Winning with Biscuits - Annual Biscuit Review 2020 - Pladis
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Contents The purpose of this review Foreword Well, it’s clear that adaptability remains key for retailers, Performance review This review has been produced by pladis from Well, what a roller coaster of a year 2020 was wholesalers and foodservice independently generated data and, as far as possible, for the Grocery industry! operators, as our trading 2 2020 on a page is a true and impartial view of the segments, environment continues to 4 Performance of Core manufacturers, brands and trends shaping the Biscuits Last January, almost nobody could have change due to the pandemic. category in the year ending December 2020. predicted the devastating impact COVID-19 Biscuits will also be one of Snacking Categories would have worldwide, nor just how quickly 16 categories affected by the 5 What happened in 2020? 6 What were the trends? Executive summary the pandemic would profoundly alter consumer and shopper behaviour. Government’s intentions to further regulate products deemed The importance of biscuits in a pandemic • UK biscuit sales were worth £2.96bn in retail during UK suppliers and retailers, large and small, faced to be high in fat, sugar or salt content 2020, bought by 99.5% of all GB households. challenges aplenty as we hastily adapted in the (HFSS). Navigating these challenges will require 8 How has the pandemic changed a renewed focus on collaboration between the way we consume biscuits? • Total category growth was the strongest in over five face of rapidly changing shopper needs. First by years: +7.2% or +£212m in value sales. This was driven solidifying supply chains as worried Brits added manufacturers and retailers. 10 Biscuit occasions changed in 2020 by star performances in sub-categories: Chocolate a few extra items to their trolleys and baskets, Read on to see how value for money, ‘treat 11 Brits bought biscuits more often, Biscuit Bars (+11.5%), Everyday Biscuits (+15.1%), then through facilitating the roaring demand for yourself’ occasions, increased interest in NPD and spent more each trip Everyday Treats (+11.9%) and Special Treats (+9.2%). online delivery slots and local shopping via the and a big Christmas will be important consumer Product performance • Sweet Biscuits remains the largest part of the convenience channel. trends as we progress through the year. 12 Core thrived during 2020 category with sales worth £2.4bn (+6.6%). Within this: And that was just the start. With months of What’s also clear is the renewed weight of the 14 Biscuit NPD was worth £45m in 2020 • Classic ‘biscuit barrel’ sectors like Chocolate multiple national lockdowns, regional core. In 2019’s Annual Review I suggested the Biscuit Bars, Everyday Biscuits and Everyday restrictions and a tier system for the grocery importance of core products to the biscuit 16 Best-in-class innovation and execution industry to contend with, it’s no wonder so category should never be underestimated. Treats grew as consumers enjoyed more hot drink Channel trends moments (+9.5%) and meals at home. many of us were feeling exhausted by the time And by focusing on the core fixture, optimising December rolled around. product range and following our ‘Better Biscuits’ 20 The pandemic had a BIG impact • A challenging start to the year meant premium on shopping channels Unsurprisingly, all this change marked a merchandising principles, retailers would be well options suffered initially, then Special Treats equipped to unlock a significant sales opportunity. 22 Focus on online bounced back as consumers treated themselves significant shift in the way British people during evenings at home, lacking out-of-home shopped for biscuits. This hasn’t changed. In fact, with the core 24 Online biscuit buying alternatives. representing 84% of last year’s category growth, The role of biscuits for the retailer While some sub-categories lost out – the eating it’s more important than ever before. • The largest sector of Sweet Biscuits – Healthier occasions for some on-the-go healthier biscuits, 26 Sweet Biscuits is a ‘Profit Booster’ category Biscuits (£576m) – suffered because shoppers like breakfast biscuits, practically disappeared The findings of this Review will be an essential The health agenda swapped out-of-home eating for in-home overnight when the first national lockdown was resource for anyone who sells biscuits, 28 Healthy eating breakfasts during the first national lockdown and announced – overall, biscuits began to play an whether that’s across a nationwide portfolio of many worked from home for the rest of the year. increasingly important role in our lives. superstores, or in a single convenience outlet 29 2021: Prepare for changes to rules and regulations Breakfast bars were particularly impacted (-20%), catering to residents of one local area. And, with but weight management products increased in This delivered the strongest Biscuits category 30 Making the fixture smarter the category due to touch £3 billion towards the importance to the sector. growth for more than five years, as the category Seasons and events end of 2021, there’s clear cause for us to work boomed in terms of both value and volume sales, • pladis leads Sweet Biscuits with a growing market together to amplify the category and maximise 32 Seasonal Biscuits hitting £2.96bn (+7.2%). share of 24.5% (+1.5ppts). potential growth. 33 Christmas 2020: A year like no other The performance of Biscuits last year also • McVitie’s is the biggest brand – worth £461m with 2020 showed us change can be swift in the 34 Restrictions on festive celebrations reaffirmed the importance of the core to this Grocery industry, but also confirmed the guiding 22% share and strong growth of +11.2%. vast category. More time at home prompted 35 Key events in 2021 principle we know to be true: the Biscuit category • Savoury Biscuits also had a successful year (worth extra hot drink moments, and consumers chose is built on the solid foundations of its core range. 36 Best-in-class execution biscuit barrel favourites from sub-categories like £554m, +9.5%). And, as the number one biscuit supplier, since Implications for 2021 Everyday Biscuits (+15.1%), Everyday Treats (+11.9%) almost a quarter of biscuits purchased (24.6%) are • Growth of in-home lunching (+40%), particularly and Chocolate Biscuit Bars (+11.5%) to pair with 38 Challenges for 2021 and beyond benefitted savoury crackers like Jacob’s Cream pladis brands, we believe there is yet more growth their cuppa. In fact, the Top 10 biscuit SKUs became to be tapped into. 40 2021 Biscuits Category Crackers (+16.7%). so important to consumers last year that they 42 Summary • pladis leads Savoury Biscuits with a 25.1% share represented £1 of every £5 spent in the category. Scott Snell 44 Sources (+0.4ppts). So, what can we learn from the year that was? Vice President of Customer 45 pladis contacts • Jacob’s is the top savoury biscuit brand, worth And what can we take forward into 2021? pladis UK & Ireland £82m, +18.1%. Annual Biscuit Review 2020 1
Performance review 2020 On a page OOH spend returning Regional differences A Christmas like no other Easing of restrictions over Rising infection rates meant the Uncertainty around 2020 summer saw hospitality reintroduction of restrictions Christmas didn’t venues open up dampen spending This led to regional was a year like Schemes such as performance differences as It was the biggest no other for Eat Out To Help Out areas in higher tiers (Midlands, December on record drove return of Out Of North of England) saw greater (£11.6bn, +11.7%) with Accidental grocery sales. Changing channels Home spending, leading growth, as did Wales during record Christmas growth stockpiling Lockdown and to a dip in Grocery growth their firebreak lockdown Shoppers stayed As the pandemic restricted living local in lockdown #1 news broke, lots of saw the UK reset This benefitted the worried shoppers the way it shops. Convenience sector, added a few extra but the reduced items to their footfall had a baskets (not bulk- knock-on effect on buying) leading to high-street stores empty shelves March 2020 Fewer, bigger trips Online shopping boom was the biggest The return of the weekly shop! National lockdown Grocery shopping online began to grow month of take-home meant shoppers used fewer stores, visited less often and bought more per trip Media reports of struggles to get delivery grocery sales They avoided frequent top- spots turned into stories of retailers increasing ever seen! up shops and often went capacity and prioritising midweek to avoid queues vulnerable shoppers 2 Annual Biscuit Review 2020 3
Performance review What happened in 2020? Top 3 fastest Performance of Core growing grocery 2020 saw the strongest Biscuits category growth for over five years, in both value and volume. Snacking Categories categories in grocery Chocolate Biscuit Bars and Everyday Biscuits and Treats were the key drivers of category growth, as a result of more in-home consumption. Seasonal and Healthier suffered due to social restrictions and changing behaviours. The 2020 pandemic had a significant impact on Brits’ grocery shopping. As we ate and drank at home, it is unsurprising that alcohol, home cooking and frozen foods saw the greatest growth in value. Alcohol Frozen food Being in-home also led to increased snacking. The category grew by +8.7% with Home cooking and baking biscuits, crisps and chocolate confectionery Average price per the key contributors to growth. unit: £1.12 (+1.8%) Volume: Value: Performance of Core Snacking Categories 699mn KG (+6.7%) £2.96m (+7.2%) Bagged Snacks 12.0% Total Core Snacking Growth +8.7% Chocolate Confectionery 11.7% Biscuits 7.4% Children’s Savoury Everyday Everyday Chocolate Special Sugar Confectionery 5.7% Seasonal We consumed more Biscuits (9.5%) Treats Biscuits Biscuit Bars Treats Biscuits in-home snacks so (1.7%) (11.9%) (15.1%) (11.5%) (9.2%) (-0.4%) larger packs drove major volume growth Cakes and Pastries 1.3% Healthier Winning and losing segments Biscuits (-5.2%) 4 Annual Biscuit Review 2020 5
Performance review For the first lockdown I just What were the trends? ate everything in sight. If I went shopping I bought nice, good biscuits because I wanted something to make More at-home consumption me feel better. Angela Home-working and lockdown changed how we bought and consumed biscuits. +40% home More value from Likely to continue Good for Savoury lunching large pack*1 in 2021 Biscuits won because they played two roles during Treating the pandemic Good for Everyday More in-home +9.5% hot drink Biscuits, Everyday Decline in Healthier breakfasts occasions Treats and Chocolate Biscuit Bars Store Shifting attitude to health Social restrictions and financial pressures increased entertainment at home, leading to growth Cupboard in Premium and Treat segments. Staples *1 Biscuit Barrel and Chocolate Biscuit Bars *2 i.e. Breakfast Biscuits Traditional OOH Likely to continue segments*2 declined due to ongoing WFH I’ve been trying to be a bit healthier with some of the snack options 2020 saw we’ve been buying. biscuits playing Rich Tea biscuits is a Recovered when Food for health dipped shoppers re-focused an increasingly new addition. Zoe during stockpiling on calorie control important role in Briton’s daily lives 6
Out of Home improved as The importance of restrictions biscuits in a pandemic eased and kids How has the pandemic changed went back the way we consume biscuits? to school The new healthier Entertaining and treating More hot drinks More meals at home Furlough led to decline in Premium Health Premium initially suffered during the Biscuit barrel products As consumers had more stockpiling phase as shoppers prioritised benefited as a result of lunches at home, categories Segments traditionally eaten out of home, everyday volume lines increased consumption such as Savoury Crackers and such as Breakfast Biscuits, declined of hot drinks as we spent Chocolate Biscuit Bars grew However, with increased social restrictions, Increased awareness of the risks of obesity more time at home we saw growth of Special Treats as contributed to growth of calorie control bars, consumers treated themselves in-home savoury snacking crackers and rice cakes I like having biscuits in. Nice couple of biscuits Weight management NPD Large packs dunked in my coffee or tea. Sometimes I’ll get Fewer OOH occasions drove Boredom and Fewer trips to the supermarket, a bit peckish before a decline in Healthier desire for evening combined with more in-home tea so I’ll have them. treats meant consumption led to large packs It’s just picking. Dave However, weight control strong growth growing in importance for shoppers products remain important 8 Annual Biscuit Review 2020 9
The importance of Brits bought biscuits more often, biscuits in a pandemic and spent more each trip – making Biscuits occasions changed in 2020 biscuits a valuable category for We know Britain is a nation of biscuit lovers, with 99.5% of the population buying every year. retailers to keep in stock But 2020 saw the way we buy and eat biscuits change. -28% less sweet O M E LU N C H E S biscuits consumed IN-H for Carried Out Lunch occasions Driven by On average, shoppers +28m more Average shopper spent bought biscuits 47 shopping trips £104.55 on biscuits, Chocolate times during 2020 contained £6.91 per year fe m + Biscuit Bars (2.3 packs per trip) biscuits more than 2019 at or 16 ur e l 3m ed un d bi ch Cri kers ature Cra es fe ore sc es rea nd Driven by Everyday ds ui m a ts Biscuits, Everyday Treats, CBBs and lun +91m +648M Savoury Crackers spb and Crispbreads c ch MORE BISCUIT OCCASIONS IN 2020 Biscuits are +12% increase universally loved, year on year with all demographics enjoying biscuits. However, over 45% of all inc Gre t h es it biscuits consumed are by g w re adults aged 55+ +1 rea ates r +310m biscuit 0 s t La th mo s occasions from oc 4m e wi ow on age 55+ ca m th sio ore gr 81m asi In 2020 we saw consumption + cc ns K o grow across all age groups, with C O A M households coming together to R N SN IN G enjoy their biscuits +20.5% growth in G I N younger consumers SN EN AC K EV (16-24yrs) Driven by Driven by Everyday Biscuits Special Treat 10 Annual Biscuit Review 2020 11
Product performance I buy Chocolate Digestives weekly. I always get the Top 10 biscuit brands Core thrived during 2020 same size pack. I think it’s habit, I just go to my ‘go to’ section in the aisle and pick them up. Top 10 biscuits brands Value % Brand Trading Company Biscuit Category Value Sales Change YA +12.1% growth McVitie’s Chocolate 1 pladis Uk Everyday Treats 104,517,102 20.5 Digestives 2 KitKat Nestlé Rowntree Chocolate Biscuit Bars 89,987,334 21.4 84% 3 McVitie’s Jaffa Cakes pladis Uk Everyday Treats 54,843,943 4.9 Category growth 4 McVitie’s Digestives pladis Uk Everyday Biscuits 51,060,408 25.6 5 Oreo Cookies Mondelēz International Everyday Treats 39,522,719 23.1 6 McVitie’s Rich Tea pladis Uk Everyday Biscuits 34,590,624 16.8 £1 of every £5 spent in category Belvita Breakfast 7 Mondelēz International Healthier Biscuits 32,299,352 -15.3 Soft Bakes 8 McVitie’s Club pladis Uk Chocolate Biscuit Bars 31,128,320 17.2 I normally only McVitie’s Chocolate ever buy Rich Tea 9 pladis Uk Everyday Treats 30,769,759 18.2 Hobnobs or Digestives, and I do like McVitie’s. I’ve tried other 10 Nakd Bar Lotus Bakeries Healthier Biscuits 30,599,936 -21.7 makes but they’re 6.6m more packs of McVitie’s not as successful. Chocolate Digestives sold in 2020! 12 Annual Biscuit Review 2020 13
I noticed there were Product performance new flavours of Jaffa Cakes and a new flavour of custard creams... Biscuit NPD was worth £45m in 2020 they caught my eye. New twists on classic lines performed well Flavour innovation saw Media attention on risks strong shopper uptake of obesity led to more weight management and pladis innovates the Trusted brands drove excitement in-home calorie control lines most in the category and accounts for 26% of all branded launches Top New Product Development (NPD) Slimming KitKat Malteser Biscuits World HiFi Bar Honeycomb 11.4% Kellogg’s Rice Cadbury Bournville Fox’s Viennese Krispie Squares Fingers Selection Chocolate Orange 11.4% of Sweet Kellogg’s Rice McVitie’s Biscuits sales came Cadbury Fingers orange Krispie Squares Chocolate Digestives from NPD in 2020 Birthday Cake Seasonal Edition McVitie’s Twix M&M’s Biscuits VIBs Salted Caramel 1/3 of incremental My girls like trying category growth new things, and I like McVitie’s Jaffa Cakes Flipz Strawberry Fibre One Protein came from pladis them to try new things Pineapple Cheesecake so I wouldn’t be averse to paying a bit more McVitie’s Bahlsen Choco than normal. KitKat Senses Best of British Leibniz Baileys Sweet Biscuits has grown £51m over 5 years through branded NPD 14 Annual Biscuit Review 2020 15
Product performance Best-in-class innovation and execution 2020 saw best-in-class in-store execution for biscuits across the trade. In Q1 the activation of McVitie’s’ partnership with Team GB featured touchpoints across shoppers’ path to purchase. Also – given the category’s impulse nature and its expandability vs other categories – we saw biscuits within retailer campaigns such as Sainsbury’s ‘Treats’ bay and Tesco’s Big Brands event. WIGIG Team GB Activation
Product performance Biscuits NPD was supported across the trade. Notably, Asda’s support of McVitie’s V.I.Bs NPD launch in Q3 helped drive strong sales uplifts. Best-in-class innovation and execution Asda implemented solutions to drive in-aisle engagement, installing digital bays across 27 stores. Stores also featured larger pack sizes to support shoppers’ desires and help them stock up. Bigger Pack Better Value Big Pack Deals Biscuit Fixturisation VIB launch (Tesco) (Asda) (Asda) 18 Annual Biscuit Review 2020 19
Channel trends The pandemic had a BIG impact Biscuits share on shopping channels 2 0 tain contin ains 20 g ues overindexes vs. core snacking in discounters o re h (Ix. 112) and online (Ix. 114) l i kely t growt Supermarkets, erce rop but m m eCo e may d This presents a Convenience and r Online were the big Sha key opportunity lockdown winners, larly nd rticu – pa me for retailers in with Online most likely a c re dem ased hielding s at ho these channels to retain 2020 gains n to i oppers pa due city tired sh Less need to stay local, more need to seek to leverage the a ter c Grea from ol der r e value therefore other channels take priority Biscuits category and s t aying al Online rs oc ppe ng l Sho pporti su Remains primary channel, but online and discounters will steal share OH by O e Convenience d r iven n-hom wth ng i Gro d movi p e n s Due to increased planning and less out of home Supermarket Covid impact Expectations consumption, in 2020 we on 2020 for 2021 saw shoppers conducting more main shop missions ore Lost e st in both supermarkets and and out as s n g mor ct) wen h ngi & Colle convenience channels Discounters t les oppers , bri s of v e use (Click ten isited a s cre tiative s - als fe o la wer st ill in i ck o o s i o n w new in f on res s s , line ce Re penin o g The reset in missions in High High Street stre e the Convenience channel limi t store ted foot s close fall d, presents an opportunity for a refreshed range to meet different needs Dec lini will ng high affe s ct th treet f On the go Top-up shop em o furt otfall her 20 Annual Biscuit Review 2020 21
Channel trends Focus on online The first UK lockdown increased demand for online groceries. 1/4 Growth in online eCommerce grocery share Record numbers (¼ of GB accelerated by pandemic grew +5ppts to 13.5% households ) now buy online 2020 2019 15 10 5 January February March April May June July August September October November December The record growth in online has led to an evolved shopper profile. 1/3 Growth has come through Retired shoppers now A changing customer older shoppers buying groceries online base to satisfy 2020 2019 50 2010 40 30 20 10 Pre-family Young family Middle family Family Older Empty Nesters Retired 0-4 years 5-9 years 10+ years dependents 22 Annual Biscuit Review 2020 23
Channel trends Online biscuit buying Online biscuit buyers are The online shopping mission is highly habitual and task habitual 94% Retailers must find creative ways to and rely on focused, but the impulse nature of the Biscuits category disrupt shoppers’ means it can be forgotten online. favourites journeys so they consider NPD Biscuits purchases 30% baskets contained were products unplanned biscuit bought before purchases Online baskets with biscuits are valuable but 1/3 Retailers must work they’re not yet a with manufacturers regular buy to help shoppers find product online via clear pack imagery 3.2 snacking categories Online biscuit buyers 10.6x average online biscuit and descriptions in online baskets had no biscuits in their buy vs. 39x offline vs. 1.2 buying offline last shop Unless I click on the offers and then I might think “Oh, we can have something different this week”. The demographic Retailers must offer But the standard dip- of the online 38% the right range across in-your-tea biscuits shopper is evolving are pretty much the online channels to same every week, meet needs of so there’s no real the changing decision made. 31% penetration 28% current online New online biscuit shopper profile of online biscuits biscuit buyers who are buyers who are 65+ shoppers ‘lockdown newbies’ 24 Annual Biscuit Review 2020 25
The role of biscuits for the retailer Sweet Biscuits is a ‘Profit Booster’ category When I’m shopping for biscuits there is a bit of excitement that I might find If we can tempt people to spend a little more, this is an opportunity for retailers. something new. The Sweet Biscuits category drives spend Shoppers are more Balanced with likely to increase a need for Did you know? spend because: availability Promotions Innovations Impulse Most important factors when shopping for biscuits: How can retailers make the most of this ‘Profit Booster’ status? Range Price Quality More important for biscuits than other categories in store: Premium ranges NPD and Theatre Promos to to take advantage range rotation and drive average of trade-up to excite stand-out weight of opportunities shoppers in the aisle purchase Innovation Offers Enjoyment 26 Annual Biscuit Review 2020 27
Last year I remember a TV The health agenda 2021: Prepare for changes to rules campaign that said kids’ snacks should be 100 calories. So Healthy eating that’s what I look for for my daughter. and regulations Health and healthy eating gained more attention in 2020. Products that are deemed to have high fat, sugar or salt (HFSS) content have featured in policy Shoppers have sought to improve their diets with lower calorie considerations of the Government. In 2020, consultations were held with the intent to restrict or lower fat options, and are likely to continue to do so in 2021. promotion and advertising of such products, including biscuits, from 2022. Restrictions on Restrictions on Restrictions on location-based promotions TV advertising volume-based promotions 19% (of 35 yrs+) 25% more say healthier eating is influenced the biggest change in by health when their behaviour since grocery shopping The impact of HFSS regulations could potentially be the pandemic began £1.6bn for snacking, with £267m from Sweet Biscuits -£1.6bn More than 4 in 10 Britons are trying to lose weight via diet and exercise -£267m (15% of The traffic total sales) light system is something I use, but I also look at Total Grocery Sweet Biscuits the % of sugar, fat etc. When buying healthier bars I wouldn’t want any of those to be over 15%. 80% concerned about 83% concerned about mental health physical health 28 Annual Biscuit Review 2020 29
The health agenda Sainsbury’s pioneered the development of Making the fixture smarter Healthier Alternatives in 2018, blocking all Fixtures need to positively support the health agenda. key brands together at the start of their merchandising flow Provide information and Highlight healthier Speed up buying nutritional suggestions to alternatives process and help decision-making on shelf avoid walkaways Sainsbury’s Healthier Alternatives with Under 100 Calories barker Gullón Maryland Sugar Free McVitie’s Lights Free’ist Siro 30 Annual Biscuit Review 2020 31
Seasons and events Seasonal Biscuits Christmas 2020: A year like no other While Christmas 2020 was different, the brands that focused on gifting and sharing were the strongest performers. Top 10 Seasonal Biscuit Brands 1 McVitie’s Victoria Assortment 6 Paterson’s Shortbread Fingers Last-minute rule Shoppers spent A record Christmas for changes disrupted more on groceries grocery sales, OOH sales 2 McVitie’s Family Circle 7 Cadbury Snowy Fingers plans across the UK from mid-October transferred in-home McVitie’s Chocolate 3 Jacob’s Cracker Selection 8 A different story for biscuits Digestives Seasonal Edition Fox’s Fabulously 4 9 Fox’s Chocolatey Selection Biscuit Selection -8% 5 Oreo Seasonal Assortment 10 Carr’s Savoury Assortment Shoppers held off buying Decline YoY in Seasonal Novelties brought treats while awaiting clarity assortments due to fewer social in new buyers 2020 NPD featured twists on well-loved classics on Christmas plans occasions and gifting opportunities driven by NPD McVitie’s Chocolate Digestives Seasonal Edition Bahlsen Choco Leibniz Baileys McVitie’s Jaffa Cakes Orange and Cranberry Normally I have bought 10 We had a limited Oreo Seasonal Assortment Tin or 12 boxes of biscuits to selection of biscuits gift to elderly relatives and this year. Normally Oreo Crackin’ Cookies Selection Box neighbours, but I didn’t do that comes from the that this year. Donna older generation like grandparents and aunties, but they weren’t going out to the shops. Paul 32 Annual Biscuit Review 2020 33
Seasons and events Key events in 2021 Restrictions on festive celebrations We can expect to see a release of pent-up demand for seasonal events in 2021 – especially Christmas – as people make up for missed time and celebrate with friends and family. Biscuits 2020 saw subdued festivities due to Government regulations and safety concerns can play a key role so retailers should ensure they feature the right products at the right time. January New Year, New You 64% Not seeing as 49% Not entertaining 29% Not as interested 2021: Great many people as much in Christmas February Valentine’s Day expectations Six Nations March Mother’s Day April Easter I missed celebrations this year so May National Biscuit Day I will enjoy Christmas Retailers to prepare 2021 more. June for rise in at-home/ outdoor celebrations Wimbledon (BBQs, picnics) as July restrictions ease For the first time ever, we Olympics didn’t gift biscuits at all. We normally get a box or two August Summer back but no, nothing this year. I normally buy them as extra gifts for people at school, September Back to School the receptionist etc, but the school asked us not to take presents in. Joanne October Halloween Christmas 2021: People 89% of UK shoppers November Diwali likely to plan more claimed to have missed seasonal celebrations out on at least 1 social Christmas to make up for 2020 activity over Christmas December New Year, New You due to COVID-19 34 Annual Biscuit Review 2020 35
Seasons and events Best-in-class execution Seasonal events featured strongly across the trade in 2020 – and 2021 offers even more potential. Deli Express Cross-Siting Sports Relief Execution Christmas Back to School (from top to bottom: Morrisons and Tesco) (from top to bottom: JS and Sainsbury’s) (from top to bottom: Asda, Morrisons and Tesco) (Sainsbury’s) 36 Annual Biscuit Review 2020 37
Implications for 2021 Challenges for 2021 and beyond Covid-19 Brexit Recession Likely impact: Financial/Economic Impact on Shoppers: 1 What they buy: Switching to cheaper Increased focus Increase brands and own label on health in online 39% 2 Higher levels of Where they shop: unemployment Desire to seek value will Concerned about impact increase discounters’ share on grocery shopping [#1 3 concern: price rises] Advance planning: Changing working Importance of speed dynamics and ease of shop Controlling spend means less impulse buying 4 91% Frequency of shop: Financial/Economic Impact on Shoppers: Going less often allows Declining financial less pick-up opportunities Say it’s important confidence to actively make savings 40% 95% on groceries Work affected Concerned about during lockdown economic outlook 2/3 External factors will have greatest impact on FMCG 62% 34% Who seek savings Savvy performance until mid-2022 spending are actively watching behaviours grocery spend Frugal shopping habits to Concerned about Concerned become the norm after financial security about job security turbulent 2020 38 Annual Biscuit Review 2020 39
Implications for 2021 2021 Biscuits Category: Projected Growth +0.6% Biscuit Barrel : Everyday Biscuits (EDB) and Everyday Treats (EDT) Special Treats Will play larger role due to Will see good H1 growth as we Core Biscuit increased WFH and hot drink annualise poor performance Barrel, Savoury occasions, but will struggle to during 2020 stockpiling and CBBs were the annualise heavy % growth seen in 2020 stockpiling In-home evening treating key contributors will stay important, growth to growth during likely in Christmas run-up stockpiling and (more socialising) will play a more important role Chocolate Biscuit Bars (CBB) within the This fast growing segment category in 2021 of 2020 will be increasingly Healthier Biscuits important, though growth likely to slow Likely slow start to 2021 with heavy declines in January, but recovery expected later in year as normal life resumes Kids / Novelty Biscuits Weight management to play a larger role in the category Struggled in 2020 as families ate together Likely to recover with return to schools in 2021 Savoury Biscuits Like Biscuit Barrel, will play larger category role due to WFH and more in-home lunching Seasonal Its strong growth during 2020 A key category growth driver stockpiling will be challenging - shoppers will make up for a to annualise scaled-down 2020 Christmas 40 Annual Biscuit Review 2020 41
Implications for 2021 Pent-up demand for newness will benefit NPD Prepare for a big Christmas in 2021 Innovation with the biscuits category is really 2020 gave us a Christmas like no other. As a important for category growth. We expect result, we can expect to see a release of pent-up Increased savvy Growth of the shoppers’ desire to try something new will demand for seasonal events as people make up shopper behaviour online channel be high in 2021. for missed time and celebrate with friends and family. Christmas 2021 will be BIG. Following a challenging 2020, we will see the true Online shopping took a giant leap in 2020, financial impact of the pandemic coming through, accelerated by increased demand and Action for retailers: List biscuits NPD with with savvy shopping behaviours taking hold subsequent increased retailer capacity. We prominent display and feature to encourage Action for retailers: Prepare for a rise in at-home/ among those who have been impacted the most. anticipate continued growth in 2021, making shoppers to buy into something new. outdoor celebrations such as BBQs and picnics as online a key battleground to win in. The older restrictions ease. As we move into the Christmas For these constrained shoppers, value will be demographic driving online growth aligns season, stock key gifting and treating biscuit lines top of mind, and we’ll likely see more shopping with the core biscuits consumer, but we to take advantage of shopper demand. around as they look for the best value for money. must ensure biscuits – as an impulse category – aren’t missed off that shopping list. Don’t forget the core Action for retailers: Ensure value for money is Shoppers turned to trusted brands and clearly communicated at fixture, and ensure bestselling products in the Biscuit category shopper needs are met through availability of Action for retailers: Online retailers must find creative ways to disrupt shoppers’ journeys – during 2020, and many fell back in love with Be prepared for changes value lines. nudging them to add their regular biscuits to traditional ‘biscuit barrel’ products which perfectly complement a cuppa. With more WFH to rules and regulations their online basket – and consider NPD which predicted post-pandemic, the continued surge A wide range of products, including biscuits, is often missed in the online environment. in ‘hot drink moments’ will maintain momentum are likely to be affected by the Government’s for the core biscuit category,including Everyday intentions to further regulate products that are In-home indulgence Biscuits and Everyday Treats. deemed to have high fat, sugar or salt content (HFSS). We expect to hear more about the will continue Healthier will surge Action for retailers: Focus on correct space proposed measures and their implementation soon. In 2021, we will start the preparations The recession is unlikely to impact all shoppers equally. For those middle classes who have been back to growth once allocation for bestselling branded biscuit for any potential changes in where and how saving money during lockdown, we will see an openness to trade up and treat themselves and lockdown eases products. Convenience retailers should prioritise stocking the Top 10 biscuit lines, as 80% of sales shoppers will buy biscuits as a result. their family, particularly at social events. For Health took a back seat during 2020, but as come from 8% of products in this channel. those less financially secure, smaller in-home lockdown eases we expect to see the usual Action for retailers: Throughout 2021, working treats and nights in will replace more expensive January Health Kick a little later this year. With with manufacturers to identify changes and out-of-home occasions. media attention on obesity, weight management is their potential impact to the Biscuits category likely to be top of mind for many consumers. will be key. Be prepared for these changes by focusing on bringing the fixture to life through Action for retailers: Premium biscuit options in-aisle theatre and engagement, as well as will still be relevant for those shoppers wanting Action for retailers: Prioritise weight management ensuring space is allocated to best performing to treat themselves. Ensure a strong range of biscuits to help meet evolving health needs. products to avoid out of stocks. Special Treats to meet these needs. Look for ways to support shoppers in store with education about healthier choices. 42 Annual Biscuit Review 2020 43
Sources: For all category PAGES enquiries please Nielsen Total Biscuits Market - 52we 02.01.2021 2-3, 6-9, 12-15, 20-21 contact: Kantar Total Take Home Grocery Sales - 52we 27.12.20 2-5, 20-21 David Costello Head of Category & Planning Kantar - Total Core Snacking - 52we 27.12.20 4-5 david.costello@pladisglobal.com Kantar Total Biscuits Market - 52we 27.12.20 6-11 Laura Molyneux Kantar Total Biscuits Usage - 52we 04.10.20 6-11 Category Controller – Channels laura.molyneux@pladisglobal.com pladis - Watch Me Think Shopper Research - 2020 6-9, 12-15, 29, 32-34 Stephanie Mewse Nielsen Total Biscuits - OSF Analysis 9 Shopper Insights Controller stephanie.mewse@pladisglobal.com Kantar Incrementality Study - Sweet Biscuits - 2016-2020 (14-15) 14-15 Kantar ‘What we can expect from 2021’ (20,21) 20-21 Kantar Take Home Grocery Sales - Full year 2010 vs. For all media 52we 29th Dec 19 vs. 52we 27th Dec 20 (22) 22 enquiries please pladis ShopperCentric eCommerce Biscuits Path to Purchase Research 2020 Shopper Intelligence - Sweet Biscuits - 2020 24-25 26-27 contact: Csaba Babak Nielsen State of the Nation Homescan Survey 2021 28, 34, 38 Corporate Communications Manager csaba.Babak@pladisglobal.com Kantar Covid Attitudinal Study - 12/52 we 17 May 2020 vs 12/52 we 19 May 2019 28, 38 Kantar Global Barometer, Wave 8 August 2020 28 Ipsos Mori Health Survey Survey - October 23rd- November 6th 2020 28 Nielsen Sweet Biscuits OSF Analysis - 13 x 4we periods to 21st March 2020 29 Kantar Total Take Home Grocery Sales - Seasonal Analysis- 20we 27.12.20 32-33 Nielsen Total Biscuits Market - 20we 02.01.2021 32-33 IGD ShopperVista, 6th and 7th Jan’21. 34 Base: 1,750 UK shoppers who celebrated Christmas 44
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