Workshop Summary The Critical Role of CCUS: Pathways to Deployment at Scale - February 2021 - Squarespace
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About Introduction Chairman Ernest J. Moniz, Founder & CEO Author Anne Canavati, Project Manager and Contributing Senior Analyst Additional Contributors Victor Cary, Research Fellow Melanie Kenderdine, Managing Principal Alex Kizer, Research Director Emelia Williams, Communications Fellow Layout Design Natalie Volk, Communications Associate Sponsors This workshop was made possible thanks to the support of the Center for Climate and Energy Solutions (C2ES), the Labor Energy Partnership, BP, and the William and Flora Hewlett Foundation. About Energy Futures Initiative The Energy Futures Initiative advances technically-grounded solutions to climate change through evidence-based analysis, thought leadership, and coalition-building. Under the leadership of Ernest J. Moniz, the 13th U.S. Secretary of Energy, EFI conducts rigorous research to accelerate the transition to a low-carbon economy through innovation in technology, policy, and business models. EFI maintains editorial independence from its public and private sponsors. Suggested Citation: Energy Futures Initiative. “Workshop Summary: The Critical Role of CCUS: Pathways to Deployment at Scale.” February 2021. © 2021 Energy Futures Initiative This publication is available as a PDF on the Energy Futures Initiative website under a Creative Commons license that allows copying and distributing the publication, only in its entirety, as long as it is attributed to Energy Futures Initiative and used for noncommercial educational or public policy purposes. energyfuturesinitiative.org WORKSHOP SUMMARY: CCUS | Page 2
Introduction About Introduction On December 3, 2020, the Energy emissions economy-wide by highlighting Futures Initiative (EFI) convened more the importance of power generation or than 80 representatives from industry to certain communities, government, industry, labor, academic, economies, and jobs. The insights from and non-profit organizations to discuss this workshop are summarized in this the current state of carbon capture, use, document. and storage (CCUS)a globally, as well as the opportunities, challenges, and CCUS is Essential for Rapid Deep solutions necessary to see large-scale Decarbonization. There was general CCUS deployment in the coming decade. consensus that CCUS is a necessary component of any global strategy to This virtual workshop, held under achieve net-zero emissions by Chatham House rule, featured opening midcentury to avoid the most remarks by international experts in catastrophic impacts of climate change. energy, decarbonization, and labor. Carbon capture can be implemented on Following the keynote discussion, a numerous emissions sources in the range of experts provided insights into a electricity and industrial sectors, and it variety of technologies, policies, and is one of the only decarbonization business model approaches to enable solutions for a number of sectors, such CCUS in the four main sessions. The as cement and steel. expert presentations and panel discussions focused on the role of CCUS According to the International Energy in clean energy transitions; experiences Agency (IEA), CCUS is currently “in a with CCUS—the critical niche it fills, the stronger position to contribute to opportunities, challenges, and lessons sustainable economic recovery plans learned from existing and planned than after the global financial crisis in projects; key technologies enabled by 2008-09. A decade of experience in CCUS; and a roadmap for deploying developing projects and the recent CCUS in the United States. uptick in activity means that there are a number of advanced ‘shovel-ready’ The workshop concluded with remarks projects with potential to double CCUS that again illuminated the importance of deployment and create thousands of an equitable transition to net-zero jobs worldwide by 2025.”b This is a. This includes discrete discussions of carbon capture and storage (CCS) and carbon capture and utilization (CCU). b. IEA (2020), CCUS in Clean Energy Transitions, IEA, Paris https://www.iea.org/reports/ccus-in-clean-energy- transitions. ENERGY FUTURES INITIATIVE | Page 3
Introduction Figure 1 Incremental Value of CCS to Meeting IEA’s Sustainable Development Scenario Relevant to Its Stated Policies Scenario TECHNOLOGIES NEEDED TO MEET IEA’S 2050 SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT GOALS 40 Stated Policies Scenario 37% Efficiency 30 GtCO2 32 % Renewables 20 8% Fuel Switching 3% Nuclear 9% CCUS 12% Other 10 Sustainable Development Scenario 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 This figure shows the emissions reductions by technology category in the IEA’s Sustainable Development Scenario relative This figuretoshows its Stated Policies the emissions Scenario; reductions by this includes technology a nine category in percent share of CCUS. the IEA’s Sustainable Source: Development International Scenario relative toEnergy its Stated Agency, 2019. this includes a nine percent share of CCUS. Source: International Energy Agency, 2019. Policies Scenario; important as the world looks to both September 2020, flagship report, CCUS rapidly reduce emissions and recover in Clean Energy Transitions, the IEA from the economic devastation of the concluded that “reaching net zero will COVID-19 pandemic. be virtually impossible without CCUS” (see Figure 1). This conclusion and the Finally, CCUS paves the way for growing recognition by scientists, emerging carbon dioxide removal (CDR) policymakers, and governments that a strategies, the widespread deployment net-zero emissions target is necessary of which will likely be essential to limit for holding temperature increases to 1.5 global temperature increases to the 1.5- degrees by mid-century, provided the degree to 2-degree Celsius scenarios motivation for this workshop. projected by international bodies like the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and the IEA. In fact, in its c. IEA (2020), CCUS in Clean Energy Transitions, IEA, Paris https://www.iea.org/reports/ccus-in-clean-energy- transitions. WORKSHOP SUMMARY: CCUS | Page 4
Introduction Figure 2 Global CCS Facilities at Various of Development This figure shows the current state of CCUS projects around the world, showing the increasing interest in the industry as well as the potential for regional hub systems in America, Europe, Arabia, and East Asia. Source: Global CCS Institute, Global Status of CCS, 2020 Challenges for Rapid Deployment of neutral measures such as carbon pricing CCUS. Presently, there are policy, are generally not sufficient. Measures regulatory, investment, and public targeted at specific CCUS applications, acceptance challenges in the U.S. and in including capital grants and operational other countries around the world. IEA support, can help build a business case describes options to address these for investment and drive widespread challenges, including the needs of deployment in the near term.”c individual countries as follows: “There is no one-size-fits-all policy template: the Supportive, consistent, and durable appropriate choice or mix of instruments policies and regulations at national, for each country depends on local regional, and state levels will be market conditions and institutional necessary to ensure that the factors. On their own, technology- environment is protected, and the CO2 is ENERGY FUTURES INITIATIVE | Page 5
Introduction Framing the Issues permanently and securely stored. At the Even with these obstacles and same time, project developers must be considerations, CCUS has been deployed able and willing to navigate the around the world. Figure 2 details the permitting or other policy mechanisms location of existing projects. An essential that make a project financially viable. The component of the EFI workshop was development of strong and predictable highlighting some of these key projects policy and regulatory environments for and hearing the lessons learned from CCUS, especially for geologic storage, specific projects across the range of will also be critical for CDR pathways project types. that require storage, such as direct air capture (DAC), and bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS). WORKSHOP SUMMARY: CCUS | Page 6
Framing Introduction the Issues Framing the Issues The workshop began with an others, underscores the critical acknowledgement that the world is importance of keeping global currently facing three critical challenges: temperature increases to 1.5 degrees. the COVID-19 pandemic, the COVID- Meeting a net-zero target, however, related economic recession, and climate requires support for key policy and change. These challenges could share technology investments. Speakers common solutions and needs. expressed optimism that the U.S. Would join these countries by setting a net- Rebuilding Global Economies, Post- zero emissions target and taking action COVID. As the world navigates its way to meet this goal. out of the pandemic, it could, in the words of President Biden, “build back As more countries set net-zero targets better,” by creating jobs and addressing and strategize how to achieve these goals, the climate challenge at the same time. two main considerations were raised. First, Doing so could also address equitable the world should build new facilities, solutions to the climate crisis, build buildings, industrial sites, and power diverse coalitions needed for rapid plants to be as low emitting as possible. action, establish strong partnerships as Second, legacy infrastructure must be the world rebuilds in the post- considered and accommodated to avoid pandemic era, and encourage stranding investments, other capital- investments in innovation. intensive assets, as well as the workers that support operation and maintenance. CCUS offers an example of a climate mitigation solution that addresses all of This is a global issue but is especially these post-COVID concerns. It has the relevant in parts of Asia, where there are support of a wide range of stakeholders, many power plants—largely coal-fired— and it can create jobs and aid in the that are less than ten years old. These clean energy transition. It offers sizeable young plants prove to be problematic in economic benefits and dramatic the transition to a net-zero world. These emissions reductions in both the power facilities are critical for electrification and sector and in vital industrial sectors that economic development; CCUS provides have few alternatives to decarbonize. an option for ensuring their ongoing contributions to local economies while Meeting Net-Zero Targets Across the dramatically reducing emissions. Figure 3 Globe. The increased focus of national shows megawatts of coal plants under governments on net-zero targets in the construction around the world in 2018. European Union, UK, Japan, Korea, Canada, and New Zealand, among ENERGY FUTURES INITIATIVE | Page 7
Framing the Issues Figure 3 Megawatts of Coal Plants Under Construction in 2018 China had a significant amount of coal-fired power plants under construction in 2018, despite the imperatives to transition to cleaner energy sources. CCUS offers an opportunity for countries with significantly younger coal fleets to continue to utilize those assets, while achieving emissions reductions needed to curb climate change. Source: Global Energy Monitor, Greenpeace India, and the Sierra Club, 2018.d,e Addressing Different National, Regional, Session Four), estimated that California Local Needs. The varying regional needs could meet 15% of its 2030 economy- for CCUS were highlighted as a key wide emissions reduction target with framing issue. In the U.S., many states CCUS in the power and the industrial and cities have decarbonization goals, sectors. In contrast, EFI’s November and there will be different paths to 2020 study, Net-Zero New England: decarbonization for various regions; Ensuring Electric Reliability in a Low- CCUS could play a critical role. For Carbon Future concluded that CCUS is example, EFI’s October 2020 report, An not a viable option because of the lack of Action Plan for Carbon Capture and geologic storage potential and historic Storage in California: Opportunities, challenges with infrastructure siting in Challenges, and Solutions (discussed in the region. Under the Biden-Harris d. Global Energy Monitor, Greenpeace Environmental Trust, & Sierra Club (2019), Boom and Bust 2019: Tracking the Global Coal Plant Pipeline, Global Energy Monitor, Greenpeace Environmental Trust, & Sierra Club, https:// www.greenpeace.org.au/wp/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/BoomAndBust_2019_r6.pdf. e. McCarthy, Niall (2019), Where The Most Coal Power Plants Are Under Construction, Statista, https:// www.statista.com/chart/17517/megawatts-of-coal-power-capacity-under-construction/. WORKSHOP SUMMARY: CCUS | Page 8
Framing the Issues Figure 4 Longship Initiative: Illustration of Carbon Capture from Industrial Facilities/Power Production, Transport by Pipeline/Ship, Geologic CO2 Storage A CCUS value chain that encompasses multiple emissions sources and carbon transport options, ultimately securing emissions in deep geological storage. Source: Norweigan Ministry of Petroleum and Energy, Longship Carbon Capture and Storage, 2019-2020. Administration, it is possible that national Overview of Several Successful CCUS CCUS deployment could be a key climate Projects. The session concluded with a mitigation opportunity; however, it is brief overview of CCUS efforts in Norway critical to closely assess the regional (e.g., the recently launched Longship variations in the applicability of and use initiative, see Figure 4), the UK, Japan, the cases for CCUS. Middle East, and Canada as successful examples of public-private partnerships ENERGY FUTURES INITIATIVE | Page 9
Session One Framing the Issues supporting CCUS. These initial efforts are new administration. As the Biden-Harris important first movers for technologies Administration works to restore U.S. where there will be massive needs in the leadership in clean energy technology near- and long-term. development and deployment, a central focus on jobs and other local issues (e.g., The speakers noted that the U.S. has siting, public participation, and justice) historically been the global leader in will be key to success for developing innovation and clean energy technology CCUS projects at the speed and and expressed an expectation that this frequency needed to meet near-term and leadership role would resume with the midcentury climate goals. WORKSHOP SUMMARY: CCUS | Page 10
Framing Session the Issues One Session One The Role of CCUS in Clean Energy Transitions The first session of the workshop was a 2. Providing a platform for low-carbon presentation on the IEA’s September hydrogen production. Heavy 2020 flagship report, The Role of CCUS industries account for almost 20% of in Clean Energy Transitions. The report global CO2 emissions today. CCUS is is part of the IEA’s Energy Technology the only demonstrated technology Perspectives series, which took a solution for deep emissions technology-neutral approach to reductions from cement production. illuminate the opportunities and It is also the most cost-effective challenges for meeting international approach in many regions to curb energy and climate goals. The study emissions in iron, steel, and found that currently, the world’s 20 chemicals manufacturing. Captured existing largescale CCUS projects, while CO2 is a critical part of the supply important, are seriously insufficient for chain for synthetic fuels from CO2 meeting a two-degree target by 2050. and hydrogen – one of a limited New net-zero targets, a broader number of low-carbon options for experience base, and stronger long-distance transport, particularly investment incentives are, however, aviation. building momentum for CCUS. 3. Providing a solution for the most Strategic Roles for CCUS. As noted challenging emissions. CCUS can earlier, the IEA study concluded that support a rapid scaling up of low- “reaching net zero will be virtually carbon hydrogen production to meet impossible without CCUS.” It identified current and future demand from new four strategic roles for CCUS applications in transport, industry, (summarized in Figure 5): and buildings. 1. Dramatically reducing emissions 4. Removing carbon from the from existing infrastructure. CCUS atmosphere. For emissions that can be retrofitted to existing power cannot be avoided or reduced and industrial plants that could directly, CCUS underpins an otherwise emit 600 billion tons of important technological approach CO2 over the next five decades – for removing carbon and delivering a about 17 years’ worth of current net-zero energy system. annual emissions. ENERGY FUTURES INITIATIVE | Page 11
Session One Figure 5 Four Strategic Roles for CCUS The IEA identified four strategic roles for CCUS in its 2020 flagship report: tackling emissions from existing infrastructure, providing a platform for low-carbon hydrogen production; providing a solution for the most challenging emissions; and removing carbon from the atmosphere. Source: IEA, 2020. WORKSHOP SUMMARY: CCUS | Page 12
Session One Growing Interest in CCUS. The The session concluded with an overview recognition of the need for and of the critical need for government and importance of CCUS is reflected in the industry action in this decade to growing number of planned projects accelerate the progress of CCUS. The IEA around the world. In the last three years identified the following four high priority alone, more than 30 commercial areas for government and industry: projects have been announced. Deployment in some crucial sectors, 1. Create the conditions for investment including steel and cement, however, is by placing a value on reducing lagging even though CCUS is one of the emissions and providing direct few emissions reductions opportunities. support for new or developing CCUS CCUS, on the other hand, is relatively projects. over-represented in other subsectors, including natural gas processing and 2. Coordinate and underwrite the fertilizer production. At the same time, development of industrial hubs with the project portfolio for CCUS is shared CO2 infrastructure. growing in diversity to include power generation, cement, and hydrogen. 3. Identify and encourage the development of CO2 storage in key The IEA study concluded that the regions. success of CCUS will depend on the deployment of infrastructure to connect 4. Boost innovation to reduce costs and emissions sources with suitable ensure that critical emerging geologic storage. A rapidly emerging technologies become commercial, trend for CCUS is the development of including in sectors where emissions hubs and cluster models that utilize are hard to abate. shared CO2 transportation and storage infrastructure to reduce costs and optimize infrastructure use. ENERGY FUTURES INITIATIVE | Page 13
Session Two Session Two Experiences with CCUS: The Need, Opportunities, Challenges, and Lessons Learned This session began with a brief • There are three factors that help presentation on the Global CCS make the business case for CCS Institute’s annual Global Status of CCUS around the world: 2020 report. It concluded that despite the challenges of COVID-19, the pipeline ◦ An enhanced tax credit in the of projects that are operational and United States those under development grew for the ◦ Hubs and clusters third year in a row. The report provides ◦ Hydrogen as the fuel of the detailed information on and analyses of future the global CCS facility pipeline, international policy perspectives, CO2 • Despite the progress on CCS in storage, and the CCS legal and 2020, to achieve net-zero regulatory environment. Additional emissions by midcentury, CCS points highlighted in the presentation: capacity must increase more than a hundredfold by 2050. • There are 26 CCS facilities in operation, three under A Range of Uses for CCUS. Following construction, 34 under the study overview, the panel discussion development, and two that have elicited insights from CCUS experts in suspended operations. There industry who are working on CCUS were 17 new facilities added to projects around the globe. Each the pipeline in 2020 alone. representative described their company’s CCUS project(s), lessons • The number of countries, cities, learned from previous projects, and and companies that have insights about the future of CCUS. committed to net-zero emissions Below is a summary of some of the key targets increased in 2020 despite insights gleaned from this discussion: the adversities of the COVID-19 pandemic, accelerating CCS • Bioenergy with CCS (BECCS) is a development. negative emissions technology that can play a major role in • Policy and funding support for reducing emissions, as it is CCS continued its momentum. relatively simple, does not require the development of entirely new WORKSHOP SUMMARY: CCUS | Page 14
Session Two Figure 6 8 Rivers: BECCS, Industrial Carbon Capture, Direct Air Capture Technical processes developed by 8Rivers Energy facilitate capture, utilization, and storage of carbon dioxide, and can be adapted for use with bioenergy to ultimately achieve negative emissions. Source: 8 Rivers, 2020. technologies, and is low cost (see • CCUS in steel manufacturing Figure 6 for BECCS and zero presents a significant opportunity carbon electricity). Furthermore, since, according to Our World in BECCS can be paired with Data, in 2016, steel and iron renewables to create zero or production contributed 7.2% of negative carbon transportation global greenhouse gas emissions fuels that can easily be integrated and has very few other options to into existing transportation reduce emissions. There are infrastructure. Finally, BECCS is a currently two projects underway very suitable technology to deploy in the United Arab Emirates regionally due to the need for conducted by the Abu Dhabi networks for gathering feedstocks National Oil Company (ADNOC) that make clustering suitable. that will reduce an estimated 2.4 MtCO2/year (Figure 7). ENERGY FUTURES INITIATIVE | Page 15
Session Two Figure 7 CCUS for Steel: Al Reyadah Project Description This figure shows the processes for a low-carbon steelmaking operation utilizing carbon capture and sequestration. Source: ADNOC, 2020. • There is an important role for • The knowledge and experience of government support of CCUS oil and gas corporations can be absent internalization of the leveraged to deploy CCUS external costs of climate change. because it involves many of the Public-private partnership for same skillsets for planning, hubs and clusters is emerging as developing, deploying, operating, the ideal business model for risk monitoring, and testing CO2 sharing and investment in CCUS injection wells. The oil and gas projects. The Longship project in industry also has significant Norway, for example, received experience with pipelines, nearly two-thirds of its funding another skillset that could from the government to cover support the buildout and investments and 10 years of maintenance of CCUS operations; industry will be infrastructure. responsible for funding the balance of costs and must build • Financial incentives from and operate its own facilities. governments are currently the key driver of CCUS but the industry needs long-term WORKSHOP SUMMARY: CCUS | Page 16
Session Two commitments and more durable construction deadline; clarifying policies to ensure widescale regulation; developing a long-term deployment. CCUS policy that acknowledges the geographic and industrial variations of The session concluded with a “lightning the U.S. (i.e. not a one-size-fits all CCUS round” of questions in which panelists policy); leveraging partnerships with provided advice to the Biden-Harris industry to harness expertise and Administration about lessons learned accelerate development; and about CCUS deployment. Responses incorporating CCUS development within included: extending the 45Q tax credit a broader pandemic recovery effort. ENERGY FUTURES INITIATIVE | Page 17
Session Three Session Three Key Technologies Enabled by CCUS The third session of the workshop trade for around $200/ton of CO2 featured executives from three captured and stored. companies leading in cutting-edge emissions reduction technologies. The • Oil and gas, power, and chemicals discussion focused largely on CCUS in are siloed, so breaking down the cement and power generation, as well barriers between sectors would as DAC (see Figure 8). be a major opportunity to deploy cutting-edge CCUS applications Though these companies’ technologies in efficient ways. are entirely different in their application and use, a commonality is that all of • Low-carbon cement policies are them leverage modular designs that being led by the state and local enable these technologies to be utilized levels (e.g., procurement for several applications and scaled up. standards, low-carbon cement requirements, tax incentives) and Key insights offered during the these models can serve as a basis moderated Q&A included: for other jurisdictions. • There is optimism that more • Policy support is necessary to supporting policies for DAC in the bridge the financial gap for U.S. will drive its deployment. various CDR technologies; Already, DAC facilities anywhere voluntary markets, philanthropies, in the world are eligible for and corporations wishing to credits under the CCS Protocol of offset their carbon footprint, will California’s Low Carbon Fuel be insufficient in the long term. Standard (LCFS), which currently WORKSHOP SUMMARY: CCUS | Page 18
Session Three Figure 8 Climeworks: Direct Air Capture Technology This figure shows Switzerland-based Climeworks’ direct air capture technology. Source: Climeworks, 2020. ENERGY FUTURES INITIATIVE | Page 19
Session Four Session Four Roadmap for Deploying CCUS in the United States The final session began with a Additional opportunities in terms of jobs presentation of the October 2020 EFI and air quality benefits were also and Stanford University Study, An Action identified. This study clearly articulated Plan for Carbon Capture and Storage in the social equity benefits associated with California: Opportunities, Challenges, and the relationship between carbon capture Solutions. This study included a from California’s industrial facilities and technoeconomic analysis to identify the the associated reduction in criteria CCUS opportunity in California: 76 pollutant emissions for residents living emissions sources with capturable near these capture sites (Figure 10). emissions totaling 60 MtCO2/year and saline formations with CO2 storage California offers strong financial support capacity of 100 to 500 gigatons, which is for CCUS through the LCFS CCS enough to store 60 MtCO2 per year for Protocol. This, combined with the federal more than 1,000 years (Figure 9). 45Q tax credit, creates opportunities in Figure 9 Carbon Capture Sources, Notional Infrastructure, Potential Storage Sites in California The analysis in An Action Plan for Carbon Capture and Storage in California identified four potential CCS “hubs” as well as 16 co-located emissions sources and CO2 sinks. Source: Energy Futures Initiative and Stanford University, 2020. WORKSHOP SUMMARY: CCUS | Page 20
Session Four Figure 10 Social Equity and Community Benefits from Industrial Carbon Capture in California CCS can provide local air quality improvements on certain facilities, local economic benefits, and job creation and preservation. Source: Energy Futures Initiative and Stanford University, 2020. the state for CCUS. There are, however, policies, adjust current policies, and develop several barriers to its widescale demos, among other recommendations, deployment. These challenges fall into which are detailed in the study (Figure 11). four general categories. The recommendations were aimed at achieving the following goals: • Ambiguous position of the state on the future role of CCS • Motivate the private sector to deeply decarbonize activities • Complex and untested regulatory process for getting permits for CCS • Maximize options for meeting 2030 and midcentury greenhouse • Revenue and cost uncertainty gas targets discourage project finance • Enable continued economic and • The lack of public awareness and reliability benefits from existing support for CCS industry and electricity generation To address these challenges and take • Unlock new clean energy advantage of the CCS opportunity in industries and jobs, including in California, the state needs to create new hydrogen and DAC ENERGY FUTURES INITIATIVE | Page 21
Session Four Figure 11 High Level Goals, Strong Foundations, and Actions to Support CCS in California A POLICY ACTION PLAN FOR CCS IN CALIFORNIA TO MEET THE HIGH-LEVEL GOALS Enable Continued Unlock new clean energy Motivate the Private Maximize Options for Economic and Reliability industries and jobs, Sector to Deeply Meeting 2030 & Mid-Century Benefits from Existing Industry including in Hydrogen Decarbonize Activities Greenhouse Gas Targets & Electricity Generation and DAC Support Support Create CO2 Options to Innovation Transport Ensure at Research and Adequate Institutions & Storage Clean Firm Laboratories Operator Power OPPORTUNITIES TO LEAD GLOBAL ACTION ON CLIMATE Improve Incorporate Support Establish Set CCS Protocol in Mechanisms to Public-Private Statewide Cap-and-Trade Make CCS Partnership to Carbon Removal Projects More Create LA & Bay Targets Attractive Area Hubs KEY ENABLERS FOR CARBON NEUTRALITY Affirm State Improve and Issue Policy Develop State Issue Guidance Support for CCS Coordinate CCS Guidance to Clarify Supported CCS for CO2 Storage in Meeting Permitting CCS Eligibility Demos with Emissions Targets Processes Industry NEAR-TERM ACTIONS FOR MEETING CALIFORNIA CLIMATE TARGETS Potential to Rapidly Capacity to Store 60 Robust Clean Energy Large Industrial Base Commitment to Reduce 15% of Today’s MtCO2/yr. for over Policy Frameworks to with Few Alternatives to Equitable Clean Energy Emissions with CCS 1,000 Years Support CCS Decarbonize Transition CALIFORNIA’S FOUNDATIONS California The analysis has a strong in this foundation report informed for CCS development. the establishment Keyfor of high-level goals drivers—near-term actions CCS in California at the for figure. top of the meeting climate targets, enablershas California of acarbon neutrality,forand strong foundation CCSopportunities development. Keyto drivers—near-term lead global action—inform and increase actions for meeting CCS project development climate targets, enablers of carbon in specific areasneutrality, and opportunities of recommended to lead actions. globalEnergy Source: action—inform Futuresand increase and Initiative CCS project development Stanford in 2020. University, specific areas of recommended actions. Source: Energy Futures Initiative and Stanford University, 2020. WORKSHOP SUMMARY: CCUS | Page 22
Session Four Following the study briefing, the final 101 projects underway at the panel, comprised of experts in policy, National Energy Technology advocacy, and research and development, Laboratory (NETL). discussed options for supporting a U.S. CCUS roadmap. This panel provided The panelists identified the following unique perspectives on various elements challenges to CCUS in the U.S.: of the CCUS landscape in the U.S. summarized as follows: • Lack of a nationwide carbon price limits the deployment of • The midcontinent region has seen CCUS projects to those significant interest in CCUS and qualifying for existing activities for deployment as well incentives, namely LCFS and as earlier stage analysis. There is 45Q; however, these credits a 16-state carbon capture work alone are not enough to get the group, which includes more than biggest emitters to pursue 400 stakeholders, and several on- CCUS projects. going efforts to deploy CCUS, preserve jobs and industries, and • CCUS needs a broader portfolio explore additional opportunities approach, utilizing the incentives, to support CCUS. standards, and other tools applied for wind, solar, and • There are opportunities for CCUS energy efficiency to see CCUS in the power sector to help states deployment at scale. and utilities achieve net-zero carbon goals, complementary to • Public acceptance of CCUS and widescale deployment of skepticism towards fossil fuel renewables and other carbon-free companies is a major challenge, generation sources. It is and these companies, many of imperative to consider the which have decarbonization impacts on local communities, targets and commitments, should engage local stakeholders in follow through with these discussions about CCUS early and commitments by investing in often, and ensure that decisions decarbonization solutions, are made with equity and pushing for policies and environmental justice at the regulations to address climate forefront. change, and immediately reducing their own carbon • DOE’s National Laboratories are a footprints. locus for innovation and development of various CCUS technologies. There are currently ENERGY FUTURES INITIATIVE | Page 23
Session Four • There is considerable unlocked regulations, and regional variations in technical potential to develop emissions sources and sinks, require CCUS in the U.S. where regional planning and solutions to technology-neutral national optimize infrastructure. climate policies are likely to maximize its value. These policies Next, speakers highlighted some of the should also address current changes that will be necessary for challenges with the economy and widescale CCUS deployment and the with social inequality. steps that the Biden-Harris Administration can take to support this • The relatively limited experience outcome. Recommendations include: in saline reservoir CO2 storage as compared to that for enhanced • Developing a comprehensive and oil recovery (EOR) is a major sustained policy that supports challenge because the future of jobs and workforce training, such CCUS is saline storage, yet the as apprenticeship programs, vast majority of CCUS projects provides incentives for CCUS, and currently inject the CO2 for EOR. focuses on difficult to The EPA UIC Class II well decarbonize sectors with few permitting process (for EOR) is other options. Such a net-zero much more straightforward, infrastructure agenda could tested, and understood, while reconcile the divisions between only two Class VI permits (for environmental justice and climate geologic storage) have been advocates and those advocating issued in the U.S. for carbon capture. Other major U.S. challenges identified in • Pursuing a much broader RD&D EFI analysis have limited CCUS agenda, including more projects deployment. These include the lack of demonstrating storage of CO2 in large-scale examples and hub models. saline reservoirs as well as The U.S., for example, has only one analysis of the local air quality power sector capture project (Petra benefits from carbon capture on Nova), which was halted during the various sources of emissions. COVID-19 crisis for economic reasons. There are also issues with aligning • Establishing policies that provide players, permitting, and financing for long-term certainty on the need CCUS that currently contribute to a for permanent solutions to difficult business environment. Finally, reducing emissions (e.g., a carbon the untested and uncertain permitting price, border adjustments, etc.) so requirements for CCUS, including varied companies can be confident that and conflicting state and local investments will not be stranded. WORKSHOP SUMMARY: CCUS | Page 24
Session Four • Working across the federal think is missing from the growing government on a cohesive and coalition around CCUS. This included: comprehensive climate plan, articulated and implemented • Environmental justice across the administration, organizations including tax and investment policies that are consistent, • Environmental advocacy sustained, and focused on organizations that see no role for achieving overarching goals. fossil fuels in the energy transition • Collaborating through public- • Many industrial players who have private partnerships involving not yet put “skin in the game” state and federal government and industry to develop shared CO2 • In the U.S., the steel industry has transportation and storage not yet been included; however, infrastructure, and creating a there is a huge opportunity for supportive environment for CCUS carbon capture from steel through policy- and investment- production that could provide supported hubs and clusters. dramatic emissions reductions, jobs, and other local benefits. • Supporting new business models for geologic storage (e.g., Overall, this session illuminated utilities) as well as markets for actionable recommendations that will carbon capture and removal. be needed from stakeholders in advocacy, policymakers, and industry In a final “lightening round” of questions, representatives. the participants highlighted who they ENERGY FUTURES INITIATIVE | Page 25
Conclusion Conclusion The workshop concluded with remarks and from many stakeholders and from the workshop co-chair who placed advocates of environmental justice, CCUS in context of the importance of climate justice, environmental developing a scientifically driven organizations, and labor unions. To strategy for dramatically reducing summarize these needs, the following carbon emissions from all sectors of the six key points were offered: economy, recognizing national, regional, and global differences, including the • We cannot accelerate climate different drivers that are affecting solutions without building and progress on meeting climate goals. sustaining coalitions Figure 12 shows changes in global CO2 emissions by country/region, • We must recognize regional demonstrating the uneven reductions needs and opportunities and around the world. address them. Social equity and justice must be at the forefront of Such a strategy would engage a broad regional solutions coalition from the political left and right, Figure 12 Change in Energy Related CO2 Emissions by Region, 2018-2019 400 300 200 100 0 -100 EU US Japan Rest of World Energy-related CO2 emissions by country and region demonstrate the uneven reductions around the world. Source: International Energy Agency, accessed March 2020. WORKSHOP SUMMARY: CCUS | Page 26
Conclusion • Focusing on jobs, especially in climate action plan. CCUS provides the face of the COVID-19 optionality as the world transitions to pandemic and the associated lower carbon and enables an equitable recession, is critical transition by creating new jobs and preserving existing jobs that may • Comprehensive energy and otherwise become stranded. climate policy must maximize optionality and flexibility—there is Finally, because CCUS is a proven no “silver bullet” to combating technology that can be deployed climate change immediately (barring financial and regulatory barriers), it can provide • Clean energy solutions must substantial near-term emissions emphasize secure supply chains reductions across several important and include embedded emissions economic sectors with few other in policy solutions options to decarbonize. As the U.S. and the world look ahead, there are many • The world needs innovation to steps that can and must be taken to meet net-zero emissions targets deeply decarbonize the U.S. and global by midcentury economies. The workshop underscored the value of CCUS as a critical component of any ENERGY FUTURES INITIATIVE | Page 27
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