WORKING UP A SIX-PACK - Six ways to muscle up for the changing Indian consumer landscape

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WORKING UP A SIX-PACK - Six ways to muscle up for the changing Indian consumer landscape
WORKING UP
A SIX-PACK
Six ways to muscle up for the changing Indian consumer landscape

                                               An OC&C Insight Working up a six-pack   01
WORKING UP A SIX-PACK - Six ways to muscle up for the changing Indian consumer landscape
Growth in the branded FMCG market in India appears to be picking up in 2017 after a couple of less
robust years -- and the longer-term outlook for the market is solid. But competition is intensifying. How
can manufacturers make the most of the opportunities that lie ahead? We propose six `mantras' for
growth that can help FMCG manufacturers capture their share of market growth -- and more.
After a string of strong years around the turn of the decade, when growth was at about 20%, the
Indian branded FMCG market has had to take a step back in recent years as the economy weakened,
inflation rose and monsoon rains faltered. Industry growth slowed to 7% in 2014, before rising to
10% in 2015.
2016 was a year of further recovery and 2017 has started on a very strong footing. Consumer
spending is rising, owing to good monsoons recently, enabling farmers to bring in bumper harvests.
Public sector wages have risen sharply, pumping an additional USD 15 billion into the hands of
consumers. Moreover, the long pending Goods and Services Tax bill was passed in 2016 bringing
clarity and uniformity to taxation.
In view of all these factors combined, the market looks set for increased growth in 2017, adding
short-term opportunities to a fundamentally strong longer-term outlook. Real average household
incomes are expected to grow by 70% by 2025 and urbanisation is expected to increase to 35%. Due
to declining average household sizes, 10 million households will be added by 2020. And 95 million
more people will be added to the work force by 2020.
At the same time, new players have entered the market and competition is intensifying. Consumer
preferences are also evolving. How can consumer product manufacturers build adequate `muscle' to
take on this fast-changing landscape?
We suggest six ways to do this.

1
Find a natural
                                                                                   4
                                                                                   Cast a wider
way to grow                                                                        brand net

2
Capitalise on
premiumisation                                                                   5
                                                                                Deliver value
                                                                                through innovation
3
Ride the health and
nutrition megatrends
                                                                                 6
                                                                                Unlock value through
                                                                                digitalisation
02   An OC&C Insight Working up a six-pack
1
                                                               FIND A NATURAL WAY TO GROW
                French cosmetics giant                         As in other markets across the world, Indian       domestic players that are focused on natural
           L`Or�al has rolled out Ayurvedic                    consumers, too, are increasingly showing           products, such as Dabur and Himalaya,
            shampoo, conditioner, oil and                      a preference for environmentally sound             have also grown strongly in an otherwise
            cream under its Garnier Ultra
             Blends brand. Marico, Dabur
                                                               products. When it comes to personal care           slow market. Sales of natural products are
                  and Emami are all                            products, several studies indicate that            growing twice as fast as those of synthetic
                  building a `natural'                         product specs such as `Natural', `Organic' or      ones.
                       portfolio.                              `Free from harsh chemicals' are emerging as
                                                                                                                  Consequently, multinationals rooted outside
                                                               key purchase drivers.
                                                                                                                  India and Indian FMCG manufacturers
                                                               Also, beauty products inspired by India's          alike have stepped up their efforts to
                                                               age-old `Ayurveda' alternative herbal              bring natural products into their portfolio,
                                                               medicine practices seem to resonate                employing both internal growth and
 Hindustan Unilever (HUL)
 and Emami have acquired
                                                               well with the cultural identity of a large         acquisitions. This trend is not only likely to
  hair oil brands Indulekha                                    proportion of the Indian population and            persist, but can be expected to be driven
and Kesh King, respectively,                                   are increasingly being perceived as `pure'         further by the `millennial' generation among
 to speed up their `natural'                                   compared with their synthetic peers.               Indian consumers. As they become savvier
           strategy.                                                                                              about `green' choices, India is likely to see
                                   HUL will launch around      The success of Patanjali, an Indian FMCG
                               20 products - from toothpaste                                                      an accelerated shift in preferences in favour
                                                               company co-founded by renowned yoga
                                and skin cream to soaps and                                                       of natural products. For manufacturers,
                               shampoos - under its existing   guru, Baba Ramdev, is the biggest testimony
                                                                                                                  having a solid `natural' strategy is therefore
                                  `Ayush' Ayurveda brand.      to this trend. The company has used its
                                                                                                                  imperative in these changing times in the
                                                               natural and `swadeshi' (i.e. native Indian)
                                                                                                                  Indian FMCG landscape.
                                                               positioning to build up annual revenue of
                                                               US$ 800 million in less than a decade. Other

                                                                2
                                                               CAPITALISE ON PREMIUMISATION
                                                               Economic growth and the creation of a              Industry (CII), some 22 million households
                                                               wealthy, urban class of consumers has              will be added to the `elite' and `affluent'
                                                               boosted demand for products that are               categories (annual income over US$ 15,000)
                                                               perceived to be superior in quality and            in the Indian consumer market by 2025 -
                                                               providing greater value than what has              raising average household income in India
                                                               traditionally been on offer in the Indian          by a factor of 1.7. This will significantly drive
                                                               mass market. Companies that have invested          demand for `premiumised' products.
                                                               in building premium products in their
                                                                                                                  For marketers, the challenge will clearly
                                                               portfolio are now benefiting handsomely
                                                                                                                  be to identify which product segments will
                                                               from these efforts.
                                                                                                                  appeal in particular to aspiring and affluent
                                                               India's demographic trends are expected to         consumers, and build convincing value
                                                               amplify this trend in the future. According        propositions in these areas.
                                                               to a report by the Confederation of Indian

                                                                     Double-digit growth in     Saffron and cardamom variants from
                                                                      premium detergents         health supplement supplier Zandu             A focus on premium
                                                                     (Surf Excel) is driving     (herbal OTC products company) sell           products has helped
                                                                     volume growth in the       for twice the price of regular variants        Britannia outpace
                                                                      home care segment               and are in demand even in               the biscuit industry
                                                                            for HUL                  semi-urban and rural areas                    as a whole

                                                                                                                                 An OC&C Insight Working up a six-pack   03
3
                                             RIDE THE HEALTH & NUTRITION MEGA TREND
                                             Specifically in food and beverages,                 at about US$ 1.6 billion and growing by
                                             consumer spending on health-related                 10-12% a year (compound annual growth).
                                             products is expected to increase three to
                                                                                                 Milk food drinks and fortified products (i.e.
                                             fourfold, respectively, due to the significant
                                                                                                 products with added vitamins or nutrients) are
                                             increase in India's prosperous middle and
                                                                                                 the leading growth categories in the food and
                                             upper classes.
                                                                                                 beverage segment, accounting for 60-70%
                                             A growing incidence of lifestyle-induced            of the market. Green tea, oats and breakfast
                                             disease - such as diabetes and obesity -            cereals are other fast-growing categories.
                                             has strengthened consumer awareness in
                                                                                                 FMCG firms are creating portfolios of `health
                                             India about the ingredients that go into the
                                                                                                 plus' offerings (health plus convenience,
                                             products they buy. There is an increasing
                                                                                                 health plus fitness, health plus disease
                                             preference for packaged health and
                                                                                                 prevention, etc).
                                             wellness foods - a segment currently valued

                                                                           Contain less sugar,
                                                                           cholesterol, fats,
                                                                           etc.

                                              Are made with natural                                                           Are dairy-based
                                              ingredients (no artificial                                                      with health
                                              preservatives)                                                                  benefits

                                             Are baked instead                                                              Minimise
                                             of deep-fried                                                                  cholesterol or
                                                                                                                            other ailments

                                                                                              Are fortified with
 FMCG FIRMS ARE                              Nestl�'s A+ range of products caters to the
                                                                                              vitamins and nutrients
                                                                                                 250 ml - in order to help consumers limit
 CREATING PORTFOLIOS                         `indulgence plus health' category. Britannia's      their calorie intake.
 OF `HEALTH PLUS'                            `Nutrichoice' brand of low-fat, low-sugar
                                             cookies was first launched in 2007 and
                                                                                                 While there is increased consumer
 OFFERINGS                                   today has several offerings in this space.
                                                                                                 awareness about what goes into food
                                                                                                 and beverage products, convenience is
                                             Companies are also introducing innovations          also foremost in the mind of the Indian
                                             such as adjusted packet sizes in order to           consumer. As a result, healthier products
                                             restrict consumption and thus address               which require no marked change in
                                             the health concerns of their discerning             consumption patterns are becoming more
                                             customers. For example, manufacturers of            and more popular in India. Multigrain flour,
                                             packaged food are limiting portion sizes to         healthy biscuits and healthy dairy products
                                             reduce the number of calories they serve            are increasingly in demand. Emerging
                                             to increasingly health-conscious Indian             products such as snack bars and specialised
                                             consumers.                                          nutrition bars are awaiting category
                                                                                                 development efforts by incumbents or the
                                             Hindustan Unilever is aiming to limit at least
                                                                                                 entry of new players. Nutritional foods
                                             80% of its packaged ice-creams to 250
                                                                                                 clearly represent a rapidly growing segment
                                             calories per portion. And Pepsico India is
                                                                                                 that is high on the radar for many FMCG
                                             now planning to launch an SKU of 150 ml -
                                                                                                 companies looking for opportunities for
                                             well below its traditionally smallest size of
                                                                                                 further growth.
04   An OC&C Insight Working up a six-pack
4
                                                                       CAST A WIDER BRAND NET
                                                                       While premiumisation within branded             growth between 8 and 35% in the year
                                                                       products will continue, another dimension       ended March 2016. Meanwhile, international
                                                                       of growth will come from consumers who          food majors such as GSK Consumer, PepsiCo
                                                                       move from unbranded to branded products.        (food division) and Mondelez struggled to
                                                                       The unbranded FMCG segment in India is          grow their Indian business. It is noteworthy
                                                                       worth a massive US$ 115 billion (66% of         that the impressive growth numbers
                                                                       the total market ). Even the conversion of a    of those five home-grown Indian FMCG
                                                                       small percentage of this towards branded        manufacturers did not come from a very
                                                                       products would translate into a significant     small base either: those five companies
                                                                       opportunity. For FMCG manufacturers,            have combined sales of nearly US$ 570
                                                                       there are two routes towards tapping this       million - more than the size of Nestl�'s
                                                                       opportunity.                                    Maggi in India (Maggi accounts for ~25% of
                                                                                                                       Nestle's total sales in India). Some of these
                                                                       Tapping unbranded categories
                                                                                                                       Indian companies are larger than Kellogg's
                                                                       Certain categories, such as packaged            in India. This growth of local players can
                                                                       snacks, are dominated by small and local        be attributed to lower price points, better
                                                                       firms which sell their products, either loose   distribution and conversion from the
                                                                       or packed but without any known brand           unbranded market.
                                                                       name. But Indian consumers are becoming
                                                                                                                       Tapping markets where national brands
                                                                       increasingly brand-minded, and this creates
                                                                                                                       have yet to break through
                                                                       an opportunity to target the market with
                                                                       new offerings. The growth achieved by           India's `tier 3' and `tier 4' towns are
                                                                       domestic players in the traditional snacks      witnessing growing consumer purchasing
                                                                       segment serves as a poignant illustration       power and increasing awareness of brands
                                                                       of this trend. These players have graduated     and are therefore becoming attractive,
                                                                       from the unbranded space and created a          high-potential targets for FMCG companies.
                                                                       strong brand name for themselves in the
                                                                                                                       Many of these markets are mostly served by
                                                                       packaged food space. Haldiram, a major
                                                                                                                       local brands, and there is an opportunity to
                                                                       sweets and snacks manufacturer based
                                                                                                                       consolidate this demand. Ghari Detergents is
                                                                       in Nagpur (Maharashtra state), earned
                                                                                                                       one such example of a local brand growing
                                                                       revenues of more than US$ 600 million in
                                                                                                                       into a national player. With the right product
                                                                       2016 - twice the size of HUL's packaged food
                                                                                                                       and marketing strategy, manufacturers of
                                                                       division. Local snacks manufacturers such as
                                                                                                                       branded FMCG products can create several
                                                                       Balaji Wafers, Prataap Snacks, Bikanervala,
                                                                                                                       `Ghari's' within their portfolio.
                                                                       Bikaji Foods and DFM Foods recorded sales

     CONVENIENCE-INCREASING PACKAGING
      INNOVATIONS TO EXISTING PRODUCTS                                  5
                                                                       DELIVER VALUE THROUGH INNOVATION
                                                                       Efficacy-enhancing innovation is an             such as liquid body wash, liquid detergents,
225 ml pouches are a great
tool to upgrade consumers
                                    Godrej launched a multi-use
                                    facewash sachet as opposed to
                                                                       effective clutter-breaker in the crowded        etc. which are popular globally but have
from dishwashing bars to            the regular tube                   Indian FMCG landscape. Companies are            yet to get a foothold in the Indian market.
dishwashing liquids (easy on
hands and easy to use)
                                                                       increasingly `renovating' products to create    India's growing numbers of consumers
                                                                       a competitive edge. Encouraging consumers       with increased discretionary purchasing
                                                                       to use the same product on more and             power are willing to try out new things. The
       CONVENIENCE-INCREASING PRODUCT                                  different occasions is one such innovation.     time is ripe for innovation that can induce
      INNOVATIONS TO EXISTING PRODUCTS                                 In this way, FMCG manufacturers save on         consumers to start using such convenience
                                                                       the investments required to build a new         products. Understanding consumer pain
                                                                       brand.                                          points or evolving needs will be the key to
                                                                                                                       delivering value through innovation.
                                                                       Another example of innovation is to provide
                                                                       convenience. There are several categories,

Horlicks is now `instant' in both   The new Amul packaging for
hot and cold milk, increasing       desserts has a longer shelf life
usage occasions                     of up to a year

                                                                                                                                   An OC&C Insight Working up a six-pack   05
6
                                               UNLOCK VALUE THROUGH DIGITISATION
                                               According to a recent report by the                  The digital megatrend has major
                                               Confederation of Indian Industry (CII), 150-         implications for FMCG companies and they
                                               190 million Indian consumers - i.e. nearly           can augment their organisation's digital
                                               one-fifth of the Indian population - will have       capabilities in several ways.
                                               access to online channels by 2020.
 COMPANIES ARE                                  CONSUMER MEGA TRENDS IMPLICATIONS FOR FMCG
 ALSO INVESTING IN                              UBIQUITY OF ONLINE         FMCG players need                        Dollar ShaveClub rapidly built
 DIGITISATION OF THEIR                                                     to adapt to be part of
                                                                           consumers' new worlds
                                                                                                                    a prominent position in the
                                                                                                                    market, attracting some two
 CORE OPERATIONS                                                                                                    million members in three
                                                                                                                    years' time on the back of a
                                                                                                                    launch video viewed more
                                                                                                                    than 20 million times, forcing
                                                                                                                    Gillette to increase its online
                                                                                                                    presence
                                                MOBILE LIFE                Marketing is closer                      Lakm� launched Lakm�
                                                                           to the consumer and                      Makeup Pro, India's first real-
                                                                           FMCG players must                        time make-up app, which was
                                                                           reach consumers `on                      downloaded 8,000 times in
                                                                           the go'                                  the first five days.
                                                E-COMMERCE                 Direct access to                         After creating the position
                                                                           consumers and new                        of Chief Digital Officer
                                                                           operating models                         (2014 ), L'Or�al has gone
                                                                           provide both risks and                   digital both commercially
                                                                           opportunities                            and organisationally (now
                                                                                                                    employing over a thousand
                                                                                                                    digital specialists).
                                                SOCIAL                     Effective social media                   Dove experienced massive
                                                INTER-ACTION               management is                            criticism in social media when
                                                                           required, especially to                  they refused to remove some
                                                                           manage the `wisdom of                    Facebook ads and then failed
                                                                           crowds'                                  to respond adequately to the
                                                                                                                    criticism .
                                               Building e-commerce channels: FMCG                   Digitising operations: Companies are
                                               companies are working on various models              also investing in digitisation of their core
                                               involving e-commerce to reach the remote             operations. The intention behind this
                                               corners of the country. Dabur (Diversified           varies from decreasing costs to improving
                                               FMCG company) has joined hands with                  consumers' purchasing experiences.
                                               online marketplace Snapdeal to set up an
                                                                                                    	Many companies - also those in
                                               e-store called LiveVEDA for its range of
                                                                                                       FMCG - have managed to reduce
                                               Ayurvedic products.
                                                                                                       costs over the years by capturing the
                                               Digital marketing: Companies are                        opportunities created by the emergence
                                               building digital-savvy marketing teams and              of e-auctioning platforms since the early
                                               exploring how best to tap their markets                 2000s. The Indian FMCG major ITC, for
     ``DIGITAL IS REALLY PART                  through digital channels. Around the                    example, saves 3% in procurement
     OF EVERYTHING WE DO                       world, companies across the full range of
                                               industries are attracting the staff they need
                                                                                                       costs via their e-choupal initiative (direct
                                                                                                       linkage with rural farmers for sourcing
     AND HAS BEEN ADOPTED                      to build a `Digital Organisation'                       using internet)

     BY ALL THE `TRADITIONAL                   	L'Or�al now has 1,000+ employees who
                                                   are considered `digital experts' - a five-
                                                                                                    	Johnson & Johnson is actively using
                                                                                                       digital channels to connect with channel
     TEAMS'. ''                                    fold increase over the past five years              partners - the company engages with
     Digital Acceleration Director,                                                                    some 600,000 retailers to educate them
                                               	Pernod Ricard appointed a `Digital
                                                                                                       about its products and monitors them
     Pernod Ricard                                 Acceleration Director' in 2014
                                                                                                       with the support of a mobile app
                                               	Pernod Ricard started an employee
                                                                                                    	Supply chain processes are being
                                                  exchange programme with Google to get
                                                                                                       streamlined using digital tools - Dabur
                                                  its internet marketing initiatives going
                                                                                                       has online tools for order submission,
                                                  and scale up the company's digital skills.
                                                                                                       claim submissions, etc.).

06     An OC&C Insight Working up a six-pack
FMCG GIANTS GLOBALLY ARE LEVERAGING THESE
                                                THEMES TO FIND GROWTH IN SLOW MARKETS
                                                       INITIATIVES                                       IMPACT
                                                       	 Dollar Shave Club's online monthly               I n the fast-growing online razor
                                                           subscription offers a significant discount         market, Dollar Shave Club has a
                                                           to Gillette. Great example of digitally            >50% market share, vs Gillette's 20%.
                                                           delivered `Innovation'.

                                                       	 Leveraged an authentic premium brand          	 20x more cost effectively than Uncle
                                                           and delivered superior product high on            Bens.
                                                           nutrition - Built Brand equity

                                                           anufactures fresh convenient food
                                                           M                                                C onsistent double-digit growth in a
                                                           (prepared salads, prepared fruit, etc.)            stagnant market.

                                                       	 Knorr has managed to evolve its Instant       	 This concept has taken off, delivering
                                                           Mash Potato into a convenience meal by            great results for the brand.
                                                           fundamentally redesigning its packaging

TAPPING THE SIX MANTRAS FOR GROWTH
So how does one operationalise these mantras for growth? The first step is to recognise the relative importance of each to your product
categories. Beyond that, here are five initiatives which will enable companies to tap the six mantras for growth:

Improve the segmentation                        Create an innovation                                 Acquire
                                                                                                     Recognise gaps in the portfolio and
of your target group.                           atmosphere                                           geographies and acquire other companies
Look for unconventional dimensions to           Adopt the incubator model within the firm,           to gain access where internal development
identify segments that you can target using     and encourage the internal team to develop           may be too slow.
one or more of the mantras. This will also      new ideas into a business stage.
require clear understanding of consumer
behaviour and preferences.

Digital transformation                          Think medium term
Make serious work of the digital                Look further ahead and adopt at least a
transformation and inculcate the digital        three-year time frame in allocating staff and
behaviour throughout the company, as this       money.
is not just about marketing via social media.

                                                                                                                 An OC&C Insight Working up a six-pack   077
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For further information, please contact:
Abhishek Mahnot, Consultant
+91 22 4946 6600
Niyati Dave, Manager
+91 22 4946 6600
Naimish Dave, Partner
+91 80 6771 0709

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08   An OC&C Insight Working up a six-pack
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