THE FUTURE OF NATURE-BASED TOURISM - Impacts of COVID-19 and paths to sustainability - Linking ...
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Author: Dr Anna Spenceley Editors: Mark Schulman Jessica Villat Megan Eaves Graphic design: Claire Pauchet © Text 2021 Luc Hoffmann Institute. All Rights Reserved. Cover image: © John Neff / stock.adobe.com p4: © naturepl.com / Neil Aldridge / WWF p7: © Fly_dragonfly / stock.adobe.com p8: © skyNext / stock.adobe.com p11: © Gareth Bentley / WWF-US p12: © Martin Harvey / WWF p13: © Juozas Cernius / WWF-UK p15: © Gareth Bentley / WWF-US p23: © Ola Jennersten / WWF-Sweden p26: © marchsirawit / stock.adobe.com p32: © Martin Harvey / WWF p33: © Martin Harvey / WWF p36: © leonovo / stock.adobe.com 2
CONTENTS FOREWORD 5 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 6 INTRODUCTION 8 NATURE-BASED TOURISM BEFORE COVID-19 9 Overview of the nature-based tourism sector 9 How tourism benefits conservation and local economies 10 Nature-based tourism and sustainability 11 IMPACTS OF COVID-19 ON NATURE-BASED TOURISM 12 Impacts on tourism operators 14 Impacts on conservation 16 Impacts on livelihoods 22 RECOVERY OF THE NATURE-BASED TOURISM SECTOR 23 Trends in recovery 23 Innovation and resilience 27 Financial and technical support 29 Paths to a sustainable future 33 FUTURE OUTLOOK 37 AFTERWORD 38 ENDNOTES 39 3
FOREWORD that depend on tourism for anti-poaching and patrols. Wildlife crime has increased in some areas (although it has declined in others due to the lockdowns and difficulty of movement). There are also concerns that without alternative income sources, lands reserved by communities for conservation will be converted for agriculture or livestock. In addition, people living in communities in and around protected areas have seen their livelihoods decimated: nature-based tourism operators Jon Hutton have made wage reductions, furloughs and WWF International Global Conservation Director redundancies, greatly affecting their workforces. Procurement of local produce, hospitality services and former Director of the Luc Hoffmann Institute and local community initiatives has also been severely cut because there are no customers. With The COVID-19 pandemic has created enormous thousands of job losses, there are widespread disruptions to the way society works, including concerns that people living close to protected and the near total suspension of global travel. The conserved areas will resort to wildlife crime in the subsequent travel restrictions, lockdowns and absence of viable alternatives. closures of protected areas have led to an abrupt halt in nature-based tourism throughout the The nature-based tourism sector urgently needs a world. And when tourism stops, so too do the smooth transition through the COVID-19 pandemic. benefits of conservation. It will be most important to allow for enough short- term stability while building enhanced capacity to For decades, global tourism revenues have been rethink the role of this industry for conservation and helping to deliver biodiversity conservation and communities in the longer term. Alternative and livelihoods. These revenues from nature-based more resilient funding sources are required. tourism create financial incentives to conserve important wildlife populations and the areas where The Luc Hoffmann Institute has worked to achieve they live, as well as support local communities this, particularly in Africa, with the incubation of an and economies. The pandemic, however, is African-led Collaborative Platform. This platform dramatically changing all this, causing systemic aims to increase existing fundraising efforts, connect shock with widespread implications. funders with beneficiaries and build resilience within African wildlife communities, in response to COVID- There have been some positive impacts, such as 19. The platform encompasses all those actors a decrease in overtourism at popular destination in the wildlife tourism sector that need support to sites, giving ecosystems space to recover. In survive the current disruption, whether they are many places, marine and terrestrial wildlife and private sector or community based. their habitats have flourished and re-emerged in areas that emptied of people and vehicles. This report outlines the challenges facing the nature-based tourism sector and offers Negative impacts have included severe declines recommendations to help ensure future resilience in funds for conservation, particularly for areas and sustainability. 5
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The COVID-19 pandemic led to an abrupt globally, and across Africa. This includes halt in nature-based tourism in Africa and impacts on tourism operators, conservation elsewhere. This was caused by a combination and livelihoods, and recovery strategies of international travel restrictions, domestic and support to assist safe reopening, and lockdowns and closures of protected areas ideas to re-establish a more sustainable that aimed to slow the spread of the virus. and resilient tourism sector in the future. The pandemic has caused systemic shock Surveys conducted with protected areas and with widespread implications for the survival tourism operators clearly demonstrate the of wildlife tourism, conservation financing and devastating impact that the pandemic has had poverty. on their businesses, and on the livelihoods and conservation economies their operations This report by the Luc Hoffmann Institute brings supported. together knowledge generated on COVID- 19 and nature-based tourism, focussing on The pause in tourism has meant that tourism that uses natural resources in a wild or overtourism ceased to be a problem in popular undeveloped form for the purpose of enjoying destinations, at least briefly, but conservation undeveloped natural areas or wildlife.1 funding dried up in many areas. Examples from several African countries illustrate the size of The primary audience for the report includes the decline and the profound implications for donors, policymakers and investors supporting wild spaces in the future. Unexpected benefits nature-based tourism as well as protected were observed on nature too, and examples and conserved areas. It will also be of interest are provided where wildlife has reclaimed open to implementing agencies, community-based spaces, waterways, beaches and even city organisations and practitioners. streets across the world. Incidents of increases (and some declines) in wildlife crime are The report begins with an overview of the shared, ranging from illegal forest extraction COVID-19 pandemic, including how it emerged in India, to rhino poaching in southern Africa. and the global impact it has had on societies Results of several surveys demonstrate and economies. The scope of the report is substantial reductions in wages paid to local outlined, focussing on the nature-based tourism staff members and game ranchers, and sector, and profiling wildlife economies of Africa. redundancies that had to be made. The following section reviews nature-based The recovery of the nature-based tourism tourism before the pandemic. This includes sector is considered in another section. This a description of the contribution it made to includes trends, proactive and innovative conservation financing and local economies, actions that are building resilience, the such as through jobs, revenue-sharing sales of financial and technical support required, and products and services, and other benefits. Links paths to a sustainable future. Positive trends are made with sustainable development, and identified from market surveys highlight the need to match market demand with supply increased interest in nature, adventure travel of credible tourism experiences to mainstream and sustainable experiences. Where protected good practices. areas have reopened, domestic trips have provided a vital lifeline to businesses that Next comes a description of the impacts previously relied on international visitors – of COVID-19 on nature-based tourism even though they tend to pay less – and have 6
sometimes overwhelmed natural spaces. Technical guidance is also being generated on Safety precautions have been recommended recovery strategies for destinations and tourism by numerous nations, international bodies operators. and others to guide visiting that prevents the spread of COVID-19 between visitors and The pause has also given many tourism and their hosts. Governments, donors and non- conservation professionals an opportunity governmental organisations (NGOs) have to reflect on sustainability. Not wasting provided financial grants for interim support the moment, United Nations agencies and to the tourism sector until it can recover. coalitions of tourism companies and NGOs Operators are using crowdsourcing platforms are mobilising to tackle climate change, plastic to raise money to support the salaries of pollution and biodiversity loss by applying hospitality and conservation staff; for example, sustainable tourism approaches. those conducting anti-poaching and wildlife monitoring. While these are necessary The analysis concludes with some thoughts emergency measures, longer-term support is for the future, reflecting on the system-wide being designed through the development of implications for biodiversity and society and for investment and match-making platforms. nature-based tourism as an ecosystem service. 7
INTRODUCTION In March 2020, the World Health Organization issues, concentrating on nature-based tourism officially declared the novel coronavirus taking place in protected areas and other areas (COVID-19) outbreak a global pandemic.2 of high biodiversity, both terrestrial and marine. Since then, it has wreaked havoc on societies The reason for profiling Africa in particular and economies, including the global tourism is that wildlife tourism’s value is greater on this sector, which has been decimated by travel continent than any other. Africa has restrictions. With tourism mostly on pause, iconic wildlife destinations, diverse protected many are using this time to reassess priorities and conserved area systems, and support and to build back better and greener, with a for local livelihoods is immersed in wildlife focus on recovery, resilience and sustainability. economies. However, conservation in Africa is threatened by funding shortages, habitat loss, This report examines the impacts of COVID-19 fragmentation, encroachment, wildlife crime and on nature-based tourism – tourism that uses climate change combined with poor governance natural resources in a wild or undeveloped and poverty. form for the purpose of enjoying undeveloped natural areas or wildlife. This includes both The report’s primary audience includes donors, non-consumptive and consumptive tourism, policymakers and investors supporting nature- including hunting.3 It also explores the based tourism and protected and conserved recovery strategies for reopening safely and areas. It will also be of interest to implementing re-establishing a sustainable and resilient agencies, community-based organisations and tourism sector. practitioners. For more information on trophy hunting visit: https://wwf.panda.org/ Geographically, the report considers the overall discover/our_focus/wildlife_practice/species_news/ global situation, but delves deeper into African wwf_and_trophy_hunting 8
NATURE-BASED TOURISM BEFORE COVID-19 Overview of the nature-based generating approximately US$ 600 billion per year in direct in-country expenditures and tourism sector US$ 250 billion per year in consumer surplus.5 Furthermore, wildlife tourism, according Before the coronavirus pandemic, growth in to the World Travel & Tourism Council international arrivals and tourism receipts (WTTC), contributed 4.2% of direct in-country outpaced the world economy in emerging expenditure and 6.8% of employment globally.6 and advanced economies. According to the United Nations World Tourism Organization In Africa, over a third of all direct tourism (UNWTO), the sector generated US$ 1.7 trillion contributions to gross domestic product (GDP) in export earnings from international tourism and 8.8 million jobs were attributed to wildlife receipts and passenger transport, with 1.4 tourism globally in 2018 (see Table 1). In billion international tourism arrivals in 2018. 2014, the UNWTO estimated the entrance, This makes it the world’s third-largest export gate and park fees from all types of protected category after chemicals and fuels.4 areas in 14 sub-Saharan African countries at US$ 142 million per year.7 Safari tourism in Protected areas received roughly 8 billion Kenya alone generated an estimated US$ 1.1 nature-based tourism visits annually, billion in 2019.8 Table 1: Direct and total economic contribution of wildlife tourism, 2018 DIRECT TOTAL CONTINENT Expenditure GDP Share of Travel Employment Employment GDP (US$billion) (US$billion) & Toursim (million) (million) North America 25.4 13.5 2% 0.2 37.6 0.5 Europe 28.5 13.3 1.6% 0.2 35.4 0.6 Africa 48.8 29.3 36.3% 3.6 70.6 8.8 Asia-Pacific 118.2 53.3 5.8% 4.5 171.2 10.4 Latin America 19.9 10.7 8.6% 0.5 28.9 1.4 Total 241.0 120.1 - 9.1 343.6 21.8 Share of Total Global 4.2% 4.4% - 7.4% 3.9% 6.8% Travel & Tourism (%) Source: Oxford Economics. In World Travel & Tourism Council (WTTC) (2019) ‘The Economic Impact of Global Wildlife Tourism: Travel and Tourism as an Economic Tool for the Protection of Wildlife’. Note: Figures may not sum to totals due to rounding. 9
How tourism benefits conservation and management activities; for example, areas under co-management conservation and local agreements, conservancies and private economies protected areas. Other protected areas’ tourism revenues go to a central budget, Revenues from tourism – whether through and the protected areas receive government entrance fees paid by tourists, or from budget allocations, particularly state-operated concession and lease fees paid by tourism protected areas. Many tourism companies operators – generate a substantial proportion make further contributions to conservation, of the budgets of conservation areas in some including species and habitat conservation, countries (see Table 2). Certain protected directly through their operations, or by areas retain tourism revenues for local channelling donations towards them.9 Table 2: Examples of conservation funding from tourism in Africa and elsewhere COUNTRY TOURISM FEES SUPPORTING CONSERVATION Visitor receipts account for up to 40% of protected areas in Bolivia. Prior to the Bolivia pandemic, the Eduardo Avaroa Andean Fauna National Park generated about US$ 19,000 a month from tourists.10 50% (US$ 30 million) of Kenya Wildlife Service’s annual budget comes from tourism, supporting management in 39 national parks and reserves.11 80% of operating budgets of Kenya’s community and private conservancies come from tourism, covering >60,000 km2, and supporting >3,000 rangers and >700,000 Kenya households.12 Maasai Mara community conservancies receive about US$ 7.5 million per year in lease fees from tourism partners, benefiting 14,500 landowners and 116,000 community members.13 Trophy hunting finances the budgets of 82 conservancies, which cover ~20% of the Namibia country (162,000 km2) and encompass ~189,000 community members, or 9% of Namibia’s population.14 The 50% of the conservation budget for the Tubbataha Reefs Natural Park depends on Philippines tourism.15 80% (US$ 52 million) of South African National Parks’ annual budget comes from South Africa tourism, supporting 19 national parks.16 Tanzania 68% of protected areas rely on income from trophy hunting, covering 250,000 km2.17 The Uganda Wildlife Authority generates 88% of its revenue from tourist entrance Uganda fees; 50% of its budget is from gorilla-based tourism.18 80% of the budget of the Zimbabwe Parks and Wildlife Management Authority is Zimbabwe from tourism, including trophy hunting.19 10
A boat leaving Nambwa tourism lodge at dawn, Bwaabwata National Park, Namibia Local people also benefit from economic support sustainable tourism practices.24 links with nature-based tourism20 through Many wildlife tourism operators base their employment, by selling products and services business models on sustainable development to tourism companies and tourists, by owning principles, and have actively contributed to tourism businesses, or through revenue sharing biodiversity conservation and local economic systems.21 The direct economic effects can be development.25 However, it is difficult to reliably substantial at both local and national levels. To establish the extent of sustainable practices in illustrate, the total economic effects of tourism in the tourism sector globally. South Luangwa National Park in Zambia come to US$ 34.8 million, which includes US$ 7.4 Much of the industry has focussed on numbers million in local wages and 1,759 jobs.22 Aside of visitors and returns on investment rather from direct financial benefits, local communities than long-term sustainable destination may benefit from infrastructure development, management. One of the few reliable telecommunications, education, training and indications of sustainable practices is healthcare. Communities are also strengthened independent certification, but only a minority through skills development, empowerment and of accommodations, tour operators and improved governance. destinations use it.26 However, many of these benefits are at risk due The tourism sector needs to match increasing to dramatic reductions in wildlife populations demand for environmentally and socially and natural habitats, coupled with increases in responsible experiences with operators and wildlife crime and habitat conversion and climate destinations that provide them.27 To address change.23 Collectively, these problems threaten this challenge, various initiatives are working human health and the health of the planet. to establish a common understanding and to bring sustainable tourism into the mainstream. These include comprehensive criteria for Nature-based tourism and tourism industry and destinations,28 customer scoring on sustainability attributes by online sustainability travel agencies,29 efforts to mobilise action by destinations, industry and practitioners,30 and There are numerous guidelines and compendiums of good practices.31 national and international policies that 11
IMPACTS OF COVID-19 ON NATURE-BASED TOURISM COVID-19 has caused a systemic shock to the estimates that there could be a global loss of tourism sector globally. According to the UNWTO, 197 million jobs and US$ 5.5 trillion in revenue between January and May 2020, 100% of due to the pandemic.37 This is five times the global destinations imposed travel restrictions, loss in receipts recorded in 2009 from the global and 45% totally or partially closed their borders economic and financial crisis.38 A survey by the for tourists.32 Other measures have included Kenyan government estimated a loss of US$ 750 restrictions on transiting travellers, suspension of million in tourism revenues, and a reduction of flights, quarantine or self-isolation requirements, almost 1.3 million jobs due to the pandemic; more and the need for medical certificates.33 than 81% of tourism companies have reduced International tourist arrivals declined by 65% in staff and 85% made pay cuts for staff.39 the first half of 2020 compared with the same period last year, and June arrivals were down by The nature-based tourism sector has been 93%.34 In Africa, there was an overall decline by hit hard by travel restrictions, with severe and 56% in international tourism by the end of June systemic repercussions for conservation and local 2020, and by 99% in April, May and June 2020.35 livelihoods (see Figure 1). Travel restrictions have led to declines in revenues normally used The UNWTO estimates that this massive decline for conservation finance, for salaries of tourism in international tourism translates into a loss employees, and also for entrepreneurs and small of 440 million international arrivals and about businesses that provide products and services US$ 460 billion in export revenues.36 The WTTC within the tourism value chain.40 Tourists in vehicle looking at lions, Lewa Wildlife Conservancy, Kenya 12
Figure 1: Potential cascading impacts of COVID-19 on conservation in Africa COVID-19 pandemic and mitigation measures (for example, domestic lockdowns and international travel restrictions) International African economies shrink economies shrink Photographic and hunting tourism declines Philanthropic Total funding for/from State conservation donations for conservation declines funding declines conservation decline Local conservation Effective management of Local food insecurity benefits decrease conservation areas and poverty declines increases Local opportunity costs of Reliance on natural conservation increase resources increases Biodiversity Biodiversity threats increase losses (for example, poaching, land Confidence in current conversion and loss of legal conservation models protection for protected areas) declines Global existence value of African biodiversity increases Need for new, resilient conservation models realised Figure adapted from Lindsey, P. et al (2020) ‘Conserving Africa’s wildlife and wildlands through the COVID-19 crisis and beyond’. Nature Ecology and Evolution. 13
Impacts on tourism cancelled their reservations between March and June 2020, with a substantial impact on local operators economies. Most offered their clients options to reschedule their trip (86%), but many had to COVID-19 has caused massive reductions close facilities temporarily (72%) or downscale in customers and revenues for nature-based their operations (62%). tourism operators, especially in Africa. Research undertaken for the European Union (EU) The operators’ most immediate concerns related demonstrated the dramatic effect of the pandemic to financial consequences for staff (94%), cash on tourism economies around protected areas flow and business resiliency (92%) and the across Africa.41 health and safety of staff (91%). Three-quarters sought finance of up to US$ 249,000 and were As part of the research, a survey was definitely or quite likely to look for grants (82%), undertaken between April and June loans (46%) or equity in their businesses (24%) 2020, with responses from 736 operators to survive.42 (accommodations, tour operators, activities, restaurants, hunting operators) working in Similarly, monthly tour operator surveys by 41 African countries. Results showed a 63% Safaribookings.com illustrate the dramatic decline in clients in March 2020 compared with decrease in bookings in Africa since March 2020, the same period in 2019, and a 72% drop in with marginal improvements observed by October future booking requests. Nearly all clients (83%) (see Figure 2). Figure 2: Changes in actual bookings and booking requests for African tour operators Decrease in actual bookings due to the COVID-19 outbreak % of operators Previous months compared to February 2021 100% 75% Key for February 2021 50% (300) operators responded: 25% >75% decrease 0% Mar 2020 May 2020 Jul 2020 Sep 2020 Nov 2020 Jan 2021 50% decrease Apr 2020 Jun 2020 Aug 2020 Oct 2020 Dec 2020 Feb 2021 40% decrease Decrease in booking requests due to the COVID-19 outbreak 30% decrease % of operators Previous months compared to February 2021 100% 20% decrease 75% 10% decrease 50% No change 25% 0% Mar 2020 May 2020 Jul 2020 Sep 2020 Nov 2020 Jan 2021 Apr 2020 Jun 2020 Aug 2020 Oct 2020 Dec 2020 Feb 2021 Source: SafariBookings.com. ‘The impact of the coronavirus pandemic on the safari Industry (February Update)’. 14
Nambwa Lodge, a joint venture with Mashi Conservancy, within Bwabwata National Park, Namibia In South Africa, the average future bookings for them, some were unable or unwilling to do so, lodges and protected areas in May 2020 were especially when their own clients cancelled and 70% lower than in 2019; 61% of lodges were fully demanded refunds.47 Furthermore, difficulties closed while 33% were only partially operational. arose as the insurance industry refused to pay For those that were closed, two-thirds only claims for business interruption in South Africa. planned to reopen when international travellers Insurers argued that their policies are only returned.43 Among South African game farms triggered if a case of COVID-19 took place on or and lodges, there was an 86% decline in tourists near a particular property, and tourism operations and hunters visiting during April and March 2020. can prove that the infection led to closure, and Financial losses associated with cancellations disagreed about whether ‘notifiable disease’ by tourists and hunters were estimated at ZAR wording in policies covered lockdown losses.48 1.5 billion (US$ 81.5 million) among 601 survey However, a UK High Court ruling found that the respondents.44 insurers were liable and needed to pay.49 Revenue losses from cancelled trips were Operators have called for a broad range of compounded by international policies. The financial and technical support, including business EU’s Package Travel Directive and associated strategy and recovery, business and marketing regulations govern the relationship between options, health and safety precautions, virtual European consumers and European agents.45 training for entrepreneurs and staff, and advice Under these rules, payments made for travel on communicating with customers (see Figure 3). arrangements must be refunded if the trips are Three-quarters of surveyed operators required cancelled (subject to some conditions). However, finance of up to US$ 250,000 through grants the regulations do not govern the relationships (54%), loans (27%) or equity (14%);50 and there between European agents and the global network was a real urgency to obtain this financial support. of tourism service providers that provide the actual Among 87 safari lodges surveyed in South Africa, service consumed in destinations, including in 65% were spending between ZAR 200,000 and Africa. African suppliers of accommodation and ZAR 1 million (US$ 11,500 and US$ 57,900) tours typically require deposits and pre-payments, on unavoidable monthly expenses during their and they impose cancellation fees (again subject ‘hibernation’ state.51 These expenses included to conditions).46 salaries (29%), rental and concession fees (13%), insurance (10%), fuel and power (8%) and Amid the pandemic, where European agents maintenance (8%). Half of the lodges estimated had credit terms with African suppliers and they would run out of funds by September 2020, had not paid any deposits or pre-payments to and 85% would not last until the end of the 2020.52 15
Figure 3: Support needed by tourism operators working in African protected areas Unemployment support for workers 84.9% 11.2% 3.9% Financial support for recovery 84.5% 12.4% 3.1% Financial support for cashflow 84.1% 12.4% 3.5% Tax deductions of deferments 79.5% 14.8% 5.7% Identification of new source markets 58.7% 26.3% 14.9% Expert advice on business strategy and recovery 55.2% 32.2% 12.7% Best practices shared from other businesses 51.6% 38.1% 10.4% Research and forecasts for business planning 49.1% 36.1% 14.8% Information about business and markketing options 48.9% 36.5% 14.6% Commercial debt repayment support 48.0% 24.6% 27.4% Identification of new services/products to offer 45.0% 33.8% 21.2% Advice on health and safety precautions 44.6% 33.4% 22.0% Virtual training for upskilling entrepreneurs and staff 42.0% 37.8% 20.2% Advice on communicating with customers 35.5% 35.5% 29.0% Revisiting supply chain processes 35.2% 40.5% 24.3% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Important Moderately important Not important Source: Spenceley, A. (2021) ‘COVID-19 and protected area tourism: A spotlight on impacts and options in Africa.’ European Commission. Impacts on conservation impacts. In Brazil, for example, about 5 million visits to parks were lost, with an estimated impact of US$ 1.6 billion in reduced sales for businesses The pandemic and the subsequent decline working directly and indirectly with tourism around in nature-based tourism have led to positive protected areas. Brazil predicted a loss of 55,000 and negative consequences for conservation, permanent or temporary jobs and losses of US$ although the net impact is not fully understood. 410 million for employees and businesses, plus a Impacts described here relate to overtourism GDP decline of US$ 575 million.55 According to the and undertourism, conservation funding, wildlife research platform Our World in Data, for East and recovery and wildlife crime. southern Africa, Mauritius experienced the deepest decline of visitor numbers to parks and outdoor Overtourism and undertourism spaces during 2020 in March and in Zimbabwe, Zambia and Rwanda visits had largely recovered During the initial phases of lockdowns, severe by September.56 travel restrictions and park closures in the first half of 2020, the numbers of visitors to protected Many popular tourism destinations, including areas, outdoor spaces and World Heritage sites natural attractions, have struggled with declined dramatically across the world, with overtourism and crowding in the past.57 An indirect many of these areas closed due to COVID-19.53 benefit of the pandemic, however, has been the Public health officials and natural attractions in reduction of overtourism, at least temporarily. some areas urged visitors to stay away to avoid Lower numbers of visitors, coupled with increased spreading COVID-19 to staff, local people and to quality of tourism, could lead to lower levels of other visitors.54 pollution and slower habitat loss. Park closures between March and August/ Researchers in Bolivia and Peru have used the September 2020 caused considerable financial opportunity of closed protected areas to assess 16
the state of biodiversity, and plan for when these areas. The reduction of wildlife tourism tourism resumes.58 Similar research has been globally due to COVID-19 has led to lower more difficult on Australia’s coral reefs due to revenues for conservation and local anti-poaching travel restrictions.59 Amid COVID-19, rangers conservation programmes, and increases in the in Tusheti National Park in Georgia have had levels of poaching in some locations.61 more time to focus on biodiversity observations than previously, and have drafted plans for new A survey of 19 protected area authorities in Africa trails, improving signage and other tourism in April 2020 suggested that 79% would only be infrastructure.60 With appropriate research and able to sustain their basic operations for up to six planning, destination managers can redistribute months.62 Closure of the Virunga National Park in visitors and avoid overtourism in the future. the Democratic Republic of the Congo took place to protect endangered mountain gorillas from the Conservation funding virus, but the financial effect on the park has been devastating.63 There are significant negative impacts of COVID-19 on management capacity, budgets and African tourism operators estimate a likely reduction effectiveness of many protected and conserved of their own expenditure on local environmental areas (see Table 3), as well as impacts on the services due to the pandemic. In the previous livelihoods of communities living in and around financial year, 369 operators spent a total of Table 3: Impacts and examples of conservation funding from tourism in Africa COUNTRY IMPACTS OF COVID-19 ON CONSERVATION REVENUES FROM TOURISM Botswana’s resumption of trophy hunting was scheduled for April 2020, but as of March 2021 had still been delayed, likely resulting in major financial losses for the Botswana government and community-based organisations. For example, US$ 2.2 million raised by the government through hunting quota auctions is no longer guaranteed.64 Democratic Virunga National Park averages about US$ 280,000 in an off-season month, but with Republic of the park closed the revenue stream from mountain gorilla tourism has disappeared.65 the Congo Kenya Wildlife Service’s revenue dropped by 98.8%, and conservancies-related revenue declined by 95% (US$ 3.5 million–4 million) due to the COVID-19 outbreak. Park operations have been reduced to 60–70% in 20 parks and reserves across the country, suspending wildlife censuses, corporate social responsibility projects and education efforts; conservation fixed costs have to continue even without any revenues. As anti-poaching activities represent 50% of their operational budget, Kenya poaching has increased, alongside human–wildlife conflicts, and bushmeat consumption has gone up.66 Kenya Wildlife Service is working with partners, especially conservancies, which have community scouts.67 The Ol Pejeta Conservancy expected to lose US$ 3 million in 2020 (70% of its normal business) – income that would normally be used for conservation of black rhino and other species.68 Madagascar National Parks anticipated a financial loss of US$ 2.5 million in 2020, as Madagascar tourism was down 100% since parks closed in March.69 17
COUNTRY IMPACTS OF COVID-19 ON CONSERVATION REVENUES FROM TOURISM Communal conservancies receive approximately 90% of their income from photo tourism and hunting. Reduced tourism could decrease payments to conservancies Namibia by US$ 3.5 million to US$ 4.5 million in 2020, jeopardising the future of the conservation partnerships.70 Tourism, research and gorilla trekking activities in its national parks were suspended as a preventative measure against COVID-19 transmission. This will cause a Rwanda significant loss of tourism revenues from gorilla trekking permits (US$ 1,500 per person), which go into conservation. As a result, the Government of Rwanda has cancelled community projects planned in national parks.71 Uganda Wildlife Authority expected a shortfall of US$ 1.4 million for priority activities Uganda from July to December 2020; 50% of its budget comes from gorilla-based tourism.72 The Zimbabwe Parks and Wildlife Management Authority projected a ~US$ 3.8 Zimbabwe million (~50%) shortfall in the second quarter of 2020 due to reduced tourism-related spending.73 A survey of international National Trust organisations in July 2020 found that many Global had been significantly impacted by COVID-19. More than a quarter (27%) receive at least half their income from visitors through admission fees, rentals and gift shops.74 US$ 106.6 million on environmental services the Maasai, as they had to pay back deposits to for security, anti-poaching, park or concession the tourists who cancelled their trips. The rental fees, and 54% of this (US$ 57.7 million) was fees are an exchange for not settling or grazing spent locally.75 Of the operators reporting local livestock in the conservancies, and usually each environmental expenditure and a change in landowner earns US$ 220 per month this way.80 local expenditure, the prediction was for a US$ 25.5 million decline in spending in the 2020 These problems were compounded because financial year due to lower tourism turnover.76 pastoralists like the Maasai and Samburu With visitors absent, tourism employees worked largely relied on income from livestock, but on conservation efforts, including planting coral local markets were closed due to COVID-19. in Australia77 and patrolling for forest fires in This meant they lost tourism income and Cambodia.78 the option to sell livestock to buy essential household items.81 In 2019, there were 15 While government-financed protected areas operational conservancies in the greater Maasai continued to receive government grants, for Mara, covering 1,425 km2 and supporting the community conservancies the challenge was livelihoods of over 14,500 households. The lease different. The Ol Pejeta Conservancy in Kenya fees to the conservancy landowners were over operates an integrated land-use system, and the US$ 5 million.82 Fears of uncertainty over tourism tourism revenue losses meant that it had to rely recovery may lead community conservancies more on alternative revenue from livestock to to sell their land, or convert wildlife habitats finance fixed conservation costs.79 The Ol Kinyei to agriculture or cattle ranching, or charcoal Conservancy agreed only half of the usual rent to production.83 18
However, there have been numerous challenges Wildlife recovery with wildlife that had become dependent on Numerous reports have shown how wildlife tourists. Monkeys that were used to being fed and natural areas are thriving in the absence by visitors were found brawling on the streets of of visitors.84 There have been reports of Thailand and India, while herds of sika deer that nesting turtles undisturbed on beaches in had been fed rice crackers by tourists in Nara’s India and Thailand,85 lions napping on roads public park in Japan were taking to the streets in in the Kruger National Park in South Africa,86 search of food.89 Indo-Pacific humpback dolphins returning to Hong Kong waters87 and pipistrelle bats There are also concerns that tourists could spread roosting in a car park in the UK’s Lake COVID-19 to great apes, including gorillas, and District88 (see Table 4). calls for guidance to avoid such transmission.90 Table 4: Impacts of COVID-19 on the environment and wildlife REGION REPORT OF IMPACTS LOCATION India, Argentina, UK, Global Examples of wild animals returning to streets of cities91 Corsica, Italy, Japan, Nepal Monkeys on roads; sika deer on streets92 Thailand, Japan Indo-Pacific humpback dolphins have returned to local Hong Kong waters without ferries93 Turtles nesting on Thai beaches in numbers not seen in Thailand, Israel two decades; wild boars in Haifa94 Monkeys in Lopburi that are usually fed by tourists, Thailand brawling and scavenging on streets95 Asia Sea turtles thriving on closed beaches96 Thailand Deer on roads; lesser whistling duck on lakes around Dighilipukhuri; Malabar large-spotted civet on roads in India Kozhikode97 Monkeys on the streets of Himachal Pradesh, Shimla, India Kasauli, Chail and Manali98 Sika deer leaving Nara Park in search of food on streets99 Japan Africa Lions napping on roads in Kruger National Park100 South Africa 19
REGION REPORT OF IMPACTS LOCATION Peregrine falcons returning to Corfe Castle, Dorset; badgers exploring Mount Stewart estate; pipistrelle bat United Kingdom roosting in a car park in the Lake District101 Wild goats on streets of deserted tourist town of United Kingdom Llandudno, Wales102 Nightjar birds vanish when hundreds of campers arrived United Kingdom in Devon National Park103 Wild boars on streets in Barcelona104 Spain Europe Dolphins in waters off a port of Sardinia105 Italy Fish and ducks in empty canals in Venice106 Italy Common murres (a seabird) with increased predation Sweden from eagles in the absence of tourists107 Canals clearing in Venice; dolphins in port of Cagliari, Italy Sardinia108 Wildlife in parks in British Columbia are becoming more Canada active during the day109 North Humpback whales singing, without cruise ship America USA interference in Alaska110 Surge of megafauna in fields and open spaces in USA Yosemite National Park111 Latin More observations of white-tailed deer, pumas and birds Colombia America in Tumbes, and more species seen on roads and trails112 wildlife destinations. The security, safety and Wildlife crime conservation of ecosystems, coupled with quality The reduction of tourism due to COVID-19 has tourism products and services, are prerequisites led to lower revenues for conservation and anti- for successful tourism development. There poaching local conservation programmes and have been widespread fears that people living increased levels of poaching in some locations.113 in wildlife areas will be forced to exploit natural Wildlife crime threatens the existence of iconic, resources because of their reduced incomes from charismatic species that attract visitors to tourism-based livelihoods.114 20
Closures of protected areas have led to reduced In Nepal’s Chitwan National Park, the first month protection for wildlife and lost incomes as of the lockdown saw more cases of forest-related rangers, guides, animal caregivers and others crime, such as illegal logging and harvesting, than have been made redundant,115 and there have the previous 11 months combined.119 In Koh Tao, been reports of increased poaching incidents Thailand, the lack of dive boats has emboldened (see Table 5). For example, Botswana has fishermen to work in areas that are officially off lost at least six rhinos since the start of the limits to them, which has resulted in fewer fish.120 pandemic.116 The Uganda Wildlife Authority The escalation in poaching in some places seems recorded more than double the number of to be caused by a reduction in conservation staff poaching incidents between February and May coupled with the absence of tourists and guides 2020 (367 incidents) than in 2019, including and a demand for bushmeat.121 giraffes, lions and gorillas.117 Within days of closing Bolivia’s protected areas, a shipment of However, there have been some positive impacts. illegally caught fish and a tapir were seized by In May 2020, South Africa reported substantially authorities in the Madidi National Park, while lower rhino poaching due to international air travel 200 invaders broke past checkpoints to access shutdowns and reduced options to move rhino Carrasco National Park.118 horn to consumer countries.122 Table 5: Wildlife crime and the pandemic – increases, declines and adjusting strategies WILDLIFE CRIME REPORTS LOCATION NEGATIVE IMPACTS Pangolin poaching123 Africa Increased poaching of rhino and elephant124 Botswana, South Africa Rhino poaching in the Okavango Delta, coupled with relocating them to Botswana safer areas125 Poaching increases in national parks, including of rhino, giraffe126 Uganda Silverback gorilla killed in Uganda127 Uganda Giraffe poaching in Uganda128 Uganda Fear of increase in poaching in conservancies, and compounded issue Kenya of lack of option for pastoralists to sell livestock during COVID-19129 Elephant killed in Ethiopia and India130 Ethiopia and India Tigers killed in India131 India 21
WILDLIFE CRIME REPORTS LOCATION Forest-related crime (e.g. illegal extraction, logging, harvesting) in National Park, Nepal Chitwan National Park132 Ibis poisoned133 Cambodia Illegal fishing and hunting of Tapir in Madidi National Park134 Bolivia POSITIVE IMPACTS Rhino poaching decline during lockdown135 South Africa No increase in poaching in protected areas136 Georgia Impacts on livelihoods community initiatives by the tourism operators in the survey is predicted to be US$ 80.9 million lower than in the previous financial year. Travel restrictions and reduced tourism Some former tourism workers have been forced turnover have led to lower salaries for to sell their belongings and are struggling tourism employees, and reduced incomes in survival mode. Others have continued to for entrepreneurs and small businesses that maintain tourism assets out of pride, despite provide products and services within the only being on small salaries.139 tourism value chain.137 In South Africa, another survey found that A survey conducted on behalf of the EU found a third of the 87 game lodges surveyed that 543 tourism operators working in African furloughed more than 50% of their staff, protected areas collectively employed 48,000 while 16% have furloughed all of their staff.140 people, of whom more than half were recruited Closure of the South African lodges is locally (59% on average).138 On average, 65% estimated to lead to a loss of over 33,600 jobs of local staff members were on reduced wages in communities, and the disappearance of ZAR and hours because of the pandemic. More than 3.7 billion (US$ 214 million) in local salaries, half (52%) have put some (or all) of their local procurement, conservation and community employees on leave without pay since February project contributions.141 Between April and 2020, and half have made redundancies (50%). March 2020, 67% of permanent employees of An estimated 94% of local employees would be South African game ranchers were affected affected by being on reduced wages, unpaid by being on reduced wages, unpaid leave or leave, being made redundant or unemployed being made redundant.142 Many game lodges if the crisis continues. In practical terms, over supported emergency COVID-19 response 17,000 local employees – including those living measures locally, including increasing local within and adjacent to protected areas – would employment (78%) and local procurement be adversely and directly affected, as would (76%).143 Private sector tourism companies their dependants. have used donations and cash reserves to provide food parcels to communities, or Furthermore, procurement of local produce, paid their food suppliers for products to feed hospitality services and payments to community members instead of tourists.144 22
RECOVERY OF THE NATURE-BASED TOURISM SECTOR Trends in recovery that depended on tourism had to decide whether to open up for visitors for economic survival, risking an increase in COVID-19 infection rates Reopening of the tourism industry and the potential death of citizens.148 As the COVID-19 pandemic progressed, its transmission became better understood, and South Africa, for example, cautiously phased safety precautions were put in place in many reopening of tourism and aviation first to countries. According to the UNWTO, travel domestic, then regional and finally international restrictions were eased in 40% of global tourists.149 In June 2020, South Africans were destinations by June 2020, and in 53% of only allowed self-drive day trips within their destinations by September 2020.145 By October province of residence, while only business 2020, several African countries, including travellers could stay overnight in hotels.150 Madagascar, Botswana, Eritrea, Libya and Algeria, Trips by locals have provided vital revenue to remained closed to international tourists.146 struggling private game reserves in the country.151 Destinations that depended on tourism had to decide whether to open up for visitors for economic The scenarios suggest that a return to 2019 survival with acceptable levels of coronavirus levels of international arrivals could take two- infection and potentially death of their citizens.147 and-a-half to four years, and this is supported by UNWTO expert assessments.152 Certainly, The UNWTO suggested three scenarios for the recovery of the global industry will be hampered recovery of international tourist arrivals in 2020, by damage to tourism, including the decline based on different timeframes for opening national in airline routes and cruises and workforce borders and lifting travel restrictions. Destinations reductions across the sector.153 Tourists birdwatching in the Central African Republic 23
They are drawn to natural destinations to escape Research on recovery lockdowns and to improve mental health, and Market research is being used to predict how they are easily amenable to social distancing.155 the tourism industry will emerge and what This is expected to lead to more demand for types of travel experiences people desire. close-up and purposeful experiences with Research shows people prioritise health, nature.156 Travel seems likely to re-emerge with hygiene and social-distancing measures and are experiences that include immersion in nature, more interested in sustainable tourism, social staying active and visiting remote communities wellbeing, benefiting local economies, adventure (see Table 6). Countries are therefore focussing and trips to natural destinations.154 People are their travel on nature and open-air activities, becoming more aware of the value of nature and including in natural protected areas, adventure wildlife and the need to steward these resources. and ecotourism, and cultural and rural tourism.157 Table 6: Market research evidence for sustainable and nature-based tourism DATA SOURCE RESEARCH FINDINGS Air Travel A survey of 464 people in April 2020 found that 58% were thinking more about Sustainability the environment and sustainability now compared to before COVID-19.158 survey Travellers are becoming even more conscientious about how and why they Booking.com travel, with over two-thirds (69%) expecting the travel industry to offer more sustainable travel options.159 Destination A survey of 1,200 US leisure travellers found that 40% are rethinking the types Analysts survey in of destinations they will select, with beach destinations (38%) and small towns the US and rural areas (30%) topping the list.160 Priorities in the new normal include health, social wellbeing, economy, sustainability and capacity building. The new normal will include a fear factor, social distancing, health protocols and testing. Hotel occupancies may be 40–50% and airlines may have a 50–75% load factor.161 Euromonitor International Domestic adventure, nature, beach wellness, luxury and camping holidays will accelerate; long-haul travel, unsustainable models and mass tourism, corporate business tourism and mega cruises will decelerate. Sustainability becomes a key value proposition and social issues become more balanced with the environment.162 Adventure companies are noticing a trend towards chartered raft trips and MT Sobek & private trips to national parks, as well as bookings to remote destinations such Intrepid Travel as Alaska. and chartered raft trips, and private trips to national parks.163 A global online survey of 1,764 individuals that took place in April–May 2020 Responsible found that there was stronger conviction for sustainable tourism among Tourism Advisor younger respondents, and all nationalities mostly wished to avoid mass and Solare tourism destinations and large cities.164 Travellers are cautious about health guidelines, prefer to travel in smaller Trip.com groups (such as with friends and family) and travel domestically. Boutique hotels may prosper as customers seek less crowded experiences.165 24
DATA SOURCE RESEARCH FINDINGS There is a desire to get back to nature and use small group tours. Customers are 218% more likely to want to take a trip where they can relax, compared to before the pandemic. Nearly two-thirds (59%) prefer to go somewhere off the beaten track versus a popular destination. There has been a spike in traffic Tripadvisor researching lodgings featuring boating, skiing, canoeing and horse riding.166 There is increased consciousness of travellers of the impact of their tourism expenditure on local communities and small businesses because of the stories arising of the pandemic’s impacts.167 Adventure travel, including active, outdoor and nature-based keywords and World Travel & destinations, stands out as the leading recovering segment in online travel Tourism Council searches in August 2020.168 market contributes less than 20% of its tourism Re-emerging domestic tourism income.174 In Rwanda, permits to view gorillas Destinations worldwide are prioritising domestic usually cost US$ 1,500 per person, but to tourism as travel restrictions ease, and as encourage domestic trips promotional prices travellers look for shorter trips that are closer were introduced in June 2020. Rwandans and to home.169 Prior to the pandemic, the domestic East African citizens living within the country pay tourism sector, according to the UNWTO, was a discounted rate of US$ 200 and US$ 500 for actually six times larger than the international foreign residents. To ensure safety, all visitors tourism sector. An estimated 9 billion domestic need to have tested negative for COVID-19 prior overnight trips took place in 2018, and trip to their visit.175 expenditure was three times higher than for inbound tourism in Organisation for Economic Some nature-based tourism operators are Co-operation and Development countries.170 creating new tourism products with lower rates However, in sub-Saharan Africa, the proportion for domestic visitors.176 There are concerns that of international guests compared with domestic swarms of domestic tourists may overwhelm travellers varies greatly, ranging from 25% in destinations and more discerning customers will Cameroon to 94% in Chad and contributing 43% go elsewhere to locations that can accommodate of total tourism revenues in Kenya.171 social distancing and be a more pleasant experience.177 Domestic tourism can be encouraged through financial incentives, such as offering holiday Nature-based tourism recovery vouchers and prices and packages attractive to local people, and through marketing and Promoting the role of protected and conservation promotion; for example, digital promotion and areas in sustaining human physical and use of social media channels.172 psychological health, especially after a long period of lockdown or enforced isolation, is While domestic travel may offer operators and important.178 Protected and conservation areas destinations some respite from the drop in that allow visits should aim to reopen where tourism revenues, it is unlikely to resolve the disease risks permit, using appropriate social or challenges in developing countries. In Kenya, physical distancing rules. By October 2020, visits around 25% of revenues are generated by high- to some protected areas and World Heritage end tourism, and Kenyans only pay around a sites, especially in the northern hemisphere, third of the price paid by international visitors,173 were actually higher than at the start of the while at the Ol Pejeta Conservancy the domestic pandemic.179 25
Protected areas have reopened where the disease while Fernando de Noronha in Brazil is number of cases has declined, or when policy accessible by tourists who have recovered from measures allowed, such as in Brazil, Ecuador, COVID-19.185 Egypt, Hong Kong, Rwanda, South Africa and South Korea.180 Some protected areas International agencies and national governments reopened for specific types of visitors or activity. have produced policy responses for their For example, in South Korea, public facilities, countries on travel and tourism in light of including campsites, shelters and visitor centres COVID-19. Several countries and protected that were closed in February 2020, gradually area authorities have produced information reopened as COVID-19 cases decreased.181 specifically for their visitors (for example, in In-person visitor programmes were banned, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, Costa Rica, but alternative services were provided through Egypt, France, Italy, Rwanda, South Africa, YouTube and social media. In South Africa, South Korea, the UK and the US).186 A collation national parks were opened first for day visits of this guidance developed under an EU project and then intra-provincial overnight visits, followed provides information for protected areas on by inter-provincial leisure travel, then regional operating tourism amid COVID-19.187 It includes travel and finally international travel.182 In Brazil, examples and links to guidance based on protected areas in the Amazon Lower Negro reputable international and national advice, and River were also reopened for visitors.183 also protected area authority recommendations. Safety precautions There is also information on health and hygiene standards, planning and distribution of visitors, Safety precautions have been established to consultation and coordination, risk assessments reduce risks to visitors and their hosts from and managing interactions between wildlife and the disease. New tools include the WTTC’s people (that is to say, to avoid further zoonotic SafeTravels standards and the Adventure Travel disease transmission). Specific information is Trade Association’s COVID-19 health and safety shared for accommodation, restaurants, tours guidelines.184 Rwanda’s parks can be visited and trails. The guidance material explains how by people who confirm they are free of the to manage visits safely – with recommendations 26
for before and during visits – including in free entry to a three-day Qing Ming Festival gateway communities. There are concerns coupled with reopening of a UNESCO World that gateway communities could be at risk of Heritage site, Mount Huangshan, which led to infection if tourists return without the necessary people flocking to the site.198 On 4 April 2020, precautions and safety measures.188 There after visitors exceeded the 20,000 per day limit, is advice on training and equipment for staff, authorities announced that they would not allow financing interventions and options for online any more to enter.199 Similarly, the May Day visits, particularly where protected areas are holiday in China saw 31 million trips to national not yet able to open.189 It is likely that responses parks and other recreational areas, generating in different destinations will differ greatly; US$ 5 billion in three days, according to for example, the number of passengers on TravelMole.200 The partial reopening of ferry rides at Niagara Falls in the US and in Yellowstone National Park in the US in May Canada.190 saw thousands of domestic visitors descend on the park after lockdown.201 Observations at the Challenges with rapid recovery of Rinjani Geopark in Indonesia showed that the pre-COVID-19 challenges of overcrowding have domestic nature-based tourism re-emerged as parks reopened, despite the Despite the safety precautions and guidance continued presence of the virus.202 provided, several natural destinations have faced considerable challenges with large groups With these reopenings and resurgence of of domestic travellers. In Germany’s Black crowds, there are concerns about the potential Forest National Park, there was an increase to spread COVID-19 in protected areas and of 100,000 visits between April and June 2020 gateway communities, particularly where social compared with the same period in 2019 (a 50% distancing is not observed and face coverings increase), coupled with challenges where new are not worn.203 There is a clear need to prevent visitors have not complied with park rules.191 In the trend of going from undertourism back to the UK’s Devon and Snowdonia national parks overtourism (not least because of the health – with increased camping, wood collection, threat), and to find better ways to disperse makeshift toilets, anti-social behaviour and tourists within and between destinations.204 litter – birds like the nightjar have vanished.192 As a result, emergency powers were used to temporarily ban camping in August.193 Also in Innovation and resilience the UK, visitors have disturbed nesting birds and seal rookeries in the Holkham Estate nature Tourism companies have been forced to become reserve, nitrous oxide canisters were left on innovative rapidly to survive. Enterprises have Marsden Moor, illegal boating took place in the diversified the types of visitor they expect, their Ore Estuary, and huge quantities of human products and services, and their source markets excrement have been left in the Lake District as to adjust to changes in demand.205 Those that visitors avoided public toilets due to COVID-19 already had diverse products and services to fears.194 offer have been more resilient as they have alternative income sources (see Table 7). With The opening of UK national parks and the disappearance of international travellers, associated crowding has led to some visitors safari operators are providing packages and being turned away, even after travelling for experiences for domestic clients, and stimulating hundreds of miles.195 In October 2020, Wales new interest in conservation and nature-based introduced a ban on people travelling to the tourism locally. Where tourism operations have region from hotspots in England, Scotland farms or gardens on their properties, innovations and Northern Ireland.196 Despite this, private have included expanding or diversifying landowners such as farmers and cottage owners production, and using produce to feed staff and in the UK are benefiting from allowing camping their families. Tourist accommodation is being and accommodation on their properties.197 offered to local people to safeguard or quarantine Following months of travel restrictions and vulnerable members of society. Donations are lockdowns in China, the government offered being sought to support organisations and staff 27
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