2021and Beyond: Why Operational Excellence Matters - FMI Corporation
←
→
Page content transcription
If your browser does not render page correctly, please read the page content below
CONTENT DIRECTOR CONTRIBUTORS Sabine Hoover DESIGNER Chris Daum Erda Estremera Ryan Foley Priya Kapila PROJECT MANAGER Emily Livorsi Liz Hester Tyler Paré Gregg Schoppman Tim Tokarczyk CONTACT US: www.fminet.com mediarelations@fminet.com Copyright © 2020 FMI Corporation. All rights reserved. Published since 2003 by FMI Corporation, 223 S. West Street, Suite 1200, Raleigh, North Carolina 27603.
FMI QUARTERLY 2020 TABLE OF CONTENTS Introduction�����������������������������������������������������������������������������3 Chris Daum Get Lean and Mean: Preparing for 2021 and Beyond�������������������5 By Tyler Paré The Silver Lining of Construction Productivity and Covid-19���������11 By Gregg Schoppman Selling Your E&C Company During Covid-19������������������������������17 By Ryan Foley Four Ways to Optimize Talent in Uncertain Times�����������������������22 By Priya Kapila Why Focusing on Your Company Vision Still Matters�������������������28 By Tim Tokarczyk and Emily Livorsi
Welcome to the FMI Quarterly By Chris Daum Welcome to the fourth edition of the 2020 FMI Quarterly and the last month of a most unusual year. 2020 has been incredibly difficult due to the pandemic, economic recession and many other COVID-19-related disruptions to everyday life and commerce. Unfortunately, we expect the industry will continue to be challenged in 2021, so leaders must remain hyperfocused on completing current projects under changing conditions while also preparing for tougher market conditions to come. However, as critical as performance-based strategies are to weathering difficult markets, it is vitally important that a leader remains committed to the company’s vision and the core purpose and values that define the organization. After all, strategies will evolve as market conditions change, but the continuous pursuit of your envisioned future is constant. So with both the near and long term in mind, this edition of the Quarterly includes articles on operational excellence: getting “mean and lean” to outperform, improving productivity and managing talent, as well as reminding you why staying true to your company’s vision still matters. One article introduces the concept of a COVID-19 productivity factor that captures both positive and negative effects of pandemic-driven changes to crew size, job site conditions, project schedules and other work processes. In another piece, members of FMI’s Performance practice describe six elements necessary to out-execute the competition, taken from our work with dozens of the industry’s leading companies. Lastly, in an article titled “Does Vision Still Matter?” principals from our Leadership & Organizational Development practice contrast average leaders from visionary leaders during times of crisis. 3
In closing, it may seem absurd to think of any silver linings resulting from the damage wrought by COVID-19. However, in much the same way the financial crisis that caused the Great Recession alerted the industry to a pending downturn, the pandemic is forcing the industry to tighten operations and management practices in response to the pandemic. After a decade of sustained growth, you are now called to lead and manage through a period of uncertainty and potential disruption. The FMI team is here to help. Chris Daum is the president and chief executive officer of FMI Corporation. Chris oversees the management of all FMI businesses and services and leads the firm’s strategic growth efforts. He can be reached via email at cdaum@fminet.com. 4
Get Lean and Mean: Preparing for 2021and Beyond By Tyler Paré What does increased competition mean for your business? How will you become more competitive? While the impact of the coronavirus Perception vs. Reality pandemic will vary by geography and I recently listened to a developer market segment, broad-based demand for bemoaning the lack of downward construction services is expected to decline movement in construction prices in the over the next two to four years. The wake of the pandemic. She argued that, downcycle will increase competition; bull with expected declines in demand for markets will attract new entrants while construction services (and increased bear markets will offer fewer opportunities competition as a corollary), the price of for established incumbents. these services should also decline. What does increased competition mean for It is true that many contractors’ book-to- your business? How will you become more burn ratios are underwater. In other words, competitive? In this article, we explore the they are booking work at a slower rate current market challenges that are putting than they are burning backlog. If this trend pressure on pricing and margins. We will persists for a protracted period, annual also offer some guidance on how to revenue will decline, and a construction navigate these challenging times: business’s economic model will be threatened if adjustments to fixed costs are 1. Don’t Panic not made proactively. 2. Get Lean and Mean 3. Execute However, many contractors expressed having too much work and being stretched beyond capacity prior to the onset of the 5
pandemic. The pullback induced by the Materials pandemic, for some, was a welcomed Shocks to the global supply chain reprieve and a chance to slow down, have created material shortages across reevaluate and get the organization caught the industry, increasing the cost of up. Translation – we have yet to see a building products and construction broad-based trend in dramatic price materials worldwide. reduction for construction services. If direct costs are increasing, prices should That may only be temporary. Eventually, also rise, not drop. The developer I spoke declining backlogs will place pressure on with did not like this rationale. “But won’t contractors to win more business and be contractors become hungry for work and more aggressive. The construction industry lower their prices?” she rebutted. “I feel lags the broader economy by 12 to 18 like they have been making money hand months, and we have yet to see the true over fist in the last runup. Don’t they have impacts on construction demand and room to cut their margins?” contractor backlogs. Pressure on Margins Pricing If there is not expected to be much short- Most construction companies employ a term relief in direct cost reductions, most cost-based pricing methodology. They of the price competition will come down to develop an estimate of the direct cost inputs margins and how aggressive contractors (labor, equipment, material, subcontractors, are willing to be. etc.) and then add margin to cover overhead and sufficient net profit. For prices to While contractor margins have crept up retreat, it would require a reduction in one year over year for the past decade, average or more of these variables. trade contractor net margins were still in the mid-single digits, and general The Pandemic’s Effect on Costs contractor margins were roughly 50% of those margins prior to the pandemic. Labor Labor wages are not expected to Net margins for construction businesses decline dramatically—rarely do these have always been misaligned with the figures move backwards, particularly inherent risks in the industry. Growing in an industry that is perpetually margins for the construction industry are lacking talent. not a bad thing. Even if margins have Productivity is likely to decrease increased (in some cases doubled) as FMI’s because of increased COVID-related financial benchmarking data would regulation (social distancing, point of suggest, it would be difficult to argue that entry control, sanitization, etc.). contractors were taking advantage of the bull market, let alone price gouging. Equipment With decreased utilization, the per-hour cost of ownership is likely to go up. 6
Additionally, falling revenue means that FMI’s guidance for navigating a overhead as a percentage of revenue will market downcycle: increase. If significant adjustments to fixed costs are not made, contractors will 1. Don’t Panic actually need to increase gross margins to Knowing that we are facing a multiyear sustain normal levels of net profitability. downcycle, temper your work acquisition Mathematically, the argument for urgency accordingly. Panicking too early contractors being able to drastically slash and loading up on cheap work (i.e., poorly, their margins begins to break down. aggressively or emotionally estimated) is a bad strategy that can result in years of Theoretically, contractors have room to cut headaches. their margins, but not by much. Downward pressure on contractor margins Every construction market has irrational spells risk for all project stakeholders. At a players—those that will torpedo the market basic level, would you rather partner with and come in screaming low on bid day— a highly successful, profitable construction taking work and forsaking margins, sending company or a desperate contractor reverberations through the market and operating on razor-thin margins, one causing the competition’s estimators to hiccup away from default? scratch their heads. Don’t be that contractor. If contractors are willing to slash their bid margins to zero, they are going to have to 2. Get Lean and Mean make it up somewhere else – cutting a) Be selective. resources in an attempt to reduce direct Increase your project selectivity (go/ costs can lead to potential production and no-go process) discipline. Get schedule issues; cutting overhead costs can competitive on the work that you decrease overall project support relative to know you want, know you can win quality, safety and schedule; and trying to and you know can deliver on. Don’t make it all up on change orders can lead to swing at every pitch, especially those strained relationships and potential delays. in the dirt. Chasing too many low probability opportunities can burn out your estimating department, leading to low-quality estimates fraught with mistakes and award of troubled jobs that can could haunt you and hamstring your organization for years. 7
b) Know your true costs on bid day. Oftentimes, there is hidden margin Avoid the Compounding Effect in the direct cost line items of of “Sharpening Your Pencil” construction estimates. Estimators will call this contingency or waste factors; others might call it Example sandbagging. In good times, you can An estimator knows that he/she must get still win work with overly more competitive to win work. He/she conservative estimates. When job removes all the “fluff” from the estimate costs underrun budgets, these and may even factor in overly aggressive savings directly translate into margin. productivity estimates. The chief estima- Estimators and project managers tor reviews the cost estimate, then skin- both lay claim to these victories. nies down the additional pricing factors such as contingency, overhead markup In reality there is probably room to and margin. The president then steps in tighten your estimates. We encourage and says, “We really need to win this job; contractors to base these adjustments let’s cut the margin.” You now have in historical data and facts, not just aggressive pricing behavior at three dif- intuition. By analyzing the direct cost ferent levels. Often these measures are variances across a large sample of taken in isolation, without discussion or work (the last three to four years), consultation among all the players. This you can identify trends and areas can create a highly risky estimate. Ensure where you consistently pick up your work teams and decision-making margin and theoretically have room to are closely aligned when getting com- tighten estimating practices. (Caution: petitive on bid day. Equal scrutiny should be given to those line items that consistently overrun budgeted costs). In a bull market, overstressed your key subs and vendors—leverage estimating departments can become those relationships to get advantages lax in their processes and procedures. on bid day. Reevaluate contract terms “Plug” numbers and “SF” numbers that may garner advantageous prices may have been sufficient for small from your subs. items in the past, but it is now critical to have detailed costs for all budget c) Focus on operations. items. It’s also important to carefully Tighten operational processes, validate your subcontractor costs by controls and productivity. Get back to increasing coverage, leveling efforts basics with respect to pre-job and prequalifying. Stay close with planning, scheduling and look-ahead, 8
manpower coordination and project ratios of revenue, gross profit and net closeout. If you are tightening your profit-per-head by employee estimating practices, there is less room classification can help you make for error, and projects need to be have prudent cost adjustments and right- a high degree of discipline and size the organization. adherence to proven best practices. 3. Execute Ensure you have robust project These strategies are not unique. In fact controls that can help you and your remove the challenges of 2020, and you management team identity troubled can argue that most of these tactics make projects early, affording enough time good business sense no matter the and opportunity to course-correct economic climate. The difference we are before things spiral out of control. hearing from firms in the industry today is the level of focus and urgency related to Productivity is a journey, not a these strategies. Contractors understand destination. If you have made steps to that they need newfound levels of intensity improve productivity in the past, now and intentionality in addressing their is the time to revisit and double down companies’ performances. on those efforts. FMI recommends establishing a task force of your Wayne Gretzky famously said, “I skate to operational leaders to improve labor where the puck is going to be, not where it productivity and equipment utilization. has been.” Now that the industry is aligning on “where the puck is going to Also, ensure that your field leaders be,” contractors are all skating in the same and subcontractor partners feel direction. Who can skate there (i.e., get appreciated and supported. Stay close lean and mean) the fastest will be the to them and listen to what is going on competitive differentiator in the post- in the field. They are the lifeblood of COVID era. your business and will be the ultimate differentiators in winning or losing in Assess your executive team’s ability to the current environment. execute on change management initiatives necessary to win in an increasingly d) Rightsize. competitive market. Interrogate your fixed-cost infrastructure. Cutting overhead alone is not a sound strategy for maintaining profitability in a downturn. However, all aspects of your G&A need to be highly scrutinized, including your organizational structure, roles, compensation, real estate, owned equipment and technology. Understanding your key efficiency 9
About the Author Tyler Paré is a principal with FMI. Tyler leverages his construction experience, coupled with his advanced knowledge of business mechanics, to help clients optimize profitability and mitigate risks. His consulting work focuses on implementing work acquisition and project execution best practices in support of competitive strategy. He can be reached at tpare@fminet.com. 10
The Silver Lining of Construction Productivity and COVID-19 By Gregg Schoppman An examination of the new normal COVID-19 productivity factor. In early 2020 most business leaders constantly changing dynamics. One area to probably didn’t think a pandemic would watch closely is job site productivity, which shake the foundations of the world is unlikely to remain static. However, there economy. In fact, the continued threat of are probably several misconceptions and, diminished skilled labor and the related, more importantly, some of the pandemic’s detrimental impact to productivity were consequences may even benefit contractors the common industry challenges that most in the long run. construction executives faced at the time. For instance, there was a collective industry Today businesses have new sets of rules, groan at the thought of testing every guidelines and tactics to implement in order employee and cleaning every tool prior to to succeed in the operating environment commencing of work every day. However, thrust upon everyone as a result of COVID- there was also a moment of reflection where 19. While the pandemic’s earliest impacts leading managers also recognized that for on engineering and construction (E&C) every productivity detractor, there was the remained unknown, many construction potential of increased efficiency. All of the leaders shifted their focus to known elements in Exhibit 1 are considerations variables such as social distancing, that affect daily productivity and, in many technology and clients’ demands. cases, the upside is something that cannot be discounted. Looking ahead, business leaders will undoubtedly find new ways to thrive, but they’ll also make errors as they react to 11
Exhibit 1. Productivity Drivers and Inhibitors in the Wake of COVID-19 HOUR X DAY CREW SPACING SPACING CLEANING TOOLS SIZE Part 1 Part 2 IMPACT With social distancing Crew stacking will be While adjacent trades What will be the loss in effect, crew sizes a limiting factor, may be limited, will of productivity due to will be limited (i.e., reducing area over output be negatively cleaning equipment five-person crew to a population. affected? and tools at the four-person crew). beginning and end of work shifts? TECH LEVERAGE TECH LEVERAGE TECH LEVERAGE CLEANING MATERIALS Part 1 Part 2 Part 3 IMPACT With a movement With social distancing What new innovative What will the loss of toward paperless, rules, communication tools and equipment productivity be as it firms will see gains in will have to be targeted will aid production? relates to cleaning operational and direct, limiting time materials that come productivity. away from jobs on-site? (i.e., wasted meetings). 12
The Upside of New Crew Sizing and owners may not allow crew stacking, even if they haven’t reached the capacity and Spacing allowed for a particular space. This may With social distancing rules in effect, there require longer durations for specific may be a need to reduce crew size. activities, and it should be reflected in However, in many businesses, crew sizes project estimates and budgets accordingly. have ballooned with no explanation or challenge to those increases. The question Crew transportation should also be becomes: Can we do the same (or more) considered and evaluated in terms of cost with less? impacts. For example, in many markets carpooling is common and helps There are many studies that show the employees save money. In a COVID-19 optimum spacing for personal world, some organizations are limiting productivity. Oil companies have explored group transportation, thus increasing costs these spatial constraints for years to for employees or the project cost profile in determine effective spacing requirements the form of additional fuel expenses. Even in areas where safety and productivity if the cost is minimal, this can impact the must be maximized (e.g., on offshore overall project. rigs). Similarly, many construction managers assume that output increases when you cram more employees on a job Cleaning Time: The Pros and Cons site. The problem is that there is a law of Personal hygiene is not limited to hand- diminishing return when it comes to washing. It takes time to clean tools and overloading resources on a job site; work areas, both at the beginning and end simply adding bodies within confined of work shifts. Be sure to allocate time for spaces will only impede productivity. The preventive maintenance, as the new rules good news is that new rules may prohibit may dictate a less than optimal use of a placing more people in an area. Trade 40-hour workweek. contractors will rejoice at this, knowing they will not have to work on top of other The materials that arrive on job sites may trades simultaneously. also need to be cleaned prior to use. Obviously, a greenfield project may have a final cleaning phase that will provide a The Flip Side of Spacing certain level of closure for customers. In some cases, contractors need more However, an electrical contractor working employees on-site to get the work done on a renovation of an active medical clinic (e.g., for installing a window, placing a may need extra time to clean switchgears lintel or tying rebar). New rules may and light fixtures. Be sure to factor this into require novel methods and means of the budget development process. getting this done. Additionally, as different trades occupy a space, general contractors 13
Additionally, contractors may have to do a digital tools to report both time and more thorough final cleaning. In the past quantities, obtain real-time productivity this could have meant simply vacuuming, information and quickly adapt to changing floor waxing and restroom cleanings. work environments. Today, owners’ expectations may include a higher level of “cleaning commitment.” At Use of videoconferencing tools such as first glance, many contractors would Zoom, Webex, Microsoft Teams, concede that this is a change order as it GoToMeeting and FaceTime has also deviates from the contract documents. accelerated due to the pandemic. In fact, Where this is undoubtedly a change in communicating via virtual tools was often scope, it would be foolish to think that a last-ditch effort for some in the pre- there would be no impact to general COVID era. Now, in the absence of true conditions (i.e., original final cleaning of face-to-face interactions, these tools have one to two days, new final cleaning of five become essential to maintaining schedules to seven days). In summary, these changes and good communication. They’ve become require careful planning and forethought as ubiquitous as a hammer drill or backhoe and open communication with owners. on job sites, enabling teams to close the distances and utilize time more effectively. Overall, workspace hygiene and cleanliness will change and could have ramifications for The Formulaic Approach contractor costs, but there’s also another Most construction organizations use perspective that should be considered. elaborate estimating programs and baseline Outside of extraordinary exceptions or crew rates that provide a multiplier for all requirements, trade contractors and general work quantities. For instance, if a contractor contractors alike have largely struggled with estimates that it will need 100 linear feet of simply keeping sites clean. Spurred by the water piping, there is some labor multiplier pandemic, this new focus on cleanliness that represents the appropriate crew blend and hygiene may actually improve (i.e., one crew leader, one equipment productivity and job site safety. operator, three laborers). Leveraging Technology However, for many organizations, the crew Optimizing digital technology for cost blend is one dynamic that may not timecards, job reports, punch lists, receive the required level of scrutiny. For submittals, schedules, purchase orders, example, simply bolstering it with a cost of quality assurance or quality control, and living increase doesn’t work anymore. In other documents is probably just what the fact, best-in-class firms are taking a more construction industry needed. By going formulaic approach to dissecting the cost paperless, crews can focus on the work drivers. Exhibit 2 illustrates a theoretical and gain efficiencies that were previously formula that represents the new multiplier: out of reach. For example, crews can use Many may initially question how to come 14
Exhibit 2. NEW CREW RATE = (Old Crew Rate – Θ) * COVID FACTOR COVID FACTOR = (B + X + ∆ + E + ф + Г + H) Θ – Crew Size Decrease B – Crew Size Loss of Production Decrease X – Tool and Hygiene Cleaning Cost Production Decrease ∆ – Clean Materials Cost Impact E – “Productive Site Through Cleanliness” Enhancement ф – “Less Distractions” Enhancement Г – “We can’t carpool” Transportation Cost Increase H – Spacing Enhancement up with the values for these factors. First, There are changes happening that all developing these productivity variables is businesses should recognize as becoming an equal balance of art and science. Going new standard operating procedures. These through the process of identifying and changes must permeate across all aspects quantifying these numbers is a win for of the business, including (but not limited any firm. to) estimating, budgeting, planning, cost monitoring, productivity reporting and Successful businesses delve into their cost financial benchmarking. As challenging as structure and avoid broad generalizations the pandemic has been, COVID-19 is on productivity. With so much emphasis simply a manifestation of an ever-present on increased time associated with cleaning list of business challenges that require and hygiene right now, contractors might leaders to pivot and adapt. If it wasn’t mistakenly assume that costs should COVID-19, there would be some other increase across the organization. This, in obstacle to overcome. Overall, it is turn, could adversely affect the firm’s essential that construction business leaders competitiveness. To avoid this problem, adapt, react and pivot quickly to succeed companies should focus their planning and in today’s changing operating environment. analysis efforts across each project. 15
About the Author Gregg Schoppman is a principal with FMI. Gregg specializes in the areas of productivity and project management. He leads FMI’s project management consulting practice as well as the consulting management group in FMI’s Florida office. He can be reached at gschoppman@fminet.com. 16
Selling Your E&C Company During Covid-19 By Ryan Foley A look at COVID’s impact on engineering and construction M&A and what could be around the corner in 2021 and 2022. With COVID-19 continuing to affect the early virus-related panic began to engineering and construction (E&C) subside, select buyers came back to the around the world, the industry’s mergers deal table. Concurrently, sellers began and acquisitions (M&A) activity has also calling FMI investment bankers to discuss felt the ramifications of the ongoing exit strategies. pandemic. In March 2020, FMI saw about one-third of its contractor deals get While we’re not in a full recovery, we are paused, put on hold indefinitely or seeing sellers become more interested in canceled as acquiring companies turned potential transactions as well as shifts in their attention to more pressing matters. deal structures, heightened due diligence This was done to protect the buyers’ and surprisingly stable valuations. This balance sheets, shield those buyers from article will explore these M&A trends with vulnerable end markets (i.e., office and an emphasis on risk mitigation and hospitality), and address overall heightened due diligence in the age of a trepidation about the world’s economy. pandemic. During the late summer and early fall, FMI Buyers Are Still Buying witnessed a marked uptick in transaction The first notable shift in the market activity and interest on the part of buyers environment was, not surprisingly, created and sellers in the E&C space. As some of by buyers. In March there was a distinct 17
subset of acquisitive contractors that put FMI Capital Advisors was inundated with their ongoing or planned transactions on calls from prospective sellers seeking indefinite hold. This was particularly true information on the marketplace, valuations for end markets like office, retail, and M&A processes. We attribute this to amusement and hospitality, all of which are several factors. First, many business now in the throes of combatting a owners are nearing retirement age and substantial decline in project backlogs. aren’t interested in managing through another downturn after the Great In early spring, FMI received several calls Recession. from large, well-capitalized general and industrial contractors expressing an Second, we see business owners looking to eagerness to deploy resources on exit their companies after back-to-back acquisitions. While none of these firms record-breaking years. We do, however, expected a global pandemic to be the caution these prospective owners to avoid catalyst, those buyers who were waiting for trying to time the market as it can be a market correction in early 2020 were exceptionally challenging. Put simply, keen to communicate their desires to find sophisticated acquirers won’t be fooled by good acquisition opportunities. the notion of continued record years and will be paying particular attention to work Concurrently, those acquirers who hit the in progress (WIPs) and project pipelines. pause button on M&A as a growth strategy—and particularly specialty trade Third, as construction cycles tend to lag contractors—were suddenly back in the gross domestic product, we still see a market. We are now also witnessing degree of optimism from both buyers and increasing interest from market segments sellers. However, the great overhang of such as heavy civil, which remains bullish uncertainty could dampen these ambitions on the prospects of a permanent next year and even into 2022. Lastly, the infrastructure package sometime in 2021. change in U.S. presidency could spur concerns about a higher tax environment, In addition, companies and people driving some sellers to the deal table. migrating away from dense urban areas and natural disaster-prone regions are Changing Deal Structures creating demand for housing and, to some While there is great uncertainty heading extent, commercial development in select into 2021, buyers are seeking ways to locations such as Texas, Utah and the mitigate the risk of a precipitous drop in southeastern U.S. the financial performance of target companies. As a result, changing deal Curious Sellers Are Coming Out of structures have become a sign of the times. the Woodwork We’re seeing earnouts (i.e., portions of the As the country settled into a pattern of purchase price contingent on future addressing and dealing with COVID-19’s earnings) as well as sellers’ notes increase impacts, sellers began to take an interest in in offer structures from 10%-20% of potential exits. In August and September, purchase price to 20%-30%. This is not 18
surprising, as construction is notoriously So Where Are the Bargains? unpredictable. Also, these mechanisms Both buyers and sellers are now wondering help buyers and sellers bridge the gap on just what the current market and economic valuations and get to the closing table. volatility means for valuations. Surprisingly, the answer is not much. With companies Heightened Diligence working through robust backlogs, both The environment during COVID-19 is buyers and sellers are still experiencing creating increased due diligence streams. In attractive financial performance on existing the second quarter, there was tremendous jobs. At the other end of the spectrum, uncertainty surrounding Paycheck opportunistic buyers anticipating a Protection Program (PPP) loans; their downturn in valuation multiples have been impact on M&A transactions was a large disappointed as sellers have not yet unknown. Would the loan be forgivable? conceded a willingness to trade for less. Of And if not, should the acquirer assume the course, this may change as project backlogs loan? The Small Business Administration are expected to soften in the coming and other government institutions had no months, possibly all the way into 2022. answers to these questions, yet the lessons learned in the Great Recession taught In December 2019, for example, Congress that the first priority is to get the mechanical, electrical and plumbing (MEP) money out as quickly as possible and figure public comparable companies were trading out the regulatory environment and fraud at 7.3x enterprise value forward EBITDA. risks later. This multiple dipped to 5.6x enterprise value in March 2020, but as of October We now know that the most common 2020, these multiples were largely treatment for PPP loans places the onus of unchanged at 7.5x. In fact, for E&C as a forgiveness on the seller. Other trends we whole (both domestic and international have seen are increased 7.3x scrutiny of public companies), 7.5x this multiple increased 7.1x 7.1x 6.5x 6.4x unfunded pension liabilities, 6.4x WIP profit 5.6x from 6.4x 5.6x 5.3x in December 6.0x 2019 to 7.1x in 4.8x fade/gain trends and other financial October 2020 (Exhibit 1). instruments that could be negatively impacted by an economic downturn. ExhibitDecember 1. Enterprise Value 2019 March/ 1-Yr Forecast 2020 EBITDA October 2020 M/E/P Avg. Heavy Civil Avg. General Contractor Avg. M/E/P Avg. 7.3x 7.5x 7.1x 7.1x 6.4x 6.5x 6.4x 5.6x 5.6x 5.3x 6.0x 4.8x December March October 2019 2020 2020 Source: CapitalIQ M/E/P Avg. Heavy Civil Avg. General Contractor Avg. 19 M/E/P Avg.
Our Crystal Ball On the bear side, we expect M&A As we close out 2020 and move into the activity among commercial new year, FMI expects these M&A trends contractors with exposure to retail, to either continue or begin to take shape: office, hospitality, transportation, amusement and multifamily to be Based on conversations with dormant. contractor management teams, we In addition, while we expect there expect an increase in deal activity in will be interest from large general 2021 versus 2020, particularly due to contractors to acquire attractive the lost quarter that happened in early targets, we expect valuation to remain 2020, when M&A transactions were a hurdle for closings. For example, on hold. we’re seeing a number of buyers that We also expect to see deal want to acquire contractors that announcements in mechanical and service data centers, pharmaceuticals, electrical trades, where there warehousing and distribution. The continues to exist robust interest from question is, why will sellers be willing large private and publicly held to trade when they are amid record- companies. setting demand. In addition, we anticipate a few All in all, the M&A market for construction announcements from industrial is faring better than we anticipated at the contractors with heavy exposure to oil outset of the pandemic. We hope that and gas seeking to diversify into other vaccines and treatments continue to show end markets such as food and positive progress through clinical trials and beverage and pharmaceutical. that at least one outcome of the election will be less uncertainty, which always We expect continued bullishness on bodes well for both the economy and the proposed infrastructure and demand for new construction. pandemic rescue package to spur deal activity in the heavy civil and highway segments (although this will be offset by diminished state and municipal budgets). 20
About the Author Ryan Foley is a managing director with FMI Capital Advisors, FMI Corporation’s investment banking subsidiary. Ryan co-heads the Contractor & Construction Services industry practice of FMI Capital Advisors, FMI Corporation’s Investment Banking subsidiary. In this capacity, Ryan provides strategic M&A and capital raising services to the construction and engineering industry. He can be reached at rfoley@fminet.com. 21
Four Ways to Optimize Talent in Uncertain Times By Priya Kapila Tips for effectively assessing your current labor pool, making the necessary adjustments and preparing for future success. As the end of one of the most unusual the first half of 2020, one in three years in recent history draws to a close, it contractors acted quickly to reduce costs is naturally a time for reflection and, even by decreasing headcount. more importantly, a time of planning for the days ahead. Engineering and However, there was no pause in the construction (E&C) companies are demand for skilled talent. According to the undoubtedly considering their 2021 U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), the forecasts, including examining backlogs construction industry saw monthly net and reviewing business development gains in job creation, and the number has opportunities and bid prospects. Many are been rising through the most recent data also considering discounts for for October. While total industry subcontractor and supplier challenges as employment is below pre-COVID levels, well as potential project delays and the unemployment rate remains relatively cancellations. Key among these projections conservative at 6.8%, which is slightly less for next year should be an assessment of than the U.S. average across all industries. workforce needs. In other words, many workers have employment options. Four Labor Optimization Moves In many markets, competition has This does not mean contractors cannot still remained high and margins have take steps to improve efficiencies and, in continued to be squeezed amid mounting doing so, streamline their organizational health and economic concerns. During structures. It simply means they must 22
proceed with care and caution. Here are four breakers, it is best to flag them as soon as steps companies can take now to ensure their possible. If there are unique people and labor forces are optimized for 2021. processes that are believed to be integral to the company, it might be preferrable to Step 1: Determine Current and Future place these outside any restructuring efforts or ensure that the changes are Staffing Needs gradual and clearly communicated. Not Before an executive team can create the surprisingly, executives who have worked preferred organizational structure, it must to create and promote a positive view of examine the company’s financial position, leadership are often able to oversee business development plan, and changes best. operational capabilities and prospects. Nonfinancial factors must be considered Industry benchmarks should not be the sole too; a comprehensive overhaul of the consideration for leaders in developing an company’s strategic direction and activities optimal structure, but they can yield helpful may be ideal, but if employees perceive the insights on how similar companies are changes as a cultural conflict, the possible organizing their employee populations. For gains may not outweigh the potential for example, FMI’s 2020 Construction turnover and disengagement. Professional Compensation Survey reveals that among general contractors, most hire The risk of reluctance or resistance to one project manager, superintendent and change is one reason that most companies project engineer for approximately every $18 would be well-served by creating a million in revenue, on average (Exhibit 1). restructuring plan now. If there are deal Exhibit 1. Project/Field Employees by Company Revenue 60 Total Project/Field Engineers Per Company Total Project Management Professionals Per Company 50 Total Project Superintendents Per Company Number of Employees 40 30 20 10 0 $0 $250 $500 $750 $1,000 E&C Company Revenue (Millions) Source: FMI’s 2020 Construction Professional Compensation Survey 23
The broad review of the corporate outlook Performance reviews primarily focused on should be narrowed to determine the talent behaviors versus results can cause problems. characteristics that are most important to Often, executives and HR leaders are the firm. For example, a general contractor concerned that it causes undue stress and that sees an opportunity to further break overfocus on tangible results rather than into the self-perform arena may focus its long-term contributions and employee attention on establishing qualifications and development. What’s more, in times like expectations for field leadership and trade these, when companies are considering staff. Another contractor in a highly reining in salary increases and incentive competitive environment may highlight the awards, linked performance reviews lose need for a best-in-class estimating nearly all value in the eyes of employees. department. The identification of critical areas does not negate the need to evaluate In the absence of a more robust training job roles throughout the organization, but and development program, performance leaders should prioritize those positions or reviews can still be a good starting point. If teams that are most likely to support the used, they should offer clear, objective company now and in the future commentary of employees’ current job (recognizing they may be different). performances and their reflections of company values. If employees are in the Step 2: Evaluate Employees’ Skills, habit of developing customized goals with their managers, this feedback can also offer Interests and Potential insights on what is important to each Employees are continuously assessed for employee (i.e., where they want to excel or competencies, asked for insights on their improve). In addition, the difficulty of the aptitudes, and questioned about their performance goals established can be an potential and desire for advancement. For indicator of his or her manager’s general many contractors, this is a utopian views of capabilities. More detailed concept. While annual performance assessments can be conducted and, in reviews have become common across the some instances, should be. However, E&C industry, they are still fraught with starting with available resources will lead inconsistency and incompleteness. And, to less disruption to the employee base unfortunately, one approach to improve while leaders contemplate new structures. the process—requiring a completed review for raises and bonuses—has few benefits other than ensuring most Step 3: Align Jobs With People employees and managers speak at least Discussing the future potential of team once a year about performance. members – and how it aligns with the future goals of the firm – is a sensitive topic; therefore, it is ideal that functional needs are 24
determined independent of the assessment The more sensitive side of the alignment of people at first. The act of reconciling equation includes the methods required to necessary and desired staffing with the effectively transition employees who will no current workforce is likely to result in some longer have a clear role within the company. conflicts. In other words, there will be First, the approach for identifying those vacancies for key positions as well as likely to be terminated must be reviewed to employees who do not necessarily fit in the ensure fairness and compliance: ideal organizational structure. Employees must be evaluated Companies should also focus on managing according to consistent criteria that job gaps. Even contractors seeking cost reflect the company’s values and savings and an overall reduction in the strategies. workforce may find that there are new or The best practice is to assess all modified jobs needed for future business employees, even those in jobs that improvements. Therefore, once these will be eliminated. unfilled jobs are identified, leaders must make an action plan to place the right The process should represent a individuals in them. top-down hierarchical structure, but not neglect critical input from team Finally, there should be a clear members across the organization. understanding of the characteristics and skill sets desired after analyzing staffing Employee evaluations must be needs. Filling the gaps might be achieved undertaken quickly and quietly. through retraining current employees or Rumors will begin circulating rapidly, recruiting new, experienced team members. and the sooner they can be quelled with guidance from leadership, the In both instances, the time and cost of better. getting workers up to speed must be Leadership must determine what type evaluated carefully. Cultural and compliance of consideration is required and if the factors may have an impact also; in company will offer additional particular, when a significant reduction in severance benefits (e.g., salary force occurs, who is left standing takes on continuation, paid leave payouts, great significance. Companies may also ongoing health care premium consider engaging independent contractors coverage, outplacement services, etc.). or consultants, but, generally, this should be done to satisfy interim needs or accomplish short-term initiatives. 25
Step 4: Develop the Restructuring Plan Not surprisingly, the views of employees A contractor’s communication plan has who remain have much more influence on momentous impact on the success of the the long-term performance of the company restructuring process. While there are than those let go. One survey from the schedules to put in place, training and Great Recession era showed that nearly all onboarding programs to develop, and employees are less likely to recommend overall strategic alignment to confirm, the their company as a great place to work, way changes are managed and conveyed and 3 of 5 employees think their will have lasting effects. organizations’ prospects have worsened after a layoff. There is further evidence Leaders may exercise discretion in how suggesting that employees are more likely transparent they are when communicating to voluntarily leave a company when workforce adjustments. If reorganization is future job satisfaction and security are seen as necessary to take on significant increasingly uncertain and are usually the new opportunities, then a reasonable level top performers leave first. of optimism should be messaged. On the other hand, if the talent shifts are needed Navigating Uncharted Territory for dramatic course correction, it may be Given the difficulty of 2020 and the best that leadership communicates a new outlook for 2021, contractors should future to prepare for a turnaround. consider the caliber of current talent and future wants and needs to bolster potential. In any scenario, the suggestion that a This is even more important after a decade reduction in force is simply a cost-cutting of continued growth, where there was a endeavor will not be met well. Feedback common perception that anybody would following a restructure is nearly always be a good fit for an open position. challenging, but a forward-looking perspective will be the best mitigator of The need to rein in spending and create an anger, sadness and frustration. organization that is structured for success means it is now time to take a hard look at Employees in roles that are eliminated optimal job roles and current employee should be informed promptly and be given characteristics. Using the strategies all appropriate details related to their outlined in this article, companies can departures. Shortly thereafter, as the effectively assess their current labor pools, message gets out, further explanation make the necessary adjustments and build should be shared internally and among key for future success. external stakeholders. 26
About the Author Priya Kapila is the compensation and rewards consulting leader with FMI. Priya is responsible for leading the compensation consulting practice of FMI Compensation. Services provided to clients are primarily focused on the areas of executive compensa- tion, organizationwide salary structure development, and short- term and long-term incentive plan design. She can be reached at pkapila@fminet.com. 27
Why Focusing on Your Company Vision Still Matters By Tim Tokarczyk and Emily Livorsi Watching, waiting and ignoring changes until the COVID-19 pandemic is over isn’t going to work. Here’s why. It’s been 26 years since Jim Collins and The answer is: Yes, vision still matters. And Jerry Porras published their landmark as we see when returning to the insights in study in “Built to Last,” and the world has “Built to Last,” leaders still need to set the changed significantly since October 26, foundation and goals that will guide their 1994. We’ve seen dot-com bubbles burst, organizations for the coming years despite terrorism emerge as a global threat and the continuous uncertainty. To do that, we pace of technological change skyrocket. need to remind ourselves of what vision is We’ve navigated through the Great and how it can be a transformative tool for Recession of 2008, and we’ve seen the our organizations. proliferation of disinformation propelled by social media. Holding Steady Amid Uncertainty “Built to Last” introduced the world to the Today we’re in the midst of a global concept of “preserve the core and stimulate pandemic and economic downturn, the progress.” This is the foundational principle likes of which we’ve never experienced in that makes vision such a powerful tool. The our lifetimes. Industry leaders would be first part of vision, defined by a core forgiven for asking this question: Does purpose and core values, is meant to vision still matter when we cannot even identify the aspects of an organization that predict what will happen tomorrow, let should never change. Having a clear alone months or years from now? purpose and core values provides stability and a reference for everyone to use when making business decisions. 28
In our current climate, employees need to 5. How do you handle it when workers know that your company’s defining perform well in their jobs, but do so in characteristics won’t change. This is ways that don’t align with your purpose important because your core purpose (why and values? Do you ignore it because the company exists beyond making they’re high performers, or do you money) and your core values (the enduring address it directly? tenants of behavior) provide guidance for The answers to these questions will help your people. The problem is that the words you determine how well you’re preserving themselves do not accomplish anything. the core, which is critical to building an enduring organization. In times of To transform your company and build it uncertainty, this foundation will center into an enduring organization requires your employees and help them stay more than nice-sounding words. Many focused. organizations have a written vision, but few have taken the steps to become truly In 2019 FMI interviewed industry visionary companies. executives who led through the Great Recession and asked leaders what factors To overcome this issue, core values and and leadership moves helped them purposes must be communicated frequently weather the storm. Many leaders identified across the organization. Employees need to having a clear core ideology—and not receive feedback on how they are straying from it—as critical to the health of performing relative to the purpose and the business. values, and they need to understand what they should be doing and changing. Stimulating Progress Next, Collins and Porras stated that Putting it to the Test companies need to stimulate progress to To test how well you have embedded your accomplish their goals. This often takes the core purpose and core values into your form of a big, hairy, audacious goal organization, ask yourself the following (BHAG), with a clear description and questions: understanding of what the organization is trying to accomplish with this goal. 1. Do you have a clearly defined core purpose and core values? The BHAG unifies the organization around 2. When was the last time you celebrated a single goal—a long-term strategic someone for aligning with your objective that requires change. The core purpose and values? purpose and core values provide stability, 3. What training does your organization but for an organization to survive, it must conduct to align people with your also change and adapt. In times of purpose and values? uncertainty, your people need to know where the organization is going. 4. Do you ask interview questions of potential hires to evaluate whether they align with your culture? 29
A long-term strategic goal gives your Do you have clear metrics that allow employees direction and guides day-to-day you to measure progress and a plan to work toward accomplishing that vision. refocus if you get off track? Whether this direction concerns These are just a few of the key questions organizational growth, expanding into new that leaders must consider when building a markets or segments, redesigning the long-lasting culture and organization. organization from the inside out, transforming your talent to be best in class, or revolutionizing the industry, your Visionary Versus Average Leaders people need to know where the company To help illustrate the differences between is heading and how their contributions visionary leaders and average leaders, support those efforts. consider the thinking of two different leaders in the following scenarios: To test how well you’ve clarified your long-term strategic direction, ask yourself Scenario A: Average Leader the following questions: I have no idea what the future looks like. Our backlog is strong going into 2021, so I Can your employees clearly define the feel good about that; but I’m not sure what organization’s long-term (10- to 2022 will bring. We weathered the first 20-year) goals and direction? wave of COVID-19 well, but I’m not sure what will happen in the next few months. Do your employees understand what It’s better for us to focus on the day to day they need to do today to help the and just get through this. Eventually, organization achieve its long-term things will quiet down, and we’ll be able to goals? get back on track then. At this point, I’ll Have you made considerable, remind my people to focus on what they measurable strategic progress over the can control, do their jobs and we’ll be ok. past year? Scenario B: Visionary Leader Have you celebrated and I have no idea what the future looks like, communicated this progress to the but I’m confident that we’re heading in the whole organization? right direction. We have an exceptional Do you have a clear picture of what culture, and we need to remind people that needs to happen over the next year to true success involves performing well day to drive the organization forward? How day, but also aligning with our purpose and about over the next five years? values. If we stay true to who we are, we’ll be able to thrive in any environment. We 30
also need to keep our eye on the long-term Working Toward a Brighter Future goals of the organization. While we’re 2020 has been a challenging year for all of dealing with uncertainty, we can’t let up on us. Even businesses that are thriving have the gas. We have big expectations of the endured an uncommon level of stress and organization and all employees, and there’s new obstacles. The industry has faced many much we need to accomplish in 2021 if we challenges this year, including navigating hope to achieve our BHAG by 2035. We new work-from-home policies, dealing with need to leverage the collective experience COVID outbreaks at the office or on job and wisdom of our people for innovative sites, and shifting focus as project work was ideas to overcome our current challenges. paused or stopped, to name a few. The key difference between these two Without intentional focus, leaders will shift scenarios is that in times of crisis, average to the short-term tactics, pausing vision leaders hunker down. They focus on the work in order to endure. Other leaders will tactical, the short term. They pause their take the visionary path and increase long-term thinking until there is more communication and refocus their people certainty. Visionary leaders recognize that in on the company’s core purpose and core challenging times, they must think values. They’ll think strategically about strategically and refocus their people on what what the future of the organization looks matters—the core purpose and core values. like in a post-COVID world, collaborate more, leverage their people and chart a path forward to ensure continued business success. “Built to Last” was right all those years ago—vision really does matter. 31
You can also read