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An Introduction to Digital Assets How blockchain technology is transforming our economy and society in the 21st century August 2021 Navigate this presentation: start
An Introduction to Digital Assets 2 Foreword From a niche concept to a potential financial We know that people have a tendency to overestimate the disruptor. More and more people are starting to impact of technology in the short-term and underestimate it take an interest in cryptocurrencies, blockchain and in the medium to long-term, a phenomena known as decentralised finance. Amara’s law. A few years have passed since that conversation, and an amazing €200bn has been invested by At the same time cryptocurrencies, and the blockchain global corporates into building blockchain and decentralised concept that underpins them, are so often misunderstood. finance (DeFi) technology and platforms. Is Bitcoin a currency? Will blockchain – a technology that stands for decentralisation – democratise financial power? This topic is so rich and complex, and changes so rapidly, Is this technology simply a game for enthusiasts, or do its that investors are seeking guidance and education. We have applications stretch far beyond the technical aspects? done thorough research, spoken to a number of outspoken These, and many more questions are often left unanswered experts and compiled this report to help you to understand or inadequately addressed. and recognise how this new technology is transforming our economy, and potentially our entire society, in the 21st I was personally first introduced to the subject a few years Century. ago, at a junior football match. I had a discussion with another player’s father, who happens to work at Deutsche Börse, the German stock exchange. At the time, I thought that decentralised finance was something that existed in the distant future, but I quickly realised how advanced it already was, and how it would only be a matter of time before this Christian Hille – CIO Fürstlich Castell'sche Bank would disrupt not only finance, but many other areas.
An Introduction to Digital Assets 3 Blockchain Fundamentals Blockchain Applications Towards a The emerging token economy decentralised economy for payments, services and securities to chapter to chapter Environmental & The Digital Social Impact Asset Market Thinking “outside the blocks” Blockchain’s place in the financial system to chapter to chapter Learn more Authors, references & technical glossary to appendix
An Introduction to Digital Assets 4 Blockchain Fundamentals Towards a decentralised economy ” How does a blockchain work and how is it related to our economic life? Did you know …? learn more
An Introduction to Digital Assets / Blockchain Fundamentals 5 Did you know…? Companies globally are Bitcoin‘s entire The market value of Coinbase expected to spend approx. blockchain size is at initial public offering was $ 20bn/year 338 Gigabytes $ 100bn more than Deutsche Bank, on blockchain technical comparable to streaming Commerzbank and services by 20241 85 HD movies on Netflix2 Deutsche Börse combined3 1) Mitic (2021) 2) Statista (2021) & Reinhardt (2021) 3) Hinchliffe (2021) & Bloomberg L.P.
An Introduction to Digital Assets / Blockchain Fundamentals 6 The origins: A quest for decentralisation (1/3) On the 31st October 2008, less than two months The GFC – a turning point for trust and finance after Lehman Brothers had filed for bankruptcy, Public confidence in US banking systems, % (Gallup, 2016) a paper was sent out to a small mailing list of computer science enthusiasts that would change 71 the course of economic history. Bitcoin Written by an unknown author under the pseudonym of whitepaper Satoshi Nakamoto, “Bitcoin: A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash (31 October 2008) 60 System” outlined a concept that disrupted the world of banking and gave birth to a new capital market. At a time when trust in the financial system was at the lowest it had been in decades, the document outlined a fully 49 decentralised digital payment system — one that would no longer rely on financial institutions at all. 38 At the core of the system proposed by Nakamoto was a technology called blockchain. 26 15 1979 1984 1989 1994 1999 2004 2009 2014
An Introduction to Digital Assets / Blockchain Fundamentals 7 The origins: A quest for decentralisation (2/3) Bitcoin’s central proposition was a fully decentralised system that allows users to make exchanges via a peer-to-peer network on the internet. Using the blockchain individuals can transact without the oversight of a central authority. To fully grasp how revolutionary this idea is, first we need to understand how fundamentally the internet has evolved Today‘s online universe up to this point. An internet of information “Across the world today there are Documents over 20 billion1 interconnected devices.” The internet allows information to be passed directly Emails between devices in the form of data such as emails, photos or video streams. These digital objects can be replicated and distributed infinitely without losing their informational value. Media 1) IOT Analytics (2020)
An Introduction to Digital Assets / Blockchain Fundamentals 8 The origins: A quest for decentralisation (3/3) When it comes to economic interactions like banking, the entire system relies on scarcity. A value sum of money – represented in the form of data – can’t simply be replicated and keep the same value. In digital economies this is known as the double-spending problem. To avoid double-spending, banks maintain central databases, acting as an intermediary to ensure online transactions are The next evolutionary step legitimate. Crises such as the financial crash of 2008 highlighted An internet of assets? the vulnerabilities of this centralised banking system, including single points of failure, corruption, data inconsistencies and settlement delays. Documents Securities? A blockchain is a decentralised database that records transactions transparently, anonymously and securely. This structure fundamentally replaces trust in authority with security Emails through encryption, allowing for the direct exchange of assets in the same way that information is shared on the internet – Money? without any intermediaries. Services? The real implications of this concept could be massive. Media
An Introduction to Digital Assets / Blockchain Fundamentals 9 The journey of a Bitcoin transaction Some vocabulary 1 2 3 4 5 “A peer-to-peer … Alice wants to send A transaction file Alice authorises The network uses Bob‘s wallet is − Bitcoin facilitates transactions in Bob 1 bitcoin from is created containing and announces the Alice‘s openly known now allowed to a fully decentralised way her digital wallet. all relevant details. payment using her “public key“ to verify spend the secret “private key“ that she is indeed transferred coins. − Users interact directly with one password the owner of her another in an online network wallet address. − Users keep a copy of the entire transaction history (blockchain) The transaction gets added to the block- … immutable … Alice1 chain record by Bob1 − Blocks of transactions on the Tx-1 active users through blockchain are linked in a + ID: Tx-1 Tx-1 a consensus-building securely encrypted sequence + From: Alice1 process. These + + To: Bob1 Amount: 1 BTC “miners“ are − No user can manipulate the rewarded with newly chain history as it would be generated bitcoin. rejected upon comparison with everyone else’s chain Pending transactions pool: Tx Tx … auditable ledger.” Bitcoin network: “mining“ − All transactions by all users are Tx publicly visible, since everyone Tx - 1 Tx - 1 (consensus-building mechanism) has a local blockchain copy Tx Tx Tx Tx − However, only encrypted user addresses are stored – it is Block difficult to impossible to identify “Block chain“ 456 the person behind an address (transaction Further details in appendix: Block Block Block Block history) 452 453 454 455 Learn more 1) Note: user names shown for illustration purposes only – transactions only involve pseudonymous user addresses (see explanation on the right)
An Introduction to Digital Assets / Blockchain Fundamentals 10 Building consensus: Miners and validators In a decentralised network without central oversight, a consensus-building mechanism is required to avoid double-spending. This prevents manipulations of the blockchain with false or duplicate transactions, and is essential for its overall security. There are currently two major approaches to determine how blockchain network participants can come to a consensus about the state of the blockchain, and to verify and record new transactions: A Proof-of-Work (PoW) B Proof-of-Stake (PoS) − PoW schemes like Bitcoin require users (“miners”) to validate new − The PoS consensus mechanism does not require the users to solve entries to the blockchain. The miners commit computational a computational puzzle or have specialist hardware in order to resources to solve a complex mathematical puzzle. validate transactions. − As a reward, the miners get paid in the cryptocurrency they are − In this mechanism, users are called “validators”, because they “mining” (e.g., Bitcoin). Similarly to the extraction of resources validate transactions by depositing (“staking”) some amount of through real mining, this method is extremely energy-intensive. cryptocurrency from their own wallet. − As with gold or fossil fuels, Bitcoin is a limited resource. There will − As an incentive, validators are rewarded in the same currency. only ever be a maximum of 21m coins in circulation. This has been compared to earning interest on a bank deposit. − Proof-of-Work is the original and most widely used consensus − Proof-of-Stake is a lot less energy intensive than PoW but has mechanism. Bitcoin, Ether and most other applications currently so far only been tested on a relatively small scale. Ethereum has operate using this mechanism. announced to switch to PoS in the foreseeable future.
An Introduction to Digital Assets 11 Blockchain Applications The emerging token economy for payments, services and securities Did you know ”How could blockchain technology transform economies and where will it …? make the most impact? learn more
An Introduction to Digital Assets / Blockchain Applications 12 Did you know…? “Digital art“ sold in the first There are now more than There are blockchain-powered half of 2021 was worth Social 11,000 Networks $ 2.5bn cryptocurrencies such as Steemit, GNU Social, comparable to half a year of other than Bitcoin1 and Sapien Sotheby‘s auction revenues2 1) CoinMarketCap (2021) 2) Howcroft (2021) & Reimers (2021)
An Introduction to Digital Assets / Blockchain Applications 13 Blockchain in practice: A taxonomy of tokens Bitcoin was proposed as an alternative world currency, but the underlying blockchain technology is what could potentially shape the future of money, government and business. Two types of virtual objects that have emerged are standalone digital “coins” and “tokens” that are built on top of existing blockchain platforms like Ethereum. They can be used in fundamentally different ways: “Use” … … “Pay” Utility tokens provide access to specific services or goods (e.g. as an event ticket or Payment tokens are the purest form of for car sharing access), similar to vouchers. cryptocurrencies, enabling the decentral Tokens They are bound to a single use case – for transfer of digital money e.g. to purchase instance, Uber tokens may be redeemed goods and services. for a ride but nothing else. Bitcoin dominates this space but has inspired many alternative “Altcoins” over time. Jump to section Jump to section “Own” … Security tokens are very similar to utility tokens, but they represent an investment in an asset that already has value, e.g. company shares, bonds, or certificates. Their key advantage is that issuers don’t have to securitise these tokens through traditional clearing houses, registries etc. Jump to section
An Introduction to Digital Assets / Blockchain Applications 14 “Pay” Decentralised currencies Inspired by Bitcoin, today there are numerous Major payment-oriented cryptocurrencies1 cryptocurrencies available for payment transactions. By market capitalisation in USD bn (CoinMarketCap, July 2021) 748 These “Altcoins” run on their own blockchain and differ 750 in their technical implementations. For example, while 600 new Bitcoin blocks are “mined” every 10 minutes, Litecoin 450 produces blocks every 2.5 minutes. 300 268 150 62 52 30 27 27 12 9 9 0 Comparison of technical cryptocurrency features1 Bitcoin Ethereum Bitcoin Cash Litecoin Monero Key value Original blockchain Native currency to Bitcoin protocol spin- Fast and secure Privacy coin focused proposition and highly secure power the Ethereum off with larger blocks payments with short on enhanced user private payments blockchain platform for higher scalability block creation time anonymity Transactions/sec2 7 30 116 56 ∞ Ø transaction fees 2.67 USD 5.92 USD
An Introduction to Digital Assets / Blockchain Applications 15 “Pay” Stablecoins Cryptocurrencies are infamous for their volatility. Crypto is significantly more volatile than stocks, Many investors have become millionaires overnight, even during market crashes like Covid-191 only to see their wealth disappear weeks later. Rolling 6-month volatility in % of price mean Stablecoins share many benefits of cryptocurrencies 120% Bitcoin MSCI World Equity (transparency, security, privacy) without their extreme 100% price instability. 80% This is because, similar to the Gold Standard in the 20th 60% century, the value of stablecoins is pegged to other assets 40% such as the US dollar, gold or cryptocurrency baskets. One 20% drawback of this is that this backing is usually managed by a central institution. 0% 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Examples of stablecoins Concept: stablecoins vs. pure cryptocurrency value Name Organisation Asset backing BTC/USD Tether Centralised USD currency USD Coin Centralised USD currency Binance USD Centralised USD currency Stablecoin DAI Decentralised Cryptocurrency basket 1) Bloomberg L.P. Time
An Introduction to Digital Assets / Blockchain Applications 16 “Pay” Central Bank Digital Currencies As we experience a global shift towards digital and mobile payment forms, central banks are exploring options to issue digital currency directly to end consumers. These central bank digital currencies (CBDCs), which may or may not operate on blockchain technology, would represent a huge change in the global monetary system. Central Governance The rationale for CBDCs Cash (bank − Increases financial inclusion: bringing the “unbanked” notes & coins) into the payment system − Effective monetary policy transmission with less Central Bank interferences Digital − Potential efficiency gains by eliminating costly cash Currencies? management processes − Undercuts other digital currencies not managed through Private online the central banking system payments Variants of CBDCs Technology Traditional (offline) Digital Wholesale: For financial institutions’ central bank reserves Retail: Digital cash issued to the public by the central bank Outlook Stablecoins CBDCs may push stablecoins out of the market, since they provide a new low-volatility digital payment solution that is already embedded in the existing financial system. On the other hand, CBDCs are by definition highly centralised. This represents a drastic departure from the Cryptocurrencies original vision for cryptocurrency, and is a development that will undoubtedly face backlash from users. Decentral Network
An Introduction to Digital Assets / Blockchain Applications 17 “Pay” Central Bank Digital Currencies Currently, 86% of Central Banks worldwide are working on their own digital currencies. Case | Digital Yuan Bahamas + Research by the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) began in 2014 Eastern Hong Kong Caribbean followed by several large trials Project phase + The digital Yuan is one of the Singapore Launched most advanced CBDC projects Retail pilot ongoing and likely to launch before the Retail pilot completed Winter Olympics in 2022 Retail research Wholesale projects + Hybrid Architecture N/A with distribution through the financial sector (banks and other institutions) Case | Digital Euro + Based on both traditional systems and blockchain (token) + In July 2021 the European Central Bank announced the launch of a CBDC project technology for enabling offline + The goal is to provide a marketable product after a two year exploration phase, payments (further details have with a decision on issuing a Digital Euro expected approx. in 2023 (launch would not been disclosed by the PBoC) be expected in 2025-2026) + No decision yet regarding IT architecture, esp. the use of blockchain technology
An Introduction to Digital Assets / Blockchain Applications 18 “Use” From digital currencies to services Ethereum was launched in 2015. The inventor, a Russian-Canadian programmer called Vitalik Buterin, saw the need for a cryptocurrency that had other applications besides payments. Instead, the blockchain concept is used to exchange goods and services between users. Ethereum has its own cryptocurrency (Ether), but it’s also an open platform for various decentralised applications (dApps) that enable access to real goods and services through so-called “smart contracts”. Anyone can create these token applications on top of the Ethereum blockchain. More than 2.5k dApps built on Ethereum Electricity Monthly new and cumulative count of decentralised apps Charitable donor- exchange recipient matching dApps built on smart contracts Platform & Supply chain blockchain tracing Marketplaces & Car sharing exchanges tickets Source: stateofthedapps.com, Goldman Sachs GIR
An Introduction to Digital Assets / Blockchain Applications 19 “Use” Smart contracts Signing contracts online How smart contracts work The Ethereum smart contract platform can facilitate a quick and secure Illustrative concept on the Ethereum platform transfer of access to assets – such as real estate, cars or electricity. Smart contracts are small computer programs that automate agreements between parties by having the contract conditions written Conditional payment into their code. The contract is automatically executed and enforced (e.g., payments released) once and only if all conditions have been met. User Conditional delivery Owner Smart contracts are stored on a blockchain – similar to cryptocurrency transactions – making it impossible for either party to violate a contract. This provides a new level of security for business relationships in a decentralised economy as conceptually, there is no need for lawyers or judicial systems to enforce contracts and resolve disputes. Key Advantages: Use case Energy Web Foundation (EWF) − Saves time, money and reduces the margin of error. − Ethereum provides a known framework with a core developer team − The Canadian Energy Web Foundation (EWF) already utilises smart contracts to connect electricity suppliers (e.g. households with Consumer Producer solar installations) to consumers in a peer-to-peer trading network. Smart contract The efficiency of decentralised energy grids promises to accelerate Pays producer Contains consumption and production Offers surplus via network data and automatically executes the energy directly a low-carbon, consumer-centric electricity system. conditional exchange
An Introduction to Digital Assets / Blockchain Applications 20 “Own” Security and Non-fungible tokens Security tokens – the future of investing? Non-fungible tokens – the future of owning? A key area where blockchain has the potential to Unique assets such as artwork or exclusive disrupt is financial markets. A security token is collectibles could become easily investible through issued on a blockchain and represents a stake in an securitisation as “non-fungible tokens”. external asset – like a business. Unlike fungible assets (e.g., a $5 note), non-fungible tokens Security tokens are managed by smart contracts, and allow are not interchangeable – they represent ownership of for many traditionally time consuming and fallible processes unique or rare items and allow for people to own shares of a to be automated. The blockchain provides a source of truth market that is traditionally hard to access. that all parties can depend on. “The most In March 2021 an artist known as “Beeple” sold an NFT of his digital artwork for $69 famous artist million at Christie’s, making him “among you’ve never the top three most valuable living artists,” heard of:” according to the auction house. Advantages Potential use cases − Simplifies trading of company shares − Securitising unique digital artwork − Transfer of ownership can take place without a stockbroker − Collectibles such as “NBA Top Shots”: or notary public A blockchain-based platform that allows fans to buy, sell − Small companies can raise capital without being listed and trade officially-licensed video highlights. on the stock exchange − In the future we might see the tokenised ownership of − Private investors get an easy option to participate in “start-ups” physical items, such as fashion items or cars and to sell these participations at any time
An Introduction to Digital Assets 21 The Digital Asset Market Blockchain’s place in the financial system Did ” Are crypto assets an entirely new asset class, and does this present an investment opportunity? you know …? learn more
An Introduction to Digital Assets / The Digital Asset Market 22 Did you know…? $100 invested in Bitcoin in 2011 Price volatility of Bitcoin is Of all Ethereum transactions are now worth1 $ 6.1mn 4.7x 90% go into decentralised of Global Equity markets2 Finance (DeFi) applications3 1) Own calculations, Bloomberg L.P. 2) Based on weekly returns (Bloomberg L.P., Deutsche Bank AG, as of April 2021) 3) BeInCrypto (2020)
An Introduction to Digital Assets / The Digital Asset Market 23 Between hype and paradigm shift After over a decade of investment bubbles, fear-of-missing-out, bull-runs and crashes, we are starting to see the increasing adoption and institutionalisation of digital assets. A history of enthusiasm and fear Public interest in Bitcoin over time − Emergence of digital assets with the publication of the Bitcoin Google searches of bitcoin-related topics relative to peak in 2018 whitepaper at the end of 2008 − Early market players mostly technology enthusiasts and Fintechs − Extreme phases of hype cycles and crashes, e.g. the ICO bubble of 2017 − Bitcoin gains a reputation for illegitimate transactions on the dark web while seeing more and more adoption for legitimate use cases Source: Google Trends data, Deutsche Bank, data as of April 2021 Where we stand & where we are headed Amara’s law − Bitcoin still dominates the digital asset niche market although How we estimate the impact large-scale adoption is continuously increasing Impact of technology of a new technology − Growing number of established institutional investors in the market Actual technology-driven productivity − Economists expect the “token economy” of blockchain to boost global GDP by 1.76trn USD, or +1.4% until the year 20301 − Boston Consulting Group believes digital assets “could become the biggest financial asset by the end of the decade” Time 1) PricewaterhouseCoopers (2020)
An Introduction to Digital Assets / The Digital Asset Market 24 Measuring up the digital asset market Since 2018, the value of one Bitcoin has Putting the market in perspective Market capitalisation of major global asset classes increased 17 fold. In part because of the $1.5trn Crypto market media attention and hype around cryptocurrencies and blockchain, this $7trn FAANG $11trn $35tn Gold technology has become a major topic in Money (M1) financial markets and the public. However, this picture should not distract from the reality that Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies $81trn $90trn currently make up only a tiny fraction of global Global Global $253trn markets. GDP Equities Global Debt The key questions for investors, regulators and users remain: Bitcoin is signifcantly more volatile than other traditional assets Based on rolling weekly returns, % calculated over the last 5 years “Are crypto assets a separate 100 85% new asset class?” 80 Peak equity market volatility for reference (2020) 60 “ Can they reasonably be considered 40 for diversified portfolios?” 18% 20 15% 13% 5% 0 Bitcoin Global Equities Gold USD HY bonds USD IG bonds Source: Bloomberg L.P., Deutsche Bank, data as of April 2021
An Introduction to Digital Assets / The Digital Asset Market 25 Is Bitcoin an asset class or a currency? Assigning cryptocurrencies to an existing or new asset class requires a look under the hood to examine their features. Intuitively, one might view these “coins” and “payment tokens“ simply as currencies. Yet they struggle to meet the economic criteria of what constitutes money (a medium of exchange, unit of account and store of value). Meanwhile, evidence on the diversification potential vs. other asset classes is mixed. Functional characteristics 1 Medium of exchange 2 Unit of account 3 Store of value 4 Safe haven/anti-cyclical Assessment Transactions per second (approx.) Rolling 6-month volatility in % of mean price BTC ETH Brent Gold DAX MSCI AMZN GOOG BTC 1.00 1,700 Bitcoin MSCI World Equity ETH 0.59 1.00 1,500 100% Brent 0.21 0.08 1.00 1,000 Gold 0.01 0.03 -0.29 1.00 50% DAX 0.25 0.26 0.62 -0.16 1.00 500 174 193 4.6 MSCI 0.25 0.25 0.63 -0.15 0.99 1.00 0 0% AMZN 0.03 0.11 0.06 0.11 0.34 0.37 1.00 Bitcoin SWIFT PayPal VISA 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 GOOG 0.16 0.18 0.28 -0.05 0.46 0.48 0.45 1.00 Bitcoin is already used to make Because Bitcoin so far is rather Volatility is also a key obstacle The disconnect between digital exchanges between users; however, disconnected from the real for using cryptocurrencies as assets and the real economy its widespread adoption has caused economy, there is no market savings – there is no guarantee may prove useful. Many point to severe delays in transaction consensus (equilibrium) of what of what your wealth will be low correlations with traditional processing. Solutions have been certain goods and services worth in the future. On the other asset classes, suggesting that developed within the Bitcoin should cost in cryptocurrency hand, Bitcoin has been used by crypto investments may be used protocol and in the form of Altcoins, terms. This lack of reference many as a buy-and-hold to diversify investment portfolios. but scalability remains a critical creates price volatility, rendering investment, and so far has kept Cryptocurrencies have been challenge. their practical application difficult appreciating in value over long used as a gold-like safe haven in (imagine shops having to adjust time spans. Cryptocurrencies are times of market crises. their price tags every few used by many to evade capital minutes!) restrictions and dispossession.
An Introduction to Digital Assets / The Digital Asset Market 26 Investing in digital assets Investors in cryptocurrencies have enjoyed massive Performance since 2013: Bitcoin and Ethereum in USD returns. However, all major tokens have experienced 70,000 4,900 extended period of large-scale losses, making BTC (lhs) ETH (rhs) blockchain-related investments challenging. 60,000 4,200 50,000 3,500 On a fundamental level, investors can enter the market by directly buying and holding Bitcoin, Ethereum or any other 40,000 2,800 combination of altcoins and tokens. 30,000 2,100 More recently, derivatives and passive investment vehicles 20,000 1,400 have started to emerge in line with increasing institutional 10,000 700 interest and adoption. 0 0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 There are also a strategies of actively managed investments in the crypto space, which require a comprehensive review and analysis of their own.1 Historical drawdown: Bitcoin and Ethereum Relative price difference to last peak Further, investors can make use of staking as a strategy that 0% effectively earns interest in crypto currency and can be a -20% lucrative complementary investment strategy. -40% Comparing staking returns to traditional interest deposits -60% 0.40 % p.a. 13.29 % p.a. -80% -100% ETH BTC Bank deposit rate Staking reward (delegated) (United Kingdom) (Polkadot) 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 1) Castell’s experienced PM team has screened the available universe and has selected a few sustainable strategies as appropriate for investments in long-term portfolios
An Introduction to Digital Assets / The Digital Asset Market 27 The market for Decentralised Finance Recent years brought the emergence of blockchain-based Development of the DeFi market Left scale “total value locked (TLV)“ in USD, right scale “user“ instruments in what is known as “decentralised finance” (DeFi). Removing intermediaries from financial transactions allows not 100,000m 3.5m just the transfer of money, but also lending activities or entirely 80,000m TVL Users 3.0m new financial activities, such as liquidity mining and yield farming. 2.5m 60,000m Nearly all DeFi applications are built on the Ethereum blockchain using smart 2.0m contracts without any centralised company or governance body. Instead of 40,000m 1.5m the decentralisation of money, DeFi aims for the broader decentralisation of 1.0m 20,000m the traditional financial industry and giving access to the population of 1.7bn 0.5m “unbanked” people. DeFi is also emerging as a tool for smaller businesses in 0m 0.0m 07|17 07|18 07|19 07|20 developing markets, especially for remittances and small loans. Digital replications of existing financial activities Novel financial activities Exchanges & barter trading Atomic swaps Simultaneous execution of transaction parts (delivery versus payment) Borrowing & lending Flash loans Extremely short-termed loans used for arbitrage and portfolio reallocations Derivatives & options Staking Participating in proof-of-stake validation processes and earning Asset management interest-like rewards in the form of newly created coins Yield farming / liquidity mining % Active optimisation of investment returns through constantly shifting assets Non-fungible tokens and earning rewards from e.g. providing liquidity in exchange pools or Digital art, in-game items, virtual land sales etc. lending out cryptocurrency to other users
An Introduction to Digital Assets 28 Environmental & Social Impact Thinking “outside the blocks” Did you know …? ” What are the environmental and social implications of blockchain technology? learn more
An Introduction to Digital Assets / Environmental & Social Impact 29 Did you know…? The entire bitcoin network Of all invested assets Of all cryptocurrency could be powered for in the US today transactions 1.9 years 33% 0.34% with the annual electricity are managed in accordance are estimated consumption of always-on with environmental, social to be connected to but inactive home devices and governance (ESG) illicit activities3 in the US alone1 considerations2 1) CBECI (2021) 2) Nason (2020) 3) Chainalysis (2021)
An Introduction to Digital Assets / Environmental & Social Impact 30 The environmental costs of decentralisation Bitcoin currently consumes huge amounts of energy and has a significant carbon footprint. At a time when increasing emphasis is being placed on mitigating climate change, the sustainability profile of blockchain technology is a major concern. The high energy consumption is a “flaw” that was intentionally designed into the Bitcoin system, since Proof-of-Work consensus mechanisms rely on the block mining process to be computationally difficult and resource-intensive. However, several solutions have been put forward already to mitigate these issues. ! Identified issues Approaches / solutions Electricity consumption (TWh/year) 1 Energy mix Volcanoes and natural springs in Iceland have provided a cheap source of natural energy. 8% of all Bitcoins have been 12 111 116 124 161 205 mined there using this renewable energy1 – yet the vast majority of Bitcoin mining takes place in China, the US and Google Nether- Bitcoin Norway State of World‘s Data Russia, countries that are still heavily reliant on fossil fuels. lands New York Centers 2 Consensus protocol Footprint of a single Bitcoin transaction1 In recent years, the Ethereum project has made steps to move to a Proof-of-Stake consensus mechanism that would replace Carbon emissions Electricity Electronic waste compu-tational effort with a staking system, reducing energy 811kg CO 1,708kWh 83.1g consumption. 2 3 Using the work of Proof-of-Work equivalent to 1.8 million equivalent to 59 days of equivalent Other ideas include sticking to Proof-of-Work schemes but utilising VISA transactions power consumption in an to 1.3 batteries the invested computational power to solve complex scientific average US household problems, e.g. in medicine or physics research. One small pilot is currently run in the US as “fold@home”. 1) Digiconomist (2021)
An Introduction to Digital Assets / Environmental & Social Impact 31 Social implications of blockchain technology Blockchain technology addresses concepts at the very core of our social and economic life – the formation of trust and authority. Similar to the environmental debate, there are societal implications that would arise from wide-spread adoption of cryptocurrencies and tokens. ! Risks & threats Benefits & opportunities − Many blockchain projects in practice are developed and operated − Decentralised governance eliminates risks of centralisation, by centralised organisations with commercial motives, such as corruption and technical or administrative failure counteracting the original ideas of blockchain − Security: Money laundering or identity fraud become more − CBDCs entail risks for data privacy and potential threats regarding difficult in a public system where transactions can be surveillance of consumer spending systematically tracked to its origins − The pseudonymous nature of some cryptocurrencies could make − Ability to make supply chains more transparent in the future, identifying things like political donations and fraud more difficult for instance through better records of where supplies are − Cryptocurrencies play a central role to various criminal activities. sourced from, kept and ultimately used Bitcoin remains the primary payment currency in the dark web − Decentralisation of economic power comparable to the invention of open source knowledge databases (Wikipedia) Illegal activities connected to cryptocurrencies − Inclusion: Possibility for the “unbanked” to access financial Value and share of transactions linked to illicit uses services using only a mobile phone and the internet 25 5.0% Total transaction value, bn EUR (lhs) 20 4.0% Share of all transactions, % (rhs) 15 3.0% 1.7bn people “unbanked” 10 2.0% 5 1.0% 22% without access to the banking system) 0 0.0% 2017 2018 2019 2020 1) Chainalysis (2021)
An Introduction to Digital Assets 32 We are in an exciting era of knowledge democratisation. Closing thoughts 30 years ago, who would have predicted that a decentralised encyclopaedia written by readers themselves would beat Brockhaus in terms of accuracy and quality? In the age of the internet, knowledge is in the hands of anyone with access to Wikipedia. As the old adage goes: “knowledge is power.” Whilst the internet had democratised knowledge, blockchain is democratising power. As we ” have seen, blockchain offers the opportunity to completely remove the middleman for the first time, allowing all sorts of financial Blockchain is about processes to be transparently and securely managed on a peer-to- peer network. This technology offers more people access to financial decentralisation and services and creates a new ecosystem of digital assets. This is the real democratising power. potential of blockchain. It’s still early days for this emerging market. Coins and tokens are It will change the way highly volatile, and the competition between the official central bank digital currencies and private decentralised systems has only just we do business in the begun. 21st century. From accelerating the transition to renewable energy to creating a market for carbon offsetting, the stage is set for this technology to unleash great innovation and ingenuity over the next decades. Perhaps, at the same time, creating more equal and open markets and societies, and transforming the fundamental structures of our economic life. — Christian Hille
An Introduction to Digital Assets 33 Appendix Authors, references & technical glossary
An Introduction to Digital Assets / Authors and Acknowledgements 34 Authors Christian Hille Nils Mallock Lukas Kreß CIO Fürstlich Castell‘sche Bank, Portfolio Management Product Management Head of Portfolio Management Acknowledgments We would like to thank everyone involved, internally and externally, for bringing this comprehensive publication together. Special acknowledgement goes to Katharina Gehra and Walther Doernte for their valuable insights and very constructive, critical discussions around blockchain and its applications, as well as journalist Tarn Rodgers Johns for her professional writing services.
An Introduction to Digital Assets / Appendix 35 References Auer, R., Cornell, G., Frost, J. (2021). Rise of Central Bank Digital currencies: Dirvers, Hinchliffe, R. (2021). Coinbase IPO values hits $99.6bn valuation with shares up 52% on approaches and technologies. BIS working paper, No. 880. debut. BeInCrypto (2020). DeFi Accounts for Almost 90% of Ethereum Transactions. Howcroft, E. (2021). NFT sales volume surges to $2.5 bln in 2021 first half. Blockchaincenter.net (2021). Various Articles. IOT Analytics (2020). State of the IoT 2020. Cambridge Bitcoin Electricity Consumption Index CBECI (2021). Comparisons. Mitic, I. (2021). 45 Blockchain Statistics & Facts That Will Make You Think: The Dawn of Hypercapitalism. Chainalysis (2021). Crypto Crime Summarized: Scams and Darknet Markets Dominated 2020 by Revenue, But Ransomware Is the Bigger Story. Morgan Stanley (2021). Update: Bitcoin, Crypto and Digital Currencies. Chainalysis (2021). Cryptocurrency Ecosystem Comparison: Bitcoin vs. Ethereum vs. Nason, D. (2020). ‘Sustainable investing’ is surging, accounting for 33% of total U.S. assets Stablecoins. under management. CoinMarketCap (2021). Various data. PricewaterhouseCoopers (2020). Time for trust. DappRadar (2021). Various Reports and Articles. Reimers, A. (2021). Das Credo heisst online Bilanz der internationalen Auktionshäuser. Digiconomist (2021). Bitcoin Energy Consumption Index. Reinhardt, A. (2021). Ratgeber: So viel Speicherplatz sollte Ihr Smartphone haben. Defi Pulse (2021). Total Value Locked (USD). Sandner, P. (2019). Decentralized Finance (DeFi): What Do You Need To Know? Ethereum Foundation (2021). Stablecoins. Schär, F. (2021). Decentralized Finance: On Blockchain- and Smart Contract-Based Financial Markets. Ethereum Foundation (2021). Dezentrale Anwendungen (DAPPS). Statista (2021). Size of the Bitcoin blockchain from January 2009 to July 12, 2021. Ethereum Foundation (2021). Decentralized finance (DeFi). The Block (2021). Various data. Ethereum Foundation (2021). Non-fungible tokens (NFT). Gallup (2016). Americans' Confidence in Banks Still Languishing Below 30%. Goldman Sachs (2021). Crypto: A New Asset Class? Gulley, A. (2021). Understanding Ethereum. Harris, M. (2017). A Few Bitcoin Statistics and Similarities to Equities.
Back An Introduction to Digital Assets / Appendix 36 Further technical information Crypto wallet A software that enables you to send and receive cryptocurrencies, such as Bitcoin and Ether. Wallets can be web-based, similar to an online banking account (“hot wallet”) or offline in the form of encrypted USB memory sticks or even written down on paper (“cold wallet”). Setting up a wallet is a prerequisite to send and receive cryptocurrencies. Wallets contain user addresses which uniquely identifies them in the network. In public blockchains like Bitcoin, network participants can look up each and every past transaction an address has been involved in: see for yourself! Private & public key To use cryptocurrencies in their wallets, users generate a random pair of keys that are essential elements of blockchain security. The public key is the basis for the openly known user address that is used as the sender or receiver ID in the network. The private key can be understood as a secret passcode that is used to authorise transactions made with the public key (address). The two keys are mathematically linked in a way that allows for the user to generate a digital signature with them. Signatures are included with every transaction to prove that the sender knows the private key belonging to the public key (address) – in other words, that they are the rightful owner of the coins to be spent. Importantly, deriving the private key from the public key is impossible. It is critical that users do not lose or disclose their private keys – otherwise, the coins and tokens linked to their address will be lost forever. In practice, key pairs are usually stored within a user’s wallet and secured by encryption. Proof-of-Work mining & block generation In order to be rewarded with newly created cryptocurrency and transaction fees, active network users compete in a race to add new blocks of transaction data to the blockchain in a process called “mining”. Under a Proof-of-Work regime, miners continuously generate large random numbers until they find a value in a target range. This range is automatically adjusted to keep the PoW puzzle difficult and account for changes in the number of miners and computational resources invested.
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