Travel Innovation and Technology Trends: 2013 and Beyond (ANZ Edition) - PhoCusWright
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PhoCusWright White Paper Travel Innovation and Technology Trends: 2013 and Beyond (ANZ Edition) Sponsored by Written and Researched by Bob Offutt PhoCusWright MARKET RESEARCH • INDUSTRY INTELLIGENCE
PhoCusWright White Paper: Travel Innovation and Technology Trends: 2013 and Beyond November 2013 This PhoCusWright White Paper is made possible by Sabre Pacific About Sabre Pacific Sabre Pacific is a leading supplier of technology to the travel industry in the South Pacific region. With offices in Sydney, Brisbane, Melbourne, Perth, Adelaide and Auckland, Sabre Pacific is responsible for serving Sa- bre Travel Network products and content to around 2000 agency locations in this region. Sabre Travel Network operates the world’s largest travel marketplace, connecting travel buyers and sellers through the Sabre global distribution system (GDS). Its innovative technology connects 350,000 travel agents to more than 400 airlines, 100,000 hotels, 25 car rental brands, 50 rail providers, 13 cruise lines and other global travel suppliers. More than $100 billion of travel is purchased through this channel annually. Sabre Pacific is wholly-owned by Abacus International, Asia-Pacific’s lead- ing provider of travel solutions and services with more than 20,000 travel agency locations in 29 markets. With over 23 years of experience in fusing international best practices and local expertise with global and local part- nerships, Abacus provides travel information and reservations specifically tailored to the Asia-Pacific region. Abacus International is jointly owned by Sabre Holdings (35%) and a consortium of some of Asia’s leading airlines. For more information please visit: http://www.sabrepacific.com.au/. For helpful hints, expert advice and travel industry commentary, please visit the Sabre Pacific QuickNews blog. Follow Sabre Pacific on Facebook, YouTube and LinkedIn. ©2013 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. Page 2
PhoCusWright White Paper: Travel Innovation and Technology Trends: 2013 and Beyond November 2013 About PhoCusWright PhoCusWright is the travel industry research authority on how travelers, suppliers and intermediaries connect. Independent, rigorous and unbiased, PhoCusWright fosters smart strategic planning, tactical decision-making and organizational effectiveness. PhoCusWright delivers qualitative and quantitative research on the evolving dynamics that influence travel, tourism and hospitality distribution. Our marketplace intelligence is the industry standard for segmentation, sizing, forecasting, trends, analysis and consumer travel planning behavior. Every day around the world, senior executives, marketers, strategists and research professionals from all segments of the industry value chain use PhoCusWright research for competitive advantage. To complement its primary research in North and Latin America, Europe and Asia, PhoCusWright produces several high-profile conferences in the United States and Germany, and partners with conferences in China and Singapore. Industry leaders and company analysts bring this intelligence to life by debating issues, sharing ideas and defining the ever-evolving reality of travel commerce. The company is headquartered in the United States with Asia Pacific opera- tions based in India and local analysts on five continents. PhoCusWright is a wholly owned subsidiary of Northstar Travel Media, LLC. PhoCusWright Inc. 116 West 32nd Street, 14th Floor New York, NY 10001 PO Box 760 Sherman, CT 06784 +1 860 350-4084 +1 860 354-3112 fax www.phocuswright.com ©2013 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. Page 3
PhoCusWright White Paper: Travel Innovation and Technology Trends: 2013 and Beyond November 2013 JANUARY 2013 Contents Table of Contents Trend 6 Table of Charts Figure 13 21 A cloudy future NIST Cloud Computing Introduction 5 beats no future at all 20 Figure 1 7 Conceptual Reference The Personal Cloud Model Key Trends 5 Technology 20 Examples 22 Figure 14 21 Figure 2 8 Implications 22 Cloud Broker as Trend 1 Sabre Pacific Travel Extras Service Aggregator New patterns of content challenge Figure 3 10 Trend 7 Figure 15 22 distribution 6 Gravity Personalization Intermediaries require The Role Cloud Brokers Technology 6 fresh approaches Figure 4 10 Could Play in a Travel throughout the Gravity’s Interest Company’s Cloud Examples 7 travel cycle 23 Graph Engine Architecture Implications 8 Technology 23 Figure 5 10 Figure 16 24 Examples 24 Tigerair Flight Schedule Trend 2 The Sojern Data Too much choice Implications 25 Processing Model means less is better 8 Figure 17 24 Trend 8 Figure 6 12 Virgin Australia Technology 9 Travel Agency Usage Flight Schedule Big Data makes Examples 11 travel smarter 26 of Social Media, Implications 11 2011-2012 Figure 18 25 Technology 27 Virgin Australia Choices Examples 27 Figure 7 14 Trend 3 Nasair’s Extended Figure 19 28 Social technologies Implications 27 Marketing Reach Using Customer Life Cycle change the shape Social Technologies by Channel of travel 12 Trend 9 Better travel Figure 8 15 Figure 20 29 Technology 13 Criteria for Comparing management through Hotel IQ Booking Examples 13 predictive analysis 28 a Mobile App to a Pace Analysis Implications 15 Mobile Browser Technology 29 Figure 21 31 Examples 29 Figure 9 16 Informed Tourist Trend 4 Implications 30 Virtual Assistant Hologram Information New efficiencies at Newark Liberty reenergize the International Airport customer experience 15 Trend 10 Short-range Figure 10 19 Technology 16 communications links Pebble Bluetooth Examples 17 improve processes 30 Wristwatch Implications 17 Technology 31 Examples 31 Figure 11 19 Google Glass Trend 5 Implications 32 Cross-platform data Figure 12 19 access engages users 18 Conclusion 32 Google Glass Display Technology 18 Examples 19 Implications 20 ©2013 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. Page 4
PhoCusWright White Paper: Travel Innovation and Technology Trends: 2013 and Beyond November 2013 Travel Innovation and Technology Trends: 2013 and Beyond (ANZ Edition) Written and Researched by Bob Offutt Introduction If trends were determined simply by volume of buzz in trade magazines, the big moves in travel innovation and technology for 2013 would be “go mobile,” “use Big Data with cloud computing,” and “embrace social media.” But tech trends in the travel industry are much more complex – they involve cutting-edge content aggregation, distribution, user engagement, intelligent agents, mobile payments and more. Some new technologies are designed to improve the user experience, others to contribute to business performance and service delivery. But all innova- tions must work within the context of a rapidly evolving technology environment in which consumers are changing the way they interact with devices and suppliers can deliver new capability faster and cheaper than ever before. Thanks to its legacy foundation and conservative attitude about the future, with a few exceptions, travel lags other industries in embracing new trends in technology that promise to sustain existing business and open the door for new opportunities. Key Trends Travel technology trends vary in scope, impact and endurance. Some yearly trends are fleeting, such as flash sales. Others, such as cloud computing, are in it for the long haul and will remain on the trends list (albeit in different stages in their life cycles) year after year. Taking technology trends into account – and determining how to work with them – can help business executives make more conscious decisions about applicability, potential business value and need for investment. As you consider these trends, remember that they are not independent phenomena, but a set of interdependent (and often simultaneous) movements. . ©2013 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. Page 5
PhoCusWright White Paper: Travel Innovation and Technology Trends: 2013 and Beyond November 2013 Trends 1. New patterns of content challenge distribution 2. Too much choice means less is better 3. Social technologies change the shape of travel 4. New efficiencies reenergize the customer experience 5. Cross-platform data access engages users 6. A cloudy future beats no future at all 7. Intermediaries require fresh approaches throughout the travel cycle 8. Big Data makes travel smarter 9. Predictive analysis improves travel management 10. Short-range communications links improve processes Trend 1: New patterns of content challenge distribution Travel was an early leader in e-commerce. The intermediaries that eventually became global distribution systems (GDSs) matched buyers and sellers of travel products using mainframe technology and global networks. Although the Internet and low-cost computing have threatened the value of the GDSs, they haven’t yet supplanted them. Instead, new forms of aggregation are emerging to deliver busi- ness and customer value. Automation of more and more supplier information has enabled capabilities like real-time shopping, booking and confirmations. Peer-to- peer marketplaces for travel products and services are becoming mainstream. The original travel distribution paradigm – in which intermediaries aggregate content for shopping and booking – is being challenged by a model that emphasizes shop- ping, booking and then aggregation. Technology Several technologies enable this new model of aggregation and distribution: 1) “Personal clouds” allow users to access information anywhere, anytime, and on any device. With a personal cloud, each consumer can store and retrieve informa- tion in a centralized virtual storehouse dedicated just for that person. The user can then access the information regardless of device (laptop, tablet, smartphone – and even some automobiles). 2) The Internet of Things enables integration of sensor data with human-generated content to provide relevant and/or hyperlocal information about factors that can influence a trip, such as traffic, pollution, weather conditions, social hot spots, bag- gage location and homeland security advisories. 3) Ubiquitous global communications and cheap devices (like tablets) extend the ©2013 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. Page 6
PhoCusWright White Paper: Travel Innovation and Technology Trends: 2013 and Beyond November 2013 automation of inventory management and the reservations process to small1 travel suppliers. These suppliers can then distribute through conventional channels (e.g., travel agents) or in a peer-to-peer electronic marketplace. 4) Today’s compute power and connectivity make it possible for both individuals and businesses to collect and integrate itinerary data from multiple sources without a GDS. Examples n Personal clouds can be hosted on a third-party server farm such as iCloud (Apple), Amazon’s cloud service, Google Docs and Dropbox. Some products allow you to con- figure a computer on your home network to service all of your devices (see Figure 1). FIGURE 1: The Personal Cloud Source: ZDNet © 2013 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. n Farelogix is attempting to establish itself as a new intermediary with its Airline Com- merce Gateway. The Airline Commerce Gateway aggregates content from multiple sources, applies business rules, and delivers custom offers to shoppers at the point of sale (POS). n To capture out-of-policy managed traveler bookings, Sabre has developed TruTrip technology, which depends on email transmission of travel receipts. Travelers email supplier-direct booking receipts to TruTrip. Sabre’s TripCase technology then aggre- gates them into an integrated itinerary, which Sabre makes available to TMCs and travel agents using Sabre Red Workspace. With the integrated itinerary, Sabre can deliver marketing messages for missing components (e.g., no hotel booked). Provid- ing the TripCase itinerary to travel agents and TMCs provides the foundation for duty 1)For the purpose of this paper, “small travel suppliers” indicates companies with five or fewer employees. ©2013 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. Page 7
PhoCusWright White Paper: Travel Innovation and Technology Trends: 2013 and Beyond November 2013 of care and trip unbooking/rebooking. Several other companies also FIGURE 2: Sabre Pacific Travel Extras provide this technology. n Intel has developed a pollution and weather detection chip that Travel Extras gathers environmental data from sensors and, through cloud With more than 1,700 different extras in 150 destinations, a better technology, learns a user’s precise location and delivers infor- question might be, “What doesn’t Travel Extras offer? Travel Extras mation relevant to that location. Travel service providers can is one of the best ways to demonstrate your expertise by delivering that personalized flair and even greater savings. You can book ad- then use this data to predict, for example, weather-related flight mission or reservations to attractions, shows, special events, tours, delays, and pass this information on to the traveler. fine dining, transfers, parking and many other activities. n Gray Line Tours and Expedia have both announced initiatives Key Benefits that enable small travel suppliers to fully automate their inventory Destination Information management and distribution processes. Learn about worldwide activities and events to better serve your travelers. n Sabre’s Travel Extras extends the capability of Sabre travel agents e-Travel Advisories to deliver travel experiences beyond traditional air, car and hotel Stay on top of important, up-to-the-minute health and (see Figure 2). government travel warnings. n InnHand is a free online reservation system for properties with up Gifts by Well Wishers Arrange to send bon voyage cruise, celebration or to 25 rooms. Cloud-based and accessible from mobile devices, welcome home gifts. InnHand’s system can easily be integrated into a property’s web- GroundRez site and Facebook page. Make just the right ground travel arrangements for your client; from limos to taxis. Shore Excursions Book shore excursions for Alaska, the Carribean, Europe and Implications Hawaii destinations. n Aggregation and distribution continue to be moving targets. The Luggage Club Travel companies should keep their eyes peeled for new patterns Provide door-to-door luggage, sports and mobility- impaired equipment delivery service. and methods of distribution to reduce costs and create business value. Travel Documents Assist your customers with their travel documentation (both passport and visa) needs. n Merchandising systems will change the mix of travel products that points of sale will handle. Travel Extras Access and book over 1,700 activities in 150 destinations n Points of sale can tap new content sources to broaden their around the world. product offerings, providing more value to their customers while Source: Sabre Travel Network. expanding their sources of commission. © 2013 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. n With online, real-time inventory, small suppliers will be able to expand their product distribution. Sabre Travel Extras is a great example of how this could work. n The Internet of Things will enable new products and services. Trend 2: Too much choice means less is better The mantra of early online travel agencies (OTAs) was often “more is better,” mean- ing that the OTA that showed the most flight or hotel options was clearly the best. This race led to massive investments in new technology in order to transform a travel ©2013 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. Page 8
PhoCusWright White Paper: Travel Innovation and Technology Trends: 2013 and Beyond November 2013 agent’s screen from a limited 19-line display into an interface that would show the (literally) hundreds of options developed by the GDS (which could be displayed at any POS). But this mountain of choices frustrated consumers and slowed the reser- vation process. According to the “paradox of choice,”2 shoppers want a few choices, but not too many – if they have to make too many decisions, they become irritated and unhappy. In other words, giving people too many choices tends to lessen their satisfaction. However, delivering targeted content (and thus fewer choices) based on personal and behavioral data can improve conversion. While the travel industry suf- fers from a paucity of data about offers presented versus offers selected, it does have the capacity to track overall shopping and purchase patterns and data from social networks, which together can provide a fairly clear view of a shopper. Combine this information with psychographic and demographic databases, user surveys, “look- alike modeling,” and environmental factors such as weather and geography, and you can deliver well-targeted information in advertisements and search results. One key element in improving targeting is the ability to process large amounts of data (see Trend 8). Targeted marketing is not just a travel phenomenon – other industries, particularly consumer retail – are quite adept at it. For example, consumer research company Nielsen used microtargeting to help a refrigerated meat manufacturer find out who its most profitable customers are. Instead of summer grillers, as the manufacturer believed, the core customers were actually teenage boys and their mothers. The company refocused its marketing efforts to reach this audience, a move that drove annual growth of 15-20% for several years in a row.3 Technology Targeting technology has evolved so that audience segmentation is no longer needs to be in broad categories (e.g., sports enthusiast, daytime TV watcher, soccer mom). For example, social advertising targeting company 33Across has defined over 50 social “persona” categories that include social and media consumption behaviors, in- terests, and demographics that can be used to segment a target audience. 33Across collects data on 1.25 billion people. Gravity and 140 Proof target consumers based on the interests they express in their social graphs (see Figure 3). Both companies use complex algorithms to match a con- sumer’s interests with certain content and so the consumer will see the most appro- priate ads (see Figures 3 and 4). Sojern, another targeting firm, accesses over 100 million anonymous data points about travelers and uses this data to provide its clients with insights about audience intent (i.e., when and where travelers are going). The company also tracks travel purchase patterns, top destinations and destination searches by type of traveler (see Figure 5). 2) Barry Schwartz, The Paradox of Choice: Why More is Less, Harper Perennial (New York, 2004). 3) Jason Green, “Micro-Targeting: It’s Not Just for Niche Brands Anymore,” Nielsen Newswire (Feb. 16, 2010). ©2013 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. Page 9
PhoCusWright White Paper: Travel Innovation and Technology Trends: 2013 and Beyond November 2013 FIGURE 3: Gravity Personalization Source: Gravity © 2013 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. FIGURE 4: Gravity’s Interest Graph Engine Source: Gravity © 2013 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. FIGURE 5: The Sojern Data Processing Model Source: Sojern © 2013 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. ©2013 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. Page 10
PhoCusWright White Paper: Travel Innovation and Technology Trends: 2013 and Beyond November 2013 Presenting carefully targeted content becomes more important on a smartphone or tablet platform, where screen real estate is at a premium. The more closely the con- tent relates to what the shopper seeks, the more likely the shopper is to complete a purchase or make a reservation. Complex algorithms are required to define relationships between different data ele- ments and the products and services a particular shopper would find most interesting. Most approaches use discrete, definable user segments to target content (e.g., if you know a leisure traveler is bound for Maui, show her an ad for a snorkeling adventure). The more discrete segments, the better. The ultimate goal is to treat each individual as a segment of one. Gravity’s Social Interest Graph takes this tack. The next step is delivering targeted content at the right speed – meaning Internet speed, as retrieving it from a database would be too slow. Fortunately to this end, in-memory processing has become affordable. Examples n At PhoCusWright’s 2012 Travel Innovation Summit,4 Amadeus previewed its “Amadeus Featured Results,” which uses flight search technology and travel busi- ness intelligence to present shoppers with a list of the cheapest, fastest and most relevant booking options. n Sabre Custom Offers, unveiled in May 2013, enables suppliers to tailor their offers based on information they have about a traveler and Sabre shopping data. Custom Offers enables suppliers to differentiate their products and brands with enhanced merchandising through the the Sabre travel marketplace to increase revenues and build traveler loyalty. The tool does not change the travel agent’s workflow, so agents can efficiently shop and book Custom Offers in addition to published, promotional, qualified discount, and any negotiated rates that may apply. Corporations and travelers have more confidence when their travel service provider (agency/TMC) can better serve them with a broader range of content, including offers targeted to their unique preferences and frequent traveler affilia- tions. Custom Offers enables travel suppliers to leverage their knowledge of the traveler in conjunction with shopping criteria and dynamically present targeted of- fers during the shopping process. Suppliers receive joint analysis and consulting, which enables them to execute data-driven marketing campaigns to make unique offers available to targeted travelers. Sabre is also taking advantage of its new profiles solution to enable suppliers to target guests by using customer loyalty and value scores based on Sabre booking data. Sabre Custom Offers is one of 30 featured innovators at PhoCusWright’s 2013 Travel Innovation Summit. Implications Providing targeted offers is a key capability for travel companies, and it is even more 4) November 13, 2012. ©2013 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. Page 11
PhoCusWright White Paper: Travel Innovation and Technology Trends: 2013 and Beyond November 2013 critical in the mobile arena. Despite mobile’s substantial and continued growth, the platform is limited by connection speed and screen size, compelling advertisers to either deliver extremely relevant content or not bother delivering content at all. Any travel company with a mobile strategy needs a targeted content strategy as well. Trend 3: Social technologies change the shape of travel It may seem like a no-brainer to incorporate a social media strategy into your busi- ness plan. But travel retailers taking their time may soon find themselves losing share to savvier suppliers. According to a 2012 survey by the American Society of Travel Agents, just 39% of travel agents employ social media in their business processes. Among those, 49% use Facebook and 44% use LinkedIn. Of travel agents using social media, 15% consider these services essential to their business, 29% are still learning how to use social media, and 20% say social media is still unproven as a marketing channel (see Figure 6).5 How do FIGURE you view 6: Travel Agencyparticipation in social Usage of Social Media, media 2011-2012 websites like Facebook, Twitter or YouTube? Essential Nice to be there Still learning how to Unproven Waste of time Not valuable due to use social media my business model 9% 13% 12% 15% 7% 7% 17% 17% 18% 2011 2012 20% 37% 29% Source: Travel Weekly and the American Society of Travel Agents © 2013 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. These statistics fly in the face of social media’s worldwide groundswell: In July 2012, Facebook had 834 million unique visitors. In the same month, social media reached 84% of Internet users globally, each of whom spent an average of 337 minutes a month on their networks of choice.7 6) ComScore (July, 2012). 7) ComScore Media Metrix (July, 2012). ©2013 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. Page 12
PhoCusWright White Paper: Travel Innovation and Technology Trends: 2013 and Beyond November 2013 In the meantime, suppliers are aggressively pursuing a social media presence with high-quality en-route and destination content. These suppliers use social network- ing tools to track service deficiencies, manage their reputations, improve customer service, build communities of travelers, and engage customers at various points in the travel value chain. This proactive supplier behavior – in contrast to slow-moving travel agents – opens the door for a major change in allegiance. Rather than serving as trust- ed advisors, travel agents will simply become data suppliers. Unless travel agents “get the memo,” suppliers’ social media initiatives are likely to steal share. Still, it is early days, and while social technologies have created substantial value so far, their real power is still unclear.8 Technology Social technologies enable people to interact informally online and create, enhance and exchange new forms of value (e.g., digital money). New products that support online social interaction are coming to market at an amazing pace. Social technologies generally have the following characteristics: 1) Open networks and peer-to-peer communications tools 2) Democratization of content: the ability to add, change or comment on content 2) Content that may be centralized or distributed Examples n The Cosmopolitan Hotel in Las Vegas makes extensive use of social media to pro- mote exclusive events, deals, contests and ticket offers for its social media-savvy guests. In addition to its own promotions, the Cosmopolitan retweets its guests’ tweets.9 n Air New Zealand is active on multiple social media platforms, including Face- book, Instagram, Twitter and Google+. The carrier even has a website dedicated solely to social media. n Taj Hotels is creating a social network for its 26 hotels, including one in Australia. The plan for this endeavor: Map Taj customer profiles against the social media footprints of those customers. Then, build customized communications plans using Facebook, YouTube, Flickr, TripAdvisor, blogs, and other media. These com- munications plans will be designed to support marketing campaigns for food and beverage, dining, sports, and other interests. n Nasair, a low-cost carrier based in Saudi Arabia, has seen a major increase in mar- keting reach since it began using social technologies aggressively (see Figure 7).10 8) Michael Chui et al., The Social Economy: Unlocking Value and Productivity Through Social Technolo- gies, McKinsey & Company (July 2012). 9) Shira Lazar, “Hotels That Rock at Social Media,” Entrepreneur (Nov. 2, 2011). 10) SimpliFlying Awards 2012, “Best Airlines Driving Revenue from Social Media” finalist presentations, SimpliFlying (Sept. 3, 2012). ©2013 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. Page 13
PhoCusWright White Paper: Travel Innovation and Technology Trends: 2013 and Beyond November 2013 FIGURE 7: Nasair’s Extended Marketing Reach Using Social Technologies Source: Nasair © 2013 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. In six months, the airline increased the number of emails it sent as part of mar- keting campaigns by 243% and the number of tweets that mention its name by 129%. Visits to Nasair’s Facebook page grew 4,526% in seven months in 2012. And between January 2011 and July 2012, the number of mobile users accessing its website jumped 345%. n Hamilton Island sponsored an Instameet social campaign called Return2Paradise. This campaign reached over 10.8 million people and resulted in A$2 million room revenue growth.11 n Canadian airline WestJet experienced significant bookings increases and return on investment (ROI) in the wake of its one-day “Kargo Kids” April Fools’ Day promotion, which it announced via YouTube, Facebook and Twitter.12,13 The results (cost data was not available): • 650,000 YouTube views in 194 countries • 3,300 video shares in 69 countries • 1,700 Facebook post shares • 189,000 visits to WestJet’s April Fools’ landing pages o 4,000 new bookings o $1.3 million in new bookings 11) David Cowling, “Hamilton Island Proves Social Media’s Positive Effect on Travel Desires,” Social Media News (July 26, 2013). 12) SimpliFlying Awards 2012. 13) Calgary-based airline WestJet sponsored “Kargo Kids,” an April Fools promotion that pretended to offer the child-free flights many frequent fliers have been dreaming of for years. This mock “program” has kids carted off on a “travel toboggan” to a “special VIP area” of the plane, while adults fly has- sle-free in the main passenger area. The “travel toboggan” is a blue bin that whisks kids away on the luggage conveyor, and the “special VIP area” is the cargo hold. ©2013 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. Page 14
PhoCusWright White Paper: Travel Innovation and Technology Trends: 2013 and Beyond November 2013 • Air New Zealand, in its 2012 April Fool’s promotion, announced it was install- ing handholds in select aircraft (adding capacity for 69 additional passengers) and that the airline would be serving these passengers unicorn meat. Air New Zealand provided links for shoppers to share these pranks with others using social media: Facebook, Google Now and Twitter. Implications Intermediaries have been slow to appropriate social media, which has opened the door for suppliers to garner customer loyalty and shift share to direct channels. It’s not too late for intermediaries to develop and implement social media strategies, but the clock is ticking. Trend 4: New efficiencies reenergize the customer experience Historically, travel distribution has centered on offering the same product in a variety of ways through multiple distributors (including suppliers), and each party vied for a share of the travel purchase. But competition for the traveler dollar is becoming less about a battle between suppliers and distributors and more about providing the best customer experience. Suppliers and distributors need to put the channel wars behind them and focus on competing for customer loyalty. For example, why not show competing offers and other purchase alternatives, as the insurance industry does? (Six hotel chains thought this was a good idea, as described below.) Travel executives need to change their focus from channel share to customer share. The next generation of travelers will have the expectation that all shopping – includ- ing travel shopping – should be as efficient as an Amazon experience (see Figure 8). FIGURE 8: Criteria for Comparing a Mobile App to a Mobile Browser Source: eDigitalResearch (used with permission) © 2013 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. ©2013 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. Page 15
PhoCusWright White Paper: Travel Innovation and Technology Trends: 2013 and Beyond November 2013 This kind of quality shopping experience has to be available at all customer touch- points and provide seamless interaction across all channels: social media, email, browsers (desktops, laptops, tablets) and mobile (both apps and browsers).14 Key fea- tures in providing this experience are quality site search, clear branding, consistent icons, consistent content (especially deals) and simple checkout. But a quality shopping experience is just part of the equation. The greatest shopping experience cannot compensate for bad service delivery: Service providers also need to leverage technology to improve and customize delivery. A 2011 survey of Australian and New Zealand consumer experiences in seven major industries – including travel and hospitality – revealed both good and bad news for tourism.15 The good news: In both countries, consumers were most satisfied with travel and hospitality experiences (the other industries were telecom, Internet service, insurance, financial services, utilities, and online retail). The bad news: The percent of bad experiences among travelers in Australia was 27%, and in New Zealand, 26%. Across all industries, over half of the consumers who had bad experiences chose to take their business elsewhere (56% in Australia and 59% in New Zealand). FIGURE 9: Virtual Assistant Hologram at Technology Newark Liberty International Airport Providing a consistent customer experience across touchpoints is as much an organizational issue (who is responsible?) as it is a de- sign issue. For instance, travel companies need to accommodate technology limitations on mobile devices (e.g., size and shape). It’s no secret that mobile commerce lags general online commerce in feature functionality, and that mobile applications often lack the quality searching and purchasing capabilities offered by mobile browsers. A variety of technologies make it easier and less expensive for travel companies to offer quality customer service. Much of the cost of customer service is in staff salaries and call center opera- tion. Fortunately, virtual agents, using natural language interfaces and artificial intelligence, are able to handle a high percentage of queries. These agents can interface with customers through Source: PScott Beale, Laughing Squid a kiosk, on a computing device, via phone or through an avatar © 2013 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. hologram (see Figure 9). Other Technologies: n New tools that bring real-time luggage tracking directly to the customer 14) An interaction is considered seamless when the user’s status, purchase history and profile can be accessed at all points of sale. 15) “2011 Customer Experience Report: Australia and New Zealand,” Oracle white paper (May 2012). ©2013 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. Page 16
PhoCusWright White Paper: Travel Innovation and Technology Trends: 2013 and Beyond November 2013 n Unified communications (UC) that provides infrastructure to meet peak demand, route the customer to the best service agent, and communicate options to the customer n Anticipatory search that alerts travelers of disruptive events such as bad weather, aircraft delays and traffic delays16 n Tablet computers that enable tailored customer service Examples n Virtual assistant technology from Next IT supports customer queries for Alaska Airlines, Amtrak and United Airlines. On an average day, United’s virtual assistant, Alex, responds to over 75,000 customer inquiries. During irregular operations (e.g., storms, volcanos), Alex has exceeded over 100,000 calls in one day. n In the banking sector, Coastal Federal Credit Union (U.S.) – using personal teller technology from uGenius (now owned by NCR) – became the first bank to use only video tellers. The bank cut teller costs significantly and expanded teller hours. A financial institution (undisclosed) based in Australia is currently test-pi- loting uGenius’s online video teller technology. n Using hotel shopping and booking technology developed by Hotelicopter, Choice Hotels, Hilton, Hyatt, InterContinental, Marriott, and Wyndham have implemented a hotel shopping service called Room Key that supports all their properties. Properties can be displayed in a number of ways. The Room Key dis- play enables travelers to easily see prices, access reviews and compare property features. Competition is in the value of the stay, not the distribution channel. n U.K. travel management company Portman Travel is using UC as a key part of its customer service strategy. Using UC to link 17 sites and 550 users, Portman has reduced call waiting time to under three seconds and achieved a £30,000 ROI. The company is now using its communications infrastructure to provide video conferencing to its clients as an alternative to traveling. n Delta Air Lines provides real-time luggage tracking to customers on their mobile devices. n Several airports in the U.S. and U.K. have introduced projected holograms in the form of avatars to assist travelers. n American Airlines provides flight attendants with tablet computers that they use to recall/record food and drink preferences, customer names, frequent traveler statuses and special needs. British Airways is experimenting with a similar strategy. Implications Demand for customer service will increase, and the cost of providing it will decrease, thanks to new technologies. Quality customer service, however, is in the eyes of the 16) Bob Offutt, “Search: The Key to Successful Travel Sites,” PhoCusWright Inc. (December 2012). ©2013 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. Page 17
PhoCusWright White Paper: Travel Innovation and Technology Trends: 2013 and Beyond November 2013 beholder. Excessive menu trees or outsourced call centers in foreign countries may cut monetary costs, but frustrate customers. Each travel company needs to deter- mine how to use customer service technology in a way that increases customer satis- faction and reduces costs. On a personal note, using Alaska Airlines’ virtual assistant was a satisfying experience. Trend 5: Cross-platform data access engages users To consumers, the future involves the ability to access desired digital information regardless of device. To businesses, this same future is a development and support nightmare. Businesses once had little to worry about in terms of client-facing applications – just choose between Java Script, Java and Flash with CSS. But in the wake of the prolif- eration of various mobile devices – the iPad, iPhone and the many devices running Android or Windows 8 – interfacing with clients has become much more difficult. Apps exist for every device, in multiple languages, and on different operating systems. In addition, custom code must run in each environment to detect screen size aspect and resolution. While the world seems addicted to mobile apps, the business cost of developing and maintaining apps for all the disparate environments means it’s often more practical for companies to “write once, run anywhere” using HTML 5. Figure 8 (above) shows the criteria companies can use to judge the effectiveness of using an app versus a browser on a mobile device. Supporting all these devices and interfaces may be confusing and cost-intensive, but the future will only bring more devices. For example, Apple has a smart wristwatch in the works.17 In addition to smartwatches, devices and systems are in design – or already available, in some cases – that interpret human gestures, enable touchless interaction with PCs, recognize and understand speech, and allow users to operate and secure vehicles using their voices. Technology There has been rapid development in technologies that enable users to access their desired information from any smart device. Such technology frees users from loyalty to, for example, a specific phone or tablet, as they can get the digital data they need from whatever device is most convenient at the moment. One of the most popular of these tools is Siri, the intelligent personal assistant on iP- hone models 4S and newer. With a solid set of business rules and a speech recognition 17) Nick Bilton, “Disruptions: Where Apple and Dick Tracy May Converge,” New York Times Bits blog (Feb. 10, 2013). ©2013 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. Page 18
PhoCusWright White Paper: Travel Innovation and Technology Trends: 2013 and Beyond November 2013 system, Siri is paving the way for smart devices users can address FIGURE 10: Pebble Bluetooth Wristwatch with speech commands. Efforts to build the next-generation intel- ligent personal assistant are underway in the banking, medical and travel industries. Also in development are devices that will communicate with hu- mans via gesture, eye movement detection and 3D interaction. And portable devices will soon be able to move from the home (or office) directly to the automobile’s computer and communications system. Examples n Using curved glass, Apple is rumored to be developing a wrist- watch that runs iOS. Several Bluetooth-capable wristwatches are Source: Getpebble.com already on the market, including Samsung’s Galaxy Gear, Sony’s © 2013 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. SmartWatch 2, and Pebble, which came to life via Kickstarter and can connect to iPhones or Android devices (see Figure 10). FIGURE 11: Google Glass n Desti, a travel guide for iPads, uses technology similar to Siri’s to deliver answers to travel-related questions. n Hertz is building intelligent kiosks that include browser-based video chat, interactive sharing and co-browsing. The kiosks improve customer service, reduce costs (the interactive chat connects to a single national service center), and increase ancillary sales. They include key safes and readers for myriad ID documents. With these kiosks, Hertz is expanding into hotels and repair shops without the overhead of staffing. n The Crown Towers Hotel in Melbourne, Australia uses UC from Cisco to create a unique in-room experience. Guests can use Source: Google the touchscreen to request room service, call housekeeping, © 2013 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. check local weather, check flights and look at restaurant and retail store information. FIGURE 12: Google Glass Display n GM is incorporating a feature on some 2013 models that allows drivers to initiate Siri by pushing a button. n Google Glass is a wearable augmented reality display (see Figures 11 and 12). It can take pictures and videos, interface with social networks, retrieve information, advise users of upcoming events, and match pictures with associated data. For travelers, it can offer local transportation schedules, display restaurant menus, show hotel alternatives with rates and ratings in a given geographical area, advise about flight connections and delays – and all from a simple, glasses-like device. Google is currently seeking developers for the Google Glass app store. At the same time, the company is cultivating 8,000 consumers to be its core Source: Google group of customers for the device. © 2013 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. ©2013 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. Page 19
PhoCusWright White Paper: Travel Innovation and Technology Trends: 2013 and Beyond November 2013 Implications Cross-platform data access requires travel companies to track the changing user interface patterns of their customers to provide the appropriate level of service. This will be a continuing process as new technologies evolve and businesses become less restrictive about the devices their employees can use for particular tasks. The suppliers and distributors that support the most user-friendly, convenient interfaces will enjoy increased market share. Trend 6: A cloudy future beats no future at all Research from IDC shows that worldwide revenue from public IT cloud services exceed- ed $21.5 billion in 2010 and will reach $72.9 billion by 2015, representing a compound annual growth rate of 28%. This growth is over four times the projected gains for the worldwide IT market as a whole. By 2015, one of every seven dollars spent on pack- aged software, server, and storage offerings will be through the public cloud model. However, in an industry poll of IT executives at travel companies, PhoCusWright found that 55% of respondents spent 4% or less of their total IT budgets on cloud computing. In contrast, according to a 2012 study by IDG Enterprise, spend for cloud computing across all business sectors averaged 34% of the total IT budget. More than half (63%) of the 1,650 IT professionals polled expected to increase spending on cloud computing solutions in the next 12 months.18 Although the PhoCusWright sample was limited, the difference in the amounts spent on cloud computing in the travel industry versus in industries as a whole is substantial. At this rate, travel will significantly trail other verticals in realizing the cost savings and business value of cloud services. In the meantime, no less than 15 organizations are currently working on standards for cloud computing, which will enable its growth and institutionalization as a resource.19 Cloud computing has the potential not only to reduce IT costs and improve time to market, but, with cloud brokerage services, to define and develop new cloud ser- vices by combining services. Cloud brokerage is like a web services mashup, where a developer assembles content and e-commerce capability from different sources into a cohesive, integrated application. For example, cloud brokerage services could allow a cloud-based service to combine rail and air content for a multimodal trip planning tool. Technology Figure 13 shows a generic, high-level cloud computing conceptual reference model that was created to explain the requirements, uses, characteristics and standards of cloud computing. 18) “Research Indicates That Cloud Increases Short-Term Costs for Long-Term Gains,” IDG Enterprise press release (Apr. 2, 2012). 19) Cloud Standards Wiki. ©2013 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. Page 20
PhoCusWright White Paper: Travel Innovation and Technology Trends: 2013 and Beyond November 2013 FIGURE 13: NIST Cloud Computing Conceptual Reference Model Source: National Institute of Standards and Technology, U.S. Department of Commerce, Special Publication 500-292 ©2013 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. FIGURE 14: Cloud Broker as Service Aggregator Source: National Institute of Standards and Technology, U.S. Department of Commerce, Special Publication 500-292 ©2013 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. A key player in this model – particularly for travel distribution – is the cloud broker (see Figure 14). Since most travel points of sale use aggregated content from multiple sources, a cloud-based content aggregator holds significant potential. The cloud broker manages the use, performance and delivery of cloud services and co- ordinates the relationships between cloud providers and cloud consumers, including: 1) Service intermediation: Adds value to a given service, such as access to cloud ser- vices, identity management, security and performance reporting. 2) Service aggregation: Combines and integrates multiple services into one or more new services. A travel-related example would be a cloud broker integrating airline direct-connect fares with GDS results. 3) Service arbitrage: Service aggregation without fixed sources. For example, a travel agent obtaining the lowest rates for a given hotel from five different sources, even though those sources might change over time. ©2013 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. Page 21
PhoCusWright White Paper: Travel Innovation and Technology Trends: 2013 and Beyond November 2013 FIGURE 15: The Role Cloud Brokers Could Play in a Travel Company’s Cloud Architecture Source: National Institute of Standards and Technology, U.S. Department of Commerce, Special Publication 500-292 ©2013 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. Cloud aggregation services are similar to those the GDSs perform today. However, in the face of new channel pressures such as direct connect, travel companies may need to look beyond GDSs for aggregation. And given the myriad business management technologies travel companies need to interact with, they may find other uses for cloud brokers as well (see Figure 15). Examples While no acknowledged cloud broker vendors have entered the travel space, key play- ers in other industries include: n IBM’s SmartCloud Aggregator offers tools for a service provider to broker cloud- based services and aggregate content from both inside and outside the firewall and deliver the results to a variety of points of sale. SmartCloud Aggregator is targeted at the telecommunications industry, where provisioning mobile services is an ideal application for cloud brokerage. n Jamcracker supports self-service cloud fulfillment and channel enablement. It pro- vides tools for technology organizations to aggregate content in private and public clouds for corporate users. n Liaison Technologies sells tools for integrating systems (either on the businesses premises or in the cloud), transforms data to meet proprietary needs, and supports the translation of data into information. Implications Cloud computing can provide a substantial reduction in unit cost and increase in ©2013 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. Page 22
PhoCusWright White Paper: Travel Innovation and Technology Trends: 2013 and Beyond November 2013 technical capability. Cloud brokers can potentially expand business capability, and effective use of cloud computing can provide substantial competitive advantage. Trend 7: Intermediaries require fresh approaches throughout the travel cycle As travel products become more complex and distribution channels increase, the role of the travel intermediary must advance beyond just offering advice and arranging travel. Traditional travel agents aren’t the only ones who need to adapt – travel man- agement companies (TMCs) and OTAs have catching up to do, too. To retain and expand market share, intermediaries must come up with strategies to function optimally in an environment – i.e., our everyday lives – dominated by the fol- lowing technological influences: n Proliferation of information. At each stage of planning a trip – whether for busi- ness or pleasure – travelers confront an incredible number of information sources. The challenge for intermediaries: to cut down on information overload. n Digital transformation. What used to be on paper is now available digitally. n Cross-platform data access. Information in digital form is available virtually any- where on your device(s) of choice. n Social networking. Social networking permeates everything we do, from shared trip planning to destination selection. Intermediaries need to leverage the surge in social media to better assist their customers. n Changing business models and disintermediation. The pressure for direct connect for air shopping, along with Concur’s Open Booking and the continued success of metasearch, is changing the distribution landscape. Travel components – once commodities – are now differentiated products. This shift puts the burden on the intermediary to facilitate comparison shopping and pursue up- and cross- sell opportunities. n Business analytics. Business analytics give travel companies the tools to under- stand their businesses, customers, suppliers and competitors on a more complex level. This knowledge enables companies not only to make improvements right away, but also to plan for future ones. Technology Myriad technologies can help intermediaries refresh their approaches to helping cus- tomers plan, shop for, and book travel. Particularly hot areas of development include technology for: n Content aggregation and distribution n Customization and personalization ©2013 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. Page 23
PhoCusWright White Paper: Travel Innovation and Technology Trends: 2013 and Beyond November 2013 n Enhancing the customer experience n Cross-platform data access n Big Data n Predictive analytics Examples One challenge intermediaries face is facilitating comparison shopping. Figure 16 shows flight options for a trip from Melbourne to Perth on the Tigerair website, featuring traditional (commodity) flight alternatives. FIGURE 16: Tigerair Flight Schedule Source: Tigerair ©2013 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. In contrast, the Virgin Australia site displays this multitude of offerings for the same route: FIGURE 17: Virgin Australia Flight Schedule Source: Virgin Australia ©2013 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. ©2013 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. Page 24
PhoCusWright White Paper: Travel Innovation and Technology Trends: 2013 and Beyond November 2013 Fare options include the following services: FIGURE 18: Virgin Australia Choices Fare Conditions Domestic Australian International short-haul International long- flights flights haul flights Checked Baggage 1 piece included (23kg) 1 piece included (23kg) Please see Internation- Additional may be pur- Additional may be purchased al Long-Haul Checked chased Baggage page for detailed information Flight Changes Up to 24 hours before the Up to 24 hours before the Fees and Conditions flight flight apply Fees and Conditions apply Fees and Conditions apply Voluntary Cancel- Up to 24 hours before the Up to 24 hours before the Fees and Conditions lations flight flight apply Fees and Conditions apply Fees and Conditions apply In-Flight Entertain- Included (if offered) Available for purchase (if Included ment offered) Food and Beverage Included on services On direct flights between between Brisbane, Sydney or Australia and Bali or Austra- Melbourne to Perth. lia and Phuket, all economy Included on services be- guests receive a compli- tween Sydney or Melbourne mentary meal and selected to Canberra. beverages. Included on all Virgin Austra- lia Regional Services. All other flights Tea/coffee/ water included All other flights Tea/coffee/ Food available for purchase water included Food available for purchase Extra Legroom Available for purchase Available for purchase Available for purchase Advanced Seat Included Included Included Selection (V) Priority Check-In No No No (V) Priority Board- No No No ing (V) Lounge Entry Membership available for Membership available for Membership available purchase purchase for purchase Source: Virgin Australia ©2013 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. The dilemma of the intermediary – whether automated or live – is how to simultane- ously 1) offer the kind of tailored product choices Virgin Australia does, and 2) enable comparison shopping with dissimilar offerings from multiple airlines. Implications The role of the travel intermediary will become substantially more complex in the next several years. Instead of just selling the best airfare between Point A and Point ©2013 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. Page 25
PhoCusWright White Paper: Travel Innovation and Technology Trends: 2013 and Beyond November 2013 B, intermediaries will have to provide the best (or lowest-cost) travel experience as a whole. This new imperative requires (sometimes drastic) changes – and investment – in technology, training, customer service time, and service delivery tools. If intermediaries can’t make the needed changes, they will cede shopping to suppliers. Trend 8: Big Data makes travel smarter Big Data refers to amounts of data so large they cannot be processed with tradition- al tools and technology (e.g., relational databases and normalized structures).20 How much data is “Big”? The amount ranges from tens of terabytes all the way up to peta- bytes. Only a few Big Data initiatives in travel have been successful so far.21 While companies can use multiple approaches to create business value with Big Data, many barriers stand in the way of realizing that value. A few examples: Value: Detailed transactional data about website performance, call center metrics, display optimization, conversion cause and effect, and multichannel performance can assist management in fine-tuning every aspect of the travel product sale. Barrier: Travel companies historically have focused on transactions, either through the GDS or with their own technology. Focusing on data represents major changes in technology and operations. Value: Big Data allows precise segmentation. Barrier: Beyond loyalty programs, which vary substantially in their understanding of customers, the travel industry has focused on the trip itself rather than on specific char- acteristics of travelers and their friends. Implementing effective segmentation models requires major reengineering of technology platforms. Value: Big Data can help companies define new products and services. For example, by monitoring social media (a key source of Big Data), travel companies can better understand how to create more relevant – and valuable – offerings for their customers. Barrier: Many travel companies are highly dependent on GDSs for products, so room for customization is limited. For travel companies that can develop their own products and services, social media monitoring provides a major opportunity. Value: Big Data supports effective business analytics, and business analytics provide critical positioning capabilities: market intelligence, competitive intelligence, sentiment analysis, customer attributes, and discovery of trends and patterns. Barrier: The gap between gathering business intelligence and acting on it is wide. To bridge this gap, travel companies need to reengineer their approaches to business. One example of a successful move in this direction is Delta Air Lines, whose social me- 20) Bob Offutt, “Big Data: Redefining Travel Business Decision Making,” PhoCusWright Inc. (July 2012). 21) Evan Konwiser, “Big Data in Travel: Rubber Hitting the Road, But Only for Some,” Tnooz (Jan. 25, 2013). ©2013 PhoCusWright Inc. All Rights Reserved. Page 26
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