South African Banking Sentiment Index 2018 - Global Event Portfolio
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SOUTH AFRICAN BANKING SENTIMENT INDEX 2018 Contents Executive summary 1 Foreword 3 Introduction 5 Methodology 7 Headline sentiment analysis 9 Topic analysis 11 Digital index 17 Churn analysis 23 Brand content performance 31 Conclusion 33 Appendix – individual bank performances 35
SOUTH AFRICAN BANKING SENTIMENT INDEX 2018 Executive summary The 2018 South African Banking Sentiment Index analysed consumer social media posts about the five major retail banks from September 2017 to August 2018. Capitec emerged as the top-ranking bank by net sentiment, but FNB made significant improvements on their 2017 net sentiment. Standard Bank replaced Absa as the lowest ranked bank. In an analysis of digital banking conversation, FNB outperformed competitor banks overall, a trend largely driven by the brand’s use of technological innovation. Digital conversation comprised 24% of overall topic conversation. FNB had the highest overall net sentiment (+42.6%) across key digital indicators – digital safety, banking app, online banking and business and technological innovation. The latter indicator largely drove the bank’s success in this regard, with consumers responding positively to several innovative products and services being introduced in 2018. Conversely, Standard Bank had the lowest net sentiment for digital themes at -72.7%, with complaints about their app, as well as disruption to online banking services dominating conversation around this area. Nedbank received high levels of negative sentiment for business or technological innovation, a development triggered by consumer backlash against the impact of proposed technological innovations on jobs at the bank. Over 30 000 consumers spoke about leaving their bank over the last year. Nedbank and Standard Bank clients most frequently threatened to leave their banks, while Capitec had the lowest proportion of consumers demonstrating intent to cancel. The most frequently cited reasons across the industry for cancelling with a bank were poor turnaround times, accusations of unethical behavior, billing or payments, as well as telephonic interactions. While Capitec had the lowest volume of conversation about cancelling, FNB received the highest number of positive comparisons to other banks. Furthermore, when consumers claimed that they intended to leave their banks, FNB was most frequently cited in the conversation as an alternative option for consumers. 1
SOUTH AFRICAN BANKING SENTIMENT INDEX 2018 Foreword The effects of digital transformation and exponential technologies are being felt by businesses in every industry, in every country. Digital is no longer only about systems or apps. It is fundamentally shifting the way we work, live and communicate. At the centre of this transformation are customers, whose shifting expectations and increased demand for empowerment are forcing traditionally siloed corporations to relook their strategies, processes, and platforms. In the past, the banking sector in South Africa was a leader in innovation, and it is becoming clear that the pace at which a bank evolves to better serve its customers often drives how customers feel about the brand. The burning question is: are South African banks doing enough, in the minds of their consumers, to provide products, services and digital innovation at the pace they expect? In the 2017 South African Banking Sentiment Index, BrandsEye was able to effectively demonstrate the far-reaching effects that public sentiment has on customer experience, and even business performance. By analysing the underlying needs customers expressed online and categorising them into topics, BrandsEye was able to provide some of the insights required to drive process optimisation and strategic change in the business. The 2018 index further reinforces this, and emerging sentiment data on digital innovation contained in the report is in line with global trends. As strategic consulting partners to banks all over Africa, Deloitte deeply understand the value of customer insights in financial services. The data and analysis that BrandsEye has provided in the 2018 index, and extended in our partnership with them are invaluable to the strategic consulting work we provide to our clients. Karoly Kramli Digital Financial Services Ecosystem Lead Deloitte Consulting Africa 3
SOUTH AFRICAN BANKING SENTIMENT INDEX 2018 Introduction BrandsEye’s annual South African Banking Sentiment Index assessed consumer sentiment towards the five main banks in South Africa on social media. Social media is a valuable source of volunteered consumer feedback. Unlike other consumer research methodologies reliant on questionnaires or focus groups, social data is unsolicited and captures the lived experience of consumers with banking services and products at scale. For the 2018 index, BrandsEye has prioritised exploring major topics and events influencing positivity and negativity among consumers, as well as understanding the scope and drivers for churn among banks. The index also includes a focus on digital banking themes, given that the South African banking industry is expected to face significant digital disruption in 2019, with several new digital entrants set to launch. JUNE 2017 DECEMBER 2017 JUNE 2018 YOY CHANGE Source: Business Tech – Absa 8.65 million - - - https://businesstech.co.za/ Capitec 9.0 million 9.87 million 10.2 million +13.0% news/banking/269891/ FNB 7.84 million - 8.15 million +4.0% is-capitec-now-the-biggest- Nedbank 7.8 million 7.5 million 7.65 million -1.9% bank-in-south-africa/ Standard Bank 8.5 million 8.22 million 8.12 million -4.7% Absa’s customer numbers The table above shows the latest publicly available customer numbers for the five major banks’ were not included in retail clients. its June 2018 interim report and Absa have not included them since its 2017 interim results. 5
SOUTH AFRICAN BANKING SENTIMENT INDEX 2018 Methodology BrandsEye retrieved 1 720 810 social media posts pertaining to South Africa’s five largest retail banks for the period 1 September 2017 to 31 August 2018. The banks analysed in this study were Absa, Capitec, FNB, Nedbank and Standard Bank. Data sources include all main social networks including Twitter, Facebook and Instagram as well as multiple other online sources. Branded/marketing posts made by the banks were excluded from the analysis. Sentiment methodology To carry out sentiment analysis with a 95% confidence level and an overall 0.1% margin of error, a random sample of 521 326 of these posts were processed through BrandsEye’s Crowd for sentiment verification. Social posts were assigned sentiment scores of positive, negative or neutral, or in some cases, both positive and negative. Topic analysis methodology Topic analysis enables a granular understanding of the specific issues driving consumer sentiment. A sample of 159 822 sentiment-bearing posts (only positive and negative) were sent to the Crowd, who identified which of the 70 pre-defined banking topics were contained in each post. Seven broader conversation themes encompass the 70 pre-defined topics. The broader themes were: reputation, customer service, banking products, banking facilities, customer acquisition and retention, pricing, and staffing or HR. 7
SOUTH AFRICAN BANKING SENTIMENT INDEX 2018 Available topics Topic wheel illustrates the seven broad themes and the 70 banking topics they encompass. In this index, net sentiment was calculated by deducting negative sentiment from positive sentiment. Weighted net sentiment is calculated by multiplying net sentiment by the total conversation volume. For example, if the conversation volume is 24 839, and net sentiment is -3.4%, the weighted net sentiment would be -845. 8
SOUTH AFRICAN BANKING SENTIMENT INDEX 2018 Headline sentiment analysis 2015 2016 2017 2018 20% 13.5% 10% 6.1% 4.0% 4.2% 0.9% 0% -0.2% -3.4% -5.8% -6.0% -7.6% -7.7% -10% -8.5% -11.3% -14.1% -16.1% -16.0% -16.2% -20% -17.9% -19.5% -24.5% -30% Absa Capitec FNB Nedbank Standard Bank Net sentiment comparison 2015 – 2018 Capitec received the highest net sentiment in 2018, despite dropping by over 9 percentage points. It remains the only bank with positive overall net sentiment, i.e. it received more praise than complaints. Capitec was followed by FNB, whose net sentiment increased by 12.6% from -16% in 2017 to -3.4% in 2018. Nedbank placed third at -7.7%, recording a 1.9 percentage point decrease in net sentiment. Absa’s net sentiment improved by 8.4 points, moving it out of the lowest net sentiment position. At -16.2%, Standard Bank recorded the lowest net sentiment and the largest drop in sentiment between 2017 and 2018. Capitec, Nedbank and FNB showed increases in share of voice compared to 2017, rising by 7.4, 1.9 and 1.7 perecentage points respectively. Both Absa and Standard Bank conversation declined compared to their share of voice for 2017. Standard Bank’s share of voice declined by 8.6 percentage points, while Absa’s conversation dropped by 2.3 points. 9
SOUTH AFRICAN BANKING SENTIMENT INDEX 2018 2015 2016 2017 2018 40% 34.9% 32.6% 33.7% 29.5% 30% 27.8% 26.3% 24.0% 22.7% 19.2% 20% 18.4% 18.8% 18.4% 14.6% 14.0% 14.1% 13.7% 11.4% 11.8% 9.1% 10% 5.1% 0% Absa Capitec FNB Nedbank Standard Bank Share of voice (excluding posts by banks) There were three major volume spikes in conversation over the year in the banking industry. The first spike took place in November 2017, when consumers engaged with calls for graduate employment opportunities at FNB. The second spike in December was driven by FNB consumers complaining about unauthorised debit orders. Finally, in January 2018, the publication of the Viceroy report generated significant volumes of conversation. Viceroy conversation accounted for 21.6% of total Capitec conversation in January. Absa Capitec FNB Nedbank Standard Bank 80 000 72 791 60 000 56 954 56 967 40 000 20 000 0 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug 2017 2018 Monthly conversation volume (excluding posts by banks) 10
SOUTH AFRICAN BANKING SENTIMENT INDEX 2018 Topic analysis Topic analysis is made possible by the BrandsEye Crowd of human contributors who are able to enrich the sentiment data by surfacing the specific topics contained in sentiment-bearing posts. By identifying specific topics contained in conversation we are able to understand not just how people feel, but what specific issues are driving them to feel that way. Absa Capitec 11
SOUTH AFRICAN BANKING SENTIMENT INDEX 2018 FNB Nedbank Standard Bank 12
SOUTH AFRICAN BANKING SENTIMENT INDEX 2018 Primary conversation themes analysis In terms of primary conversation themes, ethics or reputation contributed the highest share of conversation for Absa, Capitec, FNB and Nedbank. While customer service was the second highest conversation theme overall, it comprised the largest topic for Standard Bank. Banking facilities and products were the third and fourth largest discussion points among consumers. Absa Capitec FNB Nedbank Standard Bank 80% 67.5% 55.9% 54.1% 53.1% 60% 50.1% 44.3% 43.0% 41.4% 41.1% 36.9% 34.9% 32.7% 31.9% 31.8% 40% 28.2% 27.6% 27.3% 24.5% 21.7% 21.2% 20.1% 15.1% 12.0% 20% 9.5% 9.1% 8.4% 8.8% 6.4% 5.8% 5.3% 0% Ethics or Customer Bank facilities Banking Pricing Staff or HR reputation service products Primary conversation themes as a percentage of the topic conversation The sentiment towards the major themes was overwhelmingly negative. Only Capitec and Nedbank had net positive sentiment for their conversation about pricing. Absa Capitec FNB Nedbank Standard Bank Industry average 50% 37.3% 31.2% 25% 0% -19.1% -8.9% -14.7% -16.6% -25% -22.1% -37.8% -37.9% -31.6% -35.3% -41.8% -50% -42.3% -54.4% -56.3% -44.6% -45.7% -45.7% -49.4% -54.3% -52.6% -54.8% -53.5% -67.4% -57.8% -58.6% -61.4% -63.1% -62.8% -75% -67.0% -69.0% -71.2% -75.2% -77.4% -77.1% -79.3% -100% Ethics or Customer Bank facilities Banking Pricing Staff or HR reputation service products Overall sentiment for major themes 13
SOUTH AFRICAN BANKING SENTIMENT INDEX 2018 Main positive and negative themes Capitec performed consistently higher than industry averages in terms of positive topics, with an average of 10.5 percentage points higher positive sentiment than the industry. Both Absa and Standard Bank’s positive theme conversation fell below the industry average, with -11.7% and -8.0% respectively. Overall, pricing was the most positive theme in 2018 across all banks, with Capitec generating the highest positive sentiment, followed by Nedbank. Ethics or reputation was also a secondary driver for positive sentiment with an industry average of 26.9%. Both FNB and Capitec’s positive sentiment around this theme were higher than the industry average. Banking products represent the third most positive theme, where FNB received the highest share of positive sentiment out of all the banks. Main positive themes INDUSTRY Absa Capitec FNB Nedbank Standard Bank Customer service 12.6% 7.0% 24.4% 9.4% 14.5% 7.5% Ethics or reputation 26.9% 13.8% 37.7% 43.2% 22.2% 17.7% Banking products 26.7% 11.3% 29.2% 39.6% 34.6% 18.8% Banking facilities 17.5% 9.6% 22.0% 28.9% 18.8% 8.1% Pricing 36.3% 9.7% 65.0% 23.7% 62.1% 20.9% Staff or HR 18.4% 16.9% 23.0% 14.7% 19.9% 17.4% INDUSTRY AVERAGE DIFFERENCE -11.7% +10.5% +3.5% +5.6% -8.0% Higher than industry average Lower than industry average Main negative themes INDUSTRY Absa Capitec FNB Nedbank Standard Bank Customer service 80.0% 84.4% 66.7% 84.6% 77.3% 86.8% Ethics or reputation 64.7% 76.9% 54.3% 52.1% 67.9% 72.5% Banking products 64.6% 78.3% 60.8% 54.3% 56.7% 73.1% Banking facilities 73.8% 80.8% 66.6% 64.2% 72.3% 85.2% Pricing 55.4% 78.7% 27.7% 69.4% 30.9% 70.3% Staff or HR 72.8% 74.7% 64.7% 76.0% 72.5% 76.0% INDUSTRY AVERAGE DIFFERENCE +10.4% -11.8% -1.8% -5.6% +8.8% Higher than industry average Lower than industry average Across the industry, customer service, banking facilities and staffing or HR were the most negative primary topics. In terms of overall performance, Capitec performed better than the industry average across major negative themes, followed by Nedbank and FNB. Both Absa and Standard Bank’s negative sentiment for these areas was worse than the industry average, suggesting greater consumer grievances with products and services for these banks. 14
SOUTH AFRICAN BANKING SENTIMENT INDEX 2018 Issues driving customer service complaints INDUSTRY Absa Capitec FNB Nedbank Standard Bank Turnaround time 44.8% 42.2% 36.7% 40.3% 52.8% 52.0% Billing or payments 41.4% 44.3% 42.8% 47.5% 38.7% 33.9% Accusations of unethical behaviour 26.6% 28.2% 27.0% 31.9% 26.2% 19.5% Fraud or scams 24.2% 29.1% 24.7% 31.3% 20.0% 15.9% Telephonic interactions 18.0% 19.1% 10.6% 17.2% 22.7% 20.4% Branches 19.8% 18.9% 19.9% 16.8% 24.9% 18.4% Refunds, returns or exchanges 14.7% 14.6% 17.3% 17.6% 13.9% 10.3% No response received 15.0% 13.7% 11.9% 13.1% 19.3% 16.8% Debit cards or other cards 9.6% 7.8% 7.7% 10.7% 11.6% 10.3% Alerts and notifications 9.3% 9.6% 9.9% 8.2% 8.9% 9.9% INDUSTRY AVERAGE DIFFERENCE +0.4% -1.5% +1.1% +1.5% -1.5% Higher than industry average Lower than industry average As customer service was the most negative theme overall, we investigated the issues raised when consumers made customer service complaints. The table above displays co-occurrence of other topics with customer service complaints to show drivers of this type of consumer grievance. On average across the industry, the complaints most commonly linked to customer service were turnaround time, billing or payments, accusations of unethical behaviour, as well as fraud or scams. Both Standard Bank and Nedbank were above the industry average in terms of customer service complaints that referenced turnaround times. This finding corresponds with the finding that the same banks had an above average volume of complaints about consumers not receiving a response. On the other hand, Absa, Capitec and FNB’s customer service grievances around billing or payments exceeded the industry average. FNB had the highest proportion of customer service complaints pertaining to billing or payments, a result largely driven by unauthorised debit orders during December 2017. 15
SOUTH AFRICAN BANKING SENTIMENT INDEX 2018 Digital index 40% Percentages in the 36.0% graph reflect the share 30% of conversation about digital themes within 20.7% topical conversation for 19.7% 20% 16.9% 15.5% each bank. 10% 0% Absa Capitec FNB Nedbank Standard Bank Digital themes comprised 24% of overall topic conversation Four digital themes were analysed over the reporting period, namely: (i) digital safety and security, (ii) online banking, (iii) banking apps and, (iv) business or technological innovation. These themes comprised 24.1% of topic conversation across all banks. FNB had the highest share of conversation around this theme with 36%, while Capitec’s conversation was the lowest at 15.5%. Online banking 13.4% App 29.0% Business innovation 40.2% Digital safety 17.4% Digital conversation across the industry was driven by innovation developments More than 40% of conversation within this digital theme focused on business or technological innovations. Discussions around banking apps followed at 29%, while only 13.4% of consumers spoke about online banking. This suggests that app experience and functionality is a higher priority for consumers. Digital safety comprised 17.4% of overall digital conversation. 17
SOUTH AFRICAN BANKING SENTIMENT INDEX 2018 Digital safety Business or Banking app Online banking or security technological innovation Absa Capitec FNB Nedbank Standard Bank Absa -84.6% 4.6% -69.2% Percentages -83.7% indicate Online banking 25% 11% 9% 12% 26% Capitec -45.2% -0.4% -30.6% conversation -29.0% volume App 26% 45% 23% 33% 37% FNB -79.6% 86.8% 9.1% -57.5% Business innovation 18% 15% 58% 37% 16% Nedbank -72.9% -48.2% -9.3% -65.3% Digital safety 31% 29% 10% 19% 21% Standard Bank -81.8% -25.5% -76.5% -84.3% INDUSTRY ConsumersAVERAGE spoke about -72.8% different digital themes across 3.5% banks -35.3% -64.0% Digital safety Business or Banking app Online banking or security technological innovation Percentages indicate Absa -84.6% 4.6% -69.2% -83.7% conversation sentiment Capitec -45.2% -0.4% -30.6% -29.0% FNB -79.6% 86.8% 9.1% -57.5% Nedbank -72.9% -48.2% -9.3% -65.3% Standard Bank -81.8% -25.5% -76.5% -84.3% INDUSTRY AVERAGE -72.8% 3.5% -35.3% -64.0% Consumers were most negative about digital safety When segmenting components of the digital index by bank, it was evident that different themes were more prominent than others for different banks. For Absa, the primary topic was digital safety at 31% of conversation. Capitec’s main digital theme was the banking app, comprising 45% of conversation. Business or technological innovation was FNB’s primary digital topic at 58% of conversation. Similarly, business or technological innovation comprised 37% of Nedbank’s conversation. Standard Bank’s digital conversation focused on the banking app (37%), followed by online banking (26%). Conversation about banking apps In 2018, making payments remained the primary conversation theme about banking apps, despite showing a slight decrease from 2017. Other functions, such as buying electricity, changing limits, sending cash and buying forex all saw increases. This suggests that consumers are increasingly engaging with more complex app functions that are not directly related to making or receiving payments. 18
SOUTH AFRICAN BANKING SENTIMENT INDEX 2018 2017 2018 Payments 52.0% Percentages indicate the 46.5% distribution of known 17.3% reasons and are not a Airtime 16.7% representation of the 10.7% Electricity overall contribution to 13.0% total conversation related 4.3% View balance to the App. 7.2% 4.6% Add beneficiaries 3.6% 1.0% Change limit 3.6% 1.9% Forex 3.2% 0.6% Cash send 2.6% 2.3% Lotto 2.3% 5.0% Redeeming vouchers 1.3% 0.3% Share trading 0.1% Categorisation of conversation about banking apps FNB takes the lead on digital themed conversation 60% The digital index to the 42.6% left is comprised of net 40% sentiment towards four topic areas regarding digital banking: digital 20% safety, banking app, online banking and business or 0% technological innovation. -20% Industry average -32.3% -34.2% -40% -44.8% -60% -64.0% -72.7% -80% Absa Capitec FNB Nedbank Standard Bank Overall FNB had the highest net sentiment for digital conversation themes. 19
SOUTH AFRICAN BANKING SENTIMENT INDEX 2018 Business innovation was the key theme driving positivity around FNB’s digital innovation. Several developments over 2018 bolstered positive consumer sentiment, including the announcement that customers could open an account with a selfie, the launch of eWallet Xtra, the integration of ATMs using biometric technology, FNB Connect services along with the launch of branded phones, ConeXis X2 and ConeXis A2. Positive sentiment was also driven by FNB winning the title of South Africa’s Best Digital Bank for 2017 in June 2018. Conversation around this development comprised over 80% of conversation within the business or technological innovation topic category. FNB clients won’t have to go to the bank anymore, even for the Hey @StandardBankZA why does your business online look like “stamped” account confirmation letter, they just introduced FNB Windows 95? Please check @FNBSA version and just steal it. Letter Generation functionality. Well done @FNBSA @Rbjacobs 5:58 AM - Nov 22, 2017 5:05 PM - Mar 19, 2018 35 25 people are talking about this 195 58 people are talking about this First National bank(FNB)as innovators of cell phone banking in Oh wow, I’m speechless ... SA and other banking digital platforms. They are the best bank No longer is taking a selfie an act of vanity! FNB makes your currently in SA especially for youth and businesses. Absa, time worthwhile, you can now use that selfie to open or switch Nedbank, Standard and Capitec have complicated digital your bank account. banking. Please ask FNB how it's done! Smile and #LoveFNB because this is #HelpfulInnovation 7:22 AM - Apr 13, 2018 pic.twitter.com/iaLTLsvICY See other Tweets 10:27 AM - May 16, 2018 371 115 people are talking about this Example tweets 20
SOUTH AFRICAN BANKING SENTIMENT INDEX 2018 Standard Bank’s online experience and banking app received the most complaints Why is it with @StandardBankZA app you can change your daily So app is down and cellphone banking too? @StandardBankZA limit but you cannot change/activate electronic account payment how is one supposed to live? option? I'm so frustrated right now to say the least 11:03 AM - Aug 19, 2018 · Centurion, South Africa 11:52 AM - Aug 21, 2018 · Pretoria, South Africa See other Tweets See other Tweets Example tweets 0 -50 -100 -150 -200 -250 -300 -350 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug 2017 2018 Weighted consumer sentiment towards Standard Bank’s online experience and banking app Standard Bank’s cumulative net sentiment for internet and app-based banking totaled -78.8%, well below the industry average of -43.1%. This suggests that online customer experience and services are not meeting consumer expectations. Digital banking downtime in late February and May further contributed to negative sentiment around Standard Bank’s online services and app. Nedbank’s advances cause consumer backlash Reports in March that Nedbank’s introduction of “software robots” would result in 3 000 job cuts at the bank was one of the primary drivers of negative sentiment for the bank over the year. Over 55% of conversation about Nedbank’s innovation focused on staff dismissals, with a -98% net sentiment around the issue. Furthermore, 31.2% of conversations where consumers expressed an intent to cancel with Nedbank also referenced business innovation, indicating that the development triggered a threat of customer churn. 21
SOUTH AFRICAN BANKING SENTIMENT INDEX 2018 Consumer backlash over the socio-economic consequences of technological and business innovation suggests that while there is consumer appetite for digital solutions, there is potential for significant resistance to any collateral impact on human or labour capital. Then its high time we close accounts with Nedbank. I will not Nedbank is in the process of replacing workers with Robots. support any entity that will replace a man with a Robot... Y'all have noted FNB's swift move to virtual banking. Pick'n Pay #JesoBuya is currently trialling a self service checkout machine to replace cashiers. The sooner the Land returns the better, with Land, Kgoshi Ya Lebowa @Marcellomj people can feed themselves Nedbank to fire 3000 workers and replace them with robots 7:07 AM - Mar 4, 2018 9:41 AM - Mar 5, 2018 172 189 people are talking about this 9 See other Tweets Example tweets Bank facil ities R rH ffo Sta g kin app Sta retr ban r) (othe store ch or Banking ff d enc s o en g kin ne . ATMs nt e r.. ism hm . ou tw r.. an pho Bran he ... cc s be eb iss ent to ot Cell er als s n a fer lin or h et ow ans On ds or Cu h ar w Tr tc sto ng bi di m i De ec Re D er fer a cq ral uii or siti per dis son su on al i Hand a.. . bou t nfo lin ga a rm g of kin g or nd Frau a t ion h in T cell toin rete d, c can ided orru Envir ptio dec cel ntion onm n... enta can l imp ... Comparin to brands g brands /industrie s Company financial... . outreach.. Billing or payme Charity or nts Ope ratin Que g ho uein urs ice Ref g und serv Tel s, r ep etu ho rns nic or.. mer int . Tu era ct.. sto rn . ar ou Cu nd tim e va ic r no og s o tio al in nol es n n ch si te Bu Ac ethic ur un havio Et cu be hi sat al cs an ion ep d r ut so at f io n The chord diagram shows co-occurrence of business and technological innovation and other topic themes for Nedbank. 22
SOUTH AFRICAN BANKING SENTIMENT INDEX 2018 Churn analysis Consumers frequently compare brands, products and services on social media; retail banks are no exception. This chart below illustrates each bank’s positive and negative comparative conversation (where consumers compared two or more banks). FNB had the highest positive sentiment when consumers compared them to other banks, followed by Capitec. On the other hand, Absa had the lowest positive sentiment in terms of comparisons, as well as the highest negative sentiment. 100% Negative percentages 78.6% for each brand pertain 58.4% to consumers negatively 50% comparing the brand to Favourably compared 21.0% 20.9% another bank. 17.6% 0% Positive percentages for each brand pertain to Unfavourably compared -17.4% consumers positively -31.7% -50% comparing the brand to another bank. -63.3% -61.6% -63.0% Neutral sentiment excluded -100% from analysis. Absa Capitec FNB Nedbank Standard Bank Examining consumer conversation that favourably and negatively compares banks to one another. 23
SOUTH AFRICAN BANKING SENTIMENT INDEX 2018 1 726 543 417 500 30 478 mentions negative potential churn Visualising the scale of potential churn conversation Overall, an estimated 417 500 consumers expressed negative sentiment towards banks in 2018. Approximately 7.3% of these consumers expressed intent to cancel, equating to 30 478 potential churn instances within the year. While this poses a retention risk to South African banks, it also represents a significant acquisition opportunity to major players and new entrants to the industry. 11.4% 10% 9.3% 7.6% Industry average 7.5% 5.2% 5% 4.2% Percentages reflect the contribution of intent to cancel to overall negative 0% topic conversation for Absa Capitec FNB Nedbank Standard Bank each bank. Standard Bank and Nedbank consumers threatened to leave more frequently Nedbank had the highest share of consumers expressing intent to cancel, 3.9 percentage points above the industry average. Standard Bank and FNB’s churn conversation followed in terms of share of topic conversation. Capitec’s share of consumers talking about cancelling was the lowest at 4.2%, 3.3 percentage points below the industry average. 24
SOUTH AFRICAN BANKING SENTIMENT INDEX 2018 40% 27.7% 20% 12.8% Average positive 6.2% 8.1% 5.8% 12.1% 0% -20% -40% -60% -57.7% Average negative -80% -77.8% -73.3% -82.1% -83.4% -88.8% -100% Negative mentions for Absa Capitec FNB Nedbank Standard Bank each brand denote consumers expressing Which bank did customers want to join or leave? intent to leave or cancel. The chart above illustrates how much of each bank’s churn-related conversation was Positive mentions for each brand denote consumers either negative (consumers expressing an intent to cancel) or positive (consumers expressing intent to sign expressing an intent to become a customer). up or join in relation to cancellation conversation. Standard Bank received the highest negative sentiment in terms of consumers expressing intent to cancel, followed by Nedbank and Absa. These banks were above Excludes neutral conversation. the 77.8% industry average for negative sentiment around this theme. Both Capitec and FNB were below the industry average negative sentiment and were also above the overall average positive sentiment. Positive churn sentiment refers to consumers talking about signing up with a bank while referring to an intent to cancel with another. 25
SOUTH AFRICAN BANKING SENTIMENT INDEX 2018 Analysing why customers leave or threaten to leave their banks Bank fac or HR ilities Staff The chord diagram shows the Alerts and notifica... Ban .. . ki.. Pri percentage of co-occurrence or retrenc . (other) or store Staff dism Staff t... r e Staff co between negative sentiment ing t cr oth com ank Va edi (no ds or hments Branch towards the topic ‘thinking about lui issals ne b pete Aff nduct ng Re er r ord car bit ca loy cancelling or has cancelled’ with fe se o eth pe Onli ncy rra ab al rs ha p h ds rc n u w r l on cu De ilit or other topic themes. pu sig ign Ha for al sto y di Cu in to ecid nd ma ss of ... Fr sto au lin tio ua D sc d, c m g n ... er am or s ( rup a m tio cq on n uis on et or ar ti itio y) uta n C to ompa rep and bra nd ring b s or s/in ra rete du nds str Ethic ies ntion Bus techn iness or olo inno gical vatio n Thinking about cancelling or decided to Accusations of cancel unethical behaviour e tim d oun ar rn Tu Bil lin or a ractio ic ttem ns inte lephon go pts No resp s or exchanges received rp Refunds, return ay Te me nts seon Cus tom er se rv ice Topics that co-occurred with consumers’ threats to cancel Turnaround time comprised the largest churn driver for the industry, with 30.3% of consumers expressing intent to cancel citing slow turnarounds as reasons to leave their bank. Accusations of unethical behavior was the second largest issue prompting consumers to express intent to cancel. Most issues pertained to consumers alleging that banks intentionally allowed unauthorised debit orders and fees to be deducted in order to secure reversal charges. This was closely linked to the third primary driver for churn: billing or payments. Incorrect billing and debit orders prompted consumers to threaten to leave their banks. 26
SOUTH AFRICAN BANKING SENTIMENT INDEX 2018 ABSA In keeping with the industry average, turnaround time was the primary issue co- occurring with consumers threatening to cancel with Absa (34.1%). This co-occurrence was nearly 4 percentage points higher than the industry average. Complaints around billing or payments were the second highest reason for consumers claiming that they intended to leave Absa (25.8%). While accusations of unethical behavior was the third most frequently cited reason for considering cancelling (20.4%), Absa was below the industry average (25.3%). In fact, this theme was the only area where Absa was below the industry’s average for intent to cancel. Absa branches were mentioned in 19.1% of conversation expressing intent to cancel, above the industry average of 16.3%. CAPITEC The three primary themes in conversation expressing an intent to cancel were turnaround times, accusations of unethical behaviour and billing or payments. However, there were only three areas where Capitec’s co-occurrences exceeded the industry average: billing or payments, fraud or scams, as well as branches. FNB The three primary themes in conversation indicating intent to cancel were turnaround times, accusations of unethical behaviour and billing or payments. Consumers expressed frustration with resolution time on issues around fraudulent or unauthorised debit orders, as well as overall responses to complaints. Consumers expressing intent to cancel due to ethical issues primarily cited unauthorised debit orders; 33% of this conversation included mentions of debits. Similarly, conversation about intending to cancel and billing or payments focused on debits. Consumers also cited telephonic interactions and fraud or scams as reasons for cancellation. 27
SOUTH AFRICAN BANKING SENTIMENT INDEX 2018 NEDBANK Compared to other banks, Nedbank’s churn conversation included relatively more consumer accusations of unethical behaviour. Key churn drivers were business or technological innovation (31.2%), as well as staff dismissals or retrenchments (29.7%). This conversation was almost exclusively driven by conversation around Nedbank’s plan to reduce the number of staff employed in exchange for automated software. This issue is analysed further in the digital index section of the report. Turnaround time was a secondary issue, with consumers complaining about cards in 14% of churn conversation citing delays with Nedbank’s card cancellations and collection procedures in particular. STANDARD BANK For Standard Bank, the three primary themes co-occurring with intent to cancel were turnaround times, billing or payments and accusations of unethical behaviour. At least 28% of conversation about cancelling and turnaround time included a reference to telephonic interactions, suggesting potential bottlenecks at the customer service call centre. Similar to other banks, billing or payments was a key issue in driving consumers to cancel. Accusations of unethical behaviour was the third most common reason for consumers threatening to leave. Poor customer service and billing issues were the primary allegations made against the bank. 28
SOUTH AFRICAN BANKING SENTIMENT INDEX 2018 INDUSTRY Absa Capitec FNB Nedbank* Standard Bank Turnaround time 30.3% 34.1% 24.2% 33.9% 25.4% 33.9% Accusations of unethical behavior 25.3% 20.4% 24.0% 23.8% 40.2% 18.3% Billing or payments 23.3% 25.8% 24.0% 27.5% 16.0% 23.4% Telephonic interactions 16.6% 18.5% 11.0% 20.8% 15.0% 17.6% Branches or stores 16.3% 19.1% 17.7% 11.2% 16.1% 17.5% Fraud or scams 14.3% 15.5% 20.5% 20.4% 3.9% 11.0% No response received 11.6% 14.0% 10.5% 12.2% 9.1% 12.1% Higher than industry average Lower than industry average Topics driving customer churn * Nedbank – business or tech innovation The table above shows the percentage of co-occurrence between negative sentiment co-occurred with churn conversation: 31.2% towards the topic ‘thinking about cancelling or has cancelled’ with other topic themes. Given that mentions can be assigned multiple topics, percentages do not equal 100%. JOINING LEAVING Absa Capitec FNB Nedbank Standard Bank Absa — 7.5% 14.5% 6.8% 3.1% Capitec 3.8% — 14.5% 4.7% 4.7% FNB 5.0% 9.7% — 5.2% 5.4% Nedbank 2.3% 4.2% 6.3% — 2.4% Standard Bank 3.3% 6.1% 19.0% 3.6% — Standard Bank conversation showed the largest number of consumers expressing intent to move to another bank. In terms of churn losses and gains, Standard Bank conversation showed the largest number of consumers expressing intent to move to another bank, with 32% of conversation expressing intent to cancel while referencing other banks. Meanwhile, FNB had the highest number of customers wanting to join, followed by Capitec. 29
SOUTH AFRICAN BANKING SENTIMENT INDEX 2018 Brand content performance VOLUME OTS ENGAGEMENT UNIQUE AUTHORS ENGAGEMENT / POST Primary brand accounts Absa 1 485 955 865 005 34 702 18 248 23.3 on Twitter, Facebook and Capitec 4 713 4 271 803 412 76 624 44 148 16.2 Instagram included in analysis. FNB 2 376 8 459 179 154 90 521 45 736 38.1 Nedbank 3 729 315 293 955 15 314 6 875 4.1 Volume for brand content Standard Bank 6 015 694 448 708 34 396 13 671 5.7 excludes enterprise reshares, replies and direct messages. Brand content performance Engagement score is limited to consumer engagement FNB received the highest consumer engagement on brand content, followed by Absa with brand content. and Capitec. Despite having the highest volume of brand content compared to its Automated brand posts to competitors, Standard Bank generated the second lowest level of average consumer individual consumers were engagement. excluded from this analysis. VERFIIED SAMPLE SIZE NEGATIVE POSITIVE Absa 9 179 -20.5% 15.6% Capitec 23 534 -10.2% 57.6% FNB 32 468 -9.4% 79.3% Nedbank 6 242 -10.9% 23.4% Standard Bank 12 078 -21.6% 12.8% Consumer responses to banks’ brand content When looking at sentiment on consumer reshares and replies to brand content, FNB generated the highest positivity, as well as the lowest negative sentiment. On the other hand, Standard Bank’s brand content generated the highest negative sentiment and lowest positive engagement from consumers. For both Standard Bank and Absa, consumers frequently used brand content posts as a platform to complain about other issues with the bank. 31
SOUTH AFRICAN BANKING SENTIMENT INDEX 2018 Conclusion South African banking consumers have a growing demand for innovation but, by and large, demand more from their banks. In total, around 417 500 consumers expressed negative sentiment towards banks on social media in 2018. An estimated 7.3% of these consumers expressed some intent to cancel, equating to more than 30 000 potential instances of churn. These figures represent a great opportunity for the new digitally-focused banks that are expected to launch at the end of 2018 and 2019. Unrestrained by legacy infrastructure and the siloed operations of incumbents, the new entrants will likely compete for market share with dependable, personalised and easy-to-use digital products and services. FNB’s leading performance on the digital index suggests that South African consumers have a growing appetite for these products and will respond well to the new entrants’ offerings. To compete with new entrants, the incumbents must continue to improve their digital products and crucially, must focus on meeting the basic needs of their customers. As we found in 2017, consumers expect continuous and reliable service from their banks. When they cannot access a particular service like a banking app, they quickly threaten to leave and find a new service provider. Capitec, who lead on overall net sentiment for a fourth consecutive year, is seemingly unmatched in fulfilling the basic banking needs of their clients. Unlike other banks whose marketing promises so often mismatch customer experience, Capitec has consistently delivered on the basic needs of their customers and have subsequently established the largest retail client base in the country. As new entrants look to aggressively compete for market share, incumbents should look to FNB and Capitec as examples of how to survive and excel in a banking landscape that is ripe for disruption. The demand is greater than ever for innovative, reliable banking services. Consumers are asking for it. This time next year, we will be able to assess if the banks are listening. 33
SOUTH AFRICAN BANKING SENTIMENT INDEX 2018 Appendix – individual bank performances Absa Weighted sentiment Industry average 2 000 Weighted net sentiment reflects the actual volumes 0 of total conversation. -2 000 -4 000 -6 000 -8 000 -10 000 -12 000 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug 2017 2018 Absa weighted net sentiment Negative sentiment spiked in June 2018 over an Absa tweet polling users about how they perceive ‘black tax’. The poll prompted consumers to accuse Absa of being complicit in maintaining racial inequality in South Africa, over-simplifying a complex issue, and of singling out black South Africans in the poll. Net sentiment dropped from -24.7% in May to -35.7% in June. Conversation about this incident comprised 15.5% of Absa’s volume for the month. 35
SOUTH AFRICAN BANKING SENTIMENT INDEX 2018 Black Tax is a result of you and many other companies being Replying to @Absa founded and funded by blood money from the apartheid It's not for them to ask, 1 and two the category trivialized and Government at the expense of the Black poor South African mocked the whole struggle. How do you put poverty and proud majority in the same sentence? The idea of black tax means blacks will never have financial liberation which means we will never cut Absa South Africa @AbsaSouthAfrica the cycle of poverty. #BlackTax is... 10:14 PM - Jun 12, 2018 7:43 PM - Jun 12, 2018 30 See other Tweets 2,627 2,208 people are talking about this Replying to @AbsaSouthAfrica @Absa Replying to @AbsaSouthAfrica and 2 others I love how they have the audacity to throw the concept of ‘Black I think Black tax is the Amount Absa adds on loan premiums and Tax’ around when their history was complicit in its very own bank chagers of Black customers. creation. pic.twitter.com/aCyoCPNQaD 8:07 PM - Jun 12, 2018 6:40 PM - Jun 12, 2018 26 See other Tweets 85 54 people are talking about this Example tweets The July 2018 spike in volume was associated with the Absa rebrand. Although the rebrand generated 35.4% positive sentiment, it also contributed 35.1% negative sentiment. The rebrand campaign was impacted by consumer complaints about poor design and failure to resolve operational issues with the bank. As such, the campaign had mixed sentiment overall. Furthermore, the majority of positive sentiment comprised retweets of Absa’s Twitter content. Capitec Weighted sentiment Industry average 15 000 Weighted net sentiment reflects the actual 10 000 volumes of total brand conversation excluding 5 000 enterprise. 0 -5 000 - 10 000 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug 2017 2018 Capitec weighted net sentiment 36
SOUTH AFRICAN BANKING SENTIMENT INDEX 2018 15 725 4 162 1 593 January February March Viceroy conversation volume The November 2017 increase in conversation and positive sentiment was driven in part by engagement with press sources citing BrandsEye’s 2017 Banking Sentiment Index. Other positive engagement was triggered by consumer appreciation of Capitec communication about responsible consumerism on Black Friday. Negative Positive 100% 75% 50% 25% 0% 29 Jan 5 Feb 12 Feb 19 Feb 26 Feb 5 Mar 12 Mar 19 Mar 26 Mar 2018 Viceroy report triggers mixed sentiment for Capitec The Viceroy report was published on 29 January, describing Capitec as a predatory lender and calling for the bank to be placed under curatorship. Capitec’s share price dropped in the immediate aftermath of the report’s publication. Initial furore around the release of the Viceroy report dissipated quickly. While a significant proportion of sentiment around the release of the report was negative towards Capitec (41.1%), 13.4% of consumers either expressed support for Capitec, or questioned the report’s findings. Capitec quickly responded to the report, denying the allegations. Reports and statements from the South African Treasury through February asserted that Viceroy’s findings are speculative. Consumer conversation turned towards allegations that Viceroy was attempting to undermine the bank’s share price. 37
SOUTH AFRICAN BANKING SENTIMENT INDEX 2018 In early March, Viceroy submitted names and alleged evidence of Capitec’s questionable loan practices to Parliament’s Standing Committee on Finance. Negative sentiment increased with this development. In late March, Capitec’s CEO, Gerrie Fourie, announced an 18% increase in headline earnings as a result of client growth and fee income. This further drove positive sentiment around Capitec’s performance. Viceroy Research is telling us that Capitec is a loan shark; but White people are quick to defend Capitec by questioning for real now, which bank is not? All banks dig their claws deep Viceroy's identify & credibility. When Gupta emails were leaked into the backs of working class people, whilst denying them of no one cared about the authenticity or who leaked them. All the ultimate ability to own any property. Mxm The solution is a Whites believed they were true, but because Capitec is White State Bank, period! Viceroy's identity is questioned 12:28 PM - Jan 30, 2018 9:31 PM - Jan 30, 2018 2,017 1,096 people are talking about this 162 179 people are talking about this Example tweets Over May and June, conversation and increased positive engagement was associated with Capitec reaching 10 million clients. Capitec’s 10 million client mosaic was a popular campaign. This dovetailed with the release of the Publisher Audience Measurement Survey, which found that Capitec had the largest client base. FNB Weighted sentiment Industry average 20 000 Weighted net sentiment reflects the actual 10 000 volumes of total brand conversation excluding 0 enterprise. -10 000 -20 000 -30 000 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug 2017 2018 FNB weighted net sentiment 38
SOUTH AFRICAN BANKING SENTIMENT INDEX 2018 Absa Capitec FNB Nedbank Standard Bank 4 500 4 146 4 000 3 500 3 000 2 500 2 000 1 500 1 000 500 0 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug 2017 2018 Monthly volume of conversation about unauthorised debit orders 60% 55.3% 40% 20% 14.2% 12.1% 8.7% 9.7% 0% Absa Capitec FNB Nedbank Standard Bank Percentage share of all unauthorised debit order converstion FNB had the largest share of consumer complaints about unauthorised debit orders (55.3%) over 2018. An apparent FNB system problem on 1 December 2017 prompted a significant increase in complaints, with clients alleging that the bank intentionally carried out the debits. 7.3% of conversation in December pertained to the issue, compared to an average of 1.2% among FNB’s competitors. Sentiment improved in February after FNB agreed to drop the fee to cancel unauthorised debit orders, as well as offering biometric services for passports and ID cards. Consumers also shared news from UK publication, The Banker that FNB surpassed Standard Bank in ranking of the most valued banking brand in South Africa. 39
SOUTH AFRICAN BANKING SENTIMENT INDEX 2018 On 25 March FNB users took to social media to complain about limited access to online services. Consumers also complained about bank charges, with complaints of hidden costs increasing after the announcement of the VAT increase. The launch of the eWallet Xtra drove positive engagement in April. The June increase in sentiment was linked to FNB being named the best digital bank in South Africa. Nedbank Weighted sentiment Industry average 2 000 Weighted net sentiment 1 000 reflects the actual volumes of total brand conversation 0 excluding enterprise. -1 000 Decline in sentiment in March 2018 is explored in -2 000 the digital index section of -3 000 this report. -4 000 -5 000 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug 2017 2018 Nedbank weighted net sentiment The November 2017 spike in negative sentiment pertains to the publication of a report by the Organised Crime and Corruption Reporting Project which alleged that Nedbank participated in transactions in partnership with Gupta-linked companies (Regiments and Trillian) to extract money from Transnet, a state-owned enterprise. The sentiment recovery in January 2018 was caused by 0% positive engagement with the “Unlocked.me” campaign and the prizes that included a R50 000 student bursary. -5% In March consumers responded negatively to reports that -10% Nedbank’s software upgrades would allow it to decrease its employee pool by 3 000. -15% -15.6% 7.2% of Nedbank’s overall conversation in August pertained -20% to the racist video made by Adam Catzavelos. Consumers -20.6% alleged that Nedbank had promoted Catzavelos on its -25% business accelerator programme. Net sentiment Net sentiment excluding Catzavelos 40
SOUTH AFRICAN BANKING SENTIMENT INDEX 2018 The incident comprised 20.4% of negative conversation over the month, with a number of consumers threatening to close their Nedbank accounts if the bank did not sever all ties with Catzavelos. The backlash decreased Nedbank’s net sentiment for August by -5%. The event surpassed negative conversation around Nedbank’s response to land expropriation, which in comparison only contributed 5.4% towards negative volume for the month. Standard Bank Weighted sentiment Industry average 2 000 Weighted net sentiment reflects the actual volumes 1 000 of total brand conversation 0 excluding enterprise. -1 000 Decline in sentiment in March is explored in the digital index -2 000 section of this report. -3 000 -4 000 -5 000 -6 000 -7 000 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug 2017 2018 Standard Bank weighted net sentiment The November 2017 spike in positive sentiment (19.8%) was sparked by the news that Standard Bank was partnering with Cassper Nyovest to hold a concert at the FNB Stadium in Nasrec, Soweto. Consumers expressed positivity around the fact that the partnership was comprehensive, including financial sponsorship and marketing support for the event. In February and March 2018 negative conversation increased over issues with Standard Bank’s app and online systems being down. This is covered in greater depth in the digital index section. Positive consumer engagement increased in April 2018 linked to the finale of Your Next Million, a Standard Bank sponsored television game show. 41
SOUTH AFRICAN BANKING SENTIMENT INDEX 2018 In May 2018, negative sentiment was associated in part with a former Standard Bank employee sharing her negative experience of working at the bank. The thread included other alleged past employees commiserating with her and echoing her sentiments about the “toxic” workplace environment. The conversation included allegations of racism, a general lack of sensitivity towards mental health problems, as well as failure to address employee concerns around stress management. Furthermore, consumers also engaged negatively with news that Standard Bank’s CEO Sim Tshabalala earned R48.5 million in 2017. Other complaints pertained to customer service issues, technical issues with the app, as well as claims of unauthorised debit orders. 42
About BrandsEye BrandsEye is the world’s leading opinion mining company. We use using a proprietary mix of search algorithms, AI and crowd-sourcing to mine and structure online conversation for sentiment. BrandsEye’s Crowd of human contributors enrich the sentiment data by surfacing the specific topics driving sentiment. BrandsEye provides this data to organisations around the world to help them make customer-centred operational and strategic improvements. AUTHORS Data analysis: Lara Sierra-Rubia, Lara Basson Editorial team: Nic Ray, Julian Kesler, Patrick Gordon Design: Michael Mee
The Opinion Mining Company Cape Town +27 21 467 5960 Dubai +971 4 372 1352 Johannesburg +27 11 017 4250 London +44 56 0386 4907 www.brandseye.com
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