2021 Updates - JMK Research

Page created by Jaime Chen
 
CONTINUE READING
2021 Updates - JMK Research
   

                3
                EV
                Updates

Lead Sponsors
                2021
2021 Updates - JMK Research
EV  ONLINE
       DASHBOARD

                                                               Battery Manufacturing
                                                                                               Investments &
                                                               Battery manufacturing
                                                               landscape in India- Current     Partnerships
                                                               status, expansion plans, new    Information captured basis vehicle
                       Charging Infrastructure                 entrants, technology details,   type, deal type, and company type
                       CPO's data, Market share, Policies,                                                                          Tenders
                       investments, EV tariffs across states
                                                                                                                                    Details of tenders issued and
                                                                                                                                    awarded from 2019 onwards
             Electric 4 wheelers
             E-cars and E-buses sales data, product
             models, technical specifications, ex-                                                                                              Market Projections
             showroom prices, etc.                                                                                                              Segment wise and year wise
                                                                                                                                                market projections

  Electric 3 Wheelers
  Sales data, product models,                                                                                                                                Policies
  technical specifications,                                                                                                                                  All Central and State level
  information on range, charging                                                                                                                             announced/notified/drafted EV
  time, ex-showroom prices, top                                                                                                                              policies in consolidated form as well
  speed, battery type etc. Key OEMs                                                                                                                          as for different vehicle segments,
  and their Market share                                                                                                                                     charging infrastructure, and
                                                                                                                                                             manufacturing.

Electric 2 Wheelers
Sales data, product models,
technical specifications,                                                                                                                                       Player profiles
information on range, charging                                                                                                                                  Segment wise detailed player
time, ex-showroom prices, top                                                                                                                                   profiles- sales data, market share,
speed, battery type etc. Key                                                                                                                                    product models available,
OEMs and their Market share                                                                                                                                     investments, etc.

                                                               For Inquiries, please click here

               INCLUSIONS                                                                             CONTACT US
               • Online access for 12 months                                                          For online demo of the dashboard
                                                                                                      please contact us at:
               • Weekly EV Newsletter (48 in a year)
                                                                                                      M: +91-7428306655
               • Monthly EV Summary (12 in a year)
                                                                                                      E: contact@jmkresearch.com
               • Access to research support team                                                      W: www.jmkresearch.com
2021 Updates - JMK Research
2021 Updates - JMK Research
Contents

                     1. Executive Summary | 6

                     2. New Product Launches | 7
                        •   Electric Two Wheeler (E2W) | 7
                        •   Electric Cars (E Cars) | 9

                     3. Policies and Regulations | 10

                     4. Investments | 11

                     5. Sales Trends - India | 14
                        •   Electric Two Wheeler (E2W) sales trends | 16
                        •   Electric Three Wheeler (E3W) sales trends | 18
                        •   Electric Cars (E4W) sales trends | 20
                        •   Electric Buses sales trends | 22

                     6. Global Sales Trends | 23
Q3 2021 EV Updates

       4
1         Executive Summary

                         The EV segment continues to grow at an enormous pace in India with rising
                         sales and new product variants introduced across various vehicle categories.
                         For the last quarter i.e. Q3 2021, key updates across EV sector include:

                         • Launch of 9 electric two-wheeler models and 4 electric cars. This quarter
                           witnessed the highly anticipated launch of Ola’s and Simple Electric’s
                           E2Ws and the entry of a new player in the E-Cars’ space, Audi. There has
                           been no new product launches in the electric three-wheeler space for the
                           last two quarters in a row.

                         • Maharashtra, Odisha, and Assam released their ‘Electric Vehicle Policy’.
                           Further, Rajasthan and Uttarakhand too announced incentives for EV
                           buyers in these two states.

                         • More than Rs. 2,754 Crore (USD 367.9 million) of fundings were raised
                           across various segments, the highest ever in any quarter so far. Biggest
                           funding was raised by Ola Electric of Rs. 2,251 Crore which included a mix of
                           debt and equity investments.

                         • The Q3 2021 sales of registered EVs surged by 205% from the previous
                           quarter’s sales to reach 95,384 units, the highest ever in a single quarter.

                         • Globally, the total sales of battery electric vehicles (BEVs) for the nine
                           analyzed markets (China, United States, Germany, UK, France, Norway,
                           South Korea, Netherlands, Japan) increased by 28.7% from 884,832 units
                           in Q2 2021 to 1,139,071 in Q3 2021.
Q3 2021 EV Updates

       5
2               New Product Launches

                              2.1 Electric Two Wheeler (E2W)

                             During the July-September 2021 period, nine new E2Ws were launched. The
                             speeds of these products range from 25 km/h to 115 km/h. Out of the 9
                             models launched, only the Ola S1 Pro and the Simple Energy One have
                             speeds above 100 km/hr.

                             In terms of usability, Detel Easy Plus is targeted at B2B segment, whereas
                             eBikeGo Rugged will be available for both commercial and personal
                             applications.

                             Table 2.1: Electric Two-Wheeler Product Launches in Q3 2021

                               Name                     Speed                   Specification                    Price

                                                                   • Range – 160 km
                                                                   • Battery – 3 kWh (Li-ion)               Rs 79,999 (G1)
                          eBikeGo Rugged               70 km/h
                                                                   • Motor Output– 230 Nm                   Rs 99,999 (G1+)
                                                                   • Comes in two variants - G1 and G1+
                                                                   • Range – 121 km
                                Ola S1                 90 km/h     • Battery – 2.98 kWh                       Rs. 99,999
                                                                   • Motor Power- 8.5 W
                                                                   • Range – 181 km
                              Ola S1 Pro               115 km/h    • Battery – 3.97 kWh Li-ion               Rs. 1,29,999
                                                                   • Motor – 8.5 W
                                                                   • Range – 236 km
                                                                   • Battery – 4.8 kWh Li-ion
                         Simple Electric One           105 km/h                                              Rs. 1,09,999
                                                                   • Nominal Power- 4.5 kW
                                                                   • Boot space- 30 litres
                                                                   • Range – 75 km
                             EVTric Axis               25 km/h     • Battery – 48V/26 Ah Li-ion               Rs. 64,994
                                                                   • Motor Power- 250 W
                                                                   • Range – 75 km
                             EVTric Ride               25 km/h     • Battery – 48V/26 Ah Li-ion               Rs. 67,996
                                                                   • Motor Power- 250 W"
Q3 2021 EV Updates

                                                                                                                               Source: JMK Research

                                                                   • Range – 70-80 km
                                                                   • Charging time – 4-5 hrs.
                           Detel Easy Plus             25 km/h                                                Rs. 39,999
                                                                   • Battery – 20Ah kW
                                                                   • Motor – 250 Nm
                                                                   • Range – 50-60/70-80 km
                                                                   • Charging time – 4-5 hrs (Min.)
                     Okaya Freedum LI-2 and LA-2       25 km/h                                            Rs. 69,999 onwards
                                                                   • Battery – 48V 28Ah/48V 30Ah

       6                                                           • Motor – 8000 W (peak)
Figure 2.1: Price v/s Top Speed of Newly Launched Electric Two-Wheeler Products of Q3 2021

                      120

                                                                                                                                                                              Ola S1 Pro
                      110
                                                                                                                                                  Simple Electric One

                      100

                      90                                                                                                           Ola S1

                      80
Top Speed (Kmph)

                      70                                                                            eBikeGo Rugged

                      60

                      50

                      40

                                                                EVTric Axis           EVTric Ride
                      30
                                Detel Easy Plus
                                                                                          Okaya Freedum LI-2 and LA-2

                      20
                               00           00             00           00           00            00           00           ,0   00             00           ,0   00           ,0   00           ,0   00           ,0   00
                          ,0           ,0             ,0           ,0           ,0            ,0           ,0                               ,0
                       30           40             50           60           70            80           90           1   ,00           1,10           1   ,20           1   ,30           1   ,40           1   ,50
                                                                                               Prices (Rs.)
 Q3 2021 EV Updates

                                                 Source: JMK Research

        7
2.2 Electric Cars (E-Cars)

                               Q3 2021 saw a new entrant in the Indian EV space, with Audi launching its
                               luxury EV models e-Tron 50 and e-Tron 55, both of which are priced around
                               Rs. 1 crore. This quarter also witnessed the current market leader, Tata
                               Motors, launch two new models, the Tata Xpres-T EV and the revamped Tata
                               Tigor EV. The Xpres-T EV is a fleet-only offering, while the Tigor is based on
                               Tata Motor’s proprietary Ziptron technology and targets the passenger
                               vehicle segment.

                               Table 2.2: Electric Four-Wheeler Product Launches in Q3 2021

                            Name                 Speed                 Specification                                Price

                                                            • Range – 165-213 km
                                                            • Charging time
                                                              • 11.5 hrs (AC: 0-100%);
                        Tata Xpes-T EV          80 km/h                                                    Rs. 9.75 lakhs onwards
                                                              • Up to 80% within 110 min (DC fast)
                                                            • Battery – 16.5- 21.5 kWh
                                                            • Launched exclusively for fleets
                                                            • Range – 306 km
                                                            • Charging time – 8.5 hrs (0-100%) @ 220V AC
                     Tata Tigor EV Facelift     120 km/h                                                   Rs 11.99 lakhs onwards
                                                            • Battery – 26 kWh
                                                            • 0-100 km/h – 12.63 secs
                                                            • Range – 267-397 km
                                                            • Charging time – 7 hours (@11 kW AC)
                        Audi e-Tron 50         190 km/hr                                                      Rs. 99.99 lakhs
                                                            • Battery – 71 kWh
                                                            • 0-100 km/h – 6.8 secs"
                                                            • Range – 359-484 km
                                                            • Charging time – 13 hours (@7.4 kW AC)
                        Audi e-Tron 55                                                                         Rs. 1.16 crores
                                                            • Battery – 95 kWh
                                                            • 0-100 km/h – 5.7 secs"

                               Source: Company Press releases, JMK Research
Q3 2021 EV Updates

       8
3
Policy/ Regulation/ Guideline
                               Policies and Regulations

                                                                             Key takeaways
         Announced
                                    • MNRE, CEA and NITI Aayog has been requested to present their suggestions and
                                      recommendations on draft NEP 2021 within two months, starting from 27 April 2021.
                                    • Section 17 of the draft covers the development of Charging infrastructure, which states
Maharashtra Government                that ‘Certain tariff related measures may be required to be undertaken for Public Charging
unveils its new EV Policy             Stations.
                                    • The draft mentions the use of Time Of Day (TOD) tariff to avoid charging during peak hours.
                                    • Aggregators may be allowed to aggregate the demand of multiple public charging stations
                                      to purchase renewable energy using open-access.
                                    • The Transport Department of Rajasthan issued a notification on 16 July 2021, regarding the
                                      state’s EV Policy to encourage EV adoption.
Rajasthan Government to             • As per the notification, a provision is made to reimburse the SGST (State Goods and Service Tax)
release EV Policy soon, issues        amount and give a one-time grant to EV buyers.
notifica-tion on EV grants
                                    • It is to be noted that while the notification mentions that the state will roll out EV policy soon,
                                      there is however, no mention of incentives for 4-wheelers.
Government of India exempts         • The Ministry of Road Transport and Highways released a notification on 2nd August 2021,
EVs from the payment of               exempting Battery operated vehicles (BOV) from the payment of fees for the purpose of issue
registration or renewal fees          or renewal of registration certificate.

                                    • Odisha approved Its EV policy on 28 August 2021, becoming the 10th Indian state to do so.
Odisha approves its EV Policy
                                    • With this policy, Odisha government aims an EV penetration of 20% by 2025
                                    • Assam released a notification on 4 September 2021, implementing its EV policy.
                                    • This policy will be valid for a period of 5 years and aims to achieve 25% penetration of EVs in all
Assam releases its EV Policy
                                      vehicle registrations by 2026.
                                    • The state will deploy 2 lakh EVs for commercial and individual use during the policy period.
                                    • Uttarakhand’s Chief Minister Pushkar Singh Dhami announced recently that incentives will
                                      be provided on the sale of electric vehicles in the state to encourage the adoption of eco-
                                      friendly vehicles and reduce vehicle-related pollution.
Uttarakhand to provide              • He said that the incentives will be given by the Pollution Control Board on the sale of the
incentives to EV buyers               first 5,000 two-wheelers and the first 1,000 four-wheelers sold to private consumers.

                                    • The incentive on electric two-wheelers will be either 10 percent of their price, or Rs. 7,500,
                                      whichever is lower and the incentive on four-wheelers will be up to Rs. 50,000 or 5 percent of
                                      their price, again whichever is lower.
                                    • Government sources said that they were also looking at including electric bicycles under the
                                      capital subsidy scheme seeing its growing popularity and the need to bring down its cost for
Govt may extend Fame II in-           customers.
centive scheme for purchase
of personal EV cars, e-bicycles     • The fresh inclusions would make the running of Fame II or Faster Adoption and
                                      Manufacturing of Hybrid and EV scheme all-encompassing covering the entire range of
                                      electric vehicles being used both for personal and commercial use and public transport.

                      Source: Industry news articles , JMK Research

 9
4                              Investments

                                            The investment flow in the EV sector in Q3 2021 (Rs. 2,754 crores) witnessed a
                                            whopping 800% leap over the Q2 2021 investment flow. In fact, investments
                                            raised in this quarter alone were higher than the investments raised in Q1
                                            2020 and Q2 2021 combined. The investment in Ola Electric to the tune of
                                            Rs. 2,251 Crores is touted as the primary reason for this giant leap.

                                            Key investments in Q3 2021:

                                            • Ola Electric raised a total of Rs. 2,251 crores, accounting for 81% of the total
                                              investments raised in this quarter. Out of this Rs. 2,251 crores, Rs. 750 crores
                                              was raised as debt from Bank of Baroda and the remaining Rs. 1,501 crores
                                              came from the Company’s existing investors.

                                            • BluSmart, the EV Fleet Aggregator, raised Rs. 187.67 crores as equity from
                                              BP Ventures and other investors.

                                            • Ashok Leyland’s e-mobility arm, Switch Mobility raised Rs. 152.12 crores
                                              from Dana Group, which acquired a minority stake of 1% in the Company.

                                            Figure 4.1: Quarterly Investment Trend in EV Space

                                            3000         11                                                                   2754     12

                                            2500
                                                                                                                                 10    10
                                                                                                 9

                                            2000                                                                                       8
                                                                                                              8
                     Investments (Rs. Cr)

                                                                                                                                            Number of deals

                                            1500                                                                                       6

                                            1000
                                                                                                                   236                 4
                                                                            4

                                             500                           282              238              306                       2
                                                        209

                                                0                                                                                      0
                                                       Q3 2020           Q4 2020           Q1 2021          Q2 2021          Q3 2021
Q3 2021 EV Updates

                                                    Total Investments (in Rs. Cr)                    Total Number Of Deals

                                             Source: JMK Research

    10
Table 4.1 Investments in Q3 2021 in EV space in India

                                                                                              Deal
        Company         Company                                                               Value
Month                                    Deal Type                     Investor                                  Details
        Name              Type                                                                (USD
                                                                                               Mn)

                                                                                                       Ola Electric raises
                           EV
 Jul    Ola Electric                         Debt       Bank of Baroda                         750     $100 million debt for
                       Manufacturer
                                                                                                       two-wheeler EV hub

        Switch
                                                                                                       Dana Makes A
        Mobility           EV
 Jul                                        Equity      Dana Group                            135.12   Minority Investment In
        Automotive     manufacturer
                                                                                                       Switch Mobility
        Ltd, India

                                                                                                       Ampere Electric acquires
                         EV 3-W
 Aug    MLR Auto                         Acquisition    Ampere Electric                       18.81    26% stake in last-mile
                       Manufacturer
                                                                                                       e-wheeler OEM MLR Auto

                                                        •    Rishi Bagla, Chairman of Bagla
                                                             Group, an auto component
                                                             manufacturer, and
        goEgo           EV charging                                                                    GoEgoNetwork raises
 Aug                                        Equity      •    Olivier Guillaumond, Head of     15.01
        Network           startup                                                                      USD 2 million in seed
                                                             Global Innovation Labs and
                                                                                                       funding
                                                        •    Fintech at ING Bank, funded
                                                             the seed round.

                        EV charging                     •    Amara Raja,                               Log 9 Materials raises $8.5
        Log 9
 Aug                    technology          Equity      •    Exfinity ventures                 63.8     mn in funding round led
        Materials
                          startup                       •    Sequoia Capital                           by Amara Raja Batteries

                                                        Investors from Silicon Valley, New
                                                        Jersey, and India including senior             MetroRide to expand EV fleet
                        AI based EV
 Aug    MetroRide                           Equity      executives like Shailesh Powdwal,              ride in Bengalurur, Delhi:
                         platform
                                                        Sudhir Pai, Bhagirath Tanna and                Secures seed funding
                                                        entrepreneur Sushant Divakar.

                                                                                                       Ola Electric gets $200
                           EV                           •    Falcon Edge
Sept    Ola Electric                        Equity                                             1501    million funding at $3
                       Manufacturer                     •    Softbank and others
                                                                                                       billion valuation

                                                        •    BP Ventures                               BP leads $25 mn Series
                       EV fleets and
                        installing                      •    Mayfield India Fund                        A round in EV ride-
 Sep    BluSmart                            Equity                                            187.67
                        charging                        •    9Unicorns                                 hailing and charging
                         stations                       •    Survam Partners                           startup BluSmart

                       Source: Industry news articles, JMK Research

 11
Deal
      Company                     Company                                                        Value
Month                                             Deal Type                     Investor                           Details
      Name                          Type                                                         (USD
                                                                                                  Mn)
                                                                 •   9Unicorns
                                                                 •   Anthill Ventures
                                                                 •   Nanavati Family Office
                                                                 •   We Founder Circle                   EV-based last mile delivery
                      Zypp        EV last mile
  Sep                                                Equity      •   Silicon Valley-based Riso   52.54   startup Zypp Electric
                      Electric     delivery
                                                                     Capital Fund                        raises $7 million
                                                                 •   Dholakia Ventures
                                                                 •   Venture Catalysts and
                                                                 •   IAN Fund
                                                                                                         EV startup REVOS raises
                                 EV Charging                     •   Union Square Ventures and           $4M Series A investment,
  Sep                 REVOS                          Equity                                       30
                                  solutions                      •   Prime Venture Partners              aims to be ‘Android for
                                                                                                         EVs’

                                 Source: Industry news articles, JMK Research
 Q3 2021 EV Updates

      12
5                       Sales Trends- India

                              The Q3 2021 sales of EVs surged by 205% from previous quarter’s sales to
                              register 95,384 units. In the region-wise category, Uttar Pradesh had the
                              maximum registered EV sales (19%) in India among all the states/ UTs,
                              followed by Karnataka(12%) and Tamil Nadu (10%).

                              Fig 5.1: Registered EV sales in India: Trend (Q3 2020 - Q3 2021)

                                         1,00,000
                                                                                                                           95,384

                                          80,000
                     No. of Units Sold

                                                                                           65,285

                                          60,000

                                          40,000                             39,941

                                                     26,960                                                      31,257

                                          20,000
                                                     Q3 2020          Q4 2020             Q1 2021        Q2 2021              Q3 2021

                              Figure 5.2: Region-wise Registered EV sales in India in Q3 2021

                                                               Others, 14%
                                                                                                            Uttar Pradesh, 19%
                                                     Haryana, 3%
                                                     Kerala, 3%

                                                    Assam, 4%

                                                                                      95,384 units                        Karnataka, 12%
                                               Telangana, 6%
Q3 2021 EV Updates

                                                      Bihar, 6%

                                                                                                                 Tamil Nadu, 10%
                                                       Rajasthan, 8%

                                                                                                     Delhi, 8%
                                                                  Maharashtra, 8%

                               Source: Vahan Dashboard, Telangana Open Data, JMK Research
                               Note: Sales figures represent EVs registered across 1,348 RTOs in 33 states/ UTs; Sales data do not include
     13                        numbers for Andhra Pradesh and Madhya Pradesh
The figure below shows a category-wise breakup for Electric vehicle registrations
                     in Q3 2021. More than half of the EV registration in this quarter came from
                     electric two-wheelers (52%), followed by electric three-wheeler goods vehicles
                     (38%), electric-three wheeler passenger vehicles (5.5%), E-Cars (4%), and E-Buses
                     (0.2%).

                     Figure 5.3: Category-wise Registrations in Q3-2021

                                                                          5%
                                                                     er-5.
                                                                 seng
                                                                s          rs-4%
                                                              Pa       E Ca      E Buses-0
                                                            W                              . 2%
                                                          E3                      Others-0
                                                                                          .3%

                                                                                                                    E2W
                       E3W Goods - 38%

                                                                                                                        - 52%
                                                                             95,384 Units

                     Source: Vahan Dashboard, JMK Research
Q3 2021 EV Updates

                     Note: Sales figures represent EVs registered across 1,348 RTOs in 33 states/ UTs;:

                                         Sales figures for E2Ws represent only high-range E2W (Top speed > 25 kmph) models registered;

                                         Sales data do not include numbers for Andhra Pradesh and Madhya Pradesh

                                         Others include Adapted Vehicles, Fork-Lift, and Goods Carrier categories

    14
5.1 Electric Two Wheeler (E2W) sales trends

                                                  In the high-speed (HS) E2W segment, the cumulative sales of top 5 players
                                                  (Hero Electric, Okinawa Autotech, Ather Energy, PURE, Ampere Vehicles) in
                                                  Q3 2021 accounted for 80% of the overall sales (46,209 units). On a Q-o-Q
                                                  basis, the total sales witnessed a surge of 370%, and a jump of 674% on a
                                                  Y-o-Y basis. With respect to the Q3 2021 sales, Hero Electric leads with 35%
                                                  share, followed by Okinawa Autotech (18%), Ather (13%), PURE (10%) and
                                                  Ampere (5%) in the HS E2W segment.

                                                  Figure 5.4: Player-wise high-speed E2W sales trend

                                         17,000
                                                                  Okinawa Autotech
                                                                  Hero Electric
                                                                  Ather Energy
                                                                  Ampere Vehicles
                                                                  Pure EV
                                         10,000                   TVS Motors
                                                                  Benling India
                                         9,500
                                                                  Bajaj Auto
                                         9,000                    Revolt Intellicorp
                                         8,500                    Jitendra New EV Tech
                                                                  Others
                                         8,000
                                          7,500
                                         7,000
                                         6,500
                     No. of Units Sold

                                         6,000
                                         5,500
                                         5,000
                                         4,500
                                         4,000
                                         3,500
                                         3,000
                                         2,500
                                         2,000
Q3 2021 EV Updates

                                          1,500
                                          1,000
                                           500
                                             0
                                                       Q3 2020               Q4 2020                   Q1 2021           Q2 2021               Q3 2021

                                                  Source: Vahan Dashboard, Telangana Open Data, JMK Research

                                                  Note: Sales figures represent only high-range E2W (Top speed > 25 kmph) models registered across 1,348 RTOs
     15
                                                  in 33 states/ UTs; Sales data do not include numbers for Andhra Pradesh and Madhya Pradesh
Figure 5.5: Share of high-speed E2W sales in Q3 2021

                                                        Jite
                                                            ndr
                                                               aN
                                                                 ew
                                                                  Be

                                                                   Other
                                                                     n

                                                                      EV
                                                                      lin
                                                                         Ba

                                                                          gI

                                                                          Tec

                                                                          s, 4%
                                                                           ja

                                                                            nd
                                                                             jA

                                                                              h, 1
                                                                               ia,

                                                                                                                         H
                                                                               ut

                                        TV

                                                                                                                          er
                                                                                   %
                                                                                   o,

                                          S
                                                                                    2%

                                                                                                                            o
                                              M
                                                                                      4%

                                                    ot

                                                                                                                           El
                                                      or

                                                                                                                             ec
                        Rev                             s,
                                                             4%

                                                                                                                                tri
                           olt

                                                                                                                                   c, 3
                                 Inte
                                     llico

                                                                                                                                       5%
                                              rp,
                                                  4%

                     Ampere Vehicles,
                                              5%
                                                                                         49,837 Units
                                         P u re E
                                           V, 10
                                               %
                                                      At

                                                             er
                                                        h

                                                                  En
                                                                       er
                                                                            gy
                                                                              , 13                                   %
                                                                                     %                          h, 18
                                                                                                             tec
                                                                                                         Auto
                                                                                                       a
                                                                                                 Okinaw

                          Source: Vahan Dashboard, Telangana Open Data, JMK Research

                          Note: Sales figures represent only high-range E2W (Top speed > 25 kmph) models registered
                          across 1,348 RTOs in 33 states/ UTs; Sales data do not include numbers for Andhra Pradesh and
                          Madhya Pradesh
Q3 2021 EV Updates

    16
5.2 Electric Three Wheeler (E3W) sales trends

                                                    The combined sales of both passenger and cargo (registered) E3Ws in Q3
                                                    2021 (41,235 units) saw a 160% Q-o-Q increase over the Q2 2021 sales, the
                                                    highest ever recorded sales in a quarter. The passenger-type E3W accounted
                                                    for 87% of the total E3W sales for Q3 2021. The sales of passenger and cargo
                                                    variants have witnessed a surge of 201% and 108% Y-o-Y, respectively.

                                                    Figure 5.6: Sales trend of cargo E3W and passenger E3W

                                            40000

                                                                                                                                       35,855
                                            35000
                                                                                                31,374

                                            30000
                     Number of units sold

                                                                        23,632
                                            25000

                                            20000   17,264

                                            15000                                                                 13,919

                                            10000
                                                                                                 6,040                                       5,380

                                             5000                          2,300
                                                    1,786                                                              1,941

                                               0
                                                    Q3 2020              Q4 2020                Q1 2021              Q2 2021               Q3 2021

                                                                  E3W - Passanger                                    E3W - Cargo

                                                    Source: Vahan Dashboard, Telangana Open Data, JMK Research

                                                    Note: Sales figures represent E3Ws registered across 1,348 RTOs in 33 states/ UTs; Sales data do
                                                    not include numbers for Andhra Pradesh and Madhya Pradesh
Q3 2021 EV Updates

                                                    The cumulative sales of top 5 electric 3-wheeler players in Q3 2021
                                                    accounted for 28% share of the passenger and cargo segments combined.
                                                    YC Electric Vehicle had the highest share of 9.1%, followed by Mahindra
                                                    Electric Mobility (6.5%), Saera Electric Auto (4.4%), Champion Poly Plast
                                                    (4.4%), and Best Way Agencies (3.6%).

    17
Figure 5.7: Sales Trend of Top 5 E3W Players
                                                                                                                   YC Electric Vehicles
                                                                                                                   Mahindra Electric Mobility
                                                                                                                   Saera ELectric Auto
                                                                                                                   Champion Poly Plast
                                            4000                                                                   Dilli Electric

                                            3500

                                            3000
                     Number of Units Sold

                                            2500

                                            2000

                                            1500

                                            1000

                                             500

                                              0
                                                     Q3 2020                    Q4 2020               Q1 2021                    Q2 2021                                                    Q3 2021

                                                                                                                                                                          1%
                                                   Figure 5.8: Top E3W Players in Q3 2021
                                                                                                                                                                 ,   9.
                                                                                                                                                          l   es
                                                                                                                                               h     ic
                                                                                                                                            Ve
                                                                                                                                  t   ric
                                                                                                                               ec
                                                                                                                          El
                                                                                                                     YC

                                                                                                                                                                                                        , 6.5%
                                                                                                                                                                                             obility
                                                                                                                                                                            tric M
                                                                                                                                                               dr    a Elec
                                                                                                                                          Mahin
                                                                             %
                                                                         Others , 72

                                                                                                         28%

                                                                                       41,553 Units
                                                                                                                                            Saera EL
                                                                                                                                                                      ectric Au
                                                                                                                                                                                        to, 4.4%

                                                                                                                                       Cha
                                                                                                                                                 mp
                                                                                                                                                               ion
Q3 2021 EV Updates

                                                                                                                                                                          Pol
                                                                                                                                                                                yP
                                                                                                                          Di                                                         last
                                                                                                                               lli                                                          , 4.4
                                                                                                                                     El                                                             %
                                                                                                                                          ec
                                                                                                                                               tri
                                                                                                                                                     c,
                                                                                                                                                          3.6
                                                                                                                                                                 %

                                                   Source: Vahan Dashboard, Telangana Open Data, JMK Research

                                                   Note: Sales figures represent E3Ws registered across 1,348 RTOs in 33 states/ UTs;

                                                   Sales data do not include numbers for Andhra Pradesh and Madhya Pradesh
    18
5.3 Electric Cars sales trends

                                                   In Q3 2021, the total sales of electric cars surged by 145% on a Q-o-Q basis and
                                                   270% on a Y-o-Y basis, clocking 3,834 units. In the respective quarterly sales,
                                                   Tata Motors continued to have the maximum share (63%) followed by MG
                                                   Motor (32%) and Hyundai (1%).

                                                   Figure 5.9: Player-wise e-car sales trend

                                            2500

                                                        Tata Motors
                                                        MG Motors
                                                        Hyundai
                                                        Mahindra and Mahindra
                                                        Others
                                            2000

                                            1500
                     Number of Units Sold

                                            1000

                                             500
Q3 2021 EV Updates

                                              0
                                                   Q3 2020                 Q4 2020                Q1 2021                Q2 2021                 Q3 2021

                                                   Source: Vahan Dashboard, Telangana Open Data, JMK Research

                                                   Note: Sales figures represent E-Cars registered across 1,348 RTOs in 33 states/ UTs; Sales data do not
                                                   include numbers for Andhra Pradesh and Madhya Pradesh

    19
Figure 5.10: Player-wise e-car sales trend

                                                     Mahi
                                                         nd
                                                     ra & M undai, 1

                                                                          Others, 3%
                                                           ahind
                                                           Hy

                                                                 ra, 1%
                                                                      %

                                                                                               Ta
                                                                                                 ta
                                                                                                  M
                                                                                                   ot
                                                                                                     or
                                                                                                       s,
                                                                                                       63%
                                       %
                                  MG Motors, 32

                                                                          3,834 Units

                     Source: Vahan Dashboard, Telangana Open Data, JMK Research

                     Note: Sales figures represent only high-range E2W (Top speed > 25 kmph) models registered
                     across 1,348 RTOs in 33 states/ UTs; Sales data do not include numbers for Andhra Pradesh and
                     Madhya Pradesh
Q3 2021 EV Updates

   20
5.4 Electric Buses sales trends

                     In a divergence from the trend observed in other segments above, the sales
                     for Q3 2021 declined by 3% from 309 units in Q2 2021 to 203 units in Q3 2021.
                     Almost three-fourth of the sales in Q3 2021 were accounted for by Tata Motors
                     followed by PMI, Olectra and JBM Auto, as depicted in fig 5.12.

                     Figure 5.11: Sales trend of Electric Buses                                              Ashok Leyland
                                                                                                             Tata Motors
                                              200                                                            PMI
                                                                                                             Olectra
                                                                                                             JBM Auto

                                              150
                       Number of Units Sold

                                              100

                                               50

                                               0
                                                    Q4 2020         Q1 2021             Q2 2021          Q3 2021

                                                                                             JBM Auto - 1%
                                                                                        4%
                                                                                   MI- 1
                                                                                  P

                     Figure 5.12: Share of e-bus sales in Q3-2021
                                                                                                                        Tat
                                                                             4%
                                                                  Olectra - 1

                                                                                                                           a Mot
                                                                                                                                ors - 71%

                                                                                             203 Units
Q3 2021 EV Updates

                     Source: Vahan Dashboard, Telangana Open Data, JMK Research

                     Note: Sales figures represent E3Ws registered across 1,348 RTOs in 33 states/ UTs;
     21
                     Sales data do not include numbers for Andhra Pradesh and Madhya Pradesh
6     Global Sales Trends

                     The total sales of battery electric vehicles (BEVs) in the 9 major markets
                     analysed by JMK Research increased from 884,832 units in Q2 2021 to 1,139,071
                     in Q3 2021. China has, once again, claimed the top position in the global BEV
                     sales’ race with 782,000 units sold in the third quarter of 2021 and witnessing a
                     Q-o-Q increase of ~47%. China has sold over more than 1.5 million units in the
                     first 9 months of 2021, 67% more than the 2020 sales. As of September 2021, BEVs
                     accounted for 9.5% of the total vehicles sold in China in 2021. This trend can be
                     attributed to the increasing pressure on automakers by the Chinese government
                     to reach 40% BEV penetration by 2030.

                     The combined BEV sales in the top five European markets including Germany,
                     UK, France, Norway, and Netherlands, on the other hand, increased by a
                     miniscule 5.3% Q-o-Q, reaching 2,20,665 units. This is in sharp contrast to the
                     Q-o-Q increase of 47% witnessed by China.

                     • The good news however is that BEVs accounted for one-fifth of the overall
                       vehicle sales in Q3 2021 in the European Union (EU).

                     • In addition, this quarter witnessed a slump in ICE vehicle sales in the EU,
                       signifying the growing popularity of BEVs. This popularity is particularly
                       noticeable in Norway, where BEVs accounted for 62.5% of overall vehicle sales
                       in 2021 (As of September 2021).

                     Unlike other global countries, the United States saw its BEV share decline by
                     11.6% in Q3 2021, clocking 93,535 units as compared to 105,895 units in Q2 2021.
                     However, with reports suggesting the expansion of tax credits on the sale of
                     BEVs in the United States, the sales are expected to increase in the next two
                     quarters.

                     The Asian countries of Japan and South Korea witnessed a 100% rise in sales in
                     Q3 2021 from Q2 2021, registering 6,557 units and 36,314 units respectively.

                     • In South Korea, BEVs accounted for 13.1% of total vehicles sold in 2021 (as of
                       September 2021), which was driven by falling EV prices due to an increase in
                       local supply of batteries in the country. I
Q3 2021 EV Updates

                     • In Japan, however, the share of BEVs in overall vehicle sales is as low as 0.8%.
                       This is due to the lack of options in the Japanese market, with automakers
                       such as Toyota leaning more towards developing hydrogen vehicles.

   22
Figure 6.1: Region-wise Registered Battery Electric Vehicles (BEV) Sales in Q3 2021

                           800,000

                                               China’s skyrocketing sales can be attributed to the
                                               increasing pressure on automakers by the Chinese
                           700,000             government to reach 40% BEV penetration by 2030

                           600,000

                           500,000
                                                                                                       Q3 2020
                                                                                                       Q4 2020
    Number of Units Sold

                                                                                                       Q1 2021
                                                                                                       Q2 2021
                           400,000
                                                                                                       Q3 2021

                           300,000

                           200,000

                           100,000

                                0
                                     China     United      Germany         UK      South Korea     France       Norway Netherlands   Japan
                                               States

                                        Source: The European Automobile Manufacturers' Association (ACEA), Opplysningsrådet for
                                        Veitrafikken (OFV), China Association of Automobile Manufacturers (CAAM), JMK Research
Q3 2021 EV Updates

   23
Figure 6.2: BEV Market Share (%age of BEV Registrations out of the Total Vehicle Registrations
                                     from January-September 2021)

                                     80

                                     70
                                           62.5%

                                     60

                                     50
                     BEV Share (%)

                                     40

                                     30

                                     20
                                                                                                         13.1%
                                                       11.7%
                                                                 9.5%       9.5%      8.5%
                                     10                                                                               5.8%
                                                                                                                               2.4%
                                                                                                                                       0.8%
                                      0
                                              ay        an
                                                          y
                                                                  ina        UK            ce              ds            rea    US      pa
                                                                                                                                           n
                                            rw                 Ch                     an            rlan              Ko              Ja
                                          No          rm                            Fr           he                 h
                                                   Ge                                           t                ut
                                                                                           Ne               So

                                     Source: The European Automobile Manufacturers' Association (ACEA), Opplysningsrådet for
                                     Veitrafikken (OFV), China Association of Automobile Manufacturers (CAAM), JMK Research
Q3 2021 EV Updates

   24
   

             Copyright (c) JMK Research & Analytics 2021

                    JMK Research & Analytics
                   E: contact@jmkresearch.com
                            M: +91-7428306655
                           A: 27/2C, Palam Vihar,
                         Gurgaon, Haryana-India
                       W: www.jmkresearch.com
You can also read