WORKING UP A SIX-PACK - Six ways to muscle up for the changing Indian consumer landscape
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WORKING UP A SIX-PACK Six ways to muscle up for the changing Indian consumer landscape An OC&C Insight Working up a six-pack 01
Growth in the branded FMCG market in India appears to be picking up in 2017 after a couple of less robust years -- and the longer-term outlook for the market is solid. But competition is intensifying. How can manufacturers make the most of the opportunities that lie ahead? We propose six `mantras' for growth that can help FMCG manufacturers capture their share of market growth -- and more. After a string of strong years around the turn of the decade, when growth was at about 20%, the Indian branded FMCG market has had to take a step back in recent years as the economy weakened, inflation rose and monsoon rains faltered. Industry growth slowed to 7% in 2014, before rising to 10% in 2015. 2016 was a year of further recovery and 2017 has started on a very strong footing. Consumer spending is rising, owing to good monsoons recently, enabling farmers to bring in bumper harvests. Public sector wages have risen sharply, pumping an additional USD 15 billion into the hands of consumers. Moreover, the long pending Goods and Services Tax bill was passed in 2016 bringing clarity and uniformity to taxation. In view of all these factors combined, the market looks set for increased growth in 2017, adding short-term opportunities to a fundamentally strong longer-term outlook. Real average household incomes are expected to grow by 70% by 2025 and urbanisation is expected to increase to 35%. Due to declining average household sizes, 10 million households will be added by 2020. And 95 million more people will be added to the work force by 2020. At the same time, new players have entered the market and competition is intensifying. Consumer preferences are also evolving. How can consumer product manufacturers build adequate `muscle' to take on this fast-changing landscape? We suggest six ways to do this. 1 Find a natural 4 Cast a wider way to grow brand net 2 Capitalise on premiumisation 5 Deliver value through innovation 3 Ride the health and nutrition megatrends 6 Unlock value through digitalisation 02 An OC&C Insight Working up a six-pack
1 FIND A NATURAL WAY TO GROW French cosmetics giant As in other markets across the world, Indian domestic players that are focused on natural L`Or�al has rolled out Ayurvedic consumers, too, are increasingly showing products, such as Dabur and Himalaya, shampoo, conditioner, oil and a preference for environmentally sound have also grown strongly in an otherwise cream under its Garnier Ultra Blends brand. Marico, Dabur products. When it comes to personal care slow market. Sales of natural products are and Emami are all products, several studies indicate that growing twice as fast as those of synthetic building a `natural' product specs such as `Natural', `Organic' or ones. portfolio. `Free from harsh chemicals' are emerging as Consequently, multinationals rooted outside key purchase drivers. India and Indian FMCG manufacturers Also, beauty products inspired by India's alike have stepped up their efforts to age-old `Ayurveda' alternative herbal bring natural products into their portfolio, medicine practices seem to resonate employing both internal growth and Hindustan Unilever (HUL) and Emami have acquired well with the cultural identity of a large acquisitions. This trend is not only likely to hair oil brands Indulekha proportion of the Indian population and persist, but can be expected to be driven and Kesh King, respectively, are increasingly being perceived as `pure' further by the `millennial' generation among to speed up their `natural' compared with their synthetic peers. Indian consumers. As they become savvier strategy. about `green' choices, India is likely to see HUL will launch around The success of Patanjali, an Indian FMCG 20 products - from toothpaste an accelerated shift in preferences in favour company co-founded by renowned yoga and skin cream to soaps and of natural products. For manufacturers, shampoos - under its existing guru, Baba Ramdev, is the biggest testimony having a solid `natural' strategy is therefore `Ayush' Ayurveda brand. to this trend. The company has used its imperative in these changing times in the natural and `swadeshi' (i.e. native Indian) Indian FMCG landscape. positioning to build up annual revenue of US$ 800 million in less than a decade. Other 2 CAPITALISE ON PREMIUMISATION Economic growth and the creation of a Industry (CII), some 22 million households wealthy, urban class of consumers has will be added to the `elite' and `affluent' boosted demand for products that are categories (annual income over US$ 15,000) perceived to be superior in quality and in the Indian consumer market by 2025 - providing greater value than what has raising average household income in India traditionally been on offer in the Indian by a factor of 1.7. This will significantly drive mass market. Companies that have invested demand for `premiumised' products. in building premium products in their For marketers, the challenge will clearly portfolio are now benefiting handsomely be to identify which product segments will from these efforts. appeal in particular to aspiring and affluent India's demographic trends are expected to consumers, and build convincing value amplify this trend in the future. According propositions in these areas. to a report by the Confederation of Indian Double-digit growth in Saffron and cardamom variants from premium detergents health supplement supplier Zandu A focus on premium (Surf Excel) is driving (herbal OTC products company) sell products has helped volume growth in the for twice the price of regular variants Britannia outpace home care segment and are in demand even in the biscuit industry for HUL semi-urban and rural areas as a whole An OC&C Insight Working up a six-pack 03
3 RIDE THE HEALTH & NUTRITION MEGA TREND Specifically in food and beverages, at about US$ 1.6 billion and growing by consumer spending on health-related 10-12% a year (compound annual growth). products is expected to increase three to Milk food drinks and fortified products (i.e. fourfold, respectively, due to the significant products with added vitamins or nutrients) are increase in India's prosperous middle and the leading growth categories in the food and upper classes. beverage segment, accounting for 60-70% A growing incidence of lifestyle-induced of the market. Green tea, oats and breakfast disease - such as diabetes and obesity - cereals are other fast-growing categories. has strengthened consumer awareness in FMCG firms are creating portfolios of `health India about the ingredients that go into the plus' offerings (health plus convenience, products they buy. There is an increasing health plus fitness, health plus disease preference for packaged health and prevention, etc). wellness foods - a segment currently valued Contain less sugar, cholesterol, fats, etc. Are made with natural Are dairy-based ingredients (no artificial with health preservatives) benefits Are baked instead Minimise of deep-fried cholesterol or other ailments Are fortified with FMCG FIRMS ARE Nestl�'s A+ range of products caters to the vitamins and nutrients 250 ml - in order to help consumers limit CREATING PORTFOLIOS `indulgence plus health' category. Britannia's their calorie intake. OF `HEALTH PLUS' `Nutrichoice' brand of low-fat, low-sugar cookies was first launched in 2007 and While there is increased consumer OFFERINGS today has several offerings in this space. awareness about what goes into food and beverage products, convenience is Companies are also introducing innovations also foremost in the mind of the Indian such as adjusted packet sizes in order to consumer. As a result, healthier products restrict consumption and thus address which require no marked change in the health concerns of their discerning consumption patterns are becoming more customers. For example, manufacturers of and more popular in India. Multigrain flour, packaged food are limiting portion sizes to healthy biscuits and healthy dairy products reduce the number of calories they serve are increasingly in demand. Emerging to increasingly health-conscious Indian products such as snack bars and specialised consumers. nutrition bars are awaiting category development efforts by incumbents or the Hindustan Unilever is aiming to limit at least entry of new players. Nutritional foods 80% of its packaged ice-creams to 250 clearly represent a rapidly growing segment calories per portion. And Pepsico India is that is high on the radar for many FMCG now planning to launch an SKU of 150 ml - companies looking for opportunities for well below its traditionally smallest size of further growth. 04 An OC&C Insight Working up a six-pack
4 CAST A WIDER BRAND NET While premiumisation within branded growth between 8 and 35% in the year products will continue, another dimension ended March 2016. Meanwhile, international of growth will come from consumers who food majors such as GSK Consumer, PepsiCo move from unbranded to branded products. (food division) and Mondelez struggled to The unbranded FMCG segment in India is grow their Indian business. It is noteworthy worth a massive US$ 115 billion (66% of that the impressive growth numbers the total market ). Even the conversion of a of those five home-grown Indian FMCG small percentage of this towards branded manufacturers did not come from a very products would translate into a significant small base either: those five companies opportunity. For FMCG manufacturers, have combined sales of nearly US$ 570 there are two routes towards tapping this million - more than the size of Nestl�'s opportunity. Maggi in India (Maggi accounts for ~25% of Nestle's total sales in India). Some of these Tapping unbranded categories Indian companies are larger than Kellogg's Certain categories, such as packaged in India. This growth of local players can snacks, are dominated by small and local be attributed to lower price points, better firms which sell their products, either loose distribution and conversion from the or packed but without any known brand unbranded market. name. But Indian consumers are becoming Tapping markets where national brands increasingly brand-minded, and this creates have yet to break through an opportunity to target the market with new offerings. The growth achieved by India's `tier 3' and `tier 4' towns are domestic players in the traditional snacks witnessing growing consumer purchasing segment serves as a poignant illustration power and increasing awareness of brands of this trend. These players have graduated and are therefore becoming attractive, from the unbranded space and created a high-potential targets for FMCG companies. strong brand name for themselves in the Many of these markets are mostly served by packaged food space. Haldiram, a major local brands, and there is an opportunity to sweets and snacks manufacturer based consolidate this demand. Ghari Detergents is in Nagpur (Maharashtra state), earned one such example of a local brand growing revenues of more than US$ 600 million in into a national player. With the right product 2016 - twice the size of HUL's packaged food and marketing strategy, manufacturers of division. Local snacks manufacturers such as branded FMCG products can create several Balaji Wafers, Prataap Snacks, Bikanervala, `Ghari's' within their portfolio. Bikaji Foods and DFM Foods recorded sales CONVENIENCE-INCREASING PACKAGING INNOVATIONS TO EXISTING PRODUCTS 5 DELIVER VALUE THROUGH INNOVATION Efficacy-enhancing innovation is an such as liquid body wash, liquid detergents, 225 ml pouches are a great tool to upgrade consumers Godrej launched a multi-use facewash sachet as opposed to effective clutter-breaker in the crowded etc. which are popular globally but have from dishwashing bars to the regular tube Indian FMCG landscape. Companies are yet to get a foothold in the Indian market. dishwashing liquids (easy on hands and easy to use) increasingly `renovating' products to create India's growing numbers of consumers a competitive edge. Encouraging consumers with increased discretionary purchasing to use the same product on more and power are willing to try out new things. The CONVENIENCE-INCREASING PRODUCT different occasions is one such innovation. time is ripe for innovation that can induce INNOVATIONS TO EXISTING PRODUCTS In this way, FMCG manufacturers save on consumers to start using such convenience the investments required to build a new products. Understanding consumer pain brand. points or evolving needs will be the key to delivering value through innovation. Another example of innovation is to provide convenience. There are several categories, Horlicks is now `instant' in both The new Amul packaging for hot and cold milk, increasing desserts has a longer shelf life usage occasions of up to a year An OC&C Insight Working up a six-pack 05
6 UNLOCK VALUE THROUGH DIGITISATION According to a recent report by the The digital megatrend has major Confederation of Indian Industry (CII), 150- implications for FMCG companies and they 190 million Indian consumers - i.e. nearly can augment their organisation's digital one-fifth of the Indian population - will have capabilities in several ways. access to online channels by 2020. COMPANIES ARE CONSUMER MEGA TRENDS IMPLICATIONS FOR FMCG ALSO INVESTING IN UBIQUITY OF ONLINE FMCG players need Dollar ShaveClub rapidly built DIGITISATION OF THEIR to adapt to be part of consumers' new worlds a prominent position in the market, attracting some two CORE OPERATIONS million members in three years' time on the back of a launch video viewed more than 20 million times, forcing Gillette to increase its online presence MOBILE LIFE Marketing is closer Lakm� launched Lakm� to the consumer and Makeup Pro, India's first real- FMCG players must time make-up app, which was reach consumers `on downloaded 8,000 times in the go' the first five days. E-COMMERCE Direct access to After creating the position consumers and new of Chief Digital Officer operating models (2014 ), L'Or�al has gone provide both risks and digital both commercially opportunities and organisationally (now employing over a thousand digital specialists). SOCIAL Effective social media Dove experienced massive INTER-ACTION management is criticism in social media when required, especially to they refused to remove some manage the `wisdom of Facebook ads and then failed crowds' to respond adequately to the criticism . Building e-commerce channels: FMCG Digitising operations: Companies are companies are working on various models also investing in digitisation of their core involving e-commerce to reach the remote operations. The intention behind this corners of the country. Dabur (Diversified varies from decreasing costs to improving FMCG company) has joined hands with consumers' purchasing experiences. online marketplace Snapdeal to set up an Many companies - also those in e-store called LiveVEDA for its range of FMCG - have managed to reduce Ayurvedic products. costs over the years by capturing the Digital marketing: Companies are opportunities created by the emergence building digital-savvy marketing teams and of e-auctioning platforms since the early exploring how best to tap their markets 2000s. The Indian FMCG major ITC, for ``DIGITAL IS REALLY PART through digital channels. Around the example, saves 3% in procurement OF EVERYTHING WE DO world, companies across the full range of industries are attracting the staff they need costs via their e-choupal initiative (direct linkage with rural farmers for sourcing AND HAS BEEN ADOPTED to build a `Digital Organisation' using internet) BY ALL THE `TRADITIONAL L'Or�al now has 1,000+ employees who are considered `digital experts' - a five- Johnson & Johnson is actively using digital channels to connect with channel TEAMS'. '' fold increase over the past five years partners - the company engages with Digital Acceleration Director, some 600,000 retailers to educate them Pernod Ricard appointed a `Digital about its products and monitors them Pernod Ricard Acceleration Director' in 2014 with the support of a mobile app Pernod Ricard started an employee Supply chain processes are being exchange programme with Google to get streamlined using digital tools - Dabur its internet marketing initiatives going has online tools for order submission, and scale up the company's digital skills. claim submissions, etc.). 06 An OC&C Insight Working up a six-pack
FMCG GIANTS GLOBALLY ARE LEVERAGING THESE THEMES TO FIND GROWTH IN SLOW MARKETS INITIATIVES IMPACT Dollar Shave Club's online monthly I n the fast-growing online razor subscription offers a significant discount market, Dollar Shave Club has a to Gillette. Great example of digitally >50% market share, vs Gillette's 20%. delivered `Innovation'. Leveraged an authentic premium brand 20x more cost effectively than Uncle and delivered superior product high on Bens. nutrition - Built Brand equity anufactures fresh convenient food M C onsistent double-digit growth in a (prepared salads, prepared fruit, etc.) stagnant market. Knorr has managed to evolve its Instant This concept has taken off, delivering Mash Potato into a convenience meal by great results for the brand. fundamentally redesigning its packaging TAPPING THE SIX MANTRAS FOR GROWTH So how does one operationalise these mantras for growth? The first step is to recognise the relative importance of each to your product categories. Beyond that, here are five initiatives which will enable companies to tap the six mantras for growth: Improve the segmentation Create an innovation Acquire Recognise gaps in the portfolio and of your target group. atmosphere geographies and acquire other companies Look for unconventional dimensions to Adopt the incubator model within the firm, to gain access where internal development identify segments that you can target using and encourage the internal team to develop may be too slow. one or more of the mantras. This will also new ideas into a business stage. require clear understanding of consumer behaviour and preferences. Digital transformation Think medium term Make serious work of the digital Look further ahead and adopt at least a transformation and inculcate the digital three-year time frame in allocating staff and behaviour throughout the company, as this money. is not just about marketing via social media. An OC&C Insight Working up a six-pack 077
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