TRENDING TOPICS ASIA PACIFIC
←
→
Page content transcription
If your browser does not render page correctly, please read the page content below
CASUALTY // EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION Oil and gas extraction in Australia JANUARY 2017 TRENDING The Australian oil and gas extraction industry is growing, and projections indicate that both TOPICS production and export are likely to continue increasing. The industry by nature involves large, ASIA PACIFIC capital-intensive and complex plants and potentially volatile, often toxic products.
Export performance is directly correlated with industry performance First things first: let’s get some of the when released as a gas from high-pressure These are the ‘big guns’, often household- industry jargon out of the way. LNG wells, becomes liquid. word players, such as Woodside Petroleum, (Liquefied Natural Gas) is formed when BHP Billiton, Chevron Australia Holdings, The oil and gas extraction industry natural gas is cooled to a very low ExxonMobil Australia, Santos and Shell mainly produces crude oil, natural gas or temperature, whereas LPG (Liquefied Energy Holdings Australia, not ‘mom-and- condensate from oil and gas deposits. Petroleum Gas) is naturally occurring pop’ enterprises. And yet, the industry’s Companies in the industry may purify gas – such as propane – which is kept health and performance affects, at least natural gas, liquefy hydrocarbon gas or under pressure to keep it in liquid form. A indirectly, every household and business in operate natural gas absorption or separation condensate is a type of light crude oil that, Australia. operations. Some produce LNG and LPG.i Key factors The vagaries of world oil and gas prices, the An estimated three-quarters of the $38 The global crude oil price is intimately Australian dollar/US dollar exchange rate, billion in 2016-2017 revenues can be linked to the industry performance, even the 10-year bond rate, domestic and export attributed to exports: LNG export dominates for gas extraction, as it is customary for demand for the product, and production (57.8%), followed by crude oil (17.2%) and contracts for gas supply to be quoted on volumes are the main influences on the LPG (1.7%).i This speaks volumes about the benchmark oil prices. industry’s performance.i Their impact is industry’s vulnerability to foreign demand for Natural gas accounts for over $21 billion (or complex, which results in volatile revenues the commodity, trends in oil and gas output, 56.1%) of the total industry revenue, with for the industry. Although the domestic the US-dollar price they can command and crude oil and condensate (11 billion; 29.5%) industry output, measured in barrels of oil fluctuations in the value of the Australian leading the rest of the pack (see Figure 1).i equivalent (BOE), has increased in the last dollar. Put simply, export performance is five years and the global demand for LNG in directly correlated with industry performance. particular has increased significantly in the The strength of the Australian dollar against same period, global oil and gas prices have the US dollar has a direct effect on domestic both declined (this, despite the fact that until industry revenue. For example, the relatively 2014, LNG prices remained buoyant as long weak Australian dollar limited local price as increased demand challenged supply drops (and protected local revenue) when volumes and a weaker Australian dollar there was a global slump in oil prices during supported export).i 2015-2016.
Products and services segmentation (2016-17) Output (%) Total $38.0bn NT 0.9 QLD 11.0 WA 64.1 SA 6.8 NSW 6.3 ACT 0.0 VIC Cold zone (
Going global: oil and gas extraction 2005-2016 200 Export Global Exports/Revenue 150 100 2016 50 2005 Local Import 0 0 40 80 120 160 Imports/Domestic demand Figure 3. Globalisation in the oil and gas extraction industry (IBISWorld Industry Report B0700 Oil and Gas Extraction in Australia – September 2016) There are six main players in the industry, Internal competition between oil and gas namely (in order of market share) Woodside extraction companies is high and steady, Petroleum (14.2%), BHP Billiton (12.1%), however, and is largely based on price, Chevron Australia Holdings (11.6%), rather than product differentiators. ExxonMobil Australia (11.3%), Santos The industry features high and increasing (11.0%) and Shell Energy Holdings globalisation (see Figure 3). Foreign Australia (10.8%). There is medium market ownership (Shell, Exxon, Chevron) share concentration, with the four largest dominates local (Woodside) or part- companies accounting for 49.2% (and the local ownership (BHP Billiton) and the top seven, approximately 75%) of 2016-2017 international trade of both exports and industry revenue.i Industry concentration has imports is a feature. Oil and gas exports increased in recent years as major players are estimated to contribute more than 75% have continued to increase their market of industry revenue for 2016-2017 and this share and benefit from economies of scale, figure is expected to increase over the next while high barriers to entry (such as the five years as Asian LPG demands soar.i high-risk nature of oil and gas extraction and the onerous capital investment) have limited external competition from new contenders.
Industry performance Revenues are predicted to increase at a costs can be high; and the tax burden of modest 1.4% for the five years to 2017 to producers has increased since 2012. All of reach $38.0 billion, with industry outputs these factors conspire to drive profits down. barely offsetting the 2014-2016 falls in Export growth in the industry is expected oil and gas prices.i Declining crude oil to soar in the short term in response to a production from Australia’s mature oil surge in both global demand and domestic resources have negatively affected revenue production: Australian output is pegged growth, despite healthy LNG volumes over at 567 million BOE in 2016-2017, which the last five years.i In fact, gas extraction represents an increase of 14.3% for the has been the fastest growth nexus for the year.i This, combined with anticipated industry during this period, with increasing higher prices, means that industry revenues global demand driving prices up in a are expected to jump 16.8% for the same marketplace where few countries compete period.i Interestingly, despite industry for international LNG trade. consolidation reducing the number of The long lead-time to production (typically enterprises, employment in the industry 10 years) of asset investment means that has risen markedly over the last five years large projects currently under construction in tandem with the growth in revenues and are due to come online in the next five output.i years, further boosting production levels So-called unconventional resources (CSG, that have been increasing over the last five shale gas and shale oil) are subject to years. Furthermore, with established export controversy and regulations vary between terminals in WA, Australia is in a strong states; however, Australia is rich in these position to benefit from the burgeoning LNG resources and output is growing from demand from Japan, which has converted approved outlets. For example, LNG from to gas-fired energy supply in the wake of the Queensland CSG has been exported in 2011 Fukushima disaster.i increasing volumes since 2014-2015.i Investments are typically long term in the oil and gas extraction industry; fixed production
The Australian oil and gas extraction industry is growing Operating conditions Powering ahead… Capital intensity is high in the industry, with Under a gas reservation policy, WA The Australian oil and gas extraction large amounts of capital being required to producers are compelled to reserve 15% of industry is growing, and projections indicate develop new – or upscale existing – fields. gas for domestic consumption. Since July that both production and export are likely to Wage costs, even considering a highly 2012, an onerous Petroleum Resource Rent increase over the next five years to 2022. skilled and well-paid workforce, are relatively Tax (PRRT) of 40% has been levied on all By 2021-22, revenue is predicted to reach insignificant against capital costs. onshore and offshore oil and gas production, more than $61 billion – even in the face of including CSG operations that are not stabilising oil and gas prices – 85.7% of All stages of production are heavily incidental to coal mining- which will be contributed by a still-expanding regulated. The Commonwealth controls export market. Production in 2021-22 is mining beyond a three-mile nautical limit; The industry receives no tariff – or direct estimated to be 821 million BOE. the states control both the landward side of non-tariff – protection, nor does it receive that limit and all onshore oil production. Both any government subsidies or grants. onshore and offshore operations are subject to a three-tier system: that is, an exploration permit, a retention lease preserving tenure on as-yet non-commercial discoveries, and a production licence.
…yet always subject to operational risks The oil and gas extraction industry, by its Insurance may not prevent either disaster very nature, involves large, capital-intensive or business interruption, but it can provide and complex plant and potentially volatile, peace of mind and may soften the financial often toxic products. The outbreak of fire blow if things go awry. A reputable insurance on an oil or gas field is always a potential company should offer specialised risk risk; pipe failure or an oil spill could have engineering analysis of the site-specific a devastating environmental impact; and operational risks, and should be able to offer equipment breakdown or failure could practical advice on mitigating such risks. cause significant disruption or pose a risk Appropriate insurance cover might include of personal injury. Needless to say, scale of General Liability, Environmental Impairment operation is no protection: even the largest Liability, Professional Indemnity, Directors’ operations are vulnerable. and Officers’ Liability, Industrial Special Risks and even Cyber insurance. Any one of these scenarios may cause business interruption, with potentially major loss of revenue – especially when oil i IBISWorld Industry Report B0700 Oil and Gas Extraction in Australia – September 2016. prices are high – and perhaps damage to ii St John, A, The coal seam gas debate, Parliament of Australia the company’s reputation. Media and local http://www.aph.gov.au/About_Parliament/Parliamentary_ community interest is readily piqued by Departments/Parliamentary_Library/pubs/BriefingBook44p/ GasDebate visually dramatic oil spills, fires or explosion, and a company’s ability to rapidly contain or limit the damage may prove vital for its ongoing image management.
A relationship that protects what you value most Distinct, complex and constantly evolving As a global insurer and reinsurer backed by – every business is as unique as their Liberty Mutual, this is what we promise. insurance needs. We partner with insurance brokers to To confidently progress in the face of risk bring value and solutions to the world’s and uncertainty requires a level of security most significant business and government you can only achieve through working organisations – helping them protect what with specialists. they earn, build and own. Contact us If you’re looking for more information on insuring exploration and production projects, please get in touch with our specialist Oil & Gas underwriters. Our full team is listed on our websites. Matthew Johns Assistant Vice President Casualty & SA Branch Manager Asia Pacific T +61 8 8124 8508 E matthew.johns@libertyglobalgroup.com libertyspecialtymarketsap.com All information in this guide is general in scope and, to the best of our knowledge, current at the time of publication. No attempt has been made to interpret any referenced codes, standards or regulations. You should not rely on this information without first obtaining professional advice. © Liberty 2017. Please contact Liberty for a licence to use and distribute this document. This information is current as at January 2017. Liberty means Liberty Specialty Markets, a trading name of Liberty Mutual Insurance Company, Australia Branch (ABN 61 086 083 605) incorporated in Massachusetts, USA (the liability of members is limited); Liberty Specialty Markets Hong Kong Limited (No. 2400200); and Liberty Specialty Markets Singapore Pte Limited (UEN 201538069C) with a branch in Labuan (Company No. LF12903). AP0411-01-17
You can also read