Ansichtssache: Performance der europäischen Flugsicherung - Statements and facts concerning the alleged low performance of European ATM
←
→
Page content transcription
If your browser does not render page correctly, please read the page content below
Ansichtssache: Performance der europäischen Flugsicherung Statements and facts concerning the alleged low performance of European ATM Jörg Buxbaum, Matthias Whittome, Christoph Czech Draft Version, Status Dec 2nd 2013 1
Air traffic Management from the political point of view http://www.worldfootprints.com/europes-airspace-failure-5-billion-euro-damage Every intra-EU flight is 50km longer than necessary, which results in $6.53 billion ( EUR 5 billion) in additional costs— Inefficiencies in Europe's fragmented airspace every year. http://www.iata.org/publications/airlines-international/june-2013/Pages/ceo-interview- bring extra costs of close to 5 billion Euros lufthansa.aspx each year to airlines and their customers. They add 42 kilometres to the distance of an average flight forcing aircraft to burn more fuel, generate more emissions, pay more in costly user charges and suffer greater delays. The United States controls the same amount of airspace, with more traffic, at almost half the cost. http://europa.eu/rapid/press-release_IP-13-523_en.htm http://www.iata.org/pressroom/pages/opinion-piece-spain.aspx http://www.iata.org/pressroom/speeches/Pages/2013-04-12-01.aspx 3
Air traffic Management from the political point of view Currently the costs of providing air traffic control for one airplane per hour are almost twice as expensive in Europe than in the USA. We haven't even brought up Asia in the discussion. Costs arising from the provision of air navigation services in Europe run to about EUR 14 billion annually. Of these, 8.3 billion are air navigation services charges. The remainder is costs that the airspace user has to bear due to inefficiencies. Thus, delays cost about EUR 5.2 billion per year. Interview Frank Brenner, Flugrevue, February 2013 http://www.eurocontrol.int/sites/default/files/content/documents/media/dg-articles-2013/1302-lps-slovakia.pdf The Single European Sky is intended to harmonise air traffic control better, as they are fragmented and inefficient. EU airspace is in 27 national air traffic control systems, providing services from some 60 air traffic centres while the airspace is divided into more than 650 sectors. That means airspace is currently structured around national boundaries and so flights are often unable to take direct routes. http://www.dw.de/eus-single-sky-fights-national-delays/a-16682912 4
The essence of the assertions "Airlines and passengers annually incur financial damage of about EUR 5 billion due to the inefficiency of the fragmented European air traffic control system. These costs would be eliminated if the SES requirements were met." "The fragmented structure of airspace translates to additional unnecessary 42 km on average per flight in Europe." "The FAA in the USA controls more air traffic at about half the costs." 5
Where does the EUR-5-billion figure come from? Possible source: The Performance Review Commission in the Performance Review Report 2012 (PRR) quoted a sum of EUR 3.64 billion annually for "ANS-related inefficiencies in the gate-to-gate phase." According to the 2012 PRR, an additional EUR 850 million for ATFM delay (en-route and airport ATFM delay). EUR 500 million + EUR 350 million En-route ATFM delay Airport ATFM delay + EUR 790 million + EUR 1900 million + EUR 950 million = EUR 4.49 billion Taxi-out En-route Arrival and sequence- inefficiencies inefficiencies metering inefficiencies The Berechnung? report does not touch upon whether Datengrundlage? and how the delays responsible Zusammenhangfor these mitcosts einercan actually be influenced by the ANSPs. There is also no mention thatüberwiegend the fragmentation nationalof ATC in Tatsächliche Systemgedanke Europe contributes to these inefficiencies nor what SES measures orientierten should beFlugsicherung? implemented to Beeinflussbarkeit? berücksichtigt? achieve which potential improvements. Optimierungspotential? Örtliche Ausprägung? http://www.eurocontrol.int/sites/default/files/prr-2012.pdf , page 33 7
Can these delay costs be influenced? The share of ANSP delay minutes (ATFCM en-route) of this total primary delay (without reactionary delay) is about 8 percent. ATFCM Airport is not part of this as an ANSP has little influence on factors such as runway closures and night curfews. The airlines themselves were actually responsible for 54 percent of delay costs in 2012. In 2012, the delay caused by airlines resulted in costs of about EUR 3.4 billion. http://www.eurocontrol.int/sites/default/files/content/documents/official-documents/facts-and-figures/coda-reports/CODA-Digests- 2012/coda-digest-annual-2012.pdf http://www.eurocontrol.int/sites/default/files/prr-2012.pdf ATFM En-Route: Standard demand/capacity problems, reduced capacity caused by industrial action or staff shortage, equipment fail ure, military exercise or extraordinary demand due to capacity reduction in neighbouring area ATFM Airport: Airport and/or runway closed due to obstruction, industrial action, staff shortage, political unrest, noise abatement, night curfew, special flights 8
“5 Mrd EUR Schaden pro Jahr”: Résumée Perspektive 2: „≈1 Mrd EUR“ Perspektive 1: „5 Mrd EUR“ + Betrachtung Gesamtkostenoptimum 9
Source of the "42 additional unnecessary km" Possible source: When this "fact" is stated, the source is not given. The latest horizontal en-route flight efficiency Origin Mean route flown in is of about 3.17 percent in Europe airport 1000 Europe (without TMA) (direct route extension), which, = optimal routing? 900 Route extension however, only amounts to 28 km. = 3.17% or 28 km 800 700 Optimum (great Flight path in km circle) 600 500 400 300 200 Destination airport 100 Direct Route extension = A : D 0 http://atmseminar.eurocontrol.fr/past-seminars/5th-seminar-budapest-hungary-june-2003/papers/paper_023 http://www.kolloquium-flugfuehrung.de/pdf/2011-01-18%20MANFRED%20DIEROFF%20DFS%20-%20Kolloquium%20Flugfuehrung.pdf http://www.atmseminar.org/seminarContent/seminar6/papers/p_055_MPM.pdf http://ec.europa.eu/transport/media/consultations/doc/2013-07-03-sesrp2/report.pdf, Page 34 10
Reasons for Flight Extensions Separation Airspace availability Airspace structure (e.g. military airspace) (disentangling traffic flows, TMA design) € En-route weather Flight planning Flight planning optimised with regard optimised with regard to ANS costs to wind 11
How to influence Flight Extension Some possibilities for improvement: Free route in upper airspace Efficiency Relocation of military exercise areas Flight Optimized FUA 4% Optimised flight route designs Uniform ANSP unit rates in Europe 3% Europe 2012 Current goals and limits to optimisation: 2019 ? 2% Currently, according to the PRB assessment, the Potentially achievable flight efficiency assumption is that flight efficiency in Europe (KEA) without active measures, such as 1% can at best be improved from the current 3.17% to relocation of military exercise areas 2.5% by 2019. Per flight this would mean future flight 0% paths that are shorter by about 0.6 percent or 6 km Increase in (which equals about 25 seconds of flying time). air traffic density and complexity Further improvements are not visible at the moment. A reduction to 0 km is not possible. http://atmseminar.eurocontrol.fr/past-seminars/5th-seminar-budapest-hungary-june-2003/papers/paper_023 http://www.caa.lv/upload/userfiles/files/SES%20Performance%20targets%20_%20achievements.pdf 12
Possible measures to increase en-route Flight Efficiency Joint activities of NM and European ANSPs Contributing FABEC measures: Joint activities of NM IP South East Phase 1 & 2 and European ANSPs Free Route Step 1 CBA Land Central West Contributing FABEC Potential relocation of military XMAN/AMAN Basic En-route efficiency Europe (KEA) measures: airspace out of the core area 3% Free Route Step 2 & 3 (impact on Military Mission Effectiveness?) ? 2% Absolute limit for busy airspace? ? ? ? 1% 0% 2012 2016 2019 2030? (Schematic representation, effects of the measures would have to be calculated at European level.) 13
“42 unnötige Kilometer pro Flug”: Résumée Perspektive 1: Optimierungspotential 42 km pro Flug Marathon Perspektive 2: Optimierungspotential Von 28 km auf 22 km = 6 km pro Flug + Betrachtung Gesamtkosten- Athen optimum 14
A comparison of ATM in the USA and Europe U.S.A. Europe (Continental) 10.4 million 11.5 million km2 airspace km2 Sectors (max) 955a 679a Controlled 43,600b 26,000b flights per day EUR/US Dollar Pax per day 2.2 millionc 2.2 millionc USD 1,500 Pax miles per 1.07 billiond 1.18 billiond 1,375 day 1,250 ATCOs 16,793e 16,700e 1,125 1,000 Cost of ATM $ 10.7 billion f EUR 8.0 billion f 0,875 per year 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2001 2013 ... in EUR 2013 EUR 8.3 EUR 8.0 billion g billion g a b 2008 U.S./Europe Comparison of ATM-related Operational Performance 2010 U.S./Europe Comparison of ATM-Related Operational Performance c Amount of IFR Passenger Flights x average amount of seats x SLF d Pax x average distance (from 2010 U.S./Europe Comparison of ATM-Related Operational ... in PPP EUR 8.6 EUR 8.0 billion h e Performance) FAA Air Traffic Controller Workforce Plan 2012 – 2021, 2010 U.S./Europe Comparison of billion h f g ATM-Related Operational Performance (EUROCONTROL) Cost USA: Budget FAA ATO FY 2012, Cost Europe: Eurocontrol PRR 2010 Exchange Rate 1,3 $/EUR h Purchasing Power Parities for GDP, according OECD value 2005 – 2012 for Europe vs US$ 15
Different working conditions / work methods Statistics relating USA / FAA Germany / DFS France / DSNA to controllers Annual leave 13 - 26 days 32 - 37 days 25 - 27 days Working hours per 31 – 37 hrs (including 40 hrs 35 hrs (including breaks) week breaks) Maternity leave Not standard practice 70 days per child 108 - 182 days per child Up to 13 days p.a. 3 months 100% paid sick 6 weeks to unlimited Paid sick days (cumulates, if not leave, then 9 months at (depending on contract) taken) 50% Educational leave Not standard practice 5 days p.a. 6 days p.a. Recuperation cures Not standard practice 3 – 7 days p.a. Not standard practice The higher traffic numbers per controller in the USA are connected with the working conditions and other work methods: Higher percentage of single sector operations (the concept that four eyes see more than two is not standard practice) Temporarily/Totally unmanned FAA towers Source for FAA data: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics Source of DFS data: DFS Source of DSNA Data: DSNA 16
Comparison between types of IFR flights in USA and Europe The most apparent difference is the large number of IFR general aviation flights in the USA. Source for FAA data: Bureau of Transportation Statistics, FAA ETMS, OPSNET, 2009 Source for European data: EUROCONTROL 2009 with deductions for IFR Cargo and GA IFR 17
Comparison of transport performance between USA and Europe 1.18 1.07 billion billion NM NM The performance indicator for pax miles per day is higher in Europe than the USA. Source for FAA data: Bureau of Transportation Statistics, FAA ETMS, OPSNET Source for European data: EUROCONTROL with deductions for IFR Cargo and GA IFR Average Miles from 2010 U.S./Europe Comparison of ATM-Related Operational Performance Average Passengers per IFR Scheduled: 78 (USA) 91 (Europe); average pax per IFR GA: 2 18
Vergleich USA-Europa – Flüge pro Fluglotse Luftfracht generiert wenig Taskload IFR GA generiert wenig (Nachtflüge) Taskload (andere Arbeits- und Lufträume, Flugplätze) Weit häufiger Fehlzeiten Einfachbesetzung statt Unterschiede Anzahl Vieraugenprinzip Verkehrsmix größtenteils kontrollierte Unterschiedliche (durch ANSP Bewertung der gesellschaftlich nicht zu Flüge pro bedingt Anzahl Sicherheits- beeinflussen) Fluglotse kontrollierte relevanz (USA) Flüge pro Fluglotse (Europa) Die unterschiedliche, durchschnittliche Lotsenproduktivität in Europa und den USA liegt an Faktoren, die überwiegend außerhalb von SES-Arbeitsfeldern liegen. Diese Faktoren umfassen Arbeitsprinzipien, Arbeitsbedingungen sowie die Art und räumliche / zeitliche Verteilung des zu kontrollierenden Luftverkehrs. Darstellung schematisch auf Basis der Ausgangsdaten von kontrollierten Flügen und Anzahl der Fluglotsen. 19
ATM costs per passenger mile [Billion EUR PPP] [Billion Miles] : = When the costs of ATM (PPP) are looked at in relation to passenger miles, the unit costs are 16% lower in Europe. Purchasing Power Parities for GDP, according OECD value 2005 – 2012 for Europe vs US$ 20
The FAA tax structure 2012 FAA 2012 FAA Funds 2 Budget US Taxpayer General Fund (US Treasury) $ 4.6 billion Earnings 20111 ATO Budget Passenger Tax $ 10.7 billion FAA Budget Transportation Total: of Persons by $ 15.9 Air Airport and billion $ 7.9 billion Transportation of Property Airway Trust $ 0.44 billion Fund Aviation Fuel $ 11.3 billion Commercial Non-ATO Use Budget $ 0.35 billion $ 5.2 billion Use of Intern. Aviation Gas (e.g. new Air Facilities Non- Runways, $ 2.4 billion Commercial $ 0.19 billion aviation safety) Fuel Tax 1 Share of earnings according FY 2012 2 Fund share for Essential Air Service ($ 0.14 billion in 2012) neglected http://www.aci-na.org/sites/default/files/airport_and_airway_trust_fund-july2013.pdf http://www.faa.gov/about/office_org/headquarters_offices/apl/aatf/media/AATF_Fact_Sheet.pdf http://www.faa.gov/about/office_org/headquarters_offices/apl/aatf/ http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/R41798.pdf 21
The FAA tax structure ... adopted to Germany Funds Budget (ATM + Non-ATM Taxpayer Reimbursement EUR 110 million for MUAC, Public Fund EUROCONTROL, EUR 660 Weather Service, NAS million* Earnings Adjusted ATM Budget DFS Passenger Tax Domestic EUR 1.53 billion Budget Passenger ticket tax EUR 1.42 EUR 434 million billion EUR 173 Domestic Flight million Segment Tax “German Airport and Airway Trust Use of Intern. Air Fund” Facilities Non-ATM EUR 1,624 EUR 663 million Budget billion EUR 0.75 EUR 83 billion Overflight Fees million (e.g. new Frequent Flyer Tax EUR 90 Runways, EUR 181 million Domestic Cargo / aviation safety) million Mail * 28.9 % of FAA budget in 2012 was paid by the US treasury (tax money) Earnings from Fuel Tax und Trust Fund share for Essential Air Service neglected 22
The FAA tax structure applied to Germany1 +32% The DFS budget would increase by 32 percent if the FAA tax structure were applied to Germany. Overall ATM charges for Germany would amount up to EUR 1.530 Mio - reimbursement of cost for MUAC, EUROCONTROL, weather services and NAS have been considered. 23
A comparison of air navigation costs The assertion that ATM per passenger and flight is cheaper in the USA is not necessarily so. The charges systems are, however, very difficult to compare. USA Europe / DFS Kind of charges Passenger-oriented charges per Aircraft-oriented charges per flight (ticket tax or overflight tax) distance flown and aircraft mass Charges are used for FAA (ATO budget share approx. ANSPs 67%) A passenger pays for a domestic 1) Air transportation excise EUR 7.11 (EUR 5.00 en-route flight over 560 km … * tax: 7.5% of ticket price charge + EUR 2.11 approach 2) $3.70 segment fee fee)*** … if the one-way ticket costs $13.45 Ticket Tax + $ 5.47 EUR 7.11 $130 / EUR 100 ** General Tax = $18.92 equals $12,68 or EUR 9.75 for FAA/ATO (67% budget share) In this calculation, the passenger pays 37% more in the USA. * Such as Munich-Hamburg ** Without additional fees for baggage etc. *** DFS 2013, Embraer 190, 86 pax Currency exchange rate JUL 2013: 1.30 $/€ 24
A comparison of air navigation costs Airbus A320 / 165 pax Embraer 190 / 86 pax Cost parity Cost parity at 1360 km at 800 km ATM Cost per Pax ATM Cost per Pax FAA (ATO) FAA (ATO) En-Route Flight En-Route Flight Distance [km] Distance [km] While the cost per passenger in the USA (for domestic flights) is independent from the travel distance, it is not in Germany. Currency exchange rate JUL 2013: 1.30 $/€ 25
Share of ANSP/FAA costs in operating costs / ticket prices Compared to total operating costs Compared to average domestic Europe 2011 (source: AEA) ticket price 2012 (source: FAA) The share of ATM costs in the operating costs and ticket prices shows as well that the costs of ATM in Europe are in no way twice as high as in the USA. Assumption Europe: No accounting for a profit margin per flight (about 5%, which would raise the share of costs of the ANSP to about 5.9%.) Assumption USA: Average domestic air fare Q IV 2012 round trip $374 according to DOT Bureau of Statistics http://www.eurocontrol.int/sites/default/files/prr-2012.pdf http://www.rita.dot.gov/bts/airfares http://web.mit.edu/TicketTax/Karlsson_Incidence_of_Ticket_Taxes_and_Fees_in_U.S._Domestic_Air_Travel.pdf 26
General ATM Cost Comparison USA - Europe (PPP) FAA Europe D in% Cost per year 8.600.000.000 € 8.000.000.000 € -7% 2 Cost per km airspace 827 € 696 € -16% (continental) Cost per controlled 540 € 843 € 56% Flight Cost per Scheduled 845 € 925 € 9% Flight (no GA, MIL) Cost per controlled 1,72 € 1,69 € -2% Mile (Scheduled Flights, no GA, no MIL) Cost per Passenger 10,78 € 10,13 € -6% Cost per 100 Pax- 2,20 € 1,85 € -16% Miles Share in Total Operating 9% 6% -33% / Ticket Costs for Airlines Purchasing Power Parities for GDP, according OECD value 2005 – 2012 for Europe vs US$ 27
Vergleich USA-Europa Résumée Geringeres Mehr Sektoren Keine ATM-Budget Mehr Flüge Staatszuschüsse (DFS) Niedrigere Kosten pro Pax Wechselkurs? Höhere Lotsen- Mehr Arbeitszeiten Passagierkilometer Viel IFR-General Vieraugenprinzip Aviation 28
Kosten und Leistung – eine Frage der Perspektive pro Passagierkilometer Prio 1: Sicherheit für die Nutzer des Luftverkehrsystems Personal Technik 29
Thank you for your attention 30
You can also read