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2017>Q3 Applications Management Consulting Ltd. Calgary & Area Labour Market Report This Calgary and Area Labour Market Report is produced four times a year and provides results on labour market needs, shortages and issues from the perspective of employers in the Calgary Region.
Table of Contents Summary .................................................................................................1 Calgary Economy ..............................................................................................1 Calgary Population ............................................................................................4 Calgary Housing Market ....................................................................................5 Labour Force Statistics ......................................................................................7 Industry Employment .........................................................................................9 Employer Survey .............................................................................................10 Employer Survey - Q3 2017 Results .....................................................14 Survey Profile ..................................................................................................................14 Business Activity ............................................................................................................15 Employment: Past Layoffs, Vacant Positions and Future Employment ..........................18 Recruitment Methods .....................................................................................................25 Recruiting Difficulties ......................................................................................................28 Employee Turnover .........................................................................................................35 Employee Retention .......................................................................................................38 Supplemental Questions - Focus on Technological Changes ........................................44 Appendix A: Survey Methodology ........................................................60 Appendix B: Employer Survey - Q3 2017 Occupation Results.............61 Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2017 Q3 Report
1 CALGARY ECONOMY SUMMARY Q3 2017 Summary The Calgary Census Metropolitan Area (CMA) economy is forecast to expand by a more robust 4.6% in 2017, following an average decline of 3.1% in 2015 and 2016. Growth is projected to remain in the range of 2% to 3% over the next few years. Calgary Economy PAST GROWTH CURRENT GROWTH FUTURE GROWTH Following strong annual GDP The economic contraction that While oil prices have improved growth of 5.5% in 2014, the began with the collapse in oil over the past year, they are collapse in oil prices resulted prices is projected to end in projected to remain below their in contractions of 3.0% and 2017. Real GDP in the Calgary pre-recession highs over the 3.2% in 2015 and 2016 CMA is forecast to grow at a next few years. As a result, respectively in the Calgary rate of 4.6% in 2017, with real GDP in the Calgary CMA Census Metropolitan Area help from increased activity in is projected to moderate to (CMA). Calgary’s construction the energy sector. Calgary’s 2.1% next year and gradually sector was hit particularly hard economy is projected to be improve to 2.6% by 2021. during the 2015–16 recession, the fastest growing among as output in the industry Canada’s 13 major CMAs in contracted nearly 40%.1 2017, followed by Edmonton (3.9%) and Toronto (3.7%). Calgary CMA Past GDP Growth GDP Growth Forecast 2017 Calgary CMA GDP Growth Forecast 2021 2.6% 2016 -3.2% Calgary CMA 4.6% 2020 2.5% 2015 -3.0% Alberta 4.4% 2019 2.3% 2018 2.1% 2014 5.5% Canada 2.6% 2017 4.6% -6% -3% 0% 3% 6% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 1 All past and forecast data from: Arcand, Alan, and Jane McIntyre. Metropolitan Outlook 1: Calgary—Autumn 2017. Ottawa: The Conference Board of Canada, 2017. Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2017 Q3 Report
2 CALGARY ECONOMY SUMMARY Q3 2017 The price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil is forecast to average $US50 per barrel in 2017 and about $US51 in 2018. OIL PRICES INFLATION WEEKLY EARNINGS West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Consumer prices in Calgary The average weekly earnings crude oil prices averaged US rose 1.2% in September 2017 of payroll employees in the $48 per barrel in Q3 2017, (y/y), compared to 1.3% in Calgary CMA increased by $6 unchanged from the previous Alberta and 1.6% nationally. month-over-month to $1,135 in quarter but up from US$45 in Calgary recorded price growth September 2017, but was Q3 2016. Western Canada in all eight major consumer virtually unchanged year-over- Select (WCS) prices, the categories, with the highest year. Calgarians in the utilities Canadian heavy oil benchmark, growth rates observed in and mining and oil and gas averaged US$38 per barrel in alcohol and tobacco and industries had the highest the third quarter of 2017, transportation. HIgher gasoline average weekly earnings at reflecting a differential of US prices (+10.4%) was the main $2,401 and $2,094 respectively $10 per barrel. WTI crude is contributor to inflation in the in September 2017, while forecast to average US$49.70 transportation category. 3 accommodation and food per barrel in 2017 and US services employees had the $51.04 per barrel in 2018.2 lowest weekly earnings at $547.4 WTI Prices, Quarterly Avg. (US$/bbl) Calgary Inflat. Rates Sep. 17 (y/y) Calgary CMA Avg Weekly Earnings All-Items 1.2% Q3 17 $48 Alcohol & tobacco 2.8% Sep 17 $1,135 Q2 17 $48 Transportation 2.2% Food 1.9% Q1 17 $52 Health & pers. care 1.8% Aug 17 $1,129 Rec., ed., & reading 1.2% Q4 16 $49 Shelter 1.2% Clothing & footwear 0.4% Sep 16 $1,135 Q3 16 $45 Household ops 0.4% $0 $20 $40 $60 0% 1% 2% 3% $0 $400 $800 $1,200 2 Baytex Energy Corp. Historical Oil Pricing and U.S. Energy Information Administration, Short Term Energy Outlook, November 7, 2017. 3 City of Calgary, September 2017 Inflation Review, October 20, 2017. 4 City of Calgary, Corporate Economics, Economics, Labour Market Review, August and September 2017. Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2017 Q3 Report
3 CALGARY ECONOMY SUMMARY Q3 2017 The number of Calgarians receiving regular Employment Insurance (EI) benefits declined 31% year-over-year in September 2017. NON-RESIDENTIAL EMPLOYMENT DOWNTOWN CONSTRUCTION INSURANCE OFFICE MARKET Investment in non-residential Since reaching a record peak Vacancy in Calgary’s downtown building construction in the of 32,740 beneficiaries in office market may have finally Calgary CMA totaled $838 November 2016, the number of reached its peak. After rising million in Q3 2017, down Calgarians receiving regular EI steadily over the last three 16.6% year-over-year. benefits declined for the tenth years, the city’s downtown Investment in institutional and consecutive month in office vacancy rate declined to governmental projects, which September 2017 to 21,880, 25.7% in Q3 2017, from 26.4% made up one-quarter of non- and was also down 31% the previous quarter. Vacancy residential construction compared to September 2016. is forecast to slowly trend spending, declined 20.4% y/y. As of September 2017, 28% of downwards following the Investment in Alberta declined unemployed Calgarians were completion of Telus Sky Tower 7.1% y/y in Q3 2017, while receiving EI. In Alberta, total EI in the final quarter of 2018.7 nationally, non-residential beneficiaries fell to 63,010 in investment rose 3.4%.5 September 2017, down 35% year-over-year.6 Inv. in Non-Res Construction Q3 17 (y/y) Calgary EI Beneficiaries Calgary Downtown Office Vac. Rates Q3 2017 25.7% Calgary -16.6% Sep 2017 21,880 Q2 2017 26.4% Alberta -7.1% Aug 2017 23,050 Q1 2017 23.9% Q4 2016 23.9% Canada 3.4% Sep 2016 31,750 Q3 2016 22.9% -25%-20%-15%-10% -5% -0% 5% 0 20,000 40,000 0% 10% 20% 30% 5 Statistics Canada, CANSIM table 026-0016. 6 Statistics Canada, CANSIM table 276-0034. 7 Avison Young Q3 2017 Calgary Office Market Report. Forecast uses reasonable assumptions. Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2017 Q3 Report
4 CALGARY POPULATION SUMMARY Q3 2017 Calgary’s population reached 1.246 million in April 2017, a 0.9% increase year-over-year. Between 2018 and 2026 the population of the city of Calgary is expected to grow by an annual average of 1.3% per year. Calgary’s senior population (aged 65+) is forecast to increase by about 4% per year over the next 10 years, to 189,100 in 2026. Calgary Population TOTAL POPULATION YOUTH POPULATION SENIOR POPULATION Calgary’s population as a Calgary’s youth population Calgary’s senior population whole is forecast to grow by (aged 15 - 24) is projected to (aged 65+) is forecast to grow about 56,400 over the next decline by about 5,800 over by about 23,500 over the next five years, from 1,246,300 in the next five years, from an five years, from 132,700 in 2017 to about 1,302,700 in estimated 145,600 in 2017 to 2017 to about 156,200 in 2021. According to the City of 139,800 in 2021. The decline 2021. Rapid growth in the Calgary’s most recent is more due to slowing net senior population is expected projections, there will be some migration (fewer people are to put pressure on some of shifts in the demographics of moving to Calgary) and an Calgary’s services and the population that will aging population, rather than infrastructure. significantly impact Calgary an exodus of young people over the next 10 years.8 from Calgary. Calgary Pop. Growth Forecast Youth Pop. Growth Forecast Senior Pop. Growth Forecast 2021 1.4% 2021 0.6% 2021 4.1% 2020 1.1% 2020 -0.7% 2020 4.2% 2019 1.0% 2019 -1.5% 2019 4.1% 2018 1.0% 2018 -2.5% 2018 3.8% 2017 0.9% 2017 1.0% 2017 1.0% 0% 1% 2% -4% -2% 0% 2% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 8 Sources for all population growth forecasts: City of Calgary, Corporate Economics, Calgary and Region Economic Outlook 2017 - 2026, Fall 2017. Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2017 Q3 Report
5 CALGARY HOUSING MARKET SUMMARY Q3 2017 Calgary Housing Market Existing home sales in the city of Calgary rose 7.2% y/y in the first nine months of 2017, while the average sales price increased 1.9%. The average sales price of an existing home in Calgary rose 1.9% y/y to $489,186 in the first nine months of 2017. A 2.8% increase in the average sales price for a detached home and a 1.7% increase for an attached home was offset by a 4.7% decline in the average sales price for an apartment. Overall, existing home prices in Calgary are forecast to remain relatively unchanged year- over-year in 2017. Improved market balance in the first half of 2017 has supported the modest price appreciation year-to date September 2017.9 City of Calgary Average Sales Prices for Existing Homes $700,000 YTD Sep 2017 YTD Sep 2016 $600,000 $563,314 $547,746 $489,186 $480,084 $500,000 $408,821 $401,979 $400,000 $296,385 $311,088 $300,000 $200,000 $100,000 $0 Total Detached Apartment Attached City of Calgary Existing Home Sales Q3 2017 4,688 Existing home sales in the city of Calgary totaled 4,688 units in the third quarter of 2017, down 2.2% from 4,793 sales in the Q2 2017 6,155 third quarter of 2016. Year to date September 2017, total existing home sales reached 15,004 units, a 7.2% increase Q1 2017 4,167 compared to the first nine months of 2016. Attached home sales were up 9.6% year-over-year to the end of September Q4 2016 3,802 2017, while detached home and apartment sales increased 6.9% Q3 2016 4,793 and 5.1% respectively.10 0 2,500 5,000 7,500 9 Calgary Real Estate Board (CREB), Monthly Statistics Package, City of Calgary, September 2017. 10 Ibid. Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2017 Q3 Report
6 CALGARY HOUSING MARKET SUMMARY Q3 2017 Economic conditions in Alberta have improved compared to the previous year contributing to a decrease in apartment vacancy rates in the majority of the province’s largest urban centres. Following three consecutive years of increases, Alberta’s overall apartment vacancy rate fell to 7.5% in October 2017, from 8.1% the previous year. Calgary’s apartment vacancy rate declined to 6.3% in 2017, from 7.0% a year earlier. Rental demand in the Wood Buffalo region continues to be impacted by wildfire recovery efforts, weak labour market conditions and a decline in population. In October 2017, Wood Buffalo’s apartment vacancy rate jumped to 23.6%, from 17.8% in 2016. 11 Private Apartment Vacancy Rates in Alberta’s Largest Urban Centres Oct 2017 Oct 2016 7.5% Alberta 8.1% 23.6% Wood Buffalo 17.8% 13.1% Red Deer 13.6% 7.0% Edmonton 7.1% 6.3% Calgary 7.0% 6.2% Medicine Hat 5.4% 5.1% Lethbridge 8.5% 4.9% Grande Prairie 19.8% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% Avg. Apartment Rents Oct 2017 (2-bedroom) AB $1,188 The average rent for a two-bedroom apartment in Alberta Wood Buffalo $1,531 fell slightly to $1,188/month in 2017 from $1,195/month Calgary $1,247 one year prior. Among the province’s largest urban centres, Edmonton $1,215 Wood Buffalo had the highest average rent for a two- Grande Prairie $1,012 bedroom unit at $1,531, up from from $1,454 in October Red Deer $1,011 2016. In Calgary, the average rent for an apartment Lethbridge $937 declined 0.9% to $1,247/month in 2017, following a Medicine Hat $842 decrease of 5.5% in 2016.12 $0 $500 $1,000 $1,500 11 Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation, Rental Market Report, Alberta Highlights, Released 2017. 12 Ibid. Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2017 Q3 Report
7 LABOUR FORCE STATISTICS SUMMARY Q3 2017 Calgary’s labour market continued to improve in Q3 2017 with the unemployment rate dropping to 8.5% and employment up 4.7% y/y. PARTICIPATION EMPLOYMENT UNEMPLOYMENT Calgary’s labour force Employment in the Calgary Calgary’s unemployment rate participation rate fell slightly to CMA averaged 836,200 in the dropped significantly to an an average of 74.7% in Q3 third quarter of 2017, up by average of 8.5% in Q3 2017, 2017, from 74.9% the previous 8,100 or 1.0% from the from 9.2% the previous quarter quarter but was up from previous quarter and up by and from 9.3% in Q3 2016. 73.0% year-over-year. Men had 37,700 or 4.7% year-over-year. a higher labour force Edmonton and St. John’s NL participation rate (80.2%) than Employment in Calgary is had the highest average women (70.9%) in Q3 2017, forecast to increase by 1.1% unemployment rate among while the participation rate for in 2018 (8,800 net new jobs). major metropolitan areas in Calgarians aged 25 - 54 Most major industries are Canada in Q3 2017 (8.6%), (89.9%) was higher than for forecast to grow in 2018, with followed by Calgary (8.5%) and youth aged 15 - 24 (72.1%) the exception of transportation Saskatoon (8.2%). Victoria’s and adults aged 55+ (48.3%). and warehousing (-6.3%), and Vancouver’s unemployment personal services (-0.4%) and rates were the lowest at 4.6% The participation rate is the non-commercial services and 4.8% respectively. number of persons employed, (-1.6%). Employment growth of Canada’s unemployment rate or unemployed but looking for 5.5% is projected for the averaged 6.3% in Q3 2017. a job, divided by the total primary and utilities sector in working-age population. 2018.13 Calgary Labour Force Survey Stats Q3 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2016 ✓ Participation Rate 74.7% 74.9% 73.0% ✓ Employment Rate 68.4% 68.0% 66.2% ✓ Unemployment Rate 8.5% 9.2% 9.3% Source: Statistics Canada CANSIM table 282-0135 Labour Force Statistics 13 Arcand, Alan, and Jane McIntyre. Metropolitan Outlook 1: Calgary—Autumn 2017. Ottawa: The Conference Board of Canada, 2017. Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2017 Q3 Report
8 LABOUR FORCE STATISTICS SUMMARY Q3 2017 TYPE OF WORK GENDER AGE Year-over-year, employment in Employment growth among Employment among Calgarians the Calgary CMA rose by 4.7% Calgary women continued to aged 15 - 24 years declined in the third quarter of 2017. be strong in Q3 2017, 1.3% (-1,400) on the year in increasing 6.2% (+23,100) the third quarter of 2017, the The number of Calgarians year-over-year. The 3.4% rise only major age category to working part-time rose to an in employment among men record a loss. Employment average of 149,300 in Q3 (+15,000) supplemented the increased 5.0% (+28,400) 2017, up 5.5% (+7,800) year- gains among women. among Calgarians aged 25 - over-year. Women accounted 54 years and 7.5% (+11,000) for all the increase in part- Overall, the unemployment rate among older adults aged 55+ time work (+17.9% or for men averaged 8.8% in the years. +15,900), offset by a decrease third quarter of 2017, while in part-time work among men. the unemployment rate for In the third quarter of 2017, women averaged 8.5%. Men 12% of all employed Full-time employment increased aged 15 - 24 years had the Calgarians were aged 15 - 24 4.6% (+30,300) on the year in highest unemployment rate in years, 70% were aged 25 - 54 Q3 2017, with men accounting the third quarter at 16.9% years and 18% were aged 55+ for the majority of the gains while men aged 25 - 54 years years. (+6.0% or +23,100). had the lowest unemployment rate at 6.4%. Q3 2017 Q3 2016 Unemployment Rates by Gender and Age, Calgary CMA 8.8% Men (15 yrs+) Total 9.0% 16.9% Men (15-24 yrs) 17.6% 6.4% Men (25-54 yrs) 7.0% 12.1% Men (55 yrs+) 10.4% 8.5% Women (15 yrs+) Total 10.0% 9.5% Women (15-24 yrs) 18.4% 7.9% Women (25-54 yrs) 7.9% 10.1% Women (55 yrs+) 10.8% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% Source: Statistics Canada, CANSIM table 282-0158, Employment by CMA based on 2011 Census boundaries and National Occupational Classification (NOC), three-month moving average, unadjusted for seasonality. Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2017 Q3 Report
9 INDUSTRY EMPLOYMENT SUMMARY Q3 2017 Industry Employment These are the industries that posted the greatest change in employment in the Calgary CMA and Alberta in Q3 2017 (y/y). Calgary CMA Highlights Accommodation & Health Care & Social Mining & Oil & Gas Other Services Food Services Assistance +16,900 jobs +10,000 jobs -6,700 jobs -4,300 jobs Alberta Highlights Mining & Oil & Gas Manufacturing Other Services Construction +11,300 jobs +8,400 jobs -10,400 jobs -9,200 jobs 2017 and 2018 Forecast Change in Employment by Industry, Calgary CMA All industries 1.1% 2.7% 2017 2018 21.8% Public Administration 3.9% 18.7% Transportation & Wareousing -6.3% 9.4% Non-Commercial Services -1.6% 6.3% Personal Services -0.4% 4.3% Fin. Ins. & Real Estate 1.3% 1.9% Wholesale & Retail Trade 2.1% -1.1% Info & Culture 6.5% -1.8% Manufacturing 3.1% -2.0% Business Services 0.7% -8.4% Construction 7.2% -10.0% Primary & Utilities 5.5% -15.0% -5.0% 5.0% 15.0% 25.0% Forecast: Arcand, Alan, and Jane McIntyre. Metropolitan Outlook 1: Calgary—Autumn 2017. Ottawa: The Conference Board of Canada, 2017. Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2017 Q3 Report
10 EMPLOYER SURVEY SUMMARY Q3 2017 Employer Survey Survey Results: 201 small-sized employers with 10-49 employees were surveyed in Q3 2017. PAST GROWTH FUTURE GROWTH LAYOFFS On balance, 5% of employers On balance, 12% of employers Thirteen per cent of employers reported that their company anticipate a business reported that their companies downsized in the 12 months expansion in the 12 months laid off workers in the 3 prior to their survey (23% said following their survey (22% months prior to their survey, they expanded and 28% said anticipate an expansion and down from 25% in Q3 2016. they downsized), compared to 10% anticipate a downsize), up Q3 2016 when 23% of significantly from from the Q3 Overall, employers reported employers reported a business 2016 results when 6% of about 90 people were laid off, downsize. employers on balance representing a layoff rate of anticipated a business 1.8%, down from 5.0% in Q3 Results varied by industry with downsize. 2016. 8 of 10 industries on balance reporting business downsizing. Results varied by industry with The highest number of layoffs 8 of 10 industries on balance were reported in the anticipating a business construction industry. expansion in the next 12 months. Q3 Business Expansion Q3 Anticipated Business Expansion Q3 Layoffs 2017 2017 2017 2016 2016 2016 2015 2015 2015 2014 2014 2014 2013 2013 2013 2012 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2010 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 -30% -15% 0% 15% 30% -10% 10% 30% 0% 10% 20% 30% Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2017 Q3 Report
11 EMPLOYER SURVEY SUMMARY Q3 2017 Vacancies Difficulty Recruiting Voluntary Turnover Turnover Rate The most frequently The positions The positions Fifty-six per cent of reported vacant employers reported employers reported employers reported positions were facility the most difficulty had the highest approximately 315 operation and recruiting were facility voluntary turnover employees left as a maintenance operation and were community and result of voluntary managers, truck maintenance social service turnover in the 12 drivers, community managers and truck workers, shippers and months prior to and social service drivers. receivers, secretaries, their survey. workers, and food insurance agents and Overall, the counter attendants brokers, retail voluntary turnover and kitchen helpers. salespersons, and rate was 6.4%. construction trades labourers. PAST FUTURE PAST FUTURE RECRUITMENT RECRUITMENT TURNOVER TURNOVER Employers were asked Employers were asked Employers were asked Employers were asked if they had difficulty if they anticipate if they had any if they anticipate recruiting qualified having more, less or voluntary turnover in voluntary turnover will employees in the 12 the same difficulty the 12 months prior be higher, lower or months prior to their recruiting qualified to their survey. Fifty- the same in the 12 survey. Twenty-nine employees in the 12 six per cent of months following their per cent of employers months following their employers reported survey. On balance, reported difficulty survey. On balance, voluntary turnover, 8% anticipate recruiting, up from 3% anticipate more compared to 53% in employee turnover will 17% in Q3 2016. difficulty compared to Q3 2016. be lower over the 9% anticipating less next year difficulty in Q3 2016. Q3 Past Difficulty Q3 Future Difficulty Q3 Past Turnover Q3 Future Turnover 2017 2017 2017 2017 2016 2016 2016 2016 2015 2015 2015 2015 2014 2014 2014 2014 2013 2013 2013 2013 2012 2012 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2011 2010 2010 2010 2010 0% 25% 50% -30% 0% 30% 0% 35% 70% -20% -10% 0% Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2017 Q3 Report
12 EMPLOYER SURVEY SUMMARY Q3 2017 Employers reported career and classified websites was the most successful recruitment method in the 12 months prior to their survey. Most Successful Recruitment Methods Career and classified websites 31% Word of mouth/employees referrals 23% Company website/internal postings 7% Employment agencies 5% Social media 3% Walk-ins/unsolicited resumes 3% Newspapers 2% Rehires 1% Industry associations 1% Other 1% Signage 1% Unsure 1% None 1% Did not hire in past 12 months 17% Employers reported that providing a job in this economy was the most successful employee retention strategy in the 12 months prior to their survey. Most Successful Employee Retention Strategies Provide a job in this economy 17% Competitive salary 14% Positive work environment 12% Excellent management/supervision 8% Company culture 6% Flexible work measures 5% Interesting/challenging work 5% Competitive benefits package 4% Learning/growth opportunities 4% Cash bonuses 2% Excellent coworkers 2% Perks 2% Other 6% Unsure 4% Don’t have/need strategy 5% Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2017 Q3 Report
13 EMPLOYER SURVEY SUMMARY Q3 2017 Overall, almost two-fifths of the employers reported they have implemented or adopted technological changes in the past two years. Yes No Unsure Implemented technological changes in past two years Overall Fin. Insur. Real Est. & Leasing Health Care & Social Assistance Construction Accomm. & Food/Arts & Ent. Manufacturing Transportation & Warehousing Other Professional Scientific & Tech. Wholesale & Retail Trade Mining & Oil & Gas 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Overall, over one-quarter of employers have a plan to implement or adopt technological changes in the next two years. Yes No Unsure Plan to implement technological changes in the next two years Overall Fin. Insur. Real Est. & Leasing Accomm. & Food/Arts & Ent. Health Care & Social Assistance Manufacturing Other Construction Wholesale & Retail Trade Transportation & Warehousing Professional Scientific & Tech. Mining & Oil & Gas 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2017 Q3 Report
14 EMPLOYER SURVEY Q3 2017 Survey Results: Small-sized employers with 10 - 49 employees Employer Survey - Q3 2017 Results The purpose of the quarterly survey is to gather information from Calgary and area employers on their recruitment and retention practices and various other employment issues they are facing. Over the course of the year, employers will be divided into four categories based on the number of employees in the company and results of the survey will be reported on as follows: ✓ Q1 2017: Large-sized companies with 100+ employees ✓ Q2 2017: Medium-sized companies with 50 – 99 employees ✓ Q3 2017: Small-sized companies with 10 – 49 employees ✓ Q4 2017: Micro-sized companies with
15 EMPLOYER SURVEY Business Activity On balance, 5 per cent of the employers said their company downsized in the last 12 months. Has$your$company$expanded$or$downsized$ Twenty-three per cent of the employers $in$the$last$12$months?$ surveyed in Q3 2017 reported their company expanded in the 12 months prior to their survey Expanded% Downsized% Balance% 30%% and 28 per cent said their company downsized, 20%% resulting in a negative balance of 5 per cent.14 10%% !5%% In Q3 2016, 14 per cent of the employers 0%% reported they expanded and 37 per cent said !10%% !23%% !20%% they downsized, for a negative balance of 23 !30%% per cent. !40%% Q3%2016% Q3%2017% On balance, 28 per cent of the finance, insurance, real estate and leasing employers and 25 per cent of the ‘other’ employers said they expanded in the past year - the only industries to record positive results. In contrast, 25 per cent of the accommodation and food services/arts and entertainment employers and 20 per cent of the construction employers reported they downsized. Past Business Activity Percentage of companies that expanded or downsized in the 12 months prior to their survey Q3 2016 Q3 2017 Expanded Downsized Balance Expanded Downsized Balance Overall Results 14% 37% -23% 23% 28% -5% Results by Industry Mining & Oil & Gas 10% 57% -48% 15% 30% -15% Construction 10% 70% -60% 20% 40% -20% Manufacturing 10% 50% -40% 30% 35% -5% Wholesale & Retail Trade 5% 65% -60% 25% 40% -15% Transportation & Warehousing 10% 30% -20% 15% 25% -10% Professional, Scientific & Technical Services 20% 45% -25% 25% 35% -10% Health Care & Social Assistance 25% 10% 15% 15% 25% -10% Accommodation & Food Services/Arts & Entertainment 15% 10% 5% 10% 35% -25% Finance, Insurance, Real Estate & Leasing 25% 15% 10% 38% 10% 28% Other 15% 20% -5% 35% 10% 25% Comments ‣ “Our revenue has declined because our rates have been reduced in order to get customers. ” - Accommodation & Food Services/Arts & Entertainment ‣ “We have downsized a little bit.” - Construction ‣ “We have really downsized because of the economy.” - Construction ‣ “We stayed about the same.” - Finance, Insurance, Real Estate & Leasing 14Percentage of employers reporting a business expansion minus percentage of employers reporting a business downsize. Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2017 Q3 Report
16 EMPLOYER SURVEY ‣ “We have downsized in the Calgary office.” - Finance, Insurance, Real Estate & Leasing ‣ “We have downsized a lot.” - Health Care & Social Assistance ‣ “We have expanded both in terms of people and space.” - Health Care & Social Assistance ‣ “In June we were bought out by a larger parent company.” - Manufacturing ‣ “We have stayed static.” - Manufacturing ‣ “We have downsized by about 50%.” - Mining & Oil & Gas ‣ “We are about even compared to last year.” - Mining & Oil & Gas ‣ “We opened a sister location.” - Other ‣ “We have really shrunk.” - Professional, Scientific & Technical Services ‣ “We have had some acquisitions, so there's been expansion.” - Professional, Scientific & Technical Services ‣ “We have expanded slightly.” - Transportation & Warehousing ‣ “We are in the process of downsizing.” - Wholesale & Retail Trade ‣ “We took over the Canmore location. We used existing staff and added a few new employees as well.” - Wholesale & Retail Trade On balance, 12 per cent of the employers anticipate a business expansion in the next 12 months. Do#you#an(cipate#a#business#expansion#or# Employers are more optimistic about the next downsize#in#the#next#12#months?# 12 months than they were in Q3 2016. Twenty- Expansion$ Downsize$ Balance$ two per cent of the employers anticipate their 25%$ company will expand in the 12 months 20%$ 12%$ 15%$ following their survey and 10 per cent 10%$ anticipate their company will downsize, for a 5%$ 0%$ !6%$ positive balance of 12 per cent.15 In Q3 2016, !5%$ 13 per cent anticipated an expansion and 19 !10%$ !15%$ per cent anticipated a downsize, for a balance !20%$ of 6 per cent of the employers anticipating a Q3$2016$ Q3$2017$ downsize. With the exception of construction and manufacturing, all the industries anticipate a business expansion in the next year, on balance. Thirty per cent of the professional, scientific and technical services employers and about a quarter of the finance, insurance, real estate and leasing and ‘other’ employers anticipate a business expansion in the next 12 months. In contrast, 5 per cent of the 15Percentage of employers anticipating a business expansion minus percentage of employers anticipating a business downsize. Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2017 Q3 Report
17 EMPLOYER SURVEY construction and manufacturing employers on balance anticipate a business downsize in the next year. Employers in the mining and oil and gas industry appear to be more positive about future business activity, with 15 per cent on balance anticipating a business expansion in the next year, compared to one-third anticipating a business downsize when surveyed in Q3 2016. Future Business Activity Percentage of companies that anticipate an expansion or downsize in the 12 months following their survey Q3 2016 Q3 2017 Expansion Downsize Balance Expansion Downsize Balance Overall Results 13% 19% -6% 22% 10% 12% Results by Industry Mining & Oil & Gas 0% 33% -33% 20% 5% 15% Construction 0% 25% -25% 15% 20% -5% Manufacturing 15% 20% -5% 15% 20% -5% Wholesale & Retail Trade 10% 50% -40% 15% 10% 5% Transportation & Warehousing 15% 20% -5% 35% 15% 20% Professional, Scientific & Technical Services 30% 20% 10% 30% 0% 30% Health Care & Social Assistance 20% 0% 20% 20% 15% 5% Accommodation & Food Services/Arts & Entertainment 5% 15% -10% 10% 5% 5% Finance, Insurance, Real Estate & Leasing 25% 5% 20% 29% 5% 24% Other 15% 5% 10% 30% 5% 25% Comments ‣ “I expect things to remain stable.” - Accommodation & Food Services/Arts & Entertainment ‣ “That depends on the economy. When the economy in Alberta is bad, then people don't want to spend money.” - Accommodation & Food Services/Arts & Entertainment ‣ “That depends on the market, but at this point I anticipate we will stay the same.” - Construction ‣ “We will stay even.” - Finance, Insurance, Real Estate & Leasing ‣ “There will be a slight increase.” - Finance, Insurance, Real Estate & Leasing ‣ “I really don't see things getting better in the near future.” - Health Care & Social Assistance ‣ “It's possible there will be an expansion.” - Health Care & Social Assistance ‣ “We are getting busier and busier, so there will be expansion.” - Manufacturing ‣ “We will be closing down this current facility in September or October of this year.” - Manufacturing ‣ “We don't know because that all depends on the price of oil.” - Manufacturing ‣ “I think things will be status quo.” - Mining & Oil & Gas ‣ “We will probably expand slightly.” - Mining & Oil & Gas ‣ “There will be a minimal expansion.” - Other ‣ “We may be offering a new program now, so we might be asked to offer extra classes.” - Other ‣ “I expect things to remain status quo.” - Professional, Scientific & Technical Services Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2017 Q3 Report
18 EMPLOYER SURVEY ‣ “There will be a bit of expansion.” - Transportation & Warehousing ‣ “Things will probably remain status quo, unless a lot of people quit. We haven't been replacing positions as they become vacant.” - Wholesale & Retail Trade ‣ “We are not replacing people as they leave, so I expect some downsizing.” - Wholesale & Retail Trade ‣ “There may be a little bit more of an expansion.” - Wholesale & Retail Trade ‣ “We are picking up right now.” - Wholesale & Retail Trade Employment: Past Layoffs, Vacant Positions and Future Employment Thirteen per cent of the employers laid off workers in the three months prior to their survey. Thirteen per cent of the employers reported Percentage)of)companies)that)laid)off) they laid off workers in the three months prior employees)in)the)three)months)prior)to)survey) Q3#2017# Q3#2016# to their survey (for reasons other than Overall# 13%# seasonality). This is a significant improvement ConstrucGon# 40%# compared to the Q3 2016 results, when 25 per Wholesale#&#Retail#Trade# 20%# Manufacturing# 15%# cent of the employers said they laid off Professional,#ScienGfic#&#Tech.# 15%# Health#Care#&#Social#Assistance# 15%# workers. Forty per cent of the construction TransportaGon#&#Warehousing# 10%# employers and 20 per cent of the wholesale Fin.,#Insur.,#Real#Est.#&#Leasing# 10%# Other# 5%# and retail trade employers reported they laid Mining#&#Oil#&#Gas# 5%# Accom.#&#Food/Arts#&#Ent.# 0%# off workers, compared to none of the 0%# 5%# 10%# 15%# 20%# 25%# 30%# 35%# 40%# 45%# accommodation and food services/arts and entertainment employers. The most dramatic improvement this year was among manufacturing employers, with 15 per cent reporting they laid off employees, compared to 40 per cent in Q3 2016. The percentage of employers reporting they laid off workers increased year-over-year among health care and social assistance employers. Overall, employers reported about 90 people were laid off, representing a layoff rate of 1.8 per cent. This is a significant improvement compared to the Q3 2016 results when employers reported 236 people were laid off, representing a layoff rate of 5.0 per cent. The construction (9.7 per cent), wholesale and retail trade (1.9 per cent) and manufacturing (1.6 per cent) industries had the highest layoff rates in Q3 2017, while accommodation and food services/arts and entertainment employers reported no layoffs. Additional details on layoffs can be found in Appendix B. Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2017 Q3 Report
19 EMPLOYER SURVEY Number of Layoffs and Layoff Rates (in the three months prior to survey) Q3 2016 Q3 2017 Total Layoff Total Layoff Industry Layoffs Rate Layoffs Rate Construction 17 3.7% 56 9.7% Wholesale & Retail Trade 21 5.1% 8 1.9% Manufacturing 18 4.0% 7 1.6% Health Care & Social Assistance 1 0.2% 7 1.4% Professional, Scientific & Technical Services 19 4.2% 5 1.0% Transportation & Warehousing 15 2.6% 3 0.6% Finance, Insurance, Real Estate & Leasing 5 1.1% 2 0.4% Other 5 1.2% 1 0.2% Mining & Oil & Gas 129 26.7% 1 0.2% Accommodation & Food Services/Arts & Entertainment 6 1.1% 0 0.0% Total 236 5.0% 90 1.8% Layoff rate is the number of layoffs as a percent of total employment. Comments ‣ “What we tend to do is to reduce hours rather than laying people off. Some people have quit in response to reduction in hours.” - Accommodation & Food Services/Arts & Entertainment ‣ “We laid off 2 consultants.” - Construction ‣ “We laid off about 8 concrete finishers.” - Construction ‣ “There have been about 30 heavy equipment operators laid off.” - Construction ‣ “We let one financial advisor go.” - Finance, Insurance, Real Estate & Leasing ‣ “Yes, we've eliminated a bank teller position.” - Finance, Insurance, Real Estate & Leasing ‣ “Yes, we have laid off about 5 dental assistants.” - Health Care & Social Assistance ‣ “We had to lay off our manager of development.” - Health Care & Social Assistance ‣ “Yes, we laid off 2 labourers.” - Manufacturing ‣ “We laid off one environmental scientist.” - Mining & Oil & Gas ‣ “No, we just reduced hours.” - Mining & Oil & Gas ‣ “We laid off two technologists.” - Professional, Scientific & Technical Services ‣ “We laid off two people in data entry.” - Professional, Scientific & Technical Services ‣ “We laid off a dispatcher.” - Transportation & Warehousing ‣ “Yes, two truck drivers.” - Transportation & Warehousing ‣ “There has been work sharing to avoid layoffs.” - Transportation & Warehousing Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2017 Q3 Report
20 EMPLOYER SURVEY ‣ “We have laid off about 10% of our staff, or about four salespeople.” - Wholesale & Retail Trade ‣ “We laid off one person in the admin department in Canmore. Our accounting is now done at the Red Deer location.” - Wholesale & Retail Trade Forty-one per cent of the employers had 179 vacant positions that needed to be filled. Overall, 41 per cent of the employers reported they had vacant positions that needed to be Percentage)of)companies)with)vacant)posi3ons) filled at the time of their survey, up from 22 per that)needed)to)be)filled)at)3me)of)survey) Q3$2017$ Q3$2016$ cent in Q3 2016. Fifty-seven per cent of the Overall$ 41%$ finance, insurance, real estate and leasing Fin.,$Insur.,$Real$Est.$&$Leasing$ 57%$ Professional,$Scien
21 EMPLOYER SURVEY ‣ “We have started up the hiring process for our peak season, so we are looking for about 5 ice technicians.” - Accommodation & Food Services/Arts & Entertainment ‣ “Hiring is ongoing here, especially for housekeeping.” - Accommodation & Food Services/Arts & Entertainment ‣ “We are looking for 6 people in our operations department.” - Accommodation & Food Services/Arts & Entertainment ‣ “We are always looking for cooks and crew.” - Accommodation & Food Services/Arts & Entertainment ‣ “We're looking for about 3 electricians.” - Construction ‣ “We are always hiring journeymen electricians.” - Construction ‣ “We are looking for a social media organizer and an administrative professional.” - Finance, Insurance, Real Estate & Leasing ‣ “We need 3 more property managers.” - Finance, Insurance, Real Estate & Leasing ‣ “We are looking for a deaf senior companion.” - Health Care & Social Assistance ‣ “We have one position open in dental administration.” - Health Care & Social Assistance ‣ “We need a research consultant.” - Health Care & Social Assistance ‣ “There are two positions open, for a community disability services worker and a residential services worker.” - Health Care & Social Assistance ‣ “We are always looking for casual addictions support workers.” - Health Care & Social Assistance ‣ “We are always looking for qualified awning installers.” - Manufacturing ‣ “We have 3 positions in woodwork manufacturing open right now.” - Manufacturing ‣ “We need two ranging specialists for our directional drilling operations.” - Mining & Oil & Gas ‣ “We need two early childhood educators.” - Other ‣ “We need 3 education assistants.” - Other ‣ “We need a new director.” - Other ‣ “We're always looking for architects and architectural technologists.” - Professional, Scientific & Technical Services ‣ “We are searching for 3 legal assistants in family law.” - Professional, Scientific & Technical Services ‣ “We're a tax law firm so we're always looking for lawyers, but we have no specific positions available.” - Professional, Scientific & Technical Services Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2017 Q3 Report
22 EMPLOYER SURVEY ‣ “We are looking for someone in our data analytics department.” - Professional, Scientific & Technical Services ‣ “We could use 3 more drivers.” - Transportation & Warehousing ‣ “We are looking for 3 or 4 more client services representatives.” - Transportation & Warehousing ‣ “We could use 4 to 6 more tow truck drivers.” - Transportation & Warehousing ‣ “We have two positions open in aircraft maintenance.” - Transportation & Warehousing ‣ “We could use 2 more gas attendants.” - Wholesale & Retail Trade On balance, 1 per cent of the employers anticipate employment in their company will increase over the next three months. Do#you#an(cipate#employment#will#increase,## Once any current vacant positions are filled, 8 decrease#or#stay#the#same#in#the#next#3#months?# per cent of the employers anticipate Increase$ Decrease$ Balance$ employment in their company will increase 10%$ over the next three months, 7 per cent 5%$ 1%$ anticipate employment will decrease, and 85 0%$ !3%$ per cent anticipate employment will stay about the same, for a positive balance of 1 per cent. 16 !5%$ In Q3 2016, 3 per cent of the employers on !10%$ balance anticipated employment would !15%$ decrease. Q3$2016$ Q3$2017$ Transportation and warehousing and finance, insurance, real estate and leasing employers are the most positive about future employment levels, with 10 per cent on balance anticipating employment will increase in the three months following their survey. In contrast, 10 per cent of the construction employers on balance anticipate employment will decrease. 16Percentage of employers that anticipate employment in their company will increase in the next three months minus the percentage of employers that anticipate employment will decrease. Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2017 Q3 Report
23 EMPLOYER SURVEY Future Employment Percentage of companies that anticipated an increase or decrease in total employment in the 3 months following their survey Q3 2016 Q3 2017 Increase Decrease Balance Increase Decrease Balance Overall Results 9% 12% -3% 8% 7% 1% Results by Industry Mining & Oil & Gas 5% 10% -5% 5% 5% 0% Construction 10% 20% -10% 10% 20% -10% Manufacturing 10% 5% 5% 5% 10% -5% Wholesale & Retail Trade 10% 35% -25% 5% 10% -5% Transportation & Warehousing 15% 0% 15% 10% 0% 10% Professional, Scientific & Technical Services 25% 15% 10% 10% 5% 5% Health Care & Social Assistance 5% 0% 5% 10% 5% 5% Accommodation & Food Services/Arts & Entertainment 5% 30% -25% 10% 15% -5% Finance, Insurance, Real Estate & Leasing 10% 5% 5% 10% 0% 10% Other 0% 0% 0% 5% 0% 5% Overall, in the three months following their survey, employers anticipate employment will increase by 62 and decrease by 77, for a net employment decrease of 15 people. Transportation and warehousing employers anticipate a net employment increase of 15 people, while construction employers anticipate a net employment decrease of 38 people. Additional details on anticipated changes in employment can be found in Appendix B. Anticipated change in employment over the following three months Q3 2016 Q3 2017 Increase Decrease Increase Decrease Industry Net # Net # # # # # Transportation & Warehousing 9 0 9 15 0 15 Accommodation & Food Services/Arts & Entertainment 13 65 -52 20 15 5 Other 0 0 0 5 0 5 Health Care & Social Assistance 1 0 1 3 1 2 Professional, Scientific & Technical Services 11 27 -16 3 1 2 Finance, Insurance, Real Estate & Leasing 3 2 1 2 0 2 Mining & Oil & Gas 3 7 -4 1 2 -1 Manufacturing 7 3 4 1 3 -2 Wholesale & Retail Trade 13 16 -3 1 6 -5 Construction 5 13 -8 11 49 -38 Total 65 133 -68 62 77 -15 Comments ‣ “Total employment will decrease by about a dozen people. We will be approaching our end of season and the university students we employ will go back to school in September.” - Accommodation & Food Services/Arts & Entertainment ‣ “We will be hiring an additional 15 people in food and beverage positions.” - Accommodation & Food Services/Arts & Entertainment ‣ “I hope to increase so I can staff the restaurant properly.” - Accommodation & Food Services/Arts & Entertainment Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2017 Q3 Report
24 EMPLOYER SURVEY ‣ “I will be laying off four carpenters by November 1.” - Construction ‣ “We will let about five contractors go due to seasonality.” - Construction ‣ “Hopefully we will increase by at least 10 concrete finishers.” - Construction ‣ “In the next little while we will be letting six to ten people go.” - Construction ‣ “We will layoff another 30 heavy equipment operators.” - Construction ‣ “Total employment will remain the same for the next three months, but maybe in the last quarter of the year we might make a decision to downsize.” - Finance, Insurance, Real Estate & Leasing ‣ “I expect it will probably continue to decrease.” - Health Care & Social Assistance ‣ “We're just writing the ads now for two positions.” - Health Care & Social Assistance ‣ “We are not filling a vacant position due to the economic conditions right now.” - Health Care & Social Assistance ‣ “We will decrease by two employees.” - Manufacturing ‣ “To the best of my knowledge, it will decrease. We will lose at least one lab technician.” - Manufacturing ‣ “We're possibly looking at hiring one more salesperson.” - Manufacturing ‣ “We will probably let two accountants go.” - Mining & Oil & Gas ‣ “We are maxed out in terms of staffing and we are just holding in there.” - Mining & Oil & Gas ‣ “We will be adding five more preschool teachers by September.” - Other ‣ “We going into our busy season, so I expect we will increase by another ten drivers.” - Transportation & Warehousing ‣ “We will increase by three to five people.” - Transportation & Warehousing ‣ “No, we will not increase until after Christmas at least.” - Transportation & Warehousing ‣ “I will be letting three people go in the next three months.” - Wholesale & Retail Trade Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2017 Q3 Report
25 EMPLOYER SURVEY Recruitment Methods Career and classified websites was the most successful recruitment method over the last 12 months. Most%successful%recruitment%method%over%the% Organizations use a variety of methods to last%12%months% recruit workers. Employers were asked to Career$and$classified$websites$ 31%$ specify the recruitment method that was the Word$of$mouth/employee$referrals$ Company$website/internal$pos?ngs$ 7%$ 23%$ most successful over the last 12 months. Career Employment$agencies$ 5%$ Social$media$ 3%$ and classified websites was the most WalkEins/unsolicited$resumes$ 3%$ Newspapers$ 2%$ successful, reported by 31 per cent of the Rehires$ 1%$ Industry$associa?ons$ 1%$ employers (28 employers specified Indeed, 14 Other$ 1%$ Signage$ 1%$ specified Kijiji, 3 specified Job Bank and 1 Unsure$ 1%$ None$ 1%$ employer each specified Job Shop, Reach Hire Did$not$hire$in$the$last$12$months$ 17%$ and Workopolis). Word of mouth/employee 0%$ 5%$ 10%$ 15%$ 20%$ 25%$ 30%$ 35%$ referrals was the second most successful recruitment method, reported by 23 per cent of the employers, followed by website/internal postings (7 per cent) and employment agencies (5 per cent). Only 3 per cent of employers said social media (Facebook, LinkedIn, Twitter) was the most successful recruitment method. The most successful recruitment methods varied by industry. Career/classified websites was the most successful recruitment method in the manufacturing, wholesale and retail trade, transportation and warehousing, professional, scientific and technical services, health care and social assistance and accommodation and food services/arts and entertainment industries, while word of mouth/employee referrals was the most successful recruitment method in the mining and oil and gas, finance, insurance, real estate and leasing and ‘other’ industries. For construction employers, career/classified websites and word of mouth/employee referrals tied as the most successful recruitment methods. Mining%&%Oil%&%Gas%/%Most%successful% Construc-on%.%Most%successful%recruitment% recruitment%method%over%the%last%12%months% method%over%the%last%12%months% Word$of$mouth/employee$referrals$ 35%$ Word$of$mouth/employee$referrals$ 35%$ Career$and$classified$websites$ 15%$ Career$and$classified$websites$ 35%$ Social$media$ 10%$ Company$website/internal$posBngs$ 10%$ None$ 10%$ Walk9ins/unsolicited$resumes$ 5%$ Employment$agencies$ 5%$ Company$website/internal$pos
26 EMPLOYER SURVEY Manufacturing%/%Most%successful%recruitment% Whole/Retail%Trade%3%Most%successful% method%over%the%last%12%months% recruitment%method%over%the%last%12%months% Career$and$classified$websites$ 35%$ Career$and$classified$websites$ 50%$ Word$of$mouth/employee$referrals$ 15%$ Word$of$mouth/employee$referrals$ 15%$ WalkDins/unsolicited$resumes$ 10%$ Signage$ 5%$ Social$media$ 5%$ Newspapers$ 5%$ High$schools$(RAP$program)$ 5%$ Employment$agencies$ 5%$ Company$website/internal$pos
27 EMPLOYER SURVEY Fin,%Ins,%Real%Est%&%Leasing%4%Most%successful% Other%+%Most%successful%recruitment%method% recruitment%method%over%the%last%12%months%% over%the%last%12%months% Word$of$mouth/employee$referrals$ 19%$ Word$of$mouth/employee$referrals$ 45%$ Employment$agencies$ 14%$ Company$website/internal$posDngs$ 15%$ Company$website/internal$posBngs$ 14%$ Career$and$classified$websites$ 15%$ Social$media$ 10%$ Unsure$ 5%$ Career$and$classified$websites$ 10%$ Job$fairs$ 5%$ Unsure$ 5%$ Employment$agencies$ 5%$ Did$not$hire$in$the$last$12$months$ 29%$ Did$not$hire$in$the$last$12$months$ 10%$ 0%$ 10%$ 20%$ 30%$ 40%$ 50%$ 0%$ 10%$ 20%$ 30%$ 40%$ 50%$ n=21% n=20% Comments ‣ “We work more so with word of mouth based hires. We employ a lot of young university students or high school students that come in on a part time basis and are recommended by people we know.” - Accommodation & Food Services/Arts & Entertainment ‣ “I would say that the most successful strategy is probably hiring and advertising locally. We are focused on bringing people on who are already in Cochrane.” - Accommodation & Food Services/ Arts & Entertainment ‣ “Posting on our website is all we really need to do. I guess that is a sign of the times and of the economic conditions.” - Construction ‣ “We are just calling back our old employees.” - Construction ‣ “We use local newsprint advertising.” - Health Care & Social Assistance ‣ “We recruit through the Calgary Chamber of Volunteer Organizations, ReachHire and Charity Village.” - Health Care & Social Assistance ‣ “We have resumes on file that people have just dropped off. We just go through them. We don't do any advertising or anything like that.” - Health Care & Social Assistance ‣ “We use ReachHire, Indeed and the Alberta College of Social Workers.” - Health Care & Social Assistance ‣ “The most successful recruitment resources are the RAP program for high school students and youth employment through the Calgary Construction Association.” - Manufacturing ‣ “We usually hire people with prior work association with current staff.” - Mining & Oil & Gas ‣ “We don't really use recruitment methods. We have just been promoting from within.” - Mining & Oil & Gas ‣ “The market is saturated with candidates, so it's not really been difficult at all. We have just been hiring through word of mouth.” - Mining & Oil & Gas Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2017 Q3 Report
28 EMPLOYER SURVEY ‣ “[We use] Indeed because it's cheap and I've been very impressed by the results from it.” - Other ‣ “We use social media, so Facebook, LinkedIn, Twitter.” - Professional, Scientific & Technical Services ‣ “The most successful has been advertising on the Calgary Herald. That then goes out to Workopolis and Monster.” - Professional, Scientific & Technical Services ‣ “I find face to face talking with people is the best way to determine if they're a good fit. We have people calling us on the phone and saying they're looking for a job. We will ask them to come in and see us for anything we might have available.” - Transportation & Warehousing ‣ “We've been advertising through Indeed and Alberta Jobs. However, Canmore is a different story because it's located in the mountains and it's a smaller town. People who live there dropped off resumes to us and we kept them on file. When a position opens up we interviewed them from that pool and we tried to stay in the community when we could.” - Wholesale & Retail Trade ‣ “I would say hiring is done through the posters in our store.” - Wholesale & Retail Trade Recruiting Difficulties Twenty-nine per cent of the employers reported having difficulty recruiting qualified employees. Overall, 29 per cent of the employers said they Percentage)of)companies)that)had)difficulty) had difficulty recruiting qualified employees in recrui6ng)in)the)12)months)prior)to)survey) Q3#2017# Q3#2016# the 12 months prior to their survey, up from 17 Overall# 29%# per cent in Q3 2016. Half of the Accom.#&#Food/Arts#&#Ent.# 50%# Transporta=on#&#Warehousing# 45%# accommodation and food services/arts and Wholesale#&#Retail#Trade# 40%# entertainment employers and 45 per cent of the Other# 35%# Construc=on# 30%# transportation and warehousing employers had Fin.,#Insur.,#Real#Est.#&#Leasing# 29%# Manufacturing# 25%# difficulty recruiting qualified employees, Health#Care#&#Social#Assistance# 20%# Professional,#Scien=fic#&#Tech.# 15%# compared to only 5 per cent of the mining and Mining#&#Oil#&#Gas# 5%# oil and gas employers. 0%# 10%# 20%# 30%# 40%# 50%# 60%# The 59 employers that reported having difficulty recruiting were also asked to specify the occupations that were the most difficult to fill. The top two reported occupations were facility operation and maintenance managers (8 per cent) and truck drivers (7 per cent). Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2017 Q3 Report
29 EMPLOYER SURVEY What occupations have been the most difficult to fill? Employers NOC Code Occupation % 714 Facility operation and maintenance managers 8% 7511 Truck drivers 7% 1241 Secretaries (except legal and medical) 5% 1521 Shippers and receivers 5% 6231 Insurance agents and brokers 5% 6421 Retail salespersons 5% 6731 Light duty cleaners 5% 121 Insurance, real estate and financial brokerage managers 3% 311 Managers in health care 3% 4214 Early childhood educators and assistants 3% 6221 Technical sales specialists - wholesale trade 3% 6711 Food counter attendants, kitchen helpers and related occupations 3% Note: 59 employers reported having difficulty recruiting qualified employees. Some employers did not specify which occupations. Only occupations with 3% or more shown in the table. Comments ‣ “They're all difficult to fill in this town. Canmore is a very expensive place to live in. With wages at $14-16/hour, you can't find local employees. You can find staff from Montreal or Edmonton or somewhere else, but if you don't have staff accommodations to offer them then you're hooped.” - Accommodation & Food Services/Arts & Entertainment ‣ “The most difficult positions to recruit for are opening cooks, supervisors, and junior managers.” - Accommodation & Food Services/Arts & Entertainment ‣ “It's hard to find night auditors.” - Accommodation & Food Services/Arts & Entertainment ‣ “It's difficult to recruit for the late night positions.” - Accommodation & Food Services/Arts & Entertainment ‣ “Finding qualified carpenters can be difficult.” - Construction ‣ “It can be hard to find plumbing and heating service technicians.” - Construction ‣ “Our operations positions are difficult to fill.” - Construction ‣ “When we put an ad out we find we're getting applications from people with no qualifications or they're over-qualified.” - Finance, Insurance, Real Estate & Leasing ‣ “Yes, for our sales manager position.” - Finance, Insurance, Real Estate & Leasing ‣ “Certain roles, mainly in commercial lines of the insurance business.” - Finance, Insurance, Real Estate & Leasing ‣ “It can be difficult to fill those senior roles.” - Finance, Insurance, Real Estate & Leasing ‣ “Yes, we have had difficulty with our dental administration roles.” - Health Care & Social Assistance Calgary and Area Labour Market - 2017 Q3 Report
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