100% Electrification: Lower Operating Costs and Early Zero Carbon - Case study
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Case study 100% Electrification: Lower Operating Costs and Early Zero Carbon A business in Aotearoa NZ making it happen
Foreward Climate change has created the absolute necessity of decarbonisation through electrification of the economy in Aotearoa NZ. Leaders in business are actively engaged Working with the electricity distributor in making this happen. This is an analysis and a willing retailer to create a flexibility of one of those businesses. The owners model approach, using the farms DER vision was to achieve full decarbonisation (solar/battery/software smarts) arbitrage through electrification, maximising is utilised and the value of generation is on-site renewable generation and grid acknowledged by reward for supply of supply to electrify all required tools and electricity to the grid for consumers. The technologies, replacing all fossil fuelled potential is significant across industry. services, and incorporating electrical Mike Casey, the owner has not only tools and appliances to operate the achieved the vision, he leads the way orchard farm. through innovation, creating value for the business, his industry and Aotearoa NZ. This is a real-world example of reducing operating costs of a business, achieving decarbonisation and gaining other benefits on the journey. Brendan Winitana Chair SEANZ 15th September, 2021 The focus and outcomes are: 1. The cost savings achieved to electrify the orchard farm business far exceeds the finance and depreciation costs as well as the operational costs. It Case Study Author demonstrates that going 100% electric Craig Evans, CTQ Advisors makes sound economic sense Contributor 2. The benefit and value of distributed Mike Casey, Forest Lodge Orchard Farm energy resources (DER) with the flexibility Reviewers market approach to electricity, to offset Greg Hoskins, Managing Director, capital costs to achieve electrification Hoskins Energy Systems and decarbonisation Terry Paddy, Director, Cortexo, IPAG As an operating model, the principles Cristiano Marantes CEO, Ara Ake applied herein can be adopted to suit Ashley Petterd, Energy Policy Adviser, many other industries in Aotearoa New MBIE (in relation to energy policy and Zealand, especially in the primary regulation) industries. Shay Brazier, Director, Revolve Energy Mark Toner, GM, Public Policy Regulatory Affairs, Vector Pg 1 | Case study: 100% Electrification
The content and intellectual property of Imagery credit: Produced for Crux by this case study document is the property of Kim Bowden, shot and edited by James SEANZ. The contents are not to be copied, Haskard in partnership with Two Bearded duplicated, replicated, used, republished Men using funding from NZ On Air and or stored in any format including digital and hardcopy without the express approval of SEANZ. © SEANZ SEANZ 2021 | Pg 2
Forest Lodge Orchard 100% electrification means lower operating costs and early zero carbon Forest Lodge Orchard is a newly Forest Lodge also invested in solar and established 6-hectare cherry orchard in battery storage to further reduce the Central Otago near Cromwell which aims carbon intensity of the orchard and to to be the first large-scale food producer provide flexibility to manage energy in the country to minimise the carbon costs. emissions from food production by using renewable energy. Electric equipment is more Forest Lodge will be 100% electric for its first commercial harvest in January 2022. expensive to buy…at the moment Electrification means Forest Lodge will Electric equipment for orchard avoid about 113 tonnes CO2-e each year. operations – irrigation, frost fighting, farm equipment etc – cost $150,000 (or 45%) more than the conventional fossil- Electrification means choosing fuelled options. electric equipment, having an Fewer electric options are available. The appropriately sized network two 30kW electric frost fighting fans were imported from South Africa after connection, and using the an extensive global search provided flexibility of solar with battery a shortlist of one manufacturer.1 The electric tractor is coming from storage to manage energy costs California after another extensive global search provided a shortlist of two manufacturers. Forest Lodge is electrifying on-farm energy use wherever possible with electrification of irrigation pumps, But far more cost effective frost fighting, farm equipment and off-farm light vehicles. The still-to-be- to operate… electrified list includes the electric (and autonomous) tractor which is arriving in Electric equipment has lower operating Aotearoa New Zealand from California in costs, because electricity costs less than April 2022. the liquid fuels to deliver the equivalent output. Forest Lodge needed to invest in a larger network connection due to an increase in maximum power required. The purchase of the electric frost fans was supported by a grant from the Energy Efficiency 1. and Conservation Authority. Pg 3 | Case study: 100% Electrification
Forest Lodge will reduce its energy costs by about $56,000 a year (nearly 90%) compared to an equivalent sized fossil- fuelled orchard. Total savings are greater because electric equipment doesn’t need Forest Lodge will reduce refuelling (a time saving) and requires less maintenance, as electric motors its energy costs by about are significantly less complex than their fossil-fuelled counterparts. $56,000 a year (nearly 90%) compared to an equivalent A larger network connection sized fossil-fuelled orchard. Electrifying orchard operations at Forest Lodge required upgrading the network connection to 3-phase and 138kVA, plus internal electrical work to connect power to the frost fans and pumps. The connection and internal electrical work cost about $140,000, but these costs will vary according to the location and requirements. Solar with battery storage reducing overall costs Forest Lodge can use the solar and battery storage to reduce its network The 23.1kW solar array and 60kWh charges by minimising network use battery storage cost $160,000, but when Aurora provides a demand reduces annual operating costs by a reduction signal. further $15,000 compared to a grid-only electrification by providing flexibility to manage energy costs. Network operators will Forest Lodge uses the solar and battery need to signal the value of storage to put a ceiling on average electricity costs due to the flexibility flexibility before electrification to purchase power from the system accelerates when wholesale prices are low (and the electricity probably less carbon intensive) and use self-generated Making solar and battery storage part electricity when wholesale prices are and parcel of electrification will provide high. network operators with more options to keep down the costs of electrification. Because the local distributor, Aurora, charges for network use in part based Electricity distribution and transmission on network capacity used by a customer, network operators, along with the wider Pg 5 | Case study: 100% Electrification
electricity sector, including government and regulators, need to make sure that An off-the-shelf service is as people and businesses electrify, they needed to support mass are encouraged to consider the longer- term benefits from investing in solar electrification and battery storage so that flexibility capability is available to provide a Electrification of Forest Lodge required resilient and reliable network service and considerable effort from the owner Mike defer or avoid network upgrades and Casey to integrate bespoke solutions. higher network charges in the future. There was no off-the-shelf product or service available from the electricity Additional detail on how Forest Lodge sector or equipment manufacturers to uses the network and the current and maximise the value of electrification. potential value to the network operator of the flexibility outcomes from the solar and The lack of off-the-shelf services from battery storage is provided on page 16. the electricity sector means equipment suppliers and installers – particularly solar and battery suppliers – don’t have the guidance or insight needed to design systems that maximise value for the customer. SEANZ 2021 | Pg 6
Electrifying a cherry orchard The orchard has about 9600 cherry Forest Lodge Orchard was trees. The first fossil-fuel free harvest established in June 2019 with in summer 2021/22 is bound for the domestic market. The fossil-fuel free clear determination to minimise 2022/23 harvest will be exported. the carbon emissions from Electrification of Forest Lodge has been food production by using 100% mostly about avoiding use of fossil fuels for on-and-off-farm transport, stationary renewable energy. pumps and motors and residential use.2 Forest Lodge has chosen to electrify everything – irrigation pumps, frost fighting fans, farm vehicles, farm equipment, light vehicles, and the household – all powered from the national electricity system supplemented by a 23.1kW solar array and 90kWh battery storage. 2 The orchard residence was renovated to electrify household cooking, water and space heating. This involved replacing the gas hot water system, gas stove and oven, a gas fire and a diesel furnace for underfloor heating (using about 4000 litres of diesel a year – that’s about 10t CO2-e!). Pg 7 | Case study: 100% Electrification
Electrification will avoid over 100t CO2-e a year Electric Fossil fuel CO2-e option not used avoided a year Electric 9,000L 24,000kg Irrigation diesel Electric 16,000L Frost 43,000kg diesel Fighting 2,000L 5,000kg Electric diesel now now Farm 12,000L diesel 33,000kg from Equipment from March April 2022 2022 Electric 5,000L Source: Forest Lodge Light 13,000kg petrol Orchard and CTQ Vehicles Advisors SEANZ 2021 | Pg 8
Electrification will avoid over 100t CO2-e a year An unexpected benefit Forest Lodge will avoid over 100t CO2-e of electric frost fighting a year compared to an equivalent fossil- fuelled operation by using electricity is reduced crop loss rather than diesel and petrol. and a more productive Electrification means Forest Lodge will operation. emit no more than about 8t CO2-e a year from using power from the national The much lower operating electricity system. costs of the electric Actual emissions will likely be less because Forest Lodge uses its solar and frost fans makes it cost- battery storage to lower its electricity effective to turn the fans costs by drawing on the grid when the spot price is low (when grid power likely on earlier resulting in less has lower emissions) and using the sun fruit being damaged when when the spot price is high. it gets frosty. The 18.5kW electric irrigation pump was the start of the electrification process increasing the upfront cost compared to a diesel alternative. Electrification of Forest Lodge started The electric pump is cheaper to run at with an 18.5kW electric irrigation pump. about $0.90 an hour when supported by At the same time the network the solar and battery storage and about connection was upgraded from single- $2.80 an hour at typical commercial retail phase to three-phase and the nearby electricity prices, compared to about transformer was upgraded to 41kVA. $7.70 an hour for a diesel pump. The upgrade took 18 months from start Forest Lodge is saving about $11,000 a to finish, with most of the time spent year in operating costs by electrifying its on paperwork and approvals, and cost irrigation. $26,000 (split 50:50 with a neighbour). The larger connection and transformer served double duty by supporting Electric frost fighting is lower maximum export from the 23.1kW solar cost and may improve crop array on the orchard shed roof. productivity Electric pumps cost about the same to purchase and install as diesel pumps. The two 30kW electric frost fans were The main difference in cost is electric imported from South Africa after an pumps may need a larger network extensive global search provided a connection and internal electrical works, shortlist of one manufacturer. Pg 9 | Case study: 100% Electrification
The installed cost of $170,000 was Operating costs for the farm equipment nearly 20% more expensive than the will be about $25,000 less than the conventional diesel-powered option, equivalent fossil-fuelled options. The new though some of this was due to it being electric tractor alone will avoid about the first ever installation in Aotearoa. 10,000 litres diesel a year. The electric frost fans required an No differences in operating capability additional upgrade to the transformer at or performance have been observed the network connection from 41kVA to when compared to the conventional farm 138kVA, plus internal electrical works. equipment. Charging of the equipment and vehicles is managed through the The total cost of upsizing the network same system that manages the solar and connection was about $100,000, though battery storage. just over half was for moving from single- phase to three-phase. Many agricultural operations will already have a three- phase connection, potentially reducing Solar and battery storage the cost of upsizing. combined further reduce energy Internal electrical works cost a total of costs and provide option value $40,000. These costs will always be site- specific for the local network operator Forest Lodge is saving about $22,000 a year by electrifying its frost fighting, due to the The 23.1kW solar array and 60kWh electric frost fans being cheaper to operate battery storage were installed to match than equivalent diesel fuelled fans. energy needs of the orchard over a year. The solar array can produce about Electric farm equipment and 90kWh of power a day during the spring and summer and about 20kWh a day in electric vehicles the autumn and winter.3 The orchard can operate off-grid for a As a producing cherry orchard, Forest few hours. Going completely off-grid Lodge needs an array of equipment and was not plausible because relying solely vehicles. on solar and battery storage to power Currently the orchard uses a modified golf the orchard operations would require cart, an electric mower, assorted electric a much greater investment. And most (farm-grade) gardening equipment and importantly, with no grid connection, two electric light vehicles. there would be no opportunity to gain additional value and revenue through The electric equipment and farm vehicles services to the electricity system now cost about 35% more to purchase than and in the future. the equivalent fossil-fuelled options. The solar and battery system investment The electric tractor coming in March 2022 of $160,000, represents about 20% of the will be about $115,000 versus $75,000 total cost of electrifying Forest Lodge. for the conventional diesel-fuelled The solar and battery system investment equivalent. The tractor was sourced from provides two key benefits. Monarch Tractors in California after due diligence on electric tractors. The Forest Lodge solar array generated 28.43MWh in February 2021 and 7.5MWh 3 during July 2021. SEANZ 2021 | Pg 10
Forest Lodge uses the solar The solar array and battery array and battery storage to storage provides Forest Lodge minimise its energy costs with flexibility to ‘modify its generation and consumption They do this by using solar or energy from the battery on-site when spot patterns in reaction to an prices are high and drawing from the external signal (such as a national electricity system when the spot price is low. change in price) to provide Forest Lodge has a stretch goal of a service within the energy timing energy import and export from system’. the grid to produce a net zero energy bill for the year. The Forest Lodge solar array and battery storage is well suited to providing flexibility services and happens to be in a location where Aurora is actively procuring flexibility services in the Upper Clutha and Wanaka area to defer network upgrades. This flexibility service has value to the “When the spot price is local network operator – Aurora - and to the wider power system. under $0.15, we know The solar array and battery storage that power is likely to be allow Forest Lodge to reduce its use of renewable and abundant. the network when Aurora says doing so would help avoid network costs. Likewise, when the spot The benefit for responding to the price goes above $0.40, it’s demand reduction signal from Aurora is a reduction to the demand-based likely that coal and gas are component of the network charges paid being used to supplement by Forest Lodge. supply at that time, and By managing its use of the network at specific times, Aurora has set Forest that there is a shortage of Lodge a chargeable demand of 0.5kVA for the coming year compared to the power available.” ‘standard’ of 35.5kVA for an operation with equivalent electricity use. The “We need to cover a $0.23 ability to reduce the chargeable demand spread to break even on represents a reduction on the network charges paid by Forest Lodge of nearly arbitrage. This takes into $9000 a year. account battery wear and tear, power loss from inverting, and Contact Energy’s cut on our export.” Pg 11 | Case study: 100% Electrification
electricity is supplied by longer network More value is likely to be circuits to small numbers of customers. available in the future from the Having solar and battery storage in place flexibility of the solar array and will help to avoid higher network charges needed to pay for network upgrades as battery storage more economic activity and agricultural production electrifies. Forest Lodge could have electrified From this perspective, investing in without incurring the ‘extra’ capital solar and battery storage as part of the investment in solar and battery storage. electrification process will help to reduce By minimising the energy costs and the cost of electrification by avoiding reducing network costs, the solar with or delaying major network upgrades to battery storage is expected to reduce provide the capacity to support increased annual operating costs by another use of electricity in the future. $15,000 compared with pursuing a Electricity distribution and transmission grid-only electrification. The incremental network operators, along with the wider reduction to ongoing operating costs electricity sector, including government relative to relying on a grid-only power and regulators, need to make sure that supply improves the simple payback by as people and businesses electrify, they one year. are encouraged to consider the longer- Solar and battery storage will provide term benefits from investing in solar longer-term and as-yet realised value to and battery storage so that flexibility network operators as mass electrification capability is available to provide a resilient accelerates by providing flexibility and reliable network service and defer on tap to use to defer or avoid extra or avoid network upgrades and higher network investment needed to cope with network charges in the future. increased pressure on the network from The opportunity of flexibility – both electrification (particularly on the same available and missed – is suggested at in feeder). the response by Forest Lodge to the grid Solar and battery storage could be emergency on 9 August 2021. particularly valuable in rural areas where SEANZ 2021 | Pg 12
On 9 August 2021 the electricity system operator requested distributors to reduce demand due to a shortfall in generation. Power was cut to about 35,000 “We believe it was our civic duty homes. to export, and we could have Forest Lodge was able to exported much more if there export about 14kWh to the had been a protocol in place to local network during the request us to do so. We believe emergency – sufficient to that being available to support supply about 3-4 homes. the grid at the right time and place should be financially rewarded in the same way generators are paid to generate power. DER could become a significant revenue stream for businesses and encourage more companies to install batteries and export capability.” Pg 13 | Case study: 100% Electrification
Energy, now provides a bespoke retail Extra detail on how Forest service where customers buy power from Lodge uses the network the grid at the spot price and sell their power, for example when Forest Lodge Extra detail on how Forest Lodge uses has surplus solar power or chooses to the network and the potential value to discharge its battery. the network operator of the flexibility Finding Simply Energy was not from the solar and battery storage is straightforward, requiring lots of ringing provided on page 16. around to find an electricity retailer able and willing to do what Forest Lodge wanted. An off-the-shelf service is Simply Energy is now working on adding needed to support mass an additional bespoke flexibility trading service. This would allow Forest Lodge electrification to participate in the Aurora Upper Clutha Non-Network Alternative project Electrification of Forest Lodge required which uses the flexibility services from considerable effort from the owner distributed energy resources to defer Mike Casey to package up several network upgrades. bespoke solutions. There was no off- The lack of off-the-shelf services from the-shelf product or service available the electricity sector means equipment from the electricity sector or equipment suppliers and installers – particularly manufacturers to maximise the value of solar and battery suppliers – don’t have electrification. the guidance or insight needed to design Forest Lodge has needed to source systems that maximise value for the equipment, including bespoke fabrication customer. and importing gear, work out how to adapt conventional farming practices, manage energy use and production to maximise value (ie, lower energy costs as much as possible), and find people to work with that could make it all happen. Much of the equipment and technology integration was done in-house by Forest Lodge. The arbitrage between grid and solar power occurs via a self-written Much of the equipment algorithm run using a RasberryPi which decides how much to export based on the and technology spot price at the Cromwell grid export point. integration was done Interactions with the electricity sector in-house by Forest Lodge. started with requesting a network connection which matched the expected The arbitrage between electricity requirements of an electrified orchard. grid and solar power The next step was finding a retailer. occurs via a self-written Simply Energy, a subsidiary of Contact algorithm. SEANZ 2021 | Pg 14
provide each other back-up). Aurora is Extra detail on how Forest observing emerging network congestion Lodge uses the network in the wider Upper Clutha region, mainly due to household space heating. Forest Lodge is connected via circuit The Forest Lodge and Queensbury QB2423 to the Queensbury substation substation active power flows for each and Cromwell grid exit point. half hour between February and July 2021 The Queensbury substation is summer are contrasted in the chart. The chart peaking, along with the Lindis Crossing indicates Forest Lodge makes minimal and Camphill (Hawea) substations, mainly use of the network during June and due to irrigation. Aurora is observing July, and by routinely exporting power localised summer peaking network probably helps to alleviate the winter congestion at the Queensbury and Lindis congestion problem affecting the wider Crossing substations (these substations Upper Clutha area. Forest Lodge Orchard & Queensbury substation profile 1 February 2021 to 31 July 2021 Pg 15 | Case study: 100% Electrification
Additional detail on the electrification numbers Annual Energy Costs Conventional (fossil) Electric (grid) Electric (grid + solar/battery $63,000 $22,000 $7,000 Source: Forest Lodge Orchard & CTQ Advisors. Note: All costs are exclusive of GST. Conventional (fossil) energy costs calculated based on 42,000 litres of diesel and petrol a year and a $1,000 network charge. Electric (grid) costs calculated based on 66,000kWh a year and a $12,500 network charge. Electric (grid + solar/battery) costs calculated based on the same power use and a $4000 network charge. Capital costs Conventional (fossil) Electric (grid) Electric (grid + solar/battery $340,000 $630,000 $790,000 Source: Forest Lodge Orchard & CTQ Advisors. Note: All costs are exclusive of GST. Capital costs of Electric (grid) and Electric (grid + solar/battery) scenarios would reduce by $55,000 if Forest Lodge had started with a 3-phase connection. Annual operating costs and simple payback of capital costs Conventional (fossil) Electric (grid) Electric (grid + solar/battery $63,000 $22,000 $7,000 15 years 14 years Source: Forest Lodge Orchard & CTQ Advisors. Note: All costs are exclusive of GST. Simple payback of the incremental cost of electrification is 7 years for the Electric (grid) scenario and 8 years for the Electric (grid + solar/battery) scenario. 3 price increase variables are excluded in the simple payback calculations as assumes retail power prices remain at current levels (prices will likely increase over coming decade); diesel prices remain at current levels (prices will likely increase); and network charges remain at current levels (charges will likely increase). Payback period will be reduced once increases factored are included. Annual carbon emissions (tonnes CO2-e) Conventional (fossil) Electric (grid) Electric (grid + solar/battery 113 8
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