State of renewal: Charting a new course for Indiana's economic growth and inclusion - Brookings Institution
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State of renewal: Charting a new course for Indiana’s economic growth and inclusion EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Mark Muro, Robert Maxim, and Jacob Whiton with Yang You, Eli Byerly-Duke, and Monica Essig Aberg February 2021
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY EXECUTIVE SUMMARY There’s been no escaping the COVID-19 pandemic, with its toll of hospitalizations, layoffs, and quarantines. Every place in America has been affected, often in drastic ways, as the coronavirus hit home and laid bare—like an X-ray—an array of underlying economic and social challenges wherever it arrived. And so it has been in Indiana. While it has managed, by some measures, one of the stronger recoveries from the initial crisis among states, the Hoosier State has also contended with major dislocations and challenges. Not only did COVID-19 interrupt several years of relatively decent growth prior to the pandemic shock, but the pandemic and its impacts have intensified an array of concerns about the underlying health and resilience of the state’s economy, ranging from its technological competitiveness (region by region) to its adaptability to the pay of its jobs. Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program Page 2
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY In light of this, as Hoosiers begin to think ahead, the 1. INDIANA POSSESSES SIGNIFICANT understandable impulse to simply “get back to normal” STRENGTHS AS IT MOVES BEYOND THE may not suffice. WORST OF THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC, THOUGH DISPARITIES PERSIST. Instead, Indiana—like other states—is facing a critical moment as it contemplates its post-pandemic future. Notwithstanding its especially deep initial plunge Is the state prepared to challenge itself to go beyond its into the COVID-19 recession, Indiana was norms and focus on longer-term transformation? Or will experiencing a relatively robust initial job rebound by the it content itself with reverting to an imperfect pre-crisis onset of the winter. Overall, the state’s return from its status quo? pandemic lows has been relatively quick, with net payroll job losses for the year declining to 52,000 positions in Such questions—which were already surfacing before November—or -1.7% of the state’s total employment, the the pandemic—are why in spring 2019, the Central ninth-lowest figure among states. Indiana Corporate Partnership (CICP) invited the Brookings Institution’s Metropolitan Policy Program Contributing to this result has been the state’s to provide a data-grounded economic assessment industry structure. With services at the forefront of job and actionable set of recommendations to inform losses nationally, the state’s high specialization in the state’s economic strategy at an important time. manufacturing (which reopened relatively quickly) Envisioned as part of the Indiana GPS Project—a and low reliance on tourism (a source of some multistrand economic strategy effort spearheaded by of the crisis’s worst job losses) have ensured CICP, assembling research from Brookings as well as that Indiana has been shielded from the gravest the American Enterprise Institute (AEI) and its partner disruptions of the pandemic. Indiana’s large Economic Innovation Group (EIG), both in Washington, transportation sector (including fulfillment and logistics) D.C.—the Brookings assessment and recommendations has also contributed to the state’s rebound, meaning were conceived well before the COVID-19 crisis with that—for now, at least—the state’s sizable “make goods/ an eye toward providing ideas for expanding Indiana’s move goods” sector has been important in staving advanced industries and quality employment. With that off dislocation. said, the inquiry only gained in salience by taking on Still concerning, though, is the persistent unevenness of aspects of the current crisis. the recession, which continues to vary sharply across Along these lines, the report that follows—“State of income levels, race, and geography. Data from renewal: Charting a new course for Indiana’s economic Opportunity Insights reveals, for example, that while growth and inclusion”—draws a number of conclusions high- and medium-wage workers in Indiana have seen about the Indiana economy as it emerges from the full or nearly full employment recovery, in October, low- COVID-19 crisis and considers how to catalyze a new wage workers were still contending with employment era of state growth. In doing so, the report finds that: rates more than 17% below mid-January 2020 levels. “State of renewal: Charting a new course for Indiana’s economic growth and inclusion”—draws a number of conclusions about the Indiana economy as it emerges from the COVID-19 crisis and considers how to catalyze a new era of state growth. Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program Page 3
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY By the onset Figure of winter, 1. By the end ofIndiana’s November,relatively Indianastrong rebound 87% had recovered had gained backit87% of the jobs lost of in jobs 2020,the state had though lost gains in were 2020, although the slowing by year’s endrecovery slowed in the fall Total nonfarm employment in Indiana and US, not seasonally adjusted, February - November 2020 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov 0% -2% -4% -6% -8% -10% -12% Indiana -14% United States -16% Note: November data is a preliminary estimate. Source: Brookings analysis of BLS data. Likewise, responses from the Census Bureau’s The vulnerabilities begin with growth and pay. On Household Pulse Survey for mid-December report that employment, the state’s 0.5% compound annual half of Black and Latino or Hispanic Hoosiers resided in growth rate (CAGR) in employment from 2007 to 2019 households that had experienced a loss of employment reflects a mixed story. As such, the state’s employment income since March. For white Hoosiers, the growth lagged the national average of 0.8%, with the figure was 44%. And while unemployment rates in state having initially absorbed heavy job losses in Indiana’s regions had declined substantially by the manufacturing in the 2007-to-2009 recession. However, fall, conditions varied and joblessness was an export-driven manufacturing rebound then helped still elevated, especially in the state’s northern the state outpace its peer states’ employment growth. In regions. Even so, the state’s initial rebound has that sense, while employment growth has been slow been relatively solid. by national standards, it has been above average for a Midwestern region still struggling with a regionwide loss 2. WITH THAT SAID, INDIANA’S PRE- of economic vitality. PANDEMIC EMPLOYMENT AND PAY TRENDS RAISE QUESTIONS ABOUT THE LIKELY At the same time, though, earnings gains have SHAPE OF ITS POST-PANDEMIC RECOVERY. underperformed. Nationwide, median annual earnings increased by just 0.6% a year in real terms from 2007 to Indiana’s pre-crisis norms on growth and 2019, to reach $36,600 per worker. By contrast, pay, past recession recoveries, and family well- Indiana’s gains were half that, with annual earnings being signal vulnerabilities in the state’s economic growth registering at just 0.3%, allowing earnings to makeup, with implications for the nature of its longer- reach just $34,300. Only in the last pre-pandemic term recovery. years did Indiana workers’ earnings begin to grow in a sustained way, albeit at a slower pace than that of its peers. Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program Page 4
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Indiana Figure 5.managed respectable While Indiana added employment growth jobs faster than in the its peer pre-pandemic states in the lastdecade, decade,but its earnings it still gains lagged the nation as a underperformed whole Total nonfarm employment (Dec. 2007 = 100), seasonally adjusted, December 2007 - January 2020 115 110 105 100 95 90 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Indiana Peer States United States Source: Brookings Figure 6. Indianaanalysis earningsof BLS data. gains underperformed through the pre-pandemic decade Real median hourly wage (2007 = 100), 2007 - 2019 115 110 105 100 95 90 85 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Indiana Peer States United States Source: Brookings analysis of BEA and the Economic Policy Institute’s State of Working America Data Library data. Source: Brookings analysis BLS, BEA and the Economic Policy Institute’s State of Working America Data Library data. Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program Page 5
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Also of concern are longer-term trends, including the slow recoveries from these episodes represent a second state’s experiences with recent recessions—an caution about the future. important indicator of resilience. Notwithstanding Finally, the human costs of two decades of its sustained employment-growth edge compared to stagnation represent a third source of uncertainty its regional peers, Indiana found itself knocked onto a about what comes next. With the onset of the Great slower growth trajectory after 2000, to the point that Recession, for example, the number of Hoosiers living in the state did not recover its May 2000 employment families that struggled to make ends meet—as indicated peak until May 2015. The nation as a whole, by contrast, by a well-regarded “self-sufficiency standard” from recovered its February 2001 peak employment only four the University of Washington—rose by over half a years later. million people, from 1.4 million in 2007 to 1.93 million in Even more disturbing, real hourly wage growth in 2011. By 2016, that total had fallen only slightly to 1.82 Indiana has remained depressed since 2001, including million—a figure still nearly 400,000 people higher than in the wake of the 2007-to-2009 recession. Since 2000, before the recession. Indiana’s 0.5% per year real median wage growth Altogether, about 30% of the state’s population has been trailed the national and peer-state rates and ranked living in a struggling family since 2010, with only small 46th among states. declines in recent years—and this was before the onset Together, the shocks of 2001 and 2007 to 2009 imposed of the COVID-19 pandemic. Less educated workers in major changes upon Indiana’s economy—especially the the state and racial and ethnic minorities are especially 2001 recession, which corresponded with a surge overrepresented among the now likely swollen ranks of of cheap imports from China in the wake of its the struggling. accession to the World Trade Organization. The Indiana Figure 7.employment growth deteriorated Indiana employment in the wake growth deteriorated in of thethe recessions wake of 2001 and of the recessions 2007 to of 2001 and2009 2007 to 2009 Total nonfarm employment (Jan 1990 = 100), seasonally adjusted, January 1990 - January 2020 150 140 130 120 110 100 90 1990 1992 1995 1997 2000 2002 2005 2007 2010 2012 2015 2017 2020 Indiana Peer States United States Source: Brookings analysis of BLS data. Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program Page 6
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The upshot is clear: As it anticipates recovery from the These “crown jewel” industries operate in every COVID-19 recession, Indiana does so having lost ground Indiana region and county and support—both directly over the last two business cycles on several topline and indirectly—inordinate shares of the state’s best- indicators of economic resilience. paying, highest-value economic activity. However, these high-productivity industries have also 3. ‘PREEXISTING CONDITIONS’ AFFECTING been stagnating. Between 2007 and 2019, advanced- AT LEAST THREE KEY SUCCESS industry productivity in Indiana grew at a paltry 0.4% FACTORS UNDERLIE THE STATE’S annually, from $285,100 to $298,300 per worker. By TRENDS AND PRESENT CHALLENGES TO comparison, real output per worker in advanced ITS RESILIENCE. industries across the nation grew 2.7% a year during this Work at Brookings and elsewhere has explored the period, reaching $375,000 per worker in 2019—implying special importance to prosperity of a short list of a productivity gap of nearly 20% between the state and critical economic success factors. These factors the nation. This represents a fall from the state’s slight include the dynamism of high-value “advanced” advanced-industry sector productivity advantage in 2007 industries, the ability of the economy to “reallocate” of 5%. jobs and workers from declining pursuits to promising ones, and the importance of inclusive growth that is Advanced industries support quality employment—albeit broadly shared by all people and places. Such factors at different concentrations—in all Indiana counties and in represent not just important takeaways from the every region resilience literature, but key influences on Indiana’s long- Employment share in advanced industries by region, 2019 run vitality—or lack thereof. They are the state’s “preexisting conditions” when it comes to recovery 5.3% - 7.5% and enhancement. 7.6% - 10.0% Indiana faces challenges on several of 10.1% - 12.5% these important economic factors. Three 12.6% - 15.0% findings warrant notice: 15.1% - 22.8% Advanced-industry sector competitiveness— reflected in productivity trends—has been slipping Industry and firm productivity growth—the efficiency by which enterprises convert inputs into outputs— is critical to prosperity, but it has been declining in Indiana. Economy-wide, efficiency has slumped to Regional employment share levels around 15% below the national level. Especially Advanced industries, 2019 concerning are slippages in the performance of the state’s advanced-industry sector—a collection of 46 5.3% - 7.5% 7.6% - 10% R&D- and STEM-worker-intensive industries in Indiana 10.1% - 12.5% highlighted by Brookings and ranging from biopharma 12.6% - 15% 15% - 22.8% manufacturing and medical devices to automotive, R&D consulting, and technology. © 2021 Mapbox © OpenStreetMap Source: Brookings analysis of Emsi data. Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program Page 7
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Indiana’s Figure 17.advanced Indiana’sindustries advanced productivity growth hasgrowth industries productivity been languishing, falling the has fallen behind behind the nation’s nation’s since 2010 since 2010 Advanced industries productivity - Percent change since 2007, 2007-2019 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% -5% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Indiana United States Source: Brookings analysis of Emsi and BEA data. The state has struggled to adapt to recent Analysis in this report suggests the pandemic recession economic shifts, which have created could portend new reallocation challenges tied to long- multiple “reallocation” challenges for term structural changes and disruptions, such as more industries and workers losses in manufacturing or the shift of retail activity from physical stores toward e-commerce. What’s more, Indiana’s heavy specialization in manufacturing ensured research from AEI’s partner, the Economic Innovation that major changes in that sector—ranging from Group, places Indiana 39th in the nation when it globalization and import competition to automation— comes to the share of its employees working at new brought significant firm and worker shifts in the last firms. That raises questions about the state’s ability to two recessions. For example, between 2001 and 2019— readily create new jobs to replace those that may have and especially in the recessions of 2000 to 2001 and been lost for good. 2007 to 2009—the state lost over 72,000 jobs in the manufacturing sector, which has long been a source of Indiana’s economy has been providing too few above-average wages for workers without a four-year good jobs college degree. At the same time, 228,000 jobs were Good-paying work is critical in providing workers created in the lower-paying hospitality, administrative and families a livelihood and delivering the basic services, and health care sectors. consumption that supports prosperous regions and The result of these shocks: Indiana’s firm mix communities. Accordingly, Brookings suggests— shifted abruptly toward low-skill service sectors, based on extensive research in Indiana—that “good while thousands of workers struggled to undergo tough jobs” pay at least a locally adjusted $40,700 a changes in jobs, industries, and skill demands, with a year and provide employer-sponsored health long-term depressive effect on wage growth and labor insurance. Under this metric, Indiana’s store of good force participation. jobs has remained too small and grown too slowly. Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program Page 8
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY To be sure, the state’s stock of good jobs Insufficient digital investment compares favorably to most states, given Indiana’s is limiting advanced-industry sector manufacturing history. But even so, only 42% of the competitiveness and the state’s broader state’s workforce possessed a good job between productivity 2014 and 2018, the most recent period for which Underlying Indiana’s productivity challenge are digital numbers are available. That means that roughly 58% challenges. Information technology (IT) adoption is an of Hoosier workers—nearly three out of five—lacked a increasingly important influence on productivity patterns good job then. given the “digitalization of everything” in the COVID-19 Nor has the share of Hoosier workers in a good economy. And yet, digitalization has been proceeding job increased appreciably in the last decade. Rather, it too slowly in Indiana, to the detriment of productivity has remained the same. Also holding steady growth. is Hoosiers’ uneven access to good jobs: While 50% of For one thing, Indiana ranks in the bottom third of male workers in Indiana are employed in a good job, states on Brookings’s basic measure of economy- only 33% of female workers are. Similar disparities cut wide digitalization as reflected by the average digital across racial lines: Over 44% of white workers in the intensity of its occupations. In addition, information on state have a good job, compared to just 30% and 25% of Indiana firms’ capital expenditures depicts significant Black and Latino or Hispanic workers, respectively. underinvestment in IT. Specifically, firm-level data * from the tech-industry market research company Harte Hanks shows that in 2016, Indiana ranked Going deeper into these success factors reveals just 37th among states for both its advanced- several underlying dynamics that point to important industry sector and whole-economy annual per strategy challenges—and opportunities. Men, Figurewhite workers, 37. Men, whiteand prime-age workers, and or older workers prime-age have or older greater workers access have to good greater jobs; access to women, workers good jobs; of color, women, and young workers of people have color, and less access young people have less access Share of workers in a good job by demographic group in Indiana, 2014-2018 60% 50.3% 48.6% 50% 46.9% 44.4% 40% 32.9% 29.6% 30% 25.1% 20% 10% 7.5% 0% Male Female White Black Latino or 18-24 25-54 55+ Hispanic Note: Asian American, Native American, Native Hawaiian, and those identifying as two or more races cannot be included because small sample sizes prevent statistically significant estimates. Source: Brookings analysis of IPUMS USA 2014-18 5-year ACS microdata. Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program Page 9
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY employee IT spending. Those levels—$12,300 and Job quality has suffered amid difficult $7,400, respectively, compared to $25,000 and economic transitions $11,100 nationally—ranked fifth and sixth among Indiana’s peer states. Beneath the shortage of good jobs lie massive economic changes that have challenged state policy’s Similarly patchy are Indiana’s broadband adoption rates, ability to keep up. For example, the interlinked trends of which interfere with business, job search, and education globalization and automation have constrained mid-level in both rural and urban areas. To be sure, Indiana’s wage gains in Indiana more than in most places. Here, it broadband adoption rate has increased from 60% to bears saying again that trade and technology each bring 65% since 2013. However, the state’s 65% adoption rate substantial benefits. But it is also true that each trend remains in the fourth quintile of states—a concerning has almost certainly had negative wage effects on status that has been highlighted by the pandemic middle- and lower-skilled workers, especially given the recession. state’s manufacturing-heavy industry mix. Thinner job supplies and various skill- and On trade, Brookings analysis using a method and job-matching issues could slow worker data from economist David Autor and colleagues transitions and wider reallocation suggests that, between 1990 and 2007, Hoosier wage This is a problem because fast declines attributable to Chinese import competition and favorable readjustments of firms and were the highest in the Midwest, and the ninth-largest workers to new conditions speed recovery and in the country. On technology, Brookings calculations maximize productivity and inclusive growth. But using data from the International Federation particular attributes of Indiana’s reallocation of Robotics and economists Daron Acemoglu and environment could slow or complicate the state’s job Pascual Restrepo suggest automation-induced wage creation and labor market matching processes in the declines over the same timespan were likely higher than coming years. in any other state. Brookings also concludes that nearly one-third of Indiana jobs are now highly susceptible On the job creation side, shortages in new-firm to automation employing existing technologies—the creation and investment in digital and other highest share in the country. automation technologies could depress the state’s supply of jobs in certain sectors or places. On the Over time, these trends have helped to “hollow out” the labor market side, skills disconnects—a problem state’s wage distribution, erasing middle-class jobs everywhere—could slow job transitions and and forcing displaced workers to compete for lower- readjustment. For some, matching existing skills to wage service work. The same can be said for related new firms or industries will require challenging job management paradigms involving outsourcing searches. For others, the tendency of firms to upskill and the so-called “contingent” or gig economy, during downturns could complicate reemployment which have complicated workers’ ability to secure in enterprises replacing workers who performed higher wages and more benefits. In the face of all “routine” automatable tasks with a mix of technology of this, Indiana policy innovation has simply lagged and more skilled workers. Even before the crisis, a third behind market changes, leaving many workers to of Indiana jobs required postsecondary education, but contend with excessively low wages, benefits limits, and only a quarter of working-age adults had that requisite greater precariousness. level of education. Meanwhile, telework—which will likely increase permanently—poses additional challenges, particularly for workers who lack digital skills or broadband access. Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program Page 10
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 4. INDIANA SHOULD BUILD RESILIENCE For their part, regional actors and local industry INTO A RECOVERY THAT PROMOTES TRUE networks can play a critical role in helping the state raise RENEWAL. digital awareness, deliver digital skills development, and begin to tackle local broadband challenges. Indiana has an opportunity to elevate its trajectory. But to do that, it needs to do more than just Promote favorable job creation and worker manage a serviceable recovery from the immediate transitions to allow for a beneficial “rewiring” of the COVID-19 shock and recession. economy. Favorable industry and work reallocations— from less desirable to more desirable configurations— Rather, the state needs to begin to address some are going to be crucial for the economy to change and of the deeper economic challenges it faced prior to adapt while helping displaced workers reconnect to the pandemic that could limit the dimensions of its sustainable work. Top priority moves would: recovery. Indiana should shoot for enhancement—not just repair. • Leverage incremental income tax gains to fund regional advanced-industry sector growth Specifically, the state should begin improving its initiatives, with investments delivered by both the standing on key resilience factors by taking action state and regional intermediaries to accelerate technology adoption, facilitate faster industry and worker adaptation, and promote economic • Enhance entrepreneurship and small new inclusion. business development, with a focus on entrepreneurs of color Along these lines, the state should consider a number of linked initiatives and action steps aimed at both • Better leverage unemployment insurance (UI) mitigating the worst of the crisis and systematically and work-sharing to boost employment upgrading the state’s growth platform for the next and economic growth decade. Specifically, the state and its regional, civic, and • Promote more effective worker adjustment by business partners should take steps in the coming year continuing to support the Next Level Jobs program or two to: and the Workforce Ready Grant Accelerate digital adoption to drive economic In addition, the state should in the next few dynamism and competitiveness. Promoting faster years more strongly support workers’ searches for the and broader digital adoption remains one of the right job and employer as the economy recovers and the best ways to rout the state’s productivity slump and labor market tightens. To do so, the state should: generate quality jobs and more dynamic prosperity. The state should pursue three initiatives: • Enhance work connections with a statewide online matching platform • Drive digital adoption with a “Digital Indiana” initiative to deploy an awareness campaign For their part, regional actors and local and business support offerings to increase IT industry networks can continue to drive growth in adoption by Indiana firms—especially small and their own advanced sectors while designing, aligning, medium-sized enterprises—in all industries, as and delivering industry-relevant, worker-supportive does the state’s EASE program and Manufacturing education, training, and job-matching innovations. Readiness Grants in that sector Do more to support workers who aren’t in good • Encourage digital skills development for Hoosiers jobs so as to promote inclusion and broadly shared by adding a digital skills requirement to the Indiana prosperity. Neither a broad digital surge nor facilitating College Core (formerly the Statewide Transfer optimal reallocation of the economy and labor market General Education Core) will by themselves be sufficient to help the state’s struggling workers. Large forces—including globalization • Begin to solve the state’s broadband disconnects and technology—will continue to pose challenges for the Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program Page 11
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY widespread creation of good jobs, whether in Indiana In addition, the state may want in the coming years or elsewhere. Therefore, Indiana—like every other state— to examine a number of other recommendations that will need to accept that it must attend more to the basic would help boost job quality for low-income Hoosiers. In needs of what will likely be a sizable pool of struggling that spirit, the state could: workers for the foreseeable future. In that vein, the • Enact statewide paid sick and family leave state could: • Expand access to benefits and protections • Establish a “Choice Employers” designation to contingent workers, gig workers, and and provide such employers with independent contractors premium supports to encourage them to create more good jobs • Enact protections for temporary and on-call workers • Enlarge the state’s existing Earned Income For their part, regional organizations and local Tax Credit and pay it quarterly to boost worker business networks can focus on good jobs in their own income and predictability communities and experiment with new ways to support good wages and provide both educational pathways and • Authorize a state panel to explore a Medicaid buy-in supportive services for working families. program for able-bodied adults • Enact a comprehensive child care agenda to support working families • Enact a state-sponsored automatic IRA to encourage greater retirement savings Indiana has an opportunity to elevate its trajectory. But to do that, it needs to do more than just manage a serviceable recovery from the immediate COVID-19 shock and recession. Rather, the state needs to begin to address some of the deeper economic challenges it faced prior to the pandemic that could limit the dimensions of its recovery. Indiana should shoot for enhancement—not just repair. Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program Page 12
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS The Brookings Institution is a nonprofit organization devoted to independent research and policy solutions. Its mission is to conduct high-quality, independent research and, based on that research, to provide innovative, practical recommendations for policymakers and the public. As such, the conclusions and recommendations of any Brookings publication are solely those of its authors, and do not reflect the views of the Institution, its management, or its other scholars. The Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program (Brookings Metro) would like to thank the Central Indiana Corporate Partnership (CICP), BioCrossroads, and the Lilly Endowment Inc. (LEI) for their generous support of this analysis and of Brookings’s advanced economy work more broadly. Sincere thanks for ongoing input and counsel go to David Johnson of CICP as well as to Clay Robbins, Robert Smith, and Jaclyn Dowd at LEI; Jason Kloth of Ascend Indiana; Patty Martin at BioCrossroads; and Mark Howell of Conexus Indiana. The Brookings team is also grateful to Ryan Streeter of the American Enterprise Institute for his counsel and good cheer. Additional invaluable input and practical support in Indiana were provided by Lori Leroy, Nathan Ringham, and Melissa Roberts at CICP. More broadly, the Brookings Metro team has relied on a rich flow—even during the pandemic—of both structured and informal consultation with a helpful, thoughtful, and committed array of Indiana stakeholders. The GPS Project Advisory Council provided a helpful sounding board throughout the research process and merits our sincere appreciation: Keira Amstutz, Kevin Brinegar, Jaclyn Dowd, Sue Ellspermann, Tim George, Starla Hart, Teresa Lubbers, Justin McAdam, John Ruckelshaus, Robert Smith, and Ryan Streeter. An outstanding set of regional leaders convened two focus groups in all 11 Indiana regions, read draft material, and merited additional gratitude. These leaders included: Northwest: Heather Ennis, Jená Bellezza, Linda Woloshansky, Denise Dillard North: Regina Emberton, Pete McCown Northeast: John Sampson, Ryan Twiss Wabash Heartland: Pat Corey, Johnny Park Central: Mark Fisher East Central: Delaina Boyd, Tom Kinghorn West Central: Rob Coons Southwest: Jim Ryan Indiana Uplands: Tina Peterson Southeast: John Burnett, Kathy Oren South: Linda Speed Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program Page 13
And the team relied continuously on the expertise of dozens of committed Hoosiers and others, including: R. Scott Appleby, Desmond Amuh, Regina Ashley, John Axelberg, Bob Behning, Jeanna Berdel, Brad Bishop, Luke Bosso, Stephanie Bothun, Kate Broshears, Caitlin Brown, Bryce Carpenter, Angela Carr Klitzsch, Dawn Clark, Matt Crouch, Jackie Cuellar, Wendy Dant Chesser, Scott Davison, Merritt Dilts, David Ebert, Claire Fiddian-Green, Kenan Fikri, Mark Fisher, Scott Ford, Thomas E. Fuja, Roberto Gallardo, Tom Gates, Jodi Golden, Julie Goodman, Robert Goosen, Nathan Hartman, Brock Herr, Michael Hicks, Mackenzie Higgins, Michael Huber, Kathy Huffman, Saru Jayaraman, Leighton Johnson, Drew Klacik, Mitch Landess, Mike Langellier, Chris R. Lowery, Chauncey Lennon, Douglas Mansfield, Molly Martin, Tony Mason, Konnie McCollum, PJ McGrew, Geoffrey S. Mearns, Jamie Merisotis, Steven Meyer, Blair Milo, Kara Monroe, Paul Mitchell, Ian Nicolini, Ray Offenheiser, Margo Olson, Mark Partridge, Umesh Patel, Charles Penquite, Jr., Tim Raper, Aaron Renn, Joshua Richardson, Brad Rhorer, Denise Riedl, Dave Roberts, Carol Rogers, Scott Rudd, Greg Taylor, Stacy Townsley, Yamila Ruiz, Ken Sauer, Paige Shevlin, Jeffrey H. Smulyan, Brian Stemme, David Terrell, Travis Thiex, Bill Turner, Michael Ursem, Lawrence Walter, Mark Wasky, Chris Watts, and Maureen Weber. Closer to home, the authors would also like to thank the following colleagues for substantive input: Alan Berube, Annelies Goger, Tracy Hadden Loh, Amy Liu, Joseph Parilla, and Adie Tomer. In addition, we are grateful for the practical help of Jade Arn, Kim Bright, Michelle Carter, Elizabeth Dang, Anthony Fiano, Alec Friedhoff, Michael Gaynor, Chris Howie, Julia Kraeger, David Lanham, April McWilliams, Erin Raftery, Karen Slachetka, Reda Urmanaviciute, and Luisa Zottis at Brookings. Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program Page 14
MORE INFORMATION About the Indiana GPS Project Coordinated by the Central Indiana Corporate Partnership (CICP), the Indiana GPS Project is a series of multidimensional reports on Indiana’s economy. It is designed to inform public policy and business priorities that will spur economic growth in Indiana, including through recommendations about how to increase the number of good jobs available to Hoosiers. The research project, which began in August 2019, has been spearheaded by CICP and conducted in collaboration with the Brookings Institution’s Metropolitan Policy Program and the American Enterprise Institute. To learn more, visit Indianagpsproject.com. About the Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program The Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program delivers research and solutions to help metropolitan leaders build an advanced economy that works for all. To learn more, visit brookings.edu/metro For more information: Mark Muro Senior Fellow Metropolitan Policy Program at Brookings mmuro@brookings.edu Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program Page 15
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program Page 13
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