ABB MINIMIZING BULK POWER COSTS STUDY IN THE ENTERGY - Southwest Power Pool
←
→
Page content transcription
If your browser does not render page correctly, please read the page content below
ABB MINIMIZING BULK POWER COSTS STUDY IN THE ENTERGY SYSTEM – ABB INPUT ASSUMPTIONS August 31, 2011 SUBMITTED TO: Southwest Power Pool SUBMITTED BY: Lan Trinh Maria Moore REVIEWED BY: ABB Consulting 940 Main Campus Drive, Suite 300 Raleigh, North Carolina 27606-5202 USA Telephone: (919) 856-3922 Fax: (919) 807-5060
Table of Contents Page 1 PRODUCTION COST MODELING ASSUMPTIONS ............................................................................................ 2 1.1. INTRODUCTION ............................................................................................................................................... 2 1.2. DATA SOURCES .............................................................................................................................................. 3 1.3. TRANSMISSION ............................................................................................................................................... 3 1.4. RMR GUIDELINE ............................................................................................................................................ 3 1.5. LOAD INPUTS .................................................................................................................................................. 4 1.6. THERMAL GENERATION UNITS ....................................................................................................................... 4 1.7. HYDRO UNITS ................................................................................................................................................. 5 1.8. RENEWABLE RESOURCES................................................................................................................................ 5 1.9. QUALIFIED FACILITIES .................................................................................................................................... 6 1.10. CAPACITY ADDITIONS AND RETIREMENTS ..................................................................................................... 6 1.11. OPERATING RESERVE REQUIREMENT ............................................................................................................. 6 1.12. EMISSION MODEL ........................................................................................................................................... 8 1.13. WHEELING CHARGE ....................................................................................................................................... 8 1.14. FUEL PRICES ................................................................................................................................................... 8 2 TRANSMISSION MODELING ASSUMPTIONS................................................................................................... 12 2.1. INTRODUCTION ............................................................................................................................................. 12 2.2. GENERATION AND LOAD LEVELS IN THE ENTERGY FOOTPRINT.................................................................... 12 2.3. POWER FLOW ANALYSIS CRITERIA............................................................................................................... 14 3 APPENDIXES ............................................................................................................................................................. 15 ABB
1 Production Cost Modeling Assumptions 1.1. Introduction ABB’s GridView Market Simulation Software was used for this analysis. The core of GridView is a transmission constrained economic dispatch algorithm as shown in Figure 1.1. GridView mimics the operation of an electric market by dispatching generating units based on their bid prices while taking into account the flow limits on transmission lines and interfaces under normal, as well as contingency conditions. The outputs of GridView are information such as hourly unit dispatch, Locational Marginal Prices (LMPs) at buses, flow on lines and congestion cost of limiting lines. Generator M odel: Hourly Capacity, outage rate, Location Operating Costs & Operating Dependent Constraints Load Detailed Transm ission Sim ulation Engine: M odel Security Constrained Unit Com m itm ent Market Interface & Economic Dispatch Scenarios Transfer Lim its Optim al Power Flow Security Constraints Transm ission Power S ystem LM P Price Generator Congestion & Reliability Forecast Perform ance Utilizations Indices Figure 1.1: GridView’s simplified block diagram GridView determines the least-cost security constrained dispatch of generating units to satisfy a given demand, on the assumption that the units are dispatched according to their variable costs. The major advantage of GridView is its ability to simulate the hourly operation of generating units and transmission systems (e.g. transformers, lines, phase shifters, busses) in significant detail. For example, it accurately represents capacity constraints, minimum up time limitations, and thermal constraints on the transfer capability of transmission lines, line and unit contingencies and scheduling limitations of hydro-plants. As such, GridView provides a highly accurate, detailed simulation of the hourly operation of the individual generating units and transmission system that constitute the wholesale market. Among the key outputs of the GridView model is a set of Locational Marginal Prices (LMPs), computed for each bus in each hour, and the hourly dispatch of all generators in each relevant geographic market. ABB
The model’s geographic footprint encompasses the U.S. portion of the Eastern Interconnection with a focus on the Southwest Power Pool (SPP) and Entergy footprints and surrounding regions. The two years or GridView simulation are 2013 (the analysis start year) and 2022 (the analysis end year). Results for years not simulated are interpolated. 1.2. Data Sources The database represents Entergy’s power system with detailed models of generators, loads and transmission network in entire Entergy footprint, SPP RTO and nearby areas (TVA, SOCO, and AECI).The GridView database was created from publicly available sources, like EPA , EIA , GADS (Generator Availability Data System), FERC Forms, SPP, and Entergy supplied data. The database was reviewed and sanity-checked by SPP and Entergy All financial assumptions specified in this document are expressed in real 2009 US dollars, unless otherwise noted 1.3. Transmission The transmission system was modeled in detail, exactly as in the PSS/E power flow cases with explicit representation of all transmission facilities, including lines, transformers, phase shifters and DC ties. SPP provided two power flow cases representing summer peak load conditions for study years 2013 and 2022. Additional details on these cases are given in Section 2 of this report. For the purposes of production cost simulation, flowgates/ interfaces with their limits and selected N-1 contingencies were modeled. Furthermore, thermal limits of all transmission lines of 115kV and above within the Entergy footprint and 345kV and above for the rest of the Tier 1 system, and lines related to RMR guidelines are enforced. TRM of 3% is enforced in the GridView model. Powerflow cases, flowgates/interfaces, and contingency definitions were provided by SPP. Entergy provided RMR operating guidelines were also modeled. 1.4. RMR Guideline All RMR operating guidelines were modeled with a nomogram feature in GridView. This feature allows for the modeling of conditional limits or generator statuses that change dynamically during the simulation based on generator commitment status, area load level, or line status, etc. This feature can be used to model any particular RMR requirement. All RMR guideline were provided by Entergy. ABB updated the GridView model to enforce these Reliability Must Run (RMR) rules at appropriate area or zone load levels. The RMR rules account for both fixed (non-conforming) and variable (conforming) loads. ABB
1.5. Load Inputs The loads were represented with chronological 8760 hour curves for each area. For non SPP areas (AECI, SOCO and TVA) load shapes were from 2006 historical load curves, published in FERC Form 714. Their 2013 and 2022 load forecasts (peak and annual energy) were also collected from FERC Form 714. For SPP areas, load curves were provided by SPP and their load forecasts for 2013 were from 2010 SPP EIA- 411 report. For year 2022 their load forecast was extrapolated based on 2010-2019 forecast. Entergy provided load curves and load forecasts for seven areas: Entergy APL Entergy Gulf States Entergy LPL North Entergy LPL South Entergy MPL Entergy NOPSI Entergy Texas Non-conforming loads in Entergy load serving areas were identified based on PSSE load ID: AX, CO and IN. They were modeled as fixed load with a flat load curve throughout the year. Since Entergy load forecast includes those non-conforming loads, the annual peak and energy of Entergy’s conforming loads were calculated by subtracting non-conforming fixed load and annual energy from Entergy’s area load forecast. 1.6. Thermal Generation Units Thermal units in GridView are represented in detail, including: unit’s type, fuel type, heat rate blocks, summer and winter capacities, variable O&M, start-up fuel usage, minimum up and down time, forced outage, maintenance schedule, emission rate, ramping rate, quick-start and spinning reserve capabilities. Generation data was collected from various sources, including EPA and EIA public sources. The scheduled maintenance and forced outage rate with durations were estimated based on unit size and type as reported by the GADS (Generator Availability Data System) database. Where unit-specific data was not available, typical values were based on unit type, fuel, and size. Maintenance schedules of many Entergy’s units were provided by Entergy. To model generation units’ random forced outage, Monte-Carlo simulation with one intellidraw feature was used for simulation. GridView’s Monte Carlo simulates the random outages of generating units based on forced outage rate and duration from GADS table. Modeled IPP units in Entergy footprint are listed in table 1.2 below ABB
Table 1.2: IPPs in Entergy and Cleco regions Entergy Carville Cogeneration Energy Cottonwood CC 1 & 2 (Intergen) Duke-Hinds Duke Hot Springs 1 Hot springs (Tractabel) Robert Ritchie 2 Union Power – Panda Energy Cogentrix Batesville (MS) (a) DOW AEP Cleco Cleco Evangeline The heat rates of IPP units, listed below, were adjusted to be the same as Perryville CCGT’s with 10% adder in 2022 and 4% adder in 2013. Variable O&M of those units were also matched to Perryville CCGT’s. Cottonwood CC 1 & 2 (Intergen) Carville Duke-Hinds Duke Hot Springs 1 Hot springs (Tractabel) Union Power – Panda Energy LS Power (1LSPWRU) DOW AEP (IDOWAEP) Frontier 1-2 (10% adder in 2022 only) 1.7.Hydro Units In GridView model, hydro generators are characterized by Minimum Capacity, Maximum Capacity, monthly energy allocation, VO&M, all of which can vary monthly and annually. The minimum capacity is treated as run of river generation. The difference between minimum and maximum capacities is treated as dispatchable capacity. The dispatchable capacity is dispatched for peak shaving with the constraint that the total accumulative generation in a month will not exceed the monthly energy allocation. The hydro units’ monthly energy was provided by Entergy. 1.8.Renewable Resources The wind units were modeled as hourly resources with given hourly generation curve and with the capability of curtailment. 4 GW of wind capacity were added to the SPP region in year 2013 and 8 GW in 2022. Hourly wind production curves for the units in the SPP region were provided by SPP. ABB
GridView hourly resource is a generator with given hourly production curve for unit commitment cycle and hourly production curve for economic dispatch cycle. It is must take energy with capability of curtailment and the cost is zero. 1.9.Qualified Facilities QF Puts were modeled as non-firm energy purchases: units are committed based on “no QF put”, but dispatched with historical put value. GridView hourly resource model was used with zero curve for commitment and hourly historical production curve for dispatch. Entergy provided hourly production curve for all QF Put units. Besides producing energy for sale, QF units also produce energy for their own self-serve loads. This part of QF unit production was modeled as an hourly resource with fixed/flat production curves. Some of the QF Puts may have curtailment or energy spillage in the reference case. If in the change case or solution case, the amount of energy spillage is significantly less, it will cause the total annual energy output of that QF units to be higher than in the reference case. In order to avoid this issue, the original hourly production curve of the affected QF unit will be replaced with an adjusted hourly production curve. The new curve is created by exporting the hourly output energy production of the QF unit from the change case and scaling down every hour with the same amount of MWs so the annual energy of the adjusted curve will equal the reference case unit output. The adjusted hourly production curve will be used in the change case only. 1.10. Capacity Additions and Retirements In the GridView database, 4 GW of wind generation capacity were modeled in SPP for year 2013, increasing to a total of 8 GW by 2022. In addition to known retirement units, several units were made unavailable based on information provided by SPP/Entergy. Plum Point 2 commissioning date is Jan. 01 2022. Duke Hot Spring 2 and Washington Parish CC were not included since they were not completed. Acadia Generation Block 2 was moved to the Entergy control area. 1.11. Operating Reserve Requirement Entergy footprint and Tier 1 regions were enforced with 5% reserve margin each. The definition for Entergy footprint and Tier1 regions is in table 1.3 below. In addition, several of Entergy’s areas were enforced with special operating reserve requirements. These requirements are typically based on the loss of the largest single generator, or the largest single generator capacity plus half the second largest generator capacity, or a percentage of peak demand, depending on the area. ABB
Table 1.1 Region definition Region Name Area Name Name Entergy Footprint BCA Batesville Entergy Footprint BUBA Benton Utilities Balancing Authority Entergy Footprint CELE Central Louisiana Electric Company Entergy Footprint CONWAY Conway Entergy Footprint DENL City of North Little Rock Entergy Footprint DERS City of Ruston Entergy Footprint Entergy APL Entergy APL Entergy Footprint Entergy Gulf States Entergy Gulf States Entergy Footprint Entergy LPL North Entergy LPL North Entergy Footprint Entergy LPL South Entergy LPL South Entergy Footprint Entergy MPL Entergy MPL Entergy Footprint Entergy NOPSI Entergy NOPSI Entergy Footprint Entergy Texas Entergy Texas Entergy Footprint LAFA Lafayette Utilities Entergy Footprint LAGN Louisiana Generating Company Entergy Footprint LEPA Louisiana Energy and Power Authority Entergy Footprint PUPP Panda Union Power Partners Entergy Footprint WESTMEMP West Memphis Tier 1 AECI Associated Electric Cooperative Inc. Tier 1 AEPW American Electric Power Tier 1 AMMO Ameren Missouri Tier 1 EMDE Empire District Electric Company Tier 1 GRDA Grand River Dam Authority Tier 1 INDN City of Independence Tier 1 KACP Kansas City Power and Light Company Tier 1 KACY Board of Public Utilities Tier 1 MIDW Midwest Energy Tier 1 MIPU Missouri Public Service Company Tier 1 MKEC Mid Kansas Electric Cooperative Tier 1 OKGE Oklahoma Gas and Electric Company Tier 1 OMLP Osceola Municipal Light & Power Tier 1 OMPA Oklahoma Municipal Power Authority Tier 1 SMEPA South Mississippi Electric Power Association Tier 1 SOCO Southern Company Tier 1 SPRM City Utilities of Springfield Tier 1 SPS Southwestern Public Service Tier 1 SUNC Sunflower Electric Cooperative Tier 1 SWPA Southwestern Power Administration Tier 1 TVA Tennessee Valley Authority Tier 1 WERE Westar Tier 1 WFEC Western Farmers Electric Cooperative Tier 1 OPPD Omaha Public Power District Tier 1 NPPD Nebraska Public Power District ABB
1.12. Emission Model Unit emission rates for NOX, SO2, and CO2, collected from EPA source, were added to the GridView database. Emission allowance price forecast, used in this database, is listed in Table 1.4. Table 1.4: Allowance Price ($ / short ton) CO2 NOX SO2 2013 0 1,347 323 2022 0 1,770 351 1.13. Wheeling Charge Wheeling charges are “per MWh” charges for moving energy from one area to another in an electric system. In the GridView model, it is modeled as tariff for particular interfaces. Wheeling charges are listed in the Table 1.5 below: Table 1.5: Wheeling Charge Market Wheeling Charge ($/MWh) From To Assumptio Commitment Dispatch Cleco SPP, Entergy, LEPA and LAFA 10 6 Cleco LaGen 10 3 Entergy LaGen 10 3 Entergy Cleco, SPP, AECI, LEPA, LAFA, SMEPA 10 6 Entergy All Other 1000 8 Entergy is SPP Cleco, Entergy, AECI, LEPA, LAFA, LaGen 10 5 not in SPP SPP All Other 1000 5 Market LEPA Entergy and Cleco 10 6 LAFA Entergy and Cleco 10 6 LaGen Entergy and Cleco 10 3 LaGen SOCO 1000 8 AECI and SMEPA SPP and Entergy 10 6 AECI and SMEPA All Other 1000 8 1.14. Fuel Prices The fuel prices (in $/MMBTU) for the study years were provided by SPP. These projected fuel prices are in year 2009 real dollars for the year 2013 and 2022 as shown in Tables 1.6 to 1.8. Table 16: Gas Price Forecast Summary ($/MMBtu) ABB
Louisiana Mississippi Arkansas Texas_W Year Month No LDC With LDC No LDC With LDC No LDC With LDC No LDC With LDC 1 $ 6.21 $ 6.30 $ 6.21 $ 6.39 $ 6.58 $ 6.81 $ 5.90 $ 5.92 2 $ 6.17 $ 6.25 $ 6.16 $ 6.34 $ 6.54 $ 6.77 $ 5.85 $ 5.88 3 $ 5.96 $ 6.05 $ 5.96 $ 6.14 $ 6.32 $ 6.55 $ 5.65 $ 5.68 4 $ 5.50 $ 5.59 $ 5.50 $ 5.68 $ 5.83 $ 6.06 $ 5.26 $ 5.29 5 $ 5.46 $ 5.54 $ 5.46 $ 5.64 $ 5.79 $ 6.02 $ 5.22 $ 5.24 2013 6 $ 5.49 $ 5.58 $ 5.49 $ 5.67 $ 5.82 $ 6.05 $ 5.25 $ 5.28 7 $ 5.55 $ 5.63 $ 5.55 $ 5.72 $ 5.88 $ 6.11 $ 5.31 $ 5.34 8 $ 5.59 $ 5.68 $ 5.59 $ 5.77 $ 5.93 $ 6.16 $ 5.35 $ 5.38 9 $ 5.62 $ 5.70 $ 5.61 $ 5.79 $ 5.95 $ 6.18 $ 5.37 $ 5.40 10 $ 5.70 $ 5.79 $ 5.70 $ 5.88 $ 6.05 $ 6.27 $ 5.46 $ 5.49 11 $ 5.92 $ 6.01 $ 5.92 $ 6.09 $ 6.28 $ 6.50 $ 5.62 $ 5.65 12 $ 6.16 $ 6.25 $ 6.16 $ 6.34 $ 6.53 $ 6.76 $ 5.86 $ 5.89 1 $ 7.50 $ 7.57 $ 7.49 $ 7.64 $ 7.95 $ 8.14 $ 7.11 $ 7.13 2 $ 7.45 $ 7.52 $ 7.45 $ 7.60 $ 7.90 $ 8.09 $ 7.07 $ 7.09 3 $ 7.26 $ 7.34 $ 7.26 $ 7.41 $ 7.70 $ 7.89 $ 6.88 $ 6.90 4 $ 6.71 $ 6.78 $ 6.70 $ 6.85 $ 7.11 $ 7.30 $ 6.41 $ 6.44 5 $ 6.66 $ 6.73 $ 6.65 $ 6.80 $ 7.06 $ 7.26 $ 6.37 $ 6.39 2022 6 $ 6.72 $ 6.79 $ 6.71 $ 6.86 $ 7.13 $ 7.32 $ 6.43 $ 6.45 7 $ 6.79 $ 6.86 $ 6.78 $ 6.93 $ 7.20 $ 7.39 $ 6.49 $ 6.52 8 $ 6.84 $ 6.91 $ 6.83 $ 6.98 $ 7.25 $ 7.44 $ 6.54 $ 6.56 9 $ 6.85 $ 6.92 $ 6.84 $ 6.99 $ 7.26 $ 7.45 $ 6.55 $ 6.58 10 $ 6.91 $ 6.98 $ 6.91 $ 7.05 $ 7.33 $ 7.52 $ 6.62 $ 6.64 11 $ 7.15 $ 7.22 $ 7.14 $ 7.29 $ 7.58 $ 7.77 $ 6.78 $ 6.80 12 $ 7.40 $ 7.47 $ 7.40 $ 7.55 $ 7.85 $ 8.04 $ 7.04 $ 7.06 ABB
Table 1.7: Oil Price Forecast Summary ($/MMBtu) Louisiana Mississippi Arkansas Texas_W Year Month FO2 FO6 FO2 FO6 FO2 FO6 FO2 FO6 1 $18.95 $10.41 $19.23 $7.70 $18.95 $10.41 $18.95 $10.41 2 $18.95 $10.42 $19.23 $7.70 $18.95 $10.42 $18.95 $10.42 3 $18.11 $10.42 $18.38 $7.71 $18.11 $10.42 $18.11 $10.42 4 $18.01 $10.43 $18.28 $7.71 $18.01 $10.43 $18.01 $10.43 5 $17.19 $10.43 $17.45 $7.72 $17.19 $10.43 $17.19 $10.43 2013 6 $16.99 $10.44 $17.24 $7.72 $16.99 $10.44 $16.99 $10.44 7 $17.03 $10.44 $17.28 $7.72 $17.03 $10.44 $17.03 $10.44 8 $17.33 $10.45 $17.59 $7.73 $17.33 $10.45 $17.33 $10.45 9 $17.81 $10.45 $18.08 $7.73 $17.81 $10.45 $17.81 $10.45 10 $18.03 $10.46 $18.30 $7.73 $18.03 $10.46 $18.03 $10.46 11 $18.23 $10.46 $18.50 $7.74 $18.23 $10.46 $18.23 $10.46 12 $18.51 $10.47 $18.79 $7.74 $18.51 $10.47 $18.51 $10.47 1 $24.81 $13.75 $25.18 $10.17 $24.81 $13.75 $24.81 $13.75 2 $24.80 $13.76 $25.18 $10.17 $24.80 $13.76 $24.80 $13.76 3 $23.72 $13.76 $24.08 $10.18 $23.72 $13.76 $23.72 $13.76 4 $23.59 $13.77 $23.95 $10.18 $23.59 $13.77 $23.59 $13.77 5 $22.53 $13.77 $22.87 $10.19 $22.53 $13.77 $22.53 $13.77 2022 6 $22.27 $13.78 $22.60 $10.19 $22.27 $13.78 $22.27 $13.78 7 $22.32 $13.79 $22.65 $10.20 $22.32 $13.79 $22.32 $13.79 8 $22.70 $13.79 $23.04 $10.20 $22.70 $13.79 $22.70 $13.79 9 $23.33 $13.80 $23.68 $10.21 $23.33 $13.80 $23.33 $13.80 10 $23.61 $13.81 $23.97 $10.21 $23.61 $13.81 $23.61 $13.81 11 $23.86 $13.81 $24.22 $10.21 $23.86 $13.81 $23.86 $13.81 12 $24.23 $13.82 $24.59 $10.22 $24.23 $13.82 $24.23 $13.82 ABB
Table 1.8: Coal Price Forecast Summary ($/MMBtu) Complex Capacity State 2013 2022 AES Shady Point 1 & 2 320 OK 1.85 1.84 Dolet Hills 650 LA 2 2.09 Flint Creek 528 AR 2.18 2.14 Gentleman 1 & 2 1,295 NE 1.26 1.26 GRDA 1 490 OK 2.27 2.24 GRDA 2 520 OK 2.27 2.24 Harrington 1 - 3 1,021 TX 2.19 2.19 Hawthorn 5 545 MO 1.7 1.69 Holcomb 362 KS 1.94 1.91 Hugo 440 OK 2.04 2.01 Iatan 1 & 2 1,556 MO 1.94 1.94 Independence 1 & 2 1,678 AR 2.67 2.67 Jeffrey EC 1 - 3 2,164 KS 1.81 1.79 Lacygne 2 682 KS 1.71 1.67 Lawrence EC 5 373 KS 2.06 2.05 Montrose 1 - 3 505 MO 1.69 1.69 Muskogee 4 - 6 1,496 OK 2.25 2.25 Nearman Creek 200 KS 1.98 1.94 Nebraska City 1 & 2 1,316 NE 1.49 1.45 North Omaha 2 - 5 478 NE 1.45 1.42 Pirkey 675 TX 2 2.09 Plum Point 665 AR 2.67 2.67 Roademacher 2 & 3 1,172 LA 2.79 2.71 Roy L. Nelson (1, 2, 6) 550 LA 2.55 2.55 Sheldon 1 & 2 225 NE 1.45 1.42 Sikeston 235 MO 2.04 2.02 Sooner 1 & 2 1,046 OK 2.43 2.42 Southwest Power St. 2 275 MO 2.11 2.09 Tolk 1 & 2 1,060 TX 2.02 2.02 Welsh 1 - 3 1,584 TX 2.43 2.41 White 1 & 2 1,640 AR 2.68 2.64 ABB
2 Transmission Modeling Assumptions 2.1. Introduction SPP provided the following power flow cases for study years 2013 and 2022. These cases represent the Entergy and SPP transmission systems as well as the rest of the Eastern Interconnection. These cases are in PSS/E 30 format. 2013 Summer Peak Case: Entergy_CBA_2013S_FINAL_V30+TVA+STEP_Zones_R1_MBPC_R6+Ratings.sav 2022 Summer Peak Case: Entergy_CBA_2022S_FINAL_V30+STEP+TVA+SOCO+WIND_Zones_R1_MBPC_R3+Ratings.sav See Appendix A for a summary of the modeling assumptions used in the development of these cases. 2.2. Generation and Load Levels in the Entergy Footprint Total demand (load + losses) in the Entergy footprint in the 2013 summer peak case is 33,874 MW; the corresponding demand for 2022 summer peak conditions is 37,972 MW. Tables 2.1(a) and (b) summarize Entergy and other co-op/municipal load and losses for the given summer peak load conditions. Table 2.1(a): Power Flow Case Summary -2013 Summer Peak (Entergy_CBA_2013S_FINAL_V30+TVA+STEP_Zones_R1_MBPC_R3+Ratings.sav) GENERATION LOSSES INTERCHANGE EXPORT AREA DESCRIPTION LOAD (MW) (MW) (MW) (MW) /IMPORT 328 PLUM 929.1 0 1.1 928 EXPORT 329 OMLP 0 53.7 0.5 54.2 IMPORT 331 BCA 14.1 14 0.1 0 NONE 332 LAGN 2866.7 2310.5 26.1 530.1 EXPORT 334 WESTMEMP 0 97 0.8 97.8 IMPORT 335 CONWAY 0 240 0.6 240.6 IMPORT 336 BUBA 0 73.2 0.1 73.3 IMPORT 337 PUPP 0 0 0 0 NONE 338 DERS 0 74 0 74 IMPORT 339 DENL 38 311.9 2.1 276 IMPORT 351 EES 27822.2 26846.4 542.6 432.8 EXPORT 502 CELE 3158.6 2490.5 60.9 607.2 EXPORT 503 LAFA 230.4 495 5.4 270 IMPORT 504 LEPA 163.1 227 0.1 64 IMPORT SYSTEM TOTALS 35222.2 33233.2 640.4 1348.2 EXPORT ABB
Table 2.1(b): Power Flow Case Summary -2022 Summer Peak (Entergy_CBA_2022S_FINAL_V30+STEP+TVA+SOCO+WIND_Zones_R1_MBPC_R3+Ratings.sav) GENERATION LOSSES INTERCHANGE EXPORT AREA DESCRIPTION LOAD (MW) (MW) (MW) (MW) /IMPORT 328 PLUM 929.1 0 1.1 928 EXPORT 329 OMLP 0 60.4 0.3 60.7 IMPORT 331 BCA 14.2 14 0.1 0.1 EXPORT 332 LAGN 3446.7 2873.8 37.3 535.6 EXPORT 334 WESTMEMP 0 106.1 0.3 106.3 IMPORT 335 CONWAY 0 317.9 1.2 319.1 IMPORT 336 BUBA 0 89.9 0.2 90.1 IMPORT 337 PUPP 0.3 0 0 0.3 EXPORT 338 DERS 0 82.1 0 82.1 IMPORT 339 DENL 52.3 356 2.9 306.6 IMPORT 351 EES 30924.9 29789 662.5 472.8 EXPORT 502 CELE 3400.6 2698.9 80.2 621.4 EXPORT 503 LAFA 190.3 550.1 10.1 370 IMPORT 504 LEPA 173.5 237.4 0.1 64 IMPORT SYSTEM TOTALS 39131.9 37175.6 796.3 1159.3 EXPORT ABB
2.3. Power Flow Analysis Criteria This section describes the criteria that will be used in the power flow analysis part of the study. Power flow analysis will be performed on the power flow cases described in Section 2.1. For the purposes of this analysis, transmission facilities rated 69 kV and above within Entergy and other embedded areas (and tie-lines out of Entergy) will be monitored. Facilities rated 345 kV and above in the Tier 1 facilities 1 will also be monitored. For thermal overloads, each branch element (transformer, transmission line, or feeder) in the monitored system will be monitored and electrical flows above the applicable branch rating (normal continuous rating (Rate A) under system intact conditions and contingency conditions) will be flagged. N-1 G-1 contingencies and selected N-2 contingencies are performed in WOTAB and Amite South. For bus voltage violations, the following range limits and pre-to-post-contingency voltage change criteria will be applied: • 0.95 -1.05 pu for system intact conditions • 0.92 -1.05 pu for contingency conditions (buses rated 69 kV – 345 kV) • 0.95 - 1.05 pu for contingency conditions (buses rated 500 kV) • Voltage change criteria of 0.01 pu The following types of contingencies will be simulated in Entergy footprint: transmission line outages and transformer outages. These outages will be based on “automatic” N-1 contingency specification and will include branches connected between buses with a base voltage of 69 kV and above. It is understood that for the evaluations in the individual load pockets / study regions, Entergy has been studying the impacts of simultaneous outage of a transmission element and a generating unit (G1N1). For the major study regions (WOTAB and Amite South), Entergy provided the respective G1N1 contingency descriptions. G1N1 analysis will be run for these study regions (in addition to the general N-1 analysis that will be performed for the entire study area). As in the N-1 analysis, transmission facilities rated 69 kV and above within Entergy and other embedded areas (and tie-lines out of Entergy) will be monitored. A similar analysis will be performed for Amite South. 1 Tier 1 Areas: Area 330 (AECI), Area 346 (SOCO), Area 347 (TVA), Area 349 (SMEPA), Area 356 (AMRN), Area 520 (AEPW), Area 544 (EMDE), Area 524 (OKGE) and Area 515 (SWPA). ABB
3 Appendixes Appendix A - Modeling Assumptions for Entergy Regional State Committee Minimizing Bulk Power Cost Study •Eastern Interconnect •Topology ERAG MMWG models •Generation •Load •SPP •Topology SPP MOD® projects •Generation •Load •Entergy & Embedded •Topology Entergy models •Generation •Load •Interchange & Transactions •SPP •Interchange & Transactions SPP transaction •Assume Entergy Transaction to/from SPP spreadsheet •Entergy Entergy •2010‐2012 final construction plan Construction Plan •SPP & Entergy •Topology (with Construction Plan) CBA •Generation models •Load •Interchange & Transactions MBPC models ABB
Foundational Cases Base Model MMWG 2009 Series (2011S & 2020S) SPP RTO Areas MDWG 2010 Series model with projects according to in-service dates (2012S & 2021S) Entergy Areas Entergy 2009 Series model with 2010-2012 Construction Plan (2013S & 2019S) Projects SPP MOD Projects with an Effective Date on or before 7/1/2013 SPP MOD Projects with an Effective Date on or before 6/1/2022 Entergy 2010-2012 Construction Plan Projects (Approved and Proposed) posted on Entergy’s OASIS http://www.oatioasis.com/EES/EESDocs/ICT_PlanningStudiesAndRelatedDocuments.htm Transactions Entergy ICT Transactions used to build the 2009 Series Models SPP Transactions used to build the 2009 Series ERAG MMWG Models Load Levels Interpolation of load levels between 2011S and 2015S to achieve 2013S for loading of SPP footprint Extrapolation of load levels from 2015S and 2020S to achieve 2022S loading for loading of SPP footprint Entergy Forecasted Load levels for 2013S for Entergy footprint Entergy Forecasted Load levels for 2022S for Entergy footprint Generation Dispatch Entergy Generation Dispatched in accordance with Entergy OATT Attachment D SPP Generation Dispatched in accordance with SPP MDWG processes Model Building Process 1. SPPs Model On Demand (MOD) was used to develop the SPP RTO MDWG model The parameters used when extracting the case information: a) Profiles i. MDWG 2010 B1r3 2012_Summer used for all seasonal profiles ii. MDWG 2010 B1r3 2021_Summer used for all seasonal profiles b) Ratings i. Summer ii. Normal, Long Term Emergency and Short Term Emergency c) Projects i. Review Status = Pending Acceptance and Acceptance ii. Effective date greater than 8-1-2009 and less than 8-1-2013 iii. Effective date greater than 8-1-2009 and less than 8-1-2020 d) Case Definitions i. Entergy CBA 2013S (12-14-09) ii. Entergy CBA 2022S (12-14-09) ABB
2. The raw files that were extracted from MOD had a few errors and were corrected 3. All SPP areas were extracted from the MOD output and inserted into the 2009 Series MMWG base cases for 2011S & 2020S; we will call this new model the Entergy CBA model a) SPP Areas 502, 503, 504, 515, 520, 523, 524, 525, 526, 527, 531, 534, 536, 539, 540, 541, 542, 544, 545, 546, 640, 645, 650 (all SPP areas, including Nebraska entities) 4. Since we are developing a 2013 and 2022 case and the loads in the extracted MOD areas for SPP are 2012 and 2020 values we need to scale the loads accordingly Process to scale loads a) 2013S i. The loads were scaled by interpolation 1. Loads in the 2011S and 2015S MMWG models were compared and a linear slope was developed 2. The slope value was then used to create a 2013S load value b) 2022S i. The loads were scaled by extrapolation 1. Loads in the 2015S and 2020S MMWG models were compared and a linear slope was developed 2. The slope value was then used to create a 2022S load value 5. Generation was scaled in each control area pro-rata to make up the difference in generation and load from scaling the loads in step 4 6. Entergy areas were then integrated in the Entergy CBA model using Entergy’s 2009 series 2013S and 2022S models Process to create Entergy 2022S model for integration into MMWG model a) The 2019S Entergy 2009 series model loads were scaled using Entergy’s process for load growth b) Entergy units were dispatched economically to accommodate the load adjustment Areas that were extracted from the Entergy model and integrated into the MMWG model are: a) Entergy Areas 351,332,334,335,336,337,338,339,328,329 7. Area interchanges were synchronized in the Entergy CBA model Transactions and interchanges from SPP MDWG 2010 series transaction book were used a) The SPP 2012S and 2021S transactions were fed into the MMWG cases since they were the closest to the Entergy CBA model year that was available in the workbook b) The Entergy transactions that were in the transaction workbook were excluded and assumed that Entergy transactions to/from SPP were maintained from Entergy Model The Entergy transactions and interchanges that were extracted and integrated in the Entergy CBA model during step 6 were not changed 8. The interchange mismatch for the Entergy CBA model was balanced using the PJM control area 9. Addition of the Entergy Construction plan into the Entergy CBA model Projects that were included a) Entergy’s 2010-2012 Construction Plan approved and proposed projects according to in- service dates 10. Areas in SPP were re-dispatched according to SPP RTO MDWG processes to fix swing bus values Reliability Assessment Performed 1. A reliability assessment was performed on all SPP and Entergy areas using the following criteria ABB
a) Contingency Analysis on all elements 230kV and above 2. Projects were developed to alleviate thermal and voltage violations 230kV and above Entergy Transmission Planning Model Assessment and Recommended Changes 1. 2022 Model recommendations a) Entergy recommended that the model include “Identified Target Areas [Beyond 2012]” from the Entergy 2010-2012 Construction Plan to address some long term issues present in the 2022 model. i. The projects were added to the final 2022 model only SPP Wind generation increased to 8GW to 2022 case 1. 2022 Model additions a) Added SPP RTO wind generation to model b) Added Upgrades that were needed for the WITF 10% study to make wind deliverable without overloads. c) Fixed the Zones outside Entergy and SPP to not overlap Entergy Range. Corrected Bus names 1. ABB noticed that some bus names had been changed to an incorrect name when updating zones. Names were fixed Model Name: (Entergy_CBA_2013S_FINAL_V30+TVA+STEP_Zones_R1_MBPC_R2.sav) Powerflow model benchmarking Analysis on initial powerflow model benchmarking results indicated the need to include some approved Entergy 2011-2013 Construction Plan Projects. The projects below were added to the 2013 powerflow model base case and the GridView model topology for the Entergy area. Entergy 2011-2013 Construction Plan Projects (Approved) posted on Entergy’s OASIS: Entergy Arkansas (EAI) 1. Pine Bluff Voltage Support Project - Phase 1 Poyen 115 kV Substation: Add 21.6 MVAR Capacitor Bank 2. Sheridan South 500 kV FG Upgrade: Mabelvale 500 kV Substation replace 3 breakers, 13 switches, 3. and 2 line traps 4. Sheridan South 500 kV FG Upgrade: Sheridan 500 kV Substation replace 11 switches, and 6 line traps 5. Sheridan South 500 kV FG Upgrade: White Bluff 500 kV Substation replace 5 switches, and 2 line 6. Traps 7. Sheridan South 500 kV FG Upgrade: Eldorado 500 kV Substation replace 1 switch and 2 line traps Entergy Louisiana (ELL) 1. Golden Meadow to Leeville 115 kV - Rebuild/relocate 115 kV transmission line 2. Bayou Verrett - Add 40.7 MVAR Capacitor Bank ABB
Entergy Texas (ETI) 1. Deweyville (JNEC) - Add 69 kV capacitor bank 2. Elizabeth to Gallier - Uprate 69 kV line 2.5 miles 3. Kolbs 230 kV - Add capacitor bank 4. Hearne to Calvert - Uprate 69 kV line. 5. Caldwell 69 kV: Expand capacitor bank Entergy Gulf States Louisiana (EGL) 1. Addis to Cajun 230 kV line - Upgrade Limiting Section With Double-Bundled 649.5 ACAR (654 MVA) 2. Jackson to Tejac: Upgrade 69 kV transmission line 3. Carlyss to Citcon West 138 kV: Upgrade station equipment Entergy Mississippi (EMI) 1. Ray Braswell to Forest Hill 115 kV Line - Reconductor line ABB
You can also read