Singapore | 28 April 2021 Indonesia-China Vaccine Cooperation and South China Sea Diplomacy Ardhitya Eduard Yeremia and Klaus Heinrich Raditio
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ISSUE: 2021 No. 55 ISSN 2335-6677 RESEARCHERS AT ISEAS – YUSOF ISHAK INSTITUTE ANALYSE CURRENT EVENTS Singapore | 28 April 2021 Indonesia-China Vaccine Cooperation and South China Sea Diplomacy Ardhitya Eduard Yeremia and Klaus Heinrich Raditio* In ASEAN, Indonesia conducts the most comprehensive vaccine cooperation with China - from clinical trials to supply to production of the Covid-19 vaccine. In this picture, a man reacts while receiving the Sinovac Covid-19 coronavirus vaccine in Banda Aceh on April 20, 2021. Photo: Chaideer Mahyuddin, AFP. * Ardhitya Eduard Yeremia is a lecturer at the Department of International Relations, Universitas Indonesia. Klaus Heinrich Raditio is an independent researcher and the author of Understanding China’s Behaviour in the South China Sea: A Defensive Realist Perspective (Palgrave Macmillan, 2018). 1
ISSUE: 2021 No. 55 ISSN 2335-6677 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY • Indonesia is among the Southeast Asian nations most heavily stricken by the Covid-19 pandemic. It is also the ASEAN country that conducts the most comprehensive vaccine cooperation with China — from clinical trials to supply to production. • Indonesia has nevertheless tried to diversify its vaccine supply and avoid over-reliance on Chinese vaccine. Around one-third of Indonesia's vaccine procurement is from China. • Other ASEAN countries have also been diversifying their vaccine supply, and on the whole, China is not dominating the vaccine market despite its robust vaccine diplomacy in the region. • Unsurprisingly, China’s vaccine diplomacy in Southeast Asia carries an expectation that the vaccine recipient countries should be more accommodating on the South China Sea (SCS) issue. However, Indonesia has demonstrated its resolve to stand firm on ASEAN’s position on the South China Sea, notwithstanding its close cooperation with China on the Covid-19 vaccine. 2
ISSUE: 2021 No. 55 ISSN 2335-6677 INTRODUCTION Entering into June 2020, three months after announcing its first two Covid-19 cases, Indonesia saw a continuous rise in the number of confirmed cases despite efforts to limit social and economic activities as well as citizen movement in many major cities. The country's economy was also heading to its sharpest downturn since the 1997/8 Asian Financial Crisis, and had contracted 5.32 per cent in the second quarter of 2020.1 Months after the outbreak, Indonesia explored vaccine cooperation with China, South Korea, UAE and the UK.2 In October 2020, China started to offer vaccine assistance to Southeast Asian countries, with Foreign Minister Wang Yi conducting vaccine diplomacy by touring Southeast Asia in October 2020 and January 2021. This made Beijing’s assistance in the region – in terms of coping with the pandemic – unrivalled by any other power. In July 2020, Xiao Yaqing, the head of the Bureau of Market Supervision and Control, during his visit to Sinopharm, urged researchers to consider the development of a Covid-19 vaccine as “an important political task”.3 On 13 January 2021 after marathon diplomatic efforts and bureaucratic talks between Jakarta and Beijing, President Joko Widodo became the first Indonesian to receive a dose of Sinovac Biotech’s CoronaVac. He officially kicked off the vaccine rollout in the country by receiving the jab himself, becoming the first non-Chinese leader to be inoculated with the Chinese vaccine. The country plans to inoculate more than 180 million of its 260 million population, in order to reach herd immunity. The president stressed that vaccinations were essential in order to end coronavirus transmissions, and to get the country's economy back on track. In this regard, some scholars4 suggest that Sino-Indonesian vaccine cooperation may affect Jakarta’s SCS stance.5 This paper analyses the degree of Indonesian dependency on Chinese vaccine and Jakarta’s diplomacy in the SCS. Given the close vaccine cooperation with Beijing, will Jakarta compromise its commitment to a peaceful and stable SCS in accordance with international law? SINO-INDONESIAN VACCINE COOPERATION To cope with the pandemic, Indonesian MoFA, in collaboration with the Ministry of State- Owned Enterprises and the Ministry of Health, intensified its vaccine hunting, exploring many possibilities of conducting cooperation with foreign companies or international consortiums to ensure its access to Covid-19 vaccines. Chinese vaccine developers were among the first to give favourable responses for establishing vaccine procurement and joint production with Indonesia.6 Collaboration between a Chinese firm, Sinovac Biotech Ltd., and an Indonesian state-owned company, PT Bio Farma, has made substantial progress and created meaningful outputs.7 It is the only deal between the Indonesian government and foreign vaccine manufacturers that has gone beyond vaccine procurement. In Beijing, the Indonesian embassy had sought to establish contact with Sinovac since March 2020.8 Three months after that, Sinovac agreed to cooperate with Bio Farma in conducting clinical trials as well as vaccine manufacturing. In August 2020, a phase-three clinical trial for Sinovac’s vaccine, “CoronaVac," was conducted in Bandung, involving 1,620 volunteers.9 Bio Farma then secured priority access to around 40 million doses of bulk vaccine from Sinovac, to be sent before March 2021.10 Indonesia’s initial purchase of 3
ISSUE: 2021 No. 55 ISSN 2335-6677 Covid-19 vaccines from Sinovac was at that time the largest order received by a Chinese vaccine developer. 11 Bio Farma has license to produce CoronaVac and has even been designated a production hub for the region.12 In March 2021, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi affirmed China’s readiness to “helping Indonesia to become a hub of vaccine production for Southeast Asia.”13 Several factors have paved the way for this close collaboration between Bio Farma and Sinovac.14 As stated by Djauhari Oratmangun, the Indonesian Ambassador to China, the two companies “had long been in partnership” with each other. Bio Farma is also no stranger to the process of weakening or inactivating the virus to create a vaccine. Sinovac offered its vaccine at a reasonable price. In the negotiation, the Indonesian government had reportedly asked the Chinese company to ensure the transfer of technology and to guarantee that the vaccine would meet Indonesian halal standards. Moreover, Bio Farma would carry out the vaccine’s mass production.15 On 6 December 2020, 1.2 million doses of the Covid-19 vaccine manufactured by Sinovac landed in Jakarta. The timing could not have been more perfect; the country was entering the ninth month of the pandemic, and its daily reported positive cases had soared beyond 4,000 since the end of September. 16 Making a public statement, President Jokowi said, “Alhamdulillah, the vaccine is available, which means that we can immediately prevent the spread of the Covid-19 outbreak.”17 Kompas, a leading national newspaper, further praised what the president portrayed as "kabar baik."18 (good news) as a “victory of [Indonesia’s] diplomacy”. Indonesia had started to receive the vaccines while “100 other countries have not yet secured access to vaccines.”19 This development enabled Jokowi's government to take more concrete actions in commencing massive vaccination. Indonesia became the first country besides China to issue emergency use authorisation of Sinovac’s vaccine.20 On 11 January 2021, the BPOM approved the emergency use of Sinovac’s vaccine, since the interim results of the vaccine’s phase-three clinical trials in Bandung showed an efficacy rate of 65.3 – way above the standard required by the World Health Organization.21 Accordingly, the Majelis Ulama Indonesia (Indonesian Ulema Council, MUI) issued a fatwa reaffirming the vaccine’s halal status, which had been declared four days earlier.22 On 13 January 2021, the Indonesian government further proceeded by conducting the inaugural Covid-19 mass vaccinations.23 As seen from its Covid-19 and economic statistics, Indonesia is in an urgent situation. President Jokowi had endeavoured to expedite the mass vaccination programme since its economy continued to suffer from the pandemic. 24 The Chinese commitment to provide Indonesians with one hundred million doses of Covid-19 vaccines enabled the latter to initiate nationwide vaccination at a relatively early time. This was of great since the spread of infections was in its worst period at the beginning of 2021. On the day the President got inoculated, Indonesia reported new daily Covid-19 records with more than 11,000 new cases, 50,000 infections in the last five consecutive days, and more than 300 deaths.25 In that context, the country’s business community enthusiastically welcomed the rollout's commencement.26 On 2 March 2021, Indonesia still ranked first, third, and fifteenth in Southeast Asia, Asia, and the World respectively, where Covid-19 infections were concerned. 27 The government authorities also announced that it had just detected the first two Covid-19 B117 variant cases in the country.28 4
ISSUE: 2021 No. 55 ISSN 2335-6677 On the other hand, the mass vaccination programme continued to make progress, albeit slowly. Thanks to the continuous supply of Sinovac’s vaccine (Table 1), the country had seen most of its medical workers inoculated and vaccination had started for its senior citizens, merchants at public markets, clerics, teachers, journalists, athletes, public servants, government officials, military personnel and policemen.29 The vaccination programme was however progressing at a slow pace. After around seven weeks, only around 1 per cent of the population had received their first vaccine shot.30 For the government, nevertheless, even at such a pace, the vaccination programme was regarded to be of “no mean achievement” (capaian yang baik), especially when many other countries were still struggling to ensure access to vaccines. 31 The government’s spokesperson for Covid-19 vaccination, Reisa Broto Asmoro, conveyed: “We are grateful that Indonesia is among the group of nations that have commenced [the vaccination programme].”32 Table 1. The Arrival of Covid-19 Vaccines in Indonesia (as of March 2021) Stages Dates Sources/Manufacturers Number of Doses (in million) I 6 December 2020 Sinovac 1.2 II 31 December 2020 Sinovac 1.8 III 12 January 2021 Sinovac 15.033 IV 2 February 2021 Sinovac 10.034 V 2 March 2021 Sinovac 10.035 VI 8 March 2021 AstraZeneca 1.1 (GAVI-COVAX) (Source: https://health.detik.com/berita-detikhealth/d-5492750/total-ada-40-juta-stok-vaksin- di-ri-berapa-sih-yang-sudah-disuntikkan) Based on the timing and the vaccine’s purchase volume, Indonesia’s vaccination programme has been labelled “the first large-scale use outside of China of the Sinovac Biotech Ltd. vaccine.”36 This leads to a portrayal of the country as being heavily reliant on China in coping with the pandemic, thereby putting its independence at risk.37 However, data shows that Jakarta has tried to diversify its Covid-19 vaccine sources (Table 2). Sinovac’s vaccines comprise about 38 per cent of the Indonesian government's total firm orders of 329.5 million doses of vaccines. Moreover, the sum of firm orders and optional supplies from all secured sources (excluding those of Sinovac) amounts to 438 million (66% of the total). It would appear that the country is still far from being in danger of being dependent on China. 5
ISSUE: 2021 No. 55 ISSN 2335-6677 Table 2. Covid-19 Vaccine Sources for Indonesia’s Mass Vaccination Programme38 No. Manufacturers/Sources of Number of Doses Vaccines Firm Order Percentage Optional Supply Percentage (in million) (in million) 1 Sinovac 125.5 38.0 100 29.9 2 Novavax 50 15.2 80 23.9 3 GAVI-COVAX 54 15.2 54 15.0 4 AstraZeneca 50 15.2 50 15.0 5 Pfizer 50 16.4 50 16.2 Total 329.5 100.0 334 100.0 Grand Total (firm order+ optional 663.5 supply) (Source: Indonesia’s Ministry of Health, 29 December 2020, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=23DK7Z5vSJA&t=207s) Moreover, from the perspective of the Indonesian government, procuring vaccines from China and other external sources is merely a short-term strategy to curb the pandemic. In the long run, as the Minister of Research and Technology, Bambang Brodjonegoro said, “[Indonesia] still has to have the capability of developing a vaccine domestically.” In September 2020, the Indonesian government established Konsorsium Vaksin Nasional (National Vaccine Consortium), mobilising resources from the Eijkman Institute for Molecular Biology, Indonesian Institute of Sciences (LIPI), the Universitas Indonesia (UI), the Bandung Institute of Technology (ITB), Airlangga University, and Udayana University.39 At the time of writing, the Eijkman Institute, which has been developing a Covid-19 vaccine since April 2020, is the frontrunner in homegrown vaccine development. On 16 March 2021, the head of the institute stated that the vaccine seed would be handed over to Bio Farma at the end of the month, so that the company could start pre-clinical trials as early as April 2021 and the first-phase clinical trial two months later.40 It is predicted that Bio Farma will start producing the vaccine no earlier than mid-2022.41 The Indonesian government has allocated the use of the homegrown vaccine to the final stage of the mass vaccination programme, ensuring that the whole population will be vaccinated. In addition, the homegrown vaccine has been designated for use in the revaccination programme to boost the immune response of particular sections of the population.42 This strategy aims to stop Indonesia from being completely reliant on imported vaccines, including the ones from Chinese manufacturers, in dealing with the pandemic in the long term. ASEAN STATES’ STRATEGY TO AVOID OVERRELIANCE ON CHINA Indonesia is not the only country in the region trying to avoid overreliance on China's vaccine. ASEAN countries are attempting to diversify the sources of vaccine supply. The table below 6
ISSUE: 2021 No. 55 ISSN 2335-6677 demonstrates that the Chinese vaccine is not the only source of supply for any Southeast Asian country. Table 3. ASEAN Countries’ Source of Vaccine Supply Country The vaccine as Status dealt/promised The Philippines 50 m Novavax and Moderna Finalised deals44 30 m India’s Covavax Secured45 20 m AstraZeneca 487,200 arrived on 4 Mar46 40 m COVAX Expected47 25 m Sinovac43 Donated 600K arrived 1 Mar48 Myanmar 1.5 m India’s AstraZeneca Donated – arrived on 22 Jan49 30 m Covishield/AstraZeneca Purchased from India50 300K Chinese vaccine Promised by Wang Yi51 Thailand 200K AstraZeneca52 117,600 arrived (24 Feb)55 26 m (joint production of Planned AstraZeneca-Siam Bioscience)53 2 m Sinovac54 200K arrived (24 February)56 Cambodia 1m Sinopharm57 Donated 600K, arrived (7 Feb)58 US$ 28 m grant for WHO- Promised59 approved vaccine from Australia Indian’s AstraZeneca under 324K Arrived (2 March)60 COVAX Laos 300K Sinopharm Donated – arrived (8 Feb)62 2 m Sputnik V61 First batch (unspecified) arrived (21 Jan)63 Vietnam 30 m British AstraZeneca64 117,600 arrived (24 Feb)65 60 m COVAX Promised66 Brunei Sinopharm Donated (unspecified) arrived (9 Feb)67 British AstraZeneca Secured (to inoculate 20% of population)68 COVAX Secured (to inoculate 15% of population)69 Malaysia 6.4 m AstraZeneca Purchased71 25 m Pfizer-BioNTech70 300K arrived (21 Feb)72 Sinopharm First batch (unspecified) arrived 27 Feb Singapore Moderna and Pfizer- First dose inoculated to 250K (11 BioNTech73 Feb)74 * From various sources as indicated in footnotes Besides avoiding dependency on China, another drive for diversification is the relatively low effectiveness of the Chinese vaccine (50.4% for Sinovac, 79% for Sinopharm and 66% for CanSino).75 While rich countries hoarded more reliable vaccines like that of Pfizer-BioNTech (95%), Moderna (95%), Novavax (89%) and AstraZeneca (62%-90%), China’s market is more 7
ISSUE: 2021 No. 55 ISSN 2335-6677 focused towards developing countries. Nevertheless, India and Russia vaccine manufacturers are also aiming for developing country-markets. JAKARTA’S SCS DIPLOMACY AMID THE PANDEMIC ASEAN states’ diversification of vaccine supply demonstrates their reluctance to be too dependent on the Chinese vaccine, for fear of overreliance. A deadlock at the ASEAN Foreign Minister Meetings in 2012 and 2016, for instance, should not recur. In those stalemates, Cambodia did China a favour by opposing any reference to the SCS in the agreement.76 The fact that the Chinese vaccine does not dominate the vaccine supply in Southeast Asian countries so far, to some extent, reduces the danger of discord among ASEAN states and enables Indonesia to lead ASEAN on the SCS issue. Obviously, there is a link between the vaccine and the SCS issue. During the State of the Nation Address given on July 2020, Philippine President Duterte pleaded for the Covid-19 vaccine from Beijing. He suggested not confronting China in the SCS and decided to refuse a reestablishment of the US military base.77 During Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi’s visit in January 2021 to the Philippines, China donated 600,000 vaccines and asked Manila to show “friendly exchanges in public, like control your megaphone diplomacy a little” on the SCS issue, according to a diplomatic source.78 In addition, Vietnam is uncomfortable with the idea that it has to depend on Chinese vaccine. Therefore, the country developed its homegrown Nano Covax vaccine for “national security purposes”, to shut China out amid the territorial dispute in the SCS.79 The SCS is an issue in which China is in a disadvantageous position legally and diplomatically. The area has already become a field of great power rivalry. In anticipation of the talks on the Code of Conduct (CoC) in the SCS, China will need cooperation from ASEAN states. On the other hand, ASEAN wants to maintain peace and stability in the SCS. Indonesia is a central figure for this purpose. The country has been hosting a workshop on Managing Potential Conflict in the SCS since 1990s. In September 2012, Indonesia came up with Zero Draft to advance the CoC talk.80 Vaccine cooperation must not muzzle the country from urging China to behave lawfully in the SCS. In 2020, when Indonesia was intensively discussing vaccine cooperation with China, Jakarta sent two diplomatic notes to the UN Secretary-General (26 May and 12 June) rejecting China’s SCS claim, quoting the 2016 Tribunal Award.81 For Jakarta, the 2016 Tribunal Award and the 1982 UNCLOS are inseparable and prerequisites for peace and stability in the SCS. Following the incident with Chinese fishing vessels violating Indonesia’s EEZ in the Natuna waters in January 2020, the Indonesian Foreign Ministry issued a statement against China’s SCS claim by invoking the 2016 Tribunal Award. This was the first time that a third party had done so.82 The 2016 Tribunal Award which invalidates China’s nine-dash line is confirmation that China’s maritime rights claim and activities in the Natuna waters are unlawful. Hence, Jakarta resolutely rejected Beijing’s offer for a ‘negotiation’, on June 2020 since there were no overlapping claims.83 In early July 2020, China held a military drill near the Paracel Islands which are claimed by both Beijing and Hanoi, while Washington deployed two aircraft carriers USS Nimitz and USS Ronald Reagan to “support a free and open Indo-Pacific”. 84 Responding to the increasing 8
ISSUE: 2021 No. 55 ISSN 2335-6677 tension in the SCS, Foreign Minister Retno Marsudi held a virtual bilateral meeting with her Chinese counterpart on 30 July. At the event, Indonesia urged China to comply with the 1982 UNCLOS in settling disputes.85 The following month, at the 53rd anniversary of the establishment of ASEAN (8 August), Indonesia initiated the ASEAN Foreign Ministers’ Joint Statement to Maintain Peace that decried “the changing geo-political dynamics” that may have “detrimental ramifications for the region” 86 . Furthermore, ASEAN Foreign Ministers also urged all parties to “resolve differences and disputes by peaceful means in accordance with international law”.87 On 13 January 2021, the day President Jokowi got his first shot of the Sinovac vaccine, Foreign Minister Retno Marsudi met up with the visiting Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi in Jakarta. Retno urged China to respect the 1982 UNCLOS and maintain stability in the SCS.88 She conveyed her message on behalf of ASEAN and stressed Indonesia’s commitment to ASEAN centrality in a stable, peaceful, and prosperous Indo-Pacific.89 Indonesia has been marshalling its ASEAN counterparts in a low profile manner to advance the progress of CoC negotiations – which is scheduled to reach a conclusion in 2021.90 Indonesia is the most fitting actor to perform the role since it is the largest Southeast Asian state, a natural leader of ASEAN, a SCS littoral state, and not a SCS claimant. On the margins of the 13th National People’s Congress held on 7 March 2021, Wang Yi expressed his commitment to a peaceful and stable SCS. He iterated that China would cooperate in formulating the CoC to “build consensus, enhance mutual trust, advance cooperation and maintain overall stability in the SCS”.91 However, this commitment may not be sufficient for the region. Maintaining peace and stability in the SCS may need to find concrete form in a UNCLOS-based CoC. The boldness to urge China to respect the 1982 UNCLOS in dealing with the SCS issue is a litmus test for Indonesia and the region’s independence. Friendly and mutually beneficial cooperation with China needs to be conducted without compromising regional peace and stability in accordance with the law. CONCLUSION Some scholars suggest that Sino-Indonesian vaccine cooperation may raise Jakarta’s dependency on Beijing and eventually lead to Jakarta compromising on its SCS stance. While this paper argues that there is a link between China’s vaccine diplomacy and the SCS issue, vaccine cooperation does not in any way soften Jakarta’s SCS stance. Sino-Indonesia vaccine cooperation is indeed asymmetrical, but it has not been entirely in favour of the former. Thanks to its early and large vaccine supply deal with Sinovac, Indonesia has been among the first countries to start a mass inoculation programme. It should also be noted that Jokowi’s government has so far maintained the commitment to diversify sources for Covid-19 vaccines, procuring a hundred million doses of vaccines from various non-Chinese manufacturers. In addition, the government has ensured the development of homegrown vaccines. This further suggests that Indonesia has been attempting to manage the potential risks which have emerged from its asymmetrical vaccine cooperation with China. In preventing itself from being heavily reliant on Beijing, Indonesia has so far refrained from putting its independence at risk in managing its overall bilateral relations with China. This fact enables Jakarta to maintain its long-standing stance in the SCS. Indonesia resolutely maintains its pro-UNCLOS stance, and furthermore invoked the 2016 Tribunal Award that 9
ISSUE: 2021 No. 55 ISSN 2335-6677 invalidates China’s SCS stance in its two diplomatic notes to the UN Secretary General in 2020 – the first third party from ASEAN to do so. The tendency to avoid overreliance on Beijing is prevalent among ASEAN states. These countries attempt to diversify their vaccine sources. Interestingly, Vietnam is developing its homegrown vaccine for ‘national security purposes’. This fact may pave the way for Jakarta’s consolidation of ASEAN on the SCS issue. Amid the pandemic, Indonesia has been playing a leadership role in urging China to comply with the 1982 UNCLOS. This role is most fitting for Indonesia since it is the ASEAN central figure, the largest ASEAN nation, a SCS littoral state and a non-claimant state. In the upcoming CoC talk, Indonesia must continue to solidify ASEAN’s position in formulating a UNCLOS-based CoC in the SCS. 1 Adrian Wail Akhlas, “Indonesia’s GDP contracts deeper than expected at 5.32% in Q2,” The Jakarta Post, 5 August 2020, https://www.thejakartapost.com/news/2020/08/05/indonesias-gdp- contracts-deeper-than-expected-at-5-32-in-q2.html. 2 Kiki Siregar, “Indonesia foreign minister says vaccine cooperation with China won’t influence Jakarta’s position on South China Sea”, Channel News Asia, 7 October 2020, https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/asia/indonesia-natuna-south-china-sea-covid-19-vaccine- retno-marsudi-13212760 3 “肖亚庆调研新冠疫苗研发工作情况” (Xiao Yaqing inspects the recent progress of the new vaccine research and development), National Medical Product Administration, 24 July 2020, https://www.nmpa.gov.cn/yaowen/shchjgyw/20200724210701217.html?type=pc&m= 4 Some scholars who suggest the idea are Gregory Poling (CSIS Washington DC), Evan Laksmana (CSIS Jakarta), Muhammad Zulfikar Rahmat (Universitas Islam Indonesia, Yogyakarta), see footnote 7. 5 Emma Connors, “Vaccine diplomacy a threat to South China Sea pushback”, Financial Review, 2 September 2020, https://www.afr.com/world/asia/vaccine-diplomacy-a-threat-to-south-china-sea- pushback-20200901-p55raa; Ralph Jennings, “Vaccine seen as potentially shoring up China’s image in Indonesia, the Philippines”, VOA, 1 January 2021, https://www.voanews.com/covid-19- pandemic/vaccine-seen-potentially-shoring-chinas-image-indonesia-philippines; Lin Yang, “The price of Beijing’s vaccine diplomacy in Southeast Asia”, VOA, 12 September 2020, https://www.voanews.com/east-asia-pacific/voa-news-china/price-beijings-vaccine-diplomacy- southeast-asia; “Indonesia looks to Joe Biden for more ‘professional stance’ on China”, Financial Times, 6 December 2020, https://www.ft.com/content/7f5eade4-03b2-40ec-beb3-a412903386e4; Amanda Hodge, “China to assist Jakarta with 5G rollout, The Australian, 15 January 2021, https://www.theaustralian.com.au/world/china-to-assist-jakarta-with-5g-rollout/news- story/b24d28b19bc4fe60a4744c42b49d7c27 6 Kris Mada, “Berdiplomasi Memburu Vaksin (Diplomacy for Securing Vaccine),” Kompas (Jakarta), 3 August 2020. 7 The Indonesian government had been considering the possibility of securing access to potential Covid-19 vaccines from other Chinese developers: Sinopharm and CanSino Biologics. However, the potentials of establishing cooperation with these two companies have not received further follow-ups because, as Indonesian Health Minister Budi Gunadi stated, their vaccines’ “prices were high and 10
ISSUE: 2021 No. 55 ISSN 2335-6677 [Bio Farma] cannot use their technology.” See Hussein Abri Dongoran, “The Vaccine Race,” Tempo English, 18 January 2021, https://magz.tempo.co/read/37439/the-vaccine-race 8 Hussein Abri Dongoran, “The Vaccine Race” 9 An interview with an official at Indonesian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, 24 November 2020. See also “Nasionalisme Vaksin,” Kompas (Jakarta), 20 July 2020. 10 Dian Septiari, "Government, Bio Farma secure vaccine bulk supply from China's Sinovac,” The Jakarta Post, 21 August 2020, https://www.thejakartapost.com/news/2020/08/21/retno-bio-farma- secure-vaccine-bulk-supply-from-chinas-sinovac.html. 11 “Perusahaan China, Sinovac, Sebut Indonesia Pembeli Terbesar Vaksin Corona (A Chinese Company, Sinovac, Stated That Indonesia is the Largest Corona Vaccine Buyer),” Kumparan, 7 September 2020, https://kumparan.com/kumparanbisnis/perusahaan-china-sinovac-sebut-indonesia- pembeli-terbesar-vaksin-corona-1u9HsWJadQr/full. 12 Resty Woro Yuniar, “Indonesia gets the call to be coronavirus vaccine testing, production hub,” South China Morning Post, 19 November 2020, https://www.scmp.com/week- asia/politics/article/3110580/indonesia-gets-call-be-coronavirus-vaccine-testing-production; 13 “The People's Republic of China is Ready to Support Indonesia to Become Vaccine Hub of the Southeast Asian Region,” Kemlu.go.id, 10 March 2021, https://kemlu.go.id/beijing/en/news/11587/the-peoples-republic-of-china-is-ready-to-support- indonesia-to-become-vaccine-hub-of-the-southeast-asian-region 14 Hussein Abri Dongoran, “The Vaccine Race” 15 Hussein Abri Dongoran, “The Vaccine Race” 16 “Don’t let second wave of Covid-19 happen in Indonesia: Task force,” The Jakarta Post, 6 November 2020, https://www.thejakartapost.com/news/2020/11/06/dont-let-second-wave-of-covid- 19-happen-in-indonesia-task-force.html 17 Dian Septiari, “First batch of COVID-19 vaccine lands in Indonesia,” The Jakarta Post, 7 December 2020, https://www.thejakartapost.com/news/2020/12/07/first-batch-of-covid-19-vaccine-lands-in- indonesia.html. 18 “Sambutan Presiden Jokowi untuk Kedatangan Vaksin Covid-19, 6 Desember 2020 (President Jokowi’s remarks on the arrival of Covid-19 vaccines, 6 December 2020),” YouTube, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vluRG8BsN-0. 19 Kris Mada, “Berdiplomasi Memburu Vaksin,” 20 Adhitya Ramadhan, “Seluk-Beluk Penawar Covid-19 (Details on Covid-19 antidote),” Kompas, 18 January 2021, p. 4. 21 Ardila Syakriah, “Indonesia allows emergency use of Sinovac vaccine,” The Jakarta Post, 11 January 2021, https://www.thejakartapost.com/news/2021/01/11/indonesia-allows-emergency-use-of- sinovac-vaccine.html. 22 “MUI: Vaksin Covid-19 Buatan Sinovac Halal (”MUI: Sinovac’s Covid-19 Vaccine, Halal),“ Kompas, 9 January 2021, p. 1 and 15; Vaksin Sinovac Siap Digunakan (Sinovac’s vaccines are ready to use),” Kompas, 12 January 2021, p. 1 and 15. 23 See “LIVE: Vaksinasi Covid-19 Perdana di Indonesia, 13 January 2021, Pukul 09:00 WIB”, (LIVE: Inaugural Covid-19 vaccination in Indonesia, 13 January 2021, 9:00 a.m,” YouTube, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RNzzege1VdQ 24 “Rushing for A New Vaccine,” Tempo English, 18 January 2021, https://magz.tempo.co/read/37438/rushing-for-a-new-vaccine. 25 “Covid RI Hari ini: Kasus Aktif Hingga Kematian Cetak Rekor! (Today, Indonesia reports new records for daily infections and death),” CNBC Indonesia, 13 January 2021, https://www.cnbcindonesia.com/news/20210113163656-16-215692/covid-ri-hari-ini-kasus-aktif- hingga-kematian-cetak-rekor 26 “Pemulihan Ekonomi Terjebak Euforia Vaksin (Economic recovery is trapped in euphoria over vaccine),” Kompas, 18 January 2021, p. 9. 27 This was based on data for 2 March 2021 in https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries 11
ISSUE: 2021 No. 55 ISSN 2335-6677 28 Natasia Christy Wahyuni and Jayanty Nada Shofa, “Indonesia Enters One Year of Covid-19 with Two New Variant Cases,” Jakarta Globe, 2 March 2021, https://jakartaglobe.id/news/indonesia- enters-one-year-of-covid19-with-two-new-variant-cases. 29 Maria Fatima Bona, “Indonesia to Begin Phase Two of Covid Vaccination,” Jakarta Globe, 15 February 2021, https://jakartaglobe.id/news/indonesia-to-begin-phase-two-of-covid-vaccination; Nicky Aulia Widadio, “Indonesia begins COVID-19 vaccinations for 5M teachers,” Anadolu Agency, 24 February 2021, https://www.aa.com.tr/en/asia-pacific/indonesia-begins-covid-19-vaccinations-for- 5m-teachers/2155399; “Big turnout as Indonesia holds mass COVID-19 vaccination drive for clergy,” Chanel News Asia, 25 February 2021, https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/asia/covid-19- indonesia-big-turnout-mass-vaccination-drive-clergy-14280950; Markus Junianto Sihalo and Maria Fatima Bona, “Indonesia Begins Vaccinating Elderly Citizens, Public Sector Workers,” Jakarta Globe, 17 February 2021, https://jakartaglobe.id/news/indonesia-begins-vaccinating-elderly-citizens- public-sector-workers; Ramadani Saputra, “Ready, set, go! Indonesian athletes eye tournaments after receiving vaccine,” The Jakarta Post, 28 February 2021, https://www.thejakartapost.com/news/2021/02/28/ready-set-go-indonesian-athletes-eye-tournaments- after-receiving-vaccine.html; 30 “Data Vaksinasi COVID-19 (Update per 2 Maret 2021),” Covid19.go.id, 2 March 2021, https://covid19.go.id/berita/data-vaksinasi-covid-19-update-2-maret-2021 31 “LIVE: Kedatangan Vaksin Tahap Keenam, Bandara Soekarno Hatta, 8 Maret 2021”, 8 March 2021, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=--Im0YSfe7U 32 “LIVE”: Kedatangan Vaksin Tahap Keenam, Bandara Soekarno Hatta, 8 Maret 2021” 33 The vaccine arrived in bulk 34 The vaccine arrived in bulk 35 The vaccine arrived in bulk 36 Edna Tarigan and Victoria Milko, “Indonesia Starts Mass COVID Vaccinations Over Vast Territory,” The Diplomat, 14 January 2021, https://thediplomat.com/2021/01/indonesia-starts-mass- covid-vaccinations-over-vast-territory/ 37 “Indonesia relies on vaccine rollout as officials lose ‘control’ of pandemic,” Financial Times, https://www.ft.com/content/41f84b17-a79b-4736-b54f-cd436e583416 38 During the press conference, Indonesian Minister of Health claimed that Jakarta had concluded deals with Sinovac, Novavax, Gavi-Covax. and AstraZeneca, and was still discussing a vaccine procurement deal with Pfizer. On 9 March 2021, Bio Farma’s spokesperson claimed that Indonesia had not yet sealed a deal with Pfizer on vaccine procurement. See, Maria Fatima Bona, “Jubir Bio Farma Tegaskan Belum Ada Nota Kesepahaman dengan Pfizer,” Beritasatu.com, 9 March 2021, https://www.beritasatu.com/kesehatan/743529/jubir-bio-farma-tegaskan-belum-ada-nota- kesepahaman-dengan-pfizer 39 Erick Tanjung & Stephanus Aranditio, “Update Vaksin Merah Putih, Bulan Ini Disuntikan ke Hewan (Merah Putih Vaccine Update, Animals Will Be Injected This Month,” Suara , 27 Ocotber 2020, https://www.suara.com/news/2020/10/27/152940/update-vaksin-merah-putih-bulan-ini- disuntikan-ke-hewan. 40 “Eijkman Institute Report Development of Vaccine Seeds Development,” Tempo.co, 17 March 2021, https://en.tempo.co/read/1442963/eijkman-institute-report-development-of-vaccine-seeds- development 41 Ibid. 42 “Menristek Harap Vaksin Merah Putih Bisa Kejar Bagian Vaksinasi Covid-19 di Indonesia” (Minister hopes Red-and-White Vaccine can take part in Indonesia’s Covid-19 vaccination), Kompas.com, 10 March 2021, https://nasional.kompas.com/read/2021/03/10/14242741/menristek- harap-vaksin-merah-putih-bisa-kejar-bagian-vaksinasi-covid-19-di. 43 “Philippines secures 25m doses of Sinovac COVID vaccine”, NikkeiAsia, 11 January 2021, https://asia.nikkei.com/Spotlight/Coronavirus/Philippines-secures-25m-doses-of-Sinovac-COVID- vaccine 12
ISSUE: 2021 No. 55 ISSN 2335-6677 44 Gregory Poling, Simon Tran Hudes, “Vaccine Diplomacy is Biden’s First Test in Southeast Asia, CSIS, 28 January 2021, https://www.csis.org/analysis/vaccine-diplomacy-bidens-first-test-southeast- asia 45 Ibid. 46 Daphne Galvez, “First shipment of AstraZeneca coronavirus vaccines arrives in PH, Inquirer.net, 4 March 2021, https://newsinfo.inquirer.net/1403155/first-shipment-of-astrazeneca-covid-19-vaccines- arrive-in-ph 47 Ibid. 48 “Philippines finally receives first batch of COVID-19 vaccine, Voice of America, 1 March 2021, https://www.voanews.com/covid-19-pandemic/philippines-finally-receives-first-batch-covid-19- vaccine 49 “Myanmar receives first batch of COVID-19 vaccines from India”, Channel News Asia, 22 January 2021, https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/asia/myanmar-india-covid-19-vaccine- 14020162?cid=h3_referral_inarticlelinks_24082018_cna 50 Hmue Angel, “More than 380,000 in Myanmar receive COVID-19 vaccine”, Myanmar Times, 5 February 2021, https://www.mmtimes.com/news/more-380000-myanmar-receive-covid-19- vaccine.html?__cf_chl_jschl_tk__=6ac04308fb17afc8bc8e8d2bc93f53febce1db73-1614764981-0- AW1F3e-Bf7W- _yvtm2EFVFBPgAFkjNCMIg1PsT_s7rKfENGqVZHl5c4ZgEWfYHue3WVOqRbiwIB- Pe5szmAOIimndl9siNEtQw40VxlpPcma9YfcWkwKX0AX6h862g7ZNdAhuTNMLiMOrDJrxnN8y- 2OXWYEUDkstbz37RASzWeWkuTGYjb_b49jFr- QjjHm9f8rtaWHi8YO8RadBqyy2aE3S9Me9lX6XuVK- CeVdJFxzlZH0VVgjc2ru_2GVe08TINvrbwbDyLvbHKl8Ew07LsNCQqpZy1l704LHfgHDgOo9TL KkpT7sy4HeKpABoII_QwkLvV5tbIdQQax1VdwI0PP4TNQZ7EpjUMCRVvPlySTcVeqjoUrf_cowc geYkRv-g 51 Aung Naing Soe, “China Promises Myanmar 300,000 Vaccine Doses”, VOA, 14 January 2021, https://www.voanews.com/east-asia-pacific/china-promises-myanmar-300000-vaccine-doses 52 Panarat Thepgumpanat, “Thai regulator approves AstraZeneca vaccine for emergency use: sources”, Reuters, 21 January 2021, https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-thailand- vaccine-idUSKBN29Q194 53 Ibid. 54 Ibid. 55 Zazithorn Ruengchinda, “Covid-19 vaccine by AstraZeneca arrived in Vietnam and Thailand”, ScandAsia, 28 February 2021, https://scandasia.com/first-batch-of-covid-19-vaccine-by-astrazeneca- arrived-vietnam-and-thailand/ 56 “Thailand receives its first coronavirus vaccines”, The Japan Times, 24 February 2021, https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2021/02/24/world/science-health-world/thailand-china-vaccines/ 57 “COVID-19 vaccines from China arrive in Cambodia”, Channel News Asia, 7 February 2021, https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/asia/covid-19-vaccine-diplomacy-china-cambodia-hun-sen- 14132418 58 “COVID-19 vaccines from China arrive in Cambodia”, Channel News Asia, 7 February 2021, https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/asia/covid-19-vaccine-diplomacy-china-cambodia-hun-sen- 14132418 59 “COVID-19 vaccines from China arrive in Cambodia”, Channel News Asia, 7 February 2021, https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/asia/covid-19-vaccine-diplomacy-china-cambodia-hun-sen- 14132418 60 Sopheng Cheang, “First COVAX vaccines arrive in Cambodia from India, Medical Press, 2 March 2021, https://medicalxpress.com/news/2021-03-covax-vaccines-cambodia-india.html 61 “Russia delivers to Laos batch of Sputnik V vaccine”, TASS, 21 January 2021, https://tass.com/economy/1247569 13
ISSUE: 2021 No. 55 ISSN 2335-6677 62 “Laos receives 300,000 vaccine doses from China – reports”, Reuters, 8 February 2021, https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-laos-vaccine-idUSKBN2A810D 63 Ibid. 64 “Vietnam to acquire 30 mln COVID-19 vaccine doses from Britain”, Xinhuanet, 4 January 2021, http://www.xinhuanet.com/english/2021-01/04/c_139640544.htm 65 “Vietnam says panel recommends Sputnik V, Moderna vaccine for use, Reuters, 26 February 2021, https://www.reuters.com/article/uk-health-coronavirus-russia-vaccine-vie/vietnam-says-panel- recommends-sputnik-v-moderna-vaccines-for-use-idUSKBN2AQ0O5 66 “Vietnam details priorities for first phase of COVID-19 vaccinations”, Channel News Asia, 23 February 2021, https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/asia/vietnam-covid-19-vaccine-first-phase- health-workers-diplomats-14262118 67 “Brunei receives COVID-19 vaccine donation from China”, Xinhuanet, 11 February 2021, http://www.xinhuanet.com/english/2021-02/11/c_139736129.htm 68 Shareen Han, “COVID-19: Brunei to receive Oxford vaccine for 20% of population”, The Scoop, 29 January 2021, https://thescoop.co/2021/01/29/covid-19-brunei-to-receive-oxford-vaccine-for-20- of-population/ 69 Ibid. 70 “Malaysia secures 6.4m doses of COVID-19 vaccine to treat 40% of population”, Arab News, 23 December 2020, https://www.arabnews.com/node/1781431/world 71 “Malaysia secures 6.4m doses of COVID-19 vaccine to treat 40% of population”, Arab News, 23 December 2020, https://www.arabnews.com/node/1781431/world 72 “Malaysia’s Covid-19 vaccine roll-out will drive border reopening efforts with Singapore: Johor MB”, The Strait Times, 23 February 2021, https://www.straitstimes.com/asia/se-asia/malaysias-covid- 19-vaccine-roll-out-will-spearhead-border-reopening-efforts-with 73 Toh Ting Wei, “First shipment of Moderna’s Covid-19 vaccine arrives in Singapore ahead of schedule”, The Strait Times, 18 February 2021, https://www.straitstimes.com/singapore/transport/first-shipment-of-modernas-covid-19-vaccine- arrives-in-singapore-on-feb-17 74 Tham Yuen-C, “Over 250,000 in Singapore have received first dose of Covid-19 vaccine: PM Lee”, The Straits Times, 11 February 2021, https://www.straitstimes.com/singapore/politics/over-250000- have-received-first-dose-of-covid-19-vaccine-pm-0 75 “A Guide to Global COVID_19 Vaccine Efforts”, Council on Foreign Relations, https://www.cfr.org/backgrounder/guide-global-covid-19-vaccine-efforts 76 Manuel Mogato, “ASEAN deadlocked on South China Sea, Cambodia blocks statement, Reuters, 25 July 2016, https://www.reuters.com/article/us-southchinasea-ruling-asean-idUSKCN1050F6 77 Sofia Tomacruz, “Duterte pleads with Xi Jinping: Prioritize PH for Covid-19 vaccine, Rappler, 27 July 2020, https://www.rappler.com/nation/duterte-pleads-xi-jinping-prioritize-philippines-covid-19- vaccine-sona-2020-speech 78 Huizhong Wu and Kristen Gelineau, “ Chinese COVID-19 vaccine spread around the world, despite concerns and lack of data”, Los Angeles Times, 2 March 2021, https://www.latimes.com/world-nation/story/2021-03-02/chinese-covid-vaccines-distributed- worldwide-despite-concerns 79 “Hanoi spurns China’s vaccine diplomacy with homemade shot”, NikkeiAsia, 28 February 2021, https://asia.nikkei.com/Spotlight/Coronavirus/Hanoi-spurns-China-s-vaccine-diplomacy-with- homemade-shot 80 Carlyle A. Thayer, “Indonesia’s Effort to Forge ASEAN Unity on a Code of Conduct”, Paper at the Managing Tensions in the South China Sea Conference held by CSIS on 5-6 June 2013, https://csis- website-prod.s3.amazonaws.com/s3fs- public/legacy_files/files/attachments/130606_Thayer_ConferencePaper.pdf 14
ISSUE: 2021 No. 55 ISSN 2335-6677 81 “Submissions to the Commission: Partial Submission by Malaysia in the South China Sea”, UN Division for Ocean Affairs and the Law of the Sea, https://www.un.org/Depts/los/clcs_new/submissions_files/submission_mys_12_12_2019.html 82 Romel Regalado Bagares, “Indonesia’s new diplomatic bombshell vs Chinese expansionism in the South China Sea”, ABS-CBN News, 30 May 2020, https://news.abs- cbn.com/spotlight/05/30/20/analysis-indonesias-new-diplomatic-bombshell-vs-chinese-expansionism- in-the-south-china-sea 83 Tia Asmara, “Indonesia rejects Beijing’s offer for South China Sea Talks”, Benarnews, 5 June 2020, https://www.benarnews.org/english/news/indonesian/no-negotiation-06052020155450.html 84 “US conducts exercise in South China Sea as China also carries out military drills”, The Telegraph, 4 July 2020, https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2020/07/04/us-conducts-exercises-south-china-sea- chinaalso-carries-military/ 85 “South China Sea: Indonesia asks China to honour UNCLOS, Antara News, 1 August 2020, https://en.antaranews.com/news/153350/south-china-sea-indonesia-asks-china-to-honor-unclos 86 “ASEAN Foreign Ministers’ Statement on the Importance of Maintaining Peace and Stability in Southeast Asia”, 8 August 2020, https://asean.org/storage/2020/08/FINAL-ASEAN-FM-Statement- on-Peace-and-Stability-in-Southeast-Asia-Region-18.2.pdf 87 Idem. 88 “RI Ajak China Jaga Stabilitas di LCS” (Indonesia urged China to maintain stability in the SCS), KOMPAS, 14 January 2021, https://www.kompas.id/baca/internasional/2021/01/14/indonesia-ajak- china-jaga-stabilitas-di-laut-china-selatan/# 89 Ibid. 90 Emma Connors, “Vaccine diplomacy a threat to South China Sea pushback”, Financial Review, 2 September 2020, https://www.afr.com/world/asia/vaccine-diplomacy-a-threat-to-south-china-sea- pushback-20200901-p55raa; Lin Yang, “The price of Beijing’s vaccine diplomacy in Southeast Asia, VOA, 12 September 2020, https://www.voanews.com/east-asia-pacific/voa-news-china/price-beijings- vaccine-diplomacy-southeast-asia 91 “China to help Indonesia become ASEAN vaccine production centre, Minister says”, Tempo, 8 March 2021, https://en.tempo.co/read/1439961/china-to-help-indonesia-become-asean-vaccine- production-center-minister-says ISEAS Perspective is published ISEAS - Yusof Ishak Institute Editorial Chairman: Choi Shing electronically by: accepts no responsibility for Kwok ISEAS - Yusof Ishak Institute facts presented and views expressed. Editorial Advisor: Tan Chin 30 Heng Mui Keng Terrace Tiong Singapore 119614 Responsibility rests exclusively Main Tel: (65) 6778 0955 with the individual author or Managing Editor: Ooi Kee Beng Main Fax: (65) 6778 1735 authors. No part of this publication may be reproduced Editors: William Choong, Get Involved with ISEAS. Please in any form without permission. Malcolm Cook, Lee Poh Onn, click here: and Ng Kah Meng https://www.iseas.edu.sg/support © Copyright is held by the author or authors of each article. Comments are welcome and may be sent to the author(s). 15
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