TONGA STRATEGIC ANALYSIS - Country Operations Business Plan 2016-2018 - August 2015

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TONGA

Country Operations Business Plan 2016–2018

          STRATEGIC ANALYSIS

                 August 2015
CONTENTS

I.    DEVELOPMENT TRENDS AND ISSUES
      A.       Country Background                                            1
      B.       Highlights of Previous Programming Approach                   3

II.   THE COUNTRY STRATEGIC PRIORITIES
      A.       Developing the ADB Country Strategic Priorities               3
      B.       Implementation Issues                                         5

APPENDICES TO LINKED DOCUMENT
1.    Data Tables                                                            7
      Table 1: Progress towards the Millennium Development Goals             7
      Table 2: Country Economic Indicators                                   10
      Table 3: Country Poverty and Social Indicators                         12
      Table 4: Country Environment Indicators                                13
      Table 5: 2015 Country Performance Assessment Ratings                   14
      Table 6: Country Portfolio Indicators                                  15
            Table 6a: Portfolio Amounts and Ratings                          15
            Table 6b: Disbursements and Net Transfers of Resources           16
            Table 6c: Project Success Rates                                  17
            Table 6d: Portfolio Implementation Status                        18
2.    Development Coordination                                               19
      Development Coordination Matrix                                        19
3.    Sector Assessments                                                     21
      I        Infrastructure                                                21
      II       Climate Resilience                                            31
      III      Public Sector Management                                      41
      IV       Private Sector Development Assessments                        49
4.    Risk Assessment and Management Plan                                    58
5.    Country Cost-Sharing Arrangements and Eligible Expenditure Financing   60
      Parameters, 2016–2018
ABBREVIATIONS

ADF    Asian Development Fund
CPS    country partnership strategy
DPs    development partners
GDP    gross domestic product
IMF    International Monetary Fund
MDGs   millennium development goals
PFM    public financial management
JPRM   joint policy reform matrix
RETA   regional technical assistance
SOE    state-owned enterprise
TA     technical assistance
I.     DEVELOPMENT TRENDS AND ISSUES

A.     Country Background

1.       Tonga is located in the western South Pacific Ocean approximately 750 kilometers east
of Fiji and 2,000 kilometers north of New Zealand. There are 170 islands in the archipelago, of
which 36 are populated. The total land area of Tonga is 747 square kilometers ((km2),
surrounded by an exclusive economic zone of 640,050 km2. The population of Tonga was
estimated at 103,036 in 2011. Nearly 70% reside on the largest island of Tongatapu, where the
capital, Nuku’alofa, is located. Emigration has been high over the past 30 years, at a rate of
about 2.0% annually; this has lowered the rate of population growth to an average of 0.4%
annually. Tonga has achieved a high level of human development. Gross domestic product
(GDP) per capita in fiscal year (FY) 2012 was estimated at $4,572. This places the country in
the ranks of middle-income countries.

2.      Over the past decade, Tonga’s economy has been adversely affected by climatic
shocks, in particular, tropical cyclones, soaring prices of imported fuels and food, civil
disturbances in 2005 and 2006, and the global financial crisis. The resulting growth trajectory
has been low, volatile, and largely public sector driven—with average growth of only 0.6% of
GDP ranging between –4.6% to 4.2% of GDP from 2005–2014—highlighting the need to grow
the private sector, including through enhanced economic participation of women, to create more
jobs and improve future growth prospects. In recent years, the government has taken important
steps to put in place the policy levers that will shape growth. Prudent management of debt and
the excessive public wage bill, and further strengthening of domestic revenue mobilization, are
required to put the fiscal position on a more sustainable path. More effective and efficient use of
resources requires further PFM reforms. Better public service performance and continuous SOE
reforms will benefit both the public and private sectors. Business environment reforms are
needed to lower the cost and risk of doing business and encourage private sector activity to
expand the formal economy and create employment. Measures have been taken to liberalize
external trade and foreign direct investment, institute growth committees in priority sectors (e.g.
tourism, agriculture and fisheries), simplify and improve the tax system, reform state-owned
enterprises (SOEs), and strengthen public financial management through introducing a
medium-term budget framework that links prioritized plans with annual budgets, and public
procurement reforms. These measures are guided by the government-led Joint Policy Reform
Matrix (JPRM), which development partners use as the basis for budget support that helps
create fiscal space for critical reforms and set incentives to keep up reform momentum.

3.         However, the government does not yet have control over all the policy levers.
Government’s fiscal policy remains hampered by t h e large, relatively well– paid public
s e c t o r that puts pressure on scarce funds, relatively high ad hoc tax exemptions, and weak
implementation of budgeted policy priorities. Extensive borrowing from the Export-Import Bank
of China for the reconstruction of Nuku’alofa’s central business district following civil
disturbances in 2005 and 2006 led to a downgrading of Tonga’s debt distress level from
moderate to high risk in 2010. Enforcement of a stricter debt policy that allows only
concessional borrowing has led to an upgrade to moderate risk by the joint International
Monetary Fund and World Bank debt sustainability analysis in 2013 and 2014.

4.      Private sector development is essential to c r e a t e j o b opportunities for the labor-
force. Its development has been constrained by multiple geographic, institutional, and policy
constraints. The remnants of a state-led growth strategy, the large civil service, and SOE
dominance in commercial activities, continues to hamper private sector development and new
job creation. However, significant reforms have been undertaken to improve SOE governance,
and selected SOEs have either been restructured or privatized between 2012 and 2014.
2

Progress with the simplification of business license registration and new companies legislation
has further improved the investment climate. A critical constraint for private sector development
is the lack of access to land for both local and foreign investment. This is exacerbated by
t y p i c a l l y short term leases, the lack of provisions for regular review of rental agreements, and
protection for investors. Land tenure systems are intimately linked with cultural traditions and
the structure of society, making it difficult to bring land management into line with the needs
of a market- based economy.

5.      A key challenge for Tonga is to improve the efficiency of the public sector and
develop the private sector. Tackling developmental issues will be crucial to alleviate
unemployment, poverty and hardship. Reforms in many aspects of the economy are needed
if Tonga is to deliver the quality of education, health and other services consistent with its
status as a middle-income country. Nurturing private-sector led growth is essential to increasing
levels of private sector investment, and improving productivity, competitiveness and resource
efficiency. This will require effective government, appropriately functioning factor markets, and
an enabling climate to be created where companies with available capital feel confident in
taking forward investment.

6.      The standard of living in Tonga has improved dramatically over the past 50 years and
absolute poverty is not widespread. However, the incidence of hardship among the
economically disadvantaged groups has been increasing. Hardship is officially defined as
“having difficulties in meeting basic needs such as education and transport.” From this
perspective, the rural and outer-island communities, especially those in the rural areas of
Nuku’alofa and the Niuas and Ha’apai outer-island groups, are experiencing higher rates of
hardship. This means that they face limited job opportunities and access to key public services,
the latter which affects the quality of health and education services received They depend
heavily on subsistence production including handicrafts, and on remittances from overseas
members of their households to fund their social and cultural obligations for ceremonies and
church donations. The results of the 2009 Household Income and Expenditure Survey, the
latest data available, suggest that the incidence of hardship in Tonga has increased over the
past decade. It has been estimated that in 2009, 16.4% of households (22.5% of the population)
were living below the basic needs poverty line, compared with 12.2% of households (16.2% of
the population) in 2001 (Table 6). Overseas employment opportunities, both related to overseas
labor mobility schemes and longer term migration, not only provide major sources of income
and remittances but continues to be a viable long-term option for sustaining economic growth
and helping to lift people out of poverty.

7.      Tonga is generally on-track in relation to the achievement of the eight Millennium
Development Goals (MDGs) agreed by the international community to strengthen performance
in social and economic development by 2015. A status report on progress towards meeting
MDG goals and targets is included in Appendix 1, Table 1. Progress is considered to be lagging
in three areas: (i) managing the incidence of non-communicable diseases where the high
incidence of diabetes, cardio-vascular disease, hypertension and diabetes is a cause for
concern; (ii) promoting gender equality and empowering women, where for example none of the
thirty seats in Parliament is held by a woman; and (iii) reducing poverty, where 22.5% of the
population is considered to remain below the national basic needs poverty line.

8.     As a category A country, Tonga is eligible for Asian Development Fund (ADF) and
concessional Ordinary Capital Resources, or OCR, resources The 2015 Debt Sustainability
Analysis indicates that Tonga remains at moderate risk of debt distress. External debt in 2015 is
3

estimated at 45% of GDP and external debt and debt service indicators remain below the
thresholds. The 2014 Country Performance Assessment found that Tonga had maintained its
2012 ratings for all categories except public sector management and institutions where the
establishment of remuneration boards at the line ministry level and the 5.0% cost of living
adjustment increase in late 2013 has caused the rating to slip. In spite of this, Tonga continues
to perform well relative to the rest of the Pacific and in terms of structural policies and public
sector management and institutions, at par or better than ADB’s Group A countries.

B.     Highlights of Previous Programming Approach

9.     ADB’s Pacific Approach 2010-2014 has served as the country partnership strategy
between ADB and Tonga since the expiry of the Country Partnership Strategy 2007-2011. The
current Country Operations Business Plan (COBP) covers the period 2015-2017. ADB’s
engagement during 2011–2014 has supported the government’s focus on strengthening the
economy’s resilience to future shocks and improving Tonga’s long term growth prospects. The
COBP supports this effort by focusing on prudent public sector management, renewable energy,
and climate resilience.

10.     ADB and other partners have increasingly provided budget support for Tonga to support
the implementation of reform actions in the JPRM (ADB provided an initial $10m in budget
support on 2009 and a further $4.5m in 2013). In total, budget support receipts from all partners
have averaged about 15% of Tonga’s budget since FY2012 and have helped to restore public
finances and debt at manageable levels, improve allocation of resources to priority sectors
including maintenance of health and education spending at a time of fiscal consolidation, and
accelerate the pace of business climate and state-owned enterprise reforms.

11.     Investment in infrastructure is crucial to economic recovery in Tonga. It is vital to growth:
spending on infrastructure not only provides a timely boost to economic activity and jobs but
also creates a legacy of assets that could have long-lasting economic benefits. Domestic
investment levels in Tonga have averaged 20% of GDP in the decade. However, the
productivity of much of this investment is low, being channeled either into poorly performing
state-owned enterprises or into residential construction. Government capital spending has
historically been low while poor transport infrastructure and high costs of power and broadband
internet services are significant constraints on doing business in Tonga; these compound the
effects of remoteness on economic activity. Recognizing this challenge, the Government has
signaled its intention to balance budget support with new investments in economic infrastructure
once the period of the current COBP (2015–2017) ends. There are four large-scale ADB
infrastructure projects ongoing in Tonga that amount to about $60 million. These are the
Nuku’alofa Urban Development Project, the Climate Change Resilience Project, the Outer
Island Renewable Energy Project and the Cyclone Ian Recovery Project. All are scheduled to
end between 2016–2018 and occupy significant implementation capacities.

                                II.    THE COUNTRY STRATEGIC PRIORITIES

A.     Developing the ADB Country Strategic Priorities

12.      The Tonga Strategic Development Framework 2015–2025 contains 5 pillars (Economic
Institutions, Social institutions, Political Institutions, Infrastructure and Technology, and Natural
Resources and Environment ), which are consistent with the focus of ADB’s Interim Pacific
Approach 2015 and the proposed COBP 2016–2018.
4

13.      The indicative ADF and concessional OCR resource allocation for 2016–2018 is
$23.51 million. The final allocation will depend on the available ADF and concessional OCR
resources and the outcome of the country performance assessments. The 2014 debt distress
classification of Tonga was assessed as at moderate risk of debt distress. In accordance with
the ADF grants framework, the country is to receive 50% of its country allocation in grants in
2015, subject to a 20% volume discount on the grant portion of the country allocation.1 ADB’s
interventions during this period include $15 million for the “Building Macroeconomic Resilience
Program” and $20 million for project investments in information and communication technology
and urban sector development.

14.      Policy-based lending. Policy-based lending will continue to feature prominently in the
COBP 2016–2018. Budget support has helped the government to significantly improve its
management of the economy and its finances during a period of fiscal crisis and through major
Constitutional changes that have absorbed significant political and administrative attention. The
fiscal situation has stabilized, delivery of crucial social services maintained, returns from state-
owned enterprises increased, and the business climate improved. As a result, Tonga has
steadily climbed up in the Ease of Doing Business Indicators, and is now the highest ranked
Pacific country. Tonga’s country performance assessment scores have rapidly improved, which
has seen its biennial ADF allocation increase by 16% since 2010. The government wishes the
focus of ADB’s policy-based lending to balance sound fiscal management with structural
reforms and inclusive growth to promote jobs and social protection. ADB and other development
partners will work with the government to transform the JRPM into a medium term critical reform
path that helps strengthen economic resilience. Planned approval of ADB’s 2015 policy-based
lending operation has been pushed back to the first quarter of 2016 in order to give the
government room to implement vital policy and institutional reforms in the JPRM that will serve
as building blocks for more substantial change in the future.

15.     New investments. New investments will be based on the 2010 Tonga National
Infrastructure Investment Plan (updated in 2013) and will be carefully phased in to ensure
Government has adequate capacity for implementation.2 The government and ADB have
agreed that the information and communications technology (ICT) and urban and water sectors
should be prioritized in ADB’s lending pipeline. Consequently, the COBP contains two new
project investments in these sectors: an ICT project ($10 million) that will build on an ongoing
technical assistance (TA) project to promote the use of electronic applications in the social
sectors and a urban and water project ($10 million) that will enable the expansion of the
Nuku’alofa water supply to growth areas (footnote 6).

16.    Capacity development. TA will support program implementation and project
preparation. Tonga will also continue to benefit from regional technical assistance in line with
ADB’s Regional Operations Business Plan, 2015–2017. Tonga will also continue to benefit from
technical support from the Pacific Region Infrastructure Facility and the International Monetary
Fund’s Pacific Financial Technical Assistance Centre.

17.    Knowledge solutions will be promoted by capturing, generating and disseminating
relevant development management knowledge, in line with ADB’s knowledge solutions agenda
of the Midterm Review of Strategy 2020, the new Knowledge Management Action Plan, ADB’s
Public Communication Policy 2011, and utilizing the User Guide to Preparing Communications
Strategies for Projects. Concerted efforts will be made to (a) generate knowledge from ADB
operations in Tonga, and (b) apply Pacific Developing Member Country-wide knowledge in

1
    The proportion of grants for the resource allocations in 2016–2018 will be determined by future annual debt
    distress classifications in accordance with the ADF grants framework.
2
    Government of Tonga. 2010. National Infrastructure Investment Plan. Nuku’alofa.
5

designing projects and reform programs in Tonga. This will be done in close coordination with
the ADB’s Knowledge Sharing and Services Center, the Department of External Relations, and
ADB’s various Communities of Practice. Lessons will be drawn from high-performance projects
and programs and disseminated in policy notes, seminars, and other outreach events.

B.     Implementation Issues

         1.      Efforts to build ownership

18.     Key initiatives in building Tongan ownership of ADB activities include close consultation
with Tongan stakeholders at all stages of activity identification, formulation and implementation;
ensuring close alignment between ADB activities and Tonga’s development strategies; working
with government and other development partners in pursuing reform through the JPRM; use of
local consultants wherever possible; and full-time presence through the ADB/WB Development
Coordination Office.

         2.      Capacity

19.    Tongan institutions are generally capable and staffed by educated, experienced and
motivated personnel. However, these institutions are small and can lack breadth and depth in
technical skills. This can put policy reform and project implementation at risk, and requires that
reform and project design be supported by relatively high levels of technical support for
extended periods. Capacity constraints also suggest that the reform agenda needs to be tightly
focused on key policies and systems in order to be sustained.

         3.      Coordination

20.     A joint declaration on aid effectiveness between the government and Development
Partners was signed in October 2007, and high level consultations in relation to development
assistance are held annually. Aid coordination is the responsibility of the Project and Aid
Management Division in the Ministry of Finance and National Planning, with this institutional
arrangement creating strong links between Development Partner activities, the strategic
planning framework, and the annual budget process. The Division has experienced and
effective staff, and acts as a key repository of information on development assistance activities.
Some development partners have co-located representatives with the Division (including the
ADB/WB Development Coordination Office and the UN Joint Presence Office).

         4.      Use of Development Coordination Office (DCO)

21.      The ADB/WB Development Coordination Office in Tonga plays a pivotal role in
supporting ADB’s activities in Tonga. The office is strategically located within the offices of the
Ministry of Finance and National Planning, giving it ready access to key staff and smooth links
with other arms of government. Experience to date has seen the office providing effective
services to visiting missions and consultants, and opening very effective channels of
communications with line ministries and other key stakeholders. An indicator of the success of
the office is the high regard with which it is held by both ADB and the government.
6

    APPENDICES TO LINKED DOCUMENT
Appendix 1          7

                                             DATA TABLES

          Table 1: Progress toward the Millennium Development Goals and Targets

Goals and Targets                                                      Country Status
Goal 1: Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger          Off-track in relation to national poverty line

Target 1.A: Halve, between 1990 and 2015, the         Off-track: It is estimated that 22.5% of the
proportion of people whose income is less than $1 a   population were living below the national basic
day                                                   needs poverty line in 2009. This grew from an
                                                      estimated 16.2% in 2001.

Target 1.B: Achieve full and productive employment    Off-track: Only slight improvement in the
and decent work for all, including women and young    employment-to-population ratio from 53.1% in
people                                                1990 to 55.9% in 2006. There has been,
                                                      however, faster growth in ratio of paid
                                                      employment to population.

Target 1.C: Halve, between 1990 and 2015, the         On-track: There is negligible incidence of hunger
proportion of people who suffer from hunger           in Tonga, with obesity being a much more
                                                      significant problem than hunger. The prevalence
                                                      of underweight children is low, with the most
                                                      recent estimate being 2% in 1999. Incidence of
                                                      food or absolute poverty remains low, but
                                                      increased from 2.8% of the population in 2001 to
                                                      3.1% in 2009.
Goal 2: Achieve universal primary education           On-track

Target 2.A: Ensure that, by 2015, children            On-track: Net enrolment ratio in primary
everywhere, boys and girls alike, will be able to     education has increased from 91.6% (1990) to
complete a full course of primary schooling           93% (2008). The proportion of pupils starting
                                                      grade 1 who reach last grade of primary school
                                                      increased from 84% in 1996 to 90% in 2007.
Goal 3: Promote gender equality and empower           Off-track in some areas
women
                                                      Off-track: The ratio of girls to boys has remained
Target 3.A: Eliminate gender disparity in primary     around 0.88 at the primary level, indicating room
and secondary education, preferably by 2005, and in   for improvement. At the secondary level,
all levels of education no later than 2015            representation is almost equal. The proportion of
                                                      women in wage employment in the non-
                                                      agricultural sector was 39.2% in 2006, and
                                                      representation is lower in higher level positions.
                                                      Only one of 30 seats in the national parliament
                                                      was held by a woman in 2010.
Goal 4: Reduce child mortality                        On-track overall, stable rather than improving

Target 4.A: Reduce by two-thirds, between 1990        Stable: The under-five mortality rate per 1,000
and 2015, the under-five mortality rate               remains low in Tonga, though the rate in 2008
                                                      was roughly the same as that in 1990 (26-27).
                                                      The infant mortality rate is also low, but
                                                      increased from 12.2 in 1991 to 16.4 in 2008. The
                                                      proportion of 1 year old children immunized
                                                      against measles is almost 100%.
Goal 5: Improve maternal health                       On-track overall
8       Appendix 1

Goals and Targets                                                          Country Status
Target 5.A: Reduce by three-quarters, between           On-track: The maternal mortality ratio has
1990 and 2015, the maternal mortality ratio             fluctuated, but was significantly lower in 2008
                                                        (76/100,000) than in 1995 (205/100,000). The
                                                        skilled birth attendance rate has been high and
                                                        stable, reaching 98% in 2007.
Target 5.B: Achieve, by 2015, universal access to
reproductive health                                     On-track overall: Ante-natal coverage is high at
                                                        98% in 2008 (one visit) and 86% (4 visits),
                                                        though the contraceptive prevalence rate is low
                                                        at 27% in 2008, down from 33% in 1990.
Goal 6: Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria, and other             Off-track in relation to NCDs
diseases
                                                        Little data available. Official estimates on
Target 6.A: Have halted by 2015 and begun to            HIV/AIDS levels are low but likely to be
reverse the spread of HIV/AIDS                          understated. Estimates of condom use at last
                                                        high-risk are very low (21% in 2008), and
                                                        awareness of HIV/AIDS is low (36% of those in
                                                        the 15-24 age group).

Target 6.B: Achieve, by 2010, universal access to       No current cases of advanced HIV infection.
treatment for HIV/AIDS for all those who need it

Target 6.C: Have halted by 2015 and begun to            Off-track: Significant progress has been made in
reverse the incidence of TB. Have reduced the           relation to the incidence, prevalence and cure
prevalence of non-communicable diseases (NCDs).         rate from TB. However, mortality and morbidity
                                                        arising from NCDs including diabetes,
                                                        cardiovascular disease, hypertension, and
                                                        obesity are major areas of concern.
Goal 7: Ensure environmental sustainability             Some data gaps; generally on-track.

Target 7.A: Integrate the principles of sustainable     Data not available.
development into country policies and programs and
reverse the loss of environmental resources

Target 7.B: Reduce biodiversity loss, achieving, by     Data not available
2010, a significant reduction in the rate of loss

Target 7.C: Halve, by 2015, the proportion of people    On-track: The proportion of the population with
without sustainable access to safe drinking water       access to an improved drinking water source
and basic sanitation                                    increased from 92% in 1986 to 98% in 2006. The
                                                        proportion of the population using an improved
                                                        sanitation facility increased from 55% in 1986 to
                                                        82% in 2006.
Target 7.D: By 2020, to have achieved a significant
improvement in the lives of at least 100 million slum   Data not available. Settlements are growing in
dwellers                                                swampy areas around Nuku’alofa, which has
                                                        implications in terms of housing quality and
                                                        access to basic services.
Goal 8: Develop a global partnership for                Data gaps; generally on-track
development
                                                        Significant progress has been made in aid
Target 8.A: Develop further an open, rule-based,        coordination and harmonization, with a significant
predictable, non-discriminatory trading and financial   reduction in the tying of aid
system
                                                        Not applicable
Appendix 1       9

Goals and Targets                                                        Country Status
Target 8.B: Address the special needs of the least
developed countries
                                                        Data gaps
Target 8.C: Address the special needs of landlocked
developing countries and small island developing
states (through the Programme of Action for the
Sustainable Development of Small Island
Developing States and the outcome of the twenty-
second special session of the General Assembly)
                                                        Off-track: Debt service as a proportion of exports
Target 8.D: Deal comprehensively with the debt          of goods and services remains manageable at
problems of developing countries through national       9.8% (2007). However, public debt has grown
and international measures in order to make debt        with external debt now exceeding the target
sustainable in the long term                            ceiling of 40% of GDP (2012), and debt
                                                        sustainability analysis concluding that Tonga is at
                                                        high risk of debt distress.

Target 8.E: In cooperation with pharmaceutical          On-track: In 2002 it was estimated that 95% of
companies, provide access to affordable essential       the population had sustainable access to the 20
drugs in developing countries                           most essential drugs identified by WHO. The
                                                        Tongan population has access to free health
                                                        care and drugs. Tonga is considered to have
                                                        achieved this target.
Target 8.F: In cooperation with the private sector,
make available the benefits of new technologies,        On-track: There has been rapid growth in the
especially information and communications               number of telephone lines (5 per 100 population
                                                        in 1990 to 21 in 2008), mobile phone users (from
                                                        0 per 100 population in 1990 to 46.4 in 2007),
                                                        and internet users (0 per hundred population in
                                                        1990 to 8.4 in 2007).
Source: Adapted from 2nd National Millennium Development Goals Report, Tonga, Status and Progress 1990-2010,
MFNP, September 2010.
10
                                                   Table 2: Country Economic Indicators

                                                                                                                                       Appendix 1
Item                                                                              2011      2012       2013      2014e      2015p

A.     Income and Growth

           1. GDP Per Capita ($, current prices)                                7,370.0    7,638.0    7,476.0    7,802.0    8,021.0
           2. GDP growth (%, constant market prices)                                2.0        0.5       (2.7)       2.1        2.4
               Agriculture                                                          2.0        0.5       ---        ---        ---
                Industry                                                            5.5        1.2       ---        ---        ---
                Services                                                            1.8        0.5       ---        ---        ---
B.     Savings and Investment (current market prices, % of GDP)
           1. Gross domestic investment                                           36.8       33.9        ---        ---        ---
           2. Gross domestic savings                                              (11.8)     (14.4)      ---        ---        ---
C.     Money and Inflation (annual % change)
          1. Consumer Price Index                                                   6.0        3.3        0.7        2.3        0.4
           2. Total Liquidity (M2)                                                  3.3        7.2        6.1        7.2        4.0
D.     Government Finance (% of GDP)
          1. Revenue and Grants                                                   26.8       27.8       25.5       29.0       30.5
           2. Expenditure and Onlending                                           34.4       30.6       26.8       28.0       32.3
           3. Overall Fiscal Surplus (Deficit)                                     (7.5)      (2.8)      (1.3)       1.1       (1.8)
E.     Balance of Payments
           1. Merchandise Trade Balance (% of GDP)                                (33.9)     (34.2)     (36.2)     (36.0)     (45.2)
           2. Current Account Balance (% of GDP)                                   (6.1)      (8.8)      (1.9)      (1.4)      (4.5)
           3. Merchandise Exports ($) growth (annual % change)                    36.7       65.7       (22.9)       8.7        0.0
           4. Merchandise Imports ($) growth (annual % change)                    17.0       17.5        (2.1)       0.1      11.6
F.     External Payment Indicators
           1. Gross Official Reserves, (including gold, $ million in month of
           current year's imports of goods))                                        5.6        6.6        7.3        7.0        6.9
           2. External Debt Service (% of X of goods & services)                    7.0        7.3        8.4      10.1         8.1
           3. Total External Debt (% of GDP)                                      36.6       42.6       46.0       42.9       44.9
G.     Memorandum Items
          1. GDP (current prices, T$ million)                                     759.7        788.4       772.4        806.3      828.9
           2. Exchange Rate ((T$/$, annual average)                                 1.9           1.7         1.7         1.8         2.1
           3. Population (million)                                                     0.1          0.1         0.1        0.1        0.1
                                                               a
--- = no available data; % = percent; $ = United States dollar; = in fiscal year ended 30 June; e = estimate; GDP = gross domestic product;
    M2 = money supply; p = projection; T$ = Tongan pa'anga.

Source: Asian Development Outlook 2015 database and ADB staff estimates.

                                                                                                                                              Appendix 1
                                                                                                                                              11
12        Appendix 1

                               Table 3: Country Poverty and Social Indicators

Item                                                                   1990           2000          Latest Year
A. Population Indicators
   1. Population (‘000)                                                       95.2           97.9     103.0 (2011)
   2. Population growth (annual % change)                                      0.2            0.5    0.2 (2006-11)

B.    Social Indicators
     1. Fertility rate (births/woman)                                         4.6            4.3        3.8 (2012)
     2. Maternal mortality ratio (per 100,000 live births)                     67             87       110 (2010)
     3. Infant mortality rate (below 1 year, per 1,000 live births)          20.7           16.8      13.2 (2010)
     4. Life expectancy at birth (years)                                     69.6           70.7      72.3 (2011)
         a. Female                                                           71.1           72.8      75.2 (2011)
         b. Male                                                             68.1           68.8      69.5 (2011)
     5. Adult literacy (%)                                            98.9 (1996)             …       99.0 (2006)
         a. Female                                                    99.0 (1996)             …       99.0 (2006)
         b. Male                                                      98.8 (1996)             …       99.0 (2006)
     6. Primary school net enrollment (%)                                    92.3    91.3 (1999)      98.7 (2006)
     7. Secondary school net enrollment (%)                                  81.9           76.1      73.0 (2004)
     8. Child malnutrition (% underweight below 5 years old)                   …              …         2.2 (1986)
     9. Population below poverty line (%)                                      …     16.2 (2001)      22.7 (2006)
     10. Households with access to safe water (%)                       91 (1986)      98 (1996)         98 (2006)
     11. Households with access to sanitation (%)                       55 (1986)      74 (1996)         82 (2006)
     12. Public education expenditure (% of GDP)                               …             4.9        3.9 (2004)
     13. Human development index rank                                          …       55 (2004)    95/186 (2012)
     14. Gender-related development index                                      …              …      0.462 (2012)

C.  Poverty Indicators
   1. Human poverty index value (%)                                    …             …                   …
      Rank                                                             …             …                   …
   2. Provincial human poverty indices (%)                                                   not applicable
   3. Poverty gap                                                      …             …           6.3 (2009)
   4. Poverty severity index                                           …             …                   …
   5. Inequality (Gini Coefficient)                                    …             …         0.24 (2009)
… = data not available, GDP = gross domestic product.
Sources: 2nd National Millennium Development Goals Report, Tonga, Status and Progress 1990-2010, MFNP,
September 2010; World Development Indicators, World Bank, 2012; UNDP Human Development Report 2013.
Appendix 1       13

                               Table 4: Country Environment Indicators

Indicator                                                            1990                 Latest Year
A. Energy Efficiency of Emissions
   1. GDP/unit of energy use (PPP$/kgoe)                                       …                         …
   2. Traditional fuel use (% of total energy use)                             …                         …
   3. Carbon dioxide emissions (metric ton, ‘000)                              …                         …
   4. Carbon dioxide emissions per capita (metric ton)                         …                         …

B. Water Pollution: Water and Sanitation
   1. % urban population with access to safe water                             …                 98.3 (1996)
   2. % rural population with access to safe water                             …                 98.1 (1996)
   3. % urban population with access to sanitation                             …                   99 (1996)

C. Land Use and Deforestation
                      2
   1. Forest area (km )                                                        90                  90 (2010)
                                        2
   2. Average annual deforestation (km )                                       …                          …
   3. Average annual deforestation (% change)                                  …                          …
                                          2
   4. Rural population density (people/km of arable land)                     460                 500 (2011)
   5. Arable land (% of total land)                                          22.2                22.2 (2009)
   6. Permanent cropland (% of total land)                                   16.7                15.3 (2009)

D. Biodiversity and Protected Areas
                                   2
   1. Nationally protected area (km )                                         9.9               104.7 (2010)
   2. Nationally protected area (% of total land)                             1.4                       14.5
   3. Mammals (number of threatened species)                             0 (1996)                   2 (2012)
   4. Birds (number of threatened species)                                      2                   5 (2012)
   5. Higher plants (number of threatened species)                             …                    2 (2012)
   6. Reptiles (number of threatened species)                            3 (1996)                         …
   7. Amphibians (number of threatened species)                                …                          …

E. Urban Areas
   1. Urban population (‘000)                                               21.6                  24.5 (2011)
   1. Urban population (% of total population)                              22.7                  23.5 (2011)
   2. Per capita water use (liters/day)                                        …                           …
   3. Wastewater treated (%)                                                    ...                        …
   4. Solid waste generated per capita (kg/day)                                …                           …
                                                                                                           2
… = data not available, GDP = gross domestic product, kg = kilogram, kgoe = kilograms of oil equivalent, km =
square kilometer, PPP = purchasing power parity.
Sources: 2nd National Millennium Development Goals Report, Tonga, Status and Progress 1990-2010, MFNP,
September 2010; World Development Indicators, World Bank, 2012.
14    Appendix 1

                   Table 5: 2014 Country Performance Assessment Ratings

                                                                         Pacific
                              CRITERIA                           TUV
                                                                        (Average)

     A. Economic Management                                      2.8       3.3
        1. Monetary and Exchange Rate Policies                   3.5       3.4
        2. Fiscal Policy                                         3.0       3.2
        3. Debt Policy and Management                            2.0       3.4

     B. Structural Policies                                      2.7       3.2
        4. Trade                                                 3.0       3.8
        5. Financial Sector                                      2.5       3.0
        6. Business Regulatory Environment                       2.5       2.8

     C. Policies for Social Inclusion/Equity                     3.2       3.2
        7. Gender Equality                                       3.0       3.0
        8. Equity of Public Resource Use                         3.0       3.2
        9. Building Human Resources                              4.0       3.4
        10. Social Protection and Labor                          3.0       3.1
        11. Policies and Institutions for Environmental          3.0       3.0
            Sustainability

     D. Public Sector Management and Institutions                3.2       3.3
        12. Property Rights and Rules-based Governance           4.0       3.4
        13. Quality of Budgetary and Financial Management        3.0       3.4
        14. Efficiency of Revenue Mobilization                   3.0       3.5
        15. Quality of Public Administration                     3.0       3.0
        16. Transparency, Accountability and Corruption in the   3.0       3.2
            Public Sector

     E. Portfolio Performance                                    4.0       3.8
        17. Portfolio Performance                                4.0       3.8

     Composite Country Performance Rating (CCPR)                 10.2     11.1
15
                                                       Table 6: Country Portfolio Indicators

                                                    Table 6a: Portfolio Amounts and Ratings

                                                                                                                                               Appendix 1
                                                    (sovereign loans, as of 31 December 2014)

                                                                                                                Potential
                                                           Net Amount                Total        On Track      Problem       Actual Problem
                                                            ($                                   (no.
Sector                                                   million)  (%)          (no.)    (%)       )    (%)   (no.)    (%)     (no.)    (%)

                                                                                                       100.
Energy                                                       15.29      22.47    2       33.3     2     0      0       0.0      0       0.0
                                                                                                       100.
Information and Communication Technology                         9.70   14.26    1       16.7     1     0      0       0.0      0       0.0
                                                                                                       100.
Multisector                                                  19.25      28.29    1       16.7     1     0      0       0.0      0       0.0
Water and Other Urban Infrastructure and
Services                                                     23.80      34.98    2       33.3     1    50.0    1       50.0     0       0.0

                        Total                                68.04      100.0    6       100.0    5    83.3    1       16.7     0       0.0

Source: eOps extract.
Note: Covers effective projects active as of 31 December 2014.
Appendix 1   16

Table 6b: Disbursements and Net Transfers of Resources
        (sovereign loans, as of 31 December 2014)
17
                                                    Table 6c: Project Success Rates

                                                                                                                                                    Appendix 1
Note: Based on validated PCRs and PPERs only and does not include ratings from PCRs. The period of coverage are projects approved from 1973–2009.
Table 6d: Portfolio Implementation Status
                                                             (sovereign loans, as of 31 December 2014)

                                                                                Net
                                                                               Grant
                Grant
No.   Sector                                   Title                          Amount         Cumulative                                       Closing Date
                 No.
                                                                                  ($       Disbursements       Approval     Effectivity
                                                                              million)       ($ million)         Date          Date       Original    Revised

                        Integrated Urban Development Sector Project
 1    WUS       108                                                           11.300               11.256      27-May-08    18-Aug-08     30-Jun-13   31-Dec-13
                        Tonga-Fiji Submarine Cable Project
 2    ICT       256                                                           9.700                 7.397      23-Aug-11    21-Dec-11     31-Dec-16                       -
                        Nuku'alofa Urban Development Sector Project
 3    WUS       264                                                           6.060                 1.478      17-Oct-11    10-Apr-12     31-Dec-17   31-Jan-19
                        Nuku'alofa Urban Development Sector Project
 4    WUS       265                                                           6.440                 1.570      17-Oct-11    10-Apr-12     31-Dec-17   31-Jan-19
                        Outer Island Renewable Energy Project
 5    ENE       347                                                           2.000                    -       27-Jun-13    9-Jun-14      30-Jun-20                       -
                        Outer Island Renewable Energy Project
 6    ENE       348                                                           4.500                    -       27-Jun-13    9-Jun-14      30-Jun-20                       -
                        Climate Resilience Sector Project
 7    ANR       378                                                           19.250                0.046      9-Dec-13     12-Mar-14     30-Jun-19                       -
                        Cyclone Ian Recovery Project
 8    ENE       389                                                           4.520                 0.138      16-May-14    17-Sep-14     30-Jun-18                       -
                        Cyclone Ian Recovery Project
 9    ENE       390                                                           4.266                    -       16-May-14    17-Sep-14     30-Jun-18                       -

                                               Total                          68.036               21.884

ANR = Agriculture, Natural Resources and Rural Development; ENE = Energy; ICT = Information and Communication Technology;

                                                                                                                                                             Appendix 1
WUS = Water and Other Urban Infrastructure and Services
Source: GFIS

                                                                                                                                                             18
19
                                                    DEVELOPMENT COORDINATION

                                                                                                                                                  Appendix 2
                                                    Development Coordination Matrix
Sectors and              Current ADB                               Other Development Partners’ Strategies and/or Main Activities
Themes             Strategy and/or Activities         Multilateral Institutions and the UN System                    Bilateral

Sector
Transport, ICT   Submarine Fibre-Optic Cable         World Bank     Transport Sector Consolidation   AusAID          Co-financing for TCSP
                                                                    Project (TCSP), addressing all
                 Contribution to Pacific                            transport modes                  JICA            Replacement inter-island
                 Infrastructure Advisory Centre                                                                      ferry
                 (which among other activities                      Pacific Islands Regional
                 supported the preparation and                      Connectivity (Tonga Broadband    China           Road improvement grant
                 updating of the National                           Connectivity)
                 Infrastructure Investment Plan),                                                                    Concessional loan for road
                 and co-financing from the                          Pacific Islands Aviation                         improvement and Vuna
                 Pacific Region Infrastructure                      Investment Program (including                    Wharf
                 Facility                                           funding for Fua’amotu and
                                                                    Vava’u airports).                                Vaipua Bridge, Vava’u

                                                     IFC            Loan to Digicel Tonga                            Aircraft for domestic air
                                                                                                                     service

                                                                                                     New Zealand     ‘Eua airport runway
                                                                                                                     upgrade
Energy           Renewable Energy Project            World Bank     Tonga Energy Road Map            AusAID          Co-financing for TERM
                 Phases 1 and 2                                     (TERM)
                                                                                                     New Zealand     Solar generation farm,
                 Sustainable off-grid systems                                                                        Tongatapu

                 Energy efficiency                                                                                   Tonga village network
                                                                                                                     upgrade

                                                                                                     JICA            Off-grid solar power
                                                                                                                     systems and village power
                                                                                                                     supplies, Tongatapu and
                                                                                                                     Vava’u

                                                                                                                     Solar micro-grid
                                                                                                                     development, Tongatapu

                                                                                                     United Arab     Solar power plant, Vava’u
                                                                                                     Emirates
Sectors and                    Current ADB                             Other Development Partners’ Strategies and/or Main Activities
 Themes                   Strategy and/or Activities       Multilateral Institutions and the UN System                      Bilateral
 Urban development      Nuku’alofa Urban Development                                                         AusAID         Co-financing for Nuku’alofa
 (roads, water,         Sector Project                                                                                      Urban Development Sector
 sanitation)                                                                                                                Project

                                                                                                             China          Concessional loan for
                                                                                                                            Nuku’alofa Reconstruction

                                                                                                             JICA           Vava’u solid waste
                                                                                                                            management
 Theme
 Climate resilience     Strategic Program for Climate    UNDP            Pacific Risk Resilience Program     AusAID         Contributing to Pilot
                        Resilience                                       covers four countries including                    Program for Climate
                                                                         Tonga                                              Resilience (PPCR)

                                                         World Bank      Contributing to Pilot Program for   JICA           Numerous projects
                                                                         Climate Resilience (PPCR)                          including training and
                                                                                                                            capacity building, rural
                                                                                                                            DRM activities, and
                                                                                                                            earthquake observation
                                                                                                                            assistance
 Public sector          Strengthening Public Finance     World Bank      Budget support, linked to joint     AusAID         Budget support, linked to
 management             Management (including budget                     policy matrix                                      joint policy matrix
                        support linked to joint policy
                        matrix)                          PFTAC           Technical assistance in PFM         UNDP           Support for Parliament and
                                                                         improvements                                       Freedom of Information
                        Implementing the Public                                                                             legislation
                        Finance Management Roadmap       EU              Budget support, linked to
                                                                         renewable energy and energy
                        Regional TA to support                           efficiency indicators and
                        economic management                              recognizing joint policy matrix

                          TA relating to social protection
                          measures
 Private sector           Regional TA to support private                                                    New Zealand       Business Enterprise Centre

                                                                                                                                                           Appendix 2
 development              sector development, including
                          funding for Private Sector                                                                          Tourism Support Program
                          Assessment
ADB = Asian Development Bank, AusAID = Australian Agency for International Development, EU = European Union, IFC = International Finance Corporation,
JICA = Japan International Cooperation Agency, PFTAC = Pacific Financial Technical Assistance Centre, UNDP = United Nations Development Programme.
Sources: Ministry of Finance and National Planning aid management database.

                                                                                                                                                           20
Appendix 3   21

                                            SECTOR ASSESSMENTS

                          I.         INFRASTRUCTURE SECTOR ASSESSMENT

A.         Sector Situation and Key Issues3

1.      The Tonga National Infrastructure Investment Plan (NIIP 2013 - in draft) notes that
infrastructure plays a critical role in achieving the goals of the TSDF, because there is a clear
and positive linkage between infrastructure, social development and economic growth. There is
consensus that:
    • There is a positive correlation between infrastructure and economic outcomes.
        Investments in core economic infrastructure (such as electricity, telecoms, transport,
        sewerage and water systems) produce the largest gains in productivity, while
        investments in roads and telecommunications typically deliver the greatest social
        returns;
    • Maintenance is not “visible” but is more likely to have a greater positive influence on
        economic output than new projects.
    • When access to core infrastructure has been addressed, the best economic results
        come from improving efficiency and then from reducing service prices.
    • Infrastructure investment only adds value if it is allocated in the right way.
2.     Inadequate infrastructure is a bottleneck to economic activity, and also reduces the day-
to-day well-being of people; their quality of life; and the ability to withstand and respond to
disasters. Sustainability is also compromised because resources are used wastefully.

3.     Tonga is generally well-placed regarding access to basic infrastructure and associated
services and the coverage and capacity of those services, with full national coverage of basic
telecoms; a high level of access to reticulated power and water and off-grid arrangements in
place elsewhere; one of the highest levels of road density in the region; and a strategically
located network of ports and airports throughout the country.

4.     The main priority now for development of Tonga’s infrastructure sector is to continue
improving basic services, but at the same time, to use infrastructure investment as a catalyst for
improved macroeconomic, social and environmental outcomes. Key drivers of need for further
investment in infrastructure are:
    • Continuing to provide basic infrastructure that is appropriate, well planned and
       maintained.
    • Achieving national goals as set out in the TSDF and developing the country as a whole.
       The small dispersed population, multi-island geography, remoteness from markets, and
       small market size of Tonga creates special challenges for development and operation of
       infrastructure in support of these goals.
    • Keeping pace with growth and shifts in demand for infrastructure services. In particular,
       trends in population (especially drift to urban areas) and the opportunities arising from
       new technology (such as online services) are changing the nature and pattern of
       demand for infrastructure services.
    • Addressing a range of specific issues and deficiencies with existing infrastructure so that
       the infrastructure system functions more effectively. Because of under-investment and

3
    This section draws on the Tonga National Infrastructure Investment Plan 2013 (in draft).
22        Appendix 3

          insufficient attention to maintenance in some areas, there is a backlog of infrastructure
          deficiencies that need to be addressed.
     •    Improving the quality, safety, and reliability of economic infrastructure. As well as
          ensuring access to basic services, there are growing community expectations regarding
          the quality of the services provided.
     •    Improving the resilience of infrastructure to the impacts of climate change and natural
          disasters to protect the community and provide a safeguard so that infrastructure
          services are still available when they are needed most.
     •    Lowering the cost of doing business (especially in areas such as energy and
          telecommunications) to provide a catalyst for economic growth and enhance the
          competitiveness of local business.
     •    Ensuring that Tonga maintains its compliance with international regulations, especially
          safety and security in the international aviation and maritime sectors, so that connectivity
          to international markets is not constrained.
5.      The role of government in relation to the infrastructure sector is changing. Government
has largely moved away from taking responsibility for infrastructure investment and service
delivery, to being a facilitator of infrastructure service outcomes. Under current arrangements,
all economic infrastructure except roads and outer islands ports is now under the management
and operation of Public Enterprises. This change is consistent with international good practice,
but it requires a continuing focus by Government on the policy, legislation, institutional and
regulatory environment that underpins infrastructure management.

6.     The current situation and key issues in infrastructure sub-sectors, as identified in NIIP
2013, are:
         i.   Energy
7.     Tonga has one of the highest levels of access to electricity in the region with around
85% of the population on-grid and high levels of supply reliability. But at the same time, Tonga
has historically had one of the highest costs of electricity in the region. In part, this was a result
of Tonga’s reliance on diesel-powered generation for on-grid services. System losses were also
high at around 17% but are coming down and are expected to be reduced to around 13% by
2015. This is more consistent with international benchmarks.

8.      The energy sector is in a phase of rebuilding and transformation. Tonga Power is
investing heavily from its own resources to rehabilitate the electricity generation and supply
system to increase efficiency and safety; and is working with development partners to upgrade
village power supply systems and off-grid supply. At the same time, initiatives are underway to
transform electricity production with a move towards greater stability and self-sufficiency. In
2009, Government responded to the twin challenges of reducing the Tongan contribution to
global Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions and improving national energy security by endorsing
a policy of 50% of energy from renewable resources. This is a challenging target that provides a
clear indication that environmental sustainability and reducing the vulnerability of the country to
future oil price shocks are key Government objectives. Government’s response to this target is
set out in the Tonga Energy Road Map (TERM) 2010-2020.
Appendix 3     23

            Challenges

9.     Reducing the cost of doing business, improving the quality of life of people, and
Government’s commitment to addressing climate change are driving the need for improved
energy infrastructure. Under current conditions, growth in demand is not a major factor driving
the need for investment. As noted above, Tonga has historically had some of the highest costs
of electricity in the region. This has a negative impact of business costs and on household
budgets. In addition, the high level of reliance on imported petroleum creates energy security
and price stability issues.
      ii.      Telecommunications
10.    In terms of access to basic telecommunications services, Tonga is well positioned.
Mobile phone and internet services are already available throughout the country, including
smaller and more remote communities. The completion of an undersea fibre-optic link to Fiji,
scheduled for 2013, will deliver a step-change in speed, capacity and quality that will redefine
telecommunications in Tonga; offset some of the geographical disadvantage experienced by
Tonga; and create new economic and social opportunities. Competition and private sector
involvement in the telecommunications sector has been a strong force driving these
developments.

            Challenges

11.     Business and social connectivity and reducing the cost of doing business are key factors
driving the need for improved telecommunications infrastructure. High standard telecoms can
offset some of the geographical disadvantage experienced by Tonga and increase the
international competitiveness of Tongan business, for instance in the tourism industry.
Telecommunications also has a vital role during natural disasters and other emergency
situations.
     iii.      Water and Sanitation
12.    All Tongans have access to clean drinking water and around 85% of households have
piped water supply. So in terms of meetings MDGs and providing basic access to clean water,
the water sector is performing well. However problems exist in the efficiency of water supply,
and a major challenge facing the reticulated water supply system is to reduce water losses.

13.      Although Tonga does not currently have a central sewerage system in any urban area,
important issues relating to disposal of grey water and septage (sludge pumped from septic
tanks) are emerging and are likely to require a coordinated response in the short-medium term.
As a partial response, a grey water collection system has been installed in central Nuku’alofa as
part of the CBD redevelopment project.

            Challenges

14.    The need for infrastructure investment in the Water sector is driven by population trends;
household consumption patterns; health and quality standards; and efficient management of
valuable water supply resources. Another challenge is reducing loss and waste of valuable
water. TWB is already working to reduce water losses and upgrade efficiency throughout its
water supply and distribution system. There is also the opportunity for TWB and village water
supply managers to be proactive in promoting responsible use of water through demand-side
management (DSM) initiatives similar to the energy sector.
24         Appendix 3

     iv.       Solid Waste
15.    In 2007, a new solid waste collection system was implemented on Tongatapu and the
Waste Authority Limited (WAL) was established to take control of solid waste collection and
disposal. On most other islands, formal arrangements for solid waste collection are not in place.
WAL is gradually improving its performance but continues to require financial support from
Government; there are also problems with the design of existing equipment and facilities, and
an emerging problem with illegal dumping of waste.

           Challenges

16.    The need for infrastructure investment in the Solid Waste sector is driven by population
trends; household consumption patterns; and health and quality standards. On Tongatapu,
urban population growth at levels of up to 2.5% per year in some areas is increasing the
demand for collection and disposal services. This is straining the capacity of WAL to meet the
demand, especially while WAL is in a rebuilding phase. On outer islands, the challenge is to
provide a long-term solution for sanitary and environmentally-acceptable disposal of solid waste.
     v.        Roads
17.     Tonga has an extensive network of roads and one of the highest levels of road network
density in the region. This network provides good access links to communities in terms of
connectivity, but in some areas the condition has deteriorated significantly due to insufficient
emphasis on maintenance. Government is addressing this problem through several road
rehabilitation and upgrading programs in association with its development partners. Studies
underway as part of the TSCP program provide a strategy for road maintenance over the next
5-10 years, including recommendations for road maintenance programming, institutional reform,
sustainable funding mechanisms (such as a road fund); and the role of the private sector.

           Challenges

18.    Some parts of the road system are in poor condition and this is having a significant
negative impact on the cost of road transport and links to market for agricultural producers. The
main challenge driving the need for investment in roads is to progressively clear the backlog of
maintenance and rehabilitate the road system to a standard where it can be sustainably
maintained in a cost-effective way using local resources and expertise.
     vi.       Maritime
19.      The maritime sector supports tourism; inter-island and international commerce; and
inter-island travel for social, educational and medical needs. The existing ports have sufficient
capacity for foreseeable needs and there are no plans to build any new ports for commercial
shipping operations. In addition, the international ports comply with relevant international and
IMO operating requirements. Although the port system meets basic needs for coverage,
capacity and compliance, the standard of infrastructure has suffered from a lack of investment in
core infrastructure and facilities; and insufficient emphasis on maintenance of outer-island ports
and channels. For the medium-longer term, investment planning for the port sector is less well
developed and it is important that an integrated approach is applied that enhances the overall
safety, efficiency and resilience of the port system as a whole.

           Challenges

20.     Safety is government’s key priority for the maritime sector. Responding to this challenge
will require investment in people, systems and infrastructure. There is also a need to put in
Appendix 3      25

place stronger institutional arrangements for operating and maintaining outer island ports, as the
Ports Authority of Tonga currently handles only the Nuku’alofa port. The other major challenge
driving the need for investment in the ports sector is building resilience to the impacts of climate
change and natural disasters.
    vii.       Airports
21.     Aviation also plays a vital role in connecting the Tongan economy and community in
terms of tourism; inter-island and international commerce; and travel for social, educational and
medical needs. The existing commercial airports provide sufficient coverage to all island groups
and at this stage have sufficient capacity for foreseeable needs. However much of the
infrastructure is nearing the end of its useful life or requires upgrade to continue to meet
international and national safety and security standards. All commercial airports in Tonga are
managed by Tonga Airports Ltd (TAL).

22.     A significant investment program is already underway in the airport sector, with a focus
on meeting safety and security compliance requirements in terms of fire and rescue capability,
security screening, navigational aids, and runway condition. This includes resurfacing of
runways at Fua’amotu and Vava’u.

            Challenges

23.     Safety, security and continuity of services are the key imperatives driving investment and
reform in the aviation sector. The other major challenge in the aviation sector is to ensure that a
supportive policy and institutional environment is in place for competitive and stable
international and domestic air services.
    viii.      Multi-sector
24.    Multi-sector projects generally fall into two broad categories. The first involves complex
construction projects with the need for coordination across several sectors, such as electricity,
telecoms, roads and water. The second category involves cross-cutting issues, especially
climate change adaptation and disaster risk management (CCA/DRM).

            Challenges

25.    Tonga is especially vulnerable to CCA/DRM impacts. The overall challenge is firstly to
ensure that potential CCA/DRM impacts are considered in all aspects of infrastructure planning,
design, construction and management; and secondly that Tonga is well-prepared to respond
quickly and effectively to disasters when they happen. Another key multi-sector challenge is
construction coordination as projects increase in complexity. The third challenge is asset
management, and especially maintenance.
26        Appendix 3

                              Overview of the economic infrastructure sector

          Sector                                             Notes
Energy                      15.5 MW total installed capacity (Tongatapu, Vava’u, Ha’apai,
                            ‘Eua)
                            1,300 km of distribution network (total of overhead, underground,
                            submarine and low voltage cables)
                            16,500 domestic, 4,000 commercial customers
                            85% of population on-grid
                            15-16% line losses
Telecommunications          Telephone access available throughout the country (fixed line or
                            mobile)
                            15,000 landline subscribers (estimated 70% of households)
                            53,000 mobile customers (TCC, Digicel)
                            3,000 internet connections (1,200 TCC & 1597 TCC GSM Mobile
                            Internet)
Water and sanitation        100% of population have access to safe drinking water (reticulated
                            supply, rainwater tanks, wells, etc)
                            85% of households have piped water
                            4 x reticulated water supply schemes (Nuku’alofa, Nieafu, Pangai-
                            Hihifo, ‘Eua)
                            15-39% Total losses (Nuku’alofa 39%)
                            No central sewage collection and treatment system (septic tanks)
Solid Waste                 1 x sanitary landfill (Tapuhia, Tongatapu)
                            Household collection of solid waste on Tongatapu only
                            No regular system for collection of recyclables
Transport
       Airports             1 x International/Domestic airport (Fua’amotu 2,671m asphalt
                            runway)
                            2 x Domestic airport – bitumen runway (Ha’apai, Vava’u)
                            1 x Domestic airport – chip seal runway (‘Eua)
                            2 x Domestic airport – grass runway (Niuafo’ou, Niuatoputapu)
                            80,000 international and 50,000 domestic departures per year
                            14 international flights per week (4 international destinations)
          Roads             880 km (including community roads)
                            40% sealed
                            15,500 vehicles
          Sea Ports         2 x International/Domestic ports (Nuku’alofa – 3 international, 2
                            inter-island berths; Vava’u – 1 international, 1 inter-island berth)
                            5 x domestic ports (‘Eua, Ha’afeva, Pangai, Niuafo’ou,
                            Niuatoputapu)
                            8,500 international container movements per year (full TEU) (90%
                            imports)
                            149 international ship calls at Nuku’alofa (General Cargo, Cruise,
                            Tanker, Other)
Sources: From NIIP 2013 (in draft) – original sources: Infrastructure managers (TPL, TWB, TCC, PAT, TAL,
Ministries); Tonga Census; various feasibility studies

Government’s Sector Policy and Planning Framework4

26.    Outcome objective 3 of the TSDF 2011-2014 is for appropriate, well planned and
maintained infrastructure that improves the everyday lives of the people and lowers the cost of

4
    This section draws on the Tonga Strategic Development Framework 2011-2014.
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