Airports 4.0: Impact of Digital Transformation on Airport Economics - Viewpoint
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Agenda 1 What is Airport 4.0 ? 2 A holistic view at digital airport economics 3 Key success factors of a digital transformation Arthur D. Little – Introduction to the Economics of Digital Airports – May 2015 2
1. What is an Airport 4.0 ? Airports are at the fore-front of global challenges and innovations of our society and business, among which Digital Transformation Global trends Scarcity and stability of Rise of emerging resources economies Social & demographic Urbanization and shifts integrated mobility New health & wellbeing demands Airport Digital revolution industry Fast changing business Hyper-competition ecosystems New customer power Disruptive technological and sophistication advances Business trends Arthur D. Little – Introduction to the Economics of Digital Airports – May 2015 3
1. What is an Airport 4.0 ? The airport expenses into “smartization”, i.e. into digital based solutions, should grow by ~40% in 2020 vs today with the objective of better customer experience and improved operations Smart airport spending – in Bn$ 2014 As a public service infrastructure, an airport is a processor / connector between the flow of aircrafts and the flow of +39% [passengers + baggage]… 13.214 …Hence the strong focus on airport operations for “smart 1.126 Others airport” spending (see besides) Car parks 2.393 9.517 317 841 1.012 Building Operation 232 As an economic entity, it leverages this position in the value 1.704 Security chain to monetize those flows through many different 769 3.154 Baggage sorting approaches, at each step of the journey… 2.241 Check-in 3.010 …Smart airport investment should then demonstrate an Apron 2.141 Airside Resource Mgt attractive business case, with high impact on growing 444 245 184 344 revenues and lowering the costs and capital expenditures 1.061 1.513 ATM 2014 2020 Source : Smart Airports Market Forecast 2014-2020, Profound Market Intelligence Arthur D. Little – Introduction to the Economics of Digital Airports – May 2015 4
1. What is an Airport 4.0 ? Airports are currently mature to implement 2.0 digital solutions but should look forward for the next 10-15 years in order to implement an Airports 4.0 model Airport models All about manual and analogic processes Airport 1.0 Long lag-time between resource solicitation and the airport answer Implementation of self-service thanks to the automation of some key flow processing Airport 2.0 tasks (bag-drop, passport check) Several focused initiatives to leverage digitalization so that to optimize flow Airport 3.0 monitoring and processing Full-connected with all stake-holders Airport 4.0 Superior proactivty and reactivity to adapt to the real-time solicitation of the airport (operational needs, customer requests etc…) Arthur D. Little – Introduction to the Economics of Digital Airports – May 2015 5
Agenda 1 What is Airport 4.0 ? 2 Economics of Full Digital 4.0 Airports 3 Key success factors of a digital transformation Arthur D. Little – Introduction to the Economics of Digital Airports – May 2015 6
2. Economics of Full Digital 4.0 Airports A Full Digital Airport leverages 6 technology clusters to optimize its economics by increasing capacity of existing facilities, lowering OPEX and boosting revenues Clusters for airport digital technologies Capacity increase OPEX optimization Revenue growth Flow monitoring & Wifi / Bluetooth or Imaging based or flow monitoring, Indoor geo-localization… management Check-in & Bag Drop, Self-Boarding, Baggage lifters, Automated Taxiing, New Security check points (?), Process automation Automated-Docking, … Collaborative Decision Making Total Airport Management Center, Real-time operation management (Air & Ground Ops) Intelligent Building BIM, real-time energy and utilities management, intelligent preventive maintenance, data-based asset Management management, … Customer engagement Beacons, Digital & interactive display, CRMs systems Predictive solutions Automated planning management for key use of airport resources Arthur D. Little – Introduction to the Economics of Digital Airports – May 2015 7
2. Economics of Full Digital 4.0 Airports Digital transformation as clearly a great impact on capacity utilization and therefore on required CAPEX for extension In % of airport assets Examples of capacity increase -9% 100% Non-CAPEX focused solutions, i.e. process optimization through Energy & Utility 11,0% 91% data-analytics : 10% Ground access & – Runway capacity increase by +10% (LGW) 24,0% Car Parks – Check-in capacity >20% (CPH) 24% CAPEX-based solutions : Terminal Building – Automated bag-drop +30% (ORY) 41,0% & Systems 35% – IATA future security check-point concept – … Runway & 24,0% 22% Apron Airside : 10% to 15% capacity increase Landside : up to 30% capacity gain, but unit cost +15% for Asset Base 2.0 Asset Base 4.0 intelligent building & equipment Source : ACI average world airport P&L 2014, Arthur D. Little analysis Arthur D. Little – Introduction to the Economics of Digital Airports – May 2015 8
2. Economics of Full Digital 4.0 Airports 2.0 An holistic view at digital airport economics Process automation and Energy & Building management could have a great impact on OPEX In % of airport revenues -14% Examples of OPEX optimization 52,3% Automation of passenger treatment processes saving 20% to Others 11,0% 44,8% 50% of staff Maintenance Sharing of real-time situation awareness for ground operating 2,5% 11,0% 3,4% staff of airports, handlers, airlines and other 3rd parties : -10% Utilities 4,2% supervision costs SGA 2,2% 2,9% Reduced labor-cost and external purchasing for maintenance Contracted 3,8% 12,7% (linked to CAPEX optimization and intelligent assets) Services 10,1% Automated administrative processes (revenue accounting and billing, basic training etc…) Staff 18,6% Reduced energy consumption (lighting, heating…) 14,8% Organizational challenges are also key to be considered to OPEX 2.0 OPEX 4.0 leverage those gains potential Source : ACI average world airport P&L 2014, Arthur D. Little analysis Arthur D. Little – Introduction to the Economics of Digital Airports – May 2015 9
2. Economics of Full Digital 4.0 Airports From an helicopter-view the impact of the Digital Transformation of airports on revenues seems quite significant Potential threats on airport revenue streams Revenue Growth Accelerator Moving some transactions away from the airport : Increased dwell-time thanks to better operation – Duty-free online… efficiency driven by digitalization – … with pick-up on-board of goods purchased Enhanced interaction with customers: Disintermediation of services providers operating at – Better flow knowledge and tracking of individuals airports : at the airport terminal – Car sharing solutions using long-term parked – Ability to push sales and to propose hyper- vehicles segmented offers, instantly – … Dynamic pricing (today in car parks, tomorrow in retail with discount coupons / bundled offers etc…) Arthur D. Little – Introduction to the Economics of Digital Airports – May 2015 10
2. Economics of Full Digital 4.0 Airports Obviously, more efficient and faster processes are the key for customer spending increase at airports Correlation between dwell time Split of passenger dwell time at airports and spend-per-pax at airports Spending ratio 21% 26% 3,5 Process time 5% Queue, Watch & Wait 3,0 Basic Needs Commercial Dwell-Time 2,5 47% 2,0 650 +40,0% 600 1,5 330 330 Billion-hours 1,0 225 lost at airports Spend-per-pax : +2€ to 0,5 +3€ per additional hour Check-In Security & Orientation FIDS Gate Passport 0,0 Minutes Impact of digitalization 5 15 25 35 45 55 65 75 85 95+ Source : Dolby & Holder, Arthur D. Little projects Arthur D. Little – Introduction to the Economics of Digital Airports – May 2015 11
2. Economics of Full Digital 4.0 Airports Digital Transformation is also key to address the current and future Digital consumers, that are representing ~40% of the world population today USA Western Europe Asia Current and future digital Current and future digital Current and future digital consumers : 40% of pop. consumers : 33% of pop. consumers : 33% to 50% of pop. Source : United Nations Arthur D. Little – Introduction to the Economics of Digital Airports – May 2015 12
2. Economics of Full Digital 4.0 Airports 2.0 An holistic view at digital airport economics Actually, revenue increase lead by Digitalization is still uncertain today : revenue upside can be threaten by “digital competitors” ; nevertheless digital interaction is a must-have Examples of revenues upsides and downsides because of In % of airport revenues +5,1% digitalization 46% Retail + F&B : 44% 7% Others +5% to +15% thanks to increased dwell-time 7% > +10% (?) potential from enhanced customer interaction 9% Real Estate ? competition from online dutyfree ? 9% 2% Advertizing Advertising : 2% 3% F&B 2% Spectacular sales increase for products being advertised digitally today (but will it last ?), … hence higher revenues 13% 15% Retail for advertising operators… … but that are not converted into higher advertising fee for 3% 2% Rental car airports has ad operators claim for higher CAPEX for digital displays 9% 9% Car Parking Car park and car rental : Non-Aeronautical 2.0 Non-Aeronautical 4.0 Yield management enables +6% to +10% sales increase… but price comparators or car sharing solutions might take- Source : ACI average world airport P&L 2014, Arthur D. Little analysis way 10% to 20% of revenues Arthur D. Little – Introduction to the Economics of Digital Airports – May 2015 13
2. Economics of Full Digital 4.0 Airports 2.0 An holistic view at digital airport economics Overall, unleashing the potential value of Airport 4.0 economics looks quite attractive vs the current Airport 2.0 business model with a significant EBIT improvement potential Total EBIT margin (% of 27,5% 39,1% revenues) A “full-digital greenfield” airport would generate more than Aeronautical +10pts EBIT margin 56,2% 56,2% Revenues Capacity increase by 15-20% minimum, but CAPEX reduction only by -10% (cost of intelligent building & equipment) Non-Aeronautical OPEX reduction by 15% 43,8% 46,0% Revenues Revenue growth mainly induced by the “side-effect” of better customer satisfaction and increased dwell-time OPEX -52,3% -44,8% Challenges for airport operators are the following : At what pace can we achieve our full digital transformation ? What -18,3% are the key success factors ? Depreciation -20,2% How to preserve most gains for the airports while sharing part of Airport 2.0 Airport 4.0 this additional profit between stakeholders ? Source : ACI average world airport P&L 2014, Arthur D. Little analysis Arthur D. Little – Introduction to the Economics of Digital Airports – May 2015 14
Agenda 1 What is Airport 4.0 ? 2 Economics of Full Digital 4.0 Airports 3 Key Success Factors of a digital transformation Arthur D. Little – Introduction to the Economics of Digital Airports – May 2015 15
3. Key Success Factors of a digital transformation A Digital Transformation requires new skills and talents ; it should involve the entire airport organization Revenue focused departments Operation focused departments New business analytics department : Small team : 5-20 people Airline marketing Airport Operations – Airfield / Data & fact-based-driven, process Commercial revenues & passenger Terminal agnostics : mix of new comers and marketing Airport Maintenance / Facility Management some grey-hair process experts Real-Estate Other internal service providers Transfor- Flight statistics & forecast Ability to gain autonomy in mation developing tools and analysis in- (handling, security…) team house… Business Airport planners, Analytics … and to embrace open-innovation Support functions designers & developers Transverse approach, no hierarchical linked towards existing departments, Program & master-planning Strategy but could be split into revenue Engineering (when in-house) Finances focused experts vs operation Project management Human Resources focused experts … Commando spirit Arthur D. Little – Introduction to the Economics of Digital Airports – May 2015 16
3. Key Success Factors of a digital transformation Achieving a Digital Airport Vision and Business Model requires the combination of (1) a usual strategic planning approach and of (2) Design Thinking bricks Digital Transformation Governance Sourcing Strategic Vision : strategy : Ambition target, in-house / open- Ideate Imple- alignment of priorities for innovation Prototyping solutions mentation change, impact on Customized / airport economics vendor solution … Change management Boosting creativity, shortening “go-to-market” cycles, winning the buy-in of the organization… … while focusing efforts and managing potential conflicts of interest Arthur D. Little – Introduction to the Economics of Digital Airports – May 2015 17
3. Key Success Factors of a digital transformation 3. Key Success Factors of a digital transformation A successful Digital Transformation must provide tangible and economic benefit to every stakeholders of an Airport 4.0 Airports & Airlines : Transform into a « Smart airport » , consider risk- sharing and value-based relationships Find a modus vivendi with airlines to manage the battle for consumer ownership through digital Airports & Investors : Airports & The City media Implement lean & agile Contribute to the aviation business model : industry green effort – Skills and activities of Next generation airport Contribute to & prescribe tomorrow ? business model mobility strategies based on – Integrator vs Orchestrator ? digital-enabled solutions – “Flexible” CAPEX ? Airports & Consumers : Leverage big data & technology to understand « hyper-consumers » and boost both customer experience and commercial revenues Find the right balance between being “a connector” and a “place of enjoyment” Arthur D. Little – Introduction to the Economics of Digital Airports – May 2015 18
Contact details Contact details As the world’s first consultancy, Arthur D. Little has Main Authors: Other contributors : been at the forefront of innovation for more than 125 years. We are acknowledged as a thought leader in Mathieu Blondel Akitake Fujita linking strategy, technology and innovation. Our Principal - France Manager - Singapore consultants consistently develop enduring next E : blondel.mathieu@adlittle.com E : fujita.akitake@adlittle.com generation solutions to master our clients' business complexity and to deliver sustainable results suited to Michael Zintel Russell Pell the economic reality of each of our clients. Principal – Germany Principal – UK E : zintel.michael@adlittle.com E : pell.russell@adlittle.com Arthur D. Little has offices in the most important business cities around the world. We are proud to Hiroto Suzuki serve many of the Fortune 500 companies globally, Principal - Japan in addition to other leading firms and public sector E : suzuki.hiroto@adlittle.com organizations. For further information please visit www.adlittle.com Arthur D. Little – Introduction to the Economics of Digital Airports – May 2015 19
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