Asian Development Bank Institute Three-Year Rolling Work Program, 2021-2023 and Budget for 2021
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November 2020 Asian Development Bank Institute Three-Year Rolling Work Program, 2021–2023 and Budget for 2021 Distribution of this document is restricted until it has been approved by the Board of Directors. Following such approval, ADB will disclose the document to the public in accordance with ADB’s Access to Information Policy.
ABBREVIATIONS ADB – Asian Development Bank ADBI – Asian Development Bank Institute APEC – Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation ASEAN – Association of Southeast Asian Nations BMGF – Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation CBT – capacity building and training CAREC – Central Asia Regional Economic Cooperation COVID-19 – coronavirus disease DMC – developing member country DFI – development finance institution ESG – environment, social and governance fintech – financial technology G20 – Group of Twenty HTHT – high-tech high touch HVP – high-value agricultural product IT – information technology ICHARM – International Centre for Water Hazard and Risk Management MSME – micro, small, and medium-sized enterprise OECD – Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development PRC – People’s Republic of China SME – small and medium-sized enterprise SIDS – small island developing state SDG – Sustainable Development Goal T20 – Think 20 TTCSP – Think Tanks and Civil Societies Program US – United States U20 – Urban 20 NOTE In this report, “$” refers to United States dollars unless otherwise stated.
Dean Tetsushi Sonobe, Asian Development Bank Institute (ADBI) Deputy Dean Chul Ju Kim, ADBI Director Katsuyuki Meguro, Administration, Management and Coordination (AMC), ADBI Team members Linda Arthur, Senior Capacity Building and Training Specialist, ADBI David Hendrickson, Communications Specialist, AMC, ADBI Fernando Ildefonso, Web Development Consultant, AMC, ADBI Adam Majoe, Publications and Brand Consultant, ADBI Peter Morgan, Senior Consulting Economist, Vice Chair, Research, ADBI Shiro Oda, Senior Administrative Officer, AMC, ADBI Arlyn Orong, Senior Strategy and Policy Assistant, Strategy, Policy and Partnerships Department, ADB Grant Stillman, Legal Adviser and Senior Administrative Officer, AMC, ADBI In preparing any country program or strategy, financing any project, or by making any designation of or reference to a particular territory or geographic area in this document, the Asian Development Bank does not intend to make any judgments as to the legal or other status of any territory or area.
CONTENTS Page I. INTRODUCTION 1 II. ASIAN DEVELOPMENT BANK INSTITUTE’S VISION 1 III. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES AND DIRECTIONS 1 IV. ROLLING WORK PROGRAM FOR 2021–2023 3 A. Research 3 B. Capacity Building and Training 9 C. Integrated Programming 14 D. Outreach and Knowledge Dissemination 15 V. STAFFING AND BUDGET FRAMEWORK 17 A. Staffing 17 B. Budget Framework 18 VI. RECOMMENDATION 21 APPENDIXES 1. Asian Development Bank Institute Activities in 2020 22 2. Asian Development Bank Institute Partners in 2020 44 3. Selected Capacity Building and Training Activities, 2021–2023 47 4. Asian Development Bank Institute Publications, November 2019– November 2020 55 5. Asian Development Bank Institute Financial Statement 70
I. INTRODUCTION 1. Pursuant to Article V(3)(a) of the Statute of the Asian Development Bank Institute (ADBI), this paper presents the 3-year rolling work program for 2021–2023. 2. ADBI’s institutional strategic focus is aligned with Strategy 2030 of the Asian Development Bank (ADB) and related implementation activities.1 Strategy 2030 is an important driver in the selection of ADBI activities during the 3-year rolling work program for 2021–2023. II. ASIAN DEVELOPMENT BANK INSTITUTE’S VISION 3. ADBI’s vision is to be an innovative center of excellence for the creation and dissemination of timely, innovative, evidence-based knowledge to support policy design and implementation by developing and emerging economies that further contributes to achieving a prosperous, inclusive, resilient, and sustainable Asia and the Pacific. The institute does this through the seamless integration of research, capacity building and training (CBT), and outreach focused on regional stakeholders. In the spirit of One ADB, ADBI will also contribute to ADB’s overall mission and operational priorities in line with Strategy 2030. This vision will promote ADBI’s reputation as a leading regional and global think tank, as affirmed in January 2020, when ADBI was for the first time ranked as the world’s top government-affiliated think tank by the 2019 Global Go To Think Tank Index Report published by the University of Pennsylvania.2 ADBI also moved up one position to 24th in the report’s ranking of top think tanks worldwide. III. STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES AND DIRECTIONS 4. The objectives of ADBI are to identify effective development strategies and to improve the capacity for sound development among the agencies and organizations engaged in development work in ADB’s developing member countries (DMCs).3 ADBI will continue to heighten its visibility, accessibility, and impact through high-quality knowledge products and services that offer timely and relevant insights and guidance for policy makers, experts, and other stakeholders. 5. To achieve ADBI’s objectives, the institute will pursue strategic directions that leverage its nimbleness and flexibility as ADB’s think tank and address new challenges posed by the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic. These directions consist of a policy-oriented and demand-driven approach, efforts to further strengthen the quality and coordination of the institute’s work, adaptive communications and outreach, a One ADB approach, robust international cooperation and global outreach, digitalization of ADBI operations, and greater gender and geographic inclusion, the details of which are described in the following paragraphs. 6. ADBI will continue to prioritize important new and emerging policy issues and ideas for development, such as the policy implications of the COVID-19 pandemic. It will emphasize demand-driven policy research and CBT activities that address the evolving and increasingly knowledge-based development needs of countries in Asia and the Pacific, taking into account the varying stages of development across DMCs and incorporating inputs from DMC governments and other institutions on topics of interest. 1 ADB. 2019. Strategy 2030: Achieving a Prosperous, Inclusive, Resilient, and Sustainable Asia and the Pacific. Manila. Appendix 1 lists 2020 ADBI activities in line with Strategy 2030 operational priorities. 2 J. McGann. 2020. 2019 Global Go To Think Tank Index Report. TTCSP Global Go To Think Tank Index Report. No. 17. Philadelphia: University of Pennsylvania, Think Tanks and Civil Societies Program. https://repository.upenn.edu/think_tanks/17/. 3 ADBI. 2018. Article II. Statute of the ADB Institute. Tokyo.
2 7. The institute will further improve the quality and coordination of its research outputs and CBT programs, in line with the ADBI results framework, by concentrating on timely policy innovation and implementation support and continuing to strengthen its impartial peer-review process and feedback mechanisms.4 To maximize the value of its CBT activities, ADBI will conduct regular post-event surveys and jointly organize CBT events with institutional partners. 8. ADBI will build on the progress of efforts to raise the profile and impact of its research, CBT activities, and brand as a leading regional and global think tank, bolstered by complementary communications and outreach measures for the COVID-19 era. These measures will further harness digital tools and channels to strengthen the production, delivery, promotion, and reception of ADBI knowledge products and services to help accelerate breakthrough development solutions and outcomes in DMCs. 9. Pursuant to the One ADB approach, ADBI will continue to (i) jointly conduct a large share of its research and CBT programs with counterparts from ADB headquarters and country offices; (ii) leverage its nimbleness, flexibility, and network with universities and other think tanks to contribute to ADB operations and country knowledge programming and building institutional capacity, consistent with the ADB Knowledge Management Action Plan; (iii) share knowledge products with ADB repositories and portals; and (iv) ensure that ADBI knowledge products and activities are relevant and responsive to the DMCs.5 As part of this, ADBI has reinforced its efforts to keep the ADB Board of Directors updated through continued Across the Board sessions showcasing its latest research outputs and CBT activities. 10. ADBI will further deepen its cooperation with the international community. This includes active and extensive collaboration with government ministries and agencies, think tanks, international organizations, and other external partners on key research and CBT activities. The institute will also continue to exercise thought leadership in regional and global forums to drive the development and promotion of policy ideas for addressing common challenges that impact DMCs and help support the realization of goals aligned with Strategy 2030. This includes embedding ADBI’s involvement in the Think 20 (T20), the policy research and advisory network for the Group of 20 (G20), as well as in activities such as the Global Solutions Initiative and the initiatives of the University of Pennsylvania’s Think Tanks and Civil Societies Program.6 11. ADBI will further promote digitalization by building on digital platforms—which were in place prior to the COVID-19 pandemic and subsequently expanded—to allow for more efficient and effective internal administration and operations, external engagement, and sharing of ideas. The institute’s adoption of teleworking, webinars, and e-learning will remain vital for ensuring safe, efficient, and productive working conditions, mitigating disruptions in its operations caused by COVID-19 and other potential shocks. 12. ADBI is guided by a strong commitment to inclusion, both in the workplace and in its activities and outreach. The institute’s recent trend toward a better gender balance of its staff and 4 ADBI’s results framework is currently under review in view of COVID-19 and other emerging challenges. ADBI will make efforts to capture the needs from DMCs more effectively and to ensure proper alignment of ADBI activities with ADB country programming. 5 Appendix 1, Table A1.4 lists key ADBI research and CBT events co-organized with ADB in 2020. 6 Appendix 1, section E details ADBI’s engagement with key regional and global think tank and thought leadership forums in 2020.
3 promotion of women’s empowerment projects reflect this commitment.7 ADBI will also use its enhanced digital capacities to further expand the geographical coverage of and policy maker participation in research and CBT activities, increasing their accessibility to DMCs in all areas of Asia and the Pacific and helping enable them to use the knowledge products and services of ADBI to the greatest extent possible. IV. ROLLING WORK PROGRAM FOR 2021–2023 13. The selection of research and CBT programs for 2021–2023 was guided by (i) the relevance of policy issues to the priority themes specified in Strategy 2030; (ii) the needs of DMCs as gathered through the ADBI CBT survey; (iii) suggestions made by the ADB Budget Review Committee, Board of Directors, Management; and high-ranking policy makers and think tank heads in Asia and the Pacific; (iv) advice provided by members of the ADBI Advisory Council; and (v) consultations with ADB knowledge and regional departments and relevant country offices to avoid duplication and foster knowledge partnerships. A. Research 14. ADBI has set up quality-control mechanisms at each stage of its research. It will strengthen collaboration with departments at ADB headquarters and investigate the potential to establish more formal institutional links and networks with selected knowledge partners based in DMCs. Such collaboration will build on existing agreements with ADB and other think tanks and organizations. ADBI will continue to explore ways to carry out research projects in the most efficient and timely way possible. 15. The major research projects planned for 2021–2023 are briefly described in paras. 16– 32. The policy recommendations that emerge from this research will support inclusive and sustainable growth in the region. Where relevant, these policy recommendations will also aim to promote private sector growth, for example, by removing impediments to business, improving the investment climate, and, thus, providing more opportunities for the private sector to expand investment, employment, and output. In addition to the seven operational priorities of ADB’s Strategy 2030, the Research Department has added a new priority area on COVID-19 pandemic impacts and policies. 1. Major Research Projects a. COVID-19 Pandemic Impacts and Policies8 16. Strengthening environment, social, and governance investment and sustainable investment under the COVID-19 crisis. The project focuses on the impact of the COVID-19 crisis on sustainable investment, or environment, social, and governance (ESG) investment, and the behavior of the private sector. The project will explore the effects of ESG policies on firm performance and social welfare. It will investigate the potential benefits and risks of ESG 7 Gender data for ADBI staff appears in Section V. Staffing and Budget Framework, Table 1. Information about ADBI’s gender-related projects can be found in the research and CBT departments’ rolling work programs for 2021–2023, as well as their 2020 activities described in Appendix 1. Gender data for ADBI’s research and CBT event participants in 2020 appears in Appendix 1, section D. 8 In addition to the project described in para. 16, ADBI will also continue its surveys of COVID-19 impacts on micro, small, and medium-sized enterprises, farmers, and households, which began in 2020 and are described in paras. 2– 3 in Appendix 1.
4 investment, based on data and other evidence. It will also examine how to leverage ESG investment to promote the sound social and environmental development of countries in Asia and the Pacific. The main issues to be addressed include: (i) whether ESG investment will continue to grow after the COVID-19 shock, or whether investors’ interests will change because of the impacts of the COVID-19; (ii) can companies afford to invest more in ESG-related activities while revenues slump; and (iii) what are the merits and drawbacks of ESG investment toward achieving a green society, relative to other measures such as carbon tax, regulations. ADBI will collaborate with ADB, policy makers, and securities exchanges in Asia. b. Addressing Remaining Poverty and Reducing Inequalities 17. Digitalization and economic and financial development. Digitalization, such as e- commerce, is a key driver of competitiveness among enterprises and economic integration in the digital economy. This project identifies ways to make internet-based trade activities more effective and explores possibilities for them to contribute to economic development while raising companies’ competitiveness. ADBI will use theoretical and empirical approaches to analyze the impact of digitization on entrepreneurship, rural–urban economic integration, and productivity across the economies of Asia and Pacific. ADBI will collaborate with ADB and other think tanks in the region. 18. Randomized controlled trial experiment on high-tech high-touch education. COVID- 19 has severely impacted education systems worldwide, compounding online learning’s many pre- existing limitations. Artificial intelligence-based high-touch high-tech (HTHT) education is being developed to promote personalized learning online. A small scale, non-randomized controlled trial experiment conducted in Viet Nam by the Education Commission Asia and Korea Development Institute obtained suggestive evidence that HTHT education can provide teachers with tools for effective curricula delivery, while offering students a more personalized learning experience. This project aims to provide stronger evidence of the benefits of HTHT education by means of a randomized controlled trial at a number of schools in Indonesia. ADBI will collaborate with ADB, the Education Commission Asia, Indonesian government, and Korea Development Institute. c. Accelerating Progress in Gender Equality 19. Promoting participation of women in e-commerce. Digitalization, such as e- commerce, is an increasingly important driver of competitiveness and economic integration, with profound implications for businesses and society. This project will identify ways of enabling women to participate more fully in e-commerce to help reduce gender inequalities and promote inclusive growth. The main components will include: (i) identifying barriers to women’s participation in e- commerce; (ii) analyzing policies aimed at promoting women’s participation in e-commerce; and (iii) analyzing policies aimed at promoting women’s digital literacy. ADBI will collaborate with ADB and think tanks in Asia and the Pacific. d. Tackling Climate Change, Building Climate and Disaster Resilience, and Enhancing Environmental Sustainability 20. Effective greenhouse gas emission control policies. Many developing Asian countries are committed to greenhouse gas emission reduction targets, or Nationally Determined Contributions, under the Paris Agreement on Climate Change. To achieve these targets, countries have started to plan or implement policies incentivizing emission reductions, such as carbon taxes and emission trading schemes. However, the effectiveness of emission policies in reducing fossil fuel consumption and greenhouse gas emissions is challenged by factors including policy design,
5 energy prices, and, more recently, COVID-19. Economy-wide assessments of the effectiveness of emissions policies could help produce implementation recommendations for effective emission policies. The project’s main components are to: (i) estimate the effectiveness of implemented emission policies; (ii) identify the factors affecting the effectiveness of emission policies; and (iii) provide thematic studies or case studies of effective emission reduction policies. The aim is to produce policy recommendations for implementing effective emission policies. ADBI will collaborate with the International Association for Energy Economics. 21. Low-carbon cooling. Air cooling accounts for about 60% of energy consumption in non- residential buildings. Fossil fuel-powered electricity used for cooling contributes 10% of global carbon dioxide emissions. Also, most cooling equipment uses fluorocarbons, such as hydrofluorocarbons, as refrigerants, which are potent greenhouse gases with much higher global warming potential value than carbon dioxide. Low-carbon cooling could be achieved using low- carbon technologies, such as energy efficiency technologies, renewable energy, and energy storage, as well as digitalization and development of alternate refrigerants with zero or lower global warming potential. Integrated solutions are needed to provide low-carbon cooling to help countries to meet Nationally Determined Contributions, limit global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius, and prevent catastrophic climate change. The main focuses of this research project are: (i) financing instruments for low-carbon cooling equipped with zero or lower global warming potential refrigerants; (ii) policy instruments and best practices for promoting low-carbon cooling; and (iii) digitalization for cooling, which helps save energy by optimizing flows of cooling using information and communications technologies such as smart meters. ADBI will collaborate with ADB and the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory. 22. Willingness to support green finance. Better designed green fundraising could induce more people to financially support efforts to enhance environmental sustainability outside their home country. The project will include a survey of people in different age groups to assess their willingness to donate to green activities abroad. The major focuses will include: (i) developing the survey; (ii) implementing it in one or two developed ADB member economies and one or two DMCs; and (iii) examining the implications for green fundraising design, the design of green bonds attractive to investors, and official development assistance’s accountability to taxpayers. ADBI will collaborate with think tanks and universities in Asia and the Pacific. 23. Policy and infrastructure for managing water disaster risks. The Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction, 2015–2030; the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs); and the Paris Agreement on Climate Change all stress the importance of disaster risk reduction through water-related hazard monitoring and prediction. They also note the importance of disaster preparedness to minimize damage and promote resilience. This project will: (i) analyze water disasters and mitigation efforts in Asia; (ii) develop a flood forecasting system using big data and risk communication theories; and (iii) convene a policy dialogue with partner countries on the International Centre for Water Hazard and Risk Management’s Platform on Water Resilience and Disasters. ADBI will collaborate with ADB’s Economic Research and Regional Cooperation Department, the University of Tokyo’s International Center for Water Hazard and Risk Management, and the United Nations High-Level Experts and Leaders Panel on Water and Disasters. e. Making Cities More Livable 24. Structural transformation and infrastructure development. Structural transformation through allocating labor and other resources from agriculture to non-agriculture sectors can significantly impact economic growth, with demand-side (Engel curve) and supply-side (Baumol’s
6 cost disease) factors driving the process. A 2015 study on Central Asia showed that investment in infrastructure c a n lead to gr owt h of more than 5% in manufacturing and services but only 1% growth in agriculture.9 This research project analyzes the role of infrastructure-related development in structural transformation, predicts and evaluates the future growth of infrastructure projects in Asia and the Pacific, and promotes collaboration among researchers in this area. ADBI will collaborate with ADB, think tanks from ADB members, and the Central Asia Regional Economic Cooperation (CAREC) Institute. 25. Policy and innovation for urban resilience. The availability of large-scale, high- resolution data in cities, sourced from tools such as mobile phones, social media, and satellite imagery, provides new avenues to analyze environmental pollution and mobility, urban slums, and other social problems in cities. This project will analyze the longitudinal impacts of infrastructure using high-resolution establishment data at the county and/or city level. The focuses will include: (i) analyzing the impacts of smart mobility technologies, such as Uber, electric vehicles, and car-sharing systems, on city mobility and emissions; (ii) assessing the economic value of infrastructure using high-resolution longitudinal commodity flow and establishment data in cities; and (iii) a policy dialogue with government officials. ADBI will collaborate with the Broadband India Forum, Keio University, the National University of Singapore’s Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy, and Purdue University. 26. Rethinking cities as resilient engines of growth. COVID-19 has reinforced the need for healthy, liveable, and resilient cities, highlighting the relationship between health, space, and infrastructure. With many cities having experienced lockdowns, the shuttering of public transport, health-care services running at overcapacity, and a skyrocketing number of infections, there is a need to rethink strategies for promoting their resilient growth. This project will examine approaches to urban planning, infrastructure development, and social systems that promote post-pandemic health and well-being in Asia’s cities. It will also assess ways to mitigate COVID-19 vulnerabilities with respect to their aging populations, disabled groups, and environmental considerations. ADBI will collaborate with the Indian Institute of Technology, Patna; International Water Association, Singapore University of Technology and Design; Stanford University; Tokai University; and University of Tokyo. f. Promoting Rural Development and Food Security 27. Leveraging community savings for sustainable development. The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development of the United Nations and t h e Paris Agreement on Climate Change present countries with considerable financing challenges. This project will explore local finance solutions for promoting sustainable development, particularly hometown investment trust funds that mobilize community savings to drive public development initiatives and business growth. It will focus on: (i) the financing structure and advantages of hometown investment trust funds; (ii) delineating the role of central governments in providing seed funding; and (iii) showcasing projects that have been implemented successfully using hometown investment trust funds. ADBI will collaborate with experts from the Asian Institute of Technology, Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia, Korea Environment Institute, University of Minnesota, and University of Tokyo. 9 N. Yoshino and U. Abidhadjaev. 2015. An Impact Evaluation of Investment in Infrastructure: The Case of the Railway Connection in Uzbekistan. ADBI Working Paper. No. 548. Tokyo: ADBI. https://www.adb.org/sites/default/files/publication/175724/adbi-wp548.pdf.
7 28. Randomized controlled trial experiment for wheat blast control in Bangladesh. Wheat blast is an increasing problem in Bangladesh. Agronomics studies suggest that if farmers avoid terminal heat in February by sowing about two to three weeks earlier than normal, blast infection could be drastically reduced. However, this approach is currently not possible because of double cropping. One potential solution is to adopt “relay cropping” in which wheat is sown between standing crops without ploughing land or irrigation. After the existing crops are harvested, wheat plants could grow in the usual manner. In this project, a randomized controlled trial will evaluate the impact of cropping management as a countermeasure against wheat blast. The focuses will include: (i) cropping management education programs for farmers; (ii) the introduction of wheat blast-resistant strains of wheat; and (iii) follow-up surveys gauging the adoption of cropping techniques. The aim is to identify factors that will promote the adoption of cropping techniques to reduce wheat blast damage. ADBI will collaborate with the Bangladesh Agricultural Research Institute and International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center. 29. Transforming farmers and agro-processors into entrepreneurs. The demand for high- value agricultural products (HVPs)—such as vegetables, fruits, and dairy products with high quality traits including freshness, low pesticide residue levels, low arsenic content, and traceability for quality input use—has been increasing in developing Asia. The COVID-19 pandemic has accentuated the need for HVP value chain development to drive new income and employment opportunities in rural areas. However, the HVP development constraints in the region and strategies to address them remain unclear. This project will examine Pakistan’s untapped HVP potential, which has been the subject of preliminary studies conducted by its government. It will focus on: (i) offering smallholder capacity enhancement training to farmers who currently produce potentially high-value but actually low-quality and low-value fruits, vegetables, and dairy products; (ii) offering training programs for agro-processors, with additional attention to improving technology use and advanced management practices; and (iii) follow-up surveys on the adoption of HVP-oriented agriculture. ADBI will collaborate with Pakistan’s Ministry of Food Security and Research as well as its Planning Commission. g. Strengthening Governance and Institutional Capacity 30. Big data for economic development. Governments across Asia and the Pacific have started to introduce big data in public administration. In the People’s Republic of China (PRC), the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has implemented a big data development program as part of the PRC’s Thirteenth Five-Year Plan.10 India is using big data collected through the country’s Aadhaar card, the world’s largest biometric identification system, to optimize direct cash transfers. Meanwhile, Indonesia is using big data analytics to optimize tax collection. This research project analyzes the potential to use big data in DMCs to evaluate infrastructure, small and medium-sized enterprise (SME) finance, health, education, and banking. The project will (i) identify potential applications of big data analytics in public administration, (ii) employ big data to conduct economic research, (iii) identify best practices as potential models for other countries, and (iv) identify potential areas for the further application of big data analytics. ADBI will collaborate with ADB’s Economic Research and Regional Cooperation Department, the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, India’s National Institute of Public Finance and Policy, the Global Working Group on Big Data for Official Statistics, and the United Nations Global Pulse. 10 Central Committee of the Communist Party of China. 2016. The 13th Five-Year Plan for Economic and Social Development of the People’s Republic of China (2016–2020). Beijing: Central Compilation & Translation Press. https://en.ndrc.gov.cn/policyrelease_8233/201612/P020191101482242850325.pdf.
8 31. Development finance institutions: Strategic conduits for sustainable growth. Development finance institutions (DFIs) play an increasingly key role in channeling savings from developed economies to developing economies, as well as providing financing support for development projects. This project will assess the performance of DFIs in Asia and the Pacific in promoting public–private infrastructure project funding and explore how financial technology (fintech) can build their capacity to enhance sustainable growth. The focuses will include: (i) effective DFI performance indicators; (ii) opportunities and challenges related to the application of fintech among DFIs to promote greater access to finance and sustainable growth; (iii) successful cases of DFIs boosting sustainable development; and (iv) ways to further enhance DFI efficiency. ADBI will collaborate with the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey and regional think tanks. h. Fostering Regional Cooperation and Integration 32. Trade tensions, capital flows, and exchange rate management. Recent trade tensions between the United States (US) and the PRC have negatively affected the global macroeconomic outlook. This is related to the detrimental effects on output caused by market uncertainty, the trajectory of investment and other capital flows, and supply disruptions to global value chains. These developments have created policy challenges for the economies affected by US–PRC trade tensions. The main components of this research project are investigating (i) the impacts of trade tariffs on economic growth; (ii) the implications for capital account liberalization and exchange rate management; and (iii) the negative externalities associated with US–PRC trade tensions. ADBI will collaborate with Asian think tanks. 2. Other Research Activities 33. Annual conference. ADBI, in partnership with ADB, will continue to hold year-end conferences throughout the 3-year rolling work program (2021–2023) to share the results of selected major research activities with policy makers, the public, and the media. This year’s theme is the impacts of COVID-19. ADBI will make efforts to further raise the visibility and impact of the ADBI Annual Conference. 34. Visiting fellow program. This program brings talented postdoctoral scholars from ADB member economies to ADBI. Throughout the year, ADBI also engages visiting fellows from partner think tanks and universities in ADB member economies to participate in ADBI research activities. 35. Adjunct ADB Institute fellows. Working in conjunction with ADB headquarters, ADBI continues to pilot a program to harness the research talents of ADB’s sector and thematic experts. International staff members with advanced professional degrees will be competitively selected as nonresident fellows to work on topics of mutual interest to ADBI and its researchers. Fellows will complete research for their chosen topics and present it to ADBI for peer feedback and possible publication. 36. Featured speaker seminars. This newly rebranded series invites internationally renowned scholars and experts to ADBI to discuss development issues of interest to DMCs. The talks encourage debate among policy makers, researchers, academics, think tanks, and other audiences interested in the economic development challenges facing Asia and the Pacific.11 11 To date, eight Nobel laureates have spoken at ADBI events: Lawrence R. Klein, Paul Krugman, A. Michael Spence, Joseph E. Stiglitz, Oliver E. Williamson, Muhammad Yunus, James Mirrlees, and Robert F. Engle.
9 37. Other seminars. ADBI routinely hosts seminars led by scholars, visiting fellows, and ADBI staff. ADBI staff members also give outside presentations at senior officials’ meetings, academic conferences, think tank seminars, university courses, book launches, and other events. B. Capacity Building and Training 38. Objectives. ADBI capacity building and training (CBT) programs are committed to developing knowledge-sharing and learning platforms through which mid- and senior-level DMC officials participate in effective development planning and management to help create a prosperous, inclusive, resilient, and sustainable Asia and the Pacific. In 2021–2023, ADBI expects these programs to: (i) enhance government officials’ awareness and understanding of the development policy issues and challenges DMCs face, (ii) provide policy ideas, (iii) share effective practices and country experiences, (iv) identify and discuss policy options for COVID-19 recovery and adaptation after the pandemic,” (v) provide forums for dialogue and knowledge-sharing, (vi) build consensus on priority issues, and (vii) create a strong network of DMC officials who have participated in CBT events. 39. Strategies. ADBI will design and deliver CBT programs based on the following strategies. (i) Design demand-driven programs based on needs and relevant topics. ADBI will consult with DMC governments, ADB departments, and program partners to select topics that address development challenges in the region, structured along the operational priorities of ADB’s Strategy 2030, and taking into account COVID- 19 recovery needs. CBT programs will focus on (a) addressing remaining poverty and reducing inequalities; (b) accelerating progress in gender equality; (c) tackling climate change, building climate and disaster resilience, and enhancing environmental sustainability; (d) making cities more livable; (e) promoting rural development and food security; (f) strengthening governance and institutional capacity; and (g) fostering regional cooperation and integration. (ii) Deliberate participant selection. Working through ADB country offices, ADBI will continue to request governments to nominate officials to participate in CBT activities. Nominees should be directly involved in related subject areas and willing to share their new knowledge with colleagues. Also, to improve planning and management skills of government officials, nominees will be selected from the senior management stream, where possible. ADBI will assess the compatibility of the nominees. In line with Strategy 2030 Operational Plan for Priority 2: Accelerating Progress in Gender Equality, 2019–2024, ADBI encourages the nomination of qualified female professionals.12 (iii) Ensure greater regional coverage for capacity building and training events. To the greatest possible extent, CBT events are organized across Asia and the Pacific to ensure a more equitable distribution, effective sharing of country practices and experiences, and consensus building on key policy issues in the region. ADBI will continue its efforts toward balanced regional programming, both through virtual events and live events when they resume. (iv) Identify and discuss policy options for COVID-19 recovery and adaptation. The CBT department began its work related to the pandemic with a three-part webinar series on policy recommendations for government officials grappling with the development and expansion of social safety nets. It continued with webinars 12 ADB. 2019. Operational Priority 2: Accelerating Progress in Gender Equality. Manila. https://www.adb.org/documents/strategy-2030-op2-gender-equality.
10 related to COVID-19 and the SDGs, digital economy, and climate change. COVID- 19 will continue to be a major focus of the CBT department, both in events and knowledge products, for the foreseeable future. (v) Ensure effectiveness through innovative programs. The CBT department will strengthen its post-event, medium-term, and focus group surveys, and use the results to guide continued modification and improvement of its training methodologies, replacing ineffective activities with new and innovative programs and approaches. The CBT department will prioritize learning from its initial foray into online events in 2020 and focus on optimizing webinars and virtual conference by adding innovative features, such as networking and relationship building through small breakout rooms. (vi) Strengthen synergy and collaboration with partners. CBT programs are carried in collaboration with the ADBI Research Department and Administration, Management, and Coordination Department; ADB headquarters; and ADB country offices to ensure that its capacity building delivery is synchronized and relevant. Where feasible, CBT events are guided by ADBI research projects. ADBI’s CBT department collaborates with new and existing external partners, including think tanks, government ministries and agencies, universities, regional organizations such as the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) Secretariat, and international organizations such as the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). The CBT Department also continues to work closely with the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation (BMGF) to support sustainable and innovative water and sanitation solutions in ADB DMCs. 40. Delivery. From April 2020, all CBT events switched to virtual delivery because of COVID- 19 travel restrictions. While online events allow for more participants, at lower costs, relationship building is an important outcome of CBT events, so ADBI will resume in-person policy dialogues and training when international travel resumes. (i) Policy dialogues. The CBT department organizes policy dialogues to provide high-level forums for senior government officials and stakeholders to discuss key policy challenges and share ideas and strategies for effectively addressing them. (ii) Course-based training. Course-based training for mid-level policy makers develops participants’ knowledge of critical issues and helps them improve their capacity to design, execute, and assess policy measures while providing opportunities to exchange views and experiences. (iii) Graduate courses with Japanese universities. The CBT department conducts graduate courses with Japanese universities to build knowledge of Asia and Pacific economies and financial markets among graduate students, particularly those from the public sector. (iv) E-learning and e-training. The CBT department will expand e-learning and e- training courses through a newly launched ADBI online portal offering video- based training courses. E-learning courses will target government officials, academics, and stakeholders within the region and globally to further promote knowledge-building and capacity development. (v) Publications. The CBT department will consolidate practical knowledge through publications such as ADBI policy briefs, books, and blogs to deepen the impact of CBT programs. (vi) Online conference and webinars. The CBT department will continue to host virtual events, bringing global experts together with senior government officials, to reach a wider range of DMCs.
11 41. In line with ADB’s Strategy 2030, CBT programs will focus on the activities described in paras. 42–53. Also, ADB projects will be presented and included as part of ADBI’s CBT initiatives. Major CBT programs and their details are listed in Appendix 3. 1. Addressing Remaining Poverty and Reducing Inequalities 42. While countries in Asia and the Pacific have made tremendous progress in reducing income poverty, COVID-19 lockdown measures have jeopardized these gains, because of job losses and interruption of wages and remittance flows. Both income and non-income dimensions of poverty have worsened during the pandemic. ADBI will continue to address recovery issues related to the pandemic, such as social protection and safety nets, to counter the effects of future shocks on the most vulnerable. Also, as a result of the pandemic, there will be a more pronounced need for education and training, quality jobs, and healthcare. The CBT department will develop programs to assist governments in identifying and developing policy solutions for recovery. The CBT department will also provide knowledge and support toward achieving the SDGs and inclusiveness in DMCs. 2. Accelerating Progress in Gender Equality 43. Providing equal access to economic opportunities for men and women is essential to ensure a thriving and sustainable economy. Tackling gender inequality is a complex, long-term challenge that requires broad social engagement in addition to economic opportunities, access to land, finance, and information and communication technology tools. CBT programs will help promote women’s economic empowerment, pursue gender equality in human development, and importantly, post COVID-19, strengthen women’s resilience to external shocks. Recognizing the importance of gender equality issues in sustainable development, the CBT department will develop CBT programs to empower women, such as increasing female participation in technical and vocational education and training. 3. Tackling Climate Change, Building Climate and Disaster Resilience, and Enhancing Environmental Sustainability 44. Environmental degradation, climate change, and natural hazards continue to challenge countries’ ability to pursue environmentally sustainable growth. Given the growing importance of cooperation in promoting sustainable development to combat climate change and its impact, CBT programs will focus on improving capacity to implement policies and regulatory frameworks in climate change adaptation and in mainstreaming environmental sustainability. Topics will include climate finance and innovative methods of increasing private investments, reducing greenhouse gas emissions, innovative approaches to building climate and disaster resilience, environmental sustainability, integrated water management, and the water-food-energy security nexus. 45. Disaster financing and insurance are vital to enhancing disaster resilience in Asia and the Pacific. Because of the increasingly severe effects of natural disasters on economies in the region, efforts are intensifying to develop national and regional frameworks to mitigate associated risks and promote recovery. The CBT department, in collaboration with ADB and other research institutes, will work toward building knowledge-based capacity building programs for DMCs in this area. With oceans covering over 70% of the world’s surface, the CBT department is designing CBT programs and products with a focus on oceans and the blue economy. The activities are also in line with ADB’s Action Plan for Healthy Oceans.13 13 ADB. 2019. Action Plan for Healthy Oceans: Investing in Sustainable Marine Economies for Poverty Alleviation in
12 4. Making Cities More Livable 46. Urban populations now comprise 55% of the world’s population and are projected to account for about 70% of the world’s population, or 6.4 billion people, by 2050, according to the United Nations. Urbanization is rapidly expanding in developing countries in Asia, giving rise to environmental and urban problems, including the spread of informal settlements. In some countries, such as India, rapid urbanization is a major strain on water and sanitation, waste management systems, and other infrastructure. It also compounds the challenges of aging populations in a growing number of Asian countries. CBT programs will concentrate on making cities more livable by addressing topics such as inclusive and participatory urban planning, integrated solutions and funding for livable cities, water and sanitation, and solid waste management. To build capacity and achieve consensus on how to make cities more livable, the CBT department will strengthen its existing programs such as the Asia Smart City Conference. 47. Sanitation needs in the region have become more urgent because of rapid urbanization. More than 1.5 billion people in Asia and Pacific still lack access to sanitation and about 80% of wastewater in the region is discharged untreated.14 From 2020 to 2023, under a partnership with the BMGF, ADBI will deliver leadership capacity development programs supported by case studies on city-wide inclusive sanitation targeting government decision makers, officials in the implementing agencies, and professional staff in international organizations. ADBI will also review and characterize accountability mechanisms for advancing service outcomes in city-wide inclusive sanitation in the context of utility-led services models and municipality-led service models. Furthermore, in partnership with ADB headquarters (Water and Urban Sector Groups, South Asia Department, and Southeast Asia Department), Japan International Cooperation Agency, and various knowledge partners, ADBI plans to develop leadership capacity development programs on city-wide inclusive sanitation targeting government participants. 48. There is increasing demand in developing Asia for knowledge about transport infrastructure and the impact of transport projects on the economy, environment, society, and quality of life. This includes innovative policy instruments for attracting private sector investment and enhancing quality of life in areas along large-scale transport infrastructure projects, such as metro systems and high-speed rail. In March 2020, ADBI held a virtual conference on transport and quality of life, together with Chubu University. In May to July 2020, ADBI, together with the World Conference on Transport Research Society, Chubu University, and Purdue University, held webinars on the impact of transport and non-pharmaceutical interventions on the spread COVID- 19 and is preparing for a workshop to discuss papers that will be compiled in a special issue in an open access journal. ADBI will continue to arrange related CBT and research programs, working together with researchers from leading universities and think tanks globally. 5. Promoting Rural Development and Food Security 49. While countries in Asia and the Pacific have made remarkable progress in strengthening food security over the past quarter century, it is not keeping pace with the region’s rapid population increase, especially in South and Southeast Asia. Feeding growing DMC populations remains a serious challenge, exacerbated by food production disruptions caused by decreasing rural populations, significant post-harvest losses, unsustainable use of land and natural resources, and Asia and the Pacific. Manila. https://www.adb.org/sites/default/files/am-content/484066/action-plan-flyer- 20190430.pdf. 14 United Nations and United Nations Children’s Fund. 2019. Progress on Household Drinking Water, Sanitation and Hygiene 2000–2017: Special Focus on Inequalities. New York. https://www.who.int/water_sanitation_health/publications/jmp-2019-full-report.pdf.
13 climate change. Reforms to the food supply system and rural development paradigm are critical to addressing the future of food security in the region. A shrinking agricultural workforce necessitates greater use of technology within the sector. Infrastructure gaps must be filled by developing better post-harvest facilities, rural roads, market infrastructure, and agrilogistics centers to integrate more producers and agribusinesses into national, regional, and global food systems. CBT programs will focus on agricultural market connectivity, value chain links, productivity, and food security and safety. The CBT department will organize capacity building programs such as a workshop on food security and sustainable agriculture. 6. Strengthening Governance and Institutional Capacity 50. Good governance and effective public management are essential to enhancing country- and sector-level development. Yet DMCs face challenges in designing sound policies amid changing climate, economic, and population landscapes. To adapt, DMCs must improve their capacity to organize and mobilize resources and strengthen government and related institutions. The CBT department is committed to strengthening the governance and institutional capacities of DMCs by addressing public management reforms, financial sustainability, domestic resource mobilization, service delivery, capacity, and standardization. It will continue to organize annual events with partner organizations, such as the Tokyo Roundtable on Capital Market and Financial Reform with the OECD, and an annual regional policy dialogue on macroeconomic and structural policies with ADB, OECD, and the Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia. For domestic resources mobilization, the CBT department has collaborated with several international organizations, such as OECD and ADB, as well as academia, to organize a policy dialogue and an interactive training workshop on taxation and digitalization. The CBT department will also organize a seminar on reforming state-owned enterprises in Central Asia with the CAREC Institute. 7. Fostering Regional Cooperation and Integration 51. ADBI helps DMCs reap the benefits, mitigate the risks, and maximize the opportunities resulting from globalization by promoting regional cooperation and integration. Initiatives are typically driven by investments in regional infrastructure, which also provide a platform for cooperation across ADB member economies in areas of mutual interest. Regional cooperation and integration foster rapid and sustained growth, reduces poverty, and builds resilient institutions by promoting greater trade, investment, and financial links between DMCs, which, in turn, create opportunities for mutual, broad-based, and inclusive growth. CBT programs aim to create a knowledge-sharing platform for greater understanding and harmonization in the region, aligned with ADB’s Strategy 2030. The annual Roundtable on Labor Migration in Asia is jointly organized by ADBI, OECD, and the International Labour Organization to improve management of labor movement in the region. The CBT department will concentrate on enhancing connectivity and competitiveness, promoting regional public goods, increasing cooperation in the finance sector, and strengthening subregional initiatives. A major CBT program will include a workshop series on economic corridor development for a competitive and inclusive Asia. To enhance regional cooperation and integration within Central Asia, the CBT department also will continue to collaborate with the CAREC Institute through policy dialogues and webinars, as well as policy briefs, journals, and books. 8. Harnessing Digital Technology to Accelerate Capacity of Developing Member Country Policy Makers and Promote Global Consensus 52. Digital technologies can play a vital role in improving ADBI’s CBT programs, helping the institute reach a broader audience and raise cost efficiency. ADBI has introduced a new ADBI E-
14 Learning platform to harness these benefits at https://elearning-adbi.org/. ADBI E-Learning delivers two types of courses: (i) an online lecture series track with short video lectures for the public; and (ii) policy maker e-training, comprising a semester-type course with a syllabus tailored for a targeted audience of officials. 53. ADBI is also collaborating with recognized partners to conduct online CBT programs. Together with Cambridge University’s Cambridge Centre for Alternative Finance and the Cambridge Judge Business School Executive Education Limited, ADBI has launched the ADBI– Cambridge University Online Course on Fintech and Regulatory Innovation. ADBI has sponsored and awarded scholarships to 80 DMC officials to join this structured and interactive online course facilitated by Cambridge University and fintech professionals. The first cohort of this course started on 16 October 2019. The final cohort will finish by December 2020. ADBI plans to continue to collaborate with Cambridge University through 2021. 9. Nurturing Young Scholars and Policy Makers from Developing Member Countries 54. ADBI CBT experts will continue to teach graduate-level courses on Asian economic development and integration as part of the Asian Public Policy Program at Hitotsubashi University and the Graduate School of Public Policy at the University of Tokyo. They will also continue to participate in the ADBI–Keio Executive Training in Economics program. The CBT department will meanwhile invite mid-level government officials from DMCs and private sector officials to participate in lectures, discussions, and site visits designed to build understanding and capability in thematic economic areas. ADBI will also host interns and occasional trainees of diverse nationalities from local universities. C. Integrated Programming 1. Collaboration with ADB Headquarters 55. ADBI will continue to conduct many of its major research projects and some of its CBT programs jointly with ADB departments. ADBI will increase collaboration with ADB departments in organizing important events such as the ADBI Annual Conference and research seminars. For example, several projects and project themes will be relevant across DMCs, including SME credit databases and credit scoring, financial inclusion, water insecurity and sanitation, the circular economy, social safety nets, and gender equity. ADBI will also support flagship events organized by ADB departments such as the Asia Clean Energy Forum, Asia-Pacific Youth Symposium, Asia Finance Forum, Asia Water Forum, Knowledge Forum, Social Protection Week, and Transport Forum. 56. To further strengthen ADBI’s collaboration with ADB departments and capitalize on the expertise and experience of its professionals, ADBI will circulate information about its projects to the knowledge departments and relevant operations divisions at ADB headquarters and will continue to involve more ADB professionals in research and CBT projects. ADBI will communicate activity details to relevant ADB departments in a timely fashion. Such details might include the name of the task manager, the project budget, the expected time frame, the terms of reference, and the DMCs to be included in the study. 57. ADBI Management has appointed a formal contact point to improve communication with ADB departments. ADBI staff also collaborate with ADB sector and thematic groups. ADB and ADBI will strengthen these links further.
15 2. Collaboration with Other Organizations 58. Consistent with ADB partnership development efforts, ADBI will continue to scale up its cooperation with key institutions such as the International Monetary Fund, the OECD, and the World Bank, as well as regional and global think tanks, to improve the quality of its research and capacity building initiatives and increase ADBI’s visibility. ADBI will also continue to establish formal and informal relationships with national government agencies and renowned think tanks and universities. A list of ADBI partners in 2020 is in Appendix 2. 3. Internship Programs 59. As part of its contribution to the advancement of future leaders from the region, ADBI will continue to offer several internships each year to graduate students studying at universities in Japan. A member of ADBI’s professional staff will mentor the interns, who are nationals of ADB members and many of whom are from DMCs. D. Outreach and Knowledge Dissemination 60. To enhance the profile and impact of the institute’s research, CBT, and brand as a leading regional and global think tank in the COVID-19 era, ADBI will focus on strengthening the production, delivery, promotion, and reception of high-quality ADBI knowledge products and services, based on its communications and outreach strategy and implementation priorities (paras. 61–74). 1. Digital Presence 61. ADBI will continue to expand efforts to build and leverage the institute’s digital presence, prioritizing the development and reach of virtual events, e-learning, and online outreach. It will aim to grow the reach, stakeholder audiences, and performance of these deliverables, based on indicators such as participant counts, user numbers, and consumption data, as well as quality audience feedback. 2. Content Development 62. The ADBI communications team will continue to work closely with the research and CBT departments to produce relevant, timely, and impactful publications, including ADBI Press and co-published books and reports, as well as e-learning courses and programs anchored by the ADBI E-Learning website. 63. The ADBI communications team will also continue to boost the institute’s news and information flows to increase awareness and appreciation of its research, CBT programs, and broader expertise and initiatives. 64. The ADBI communications team will give attention to producing strategic, audience- friendly news releases; virtual outreach-oriented events such as online briefings and high-level speaker webinars; targeted social media output, integrating video-based message delivery and expanding data-oriented infographic development; new and more diversified podcast formats; regular blogs from ADBI book and report authors and high-profile external contributors; and enhanced ADBI website content.
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