ARTS AND CRAFTS CONSUMER - CANADA, FEBRUARY 2019 - Mintel
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ARTS AND CRAFTS CONSUMER, CANADA - FEBRUARY 2019 2 Overview What you need to know Definitions The majority (58%) of Canadians participated in making at least For the purposes of this Report, “arts and crafts” describe projects one type of arts/craft activity in 2018. Although engagement is likely made by consumers for recreational or commercial purposes, either more sporadic for most, the process of making arts and crafts meets using a kit or from base materials. a number of wellness benefits for consumers including relaxation and bonding with family or friends. Younger and older consumers Relevant items in this category include: differ in their preference and approach to crafting, suggesting that the industry is experiencing a shift in the approach and the preferred • Photo crafts (eg photography, scrapbooking) environment for making arts/crafts. With consumers leveraging the internet for ideas and inspiration, considerations in reducing steps • Knitting or crocheting from exploration to purchase will be necessary. • Sewing crafts (eg quilting, embroidery) • Painting • Drawing/colouring (eg calligraphy, colouring books) • Home/event decorating • Paper crafts (eg card making, origami) • Cake/dessert decorating • Kids’ crafts (eg making slime, nebula jars) • Tech crafting (eg 3D printing, program-assisted drawing). Crafters: respondents who have made any type of art or craft evaluated by the survey within the past 12 months (leading up to December 2018). PREVIOUS © Mintel Group Ltd. All rights reserved. NEXT
ARTS AND CRAFTS CONSUMER, CANADA - FEBRUARY 2019 3 REPORT CONTENT Overview What you need to know Definitions Executive Summary The issues Figure 1: Frequency of making arts/crafts, December 2018 Figure 2: Preference for making arts craft by oneself vs enjoyment of the social aspect of arts/crafting in a group, by age, December 2018 Figure 3: Store type where arts/craft supplies are purchased, by art/crafting skill level, December 2018 The opportunities Figure 4: Select attitudes towards making arts and crafts, fathers with under-18s at home vs mothers, December 2018 Figure 5: Select attitudes towards making arts and crafts, December 2018 Figure 6: Online sources used for arts/crafts inspiration, December 2018 What it means The Market – What You Need to Know Improved financial confidence means more room for enjoyable activities Mental wellness is more of a priority for young Canadians A shifting retail landscape will put pressure on craft specialty retailers Market Factors Improved economy sees more willing to spend on personal interests Figure 7: Perception of financial health, January/February 2016-18 Family fun happens on a budget Figure 8: Monthly entertainment budget, November 2017 Younger consumers prioritize their mental health Figure 9: Importance of personal wellness types (ranked 1st), by age, March 2016 Changes in Canada’s retail landscape will put pressure on craft specialty retailers Key Players – What You Need to Know Canadians are into card making, paper crafts and home décor Societal shifts make for all the right ‘materials’ for the sector The current positioning of the category is limiting Old trends make a return, possibly so will old skills What’s Artful and Crafty? Card making, paper crafts and home décor are hot topics for Canadians Figure 10: Top arts and crafts topics on Instagram, Canada, January 1 – December 31, 2018 Figure 11: Top arts and crafts topics on Pinterest, Canada, January 1 – December 31, 2018 Societal changes combined with shifts in the category make for all the right ‘materials’ Figure 12: Any arts/crafts made in past 12 months (net), by age, December 2018 Figure 13: ‘To learn a new hobby’ as reason to make arts/crafts in past 12 months, by age, December 2018 What Could Benefit from Colouring Outside the Lines? The category confines itself inside traditional lines Figure 14: Any arts/crafts made in past 12 months (net) – men, by age, December 2018 Figure 15: Scott Living Custom Frame Collection at Michaels | Scott Brothers, March 2018 PREVIOUS © Mintel Group Ltd. All rights reserved. NEXT
ARTS AND CRAFTS CONSUMER, CANADA - FEBRUARY 2019 4 What’s Next? What’s old is new again Figure 16: Water Bottle Flower Paint Pouring, February 2018 Figure 17: The Spring-Summer 2019 Haute Couture Collection Know-how, January 2019 The Consumer – What You Need to Know Many claim to be crafters though participation is sporadic Consumers connect arts/crafting to mental health benefits YouTube is a key resource for crafters Dollar stores have the edge when it comes to buying arts/crafts supplies Lack of interest is the biggest barrier to entry Making Arts and Crafts: Skills and Frequency Most have partaken, though participation is likely sporadic Figure 18: Types of arts/crafts made in past 12 months, December 2018 Figure 19: Frequency of making arts/crafts and skill level, December 2018 Current positioning may be hindering engagement amongst young men Figure 20: Any arts/crafts made in past 12 months (net), by gender and age, December 2018 Figure 21: Acquisition email, Clinique, October 2017 Figure 22: Skincare Tutorial by Kris Smith, October 2017 Parents, regardless of gender, are engaged and want more Figure 23: Any arts/crafts made in past 12 months (net), parent of under-18s at home vs not a parent, December 2018 Figure 24: Tinker Crate and Kiwi Crate Project Compilation | Monthly Science & Art Projects for Kids, October 2018 Chinese Canadians are keen on photo crafts Figure 25: Made photo crafts in past 12 months, Chinese Canadians vs overall, December 2018 Arts/crafts more likely to be an interest of the LGBTQ community Figure 26: Select types of arts/crafts made in past 12 months, LGBTQ vs overall, December 2018 Reasons for Making Arts and Crafts Relaxation is a key motivator Figure 27: Select attitudes towards making arts and crafts, December 2018 Making arts and crafts hits many mental health components for women Figure 28: Reasons for making arts and crafts – women, December 2018 For parents, arts/crafting is an avenue for quality time with the kids Figure 29: ‘Make something for myself’ as a reason for making arts and crafts, parents with under-18s at home vs those who are not parents, December 2018 Fathers are happy to share their handiwork online – reward them for doing so Figure 30: Select attitudes towards making arts and crafts, fathers with under-18s at home vs mothers, December 2018 Figure 31: Entertaining Tray Game Changer, January 2018 Figure 32: Entertaining Tray Highlight of the Night, January 2018 Solo vs Social Arts and Crafting There is a preference to take on arts/crafting as a solo pursuit Figure 33: Solo vs social preference for making arts and crafts by oneself (% agree), December 2018 Younger consumers more appreciative of the social side of arts/crafting Figure 34: Agreement with ‘I enjoy the social aspect of doing arts/crafts’, by age, December 2018 Arts and Crafts Ideas and Inspiration Sources Consumers are turning to YouTube for ideas and instructions Figure 35: Leveraging the internet for ideas and instructions for arts/crafts projects (% agree), December 2018 Figure 36: Online sources used for arts/crafts inspiration, December 2018 Figure 37: DIY Gift Boxes & Bags, January 2017 YouTube is a key avenue to connecting with dads Figure 38: Online sources used for arts/crafts inspiration, fathers with under-18s at home vs mothers, December 2018 Figure 39: John Legend’s “Stinky Booty” Song with Pampers, June 2018 Shoppable posts on Instagram will generate traction amongst 18-34s Figure 40: Using Instagram for arts/crafts inspiration, by age, December 2018 PREVIOUS © Mintel Group Ltd. All rights reserved. NEXT
ARTS AND CRAFTS CONSUMER, CANADA - FEBRUARY 2019 5 Shopping for Arts and Crafts Supplies General retailers are winning out Figure 41: Store type where arts/craft supplies are purchased, December 2018 Growing presence of discount stores is putting pressure on specialty craft retailers Figure 42: Store type where arts/craft supplies are purchased, by art/crafting skill level, December 2018 Figure 43: Frame Game | The Scott Brothers, January 2019 Cost and convenience matter to moms Figure 44: Store type where arts/craft supplies are purchased, mothers with under-18s at home vs overall, December 2018 Figure 45: Linked Heart Garland, February 2016 Barriers to Arts and Crafting Figure 46: Barriers to making arts and crafts, December 2018 Consumers today seek new challenges so appeal to their interests Time is the primary issue for 18-24s Figure 47: ‘I don’t have time’ as a barrier to making arts/crafts, by age, December 2018 Crafter Consumer Segmentation Crafters vary on approach and enthusiasm Figure 48: Crafter consumer segments, December 2018 The Solo Crafter (29%) The Social Crafter (39%) The Occasional Dabbler (32%) Appendix – Data Sources and Abbreviations Data sources Abbreviations and terms PREVIOUS © Mintel Group Ltd. All rights reserved. NEXT
ARTS AND CRAFTS CONSUMER, CANADA - FEBRUARY 2019 6 DATABOOK CONTENT Standard demographics you can expect to see tracked in our Databooks: • Age and income • Age • Area • Born in Canada • Children in household • Education • Employment • Family structure • Financial situation • Gender and age • Gender and marital status • Gender • Generation • Household income • Household size • Housing situation • Language primarily spoken in the home • Marital status • Mobile device ownership • Number of children of any age in household • Number of children under 18 in household • Parental status by gender • Parental status • Race and origin • Race • Region • Sexual orientation • Social media • Visit social media websites daily • Visit social media websites weekly Consumer Research Q1 Types of arts and crafts made in past 12 months Q1 Types of arts and crafts made in past 12 months, by demographics Q2 Barriers to making arts and crafts Q2 Barriers to making arts and crafts, by demographics Q3 Arts and crafting skill level Q3 Arts and crafting skill level, by demographics Q4 Store types where purchase arts and craft supplies Q4 Store types where purchase arts and craft supplies, by demographics Q5 Reasons for making arts and crafts Q5 Reasons for making arts and crafts, by demographics Q6 Attitudes towards making arts and crafts (NET - any agree) Q6 Attitudes towards making arts and crafts (NET - any agree), by demographics Q7 Online sources for arts/crafts ideas and inspiration Q7 Online sources for arts/crafts ideas and inspiration, by demographics PREVIOUS © Mintel Group Ltd. All rights reserved. NEXT
ARTS AND CRAFTS CONSUMER, CANADA - FEBRUARY 2019 7 Q8 Number of separate art/craft projects worked on in the last 12 months (NET) Q8 Number of separate art/craft projects worked on in the last 12 months (NET), by demographics Demographics By Demographics Demographics by demographics Further Analysis F1 Arts and crafts segments - cluster analysis PREVIOUS © Mintel Group Ltd. All rights reserved. NEXT
8 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY PREVIOUS NEXT
CANADA RESEARCH METHODOLOGY 9 Canada Research Methodology Mintel is an independent market analysis research has been conducted using a Female, 18-24 6.9 139 company that prides itself on supplying device agnostic platform for online surveys objective information on a whole range of Female, 25-34 8.8 177 (ie respondents can now take surveys from markets and marketing issues. Female, 35-44 9.4 188 a smartphone in addition to a computer or There are six main sources of research that tablet). This methodology change may result Female, 45-54 8.7 174 are used in the compilation of Mintel reports: in data differences from previous years; any Female, 55-64 8.6 172 trending should be done with caution. • Consumer research Female, 65+ 8.5 170 Sampling • Social media research Total 100 2,000 Online Surveys • Desk research Lightspeed • Trade research Region % N Founded in 1996, Lightspeed's double Ontario 40.2 804 • Statistical forecasting opt-in U.S. online consumer panel contains Quebec 22.1 443 approximately 1.27 million U.S. consumers. British Columbia 13.3 265 Mintel reports are written and managed by Lightspeed recruits its panelists through Alberta 10.7 214 analysts with experience in the relevant many different sources including web Saskatchewan 3.0 61 markets. advertising, permission-based databases and partner-recruited panels. Note: Manitoba 4.8 95 Consumer research Lightspeed GMI was re-branded as Atlantic Provinces Lightspeed in September 2016. (New Brunswick, Newfoundland/ Exclusive and original quantitative 5.9 118 Labrador, Nova consumer research is commissioned Mintel sets quotas on age and gender, Scotia, Prince for almost all Mintel reports. In addition, region, and household income. Specific Edward Island) qualitative research is also undertaken for quotas for a sample of 2,000 adults aged a large proportion of reports in the form of 18+ are shown below. Total* 100 2,000 online discussion groups. Mintel invests a considerable sum each year in consumer Please note: these quotas are only *Mintel does not include rural regions such as the Yukon research, and the purchaser of a Mintel representative of a standard General or the Northwest Territories (including Nunavut) in its report benefits, as the price of an individual Population survey sample of 2,000 internet research. Thus the consumer research data does not report is less than the cost of the original users aged 18+. Sample size, targets, and reflect opinions and behaviours of the population living in research alone. The research brings an quotas may vary per report. Please see the those areas. up-to-date and unique insight into topical Report Appendix for further details. issues of importance. Household income % N Age groups by Less than $25,000 14.0 281 Consumer research is conducted among a % N gender $25,000 - $49,999 20.8 416 nationally representative sample of internet $50,000 - $69,999 15.0 300 users in Canada and is carried out by Male, 18-24 7.9 158 $70,000 - $99,999 17.8 356 Lightspeed. The results are only available in Male, 25-34 9.1 181 $100,000 and over 32.4 647 Mintel reports. Note that Mintel’s exclusive research is conducted online in both English Male, 35-44 10.4 207 and French. Male, 45-54 8.1 163 Total 100 2,000 Male, 55-64 6.1 123 Starting in July 2017, Mintel’s consumer Secondary Data Analysis Male, 65+ 7.4 148 PREVIOUS © Mintel Group Ltd. All rights reserved. NEXT
CANADA RESEARCH METHODOLOGY 10 In addition to exclusively commissioned This is a statistical visualisation method for TURF (Total Unduplicated Reach & surveys, Mintel gathers syndicated data picturing the associations between rows Frequency) analysis identifies the mix from the most respected consumer (image, attitudes) and columns (brands, of features, attributes, or messages that research firms. This allows Mintel analysts products, segments, etc.) of a two-way will attract the largest number of unique to form objective and cohesive analyses contingency table. It allows us to display respondents. It is typically used when the of consumer attitudes and behaviour. brand images (and/or consumer attitudes number of features or attributes must be Qualitative Research towards brands) related to each brand or should be limited, but the goal is still to covered in this survey in a joint space that reach the widest possible audience. By Revelation by FocusVision is easy to understand. The significance of identifying the Total Unduplicated Reach, the relationship between a brand and its it is possible to maximize the number FocusVision provides Mintel with qualitative associated image is measured using the of people who find one or more of their bulletin board software. This allows the Chi-square test. If two brands have similar preferred features or attributes in the creation of Internet-based, ‘virtual’ venues response patterns regarding their perceived product line. The resulting output from where participants recruited from Mintel’s images, they are assigned similar scores TURF is additive, with each additional online surveys gather and engage in on underlying dimensions and will then feature increasing total reach. The chart interactive, text-based discussions led by be displayed close to each other in the is read from left to right, with each arrow Mintel moderators. perceptual map. indicating the incremental change in total reach when adding a new feature. The final Further Analysis CHAID analysis bar represents the maximum reach of the total population when all shown features are Mintel employs numerous quantitative data CHAID (Chi-squared Automatic Interaction offered. analysis techniques to enhance the value Detection), a type of decision tree analysis, of our consumer research. The techniques is used to highlight key target groups in a Social Media Research used vary form one report to another. Below sample by identifying which sub-groups describes some of the more commonly used are more likely to show a particular To complement its exclusive consumer techniques. characteristic. This analysis subdivides the research, Mintel tracks and analyses social sample into a series of subgroups that share media data for inclusion in selected reports. Repertoire Analysis similar characteristics towards a specific Using Infegy’s Atlas software, Mintel ‘listens response variable and allows us to identify in’ on online conversations across a range This is used to create consumer groups which combinations have the highest of social platforms including Facebook, based on reported behaviour or attitudes. response rates for the target variable. It is Twitter, consumer forums and the wider Consumer responses of the same value commonly used to understand and visualise web. (or list of values) across a list of survey the relationship between a variable of items are tallied into a single variable. interest such as “interest in trying a new Atlas provides rich consumer insight via The repertoire variable summarises the product” and other characteristics of the the analysis of commentary posted publicly number of occurrences in which the value sample, such as demographic composition. on the internet. The system performs or values appear among a list of survey comprehensive and broad collection of items. For example, a repertoire of brand Key Driver Analysis data from millions of internet sources, purchasing might produce groups of those working to ensure a faithful and extensive that purchase 1-2 brands, 3-4 brands and 5 Key driver analysis can be a useful tool in sampling of feedback from the widest or more brands. Each subgroup should be helping to prioritise focus between different range of individuals. The dataset contains large enough (ie N=75+) to analyse. factors which may impact key performance commentary posted in real time, as well as indicators (eg satisfaction, likelihood to a substantial archive dating back through Cluster Analysis switch providers, likelihood to recommend 2007. a brand, etc). Using correlations analysis This technique assigns a set of individual or regression analysis we can get an Trade research people in to groups called clusters on the understanding of which factors or attributes basis of one or more question responses, of a market have the strongest association Informal so that respondents within the same cluster or “link” with a positive performance on are in some sense closer or more similar to key performance indicators (KPIs). Hence, Trade research is undertaken for all reports. one another than to respondents that were we are able to identify which factors or This involves contacting relevant players grouped into a different cluster. attributes are relatively more critical in a in the trade, not only to gain information market category compared to others and concerning their own operations, but also Correspondence Analysis ensures that often limited resources can be to obtain explanations and views of the allocated to focusing on the main market strategic issues pertinent to the market drivers. being researched. Such is Mintel’s concern with accuracy that draft copies of reports are TURF Analysis sent to industry representatives, to get their PREVIOUS © Mintel Group Ltd. All rights reserved. NEXT
CANADA RESEARCH METHODOLOGY 11 feedback and avoid any misrepresentation as Statistics Canada and the Canadian forecast are collated in Mintel’s own market of the market. These comments are Grocer. Other information is also gathered size database and supplemented by macro- incorporated into reports prior to final from store and exhibition visits across and socio-economic data sourced from publication. Canada, as well as using other databases organisations such as Statistics Canada, within the Mintel Group, such as the Global The Bank of Canada, The Conference Formal New Product Database (GNPD), which Board of Canada and the Economist Internally, Mintel’s analysts undertake monitors FMCG sales promotions. Intelligence Unit. extensive trade interviews with selected key experts in the field for the majority of All analysts have access to Mintel’s Market Within the forecasting process, the model reports. The purpose of these interviews Size and Macroeconomic Databases – searches for, and analyses relationships is to assess key issues in the market a database containing many areas of between, actual market sizes and a place in order to ensure that any research consumer spending and retail sales as well selection of key economic and demographic undertaken takes these into account. as macroeconomic and demographic factors factors (independent variables) in order to which impinge on consumer spending identify those predictors having the most In addition, using experienced external patterns.. influence on the market. researchers, trade research is undertaken for some reports. This takes the form of The database is used in conjunction with Factors used in a forecast are stated in full trade interview questionnaires and an SPSS forecasting program which uses the relevant report section alongside an direct quotes are included in the report and weighted historical correlations of market interpretation of their role in explaining the analysed by experts in the field. This gives a dynamics, with independent variables, to development in demand for the product or valuable insight into a range of trade views produce future spending scenarios. market in question. of topical issues. Statistical Forecasting Qualitative insight Desk research Statistical modelling At Mintel we understand that historic data is Mintel has an internal team of market limited in its capacity to act as the only force analysts who monitor: government statistics, For the majority of reports, Mintel produces behind the future state of markets. Thus, consumer and trade association statistics, five-year forecasts based on an advanced rich qualitative insights from industry experts manufacturer sponsored reports, annual statistical technique known as ‘multivariate regarding past and future events that may company reports and accounts, directories, time series auto-regression’ using the impact the market play a crucial role in our press articles from around the world and statistical software package SPSS. post statistical modeling evaluation process. online databases. The latter are extracted from hundreds of publications and websites, Historical market size data feeding into each both Canada and overseas. All information is cross-referenced for immediate access. Data from other published sources are the latest available at the time of writing the report. This information is supplemented by an extensive library of Mintel’s reports produced since 1972 globally and added to each year by the 500+ reports which are produced annually. In addition to in-house sources, researchers also occasionally use outside libraries such PREVIOUS © Mintel Group Ltd. All rights reserved. NEXT
CANADA RESEARCH METHODOLOGY 12 As a result, the Mintel forecast allows for fall within these outer limits, which we call Weather analogy additional factors or market conditions the best and worst case forecasts. These, outside of the capacity of the data analysis based on the statistically driven forecast, To illustrate uncertainty in forecasting in to impact the market forecast model, using are the highest (best case) and lowest an everyday example, let us assume the a rigorous statistical process complemented (worst case) market sizes the market is following weather forecast was produced by in-depth market knowledge and expected to achieve. based on the meteorologists’ current expertise. knowledge of the previous weather condition Over the next five years, the widening during the last few days, atmospheric The Mintel fan chart bands successively show the developments observations, incoming weather fronts etc. that occur within 95%, 90%, 70% and 50% Forecasts of future economic outcomes probability intervals. Statistical processes Now, how accurate is this forecast and how are always subject to uncertainty. In order predict the central forecast to fall within the certain can we be that the temperature on to raise awareness amongst our clients darker shaded area which illustrates 50% Saturday will indeed be 15°C? and to illustrate this uncertainty, Mintel has probability, i.e. a 5 in 10 chance. introduced a new way of displaying market To state that the temperature in central size forecasts in the form of a fan-chart. A general conclusion: Based on our current London on Saturday will rise to exactly 15°C knowledge of given historic market size data is possible but one can’t be 100% certain Next to historical market sizes and a current as well as projections for key macro- and about that fact. year estimate, the fan chart illustrates the socio-economic measures that were used to probability of various outcomes for the create the forecast, we can assume that in To say the temperature on Saturday will market value/volume over the next five 95% of the time the actual market size will be between 13°C and 17°C is a broader years. fall within the purple shaded fan. In 5% of all statement and much more probable. cases this model might not be correct due At a 95% confidence interval, we are saying to random errors and the actual market size In general, we can say that based on the that 95 out of 100 times the forecast will will fall out of these boundaries. existing statistical model, one can be 95% certain that the temperature on Saturday will be between 13°C and 17°C, and respectively 50% certain it will be between about 14.5°C and 15.5°C. Again, only in 5% of all cases this model might not be correct due to random errors and the actual temperature on Saturday will fall out of these boundaries and thus will be below 13°C or above 17°C. (To learn more about uncertainty in weather forecasts visit: http://research.metoffice.gov. uk/research/nwp/ensemble/uncertainty.html) PREVIOUS © Mintel Group Ltd. All rights reserved. NEXT
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