2021 Tech Trends Report - 5G Robots Transportation - Open Learning Campus
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Volume 10 of 12 14th Annual Edition 2021 Tech Trends 5G Report Robots Strategic trends that will influence business, Transportation government, education, media and society in the coming year.
00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 5G, Robots and Transportation
03 Overview 29 Mars Dogs 63 Exponential Growth in
04 Macro Forces and Emerging Trends 30 Ethical Manufacturing Autonomous Driving Data
06 Summary 31 Robot Rights 65 Autonomous Vehicle Testing
Gets Regulated
08 5G 32 Robots as Essential Workers
66 Analog Fallbacks
09 5Geopolitics 33 Expert Insight: The Next Generation
of Robots Must Be Adaptable, 67 Scenario: When Humans
10 Expert Insight: 5G Will Transform
Customizable and Trainable Attack Cars
Transportation, Entertainment,
35 Logisitics & Supply Chain 68 Urban Planning for Multi-Use Roads
Retail and More
36 Capturing IIoT Metadata 69 China’s Open Road
12 6G
37 Automating the Supply Chain 70 New Cityscape Designs
13 Breaking the Millisecond Barrier
38 Sustainability in Supply 71 Scenario: Unified Rules
15 Edge Computing
Chain and Logistics 72 Decarbonizing Flight
16 Near-real-time Application
39 Rethinking the Cold Chain 73 Supersonic Flights
Environments
40 Additive Manufacturing 74 Scenario: The End of Traffic
16 AI at the Edge
42 Drones 75 Autonomous Ships
16 Edge Management
44 Drone Swarms 76 China’s Foreign
16 Big Tech Companies at the Edge
46 Drone Fleets Infrastructure Investment
16 Hyper-local Data Centers
47 Cognitive Active Safety Features 77 Application
for Edge Computing
48 Autonomous Last Mile Delivery 78 Key Questions
18 Quantum Computing
49 Air Lanes 79 Sources
19 Updating Post-Quantum
Cryptography Standards 50 Flying Taxis 80 Author
19 Quantum Supremacy 51 Follow-Me Autonomously 84 Why FTI
19 Global Quantum Computing Race 52 Inspection Drones 85 About FTI
19 Quantum Boosts for 53 Autonomous Underwater Vehicles 86 Disclaimer
Classical Computers 54 Transportation 87 Creative Commons License
20 Robots 55 Vehicular Biospheres
21 Robots-as-a-Service (RaaS) 56 Scenario: Intra-biosphere
22 Cobots and intra-pod mobility
23 Autonomous, Programmable 57 Battery-Supported Transportation
Robot Swarms 58 Scenario: Distributed Grid
24 Self-Assembling Robots 59 Car OS
25 Robot Compilers 60 Transportation-as-a-Service
26 Soft Robotics Business Models
27 Smart Dust 61 Forced Updates
28 Commercial Quadrupedal Robots 62 Scenario: Experiential Interruptions
00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 5G, Robots and Transportation
Overview
The 1920s began in chaos. Cata- It’s difficult not to see striking ed trends. In total, we’ve analyzed
clysmic disruption resulting from parallels to our modern world. A nearly 500 technology and science
the first world war and the Spanish tumultuous U.S. election, extreme trends across multiple industry
flu shuttered businesses and pro- weather events and Covid-19 sectors. In each volume, we discuss
voked xenophobia. Technological continue to test our resolve and the disruptive forces, opportunities
marvels like the radio, refrigerator, our resilience. Exponential tech- and strategies that will drive your
vacuum cleaner, moving assembly nologies—artificial intelligence, organization in the near future.
line and electronic power trans- synthetic biology, exascale com-
Now, more than ever, your organi-
mission generated new growth, puting, autonomous robots, and
zation should examine the poten-
even as the wealth gap widened. off-planet missions to space—are
tial near and long-term impact of
More than two-thirds of Ameri- challenging our assumptions about
tech trends. You must factor the
cans survived on wages too low to human potential. Under lockdown,
trends in this report into your stra-
sustain everyday living. The pace we’ve learned how to work from
tegic thinking for the coming year,
of scientific innovation—the dis- our kitchen tables, lead from our
and adjust your planning, opera-
covery of insulin, the first modern spare rooms, and support each
tions and business models accord-
antibiotics, and insights into theo- other from afar. But this disruption
ingly. But we hope you will make
retical physics and the structure of has only just begun.
time for creative exploration. From
atoms—forced people to reconsid-
With the benefit of both hindsight chaos, a new world will come.
er their cherished beliefs.
and strategic foresight, we can
The sheer scale of change, and the choose a path of reinvention. Our
great uncertainty that came with 2021 Tech Trends Report is de-
it, produced two factions: those signed to help you confront deep
who wanted to reverse time and uncertainty, adapt and thrive. For Amy Webb
return the world to normal, and this year’s edition, the magnitude
Founder
those who embraced the chaos, of new signals required us to cre-
The Future Today Institute
faced forward, and got busy build- ate 12 separate volumes, and each
ing the future. report focuses on a cluster of relat-
03 © 2021 Future Today Institute
00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12
6
1
Macro Forces and
Emerging Trends 2 3 4 5
For nearly two decades, the Future Today Institute has meticulously re-
searched macro forces of change and the emerging trends that result.
Our focus: understanding how these forces and trends will shape our
futures. Our 14th annual Tech Trends Report identifies new opportunities
for growth and potential collaborations in and adjacent to your business.
We also highlight emerging or atypical threats across most industries,
including all levels of government. For those in creative fields, you will find
a wealth of new ideas that will spark your imagination.
Our framework organizes nearly 500 trends into 12 clear categories.
Within those categories are specific use cases and recommendations for
key roles in many organizations: strategy, innovation, R&D, and risk.
Each trend offers six important insights.
1. Years on the List 2. Key Insight 4. Disruptive Impact 6. Action Scale Informs Strategy
We track longitudinal tech and Concise description of this trend The implications of this trend on FTI’s analysis of what action your Strong evidence and data. Longer-
science trends. This measurement that can be easily understood and your business, government, or organization should take. Fields term uncertainties remain. Use it to
indicates how long we have repeated to others. society. include: inform your strategic planning.
followed the trend and its
progression. 3. Examples 5. Emerging Players Watch Closely Act Now
Real-world use cases, some of Individuals, research teams, Mounting evidence and data, but Ample evidence and data. This
which should be familiar to you. startups, and other organizations more maturity is needed. Use it to trend is already mature and
emerging in this space. inform your vision, planning, and requires action.
research.
04 © 2021 Future Today Institute00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 5G, Robots and Transportation Macro Forces and Emerging Trends Scenarios Describe Plausible Outcomes You will find scenarios imagining future worlds as trends evolve and converge. Scenarios offer a fresh perspective on trends and often chal- lenge your deeply held beliefs. They prompt you to consider high-impact, high-uncertainty situations using signals available today. 1 1. Headline 2 A short description offering you a glimpse into future changes. 2. Temporal and Emotive Tags 3 A label explaining both when in the future this scenario is set and whether it is optimistic, neutral, pessimistic, or catastrophic. 3. Narrative The descriptive elements of our imagined world, including the developments leading us to this point in our future history. Scenario sources: The Future Today Institute uses a wide array of quali- tative and quantitative data to create our scenarios. Some of our typical sources include patent filings, academic preprint servers, archival re- search, policy briefings, conference papers, data sets, structured inter- views with experts, conversations with kids, critical design, and specula- tive fiction. 05 © 2021 Future Today Institute
00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 5G, Robots and Transportation
+ 6G will be the sixth generation of + There will be millions of imple- + Construction materials such as
wide-area wireless technology, mentations of robots-as-a-ser- bricks could soon behave like hu-
following the transition to 5G. vice over the next five years, man cells and evolve, replicate,
Planning for this new standard is which could generate billions of and assemble organically with
already underway. dollars of revenue. others.
+ A new standard for latency is in + As 5G comes online and reduc- + China is creating a new mobility
5G
the works and could break the es latency, robots will process ecosystem that includes electric
millisecond barrier. spatial data at fast enough vehicles, apps, communications
speeds to adapt to environmen- systems, artificial intelligence,
+ The global quantum computing tal changes. and data, and it is intending to
race is on, and equity deals for ship its products to the West.
Robots &
quantum computing startups + Robots are now capable of
surged in 2020. “sweating” thanks to a soft, + Saudi Arabia is developing fu-
robotic muscle that can auton- turistic new megacities. They will
omously regulate its internal have advanced technologies and
temperature, just like living or- urban ecosystems that rival every
Transportation
ganisms do. other major city.
+ Robotic dogs specially designed + Efforts are underway to create
for Mars will travel in packs and fully autonomous, AI-powered
assist each other as they climb, ships, along with a legal frame-
Summary
jump, and descend new terrains. work for them to operate safely
and officially in international
+ Some governments will consider waters.
granting the legal status of “elec-
tronic persons” to sophisticated
robots.
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