2018 Q3 - Open Government Program

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2018 Q3 - Open Government Program
2018>Q3
                         Applications Management Consulting Ltd.

                           Calgary & Area
                           Labour Market Report

  This Calgary and Area Labour Market Report is
  produced four times a year and provides results on
  labour market needs, shortages and issues from the
  perspective of employers in the Calgary Region.
Table of Contents
Summary .................................................................................................1
      Calgary Economy ..............................................................................................1
      Calgary Population ............................................................................................5
      Job Vacancies ...................................................................................................6
      Labour Force Statistics - Calgary ......................................................................7
      Labour Force Statistics - Alberta: Indigenous Peoples .....................................9
      Labour Force Statistics - Alberta: New Immigrants .........................................11
      Industry Employment.......................................................................................12
      Employer Survey .............................................................................................13
Employer Survey - Q3 2018 Results .....................................................17
             Survey Profile ..................................................................................................................17
             Past Business Activity .....................................................................................................18
             Future Business Activity .................................................................................................19
             Layoffs ............................................................................................................................20
             Vacant Positions..............................................................................................................22
             Future Employment .........................................................................................................24
             Most Successful Recruitment Methods ..........................................................................27
             Recruiting Difficulties ......................................................................................................29
             Employee Turnover .........................................................................................................33
             Most Successful Employee Retention Strategies ...........................................................36
             Supplemental Questions - Diversity and Inclusion in the Workplace .............................39
             Current Employment of Diversity Groups .......................................................................41
             Diversity and Inclusion Initiatives ...................................................................................43
             Future Employment of Diversity Groups .........................................................................44
             Employer Supports for Diversity and Inclusion ..............................................................47
             Benefits of a Diverse Workforce .....................................................................................49

Appendix A: Survey Methodology ........................................................54
Appendix B: Employer Survey - Q3 2018 Occupation Results.............55

Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2018 Q3 Report
1
                            CALGARY ECONOMY
                            SUMMARY
         Q3 2018

Summary

The Calgary Census Metropolitan Area (CMA) economy is forecast to
expand by just 0.8% in 2018. Annual real GDP growth is projected to
average slightly above 1.0% over the next few years.
Calgary Economy

PAST GROWTH                                         CURRENT GROWTH                                      FUTURE GROWTH

Thanks in part to rising oil                        Economic growth in the                              While population growth in the
prices and a recovering energy                      Calgary CMA is expected to                          Calgary CMA is expected to
sector, the Calgary Census                          moderate relative to 2017’s                         remain relatively high over the
Metropolitan Area (CMA)                             rebound, with real GDP growth                       next few years and should
economy posted strong growth                        forecast at a rate of 0.8% in                       contribute to gains in the
of 4.9% in 2017 following two                       2018. Leading sectors are                           services sector, industries
years of significant contraction.                   expected to include health                          related to the energy sector
Calgary had the fastest                             care services and infrastructure                    exhibit a muted growth
growing economy among major                         construction projects. Montreal                     outlook. The price of Western
metropolitan areas in Canada                        (2.9%) and Winnipeg (2.7%)                          Canadian Select (WCS) oil
in 2017, followed by Vancouver                      are projected to be the fastest                     declined rapidly over the
(4.5%) and Victoria (4.1%).1                        growing CMAs in the country                         quarter, from US$53 per barrel
                                                    in 2018.                                            in July 2018 to US$40 in
                                                                                                        September.

              Calgary Past GDP Growth 2017                      Calgary GDP Growth Forecast 2018                     Calgary GDP Growth Forecast 2019

          Oil & Gas                       10.9%                  Health                       2.8%                    Health                           2.8%
   Accom & food                     7.3%                 Construction                    2.0%              Transp & ware.                        2.0%
  Transp & ware.                   6.9%               Transp & ware.                     1.9%                     Education                     1.9%
       Retail trade                6.7%                      Education               1.2%                     Construction                      1.8%
   Manufacturing                   6.2%                Prof, sci, tech.          0.6%                       Accom & food                       1.7%
     Construction                4.4%                Fin, ins, real est.        0.5%                            Retail trade                   1.6%
   Prof, sci, tech.           3.7%                            Oil & gas         0.5%                        Prof, sci, tech.              1.0%
 Fin, ins, real est.        2.1%                           Retail trade         0.5%                      Fin, ins, real est.            0.9%
         Education          1.9%                       Accom & food             0.4%                               Oil & gas            0.5%
             Health         1.2%                       Manufacturing            0.3%                        Manufacturing            0.3%
                       0%   4%     8% 12%                                  0%   1%     2%   3%                                  0%      1%     2%   3%

1 All past and forecast data from Applications Management Consulting Ltd, Calgary & Area Labour Market Forecast: 2018 Summer Report..

Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2018 Q3 Report
2
                                CALGARY ECONOMY
                                SUMMARY
            Q3 2018

The discount for Canadian heavy oil, as measured by the Western
Canada Select (WCS) price differential to West Texas Intermediate (WTI),
averaged 32% or US$22.25 per barrel in the third quarter of 2018.

OIL PRICES                                              INFLATION                                              WEEKLY EARNINGS

The price of WTI oil rose to                            Consumer prices in Calgary                             The weekly earnings of payroll
an average of US$70 per                                 rose 2.4% in September 2018                            employees in the Calgary CMA
barrel in Q3 2018, from US$48                           (y/y), similar to Alberta and                          averaged $1,150 in September
in Q3 2017. WCS, the                                    slightly higher than Canada                            2018, $6 lower than the
Canadian heavy oil benchmark,                           (+2.2%). Calgary recorded price                        previous month but $15 higher
averaged US$47 per barrel in                            growth in all eight major                              than September 2017.
Q3 2018, from US$38 a year                              consumer categories, with the                          Calgarians employed in the
earlier. Consequently, the                              highest growth rate in                                 utilities industry had the
differential of WTI over WCS                            transportation. In September                           highest average weekly
widened to US$22.25 in Q3                               2018, transportation alone                             earnings at $2,013 in
2018, from US$9.94 in Q3                                added 1.3 percentage points                            September 2018, while
2017.                                                   to the annual inflation rate.                          accommodation and food
WTI oil prices are projected to                         Higher gasoline prices (+23%)                          services employees had the
average US$68.46 per barrel in                          was a main contributor to the                          lowest weekly earnings at
2018 and US$69.56 in 2019.2                             rise in transportation costs.3                         $590.4

     WTI Prices, Quarterly Avg. (US$/bbl)                          Calgary Inflat. Rates Sep 18 (y/y) Calgary CMA Avg Weekly Earnings

                                                                     All items               2.4%
    Q3 18                                     $70
                                                               Transportation                        6.3%        Sep 18                               $1,150
                                                           Alcohol & tobacco                  3.2%
    Q2 18                                    $68
                                                           Health & pers. care               2.3%

    Q1 18                                 $63             Clothing & footwear            1.8%                   Aug 18                                $1,156
                                                                      Shelter            1.8%
    Q4 17                              $55                               Food           1.5%

                                                               Household ops          0.5%                       Sep 17                               $1,134
    Q3 17                           $48
                                                          Rec., ed., & reading        0.3%

             $0        $25       $50         $75                                 0%           4%      8%                    $0     $400     $800 $1,200

2   Baytex Energy Corp. Historical Oil Pricing.WTI forecast source: Energy Information Administration, Short Term Energy Outlook, October 10, 2018.

3   City of Calgary, September 2018 Inflation Review, October 19, 2018

4   City of Calgary, Corporate Economics, Economics, Labour Market Review, August and September 2018.

Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2018 Q3 Report
3
                               CALGARY ECONOMY
                               SUMMARY
            Q3 2018

The number of Calgarians receiving Employment Insurance (EI) benefits
declined to 14,710 in Sept. 2018, the lowest level seen in over 3 years.

NON-RESIDENTIAL                                        EMPLOYMENT                                   DOWNTOWN
CONSTRUCTION                                           INSURANCE                                    OFFICE MARKET

Investment in non-residential                          Employment Insurance (EI)                    Calgary’s downtown office
building construction in the                           beneficiaries receiving regular              vacancy rate fell slightly to
Calgary CMA totaled $954                               benefits in Calgary fell to                  25.2% in Q3 2018, from 26.0%
million in Q3 2018, up 7.9%                            14,710 in September 2018,                    the previous quarter and
year-over-year. Investment in                          down 9.7% from the previous                  25.7% year-over-year. Total
institutional and governmental                         month and down 33% year-                     vacancy for the downtown
projects, which made up 38%                            over-year. The last time the                 office market, as of Q3 2018,
of non-residential construction                        number of beneficiaries in                   was 11.7 million square feet
spending in Calgary, rose 66%                          Calgary was below the 15,000-                (msf), compared to 3.0 msf at
y/y. Investment in Edmonton                            mark was April 2015 (14,640).                the end of 2014. Vacancy is
was down nearly 11% y/y in                             This overall downward trend is               forecast to rise as high as
Q3 2018, while nationally, non-                        forecast to continue as                      26.6% with the addition of the
residential investment rose                            Alberta’s economy and labour                 460,000 sf TELUS Sky building
5.6%.5                                                 market move toward recovery.6                at the end of 2018.7

    Inv. in Non-Res Construction Q3 18 (y/y)                         Calgary EI Recipients             Calgary Downtown Office Vac. Rates

       Calgary                                7.9%                                                  Q3 2018                    25.2%
                                                         Sep 18                   14,710

                                                                                                    Q2 2018                    26.0%
    Edmonton          -10.9%
                                                         Aug 18                    16,290           Q1 2018                    25.6%
       Alberta              -3.4%
                                                                                                    Q4 2017                    26.0%
                                                         Sep 17                        22,100
       Canada                                5.6%
                                                                                                    Q3 2017                    25.7%

                 -30% -20% -10%      0%    10%                       0   10,000   20,000   30,000             0%   10%   20%   30%

5   Statistics Canada. Table 34-10-0011-01

6   Statistics Canada. Tables 14-10-0013-01 and 14-10-0012-01.

7   Avison Young, Third Quarter 2018 Office Market Report Calgary,

Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2018 Q3 Report
4
                                     CALGARY ECONOMY
                                     SUMMARY
               Q3 2018

Consumer bankruptcies in Calgary were up 9.7% year-over-year to the
end of Sept. 2018.

PROJECTS UNDER                                                 CONSUMER                                         BUSINESS
CONSTRUCTION                                                   BANKRUPTCIES                                     BANKRUPTCIES

As of September 2018, there                                    The number of Calgarians that                    Nineteen Calgary businesses
was an inventory of 97 major                                   filed for personal bankruptcy                    filed for bankruptcy in Q3
projects (with a minimum cost                                  fell to 406 in the third quarter                 2018, nearly double the
of $5 million) under                                           of 2018, from 483 the                            previous quarter and up from
construction in Calgary, valued                                previous quarter and 383 year-                   15 bankruptcies in Q3 2017.
at an estimated $14.8 billion.                                 over-year.
Infrastructure projects                                                                                         To the end of September
accounted for 35% of the                                       Year-to-date September 2018,                     2018, a total of 44 Calgary
value of the projects ($5.1                                    consumer bankruptcies in                         businesses filed for bankruptcy,
billion), while mixed-use                                      Calgary totaled 1,268, a 9.7%                    similar to the 45 bankruptcies
projects accounted for 27%                                     increase from the 1,156                          filed in the first nine months
($4.0 billion) and institutional                               bankruptcies filed in the first                  of 2017. 10
projects accounted for 14%                                     three quarters of 2017. 9
($2.0 billion).8

                Value of Calgary Projects ($bill)                  Calgary Consumer Bankruptcies                     Calgary Business Bankruptcies

    Infrastructure                                       5.1
         Mixed-use                                 4.0         Q3 18                           406               Q3 18                                19
      Institutional                      2.0
      Commercial                    1.3
        Residential                 1.1                        Q2 18                                 483         Q2 18                 10
     Tourism/Rec               0.6
              Pipeline         0.5
                Retail        0.1                              Q3 17                          383                Q3 17                           15
             Industrial       0.1
                          0          2         4          6            0   100   200   300   400   500                   0   5    10        15        20

8   Alberta Government, Inventory of Alberta Major Projects.

9   Office of the Superintendent of Bankruptcy Canada, Insolvency Statistics in Canada - Second Quarter 2018.

10   Ibid.

Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2018 Q3 Report
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                             CALGARY POPULATION
                             SUMMARY
          Q3 2018

Calgary’s population reached 1.267 million in April 2018, a 1.7% increase
year-over-year. Over the 2018 - 2023 period, the population of the City
of Calgary is projected to grow by an annual average of 26,300 per
year. Calgary’s senior population (aged 65+) is forecast to increase by
about 25,400 over the next 5 years, to 160,200 in 2023.
Calgary Population

TOTAL POPULATION                                     YOUTH POPULATION                                      SENIOR POPULATION

Calgary’s population as a                            Calgary’s youth population                            Calgary’s senior population
whole is forecast to grow by                         (aged 15 - 24) is projected to                        (aged 65+) is forecast to grow
about 131,400 over the next                          grow by just 4,400 over the                           by about 25,400 over the next
five years, from 1.267 million                       next five years, from an                              five years, from 134,800 in
in 2018 to about 1.399 million                       estimated 148,100 in 2018 to                          2018 to about 160,200 in
in 2023. According to the City                       152,500 in 2023. Since this is                        2023. Rapid growth in the
of Calgary’s most recent                             projected to be the slowest                           senior population is expected
projections, there will be some                      growing age cohort over the                           to put pressure on some of
shifts in the demographics of                        next 5 years, some Calgary                            Calgary’s services and
the population that will impact                      businesses looking for entry-                         infrastructure.
Calgary over the next 5                              level workers may have
years.11                                             difficulty filling vacant
                                                     positions.

       Calgary Pop. Growth Forecast                           Youth Pop. Growth Forecast                           Senior Pop. Growth Forecast

 2023                            1.9%                  2023                           0.9%                    2023                              3.8%

 2022                             2.0%                 2022                            1.0%                   2022                              3.8%

 2021                               2.1%               2021                           0.9%                    2021                            3.5%

 2020                             2.0%                 2020                       0.5%                        2020                            3.4%

 2019                            1.9%                  2019 -0.4%                                             2019                           3.1%

         0%         1%         2%          3%                  -1%        0%        1%         2%                     0%    1%    2%    3%    4%     5%

11 Sources for all population growth forecasts: City of Calgary, Corporate Economics, Calgary and Region Economic Outlook 2018 - 2023, Fall 2018.

Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2018 Q3 Report
6
                                JOB VACANCIES
                                SUMMARY
           Q3 2018

The number of job vacancies rose 5.5% in the Calgary region, 15% in the
Edmonton region, and 35% in the rest of Alberta year-over-year in Q2
2018. Overall, Alberta employers reported about 59,900 job vacancies in
Q2 2018, an 18% increase compared to Q2 2017.
Alberta businesses reported 59,935 job vacancies in Q2 2018, up 9,010 (+17.7%) from Q2 2017. The
province’s overall job vacancy rate increased to 3.0% in the second quarter of 2018, from 2.6% a
year earlier. In Calgary, job vacancies were up 1,600 (+9.6%) year-over-year, while in Edmonton, the
number of job vacancies increased by 2,245 (+16.4%). Calgary’s job vacancy rate stood at 2.5% in
Q2 2018, unchanged from the previous year, while Edmonton’s job vacancy rate was 2.8%, up from
2.5% in Q2 2017. The job vacancy rate is the total number of job vacancies as a percentage of
labour demand (the sum of all occupied plus vacant jobs). An increase in the vacancy rate suggests
employers are having more difficulties filling positions.12

                                                                  Job Vacancies, Alberta
                                                                    Q2 2018               Q2 2017

                                                                                                                           50,765
             Alberta
                                                                                                            42,845

                                                                 18,225
             Calgary
                                                               16,625

                                                           15,925
         Edmonton
                                                       13,680

                                                               16,615
  Rest of Alberta
                                                      12,540

                           0                10,000             20,000         30,000             40,000              50,000            60,000

Job Vacancies

12 Statistics Canada. Table 14-10-0325-01 Job vacancies, payroll employees, job vacancy rate, and average offered hourly wage by provinces and
territories, quarterly, unadjusted for seasonality.

Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2018 Q3 Report
7
                             LABOUR FORCE STATISTICS
                             CALGARY SUMMARY
          Q3 2018

Calgary’s unemployment rate increased half a percentage point quarter-
over-quarter to 8.2% in Q3 2018, but was down slightly year-over-year.

PARTICIPATION                                         EMPLOYMENT                                             UNEMPLOYMENT

Calgary’s labour force                                Employment in the Calgary                              Calgary’s unemployment rate
participation declined to 72.2%                       CMA fell to 827,900 in the                             reached 8.2% in Q3 2018, up
in Q3 2018, from 73.0% the                            third quarter of 2018, down by                         from 7.7% the previous
previous quarter and 74.2% in                         8,600 from the previous                                quarter, but down slightly from
Q3 2017. Calgarians aged 25 -                         quarter and down by 5,500                              8.4% the previous year.
54 (88.7%) had a higher                               year-over-year.
labour force participation rate                                                                              St. John’s NL had the highest
than youth aged 15 - 24                               Employment in Calgary is                               average unemployment rate
(65.9%) and adults aged 55+                           forecast to increase by 1.0%                           among metropolitan areas in
(46.6%) in Q3 2018. In                                in 2018 (8,600 net new jobs).                          Canada in Q3 2018 at 9.6%,
addition, men had a higher                            Most major industries are                              followed by Calgary (8.2%) and
participation rate (78.1%) than                       forecast to grow in 2018, with                         Saskatoon (7.4%). Quebec
women (67.6%). 13                                     health services (+2.9%),                               (3.8%) and Victoria (3.9%) had
                                                      construction (+2.0%) and                               the lowest unemployment rates.
                                                      transportation and warehousing                         Canada’s unemployment rate
                                                      (+1.7%) leading the way.14                             averaged 5.9% in Q3 2018.

                                                                                                             Labour Force Statistics - Calgary

  Calgary Labour Force Stats                                                   Q3 2018                   Q2 2018                     Q3 2017
  ✓ Participation Rate                                                               72.2%                      73.0%                       74.2%

  ✓ Employment Rate                                                                  66.3%                      67.4%                       68.0%

  ✓ Unemployment Rate                                                                 8.2%                       7.7%                        8.4%
Source: Statistics Canada. Table 14-10-0294-01

13 The participation rate is the number of persons employed, or unemployed but looking for a job, divided by the total working age population.

14 Forecast data from Applications Management Consulting, Calgary & Area Employment Forecast, Summer 2018.

Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2018 Q3 Report
8
                              LABOUR FORCE STATISTICS
                              CALGARY SUMMARY
         Q3 2018

TYPE OF WORK                                           GENDER                                               AGE

Year-over-year, employment in                          Employment dropped 1.0%                              Employment among Calgarians
the Calgary CMA declined by                            (-4,300) year-over-year for men                      aged 25 - 54 years fell 2.6%
0.7% (-5,500 jobs) in the third                        in the third quarter of 2018,                        (-15,600) on the year in the
quarter of 2018.                                       while employment declined                            third quarter of 2018, the only
                                                       0.7% (-2,600) for women.                             major age category to record
The number of Calgarians                                                                                    a loss. Employment rose 5.0%
working full-time fell to                              Overall, the unemployment rate                       (+4,800) among youth aged 15
684,300 in Q3 2018, down                               for men fell to 7.8% in Q3                           - 24 years and 2.5% (+3,800)
0.4% (-2,500) year-over-year.                          2018, while the unemployment                         among Calgarians aged 55+
Men accounted for all of the                           rate for women rose to 9.1%.                         years.
decline in full-time work (-4.5%                       Men aged 15 - 24 years had
or -18,300), while full-time                           the highest unemployment rate                        In the third quarter of 2018,
work among women increased                             in the third quarter at 18.1%,                       12% of all employed
by 15,800 or 5.6%.                                     while men aged 25 - 54 years                         Calgarians were aged 15 - 24
                                                       had the lowest unemployment                          years, 69% were aged 25 - 54
Part-time employment dropped                           rate at 5.9%.                                        years and 19% were aged 55+
2.9% (-4,400) year-over-year in                                                                             years.
Q3 2018, with women
accounting for all the decrease
(-17% or -18,300).

                                                                            Q3 2018                  Q3 2017
                                             Unemployment Rates by Gender and Age, Calgary CMA
                                                                                   7.8%
      Men (15 yrs+) Total                                                             8.5%
                                                                                                                                              18.1%
           Men (15-24 yrs)                                                                                                       15.9%
                                                                        5.9%
           Men (25-54 yrs)                                               6.2%
                                                                                7.4%
             Men (55 yrs+)                                                                                  12.3%

                                                                                         9.1%
 Women (15 yrs+) Total                                                                  8.8%
                                                                                                           12.3%
      Women (15-24 yrs)                                                                               11.1%
                                                                                    8.0%
      Women (25-54 yrs)                                                              8.3%
                                                                                                    10.8%
         Women (55 yrs+)                                                                    9.4%

                                      0%                       5%                           10%                         15%                          20%

 Source: Statistics Canada.   Table    14-10-0095-01   Labour force characteristics by census metropolitan area, three-month moving average, unadjusted for
 seasonality

Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2018 Q3 Report
9
                            LABOUR FORCE STATISTICS
         Q3 2018
                            ALBERTA: INDIGENOUS PEOPLES SUMMARY
There were 101,500 employed Indigenous peoples living off-reserve in
Alberta in Q2 2018, representing 4.4% of Alberta’s overall employment.

PARTICIPATION                                        EMPLOYMENT                                           UNEMPLOYMENT

Alberta’s labour force                               In Q3 2018, there were                               There were 13,700 unemployed
participation rate for                               101,300 employed Indigenous                          Indigenous peoples living off-
Indigenous peoples living off-                       peoples living off-reserve in                        reserve in Alberta in Q3 2018,
reserve declined to 66.6% in                         Alberta, up 1.1% year-over-                          down from 16,000 in Q3 2017.
Q3 2018, from 68.3% the                              year. Approximately 21% were                         The unemployment rate for
previous year. Indigenous men                        employed in the Calgary                              Indigenous peoples in
had a higher labour force                            Economic Region (ER) and 34%                         Alberta declined to 12% in Q3
participation rate (73.1%) than                      were employed in the                                 2018, from 13.9% a year
women (60.3%) in Q3 2018.                            Edmonton ER.                                         earlier.

The participation rate for non-                      The employment rate for                              Quebec had the lowest
Indigenous Albertans was                             Indigenous peoples was                               unemployment rate for
relatively unchanged at 72.8%                        relatively stable at 58.6% in                        Indigenous peoples living off-
in Q3 2018.                                          Q3 2018. The employment rate                         reserve in Q3 2018 (5.6%),
                                                     for non-Indigenous Albertans                         while Newfoundland and
                                                     rose to 67.9% in Q3 2018,                            Labrador and Saskatchewan
                                                     from 67.2% the previous year.                        had the highest rate (16%).

                                                                                                          Labour Force Statistics -

 Alberta Labour Force Stats                                            Indigenous                                Non-Indigenous
                                                              (unadjusted 3-month moving avg)                (unadjusted 3-month moving avg)

                                                            Q3 2018                Q3 2017                Q3 2018                 Q3 2017

 ✓ Participation Rate                                            66.6%                  68.3%                  72.8%                   72.9%

 ✓ Employment Rate                                               58.6%                  58.8%                  67.9%                   67.2%

 ✓ Unemployment Rate                                             12.0%                  13.9%                   6.7%                    7.8%
Statistics Canada and Alberta Government, Labour Force Stats, Sept. 2018 Alberta Indigenous People Living Off-Reserve Package, unadjusted 3-month moving
average, and Statistics Canada and Employment and Social Development Canada, Labour Market Bulletin-Alberta Sept. 2018, unadjusted 3-month moving average.

                                                                                                          Alberta: Indigenous Peoples

Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2018 Q3 Report
10
                           LABOUR FORCE STATISTICS
         Q3 2018
                           ALBERTA: INDIGENOUS PEOPLES SUMMARY

TYPE OF WORK                                       INDUSTRY                                            OCCUPATION

Year-over-year, employment for                     Sixty-four per cent of all                          Employment among Indigenous
Indigenous peoples living off-                     employed Indigenous peoples                         peoples living off-reserve in
reserve in Alberta rose by                         living off-reserve (64,600)                         Alberta increased in 4 of 9
1.1% (+1,100) in the third                         worked in Alberta’s services-                       occupation categories year-
quarter of 2018.                                   producing sector in the third                       over-year in Q3 2018.
                                                   quarter of 2018. Twelve per
The number of Indigenous                           cent (11,800) were employed                         Nearly half of all employed
peoples working full-time rose                     in the wholesale and retail                         Indigenous peoples living off-
to 86,000 in Q3 2018, up                           trade industry and 9% (9,000)                       reserve (47,300) worked in one
9.1% (+7,200) year-over-year.                      in the health care and social                       of two major occupation
                                                   assistance industry.                                categories in Q3 2018. Twenty-
Part-time employment declined                                                                          eight per cent (28,200) were
significantly year over-year                       In the goods-producing sector,                      employed in trades,
(-6,100) to 14,300 in Q3 2018.                     19% (19,000) of all employed                        transportation and equipment
                                                   Indigenous peoples living off-                      operator occupations, and 19%
                                                   reserve were employed in the                        (19,100) were employed in
                                                   construction industry.                              sales and service occupations.

                                                                          Q3 2018                 Q3 2017
                                          Employment by Occupation, Indigenous Peoples Living Off-Reserve, Alberta

                                                                                                                                              28,200
Trades, Transport & Equip Operators                                                                                         22,800

                                                                                                                19,100
                         Sales & Service                                                                                                  27,000

                                                                                                 14,500
                         Bus, Fin, Admin                                                          14,800

                                                                                    11,100
  Ed, Law, Social, Community & Gov                                              9,500

                                                                            8,200
                            Management                            5,000

                                                                   5,300
                                    Health                         5,500

                                                                 4,700
                      Natural Resources                          4,800

                                                              3,800
           Natural & Applied Sciences                              5,700

                                                             3,700
              Manufacturing & Utilities                     3,200

                                               0             5,000          10,000           15,000          20,000           25,000          30,000

 Source: Statistics Canada and Alberta Government, Labour Force Stats, September 2018 Alberta Indigenous People Living Off-Reserve Package, October 5,
 2018, Unadjusted, 3-month moving average.

Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2018 Q3 Report
11
                             LABOUR FORCE STATISTICS
                             ALBERTA: NEW IMMIGRANT SUMMARY
         Q3 2018

Approximately 81% of Alberta’s new immigrants (landed 5 or less years)
were employed full-time in the province in the third quarter of 2018.

PARTICIPATION                                         EMPLOYMENT                                             UNEMPLOYMENT

Alberta’s labour force                                There were 97,800 employed                             There were 7,300 unemployed
participation rate for new                            new immigrants in Alberta in                           new immigrants in Alberta in
immigrants (landed 5 or less                          the third quarter of 2018,                             Q3 2018, down significantly
years) dropped to 73.9% in                            representing about 4.2% of the                         from 10,400 in Q3 2017. The
Q3 2018, from 76.5% the                               province’s overall employment.                         unemployment rate for
previous year. While the                              Approximately 81% of Alberta’s                         Alberta’s new immigrants fell to
participation rate for new                            new immigrants were employed                           6.9% in Q3 2018, compared to
immigrants declined                                   full-time in Q3 2018.                                  9.2% the previous year.
significantly year-over-year, it
remained nearly 2 percentage                          The employment rate for new                            Alberta had the second lowest
points higher than the                                immigrants stood at 68.8% in                           unemployment rate for new
participation rate for all landed                     Q3 2018, compared to 66.9%                             immigrants in Q3 2018, after
immigrants in Q3 2018                                 for all landed immigrants in                           British Columbia (6.3%).
(72.1%).                                              Alberta.
                                                                                                             Labour Force Statistics -
                                                                                                             Alberta: New Immigrants

 Alberta Labour Force Stats                                       New Immigrants                            All Landed Immigrants
                                                               (unadjusted 3-month moving avg)                 (unadjusted 3-month moving avg)

                                                               Q3 2018                Q3 2017                 Q3 2018                  Q3 2017

 ✓ Participation Rate                                             73.9%                  76.5%                   72.1%                    72.3%

 ✓ Employment Rate                                                68.8%                  69.5%                   66.9%                    66.0%

 ✓ Unemployment Rate                                               6.9%                   9.2%                    7.2%                     8.8%
Statistics Canada. Table 14-10-0082-01 Labour force characteristics by immigrant status, three-month moving average, unadjusted for seasonality

Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2018 Q3 Report
12
                            INDUSTRY EMPLOYMENT
                            SUMMARY
         Q3 2018

                          Industry Employment

These are the industries that posted the greatest change in employment
in the Calgary CMA and Alberta in Q3 2018 (y/y).

Calgary CMA Highlights

      Other Services                          Manufacturing                     Fin., Ins., Real Estate                  Accommodation &
                                                                                       & Leasing                           Food Services
     +8,600 (+26%)                          +7,800 (+21%)                            -7,100 (-15%)                          -7,100 (-10%)

Alberta Highlights

  Educational Services                     Mining & Oil & Gas                       Accommodation &                     Fin., Ins., Real Estate
                                                                                      Food Services                            & Leasing
   +14,500 (+10.1%)                         +8,000 (+5.4%)                           -7,000 (-4.6%)                        -4,300 (-4.0%)

                                                 2019 Forecast Change in Employment by Industry, Calgary CMA

                             All industries                                                        1.5%
           Health Care & Social Services                                                                                                     2.9%
                                 Education                                                                       1.9%
                  Arts Ent. & Recreation                                                                      1.8%
                 Transp. & Warehousing                                                                        1.8%
                             Construction                                                                     1.8%
                Accommodation & Food                                                                      1.7%
               Wholesale & Retail Trade                                                                1.6%
                           Other Services                                                          1.5%
                    Public Administration                                                       1.4%
                        Primary & Utilities                                           1.1%
                            Manufacturing                                           1.0%
                     Prof. Scien. & Tech.                                           1.0%
                   Fin. Ins. & Real Estate                                   0.8%
                            Info & Culture              0.1%

                                                 0%                            1.0%                            2.0%                         3.0%

Sources: Calgary data: Statistics Canada. Table 14-10-0097-01 Employment by industry, three-month moving average, unadjusted for seasonality, census
metropolitan areas. Alberta data: Statistics Canada. Table 14-10-0355-01 Employment by industry, monthly, seasonally adjusted, quarterly average..
Forecast data from Applications Management Consulting, Calgary & Area Employment Forecast, Summer 2018..

Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2018 Q3 Report
13
                     EMPLOYER SURVEY
                     SUMMARY
       Q3 2018

Employer Survey

Survey Results: 200 small-sized employers with 10 - 49 employees were
surveyed in Q3 2018.

PAST BUSINESS                          FUTURE BUSINESS                        LAYOFFS
ACTIVITY                               ACTIVITY

The balance of opinion on              On balance, 10% of employers           Sixteen per cent of employers
past business activity was             anticipate a business                  reported that their companies
neutral in Q3 2018 (26% said           expansion in the 12 months             laid off workers in the three
they expanded and 26% said             following their survey (22%            months prior to their survey,
they downsized in the 12               anticipate an expansion and            up from 13% in Q3 2017.
months prior to their survey),         12% anticipate a downsize),
up slightly from Q3 2017 when          down slightly from Q3 2017             Overall, employers reported
5% of employers on balance             when 12% of employers on               about 89 people were laid off,
reported a business downsize.          balance anticipated a business         representing a layoff rate of
                                       expansion.                             1.8%, the same layoff rate as
Industries reporting overall                                                  in Q3 2017.
business expansion include             Seven of 10 industries on
construction, finance,                 balance anticipate a business          The highest number of layoffs
insurance, real estate and             expansion in the next 12               were reported in the
leasing, health care and social        months.                                construction and mining and
assistance, and transportation                                                oil and gas industries.
and warehousing.

         Q3 Business Expansion            Q3 Anticipated Business Expansion                Q3 Layoffs

2018                                    2018                                   2018

2017                                    2017                                   2017

2016                                    2016                                   2016

2015                                    2015                                   2015

2014                                    2014                                   2014

       -30%   -15%    0%     15%               -10%   0%   10%   20%   30%            0%   10%   20%    30%

Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2018 Q3 Report
14
                     EMPLOYER SURVEY
                     SUMMARY
       Q3 2018

 Vacancies                    Difficulty Recruiting     Voluntary Turnover          Turnover Rate

 The most frequently          The positions             The positions               Fifty-four per cent
 reported vacant              employers reported        employers reported          of employers
 positions were:              the most difficulty       had the highest             reported
 ‣ retail salespersons        recruiting were:          voluntary turnover          approximately 445
                              ‣ truck drivers           were:                       employees left as a
 ‣ truck drivers
                                                        ‣ community & social        result of voluntary
 ‣ personnel &                ‣ early childhood
                                                          service workers           turnover in the 12
   recruitment officers         educators/assistants
                                                                                    months prior to
 ‣ community & social         ‣ insurance agents &      ‣ early childhood
                                                          educators/assistants      their survey.
   service workers              brokers
                                                                                    Overall, the
 ‣ concrete finishers                                                               voluntary turnover
                                                                                    rate was 9.1%.

VACANT                       FUTURE                     DIFFICULTY                  PAST
POSITIONS                    EMPLOYMENT                 RECRUITING                  TURNOVER

Overall, 34% per cent        Once any current           Employers were asked        Employers were asked
of employers reported        vacant positions are       if they had difficulty      if they had any
they had 186 vacant          filled, 6% of              recruiting qualified        voluntary turnover in
positions that needed        employers on balance       employees in the 12         the 12 months prior
to be filled at the          anticipate employment      months prior to their       to their survey. Fifty-
time of their survey,        will increase by a net     survey. Thirty-three        four per cent of
down from 41% in Q3          17 people over the         per cent of employers       employers reported
2017.                        next three months.         reported difficulty         voluntary turnover,
                                                        recruiting, up from         down from 56% in Q3
                                                        28% in Q3 2017.             2017.

    Q3 Vacant Positions          Q3 Future Employment          Q3 Past Difficulty          Q3 Past Turnover

2018                         2018                       2018                        2018
2017                         2017                       2017                        2017
2016                         2016                       2016                        2016
2015                         2015                       2015                        2015
2014                         2014                       2014                        2014
       0%   20% 40% 60%             -10% 0%   10% 20%          0%     25%    50%           0%   25% 50% 75%

Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2018 Q3 Report
15
                     EMPLOYER SURVEY
                     SUMMARY
       Q3 2018

Employers reported career and classified websites was the most
successful recruitment method in the 12 months prior to their survey.

                                 Most Successful Recruitment Methods

            Career and classified websites                                                               33%
        Word of mouth/employee referrals                                                     26%
                              Social media                    7%
        Company website/internal postings                    6%
                    Employment agencies                 4%
                     Industry associations             3%
                                   Signage             3%
             Walk-ins/unsolicited resumes              3%
                                     Other             3%
                                      None         2%
                                    Unsure        1%
           Did not hire in past 12 months                               12%

Employers reported positive work environment and competitive salary
were the most successful employee retention strategies in the 12 months
prior to their survey.

                       Top 10 Most Successful Employee Retention Strategies

                Positive work environment                                                            16%

                        Competitive salary                                                         15%

        Excellent management/supervision                                               10%

              Interesting/challenging work                                        8%

             Provide a job in this economy                                        8%

                   Flexible work measures                                    7%

                          Company culture                               6%

             Competitive benefits package                          5%

                       Excellent coworkers                         5%

            Learning/growth opportunities                   3%

Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2018 Q3 Report
16
                       EMPLOYER SURVEY
                       SUMMARY
       Q3 2018

Mature workers, youth, and single parents are the top three diversity
groups currently employed by small-sized employers.

                                                                         Yes

                                      Do you currently employ people from these diversity groups?

            Mature Workers                                                                                                         93%

                      Youth                                                                             63%

              Single Parents                                                                  57%

            New Immigrants                                                                  53%

           French Speaking                                                      41%

         Indigenous Peoples                                       27%

                    LGBTQ2                                  22%

    Persons with Disabilities                          19%

               Other Groups                    12%

                    Veterans              8%

                                0%       10%          20%     30%         40%         50%     60%         70%         80%    90%    100%

Youth, new immigrants and Indigenous peoples are the top three diversity
groups employers plan to recruit in the next year.

                                                                         Yes

                                     Do you plan to recruit people from these groups in the next 12 months?

                                Youth                       10%
                      New Immigrants                   6%
                  Indigenous Peoples                  5%
             Persons with Disabilities            4%
                      Mature Workers             3%
                      French Speaking          0.5%
                              LGBTQ2           0.5%
                        Single Parents         0.5%
                             Veterans          0.5%
                         Other Groups           2%
    Not recruiting in next 12 months                              13%
                              No plans                                                                                               67%
                                         0%             10%             20%       30%             40%           50%         60%      70%

Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2018 Q3 Report
17
                      EMPLOYER SURVEY
                      Q3 2018 Survey Results: Small-sized employers with 10 - 49 employees

Employer
Survey - Q3
2018 Results

The purpose of the quarterly survey is to gather information from Calgary and area employers on their
recruitment and retention practices and various other employment issues they are facing. Over the
course of the year, employers will be divided into four categories based on the number of employees in
the company and results of the survey will be reported on as follows:
✓ Q1 2018: Large-sized companies with 100+ employees

✓ Q2 2018: Medium-sized companies with 50 – 99 employees

✓ Q3 2018: Small-sized companies with 10 – 49 employees

✓ Q4 2018: Micro-sized companies with
18
                       EMPLOYER SURVEY
Past Business Activity
       “We have expanded a little bit. Our early childhood program has increased
                         from 100 to 125 children.” - Other

The balance of opinion on past business activity was neutral in Q3 2018, a slight
improvement from the 2017 results.
Past business activity improved only slightly
                                                                   Has$your$company$expanded$or$downsized$
year-over-year for small-sized Calgary                                       $in$the$last$12$months?$
employers. Twenty-six per cent of the
employers surveyed in Q3 2018 reported their                              Expanded$       Downsized$    Balance$
                                                            30%$
company expanded in the 12 months prior to
                                                            20%$
their survey and 26 per cent said their company
                                                            10%$                                         0%$
downsized, resulting in a neutral balance of                 0%$
                                                                             !5%$
opinion.15 In Q3 2017, 23 per cent of the                  !10%$
employers reported they expanded and 28 per                !20%$
cent said they downsized, for a negative                   !30%$
balance of 5 per cent.                                                    Q3$2017$                     Q3$2018$

When looking at the various industries, results
were truly mixed. On balance, four industries reported past business expansion (construction,
transportation, health care, and finance), four industries reported past business downsizing
(manufacturing, trade, accommodation/food, and ‘other’), and 2 industries were neutral (mining/oil
and gas and professional/scientific services).
Past Business Activity
Percentage of companies that expanded or downsized in the 12 months prior to their survey
                                                              Q3 2017                        Q3 2018
                                                  Expanded Downsized Balance Expanded Downsized Balance
Overall Results                                      23%         28%          -5%        26%    26%  0%

Results by Industry
Mining & Oil & Gas                                   15%    30%       -15%          35%        35%       0%
Construction                                         20%    40%       -20%          35%        20%       15%
Manufacturing                                        30%    35%        -5%          10%        30%      -20%
Wholesale & Retail Trade                             25%    40%       -15%          10%        30%      -20%
Transportation & Warehousing                         15%    25%       -10%          30%        20%       10%
Professional, Scientific & Technical Services        25%    35%       -10%          30%        30%       0%
Health Care & Social Assistance                      15%    25%       -10%          25%        10%       15%
Accommodation & Food Services/Arts & Entertainment   10%    35%       -25%          15%        20%       -5%
Finance, Insurance, Real Estate & Leasing            38%    10%        28%          40%        25%       15%
Other                                                35%    10%        25%          30%        40%      -10%

15Percentage of employers reporting a business expansion minus percentage of employers reporting a business
downsize.

Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2018 Q3 Report
19
                       EMPLOYER SURVEY
Future Business Activity
           “The business may downsize slightly based on the shortage of capital
                       expenditure in Alberta.” - Mining & Oil & Gas

On balance, 10 per cent of the employers anticipate a business expansion in the next
12 months.
                                                                         Do#you#an(cipate#a#business#expansion#or#
While still positive, employers are a little less
                                                                             downsize#in#the#next#12#months?#
optimistic about the next 12 months than they
                                                                                Expansion$      Downsize$    Balance$
were in Q3 2017. Twenty-two per cent of the                      30%$
employers anticipate their company will
                                                                 20%$              12%$
expand in the 12 months following their survey                                                                   10%$
                                                                 10%$
and 12 per cent anticipate their company will
downsize, for a positive balance of 10 per                        0%$

cent.16 In Q3 2017, 22 per cent anticipated an                   &10%$
expansion and 10 per cent anticipated a                          &20%$
downsize, for a positive balance of 12 per cent.                                  Q3$2017$                     Q3$2018$

Seven of 10 industries anticipate a business
expansion in the next year, on balance, led by the transportation and warehousing (35 per cent) and
health care and social assistance industries (20 per cent). In contrast, 15 per cent of the mining and oil
and gas and wholesale and retail trade employers and 5 per cent of the construction employers on
balance anticipate a business downsize in the next year.
Future Business Activity
Percentage of companies that anticipate an expansion or downsize in the 12 months following their survey
                                                               Q3 2017                             Q3 2018
                                                    Expansion Downsize Balance Expansion Downsize              Balance
Overall Results                                        22%         10%        12%        22%          12%       10%

Results by Industry
Mining & Oil & Gas                                    20%         5%        15%            5%          20%       -15%
Construction                                          15%         20%       -5%           10%          15%        -5%
Manufacturing                                         15%         20%       -5%           25%          10%        15%
Wholesale & Retail Trade                              15%         10%       5%             5%          20%       -15%
Transportation & Warehousing                          35%         15%       20%           40%          5%         35%
Professional, Scientific & Technical Services         30%         0%        30%           30%          15%        15%
Health Care & Social Assistance                       20%         15%       5%            25%          5%         20%
Accommodation & Food Services/Arts & Entertainment    10%         5%        5%            20%          5%         15%
Finance, Insurance, Real Estate & Leasing             29%         5%        24%           25%          10%        15%
Other                                                 30%         5%        25%           30%          15%        15%

16Percentage of employers anticipating a business expansion minus percentage of employers anticipating a business
downsize.

Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2018 Q3 Report
20
                     EMPLOYER SURVEY
Layoffs
                           “We laid off about 10 plumbers.” - Construction

Sixteen per cent of the employers laid off 89 workers in the previous three months.
Sixteen per cent of the employers reported they
laid off workers in the three months prior to                               Percentage)of)companies)that)laid)off)
their survey (for reasons other than                                     employees)in)the)three)months)prior)to)survey)
                                                                                                       Q3#2018#      Q3#2017#
seasonality), up slightly from 13 per cent in Q3
                                                                                           Overall#                     16%#
2017. Forty-five per cent of the construction                                        ConstrucDon#                                               45%#
employers said they laid off workers (up from                                 Mining#&#Oil#&#Gas#                               25%#
                                                                Health#Care#&#Social#Assistance#                       15%#
40 per cent the previous year), compared to                      Professional,#ScienDfic#&#Tech.#                       15%#
                                                                                            Other#                     15%#
only 5 per cent of the accommodation and food                          Wholesale#&#Retail#Trade#                   10%#
services/arts and entertainment employers.                                        Manufacturing#                   10%#
                                                                TransportaDon#&#Warehousing#                       10%#
Compared to Q3 2017, significantly more                          Fin.,#Insur.,#Real#Est.#&#Leasing#                10%#
                                                                  Accomm.#&#Food/Arts#&#Ent.#                5%#
mining and oil and gas employers (25 per cent)
                                                                                                      0%#     10%#      20%#      30%#   40%#   50%#
reported they laid off workers.
In Q3 2018, employers reported about 89
people were laid off, representing a layoff rate of 1.8 per cent. This is essentially identical to the Q3
2017 results when employers reported 90 people were laid off, representing a layoff rate of 1.8 per
cent. The mining and oil and gas industry had the highest layoff rate in Q3 2018 at 4.7 per cent, up
significantly from 0.2 per cent in Q3 2017. The construction industry had the second highest layoff rate
at 4.3 per cent, however, this was a significant improvement from the 9.7 per cent layoff rate recorded
in Q3 2017. The remaining industries reported very few layoffs (in numbers) with layoff rates ranging
from 0.4 per cent (2 layoffs) to 2.5 per cent (10 layoffs). Additional details on layoffs can be found in
Appendix B.
                    Number of layoffs and layoff rates in the three months prior to survey
                                                                   Q3 2017        Q3 2018
                                                                              Total         Layoff           Total       Layoff
                Industry
                                                                             Layoffs         Rate           Layoffs       Rate
                Mining & Oil & Gas                                               1             0.2%                22       4.7%
                Construction                                                    56             9.7%                25       4.3%
                Manufacturing                                                    7             1.6%                10       2.5%
                Other                                                            1             0.2%                10       2.0%
                Health Care & Social Assistance                                  7             1.4%                 8       1.6%
                Professional, Scientific & Technical Services                    5             1.0%                 5       1.0%
                Accommodation & Food Services/Arts & Entertainment               0             0.0%                 3       0.6%
                Wholesale & Retail Trade                                         8             1.9%                 2       0.5%
                Finance, Insurance, Real Estate & Leasing                        2             0.4%                 2       0.4%
                Transportation & Warehousing                                     3             0.6%                 2       0.4%
                Total                                                           90             1.8%                89       1.8%
                Layoff rate is the number of layoffs as a percent of total employment.

Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2018 Q3 Report
21
                     EMPLOYER SURVEY
Comments
   ‣ “We will be shutting down our lounge for the season, but we will keep the same number of staff.” -
     Accommodation & Food Services/Arts & Entertainment
   ‣ “Yes, 2 engineers were laid off.” - Construction
   ‣ “We let one broker go.” - Finance, Insurance, Real Estate & Leasing
   ‣ “We laid off a dental assistant.” - Health Care & Social Assistance
   ‣ “Yes, 7 people in manufacturing were laid off.” - Manufacturing
   ‣ “There were 45 layoffs including our operations in Saskatchewan. In Calgary alone there were 16
     layoffs.” - Mining & Oil & Gas
   ‣ “We laid off 5 in childcare.” - Other
   ‣ “We laid off 3 in installation.” - Professional, Scientific & Technical Services
   ‣ “We laid off a clerk.” - Transportation & Warehousing

Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2018 Q3 Report
22
                          EMPLOYER SURVEY
Vacant Positions
    “I have at least 8 food production positions open. We've turned down business
                 because we can't get people to work.” - Manufacturing

One-third of the employers had 186 vacant positions that needed to be filled.
Overall, 34 per cent of the employers reported
they had vacant positions that needed to be                                           Percentage)of)companies)with)vacant)posi3ons)
filled at the time of their survey, down slightly                                        that)needed)to)be)filled)at)3me)of)survey)
                                                                                                                   Q3$2018$    Q3$2017$
from 41 per cent in Q3 2017. Half of the
                                                                                                        Overall$                              34%$
transportation and warehousing employers had                                 Transporta2on$&$Warehousing$                                               50%$
                                                                             Health$Care$&$Social$Assistance$                                        45%$
vacant positions, compared to 15 per cent of                                                   Manufacturing$                                        45%$
the construction employers.                                                    Accomm.$&$Food/Arts$&$Ent.$                                        40%$
                                                                              Fin.,$Insur.,$Real$Est.$&$Leasing$                         30%$
                                                                              Professional,$Scien2fic$&$Tech.$                            30%$
Employers reported they had 186 vacancies                                           Wholesale$&$Retail$Trade$                            30%$
                                                                                           Mining$&$Oil$&$Gas$                           30%$
that needed to be filled at the time of their                                                            Other$                       25%$
survey, resulting in an overall vacancy rate of                                    15%$           Construc2on$

3.7 per cent. Vacancy rates ranged from a high                            0%$       20%$     40%$      60%$

of 5.7 per cent in the professional, scientific
and technical services industry, to a low of 1.8 per cent in the ‘other’ industry. Additional details on
vacant positions can be found in Appendix B.

                                            Number of Vacant Positions and Vacancy Rates
                                                                                  Q3 2017                                           Q3 2018
                                                              # of Vacant         Total             Vacancy        # of Vacant  Total                Vacancy
     Industry
                                                               Positions        Employees            Rate           Positions Employees               Rate
     Professional, Scientific & Technical Services                      18                 490             3.5%                30          498           5.7%
     Manufacturing                                                       8                 434             1.8%                22          399           5.2%
     Wholesale & Retail Trade                                           14                 429             3.2%                21          396           5.0%
     Transportation & Warehousing                                       27                 481             5.3%                27          533           4.8%
     Accommodation & Food Services/Arts & Entertainment                 31                 495             5.9%                20          545           3.5%
     Mining & Oil & Gas                                                 16                 572             2.7%                17          466           3.5%
     Health Care & Social Assistance                                    14                 487             2.8%                14          496           2.7%
     Finance, Insurance, Real Estate & Leasing                          17                 500             3.3%                12          472           2.5%
     Construction                                                       16                 578             2.7%                14          581           2.4%
     Other                                                              18                 442             3.9%                 9          493           1.8%
     Total                                                             179               4,908             3.5%               186         4,879          3.7%
     Vacancy rate is the number of vacant positions divided by all positions (vacant and occupied)

Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2018 Q3 Report
23
                     EMPLOYER SURVEY
Comments
   ‣ “We are recruiting for 3 front desk positions.” - Accommodation & Food Services/Arts &
     Entertainment
   ‣ “We are looking for 2 supervisors and 2 cooks.” - Accommodation & Food Services/Arts &
     Entertainment
   ‣ “We have at least 2 architectural technologist positions open.” - Construction
   ‣ “We are looking for another 2 plumbers.” - Construction
   ‣ “We have 2 insurance sales positions open.” - Finance, Insurance, Real Estate & Leasing
   ‣ “We're always looking for part time relief staff.” - Health Care & Social Assistance
   ‣ “We are recruiting a part time registered respiratory therapist.” - Health Care & Social Assistance
   ‣ “I need a couple more in wood production.” - Manufacturing
   ‣ “We are looking for about 4 aircraft maintenance engineers.” - Manufacturing
   ‣ “We're always looking for another driver.” - Mining & Oil & Gas
   ‣ “Yes, there are about 6 positions open.” - Mining & Oil & Gas
   ‣ “We are looking for 3 early childhood educators.” - Other
   ‣ “We have one instructor position open.” - Other
   ‣ “We have 6 legal positions open.” - Professional, Scientific & Technical Services
   ‣ “We are searching for 2 admins and 2 land analysts.” - Professional, Scientific & Technical Services
   ‣ “We are always looking for hot air balloon pilots.” - Transportation & Warehousing
   ‣ “We are looking for 3 aircraft maintenance engineers.” - Transportation & Warehousing
   ‣ “We're in the transportation industry, so we always have positions open on the driver and operations
     side. There is always turnover there in any given month.” - Transportation & Warehousing
   ‣ “We're moving into a way bigger building so we will increase. Right now we are looking for 5
     automotive sales consultants.” - Wholesale & Retail Trade
   ‣ “We need seasonal help, so I'm hiring 7 to 10 more associates.” - Wholesale & Retail Trade

Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2018 Q3 Report
24
                       EMPLOYER SURVEY
Future Employment
                “We are going to need another 30 community support workers.”
                              - Health Care & Social Assistance

On balance, 6 per cent of the employers anticipate employment in their company will
increase over the next three months.
                                                                          Do#you#an(cipate#employment#will#increase,##
Once any current vacant positions are filled, 17                        decrease#or#stay#the#same#in#the#next#3#months?#
per cent of the employers anticipate
                                                                                  Increase#         Decrease#     Balance#
employment in their company will increase                        20%#
over the next three months, 11 per cent
                                                                 10%#                                                  6%#
anticipate employment will decrease, and 72                                          1%#
per cent anticipate employment will stay about                    0%#
the same, for a positive balance of 6 per cent. 17
                                                                %10%#
In Q3 2017, 8 per cent of employers
anticipated employment would increase and 7                     %20%#
per cent anticipated employment would                                             Q3#2017#                          Q3#2018#

decrease, for an overall positive balance of 1
per cent.
Health care and social assistance employers are the most positive about future employment levels, with
30 per cent anticipating employment will increase in the three months following their survey. In
contrast, 10 per cent of the mining and oil and gas employers and 5 per cent of the professional,
scientific and technical services and accommodation and food services/arts and entertainment
employers on balance anticipate employment will decrease in the next three months.
Future Employment
Percentage of companies that anticipated an increase or decrease in total employment in the
3 months following their survey
                                                                Q3 2017                                 Q3 2018
                                                     Increase     Decrease Balance Increase             Decrease    Balance
Overall Results                                         8%           7%         1%        17%              11%        6%

Results by Industry
Mining & Oil & Gas                                    5%         5%            0%             10%           20%       -10%
Construction                                         10%         20%          -10%            15%           10%        5%
Manufacturing                                         5%         10%           -5%            15%           5%         10%
Wholesale & Retail Trade                              5%         10%           -5%            25%           15%        10%
Transportation & Warehousing                         10%         0%            10%            15%           10%        5%
Professional, Scientific & Technical Services        10%         5%            5%              5%           10%        -5%
Health Care & Social Assistance                      10%         5%            5%             30%           0%         30%
Accommodation & Food Services/Arts & Entertainment   10%         15%           -5%            15%           20%        -5%
Finance, Insurance, Real Estate & Leasing            10%         0%            10%            15%           0%         15%
Other                                                 5%         0%            5%             25%           15%        10%

17Percentage of employers that anticipate employment in their company will increase in the next three months minus the
percentage of employers that anticipate employment will decrease.

Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2018 Q3 Report
25
                      EMPLOYER SURVEY
Overall, in the three months following their survey, employers anticipate employment will increase by
118 and decrease by 101, for a net employment increase of 17 people. Results ranged from an
anticipated net increase of 57 people among health care and social assistance employers, to a net
decrease of 38 people among accommodation and food services/arts and entertainment employers.
Additional details on anticipated changes in employment can be found in Appendix B.
                   Anticipated change in employment over the next three months (persons)
                                                                       Q3 2017                       Q3 2018
                                                             Increase Decrease             Increase Decrease
        Industry                                                                 Net #                         Net #
                                                                 #       #                     #       #
        Health Care & Social Assistance                            3         1         2        57         0        57
        Construction                                              11        49       -38        10         2         8
        Finance, Insurance, Real Estate & Leasing                  2         0         2         4         0         4
        Wholesale & Retail Trade                                   1         6        -5        11        10         1
        Manufacturing                                              1         3        -2         4         4         0
        Other                                                      5         0         5         8         9        -1
        Transportation & Warehousing                              15         0        15         3         7        -4
        Professional, Scientific & Technical Services              3         1         2         1         6        -5
        Mining & Oil & Gas                                         1         2        -1         4         9        -5
        Accommodation & Food Services/Arts & Entertainment        20        15         5        16        54       -38
        Total                                                     62        77       -15       118       101        17

Comments
   ‣ “We will be decreasing by 37 positions.” - Accommodation & Food Services/Arts & Entertainment
   ‣ “For us, summer time is slow and winter is busy. We will increase by 10 positions.” -
     Accommodation & Food Services/Arts & Entertainment
   ‣ “Our layoffs will take place between November and January.” - Construction
   ‣ “We will increase by 3 people.” - Construction
   ‣ “We will hire 2 more people in administrative roles.” - Finance, Insurance, Real Estate & Leasing
   ‣ “We will increase by 1 broker.” - Finance, Insurance, Real Estate & Leasing
   ‣ “We will be looking for a director.” - Health Care & Social Assistance
   ‣ “We will be adding another 20 front line positions.” - Health Care & Social Assistance
   ‣ “We will decrease by 4 employees.” - Manufacturing
   ‣ “I expect to increase by 2 people.” - Manufacturing
   ‣ “We're decreasing by 2 in the field.” - Mining & Oil & Gas
   ‣ “We are decreasing by 3 in accounting.” - Mining & Oil & Gas
   ‣ “We are decreasing by 3 childcare providers.” - Other
   ‣ “We will be looking for a library assistant.” - Other

Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2018 Q3 Report
26
                     EMPLOYER SURVEY
   ‣ “We will decrease by 2 in accounting.” - Professional, Scientific & Technical Services
   ‣ “We will decrease by almost half.” - Professional, Scientific & Technical Services
   ‣ “We will require more drivers.” - Transportation & Warehousing
   ‣ “We are going to be looking for a full time driver and a retail sales associate.” - Wholesale & Retail
     Trade
   ‣ “We are going into our slow season, so we will decrease by 8 salespeople.” - Wholesale & Retail
     Trade

Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2018 Q3 Report
27
                       EMPLOYER SURVEY
Most Successful Recruitment Methods
    “With adults it's the temporary foreign worker program and with youth it's local
       advertisements.” - Accommodation & Food Services/Arts & Entertainment

Career and classified websites was the most successful recruitment method.
Organizations use a variety of methods to
                                                            Most%successful%recruitment%method%over%the%
recruit workers. Employers were asked to                                            last%12%months%
specify the recruitment method that was the             Career$and$classified$websites$                                33%$
most successful over the last 12 months. Career     Word$of$mouth/employee$referrals$                            26%$
                                                                          Social$media$             7%$
and classified websites (Indeed, Kijiji and Job     Company$website/internal$posDngs$             6%$
                                                                Employment$agencies$            4%$
Bank) was the most successful, reported by 33                    Industry$associaDons$         3%$
per cent of the employers. Of the career and                                    Signage$       3%$
                                                        Walk=ins/unsolicited$resumes$          3%$
classified websites mentioned, Indeed was by                                      Other$       3%$
far the most successful, reported by half of the                                   None$      2%$
                                                                                Unsure$      1%$
employers (or 33 of 66 employers). Word of              Did$not$hire$in$last$12$months$                 12%$

mouth/employee referrals was the second most                                             0%$       10%$     20%$ 30%$    40%$

successful recruitment method, mentioned by
26 per cent of the employers. Twelve per cent of
employers said they did not hire in the last 12 months.
Comments
   ‣ “We have a board outside that we post on. If that doesn't work we go to the local newspaper. We
     normally hire local from around the town.” - Accommodation & Food Services/Arts & Entertainment
   ‣ “We do a job fair and Indeed has been pretty good too.” - Accommodation & Food Services/Arts &
     Entertainment
   ‣ “The owner puts ads on Kijiji. We also get people walking in the door asking for work.” -
     Construction
   ‣ “We advertise on Indeed.” - Construction
   ‣ “There is an insurance job site that we use.” - Finance, Insurance, Real Estate & Leasing
   ‣ “We use free services like Kijiji.” - Finance, Insurance, Real Estate & Leasing
   ‣ “We've hired through our practicum students from the local college.” - Health Care & Social
     Assistance
   ‣ “We usually post to dental groups on Facebook.” - Health Care & Social Assistance
   ‣ “We seem to get a lot of people from ReachHire and the CCVO, as well as through word of mouth.”
     - Health Care & Social Assistance

Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2018 Q3 Report
28
                     EMPLOYER SURVEY
   ‣ “We haven't been successful. We hire everyone, but we have to get them to go through the door.
     People don't want production line work.” - Manufacturing
   ‣ “We either use temp agencies or Job Bank.” - Manufacturing
   ‣ “Putting an ad out online on Indeed is successful enough.” - Manufacturing
   ‣ “I think using SAIT and Job Bank.” - Mining & Oil & Gas
   ‣ “We usually use a headhunter.” - Mining & Oil & Gas
   ‣ “There's an internal recruiter who works through his network and through our applicant tracking
     system.” - Mining & Oil & Gas
   ‣ “The LinkedIn recruitment tool.” - Other
   ‣ “We use a site specific to childcare.” - Other
   ‣ “We are using staffing firms.” - Professional, Scientific & Technical Services
   ‣ “We use the Calgary Association of Legal Administrators, networking and Indeed.” - Professional,
     Scientific & Technical Services
   ‣ “Nothing has been successful. We can't find hot air balloon pilots.” - Transportation & Warehousing
   ‣ “It's LinkedIn and referrals.” - Transportation & Warehousing
   ‣ “We've been recruiting through word of mouth and the newspaper.” - Wholesale & Retail Trade
   ‣ “It's just recruiting customers and walk ins.” - Wholesale & Retail Trade
   ‣ “We just put postings on our building.” - Wholesale & Retail Trade

Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2018 Q3 Report
29
                     EMPLOYER SURVEY
Recruiting Difficulties
   “It's difficult to find anyone with a basic knowledge of mechanics, or experience
                with welding or sheet metal manufacturing.” - Manufacturing

Thirty-one per cent of the employers reported having difficulty recruiting qualified
employees.
Overall, 31 per cent of the employers said they                         Percentage)of)companies)that)had)difficulty)
had difficulty recruiting qualified employees in                        recrui6ng)in)the)12)months)prior)to)survey)
                                                                                                   Q3$2018$   Q3$2017$
the 12 months prior to their survey, up slightly
                                                                                       Overall$                          31%$
from 29 per cent in Q3 2017. Sixty per cent of              Transporta8on$&$Warehousing$                                                 60%$
                                                                              Manufacturing$                                      45%$
the transportation and warehousing employers                  Accomm.$&$Food/Arts$&$Ent.$                                  35%$
and 45 per cent of the manufacturing                         Fin.,$Insur.,$Real$Est.$&$Leasing$                            35%$
                                                                   Wholesale$&$Retail$Trade$                       25%$
employers had difficulty recruiting qualified                                           Other$                     25%$
                                                                                 Construc8on$                      25%$
employees, compared to only 10 per cent of the              Health$Care$&$Social$Assistance$                       25%$
                                                                          Mining$&$Oil$&$Gas$                      25%$
professional, scientific and technical services              Professional,$Scien8fic$&$Tech.$              10%$
employers.                                                                                        0%$   10%$ 20%$ 30%$ 40%$ 50%$ 60%$ 70%$

The 62 employers that reported having
difficulty recruiting were also asked to specify the occupations that were the most difficult to fill. The
top reported occupations were truck drivers (10 per cent), early childhood educators and assistants (8
per cent), and insurance agents and brokers (6 per cent).

                      What occupations have been the most difficult to fill?
                                                                                                          Employers
                   NOC Code Occupation
                                                                                                             %
                      7511     Truck drivers                                                   10%
                      4214     Early childhood educators and assistants                         8%
                      6231     Insurance agents and brokers                                     6%
                      1521     Shippers and receivers                                           5%
                      6421     Retail salespersons                                              5%
                      7315     Aircraft mechanics and aircraft inspectors                       5%
                      4212     Community and social service workers                             3%
                      4216     Other instructors                                                3%
                      6322     Cooks                                                            3%
                      6551     Customer service representatives - financial services            3%
                      6731     Light duty cleaners                                              3%
                      7271     Carpenters                                                       3%
                      7282     Concrete finishers                                               3%
                      7612     Other trades helpers and labourers                               3%
                   Note: 62 employers reported having difficulty recruiting qualified employees.
                   Some employers did not specify which occupations.
                   Only occupations with 3% or more shown in the table.

Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2018 Q3 Report
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