent development while also keeping leadership involved in smart factory initiatives. Figure 14. Organizations making good progress on smart factories are managing their transformation better from a peoples’ viewpoint. Comparison of transformation management aspects (share of organizations) 65% 60% 50% 47% 43% 38% 32% 10% Leadership involvement Upskilling the Digital talent acquisition Investment in digital existing employess skill development Organizations making good progress Struggling organizations Source: Capgemini Digital Transformation Institute Smart Factory Survey 2017–18. 65% vs. 47% Share of firms with leadership involvement in smart factories among companies making good progress on smart factories vs. struggling organizations 18 Automotive Smart Factories
Automotive OEMs outperform suppliers in smart factory adoption It’s OEMs that are setting the pace in the auto industry when it that of their OEM counterparts (40%). If this trend continues comes to smart factory adoption. Nearly half (46%) have been for a few years, it could lead to a rift between the suppliers successful in their smart factory initiatives, compared to less and OEMs, jeopardizing potential benefits to the industry as than a third of suppliers (32%). The share of suppliers that are a whole. struggling (45%) in their smart factory initiatives also exceeds Distribution of firms making good progress on smart factories vs. struggling ones, by sub-sector 46% 45% 40% 32% OEM Suppliers Organizations making good progress Struggling organizations Source: Capgemini Digital Transformation Institute Smart Factory Survey 2017–18. OEMs’ greater success is thanks in part to large investments. OEMs have much larger average revenues, the quantum of OEMs have invested more in smart factory initiatives and investments they have been making and plan to make in smart plan to invest more over the next five years. Given that the factories far outstrips that of suppliers. 42% vs. 32% share of OEMs who are making good progress on smart factories vs. share of their suppliers counterparts 19
Smart factories investments comparison (percentage of revenue) 8.3% 7.3% 6.4% 5.6% Invested in smart factory initiatives To be invested in smart factory initiatives in the last five years in the next five years OEMs Suppliers Source: Capgemini Digital Transformation Institute Smart Factory Survey 2017–18. OEMs also outperform their suppliers in digitization of their key manufacturing processes. Level of digitization of key manufacturing processes 43% 40% 38% 34% 36% 34% 29% 28% 25% 21% Energy Maintenance Inventory Production Transportation consumption management management management OEMs Suppliers Source: Capgemini Digital Transformation Institute Smart Factory Survey 2017–18. If suppliers fall behind in their smart factory projects, the firms turn their factories into smart factories through financial entire industry will feel the shortfall. For example, if suppliers support totaling 30.4 billion Won over seven years.12 fail to use smart factories to drive quality, the OEMs will have to compensate by increasing parts’ inspections. This would Volvo Group has established a pilot plant in Umeå which offers mean diverting resources and investment that could have a pre-commercial production system that can produce new been used to improve output at their own smart factory. high-tech products in small volumes. In this pilot plant, they aim to bring together university talent and suppliers to share Leading OEMs and suppliers realize this and adopt a knowledge and address the new skills needed.13 collaborative approach to mitigate this sort of impact. Hyundai, for instance, has helped 1,450 small and mid-sized 20 Automotive Smart Factories
The smart factory success formula As we saw in our previous study on smart factories,14 it is Below, we explore how each of the three categories can the digital maturity15 of manufacturers that holds the key to graduate to become “digital masters.”15 By “masters,” we achieving full potential. In this study, manufacturers fell into mean organizations that have digitally mature manufacturing three categories: operations and that consistently achieve greater operational gains and financial benefits (see Figure 15). 1. Struggling 2. Early stage 3. Making good progress. Figure 15. Auto manufacturers’ road to digital mastery. Incorporate smart factory features adopted by digital masters Adopt a standard set of KPIs to Adopt an effective governance model monitor progress Secure a digital talent pool to Nurture start-ups and launch industrialize smart factory initiatives innovation centers Go for end-to-end digital transformation rather than point Develop a smart factory vision aligned solutions with the organization's strategic goals Identify the appropriate smart factory features and technologies to maximize benefits Organizations making good Ensure sufficient investment to realize progress smart factory vision “Early-stage” organizations ry aste Struggling it al m organizations s dig ward To Source: Capgemini Digital Transformation Institute Analysis. 21
Strugglers need a clear vision, strong investment, and a focus on the features utilized 1. by digital masters Develop a smart factory vision aligned with the Roadmap definition and business case analysis are effective organization’s strategic goals means of identifying the appropriate features and technologies. Lack of vision is significant. About two-third of “struggling” organizations admit that they do not have a clear vision for Ensure sufficient investment to realize the smart their smart factories. This means they underestimate key factory vision elements, such as the disruptive power of smart factories or the continuous investment required. Struggling organizations need to ensure that their smart factory initiatives are not suffering from lack of investment. The most effective way to develop a clear vision is to tie Digital masters have invested more than $1 billion on average it to the strategic goals of the organization. For instance, over the last five years, compared to the average $380 million Faurecia, a leading global automotive supplier, has identified investments made by struggling organizations. five strategic initiatives – paperless shop floors, machine intelligence, enhanced automation, improved traceability, As we saw earlier in this section, this investment gap between and logistic optimization – to develop their vision of smart digital masters and struggling companies can be traced to factory.16 the lack of clarity over a vision and a failure to find compelling business cases. Identify the appropriate smart factory features and digital technologies to maximize the smart factory Grégoire Ferré, chief digital officer at Faurecia, outlines benefits how using a pilot project can demonstrate potential value- add. “Initially, we had funding from the Group to build the core In addition to lack of vision, struggling companies often fail to elements and standards as well as to launch pilot programs to identify the smart factory features and technologies used by demonstrate the values of the initiatives,” he explains. “Once digital masters. the value is demonstrated by pilot projects, then the plants, the business units, and the users pay for what they would like to For example, manufacturing analytics and predictive implement.” 17 maintenance are two of the most crucial features of smart factories, helping improve quality, cost, and productivity performance. Our survey finds that more than 80% of digital masters leverage manufacturing analytics, and about two- thirds implement predictive maintenance. However, only about 30% of the struggling companies say that they would implement predictive maintenance, and less than 40% say the same for manufacturing analytics. 22 Automotive Smart Factories
2. Early stagers need to focus on governance and talent Adopt an effective governance model by appointing Our survey data tells us that a lack of digital skills can become a leader and forming a decision-making committee a major hindrance. Fewer than 20% of early-stage companies believe that they have adequate skills in areas such as cyber- Auto manufacturers that are at an early stage of their smart physical systems and data and analytics. But 50% of digital factory initiative are doing better on several fronts – such as masters do. developing a smart factory vision and identifying crucial smart factory features – than the companies that are struggling. Our study also reveals that the majority (about 60%) of the early stagers depend on upskilling their existing talent pool. However, governance is one area where they need to While this is important to develop employees, fresh blood is significantly improve. Effective governance starts with also critical for what are very specialized areas. Our survey appointing a leader as well as forming a committee to shows that almost every digital master uses both external guide decision-making and to prioritize actions. As a senior hiring as well as upskilling. vice president at one of the largest global automotive manufacturers told us: “You have to nominate one person for the Go for end-to-end digital transformation rather smart factory initiatives. He then has to coordinate with different than point solutions units of the organization to figure out the next steps and what the best strategy would be.” Early-stage organizations are more likely to go for point technology solutions, such as collaborative-robots and smart From our survey data, we found that almost 100% of digital displays, than end-to-end transformation of manufacturing masters have appointed a leader for their smart factory operations (see Figure 3, earlier). In our survey, 66% of early strategy and formed a decision-making committee. However, stagers said that they were implementing point technology more than half of the automotive companies with early stage solutions, while only 32% respondents opted for end-to-end smart factory projects are yet to do the same. digital transformation. Build a talent pool to industrialize smart factory However, the full potential of smart factories can only be initiatives achieved when all the key areas of manufacturing leverage digital technologies. For instance, the improved productivity Success for early stage companies depends largely on how provided by cobots might get offset if quality control effectively they can scale up their initiatives from pilot procedures use out-of-date mechanisms. runs to industrial level. Scaling up requires employees with digital skills. 23
3. Organizations making good progress must follow the example of the digital masters Emulate the key features of digital masters Using a standard set of KPIs is another important factor in monitoring the progress. This is because progress data needs Companies that are making good progress are more likely to to be interpreted correctly across different organizational have implemented major capabilities, such as manufacturing units. We found that only about 50% of companies making analytics and smart forecasting, than companies from the good progress use a standard set of KPIs – a practice that all other two categories. However, our survey shows that digital masters follow. many are not exploring some features that are commonly implemented by digital masters. Nurture start-ups and launch innovation centers Smart energy consumption and enterprise asset management Because of its focus on standardized work procedure, are two examples. These features, which have been economies of scale, and capital-intensiveness, the traditional implemented by more than 60% of digital masters, can be automotive manufacturing industry is not always as agile crucial to bringing down operation and maintenance costs. as digital technologies demand. Companies making good However, for organizations making good progress: progress need to have a platform to pilot digital solutions without disrupting day-to-day operations. According to a • Only 38% have implemented smart energy consumption VP of manufacturing coordination and investment planning • Only 18% have implemented enterprise asset management. who spoke to us, managers and employees also need to have a digital-first mindset to work effectively in a smart factory Vice President of manufacturing coordination and investment environment. “This is a special mindset,” he says. “You must planning at one of the largest, Germany-based automotive really welcome what is new, and it needs a new thinking on how suppliers, thinks that companies that have already made you drive your manufacturing and deal with the cost and result good progress in smart factory implementation should aim pressure.” for all the benefits that digital technologies can offer to a manufacturer. During a recent interview with us, he remarked: Partnership with start-ups, or launching innovation centers, “Our plant in Thailand has all the groundbreaking digital can help achieve these goals. Emerging digital solutions technologies. This is not because we wanted to build an exemplary can be tested in the facilities of start-ups or innovation smart factory, rather we wanted to reap all the benefits that centers. At the same time, team-members from start-ups and latest technologies could offer us. We are going to take the same innovation centers can introduce and encourage a more digital approach while building any new factory in the coming days.” first-mindset. Adopt a standard set of KPIs to monitor progress Daimler has opened four innovation centers, called “Lab1886,” against business cases in four different cities – Berlin, Stuttgart, Beijing, and Sunnyvale. Their objective is to provide employees with a Companies that are making good progress need to ensure that platform to test their ideas and industrialize them quickly.18 their progress eventually gets translated into the target return on investment (ROI) measures. Careful monitoring is essential. However, we find that only 56% of the companies making good progress actively track benefits against business cases – a practice followed by 100% of digital masters. 24 Automotive Smart Factories
Conclusion The auto industry stands to massively boost its productivity through smart factories – a shot in the arm for an industry striving for growth. And the significant investment required for smart factories can be recouped in reasonable time. But even with this clear benefits case, and significant enthusiasm in the industry, success has eluded many. By emulating the habits of the digital masters, and focusing on driving digital maturity, the industry can put itself firmly in the driving seat of the digital industrial revolution. 25
Appendix A Smart factory break-even estimation for automotive OEMs and suppliers A typical automotive OEM in the top-ten category has nearly case of greenfield plants, led us to estimate that the total 30 manufacturing plants globally. Our research shows that investment for an OEM in smart plants will be in the range of nearly 24% of the plants of an auto manufacturer will be $3–4 billion. Given the potential upside for a top-ten OEM in smart plants by 2023 onwards. This estimate, coupled with an operating profit from smart factories is $4.6 billion, it leads estimate of the share of smart plants that will be greenfield us to conclude that the investments in smart factories will vs. brownfield, allowed us to predict that three of the smart be recouped in 8–11 months once the smart factories of the plants will be established as greenfield while five will be organization are at full potential of operation. For a top-ten brownfield. supplier, a similar analysis shows that the break-even can be achieved even sooner – in a matter of 7–9 months of achieving Further, we calculated the approximate investment that goes the full potential. into setting up a smart factory considering digital components only, which came to $20–37 million. This investment, coupled with the non-digital investment that would be necessary in 26 Automotive Smart Factories
Appendix B Digital maturity matrix of manufacturing operations We assessed the digital maturity of manufacturing operations This assessment segments organizations into four groups, in various sectors. We did this by using the digital maturity ranging from “beginners” to “digital masters.” Our previous matrix that we introduced in our previous, cross-industry research also demonstrated that greater digital maturity research published last year. The matrix assesses how far yields greater benefits. Those who are classified as “digital the digitization of manufacturing has progressed (on the masters” outpace all other categories in terms of benefits digital intensity axis) vis-à-vis how well the transformation realized from smart factories. is being managed via vision, governance, and skills to drive benefits. See the table below for detailed definitions of these two dimensions. 1 Digital Intensity—the “what” Illustration How far essential processes (production, inventory, Siemens’ plant in Amberg, Germany is a highly automated management, quality, planning and forecasting) have been facility, with machines and computer handling 75% of the digitized and how much use is made of digital technologies value chain on their own*. The factory manufactures 12 million such as robotics, internet of things, artificial intelligence, big products of the Siemens’ Simatic product line per year at a data analytics, etc. quality of 99.99885 percent. 2 Transformation Management Intensity—the “how” Illustration How well the transformation is being managed to drive Grégoire Ferré, Chief Digital Officer, Faurecia: “Our digital benefits, including key aspects such as the manufacturer’s transformation program runs in parallel across five streams— smart factory vision, governance, and the digital skills of its Operations, R&D, Sales & Programs, HR & Communications and workforce. Purchasing. This ensures that key processes supporting smart plans are developing together and benefitting from each other. In the initial phase of transformation, we identified areas that needed digitization and launched a number of pilots. In the current phase, we are digitizing and industrializing the tools developed earlier. These will become standards that will drive future stages of transformation”. *Siemens, “Digital Factory – Defects: A Vanishing Species”, October 2014 27
Our research shows that 85% of automotive players are digital beginners, and only 4% are digital masters (see figure below). Figure. Large differences exist in the digital maturity of different automotive manufacturer categories. Automotive industry–digital maturity of manufacturing High Fashionistas 6% Digital Masters 4% Digital Intensity Low Beginners 85% Conservatives 5% Low Transformation Management Intensity High Source: Capgemini Digital Transformation Institute Smart Factory Survey 2017–18, Capgemini Digital Transformation Institute Analysis. Digital Maturity Framework adapted from: Andrew McAfee, Didier Bonnet, and George Westerman, “Leading Digital: Turning Technology into Business Transformation,” 2014. Only 4% of automotive manufacturers are digital masters 28 Automotive Smart Factories
Digital Masters Outperform Other Categories in Reaping Financial Benefits In our previous research on smart factories, we demonstrated Over the past five years, the compound annual growth rate that digital masters will realize greater operational benefits (CAGR) of operational profits of digital masters is higher than than beginners. In this research, we took a step further any other category and six percentage points higher than and analyzed the financial performance of automotive of beginners. manufacturers belonging to different categories of the digital maturity matrix of manufacturing operations. We found that In addition to operational profit, we found that digital masters the operational profit – one of the most crucial financial key outperform other categories in terms of share price growth performance indicators (KPIs) for an automotive manufacturer (CAGR) over the last five years. – has been the strongest for digital masters (see figure below). Figure. Digital masters’ financial performance has been stronger than that of their peers in the last five years. CAGR of operational profit over the last 5 years 19.6% 18.8% 15.9% 13.4% Digital Masters Conservatives Fashionistas Beginners CAGR of share price over the last 5 years 19.7% 18.4% 16.7% 10.5% Digital Masters Conservatives Fashionistas Beginners Source: Capgemini Digital Transformation Institute Smart Factory Survey 2017–18, Capgemini Digital Transformation Institute Analysis. 29
Research methodology Quantitative survey: We surveyed 223 automotive executives in 2017 as part of associated with their organizations’ smart factory initiative. our “Smart Factories: How can manufacturers realize the The survey covered executives from eight countries – China, potential of digital industrial revolution” research. This year, France, Germany, India, Italy, Sweden, the United Kingdom, we have surveyed a further 103 executives from automotive and the United States. The survey sample is evenly distributed industry. These executives were drawn from director-level between OEMs and suppliers, each having $1 billion or more in or above, from a diverse set of functions, and were closely annual revenues. See the charts below for more details. Distribution of survey responses across geographies 31% 12% 12% 13% 11% 9% 6% 6% China France Germany India Italy Sweden United Kingdom United States Distribution of survey responses across revenue categories 26% 23% 20% 17% 7% 7% More than $20 billion $10 billion $5 billion $2 billion $1 billion $50 billion –$50 billion –$20 billion –$10 billion –$5 billion –$2 billion Distribution of survey responses across job functions Distribution of survey responses across industry sub-sector Quality Control Finance Suppliers 3% 12% IT/Technology 51% 9% Production 28% Maintenance and support 5% 1% Procurement 42% 49% Operations OEMs Focus interviews: In addition to the quantitative survey, we held in-depth organizations’ vision, objectives, and approach of smart discussions with eight senior-level executives from leading factory projects. automotive companies across the world to understand their 30 Automotive Smart Factories
References 1. Capgemini, “Smart Factories: How can manufacturers realize the potential of digital industrial revolution,” May 2017. 2. This is a realistic estimate considering that the present estimated global revenue of the automotive industry is US $2,290 billion (2017), and it has been growing at 2% CAGR for the last three financial years. This is equivalent to an overall growth of 10.4% over five years. 3. A sizeable share (11%) of automotive companies target to have 50% or more of their plants as smart factories. 4. Audi USA, “Press Release: Audi AG opens automobile plant in Mexico,” September 2016. 5. Automotive News, “Largest BMW plant will expand this year,” March 2016. 6. roboticsandautomationnews.com,“bmw-shows-off-its-smart-factory-technologies-at-its-plants-worldwide,” March 2017. 7. BMW, “Success story: BMW Group Plant Spartanburg in the US becomes largest production location within 25 years,” June 2017. 8. Faurecia, “Faurecia inaugurates new digital factory for emissions control technologies in South Columbus, Indiana,” October 2016. 9. Faurecia, “FAURECIA’S CALIGNY SITE IDENTIFIED AS INDUSTRY OF FUTURE SHOWCASE,” November 2017. 10. Automotive news, “Audi opens Mexico plant to build Q5,” September 2016. 11. Audi Media Center, “Audi at the San José Chiapa production site,” March 2018. 12. Businesskorea.co.kr,”Hyundai motor group strengthens smart factory system,” October 2016. 13. Volvogroup.com, “pilot-plant-a-meeting-place-for-technology,” January 2018. 14. Capgemini Digital Transformation Institute, “Smart factories: How can manufacturers realize the potential of digital industrial revolution,” May 2017. 15. We measure the digital maturity of manufacturing operations along two dimensions – “digital intensity” or the “what” and “transformation management intensity” or the “how.” The companies that have made good progress along both dimensions are digitally mature and called “digital masters.” Please refer to the Appendix B at the end of the report for more details. 16. Capgemini.com, “Digital Leadership Series – Faurecia,” November 2017. 17. Capgemini.com, “Digital Leadership Series – Faurecia,” November 2017. 18. www.daimler.com, “lab1886-ten-years-of-business-innovation,” September 2017. 31
About the Authors Nick Gill Ralph Schneider-Maul Executive Vice President, Vice President - Head of Supply Chain Global Automotive Sector, Capgemini Management nick.gill@capgemini.com ralph.schneider-maul@capgemini.com Nick is the Chairman of Automotive Council at With more than 20 years of consulting Capgemini, and has over 25 years of process and experience in all areas of supply chain technology consulting experience, working with management, Ralph has been dedicated to and for manufacturing companies around the digitization in supply chain management and globe. He is responsible for managing the global the performance enhancement of corporate portfolio of clients across Automotive OEMs, logistics and production for years. Automotive suppliers, and dealerships. Jerome Buvat Amol Khadikar Global Head of Research and Head, Manager, Capgemini Digital Transformation Capgemini Digital Transformation Institute Institute Jerome.buvat@capgemini.com amol.khadikar@capgemini.com Jerome is head of Capgemini’s Digital Amol is a manager at the Digital Transformation Transformation Institute. He works closely Institute. He keenly follows the role played by with industry leaders and academics to help mobile, software and data science in digitally organizations understand the nature and impact transforming organizations. of digital disruptions. Aritra Ghosh Senior Consultant, Capgemini Digital Transformation Institute aritra.ghosh@capgemini.com Aritra is a senior consultant at Capgemini’s Digital Transformation Institute. He likes to follow how emerging digital technologies are commercialized and what disruptions across industries they bring in. The authors would like to especially thank Subrahmanyam KVJ, Kunal Kar, Shahul Nath, and Ramya Puttur from Capgemini Digital Transformation Institute for their contribution to this report. The authors would also like to thank Gunnar Ebner from Capgemini Consulting Germany, Eric Grumblatt and Laurent Perea from Capgemini Consulting France, Daniel Granlycke from Capgemini Consulting Sweden, Anthony Cabioch from Capgemini France and Monika Hespe from Capgemini Group Marketing and Communications. The Digital Transformation Institute The Digital Transformation Institute is Capgemini’s in-house think-tank on all things digital. The Institute publishes research on the impact of digital technologies on large traditional Digital businesses. The team draws on the worldwide network of Capgemini experts and works closely with academic and technology partners. The Institute has dedicated research centers in the Transformation Institute United Kingdom, United States and India. dti.in@capgemini.com 32 Automotive Smart Factories
Discover more about our recent research on digital transformation Unlocking the business value of IoT in Digital Transformation Review 11: Turning AI into concrete value: the operations Artificial Intelligence Decoded successful implementers’ toolkit Smart Factories: How can The Digital Utility Plant: Unlocking Going Big: Why Companies Need to manufacturers realize the potential value from the digitization of Focus on Operational Analytics of digital industrial revolution production The Digital Culture Challenge: The Discipline of Innovation The Digital Talent Gap—Are Closing the Employee-Leadership Companies Doing Enough? Gap 33
For more information, please contact: Global Nick Gill nick.gill@capgemini.com China France Germany Wilson Chu Cédric Nouvellet Henrik Ljungström yan.chu@capgemini.com cedric.nouvellet@capgemini.com henrik.ljungstroem@capgemini.com India Italy Sweden Ajinkya Apte Domenico Cipollone Stephan Hedborg ajinkya.apte@capgemini.com domenico.cipollone@capgemini.com stephan.hedborg@capgemini.com United States Mike Hessler michael.hessler@capgemini.com 34 Automotive Smart Factories
35
About Capgemini A global leader in consulting, technology services and digital transformation, Capgemini is at the forefront of innovation to address the entire breadth of clients’ opportunities in the evolving world of cloud, digital and platforms. Building on its strong 50-year heritage and deep industry-specific expertise, Capgemini enables organizations to realize their business ambitions through an array of services from strategy to operations. Capgemini is driven by the conviction that the business value of technology comes from and through people. It is a multicultural company of 200,000 team members in over 40 countries. The Group reported 2017 global revenues of EUR 12.8 billion. Learn more about us at www.capgemini.com This message is intended only for the person to whom it is addressed. If you are not the intended recipient, you are not authorized to read, print, retain, copy, disseminate, distribute, or use this message or any part thereof. If you receive this message in error, please notify the sender immediately and delete all copies of this message. The information contained in this document is proprietary. ©2018 Capgemini. All rights reserved. Rightshore® is a trademark belonging to Capgemini.
You can also read