Why firms are puzzled over replacement benchmarks - EXTRA The key fundraising data from H1 - Mayer ...
←
→
Page content transcription
If your browser does not render page correctly, please read the page content below
September 2021 • privatedebtinvestor.com EXTRA The key fundraising data from H1 s are p uz zled o ve r Why firm a rk s replace me nt be nc hm
The Global Guide to Private Debt The practitioner’s handbook to navigating private debt This guide helps fund managers: • Understand how LPs are constructing private debt allocations within their portfolios • Determine how best to structure the legal, taxation and financial terms of a private debt fund • Anticipate which strategies are likely to attract the most interest from LPs • Mitigate currency risk in a private debt fund; plus much more AVAILABLE NOW Order this essential title today at: privateequityinternational.com/global-guide-to-private-debt Special offer to subscribers: Order your copy today quoting SUBBK15 and receive a 15% discount
Contents How to contact us Senior Editor Andy Thomson andy.t@peimedia.com, +44 20 7566 5435 Senior Special Projects Editor Graeme Kerr ISSN 2051-8439 • ISSUE 86 • SEPTEMBER 2021 graeme.k@peimedia.com, +44 20 3862 7491 Americas Editor Robin Blumenthal robin.b@peimedia.com, +1 646 970 3804 News Editor Insight Analysis John Bakie john.b@peimedia.com, +44 20 7566 5442 Reporter Michael Haley michael.h@peimedia.com, +1 212 633 1455 2 Performance Companies are coping 22 Raising awareness for venture debt Contributor well, but are not out of the woods yet David Turner Recent expansion signals a bright Managing Editor, Production: Mike Simlett Trend watch Ares writes future for a relative unknown Production Manager: David Sharman record-breaking green loan 4 Production Editors: Daniel Blackburn, Adam Koppeser, Nicholas Manderson, Financing How lenders are adapting Jeff Perlah Copy Editor: Eric Fish to today’s favoured sectors 6 Art Director: Mike Scorer Secondaries In conversation with Head of Design: Miriam Vysna Dechert’s Michael Wong 7 Art Director – Americas: Allison Brown Senior Designer: Lee Southey EDITOR’S LETTER Designers: Denise Berjak, Pio Blanco What will come after LIBOR? 8 Head of Marketing Solutions: Beth Piercy beth.p@peimedia.com, +44 20 7566 5464 Subscriptions and Reprints subscriptions@peimedia.com Cover story Customer Services customerservices@peimedia.com Editorial Director, US: Rich Melville Editorial Director: Philip Borel 10 Director, Product: Amanda Janis “We expect a real Making inroads in Canada Covid Director of Research and Analytics: Dan Gunner has been a game-changer for the Operations Director: Colm Gilmore dogfight” country’ private debt market 24 Managing Director, Asia: Chris Petersen Loans after LIBOR Chief Commercial Officer: Paul McLean How the Nordics learned to love There is a lively debate around what Chief Executive Officer: Tim McLoughlin will replace the benchmark and how direct lending Attitudes to private suitable that replacement will be in credit have changed dramatically 26 the event of a crisis UK asset holding company regime A new framework may be particularly Keynote interview beneficial for credit funds 28 Financing pre-EBITDA companies 18 Trust, collaboration and For companies at a nascent stage of development, obtaining debt finance may not be straightforward 30 diversification: the three pillars of For subscription information visit strong investor partnerships privatedebtinvestor.com CIFC’s Steve Vaccaro reflects on DATA building a global credit platform that No fundraising revival just yet 32 meets investors’ needs irrespective of market conditions Funds in market 34 September 2021 • Private Debt Investor 1
Performance Companies are coping well, even if they’re not out of the woods yet I n the early months of the It seems clear, for now at least, of respondents to our Private Funds pandemic, it would have that any imagined parallels with Leaders Survey 2021 said they taken a brave forecaster who the global financial crisis can be felt either positive or very positive predicted that default rates dismissed. The pandemic has about their operating environment would be where they currently presented challenges to businesses, when compared with the previous are, writes Andy Thomson. but nothing on the scale of the 12 months, while 74 percent were The most remarkable aspect of devastation seen in 2009. equally optimistic when comparing the latest Proskauer Private Credit Unsurprisingly, perhaps, the their fortunes with those of the Default Index for Q2 2021 is that – leaders of the world’s private public markets. Meanwhile, a mere far from the Armageddon that might markets investment firms are 5 percent of those running private have been expected – companies defiantly ebullient. Over a year markets funds believe ongoing are resisting distress even better into a brutal health crisis that is still covid-related uncertainty will have a than they do in what might be wreaking devastation in some parts significant effect in the near term. termed ‘normal’ times. of the world, just shy of 80 percent The average historical default How defaults have come down from Healthy picture rate is typically assumed to be pandemic highs (%) This healthy picture coincides with somewhere around the 2 percent Q2 2020 Q3 2020 news that, in the UK, so-called Q4 2020 Q1 2021 mark, whereas the index shows the 8 ‘bounceback’ loans – a form of state- latest rate for senior secured and backed emergency government unitranche loans standing at a very 7 financing – appear to have returned modest 1.3 percent. If there were many companies to the straight and 6 fears of a default crisis, what has narrow. The UK Office for Budget transpired is closer to the opposite – 5 Responsibility predicted rarely has the figure been this low. in December that as much as “Default rates have continued to 4 £19 billion (€22 billion; $26 billion) decline as the economy re-opens,” of taxpayer money might be lost 3 says Stephen Boyko, co-chair of through the scheme, but the latest Proskauer’s corporate department 2 estimate is around £5 billion. and private credit group. “We are Reflecting on the encouraging seeing plenty of liquidity in the 1 signs for bounceback loans, Simon market and our clients remain Fry, a partner at boutique advisory bullish about the health of their 0 firm ReSolve, cautions: “What will $25m-$49.9m >$50m portfolios.” Source: Proskauer be key in telling us if the default 2 Private Debt Investor • September 2021
rate will continue to stay low is how companies prepare for when the The big numbers government support fully stops.” The difference between first and fourth quartile, an Memories can fade quickly, and “Investment in Australian pension steps up a gear and investors less liquid and are happy with private debt performance the 8.1 percent default rate reached alternative assets in the second quarter of last year can support $167m already seems like a distant memory. good retirement Few will be expecting rates to climb outcomes for UK that high again in the near future, investors and but Fry’s words are a useful reminder we welcome the that no one really knows what lies government’s The difference between first- and fourth-quartile performance around the corner. recognition of in any given year for an average size fund, according to this in the prime Cliffwater’s study of US state pension performance minister’s letter to “ We are seeing 13.2x the UK investment plenty of liquidity in industry” the market and our Jack Inglis, chief executive of Median enterprise value to EBITDA ratio for US buyouts in the fourth quarter of last year, clients remain bullish the Alternative according to Pitchbook Investment A$15bn about the health of Management Association their portfolios ” Ups Stephen Boyko Proskauer Target private debt investment total for AustralianSuper over the next three years, representing a tripling of its There has been a lot of talk in & current level of exposure downs €1.5bn the market about how sponsors and lenders have worked together impressively to steer portfolio “Akin to a companies through the tough times. Hitchcock plot, we But as with covid, the first wave is not do not know with necessarily the last or biggest. certainty what the Close for Eurazeo’s fifth direct lending vehicle focused on Therefore, no one should be future holds as we European SMEs assuming just yet that the bullet look to manage $1.06bn 80% has been dodged. A study from life with virus corporate and fiduciary services firm variants and an Ocorian found that 47 percent of increasing role of capital market investors with direct big government” Total amount of private debt lending strategies were lacking secondaries in the first half of this Taken from Dial M confidence in their ability to manage year according to Setter Capital, Of investors happy with for Market, KKR’s compared with $360m in the how their private debt loss recoveries, “which could have first half of 2020 portfolio performed during credit market serious implications if default rates review for the the first half of this year, according to a study by rise as pandemic-driven government second quarter of the Alternative Investment support schemes are withdrawn”. 2021, authored by Management Association 2/3 This was particularly true of European Chris Sheldon, the managers and those that had been firm’s partner and around for less than 10 years. head of leveraged Optimism in the current credit environment seems appropriate, though it should be of the cautious Of institutions planning to invest further in private credit to meet their target allocations, according to the variety. n Alternative Investment Management Association September 2021 • Private Debt Investor 3
Insight Trend watch Ares writes ALLOCATION•WATCH record-breaking green loan n Teachers’ Retirement System of Louisiana A res Management, the largest is expecting industry issuance of The pension has approved a $125 private debt manager in collateralised loan obligations to hit million commitment to Blackstone the world, has written a a record this year. Tactical Opportunities IV, launched groundbreaking £1 billion ($1.4 “It feels like we’re in the beginning in Q1 2021 with a $4.5 billion target. billion; €1.2 billion) direct loan with of a new credit cycle,” Basmadjian The Tactical Opportunities series a margin linked to ESG targets. This tells Private Debt Investor after invests globally across a variety is the first time the firm has included Carlyle reported that first-half of sectors with the strategic focus ESG-linked terms in a direct fundraising for the firm surged on equity, debt and mezzanine loan, and it is the “largest private nearly 50 percent on the same investments in special situations. credit-backed sustainability linked period a year ago. Basmadjian says financing to date”, the firm says. CLO issuance for the entire industry Funds managed by the firm’s has already set records in 2021, with n Ohio Police & Fire Pension European direct lending platform Wall Street estimating it will hit Fund are serving as sole lender on $130 billion-$140 billion this year. The pension has approved £1 billion of facilities to RSK Group, Carlyle reported that fee-related a $50 million commitment a UK-headquartered environmental earnings in global credit surged to CapitalSpring Investment and engineering business. The deal 25 percent, to $46 million in the Partners VI. CapitalSpring’s sixth is notable both for its size – unusually first half of the year, partly driven by fund is seeking $750 million in large among direct lending deals – increased management fees from commitments targeting the branded and for its sustainability angle. strong CLO origination activity over franchise restaurant sector in the The facilities include an annual the past 12 months. US through credit tranching. The margin review based on the pension had previously committed achievement of sustainability Fund size keeps growing to the fifth fund in the series. targets, “which are broadly focused The size of the average private debt on carbon intensity reduction and fund shot up in the first half of 2021 continual improvement to health as a relatively low number of funds n Montana Board of Investments and safety management and ethics”, from large managers took the lion’s MBOI has committed $125 million the firm says. share of capital. With numerous across two private debt vehicles, per multibillion-dollar debt funds closed its August 2020 investment board Carlyle flags buoyant so far this year, the average size sits meeting documents. It comprises CLO market just below $1 billion. The covid-19 $75 million to GoldenTree Lauren Basmadjian, Carlyle Group’s pandemic is thought to be leading Distressed IV and $50 million co-head of liquid credit and head more LPs to commit capital to large to Centerbridge Special Credit of US loans and structured credit, managers that they know well. n Partners IV. Both are re-ups. Average private debt fund size is close to $1bn ($m) 1,000 n Connecticut Retirement Plans and Trust Funds 800 The organisation confirmed 600 $425 million-worth of commitments to private debt at its July 2021 400 investment advisory council meeting, a contact says. It comprised 200 €150 million each to ICG Europe 0 Fund VIII and Strategic Value Special 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 H1 2021 Situations Fund V, and $125 million Source: PDI to BIG Real Estate Fund II. n 4 Private Debt Investor • September 2021
$98.9B AUM * in Exceptional access Private Placement Debt. to deal flow. Institutional. But far from typical.™ Significant scale and longstanding market relationships, combined with our leadership in infrastructure and corporate private placement lending, gives us exceptional access to investment grade private placement debt opportunities. We have more than 50 sector specialists working together to develop customized portfolio solutions to help meet your needs. Discover private placement debt investment strategies at investments.metlife.com/private-placement-debt *As of December 31, 2020. At estimated fair value. Includes all corporate and infrastructure private placement debt managed by MIM. All investments involve risk, including possible loss of principal; no guarantee is made that investments will be profitable. This material is for informational purposes only, and does not constitute investment advice or an offer to buy or sell any security, financial instrument or service. Securities products are sold by MetLife Investments Securities, LLC, a FINRA member firm and member of SIPC. L1020008718[exp1022][All States] © 2021 METLIFE, INC.
Insight Financing How lenders are adapting to today’s favoured sectors O ut of a crisis comes innovation, and one of the “ These businesses distinctive features of the pandemic from a business point of can still represent view has been a bifurcation between a very good credit sectors that have flourished and those that have struggled, writes risk as they have a Andy Thomson. Businesses in the healthcare, lot of other positive software and technology sectors characteristics ” have found themselves favoured Xenia Sarri perhaps more than any others. Lincoln International However, private debt managers wanting to support these types of companies have faced a challenge. Many lenders, especially those of a more generalist persuasion, have become used to financing against recurring revenues rather 20 percent, compared with businesses with long track records than EBITDA. This is not exactly a 50 percent in the wider leveraged and strong profits. new phenomenon, having been loan market, and debt multiples of Many of the best performing an option in the US for around a around 2x annual recurring revenue. companies today may well lack decade. While senior loan defaults have both. Their main priority has What is striking is how much been in the range of 4-10 percent been growth, and many have more popular it has become. Sarri for the wider market over the past flat or negative earnings before says Lincoln had typically been six quarters, in the software sector interest, taxes, depreciation and involved in four to five recurring the range was 0.4 to 3.5 percent. amortisation. revenue financings in the software Recoveries in default also tend to be Yet no one should assume that sector each year but, over the past stronger due to the likely presence this makes them unbackable. “They 12 months, the figure rose to 20. of valuable intellectual property and may not be typical leveraged buyout A greater proportion of deals significant equity cushions. candidates, but these businesses are happening in Europe, where Given these attractive can still represent a very good they have only taken root over the characteristics, it is not surprising credit risk as they have a lot of other past few years, and estimates put that many lenders are taking a positive characteristics,” says Xenia the number of lenders prepared to closer look. In the fast-changing Sarri, a managing director in the do such financings at around 75, environment of the past 12 months, capital advisory group at investment compared with approximately 40 ‘sticking to the knitting’ has seemed bank Lincoln International. a year ago. a less viable approach. In recognition of this, many more The dislocation opportunity in lenders are now considering lending Misconceptions the early months of last year was One of the misconceptions around an example of fund managers 4-10% this type of financing is that, by needing to be adaptable and quick eschewing traditional metrics, it off the mark. Those qualities are must be inherently riskier. still required to take advantage of But, according to Sarri, the today’s opportunities. “There’s more Senior loan default rate in recurring revenue deals Lincoln liquidity than ever before and a the wider market over the past six quarters has seen have typically involved lot of innovation around financing loan-to-value ratios of around structures,” says Sarri. n 6 Private Debt Investor • September 2021
Insight Secondaries In conversation with Dechert’s Michael Wong Q What are the key considerations, including potential pitfalls, for parties on either side of a secondaries deal? Q Private credit secondaries seems to be maturing – is “ The increase in Key considerations include tax, disclosure rights to buyers and that your impression too? GP-led secondary anti-money laundering. Buyers and That’s certainly what we’ve been sellers should conduct an in-depth seeing and consistent with a notable transactions has tax analysis on the underlying funds’ uptick in the secondary mandates we’ve been instructed on. resulted in more tax position and commercially agree on the payment of any tax or We’ve seen the private credit diverse and complex potential tax liabilities at the outset. secondaries market grow In addition, if the buyer is a fund of significantly over the past 24 months secondary deal funds or has other investors backing in three areas: an overall increase in the number and size of secondary structures ” the transaction, the parties will need to map out the disclosure rights transaction mandates; a general with the underlying credit fund increase in the number and size of managers. AML is also an issue and specialised secondary funds that should be addressed early to avoid have come on to the market; and any last-minute hiccups – particularly an increase in the prevalence of in a transaction involving multiple GP-led secondary transactions as underlying funds. a percentage of overall secondary deal volume in the market. The increase in GP-led secondary transactions has resulted in more Q What’s your impression of the current state of the private debt market in Asia? diverse and complex secondary deal I think it is growing substantially. structures, which is dictated by the Our experience is, given the bespoke commercial objectives of economic environment which has the GP and the existing LP. been greatly affected by covid, many smaller private businesses Q What was your role in the Ping An/Coller secondaries deal? How long are tapping into private funds (including hedge funds and traditional private equity funds) for did it take and what were the time of completion, with a highly capital, by way of debt, for short- notable features? diversified portfolio covering 400 term funding for their businesses Dechert acted for Ping An as fund positions in over 250 companies, and operations as bank loans are counsel and as seller counsel on the and spreading across a range of not always available. transaction. The legal component industries, such as professional During the past year, we’ve seen of the transaction was completed services, healthcare and clients frequently investing in private within approximately four months telecommunications. debt issued by businesses in real with the commercial processes and estate, hotel and leisure and aircraft discussions occurring two months prior to commencement of legal documentation. The transaction Q Would you expect Asia- based institutions to make increasing use of secondaries? leasing, and we have been part of those. We expect this to continue and businesses will increasingly tap sees the sale of interests in Ping An’s Yes, we would expect to see private funds as a funding source as credit fund of funds to Coller and increasing use of the secondaries they are less regulated and much another institutional investor. market as the large volume of more flexible with their offering. n The transaction is notable for private equity funds and private being the largest private credit credit funds that have been set up Michael Wong is a partner at law firm secondaries transaction at the over the past years begin to mature. Dechert in Hong Kong September 2021 • Private Debt Investor 7
Insight Editor’s letter What will come New York 130 West 42nd Street Suite 450 after LIBOR? New York NY 10036 T: +1 212 633 1919 London 100 Wood Street London EC2V 7AN Andy Thomson T: +44 20 7566 5444 andy.t@peimedia.com Hong Kong 19F On Hing Building 1 On Hing Terrace Central Hong Kong T: +852 2153 3240 Private Debt Investor A s the deadline to replace the LIBOR benchmark for financial instruments Published 10 times a year by including loans creeps ever closer, so too does the urgency with which PEI Media. To find out more about PEI Media visit thisisPEI.com banks and fund managers must make their preparations. In the UK, where there appears to be consensus on a suitable replacement, this looks © PEI Media 2021 relatively straightforward. But in the US, where there are a host of possible No statement in this magazine is to replacements, the picture is much more confusing. be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell securities. Neither In this month’s cover story, starting on p. 10, Robin Blumenthal speaks to this publication nor any part of it leading banking sources, lawyers, consultants and others about the competing may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, merits and potential pitfalls of the electronic or mechanical, including different benchmarks. With vast photocopying, recording, or by any information storage or portfolios of loan-related contracts “ Finding a solution retrieval system, without the prior waiting to be tweaked, finding a permission of the publisher. solution that works for everyone is a that works for Whilst every effort has been made to ensure its accuracy, the huge but vitally important task – and everyone is a publisher and contributors accept no responsibility for the accuracy one that, as we discover, does not of the content in this magazine. come without challenges. huge but vitally Readers should also be aware that external contributors may Also in the issue, we reflect on the important task ” represent firms that may have fundraising data from the first half of an interest in companies and/or their securities mentioned in their this year and find there are few signs contributions herein. yet of a revival (p. 32). Investors are still being hampered by travel restrictions Cancellation policy You can brought in due to the pandemic, meaning the capital they allocate tends to go to cancel your subscription at any trusted managers. This ‘flight to safety’ is also reflected in their strategic choices, time during the first three months of subscribing and you will with senior debt notably increasing its share of the pie. receive a refund of 70 percent We also lift the lid on developments in the Canadian and Nordic private debt of the total annual subscription fee. Thereafter, no refund is markets (see p. 24 and p. 26, respectively), examine growth prospects in venture available. Any cancellation request debt (p. 22) and include guest features exploring the new asset holding company needs to be sent in writing to the subscriptions departments regime in the UK (p. 28) and things to consider when providing financing at the (subscriptionenquiries@peimedia. pre-EBITDA stage (p. 30). com) in either our London or New York offices. Printed by Pureprint Group pureprint.com Andy Thomson 8 Private Debt Investor • September 2021
Cover story September 2021 • privatedebtinvestor.com EXTRA The key fundraising data from H1 Private Debt Investor | Issue 86 | September 2021 Why firms are puzzled over replacement benchmarks Cover story 10 Private Debt Investor • September 2021
Cover story The benchmark that has underpinned vast numbers of financial instruments globally is coming to an end. But there is a lively debate around what will replace it, and how suitable that replacement will be in the event of a crisis. Robin Blumenthal reports September 2021 • Private Debt Investor 11
Cover story C all it the battle of the small number of global banks. It is cal- benchmarks. As much culated daily by averaging what those as US authorities lenders say they would pay overnight have been eager to to borrow from each other, not what persuade the financial they actually paid. That has left it vul- markets to adopt the nerable to manipulation. Secured Overnight Financing Rate, After a scandal involving collusion or SOFR – the benchmark they have by some high-profile institutions came slated to replace dollar-based LIBOR to light in 2012, regulators in the UK when it is phased out for new con- decided to hand over its administra- tracts at the end of the year – it seems tion to the Intercontinental Exchange plenty of market participants are not Benchmark Administration from the buying into it. clubbier British Banking Association, There is a lot riding on a smooth and to replace LIBOR with something transition. The London Interbank more transparent. Offered Rate underpins hundreds SOFR, which the Federal Reserve of trillions of dollars of financial Bank of New York began publishing in instruments – predominantly deriv- April 2018, is a broad measure of the atives – and includes an estimated overnight cost of borrowing cash that $6 trillion of commercial loans. Not is collateralised by US Treasuries in the exactly small potatoes. so-called repo market. Consulting firm Oliver Wyman has The secured rate is based on approx- estimated that a typical US bank today imately $1 trillion of daily transactions has 20-25 percent of its balance sheet between a diverse set of borrowers and in LIBOR. When commercial real es- lenders. tate and mortgages are included in the “One of the concerns with LIBOR overall tally, the consultant concludes was that $1 billion of transactions that there are nearly $10 trillion of in the London market was dictating LIBOR-referenced loans outstanding the rate on hundreds of trillions of in the US. dollars of transactions,” says Roger But LIBOR, an unsecured inter- Chari, a partner at Duane Morris who est rate benchmark that is published heads the law firm’s LIBOR transition daily, is refusing to go quietly, at team. least in the US commercial lend- ing market. “So far, the rate that “The risk is that the SONIA’s the one is going away is winning,” said an In the UK, new contracts and loans Oliver Wyman presentation on the market’s going to based on LIBOR are well on the way transition this summer. And that is to being replaced by the Sterling because SOFR and LIBOR are not freeze up and lenders Overnight Index Average, or SONIA, interchangeable. which is based on actual trades in the “There’s no question that SOFR aren’t going to want UK overnight unsecured lending and is a more transparent and more liquid to be lending at the borrowing market. The British bench- underlying market than LIBOR,” says mark is administered by the Bank of J Paul Forrester, a partner in law firm very time you need England, which publishes the rate Mayer Brown’s Chicago office. “The every business day. problem is that it’s not comparable them to” But the changeover has not been to LIBOR because it doesn’t reflect nearly as smooth in the US. The Al- many lenders’ funding costs and is less HARRIS SIMMONS ternative Reference Rates Commit- credit-sensitive.” Zions Bancorporation tee, an industry panel charged by the LIBOR, which came into existence Federal Reserve Bank of New York in the late 1960s, is based on a poll of a with leading the transition, is strongly 12 Private Debt Investor • September 2021
Cover story How prepared is your institution to address the phasing out of LIBOR? (%) advocating for SOFR. The rates com- mittee “is trying to do a rate for all sea- Lenders Private equity investors Total sons”, says Adam Schneider, a partner 0 10 20 30 40 50 in Oliver Wyman’s financial services practice who also sits on the panel, Very prepared known as the ARRC. “There was a rate for all seasons, LIBOR. Replac- ing it with a new rate that has different characteristics is daunting.” Somewhat prepared The main problem is that SOFR is a risk-free rate because it is based on overnight borrowing backed by US Neutral Treasuries, while LIBOR is sensitive to credit conditions. This means that if there is a market event and SOFR is the prevailing rate, the rate banks charge Somewhat unprepared for loans will be likely to fall – since SOFR is risk-free and essentially a safe harbour – while their cost of funds will Not prepared at all rise. This is likely to lead customers to draw down their credit lines and could Source: Katten cause a serious mismatch between the cost of loans and the cost of bank borrowing in the market. As rates fall, borrowing from banks rises, even as it becomes more expensive and difficult driving down the freeway the wrong restructuring lending products to pro- for lenders to get funding. way during a crisis”. vide banks with more protection,” “This is how markets behaved in Moreover, if a risk-free rate such with fees or significant rate floors on past crises, and banks are wonder- as SOFR predominates during a cri- loans. ing how to protect themselves if they sis, “the risk is that the market’s going Many banks are moving towards lend with SOFR,” says Schneider. All to freeze up and lenders aren’t going more recently developed credit-sensi- the stimulus that was injected into to want to be lending at the very time tive rates as an alternative to LIBOR. the system because of the pandemic, you need them to”, says Simmons. The CSRs include Ameribor; Bloomb- among other things, helped to push Zions Bancorporation began erg’s Short Term Credit Sensitive Index, rates on 10-year Treasury inflation- adopting Ameribor, a credit-sensitive known as BSBY; and credit-inclusive protected securities to a record low rate that is published on the American term rates and spreads, known as CRI- of minus 1.132 percent at the end of Financial Exchange, this summer as a TR and CRITS, that are published by July. substitute for LIBOR. The lender now IHS Markit. In addition, ICE is testing “It’s perplexing to me that regula- has a number of clients with this refer- a dollar-based credit-sensitive rate. tors would be endorsing SOFR as a ence rate incorporated into their loan reference rate for commercial lend- agreements. Banks hesitant ing,” says Harris Simmons, chairman With LIBOR, both loans and bank Unsurprisingly, just a few months and chief executive of Zions Bancor- funding costs move the same way away from the deadline to stop using poration, a Utah-based lender with during stress, creating more equi- LIBOR for new instruments, many more than $80 billion of total assets. In librium. But with SOFR, the cost of banks are still hesitant to make the times of stress, when credit spreads are money goes up and the price of loans transition to SOFR. “A lot of people widening and market participants are goes down. According to Schneider: are trying to figure out what every- “piling into Treasuries and repo rates “Changing this dynamic will either body else is doing,” says Matt Hays, are coming down, it seems to me that mean not using SOFR – and there a partner in law firm Dechert’s global you set the stage for the equivalent of is pressure to use other rates – or financial practice who leads the firm’s September 2021 • Private Debt Investor 13
Cover story LIBOR transition taskforce. “Nobody “We expect a real ‘I understand allegations of market wants to be the first mover.” dogfight between manipulation led to concerns about The lack of consensus on a pre- LIBOR, but now that such concerns ferred alternative is slowing down the term SOFR and have been alleviated, can’t better con- transition. trols simply be installed?’” Although there is an imminent need various alternative Although the US Federal Reserve to move lending to new rates, “lit- supports the use of SOFR, chairman tle lending is being done on any new rates this fall” Jerome Powell has testified before rate”, according to Oliver Wyman. Congress that the ARRC’s recom- Fund prospectuses are cautioning that ADAM SCHNEIDER mendations and the use of SOFR the uncertainty surrounding a LIBOR Oliver Wyman are voluntary, and that market par- replacement could create more volatil- ticipants should transition away ity. One big issuer of collateralised loan from LIBOR “in the manner that is obligations tells Private Debt Investor most appropriate given their specific that as recently as this summer, lever- circumstances”. aged loans were still being priced using Nevertheless, Treasury Secretary LIBOR. Janet Yellen at a meeting of financial “The market still hasn’t seen a regulators in June urged bankers and SOFR syndicated loan,” says Chari of other market participants to avoid Duane Morris. alternative rates that she said are not That is partly because the ARRC robust enough to underpin many other took so long to endorse a for- financial products. At the same meet- ward-looking term rate for SOFR, ing, the Fed’s vice-chairman, Randal which is crucial to remove uncertainty Quarles, who has strongly advocated about rate changes for the large num- for the use of SOFR, said “LIBOR ber of commercial and consumer loans is over”. with floating rates. Although there are seven different tenors for LIBOR, and SOFR ‘robust’ much of the leveraged lending mar- In a speech in June, Quarles said ket uses term rates, SOFR was largely SOFR “rests on one of the deepest limited to an overnight rate until this and most liquid markets in the world summer. and is therefore likely to remain avail- The ARRC originally said it would able even when other financial mar- recommend a term SOFR rate by kets are disrupted”. According to the mid-2021, but then reversed itself. It finally endorsed a term SOFR rate published by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, the derivatives market op- erator, in late July. However, Oliver Wyman says that there will not be an ability to hedge term SOFR un- til at least 2023. Meanwhile, all the credit-sensitive benchmarks have term options. Jim Aronoff, a managing director in the restructuring and dispute resolu- tion practice of accounting firm Cohn- Reznick, says that many of his clients believe LIBOR was not broken in the first place. “As bizarre as it sounds, a comment I hear very frequently is, 14 Private Debt Investor • September 2021
Cover story A financial force of nature New York Fed’s website, “during acute market stress in March 2020, SOFR Richard Sandor came up with an answer to LIBOR. volumes remained robust – while activ- Other ideas are in the pipeline. ity in term unsecured markets further dried up”. Richard Sandor, the mastermind of Ameribor, a credit-sensitive At roughly $1 trillion, daily SOFR alternative to LIBOR, along with the American Financial trading in the repo market dwarfs the Exchange, the trading platform that helps set the new benchmark, volume in both the overnight and term has spent much of his career revolutionising the landscape for financial credit-sensitive rates. But the repo products. market relies heavily on trading by just It all began some 50 years ago, when Sandor, who was on sabbatical a handful of banks, according to the from the University of California, Berkeley, became the chief economist Bank for International Settlements. By and vice-president of the Chicago Board of Trade. There he invented contrast, the American Financial Ex- several interest-rate futures contracts and became known as the “father of change, where Ameribor is traded, rep- financial futures”. resents about 25 percent of US banks The American Financial Exchange, or AFX, is Sandor’s latest brainchild. in terms of both assets and by number. He launched the platform for interbank lending and borrowing in 2015. It So far, there is “limited” activity helps set Ameribor, which he created as “the anti-LIBOR”. in SOFR futures and derivatives, says Soon after the LIBOR scandals emerged in 2012, Sandor realised that Mark Cabana, head of US rates strat- the structure of the British benchmark was flawed and he began working egy at Bank of America. Cabana be- on a substitute. In an interview with the Kellogg School at Northwestern lieves “there’s enough trading activity” University, Sandor said that “as with interest-rate futures, everybody underlying the credit-sensitive rates to thought a new [benchmark] was unnecessary”. inform their indices. He set to work to prove them wrong. “We did this highly remarkable He expresses concerns about how thing – we asked the customer what he wanted,” Sandor says wryly. Over credit will be priced off SOFR versus the course of the past 10 years, he and his team have visited 125 cities an index that has credit risk. Cabana across the US, from Tupelo, Mississippi, to Green Bay, Wisconsin, to speak says that although the Fed has not said to bankers at community, regional and minority-owned banks to inform so explicitly, he thinks the central bank them of the creation of Ameribor and the AFX. believes there is an advantage to having From that intelligence gathering, Sandor says, “things crystallised and a rate it can easily control, and that the we realised intuitively that we could help match institutions in high-growth banking sector would be safer using a areas with those in low-growth areas of the country and create a truly risk-free rate. national market”. “The Fed from day one has hated Efforts have paid off. AFX represents a full 25 percent of US banks with the fact that a major international rate assets of $5.3 trillion. “We opened up the capital markets and democratised is being set by markets over which they them so that minority-owned, regional and mid-sized and community have no control,” says Mayer Brown’s banks would have access to liquidity that the large banks had, through a Forrester. “It does affect their ability peer-to-peer fintech exchange,” Sandor says. to implement monetary policy.” With Ameribor has the imprimatur of no less a personage than US Federal SOFR, because the Fed can intervene Reserve chairman Jerome Powell. He testified to a congressional in the US repo market through its committee that Ameribor “is a fully appropriate rate for banks that fund open-market operations, the US cen- themselves through the American Financial Exchange or for other similar tral bank “can push rates around any institutions for whom Ameribor fully reflects their cost of funding”. way they want”. He noted the benchmark “may not be a natural fit for many market The Fed in late July launched a participants”. standing repo facility to provide liquid- Sandor shows no sign of slowing down. At a webinar the AFX hosted ity to big Wall Street banks and other this summer, he said: “We’re working on a real whopper… that involves central banks to help stabilise markets trillions of dollars.” Sandor tells Private Debt Investor that he is broadly experiencing stress. looking into some sort of investment instrument, possibly related to a Under the facility, primary dealers subset of banks on the AFX. Plus, he is “making a thrust into sustainability could exchange Treasury and other debt in banking”. We’ll be sure to stay tuned. with the central bank for overnight cash September 2021 • Private Debt Investor 15
Cover story “The problem is The LIBOR commercial lending market* Approximate that [SOFR] is not USD LIBOR lending footprint outstanding ($bn) % LIBOR Low ($bn) High ($bn) comparable to LIBOR Syndicated loans** 3,400 97 3,298 3,298 Corporate business loans** 1,650 30-50 495 825 because it doesn’t Non-corporate business loans 1,252 30-50 375 626 reflect many lenders’ CRE/commercial mortgages 3,583 30-50 1,075 1,792 funding costs and is Total 9,885 5,244 6,541 *estimate based on industry and Federal Reserve surveys plus Oliver Wyman analysis less credit-sensitive” **some overlap exists between estimates of syndicated and corporate business loans Source: Oliver Wyman J PAUL FORRESTER Mayer Brown loans at a rate of 0.25 percent. The Fed, said that a majority of the lenders and which set a $500 billion daily cap on the private equity sponsors polled admit- facility, first intervened in the repo ted they were not very prepared for the market in September 2019, when LIBOR transition. All the replacement “overnight money market rates spiked language in existing documents must and exhibited significant volatility, be changed, at a significant cost of time amid a large drop in reserves due to the and money, although in the US mar- corporate tax date and increases in net ket participants generally have until Treasury issuance”, according to the mid-2023 to replace existing LIBOR Fed’s website. contracts with another rate. In a briefing to the Federal Open To prevent a flood of lawsuits, New Market Committee at its April meet- York state enacted a law last spring to ing, recorded in its minutes, Fed staff designate SOFR as a fallback in LI- noted that repo operations “have been BOR legacy contracts that either do a useful tool in controlling the federal not have one or where counterparties funds rate by adding reserves to ensure cannot agree. And there is a move in that they remain ample, and by limiting the US Congress to reference some pressures in repo markets that could form of SOFR as a fallback. spill over into unsecured markets”. But with the end of the year fast ap- They cited the repo operations’ role in proaching, the majority of borrowers helping to stabilise financial markets in surveyed by Oliver Wyman say they March 2020. have not yet even been approached by However, a few participants point- their banks to discuss available options. ed to the risk that “such a facility could “The trillion-dollar question is, crowd out private market sources of li- ‘What are people going to do?’’’ says quidity provision”. Dechert’s Hays. All that aside, “widely differing “We expect a real dogfight between views” remain on which rate to use, ac- term SOFR and various alternative cording to Oliver Wyman. rates this fall,” says Oliver Wyman’s Law firm Katten, in its Private Credit Schneider. It is unclear if and when Survey Report 2021, published in April, there will be a winner. n 16 Private Debt Investor • September 2021
1 – 2 December | Royal Lancaster Hotel, London Keeping diversity at the top of the agenda Now part of the Women in Private Markets Summit, the Women in Private Debt Forum is a must-attend diversity event for cross-asset class networking. Join 600+ attendees and gain insights from expert speakers on diversity within the industry. Attendees have access to four forums across private equity, infrastructure, real estate and private debt. Book now and join the Women in Private Markets Summit. Featured speakers at the Women in Private Debt Forum include: Alesia Dawidowicz Benoit Durteste Sabrina Fox Daniela Jönsson Managing Director, Private Chief Investment Officer and Executive Director Principal Debt and Hedge Funds Chief Executive Officer ELFA Ares Management StepStone Group ICG Denise Le Gal Teia Merring Lorna Robertson Sonia Rocher Chair Investment Director – Private Head of Funds Head of Private Debt Brunel Pension Partnership Equity Connection Capital Research and Execution USS BlackRock Book before 8 October to save £100 and get full access to the summit peievents.com/en/event/women-in-private-markets-summit/
Analysis K E Y N O T E I N T E R V I E W Trust, collaboration and diversification: The three pillars of strong investor partnerships CIFC’s Steve Vaccaro reflects on building a global credit platform that meets investors’ needs irrespective of market conditions Q CIFC has recently reached its 15-year anniversary and crossed $30 billion in SPONSOR CIFC our success would be possible. We’ve achieved quite a bit and there’s much more to come over the next few years. assets under management. How do you reflect on those landmarks? As we’ve grown and crossed these land- continuously re-examining whether our processes and procedures continue to support our growth efforts or whether Q You have diversified into numerous different strategies. How have you marks there’s some commonality around any part of them hinders our ability to gone about that and are what has driven our success: nurturing scale and diversify the platform. there are other areas under a strong culture and having our people We have demonstrated that size does consideration? aligned with that culture. Achieving not necessarily diminish performance. This is a question I get asked periodi- these milestones is not a one-person That was a main consideration as we cally by investors. Our approach to di- exercise – it’s truly a team effort that re- began to extend our platform. Being versification has always been to remain quires everybody to be behind the stat- able to maintain performance not only true to our core competencies in cor- ed goals that we’re seeking to achieve. in the face of growth but across market porate credit, and as we’ve grown, we Further, self-assessment is critical, and cycles has been a key contributor to have built on leveraging our individual you must be willing to be flexible and our success. I’m also immensely proud product expertise that we’ve brought in- make changes. As we grow, we are of our people without whom none of house across various strategies. CIFC 18 Private Debt Investor • September 2021
Analysis is not a firm where we create silos. Our culture is collaborative and encourages teamwork among different disciplines, allowing each strategy team to gain val- ue and information from one another. Collateralised loan obligations have always been an important part of our business and make up the largest por- tion of our assets. We also manage total return loan and bond funds, long/short credit, structured credit, opportunistic credit and, more recently, multi-asset credit. We expanded our operations footprint into Europe and offer these customised client solutions globally. Our structures include commingled funds, UCITS and separately managed Q How do you ensure you’re maintaining the right culture as the business expands and diversifies into new areas? That’s a critical question and at the core of our planning as we contemplate accounts. We provide different risk and continued expansion. We moved into Europe and had employees liquidity profiles for our investors to geographically separated from the New York headquarters. Maintaining our suit their needs. culture and teamwork is absolutely first and foremost in our hiring practices Looking ahead, we’re always eval- and how we approach growth initiatives. We want people who want to be uating ways to expand into new areas here and want to share our vision both in terms of how we run this firm and and one particular focus is direct lend- our goals of creating a best-in-class global alternative credit platform. ing, which we view as highly comple- For us, that entails working together and having a ‘firm first’ attitude. mentary to our liquid credit businesses. Our different product teams don’t sit in isolation from one another, they We are in active conversations with all sit together on one trading desk and there’s a constant dialogue around multiple parties about the prospect of risk and markets. It’s about leveraging off one another, and working as a combining with CIFC and it is highly close-knit team, which is fundamental to our philosophy of how we want to probable we will do so in the near term. continue to expand the business. Q With different strategies under one roof, how do you seek to ensure they solutions team allows us to support all of our strategies globally. asset managers to consider. What are your thoughts on this, complement each other? On the investment side, we have from a CIFC perspective and We believe in the fundamental prem- cross collaboration across strategies, from what you observe in the ise that investors don’t want to change with expertise in one strategy providing wider market? managers when they want to reallo- information and support to others. In For us, ESG is at the core of everything cate within credit. A primary reason my opinion, the most important point we do. It’s how we invest and govern for this is trust, which is at the centre about having multiple strategies under the firm. We have long recognised that of our partnerships with our investors. one roof is that it allows us to make ESG is an important consideration and Additionally, there is a significant time better decisions. In difficult times, the good business practice. Our expansion commitment that investors must make more products you manage, the more into Europe, where ESG has been in order to evaluate managers, which information you have, and the more at the forefront for many years, rein- makes it difficult for them to bring in a information you have, the better deci- forced this view. We are a signatory to new manager every time the opportuni- sions you can make. There is always a the UN PRI and incorporate ESG into ty shifts in the marketplace. Therefore, relative value opportunity somewhere our underwriting and investment pro- we view a multi-strategy platform as an that can be exploited to the benefit cesses. DE&I is equally at the forefront advantage, as it allows us to offer inves- of investors, which becomes easier to for us, having a formal DE&I commit- tors different risk and liquidity profiles identify and execute with a large and tee that’s responsible for ensuring an and gives them the ability to stay invest- diversified platform. inclusive workplace and upholding our ed on our platform and allocate between core values. We’ve had these processes strategies when it’s deemed necessary or appropriate. Having a large investor Q Clearly, DE&I and ESG are vitally important areas for in place for some time; it’s not new for us. I believe reflection and actionable September 2021 • Private Debt Investor 19
Analysis feedback has allowed us to become a I would say government assistance financial crisis. The product itself has better firm. was absolutely critical in getting every- also become mainstream with banks Nonetheless, we recognise there has one through this unique period. It gave and insurance companies at the top been a lack of industry co-ordination markets confidence and enabled them of the capital structure. It’s become an around these issues and we want to have to remain open and function properly. attractive asset class for family offices a part in changing that. This past year, It also allowed access to liquidity that and other alternative investors that are we established the CLO Initiative for was beyond what most people antic- looking for yield. Overall, the investor Change, a philanthropic programme ipated. Companies were able to gain base has shifted significantly from a associated with our CLO issuance that access to sufficient capital to support trading to a ‘buy and hold’ philosophy. is dedicated to supporting organisations them through the most difficult period During the pandemic, we observed that are striving for social, economic and liquidity was the result of govern- that if you understood the fundamen- and environmental change. With our ment policies being very accommoda- tals, you could get exposure at very deal partners, we came together and tive at a critical point in time. attractive prices. The market has since made a collective donation of $145,000 quickly returned to pre-pandemic to Black Girls CODE. It is our intention to replicate this type of donation at least annually. More Q What’s investor appetite like today and how do you go about serving investors levels of health. Demand in 2021 has been fuelled by this challenging envi- ronment we find ourselves in, and the importantly, firms across the market effectively? fact that returns from CLOs are really are starting to address these issues as As investors search for yield, it is ap- quite attractive. I don’t see this fading well, which was our hope. We strive to parent the traditional 60/40 model is and I think we’re going to have strong be a leader in the space and appreciate broken. How do you find yield and demand right through to year end. the recognition we have received from acceptable risk that doesn’t have high our peers, who’ve expressed a strong desire to replicate these efforts with similar initiatives. correlation? For us, being able to offer a platform with multiple avenues of ac- cessing credit allows us to engage in- Q What do you predict for the credit markets in general in the period ahead? We will continue to evaluate and vestors in solutions-orientated conver- The economy continues to be strong as evolve our practices around ESG sations. The CLO market is very much we work through the reopening. How- and DE&I to ensure that they meet in favour and a lot of that has to do ever, we still face the impact of the pan- best-in-class standards. with how it has consistently performed demic globally and resulting growth through periods of stress over the last concerns. We have an internal debate Q How did CIFC navigate the market uncertainty of the last year and what role couple of decades. While sometimes there can be negativity around credit, I don’t think many people envisioned on a daily basis about inflation – wheth- er it’s transitory or not and how much growth will slow once we get past the did the government play in how robust these structures are in reopening. Taking a step back to look supporting credit markets and terms of the protection they provide, at the broader picture, we believe credit the economy? the non-mark to market nature, the di- is fundamentally sound. I’m very pleased with how our funds have versification, and the excess spread. Our view is that over the coming pe- performed through this period, demon- The CLO investor base really be- riod we’re likely to see more price risk strating CIFC’s capacity to do well gan to evolve and expand from niche than credit risk. The default forecasts during an economic downturn. What to mainstream following the great coming out of the banks and the vari- we did was a basic blocking and tackling ous rating agencies have been tracking exercise of re-underwriting every name lower down and frankly tracking the in our portfolio and trying to assess what “One particular focus actual results that we’ve been seeing. each company’s liquidity profile and ac- We’re going to have volatility. How- cess to capital might be. Based on this, is direct lending, ever, I do not necessarily think we’re we ranked the companies on their abili- going to have a material spike in credit ty to succeed through the pandemic and which we view as risk. I believe credit is in good shape tried to mitigate as much risk as possi- highly complementary with robust liquidity, low interest rates ble. It was quite a herculean exercise that and continuous cashflow generation. n took several weeks to work through, and to our liquid credit we were very active in the markets, buy- ing and selling names, repositioning our businesses” Steve Vaccaro is chief executive officer and chief investment officer of CIFC Asset portfolio to reduce risk. Management, a global credit specialist 20 Private Debt Investor • September 2021
You can also read