TRENDING TOPICS ASIA PACIFIC

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TRENDING TOPICS ASIA PACIFIC
CASUALTY // EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION

               Oil and gas extraction
               in Australia
               JANUARY 2017

TRENDING       The Australian oil and gas extraction industry
               is growing, and projections indicate that both
TOPICS         production and export are likely to continue
               increasing. The industry by nature involves large,
ASIA PACIFIC   capital-intensive and complex plants and potentially
               volatile, often toxic products.
TRENDING TOPICS ASIA PACIFIC
Export performance is directly
correlated with industry
performance
First things first: let’s get some of the          when released as a gas from high-pressure        These are the ‘big guns’, often household-
industry jargon out of the way. LNG                wells, becomes liquid.                           word players, such as Woodside Petroleum,
(Liquefied Natural Gas) is formed when                                                              BHP Billiton, Chevron Australia Holdings,
                                                   The oil and gas extraction industry
natural gas is cooled to a very low                                                                 ExxonMobil Australia, Santos and Shell
                                                   mainly produces crude oil, natural gas or
temperature, whereas LPG (Liquefied                                                                 Energy Holdings Australia, not ‘mom-and-
                                                   condensate from oil and gas deposits.
Petroleum Gas) is naturally occurring                                                               pop’ enterprises. And yet, the industry’s
                                                   Companies in the industry may purify
gas – such as propane – which is kept                                                               health and performance affects, at least
                                                   natural gas, liquefy hydrocarbon gas or
under pressure to keep it in liquid form. A                                                         indirectly, every household and business in
                                                   operate natural gas absorption or separation
condensate is a type of light crude oil that,                                                       Australia.
                                                   operations. Some produce LNG and LPG.i

Key factors
The vagaries of world oil and gas prices, the      An estimated three-quarters of the $38           The global crude oil price is intimately
Australian dollar/US dollar exchange rate,         billion in 2016-2017 revenues can be             linked to the industry performance, even
the 10-year bond rate, domestic and export         attributed to exports: LNG export dominates      for gas extraction, as it is customary for
demand for the product, and production             (57.8%), followed by crude oil (17.2%) and       contracts for gas supply to be quoted on
volumes are the main influences on the             LPG (1.7%).i This speaks volumes about the       benchmark oil prices.
industry’s performance.i Their impact is           industry’s vulnerability to foreign demand for
                                                                                                    Natural gas accounts for over $21 billion (or
complex, which results in volatile revenues        the commodity, trends in oil and gas output,
                                                                                                    56.1%) of the total industry revenue, with
for the industry. Although the domestic            the US-dollar price they can command and
                                                                                                    crude oil and condensate (11 billion; 29.5%)
industry output, measured in barrels of oil        fluctuations in the value of the Australian
                                                                                                    leading the rest of the pack (see Figure 1).i
equivalent (BOE), has increased in the last        dollar. Put simply, export performance is
five years and the global demand for LNG in        directly correlated with industry performance.
particular has increased significantly in the
                                                   The strength of the Australian dollar against
same period, global oil and gas prices have
                                                   the US dollar has a direct effect on domestic
both declined (this, despite the fact that until
                                                   industry revenue. For example, the relatively
2014, LNG prices remained buoyant as long
                                                   weak Australian dollar limited local price
as increased demand challenged supply
                                                   drops (and protected local revenue) when
volumes and a weaker Australian dollar
                                                   there was a global slump in oil prices during
supported export).i
                                                   2015-2016.
TRENDING TOPICS ASIA PACIFIC
Products and services segmentation
                                                               (2016-17)                                                       Output (%)
                                                                    Total $38.0bn

                                                                                                                                            NT
                                                                                                                                            0.9
                                                                                                                                                        QLD
                                                                                                                                                        11.0
                                                                                                                              WA
                                                                                                                              64.1
                                                                                                                                                  SA
                                                                                                                                                  6.8
                                                                                                                                                          NSW
                                                                                                                                                          6.3 ACT
                                                                                                                                                              0.0
                                                                                                                                                        VIC
                                                                                                                                 Cold zone (
TRENDING TOPICS ASIA PACIFIC
Going global: oil and gas extraction
                                                                 2005-2016

                                                                      200 Export                          Global

                                                    Exports/Revenue
                                                                      150

                                                                      100
                                                                                           2016

                                                                       50                 2005

                                                                            Local                         Import
                                                                        0
                                                                            0        40     80     120    160
                                                                                    Imports/Domestic demand

                                                 Figure 3. Globalisation in the oil and gas extraction
                                                            industry (IBISWorld Industry Report B0700
                                                            Oil and Gas Extraction in Australia –
                                                            September 2016)

There are six main players in the industry,      Internal competition between oil and gas
namely (in order of market share) Woodside       extraction companies is high and steady,
Petroleum (14.2%), BHP Billiton (12.1%),         however, and is largely based on price,
Chevron Australia Holdings (11.6%),              rather than product differentiators.
ExxonMobil Australia (11.3%), Santos
                                                 The industry features high and increasing
(11.0%) and Shell Energy Holdings
                                                 globalisation (see Figure 3). Foreign
Australia (10.8%). There is medium market
                                                 ownership (Shell, Exxon, Chevron)
share concentration, with the four largest
                                                 dominates local (Woodside) or part-
companies accounting for 49.2% (and the
                                                 local ownership (BHP Billiton) and the
top seven, approximately 75%) of 2016-2017
                                                 international trade of both exports and
industry revenue.i Industry concentration has
                                                 imports is a feature. Oil and gas exports
increased in recent years as major players
                                                 are estimated to contribute more than 75%
have continued to increase their market
                                                 of industry revenue for 2016-2017 and this
share and benefit from economies of scale,
                                                 figure is expected to increase over the next
while high barriers to entry (such as the
                                                 five years as Asian LPG demands soar.i
high-risk nature of oil and gas extraction and
the onerous capital investment) have limited
external competition from new contenders.
TRENDING TOPICS ASIA PACIFIC
Industry performance
Revenues are predicted to increase at a          costs can be high; and the tax burden of
modest 1.4% for the five years to 2017 to        producers has increased since 2012. All of
reach $38.0 billion, with industry outputs       these factors conspire to drive profits down.
barely offsetting the 2014-2016 falls in
                                                 Export growth in the industry is expected
oil and gas prices.i Declining crude oil
                                                 to soar in the short term in response to a
production from Australia’s mature oil
                                                 surge in both global demand and domestic
resources have negatively affected revenue
                                                 production: Australian output is pegged
growth, despite healthy LNG volumes over
                                                 at 567 million BOE in 2016-2017, which
the last five years.i In fact, gas extraction
                                                 represents an increase of 14.3% for the
has been the fastest growth nexus for the
                                                 year.i This, combined with anticipated
industry during this period, with increasing
                                                 higher prices, means that industry revenues
global demand driving prices up in a
                                                 are expected to jump 16.8% for the same
marketplace where few countries compete
                                                 period.i Interestingly, despite industry
for international LNG trade.
                                                 consolidation reducing the number of
The long lead-time to production (typically      enterprises, employment in the industry
10 years) of asset investment means that         has risen markedly over the last five years
large projects currently under construction      in tandem with the growth in revenues and
are due to come online in the next five          output.i
years, further boosting production levels
                                                 So-called unconventional resources (CSG,
that have been increasing over the last five
                                                 shale gas and shale oil) are subject to
years. Furthermore, with established export
                                                 controversy and regulations vary between
terminals in WA, Australia is in a strong
                                                 states; however, Australia is rich in these
position to benefit from the burgeoning LNG
                                                 resources and output is growing from
demand from Japan, which has converted
                                                 approved outlets. For example, LNG from
to gas-fired energy supply in the wake of the
                                                 Queensland CSG has been exported in
2011 Fukushima disaster.i
                                                 increasing volumes since 2014-2015.i
Investments are typically long term in the oil
and gas extraction industry; fixed production
TRENDING TOPICS ASIA PACIFIC
The Australian oil and gas
extraction industry is growing

Operating conditions                                                                             Powering ahead…
Capital intensity is high in the industry, with   Under a gas reservation policy, WA             The Australian oil and gas extraction
large amounts of capital being required to        producers are compelled to reserve 15% of      industry is growing, and projections indicate
develop new – or upscale existing – fields.       gas for domestic consumption. Since July       that both production and export are likely to
Wage costs, even considering a highly             2012, an onerous Petroleum Resource Rent       increase over the next five years to 2022.
skilled and well-paid workforce, are relatively   Tax (PRRT) of 40% has been levied on all       By 2021-22, revenue is predicted to reach
insignificant against capital costs.              onshore and offshore oil and gas production,   more than $61 billion – even in the face of
                                                  including CSG operations that are not          stabilising oil and gas prices – 85.7% of
All stages of production are heavily
                                                  incidental to coal mining-                     which will be contributed by a still-expanding
regulated. The Commonwealth controls
                                                                                                 export market. Production in 2021-22 is
mining beyond a three-mile nautical limit;        The industry receives no tariff – or direct
                                                                                                 estimated to be 821 million BOE.
the states control both the landward side of      non-tariff – protection, nor does it receive
that limit and all onshore oil production. Both   any government subsidies or grants.
onshore and offshore operations are subject
to a three-tier system: that is, an exploration
permit, a retention lease preserving tenure
on as-yet non-commercial discoveries, and a
production licence.
TRENDING TOPICS ASIA PACIFIC
…yet always subject to operational risks
The oil and gas extraction industry, by its         Insurance may not prevent either disaster
very nature, involves large, capital-intensive      or business interruption, but it can provide
and complex plant and potentially volatile,         peace of mind and may soften the financial
often toxic products. The outbreak of fire          blow if things go awry. A reputable insurance
on an oil or gas field is always a potential        company should offer specialised risk
risk; pipe failure or an oil spill could have       engineering analysis of the site-specific
a devastating environmental impact; and             operational risks, and should be able to offer
equipment breakdown or failure could                practical advice on mitigating such risks.
cause significant disruption or pose a risk         Appropriate insurance cover might include
of personal injury. Needless to say, scale of       General Liability, Environmental Impairment
operation is no protection: even the largest        Liability, Professional Indemnity, Directors’
operations are vulnerable.                          and Officers’ Liability, Industrial Special
                                                    Risks and even Cyber insurance.
Any one of these scenarios may cause
business interruption, with potentially
major loss of revenue – especially when oil         i 	 IBISWorld Industry Report B0700 Oil and Gas Extraction in
                                                         Australia – September 2016.
prices are high – and perhaps damage to
                                                    ii 	 St John, A, The coal seam gas debate, Parliament of Australia
the company’s reputation. Media and local                 http://www.aph.gov.au/About_Parliament/Parliamentary_
community interest is readily piqued by                   Departments/Parliamentary_Library/pubs/BriefingBook44p/
                                                          GasDebate
visually dramatic oil spills, fires or explosion,
and a company’s ability to rapidly contain
or limit the damage may prove vital for its
ongoing image management.
TRENDING TOPICS ASIA PACIFIC
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Contact us
If you’re looking for more information on insuring exploration and production projects,
please get in touch with our specialist Oil & Gas underwriters. Our full team is listed on
our websites.

Matthew Johns
Assistant Vice President
Casualty & SA Branch Manager
Asia Pacific
T +61 8 8124 8508
E matthew.johns@libertyglobalgroup.com

libertyspecialtymarketsap.com
All information in this guide is general in scope and, to the best of our knowledge, current at the time of publication. No attempt has
been made to interpret any referenced codes, standards or regulations. You should not rely on this information without first obtaining
professional advice. © Liberty 2017. Please contact Liberty for a licence to use and distribute this document. This information is
current as at January 2017. Liberty means Liberty Specialty Markets, a trading name of Liberty Mutual Insurance Company, Australia
Branch (ABN 61 086 083 605) incorporated in Massachusetts, USA (the liability of members is limited); Liberty Specialty Markets
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Labuan (Company No. LF12903).

AP0411-01-17
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