2017 Q3 - Open Government Program | Alberta.ca

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2017 Q3 - Open Government Program | Alberta.ca
2017>Q3
                         Applications Management Consulting Ltd.

                           Calgary & Area
                           Labour Market Report

  This Calgary and Area Labour Market Report is
  produced four times a year and provides results on
  labour market needs, shortages and issues from the
  perspective of employers in the Calgary Region.
Table of Contents
Summary .................................................................................................1
      Calgary Economy ..............................................................................................1
      Calgary Population ............................................................................................4
      Calgary Housing Market ....................................................................................5
      Labour Force Statistics ......................................................................................7
      Industry Employment .........................................................................................9
      Employer Survey .............................................................................................10
Employer Survey - Q3 2017 Results .....................................................14
             Survey Profile ..................................................................................................................14
             Business Activity ............................................................................................................15
             Employment: Past Layoffs, Vacant Positions and Future Employment ..........................18
             Recruitment Methods .....................................................................................................25
             Recruiting Difficulties ......................................................................................................28
             Employee Turnover .........................................................................................................35
             Employee Retention .......................................................................................................38
             Supplemental Questions - Focus on Technological Changes ........................................44

Appendix A: Survey Methodology ........................................................60
Appendix B: Employer Survey - Q3 2017 Occupation Results.............61

Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2017 Q3 Report
1
                                CALGARY ECONOMY
                                SUMMARY
         Q3 2017

Summary

The Calgary Census Metropolitan Area (CMA) economy is forecast to
expand by a more robust 4.6% in 2017, following an average decline of
3.1% in 2015 and 2016. Growth is projected to remain in the range of
2% to 3% over the next few years.
Calgary Economy

PAST GROWTH                                         CURRENT GROWTH                                       FUTURE GROWTH

Following strong annual GDP                         The economic contraction that                        While oil prices have improved
growth of 5.5% in 2014, the                         began with the collapse in oil                       over the past year, they are
collapse in oil prices resulted                     prices is projected to end in                        projected to remain below their
in contractions of 3.0% and                         2017. Real GDP in the Calgary                        pre-recession highs over the
3.2% in 2015 and 2016                               CMA is forecast to grow at a                         next few years. As a result,
respectively in the Calgary                         rate of 4.6% in 2017, with                           real GDP in the Calgary CMA
Census Metropolitan Area                            help from increased activity in                      is projected to moderate to
(CMA). Calgary’s construction                       the energy sector. Calgary’s                         2.1% next year and gradually
sector was hit particularly hard                    economy is projected to be                           improve to 2.6% by 2021.
during the 2015–16 recession,                       the fastest growing among
as output in the industry                           Canada’s 13 major CMAs in
contracted nearly 40%.1                             2017, followed by Edmonton
                                                    (3.9%) and Toronto (3.7%).

      Calgary CMA Past GDP Growth                                GDP Growth Forecast 2017                    Calgary CMA GDP Growth Forecast

                                                                                                           2021                       2.6%
 2016     -3.2%                                     Calgary CMA                                4.6%

                                                                                                           2020                      2.5%

 2015      -3.0%                                          Alberta                             4.4%         2019                     2.3%

                                                                                                           2018                     2.1%
 2014                                     5.5%            Canada                     2.6%
                                                                                                           2017                                    4.6%

         -6%     -3%       0%    3%     6%                           0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5%                              0%   1%    2%    3%     4%     5%

1 All past and forecast data from: Arcand, Alan, and Jane McIntyre. Metropolitan Outlook 1: Calgary—Autumn 2017. Ottawa: The Conference Board of
Canada, 2017.

Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2017 Q3 Report
2
                               CALGARY ECONOMY
                               SUMMARY
            Q3 2017

The price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil is forecast to
average $US50 per barrel in 2017 and about $US51 in 2018.

OIL PRICES                                              INFLATION                                             WEEKLY EARNINGS

West Texas Intermediate (WTI)                           Consumer prices in Calgary                            The average weekly earnings
crude oil prices averaged US                            rose 1.2% in September 2017                           of payroll employees in the
$48 per barrel in Q3 2017,                              (y/y), compared to 1.3% in                            Calgary CMA increased by $6
unchanged from the previous                             Alberta and 1.6% nationally.                          month-over-month to $1,135 in
quarter but up from US$45 in                            Calgary recorded price growth                         September 2017, but was
Q3 2016. Western Canada                                 in all eight major consumer                           virtually unchanged year-over-
Select (WCS) prices, the                                categories, with the highest                          year. Calgarians in the utilities
Canadian heavy oil benchmark,                           growth rates observed in                              and mining and oil and gas
averaged US$38 per barrel in                            alcohol and tobacco and                               industries had the highest
the third quarter of 2017,                              transportation. HIgher gasoline                       average weekly earnings at
reflecting a differential of US                         prices (+10.4%) was the main                          $2,401 and $2,094 respectively
$10 per barrel. WTI crude is                            contributor to inflation in the                       in September 2017, while
forecast to average US$49.70                            transportation category. 3                            accommodation and food
per barrel in 2017 and US                                                                                     services employees had the
$51.04 per barrel in 2018.2                                                                                   lowest weekly earnings at
                                                                                                              $547.4

     WTI Prices, Quarterly Avg. (US$/bbl)                         Calgary Inflat. Rates Sep. 17 (y/y) Calgary CMA Avg Weekly Earnings

                                                                    All-Items              1.2%
    Q3 17                                $48
                                                           Alcohol & tobacco                         2.8%       Sep 17                            $1,135

    Q2 17                                $48                   Transportation                     2.2%
                                                                          Food                1.9%
    Q1 17                                  $52            Health & pers. care                 1.8%             Aug 17                             $1,129
                                                          Rec., ed., & reading             1.2%
    Q4 16                                $49                          Shelter              1.2%
                                                          Clothing & footwear         0.4%                      Sep 16                            $1,135
    Q3 16                              $45
                                                               Household ops          0.4%
             $0        $20       $40       $60                                   0%   1%     2%    3%                     $0      $400    $800 $1,200

2   Baytex Energy Corp. Historical Oil Pricing and U.S. Energy Information Administration, Short Term Energy Outlook, November 7, 2017.

3   City of Calgary, September 2017 Inflation Review, October 20, 2017.

4   City of Calgary, Corporate Economics, Economics, Labour Market Review, August and September 2017.

Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2017 Q3 Report
3
                                CALGARY ECONOMY
                                SUMMARY
            Q3 2017

The number of Calgarians receiving regular Employment Insurance (EI)
benefits declined 31% year-over-year in September 2017.

NON-RESIDENTIAL                                       EMPLOYMENT                                    DOWNTOWN
CONSTRUCTION                                          INSURANCE                                     OFFICE MARKET

Investment in non-residential                         Since reaching a record peak                  Vacancy in Calgary’s downtown
building construction in the                          of 32,740 beneficiaries in                    office market may have finally
Calgary CMA totaled $838                              November 2016, the number of                  reached its peak. After rising
million in Q3 2017, down                              Calgarians receiving regular EI               steadily over the last three
16.6% year-over-year.                                 benefits declined for the tenth               years, the city’s downtown
Investment in institutional and                       consecutive month in                          office vacancy rate declined to
governmental projects, which                          September 2017 to 21,880,                     25.7% in Q3 2017, from 26.4%
made up one-quarter of non-                           and was also down 31%                         the previous quarter. Vacancy
residential construction                              compared to September 2016.                   is forecast to slowly trend
spending, declined 20.4% y/y.                         As of September 2017, 28% of                  downwards following the
Investment in Alberta declined                        unemployed Calgarians were                    completion of Telus Sky Tower
7.1% y/y in Q3 2017, while                            receiving EI. In Alberta, total EI            in the final quarter of 2018.7
nationally, non-residential                           beneficiaries fell to 63,010 in
investment rose 3.4%.5                                September 2017, down 35%
                                                      year-over-year.6

Inv. in Non-Res Construction Q3 17 (y/y)                           Calgary EI Beneficiaries            Calgary Downtown Office Vac. Rates

                                                                                                     Q3 2017                     25.7%
    Calgary    -16.6%                                  Sep 2017                      21,880

                                                                                                     Q2 2017                      26.4%

    Alberta                 -7.1%                      Aug 2017                      23,050          Q1 2017                    23.9%

                                                                                                     Q4 2016                    23.9%

    Canada                                  3.4%       Sep 2016                           31,750
                                                                                                     Q3 2016                    22.9%

              -25%-20%-15%-10% -5% -0% 5%                             0        20,000      40,000              0%   10%   20%     30%

5   Statistics Canada, CANSIM table 026-0016.

6   Statistics Canada, CANSIM table 276-0034.

7   Avison Young Q3 2017 Calgary Office Market Report. Forecast uses reasonable assumptions.

Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2017 Q3 Report
4
                              CALGARY POPULATION
                              SUMMARY
          Q3 2017

Calgary’s population reached 1.246 million in April 2017, a 0.9% increase
year-over-year. Between 2018 and 2026 the population of the city of
Calgary is expected to grow by an annual average of 1.3% per year.
Calgary’s senior population (aged 65+) is forecast to increase by about
4% per year over the next 10 years, to 189,100 in 2026.
Calgary Population

TOTAL POPULATION                                     YOUTH POPULATION                                      SENIOR POPULATION

Calgary’s population as a                            Calgary’s youth population                            Calgary’s senior population
whole is forecast to grow by                         (aged 15 - 24) is projected to                        (aged 65+) is forecast to grow
about 56,400 over the next                           decline by about 5,800 over                           by about 23,500 over the next
five years, from 1,246,300 in                        the next five years, from an                          five years, from 132,700 in
2017 to about 1,302,700 in                           estimated 145,600 in 2017 to                          2017 to about 156,200 in
2021. According to the City of                       139,800 in 2021. The decline                          2021. Rapid growth in the
Calgary’s most recent                                is more due to slowing net                            senior population is expected
projections, there will be some                      migration (fewer people are                           to put pressure on some of
shifts in the demographics of                        moving to Calgary) and an                             Calgary’s services and
the population that will                             aging population, rather than                         infrastructure.
significantly impact Calgary                         an exodus of young people
over the next 10 years.8                             from Calgary.

       Calgary Pop. Growth Forecast                           Youth Pop. Growth Forecast                           Senior Pop. Growth Forecast

 2021                              1.4%                2021                                0.6%               2021                                  4.1%

 2020                         1.1%                     2020                -0.7%                              2020                                  4.2%

 2019                       1.0%                       2019           -1.5%                                   2019                                  4.1%

 2018                       1.0%                       2018      -2.5%                                        2018                                 3.8%

 2017                      0.9%                        2017                                  1.0%             2017             1.0%

         0%              1%               2%                   -4%       -2%        0%         2%                     0%    1%    2%    3%    4%     5%

8 Sources for all population growth forecasts: City of Calgary, Corporate Economics, Calgary and Region Economic Outlook 2017 - 2026, Fall 2017.

Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2017 Q3 Report
5
                            CALGARY HOUSING MARKET
                            SUMMARY
            Q3 2017

Calgary Housing Market
Existing home sales in the city of Calgary rose 7.2% y/y in the first nine
months of 2017, while the average sales price increased 1.9%.

The average sales price of an existing home in Calgary rose 1.9% y/y to $489,186 in the first nine
months of 2017. A 2.8% increase in the average sales price for a detached home and a 1.7%
increase for an attached home was offset by a 4.7% decline in the average sales price for an
apartment. Overall, existing home prices in Calgary are forecast to remain relatively unchanged year-
over-year in 2017. Improved market balance in the first half of 2017 has supported the modest price
appreciation year-to date September 2017.9

                                   City of Calgary Average Sales Prices for Existing Homes
   $700,000
                                                                  YTD Sep 2017                     YTD Sep 2016
   $600,000                                               $563,314
                                                                     $547,746
                          $489,186 $480,084
   $500,000
                                                                                                                  $408,821 $401,979
   $400,000
                                                                                           $296,385 $311,088
   $300,000

   $200,000

   $100,000

              $0
                                 Total                         Detached                       Apartment              Attached

           City of Calgary Existing Home Sales

Q3 2017                              4,688              Existing home sales in the city of Calgary totaled 4,688 units in
                                                        the third quarter of 2017, down 2.2% from 4,793 sales in the
Q2 2017                                      6,155      third quarter of 2016. Year to date September 2017, total
                                                        existing home sales reached 15,004 units, a 7.2% increase
Q1 2017                            4,167
                                                        compared to the first nine months of 2016. Attached home
                                                        sales were up 9.6% year-over-year to the end of September
Q4 2016                          3,802
                                                        2017, while detached home and apartment sales increased 6.9%
Q3 2016                              4,793              and 5.1% respectively.10
               0      2,500       5,000       7,500

9 Calgary Real Estate Board (CREB), Monthly Statistics Package, City of Calgary, September 2017.

10 Ibid.

Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2017 Q3 Report
6
                               CALGARY HOUSING MARKET
                               SUMMARY
             Q3 2017

Economic conditions in Alberta have improved compared to the previous
year contributing to a decrease in apartment vacancy rates in the
majority of the province’s largest urban centres.
Following three consecutive years of increases, Alberta’s overall apartment vacancy rate fell to 7.5%
in October 2017, from 8.1% the previous year. Calgary’s apartment vacancy rate declined to 6.3% in
2017, from 7.0% a year earlier. Rental demand in the Wood Buffalo region continues to be impacted
by wildfire recovery efforts, weak labour market conditions and a decline in population. In October
2017, Wood Buffalo’s apartment vacancy rate jumped to 23.6%, from 17.8% in 2016. 11

                          Private Apartment Vacancy Rates in Alberta’s Largest Urban Centres
                                                                           Oct 2017               Oct 2016
                                                              7.5%
              Alberta                                            8.1%
                                                                                                                       23.6%
   Wood Buffalo                                                                                        17.8%
                                                                                      13.1%
            Red Deer                                                                    13.6%
                                                            7.0%
           Edmonton                                         7.1%
                                                         6.3%
              Calgary                                       7.0%
                                                       6.2%
    Medicine Hat                                    5.4%
                                                 5.1%
       Lethbridge                                                   8.5%
                                                4.9%
   Grande Prairie                                                                                              19.8%

                          0%                  5%                      10%                 15%                20%        25%

      Avg. Apartment Rents Oct 2017 (2-bedroom)

               AB                               $1,188            The average rent for a two-bedroom apartment in Alberta
Wood Buffalo                                             $1,531   fell slightly to $1,188/month in 2017 from $1,195/month
           Calgary                               $1,247           one year prior. Among the province’s largest urban centres,
    Edmonton                                    $1,215            Wood Buffalo had the highest average rent for a two-
Grande Prairie                             $1,012                 bedroom unit at $1,531, up from from $1,454 in October
      Red Deer                             $1,011                 2016. In Calgary, the average rent for an apartment
   Lethbridge                            $937                     declined 0.9% to $1,247/month in 2017, following a
 Medicine Hat                          $842                       decrease of 5.5% in 2016.12
                     $0        $500   $1,000     $1,500

11 Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation, Rental Market Report, Alberta Highlights, Released 2017.

12 Ibid.

Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2017 Q3 Report
7
                           LABOUR FORCE STATISTICS
                           SUMMARY
         Q3 2017

Calgary’s labour market continued to improve in Q3 2017 with the
unemployment rate dropping to 8.5% and employment up 4.7% y/y.

PARTICIPATION                                      EMPLOYMENT                                          UNEMPLOYMENT

Calgary’s labour force                             Employment in the Calgary                           Calgary’s unemployment rate
participation rate fell slightly to                CMA averaged 836,200 in the                         dropped significantly to an
an average of 74.7% in Q3                          third quarter of 2017, up by                        average of 8.5% in Q3 2017,
2017, from 74.9% the previous                      8,100 or 1.0% from the                              from 9.2% the previous quarter
quarter but was up from                            previous quarter and up by                          and from 9.3% in Q3 2016.
73.0% year-over-year. Men had                      37,700 or 4.7% year-over-year.
a higher labour force                                                                                  Edmonton and St. John’s NL
participation rate (80.2%) than                    Employment in Calgary is                            had the highest average
women (70.9%) in Q3 2017,                          forecast to increase by 1.1%                        unemployment rate among
while the participation rate for                   in 2018 (8,800 net new jobs).                       major metropolitan areas in
Calgarians aged 25 - 54                            Most major industries are                           Canada in Q3 2017 (8.6%),
(89.9%) was higher than for                        forecast to grow in 2018, with                      followed by Calgary (8.5%) and
youth aged 15 - 24 (72.1%)                         the exception of transportation                     Saskatoon (8.2%). Victoria’s
and adults aged 55+ (48.3%).                       and warehousing (-6.3%),                            and Vancouver’s unemployment
                                                   personal services (-0.4%) and                       rates were the lowest at 4.6%
The participation rate is the                      non-commercial services                             and 4.8% respectively.
number of persons employed,                        (-1.6%). Employment growth of                       Canada’s unemployment rate
or unemployed but looking for                      5.5% is projected for the                           averaged 6.3% in Q3 2017.
a job, divided by the total                        primary and utilities sector in
working-age population.                            2018.13

 Calgary Labour Force Survey Stats Q3 2017                                                         Q2 2017                   Q3 2016
 ✓ Participation Rate                                                           74.7%                    74.9%                   73.0%

 ✓ Employment Rate                                                              68.4%                    68.0%                   66.2%

 ✓ Unemployment Rate                                                             8.5%                     9.2%                   9.3%
Source: Statistics Canada CANSIM table 282-0135

                                                                                                       Labour Force Statistics

13 Arcand, Alan, and Jane McIntyre. Metropolitan Outlook 1: Calgary—Autumn 2017. Ottawa: The Conference Board of Canada, 2017.

Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2017 Q3 Report
8
                           LABOUR FORCE STATISTICS
                           SUMMARY
         Q3 2017

TYPE OF WORK                                      GENDER                                               AGE

Year-over-year, employment in                     Employment growth among                              Employment among Calgarians
the Calgary CMA rose by 4.7%                      Calgary women continued to                           aged 15 - 24 years declined
in the third quarter of 2017.                     be strong in Q3 2017,                                1.3% (-1,400) on the year in
                                                  increasing 6.2% (+23,100)                            the third quarter of 2017, the
The number of Calgarians                          year-over-year. The 3.4% rise                        only major age category to
working part-time rose to an                      in employment among men                              record a loss. Employment
average of 149,300 in Q3                          (+15,000) supplemented the                           increased 5.0% (+28,400)
2017, up 5.5% (+7,800) year-                      gains among women.                                   among Calgarians aged 25 -
over-year. Women accounted                                                                             54 years and 7.5% (+11,000)
for all the increase in part-                     Overall, the unemployment rate                       among older adults aged 55+
time work (+17.9% or                              for men averaged 8.8% in the                         years.
+15,900), offset by a decrease                    third quarter of 2017, while
in part-time work among men.                      the unemployment rate for                            In the third quarter of 2017,
                                                  women averaged 8.5%. Men                             12% of all employed
Full-time employment increased                    aged 15 - 24 years had the                           Calgarians were aged 15 - 24
4.6% (+30,300) on the year in                     highest unemployment rate in                         years, 70% were aged 25 - 54
Q3 2017, with men accounting                      the third quarter at 16.9%                           years and 18% were aged 55+
for the majority of the gains                     while men aged 25 - 54 years                         years.
(+6.0% or +23,100).                               had the lowest unemployment
                                                  rate at 6.4%.

                                                                       Q3 2017                  Q3 2016
                                                  Unemployment Rates by Gender and Age, Calgary CMA

                                                                                    8.8%
    Men (15 yrs+) Total                                                              9.0%
                                                                                                                                 16.9%
         Men (15-24 yrs)                                                                                                            17.6%
                                                                       6.4%
         Men (25-54 yrs)                                                  7.0%
                                                                                                       12.1%
            Men (55 yrs+)                                                                    10.4%

                                                                                  8.5%
Women (15 yrs+) Total                                                                       10.0%
                                                                                         9.5%
    Women (15-24 yrs)                                                                                                                    18.4%
                                                                               7.9%
    Women (25-54 yrs)                                                          7.9%
                                                                                            10.1%
       Women (55 yrs+)                                                                         10.8%
                                0%                          5%                         10%                         15%                        20%

 Source: Statistics Canada, CANSIM table 282-0158, Employment by CMA based on 2011 Census boundaries and National Occupational Classification (NOC),
 three-month moving average, unadjusted for seasonality.

Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2017 Q3 Report
9
                          INDUSTRY EMPLOYMENT
                          SUMMARY
         Q3 2017

                         Industry Employment

These are the industries that posted the greatest change in employment
in the Calgary CMA and Alberta in Q3 2017 (y/y).

Calgary CMA Highlights

   Accommodation &                      Health Care & Social                   Mining & Oil & Gas                       Other Services
     Food Services                           Assistance
      +16,900 jobs                         +10,000 jobs                           -6,700 jobs                            -4,300 jobs

Alberta Highlights

   Mining & Oil & Gas                      Manufacturing                        Other Services                          Construction

      +11,300 jobs                         +8,400 jobs                           -10,400 jobs                           -9,200 jobs

                                    2017 and 2018 Forecast Change in Employment by Industry, Calgary CMA

                       All industries                                            1.1%
                                                                                     2.7%                   2017           2018
                                                                                                                                    21.8%
           Public Administration                                                         3.9%
                                                                                                                            18.7%
 Transportation & Wareousing                           -6.3%
                                                                                                         9.4%
      Non-Commercial Services                                     -1.6%
                                                                                                 6.3%
                Personal Services                                      -0.4%
                                                                                          4.3%
           Fin. Ins. & Real Estate                                                1.3%
                                                                                   1.9%
       Wholesale & Retail Trade                                                    2.1%
                                                                    -1.1%
                    Info & Culture                                                               6.5%
                                                                  -1.8%
                    Manufacturing                                                       3.1%
                                                                  -2.0%
               Business Services                                                 0.7%
                                                  -8.4%
                       Construction                                                               7.2%
                                              -10.0%
               Primary & Utilities                                                             5.5%

                                     -15.0%                    -5.0%                     5.0%                   15.0%                 25.0%

Forecast: Arcand, Alan, and Jane McIntyre. Metropolitan Outlook 1: Calgary—Autumn 2017. Ottawa: The Conference Board of Canada, 2017.

Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2017 Q3 Report
10
                        EMPLOYER SURVEY
                        SUMMARY
       Q3 2017

Employer Survey

Survey Results: 201 small-sized employers with 10-49 employees were
surveyed in Q3 2017.

PAST GROWTH                            FUTURE GROWTH                          LAYOFFS

On balance, 5% of employers            On balance, 12% of employers           Thirteen per cent of employers
reported that their company            anticipate a business                  reported that their companies
downsized in the 12 months             expansion in the 12 months             laid off workers in the 3
prior to their survey (23% said        following their survey (22%            months prior to their survey,
they expanded and 28% said             anticipate an expansion and            down from 25% in Q3 2016.
they downsized), compared to           10% anticipate a downsize), up
Q3 2016 when 23% of                    significantly from from the Q3         Overall, employers reported
employers reported a business          2016 results when 6% of                about 90 people were laid off,
downsize.                              employers on balance                   representing a layoff rate of
                                       anticipated a business                 1.8%, down from 5.0% in Q3
Results varied by industry with        downsize.                              2016.
8 of 10 industries on balance
reporting business downsizing.         Results varied by industry with        The highest number of layoffs
                                       8 of 10 industries on balance          were reported in the
                                       anticipating a business                construction industry.
                                       expansion in the next 12
                                       months.

        Q3 Business Expansion             Q3 Anticipated Business Expansion                Q3 Layoffs

2017                                    2017                                   2017
2016                                    2016                                   2016
2015                                    2015                                   2015
2014                                    2014                                   2014
2013                                    2013                                   2013
2012                                    2012                                   2012
2011                                    2011                                   2011
2010                                    2010                                   2010
2009                                    2009                                   2009
       -30% -15%   0%   15%   30%              -10%     10%        30%                0%   10%   20%    30%

Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2017 Q3 Report
11
                      EMPLOYER SURVEY
                      SUMMARY
        Q3 2017

 Vacancies                    Difficulty Recruiting        Voluntary Turnover        Turnover Rate

 The most frequently          The positions                The positions             Fifty-six per cent of
 reported vacant              employers reported           employers reported        employers reported
 positions were facility      the most difficulty          had the highest           approximately 315
 operation and                recruiting were facility     voluntary turnover        employees left as a
 maintenance                  operation and                were community and        result of voluntary
 managers, truck              maintenance                  social service            turnover in the 12
 drivers, community           managers and truck           workers, shippers and     months prior to
 and social service           drivers.                     receivers, secretaries,   their survey.
 workers, and food                                         insurance agents and      Overall, the
 counter attendants                                        brokers, retail           voluntary turnover
 and kitchen helpers.                                      salespersons, and         rate was 6.4%.
                                                           construction trades
                                                           labourers.

PAST                         FUTURE                        PAST                      FUTURE
RECRUITMENT                  RECRUITMENT                   TURNOVER                  TURNOVER

Employers were asked         Employers were asked          Employers were asked      Employers were asked
if they had difficulty       if they anticipate            if they had any           if they anticipate
recruiting qualified         having more, less or          voluntary turnover in     voluntary turnover will
employees in the 12          the same difficulty           the 12 months prior       be higher, lower or
months prior to their        recruiting qualified          to their survey. Fifty-   the same in the 12
survey. Twenty-nine          employees in the 12           six per cent of           months following their
per cent of employers        months following their        employers reported        survey. On balance,
reported difficulty          survey. On balance,           voluntary turnover,       8% anticipate
recruiting, up from          3% anticipate more            compared to 53% in        employee turnover will
17% in Q3 2016.              difficulty compared to        Q3 2016.                  be lower over the
                             9% anticipating less                                    next year
                             difficulty in Q3 2016.

       Q3 Past Difficulty           Q3 Future Difficulty          Q3 Past Turnover          Q3 Future Turnover
2017                         2017                          2017                      2017
2016                         2016                          2016                      2016
2015                         2015                          2015                      2015
2014                         2014                          2014                      2014
2013                         2013                          2013                      2013
2012                         2012                          2012                      2012
2011                         2011                          2011                      2011
2010                         2010                          2010                      2010
       0%     25%    50%            -30%    0%     30%            0%    35%   70%           -20%   -10%   0%

Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2017 Q3 Report
12
                     EMPLOYER SURVEY
                     SUMMARY
       Q3 2017

Employers reported career and classified websites was the most
successful recruitment method in the 12 months prior to their survey.

                                 Most Successful Recruitment Methods

            Career and classified websites                                                       31%
       Word of mouth/employees referrals                                             23%
       Company website/internal postings                       7%
                    Employment agencies                   5%
                              Social media           3%
             Walk-ins/unsolicited resumes            3%
                               Newspapers          2%
                                   Rehires        1%
                     Industry associations        1%
                                     Other        1%
                                   Signage        1%
                                    Unsure        1%
                                      None        1%
           Did not hire in past 12 months                                      17%

Employers reported that providing a job in this economy was the most
successful employee retention strategy in the 12 months prior to their
survey.

                           Most Successful Employee Retention Strategies

             Provide a job in this economy                                                             17%
                        Competitive salary                                                 14%
                Positive work environment                                            12%
        Excellent management/supervision                                      8%
                          Company culture                                6%
                   Flexible work measures                           5%
              Interesting/challenging work                          5%
             Competitive benefits package                      4%
            Learning/growth opportunities                      4%
                             Cash bonuses            2%
                       Excellent coworkers           2%
                                     Perks           2%
                                     Other                               6%
                                    Unsure                     4%
                Don’t have/need strategy                            5%

Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2017 Q3 Report
13
                         EMPLOYER SURVEY
                         SUMMARY
       Q3 2017

Overall, almost two-fifths of the employers reported they have
implemented or adopted technological changes in the past two years.

                                                          Yes     No      Unsure

                                                     Implemented technological changes in past two years

                                 Overall
          Fin. Insur. Real Est. & Leasing
        Health Care & Social Assistance
                           Construction
          Accomm. & Food/Arts & Ent.
                         Manufacturing
         Transportation & Warehousing
                                   Other
         Professional Scientific & Tech.
              Wholesale & Retail Trade
                     Mining & Oil & Gas
                                            0%     10%   20%    30%    40%    50%   60%   70%    80%    90%      100%

Overall, over one-quarter of employers have a plan to implement or adopt
technological changes in the next two years.

                                                          Yes     No      Unsure

                                                 Plan to implement technological changes in the next two years

                                 Overall
          Fin. Insur. Real Est. & Leasing
          Accomm. & Food/Arts & Ent.
        Health Care & Social Assistance
                         Manufacturing
                                   Other
                           Construction
              Wholesale & Retail Trade
         Transportation & Warehousing
         Professional Scientific & Tech.
                     Mining & Oil & Gas
                                            0%     10%   20%    30%    40%    50%   60%   70%    80%    90%      100%

Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2017 Q3 Report
14
                      EMPLOYER SURVEY
                      Q3 2017 Survey Results: Small-sized employers with 10 - 49 employees

Employer
Survey - Q3
2017 Results

The purpose of the quarterly survey is to gather information from Calgary and area employers on their
recruitment and retention practices and various other employment issues they are facing. Over the
course of the year, employers will be divided into four categories based on the number of employees in
the company and results of the survey will be reported on as follows:
✓ Q1 2017: Large-sized companies with 100+ employees

✓ Q2 2017: Medium-sized companies with 50 – 99 employees

✓ Q3 2017: Small-sized companies with 10 – 49 employees

✓ Q4 2017: Micro-sized companies with
15
                       EMPLOYER SURVEY
Business Activity
On balance, 5 per cent of the employers said their company downsized in the last 12
months.
                                                                   Has$your$company$expanded$or$downsized$
Twenty-three per cent of the employers                                       $in$the$last$12$months?$
surveyed in Q3 2017 reported their company
expanded in the 12 months prior to their survey                           Expanded%        Downsized%    Balance%
                                                            30%%
and 28 per cent said their company downsized,               20%%
resulting in a negative balance of 5 per cent.14            10%%
                                                                                                          !5%%
In Q3 2016, 14 per cent of the employers                     0%%
reported they expanded and 37 per cent said                !10%%
                                                                             !23%%
                                                           !20%%
they downsized, for a negative balance of 23
                                                           !30%%
per cent.                                                  !40%%
                                                                          Q3%2016%                      Q3%2017%
On balance, 28 per cent of the finance,
insurance, real estate and leasing employers
and 25 per cent of the ‘other’ employers said they expanded in the past year - the only industries to
record positive results. In contrast, 25 per cent of the accommodation and food services/arts and
entertainment employers and 20 per cent of the construction employers reported they downsized.
Past Business Activity
Percentage of companies that expanded or downsized in the 12 months prior to their survey
                                                              Q3 2016                        Q3 2017
                                                  Expanded Downsized Balance Expanded Downsized Balance
Overall Results                                      14%         37%         -23%        23%    28%  -5%

Results by Industry
Mining & Oil & Gas                                   10%    57%       -48%           15%        30%      -15%
Construction                                         10%    70%       -60%           20%        40%      -20%
Manufacturing                                        10%    50%       -40%           30%        35%       -5%
Wholesale & Retail Trade                              5%    65%       -60%           25%        40%      -15%
Transportation & Warehousing                         10%    30%       -20%           15%        25%      -10%
Professional, Scientific & Technical Services        20%    45%       -25%           25%        35%      -10%
Health Care & Social Assistance                      25%    10%        15%           15%        25%      -10%
Accommodation & Food Services/Arts & Entertainment   15%    10%        5%            10%        35%      -25%
Finance, Insurance, Real Estate & Leasing            25%    15%        10%           38%        10%       28%
Other                                                15%    20%        -5%           35%        10%       25%

Comments
     ‣ “Our revenue has declined because our rates have been reduced in order to get customers. ” -
       Accommodation & Food Services/Arts & Entertainment
     ‣ “We have downsized a little bit.” - Construction
     ‣ “We have really downsized because of the economy.” - Construction
     ‣ “We stayed about the same.” - Finance, Insurance, Real Estate & Leasing

14Percentage of employers reporting a business expansion minus percentage of employers reporting a business
downsize.

Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2017 Q3 Report
16
                     EMPLOYER SURVEY
     ‣ “We have downsized in the Calgary office.” - Finance, Insurance, Real Estate & Leasing
     ‣ “We have downsized a lot.” - Health Care & Social Assistance
     ‣ “We have expanded both in terms of people and space.” - Health Care & Social Assistance
     ‣ “In June we were bought out by a larger parent company.” - Manufacturing
     ‣ “We have stayed static.” - Manufacturing
     ‣ “We have downsized by about 50%.” - Mining & Oil & Gas
     ‣ “We are about even compared to last year.” - Mining & Oil & Gas
     ‣ “We opened a sister location.” - Other
     ‣ “We have really shrunk.” - Professional, Scientific & Technical Services
     ‣ “We have had some acquisitions, so there's been expansion.” - Professional, Scientific & Technical
       Services
     ‣ “We have expanded slightly.” - Transportation & Warehousing
     ‣ “We are in the process of downsizing.” - Wholesale & Retail Trade
     ‣ “We took over the Canmore location. We used existing staff and added a few new employees as
       well.” - Wholesale & Retail Trade
On balance, 12 per cent of the employers anticipate a business expansion in the next
12 months.
                                                                    Do#you#an(cipate#a#business#expansion#or#
Employers are more optimistic about the next                            downsize#in#the#next#12#months?#
12 months than they were in Q3 2016. Twenty-
                                                                          Expansion$   Downsize$   Balance$
two per cent of the employers anticipate their               25%$
company will expand in the 12 months                         20%$
                                                                                                       12%$
                                                             15%$
following their survey and 10 per cent                       10%$
anticipate their company will downsize, for a                 5%$
                                                              0%$            !6%$
positive balance of 12 per cent.15 In Q3 2016,               !5%$
13 per cent anticipated an expansion and 19                 !10%$
                                                            !15%$
per cent anticipated a downsize, for a balance              !20%$
of 6 per cent of the employers anticipating a                              Q3$2016$                  Q3$2017$

downsize.
With the exception of construction and manufacturing, all the industries anticipate a business
expansion in the next year, on balance. Thirty per cent of the professional, scientific and technical
services employers and about a quarter of the finance, insurance, real estate and leasing and ‘other’
employers anticipate a business expansion in the next 12 months. In contrast, 5 per cent of the

15Percentage of employers anticipating a business expansion minus percentage of employers anticipating a business
downsize.

Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2017 Q3 Report
17
                       EMPLOYER SURVEY
construction and manufacturing employers on balance anticipate a business downsize in the next year.
Employers in the mining and oil and gas industry appear to be more positive about future business
activity, with 15 per cent on balance anticipating a business expansion in the next year, compared to
one-third anticipating a business downsize when surveyed in Q3 2016.
Future Business Activity
Percentage of companies that anticipate an expansion or downsize in the 12 months following their survey
                                                               Q3 2016                             Q3 2017
                                                    Expansion Downsize Balance Expansion Downsize            Balance
Overall Results                                        13%         19%        -6%        22%          10%     12%

Results by Industry
Mining & Oil & Gas                                     0%         33%       -33%       20%         5%         15%
Construction                                           0%         25%       -25%       15%         20%        -5%
Manufacturing                                         15%         20%        -5%       15%         20%        -5%
Wholesale & Retail Trade                              10%         50%       -40%       15%         10%        5%
Transportation & Warehousing                          15%         20%        -5%       35%         15%        20%
Professional, Scientific & Technical Services         30%         20%        10%       30%         0%         30%
Health Care & Social Assistance                       20%         0%         20%       20%         15%        5%
Accommodation & Food Services/Arts & Entertainment     5%         15%       -10%       10%         5%         5%
Finance, Insurance, Real Estate & Leasing             25%         5%         20%       29%         5%         24%
Other                                                 15%         5%         10%       30%         5%         25%

Comments
   ‣ “I expect things to remain stable.” - Accommodation & Food Services/Arts & Entertainment
   ‣ “That depends on the economy. When the economy in Alberta is bad, then people don't want to spend
     money.” - Accommodation & Food Services/Arts & Entertainment
   ‣ “That depends on the market, but at this point I anticipate we will stay the same.” - Construction
   ‣ “We will stay even.” - Finance, Insurance, Real Estate & Leasing
   ‣ “There will be a slight increase.” - Finance, Insurance, Real Estate & Leasing
   ‣ “I really don't see things getting better in the near future.” - Health Care & Social Assistance
   ‣ “It's possible there will be an expansion.” - Health Care & Social Assistance
   ‣ “We are getting busier and busier, so there will be expansion.” - Manufacturing
   ‣ “We will be closing down this current facility in September or October of this year.” - Manufacturing
   ‣ “We don't know because that all depends on the price of oil.” - Manufacturing
   ‣ “I think things will be status quo.” - Mining & Oil & Gas
   ‣ “We will probably expand slightly.” - Mining & Oil & Gas
   ‣ “There will be a minimal expansion.” - Other
   ‣ “We may be offering a new program now, so we might be asked to offer extra classes.” - Other
   ‣ “I expect things to remain status quo.” - Professional, Scientific & Technical Services

Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2017 Q3 Report
18
                        EMPLOYER SURVEY
   ‣ “There will be a bit of expansion.” - Transportation & Warehousing
   ‣ “Things will probably remain status quo, unless a lot of people quit. We haven't been replacing
     positions as they become vacant.” - Wholesale & Retail Trade
   ‣ “We are not replacing people as they leave, so I expect some downsizing.” - Wholesale & Retail
     Trade
   ‣ “There may be a little bit more of an expansion.” - Wholesale & Retail Trade
   ‣ “We are picking up right now.” - Wholesale & Retail Trade

Employment: Past Layoffs, Vacant Positions and Future Employment
Thirteen per cent of the employers laid off workers in the three months prior to their
survey.
Thirteen per cent of the employers reported                       Percentage)of)companies)that)laid)off)
they laid off workers in the three months prior            employees)in)the)three)months)prior)to)survey)
                                                                                      Q3#2017# Q3#2016#
to their survey (for reasons other than
                                                                            Overall#               13%#
seasonality). This is a significant improvement                       ConstrucGon#                                            40%#
compared to the Q3 2016 results, when 25 per            Wholesale#&#Retail#Trade#                         20%#
                                                                   Manufacturing#                    15%#
cent of the employers said they laid off          Professional,#ScienGfic#&#Tech.#                    15%#
                                                 Health#Care#&#Social#Assistance#                    15%#
workers. Forty per cent of the construction      TransportaGon#&#Warehousing#                   10%#
employers and 20 per cent of the wholesale        Fin.,#Insur.,#Real#Est.#&#Leasing#            10%#
                                                                             Other#         5%#
and retail trade employers reported they laid                  Mining#&#Oil#&#Gas#          5%#
                                                      Accom.#&#Food/Arts#&#Ent.# 0%#
off workers, compared to none of the
                                                                                     0%# 5%# 10%# 15%# 20%# 25%# 30%# 35%# 40%# 45%#
accommodation and food services/arts and
entertainment employers. The most dramatic
improvement this year was among manufacturing employers, with 15 per cent reporting they laid off
employees, compared to 40 per cent in Q3 2016. The percentage of employers reporting they laid off
workers increased year-over-year among health care and social assistance employers.
Overall, employers reported about 90 people were laid off, representing a layoff rate of 1.8 per cent.
This is a significant improvement compared to the Q3 2016 results when employers reported 236
people were laid off, representing a layoff rate of 5.0 per cent. The construction (9.7 per cent),
wholesale and retail trade (1.9 per cent) and manufacturing (1.6 per cent) industries had the highest
layoff rates in Q3 2017, while accommodation and food services/arts and entertainment employers
reported no layoffs. Additional details on layoffs can be found in Appendix B.

Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2017 Q3 Report
19
                      EMPLOYER SURVEY
             Number of Layoffs and Layoff Rates (in the three months prior to survey)

                                                                               Q3 2016              Q3 2017
                                                                            Total     Layoff      Total    Layoff
                   Industry
                                                                           Layoffs     Rate      Layoffs    Rate
                   Construction                                                    17     3.7%       56      9.7%
                   Wholesale & Retail Trade                                        21     5.1%        8      1.9%
                   Manufacturing                                                   18     4.0%        7      1.6%
                   Health Care & Social Assistance                                  1     0.2%        7      1.4%
                   Professional, Scientific & Technical Services                   19     4.2%        5      1.0%
                   Transportation & Warehousing                                    15     2.6%        3      0.6%
                   Finance, Insurance, Real Estate & Leasing                        5     1.1%        2      0.4%
                   Other                                                            5     1.2%        1      0.2%
                   Mining & Oil & Gas                                            129     26.7%        1      0.2%
                   Accommodation & Food Services/Arts & Entertainment               6     1.1%        0      0.0%
                   Total                                                         236      5.0%       90      1.8%
                   Layoff rate is the number of layoffs as a percent of total employment.

Comments
   ‣ “What we tend to do is to reduce hours rather than laying people off. Some people have quit in
     response to reduction in hours.” - Accommodation & Food Services/Arts & Entertainment
   ‣ “We laid off 2 consultants.” - Construction
   ‣ “We laid off about 8 concrete finishers.” - Construction
   ‣ “There have been about 30 heavy equipment operators laid off.” - Construction
   ‣ “We let one financial advisor go.” - Finance, Insurance, Real Estate & Leasing
   ‣ “Yes, we've eliminated a bank teller position.” - Finance, Insurance, Real Estate & Leasing
   ‣ “Yes, we have laid off about 5 dental assistants.” - Health Care & Social Assistance
   ‣ “We had to lay off our manager of development.” - Health Care & Social Assistance
   ‣ “Yes, we laid off 2 labourers.” - Manufacturing
   ‣ “We laid off one environmental scientist.” - Mining & Oil & Gas
   ‣ “No, we just reduced hours.” - Mining & Oil & Gas
   ‣ “We laid off two technologists.” - Professional, Scientific & Technical Services
   ‣ “We laid off two people in data entry.” - Professional, Scientific & Technical Services
   ‣ “We laid off a dispatcher.” - Transportation & Warehousing
   ‣ “Yes, two truck drivers.” - Transportation & Warehousing
   ‣ “There has been work sharing to avoid layoffs.” - Transportation & Warehousing

Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2017 Q3 Report
20
                        EMPLOYER SURVEY
   ‣ “We have laid off about 10% of our staff, or about four salespeople.” - Wholesale & Retail Trade
   ‣ “We laid off one person in the admin department in Canmore. Our accounting is now done at the Red
     Deer location.” - Wholesale & Retail Trade
Forty-one per cent of the employers had 179 vacant positions that needed to be filled.
Overall, 41 per cent of the employers reported
they had vacant positions that needed to be                                       Percentage)of)companies)with)vacant)posi3ons)
filled at the time of their survey, up from 22 per                                   that)needed)to)be)filled)at)3me)of)survey)
                                                                                                                Q3$2017$    Q3$2016$
cent in Q3 2016. Fifty-seven per cent of the
                                                                                                    Overall$                                      41%$
finance, insurance, real estate and leasing                               Fin.,$Insur.,$Real$Est.$&$Leasing$                                                   57%$
                                                                          Professional,$Scien
21
                     EMPLOYER SURVEY
   ‣ “We have started up the hiring process for our peak season, so we are looking for about 5 ice
     technicians.” - Accommodation & Food Services/Arts & Entertainment
   ‣ “Hiring is ongoing here, especially for housekeeping.” - Accommodation & Food Services/Arts &
     Entertainment
   ‣ “We are looking for 6 people in our operations department.” - Accommodation & Food Services/Arts
     & Entertainment
   ‣ “We are always looking for cooks and crew.” - Accommodation & Food Services/Arts &
     Entertainment
   ‣ “We're looking for about 3 electricians.” - Construction
   ‣ “We are always hiring journeymen electricians.” - Construction
   ‣ “We are looking for a social media organizer and an administrative professional.” - Finance,
     Insurance, Real Estate & Leasing
   ‣ “We need 3 more property managers.” - Finance, Insurance, Real Estate & Leasing
   ‣ “We are looking for a deaf senior companion.” - Health Care & Social Assistance
   ‣ “We have one position open in dental administration.” - Health Care & Social Assistance
   ‣ “We need a research consultant.” - Health Care & Social Assistance
   ‣ “There are two positions open, for a community disability services worker and a residential services
     worker.” - Health Care & Social Assistance
   ‣ “We are always looking for casual addictions support workers.” - Health Care & Social Assistance
   ‣ “We are always looking for qualified awning installers.” - Manufacturing
   ‣ “We have 3 positions in woodwork manufacturing open right now.” - Manufacturing
   ‣ “We need two ranging specialists for our directional drilling operations.” - Mining & Oil & Gas
   ‣ “We need two early childhood educators.” - Other
   ‣ “We need 3 education assistants.” - Other
   ‣ “We need a new director.” - Other
   ‣ “We're always looking for architects and architectural technologists.” - Professional, Scientific &
     Technical Services
   ‣ “We are searching for 3 legal assistants in family law.” - Professional, Scientific & Technical
     Services
   ‣ “We're a tax law firm so we're always looking for lawyers, but we have no specific positions
     available.” - Professional, Scientific & Technical Services

Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2017 Q3 Report
22
                      EMPLOYER SURVEY
     ‣ “We are looking for someone in our data analytics department.” - Professional, Scientific &
       Technical Services
     ‣ “We could use 3 more drivers.” - Transportation & Warehousing
     ‣ “We are looking for 3 or 4 more client services representatives.” - Transportation & Warehousing
     ‣ “We could use 4 to 6 more tow truck drivers.” - Transportation & Warehousing
     ‣ “We have two positions open in aircraft maintenance.” - Transportation & Warehousing
     ‣ “We could use 2 more gas attendants.” - Wholesale & Retail Trade
On balance, 1 per cent of the employers anticipate employment in their company will
increase over the next three months.
                                                                       Do#you#an(cipate#employment#will#increase,##
Once any current vacant positions are filled, 8                      decrease#or#stay#the#same#in#the#next#3#months?#
per cent of the employers anticipate
                                                                               Increase$   Decrease$   Balance$
employment in their company will increase                     10%$
over the next three months, 7 per cent                         5%$                                          1%$
anticipate employment will decrease, and 85
                                                               0%$               !3%$
per cent anticipate employment will stay about
the same, for a positive balance of 1 per cent. 16            !5%$

In Q3 2016, 3 per cent of the employers on                   !10%$
balance anticipated employment would                         !15%$
decrease.                                                                      Q3$2016$                  Q3$2017$

Transportation and warehousing and finance,
insurance, real estate and leasing employers are the most positive about future employment levels, with
10 per cent on balance anticipating employment will increase in the three months following their
survey. In contrast, 10 per cent of the construction employers on balance anticipate employment will
decrease.

16Percentage of employers that anticipate employment in their company will increase in the next three months minus the
percentage of employers that anticipate employment will decrease.

Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2017 Q3 Report
23
                        EMPLOYER SURVEY
Future Employment
Percentage of companies that anticipated an increase or decrease in total employment in the
3 months following their survey
                                                                Q3 2016                         Q3 2017
                                                     Increase     Decrease Balance Increase     Decrease         Balance
Overall Results                                         9%           12%        -3%        8%      7%              1%

Results by Industry
Mining & Oil & Gas                                       5%         10%         -5%       5%          5%           0%
Construction                                            10%         20%        -10%      10%          20%         -10%
Manufacturing                                           10%         5%          5%        5%          10%          -5%
Wholesale & Retail Trade                                10%         35%        -25%       5%          10%          -5%
Transportation & Warehousing                            15%         0%          15%      10%          0%           10%
Professional, Scientific & Technical Services           25%         15%         10%      10%          5%           5%
Health Care & Social Assistance                          5%         0%          5%       10%          5%           5%
Accommodation & Food Services/Arts & Entertainment       5%         30%        -25%      10%          15%          -5%
Finance, Insurance, Real Estate & Leasing               10%         5%          5%       10%          0%           10%
Other                                                    0%         0%          0%        5%          0%           5%

Overall, in the three months following their survey, employers anticipate employment will increase by
62 and decrease by 77, for a net employment decrease of 15 people. Transportation and warehousing
employers anticipate a net employment increase of 15 people, while construction employers anticipate
a net employment decrease of 38 people. Additional details on anticipated changes in employment can
be found in Appendix B.
                        Anticipated change in employment over the following three months
                                                                            Q3 2016                  Q3 2017
                                                                  Increase Decrease       Increase Decrease
             Industry                                                               Net #                   Net #
                                                                      #       #               #       #
             Transportation & Warehousing                               9          0     9      15           0      15
             Accommodation & Food Services/Arts & Entertainment        13         65   -52      20          15       5
             Other                                                      0          0     0       5           0       5
             Health Care & Social Assistance                            1          0     1       3           1       2
             Professional, Scientific & Technical Services             11         27   -16       3           1       2
             Finance, Insurance, Real Estate & Leasing                  3          2     1       2           0       2
             Mining & Oil & Gas                                         3          7    -4       1           2      -1
             Manufacturing                                              7          3     4       1           3      -2
             Wholesale & Retail Trade                                  13         16    -3       1           6      -5
             Construction                                               5         13    -8      11          49     -38
             Total                                                     65        133   -68      62          77     -15

Comments
   ‣ “Total employment will decrease by about a dozen people. We will be approaching our end of season
     and the university students we employ will go back to school in September.” - Accommodation &
     Food Services/Arts & Entertainment
   ‣ “We will be hiring an additional 15 people in food and beverage positions.” - Accommodation &
     Food Services/Arts & Entertainment
   ‣ “I hope to increase so I can staff the restaurant properly.” - Accommodation & Food Services/Arts &
     Entertainment

Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2017 Q3 Report
24
                     EMPLOYER SURVEY
   ‣ “I will be laying off four carpenters by November 1.” - Construction
   ‣ “We will let about five contractors go due to seasonality.” - Construction
   ‣ “Hopefully we will increase by at least 10 concrete finishers.” - Construction
   ‣ “In the next little while we will be letting six to ten people go.” - Construction
   ‣ “We will layoff another 30 heavy equipment operators.” - Construction
   ‣ “Total employment will remain the same for the next three months, but maybe in the last quarter of
     the year we might make a decision to downsize.” - Finance, Insurance, Real Estate & Leasing
   ‣ “I expect it will probably continue to decrease.” - Health Care & Social Assistance
   ‣ “We're just writing the ads now for two positions.” - Health Care & Social Assistance
   ‣ “We are not filling a vacant position due to the economic conditions right now.” - Health Care &
     Social Assistance
   ‣ “We will decrease by two employees.” - Manufacturing
   ‣ “To the best of my knowledge, it will decrease. We will lose at least one lab technician.” -
     Manufacturing
   ‣ “We're possibly looking at hiring one more salesperson.” - Manufacturing
   ‣ “We will probably let two accountants go.” - Mining & Oil & Gas
   ‣ “We are maxed out in terms of staffing and we are just holding in there.” - Mining & Oil & Gas
   ‣ “We will be adding five more preschool teachers by September.” - Other
   ‣ “We going into our busy season, so I expect we will increase by another ten drivers.” - Transportation
     & Warehousing
   ‣ “We will increase by three to five people.” - Transportation & Warehousing
   ‣ “No, we will not increase until after Christmas at least.” - Transportation & Warehousing
   ‣ “I will be letting three people go in the next three months.” - Wholesale & Retail Trade

Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2017 Q3 Report
25
                                EMPLOYER SURVEY
Recruitment Methods
Career and classified websites was the most successful recruitment method over the
last 12 months.
                                                                                       Most%successful%recruitment%method%over%the%
Organizations use a variety of methods to                                            last%12%months%
recruit workers. Employers were asked to                Career$and$classified$websites$                                    31%$
specify the recruitment method that was the        Word$of$mouth/employee$referrals$
                                                   Company$website/internal$pos?ngs$                7%$
                                                                                                                  23%$

most successful over the last 12 months. Career                  Employment$agencies$             5%$
                                                                           Social$media$       3%$
and classified websites was the most                     WalkEins/unsolicited$resumes$         3%$
                                                                            Newspapers$       2%$
successful, reported by 31 per cent of the                                       Rehires$    1%$
                                                                  Industry$associa?ons$      1%$
employers (28 employers specified Indeed, 14                                       Other$    1%$
                                                                                 Signage$    1%$
specified Kijiji, 3 specified Job Bank and 1                                     Unsure$     1%$
                                                                                    None$    1%$
employer each specified Job Shop, Reach Hire         Did$not$hire$in$the$last$12$months$                    17%$
and Workopolis). Word of mouth/employee                                                   0%$ 5%$ 10%$ 15%$ 20%$ 25%$ 30%$ 35%$
referrals was the second most successful
recruitment method, reported by 23 per cent of
the employers, followed by website/internal postings (7 per cent) and employment agencies (5 per
cent). Only 3 per cent of employers said social media (Facebook, LinkedIn, Twitter) was the most
successful recruitment method.
The most successful recruitment methods varied by industry. Career/classified websites was the most
successful recruitment method in the manufacturing, wholesale and retail trade, transportation and
warehousing, professional, scientific and technical services, health care and social assistance and
accommodation and food services/arts and entertainment industries, while word of mouth/employee
referrals was the most successful recruitment method in the mining and oil and gas, finance, insurance,
real estate and leasing and ‘other’ industries. For construction employers, career/classified websites
and word of mouth/employee referrals tied as the most successful recruitment methods.

              Mining%&%Oil%&%Gas%/%Most%successful%                                         Construc-on%.%Most%successful%recruitment%
          recruitment%method%over%the%last%12%months%                                            method%over%the%last%12%months%
 Word$of$mouth/employee$referrals$                                   35%$          Word$of$mouth/employee$referrals$                                   35%$
      Career$and$classified$websites$                   15%$
                                                                                        Career$and$classified$websites$                                 35%$
                       Social$media$                10%$
                                                                                   Company$website/internal$posBngs$                  10%$
                              None$                 10%$
                                                                                        Walk9ins/unsolicited$resumes$           5%$
             Employment$agencies$             5%$

 Company$website/internal$pos
26
                                 EMPLOYER SURVEY
            Manufacturing%/%Most%successful%recruitment%                                                 Whole/Retail%Trade%3%Most%successful%
                 method%over%the%last%12%months%                                                     recruitment%method%over%the%last%12%months%
                                                                                                 Career$and$classified$websites$                                     35%$
      Career$and$classified$websites$                                                 50%$
                                                                                            Word$of$mouth/employee$referrals$                     15%$
 Word$of$mouth/employee$referrals$                     15%$                                      WalkDins/unsolicited$resumes$                 10%$
                                                                                                                       Signage$          5%$
                        Social$media$         5%$
                                                                                                                  Newspapers$            5%$

          High$schools$(RAP$program)$         5%$                                                       Employment$agencies$             5%$
                                                                                            Company$website/internal$pos
27
                                EMPLOYER SURVEY
          Fin,%Ins,%Real%Est%&%Leasing%4%Most%successful%                                           Other%+%Most%successful%recruitment%method%
          recruitment%method%over%the%last%12%months%%                                                       over%the%last%12%months%
 Word$of$mouth/employee$referrals$                           19%$                          Word$of$mouth/employee$referrals$                                          45%$

             Employment$agencies$                      14%$                                Company$website/internal$posDngs$                     15%$

 Company$website/internal$posBngs$                     14%$                                     Career$and$classified$websites$                   15%$

                       Social$media$                10%$                                                               Unsure$          5%$

      Career$and$classified$websites$                10%$                                                             Job$fairs$         5%$

                             Unsure$          5%$                                                      Employment$agencies$             5%$

  Did$not$hire$in$the$last$12$months$                                 29%$                  Did$not$hire$in$the$last$12$months$               10%$

                                        0%$   10%$         20%$     30%$     40%$   50%$                                          0%$   10%$     20%$   30%$   40%$   50%$
  n=21%                                                                                     n=20%

Comments
    ‣ “We work more so with word of mouth based hires. We employ a lot of young university students or
      high school students that come in on a part time basis and are recommended by people we know.” -
      Accommodation & Food Services/Arts & Entertainment
    ‣ “I would say that the most successful strategy is probably hiring and advertising locally. We are
      focused on bringing people on who are already in Cochrane.” - Accommodation & Food Services/
      Arts & Entertainment
    ‣ “Posting on our website is all we really need to do. I guess that is a sign of the times and of the
      economic conditions.” - Construction
    ‣ “We are just calling back our old employees.” - Construction
    ‣ “We use local newsprint advertising.” - Health Care & Social Assistance
    ‣ “We recruit through the Calgary Chamber of Volunteer Organizations, ReachHire and Charity
      Village.” - Health Care & Social Assistance
    ‣ “We have resumes on file that people have just dropped off. We just go through them. We don't do
      any advertising or anything like that.” - Health Care & Social Assistance
    ‣ “We use ReachHire, Indeed and the Alberta College of Social Workers.” - Health Care & Social
      Assistance
    ‣ “The most successful recruitment resources are the RAP program for high school students and youth
      employment through the Calgary Construction Association.” - Manufacturing
    ‣ “We usually hire people with prior work association with current staff.” - Mining & Oil & Gas
    ‣ “We don't really use recruitment methods. We have just been promoting from within.” - Mining &
      Oil & Gas
    ‣ “The market is saturated with candidates, so it's not really been difficult at all. We have just been
      hiring through word of mouth.” - Mining & Oil & Gas

Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2017 Q3 Report
28
                     EMPLOYER SURVEY
   ‣ “[We use] Indeed because it's cheap and I've been very impressed by the results from it.” - Other
   ‣ “We use social media, so Facebook, LinkedIn, Twitter.” - Professional, Scientific & Technical
     Services
   ‣ “The most successful has been advertising on the Calgary Herald. That then goes out to Workopolis
     and Monster.” - Professional, Scientific & Technical Services
   ‣ “I find face to face talking with people is the best way to determine if they're a good fit. We have
     people calling us on the phone and saying they're looking for a job. We will ask them to come in and
     see us for anything we might have available.” - Transportation & Warehousing
   ‣ “We've been advertising through Indeed and Alberta Jobs. However, Canmore is a different story
     because it's located in the mountains and it's a smaller town. People who live there dropped off
     resumes to us and we kept them on file. When a position opens up we interviewed them from that
     pool and we tried to stay in the community when we could.” - Wholesale & Retail Trade
   ‣ “I would say hiring is done through the posters in our store.” - Wholesale & Retail Trade

Recruiting Difficulties
Twenty-nine per cent of the employers reported having difficulty recruiting qualified
employees.
Overall, 29 per cent of the employers said they                  Percentage)of)companies)that)had)difficulty)
had difficulty recruiting qualified employees in                 recrui6ng)in)the)12)months)prior)to)survey)
                                                                                            Q3#2017#    Q3#2016#
the 12 months prior to their survey, up from 17
                                                                                Overall#                             29%#
per cent in Q3 2016. Half of the                          Accom.#&#Food/Arts#&#Ent.#                                          50%#
                                                     Transporta=on#&#Warehousing#                                          45%#
accommodation and food services/arts and                    Wholesale#&#Retail#Trade#                                   40%#
entertainment employers and 45 per cent of the                                   Other#                              35%#
                                                                          Construc=on#                           30%#
transportation and warehousing employers had          Fin.,#Insur.,#Real#Est.#&#Leasing#                        29%#
                                                                       Manufacturing#                         25%#
difficulty recruiting qualified employees,           Health#Care#&#Social#Assistance#                      20%#
                                                      Professional,#Scien=fic#&#Tech.#                   15%#
compared to only 5 per cent of the mining and                      Mining#&#Oil#&#Gas#           5%#
oil and gas employers.                                                                     0%#   10%#   20%#       30%#     40%#   50%#   60%#

The 59 employers that reported having
difficulty recruiting were also asked to specify the occupations that were the most difficult to fill. The
top two reported occupations were facility operation and maintenance managers (8 per cent) and truck
drivers (7 per cent).

Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2017 Q3 Report
29
                      EMPLOYER SURVEY
                           What occupations have been the most difficult to fill?
                                                                                                   Employers
                   NOC Code Occupation
                                                                                                      %
                      714      Facility operation and maintenance managers                            8%
                      7511     Truck drivers                                                          7%
                      1241     Secretaries (except legal and medical)                                 5%
                      1521     Shippers and receivers                                                 5%
                      6231     Insurance agents and brokers                                           5%
                      6421     Retail salespersons                                                    5%
                      6731     Light duty cleaners                                                    5%
                      121      Insurance, real estate and financial brokerage managers                3%
                       311     Managers in health care                                                3%
                      4214     Early childhood educators and assistants                               3%
                      6221     Technical sales specialists - wholesale trade                          3%
                      6711     Food counter attendants, kitchen helpers and related occupations       3%
                   Note: 59 employers reported having difficulty recruiting qualified employees.
                   Some employers did not specify which occupations.
                   Only occupations with 3% or more shown in the table.

Comments
   ‣ “They're all difficult to fill in this town. Canmore is a very expensive place to live in. With wages at
     $14-16/hour, you can't find local employees. You can find staff from Montreal or Edmonton or
     somewhere else, but if you don't have staff accommodations to offer them then you're hooped.” -
     Accommodation & Food Services/Arts & Entertainment
   ‣ “The most difficult positions to recruit for are opening cooks, supervisors, and junior managers.” -
     Accommodation & Food Services/Arts & Entertainment
   ‣ “It's hard to find night auditors.” - Accommodation & Food Services/Arts & Entertainment
   ‣ “It's difficult to recruit for the late night positions.” - Accommodation & Food Services/Arts &
     Entertainment
   ‣ “Finding qualified carpenters can be difficult.” - Construction
   ‣ “It can be hard to find plumbing and heating service technicians.” - Construction
   ‣ “Our operations positions are difficult to fill.” - Construction
   ‣ “When we put an ad out we find we're getting applications from people with no qualifications or
     they're over-qualified.” - Finance, Insurance, Real Estate & Leasing
   ‣ “Yes, for our sales manager position.” - Finance, Insurance, Real Estate & Leasing
   ‣ “Certain roles, mainly in commercial lines of the insurance business.” - Finance, Insurance, Real
     Estate & Leasing
   ‣ “It can be difficult to fill those senior roles.” - Finance, Insurance, Real Estate & Leasing
   ‣ “Yes, we have had difficulty with our dental administration roles.” - Health Care & Social Assistance

Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2017 Q3 Report
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