Your Dentons Europe Private Equity Trends Monitor - Fourth edition: May 2021
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Your Dentons Europe Private Equity Trends Monitor Fourth edition: May 2021 Your Dentons Europe • Private Equity Trends Monitor • 1
Your Dentons Europe Private Equity Trends Monitor The Dentons’ Europe Private Equity team is We have asked our teams to respond delighted to announce the launch of the fourth to the following four questions: edition of our Private Equity Trends Monitor, 1. How has COVID-19 impacted deal flow which provides you with an up-to-date overview in the European private equity sector? of the latest and anticipated trends across the European private equity sector in the wake 2. Do any particular industries seem to of the COVID-19 pandemic. be insulated from the adverse economic effects of the pandemic? Dentons’ Europe PE group continues to closely follow the development of COVID-19 and its impact 3. Are downward economic protection clauses/ on PE deal activity. Our lawyers on the ground in measures (including MAC clauses) becoming each of our core markets regularly monitor and more prevalent in transaction documents? assess the situation and report on trends and 4. Are you seeing any distressed deals so far? developments as the situation continues to evolve. This is the first update of 2021. The team plans two more during the rest of the year.
Country How has COVID-19 impacted deal Do any particular industries seem Are downward economic protection Are you seeing any distressed flow in the European private equity to be insulated from the adverse clauses / measures (including MAC deals so far? sector? economic effects of the pandemic? clauses) becoming more prevalent in transaction documents? Benelux In the Benelux, PE dealflow continues Given the tight housing market in inter alia We note that pre-pandemic PE terms It is said that somewhere in the second to increase and is close to the level prior the Netherlands, online housing advertising are re-emerging, including acquisition quarter of 2021 we might see more to COVID-19, especially deals with a platforms seem very interesting for PE financing. As noted earlier, we also bankruptcies. The number of bankruptcies is value between €5 million – €50 million. funds. After the Spanish real estate platform continue to see a rise in earn-out still not rising, although a recent bankruptcy There have also been a couple of Idealista was acquired by EQT last year, arrangements. Also, we see specific in the Netherlands that is feared to have transactions at the top of the market with various PE funds are now expressing their COVID-19 clauses still being included in serious broader consequences within the a value of over €1 bn (e.g. the sale of UNIT4, interest in acquiring Funda, a Dutch online transaction documentation (e.g. clauses leisure industry is the bankruptcy of Dutch the sale of GE Capital Aviation Services housing advertising platform. preventing parties from backing out tour operator D-Reizen. The same is true for and the acquisition of Philips’ domestic of a deal because of COVID-19 by Belgium, where the expected economic fallout In Belgium, industries that continue to appliances business). explicitly stating that COVID-19 was has not yet occurred due to the continued be attractive targets for private equity considered when entering into the application of government support measures. investment during the pandemic continue transaction documents). to be those engaging in smart living, life On the other hand, positive news around sciences, and industry 4.0. In deals without specific COVID-19 vaccines continue to give corporates and wording, parties appear to continue entrepreneurs hopeful perspectives. With that Sectors that did well during the first and relying on MAC-clauses for the purposes perspective, businesses are slowly speaking second wave continue to do well now, like of mitigating any COVID-19 concerns. with their vendors and banks about their the tech/medtech industry, renewable energy, holiday parks and life sciences. future plans again. Recently, Vivera, a meat replacement market leader, was sold by PE. The deals in the following months will determine whether this will be a trend in the food industry. CEE PE and other deal flow has accelerated in Q1 Technology, FMCG, online and traditional In the mid-market segment, MAC clauses There have been some distressed deals, 2021, particularly in the mid-market segment. food retail and education are among the or other CPs protecting against significant but so far there has been more talk about PE and founder-owned businesses that have sectors attracting the most interest. economic deterioration, and completion distressed deals than actual distressed deals. been resilient during the pandemic are being account adjustments protecting against This may be a result of the legal systems in Also, alternative energy and infrastructure put up for sale. less significant economic deterioration, are CEE, which generally make it difficult for continue to draw significant interest from more prevalent than in pre-pandemic times. lenders to move quickly and effectively in infrastructure funds and asset managers. In the larger, competitive auction processes distressed situations. or transactions involving global PE players, as usual there are fewer downward economic protections. Your Dentons Europe • Private Equity Trends Monitor • 3
Country How has COVID-19 impacted deal Do any particular industries seem Are downward economic protection Are you seeing any distressed flow in the European private equity to be insulated from the adverse clauses / measures (including MAC deals so far? sector? economic effects of the pandemic? clauses) becoming more prevalent in transaction documents? France The French PE market has remained very The sectors we have seen to be less Competitive PE deals are still based on Together with our restructuring team, we see active in Q1 of 2021 and we see many highly affected include infrastructure, renewable locked box mechanisms, no conditional an increasing number of distressed deals and competitive auction processes with high energies, telecoms and life sciences. prices and limited guarantees. Earn-out deals driven by debt renegotiation. We see valuations / Ebitda multiples. The level of Infrastructure funds are increasingly structures are increasingly used in a lot of amicable bankruptcy proceedings dry powder remains high, which should present. Life sciences is very active in transactions involving strategic players and set up to facilitate distressed deals. So far positively affect deal flow in the next few all segments, with increased investments often cover fiscal year 2021 only, which the number of actual bankruptcies has been months. Financial sponsors remain keen on in healthtech. shows the level of uncertainty. limited by French state protective measures investing in sectors seen as resilient, notably and notably bank loans guaranteed by the infrastructure and life sciences, including an French state. increasing interest in the healthtech sector. Germany M&A deal flow (involving by PE funds) The winners of the COVID-19 crisis still While valuations are starting to rise While a number of firms have applied for is picking up again. There is a lot of dry seem to be the most attractive targets for (some PE professionals have already started insolvency protection – some of which powder in the market and many PE funds PE. This includes services, software and complaining about exaggerated prices), were in distress even before the crisis – are currently looking for opportunities. IT, pharma, healthcare and tech/medtech, uncertainties remain as regards future we have seen only few distressed deals However, corporates have also resumed as well as trade and ecommerce. turnover. It is yet not clear how much involving PE (e.g. Cartesian Capital Group their M&A activities, so PE funds are facing On the other end, targets in textiles, energy potential targets will remain affected by acquiring the insolvent Arlington Germany increased competition. and automotive remain somewhat unattractive. the COVID-19 crisis. However, instead of automotive supplier). New PE funds are closing following a period downward protection, the parties to a PE Some managers of PE portfolio companies While IPO activities are on the rise globally of virtual fundraising. Even though Germany transaction rather look at deal security. hope to buy out some of their competitors in (including the use of SPACs), this has only appears to be on the peak of the third This includes excessive use of MAC clauses. the course of 2021. But there is also a certain lightly spurred the equity capital markets COVID-19 wave, the PE industry seems to be The parties’ common ground rather seems fear that the number of insolvencies will in Germany. more and more back at normal, with various to be that risks may be shared by bridging surge in 2021, in particular if suspensions of sources of acquisition finance available. valuation or financing gaps through vendor parts of the Insolvency Act are lifted again. Valuations have increased and there is a loans or continued participation of the stiffer price race in all segments of the PE sellers in the target. industry (from small to large cap). While minority tickets were down in 2020, The PE industry is now less concerned we also see a tendency for joint deals and about COVID-19, but has to deal with minority investments – but it is not yet clear increased compliance work (in addition that this will become a new fashion. to AML, FDI and merger control rules, the funds now have to deal with DAC6 reporting obligations) and a not-so-favorable legislative environment in Germany. This includes discussions on granting VAT relief to PE funds for administrative services provided to their portfolio companies –it seems the legislator plans to grant such relief only to certain types of VC funds, but not to the PE industry. 4 • Your Dentons Europe • Private Equity Trends Monitor
Country How has COVID-19 impacted deal Do any particular industries seem Are downward economic protection Are you seeing any distressed flow in the European private equity to be insulated from the adverse clauses / measures (including MAC deals so far? sector? economic effects of the pandemic? clauses) becoming more prevalent in transaction documents? Italy Private equity activity in Italy is experiencing PE funds are particularly active in the food, Since the pandemic has been going on for So far the number of distressed deals has not growth in the first quarter of 2021, as sport (e.g. sale of Inter football club and more than a year, it is now becoming harder increased to a substantial extent compared some confidence is back in the market acquisition of a minority stake in Serie to qualify it as a MAC event. Rather than to pre-COVID-19 levels, although the general after the challenges posed by COVID-19 A’s media rights) and healthcare sectors. leading to the inclusion of MAC clauses, feeling remains that they are very likely to in 2020. On the one hand, some exit Other industries that seem less affected by the duration of the pandemic is postponing rise in the near future (in particular, for those processes that were put on hold in 2020 the pandemic so far in the Italian market some deals, in sectors whose revenues have players operating in B2C retail sectors and/or are now (re-)starting. On the other hand, are technology, media and telecoms been negatively affected by COVID-19. when certain protective measures adopted however, valuation gaps between sellers’ (TMT), renewable energies/utilities and Vice versa, in sectors which have been by the Italian government, such as the ban of and buyer’s expectations is still an issue in infrastructure assets. positively impacted by the COVID-19 dismissals, will cease to be effective). some cases. In some sectors, consolidation outbreak (e.g. the diagnostic industry), Within the real estate market, new among operators has accelerated amidst battles among operators to acquire well investment opportunities are being targeted the pandemic, thus increasing the number performing targets have led to a sharp in the logistics business as well as in the of transactions. increase in valuations and multiples applied. student housing and education industries. Finally, as China is somewhat ahead compared to Europe and the US in managing the COVID-19 outbreak, we are seeing some new interest from Chinese investors in the Italian market. Spain Activity levels are back to normal with Telecoms and technology have emerged as MAC clauses have not made their way to So far we see distressed deals only in hotels, telecoms and energy & infrastructure the more resilient sectors and investors are transaction documents, although we have restaurants and tourism. leading the charge. doubling-down on those industries. seen one in a recent major deal on the In other sectors, there have been distressed The only difference between Q2 2021 and retail sector. deals for companies that have either been hit the pre-COVID situation is that Real Estate We have also seen a proliferation of price- hard by COVID-19 and gone into insolvency, or seems to be less active as a sector, arguably adjustment mechanisms (e.g. earn-outs), ones that have circumvented the crisis on their due to the implantation of remote working particularly in small deals, that aim to own, with the support of state measures such as a permanent change. protect investors addressing uncertainty as temporary redundancy (ERTE) and soft in terms of valuation of target businesses. loans collateralized with state Bonds (ICO). Turkey Traditional PE deal flow is still low; however, A number of industries continue to be MAC clauses including COVID-19 provisions There are a number of classic liquidation we continue to see strong interest in gaming affected by the pandemic and are granted are decreasing in PE deals and private or restructuring transactions, in particular and mobile app companies. The IPO market certain type protections. Amongst these equity firms are adjusting to the new reality. around the restructuring framework is strong and we see private equity funds are the construction, tourism, agriculture, agreements signed by banks as part of Earn-out and deferred payment structures taking advantage of the strong IPO market automotive, logistics and hospitality a larger regulatory effort. are prevalent in the market. to exit. Strategic investors remain active industries. The healthcare industry is – not but deals go at a slower pace. Despite this, surprisingly – more resilient. Other resilient our team continues to see some activity, businesses include online shopping and with three PE-related IPO deals taking gaming and renewable energy. place within the first four months of 2021 and two deals closing in April in the mobile technology software sector. Your Dentons Europe • Private Equity Trends Monitor • 5
Country How has COVID-19 impacted deal Do any particular industries seem Are downward economic protection Are you seeing any distressed flow in the European private equity to be insulated from the adverse clauses / measures (including MAC deals so far? sector? economic effects of the pandemic? clauses) becoming more prevalent in transaction documents? UK The UK PE sector has started 2021 in As expected, countercyclical or MAC or MAE clauses remain very Other than the administration of Greensill buoyant mood. As the pandemic’s effects acyclical industries have proved more uncommon in private acquisitions in the Capital and restructurings and distressed become less severe, most PE firms are resilient in withstanding the adverse UK. In the limited number of cases where sales of traditional retail businesses, hotels, increasingly optimistic and shifting their economic effects of the pandemic and MACs are included in English law governed shopping centres and aviation businesses, focus from downside protection and portfolio are therefore garnering attention from SPAs, buyers generally struggle to invoke we have not yet seen the significant management to new investment opportunities. private capital. These sectors include them since they often contain carve-outs increase in the number of distressed deals Taking advantage of surprisingly benign technology (including biotech, medtech for macroeconomic, industry-wide and in the UK that was widely expected as the market conditions, they are engaging in and cybersecurity), pharmaceuticals force majeure events. Given the difficulties pandemic’s ill-effects endured. a broad range of transactions, spanning and healthcare, consumer products, in obtaining and enforcing MAC or MAE infrastructure (as long-life PE funds clauses, buyers often prefer to seek specific This is partly explained by unprecedented traditional buyouts, strategic investments in fiscal and monetary support from the UK listed companies, rescue financings, co- target infrastructure-like assets), energy contractual protections against the most (primarily renewable energy, power, material risks affecting the target group government and the Bank of England and investments, add-on acquisitions, non-core the ability of UK listed companies to deploy asset disposals and acquisitions and late-stage cleantech and energy innovation and or business. transition projects), and e-commerce over £26bn of fresh capital (the highest venture and growth equity investments. The UK High Court recently considered amount raised since 2009) to repair their and logistics. With many PE investors expecting a ‘U-shaped’ issues concerning the construction of an MAE depleted balance sheets whilst weathering or ‘V-shaped’ recovery, deal volume and Unsurprisingly, PE firms with investee clause in a sale and purchase agreement in the storm. However, the number of UK value are expected to remain robust in 2021, companies in the real estate, leisure, Travelport Ltd and others v Wex Inc1. company insolvencies increased in March although resilience, versatility and creativity hospitality, travel and retail sectors have for the third month in a row and the recent will remain key to successful deal making. In reaching its decision, the High Court been most affected by the impact of the termination of the CBILS and the BBLS considered that: TMT (particularly software), healthcare pandemic. Many UK businesses will likely are likely to lead to a further uptick in the (including healthtech) and consumer sectors be impacted by the recent termination of i. there is no presumption that an MAC/ coming months. In Q1, we have continued to attracted significant levels of investment in the Coronavirus Business Interruption Loan MAE clause should be narrowly see opportunistic plays and speculative bids 2020. These sectors are expected to remain Scheme (the “CBILS”) and the Bounce Back interpreted and its words should for targets, particularly those considered to popular in 2021 and beyond as technological Loan Scheme (the “BBLS”) in the coming generally be given their natural and be in distress, debt-laden or undervalued. innovation and disruption continues to drive months. Hopefully, the prompt vaccine ordinary meaning; rollout, the extension of the Coronavirus Job In recent months, PE equity investors have deal activity. ii. a buyer is required to discharge the reported seeing an increase in distressed Retention Scheme until 30 September 2021, Two interesting trends to emerge in 2020 burden of proof as to whether a MAC/ investment opportunities in Europe and the gradual reopening of businesses and the and Q1 of 2021 have been the rise of MAE has occurred or been suffered; have indicated greater willingness to UK playing host to the G7 Summit and COP26 European SPAC IPOs as an alternative route pursue them. This may be explained by later this year will help to temper some of the iii. a seller is required to establish whether to public markets for PE and other private the fact that distressed and turnaround economic headwinds. and to what extent a particular change capital investors and the dramatic increase strategies have fallen back into favour in sustainable or impact fundraising and or effect falls within a carve-out in order with LPs. An anticipated wave of corporate investing, including ESG-linked financings. to prevent the buyer from invoking the insolvencies and defaults across Europe, Both trends are expected to intensify as the MAC/MAE clause; and particularly among SMEs, is expected to year unfolds. However, intervention from iv. where the seller establishes that a drive European distressed fundraising to a regulatory authorities in the US and Europe particular change or effect does fall record level in 2021, which should also lead could either boost or stymie the former, whilst within a carve-out, the buyer must prove to increased activity in distressed M&A. new legislation designed to scale sustainable whether and to what extent an exception investment and increasing adoption of to such carve-out is applicable. international sustainability standards are likely to add further impetus to the latter. 1 [2020] EWHC 2670 (Comm). 6 • Your Dentons Europe • Private Equity Trends Monitor
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