Acres of Opportunity: Reinventing Rikers Island - A primer on the island's history as a jail and the exciting opportunities to utilize its real ...
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Acres of Opportunity: Reinventing Rikers Island A primer on the island’s history as a jail and the exciting opportunities to utilize its real estate for a better New York City George Fontas CEO of Fontas Advisors November 2019 www.fontasadvisors.com
Acres of Opportunity: Reinventing Rikers Island Introduction Last month the New York City Council reached a critical milestone in its multi-year process to fundamentally reshape criminal justice practices in New York City. With the Council’s approval on October 17, 2019 of the locations and building envelopes for five new jail facilities across the City, we are now one significant step closer to closing the City’s dysfunctional and long-troubled central correctional facility located on Rikers Island. The closure of Rikers is driven by the moral imperative to dramatically improve jail conditions for detained individuals to reduce incarceration overall and ensure that detainees are treated humanely while moving through the criminal justice system. Additionally, as described by the Independent Commission on New York City Criminal Justice and Incarceration Reform, an organization created by the City in 2017 to outline the path forward for criminal justice reform, closing the Rikers jail complex is also a significant public policy initiative. The Independent Commission, which is commonly referred to as the Lippman Commission, has reported that shuttering Rikers has the potential to save taxpayers hundreds of millions of dollars each year and would permit the real Shuttering Rikers has the potential estate on the island to be repurposed into an to save taxpayers hundreds of asset that can benefit the city as a whole. millions of dollars each year and would permit the real estate on the With strong momentum in the plan to shut the island to be repurposed into an asset jail complex on Rikers Island, the City’s attention that can benefit the city as a whole. will soon shift to the future of the island and the opportunity to reimagine its 413 acres of contiguous City-owned property. Although redeveloping the island will be complicated by a number of physical and geographical challenges, several potential use cases have already been proposed. Interestingly, the most impactful of these enables the City to move existing infrastructure facilities to the island, thus freeing up what would likely be more desirable real estate across the five boroughs that could then be repurposed for virtually anything, but most likely residential, commercial, or community use. Over the past few months, through discussions with our network of elected officials, policymakers, criminal justice experts, real estate developers, city planning experts, and business leaders, we have begun to examine what the future of Rikers Island might hold. In the analysis that follows, we provide a brief primer on Rikers Island and the notorious jail complex it has housed since the 1930s and highlight potential use cases for the island’s real estate. We also share our predictions on the likely path forward the City will take, as well as some key political factors that will make the Rikers Island redevelopment project particularly unique.
Fast Facts on Rikers Island & The Rikers Island Jail Complex What is Rikers Island? Rikers Island is a 413 acre island in the East River located just a few hundred yards north of LaGuardia International Airport. The island is primarily human-made via landfill and is thought to be named after Abraham Rycken, a Dutch settler who moved to Long Island in 1638, and whose descendants owned Rikers Island until 1884 when it was sold to the city for the grand sum of $180,000. Since the 1930s, it has been home to New York City’s main jail facility. What is the Jail Complex on Rikers Island? Today, the jail complex on Rikers Island consists of ten different jails and dozens of buildings holding local detainees who fall into three categories: 1. Who are awaiting trial and cannot afford or obtain, or are not given, bail from a judge 2. Who are serving sentences of one year or less 3. Who are placed there temporarily pending transfer to another facility While the complex can accommodate 15,000 detainees, today, it holds roughly 7,000, and the size of the population has been decreasing steadily over the past 12 years. Why will the Rikers Island jail complex close? Built mostly in the 1960s, the jail complex on Rikers Island has a long history of poor physical conditions that have created an inhumane environment for those individuals detained at the facility. The island’s remote nature requires a complicated and expensive system of shuttling detainees to and from the facility to courthouses in each of the five boroughs. Furthermore, its remote location has made it very difficult for family and community members visiting those detained in the complex. In addition to these physical conditions, Rikers is notorious for “a culture of The City of New York has abuse” and has been subject to several investigations and committed to fully shuttering rulings related to the treatment of detainees. Rikers by 2026. In the meantime, facilities on the island continue to As a result, after a multi-year process to review the entirety come offline as populations of of the city’s criminal justice system, the City has committed detainees decrease. to closing the Rikers Island facility. It will be replaced with four new men’s facilities located in Downtown Brooklyn, Kew Gardens (Queens), Lower Manhattan, and Mott Haven (Bronx). A new women’s only facility will also be built in Kew Gardens, housing female detainees from across the City. These new jails will be located in close proximity to courthouses, be populated by individuals from their home borough, and will incorporate modern standards and best practices to criminal justice. The City estimates it will cost $8.7 billion to build these five new jail facilities. When will the Rikers Island jail complex close? The City of New York has committed to fully shuttering Rikers by 2026. In the meantime, facilities on the island continue to come offline as populations of detainees decrease as a result of new laws designed to create a better justice system. The City Council passed a law requiring the Mayor’s Office of Criminal Justice to provide regular reports on the progress in closing the jail complex. Acres of Opportunity: Reimagining Rikers Island 2
What are the physical challenges of redeveloping the island? Despite Rikers Island’s immense size, redevelopment options for the island are somewhat restricted due to a handful of physical and geographical factors. First and foremost, despite its location in the heart of New York City, Rikers Island is physically isolated, accessible only by a single three-lane bridge and one public bus route. The nearest subway station is over 2.5 miles away. The Lippman Commission also suggested that factors such as deep bedrock, weak soil, and methane deposits resulting from the landfill on the island could significantly increase construction costs. Finally, while the island’s proximity to LaGuardia could be a benefit, it also results in Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) regulations that limit building heights to a maximum of 50 to 150 feet across the island. Moreover, noise pollution from air traffic is exceedingly high over most of the island. The overall public benefits of Rikers Island’s redevelopment should include outcomes such as the creation of good-paying jobs, the promotion of equity among city residents, and the improvement of environmental and resiliency factors. Moving Forward: The Future of Rikers Island’s Real Estate So far, the City’s primary focus in closing the Rikers Island jail complex has been on implementing new criminal justice policies and siting new jail facilities. Now, with the City Council’s final approval on the locations of these new facilities completed and most of the criminal justice reform policies in place, attention will soon shift to re-envisioning how the City can utilize Rikers Islands’ available real estate. Rikers Island is truly unique in that, at 413 acres, it is substantially larger than any other large lots of land currently available for development in New York City. It is more than double the size of the Sunnyside Rail Yards in Queens (180 acres) and Willets Point, also in Queens (62 acres). In a city famous for no shortage of opinions, some initial thinking has begun to emerge for what will ultimately be a very long-term project, likely taking a minimum of 10-15 years to complete. One of the many topics covered by the Lippman Commission’s 2017 report A More Just New York City and its 2018 follow-up report is the future use cases for Rikers Island. According to the Lippman Commission, while the redevelopment of Rikers Island provides an opportunity to generate broad public benefits for all New Yorkers, it also offers the specific opportunity to provide benefits to the communities that have been most negatively impacted by the historical use of the island, such as Central Brooklyn, Southeast Queens, the South Bronx, and Upper Manhattan. The overall public benefits of the island’s redevelopment should include outcomes such as the creation of good paying jobs, the promotion of equity among city residents, and the improvement of environmental and resiliency factors. Additionally, the report recommends that a permanent memorial should be created on the island to serve as a tool to educate the public about Rikers’ history as a jail. Acres of Opportunity: Reimagining Rikers Island 3
Ultimately, given its size, Rikers Island will likely have several different uses that are developed in a phased manner. A model of such an approach can be found on Randall’s Island in the East River, where medical facilities, sanitation facilities, athletic fields, a small sports stadium, and dedicated festival grounds create an impressive array of hard-to-site facilities. Here is an overview of various development options for the new Rikers Island that have been proposed so far, both by the Lippman Commission, as well as by other stakeholders. Affordable Housing Despite previous comments that residential development was off-the-table for a reimagined Rikers Island, Mayor Bill de Blasio recently stated that he felt affordable housing should be considered for at least a portion of the island. The availability of such a large site could go a long way to achieving a goal set in October 2017 by the Mayor to build, finance, or preserve 300,000 affordable units by 2026. Interestingly, the Lippman Commission found that affordable housing would be difficult and expensive to construct due to the island’s physical and geographical challenges mentioned above. However, further examination is needed here before housing of any type is ruled out. It is possible that the cost of construction may be comparable to that of more dense communities in Manhattan, for example, because the ease By moving core infrastructure of access to construction sites on Rikers would allow for greater facilities to the island, the efficiencies in coordination and time. Finally, an island-wide City will likely be able to close geotechnical analysis would need to be completed to confirm the and repurpose current status of the subsurface conditions. infrastructure sites, freeing Another commonly cited concern about building residential up valuable and desirable real properties on Rikers Island is the noise concerns from LaGuardia estate within residential and International Airport. However, both LaGuardia and John F. commercial neighborhoods to Kennedy International Airport are surrounded by residential be used for other purposes. communities in close proximity, which signals that noise pollution might not be as significant of a deterrent as the Lippman Study suggests. The other side to the coin is that living on an island with waterfront access and newly built housing might be enticing to thousands of potential residents. Therefore, market studies should be completed to assess the feasibility of a combination of affordable, senior, and market rate housing on Rikers Island. Infrastructure Concepts The flexible space and remote nature of Rikers Island make it an ideal home to new infrastructure resources that are badly needed by the City. By moving core infrastructure facilities to the island, the City will likely be able to close and repurpose current infrastructure sites, freeing up valuable and desirable real estate within residential and commercial neighborhoods to be used for other purposes. Infrastructure projects could include facilities for water, energy, and waste. Water Treatment Facilities New York City’s sewer system is outdated and not well suited to handle an increased likelihood of flooding and extreme weather events, as is predicted for the City in the coming years. The current system combines wastewater from buildings with stormwater from rain and melted snow, with all the water eventually making its way to one of several wastewater treatment plants scattered throughout the City. However, during heavy rains or severe snow, the system is designed to overflow Acres of Opportunity: Reimagining Rikers Island 4
untreated wastewater directly into New York’s waterways, causing such harmful pollution that New Yorkers are prohibited from swimming in or eating fish caught in the City’s waters for typically 12 hours following a significant storm. Building a modern wastewater facility on Rikers Island would dramatically expand capacity in the system, which, in turn, would reduce untreated wastewater from flowing into the waterways. A new water treatment facility on Rikers Island could replace aging facilities such as the Bowery Bay Wastewater Treatment Plant (Astoria, Queens), Wards Island Wastewater Treatment Plant (Wards Island), and Tallman Island Wastewater Treatment Plant (College Point, Queens) — each of which will all be over 100 years old by 2039. The Lippman report estimates that creating a new water treatment facility on Rikers could save the City as much as $10 million per year. In addition, this could allow the City to decommission the existing facilities in Astoria, Wards Island, and College Point and use that real estate for virtually any other use — such as new housing, park space, or schools that would be developed within existing communities that offer better transportation connections and services than that of Rikers Island. City Council Member Costa Constantinides (D-Queens) has recently introduced a bill that, if passed, would require a study be completed to determine the feasibility of constructing a wastewater facility on Rikers Island. Renewable Energy Farm New York City has ambitious goals to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 40% by 2030 and by 80% by 2050. To achieve these emissions goals, some level of local renewable energy production will be required. The Lippman Commission studied this and found that Rikers Island could be an excellent location for siting renewable energy production and storage systems. An alternative approach to renewable energy could be requiring that any new structures built on the property must include energy-producing technologies that meet the structure’s own energy needs and send to the grid (or store) surplus energy. City Council Member Constantinides has also introduced two bills that would study the feasibility of renewable energy development on the island and could potentially move the jurisdiction of the island to the New York City Department of Environmental Protection to facilitate the development of renewable Rikers Island could house new energy production. sanitation facilities such as a major new composting facility, which has the Sanitation Facilities potential to be one of the largest in the New York City has committed to sending zero waste to world, and a waste-to-energy facility landfills by 2030. Today the City collects 3.7 million tons to convert refuse into electricity that is of garbage each year, of which about 80% is sent to landfills. Rikers Island could house new sanitation put back into the electric grid, facilities such as a major new composting facility, which contributing to the reduction of has the potential to be one of the largest in the world, and greenhouse gas emissions. a waste-to-energy facility to convert refuse into electricity that is put back into the electric grid, contributing to the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions. These new sanitation facilities would likely take advantage of the City’s marine transfer system to barge refuse to the island, substantially reducing truck traffic on highways. Moreover, the savings to the city’s coffers might be enticing enough. According to the New York City Budget Office, the cost of landfilling NYC’s trash outside of New York City will cost $420 million in Acres of Opportunity: Reimagining Rikers Island 5
2021. New sanitation facilities on Rikers Island have the potential to save the City hundreds of millions of dollars a year, in addition to playing a critical role in reducing, and eventually eliminating, the need to send our garbage to landfills. Commercial Uses The island’s wide open space, established infrastructure, and proximity to LaGuardia Airport could make it a great home to various large-scale commercial uses, which have few alternative locations elsewhere in the City. These could include: LaGuardia Airport Expansion The proximity of Rikers Island to LaGuardia International Airport offers a rare opportunity to dramatically expand the capacity of one of the world’s most overburdened airports that earlier this fall was rated worst in the country. This expansion could add a much needed third runway and increase the capacity of the existing airport by as much as 40%. There is also the potential to add additional facilities for private planes, cargo shipping, as well as features that would improve the The proximity of Rikers Island to overall customer experience, such as enhanced hospitality and LaGuardia International Airport dining options. offers a rare opportunity to dramatically expand the The Lippman Commission estimated that expanding LaGuardia capacity of one of the world’s Airport would generate 12 million additional passengers annually most overburdened airports. to New York City. When considering the money spent by those individuals during their time in New York, an expanded airport would result in thousands of new good paying jobs, at the expanded airport and throughout the city serving the influx of new visitors and create billions of dollars in new economic activity. As a result, expanding LaGuardia is likely to be, by far, the most economically beneficial proposal for the island. However, the City’s airspace is already crowded; therefore, additional capacity on the ground may not ease congestion in the air. Furthermore, LaGuardia is currently undergoing an $8 billion redevelopment that does not anticipate adding a new third runway. Expect significant opposition to a potential airport expansion from at least two vocal interests: the local community, which will aggressively fight additional noise pollution, and environmental justice advocates, who will strongly favor a redevelopment plan for Rikers that relocates buildings like sanitation facilities and power plants that historically have been located in communities of color from elsewhere in the City. Convention Center A common refrain from New York’s business and tourism community is that the Jacob K. Javits Convention Center on Manhattan’s West Side does not meet the needs of modern large scale events. Considering Rikers Island’s adjacency to LaGuardia airport, the potential for ferry service to and from the island, and the opportunity to develop new hotels to accommodate both conventioneers and travelers utilizing LaGuardia, the island could be the ideal location for a world-class convention facility. However, the development of a brand new convention center on Rikers Island would certainly throw into question the future use of the Javits Center, which is currently undergoing a $1.5 billion expansion that will expand it to a whopping 3.3 million square feet by 2021. This work should extend its life and make it more attractive to modern conventions of all sizes. Ultimately, a study should be completed to assess the feasibility of having two large convention centers in New York City. Should Acres of Opportunity: Reimagining Rikers Island 6
the study find that there is insufficient demand for two such centers, any plan for a new convention center on Rikers Island would likely be abandoned. Urban Agriculture Farm to table was never any closer as Rikers Island has the size and infrastructure to support a robust commercial farming facility. The City could develop what would be, by far, its largest agricultural facility just a few miles from the country’s largest urban population, and its most extensive restaurant scene. Such a facility would generate jobs and economic activity, significantly decrease vehicular emissions caused by shipping produce to the city and reduce the cost for the consumer. In The City could develop what would be, addition, the urban farm could combine an agriculture by far, its largest agricultural facility laboratory that tests new technologies and innovates on just a few miles from the country’s urban farming techniques. largest urban population, and its most Education Campus extensive restaurant scene. Planners for Rikers Island might look to Roosevelt Island, the home to Cornell Tech, or Governor’s Island for inspiration. At nearly three times the size of Roosevelt Island, Rikers Island could become the site of a world-class academic institution and educational complex. Similar to Cornell Tech’s Roosevelt Island campus and the recently announced “climate laboratory” coming to Governor’s Island, the approach for such a project would likely need to be multi-disciplinary, encompassing education, research, innovation, and technology. The existing infrastructure on Rikers Island could easily support a major education complex, inclusive of dormitories. Parks and Recreation Space Rikers Island’s 413 acres makes it roughly half the size of Central Park and nearly two-and-a-half times larger than Governors Island. It could potentially house dozens of athletic fields, making it a world-class destination for much needed youth and adult sports facilities, as well as other parks and recreation space. The City is not able to meet the current demand for access to recreational facilities. In 2017 the New York City Department of Parks and Recreation (DPR) received 11,000 permit requests for access to the City’s athletic fields and courts, but it was only able to approve 76% of them, representing 877,000 hours’ worth of playing time. The other 24% of requests were turned down by DPR because there was no available space. The potential for new parks and recreational facilities on Rikers Island is enhanced by the wide open nature of its real estate, which would likely allow for creative concepts that could serve the diverse needs of New Yorkers. Rikers Island’s 413 acres makes it roughly half the size of Central Park and nearly two-and-a-half times larger than Governors Island. It could potentially house dozens of athletic fields, making it a world-class destination for much-needed youth and adult sports facilities. Acres of Opportunity: Reimagining Rikers Island 7
The City’s Path Forward While the ultimate decisions on how to utilize Rikers Island’s unique real estate are undoubtedly complicated, the most significant hurdles will come after a master plan has been created — getting the proposals through the City’s political machine, rezoning through the ULURP process, and pacifying the numerous stakeholders with strong and disparate views on what the island should become. Here are our predictions on the path forward, including key political factors that will make the Rikers Island redevelopment project particularly challenging. Look for EDC to take the lead The City will first need to identify a lead agency to manage the Rikers redevelopment project and process. Given its deep expertise and experience in managing a number of the city’s mega projects, the NYC Economic Development Corporation (EDC), a nonprofit that functions as a city agency, reporting to Deputy Mayor for Housing and Economic Development, is particularly well suited for this task. EDC is controlled by the Mayor and is charged with generating economic development opportunities on City-owned land and facilitating programs that enable business expansion across the City. In fact, after the closure of the notorious Spofford Juvenile Correction Center in the Bronx, EDC successfully Given Rikers Island’s controversial redeveloped the property into nearly 740 units of affordable history not only as a dysfunctional housing, recreational and community facilities, a wellness jail, but also as a facility that has center, commercial and open space, and early education caused tremendous harm to local programming. For the Rikers project, EDC would likely communities, the City should and will engage an engineering and design firm to assist its team prioritize public input throughout its with collecting community input, analyzing the physical and economic feasibility of redevelopment options, and redevelopment process. providing technical and operational recommendations. Expect extensive and lengthy public input throughout the redevelopment process Given Rikers Island’s controversial history not only as a dysfunctional jail, but also as a facility that has caused tremendous harm to local communities, the City should and will prioritize public input throughout its redevelopment process. This will likely happen through a series of public forums, including townhall style meetings, community design events call ‘charettes,’ as well as a website or digital tool, where New Yorkers can submit ideas and feedback and stay informed on the latest progress on the project. The public input effort will be particularly voluminous. There are myriad stakeholders connected to Rikers Island, foremost of which are the thousands of New Yorkers whose lives have been impacted by the island’s troubled history. With this in mind, in addition to soliciting feedback from typical stakeholders for major redevelopment projects — such as experts in city planning, design, engineering, and leaders in the business community — the public input process must also include criminal justice reform advocates, especially those who lead the effort to close Rikers Island and faith-based and civic leaders in communities that have been disproportionately impacted by the island’s jail complex. Beyond this, input should be solicited from communities across the five boroughs where infrastructure facilities could theoretically be replaced with modern facilities on Rikers Island since these redevelopment opportunities represent significant benefits to the City. Acres of Opportunity: Reimagining Rikers Island 8
Each of these stakeholders will look to gain new benefits with the redevelopment of the island, which will greatly complicate these Each of these stakeholders discussions. For example, last month, as part of the approval of the new jail sites, the City announced that it has committed $470 million will look to gain new benefits in programming for communities adversely affected by the jail at with the redevelopment of the Rikers Island. This programming was a direct outcome of the island, which will greatly negotiations with stakeholders from the impacted communities, complicate these discussions. who demanded benefits during the rezoning process. Likewise, throughout the master planning, rezoning, and RFP processes, stakeholders will continue to seek additional benefits from the City, such as various employment requirements for any redevelopment construction on the island, among other things. For example, they may call for measures that guarantee jobs for individuals that were formerly detained in the City’s jail system or for union labor. The bottom line is that the public input process will offer all stakeholders the opportunity to advocate and secure support for their preferred benefits as part of the redevelopment process. The politics may not be aligned to begin the Rikers redevelopment project right away A significant challenge to completing this massive project will be getting it started in the first place. For the City, passing the plan announced on October 17th, which outlined the five new jail locations and community benefits, was an extremely difficult and politically charged process. It was met with fierce opposition from the communities where the new jails will be located, as well as by criminal justice reformers, who seek to eliminate jails entirely. As a result of this difficult process that just concluded, there may not be an appetite in City Hall to rush to begin what will ultimately be a multi- year planning process, likely fraught with similar challenges. Moreover, the process to get to a City-approved master plan The process to get to a City- for the new Rikers Island, as outlined above, will likely take approved master plan for the new much longer than the roughly two years left in Mayor de Rikers Island will likely take much Blasio’s administration. Therefore, it is possible that the longer than the roughly two years Mayor’s Office will be weighing how best to utilize its left in Mayor de Blasio’s remaining time in City Hall. A choice might have to be made administration. Therefore, it is between making progress on the bold goals they have possible that the Mayor’s Office already outlined and beginning a major new project that will will be weighing how best to utilize span at least two administrations (and could be entirely de- its remaining time in City Hall. railed by the next Mayor). It will certainly be difficult for the Administration to completely punt the Rikers development effort to the next Mayor, as stakeholders and elected officials will continue to be very focused on the project. However, it is also possible that City Hall will need to stay singularly focused on following through on its commitment to close the Rikers jail complex and build the new five jails and will not have time or bandwidth to think beyond these sizeable projects. Acres of Opportunity: Reimagining Rikers Island 9
Even after years of master planning and community input, expect a battle to rezone the island Rikers Island is currently zoned as ‘C8-2,’ which broadly allows for all commercial activity except for amusements and certain community facilities. However, as the master plan for Rikers Island is likely to include several uses, including residential, sanitation, and possibly even power generation, parts of the island will almost certainly need to be rezoned to allow for those uses. As a result, the rezoning proposal will likely seek to create a ‘Special Zoning District’ for the island’s redevelopment. This will enable the City to customize the zoning rules to the highly unique needs of the island, which will not be well suited to the general zoning rules used throughout the rest of New York City. This will require the rezoning proposal to move through the City’s Uniform Land Use Review Procedure While rezoning might sound like a (ULURP), which is the process by which New York City makes straightforward administrative changes to the zoning of real estate. ULURP encompasses four task, rezoning submissions in the stages of review: the local Community Board, the Borough City often become hotly President, the City Planning Commission, and finally, the City contested debates as they Council. represent one of the final opportunities for stakeholders While rezoning might sound like a straightforward administrative and community members to voice task, rezoning submissions in the City often become hotly contested debates as they represent one of the final their concerns and fight for their opportunities for stakeholders and community members to voice desired benefits. their concerns and fight for their desired benefits. For the new Rikers Island, it will be impossible to gain widespread support from all stakeholders together in support of one vision. So, while creating the Special Zoning District should be straightforward, finalizing the details of the custom zones will require patient negotiation between a long list of supporters and critics. Queens Community Board 1 (CB-1), which is comprised of 50 local volunteer community members, will lead the first level of ULURP review, which will entail sorting through all the varying opinions, negotiating solutions, and then providing a recommendation on the rezoning proposal. Expect aggressive advocacy from a wide range of stakeholders throughout the four ULURP stages, including: • Supporters and opponents for various aspects of the master plan • Criminal justice reform advocates • Labor unions • Environmental justice advocates • Environmentalists • Trade associations, such as chambers of commerce • Transit advocates • Communities throughout the city that may have their local infrastructure facilities eventually decommissioned as a function of new development on Rikers Island • Local residents of CB-1, the municipal district that includes Rikers Island • And, an army of lobbyists representing all sides Acres of Opportunity: Reimagining Rikers Island 10
New York City’s forthcoming ‘leadership cliff’ will slow and complicate Rikers’ redevelopment Once the rezoning has made it through the Community Board (CB-1), the Borough President, and the City Planning Commission, the final stage is review by the City Council. This is, by far, the most critical step in the ULURP process. It is at this stage where most changes to a rezoning proposal traditionally take place, and where we anticipate that Rikers Island’s redevelopment plans will be most at risk. This is in large part due to the fact that New York City government is on the verge of, what we have termed, a ‘leadership cliff,’ which will hit on January 1, 2022, and will add tremendous uncertainty to the entire redevelopment of Rikers Island, as well as other long-term projects and citywide initiatives. From now until then, at least 80% of New York City’s elected officials will have turned over as a function of term limits. With the leadership cliff, the city will find itself with a new Mayor, Comptroller, Speaker of the New York City government is on City Council, four new Borough Presidents, and 39 new City the verge of, what we have Council Members (out of a total of 51). termed, a ‘leadership cliff,’ which will hit on January 1, 2022, and will As a result of such extensive turnover in the City’s elected add tremendous uncertainty to the officials, a significant amount of institutional experience in entire redevelopment of Rikers land use, development, and political know-how will exit city Island, as well as other long-term government, in both the experienced elected officials as well as their long-term staff, many of whom are also likely to move projects and citywide initiatives. on. This means that, by and large, newly appointed and potentially first-time elected officials will be responsible for driving the decisions around the historic Rikers redevelopment project. For the ULURP, with so many new faces in City Council, there is a significant risk of renewed opposition to the master plan, which, by then, will be viewed as the plan of their predecessors. Generally speaking, while we believe term limits are an essential aspect of the New York City government, in this case, they have the potential to slow down this critical project considerably. Social and community benefits will feature prominently in the project’s RFP process Assuming that the City Council approves the final phase of ULURP and the lengthy rezoning process is complete, the City will finally have the green light to start work on the new Rikers Island. This massive project will require an extensive and diverse fleet of developers, contractors, and companies to design, build, and ultimately manage the island’s various facilities, structures, and uses. Like it does for any project, the City will issue a series of requests-for-proposals (RFPs) to procure the services required for the island’s redevelopment and ongoing management. The RFP process will, once again, give stakeholders and community members the opportunity to pressure the City to deliver additional benefits. Depending on the ultimate plan for the island, this could end up meaning many different things — anything from ensuring jobs for individuals who are formerly incarcerated, requiring more affording housing units than may be feasible to finance, requiring the use of sustainable materials in construction, to, in the case of an academic institution, requiring a dedicated number of seats for students from communities most impacted by the Rikers Island jail complex. Whatever the requirements, expect to see the City seek to achieve larger social goals in the redevelopment plan. As a result, for all aspects of Rikers’ redevelopment and ongoing management, the savviest RFP respondents will proactively include social and community benefits as part of a comprehensive proposal. Acres of Opportunity: Reimagining Rikers Island 11
The Rikers Island redevelopment project will rest on our current and future elected officials to have the skill to manage competing constituencies and changing politics, and the courage to support a vision of Rikers Island that they largely will not have played a role in designing. Final Thoughts The hardest work in reimagining Rikers Island already been completed — the City and all the elected officials who supported the closure of the jail complex on Rikers Island should be applauded for this once-in-a-century shift in criminal justice. The ability for New Yorkers to move on from the tragic history that Rikers represents is, by far, the most crucial aspect of the entire future of the island. This must not be lost when considering the exciting future opportunities that the island holds or the long and winding road that will ultimately lead to its reinvention. No matter how Rikers Island’s 413 acres are repurposed, the City has the opportunity and obligation to generate broad public benefits for all New Yorkers through its redevelopment. However, we must remember an old saying in city politics: It’s hard for elected officials to commit to megaprojects because they are out of office before the ribbon cutting. With the forthcoming leadership cliff, it is likely that most of the project’s master planning will take part before the next Mayor, Borough Presidents, and City Council are in place, and much of the construction will happen after they leave elected office. Thus, the Rikers Island redevelopment project will rest on our current and future elected officials to have the skill to manage competing constituencies and changing politics, and the courage to support a vision of Rikers Island that they largely will not have played a role in designing. We believe the prospect of creating something exceptional on Rikers Island will ultimately succeed, although it will require patience and compromise. The City deserves a next chapter for the island that benefits as many New Yorkers as possible, seizes the opportunity to make progress on city- wide challenges, and remembers the island’s history. The future of our city — from the perspective of infrastructure, sustainability, economic development, and housing — may very well depend on it. The City deserves a next chapter for the Rikers Island that benefits as many New Yorkers as possible, seizes the opportunity to make progress on city-wide challenges, and remembers the island’s history. Acres of Opportunity: Reimagining Rikers Island 12
As Founder and CEO of Fontas Advisors, George Fontas has earned a reputation as an innovative leader and trusted strategist, advising clients across the corporate, real estate, technology, and nonprofit sectors as they navigate the complexity of New York City and State and New Jersey. Fontas Advisors was founded in 2017 with a vision to build a firm that offers superior government affairs services with a boutique culture, enabling a highly attentive approach and customized solutions for every client. With the ability to work seamlessly across jurisdictions in New York and New Jersey and diverse capabilities curated for today’s rapidly evolving public affairs environment, we partner with innovative leaders to drive impact by providing political inroads, policy and regulatory expertise, and strategic planning. Fontas Advisors info@fontasadvisors.com +1 212-408-1920 www.fontasadvisors.com
Sources Barth, Kodi; An Overview of Rikers Island: A City of Jails; http://www.nyc24.org (archived at web.archive.org) Independent Commission on NYC Criminal Justice and Incarceration Reform; https://www.morejustnyc.org/ Jacob Javits Center; https://www.javitscenter.com/ New York City Council Legislative Research Center; https://legistar.council.nyc.gov New York City Department of City Planning; https://www1.nyc.gov/site/planning/index.page New York City Department of Corrections; https://www1.nyc.gov/site/doc/index.page New York City Department of Environmental Protection; https://www1.nyc.gov/site/dep/index.page New York City Department of Sanitation; https://www1.nyc.gov/assets/dsny/site/home New York City Economic Development Corporation; https://edc.nyc/ U.S. Department of Justice, CRIPA Investigation of the New York City Department of Correction Jails on Rikers Island; https://www.justice.gov/sites/default/files/usaosdny/legacy/2015/03/25/SDNY%20Rikers%20Report.pdf Acres of Opportunity: Reimagining Rikers Island 13
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